MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Will Jailton Almeida Run Through Jairzinho Rozenstruik At UFC Charlotte?
Episode Date: May 10, 2023UFC Charlotte takes place this Saturday headlined by a heavyweight showdown between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida, and you know what that means: the No Bets Barred boys are back to break i...t all down. Co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew begin the show with a recap where Conner finally got things on track for 2023, while Jed is forced to contemplate the very real possibility that he is a jinx. Then it's on to the UFC Charlotte where Conner and Jed end up in agreement about most of the fights this week. Highlights include Conner's continued love affair with Jailton Almeida, some Atlanta love for Karl Williams, and ChatGPt looking to go back-to-back on co-main event cashes. Plus, Jed teaches Conner about some very important trivia for this week's event. Tune in for Episode 45 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Ghosts in the Machine.
The Earth only has a few days left.
Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer,
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The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide.
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What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?
The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine.
Available now, only from Audible.
Support for this show comes from the Audible original The Downloaded 2.
Ghosts in the Machine.
The Earth only has a few days left.
Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony
have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer,
but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever.
Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian
in this follow-up to the audible original blockbuster,
the downloaded.
It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide.
Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking,
what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?
The downloaded two, Ghosts in the Machine, available now only from Audible.
What is going on, y'all? We are back. It is another edition of No Bet's Bar. This time, UFC Charlotte.
We are heading to the Queen City. I believe that is.
what they call Charlotte beautiful city.
I actually have been there before.
Jelton Al-Meda makes his return to the Octagon
in his first main event of his UFC career taking on.
It's a big week for you, buddy.
A lot of my reputation is on the line,
if we're being totally honest, top 10 opponent.
I mean, it's, I'm already getting the jitters.
I mean, I'm obviously going to be heavily overexposed to him.
But like, when you're putting the bets in,
like when you're putting the bets in,
you're just like, yeah, I feel good about this.
But like, once the cage door closes, you're like,
oh shit, like he could lose this.
And I could lose a lot of money.
I mean, it always could happen.
Let's talk about it.
I mean, who needs to talk about last week?
Oh, I need to talk about last week.
I need to puff out my chest.
Finally.
Been waiting on it too long in 2023.
Had that breakout week up over eight units.
just felt fantastic needed it still down still down on the year still in the red for the year
but it feels good it feels like i can i'm not yet i feel like i'm about to make the turn to be
able to see the light at the end of the tunnel if i can get if i can get get get back to single
digits i'm at like 13 right now if i can make the turn to get back to single digits i'll really
start feeling good just start climbing out i mean it's it's it's all about the hope you can
see light. You're digging and you can see light and that just, I'm sure that that feels great.
I did not have an eight unit week. I lost just under half a unit. So, you know,
it could be worse. Not awful. Could, you know, not terrible, not great. Feeling a, just a weird week,
but great fights, feeling, feeling some type of way about some things.
Connor, but we'll get into some of those things later.
Just, I may be a jinx.
I may be a jinx.
And I think we just need to acknowledge that.
It needs to be studied at this point.
I don't know if we have the archives to go back on this,
but it does feel like every time you say you don't understand the line,
it ends up working for it.
I've missed all of them. I have a zero percent success rate on understanding of line.
Just right off the top of my head, Casey O'Neill,
Scott Holtzman,
Jessica Andrage,
and I'd like to say there was one more.
There's definitely one more in there somewhere,
but I can't think about the job of my...
The worst part is, I think this was the first time
that I wasn't on the same side as you.
I mean,
you need to just start not being on the same side as me.
I'm pretty sure I've ridden all of them.
I mean, it's the old,
it's the old gambling adage, you know,
fade yourself sometimes.
I, sometimes you have to.
And at this point,
you should fade me if I don't,
if I'm like,
I don't know what the hell is going on here.
You should fade me.
And fortunately, I have maybe not a full one, but I had like, I'm almost to that point for a bet this week.
I will say in my slight, very slight defense, who saw that coming?
Nobody, nobody saw Jan Xiaon putting her in a box.
No, no.
I mean, that was one of the best bet caches I've had in a while just because I thought if Jan was going to win, it was going to be super.
super close, like kind of what we were seeing through the first, like, two minutes where she was
having success in the boxing. And I thought that it was just like, just piling up the points.
I thought we were going to go to the scorecards and it was going to be like, I think she got it
2928. I think she got it 2928. Did not. It's not what happened at all. That was, who.
And of course, some psychos sent me tickets that were like, yeah, here's my Yan Jan Jan Jan
round one knockout ticket plus 2,500. I'm like, I need to see all your other tickets. I need to see all your
other tickets if you're taking bets like that because you're that you're not batting over 4%
on your bets with tickets like that it's an insane bet insane and since you had no finishes in the
UFC prior to that yeah just crazy and it's not like jessica and draja is soft or or gets finished
easily so i mean hell of a performance from her it's good performances aljo sterling
keeping when you said and I did ultimately take it uh I did ultimately end up backing sterling when
you said on the pod last week like that's the sort of sort of stat that you should maybe just blind
bet I thought about it for a while and I was like you know what you're you're right it kind of is
and so I just bet it and the number continues it worked out two and 30 now two and 29 two and
29 good God there's some more opportunities coming up if below Mohammed does get his title
fight, he will be 35 by the time it happens.
So I'll be blind betting against every person who's 35 or older in a title fight under 170
and under from now on.
That I can guarantee you.
That's crazy.
All right.
That was UFC 288.
Good card.
Not the best pay-per-view.
Just get us the $2.90.
Fun card, though.
The pay-per-view itself wasn't.
But, I mean, the prelims, a lot of business going on.
Fun night.
Cron Gracie, man.
Like, come on.
He really brought the level.
levels down. He brought the levels down.
That was tough for the pay-per-view opener.
That was tough to do a watch party.
I was like, man.
Yeah, you guys were having to dig deep early.
Early in the watch party having to dig deep.
Yeah, yeah.
But I mean, the next two ignited it.
I mean, Movesaur have loved.
I barely escaped that one.
My dumb ass parlayed him up at that price.
I was like, oh, that was, look, I was, I also had Moffsar there and so I'm with you.
It was sweatyer than I thought.
But, you know, it happens.
I need to ask you one more important question.
It's about the watch party.
Please.
There's such a good time.
I think you guys need to do them more often.
And I think we should start this weekend.
Because if there's ever been a fight card that demands a watch party, it's UFC Charlotte, baby.
Who's my agent?
Are you going to be my agent?
You're going to negotiate this?
I mean, how many times can I give myself to the great site of MMAfighting.com?
I mean.
Just forever.
That's how it goes.
I think there is a world where I set up a camera during the jailton fight that just.
I will say I would love to have a camera during the jailton fight.
The rest of this card, maybe not so much.
But hey, it's early.
We're getting out of there early this weekend.
Listen, man, in my opinion, this is a solid fight night.
This is a solid fight night.
Like the last three fights, I'm very much looking for.
forward to. We're getting it in front of a crowd. I love for the Great White. Your boy,
the Great White? It's not Shark Week, bro. It's summer, but it's not Shark Week. Morono is my god.
We get an Atlanta guy in there, Carl Williams, shout out, just making the short trek over to Charlotte.
Carlos Oldberg, Black Panther. I mean, if you ain't betting Black Panther, I don't want to talk.
Jessica Rose Clark back in there. There's a couple good spots here. I mean, who can forget.
G. Jan Kim, Mandy Bong.
That's just...
I want to be clear, I only know
Carlos Olberg is Ladies' Night.
The Black Jag is not a nickname.
Ladies Night's such a better nickname.
Did I just say Black Panther, too?
You sure did.
Jeez. That's the tough scene with the treacher
is a panther.
So, you're in the neighborhood,
but we get an early night of fights.
I think this starts to like 11.
That's the best part. The fact that
Gersino Rosenstruck is fighting
Jelton Almeida, he's the B-side, obviously.
Jelton Al-Meda is fighting, and they start incredibly early.
Three o'clock main card start, as good as it gets.
Yeah, I mean, that fight's going to go off at like, what,
415, 4.30 and be done four minutes later.
Now, what is it, a 3 o'clock main card start?
I don't know, let me look it up.
Fight started 1130.
I want to say it's 3 o'clock.
It is three o'clock main card.
So we'll probably get 515.
Nice happy hour Almeda.
Yeah, I mean, well, yeah.
515 and then it'll be a wrap.
We'll be out of there by 530.
So then you got your whole Saturday to.
We'll be out of there by like 518.
Well, let's just hop into it then.
Let's just hop right on into it.
UFC Charlotte main event, heavyweight bout five rounds, if necessary.
It could be.
It could be necessary.
You never know takes on Jelton Almeda.
Right now, you can currently get Jelton Almeida
for the beautiful price of minus 490.
Tarzino Rosenstrike coming back plus 390.
You guys know where I stand.
I don't need to just sit here and opine about Jelton Almeda.
You big Jailton guy?
Big Jalton guy.
Just a little bit.
Never knew that.
Here's what I think happens for old Maha Dine.
here. I think Rosenstruck knows exactly what Jailton is going to do coming into this. He is going to
try and take it to the mat. And from there, he can pretty much finish it any way he wants. For that reason,
I think Jersino is going to come out like he did in the darkest fight and try and be as aggressive
as possible and try to knock Jailton out. I just feel like that would be the game plan because
you can only just stick and try and jab and like try and find.
the spot for so long before Jailton is going to quite literally pick you up and body slam you,
even if you have a 30 pound weight advantage. I think that's what's going to happen. I think it might
look kind of dicey for like 10 seconds and then Jelton is going to get a takedown. And then from there,
if you want my honest opinion, from there, I think he's going to get in a position. He's going to be doing
ground and pound. Jazzino isn't going to take that. He's going to try to get up. He's going to try to
escape and at some point he's going to give up his back and then he's going to get submitted
and it's over in the first round so a couple of a couple of points um gonna push back on you on one
key thing which is uh i don't want that to happen so i would prefer it not to because you got to be
getting a decent number on the over eh uh it's it's not as decent of a number as i'd like but it's in
context good over one and a half is plus one sixty five so
So more than most over one and a halfs are going to be.
But I was hoping for more of the plus two number like we got the last time Jailton got out there because when he cashed it, I was doing God's work for me.
Here's something that we can do to make a good argument for you.
This is his toughest test.
So that was where I was going to say.
I'm going to paint the picture for the heavyweight over backers.
I want to be clear, I'm not entirely sure that I believe what I'm about to say.
year. I'm betting heavyweight overs because it's, look, there are, they're eight and six on the year.
We're up like two units or something, going to keep sticking with them for the sake of science.
But from the bad numbers, only two of Almeda's 20 career fights have gone over one and a half.
That's not where we want to go. And frankly, it's not that much better for Rosenstruck.
Five of his 17 career fights have hit the over one and a half. That is an 18% combined.
mind hitting the over one and a half between the two of them.
So what I'm here to tell you is that objectively there is good value on the under,
like from a pure numbers concrete standpoint,
the under here is a valuable bet.
I'm not taking it because what you said,
I think Giorzino knows exactly what's going to happen because if he doesn't,
he's an idiot.
Everyone who those are Jailton Almeid is going to do.
and Giorzino, he is not a great defensive wrestler, but he's been a pretty solid one.
Statistically, it's like 70% or something like that.
He stuffed three of ten or three of six from Curtis Blades, who I would say is a better
wrestler than Jelton Almeida, certainly a stronger man when he gets on the hips.
Stuffed two of ten from Overeem, who's not like a great offensive wrestler, but similar
build to Jailton.
So I'm trying to take some positives away from there.
I think that he can have some security.
defending the wrestling. I don't think it's going to go on forever, but I do think early he's
going to know the game plan and this is going to be a little bit more of a feeling out process.
And I will say the other side of this too is that Charzini Rosenstrike has been an extremely
durable dude in specific ways. Now he has two knockout losses in the UFC. One was to Francis
and Ghanu. We all remember just the bum rush. The other to Alexander Volkov. Both of those
came on the feet. When he's been getting taken down, Curtis Blades, who's
not a bad ground impound artist, you know, had to wear him out for 15 minutes. He is not,
he's not soft. So never been submitted. I am hanging my hat on this being a step up for Jailton,
a harder fight for him, just going to have to take him a little longer to get things going.
I do ultimately think Jailton's going to win. I'm going to be parlaying him inside the distance
at that number, but I am hoping the over one and a half. But I have a question for you, Connor, because
Here's, I'm going to parlay the inside the distance.
I think it's the safest drought.
But they kind of dug into it.
Inside the distance is minus 350.
The sub prop for Jelton is plus 100.
It's a pretty big gap, particularly given that, you know,
11 of his 18 career wins have been by sub.
Do you think there's value on just the sub prop line here?
Or do you think it's more likely that we get a Rosenstrike gets pounded out a la
Abder Akamov.
I think the sub-prop,
I think submission is how he's going to get this done.
Just envisioning it in my head,
I think he's going to be going for ground and pound.
He's going to be like hammering him out.
And then Giorzino is going to adjust.
And when he adjusts, he's going to make a mistake.
And Jailton is going to get in a position
and be able to sub him out.
But the tough thing is,
is that if he just ground and pounded to a finish,
I would not be surprised there either.
Like it's just like
See
It's just like tough to choose which one
Like you got to just pick your poison
And just hope for the best
That's why I'm going with the inside the distance
I'm a bit torn
Because it's hard for me to get away
Like in my head
This sub number feels like it has value
Just because of the difference between ITD and sub
But at the same
I'm getting I've got a little bit of a vibe here too
Connor
Just a touch of a vibe bet
That says this somehow ends up being a tough
or fight for Almeida than before.
He has to work a little harder.
And the spirits are summoning me for a Almeida TKO round three bet at plus 2,800.
Wow.
Wow.
Round three.
I mean, it would certainly not be like round three.
It certainly would not be a big bet, but I might dust.
I might just put like a 1%, just a dusting on Almeida TKO round three.
I don't know why.
I'm just that number is, it's,
speaking to me.
I personally think this one is over fairly early.
I mean, it probably is.
So what I did, I need it to not be.
I have a parlay that's coming over from last week,
Chaos Williams and Almeida.
I'm also going to, I parlayed up, you know,
just teasing later,
Olberg and Almeida.
Then I also have in two parlayes the under three and a half,
just because there is a world where it does go longer,
but I don't think this is making it past three rounds.
Like I just don't, I honestly don't think this is making it past one round,
if I'm being totally honest.
And for all of this exposure that I have,
just as a hedge is a massive number hedge,
Jayzino Rosenstruck, K-O round one plus 1, plus 1,200.
I love that hedge from you.
I think that's a really, really smart hedge.
I gunned to my head, I would obviously agree.
We haven't seen Jelton's like chin tested.
And like...
We wouldn't see anything about his game
other than the fact that he can tackle and grapple.
If it's not like an ironclad chin,
like he could get blasted, bro.
I mean, yeah.
Now, if he goes out there and makes this look easy.
At some point, we're going to have to see him get tested.
He could.
That's the thing, man.
Like, we just don't know so much about him
that it's...
He's a wonky guy.
Because if, if Rosenstrike stuff's the first takedown
and then he's just like out there on an island striking with a guy who's a pretty decent kickboxer,
certainly has power.
Any number of things can happen.
So I love the hedge bet from you.
I think that's really,
really smart gambling.
Gun to my head,
I would say this ends in the first round.
I'm hoping we get over seven and a half minutes.
And somehow,
despite all odds,
Jailton Almeida will somehow become the hero of the heavyweight over nation.
if he can go back to back, big, big money underdog heavyweight over.
And I'm parlaying the inside the distance because I like you.
I don't think there's really a reasonable world where this gets past three rounds,
much less makes it the full five.
So yeah, that's where I'm out on this one.
All right.
I think Jailton gets it done.
It's going to be a nice test for him, though, man.
If he goes out and has as little resistance as he's had against all his previous opponents,
that is fairly terrifying
for the heavyweight division
I mean yeah
it's we'll see
it's heavyweight is just such a weird division
because everybody's bad
except for like four dudes
it's a fun division
but like
if Jailton Almeda fought
Sergei Pavlovich tomorrow
I have genuinely no idea
how that fight would go
I suspect whichever way it went
it would be over very quickly
but no one could really have a good
confident guests either side.
Because there's just a bunch of weirdos in this division.
Makes it really fun.
So I'm excited for Jailton to get his main event spot, and we can go from there.
Move into the top 10, baby.
I love it, man.
Let's keep him moving up the division as fast as possible.
All right.
So we're essentially in agreeance on how we think the main event is going to go,
though there are some question marks.
It's not.
Very much.
I'm obviously riding with my guy, and I'm riding with him heavy.
But I wouldn't.
It's a question of form, not of end result.
Yes.
But also, if Rosenstruck caught him, like, I wouldn't be the most shocked person in the entire world.
It would be the most heavyweight thing to ever happen.
Jeez.
Yes.
We finally get a fun, exciting prospect.
And it would lose this to some dude who's never going to fight for the time.
It would suck.
I would be thoroughly saddened.
I would be very down by that.
All right, let's keep it going.
So bad because all of my bets on this fight will be gone if Rosenstrike wins.
It's not that he's going to KO him late.
It's going to be earlier.
It's not going to happen at all.
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heavyweight out anthony lionheart smith returns the octagon to take on johnny walker right now you can
have either of them for minus 110 any way you're feeling over under set at one and a half under minus
145 over plus 115 i think this is going to be a fun fight that i think it's going to be a banger
I mean, Johnny Walker is just like, he's an exciting fighter, kind of a meme fighter, crazy things happen when he gets in the octagon.
In terms of a side, though, I just kind of have a hard time trusting either of these dudes just sort of based off of how much they get finished.
Like, either one of these dudes could finish the other one in the first round and it wouldn't surprise me at all.
Like, looking at the tape and looking back on Anthony Smith's record, I mean, first of all, something that was kind of jarring to me that I didn't really,
I don't always think about is that he has 53 professional fights.
Like that was like, oh, yeah, wow, he is, he has fought a time.
Yeah, man's been putting in the work.
Putting in the work, bro.
But he has been knocked out five times.
He's been subbed five times.
Did I say knocked out nine times or five times?
You said five, which is not correct.
Knocked out nine times.
Subbed five times.
Yeah.
That's just like, I don't know, man.
And then Johnny Walker, like, anything's liable to happen to him.
He's also been knocked out four times.
I parlayed up the fight doesn't go to a decision
but in terms of aside
it's a coin flip for a
I had a feeling you'd be on that
that particular line
so I'm excited to talk about this fight
for two very important reasons
the first is this was almost
almost another
I don't understand what the hell's going on here
I say almost
because my initial reaction
when I looked at this line was like
what the hell is going on
Why is Anthony Smith that pick him with Johnny Walker?
Because I just reflexively don't like Johnny Walker all that much.
He's a very frustrating fighter to understand, and so I don't think he's very good.
Watch a little more tape, and I came off thought I don't understand this pick-a-mline.
I do now get why this bout is so closely aligned.
It's going to be a competitive fight.
And I, like you, couldn't pick a side.
And so we did what we always do when we can't pick a side at this point, Connor.
We trusted it to the robots.
That is right.
We are going back to back.
Co-main event, chat GPT bets last week.
Chat GPT at its first exacto.
Nailed it.
Bilal Mohammed by decision.
Chat GPT nailing it.
I got to say,
I think I'm getting better at inputting the data,
getting better results.
The machine is getting smarter.
It's learning.
It's adapting.
It's spitting out facts about the actual fight
that I'm not inputting.
So feeling great about it.
Here's what chat.
I should say something.
I have to say something.
I went on chat GPT.
and I asked them about a fight
and all the stats they gave were wrong.
Oh, it may.
Who knows?
I don't get stats from them.
No, no, I'm talking about even the records.
They were like, oh, Jilton Alameda
has an impressive 13 and 3 MMA record.
I was like, yeah, that's not right,
but I wasn't going to argue with the robot.
Like, I was kind of intimidated.
So I was like, thanks, I appreciate it.
Are you using an off-brand chat GPT?
Maybe.
I might be.
Continue, though.
I haven't had that issue, but we may just be putting in different things, you know.
We're working on different tools.
But this one, it gave me a long, long readout, and I will condense it to the only important part here.
In a testament to their extraordinary performance, the judges rendered a split decision.
Anthony Smith's technical prowess earned him two of the judges' favor,
while Walker's explosive style one over the other.
So, chat GPD's official prediction is that Anthony Smith is going to win a hard-fought split decision.
And I'm backing it.
In my head, I thought Smith, I favored Smith anyway, as frankly the fighter with a bit more tools in the bag.
The concern is that Johnny Walker is an anomaly and can somehow pull out random standing back-fist
KOs with his leg caught and all sorts of cool shenanigans.
So like you said, either of these dudes gets a finish in the first.
It wouldn't surprise me at all.
But they both get finished a lot, but also have been the distance and have proven durable at times.
Super weird fight.
I'm back in chat, CheapT.
I'm back in Anthony Smith at the pick of odds.
And I'm going to throw a little sprinkle on buy decision because it's at like plus 550 or something similarly large.
so.
All right.
Okay.
I like it.
I don't,
but I do.
I love it.
Chat Chbitty,
we're four and two.
I don't mind the-T
is four and two on the year.
I love that.
I don't mind the Anthony Smith play at all.
Man,
it's just tough to trust either guy.
Oh, yeah.
I couldn't trust them like confidently,
but I trust the future, Connor,
and the future is artificial intelligence.
All right, let's keep it rolling on this main card.
Next up, Ian, the future, Machado, Gary, taking on Daniel Rodriguez.
Wow, and I just said that I trust the future.
Whoa.
The future right now, minus 285.
Daniel Rodriguez coming back, plus 240 over under set at two and a half.
I mean, listen, met Ian Gary a few times, real nice guy, have backed him in every one of his UFC
fight so far.
I think that's going to come to an end here.
I can't get to the win.
I'm not saying I'm betting Drod.
No, no.
I totally get where you're at right now.
I don't think I can get to the window at minus 285 against Daniel Rodriguez.
Like, I get Daniel Rodriguez as old, but like this is going to be the best striker that he's
fought.
We just saw him dropped against Kanan Song.
Like, he could come out and have like the performance he had against Gabe Green.
Or he could come out and get caught.
Like, I don't know.
I just, minus 285 is, like, if it was like minus 160,
I'd probably, I'd probably play in Gary, but.
Minus 285 is a lot in it.
And it looks like it's getting even worse on a couple other books, man.
I'm sure it's, I'm sure that number's going to keep moving towards him.
Minus 315 on some books.
Minus 335 on a couple.
Man.
Yeah, it's a.
I don't know.
You and I are are dead locked in on this fight.
So I have backed Gary in all four of his fights in the UFC thus far.
Can't do it.
The price is simply too high.
I will also say I've backed Drod in every fight except for his debut when I didn't really know shit about him.
And since them, you know, seven fights or whatever it is, I've just been on him.
Like, I love the dude.
Love what he's got.
Got away with one a little bit, one might say, in the Lee Jingleon.
fight, but, you know, been riding the train. I am a little concerned. He's looked a little,
looked a little slower, certainly in the, in the leech fight and against, um, yeah, why am I
blanking on the name? No, Magnet. Magny, there we go. Against Magnet and against the leech,
looked a little bit slower, a little less committed to his offense, which is more concerning
to me, particularly in this fight, but that's just a big number. I think this fight is going to come
down to pressure.
Whoever's coming forward, I think he's going to be winning this fight.
Both guys do their best work coming forward.
And I think it is going to be Ian Gary who wins that battle.
Yeah, me too.
Just because D-Rod is also content to try and counter because he likes to come forward, draw
out, strikes, and then counter.
So I think he's just going to end up giving ground.
And Gary's going to kick him in the calves a bunch, maybe work some body kicks,
because the leech had a lot of success with body kicks in their fight.
I'm picking Ian Garry.
that this number was a little bit better,
I would need it down to 160.
If he was down to,
if he was minus two somewhere in that range,
I'd start to get interested,
but minus 285 and moving is just tough, man, very, very tough.
One thing that D-Rod could use is actually the calf-cakes that you mentioned.
A lot of people have found success with Ian Gary going for the calf-kicks,
and Daniel Rodriguez has done the same thing.
What I did do to get a little splash here,
over one and a half as a parlay piece.
Oh, well, I like that because I am,
I'm just on the over two and a half outright.
I don't mind that at all.
I think it probably goes to a decision.
Thought about Gary.
By far, my guess.
Plus 130 by decision,
but I was like, man, this could just be like really close.
I decided to just go with the over one and a half.
That's, we see this fight this exactly the same
because I looked at Gary by decision.
I was like, you know what?
I don't feel that confident in it,
even though that's certainly a better price than Gary straight.
But I do just think this is going over.
I mean, three of four for Gary in the UFC,
have it over two and a half, six of nine for D-Rod.
If you looked at the combined numbers,
it's the value for over two and a half is pretty clearly there.
So I just took the over two and a half shot because it's only minus 155.
Yeah, good play, man.
We're both in alignment there.
We see the fight the same.
Should be a fun fight though, man.
Two guys that put out volume standing.
It should be a good one.
It's a nice test for Ian Gary.
If he passes that one, I mean, he'll continue to the send.
So I'm looking forward to that.
Perfect matchmaking for Gary.
It's his arrival into the top 15 if he gets this win.
Real questions will be answered.
It's the right step up at the right time.
So let's see if the future is now.
The future is now.
We continue to roll through the main card in this welterweight Grand Prix.
And that's what the next fight is.
is a welterweight bout. Tim Means. Dirty Bird taking on Alex the Great White Morono right now.
You can get Marano for minus 225 means coming back plus 190 over underset at two and a half.
It's not Shark Week, so I'm not going to back Alex Marono, but I do think he gets it done here.
I think he's got the striking advantage. Means he's 39 years old. He's five and six in his last 11.
feel like the road is sort of coming to the end for him.
Marona's still just 32.
He looked great against Bonzinovio until he didn't, until he got caught.
I think he probably gets it done here.
And I think there's a world where he catches means and puts him out.
Again, we're either podcasting too much together.
And so our ideas are aligning too much, or it's just one of those cards.
Just one of those cards, I think.
I'm perfectly on with you.
I briefly considered doing a gimmick parlay with Tim the Dirty Bird Means.
and our Atlanta boy that we're going to talk about in just a minute here.
Wow, that would have been nice.
That would have been nice.
I had it there.
I had it written down.
I was like,
I can't,
I just can't get there.
You can't burn money for a gimmick, though.
I can't totally burn.
I can,
I burn money for gimmicks,
but I can't totally burn a lot of money for gimmicks.
And that would be full on gambling.
So I'm with you.
You said it,
though.
The age seems to be catching up to him.
Means has been dropped in three of his last four losses.
Morono had been finding a lot more success, finding the chin.
He's got knockdowns in two of his previous three fights.
Like you said, he looked great against Ponsonibio.
I believe I was backing Ponzi scheme on that night,
and I was not very happy about how that fight was going for all of it.
Short notice.
Short notice from Morono, too.
I was very, very concerned.
I was like, oh, man, Alex Marono is about to be my white whale.
not a great white shark
my white whale that I can never get
a bet against
and then Ponzi scheme pulled it out at the end
but I don't think that would be the case
here I suspect Morono
even if he can't find the chin
and really hurt means which I do think he can do
I think he just outwork him
so I'm with you on Morano
but I have no bet here
all right cool we keep it rolling
with another welterweight bout on the main card
Matt Brown
taking on Court McGee.
Two aging vets in this one right now.
Cort McGee minus 205.
Matt Brown coming back plus 175 over under set at two and a half.
Similar to the last fight we just talked about,
I don't have any action here.
Cort McGee is the pick.
But like Matt Brown is crafty.
Obviously a vet.
I mean, he's 42 years old.
And his last nine wins have come by way of finish
and just a way that McGee.
I went back and watched that Jeremiah Wells knockout.
It's a brutal knockout, man.
He is out cold, arms stiffened and extended.
I just like, I don't know how he's going to look coming off of that.
And the fact that Matt Brown, his winning upside is almost exclusively by getting a finish.
Like if this goes to a decision, I'm going to assume that Court McGee won because that's typically the only way he wins.
It's been years since he's gotten a finish.
If he goes to a decision, he's going to win, but I don't know, man.
Coming off that bad of a knockout at I think it's 38 years old,
I just don't want to lay over minus 200 on that.
Yeah, so one, we need to say the most important fact about this fight.
Two men who have died and come back to life.
That is just an unbelievable thing to say, but it's true, both of Odeed.
I mean, that's famously on that.
I actually don't think I knew that.
That's an incredible statistic you just dropped.
famously why Matt Brown's nickname is the immortal because he was clinically dead for like two minutes or something.
I didn't know about Cort McGee.
Oh yeah.
No,
Cort McGee also recovering,
I want to say heroin and was definitely clinically dead after O'Don.
That's crazy.
Before getting resuscitated and like that I mean,
they both spoken openly about it.
It's part of their story.
It's part of honestly why a lot of people like them and for damn good reason.
and it's also part of why you see the way they fight.
Like they are tough SOBs in there.
I see the fight similarly, and so I do think this is a dog or pass.
And I'm willing to take the shot on the dog here.
McGee coming off that loss is concerning.
I also just, this is definitely a bit of bias in my head.
But when I look at fights like this, I can't help but sort of revert to two guys who aren't what they once were,
who was the better guy at their peak,
and that was certainly Matt Brown
was the much more dynamic welterweight
at the peak of his powers.
Cort McGee, I think,
can just try and grind out a clinch wrestling heavy decision,
but I think Matt Brown's going to be hitting him.
In the clinch, Matt Brown's a helion,
going to be hitting him with those knees,
hitting him with those elbows.
I do think he's the dangerous,
bit better striker at range.
So I just think he's a little bit more dynamic,
even at 42 or whatever he's at.
So I'm backing him at plus 175 odds.
I'm not going to lie, I'm like a little bit shocked.
Last week I saw Court McGee at minus 175 and I was like, I think, I think court's going to win that.
I was like, but I'll sit because I bet that line's going to come in.
And now I'm checking it this week.
And there's some books that's got court at like almost minus 240.
I was like, oh, I'm out.
Yeah.
Yeah, I certainly wouldn't at that.
I mean, that price is heavy.
But again, I would have thought this would be a little more closely aligned.
but I mean, Matt Brown is also coming off a fairly sizable layoff, right?
So a little over a year since the Barbarana fight before that, like he hasn't been that active.
So maybe that plays into it.
But like you said, I got a lot of fear after that Jeremiah Wells K.O.
And I mean, Jeremiah Wells is obviously a hitter.
Dude, dude can party.
But that's a, that's a tough knockout to come back from.
No doubt.
No doubt.
That is the main card, which will be starting at 3 p.m.
Eastern and beautiful Charlotte, North Carolina. We will move to the prelims, a heavyweight bout.
Our man, your man, Atlanta's very own. Carl Williams taking on Chase Sherman. Right now,
Carl Williams can be had for minus 425. Chase Sherman coming back at plus 340. Overunder set at
two and a half. He over plus 105. You know, I'm taking it. I actually, if there's, if there's books,
that are going to drop it,
I don't mind the over one and a half here.
Like there's one book that says it's plus one or minus 150.
But obviously that's not playable for me right now.
That is something I would really be down to get interested in.
Look,
Sherman has gone over two and a half and eight of his 14 UFC bouts,
Williams and five of his nine career bouts.
He's obviously only has the one fight in the UFC,
but he did go to a decision in that one.
Good wrestler.
He's going to score some take.
take downs, see how the cardio holds up.
Sherman's up.
He's heavyweight.
He's not a great fighter.
He's not a terrible one.
He's not a quitter.
And Carl Williams, I don't think, is going to tackle him and really pound him out.
So I think that there is, of the two heavyweight fights on this card, this is, I would rather be, if I could only bet one, I would be slamming the bet on over two and a half here instead of over one and a half in the main event.
100%.
There's a very real world where Carl Williams takes him down.
and does it all three rounds,
and that's how he does it.
My only concern for you
is that Chase Sherman
has not showed much ability
off of his back and on the ground.
And I have a strong feeling
that this is where this fight is going to end up.
Going back and watching the tape,
Chase Sherman is 2 and 8 in his last 10.
It was kind of a nice reminder.
He's not very good, happy.
Chase Sherman is not a great fighter, man.
And one of those wins was Jared Vandera.
Just no IQing it.
The big win is Jared Van dera.
I went back and watched that fight.
I had flashbacks.
I remember it July 9th, the Fasiv card, the heat of summer.
We were hoping for Blackbell Vandera.
He didn't attempt to single take down.
He did not attempt a single take down.
Like the path was there, Jared.
I'm still not over this.
Yeah, I partly...
The night bonus for Chase, though.
It was a great performance by him.
There is a world.
Listen, listen.
I parlayed up Carl Williams.
But there is a world because the last time Carl Williams fought,
I was like, man.
I was like, bro, this guy is going to have a hard time
getting my money again unless he gets a really favorable match.
I think we texted about that after.
Because we were on him because he's ATL.
And he was just like, I don't feel great about what just happened
in our future prospects with this man.
I was like, dude, he needs a favorable match.
for me to play him again. Chase Sherman, in my opinion, is a very favorable matchup for him.
That's why I'm going back to the well. But I do remember, like, just begging him to get a finish
because he was gassing out. And it was just like, he won and he won 3027. But God, it was a stressful
3027. Like, the difference between Hoffa Garcia, Clay Gwita 3027, which was just the easiest,
breezy, beautiful cover girl 3027 of all time versus the Carl Williams 3027, there's levels.
Like there's levels.
There's a big gap in 3027s.
Look, it won't totally stun me if Chase Sherman loses the first round and then just sort of out-cardiose Carl Williams if he makes out of round one.
In the realm of possibility.
Well, let me assuage any concerns you might have with one simple stat.
And it's this one.
because I like you of Harley Carl Williams up.
I mean, where are you?
Come on.
We got to wrap Atlanta.
Got to wrap the way.
Chase Sherman is one and eight as an underdog.
Vegas knows what this man is.
Vegas knows what this man is.
The one win was the aforementioned Jared Van der Rafe.
Vegas knows who he is.
If they install this man as a dog, he's going to lose like a dog should.
I feel okay.
How was he still in the, in the UFC?
I think he, I think a couple of these, like,
I think maybe the Romano fight was a short notice or replacement.
I feel like a couple of those were him stepping in and doing a solid,
and then he gets the Jared Vanderau win.
And so he gets another crack at it.
My recollection, though, is, I mean, yeah,
if you look at his resume, he lost to all the people that you probably shouldn't lose to
and maintain a residency in this promotion.
You know, I'm not going to knock a man on getting that paper.
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All right, so we're pretty much in lockstep there, low-level heavyweight fight.
Think Carl Williams gets it done won't be shocked if Chase Sherman somehow pulls off the upset
and extends that UFC career just a little bit longer.
Let's keep it rolling. Men's Bantamemey bow, Cody Stamon, taking on Douglas Silva Diann-Drage right now.
Cody Stamen can be had for minus 155, Dandraj coming back at plus one.
35.
I am on Cody Stamen here.
Oh, love it.
Let's go.
You are as well.
I've won't a prop bet.
I'm on Stamen by decision instead of Stamon straight.
I like that.
Yes, we are again in the same boat here.
Yeah, so like DeAndroge, like he's obviously dangerous.
Like he has very high finishing upside.
It feels like he's just the ageless wonder.
But he is 37 years old.
And I just like the well-roundedness of Cody's game.
Like he's, I believe he was a golden-glubes.
boxer. He's obviously got the wrestling pedigree. I think he's probably going to be the faster
dude in this fight. And I just think he's more technical. I think he's going to be the more careful
fighter in 27 pro fights. He's never been knocked out. I don't see DeAndroge subbing him. I think
Stamen's got the game to avoid that. I know obviously the Numeraga met off fight didn't go his way,
but I like him to get it done here, man. Closely line fight. I think he's got the advantages to
get it done. Yep, I feel the same. So the big key for me was the fact that Stamon's never been knocked
out because yeah, DSA is a very dangerous fighter, but it's almost all with the hands. It's only two
career submissions. It's just not really like a major part of what he's bringing in. Even in
submissions, I still wouldn't feel that bad about it. Stamen's been caught a couple of times,
but in general, he's just been a very durable dude. He hangs around. But for me, the difference was
I felt that the minus 130,
minus 135,
minus 150,
what's the line at right now
somewhere in that neighborhood?
Yeah,
it's a 505,
it's moving.
Jeez,
it's been moving a lot
since I was looking at this.
What did you get him at?
Minus 125.
That's a little closer where I'd want it to be.
But yeah,
like minus 150,
that sort of neighborhood,
just that feels pretty close
to properly aligned
somewhere in the neighborhood of that.
I don't think he should be a major favorite
just because DSA is so dangerous.
But,
I like his volume.
I like his wrestling, his activity.
The ability to just pressure DSA on the feed, I think, is going to be critical here.
And six of his seven UFC wins have been by decision.
He is largely a decision, decision merchant out there.
And DSA has been mostly pretty durable.
I mean, three of his five losses in the UFC have been decision.
And we're looking at, you know, if you look at the losses that weren't decisions,
a Piotr Yan.
Okay, that's fair.
I'm going to go ahead and say,
Piotr-Yon, better finisher.
Better finisher than Cody Stamen.
I know it's a big whim.
It's a big limb to say.
Rob Font, a bit of a more offensive dynamo than Cody Stameman.
Just, again, I know I'm going out on a big limb here,
but that's where I'm at.
So getting by decision at plus 110 felt like the right bet on this one.
So that's what he took it.
All right, let's get into the fun stuff.
Let's get into some.
Some rapid fire fun here.
Light heavyweight bout.
Carlos Olberg taking on Ehor, Potaria right now.
Carlos Solberg, this line, we're talking about on the move.
Carlos Holberg minus 410.
Ehor Petaria plus 330.
It's a big number.
Big number.
Yes, it is a very big number.
Petaria, everyone's hero after fortnighting,
Fortnite emojiing after knocking out the.
Thank God.
Thank God.
Somebody needed to do it to show him.
Yeah, someone needed to do that.
Beloved Shogunhua.
Someone needed to do that.
Yeah, dude, I mean, like he's, he's wild, he's aggressive.
He's 19 and 3, but he didn't fight anyone with a real record until his 17th career
fight.
Like everyone was under 500 or had no fights.
His record is kind of boxing-esque.
Yeah, it's a big number on Oldberg.
when I played it on
Friday, I think,
Friday or Saturday, it was minus 275.
Like, I'm actually surprised at how much it's a very different number.
Like, I'm very surprised at how much it's moving.
I thought he might close at like minus 325.
I like Oldberg's patience.
I think he's very much willing to do that ever since the Kennedy fight.
I think he blew his load in that fight and he realized that it cost him.
And ever since then, he's been much more patient.
I think he's going to use his patience here.
Petaria, little to no striking defense.
He's going to come in and Oberg is going to catch him and finish him.
I mean, I agree with your general breakdown.
I could not lay at this price.
I can't lie.
I'm with you there.
As a black jag die hard,
like this and the Gary, like minus minus four, 25.
Look, we love ladies night.
I will say I am, I haven't bet it because I'm kind of,
I sort of just want to see what the first round prop is,
just fight ends in round one instead of betting the under one and a half is minus
135.
A lot of,
like 14 of 21 career fights for,
for Ehor have ended in round one,
four of eight for Oberg.
Like these,
these guys handle business pretty quickly and I like you,
I think Ehor is going to come in,
a bit wild probably does get caught but if he doesn't maybe he catches ladies night and and then
that's a wrap so i listen i don't think it'd be that crazy of a bet if you're just looking for a
wild value play for poteria by k o round one plus 1600 yeah that's fine that's it's yeah just a little
sprinkle i don't think that's an unreasonable bet for me i'm either going to take this under one and a
half or i'm probably just going to wait uh for another day until we get the full problem
upset out and if I can get a plus money on just fight to end in round one, I might take that.
But sort of all the value I see here, particularly with where the lines currently are.
But I do think I was going to hit.
I think this is going to be a short night.
I mean, the fact that you could get, Fight doesn't go to a decision now for a much better
price than Oldberg is pretty surprising.
Yep.
Indeed.
Either way, I did that last week.
So I'm all locked in.
Let's keep it rolling.
Next up, lightweight bout
Natan Levy taking on Pete Rodriguez
Right now, Levy can be had
for minus 265 Rodriguez coming back
plus 225 over under set at one and a half
Quite a few unknowns
With quite a few of these fighters on this card
One definitely being Pete Rodriguez
Also Natan Levy
Both these guys have less than 10 pro fights
Mm-hmm
Natan Levy
I mean Pete Rodriguez never left the first round
obviously all his wins by KO, his one loss, Jack Della, also by KO in the first round.
Seven of his amateur fights, seven of nine amy fights also ended in the first round.
And one of the two that did it ended 50 seconds into round two.
This man does not get paid by the hour.
He does not get paid by the hour.
So that also leaves question marks against the guy like Natan Levy, sort of a grappling, heavy guy,
karate-style striking, doesn't, not a real, not a knockout guy.
I think he has zero knockouts actually.
If it gets extended, what is Pete Rodriguez going to look like?
I don't know.
What I did do, what I do know is that pretty much the only way Pete Rodriguez wins fights
is by knocking people out.
There's a big discrepancy between his line and his knockout line.
I think it's what, plus 25 in his knockout line.
I took it plus 400.
Took it a plus 400.
This is a big discrepancy.
see. Nathan Levy gets hit.
Am I going to be
jaw on the floor if this bet
doesn't hit? Absolutely not.
This is just a nice little sprinkle.
Natan Levy gets hit. Pete Rodriguez.
I think he gets a little underestimated
because his one win
is Mike Jackson and his one loss is getting
throttled by JDM.
I mean, he could just be a bum
and like this could just be the worst bet of all time.
Or he could actually be decent.
And I think against the guy in
Anton Levy that does get hit.
There's a world where he catches him.
Yeah, so we talked about this before, but I'm tightening it up a little bit on this card.
Just didn't want to overexpose.
I agree with you that if you're going to bet Pete Rodriguez, you should just bet him at this prop.
You're getting a ton of extra value for almost no extra risk.
But I just didn't want any action on this fight.
Too many unknowns.
I already have, you know, six bets or whatever down on this card.
and that was enough for me this week.
So Godspeed, good sir.
Thank you.
Good sir.
Let's keep it rolling.
A women's flyweight bout the people's main event without a doubt.
Five of the night written all over this one.
G.
Yon Kim taking on Mandy Baum.
Right now G.
John Kim can be had for minus 195.
Bomb coming back plus 165 over under set at two and a half.
I mean G.
Yon Kim, she's lost four straight.
bomb 0-2 in the UFC
gonna be fireworks
a bunch of winners
couple winners in here
what I will say
this is has
this is the C-Birk special of the night
I can promise you that
11
oh I believe that
11 UFC fights between these two ladies
11 have gone over the 1 and a half
all of them 100% hit rate on the over 1 1.5
what do you think I'm going to do
parlay up the over 1 and a half
I couldn't be less shocked if I tried.
I'm going to take it one step further on you.
My last action of the night is on this particular fight.
Do it.
And we're taking that over two and a half, baby,
because eight of her nine bouts in the UFC over two and a half for Gian Kim,
six of nine career bouts for bomb over two and a half.
These just not a lot of finishes.
And Conor went back and I crunched the numbers in general
because it was working on some other stuff.
And of the,
there have been 12 women's flyweight bouts in the UFC this year.
Nine have gone to decision.
Nine of 12 women's flyweight bouts have gone,
gone to decision.
I think we're about to get double digits with this one here.
So I'm taking the over two and a half.
It's the final leg of the three leg parlay piece.
Let me tell meada inside the distance,
Carl Williams and Kim Baum,
over two and a half.
it pays out a plus 103.
I have something similar.
It's,
no, I don't.
I lied to you.
I don't know what I have, actually.
Carl, I have a bunch of...
You're individually tied to each of those bets.
Yes, yes.
That is true.
That is true.
All right.
Let's keep it rolling.
Another welterweight bout on this,
the welterweight grand prix
of unranked welterweight fighters.
Are any of these welterweight fighters ranked?
Been a lot of them.
Is Ian,
Munchado Gary ranked?
Drod might,
Drod might,
no, Gary is,
and I think Drod may still be ranked
by the UFC.
Let's see, let's find out.
He is 15 in the U.S.
Let's go.
Let's go.
So this is the Welterweight Grand Prix
to become a ranked welterweight.
Love it.
I love it.
Yeah, exactly.
All right.
Let's finish it off.
The last welterweight fight of the night,
Gabe Green, taking on Brian Battle.
Right now, you can have Gabe Green
for minus 140,
Brian Battle coming back,
plus 120 over under set at 2.5.
You said that you have no more action on the night, right?
I have no more action on the night.
I was hoping for a little wolfpack wage.
Do you have action on this fight?
I feel like I'm a little bit on an island deer.
Look at you go.
I am on Brian Battle.
Went back, watched the Renot fight.
Sell me.
Renot fought.
Listen, there's nothing to sell from that Renot fight.
I can promise you that.
I was on Renat in that fight, and it was absolute dominant.
Pillar to post 14 minutes of control time. He never had a chance. Now, here's the thing. I think
because of that, this is kind of a nice, a nice by-low spot for Brian Battle. I mean, that's not
going to happen in this fight. I can assure you of that. Gabe Green, like, yeah, he has good
pressure. I'll say, Gabe Green ain't taking him down. If he does take him down, he's not going to get
14 minutes of control time. Yeah, like, he's going to bring pressure and he's going to be active.
sometimes he can get kind of wild.
He can throw caution to the win,
and I think that's where Brian Battle is going to be able to have a little bit of success.
Gabe Green been taken down in every single one of his UFC fights.
I think Brian Battle can do that.
I mean, he's got good top pressure.
He does have submissions.
And I just think he has a higher ceiling than Gabe Green.
Like, I think there's a little bit of a future there for Pooh Bear.
I think Renaud was just too much.
He was outsized.
He was outclassed.
And I kind of like him as a dog right here.
I think I'm going to go with him as the better.
overall fighter here and I think he gets it done.
I'm going to take a little dog shot on Brian Battle.
So I will say that I think this would be a dog or pass fight for me.
But honestly, similar to the Natan Levy, Pete Rodriguez, I just, I don't have a great read on it and I just didn't feel like getting over exposed, particularly because it's this isn't, it's not even a huge price either way.
So it's just tough to feel.
It's tough to be too inspired.
to attack this either way.
But again, I hope that this works out for you.
I love when you're reaching out on dog bets.
You are a chalk donkey at heart.
So when you're getting after some underdogs, it warms my soul.
Oh, don't worry.
The chalk is there this week.
I have four parles.
One carried over from last week.
And then four parles.
Oh, wow.
Look at you.
Look at you.
And they are all monster chalk.
chalk monstrosities, as they say.
I actually have four singles and four parlay.
So eight bets for your boy this week.
Last fight of the night, women's bantamway, bout, Jessica Rose Clark,
Tyanar, Lisboa, coin flip odds.
You are absolutely insane if you think I'm betting on this fight.
No shot.
Did you watch any tape on Lisboa?
Nope.
Knew I wasn't betting this fight.
You got something for me?
I think that that is the correct answer.
No, no, no action.
I will say I wanted to watch the tape because if you look at Lisbo's record, buddy, it's bad.
It is.
It's terrible.
She has never been anyone even reasonably good.
Her one, she has a victory over a one in four.
The combined opponent record for her is three and five across seven women.
One of those wins was a one and four woman and one of her career losses was to a two and one woman.
like she has
nothing
but if you go watch the tape
she's better than that would suggest
I don't know that she's
I think that she has the skills
to be in the UFC
Bannamweight division that is an exceedingly
low bar to clear
and I don't know if she has the skills
to beat Jesse Jesse Jess
because JRC won
on a kind of precipitous fall
I know she's a friend of the MMA hour
so it hurts to say that but
two like
almost insta arm bar losses like back to back fights that is a tough hang so i don't really know
where her headspace is at so you can't feel confident in her frankly at any number but this is
such a massive leap up for lisboa i will say there is probably actual value on lisboa based on the
tape i can't do it i won't pull the trigger on it because of all the questions but this woman
clearly has a moitai background she fought valentin shivchenko in moitai
She shows a little bit.
She also shows at least a competent ground game.
She's probably going to win this fight based on the form JRC's shown lately,
but you can't bet this.
It's a real D-Gen move, and I love you for it,
all the listeners out there who are betting it.
Not going to be me, though.
I mean, the Brian Battle is about as D-Gen as I'm going to get this week.
Could not get to the window on this one.
So that's it.
UFC Charlotte.
I love it.
I love it.
Clean, simple.
Before we go, one question.
Yeah, please.
Yanni Bellator action.
Oh, yes, Belator 296 from Paris, France.
Thought about Gaygard, price tag too big.
Other than that, I'm good.
Yeah, I thought the opposite way.
When I looked at the price tag, I said,
maybe I could be talked into Fabian Edwards
just because Gaygard's getting old.
And then I thought Fabian Edwards isn't very good.
So I'm going to not.
You just don't know what Gaygard.
you're going to get like if he's like if he's motivated and coming in like a killer then yeah he's probably
gonna stomp Fabian but just ain't worth it just ain't worth it I may I don't need Bellator I don't
need that stress in my life right now true and you did you did make a rule in this I may put together
just a chalky stew because I almost put Mensar Bar Nui in a in a palais this week just because
I'm a big fan of Barneui and I may make make a French a French bistro stew out there just some a
French onion soup of chalk.
Listen, more power to you.
I just do have to say there's nothing worse than going into a UFC card where you have all your action.
You're already down like two units because it's just some bellic-upor.
I won't be down to you.
I would bet at most one unit on a French onion soup of chalk for Friday night.
Just take the French fighters, throw them in together, see what happens.
All right, nice.
All right.
That's that.
We nailed it.
UFC Charlotte.
Proud of us.
proud of us next week
card of the century they're saying
card of the century
man
it's I think it's the worst
I think it's I've said it a couple times
set it a couple times
a lot of straw weight overs next week
are going to be available
I think it's the worst UFC card I've ever seen
I mean think about what this card was
before they move Dernhill to it
I'm not sure Dernhill does a big
huge lift I was going to say dude what is
Dernh he'll do for it like
It does lift it like a couple of inches
At least it helps it a little bit
What am I interested in that for?
It's they're ranked straw weights
Please
It's look it's a tough hang
It's a tough hang
But how many main events
We've got the unranked
Welterweight Grand Prix this week
Next week is the
The Unranked Swimming Strawweight Grand Prix
It's gonna be great
I mean
McKenzie Dern has been on
Wow
Wow
Yeah.
UFC is really looking for McKenzie Dern to...
The hope was that she would be something.
Wow.
I mean, I think they still think she can or they just want so bad
because if you look at it...
They want so bad.
She made her debut on a UFC pay-per-view prelim card,
and then she goes, main card of a...
of a pay-per-view,
main card of a fight night,
main card of a fight night,
main card of a fight night,
Main card of a pay-per-view.
Main card of an ABC card.
Main event.
Main card of a pay-per-view.
Main event.
And now we're getting another main event.
Dude, we're getting Carlos Diego Fahanna next week.
I mean, he hadn't fought in forever.
And he's one of the most weird, weird fighters have ever seen.
We got Alir Latifie for a heavyweight over.
I'll love that action.
Slava Claus.
Dude, what a weird collection of fighters.
This is just the group that time forgot.
We've got Edmund Shabazi and McKinsey Dern both failed Andre Fialho.
Like just a whole collection of failed prospects on this card.
What an interesting grouping.
That's going to be fun to break it down with you, buddy.
I'm excited.
We do get a flyweight.
We get a flyweight.
Who is it?
Who is it?
Steve Ersig.
Versus Clayton Carpenter.
You know.
Come on.
You know.
You know Clayton Carpenter.
Of course.
No, I like I legitimately do know Clayton Carpenter, of course.
He got us a flywood under just a few months ago.
Nick?
Steve Ersig?
Astro Boy?
All right, I'm about to scroll down on his topology and see what he's all about.
This man does not look like he can fist fight.
Please be a finisher.
Oh, he's a finisher.
Oh, all right.
Like half the time.
Seven, no, seven of his nine wins are by finish.
I'll take that.
And fairly early.
You want good news?
You want good news?
Yeah.
One, two, three, four, five is last seven, our round one finishes.
All right.
That's enough with that.
That might be all the research I do for next week.
That might be all the research I do for next week.
Until then, that's at the apex too?
Yes, can't wait.
Talk to you then.
Electric.
There's actually real boxing then, too.
Katie Taylor, Devin Haney, both fighting.
We'll get into that.
See.
Love y'all.
to the Vox Media Podcast Network.
