MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Will Ciryl Gane Put An End To Tai Tuivasa's Cinderella Run At Heavyweight?

Episode Date: August 31, 2022

The No Bets Barred boys are back to break down the UFC's debut event in France, UFC Paris, which takes place this Saturday and is headlined by a heavyweight slugfest between former interim champion Ciryl Gane and fan-favorite Tai Tuivasa. Co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew dive deep into all the big fights this weekend, telling you which favorite to fade and which hometown heroes are going to deliver big for the Paris fans. Plus, with the return of college football looming, Conner and Jed wax poetic on their National Champion Georgia Bulldogs. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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You're listening to the Vox Media Podcast Network. What is going on, y'all? We are back from a week off from the UFC this time to break down UFC Paris. I'm caught off guard here by how hot I came in there. But it is another edition of No Bet's part and we are back to break down UFC Paris. Jed, how we doing, man? How was the week off? Did you miss it? Does it feel good to be back? How are we? There wasn't a week off, baby. I mean just because we didn't have the UFC doesn't mean there weren't people punching each other in the face. Influencer boxing, my guy. Screw this one championship nonsense. Give me YouTubers

and TikTokers who don't have any real concept or understanding of fistfights, let them slap on the gloves, let them go slap each other around. It was awful, but also like a train wreck, I couldn't not watch it. And we were talking about it beforehand. I just can't wait until we start getting consistent betting lines, because that's just the little push I need to push me all the way over the edge into the influencer boxing game. Once I can start making money,

off these people, then I'm in wholesale. I'm 100% with you because it's already a spectacle. It's already an entertaining product. Now if I can just bet on it, then I will be 100% in. I mean, I said it to you before the show. If there was a line on KSI to beat both guys by finish, I would have taken it in a heartbeat. It was written in the stars. It was a lock.

This man set it up for that to happen. I mean, of course, he knows how to promote. He knows the end game is a Jake Paul megafite. And for everybody who right now is wringing their hands and cringing that we are talking about this, we're not going to spend too long on it. But recognize that Jake Paul versus KSI in a boxing match is bigger than almost any fight the UFC can put together. There are maybe three fights, maybe three fights the UFC can put together that are bigger than that. Because whether it's good or not, and it ain't.

The people love it. And I'm a man of the people, Connor. If the people love it, I want to love it too. And so I'm ready. I'm ready for all I need are the betting lines, baby. That's the last piece of the puzzle for me to be all in on influencer boxing. Two things. It's okay if you get mad that we're talking about it.

People actually do like this in the craziest fashion. KSI, the full card highlights on the DeZone Boxing YouTube channel. 6.3 million views in two days. Dude, to zone boxing, like, if you just look at all their YouTube, because they got videos, all of it is slaughtering the view count. People care. And you, if you listening, you may not care.

And to certain extent, I'm with you on it. But a lot of people do. And, you know, I'm here for the people, Connor. That's what we're here for, the people. Yeah, I mean, the biggest, the word there is care. I definitely don't care. but I'm interested in seeing what happens. Whoever wins, whatever happens, I really don't care.

But you mentioned Jake Paul, Anderson Silva, maybe, contracts haven't been signed. A line did come out. I got in on some action at minus 130, Anderson Silva. I'm happy to ride with the MMA side in this Jake Paul fight. See, that's a bet that I can't make because... Jake Paul Stan? No. Not a Jake Paul Stan in that regard.

If I was going to bet, I would want to bet with my heart and back Anderson Silva. And I firmly, firmly, firmly believe that Anderson Silva is a better box than Jake Paul because I have eyeballs and I've watched both of them box. And he obviously is. But he is 50 years old. You know, it is, that's, and that Jake Paul is not. And whatever your thoughts on Jake Paul, I don't have a lot of positives about him. He is a decently athletic young man and with at least some ability.

and he is even a club-level boxer, but he is obviously not terrible at this, and Anderson Silva is really old, and at some point, you just can't fight off father time in this regard. And so I honestly, my gut feeling is that this is probably the sad reality, is that Jake Paul will somehow beat Anderson Silva,

and I will be depressed, and so that is almost certainly going to be a fight I just stay away from. Everything you just said, I respect it. Throw it all out the window. I've already got the bet slip on Anderson, so I'm going to ride with him there. I got to hope you win, because I'm with you spiritually.

I appreciate your spirituality riding with me in this one. Let's keep moving back in the time machine a little bit. Friday night, Demetrius Johnson, huge knee knockout, get the one championship, flyweight belt back, flyweight unders? Yeah, they hit even when they're at 135. They can't not hit. It's we're going to talk about it.

The worst thing that the UFC did to us is to not have fly weights fighting this week. Like, I don't know why they don't like us, Connor. I think they heard. They've heard us and they're scared. So they were like, we got to create some separation. These guys are mystics. They're taking away all the intrigue from the fights because we know that the under is going to cash. Well, a huge miss on our part mentioning that, Dana White Contender Series last week.

So the week after UFC 278, there was a flyweight. weight fight on that. I completely missed it over under, set of minus 115, under two and a half, caches. Third round. Looks like it's about to go over. Of course. Looked like it was about to go over. Submission with like, I think it was like 40 seconds to spare. I mean, it's magical at this point. It can't, it can't be denied. That's just the way the world works. And we're going to get into it. But I got to say, my man, my, my little experiment on heavyweight overs,

I'm feeling okay about that continuing. I'm feeling okay about that continuing. So I don't want to step on too many toes, but I'm feeling okay about it. I don't mind that. All right, let's go back to 278 briefly. It starts off with just the biggest bang of all bangs. If you are part of, you know, no-bets barred nation, as we like to say here, Victor Altamorano gets the finish in the first round over Daniel De Silva.

Two fights later, Amir Al-Bazi gets the finish in the first round over Francisco, Figuero, they weren't even making a sweat, man. They weren't even making a sweat. I mean, it was at this point, if you're not following the gospel of a flywood hunters, I don't know what to tell you, because I, they're going into it, maybe a logical man, a man who's an overthinker could have looked and said, one of these is very certain to hit, but the other one up in the air. But then, no, actually, they were both guaranteed.

There was no question. We'd text each other where I was having was like, yeah, this was obvious. It's the easiest bet of my life. In fact, I said on the most recent episode, I never parlay underdogs because that's an idiot maneuver. But when it's flyweight unders, there's no downside to it. Ended up parlaying those two together. Nice little on top of the individual bets. Cashed all three, baby.

Let's go. A smart man parlayed. those unders. A very smart man also played the under one and a halfs on each. And there's, I don't know if it's true, but I pray there's a genius out there. There's a man way

ahead of his time that parlayed the under one and a halves of those two flyweight unders. If you did that, we'd love to have you on as a guest. Oh, absolutely. Because this man, this man's taking our good work, our scientific research and building on it. That's what we're all

great scientists do. They take the work of geniuses like ourselves, and they add to it, and that's how we have society today. Marcin Tibero, Alexander Romanov, heavyweight overs. I mean, just could never... A little dicey? It was a little dicey, but it did it.

It was definitely sweatier than the flyweight unders. That is absolutely for sure. Oh God, in the first round, I was like all type of is getting finished. I mean, but he didn't, and then... Came back and won. I didn't... I don't think we factored in. because I, sir, I can't speak for you.

I did not at all even think about the altitude in Salt Lake City and how that would have affected these things. I would have bet all the money on that had I known. I'm like, yeah, these two dudes are going to be gassed immediately. I thought about it. I did not have any idea. It was going to affect these dudes as much as it was affecting them. People wore gasping for air, man.

Like, we were bent over all night, man. It was taking its all in these fighters for real. Oh, yeah. It was, you know, good for the UFC to whatever incentives, wink, wink, that may have brought them to Salt Lake City for such a card. I'm good for them to get that, but I would love if the UFC just never went back to altitude because even in the main event, like you saw it, and those are the fighters who can financially afford to prepared altitude for something like this. Undercard fighters especially, man, don't bring heavyweights at altitude. That's just asking for exactly what we got there. So hopefully we won't be doing Denver, Mexico City, anything like that in the near future.

But now we, now I will remember the next time we go back, just plan accordingly. Plan accordingly. Now to wrap things up, I don't know if you have any more fights who I don't get into, but the Leon Edwards head kick. unbelievable. Killed my parley's, but I was okay with it. Killed my parlays. I mean, well, I don't know what else you had to say about it. It is just an unbelievable comeback.

I thought for sure, it was like, yep, this is just a wrap. Here we go. I, I know. I texted you and Eric before Handen was like, I was down on the card because after the fly weights and the heavy weights, It's basically everything else I had failed miserably. Somehow, Paul O'Costa and Luke Rockhold, they went 15 minutes. That was sick.

It definitely was not frustrating at all. Not even a little bit to be like, this is going to be stopped inside the distance. And then somehow it just kept going. Every minute I was like, what is happening? And then it looked like it was stopped. And then it looked like Palo Costa won inside the distance. And they took that from us. I can't believe that happened twice.

The Sean Woodson and the Palo Costa both looked like they were over and then they weren't. Yeah, just, uh, so I had had a, an up and down night, but I was behind on some cash. And because the night had been so weird, I texted you and Eric, and I was like, honestly, everything's just going to go in so awkward. I'm going to take a little money on Leon, and I'm going to, very stupidly, I'm going to take a little money on Leon by submission. Because the number was like, that's, I was so excited because the number was like plus 3,000 or something. And that bet was entirely

this is one of those nights where the odd thing is happening. So I took those two bets. And at first round, I was losing my mind. I was like, oh my God, do it, do it, do it. And then when it miss was like, well, that's never happening. That's

it. And then I thought, well, hell, I did the dumb thing. I chased and now I'm going to lose more money. And then the fifth round, Leon, somehow gets me back to just about even, basically, with that head kick. So it was a roller coaster night for sure. It was. It was a roller coaster night.

I was looking great at one point, and then everything kind of came tumbling down. I ended up a little bit in the profits, stringing them together, five straight weeks of profits, but this next card's tricky. You'll see Paris is tricky. It is, it's difficult, man. I have a few bets down. You know, as we said, I'm a man of the people. For the people, I'm reaching on a couple just to get my numbers up overall. But not a lot of stuff I feel super confident on here, if we're being honest.

Dude, I'd say I might be reaching on just about everything. Like, there's, like, there are points where I fall in love with the bets where, like, I love them. Like, I'm, like, excited that I have it placed. I actually already have a few, like, that placed for 279. Oh, okay. this week, there's none where I'm just like, where it's almost like I get in my head where I'm just like, I'm just waiting for this to cash at this point.

Like, that's how good I feel about it. I did not get there on any of these. I have one bet that I feel very good in that regard. And I've got another bet that I, I've got two or three bets that I feel pretty comfortable with. And then the other ones are value plays, shots in the dark, idiot bets because I'm a moron. You know.

The usual. I love it. I love it. I definitely have a couple. I actually have an idiot bet that I want to consult you about and see if you go on board. I mean, it's as dumb as dumb gets. I love dumb as dumb. Those are, that's our bread and, that's our bread and butter, baby.

I mean, that's what I do, especially under this category, that's a little hint for everybody. Let's get right into it. UFC Paris. It is the main event, a heavyweight bout. I absolutely love this fight. I love both the guys fighting as well. It is Cyril Gan going up against Tai Tai Tu Ivasa. Right now,

Now gone. Minus 540, Tui Vasa coming back at plus 420 over under set at two and a half, over minus 130 under at even money. For me, I feel like if you're going to play Thai, if you're here to back tie, you want to see the shoeys, you think that's going to happen. I feel like you have to play him at K. He's plus 420 right now at some books for KO. He's plus 700. I mean, we've seen him do it last five wins all by knockout zero gone manages the power well he's a very well-rounded fighter i just don't see how tight to evasa a wins by submission that's just don't see that happening at all and b if it goes all five rounds i just fail to see how he's going to win by a decision yeah i'm with you on it if you're going to take tie if that's it you might as well just get the extra juice on

on the chaos prop but uh yeah which is like before you get into it, which is just weird because he's plus 420. At some books you can get Ty by knockout at plus 700 when he fought Inganu. Inganu was like plus 125. His knockout was like plus 135. It was like the surprise. I'm surprised it's that big a difference. The only thing I guess on that is just maybe they, maybe because Ty is a big old boy and Cyril not the best.

best wrestler. Maybe they think Ty can come in and be a little smarter and edge went out, but I feel like that line should be pretty close to the same. But I would strongly recommend Noon and Bet it because I couldn't feel more confident in Cyril Gahn winning this fight. Like, I could not be more confident in that happening. I don't know about you, but... I mean, well, like everything that I just said, if you also go back and look at Cyril Gahn's career, the last fight, Francis Ngano, yes. I understand that he lost the fight. but he also didn't get knocked out, which is basically an achievement in itself. He also won all the striking.

Yeah, exactly. When you go for 25 minutes against Francis and Ghana. He was tuning Francis up on the feet. Francis had to go to D1 Francis, which is a great move from him. Great move. I loved it. I love Francis and Gano. I really am a fan of almost everyone at the top of the heavyweight division.

Then he's fun of guys like Derek Lewis, Rosenstrike, Junio D'O Santos. Hasn't been knocked out by any of those guys. I feel like he will avoid the power of Taito Ivasa, and I feel like he's going to win it. Plus, just kind of watching it back, kind of looking at the record of Tai Tui Vasa, five wins in the UFC is impressive no matter what. But the guys that he's been fighting, Derek Lewis, Sakai, Hardy, Hunt Sucker, Stefan Struv, none of them have been in form of late. Struve won in five, his last six, out of the promotion, Hunt Sucker owned four in the UFC out of the promotion.

Yeah, just gone. RIP, Harry. Oh my God, yes. He just got cut today. That hurt, bro. That hurt, man. Will we ever be sunsucked again? I don't know.

It hunts sucks. It hun sucks. That's great. Hardy, last three out of the promotion. Augusto Sky, O and four in his last four. Lewis won three in his last four. I mean, none of them have really been on form. I'm with you, dude.

I'm with you. I think gone gets this done. I'm using him as a parlay piece. Yeah. I just, I have confidence as you do. I think he's going to get it done. I've gone as a parley piece, and he is going to serve as what I like to call my backdoor of the evening, where because he's the last fight of the night, I honestly think probably if I was just, if I was fully just trying to minimize risk, maximize value, I wouldn't admit anything else on this card. I would just put whatever bankroll I deem acceptable to put into gone winning.

I truly. Oh, it's a Valentina type night. Yeah, I truly believe that gone cannot lose this fight barring freak injury. Wow. You feel that strongly? I really do. Dude, he's, gone is going to be the best heavyweight in the world. He was just a little green for Francis, and Francis just had enough juice to go to the wrestling.

But you give gone a couple more years to develop because he's still so young in MMA. He is so athletic. He is so technically sound at striking. You said it. He's fought, you know, Rosenstruck and Lewis. And he's fought the same fight that Tai Tui Vasa is going to bring a hundred times. And what it should, the thing I would like to say the most about it is look at those fights because those fights weren't close.

It is not like he had a nip-tuck decision win over Derek Lewis. He took Lewis to school. he was the bus driver for Girozino Rosenstrike and just showed that man how to kickbox. He, Jr. Dos Santos, who is maybe the best corollary to tie to Ivasa as far as skill set goes, absolutely sunned at JDS. Not granted, JDS a little older, but still, like this is just, it's a fight he excels at because he's the best kickboxer in the division. He doesn't have the freakish power of Ngany, but he's got a depth of skill,

and he can hit very hard his own right. I think he is going to do his bouncy thing. He's just going to dictate how this fight goes. Tai Tuvaas is never going to get going. I really struggle to see a way for Ty to win, barring some sort of really freak injury or accident. So, I mean, it is MMA can always happen. This is one of those bets that I feel incredibly confident about.

And so at the end of the evening, depending on how well I'm doing on my other bets, if I'm up, I'll probably just sink whatever my problem. profits are into putting the rest of that money back on gone straight. And if I'm down, maybe I'll just start chasing to get back to even by shoving whatever I need to on God to get back to even on the night. But I really cannot see him losing this fight. Wow. Wow. That's a lot of confidence on him. It is. He's minus 540. That's an 85% win probability. Like that seems so low to me. Like he, I would have thought he'd be minus seven at least. Like he should be in the

90s, 90% win probability. Like, it is just, he should be closer to a thousand and stuff. So I think Ty is getting a lot of respect because of the Derek Lewis fight in good form, like hell of a performance. But I think this is about as bad of a stylistic matchup as you can ask for for him. Let me throw something out there for you. Love it. I'm crazy.

Do it. You know, maybe Ty does try and get it to the ground. Maybe he does do that. Maybe it's unsuccessful. Oh, I know exactly where you're. going so excited about this. I love this. Maybe Seraghan takes his back and does something crazy.

What if he locked something up and gets him by submission? You know, I went fishing around to look for... Don't you dare. But I did not. I have not taken a play on it. But I thought something very similar of like, you know, less of him taking the back more of, God's a really smart guy.

And God is a willing grappler. So, like, maybe he lets, maybe Tuvasa comes in, and maybe he, he just changes levels. It's a reactive take down. And then, you know, if you look at the records, Taitoivasa, he's not the greatest guy off his back. He has been arm-triangled before. Cyril Ghan also knows how to complete an arm-triam. Got one of those in his repertoire. So maybe he mixes it up.

Who wants to give the French crowd, you know, the hometown crowd a big hurrah, send him off with a sub. Maybe it gets a little arm triangle choke, maybe. So I think when I saw the number, it was plus 650. Plus 650. Right now at Fandul, different everywhere else across the board. Like, I don't know if they have mispriced this. Plus 350 on draft teams, plus 385 offshore books. I'm doing it.

I'm placing it right now. Let's continue the streak of terrible submission bets. Let's shock up another loss right now. I mean, at plus 650, I think it's certainly worth a fly. there just because it's fun. But so you've got gone as a parley piece. You're obviously taking this prop. Do you, is that the extent of the bets you have here?

That is the extent of the bets, but I have considered other ones. You mentioned an over. Tell me more about that. I'd love to, I'd love to tell you about it over. So I also, just so we're clear, I also have gone as a parlay piece. I've got a three leg parlay. He's the first leg of that. But we talked about it at the beginning.

we know flyweight unders have never lost ever in their lives. I'm starting to really believe the heavyweight overs. They've got momentum. I'm not going to say that they're a lock to finish, but they are building momentum. And I love the over here. The natural over under is two and a half rounds. It's minus 125 at draft kings right now.

I took a shot on that already because I love that. Tuivasa has been a really difficult guy to get out of there. and Cyril Gahn is mostly content to outclasses opponents and let the finish come to him. So I love the over two and a half. If you wanted to take the alternate line when it drops the over one and a half as a parlay piece, right now I'm seeing that at minus 250-ish. I think that's a lovely parley piece. And I haven't done it yet, but I am considering just going down the heavyweight over the rabbit hole

and betting over three and a half at plus 105, over four and a half at plus 140, and just doing the damn thing with the heavyweight overs. Wow. Just going all the way down the line and hoping that it goes to a decision. All four of them. If it goes to a decision, it's great. And as long as I hit, as long as it goes over two and a half, I'm basically breaking even at that point.

So those lines obviously haven't dropped at any of the books I have access to. But depending on what they look like, I am probably just going to. to continue the experiment of heavywood overs, but I do have a bet in on the over two and a half minus 125. Still think that's a really good bet. And basically regardless what the over one and a half line comes out at, I think that's a great parlay piece as well. You've done it.

You've talked me into it. I'm going to, I think here's what I'm going to do. I think I'm going to parlay. I do have a book that has it available, the over one and a half. Over half, over a half round. Over a half, too. Minus a thousand. I wish that was a little bit lower, you know.

Yeah, if that was, you know, three digits, maybe we could talk about that as a real parlay piece. So I'm getting over one and a half at minus two 20, and then I'm going to scroll on over to the Robert Whitaker, Marvin Vittori fight, which we're about to get into, and parlay the over one and a half in that one as well. Oh, I love that parlay. What's that parlay come out to for you there? That is paying out at minus 137 right now. Feels like a great parlay to me, baby. Feels like a great parlay to me, too, honestly. Watching Cyril Gond's tape back, like, especially that Derek Lewis fight, it's what you said.

He kind of, like, waits for the finish to come for him. He's not out there to force anything, man. The, like, watching back the, just like any of his fights, it feels like you would be frustrated if you took like fight doesn't go to a decision or if you took an under in his fight. And then when he does get a finish, it just kind of pops up out of nowhere. Like, he is an opportunistic fighter. So I'm with you. I do think Ty is going to bring this fight a little bit more to him. But also, Ty, like, all of his fights, I think, have gone under the one and a half in his last five.

But they, I think, what, four of them have seen the second round? I'm not looking at his recent resume. But, yeah, like that, I mean, that's, tie is the reason the line isn't super juiced, right? I mean, he has been, he is a guy who is going to bring the action one way or the other. but to some extent, I mean, the thing is he's just not going to be able to keep doing that. That's kind of my read on it because against Derek Lewis, he was able to have the fight he wanted. He just gotten Derek Lewis's grill and those two dudes just started chucking hammers and Ty could eat the shots and Derek Lewis apparently couldn't. If you told me that beforehand, I think I said on this very program where I was like, yeah, man, Derek Lewis is just going to kill him because Derek Lewis hits so hard, nobody can withstand it.

Ty could, but he's not going to force Cyril Ghan into a brawling exchange. He's going to come forward. He's going to get picked off with a couple of shots while Cyril Gahn moves away and Ty's just left bewildered and looking around at who to hit. And you can't keep doing that. Like nobody will just continue to force themselves into that over and over and over again if they're not having any success. So I love, I think this fight is a real chance to go long. And that's That's why I'm on the overs. I mean, you've just talked me into it. I've just, I said I didn't like anything on this card that hasn't really changed much,

but I've somehow just added two more bets just after talking in the main event. Just added Cyrilgan by submission, just added Whitaker Vitory over one and a half, gone to Evas, over one and a half. It's fantastic because I think you're going to talk me into some stupider bets down the card because I don't have enough action. The serial gone is just, it's golden. I'm glad we were there. That's going to be a fun one.

That's going to be a really. fun one. I love main events, love to have a lot of action down. I got stuff all over this one, so it'll be good. I mean, if this man locks something up in a submission. Will I ever hit a submission probably not? Probably not. Probably not, but, you know, if, look, I'm willing to go down on the ship. If Tai Tzu of Asa just obliterate Zero Gone in 46 seconds and I lose all the money in my bank account, I'll consider that an okay day because it will still be incredibly fun for Taitouva to To go into Paris and do that. That's the biggest thing.

I love this main event, but I hate that one of them has to lose because I love both these guys, dude. I really like cheering for both of them. Yeah, I don't love the main event just because I think you could have more fun with Tuivasa. And like I said, I think this is an awful style matchup for him. But if the unlikely happens and he pulls it off, it's monstrously big. It's just unbelievably big. Yeah, where does the heavyweight division go from there?

John Jones. Through Thai to Ivasa. It goes through Thai to Ivasa. That's where it goes. Give me Bones tie after that. Bones tie. Let's do it for the belt. When Francis inevitably leaves, bones tie, let's go.

I can just see Ty being so nonchalant about all of it. Yeah. I guess I'm going to fall off to the belt. Yeah. It would be awesome. Hit pause on whatever you're listening to and hit play on your next adventure. This fall get double points on every qualified. stay. Life's the trip. Make the most of it at Best Western. Visit bestwestern.com for complete terms and

conditions. With Instacard, you get groceries that over-deliver, so you can over-share your preferences. Want russet potatoes with no brown spots? You got it. Want turnips that look light but feel heavy? Easy. Want honey crisp apples that are firm, green, and definitely not Macintosh like last year when you lost the fall bake-off to perfect Penelope Johnson? Okay, a bit TMI, but we're here for it. So download the app today and get zero delivery fees on your first three orders. Instacart, groceries that over deliver. Service fees exclusions and terms apply. All right, so that's the main event.

We both think Cirogan is going to win. We both think it will tend to take longer. I won't be surprised if in the later round CEROGON gets a finish. And now we're both on the submission prop. Why not throw a little dart? Let's have a little fun. We've got to. Let's keep it going.

Co-main event, middleweight bout. Love this one. I love these top two fights. I am a huge fan of these. Robert Whitaker, 23 and 6, coming in at minus 230, going against Marvin Vittori, 184 and 1, plus 195. I say their records because these two guys have not lost anybody, not named, Israel Adasania, in their last combined 24 fights, Whitaker 12 and 2, Votori, 7, 2, and 1, both with two losses

to Israel, Adasania. I mean, this is the clear battle for number two in the middleweight division. vision, I guess, after Alex who, Alex Paheta? I mean, yeah, it's odd that Alex Paheta is potentially the best middleweight in the world, but also might be like the seventh best middleweight in the world, but yeah. There's like no in between. Like he's either the best or like he just needs to fight a wrestler and get dominated. Yep, exactly.

So I guess we'll find out in a little bit. But until then, this is certainly for the title of second best middleweight in the world. Caught me off God there, sorry. You know, just getting some hydration in there. Here's what I'll rebuttal with. I think the number two guy is Robert Whitaker. I think he's just going to have a striking advantage in this fight. Looking back at that Vittory, cost the fight.

I mean, the body kicks, the head kicks were there all day for Palo. Marvin's just got a block head. Just is like impossible to finish. I mean, Palo, and it's some beautiful ones had him wobbled. I think Whitaker, he loves that one two to the head kick, that combo. I think he's just world-class. on the feet. I mean, anyone he fights that isn't Israel out of Sanya, he looks fantastic against. And then just the grappling threat of Marvin Vittori, I mean, he is a solid wrestler.

Robert Whitaker, the only person to ever take him down more than one time, one singular time in a fight is world champion wrestler, Olympic silver medalist wrestler, Yoel Romero. I see this fight playing out mostly on the feet. You know, I think there'll be clinch exchanges. I think there might be attempted grappling exchanges, but I think it'll play out on the feet, and I think Robert Whitaker is going to find some success. I think it's going to go to a decision. I really do. Like, I just parlayed that over one and a half. I think there's going to go long, but these dudes are so tough. I mean, Vittoria has never been finished. Whitaker, it's few and far between when he gets finished. I mean, other than the easy fight, it's been eight years since the last time.

Two tough guys, I think it's going to be such a sick fight. It's going to be a good fight. I agree with most of your breakdown, but I'm on the other end of it. Let's go. Let's go. Just, you know, if I'm just picking straight up who's going to win at 50-50 odds, give me Bobby Knuckles. But this line on him is just a little too juice. I mean, he's minus 2.30. It's basically 70% win prob.

And I think this fights a lot closer. I do think Whitaker is a better fighter. But, you know, for all the things of being a better fighter, sometimes just being a big old dude with a block of a blockhead and an ungodly, relentless forward pressure. That is Marvin. It's just a lot, man.

And like, Marvin Vittori, he didn't beat Israel Adisina, but he, both of his fights were competitive against Israel Adisina, even if he lost, you know, widely margined in the second one. Izzy didn't,

didn't style on him or stun on him. He just outpointed him. And I think Robert Whitaker can absolutely do something similar, but it wouldn't shock me at all if Robert Whitaker is trying to be a little too karate, a little too slick, and just sort of falls under the unrelenting pressure of Marvin Vittorre because Whitaker isn't going to be able to get him out of there because you give me a baseball bat and a shotgun and I couldn't get Martin Vittoria out of the damn cage.

So he's just not going to be able to do it and they are both going to be throwing a lot. I think Whitaker will land more cleanly, but I mean, Marvin's going to get some shots of his own in. And maybe he doesn't take him down, you know? Maybe he doesn't because Robert Whitaker, hell of a wrestler. Australia national champion, hell of a wrestler. 83% take down defense on a huge sample size, Jose Aldo, the 90% that we saw against Morab, that take down defense stood up in that fight. I know he didn't come out victorious, but like Marab could not get that dude down.

Like huge sample sizes of very good takedown defense usually stands up when it comes to the test. I love that you brought that up because that was exactly where I was going. Let's go. Because you don't have. Because apparently you don't have to score takedowns. You can just hump some dude's leg against the fence and the judge is going to go ahead and give you that decision, baby. Definitely not salty. And Marvin Vittori, look, you know, he can definitely marob this one real hard of just being a big dude

leaning against Whitaker on the fence for long stretches, that always being the guy coming forward. I just think, I think this fight is maybe not 50-50, but I think it's closer to 60-40, and the lines have it at 70-30. So I'm getting a little bit of value

on a Vittori bet. And like I said, if I had to pick straight up, I'd take Bobby Knuckles. But I'm getting this value, Votory at basically plus 200. I took a shot on it. So I actually don't disagree with you

that I, I think there is value on Vittory. I too felt that the Whitaker line was a little bit too juice. I took Whitaker by decision at even money. I think this one is going to go to 15. I like the even money there. Yeah, I think it's going to be an exciting fight. I think there's going to be one of those fights where both dudes are going to have moments throughout it.

I'm excited for it, man. I'm excited for a lot of middleweight fights on this card. I also have another one here along the lines because I think, I think Whitaker by decision a much better bet than just taking Whitaker in a parley piece or whatever, because I love the fight goes to decision prop on this one. I told you I had a couple that I loved. Fight goes to decision prop is about minus 250 right now. The over something in the neighborhood of that is well over two and a half.

It just feels like a guarantee to me. That is the second leg of my parley is it goes to decision. 11 of 18 for Whitaker have gone to decision 6 of his last 7 have gone to the scorecards 10 of 12 for Vittoria and the UFC have gone to the scorecards And how many of those were five rounds do you know? Not off the top of my head but I mean At least two for Vittory were fives

Because of the Izzy and the Pollo And most of Whitaker's will have been five Yeah Because of the championship is only three We just got to make it three It's 15 minutes It is just both these guys are insanely durable. Whitaker is the better finisher of the two,

but Vittori is a block of steel and concrete. He doesn't get finished. And Vittori is not a huge finisher, and so it seems unlikely he can be the one to put Whitaker out. So I love goes to decision. It's a parlay piece. Feel really good about it. I like that.

I like that. You said that. I'm liking this parlay you're building. I'm excited to hear the final. leg of it. Third leg is maybe the most questionable, but it's not a bad bet. It's just not these first two legs I feel bulletproof on. The third leg is there's a little more risk involved. All right, well, let's keep it rolling. Should be a fantastic co-main event. We're deep into this episode already and we're only two fights and it's time to get this sucker. Oh, don't worry because I don't have much

to say about almost anything else going down on this card. That's actually good because is, um, mum is the word on most of the rest of this. Some of this main card is tough. Dude, dude, I mean, let's get right into it. It's a middle-way bout coming up next. Alessio de Chirico, you know, I might have botched that one going up against Roman Coppilov. You're pretty good.

Minus 105. Dechikiro, minus 115. That one you, that one you bought. I think it was worse that time. I'm trying to say it quickly. It's De Chirico, I believe. I believe it is just a Chirico. De Chirico.

Alessio de Kirico, there it is, saying it properly. I didn't study the names because I got absolutely nothing on this fight. Not really sure why it's this high up on the card to me. Like Nathaniel Wood, Charles Jordane would fit much better in this one. There's no Frenchman on this or anything. It is a coin flip of a fight. Do you want to trust the guy that's 0 and 2 in the UFC or the guy that's 1 and 4 in the in his last 5 in the UFC?

It's even odds for a reason. I see no edge for myself, so I will be staying away. Look, sometimes we're smart. Sometimes we make smart bets. And that's a 1,000% my read. I can't feel any level of confidence in either of these guys. Gun to my head, I would probably pick Koppelov just because, I don't know, he's a Southpaw, and that's right here. And I just, a little bit younger, I really don't think much of, I mean, DeKirko, DeKiro's just such a weird dude.

If I look at my topology, he has really been a day. difficult person for me to pick. I'm like 0 and 6 on his CFC fights or something. Love it. Because he pulls off, big up underdog wins, but loses the fights that it feels like he should. So

that me picking Koppelov is almost explicitly, well, I keep thinking to Kierko's going to suck and lose, so maybe I'll be right this time. But yeah, can't bet this fight. No clue what's going to happen here. No clue what's going to happen. And the good news is no one's going to put a

under your head to make you bet on it so we don't have to do that. Let's keep it going. Knock on wood. There it is for you. Let's keep it going on the main card. Lightweight bout. It is Nasrat, Hakparas going up against John McDessi. Nasrott can be head for minus 230. Magdesi coming back at plus 195. Fight goes the distance minus 210. Fight does not plus 160. So for me here, thought about playing Nasrott didn't love the price on him. I ended up going with nothing. both of these guys are coming off of injuries. MacDessi had his hamstring ripped off his bone last December. Nasrot, two surgeries this year, a couple broken bones for him.

I think Nasraud probably wins, but I can't have any confidence in him. After his last two fights, he's just gotten styled on by Bobby Green and Dan Hooker. So, yeah, I'm just staying away from this one as well. Love your breakdown. I have two bets on this fight, though. On Scott. Because that was my initial bet, my initial read of this fight was, I just can't feel.

I think Knazrot's probably better, but this price is too wrong. Looked into it a little more. The first bet, I will just go ahead and say, I'm on the over two and a half. It's minus 2.10. It is the third leg of my parlay. So there's a little bit more risk there, but you want some math. McDessie, 12 of his 18 fights have hit the over. Seven of Hawk Prost is nine UFC fights have hit the over.

Five in a row for McDessie have gone to decision. Four in a row for Hawk Prost. There's a lot of trends here that these two dudes are going to be fighting, both fairly durable, probably going to make it the full 15. So minus 210, not a huge price. I needed something else to take the two legs of my parlay to get it down into the plus money category. This does it. My three-leg parlay pays out at plus 145.

So that's where I'm at. I certainly feel a little bit better about that bet. Second bet, I went ahead and I took a shot on McDessie. and there's not a lot of science here. There's not a lot of breakdown. It's, I mean, Hock Pras has all the measurables. He is bigger. He's younger.

He's faster, he's stronger. He's all the things that you would think. Hock Prost is, he's just never impressed me. And so I'm just playing, I'm fading him. At plus 200, I'm basically going to fade him. McDessie can be a tricky striker. Hawk Prost, not a guy who's really going to go for the takedowns all that often. They're going to be on the feet.

McDessie can be a little. unorthodox a little difficult to manage. The size, you know, should lean towards Hawk Prost, but I just have never been all that sold on him. Even though he's a TriStar guy, they think he looks, he is a great getting off the bus guy,

but he's just never quite fought like that in the cage when I've seen him. So McDessie, certainly older, probably a stupid bet, but I figured what the hell. Plus one ninety-nine, I'll take a shot. I don't know if it is that stupid. I mean, in a fight that's probably

going to go to the decision that could be pretty close. I don't I don't really blame you there for taking the dog shots. So we're clear. I didn't take a full unit on it because I don't feel any level of confidence. Just a half or just just to feel alive, you know, just something out there. Something to keep the old heart ticking. Yeah, exactly. I can respect that. All right, let's keep it rolling on the main card. It's a men's feather weight bout out up next. William Gomi going up against Jarno Arons. It looks like Gomez, but I'm going to make that Assumption as a student of the French language. We're going to leave the S off that.

We're going to call him William Gomey. He's at minus 2.15. Aaron's at plus 185. Yeah, like I had to watch some tape on this, obviously, because last week these dudes weren't even on the card. I didn't know who either of them were. I can't believe you didn't know who either of these two stalwarts of the MM. 10 and 2, William Gomey, 13 and 1.

Yeah, I mean, pretty relative. relatively unknown guys. Both pretty big for featherweight. I did note that. Gomi looks like he can do some decent clinch work, at least in his last fight against Jose Marcos, or has the broadcast at it, Santiago. I mean, to be totally honest,

to both these dudes, they're just like, they're young, they're still in their 20s. They don't have like a crazy level of opposition. Really was not overly impressed by either of them. I watched an entire Jarno Arons. I think it's National Fight Championship. fight. I watched it all 15 minutes of it. NFC, baby. Yeah, dude, he probably threw like what, like maybe like 40 punches during it. It's not, it's, it's a tough hang. Yeah, it's a tough hang.

I was going to just stay away like I did for the last two fights, but you got to have some fun. You want to feel alive. You got to feel alive. We're in Paris for the first time. So what I did is I whipped up a little French favorites parlor. Put it in the other. Oh, I love everything about this. Put it in the oven like a croissant. And yeah, William Gomi. He's got a little, here's the thing. I know some people say Charles Dordane, Frenchman, he's got the Canadian flag next to his name on Tapology.

That's what I went by. You got a little French flag next to your name, and you're a favorite. You made the cut for the parlay. That's four guys. I'll go ahead and ruin it. It's William Gomi. It's Cirogan.

It's Benoit Santan. It's Nasudine. I'mov. That's the four. Oh, I may have to. I may have to join. This sounds. This sounds so lovely.

I don't know the French National Anthem. I just, I love it. I love the croissant metaphor. Because you know what a croissant is? It ain't nothing but layers and butter, baby. And that's what we got layers of the parlay and the butter when we come back and get the dub. So I love this. I may even just get even wilder with it.

Maybe I'll tack on Charles Jordain. You know, maybe I'll, I'll extend a hand. out to the French Canadian brethren over there. I mean, what you're going to have to do is you deck on Charles Jordane. You're going to have to add on fairs as I am as an underdog. Really juice that thing up. No, no, we've got to do favorites. We're not parlaying underdog.

All right. French underdogs here. I can respect that. I can respect that. But we can add, we can add Jordan. Is there anybody I'm missing here that would fit this? No, we just add Jordane for a little five-leggar. Ooh.

That's going to pay out nice because right now mine, I believe, is paying out at plus 239. I love, I'm 100%. tailing you because I don't have, I mean, outside of the God, which I'm on, I don't have action for any of the other ones here. So I love that. I'm, you've sold me. Now I've got bets down, baby. It's time to start a revolution, baby.

And who does revolutions better than the French? Absolutely nobody. So it's, uh, it's time. It's going to be lay mis for the bookies, bud. Just, just killing them. Let's go. I mean, the amount of French references I'm about to make on Saturday. Cuisants for breakfast.

That is for sure. Oh, yeah. We got to do croissants. you know, get a little baguette for lunch too. Baget for lunch. It's early card. Only French press coffee. Ooh, I might tell you what.

It's been a long time since I've done it. Might have to whip up some creps, you know? Oh, my God. One of my best friends is lives in Paris. I've been there a lot. Know a little bit about French. Not a lot, a little bit about French cooking. Do some creps?

Some croissant. Absolutely love creps. Might be a little hot, but it'll be September on Saturday. Saturday, little onion soup. Notice I left the French off. Oh, yeah. When in Paris, it just says onion soup. Of course.

When I went this summer, that really threw me off. I was like, huh, onion soup. I guess we are in France, so it doesn't need to be French onion soup. It's, I love this. I am so excited to go to the grocery store tomorrow and get everything I need to wake up. Get Saturday started off right. Oh, my God. Get it started.

We got. we got college football back too just a quick brief message the only problem the if there is one issue i have with ufc paris it's that it's going on in direct head to head with our boys the dogs baby and frankly these bends against organ 17 point favorites this is a walk in the park for the dogs baby minus 850 on the money line you need a little extra juice for your parlay go ahead and throw them Don't even worry about it. Back to back, baby. We're going back to back.

It is, I can't, we're going to derail the hell out of this, but I've been talking to my friends about it for the last month or whatever. It's already been railed. Nothing is going to make me happier. And I have had a tremendous year just thinking about it and celebrating internally. But for the next six months, every Sunday, every Sunday until January, at the minimum. I mean, probably longer because we're going back to back every Sunday or every Saturday we're out there playing.

Hey, it's your national champion. The defending national champion Georgia Bulldogs, we're going to stick it to the ducks. Going to put the boots to them. Oh, God. Yes. It's a walkover game. I mean, you're sending a pack 12 into the doghouse. It's, it's, you're feeding us to the land.

You're feeding them to the lambs. It's, no. Lamb's sacrifice. Lamb to wolves. Leams to the slaughter. Lams to the slaughter. Bingo, that's what it is. I tried some saying on the MMA hour yesterday,

and I totally tripped over myself there, too. I was like, you can't take the audio guy out of the... Yeah, it got bad. I'm just going to throw away the cliches for the next week. But yes, what you said, until we are dethroned, until someone else hoist that trophy, we are the defending national champions, and that's all you need to know.

After I went to the Mets Braves game and the Braves lost, all these Mets fans are in my DMs, talking trash. Oh, LFM, LFGM, let's go Mets, let's go Mets. I'm like, listen, have your regular season game in August. And just remember, we are the defending World Series champions. All right, until someone else hoist that trophy, we're the World Series champion. Just a quick, you must have forgotten moment.

Just a reminder, baby. I'm so excited. So we've got, you know, it's sad that I will be watching the O.C. on the second TV. I have them both up, but, you know, it'll be okay because we're going to have a little France little Bulldogs, little French Bulldog action, it's going to be delightful. Love that. Love that. I might rent a French Bulldog on Saturday just to get it going. Here's what I think I'm going to do. We should do that. Yeah. French Bulldogs all around.

I think what I'm going to do, big TV football on mute UFC sound on. I think that's what I'm going to go with commercials. Oh, I'm going to go the opposite. In between fights, I'll be unmuting, muting, muting. It's going to be a crazy game with the remote. I'm going the opposite. I'm going to have, well, I mean, the big TV, my TVs, I have two televisions now and they're both relatively the same size. Let's get some inches. Let's get some inches. What do we got?

I don't know. I bought them a long time ago. Oh, wow. I'm rocking a 65 incher on May, 32 on the side. One's going to be like 45 and the other's like 35, I would guess. Oh, nice. That is pretty close in size. They're relatively similar in size.

I'll rock the UFC on the big one because I will also be working on Saturday. So you can, you got to do that. But I don't need to hear the commentary on the UFC because I mostly usually don't like it. So that's going to be muted. Ball game's going to be on. We're going to be great watching it all. Just counting the tickets as they cash, the money we are stacking for the no-bets bar nation. It's going to be a hell of a Saturday, my man.

A hell of a Saturday. I can't wait for it. I can't believe a breakdown of not wanting to bet on William go-me, John O'Arens, turned into what it just turned into. No, because you're a genius. Look, I didn't, you came to me too late with the Shark Week, you know, vision. I'm glad I caught you on this one. But this one is perfect. The Paris favorites, the French favorites, baby, that's, that is pure gold and we're,

I'm riding it straight to the top with you. When is a four-leg parlay ever not hit? Can't think of one time. Can't think of one time. Certainly not on the MMA hour when you have four-legs. Definitely not. It's never happened there. I have not.

So there it is. The French favorite parley. parley, say la Vie, as they say over there in France. We'll keep it rolling. That's annoying. What? You're a muffler. You don't hear it?

Oh, I don't even notice it. I usually drown it out with the radio. How's this? Oh, yeah. Way better. Save on insurance by switching to Bel Air Direct and use the money to fix your car. Bell Air Direct, insurance, simplified. Conditions apply.

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Conditions and exclusions apply. Final fight of the main card. It's a featherweight bout. Charles Jordane going up against Nathaniel Wood. Jordane coming in at minus 135, Wood coming back at plus 115. Fight goes minus 110. Fight does not. Minus 120.

Banger. Like, banger. Cannot wait for this one. Wish it was the third fight. And then the top three would just be like money. Yeah, this is, I don't know why this isn't the third fight. This is obviously, I mean, arguably the most exciting fight on this card. Oh, yeah.

Even with the main and the co-main, which are better fights, certainly from a relevant stand, all that stuff. But minute for minute, this fight is. going to be delivering. So yeah, I don't know why this is the main card opener, but as long as it's on the main card, I'm not too fussed about it. And yeah, really excited to watch this one. Yeah, dude, I mean, it's going to be a scrap. Jordane always comes to fight. Always makes me an exciting. Nathaniel, Wood, he looked fantastic last time out. You know he's game. I mean, I guess like looking at it, I think Wood is the better technical striker, but Jordane's obviously going to carry more power in his hands. I think Wood has the grappling advantage, but is he going to be able to utilize

it being now up at 145, having a size of disadvantage to Jordan? Here's what I did. I think it's going to be a razor. Like, I think it's going to be a close fight. Similar to the Whitaker Vittoria, dude, I think it's going to be one of those fights. Both guys has their moment throughout the 15 minutes. Both dudes are tough. Both dudes. Go to decisions. It's not like Whitaker and Vittory where it's just like these guys go to decisions. You know, everybody loves to talk about Jordane round three, even though he's only gotten one round three finish. For some reason on Twitter, I always see people like,

mythical fighter, Charles Jordane round three. He's only got one round three finish. I know he did look great against Shane Berger, so I'm really ranting here, but what I did, close fight, I think it's going to go to a decision. I'm high off in Nathaniel Wood's last performance. I know it was against Charles Rosa. I took a poke, a small poke, a little half unit,

little small guy on Nathaniel Wood by decision plus 285. I just felt like the discrepancy between his money line and the decision where I think that's overwhelmingly how he is going to win. Charles Dordane is tough to finish. I know this is the submission aspect. You know, he's been finished before by submission. Nathaniel Wood obviously has submission wins. I just feel like this is a fight that if Nathaniel Wood wins, it's going to be a decision.

Felt the line discrepancy was there. Took a little poke. Took a small poke, a little tiny thing on it. All right. I really don't dislike that at all. I don't have that up available to me at the moment, but might tag you on for this little bit, just a little sprinkle. I love your breakdown.

I'm with you on it all the way. I decided I'm just going to steal your move this week, apparently. I didn't realize until after the fact. But I just took a lot of overs this week. Just on it. And your breakdown, I do think this is going to decision. the over on this two and a half is minus 155 that's a good price in my book uh i don't know what the goes to decision prop is i didn't actually take a look at it but that's minus 110 right now

i mean i think that's a pretty good one too um may may throw it out there but minus 155 i still think's good price at over two and a half jordains hit that seven to nine times in the ufc would only four of his seven fights he hit but he's on a three in a row of cashing that ticket coming up to featherway. I think it's going to be four in a row. You know, maybe mythical third round Jordane gets them out of there. So maybe it's just safer to do the over two and a half instead of goes to decision. But that's the bet I've got down. I like the price. I think it's a solid bet. I'm doing you. I'm following in your footsteps of just betting overs. I love it, unless it's flyweight. There you go. Now you're talking. No, I'm with you there. I do think this one

is going to go a little bit longer. Yeah, I mean the mythical round three things. Actually, he has as many finishes in the third round as he has been finished in the third round. Mythical third round fighter Charles Jordan. Everyone knows. Everyone talking about it. I really did see it, like, quite a few times. We were like R3 sprinkle on Jordan plus 1,800.

I was like, and now I'm saying all this and Nathaniel Wood is going to be winning the fight. And we're going to be cruising towards the decision. I'm like, plus 285 is about the cash. And then Charles Rane is going to lock up a guillotine. And with like a minute. have to go and it's just going to break it. If it's with a minute and a half to go, my over still hits. So I won't think that side.

As long as you go, there's going to do it the first minute into the third round, and I'm okay. All right. So that is the main card. Took a long and winding road to get here. But we got a few fights to break down on the prelims. We'll whiz through those quite quickly because this next one, not a ton to say here. Prelims, middleweight out, Dustin Stolf is going up against Abasupian Magamadov minus 255, Stolfez plus 215. over under two and a half minus 115 on each side of that.

So I'm using Magamatov as a parlay piece. Parlayed him up with Nassaldeen. Imov minus 2.25 on each of those. Pays out at plus 108. So I don't really rate Stolfis that well, like overwhelmingly high. Kind of tends to struggle with grapplers despite having success winning fights grappling

if you look at his last fight against Dwight Grant. But here's the thing. Great reporter out there. Really gives out good information. Aaron Braun's. better. After Magamette-on-Kalive won at UFC 277, fighters with Magamette in their name in UFC history moved to 49 and 8. That's an 86% win percentage. It's a decent percentage. Last I checked, Abysupian Magamatov. That's a B. That's a B-plus-ish.

Looks like he's got Magamette in his name and I'm not one to argue with numbers. I'm not one to argue with math, and that's just the math right there, folks. Just math. It's just that easy. Barlet piece, Magamatov. I want nothing to do with this fight until you brought math into the equation because what am I, Philistine? Like, I can't, I'm not going to deny how math works.

That's just nonsense. I would hope you wouldn't. I'd lose a little respect as a co-host here if you deny math. Yeah, why would I deny math? That's just bulletproof. I mean, math, math tells no lies. Bulletproof. It's definitely not a dude, you know, making a debut,

has been, you know, brutally knocked out before in the past. It's definitely not that. It's math. Yeah, it's math. I probably won't join you just because now I have a lot of bets on this card. I had very few to start and you talked to me into several more. But I, Godspeed, and, you know, let's continue to test. the magamette corollary let's let's do it i mean we're we're not even betters at this point we're

just scientists just constantly testing hypothesis uh and we're just going to continue to do that so magamad name theory can we get to 50 wins we're gonna find out on saturday i love it just the modern day uh plato and aristotle that's what we are and we are creditors around here that is from aaron stutter i do want to say that it's important to credit great great great always important to give credit we're due. All right, let's keep it rolling. It's another middleweight bout. This is the middleweight card, the middleweight UFC Grand Prix,

but it has almost no correlation to the title other than Robert Whitaker and Marvin Vittory. It's Nassau-Din-Emovov going up against Joaquin-Buclea-Vive-5, Buckley plus 215, over under-1-1-60, under plus 125. I think there's another banger, dude. I wish this one was on the main card. I mean, this definitely should be. Like, over the William Gomy, John Aaron's, I mean, I guess it is a French dude versus Dutchman.

Maybe that's just it. You've got Nasserdean Imodov, who's a French guy. Like, give me, I just don't know why. I have no idea why this isn't, also why this isn't the prelim main event. Like, it's, I don't know what they're doing, basically, man. I feel like we never do. Like, what the hell is Dekir-Ko Koppel off doing on the main? Why?

Why? Why? is there. I have nothing, that fight does nothing for me. This one is actually like sick. It's a great fight. I got absolutely no clue what that was going on here. But you know, just means we get

to watch it a little earlier. This should be going on. I'll get to have my full attention on this, right? Because I think this will be because it's taking place early, the UGA game will not have kicked off yet. So just it'll be okay. There's silver lining

to it being this early in the card. that silver lining, just like Georgia's pants on Saturday, maybe. Yeah, so, I'ma Vov is in the French favorite parley. I mean, what else do I need to say? He's got a little French flag next to his name on Tapology, and he's a favorite. I mean, those are the two qualifications to make the French favorite parlay. He aced both of them, so I couldn't leave him out. I mean, he killed it.

Flying colors past that test. Passed it. The red, white, and blue, you know, the Navy white. and red of the French. Great flag. Not the most creative flag for being honest and didn't put too much brainpower into that one. But it's a classic. We'll say it's a classic.

I mean, it is. It is a classic. It's a great flag. I like it. Look, the UFC's not going to make its debut the first time it's ever been to France and then deliver a bunch of losses to the French fighters. That's not what's going to happen here. These guys are going to get the dubs.

I'm avov. I think Buckley is the most live underdog of this whole group, but because he's Buckley and he can just... Find the butt. He can just do something really stupidly impressive. Just swing for the fences either with his arms or with his legs. And just in the fight, if you want some logic behind this, I mean, I think both these dudes are sick.

I think they're both kind of coming into their prime. They're both in their mid to late 20s. I think they're both really well-rounded. I think they can both strike. I think they both have fight-ending capabilities. I think they can both grapple pretty well. Yeah, I think it's just a great fight. I just think I'mov, the better all-around fighter.

I think if this one goes 15 minutes, if Joaquin Buckley can't find the mark, I do see Imov getting his hand raised, either winning by decision or grinding on Buckley and finding a finish of his own. So I do think he's going to win. I don't know if you saw the video today of them meeting up with each other at the poster signing.

I know they have a similar reach. I'mavov is. Like, I know it says on the stats, he's five inches taller than him. He is every bit of those five inches taller than him. He's a big tall boy. He is much larger than walking Buckley. Hopefully that's going to help with avoiding takedowns. Hopefully it helps with grappling.

But can't, my only concern here, because again, I'm with you, French favorite parley. I mean, baguettes for days, let's go. I just don't know. I have concerns on this particular fight. because since Joaquin Buckley has decided to branch out, expand his training, doing the Detroit Urban Survival training. He did do that, yeah. He hasn't lost since he's brought Dale Brown into the corner, got those tactics, got that new ability,

that sort of stuff that you're not seeing every day. Imovov, I guarantee you, doesn't know about Dale Brown. Like, he doesn't know about that business. Gil Brown could say, Camaro Usma, catch the leg. if Usman's being serious about reclaiming his title, he probably should go talk to Dale Brown before the three match with Leon Edwards. So that's my only concern is that Imov,

he doesn't know what's coming from the Detroit urban survival and tactic stuff, but, you know, French favorites parley, got to stay tight like that. Got to ride. I'll all sacrifice unit for it if it does happen. All right, not the best breakdown there, but we move. It's a great breakdown. Next up, lightweight bout Benoit Saint-Denie going up against Gabriel Miranda right now.

St. Denis is at minus 265. Miranda coming back at plus 225 over under 1.5 and a half. Over minus 105 under minus 125. Yeah, it took Benoit Saint-Denie last week, minus 205. He's in the French favorites parley. He's the most French of the... Ben-Warsand-Den-Ey is the most French name. Nasserdei Nevov is not...

Has nothing on Ben-Law-Lan-Lan-Lan. You got to hit the Nakhsodin. You got to hit the... Yeah, but Imov is just not... Well, that's where the Russian... That's where the Russian sniper name comes from. That's the name, I'm Amov. Yeah, I mean, Miranda, dude, I'm just really not impressed

going up with watching him. I mean, if he doesn't lock up a submission, I just fail to see how he's going to win. Striking. Not great. He's never won a decision. And I was just like, just looking back at his record, watching the tape, and then looking back at his record,

three times has he fought since 2018. One fight against a man who's 8 and 10. Another against a 3-and-2 fighter who had not fought in over seven years. And the last one, a now 5-and-6 fighter who had not fought in six years. Just not impressed with the level of competition that he's been going with. He really only has one path to victories going up against the guy in Benoit-Saint-Den-Ni. UFC tested. Tougher than a $2 steak, as we saw in the horrid Aleschi Dos Santos fight.

fight should have been stopped but I mean he just took a beating there uh strong dude got a solid ground game I think he's going to be able to avoid the submission I think he's just going to retain dominant position I think he might even be able to find it finish himself I like BS day to get it done and kick off the french favorites parley I'm I'm with you baby let's ride let's ride last one to get into this one is yours it is a bantamway bout it is cali I can't wait to hear this The dumber, the better in this situation. It is Khalid Taha going up against Christian. Kianone and Taha right now you can get them for minus 125,

coming back at plus 105 for Kianone, over under set at 2.5, over minus 200, under plus 160. Let me know what you're thinking. What I'm thinking is I have regrets. I love it. I wish I hadn't taken this bet because I bet this almost explicitly because I had so few bets and I felt that I needed to add a little more weight. Tell me it's already locked in and you can't catch you.

Oh, it's there, I can't. I'm committed to it. I love it. I just bet Christian Canones because he's an underdog and I don't have any idea why anyone would think Khalid Taha deserves to be a favorite. It's not like Christian Canones is some great fighter, but Taha's lost three of his last five. He has one win, one no contest, which was a no contest because of a drug test. This is his promotional debut, but he's younger, and he's beaten some decent competition,

and mostly just I don't have any belief that Taha is a great fighter. And so I just don't feel that he should be a favorite against the younger dude who appears to at least be decent. He shun't flashed a couple of things. So I was looking for another bet He's an underdog I would have thought this fight Would have been the same as the DeKirico fight

You know minus 110 each side minus 115 Got plus money on Canones Said hell with it I'll take it I have a lot of regrets right now If I had had been on the French parley beforehand Wouldn't have taken this bet I want to let all the badgers know

But I'm here so I'm 100% certain That it's going to win because I've already put my money behind it. I love it. Yeah, maybe one day. Maybe one day we're going to advance from, yeah, foggate. Let's just take it, betting. Not going to advance from that.

That's not who I am. Well, it's definitely not happening today. So that is UFC Paris. If we didn't talk about the fight, it means we don't have a bet on it. My bets for this car, Benoit Saint Denis, minus 205. Nathaniel Wood, by decision, plus 285. Robert Whitaker, by decision, plus 100, zero, gone by submission, plus 650.

Exacto wins, three exacta wins instead of just playing them straight. I love it. What could go wrong? Nothing. You tell me. I got a Nasudini Mavavavabasupian Magamatov Parlay. That's plus 108. Got a Whitaker Vittori over one and a half, gone Tuivasa, over one and a half parlay.

That pays out minus 137. Added that on the show, just like the Cyril gone by submission. and then of course, I've got the French favorites parley. Someone hit the French national anthem for me as I salute. It's Nassadim, Imov, Bin-wa, Sinteni, William Gomi, and Sejelgan to finish it off. That pays out at plus 239. If I get a winning week this week, I'm going to be ecstatic. I'm going to be ecstatic.

Always ecstatic about a winning week, baby. Always. Especially we had a week off, not a lot going on. it my bets for the week. I've got Sierra Grande Taito Vasa over two and a half at minus 125. I've got a flyer, not a flyer because it's a full bet, but on Marvin Vittoria at plus 195. I have got Jordane Wood over two and a half at minus 155.

I got your boy John McDessie, a little half guy, plus 195. And I've got the dumb bet Christian Canones plus 105. I also, you know, my man Connor sold me on the French favorite parlay, so I'm with him lockstep on that one. salute to all the French fighters, let's get it done. He also sold me on taking a shot at Gone by Sub, so I'll be jumping on that as well. And then I do, I'm going to, I haven't got it yet because the lines haven't dropped, but I will be taking shots on all of the overs, basically, in the Gondas a fight,

just one down the line going for it. If I hit at least two of them, break even, anything more, I'm making dollars. And then I've got a three-leg parlay. It's zero ground at minus 540. It's Whitaker Vittory. It goes to decision minus 250. It's McDessie Hock-Pross over two and a half. Pays out at plus 145.

Those are the bets, my man. And, I mean, let's be honest. Also going to have a sizable bet on how about them dogs. Minus 17. To start the season, you know, minus 17. Why not? I mean, they're going to come to our house and we're not going to tar and feather those ducks.

This is going to be a loony tune style Blow their beak off and spin it around like a cartoon They're done We're going to bury those mallards If you want me to let you in on this Sometimes I do this It's just a wacky wild weekend parlay These things happen

It's cross sport So it is Cyril gone The over one and a half in the Vittory Whitaker fight. Love it. Let's jump over to college football. I took Georgia and Ohio State Money Lines.

Great bets. And then let's jump over to the Premier League. I took Manchester City winner draw, Tottenham Hotspur winner draw. Six legs pays out plus 117. What could go wrong there, dude? Six legs never failed. Certainly not when it's Premier League bets.

They've never gone wrong. Six legs plus 117 is just sharp action. That is just sharp. sharp shit right there. That is, that's how you know that we are professionals. Yeah, that definitely is not telling of a degenerate that just wants action from 10A to 10P nonstop until it loses in the first leg because Tottenham got beat by full home. Man, it's, uh, I love everything about that.

I'm not a Premier League guy. So I'll be passing on that, but, you know, uh, I got to say. say there are there's some f1 races if we want to branch out i've been been big into the betting f1 these days uh because it's incredibly fun so i i love that i i might just this football season i might just start a wacky weekend parlay it's got to have m m m and then at least two other sports hooked on to it and like it's got to be at least four legs it's just got to be a nasty greasy parlay and it has to be between friday and sunday of that weekend i think i'm making the rules for it As I go.

I love these rules. I'm just going to put Max Verstappen in my version of this. He's minus 175 to win the whole Grand Prix. Surely, that's not the stupidest bet that's ever been. He definitely isn't going to get past. There's value in that one. So that's that. My Saturday is going to be amazing.

Going to the Nottingham Forest Bar at 10 a.m. In New York City, chilling there until the game's over. Pre-game college game day, football, fights. going to the Georgia bar. I'm going to have to, I'm going to actually, I did all that TV talk. I'm going to be phoning it. I'm going to be phoning U.S.C. Paris main card.

I just realized that. Man. Unless I don't get into the Georgia bar, then I'll just come back to my house. I mean, you might not. It's going to be a packed bar now that we're at it, now that we're the champs, you know? You have to make reservations,

and they open tomorrow. Yeah, I might not get a reservation. You better get it done. Just show them the hat. Let them know who you are. Let it explain to them. We'll give them a shout out on No Betts Bar, greatest podcast in the world,

number one sports podcast in the game right now. Sir, I've never heard of that podcast, nor have I ever heard of, what was it you said, MMA. I don't know what that is. Please leave the premises at once. No, no, no. They know exactly who you are. Don't worry about it.

And then you can explain to them how they can get rich quick by betting flyweight unders. And everybody's a winner in this situation. Now we are talking. All right, that is that. That is UFC Paris. Saturday morning, if you're not starting a day with a croissant, some French press coffee, moving on into some baguettes, some French fries.

Aeoles on everything. Onion soup. Baggents and onion soup. It's never too hot for soup. Onion soup on Saturday, boys. Don't forget that. If you say French onion soup, you're doing it wrong. It's going to be a great day.

Can't wait. First time the UFC has ever been there. Next week, we'll talk to you then. I've already got quite a few bets down. 279. Diaz. Shemaya. Can't wait.

See you there. Love you guys. A podcast network.