MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Will Paddy Pimblett Continue To Deliver At UFC 282?

Episode Date: December 7, 2022

After an up-and-down week for UFC Orlando, the No Bets Barred boys are back to break down the final PPV event of 2022, UFC 282. Headlined by a light heavyweight title fight between Jan Blachowicz and Magomed Ankalaev., co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew dive into their favorite bets this weekend, including Ankalaev’s chances to become the new champion, Paddy Pimblett’s first co-main event spot, Jed’s continued insistence on riding the rollercoaster of Heavyweight Overs, and the most dangerous Flyweight Under bet yet. Then at the end, Conner and Jed even throw out a couple of Bellator 289 plays, just for the fun of it. Tune in for Episode 28 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two, ghosts in the machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster. The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?

The Downloaded 2, Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. Support for this show comes from the Audible original, The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster, The Downloaded.

It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love? The downloaded two, Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. ...to the Vox Media Podcast Network. We are back. It is another episode of No Betts, BARD, this time for UFC 282.

Mago Medankalaya, taking on Jan Blajovich. For the light heavyweight title, unfortunately, it won't be. Yuri Prohashka trying to defend his belt. But we're going to make do with what we got. Jed, how we doing, man? I'm thriving because a little future bet on Magabana and Goliath. Oh, yeah. And that came back to life. I mean, yeah, it was dead. It was dead. I put, I put like $10 on it and I like posted it. And people were like, yeah, dude, but it's $10. I was like, well, it's also $10 to $1. But yeah, good thing it was only $10 because it was as dead as dead could get about two and a half weeks ago.

Yeah, the deadest bet of all time. And I knew at the top of the year, it was like super long shot just because nobody cares about Magamad. So I know he's going to win the fights. It's just whether it gets the opportunity. And I basically wrote it off the minute Ery and Glover had their fight. I was like, well, they're just going to run that one back. And now here we are.

Is it shady? Is it suspect? Is it a bit ridiculous and certainly disrespectful? It's all of it. those things. But they don't ask those questions at the, at the teller. You know, you just hand them the ticket. They hand you the big stacks of cash. And I don't make those decisions. I, I'm just here, you know, it's, I'm just, all I did was make the bet. All I did was make the bet. And now I can possibly, possibly ride, you know, get some money out of, out of what happened.

going back to last week UFC Orlando my hot streak is over now it's time to build one back up tough week good you need to you can't just win every time you got to remember what it feels like to lose to inspire you to greatness moving forward

dude I started out like 0 in 5 on the night and I was just like it like when like the fifth or six one lost I think I started out 0 in 6 and when the 6th one lost I was with a bunch of people watching our dogs just absolutely put a beat down on LSU in route to an SEC championship. Dominance. But when I lost like the sixth bed, I was just like, I like turned home.

I was like, damn, I'm o'in six tonight. They were like, really? Like you seem completely nonchalant about that. I was like, well, you said. I was just like, it feels good to lose again. I haven't felt this in a long time. I needed to humble myself. You always got to stay humble, you know, make sure that you're not getting out over your skis too much.

So you're putting in the work. And the only way to do that is taking out. then you come back stronger. So I understand. Do we want to address the Scott Holtzman situation? Look, we can talk about Scott Holtzman. I will say I had a marginally successful week. I ended up like a unit and a half.

Winning week is a winning week. Winning week, baby. Nobody ever went broke making a profit. Hit the Michael Johnson play. Big time hit there. Fire marshal inside the distance of plus money. Got a couple of plus. I lost more.

that's then I won, but I won some plus money action. That's all it takes. That's all it takes. Yeah. D. Casey definitely was not looking to wrestle. He went back to Bone Crusher. I was very surprised. Yeah.

Yeah, I think if we're talking about any surprise there, Mark D.C.C. Not winning the fight was the biggest surprise for him. Oh, he was shocked. The entire world kind of knew that was 28, 28 Michael Johnson. but alas so scott holtzman very close fight claims were made minus 500 i rode with you i rode with you into the sun you'd make the bet again i would make the bet again so we're going to talk about this for a bet later today because i said for that for the holtman bet and for one other bet on the card

last week that i just fundamentally did not understand the betting line that it seemed all the way off that this was off by 500 points. Funnily enough, I lost both of those bets last year. Scott Holtzman to Tyo Yvasa was like, I just don't, I don't understand what's going on here. This is crazy. I feel exactly the same way about a bet on this card. And literally as I'm punching in,

and I'm like, I don't understand what's happening here. But the last time I felt this was last week, in both instances I lost. I would make both of those bets again. because Clay Gweed, I guess, won that fight. Let's be honest. Let's break down the fourth wall. It was an anti-Guita pet.

Oh, it was super an anti-Guita pick. And that's why I'd make the pick again, because Clay Gwita sucks, and I'm not here to pretend that he doesn't. Like, if you believe that he won the fight, I honestly don't remember how I scored it. I know that I gave Holtsman round one very confidently. And then Guida may have picked up the back two.

Clay Gwita did nothing. He did nothing to actually try to hurt or finish that fight. He just did Clay Guita things. And I will freely admit that I drastically underestimated the efficacy of that in the MMA game because Leonard Garcia made a career out of doing nothing but looking like he was doing something. And Clay Gwita is just doing that. Like he didn't ever try to hurt Holtzman. And Holtzman didn't fight that well.

Let's be real, on the other side of it. but I'd absolutely make the pick. And same with the Thai Tuivasa one, even though that looks, like, that looks frankly way dumber than the Scott Holton pick. I think it was just the, the brashness you picked Holtsman with. I think that's the biggest reason.

Tuivasa, I'm not even going to put that on tie. Sergei Pavlovich is like in a terrifying human being. It might be the best every week in the world, I guess, which is super weird, but maybe it just is. Who do they give them next? it's it's super odd at heavyweight now because it's like zero gone well it's he's number five and that that that's just a tough spot right now no now he's three

was he number is he number three now yeah yeah he moved up three is not is stepe not in their rankings anymore uh i think it goes let's see we'll do the old google machine here as i feel some time Because in my head, it's, you know, John and Francis are probably going to fight next year, it looks like. And then I don't ever think of Steve A as fighting ever again anyway because until he steps in the cage, I just can't believe he's going to do it. And so whether he is actively or not, in my head, he's the fifth guy in the heavyweight conversation because Cyril and Curtis are there, John and Ingano are there. So he's actually, so obviously John is not in those rankings. He actually jumped Curtis.

So it goes Francis's champ, Cyril Gond, Steepen Miochich, Sergei Pavlovich, Curtis Blitz. That's just nonsense. I'm Aspenol at 6. I am down with the heavyweights right now. Yeah, heavyweeds great right now. It'll depend on how quickly Sergey wants to get back in there. My guess is that he has to fight down, though, because I think Cyril and Curtis are going to fight for the next title fight or whatever. But maybe he can angle.

Maybe one of them gets Steepay. Maybe Steepay does come back. and then he gets one of the other ones. It'll depend on how Stepe if Stepe ever fights again, basically. Yeah. I think that depends. That could get dangerous for Stepe

if he gets thrown in there with Pavlovich. I think Stepe should try and fight Pavlovich. I think that would be, because he's not getting a title fight because they're going to do John Francis. Yeah. I think if Steepa still wants to do it, you should be like, look, I'll fight this guy.

He just killed your boy. I'll fight this guy and then I get the next up. I still, because Steve A feels like Stepe could win that fight, and then he can get a title fight and screw Curtis Blades, yet again for the hundredth time in his career. Curtis Blades will get passed over. Tom Aspenol gets healthy. Aspenol Pavlovich.

I mean, that'd be great, but Tommy's still going to be out for a minute. A hot minute. And you have to imagine Pavlovich didn't take too much damage. Not at all. It would appear you took zero damages. I mean, short night at the office. All right. So that was UFC Orlando.

Such a short night. Yeah, any more bows you want to tie before we move on to 282? I will say that looking at the numbers tied to Avasteland two strikes. So I believe that Sergei Pavlovich is probably feeling rather healthy. His face for that to happen in less than 60 seconds is like jarring. That like one human being's face can go from unscathed to just completely torn apart. Yeah. is, I mean, this dude is, that reach, too, just like, I mean, he's Ivan Drago, bro.

Just, I mean, we'll have an opportunity to talk about him because we have, based on our pre, our pre-show doc, we have an infinite number of fights to get to this week. I have a bet on every fight. Oh, I just say, it's like you'll bet on every fight this week. Final pay-per-view card, baby. We're not letting the people down. I've found a way to get a little bit of action on every single fight. Well, I love it.

Maybe you'll talk me and do a couple more than I have because I super don't have a bet on every fight. We also, for the people, at the end of the show, we'll talk about it. We have belly this Friday. We've got some Bell Tour action, two title fights. Yeah. And I may have a few bets down that we need to chalk into. Well, technically isn't a title fight in a semi-final matchup? Well, it still is, though, because Stotz is the champion.

Oh, yes. The interim champion. Well, the interim champion, but the belt follows through. It's the very dumb way they do it or whatever. But, yeah. So if Sabatela wins, he'll get the belt. He'll get the interim belt. He'll get the interim belt.

He'll get the interim belt and then immediately have to turn around and defend at interim belt for the real belt. For the Grand Prix belt. Sergio still has the real belt. He's just out. So he will have to be the interim champion and then he'll fight in the finals for the million dollars while defending his interim belt. And then he gets the tournament belt.

man because bell tore stupid and they're giving away grand prix belts instead of like i didn't give away grand prix belts they gave away trophies like just do do something different do a crown do anything other than just here's another belt yeah i have a hard time uh you know getting incredibly interested in that but regardless i do have a couple bets down on bellotor and by a couple i mean one one singular bet which we can get into it oh i've got three oh taste we've got some we've got some stuff to get too so we should hop right on in let's hop right into it then let's get into the main event of the evening on UFC 282. It is the light heavyweight title, Jan Blahovitch, going up against Mangumat, Anka Laiev right now. You can get Ankhaliev for minus 280. Wow, he continues to

keep dropping. He might be at minus 300 by fight time. Blahovic coming back at plus 235. The over under is set at four and a half. You can get the under for minus 165 over for plus 130. I mean, If you're coming here to listen to a technical breakdown of why Magamad-Ankolive is going to win this fight, I'm not going to supply that for you. I am biased. There's no if-ins or buts about it. I have my Magamette-Ancalaia future ticket. I believe in this guy.

I played the line as soon as it dropped when he wasn't fighting for the title. Oh, I guess he wasn't fighting for the title. Yeah, he wasn't fighting for the title. So, yeah, I played him. I got a much better line than it is now. I got him at minus 200, which I am going to. I mean, I can't cash it out, so I have to write it anyway. So I'm on Magamette Money Line.

I'm on Magamette future at the end of 2022. And there it is. That's it. I'm biased. I'm sorry. I was going to ask if you were going to take the opportunity to hedge your future. No, $10 is not enough. I'm riding it.

I respect the commitment to the bit. I'm on alkali, but I'm not on them straight. Price is too high. I have some concerns. I want to talk, talk. I want you to see if you can ease some of them. Price is getting a little high. Min is $2.80.

Price is steep. I think this fight is far more competitive than that. I've took Uncle Al-Bide decision at plus 240. I think in my head when I'm envisioning this fight, it's just, I think this is actually a very close fight. Frankly, I think Jan Blahevich could be one of the tougher fights for Maggabed in the division. Because Margarud's style is so risk-a-verse isn't exactly the word I like, but he's very, He's very counter-focused. He likes to work at range for the most part and just kind of build up little edges over time.

And Jan is really good at that kind of fight. I mean, people talk about the Israel Dissan you fight with Jan Blovich. Like, he was simply too big, and he just sat on Izzy. And that was rounds four and five for sure. But part of the reason he could do that is Jan's really good at defending kicks. So Izzy's preferred weapon of staying as far away from another fight or not. as humanly possible and just kicking him in the legs a bunch, didn't work very well. And he had to force engagements where Yan does have that legendary Polish power.

So it's, I think this could be a really tepid kickboxing match is sort of how I'm viewing this for a really long, like big stretches of time. And it seems unlikely that either of them really like throws caution to the wind. The over is, I think, three and a half. And I feel pretty good about that, like, part of it, frankly. but instead I just decided to take the proper magamette, because I do like him over time. He's younger, faster.

I think he's a little bit better with the hands. My big question here, though, five rounds. The five round change. That can be anarchy. I have no idea how to interpret what's going to happen here. Jan says that this fight, this change favors him. He's fought a bunch of five rounders. He's more conditioned and prepared for that sort of fight,

his style to work out over time. I think Uncle I have in general his style does work out over five rounds as well but was he prepping for five rounds was he just set for three how is this extra 10 minutes going to affect the fight I've no idea and that gives me huge pause for concern uh certainly in taking that certainly in taking uncle I have straight uh but I'm so that's kind of why I ended up on the prop because at plus 240 that number seems quite high yeah I mean I actually do agree with you on on the current line and I feel like if anyone was going to throw caution to the wind, I feel like it would probably be Jan.

I mean, we saw... Seems like it. Yeah, like, we saw Magomed, like, the way that he worked against Tiago Santos, just like the whole game plan was just staying patient. I mean, he's still... He's very patient, man. He'll wait, dude, but he did get dropped in that fight, man. I was on Magamad there, and I was definitely a little worried when it happened.

I mean, Jan can catch people, dude. I, like... fight is so weird now because it came out that he was he was incredibly sick like he watching that fight back like he wanted no part of that like he he gave in very quickly i don't know if the sickness like how the the 100% truce to that there but i can't imagine magamad's gonna like just go into the ground game the entire fight i feel like one he would have a hard time taking yon down and two he doesn't really go for takedowns that often like i understand he's d'agostani but he is much much much more reliant on the striking

and then a 25-minute striking battle, yeah, I feel like this is a little bit closer than minus 280. Yeah, I think for sure. At this line, I would not play Magamad straight. Magamad doesn't tap to Paul Craig. He's 19-0-90-Dagostanning. Magamad is his name. What do you think they line this fight at?

He's probably minus 400 at that point. It's just so amazing, like the differences that made. The very small swings there, and it's, you know, it is what it is. This line is not what I anticipated. I thought Jan would get a little bit more favor. And so, yeah, I don't, be frank, I don't feel great about this bet, but a plus 240, I feel that there's just a ton of value because it seems unlikely that, I mean, I know Yan has been knocked out several times in his career, but if Jan is not, if Jan doesn't throw

across into the wind and just come in chucking him at some point, or maybe he knows he's down and tries to really step it up, it seems pretty unlikely that Magamette is going to put the pedal to the medal based on, I mean, just look at the Tiagra Santos fight. I feel like this fight could look a lot like that one, which is tough, because that's a tough watch, man. So if that's what we're in for on Saturday, that's unfortunate. But I hope it's a fun fight. And I like, as much as I'm cheering for Magamad just because of my bias, because of my bets, got to love Jan, man. He's just, he's the ultimate match. He's, he's the man. Jan being champion is a much more fun outcome than Magamad being champion.

And I've been touting Magamette as the future of this division for years now. But he is just, he's not interesting. You can't argue that the man is interesting in any way. Loves horses, loves horses, and does not speak even a lick of English. So, yeah, it is hard for me to relate to him. Yeah, it's just, it's not there. So no true losers in this, but I don't uncle, I have. by decision.

I also feel like the over three and a half, what's that line at looking right now on me? Maybe even a plus money. It's even. It's minus one, minus one. Wow. Over three and a half feels,

honestly, that feels like a better bet than my shot on, on the, on the, on draft kings do a little same game parlay, Magamette, Uncle I have put over three and a half and, uh,

his money line. Then he could really start talking. Man, just really starting to cook with gas there. But yeah, that's where I'm in. All right. All right. Both on Magamemam, maybe not as confident as the lines indicate.

All right, let's move on to the co-main event. It is a lightweight bow. Patty Pimlet taking on Jared Gordon. Right now, you can have Patti Pimbleau for minus 250. Jared Gordon coming back at plus 210. Patty Pimbley. Interesting. Interesting, man.

This is probably going to be his toughest matchup to date, I would say, here against Jared Gordon. For sure. I mean, Jared Gordon can win this fight. Like, press him up against the cage, you know, get control in the grappling, like basically just like suffocate Patty and win a decision. I feel like that is his best path to victory. Patty's going to have the reach advantage.

I think he's got the speed advantage. He also just like watching his fights, dude, they just have that chaos factor in them. Like it just gets chaotic. And I don't know. if Jared Gordon is going to be able to perform under that chaos, and I feel like Patty Pimbleau is likely going to get his hand raised again. It's hard to disagree with a lot of what you said, but I'm going to try. And here's why I'm going to try.

I don't like the dude, and that's it. I don't feel like I need much more to be said. Yeah, I can't really say I'm like a massive supporter of Patty Pembleau, especially. I don't know if you saw his latest interview with Dan. Sure did. Don't like the dude. and my view on Patty has been the exact same.

And I, if you pull a motion out of this, I am willing to acknowledge that I may have been overly harsh on his potential previously. I am not all the way certain that that's true, but I am willing to acknowledge that he has certainly exceeded my expectations for him, which were granted extremely low. And it's not like beaten Jordan Levitt is like the biggest, feather on one's cap, but he's better than I gave him credit for. I am willing to say that. And I love the surrounding of Patty Pimbley.

He's done a lot of good things. The talking about men's mental health, phenomenal. The energy he brings, the fandom, all that's cool. But then when he opens his mouth and starts talking, I don't like him. And I'm not going to pretend that I do. And I'm certainly not going to bet him. I do this, kid. I have bad news.

You bet him? Yeah, I already had two bets down on him. That's a shame. I wasn't a huge fan of him, but I thought he got it done. Now I kind of feel, now I guess it's a win-win for me. Either dude loses or I win money. Yeah, I mean, he is like, I don't know, we don't need to get too deep into this, but it's just like he comes across as like this, you know, mental health, all this.

And then like throwing around some crazy insults, like calling someone a like a pathetic piece of shit rodent those are heavy allegations but just because someone didn't want to pay you for an interview yeah uh yeah it's real real great-a-dip-sittery and i'm not here for it oh man and him and dana just like just like they just working off of each other obviously that part kills me the most because it's like i don't know i don't want to get too deep in the week's but it couldn't be more of a boot-licking piece of shit. Oh my God. It's just like, dude, you, you're talking to a guy that is profiting off of these fighters just the same. Like, profiting off, profiting off, not just the same in a substantially

substantially worse and like more predatory way. And, and the thing that kills me is he knows it, too. He knows it because he didn't join the UFC initially because he wanted to get paid his value. And he even now knows. He said multiple times in interviews, I am not. getting paid what I'm worth, we got to renegotiate. And here's the facts for you, Patty. You may not want to say it publicly or you may just be up in your own and not feeling it. You are not getting paid what you're worth right now. Right now you are not getting paid what you are worth because we think this is inarguable and that's it. It's what just kills me. You can't argue against math. It's not. We know the numbers. You are not clocking what you should

collectively as fighters be doing. And so to then come about this shit, it's just a worst kind of sycophantry. And I have never been big on the dude's skills anyway. Jared Gordon is the toughest test of his career. This is clearly set up for Patty to take another step up and continue to win, et cetera. And by all accounts, he probably will. Like that seems they usually are not that shitty at building somebody along these lines.

And Jared Gordon isn't normally the kind of guy who I would be like, yeah, that's the sort of hard-nosed dude who's just going to. say, F your master plan, I'm coming in. But a plus 2.10, I'm going to keep fading, Patty. I may end up losing money in the long run, but I guarantee you I'm going to win one of these pretty damn soon because he cannot keep winning. So I'm taking Jared Gordon because, I don't know, one dude's an asshole and one dude is not and battled back from drug addiction and seems like a pretty decent man.

So don't tell me for technical reasons. that you're coming. But that's where on that, boys and girls. Yeah, one thing I do have to say about the fading Patty thing, and it happens with a lot of these guys that kind of get the rub from the UFC is that sometimes I do feel like people are like, I'm fading them, I'm fading them, I'm fading them, I'm fading them. And like you said, like, it feels like most of those times are like actually losing endeavors. Like, say Patty starts his UFC career off like 5 and 0

and like the ticket you cash is like a plus 210, And like, you would be down in money. Like, I hear people saying it, like, with Ian Gary, like, I'll continue to fade him until he loses. These guys, like, Ian Gary and Patty, like, don't get big enough lines for it to, like, really pay off. At this point, I would just stay away from this fight, but, yeah. I mean, that's the reasonable answer for certain. Because it's also the other side of it is it's just not worth betting Patty in the every time because eventually he will lose and you're getting what minus 240? me like you're not getting enough payout

he has that this is something that like if you're going to bet Jared Gordon you need to just sit just hang out till Saturday dude because there is a type of fighter the Sean O'Malley's the Connor McGregors the Patty Pimlets of this world that it

does not matter what the line is people will dump money on them. Patty Pimbleet opened for a brief moment at plus money in this fight I got it last week at At minus 184, I was like, wow, this line is really starting to get stretched out now. And now there's a chance that he's going to close at like minus 300.

Oh, I think for sure. Once the UK fans land in Vegas and head to the windows, I think for sure. The Barstool fans, all of these people that like don't really watch UFC weekend and week out, Patty's fighting. Throw him in the parley. Throw him in the parley. I also have Patty Pemblek minus three and a half points. I feel like if he wins, it's going to be inside the distance.

but if it goes to a decision, you know, give me the 29, 28, 28, 28, 30, 27. Yeah, I agree. Yeah, kind of a bummer. I agree with that in general. I'm not going to lie. Pretty big, pretty big bummer. Yeah, it is what it is. I didn't feel this vehemently until Patty got on one with his boss

and felt like he wanted to earn some points or whatever. I mean, his, well, not just his boss staying away. which was just a backscratching affair to use, you know, a work-appropriate term here. You know, they were just going off of each other. So work-appropriate you are? Just a back-scratching affair. And a back-scratching contest, as they say. It's also like his manager is putting a ton of this, like, in his ear.

Like, his manager is the, you know, the man who runs Cage Warriors. Like, he's putting a lot of this into his ears. Yeah, just, you know, if you like Patty Pimble, that's cool. Not telling you not to. I'm just not. I can see how you like him, sloppy shit, men's health, all that. I'm not, I would like him a lot more if there weren't like a very, very pointed piece of his personality that's being a shit bag. But, you know, if you like him, I'm not telling you not to.

Do what makes you happy, guys. And what makes me happy is fading Patty. And maybe I'll lose money, but the day I win, boy, I'm going to be celebrating. It's going to be sick. It's going to be sick. Yeah, it's, uh, yeah. All right, let's move on. Let's keep it in the main card.

It is a catchweight bout of 180. Santiago Ponzi and Nibio going up against Alex Marono. Right now you can get Ponzi and Nibio for minus 180. Alex Marono coming back at plus 155. the over-under is set at two and a half right now, the overgoing at minus 165, the undergoing at plus 135. Didn't really, you know, like,

it's kind of a tough fight to call Marano coming on an incredibly short notice. He is a dog, you know, it ain't shark week. I do have to say that. It is not shark week, so it's kind of tough to back him here. Ponsenabio hasn't really been the same fighter since he came back from the health scare. I did take the over two and a half, though. Oh, good. I like that, Beth.

Yeah, yeah, yeah. Had to get a little action down, had to get it done. Seven of Ponzi and Nibios's last 10 have gone over the two and a half. No chaos since the health scare. Despite landing an average of 106 significant strikes per fight in his last three fights, still no knockouts. And Marano's tough, dude. Five of his last six have gone to a decision. 11 of his 16 UFC fights have gone to a decision.

So it's probably going to be a fun fight. I'm looking forward to this one. not the highest profile replacement for Robbie Lawler, but I think Alex Marona will come in here as a game opponent. I love everything about the bet. I briefly flirted with Ponzi scheme bet. But just because the short notice, and that short notice seems like it really favors him.

Yeah, you would have to think so. And I'm not a huge Marano guy. I never have been. And at one point in time, I love Ponzi scheme. So give me the over two and a half minus 165. For all the reasons, think both guys are tough. Given the short notice, maybe somebody, you know, maybe Marono does not have the gas tank or something,

but I think we're going to probably get, I think this probably goes to the card. So I'll take the over two and a half and feel fine with it. Unwrap holiday magic at Holt Renfrew with gifts that say I know you. From festive and cozy fashion to Lux Beauty and Fragrant Sets, our special selection has something for every style and price. point. Visit our Holt's holiday shop and store or online at Holtrenfrew.com. Marshall's buyers travel far and wide, hustling for great deals on amazing gifts. So you don't

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I think it's actually the appropriate take. Please tell me. Darren Till is very bad at fist fighting, and he has been forever. We haven't seen versions of Derintill. It's all the same, and Derrentil sucks. Let's go look at his record real fast. And we don't even need to talk about that he's lost four of his previous five fights. Let's talk about his wins, Connor.

What would you say is Darren Till's best win? Oh, yeah, aye. Is it the bogus split decision over Kelvin Gastlo? Or is it the bogus decision over Stephen Thompson? Yeah, I mean, oh, the Stephen Thompson one is, yeah. They were both bad decisions. He should be 0 and 6 in the last 6. His one, his before that, he drew with Nicholas Dalby, who's a solid fighter, beat

Jess and I, Yari. I know we all remember the unanimous decision over Jess and Ayari. That was a fire one. That was a monster fight of 2017. What about Wendell Olivaire-Marquez? I mean, debut of one of the greatest middleweight, well-to-weight, soon-to-be-weight heavyweight fighters in the world. Bojan Villiccovic? I was a big Bohan guy.

And so I know you remember that. What a 2017. Nicholas, Jessini Yari, Volichkovich, and then the Donald Soroni-TKL.O. His best win. is knocking out old man Donald Soroni five years ago. He has beaten nobody. I love this. I mean nobody good. I have been saying this for years because he has this incredible ability to fail upwards. It makes no sense. He loses to Robert Whitaker. It's his third law. It should be his fourth or fifth loss or whatever, but he actually looks kind of okay in that fight. And so they

give him Derek Brunson, who just runs over him. He gets knocked out and then submitted by Tyron Woodley, and then he gets Horace at all. Like it is, he continues to get opportunities despite having done zero to back it up, approve it in the cage. I love DDP. Drix 2 plus C is awesome. He is maybe a little bit, you know, undersized, given the fact that he is a former

well-to-weight, et cetera. but I love the pace he puts on. I love everything about his game. He is going to, he is going to bring the fight to you, and he is going to bring the fight to Dary and Till, who's not good at fist fighting people. So, I love the energy. I feel like DDP.

It doesn't take much to fire me up, but Darren Till will fire me up. I feel like Dreykis has been a little bit disrespected this week. I mean, I see a lot of people being like, Dracus Duplice sucks. He's not. good. Watch him swing and go in with his chin up on a platter every time. This dude was a KSW champion. He took Roberto Soldich. Yes. He took the belt from Roberto Solich. Oddly enough, Roberto Soljit is his last loss. DDP is Roberto Solditch's last loss. It's a crazy thing because they did trade off. But I mean,

the dude is what, 17 and 2 now in his career? Like he comes in, he bangs. He puts on super exciting fights. That Brad Tavaris was the first decision of his entire career. And there were numerous points in that that it looked like the fight was going to get finished for either side. I mean, dude, like he comes in. He has exciting ass fights. And most of the time, he's the one getting his hand raised. And it's typically with a win by finish. I'm with you. I'm on DDP. I've been on him since the line open. I am also on the fight does not go to a decision because I'm not quitting the fact that DDP. does not go to decisions.

He hates it. What's that line at? I took it minus 170. I think it's still right there. I mean, he fought blockhead Brad Tavaris, and yeah, he couldn't get him out of there. But before that... Not a lot of people have gotten Brad Tavares out of there. We actually get to talk about someone that did get Brad Tavares out later.

But, I mean, dude had, what, what is it, 16, 18 fights prior to the Brad Tavaris and had been to zero decisions. I think he's going to bring this fight to Daryntil, and I don't know how much Daryntill is going to like that. Daryntill is wildly low volume. He throws 2.26. He does nothing. Significant strikes a minute,

or lands 2.26, significant strikes a minute. I mean, if you look at how many strikes he lands per fight, he's never landed 50 significant strikes in a fight. Yeah. Not one time. One, two, three, four, five. six, seven, eight, nine, ten, eleven UFC fights has never landed 50 significant strikes. Landed 49 twice, but that seems to be his cap.

And he's been to a decision seven times of those 11, six, six seven times of those 11. I also, you didn't mention this, but it's important to note in two of those fights where he didn't land 50 strikes were five rounders. Yes. Oh, my God. Two of them were five rounders that he landed 50 strikes. 41 and 38 strikes in. Tyrone Woodley, epic, zero strikes landed over the course of nine minutes and 19 seconds. The one good Tyrone Woodley title performance is tremendous.

Yeah, I mean, there's also just, there's, I've seen people max betting there until this week. And maybe we're going to come back to this and it's going to look like the Tuivasa Pavlovich takes. And it's a, you almost a forgot moment or something like that. I didn't forget shit. What did I forget? Who'd he be? Tell me who he beat, Connor? That's actually a fact.

But I just don't know how you could have this confidence in Darren Till. Because he's training with Hamzot now. Going up against which. How much have they been training leading up to this fight? I was at PFL. I'm not going to say I'm the Hamzat Sharmaya of insider. But I was at PFL. Hamzot Shamaev was also at PFL.

I'm not going to say whether we were there together or not. But he was there. I was there. Darren Till was not there. You can't argue the man the man knows. Listen, MMA fighting Hamzot Sharmai of Insider, Connor Berks here reporting for duty. Yeah, dude, I mean, Max betting Darren Till when he's been out for 15 months and there have been a few reports of injuries. Like, there's no telling what Darren Till we're going to get here, man.

I really don't know. He's been out for 15 months and he has not. convincingly won a fight in five years. Five years. Donald Seroni was October of 2017. That was his last convincing win. There is no, I wouldn't bet with your money or I wouldn't bet with Patty Pimblech's money on Dary and Tell. Nothing could compel me to bet on that man. Yeah, I mean, he is two and four over the last five years. He has fought one singular time over the last 29 months. Not good.

And he got ran over. Listen, if you want to take Till plus money, who am I to stop you? But Max betting Darren Till this week? I mean, people are really just like, that's all I see them keep going back to is is DDP comes in with his chin up. I'm just like, okay.

All right, cool. Like, it's not as if Darren Till is like some knockout artist. I mean, look, if knocking out Donald Zerone isn't proof that you are one of the greatest strikers in the sport, I don't know what. I don't know what more proof you need. Right. His two knockouts are Donald Zerone and WOM. Like, uh, you know, just, I don't know. Maybe I'll look stupid.

Maybe I'll look wrong. He did knock Jorge Mosvital on his butt that one time. Yeah, there you go. Remind me how that fight ended? I was going to say, Jorge Mosvado also. knocked him. Sat up and then clobbing him. Gotcha.

Yeah. I think DDP does the same this weekend. I think he brings the fight to him. I don't think Darren Till appreciates him bringing the fight to him. And yeah, I think he just kind of folds them, makes him quit. Boom. All right, there it is. Last main card fight.

Last main card fight. Let's dive right in. It's a men's featherweight bout. We have got Bryce Mitchell going up against Ilya to Poria. someone's O has to go despite Bryce Mitchell actually having a loss on tough. But, you know, that is what it is. Right now you can get Ely to pour you for minus 140. Bryce Mitchell coming back at plus 120.

I can't wait for this, dude. This is my main event. I am wildly excited for this, especially the way Bryce Mitchell looked the last time out against Edson Barbosa. I am super, super stoked for this because Ealia is sick too. What are you thinking here in terms of best? I have a Tuporia. I feel really, really good about it. Oh, sweet.

I, we'll just go ahead and get this, because apparently I hate a lot of people on this card, which I didn't realize it until we start talking about it. Oh, no, you hate Bryce Mitchell? Not a big fan of Bryce Mitchell. And I'll leave that to your imagination as for why. Just, you can figure that out for yourself. I suspected you were going to. But, I, I don't know. regardless of that iliot topuria just rules he is unbelievably good at fighting uh i have long said that

it's incredibly smart that patty pimblit not fight ilia tippuria because he will get backed up uh you want to talk about max bets tuporia versus pimbled oh i would love that would be just a full shove uh on illy tobes for me so look brys mitchell uh you cannot say that he whatever you feel about him personally, and I certainly have thoughts. He is a phenomenal fighter and has been getting better each and every time. He looked so good against Edson Barbosa.

And maybe that's a style match with the favors him in general, but still, he looked so good that it is hard to overstate how good he looked there. But he, his game relies on the grappling. Like, he has got to get that going, because if he's stuck on the feet,

like, he's not like, he's not totally incompetent. but he ain't winning fights doing that. Like he's got to get his grappling game going. Connor, I don't know if you looked at the stats. Can you tell me how many times Ilya Taboria has been taken down? Zero, but who is attempted

to take him down? Doesn't matter. It doesn't matter. Ryan Hall and Yusuf Zalal. Ryan Hall, I believe, has a takedown accuracy of 9%. His takedown attempts are him laying down and saying, join me, join me on the ground,

good sir. I'm the wizard of grappling. Yusuf Zalalal is that like? Yusuf Zalaw is at like 30%. Yusuf Zalal also, if you go back and watch that third round of that fight, he actually did get him on the ground. Like he was struggling in that third round. Doesn't matter.

Man, doesn't. Man is too powerful to athletic. Solid fundamentals in general in that, and he's way better with the hands. Frankly, I think he can take Bryce Mitchell down and get that game going for himself because it's not like Bryce is like a world-class wrestler. He's just a solid MMA wrestler.

I think that Taboria probably goes sprawl and bra here, which I would favor him to pull off. But if he wants to engage in scrambles, one, that's just going to rule for us. It's going to be great to watch them getting after him. Matt. And two, I still think he's ahead in that regard. So I think this line is about what I expected it to be. But I love I love it to Pura here. Give me elite topes.

I'm actually on the other side. I love it. I love when we have disagreements on. Descension. Yes, sir. A little bit of dissension. I am on Bryce Mitchell. I'm not going to be the one to be like, you know, twister seasons coming or anything like that. I think this is a fantastic fight. If you made Ilya Teporia, the dog, I probably would have ended up taking I'm Teporia. I mean, the takedown defense at 100%. You know, it's like the memes where it's the McDonald's worker and, you know, it's just like, oh, empowered and the other one is like broke ass. It's just like, it's like that. It's like that. Chris Curtis is 100% take-down defense, fighting, like, real, real grapplers and, like, stuffing 32, and Ilya stuffing Ryan Hall and Yusuf Zalal, and he's stuffed, like, six over the course of his career. It's a very small sample.

So, Connor doesn't like math. That's what I'm taking from this. Connor's an anti-math guy. Got it. You would be anti-math at this point to believe that that small of a sample size could be true for the entirety of his career, and now he's going up against, like, a formidable grappler. No, no. Man, can't be taken down.

You see that? If he does. Man, Ily Tobe's got a sick gilly, baby. Sick gillies. Oh, gillies, dude. Gillies are the highest rate of landed submissions out there. That is definitely better.

That's the move. All right. So who's the thing? He'll tell you. Jump the gilly. If Bryce Mitchell comes out here and goes for like nine takedons, it goes 0 for 9, a, I will be coming back here next Wednesday and being like, Bryce Mitchell lost.

That is for sure. If he goes 0 for 9 for takedowns, he's, is not going to win this fight. B, I'll have to eat the math crow for sure. But I mean, I was incredibly impressed. You can say that that was a favorable matchup for him against

Edson Barbosa, but going into that fight, people were talking about how he was going to get put out, how he was going to look like an idiot on the feet. And he went out there and dropped Edson Barbosa the way that he mixed in the takedowns. Like, he fought smart. I mean, if you think beyond the cage that he

isn't the most intelligent man, you know, flat earth and whatnot. He fights smart in the cage. He fights to win fights when he is in there. Edson Barbosa had a super solid takedown defense. I want to say it was at 80% going into that fight. He went four for four on takedowns against him. And yeah, I just know he's going to fight for my money. I think it's going to be a fantastic fight. This isn't a bet that I'm like, log of the century, it's B money, Bryce Mitchell. No, very close fight. value betting. I'm so proud of you. It's a rare thing. It's a rare thing. It is a rare thing. I like to just pick winners, but in this case, had to get a little action down, going to be a banger, praying we get

just like a three-round back and forth wild fight. And I'll take a little plus money action here on old Bryce Mitchell. I think we've both been stupid as what I'm going to say here. Because I think actually what we should just do is we should just bet the over two and a half at minus 135. I feel like that's likely. Like I feel like that. I feel like that is like either of these dudes are going to get the finish in the grappling exchanges that we're inevitably going to get yeah it seems not likely i feel much more live for a submission with like or i mean for a finish is to poria nice nice yeah i feel like to poria if i feel like to poria if i feel like that actually is a good bet for you because you have to poria and i feel like if anyone's doing the finishing it's

going to be to poria yeah oh yeah if someone gets a finish to poria landsonger he's got that chin too man yeah that's the thing. Deporia is, like, I think he can roll with Bryce. Bryce has a good chin, though. Like, I don't, even if Deporia cracks him, I still just don't think of it. I think they both have good chins. I mean, DePorea, like, a lot of people talk about him getting dropped by Jai Herbert very early on in that fight.

I kind of flipped the script on that and say he, he survived a lethal kick there. Like, he, not many people would come back from that one. Yeah, for sure. But win the fight. Also, that fight was just super weird from like a, you just look at it and just how big Gai Herbert looked compared to Taboria in that fight, like super weird. So, yeah, I'm going to take the over. Feel good about it.

That was, of course, also a lightweight fight. I was going to say, actually, the fact that you brought that up, I was going to say last thing, does, does Teporia's weight cut issues concern you at all 270 had to drop out? Some videos came out. Like, he was really stressing to get down. no because if he's if he makes if he doesn't make the weight the fight won't happen and then so then my bet will be non-void so yeah i i don't he he's never missed weight so you know if we lose bryce mitchell elyle is actually not true apparently he did miss weight in cage warriors if if if we lose bryce mitchell elia tuporia oh my gosh i mean this card at one point was looking like

one of the best cards of the year bone nickel uh eerie glover two uh we had ponsonimbia was supposed to be on this uh i mean if we if we lose bryce ilia imagine we lose bryce and elia and darren tilpools out of the fight oh my gosh i mean there's just nothing i i do want to clarify so ilia did miss wait for cage warriors that was for a banam weight fight he missed by a lot because the man ain't a ban on weight you look at him he ain't a bannum weight we did miss wait for 270. I mean, I guess that's true. Fair.

I forgot that that fight didn't happen, but, you know, eh, doesn't bother me. Elliot to Purr you to the moon, baby. I'm not a huge scales guy. A lot of people, like, really ride their bets on scales. Like, I just place the bet, expect them to make it and ride. Unless you look like death or something on the scales, it doesn't influence me at all. There's been a few times where guys have looked like death and then I've come out and cash tickets. Oh, yeah.

They absolutely still can. not, but that still is the mental image of me being like, I can't, that's the, that's the lizard brain in me being like, that guy's a skeleton, he can't win, bet against him. Yep. And then, you know, 50, 50, whether it matters in any regard. Yeah, like, oh, the Netherlands have, have the flu and Pulisics coming back, hammer USA Moneyline. Never made any sort of.

Look, it's impossible for us to win a game when we don't shoot the ball. Oh, yeah. It happened. I just want to say it happened. I said it was going to happen last week on the podcast. I was going to bet RDR, I was going to bet against Netherlands, and I was going to bet on Kevin Holland, and I was going to go over for three.

It happened in a big way. Netherlands, enemy number one, if you're listening in Amsterdam, if you're listening drinking a Heineken right now, know that you are officially my end. You made an enemy for life. The entire country. I will say to you, Netherlands, I may or may not have done an anti-Netherlands parlay

for these three things. Wow. And felt okay, even though I also had action on RTA. Dude. Still felt okay when that happened. Real quick. Your soccer team ruined my life.

Yeah. Dude, their ball movement is so beautiful. The Memphis to pay that first goal. As it was happening, I was like, wow, their ball movement is like, people are always like, the beautiful game.

It was actually like a beautiful sequence for them to score that first goal. It was the stupidest thing I've ever seen. It's like, guys, They're just passing around you like your cones. Yes. Like they are just, yeah, I was with a few people and they were like, what are we doing? I'm like, the Netherlands is just, yeah, the Netherlands is just better than us. Like, I hope you guys didn't think we weren't underdogs going into this.

Real quick, before we get on the prelims, RDR, wow. One-way traffic, like, dominated. When I saw him get like two, three takedown stuff, I was like, this fight is over. He has no answer on the feet. I didn't. Really? This was maybe, so I, and maybe this was just me being wildly optimistic. I, well, first, let's just start here.

Anatoly Malkin, congratulations. You've arrived. You are a legitimate top 10 light heavyweight. And that's the thing. Dude's undefeated and has looked pretty good, shown promise. But it's been as a smaller heavy. his whole career. Fight Nights Global was all heavyweight stuff, you know, even in one. Him doing this in his, what I think is his light heavyweight debut, it's certainly the first

time I remember him fighting his heavyweight. That's a top 10 light heavyweight dude. Like I, I feel really confident saying that. I'm putting him in my rankings this month. Great, great performance. I knew that this was a problem for RDR, right? Like, you knew that he is not a great kickboxer that he needs to get the grappling going. And if somebody could stuff it, It makes things a little interesting. But I did think during that fight, I was like, there's just no way Mollokin can keep this up. The pace, the power, the speed he was throwing with,

it's like if RDR can just make it out of this first round, and it looked like he was about to. But he'd make it out of this first round, Balacan's got to slow down. He can't keep this up. And then when that happens, just takes one. One trip, and RDR can pull this out.

It turns out it didn't matter at all, Malach and just buried him. And frankly, looked like he could have kept doing it for 20 minutes. I don't know if he could have or not. But impressive as hell. Impressive as hell.

Yeah. I am stoked to watch him fight. Like, I cannot wait for the next time he competes at one. We go into the first one in Colorado and May? I would be down, honestly. No,

but live from Colorado. All right, let's continue with UFC 282. It's a heavyweight bout. Jayzino, Rosenstrike, going up against Chris Dawkins. Right now you can get Rosenstrike for minus 170.

Dawkins coming back at plus 145. The overrunners set at 1.5. Right now you can get it for minus 150. Overcoming back at plus 1 at 20. Shocker, I am on violence here. 16 combined UFC fights, 14 have ended in KO. The two decisions were on Jerzyno's end, Blades and Cyril gone.

I mean, both these dudes have been caoed. both of them get chaos i likely feel this is going to end the same way neither has ever completed a takedown i'm guessing they're just going to swing till they drop dalk is six fights six chaos all under the one and a half uh and jeresino six of his ten have gone under the one and a half as well so i am on the under and i parlayed up the fight does not go to a decision i don't like that you're on the under because it feels like a personal attack yeah wow i forgot yeah i was directly at you just direct shots fired at your co-host here. So I'm

certainly on the over one and a half because there's no more electric or more fun bet in MMA gambling than heavyweight overs. Over one and a half plus 130. Gotta be honest, no reason to be on the over here.

When you look at the numbers, no reason to believe this thing lasts longer than seven and a half minutes. And frankly, I really don't like that I'm only getting plus 130 on the over one and a half. It opened at minus 115. It was minus 115 each way.

I was shocked. That is incredibly surprising to me. I thought I'd be getting a little more value here. I thought it'd at least be plus 180, you know, flirting with the plus two. I'm not. I'm getting min value at the over one and a half at this moment. And maybe that's my fault. Maybe I have spoken of the electricity of the heavyweight overs and people are betting them.

That's keeping the line down. But I'm going to stick with it because this isn't about winning or losing. It's about having fun. And the best part of heavyweight overs, when they don't hit, you know it. It's almost like Taitoivas, Sergey Pavanovich. I was on that over. Never even close. That was the least sweaty bet I've ever made in my life.

I mean, I was on the under for that. I was on fight doesn't go to decision. I mean, that was the fact that they were only given the fight doesn't go to decision at like minus 600 was just crazy. Absolutely nothing. So I'm only over here. I am also, I have not made the bet. I want you to either talk me out of or into betting on Chris Dawkins as an underdog.

No. Because, no. No. I can't trust them. I can't hear a Dawkins name and trust him. I was on Kyle Dawkins last week and I got. The Dawkinses do not help us in a lot of her question. guards.

You also have to realize his win condition is just finding the number. Because if he doesn't find the number, his number is going to get found, and he's going to get got, and he's going to get put out. It's true, but you just look at the stats on this one, and you look at the way they fight, and it's like, in my head. I think Rosen Strike is probably like a slightly more technical fighter. But he also just doesn't do anything for, like, very long stretches of fights, whereas Chris Dawkins is going to put the pace on you.

And so it's really a question of can Giorzino land one? Because if he lands one, then that's going to be the end of it. But if he can't, Dawkins is going to outwork him until he lands one. Well, that's the thing. Jayzino is going to, he's going to fight back when you bring the fight to him. And that's kind of what he wants you to do because those times where he's not doing anything. Yeah, he just kind of stand. So honestly, I feel like that plays less for Doccus that he'll be open to counters and whatnot.

I mean, I don't know. When it comes to a side, if Chris Dawkins. knocks him out. I'm not going to be like, you're not going to be picking my jaw up off the floor. But I'm cool with just playing some violence here. Fine. I'll play not violence. I'm playing the over one and a half. You've talked me out of making any value bets on Chris Dawkes. Good work. Chrissy D. It'll be a bummer if he wins. All right, let's keep you moving. We got to get on our horse here and go for these last seven fights.

Do you have fault? I'm actually mostly done with bets. Oh, sweet. Then I can break these down quickly. It's a men's ban. about Jay Perrin taking on the young, the green, Rahoo Rosas. I'm excited. I want to hear what your thoughts are because I don't have a bet, but I have another bet that I'm considering. So right now you can get Rosas minus 230.

Jay Perrin coming back at plus 195. I'm actually not on a side. So like, Jay Perrin is not that great, but he does have experience. He has been in the UFC Octagon three times. And if you just look at Rosas, 18 years old. Like, he's going from not just the contender series

with no fans in attendance against a contender series level opponent, but just six months ago, this dude was fighting in the Ultimate Warrior Challenge in Tijuana, fighting regional level dudes in front of four, 500 people max. And now he is going to the sold-out 20,000 seat, T-Mobile Arena,

fighting on a pay-per-view card. And he is not the curtain jerker. He is pretty deep into the prelims. Tough to trust a guy that is 18, that is this green. While I think this is a favorable matchup for him, I just can't put my money on either side of it. I'm on the over one and a half in a parlay at minus 225. I mean, Roses, as good as he looked, controlling, dominant.

He was never really close to a finish in that contender series fight, and Jay Perrin is just a tough-ass dude. he's been finished once. It was five years ago, and it went over the one and a half when he did get finished. Six of his last seven have gone to a decision. I likely think this goes to the scorecards, but, you know, the bread and butter. Over one and a half, it only minus 225. I thought it would be more juiced.

You love the over one and a half unless it's heavyweights, and then you don't support your friend. Bingo. What do you think? Who do you think wins? I want a value bet pair in here for all the reasons you said. That's what I feel like is the value. I want to value about him. The big problem to me doing that is...

It's Jay Barron. Well, I guess there are two big points. That's one of it. I've heard some really good things about Raul Roses Jr. Like, behind the scenes, like really good stuff about this kid really does have the makings of something. And so that gives me pause when he's fighting a guy like Jay Perrin who, as you said, he's Jay Perrin, you know?

But it is hard. I do not. I, this is a classic dogger pass to me. There is no world in which you can convince me that betting on the 18-year-old Roussela-Rosos Jr. at minus 230. Yeah. Minus 140. I could probably get talked into it.

Minus 230. He's 18. Such a, such a change in venue and in spotlight and everything. And he's only 18. So like, you just never know. Like, what could happen? even if he looks great in the gym one day, he's 18. He's still just got like random hormones coming at him.

And like, who knows what the hell is going on that could mess with his mind in like the smallest of ways it can have huge consequences. I think it's a dogger pass. I have a bet on Perrin just because it seems this feels like it goes against the fundamental ideology of the UFC clearly doesn't want to sign an 18 year old and have him get beat up. Like they're trying, they want to build him. and they feel that this is the way to do so, but it just feels like you should fade him.

So I don't know. We'll see if I end up pulling the trigger on it or not, but absolute dogger pass for me. Yeah, I'm with you on that side. If you had said that you were betting it, I would have joined you because the wolf packed it. Yeah. But when you were like, and when you start,

I was like, oh, my, he's going to do it. Hell yeah, let's go. And it's like, I can't feel confident. I was like, damn you are you. Yeah, I mean, I can't get to the third. round and Rahul Roses be up 2017 and be like, why did I

bet on Jay Perrin? You know, it's a great question. Or Jay Perrin comes out, gives them a vet lesson. Teach him a young whippersnap or something. If being on 3 in the UFC makes you a vet. Let's keep it rolling. Hit pause on whatever you're listening to

and hit play on your next adventure. This fall get double points on every qualified stay. Life's the trip. Make the most of it at Best Western. Visit bestwestern.com for complete terms and conditions. Simons has your holiday outfits sorted. Be ready to wow in a wardrobe designed to celebrate the season. Revel in luxurious velvet, shimmering satin, elegant silhouettes, and sparkling details.

Whether you're going full glam or keeping a casual, you're sure to shine bright in our festive party wear, no matter the dress code. Just RSVP yes and let style carry you into the new year with Simons. Next up, middleweight bout Edmund Chabazian going up against Dalcha Lungiambula. Right now you can get Shabazian for minus 280. Lungiambula coming back at plus 235.

Another fight that it's like a little bit tough to trust either guy with your money. I think Edmund is going to get this done. I just think he's the better fighter all around. He's going to have a massive size advantage. He's still super young, so theoretically he just continue to get better. But trusting a guy coming in off of three losses

while it was against top-tier talent at minus 300 is just not something I really want to do in this one. I did, I threw a little prop DGIN parlay together. I threw a fight doesn't go to a decision. Daltrow, he just comes out with reckless abandonment, Shabazi. And I really think going back and watching his wins in the first round, he dude has got skills and is a killer in the first round. Five is a six UFC fights have not been to the cards.

12 of his 14 career fights haven't gone to a decision. Dulture, four of his six UFC fights have been gone to a decision. So, yeah, I think this is a good matchup to where we see a finish. We got you muted, brother. Good catch. Yeah, tough to argue with that because I'm on Shabazzian inside the distance at minus 1.15. There it is. I don't hate that at all, dude.

I mean. Yeah, it's, I didn't, I thought about using Shabazzian as a parlay piece, but it's actually like a pretty big number. And I'm just, can't feel, like, I just don't want to lay, like, close to minus 3 on Edmund Shabazian. but Shabazian finally moving away from Glendale Fight Club, I think will probably help him tremendously to train with a real camp at team in Extreme Couture. Still, still super young, 25, big physical advantages in this one.

And I believe in the talent, certainly. And man's a finisher. Man is a finisher. Shabazzian, absolutely a finisher, you know, 10 of 11 inside the distance, four or five of Linguola's losses come by finish, so I'm taking Shabazzian inside the distance at minus 1.15. I think that's a tasty play right there. Considering getting on it, but I already have so many bets.

You have a lot of bets down. Yeah, I think I'm just going to. If it intrigues you, consider it. But you don't need to expose yourself in action. I think that's a fact. I think that's a fact. I'll just ride the fight that's good a decision. Because if the ultra wins, I feel like it's going to be by a decision.

Let's keep it rolling. It's another middle way about it. It is Chris Curtis taking on Wauke. Buckley. Right now, you can get Chris Curtis for plus 135. Joaquin Buckley. The favorite in this one, minus 155. Last time out, if I'm not mistaken, we were both on Curtis against Hermanson. Oh, we absolutely were. Didn't work out for us. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I mean, definitely like, you love to see Chris Curtis with a plus sign next to his name that Hermanson one does give you a little cause for concern.

There was a lot of traveling going on. It doesn't, actually. Tell me you're on Chris Curtis. I'm absolutely on Chris Curtis. Oh, when we talked at the beginning of the show and I was like, yeah, you remember how last week I had two bets that I didn't understand fighting. Talk about it. Great, great.

I'm glad this is the one. This is the one where I was like, I don't understand why, like, I assumed looking at it that Chris Curtis would be the favorite because why wouldn't he be? Explain to me why he's the underdog Connor. Like, yes, he lost to Jacker Manson. Jacker Manson is a good fighter. certainly better than I gave him credit for heading into that fight. Joaquin Buckley, like, is fun.

He's certainly fun. Does the big K-O. A lifetime finish. You know, he's working with Dust, and then the, whatever that guy, Commander, Dale Brown, Commander Dale Brown and Dust. But he's, he's like mid. He's like a mid-fighter.

Chris Curtis is like a 15 to 20-ish kind of top guy. Way, way, way higher volume on the feet. Like, he doesn't have, the one punch, one hit or quitter power, certainly, but much more technically sound on the feet. Unbelievable takedown defense. And that was my thought. It was like he's going to beat Hermanson because Hermanson can't score takedowns.

Hermanson actually turned out didn't need him. So good for you. Like Jack, like that's a hell of a win. Buckley doesn't need takedowns, but he certainly wants to mix them in. That's going to get nowhere. And I am dead certain 100,000 percent confident that come the, third round. Chris Curtis is winning that third round. Buckley is not going to win the third, doesn't have the gas to compete, certainly at the pace that Curtis is going to have or bring to

the fight. And so it's, Chris just needs to take one of the first two. And I think he's the better striker. So it seems really, really likely. He's been knocked out once in his life. Yes, the guy who lands the spinning ninja kick or whatever we decided to call that unbelievable K.O., he can knock out anybody in the world. You can't pretend that that's not in the realm of possibility. Did he not fight two times that night as well? You're talking about the PFL knockout?

No, no, the Impa Casanage knockout. Oh, I'm talking about, oh, who are you talking about right now? I'm talking about Ray Cooper knocking. No, I'm talking about Buckley. I'm saying Buckley can knock him out because he can knock out because he can knock out anybody in the world. Yes, okay, all right. Sorry. That is absolutely

possible. Chris Curtis has only been knocked out once in his career. He talked out by Ray Cooper that one time. And he fought twice that night. He fought Magumet, Mogamemov to a decision. And then they were like, uh, someone bailed. We need you to fill in in the title fight tonight. And he went back out and fought Ray Cooper and got knocked out.

Yeah, he's got that dog in him. X-ray show it. He's got it. I mean, listen, dude, I'm aligned with you perfectly. The biggest thing is like, Joaquin Buckley, yeah, he's known to sometimes mix in the takedowns, go to the wrestling. that good luck dude good luck chris curtis a hundred percent take down defense and like you're talking for ufc opponents every single one has tried to take him down three or more times every single one

has failed and you're talking about phil hoss brendan allen decent grapplers you know jacker manson going oh for six was juco national champ rodolfo viera going oh for 20 like i mean this is like he has serious takedown defense he has improved that piece of his game wildly so if this is just going to stay standing I mean, Joaquin Buckley comes in here. He is low volume. And when he does throw, he's throwing aggressively. He's throwing huge shots. And that's going to leave him open to counters.

And we've seen Chris Curtis have success in the countering game. I mean, go back and watch the Brendan Allen knockout. The way that he wobbles him so bad. I mean, Phil Hawes, that initial, you know, punch that stunned him came off of a counter. Like, he is, if they're just going to stand there in box, then I really do favor Chris Curtis in this one. I favor him in the cardio department as well. Well, Joaquin Buckley has also been knocked out numerous times. Like, yes, Chris Curtis, his last two fights went to a decision, but like, he can blast people, bro.

He can put you out and he, and like, he stalks you down once he has you wobbled. I'm on Chris Curtis, plus 143. I'm actually on the under as well. I think that they're going to have to stand and box, and I think someone's going to get put out in this fight. And if it doesn't, I like what you said. Third round, Chris Curtis takes over, gets it done. Fantastic, baby. Love everything about that.

So yeah, and that's my second. I only have one other bet on this card, and you know what that bet is. We all know what that bet is. Unless you're going to talk me into one of these next few ones, this is going to be the Connor Burke show from here. Yeah, I likely won't, but I mean, we're going to have some fun the rest of the way.

Featherweight out up next. It is Billy Q going up against Alexander Hernandez. Right now you can get Billy Q for the show. sweet price of minus 165, Hernandez, coming back at plus 140. This line has not budgeted at all. You know, with a lot of these fights, you see like crazy line movement. This fight has just been chilling. I took Billy Q at minus 160.

Like, I mean, Alexander Hernandez, like, go back and watch his last fight. He looked great in that first round against Moikano. I mean, when I was watching that, I was like, man, Alexander Hernandez at plus money against Moikano. That was a great bet if he took it. And then going into that second round, he just fell off of a cliff. I mean, it's kind of in Alexander Hernandez's fashion at this point. Like, he's got big time power. He has finishing capability, but that gas tank is just very suspect.

And when he gets put through adversity, it feels like the fight is going to end when he's gassed out. And the guy just keeps bringing it to him. And who's going to put you through adversity? Who's going to make you fight through the fire? That's going to be a man named Billy Q. win or lose, you're going to have to go through the fire to get your hand raise. Yeah, he's pretty active. I'd say he puts a little bit of pace on you, a little bit of volume.

Lans over seven significant strikes a minute. That's good enough for, oh, the most in featherweight history. So he's going to come out here. He's going to put that pace. He's going to weaponize that pace. Put that volume on here. I don't think there's going to be any takedowns if Alexander Hernandez goes for him, and it's a lay and prey.

we can look back on this and call me done, but I think it's going to stay standing. I think it's going to be a bangor of a fight. I think Billy Q survives that first round, puts it on him. I'm not even saying he's going to lose it. He might win it, but I think he'll get past that initial onset fire from Alexander Hernandez, and he's just going to take over as it goes on. And I think he's either going to get a late finisher or a decisive decision win.

Plus, another thing is Hernandez is coming down to 145 as well. I have no idea what he's... Yeah, I mean, he's a big dude. I never thought he was small. Yeah, he's a big dude. Don't know how that's going to look for him. Billy Q. Riding with my guy.

You've almost convinced me just because I wanted to bet Billy Q, but I will, I'll be honest with you. A lot of fights didn't have all the time to break down tape. And on this one, I did not watch any tapes. It was like, my head says Billy Q, but I don't want to totally shoot from the hip on this. So you may have convinced me. I may be joining you on the old Q train.

Listen, take the week, think about it. If he wins, I'll buy a Billy Q headband. How about that? Everyone's got the Billy Q headbands. I'll buy one if he wins. Show some support for the guy. He's great on Twitter. It's great on Instagram.

Yada, yada, yada. Good energy. Let's keep it rolling, though. Let's go with a men's featherweight bout. It is Eric Silva making his USA, the UFC debut going up against T.J. Brown. Right now, you can get Silva for minus 110. T. Brown coming right back at minus 110 as well.

Downtown, T.J. Brown. Sometimes that fight IQ. Yeah, great name. Sometimes that fight IQ is not always there. The Arkansas brethren of Bryce Mitchell does not quite have the, you know, the smart cage time as him.

I mean, when he's winning minutes. I mean, plus that glory of May got. Yeah. Who knows how that's. going to affect things. Yeah, I went back and saw an old tweet from Jeff Molina in like the beginning of November and it was like January 14th, like a clean sweep by Glory MMA. It's coming.

It didn't age very well. It didn't age very well. Tough. Tough. Yeah, so I mean, T.J. Brown, like when he's winning minutes, when he's successful, it's like he's having successful moments in the ground game. He's getting the takedowns. Eric Silva, I mean, he's green, but he's not.

Like, he's old. but watching his contender series fight just comes out blasts a takedown and just pounds dude out. Dude has got vicious ground and pound. I watched way more Lux fighting championship fights than I'd like to admit. That's where Eric Silva was the featherweight champion. Don't ever be ashamed of your love for Lux. I was getting into him, dude. I mean, even when he did get taken down, he was good with reversals.

He was good with the submissions. It says that he got all first round submissions. I actually do have to argue typology there, the Radleam fight. It was the second round submission, but no big deal. He's getting older. I think he's only going to have one shot. He mixes in the kicks well on the feet. I feel like he's just a better all-around fighter,

and I feel like T.J. Brown's strength is sort of going to be an asset for Eric Silva. I feel like he's going to be able to handle the ground game well. And I mean, if he gets on top, it might be 99. for T.J., dude. I mean, the ground and pound that this dude has, there was one, not the same level of competition, but it was very similar to the Shavkat, where he was like the standing going through Neil Magni's legs

and still just, or no, it wasn't the Magni fight. It was, who did he fight before Neil Magni? I can't remember. It was, I mean, dude, the way that he got this ground and pound was just like the most beautiful thing between his legs and just completely found the chin and knocked him out. I saw a little bit of that in Silva. I'm not saying Eric Silva is the next Hamzaat Shemayev.

It was the Carlston Harris fight. I'm not saying he's not the next Hamza of Shemayev. But the dude's got vicious GMP. And I'm just going to take him to get it done. I'm not going to trust T.J. Brown with my money. And I have to get a fight, a bet on every fight. So there it is. Eric Silva.

I respect it. As a long time, M.A. fan. I believe this is before your time in the sport. There was another Eric Silva. who people thought quite highly of. He did not turn out all that well. Now, granted, he spelled his name with the C. Instead of just the K, it was the CK.

But I can, the flashbacks of Betts gone wrong and old Eric Silva, there's nothing could compel me to bet on this Eric Silva at this stage. So good luck with that, bet. Thank you. I appreciate that. I appreciate that. Next up. Oh, I'm back on.

Let's go. This is a fight I'm involved in. I told you I'd be quick. I told you I'd be quick next up. And it's not like we need to talk about this guy. There's nothing to talk about. It is a men's flyweight bout. Is that a hundred twenty-five pounds and under?

That's a hundred twenty-five pounds and under. The three most beautiful words in all of sports. It's a men's fly-weight bout. I mean, Daniel de Silva, taking on Venetia, Salvador. right now you can get Salvador for I don't know minus 200 is silver coming back plus 160 don't care

over under said it one and a half I can promise you I am on the under I mean this is I hate that we're we're paying the price I got minus one night The secret's out Connor the secret is out What is it what is it now minus 210 or something

It's minus two or five last night when I took it Um yeah I mean This is the flyweight under drill Dream, like, had they came anything close to even money? Like, we could have been talking Max Betz scenario. Like, these guys, 33 professional fights, 32 have not gone to a decision. 23 first round finishes. Like, I mean, like, this is what Flyweight Under Dreams are made of.

It is. There's, I, I always- John Campbell for the matchmaking. I say, yeah. Like, I appreciate you, You say, you just take it You wish the price was better You wish that somehow somebody screwed up

And we got under two and a half Oh my, that would have been It simply doesn't matter Uh, I consider just for the sake of it, Costanzing this, uh, Goes to decision at plus 450 But I decided I liked my money and I'd like to keep it.

Yeah, so yeah, Cause I also, I was a lot laid up the, the fight doesn't go. Yeah. Flywood under's baby. Easy game. And that's the last that I have on this card.

I don't have a. curtain jerker bet you know i love i got a curtain jerker i got three so i'm not here uh all right so the prop parlay that i have that i actually am a large fan of is de silva salvador doesn't go to a decision uh rosanstroke dalkis doesn't go to a decision uh and then magomed uncle i of yambovjovitch completes round one that pays out at minus 126 i am a fan of that well that seems quite good. All right. Let's get into the curtain jerker.

It's a men's bandam weight bout. Cameron, Simon, going up against Stephen. Obi-1-Shinobe the pillow, Kozlau. I mean, you can't talk about this guy without talking about his nickname. He's making his UFC debut. Yeah, it's on short notice. But, like, Stephen Kozlau. I don't even know what that means.

It means Obi-1-Shinobe the pillow, bruh. I mean, what else is there to say there? I don't know. It's when you tell, when you, if you're like me and you find out the name, it then makes a lot more sense when you see that he's a 10th planet guy. And you're like, oh, okay, some incredibly weird name for something. Got it. Okay. Okay.

So like the Obi-1 Shinobi thing, obviously like a little, a little Knotsky-Puto to Star Wars. So the Coslo- and ancient Japanese martial artist. Someone told me Naruto or something. I could be wrong on that. I can't speak to that. My anime goes as far as Avatar the Last Airbender. I don't even have that.

Oh, God, great show. You need to watch it. Fantastic show. I think I was too old for that. Oh, I mean, it doesn't matter your age, dude. Tap in. Like, it's fantastic. I think it's like a 9.1 on IMDB.

like we're talking one of the greatest cartoons ever and then dbz i mean dragon ball z i'm actually rewatching it right now goku just went super saying against frisa great times to be had on that front back to stephenkozlo obi one shenobi the pillow so he's the coslo pillow is a new thing uh it makes falling asleep easy guaranteed sleep within five minutes both side both sides stay cool warning may cause body and neck pain that was uh a an Instagram post he put out on October 24th, his face on a pillow. So, yeah, kind of a one-trick pony here. It does appear that Obi-Wan Shinobi is some sort of, I believe, in anime, as I'm looking

this in right now. Ghostmaster? Ghostmaster? Yeah, sure. Ghostmaster. Coslow 6-0, 6 wins by first-round submission win. Can I trust the guy? Probably not.

Like, I was able to watch minimal. tape on him. The dude is a BJJ specialist, a submission specialist. That is his whole game. And he's going up against Cameron Simon, like 21 years old. Baby face. Dude looks like he's 15. Like, good fighter, competent fighter. But yeah, I was going back. I said I watched some Lux fights. I watched some highlights. You had to pay for an subscription for EFC worldwide. I couldn't do that. So I just watched some highlights on Facebook of his Bantamway Championship winning. He struggled quite a bit in the grappling game. I'm not going to lie.

He struggled. So what do I have for you here? What do I have for you? It's a little D-Gen special, my friend. I mean, you got to get a fight on every card, so might as well fire off 0.3 units. I took Stephen Obi-1-Shinobe the pillow Kozlo by submission at plus 600.

Oh, you love the sub-propped. They never fail. They never fail. Let's fire off another one into the stun. I also went 0.1 units on Stephen Obi-1 Shinobi the Pillow Submission Round 1 plus 1,400. Yeah, I'm exposed on about 0.25 units on that, so I'm really not going too heavy. And then I did in my D-Gen prop parlay, I have it to not go to a decision. 11 of their 12 pro fights have not gone to a decision, eight of which ended in the first round.

I'm going to join you on the spy sub. I've been watched the zero tape. Yes, sir. But I love action on the opener and a plus 600. That just sounds like a tasty treat. Can this be our guy? Can Stephen Obi-Wan Shinoby the Pillow? Be our guy.

I don't know. We'll find out, I guess. But, you know, whatever. It's just a couple units that I'll throw on it. It'll be fine. A couple units, wow. I'm going to throw a unit on it. Wow, still.

I'm like exposed to like a quarter unit. I almost always just throw at least a unit on my bets. Because if it hits. It's just easier. If it hits. Uh-huh. It plays out. There it is.

There it is. That is UFC 282. I am on. Strap in, folks. Take a deep breath. We still have Bellator, by the way. Oh, yeah. Yeah.

We need to talk about those very quickly at the least. Very quickly. Things need to be done around this office. I say, yeah. We're running on time here. So let me just run it down. Let me just run it down. Magamette-on-Galive money line minus-184. Patty Pimblepment, money line minus 184.

Patty Pimblep, minus 3.5. Ponziomero, Morano over 2.5, minus 105. Driekis duplice-Til, fight does not go to a decision. Minus 170. Bryce Mitchell plus 130. Rosenstrike Daucus under 1.5, minus 115. Chris Curtis, money line plus 143. Chris Curtis Buckley under 2.5 plus 105. Billy Quarantio Moneyline, minus 160. Eric Silva money line plus 100.

De Silva Salvador under 1.5 minus 190. Stephen Coslow by submission plus 600. Stephen, Obi-1-Shinobe, the pillow Coslow by submission round 1 plus 1,400. That's it for UFC singles. Parley, the one that I really like. The Silva-Salvador fight does not go to a decision minus 650.

Rosenstrike, Dawkes fight does not go to a decision minus 410. Blaovich-on-Galive completes round 1 minus 400. That pays out at minus 1.2. 26, the D-Gen prop parlet. Simon Coslow fight doesn't go. Rosa's pairing over one and a half. Shabazi and Lugia Mbala doesn't go, plus 194. Brilliant.

Magamint, mine, R for the UFC, Magmint and Goliath by decision, plus 240. Jared Gordon on the fade, plus 210. Santiago, Ponziabial Alex Marano, over two and a half, minus 165. Trigas 2 plus C minus 180, Ilya, Ilya, minus 140. Sorry, Mitchell Tuporia, over two and a half, minus 135. I did add that bet in today during this.

I am considering fading J. Perrin. I am certainly on the over for Rosen Strike Dorcas at over 1.5, plus 130. Shabazzian inside the distance, minus 115. The Bulldog bet. The Bulldog, underdog, Wolfpack Wager. Chris Curtis plus 135. And then Salvador de Silva under one and a half. And I join my boy taking Kozlo Obi-Wan Shinobi the pillow by sub at plus 600.

That's the UFC rundown. Let's very quickly talk Bellator. Friday, things are happening. I've got three bets down. I know you've got one. I suspect I know what your one bet is. What do you think it is? There's a little guy.

There's the double Magamette. We've got a little guy named Magamette Magamette off fighting patchy mix in the feature bout of the evening. I'm going to guess, given your stance on Magameds, you're taking Magamemad. I love Magamad and I especially love a double Magamad.

Double Magamad. Twice is nice. I fear for him, man. I fear for him here. Patch makes it's a good fight, but minus 125, it's good price. Backpack,

backpack boys, much bigger. You're on, you're on double Magamette. But he's a Magamette. So yeah, double Magamette. Because look, you know, if for the rest of my life, I just bet every Magamad and all of their lines or minus 1.25, I would be a millionaire.

All right. All right. To win a half unit, I'm in. Love it. So that wasn't the bet you're on. Oh, okay. Interesting. So I'm on Magamad, for sure, easy game.

Because he's Magamad. How do you bet against him? Oh, Magammed? How can you bet against them? What am I doing? What was even thinking, not taking that bet? I don't even know. Ridulous.

I am also on Julianne Velazquez in the co-main event, rematch with Liz Carmoush. I don't feel great about this bet, but I feel good about it, if that makes sense. I know Carmush won their first fight. Carmuch is a veteran. Velazquez looked really good in that fight up until she lost. I think she didn't come back with a fire, and that fight is going to look like the parts she was winning and none of the parts that she ended up ultimately losing. I wish the price was maybe a touch better, but I wanted to have action.

down on the title fight. I took Falasquez. Do you have anything here? Are you on the main? I'm on the main. Well, I'm also on the main. So let's just move right on into it, buddy. Where are you out on the main? Stats? All day. Let's go. I was a little bit nervous that you were going to try and sell me on Sabatollah there. I mean, no, no, no. Look, Danny Saps is fun. You know, colorful, loud on the mic, et cetera. But he is very limited. He can only grapple. It's the only thing. and do and sure he's good at it but ravi and stats is better he's a better wrestler you're straight a better wrestler and a much better striker think this wildly favors him and the fact that the price is only minus 140 uh it's just far too tasty of a bet honestly one of my favorite bets of

the weekend is stats at that price i mean bro you're talking about uh this dude's level of competition is much higher than sabatelo and is one of the one of the first of the time you're loss is to Marab de Valsh Vili and it was a spinning back like it was a spinning back fist like we don't know how that fight actually would have gone like Sabatelo is or I mean Stotz is like a very accomplished fighter like not to take anything away from Sabatelo but I do just think he is he has a much more complete game I was honestly shocked at the price I thought Stats was going to be at least a minus 200 we're talking you know D2 national champion stops here D2 um I mean, Sabatelo essentially has...

Multiple times, sorry. Two D2-2-90 championships for Stats. Listen, Sabatelo has... However you feel about the personality, he at least has personality, and I love that in fighters, so I can't hate on the game. Like, I love the bleach blonde.

I love, like, the whole act, the way that he goes about things. But he does... Post-fight interviews are elite. Oh, yeah, dude. And if he wins, he'll get on the mic and it'll be fantastic. And, like, the whole, like,

Stats is a bitch thing that he's been riding this entire time. Like, it's great stuff. He does talk about, like, melting people's faces off and, like, getting them to the shadow around. I mean, he has, like, essentially no finishing chops at all. It's the best. I love it, honestly.

I'm a huge fan. I actually, like, if he's doing it as a bit, like, if he's doing it as a bit, like, he's just, like, he thinks it's funny, too, but, like, all of his Bellator fights have gone to a decision. When he was on the Contender Series, he went to a decision. Last six fights or whatever have gone to a decision. I mean, he has three knockouts, but like if you're looking at the level of competition, one guy was 0 and 2, another guy is 0 and 1, and then, is that it? Yeah.

Two and three, two and three. So everyone was under 500 that he's knocked out. Yeah, I mean, also, Irwin Rivera being his loss, as opposed to Stats is one loss, being Marab de Valshvili. there's a difference there you could say that there's a difference between those two things uh irwin revered they'd make it to the ufc though um yeah i mean i've i've got stats i've got thoughts i've got stats here i think he's got the more complete package i love it so there it is we've done it we did it dude we did it that's two eighty two that's bellator a little sprinkle of belator just

giving you our picks you know as always just a little bit extra free free of charge for the people um 90 minutes in the can. Gotta love it. I know we talked about setting up a Discord and charging for picks. And then we're like, that's just a, it's just not a good thing to do. Never, ever, ever will I charge for picks, dude.

One, I'm not good enough. And two, I just don't want that pressure. I do a Discord with people, picks, charging for people, not happening. Yeah. You know, it's probably a good choice. Take my bets, dude. If you lose,

or don't take them. They're free. They're going to be there either way. You don't have to take these bets. I promise you. When people come to me and they're like, I lost XYZ on your picks, I'm like,

no one made you take these bets, man. Yeah, I lost money on them too because they were my picks. Yeah, it's my favorite thing. Rough night at the office, C, B. It's just like, yeah, I know. I lost money. I, in fact, am aware.

Yeah. I am. aware of that man thank you uh thank you for reminding me i watched every single fight and sweat out every single bet uh oh but two days later you commenting that there it is i didn't realize i had a bad night at the office thanks for refreshing my number a lot of silence when i when when i'm hot though i mean not much you know a couple nice jobs here and there but it's mostly silence on that and that's neither here nor there we don't even get into that uh that's 282 next week next week the last ufc event of I'm not going to lie.

I can't wait. I'm looking forward to a little break. Give us a little lull in the action until we pick back up in January. Should be a good one. Demir is Magulov and Armin Sarukian on that card. I'm not going to lie. Jared Kananier versus Sean Strickland is

who's headlining. Just needed to confirm that. Top two fights the nights are sick. Can't wait. We got the battle. Battle of the Sayyids. Said Namadamadavara and Makamatov,

Saeed Akramanov. Uh, Lucas, pivotal. Must watch TV is what that is. That's the next week's problem. No. We'll get it to that then.

See you next week. Thanks for listening. Love you guys. Listening to the Vox Media Podcast Network.