MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Will Sean Strickland Pull Off A Miracle Against Israel Adesanya At UFC 293?

Episode Date: September 6, 2023

The No Bets Barred boys are back this week with a full breakdown of UFC 293, the promotion's return to Australia, headlined by a middleweight title fight between Israel Adesanya and Sean Strickland. C...o-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew kick things off with a brief recap of UFC Paris before diving into this week's fights. Does Strickland have any hope of pulling off a miracle against Adesanya? Can Tai Tuivasa get back on the winning track against Alexander Volkov? How will the rest of the Australian and New Zealand fighters fare on the night? All that and more are discussed on this week's episode. Tune in for episode 61 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two, ghosts in the machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster. The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?
Starting point is 00:00:46 The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. Support for this show comes from the Audible original The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible original blockbuster,
Starting point is 00:01:27 the downloaded. It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love? The downloaded two,
Starting point is 00:01:45 Ghosts in the Machine, available now, only from Audible. What is going on, y'all? We are back another edition of No Betts Barred this time. UFC 293. We're back in Australia, might. We return after
Starting point is 00:02:21 24 in February. I mean, we're back just seven short months later. It's good to be back down under. Jed, how are we feeling, brother? I'd be feeling a lot better if this card was better. I mean, right off the bat, we got to bring us down here. I mean, come on. I am. I'm bringing the negativity. We got Taduvasa. We got Israel to Sonia. We got the pleasure man. We got Carlos Olberg into the pleasure man. I mean, if you're ever going to get your girlfriend to sit down and watch a card with you, this is the one to do it. They're doing that on purpose. I think they're ending the prelims. The featured prelims is Carlos Solberg, straight into opening the pay-per-view with the pleasure man.
Starting point is 00:02:59 Ladies' night into the pleasure man is quite the one-two combo. I didn't even think of that. Million-and-bys. Million-bys. Well done for you. Well done for you, Connor. Yeah, I mean, this is a fight night card, masquerading as a pay-per-view. I saw a meme where it was where it took his.
Starting point is 00:03:21 Israel out of Sanya off of the card. And it was like, this could potentially be at the apex. Like, it wouldn't be out of the Rome possibility. If you took Israel out of Sanya off the card, it could be at the apex. I mean, if you took easy off the card, I think that this would just be, you know, at this would be a Perth card. You know, this would just not be a big pay-per-view. Just, you know, it's just their roadshow, which is fine.
Starting point is 00:03:46 But, and it shouldn't be negative because we had a lot of hits during the summer. So they can't all be winners. We also got quite a few hits coming this fall. I mean, the next two pay-per-views after this are nice. Yeah. So, you know, there's going to be a stinker in there every once in a while. And this one is it. But, like, honestly, as we get in, we're going to get into this card, Connor.
Starting point is 00:04:12 I have more bets than I should. And up front, I always tell you, never follow me or listen to me. I don't know what the hell I'm talking about. but I just went reaching because like half of these fights are just massive faiths or whatever. It's just there's you like some of the times you get something like this there can at least be competitive bouts.
Starting point is 00:04:35 Like oh that might be like a competitive meaningful fun. This is largely, hey, let's get you know, the hometown. Not even really the hometown because New Zealand and Australia aren't the same place. But like, let's get the Oceana fighters a dub in front of this Aussie crowd. So it'll be an interesting episode. I want to see if you have different thoughts than I do on most of these squashes.
Starting point is 00:05:01 I'm interested to hear what you have to say. UFC Paris, kind of a similar fashion, favorite sweep, which, I mean, you know that's going to be a good card for me. That was incredible. I mean, I'm a square chalk eating donkey loser. So, I mean, I ate. I mean, it was a great card for me. Only thing that killed me was Vulcan by K.O. And he got the club.
Starting point is 00:05:24 Yeah, that was brutal. I'm going to be honest with the listeners, man. That one hurt. That was a tough pill to swallow. And it wasn't like an anger or anything. Like, you're not like, it's not one of those just, like, frustrating pull your hair out bets. It's just kind of like, when it happened, like, I'm like screaming.
Starting point is 00:05:43 I'm like, no, not the sub, not the sub. And like when I realized it was done, like, I just like fell back in my seat and disbelief. Like I was like, I can't, I'm speechless right now. I can't believe that happened. Yeah, I can because we talked about it. We're like, what, he has one. He has one in his career and it happened a billion years ago. That could never be us.
Starting point is 00:06:04 Could never happen again. Never. We tempted the fates and that's what happens. These plus money plays that like I always go for, like the amount of times that they've just been so close Zhang by sub plus 600. I mean, had her back, I think, three times throughout the fight. I was on K.O. and round one plus 305 for Vulcan. I mean, the Ryan Span had the gilly twice in that first round in the Krilov fight.
Starting point is 00:06:30 Like, it's just like, and listen, I'll give it credit where credit is due. It gets the heartbeat. It definitely gets the heart beaten. Like when he caught Guskov in the first round, I was like, oh, my God, this is going to be it. Like, we're finally going to hit one of these big plus money plays. We're going to get them both two in the first round. Wasn't meant to be. Still had a good night, though.
Starting point is 00:06:46 Still had a good night. Yeah, I had a small winning night. I took a couple of underdogs, and as you astutely pointed out, none of those won, zero underdogs winning. But we managed to pull it out with a couple of other bets. Nothing major unit and some change. So grinding. Grinding.
Starting point is 00:07:06 I mean, that's what you got to do. I mean, that's better than a losing night. And it's only a matter of time before we have a big winning week. I think that there's a real chance that I'm going to have a losing night this week. Wow. When you're going into it, I was just like, I don't know. I took some reaches. And, you know, because it's like, do I want to, I can look at this card and see,
Starting point is 00:07:30 okay, I could just be a chalk donkey and just be like, let's just take all these favorites and parlay them up. And don't worry, ladies and gentlemen, I do have a chalk donkey parlay. But the rest was like, all right, let's try and, you know, let's seek the value. you let's find some tighter lines and I can just see a couple of these being like oh you called k a round one a no that's gonna they we made it to round two and then there's a loser and just adding those up very quickly so we'll see how it goes uh all right let's dive right in UFC 293 the promotion returns to Sydney this time around and uh we have the middleweight championship on the line
Starting point is 00:08:09 israela assana taking on Sean Strickland You know, kind of a odd circumstance surrounding the fight. Obviously, DDP, not available to turn around as quickly as he did from the 290 cards. So, Sean Strickland steps in. And right now you can have Israel out of sunny for the short price tag of minus 650. Sean Strickland coming back at plus 470. You alluded, you teased last week. You might be talking yourself into Sean Strickland. Have you fully gotten there? No, I didn't get there. I want to be. clear. I wasn't talking myself into Sean Strickland because I think I see something in the tape or that this is a, you know, he can surprise people. It was purely a man, it'd be pretty
Starting point is 00:08:55 funny if Sean Strickland won. It might not be. Two and funny bets. Like DDP and Sean O'Malley, you're two and up. Exactly. And that's the thing. I kind of like so you got to know when you're flying too close to the sun, you know and this, I think that this would be
Starting point is 00:09:11 me, at least in those ones I could see how it happened. Like there was a story I could tell myself. In this one, the story I can tell myself is, Izzy rolls his ankle, like stepping into the cage or something. Like,
Starting point is 00:09:25 yeah, like it's an actual thing. Because the thing that really sold me, I might have just been able to pull the trigger on it, except for like this week, Strickland's own coaching staff comes out and is like, it was a really bad match for us on paper. And like,
Starting point is 00:09:41 okay, so I'm not even sure y'all believe. leave he can do this. Like, I have to write a piece for, for the website for our ownfinding. com great website this week. Uh, you know,
Starting point is 00:09:51 outlining like how Sean Strickland can win. And I got to tell you, uh, leg kicks is all I got. And that's not even like a winning method for him. That's just a way he can score some. So, uh,
Starting point is 00:10:04 I am, I'm a bit torn on whether Izzy looks like tremendous in this fight. You know, whether this is, This could be Paul O'Costa. This could be Jared Cannonier. Like, I could see it being either of those two fights from Izzy. I lean slightly more towards the Paulo Costa, but I don't,
Starting point is 00:10:24 Izzy's not Alex Pereira. He is not going to just, like, one hitter obliterate Sean Strickland like Pereira did. So I think that this is going to be a little bit more flashy Izzy, you know, having some fun in there. Maybe gets a KOT, KO late, but I don't think it's going to go early. I've taken Izzy as a parley piece and a big chalky parley and bet's not up yet but I'm going to take Izzy by points because this is either a 50-45 or a TKO finish so that's that's where I'm at on this. Yeah so right now you're looking at around like a plus 120 to plus 130 range for Adisania wins by decision. That's kind of the tricky part and then Adisania wins by KOTKO plus 115.
Starting point is 00:11:08 So, like, you're kind of just, like, choosing the battle you want, you want to go with there. And I'm sort of with you. I don't know if it. Maybe. I don't know if it looks like the Palo Costa fight. I don't know if it looks like the Jared Canaanir fight. Neither would surprise me. Like, when you come down and you break down the matchup, yeah, I mean, it just isn't a favorable matchup here for Sean Strickland.
Starting point is 00:11:32 Like, if they stand in strike for 25 minutes, Izzy is almost. positively going to win that fight. And then if he goes to the wrestling, like, one, I have no idea if he's going to do that. I mean, he didn't do it with Alex Pereira. He says he would stand and strike again with Alex Pereira. Like, he, you know, is just down to get in there and rumble. And I wouldn't be surprised if he just stays standing for 25 minutes. Does he have the power to knock, is he out?
Starting point is 00:12:03 I mean, he doesn't have, like, the clean one-hit, K-O power like Alex Pereira does, so I just doubt he's going to knock Israel out of Sanya out. If he goes to the grappling, like, does he even have the chops to, like, score three rounds using the grappling? Like, it's not like Israel out of Sonia is a complete fish out of water. Like, he has solid takedown defense. He has a good get-up game. Over, like, the amount of time he's spent in the UFC, we've really only seen, like, what, Marvin Vittori and Jan Blahovic, upper weight class really have success. going to the wrestling against Israel Adasania. And then, I mean, when you just talk about the wealth of experience between these guys,
Starting point is 00:12:46 like Adasanya has fought the best of the best time and time again. Sean Strickland, when he gets into that contendership realm, Alex Brerner, knocked out in the first round. Jared Cannoneer, a very close split decision that he ended up losing. Like, I was asking someone else earlier this week. Like, who's the best win for Sean Strickland at 185? Jack Hermanson? Oh, this is a good question.
Starting point is 00:13:10 Well, I mean, the obvious answer is Aboos, because that's what got him the title shot here. Yeah, I guess. But like, is that, like, is, do we even know anything about A Boost to, like, confirm that that's his best one? No, no, that was just me, me cracking lies about how that goes. I think his best win is your eye haul. Okay. Your, because that was your eye haul at the time, like, when, oh, your eye hall may have finally. figured it out. He was on that big winning streak. He'd beaten Anderson Silva. The
Starting point is 00:13:40 Widman injury situation, obviously weird, but it looked for a minute like your eye haul might finally be putting the pieces together. So in the context of that, I think it's your eye haul. If you're just looking at who's the best fighter he's ever beaten, it probably is Jackermanson. So yeah, it's one of those two dudes. Though I will say the Brendan Allen win is aging tremendously. I did see that. I was like, oh, yeah, that looks nice now. That looks nice now. Yeah, it's aging really well. But yeah, man, at the end of the day. I think it's still on Saturday. I think as he gets it done, maybe late finish. I think I'm with you. I think I lean points, but I'm just going to use them as an anchor in a couple parlays, which is also clutch.
Starting point is 00:14:30 if you start getting some jitters, if you start getting nervous about the money line, if you have them anchored throughout, and your parley's make it to the main event, I mean, just like Valentina, easy hedge out spot, because I'm not going to be surprised if Sean Strickland is plus 500
Starting point is 00:14:44 come fight time. I imagine most people that are just casually betting this, casually watching, throw lob old Adasania into their parlay. So I imagine the line's going to move a little bit more. But yeah, I think this is going to be in still. And then we move on.
Starting point is 00:15:03 And then it's the DDP matchup and we can get really excited about that. I mean, is it? Is it? I know. Now, Dana's coming out and he's just like, yeah, I don't like when people don't take fights. It would be really dumb, but, you know, Hamzok gets a dub over Paulo Costa. Fuck. Maybe it was going to happen in any sport.
Starting point is 00:15:24 If it was going to happen in any sport, it would be this one. It would. I don't like it when guys take fights. you're the jackass who set him to fight two months before. What did you think was going to have? It's an absolute dog. Yeah. What do you think was going to happen?
Starting point is 00:15:38 That fight went about as good as it could go for DDP. And like it still was a bit of a battle, like went into the second round and everything. Like that's as good as it. Like that could have ended up being. A two-month turnaround for a professional fighter. That's what I'm saying. Like that could have also ended up being like a just like dog-out war that DDP wins like a split decision by. Like they could have been.
Starting point is 00:15:59 much worse for DDPs camp. Yeah. Last thing I want to say about this fight is this is maybe the best example I've ever seen of how stats in MMA just aren't there yet. Because if you look at the stats on this fight, Sean Strickland is ahead in almost every category, which is wild. And he has no chance to win. And statistically, he should dominate this bout.
Starting point is 00:16:26 One last thing I do have to say is you always talk. about it with the greatest champions. Just how defensively sound Adasani is, I think is going to play a huge factor in this fight. Statistically, Sean Strickland better defensively on the feet. Incredible. But yeah, I mean, Strickland just can't generate real offense in this fight. It's really tough to win when you don't have a viable path to offense.
Starting point is 00:16:54 Listen, if Strickton pulls this off, the hilarity continues. because I'm an Otisanya fan. I always openly admit I am a newer fan to the MMA scene. Adasania was one of the first guys that really got me into it. But, God, it would be absolute insanity if Sean Strickson gets the belt put around his waist on Saturday night. It would be the best. I would enjoy it a tremendous amount.
Starting point is 00:17:23 I'd have a hard time not enjoying it, because it would just be so ridiculous. Yeah, I want to be clear. I'm, I am rooting for Sean Strickland to win by hook or by crook. Like, I simply do not care how it happens. And it will blow up my polo and probably cost me a, you know, decent chunk of money. I want it to happen because the, the humor is, is the most important. Yeah, I mean, 2020 will go down as like the most ridiculous. The funniest year. Just the funniest year. Marshall's buyers travel far and wide, hustling for great deals on amazing gifts.
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Starting point is 00:18:30 Our special selection has something for every style and price point. Visit our Holtz holiday shop and store or online at Holtrenfrew.com. All right, let's keep it rolling to the co-main event, heavyweight bout. Taito Ivasa fighting in his home country, fighting in Sydney. Taking on Alexander Volkov right now. Volkov, the big favorite. You can get him for the price of minus to 50 to Evasa coming back. at plus 205.
Starting point is 00:19:01 I got a fever, Jed. I got a fever. Do you? And the cure is a tight to we've got to have some knockout. I mean, we've been doing this for well over a year now, like 60 some odd episodes. I had a feeling. I suspected. I got a fever.
Starting point is 00:19:25 And the cure is a tie to we've off. a knockout. Took it against Sergei Pavlovich, got made to look silly. We'll be going right back to the well against Volkov. If I get made to look silly, I am completely okay with that. Half unit plus 295. Nice little payout if it happens. But there is no way, Jed.
Starting point is 00:19:47 There is absolutely no way in hell. I am parlaying up Volkov, doing whatever with Volkov. And then sitting there on Saturday night if Tai Taitouyevasa does get a knockout in front of the home Australian crowd gets up on that fence and does a shooey over my dead betting body, I will not, I will not stand for that. In my opinion, the KO is live. I mean, his last two opponents were incredibly tough opponents, Cyril Gan and Sergey Pavlovich. I mean, going into that Serogon fight, we were kind of sitting there like, wow, like, Tai Taitoibasa just kind of shot up the ranks here. He's now a top five heavyweight,
Starting point is 00:20:24 And if he beats Zero Gone, like, you have to begin the discussion about him getting a title shot at this point. Obviously, neither of those fights go his way. Almost feels like Volkov is a step back. Now, I understand the problems that are presented here, massive size advantage, like fights, smart. Like, we've seen him against the best of the best in the heavyweight division. And he's been knocked out once, like, in the last 10 years of his career. And it was by Derek Lewis, like, essentially at the bell. I understand all that.
Starting point is 00:20:54 Tuvasa's got a brickhead. He can cut off the range, get inside, and knock him out. That's what I'm praying for. That's what I'm hoping for. I think I think that that's reasonable. Vokov plots. He's not Seorgon. He can't, you know, just Tori Adore his way around and not allow Tuivasa to get his shots
Starting point is 00:21:17 off. And, I mean, hell, Tuivasa even almost managed to pull it off against gone. Have you seen the flow Tuivasa's got too? I hate to interrupt, but that's something that has to factor into this. He's growing out the lettuce a little bit, and it looks five stars. It looks just fantastic. Interesting. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:21:36 I feel like trying to think of other times people grew out the flow, and I was like, that's, that makes you better. Because I distinctly remember Frankie Edgar growing out the flow and getting obliterated, and it was a tough scene. I mean, if you just, listen, I'm not talking about it's down to his shoulders, but he's got a nice set of hair on him right now. Like, if you just go and look at his latest Instagram post, there's some sort of, like, foggy. Like, he looks like a model. Like, it just looks so good, man.
Starting point is 00:22:05 I'll pull this up while I give you my official breakdown. Yeah, got a little bit. Just a little bit of lettuce going on there. So I think that this is totally reasonable. I'm on Ty Toe I Vasa at the Underdog. I'm not taking the K.O. prop. Smart. It was only, like, 50.
Starting point is 00:22:23 the extra points. And even though Tai Tuivasa has one win that isn't by Kio, do you happen to know who that is? That was a decision against Andrei Arlowski. It's absolutely true. It's the weirdest thing that Andrea Olavski was the dude he couldn't put away.
Starting point is 00:22:40 So, I think by far the most likely outcome if Tuivasa wins is the knockout, but wasn't getting a lot of extra points and it's just easier. So I and I'll be honest. I think a lot of my head says the Volkov probably should win this.
Starting point is 00:22:57 He's looked really great, shown great form his last couple outings. Like you said, really durable. He's got the length. He's up to his offense, which is important. But Tuovas really durable. I'm not taking anything away from him getting knocked out by Sergey Pavlovich. Because apparently, Sergei Pavlovich could knock out a hippo if you let him punch it. It just seems to be what that man's hands are made of.
Starting point is 00:23:19 So I think that this is very live. And I'd be lying if I said, I knew you'd be on Tuivasa. Was I, I'm not going to support you? We're going to go against you with Volkov? That would be bad. That would be bad friendship. If you're on Volkov this week, I don't know. I don't know what to tell you.
Starting point is 00:23:37 I mean, yeah, you might win. I mean, the odds say it's much more likely that you do win, but the fun bet. How are you going to feel about yourself, though, you know? Oh, my gosh. If Tai Tuivasa wins and you're on Volkov, you are just going to be sitting in just shit, Stu. Like, you're just going to hate it. You're going to hate everyone's going to be having so much fun. He's going to jump up on the cage.
Starting point is 00:23:57 He's going to crush a shooey. We're going to get a great post-fight interview. It's going to be fantastic. And you're just going to be sitting there just like, why? Why did I bet on Volkov? Or Volkov wins, you know, the non-fun route. The non-fun route. I will also say, I don't recommend this, but I doubled up on tie
Starting point is 00:24:17 because I also have him in a two-leg parlay that no way. should follow on. You parlayed up, Ty? Sure did. It's a gimmick parlay, but it had to be done. Okay. All right. Yeah. Listen, I understand. I mean, it did. It had to be done. Heavyweight overs. Oh, no, those are dead. Oh, no. Those officially died in Paris, France. 2023 Paris, France, Cyril gone. Wow. I thought for a shining moment that there was a chance because the fight was clearly not going to go Sergei's way, but I thought maybe God might not put the hammer down, and then he just started doing that weird standing.
Starting point is 00:24:59 Like an actual hammer down. Yeah, like an actual like chipping with an ice pick. And it was like, well, there it goes. So heavyweight overs, rest in peace. January 20, January 1st, whatever the first event of the year, 23 to September, whatever this was. September 4th. Listen, man, I guess, I guess flyweight, I guess heavyweight,
Starting point is 00:25:23 flyweight unders can't exist without heavyweight overs. Same thing, vice versa. It was like the, it's like the couple, the elderly couple that when like the husband dies, the wife dies six months later. Broken heart syndrome. Yeah, just can't live the broken heart. Heavyweight overs were doing great until Flywood unders died. And then they just fell off a cliff.
Starting point is 00:25:43 Chat GPT, killing it though, 10 and 5. Shout out to the robots. Do we have one on this card? We do. We have one on this card. And maybe next week, it depends. I have a new gimmick bet that I'll be employing. Yes, yes, we're all.
Starting point is 00:26:01 Not this week, but to replace heavyweight overs, I have been crunching the numbers. It's a science. You know, we've got to, I want to see what the science says. So science seems to believe in the robots. We'll see what else science is. believes in next week. We are all anxiously awaiting the reveal of the next game. Let's keep it rolling. Still on the main card, men's flyway belt, about Manel Cop taking on Felipe dos Santos. Stepping in on short notice for
Starting point is 00:26:26 Kai Carre France. Right now, you can have Manel Cop 4.4.10, Felipe dos Santos coming back at plus 320. Yeah, I mean, this is a tough ask for Felipe dos Santos. Yeah, it is. He's at seven pro five. one of them being in LFA. He's also a child. I was going to say he's 22 years old. Now he's being asked to fly across the entire world on three weeks notice. And here you go.
Starting point is 00:27:00 Congrats your prize is an absolute killer in Minel Kopp. Like the dude is just going back and watching some of the tape. Like he, for a flyway, man, this dude is violent. Finish 16. of his 18 wins. And then when you just look at, like, his resume, when he was in Risen, like, fought the best of the best over there. Like, even if you just look at the dude's losses,
Starting point is 00:27:22 like he made his UFC debut against now champion Alejandro Pantosia. Mateus Nicolao, who's number six in the division right now. When he was in Raleigh, yeah, dude. And when he was in Risen, lost the Kiyoji Hora Gucci, Kai Asakora, who he later avenged that loss. Like, dude has fought the best of the best. like it kind of feels like he's pretty mad like everyone just keeps dropping out on dude like he is just ready to get in the octagon and earn his title shot like i think he wants wants another shot
Starting point is 00:27:54 at a Alejandro pentosa and now you're giving him a shootbox guy who like i feel like it's just going to be super game but i just don't feel like his game is there yet uh and i just feel like they're going to go at it and manel cop is likely to finish Felipe de los Santos yeah i agree um I will say, so I've got him in the parlay with Adasagna and one more leg because I believe in it. I will say this is the piece that feels the most dangerous because Cop has stumbled occasionally. It's coming into really, really good opposition, but things can get a little wonky at flyweight, particularly. You know, the other side of everything you just said here is, well, yes, Benel Cop, an enormous step-up in competition for Felipe Dos Santos, et cetera. a huge opportunity.
Starting point is 00:28:44 22 years old can jump can jump right into the top 10 with a dub here. It's insane. I don't think it's going to happen. I really like cop. I like cops since back in Verizon and I think he's one of the best guys in the world and he's just had a string of bad luck.
Starting point is 00:29:03 A couple of odd performances, a split decision that, you know, this is a split decision. And then he just hasn't had the opportunity to fight dudes. like his resume right now, the last like a couple of years. I mean, just think about Manel Cop's place right now. Comes off the David Dvorak win, which is a fine that's I think Dvorak's ranked in the UFC. It's supposed to get Alex Perez who's a top 10 guy.
Starting point is 00:29:27 Perez falls out. Supposed to get Davidson Figurado, who's former champion, you know, if he beats Figgies, probably getting a title shot. Oh, for sure. Figgy falls out. Supposed to get Kai Kar-Frenz. Just fought for a title. You know, if he beats Kikar Frenz, he's probably.
Starting point is 00:29:42 getting a title shot. Guy got our friends falls out and now it's here. So it's he just can't seem to catch a break and he's going to take all that energy out on poor Felipe dosanto. So I mean just go back three years like we're supposed to fight Rogario Bonterine.
Starting point is 00:30:00 Bontherine pulls out. We're supposed to fight Alejandro Panthosia. Pantosia pulls out. Was supposed to fight Sumadarji? Cop actually had to pull out of that one. who's supposed to fight Rogario Bonterine again. Bontherine pulled out. Like, the dude has had... It's been a tough run. Six opponents pull out in the last three years,
Starting point is 00:30:19 and all of them would, had he won, would have gotten him significantly closer to a title shot. And like half of them would have just gotten him a title shot. Yeah. Yeah. It is unfortunate, so excited to see him back. Are you betting him? Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 00:30:34 I got him in a parley piece and I have him inside the distance. What's that inside the distance number at? I got a minus, it was like minus 150. Oh, wow. Wow, I got this one at minus 115. I mean, I'm seeing minus 170.
Starting point is 00:30:50 So the line has moved a lot. Wow. So, yeah. I mean, I felt pretty good in that when I was placing the bet. Yeah, still feel pretty good about it now. I guess like worst case scenario is like Felipe de los Santos is just like
Starting point is 00:31:02 disgustingly tough. Could be real durable. Who knows? Yeah. Or he pulls off the magic. Or he pulls off the magic. And he just absolutely. skyrockets his career.
Starting point is 00:31:11 If that happens, I'll go on the record right now. Philippe de Santos pulls off the magic, something screwy is going on, and we'll be betting Sean Strickland. Because my parlay will already be dead with Izzy, and so then we'll be betting Sean Strickland. I like that. I like that. All right, let's keep your rolling main card, heavyweight bow. Justin Toffa taking on Austin Lane right now, you can have Toffa.
Starting point is 00:31:35 for minus 218 Austin Lane coming back at plus 180. I don't know how you feel about the side. I'm not playing a side in this one, just like a wildly volatile matchup. We broke it down a couple months ago. To me, this is just a get-or-get-got matchup. I mean, you saw how they came out before the eye poke. I know it was only for like 45 seconds,
Starting point is 00:31:59 but I think this is just two big old dudes getting in there to chuck them. Both of them have only ever won by KO, neither has ever completed a takedown in the UFC. I mean, they've both been knocked out. If you look at the numbers, Austin Lane, 13 of 15 under the one and a half, Tafah, six of nine under the one and a half. They have 17 combined first round finishes in their careers. Even if you go back to their amateur careers, six amateur fights all ending by knockout. Yeah, I mean, this just feels like two heavyweights going. in there and just
Starting point is 00:32:34 throwing them. Someone's getting dropped. I'm on the under one and a half and the it's actually fight doesn't, instead of fight doesn't go to a decision, I took fight ends by KOTKO as a parlay piece. What was the difference in those lines? Monstrous.
Starting point is 00:32:52 It was on Bet Rivers. Don't know if anyone has that available in the area. We do have it in New York, New Jersey, but it was like minus 600. It doesn't go to a decision. It ends by KO. minus 340 or something. Yeah, it was a no-brainer. I mean, yeah, no-brainer. I am on a side.
Starting point is 00:33:07 First, let me just say, if they had to die, I'm glad heavyweight overs died before this week because I did not. It's a tough one to get around, too. Did not love looking at the two heavyweight fights on this and be like, all right, let's clock the over on them. Fortunately, I'm not in on this. Look, you're right, we broke this down, you know,
Starting point is 00:33:28 however many weeks ago that was at UFC Jacksonville. and I believe at that time I took Austin Lane. However, the math has changed, Connor, because part of taking Austin Lane was that he was a former Jacksonville Jaguar was basically a homecoming fight for him. Not technically, but basically a home. So we took it.
Starting point is 00:33:49 Now you got Justin Taffa who, look, Justin Taffa, as I said at the top of things, he is not, no, Justin Tava is Australian, so basically a homecoming fight for him. We're golden. You got to take the change. Wow. I'm taking Tafa, but because the line even grew a little bit bigger on Tafa, didn't like that.
Starting point is 00:34:10 I liked everything you said in your breakdown, and we decided to go for the pure spike. This is Justin Tafa, KO, round one prop bet at the just brilliant bet of plus 170. Oh, plus 170, exacta, and the round. Love that. I love that. I have to say, just brilliant work by you, brilliant research to have the wherewithal to pivot, knowing that Tafel was fighting in Jacksonville. That makes all the difference.
Starting point is 00:34:41 I mean, it was the easiest bet on earth. Now they flipped the script completely and they head to Tatha's hometown. I mean, this is just like, wow. NFL season's about to kick off. You know, home games, the line swings by six points. Oh, yeah. The line has swung. We are fully on Taffa here.
Starting point is 00:35:00 Great work. If you think I'm betting against an Australian on this card, you got another thing going, guys. Did I bet against a single Australian? I may have bet against. Yeah, bet against one. Oh, let me think of who you bet against. I did not. So, interesting.
Starting point is 00:35:22 Okay, let's figure this out then. Yeah, I mean, let's just get right into it. It's the very next fight main card, Tyson Pedro. taking on the pleasure man, Anton Terkali, baby. He's so disappointed in you. The Swedish man returns to the Octagon after facing two defeats right now. Basically pick them, whoever you want in this one. Go ahead and take a stab at them because you're getting coin flip odds on this one.
Starting point is 00:35:49 Minus 105 Tyson Pedro, minus 115, Anton Terkali. I take you're on Pedro. I am, and not just me, Connor. The machines are on Tyson. Whoa, you left this one to the bots. I did. It was, you know, it's a coin flip fight, and those are the fights I prefer to choose Chad GPT.
Starting point is 00:36:12 You know, I won't lie. My heart wanted it to be Pedro, but looking at it, there are a lot of reasons to think it's Tercoli who's going to get it done. So let me just give you the brief rundown on what Chat ChpT says. Please.
Starting point is 00:36:24 Midway through the first round, Pedro found his opening. Unleashed a powerful combination that Baxter collie against the cage, sensing danger Tricoli shoots for a takedown. Pedro sprawls as a testament to his improved takedown defense and grappling. He seizes the opportunity, gets a front headlock and transitions to the back where he gets an R&C first round submission win for Tyson Pedro. And so on the basis of that one, we've taken Tyson Pedro.
Starting point is 00:36:50 I got him up even money plus 100. I'm also taking Tyson Pedro. by round one sub, just a little sprinkle at plus 800 just to see if that hits. And then as I mentioned earlier, I have a parley that no one should tail me on. Look, I don't know if you, I don't know what you're up to in the podcasting realm. But Tyson Pedro co-hosts a podcast with Tai Tui Vasa. You think I'm not going to pick the half-cast podcast parlay? There's not a world in which I'm not going to bet the half-cast podcast parlay.
Starting point is 00:37:23 It rolls right off the tongue, Connor. The Halfcast Podcast Parlay. Plus 500. We have three bets down on Tyson Pager. Wow. The exposure. The exposure is on the man that just got defeated by Modestis, but Calcus. As I said at the very beginning of this show, Connor, I see a world where I lose money this week.
Starting point is 00:37:49 Respect to you, respect to you, man. I mean, I went the other way. Not heavy. I can promise you it's not heavy. But I mean, I'm rocking with the pleasure man, dude. I mean, if you look at his, listen, I know he's oint two. Everyone knows that he's owing to. If you're a fan of the UFC, you know the pleasure man. You know that he's owing too. But the first two matchups, he got Jailton Almeida, who, I mean, I don't need to go into Jailton Almeida. I mean, that is my guy of all guys. That's a tough matchup. And then Petrino is not easy either, man. Undefeated as well. Like I want to say he's fought two. badass Brazilians with a combined record of like 28 and 2. The absolute killers. Survived the Patrino fight. Had a couple of good moments in that one. Listen, don't expect any sort of...
Starting point is 00:38:37 He's undefeated against, you know, non-Brazilians, which is... That's a good point. That is a very good point by you. Yeah, I mean, don't expect, like, you know, a technical warfare from this one. Don't expect, like, you know... If Terkali loses... If Tricali loses by the exact way that you just laid it out, I would in no way be surprised. This fight is like, whatever side you're on, just get ready for it to be hilarious and don't expect to get your money back.
Starting point is 00:39:05 Like, there's a chance that this fight just gets absolutely outrageous. If we're going to like things that I actually do like, I like the cardio advantage for Tricotli. If he can survive the first round, which I'm going to say that he can after making it through 15 minutes with Petrino. who has seven wins by finish out of his nine, I think he can survive the first round with Pedro. And then once we get there, he can push the pace. He can really light this thing up. But yeah, in terms of expectations of getting money back on this one,
Starting point is 00:39:41 I mean, I'm just supporting the pleasure man to support the pleasure man. It's just that easy. This might be my last shot at it. If he loses this one, he might be out of the UFC. This might be my last shot at it. So get in while the getting's good. If you lose this one, he very likely is out of the UFC. I'll say, had I, you, had I done enough research, I didn't, you did more, had I thought about the ladies night pleasure man, we could have done that parlay instead, because that's a pretty good parlay as well.
Starting point is 00:40:09 I mean, yeah, I'm on both of them, though. I will say that. I mean, we might as well be the magic mic parlay, whatever you want to call it. I mean, it's a great one. I will be on both of them, though. So you know who I'm supporting. come Saturday. Always.
Starting point is 00:40:24 Well, let's talk about that fight. Let's jump into the prelims, Manlight Heavyweight bout, Carlos Olberg taking on Da on Jung. Right now you can have Carlos Oldberg for minus 270, Da on Jung coming back at plus 220. So last week I got talked about it, I was like, man, it's kind of surprising to see him as that big of a favorite.
Starting point is 00:40:42 And then I dived into the tape. Dove into the tape? I think it's dove, yeah. Then I dove into the tape. And like for some reason, my mind is like blocked out every one of Don Jung's fights except for the Kennedy in Zuchukwu fight. I don't know why. I just always go back to that in my head. I remember exactly where I was. I was on Kennedy. I lost first round knockout. I was like, man, this Don Jung guy is tough. Big knockout power. I mean, how powerful is he if Kennedy ate a million of Olberg shots? And then that's all it took him to. to get Kennedy out of there. I mean, he must just be a Superman. Then I go back and watch the Justin Jacoby fight, first round knockout, and then go back and you watch the most recent
Starting point is 00:41:32 performance. And that took me back, for real, for real. The Devin Clark performance for Don Jung was certainly not anything to write home about. And then on the flip side, Carlos Oldberg, I mean, you can doubt him all you want, but like, he has been looking very good these last few fights. If they stay and stand, which I'm inclined to believe that they're going to, the only time Don Jung has really gone for takedowns was that William Knight fight. I believe he has nine UFC takedowns, eight of them coming in that William Knight fight. I imagine they're going to stand and bang, and I have to favor Carla Solberg here to get it done. I think ladies a night gets his hand raised.
Starting point is 00:42:15 I agree wholeheartedly. I, like you, kind of thought this line looked a little large. I think part of me just awkwardly conflates Carlos Olberg and Blood Diamond as the same fighter. And they're not. It's just like, yeah, kind of like the CBK guy that it's just like, oh, or KB guy. Yeah, the other KKB guy who kickboxes, but one of them's really bad. And one of them is. Actually pretty good.
Starting point is 00:42:42 And, like, had he not completely blown his love? in the Kennedy fight, like we're talking about an undefeated fighter who's 6 and 0 in the UFC. Yeah, exactly. And I mean, the Kennedy fight, MMA math does say Don Junk's going to win this, but I, the other thing I, the Dustin Jacoby fight for Don John was like, oh, yeah, look, like Jacoby just kind of killed you. Like he just was a better kickboxer and blew his doors off. And I think Carlos Elberg's better kickboxer didn't like the price.
Starting point is 00:43:13 so I took Ulberg by K.O. minus 140. I mean, if he's going to get it done, it's likely going to be by knockout. He's really likely that it's by knockout. Three straight first round knockouts for bro. Like he, I mean, the Negamariano won too. Like, yeah. Nikolai Negamaryano doesn't really get knocked out, i.e., he's only ever been knocked out by Carlos Alberg.
Starting point is 00:43:34 So dude has got power. He's fast. He's fighting at home. I like this matchup for him. If you're on Don Jung, I mean, this is definitely the, the, the, high low spot for sure, especially after that Devin Clark fight. That one, that one gave me PTSD. I remember, I think I had Don Jung and a parlay in that one, and it was just like dead from
Starting point is 00:43:52 the second he got out there. I was just like, shish. Kind of feel like he needs to wrestle to win this one. Yeah, very much so. We'll see if he does it. I think at this ending, he is in a very precarious position. Hit pause on whatever you're listening to and hit play on your next adventure. This fall get double points on.
Starting point is 00:44:13 every qualified stay. Life's the trip. Make the most of it at Best Western. Visit bestwestern.com for complete terms and conditions. Hi, I'm Sophia Loper Carroll, host of the Before the Chorus podcast. We dive into the life experiences behind the music we love. Artists of all genres are welcome. And I've been joined by some pretty amazing folks like glass animals. I guess that was the idea was to try something personal and see what happened. And Japanese breakfast. I thought that the most surprising thing I could offer was an album about joy. You can listen wherever you get your podcasts. Oh, and remember, so much happens before the chorus. We will see if he does it. Let's keep it rolling. Featherweight bout. Jack Jenkins taking on Chepe Mariscal. Right now,
Starting point is 00:44:59 you can have Jack Jenkins minus 205 Jose Mariscale, Chepe Mariscow coming back at plus 170. You said you're not betting against any Australians. What do we got in this one? nothing. This is the first fight of the evening I have nothing on. I only have two more fights, two more bets on the card, and then one bet that I, I think, wisely talked myself out of. So I got nothing on this one, and I won't pretend like I dove into Cheppe demerzcal to check the tape. I know he's got the Trevor Peek win, but that's the extent of what I know about this young man, and thus I did not feel compelled to bet this fight. Yeah, I mean, the Trevor Peekwin was wildly impressive to step in like that, you know, showed great toughness in that one.
Starting point is 00:45:45 But, man, I just feel like these are just two apo-taco matchups. Like, I mean, Trevor Peak is just wild, just going to be crazy when he gets in there. I feel like Jack Jenkins is much more technical. We use the leg kicks. We'll be patient and the striking. And I also think that he can mix in the wrestling. I know we saw Mariscow do it against Trevor Peak. But, I mean, I think Jack Jenkins can go to the wrestling here.
Starting point is 00:46:04 I did watch some tape back in the in the Sean Soriano fight, Mariscale. got laid on for a decent amount of that one. Jack Jenkins fighting at home. I think he's going to need to make some adjustments after the Jamal Emmer's fight. Obviously, a contested decision in that one, but he's still young, and I think he gets a hand raised here.
Starting point is 00:46:25 I just took him as a single minus 185. If Mariscal makes me pay twice, it is what it is. Yeah, that sounds like a great breakdown. All right, let's keep it rolling. Lightweight bout. Jamie Malarkey taking on John McDessie, and right now you can have Jamie Malarkey for minus 265 MacDessie coming back at plus 215. How about this one? Any action for you here, Jed? I am on this fight, and as I stated, not betting it against any of these dudes.
Starting point is 00:47:00 Give me one of them, why would I do it? Not betting Malarkey straight. Breakdown here for me is pretty simple. I do think McDessie has been sort of an underrated journeyman, if that's fine. I don't really know if that makes sense, but just a dude who's always, always very durable, always in there. Malarkey coming off the perplexing performance against Mohamed Naimov getting just gassed up like that, after beating the hell out of Francisco Prado, who looks like you might have a little juice to him. So all that being said, still taking him.
Starting point is 00:47:41 Still, he's a much bigger dude than McDessie, which is a huge, huge benefit for him. I think you can just mix martial arts a little bit better than John McDessie at this point in his career. The hometown can give him a little extra juice. But like I said, McDessie, pretty good, pretty durable. Only been finished three times. All three of those were by dudes who are better finishers than Jamie Malarkey is.
Starting point is 00:48:04 So I'm taking Malarkey by decision. at plus 110. I like that, man. I mean, Jamie Malarkey is just Jekyll and Hyde, dude. Like some fights, the Devante Smith fight, dog. Can look amazing. Just like fought through it, comes back in the second round, gets the finish. I was on him there, like plus 130.
Starting point is 00:48:25 I was like, I love this guy. Then, like, he fights Nymov and, like, he's looking great until he ain't, until he is just put out, man. I mean, he's, he really is just like you're not entirely sure the guy you're going to get in there. And it is a little bit worrisome that it was three months ago that he got blasted in that one. But I am with you. I played him on Saturday and the line was much more favorable. I mean, I still think he gets it done though.
Starting point is 00:48:55 Nine-year age differential for, for malarkey, he's going to have six inches or reach. Like a weight class of size different differential? Yeah, four inches of height. I know Magdesi has dealt with bigger fighters. I mean, Ignacio Bahamondez, I know he got the dub there. But, yeah, I mean, I just feel like Malarkey bounces back. I think he uses the physical advantages to get this one done in front of the home crowd. And I likely think it does come by way at decision as well.
Starting point is 00:49:23 Yeah, I think that he's going to get enough takedowns, just kind of use that physicality. There is also the argument, you know, if you don't trust Malarkey's chin, which I can completely understand that. Maxi doesn't have any knockouts since 2015. It's been a long time. That's the other part that gives me some level of confidence here. Yeah, you can't feel super confident on malarkey just because he is so mercurial. And there's a world where we're sweating this heavy come like four. It's one of those ones where there's two and a half minutes left in the third round and they're like, anybody's fight.
Starting point is 00:49:56 Someone's got a new something big here. And yeah, and you're just like holding on by the seat of your pants. and you're like, oh, shit, what are we going to get here? Yeah, so we'll see. But Malarkey by Decision Plus 110. All right, let's keep it rolling to a lightweight bout. Nasrot, Hackparas, taken on Landon, Kinones. Brilliant matchmaking here from the UFC.
Starting point is 00:50:22 Hockperas, minus 470, Kinones, plus 360. So I don't know how much tough you watch. I don't know if you were. I watched the one episode that I was on. This was the one episode. This was no. Not this one. Oh.
Starting point is 00:50:34 I watched the one episode you couldn't, you were not able to be there for. Obviously, I watched every single episode. I was Don in the Blue Tank Top every single week. Who else down the blue tank top? Landing Kinones. He took on Jason Knight in the very first round, got knocked, not knocked out, got subbed in the very first minute of that fight, Jason Knight. Is that good?
Starting point is 00:50:57 Jason Knight, not even the eventual winner, not even eventual finalist. Yeah, I mean, not a great look. for Landon Canaanis, but it earned him in a UFC contract. He's now fighting the big dogs, obviously this one, on short notice for him, and Nasrott was supposed to fight last week. So now he's got to go across the world on like two and a half weeks notice and fight a dude who is essentially his same age, but he's got 10 UFC fights under his belt. just not I mean I get like just to to give Nasrott a fight but I just am perplexed by
Starting point is 00:51:34 by him getting a UFC contract and and this matchmaking here I just feel like Nasrod is is going to have him beat pretty much everywhere yeah that's absolutely correct so this is the final leg in my three days oh do it to me is he Manel and Nasrod yeah I got it too that's just the chalked on square just like Vegas is like Oh, yeah, that's a loser. Go ahead. They're just, like, rubbing their hands together because I'm on that too. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:52:05 It didn't take a genius to put that one together. They're just, ah, here are the three, I think the three biggest favorites on the card. You know what I did? I think I just lied to you. I think I just lied to you. I have Menel Cop and Izzy in a parlay, and then I have Nasrod, Adasania, and Raoul Roses to next week. I'm sorry. They're all parlay pieces, though.
Starting point is 00:52:25 So if one loses them, I'm dead anyway. Oh, makes sense. You know, all interchangeable. But yeah, Canona is, if you're getting tapped by Jason Knight in the tough house, I don't think you're going to beat Nazad Hock Prost, who's like, you know, top 30 lightweight in the world. He's only lost to, like, very good fighters. So straightforward here. I think Nasrod has a good day.
Starting point is 00:52:47 Honestly, wish that we had swapped these two matchups. I know Hock Prost and Milarke had been previously booked against each other and that fell apart. think that that would be a fight I'd be a little a lot, I mean, not a little, a lot more interested in would be Malarkey Hawk Prost than McDessie Canones, but The interest here for me is same thing as Felipe de los Santos.
Starting point is 00:53:10 If Kinones pose it off, it's an insane story. Yeah, true. If he gets it done, then can't win tough but beats a top 30 dude the way. Can't make it to the 7th. second minute of the first round of tough but beats the top 30 lightweight.
Starting point is 00:53:31 I mean, that would be incredible on short notice across the world. We would need to pull in the wonderful A. K. Lee, Tough historian to check this out. I'm sure it's not the fastest anyone has been eliminated from Tough, but it's got to be on the short list. I mean, a first minute of the first fight loss, not many people in the history of tough have lost that show quicker. Yeah, it's not great. But, uh, tall task ahead of them, but man, you talk about opportunities.
Starting point is 00:54:03 It's knocking at the door for landing canones, because if he pulls this off, life-changing type stuff. Let's keep it rolling. Welterweight belt blood diamond taking on Chuck Buffalo, Charlie Radke. Another life-changing fight right here. You can get Radkei, minus 310. Blood Diamond coming back plus 250. Yeah, I just don't really have much interest in betting this one. I mean, Chuck Buffalo should probably win.
Starting point is 00:54:33 He should probably just go for takedowns and go for submission, but watching his previous fights, like he doesn't go for a ton of takedowns. I mean, if it stays standing for like 10 minutes, like Blood Diamond is incredibly live. But I just, I have no trust in, in either of these fighters at their current price tags. So I'm just going to stay away. I talked myself out of betting this one because I want to be clear.
Starting point is 00:55:03 I did not do any research into Chuck Buffalo. I just don't like the vibes. And I was like, Blood Diamond plus 280 and I don't like the vibes. Talk yourself into it. I was like, that would be very dumb. I should not do the very, very dumb thing. I've done a lot of dumb things already. If Blood Diamond comes out here and win and I'm not holding it plus 280, take it, I'll be sad.
Starting point is 00:55:25 But yeah. I saw Blood Diamond by knockout of like plus 450. I really, really considered it. Never got around to it, though. I just, because there's just a world where he just gets taken down from the jump and it's just like a no nonsense, just nothing fight. And Chuck Buffalo good standards. Do you have to say, nickname battle, this is up there. Blood Diamond versus Chuck Buffalo.
Starting point is 00:55:48 That's something you tell the grandkids about. It's a very, very good nickname battle. But yeah, like you astutely pointed out, the problem is he's not very good happy, so I can't bet blood time. Solid striker. He's had some good striking moments in the Orion Sose fight, but there's just no guarantee that it's going to be a striking battle. This is mixed martial arts. So just a pass for me. Next up, featherweight bout.
Starting point is 00:56:15 Shane Young taking on Gabriel Miranda right now, Shane Young, minus. 166, Gabriel and Amanda coming back, plus 140. So another one, like, just kind of choose your battle here. Do you want to trust the guy who's getting close to minus 200 who is on a three-fight losing streak who arguably hasn't won around since 2019? Or do you want to trust the guy who's essentially fought nobody in his win condition is almost exclusively submission? I decided I don't want to trust either of them with my dollar bills. So I just passed on this one. Do you have any action here?
Starting point is 00:56:59 I do not, which brings us to the final fight, the first fight of the evening. And that's a welterway bout. Kevin Jocet taking on Keefe for Crosby right now. Is Kevin Jocet French? Is he actually French? Yes, I believe he is French, but he trained out of... But he's a CKB guy. TKB, correct.
Starting point is 00:57:16 Let's say, we just did Paris. Why are we not? That's what a lot of people say. I got it. But it is, Kevin just said, minus 155, Kiefer Crosby taking on the plus 130 price tag. Kind of feel like Jessette gets it done. Don't have a ton of confidence in that. He's pretty low volume.
Starting point is 00:57:34 Like, he's had a couple five rounders on the regional scene that ended in split decisions. Just because there was like sort of a lack of action from the Jessette side. Then, like, Kiefer Crosby, like, how into this game is he? Like he was in Bellator for a minute. Then, like, his most recent fight was in Kingpin, the boxing organization. He beat Aaron Chalmers and King. Yeah, yeah, he beat Aaron Chalmers and King Ben. And the win before that was against, like, a washed, washed Alex Oliva.
Starting point is 00:58:06 Like, Alex Olivaire looked like he just didn't even want to know part of that. So, yeah, again, like these... Oh, my, this has to be pre-you. His win before that is Brian Lone Joe. Oh my God. In case it wasn't clear, I did not do, I knew I wasn't going to bet this, so I didn't look at either these dudes in the slightest. Man, Brian Lojo, that's a name I haven't heard in a long time. Since July of 2022, when he took on Keeper Crosby at Centauron Fight Championship?
Starting point is 00:58:40 No. Brian Lojo was like a pride jobber. He's 1613 and 3. Yeah, he was like a jobber in WRIZE. rings like super deep cut and this student beat him in the year of our Lord. He actually, he retired Brian Loanojo at the ripe age of 46. Dude, I might have to bet against Keefer Krosby just on principle. Two of his last three fights are Ray Charles.
Starting point is 00:59:13 And Joe. Oh, my God. Don't forget. Like when he fought Cowboy Oliver. Oliver was done with his career. Oh, God, what are the odds? I'm going to bet this is just for the gags. Kevin just said, you're on the team, buddy.
Starting point is 00:59:32 Minus 155, Kevin just said. I don't have any regrets about what I'm about to do right now. I can't believe I haven't thought of Brian Lowe and Joe in 10 years. This is incredible. Yeah, honestly, if you look at it, Like, he really hasn't fought much of anybody. No shit. I mean, it is, it's Slim Pickens for Big Dog.
Starting point is 01:00:00 It is not, it is not great. But, like, I don't know. I don't know if I can trust you said. I'm just staying away from the first three fights. I mean, look, that's just way smarter, but this is way funnier. This is a throw it on the side TV and wake me up when Nasrots making the walk, and then we can really get going. Shouts to Big Daddy.
Starting point is 01:00:19 Love. Love what you're doing with your career. Big Daddy. I'm a huge supporter, but I'll be taking Jessette on principle. Big Daddy, great nickname. It's a great nickname. Shout out to Kevin just said. So that's that.
Starting point is 01:00:32 UFC 293. In the books. 12 fights. Nice and tight. Nice and tight. Really wish this was going to be like an early start time. It would have been, look, if this was an early start time, this would earn a coveted Mushul and Star because it's not.
Starting point is 01:00:49 it doesn't earn any stars. It's a zero star card. But, you know, we might have some fun. And then next week, Connor, round two. Are you coming for revenge or what? Valentina Shepchenko, like a minus 2.15 favorite to Alexa Grasso. There's a much better price than I got her at last time. You're not wrong.
Starting point is 01:01:11 You're not wrong. Your boy? There's a couple. There's a couple bets that I'm going to. have to take i'm already on him jack delamadeladelina underdog odds jasmine jazzovicious underdog odds uh yeah i mean well that's that's the extent of the fights that matter um a couple of frum it was probably fun uh yeah i have to bet against tracy cortez sad day for me uh yeah i guess we'll get to that next week that's for next week we will this week is all about australia baby
Starting point is 01:01:48 there is like a nice Mexican parlay that you can cook up for next week obviously Probably gonna do that Yeah I mean like a Mexican favorite parley Yeah We'll we'll have some fun But that is for next week
Starting point is 01:02:03 UFC 293 Sydney That was a terrible attempt at an Australian accent Every time I try accents As soon as it leaves my mouth I'm like What regret that I do that I'm such a bug herb Anyway
Starting point is 01:02:17 next week UFC what are they calling it Noce UFC Noce UFC Let's go talk to you
Starting point is 01:02:27 today Mike Love y'all The Vox Media Media Podcast Network Network

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