Modern Wisdom - #238 - Reeves Wiedeman - The Catastrophic Story Of WeWork
Episode Date: October 29, 2020Reeves Wiedeman is an author and a Contributing Editor for New York Magazine. At one point, WeWork was one of the world's highest ever valued private companies. Now it's in free fall. Expect to learn ...why WeWork was so overvalued, where it got all it's capital from, the fundamental flaw in the business model, how personality & charm can overcome objections, what we can learn from Silicon Valley's biggest failures and much more... Sponsor: Get Surfshark VPN at https://surfshark.deals/MODERNWISDOM (Enter promo code MODERNWISDOM for 83% off and 3 Months Free) Extra Stuff: Buy Billion Dollar Loser - https://amzn.to/33Nn2lI Follow Reeves on Twitter - https://twitter.com/reeveswiedeman Get my free Ultimate Life Hacks List to 10x your daily productivity → https://chriswillx.com/lifehacks/ To support me on Patreon (thank you): https://www.patreon.com/modernwisdom - Get in touch. Join the discussion with me and other like minded listeners in the episode comments on the MW YouTube Channel or message me... Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/ModernWisdomPodcast Email: https://www.chriswillx.com/contact Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Oh, yes, hello people in podcast land. Welcome back.
My guest today is Reeves Wideman, and we are talking about the catastrophic downfall of WeWork.
At one point, WeWork was one of the world's highest ever valued private companies.
Now, it's in freefall.
So today, expect to learn why WeWork was so overvalued, where it got all its capital from,
the fundamental floor in the business model,
how personality and charm can overcome objections,
what we can learn from Silicon Valley's biggest failures,
and much more.
I've spent a fair bit of time learning about we work
in Adam Newman, the X CEO over the last couple of years,
and to get this sort of, there's something so compelling
about it, I really don't know what it is, but I hope that you find it as interesting and enjoyable as I did.
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But for now, it's time to learn about the slow motion car crash that was...we work. What have you spent the last couple of years researching?
Well I've spent about the last year and a half researching we work the company and the last few years researching sort of the
world of I guess high growth unicorn startups is one way of putting it some of
which have flamed out in one way or another and some of which are still with us
so. Is we work classed as one of those unicorns and what is a unicorn for
people that don't live in Silicon And what is a unicorn for people
that don't live in Silicon Valley?
What's a unicorn?
Sure, sure.
Well, there's unicorns, there's zebra's,
there's all kinds of different species now,
but a unicorn very simply is a company
that according to private valuations
set by private investors is worth more than a billion dollars.
And you know, there are now certainly more than a hundred of these kinds of companies
and we work, despite all the struggles, remains one of those.
Those companies that are unicorns, are they still private or of some of those transition
to now be traded?
Yeah, the typical way it sort of looked at is these are magical creatures.
They exist outside of the way the markets traditionally treat these companies.
So unicorns are generally companies that are private before they hit the stock market.
And then you no longer are unicorn once you do?
You're not.
I don't know what you transform into exactly
in the Silicon Valley, no culture,
but it's sort of like a caterpillar butterfly thing,
but I don't know what the next transformation is.
If anyone understands the Pokemon game
that is Silicon Valley sufficiently well,
what does the unicorn evolve? It's Charizard, isn't it? Charizard.
Charizard. And then you get the shiny one, and then that's everyone at school once you,
Cards.
Well, you're joking, I think, but truthfully, there is another group called a Decaquon. And a Decaquon is an even rarer breed of company
that has a private valuation above $10 billion.
And we work was one of those.
I guess that is actually a qualification
that the company has now lost.
Who else is in that category of the old Deca Conde, you know?
You know, I'd have to think. I mean, Airbnb is one that is, is sort of going public, has said
they're going public soon. I think Palantir, which also went public recently, is another one that
would have classified. It's a pretty small group and it has traditionally been
kind of the biggest companies, the Ubers, the Lifts and the WeWorks that reach that kind of threshold.
Have you had a look at much to do with the electric scooter,
lime and bird and all of this? There was a period towards a start of last year
where they were doubling their valuation every six weeks,
like all of them.
Yeah, well, and here in the US,
they seem to find a new city to occupy every few weeks.
And yeah, I mean, those are the kinds of companies
that we're talking about.
And I think one of them, I'm forgetting exactly what I think Bird may have at one point had a
billion dollar valuation, which is, I mean, you know, if you want to kind of summarize the
last decade, a billion dollar scooter company that didn't exist a few years ago is, which,
by the way, I was recently in Nashville, Tennessee, and tried to get a bird scooter.
I think technically I was trying to get a lime scooter going.
They're birds, they're limes,
there's like five or six different companies in all these cities,
and I could not get the app going,
could not get the scooter to stop chirping at me,
and eventually just gave up on it.
So it's unclear exactly what the billion dollar valuation is worth.
There's some executive from Bird and Lime screaming into their air pods at the moment going,
it was your fault. This was another system. We tested it until the cows come home.
Yeah, well, unfortunately, the scooter is no good without the human to get on it.
So I guess maybe take the app back.
Back to the lab.
It's interesting with that just to linger on that scooter.
The thing for a second as well.
It really does show how decoupled valuation
has come from marketability.
There are entire cities that have outlawed these scooters.
I think as it's San Francisco had decided that they were going to permit one or two scooter
companies at a time to trial because they didn't want overload.
It's like, right, here's the six-week window where everyone can have a go on a line.
Here's the six-week window where everyone can have a go on a bird.
Yeah, that's right. I live in New York City where they aren't allowed. It's been a political
back and forth of, do we want these scooters cluttering up our sidewalks? The battle we've
had there recently, or the back and forth,, there's now multiple kinds of scooters.
We have these scooters called Rebels, which are,
you actually sit back, it's almost sort of like a Vespa
and electric Vespa.
And several people have died.
And the companies shut down for a while,
but then they kind of brush it off
and sort of continue expanding.
So it is, the scooter wars are sort of an interesting
and weird dynamic that's now
in pretty much every city at this point.
I can see you are an equivalently talented writer
coming up with a really interesting book
about that in maybe five years.
Once we have a little bit more story arc about all of this.
It's such a like Pokemon Power Rangers battle of the sort of weird novelty personal locomotion
world.
Right.
And which one's going to win, you know?
And what's the difference between them?
And it is, I mean, it's actually
is something I've thought about.
And I think one of the interesting things
about a lot of these kinds of companies,
some of the ones we're talking about,
but the scooter one specifically is these are Silicon Valley
startups that are taking that kind of ethos
and bringing it into the real physical world.
Like this is not a piece of software that just exists
somewhere.
This is suddenly their scooters all over my city. And there's good parts of that, and there's bad parts of that,
and you can argue both sides. I, despite the story I just told you, have enjoyed writing these scooters
in other situations, and I think there may be a very good argument for them, but they do put
these companies in kind of an interesting place that they weren't in 10 years ago, which is that Silicon Valley startups typically preferred to kind of choose to
believe that the real world was sort of over there and that they didn't necessarily have
to think about how they're whatever they were working on sort of what affected had on
the broader world beyond whatever they wanted to do. And now these companies are having to deal with city councils and
politicians and local businesses. Real shit. Yeah, real shit. And I remember, I, one of
the first of these companies I wrote about was Uber, back in 2017. And this was when Travis Kalanick, the founder of Uber,
was around the time that he was ousted from the company.
The company was going through all this terminal.
I remember talking to an advisor who the company had hired,
who sort of his job was to kind of help start up to deal with politics.
And he was so frustrated that all of these companies just wanted to believe
that they could go into any of these cities, do whatever they want because in their view
they were making it better and not realize that they're now part of an ecosystem and
that while there are great things about Uber, about scooters, about we work, you know, when
you get into the physical world you're suddenly dealing with more than just bits and data. So that's a lovely open loop into the story of WeWork, isn't it?
Where do we begin? What's the people who are listening don't have a clue what WeWork is.
They've probably gone past them in the street, the sign, but maybe haven't realized,
them in the street, the sign, but maybe I haven't realized, give us the, whatever it's called, the Clifnotes on your work as a company. Well, in a nice loop, the story really begins,
I mean, given the era that we're in, it begins in the last recession, it begins in kind of 2008
when Adam Newman, who was one of the co-founders of WeWork, along with Miguel McElvie and Architect,
was one of the co-founders of WeWork, along with Miguel McElvie and Architect.
Long story short, got together and decided to,
they wanted to make what was basically
an office leasing company.
And they were both sort of had worked
in small businesses.
Miguel had worked at a small architecture firm.
He had also worked at a tech startup before.
And Adam had a few of his own businesses.
And they've been written about before.
So much humorously, one of them was a baby clothes business where the main feature of the
product was that they had a knee pads.
The idea was that babies when they crawl their knees must hurt even if they can't speak
and tell adults that their knees hurt.
It didn't quite work, but it did become a real baby-close business.
And you try to few other things.
And so, you know, in sort of the depths of the recession in 2008,
when, you know, companies were crumbling,
they started this business to lease out, just basically take a space, cut
it up into smaller pieces and lease it out to people.
And it worked great.
And there are all kinds of reasons that it worked great.
They built a nice space.
People at that time were looking for community, you were getting laid off from your job, and
maybe you were starting to freelance, and you wanted a place to go, which I think we can all kind of empathize with now, even though we're sort of dealing with a
different set of circumstances.
So that's sort of where the business began and then from there it grew pretty steadily and then eventually, pretty exponentially,
to become a global office-based business,
operating more or less under the same principles,
that then morphed into other things.
It morphed into becoming a tech company,
or aspiring to become a tech company.
It morphed into becoming what Adam
went to call a community company
that we worked with not in the business of real estate,
but they were in the business of bringing people together.
And under that umbrella,
the we work eventually had apartments.
They had a gym, they had an elementary school,
and all manner of other kind of business lines
that were eventually assembled under a mission
statement that the company revealed that the beginning of last
year, which is to elevate the world's consciousness, which we
can dive into what exactly that means.
That's actually a question that I asked Adam New and himself.
But that's sort of the long story of the rise of we work.
And then the short version, I guess,
and the short version of the fall is that the company tried to go public.
The stock market looked at a company that had all of
those things that I just talked about that made some money,
but also lost $2 billion in 2018 alone and decided that
this was not a good business, frankly, and that it didn't have faith in the business
and in pretty much the most spectacular IPO failure anyone can remember the company.
Pulled its IPO, Adam Newman was pushed out and he is sort of spending his days at the moment
while surfing and waiting for a payout and seeing kind of what happens next, but that's
the short...
That's the cliff notes versions of the book I just wrote. I do. I mean, I've watched before reading your book, I'd watched a bunch of different videos
that have been done on it.
The guy's name is going to escape me.
Australian dude, YouTuber, who does some really great, again, everyone's just going to
be screaming down their air pods at me.
It'll come to me. Anyway, I noticed over the last two years or so, quite a lot of high profile YouTubers
who are interested in this sort of stuff, documenting this slow motion, third trimester
car crash that is the we work kind of downfall.
Just before we go about, I want to get into Adam Neumings, I think he's kind of the
crook store of this. What actually happened with the IPO? Like, did
you need like a particular amount of interest before you go public? Why was it a failure?
Yeah, well, you know, the public often thinks of IPOs of like, oh, am I going to invest
in this? And is this going to be the next apple? And is this going to pay for for my kids college education? An IPO is very specifically, company needs money and they need to raise it
and in we work's case they were trying to raise $3 billion. As part of these IPO road shows,
which is what all these companies are doing now, although they don't actually go on the road anymore,
is they go around to investors,
they give them a document, it's called an S1,
it's a document that's filed with the SEC
in the United States,
and then they give them a presentation,
they say here's how our business works,
they're supposed to be honest and forthcoming
about some of the potential problems.
And then investors have to decide whether or not they want to invest.
And this is going to, this is going to institutions, some place like Fidelity that might be able
to invest a billion dollars on its own if it wanted to into an IPO of this size.
And essentially what happened is for a variety of reasons, and we can talk about them,
investors just decided that the company wasn't worth what it said it was, and there wasn't
enough interest.
And so, eventually, once it was clear, we weren't going to be able to raise the $3 billion
or at least that there was a danger that it wouldn't get there for a handful of reasons
they decided to pull it.
How would you describe Adam Newman as a person in a CEO?
Two different questions, but they are related. Charismatic,
outgoing, very tall. He's 65, which is often noted, but I think is not an insignificant thing
for someone like him whose charm, encouragement, personality, and vision were what people were
buying as much as they were buying sort of the numbers that were behind the business. As a CEO, the thing people always talk about
was that he is that,
that he was someone who could get into a room,
and that might be a room with potential investors.
It might be a room with a landlord,
he was trying to make a deal with,
and it might be a room with his employees,
and that he was able to make a deal with. And it might be a room with his employees and that he was able to convince them
that what he was selling would become true,
that this vision of we work as much more
than an office leasing company was possible
and that they were actually building that.
And I think that was,
whatever people want to say about them, he was an incredibly inspirational leader.
And that went for young people who were straight out of college, as much as it did for sort of mid-career people who came in and saw something to kind of latch onto.
something to kind of latch on to. I mean Billy McFarland from Five Festival was a very charismatic and outgoing CEO. Indeed and for this book I called Billy in
prison. No way. Yeah. And we spoke briefly just as coronavirus was sort of hitting in the spring.
So it was obviously a tense moment for him.
And the reason I called him is that he launched his companies from WeWork offices.
He was a WeWork tenant.
And in fact, this sort of mild amount of news that we break in the book is that his company
before the fire fest, before fire, was called Magnesis.
And Magnesis was a sort of credit card club access kind of company, basically a lifestyle
company.
And at one point, Magnesis had a WeWork office in New York, and Billy had met Adam a number
of times.
He sort of talked to me about how, at least the way that he thinks of thought of his
companies as at least at their higher aspiration as connecting people.
He saw that vision in Adam and sort of what he was selling.
And at one point, we work in Magnesis,
we're in talks, we were in talks to buy Magnesis.
It would sort of be the lifestyle component
to go along with the WeWork work component.
Unfortunately, Billy and his company trashed a townhouse
where they had a party in New York, the deal fell apart,
and the rest is history in multiple ways. Both Adam and
Billy went their separate directions, and I guess in a certain way they came back together
in the way that their stories ended a little bit.
I wonder what I would love to be a fly in the wall in a meeting between Adam Newman and
Billy McFarlane.
Did you ever see that podcast between Grant Cardone and the real
wolf of Wall Street?
Oh, I didn't.
Okay.
Well, it's like a big dick measuring competition.
They get them out on the table and they start wiggling them around and
then Grant Wiggles hears and then Wolf Wall Street Wiggles.
And it's just that.
And I imagine Billy McFarlane versus Adam Neumann
will do something similar.
Yeah, and I think, I mean, I remember watching
the Fire Festival documentaries, which I devoured.
And you know, you watch, at least for me, I would watch Billy,
and I would be like, this is the guy that was so charming
and charismatic, but then, you know,
and in some ways I had that feeling when I met Adam,
but of questioning this a little bit.
But then I think it's hard to know
when you sort of get into these rooms
and people also are incentivized to believe.
They want, you know, people wanted the fire festival
to happen.
People wanted we work to change the world,
to make it a better place.
So, you know, it's easy to think,
sort of look at this sort of skeptically,
but then I think when you get in the room,
there's a reason they appeal to people.
I think, I wonder if you agree,
that the same compulsion we all have
of why we watch the five festival documentary
and fell in love with that sort of thing where
you're kind of watching through your hands a little bit like how you watch a horror movie.
At a much more transparent and slower and significantly in terms of capital, bigger scale,
I think that's why we work has warranted a book written by yourself and all of these videos I've seen online
with hundreds of millions of plays and stuff like that.
Would you agree is that the primary pull,
like the reason that people are compelled
to look at we work?
Yeah, I think there's probably a variety of things.
Job rule plays a role in the WeWork story as well.
So he is also everywhere.
So he's everywhere.
He's everywhere.
He's everywhere.
And I'm good for him.
But I think there's more seriously, yeah.
I'd be curious to know what you think makes the fire
festival and WeWork, especially interesting.
But for me it's
you know one of it is there's a certain comeuppance that comes for people and and you know with with
we work you know I would imagine as you sort of said at the top like a lot of your listeners they
probably knew what we work was they they might have been to one or at least had heard of it but
they didn't really pay much attention to it.
And then same thing with the fire theft.
Most people didn't know what it was
until after it had blown up.
And then in hindsight, you see like,
uh-oh, like, jaw rules there.
And you tried to do this thing in however many weeks.
And of course, this wasn't going to work.
And so I think it is fun and
satisfying to and same thing with we work. You know you've got this tall haired guy who
smokes a lot of weed and serves a lot who started an elementary school in an office leasing
business. Of course this wasn't going to work and people were saying that along the way and
there were certainly people who, as they said,
that once it happened, they felt rewarded for their skepticism.
And then I think for the rest of us,
it's just kind of the enjoyment of watching a train wreck.
Yeah, it feels like vindication that someone has potentially got their cumupp and so I think that's part of it.
I wonder whether companies like Fire Festival and WeWork are latent pressure release valves
for all of our pent up distrust and dislike of other unicorny companies that we think like holy shit calm
calm meditation at
Thumbtack Thumbtile we being serious like do you know? I mean like all of these
Everybody knows that the big lie of Silicon Valley at the moment is that companies are being sold on this
limitless upside scalability
But not all of them are going to make it and yet all of them are being invested
in as if they are. And I think that particular instances like this are kind of the sacrificial
lamb to the slaughter that allows all of us to bestow our like distrust towards Silicon
Valley generally. It just happens to have fallen on Adam Newman and thingy McFarlane Schollers.
Yeah, I think that's right.
And I talked to a guy who ran a company that was sort of competitive with we work in the
early days.
And for a variety of reasons, you know, this guy's done fine for himself.
His business still exists.
He's done great.
He's very wealthy.
He didn't go on the kind of blitz scaled I'm going to take over the world path that Adam did.
And he talked to me about how, and this was, we spoke last spring when I was sort of reporting on the company before everything fell apart in the spring of 2019.
And he talked to me about how, you know, the reason he cared about this story was it felt like if Adam gets away with this,
then like, what are the rules?
Like, and what are the rules, frankly,
and this is like from a diehard capitalist
like worked in finance, went to business school,
he's like, he was basically saying,
what is capitalism good for?
If you can just kind of play fast and loose
with the rules, if the
whole goal is to grow big, not worry about consequences, then maybe this whole system
we've set up isn't actually as beneficial to society as I would hope it would be. And
that's not coming from Bernie Sanders, that's coming from a guy with an MBA. Yeah, 100% man. The last bastion that all capitalists, I'm one of them, have to stand at,
like we will make our stand here, is supply and demand. It's the fact that the market will
reflect the demand for a product. And there's only so far that you can get on hype and clout and just a charming
guy in a meeting. Eventually, you will run up against the market and it is a immovable
object. And if you're not an unstoppable force, the market's going to bum you. And it would
appear that that's what's happened with we work. So before we get onto the downward slope,
can you lay the landscape of just how vast that operation was
and can we also talk about the amount of wealth and investment
that they'd accrued, including that particular Asian investor?
Sure.
So by 2019, by the spring of 2019, when I when I started reporting on
on the company, I think in this first location opened in 2010, in in Soho and in New York City.
By 2019, they had more than 400, 30 plus countries, five different continents. They were just opening in Africa and in Johannesburg.
Hundreds of thousands of members, as they call them, not tenants. And the reason,
and by all accounts, as Adam Newman himself put it, and probably accurately,
this was the fastest physical expansion by any company ever.
And that's probably true.
He very coily said that he wasn't sure about Roman times and that there may have been
high growth startups in Roman times.
But it grew incredibly fast.
And the reason they were able to do that is because mainly on the
one hand, and I think it's worth giving credit where it's due, they provided something
that people wanted.
We work offices were cool.
They had good coffee.
You could meet cool people, flexible.
If you wanted to get out next month, you could do it.
You didn't have to sign a five, ten year lease.
There are all kinds of reasons that that's a problematic business model, but it was a thing
that the people wanted.
The other thing as you alluded to is that Adam Newman was extremely good at raising money.
And that started with him just kind of raising money from friends and family.
The first big round of investment was from benchmark, which is a big Silicon Valley firm.
They were the earliest major investor in Uber,
big early investor in Instagram,
and just kind of a classic Silicon Valley venture capital firm.
Was a big question of why they were exactly,
they were investing in this real estate company that
was not a tech company like the ones they typically invested in. But once that happened,
you went through a series of investors, some blue chip names, the JP Morgan, the Goldman
Sachs of the world, eventually getting to this point in 2016 when we work has has more or less tapped out
Most of the available sort of private money that you'd be able to get from from those banks in New York to the Silicon Valley firms
They had recently scored investment in China
But then what happened is that Adam met Masio Fusan And Masio Shisan, as he's known by pretty much everyone, Masa,
is a Japanese businessman. He runs a tech conglomerate called Softbank.
And Softbank has a long history. He founded the company in the 1980s.
He's written various waves in the tech boom from selling CDs and CD-ROMs
and floppy disks back when that's what you did up through doing a lot of work and getting
broadband in Japan and mobile technology.
What he did in 2016 is he created this thing called the Vision Fund. And the Vision Fund was a $100 billion venture capital
vehicle with various investors.
The most significant one by far was the government
of Saudi Arabia, which invested $45 billion of the $100 billion,
which invites all kinds of questions that we can talk about.
But the upshot of it was that Saudi Arabia was trying
to diversify its economy away from oil.
And Masa was someone who was known for taking big bets.
That's what he's done throughout his career
is being willing to take huge risks.
And frankly, in some cases, fall on his face and get back up and do it again.
And so he had promised to Saudi Arabia,
to some other entities, Apple, Foxconn,
were also investors in the fund,
that he was going to go out and find basically
the companies of the future.
He sort of talked about it as kind of building
a new version of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, where you
would have this kind of conglomerate of companies and instead of it being airlines and newspapers and
whatever else and trains, it was going to be tech companies and focus particularly on artificial
intelligence. And Masa had become very sort of obsessed with the singularity and the idea that
you would be, you know, harder to differentiate between
humans and robots and all the consequences that would happen there. And he stumbled onto
WeWork. And there, again, as with benchmark, there are all kinds of questions about why exactly Softbank decided
we work with a good investment as a firm that typically invests in tech companies.
But ultimately, Softbank invested initially more than $4 billion, which was more money than
we work had raised up to that point back in 2017.
And they followed that with another $2 billion
a year later.
And that was the money that really gave jet fuel
to we work's growth.
And at least in hindsight,
may have been sort of a sort of poison chalice
is one way to look at it that obviously
turning down something like that is
is hard to do, but it may have kind of pushed the company sort of over a cliff.
Taking it on Hayson's the arrival of the inevitable. Exactly, exactly, and it's yeah,
it's it's something you think you want, but you know, and again, this, this, I come up with other companies I wrote about, it's
hard to spend $4 billion.
It's hard to do that responsibly in any way that kind of makes sense, and there's certain
ways in which, you know, you can point out sort of individual, managerial missteps, but
in some ways, it's almost just an impossible task to do that in a way that would really make
sense. Wasn't it right that the Japanese investor whose name I'm not going to try because
I'm going to butcher it? Wasn't it right that he decided to invest after 15 minutes of
a meeting with Adam? Is that true? You know, it's more or less true. 28 minutes is what
they say. Yeah, the bait.
Yeah, and he is sort of known for doing that.
I talked to someone else who had a company
that self-bank invested in,
and that's basically what happened.
Is he had a 10 minute meeting with Masha.
Masha decided he wanted to invest.
What of course has sort of left out of all these stories
is after that decision, months
and months of due diligence is done, but what Masa himself has said over and over is
that often his feeling in that first moment when he meets an entrepreneur, his most successful
investment was he was one of the earliest investors in Alibaba, the sort of Chinese Amazon.
And he made that investment,
he's often said just basically
because he believed in Jack Ma, the entrepreneur.
He sort of described it in these kind of like primal terms
of just a feeling that he had as much as anything else.
So, you know, he's also said with the Vision Fund, he's
described his meeting with Mohammed bin Salman, the time soon to be Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia,
as it took him 45 minutes to raise 45 billion dollars. And so he clearly prides himself and in
some ways lives on this reputation of, I make calls and then and then I move on to the next one
That's mental
Like it's just
It sounds great and it's wonderful in a book and he's cool when tweeted online and hawks to
A man who has the vision vision fund a man who has the ability to see that which other
people cannot. I mean, like, mate, this isn't me trying to get the next motivational speaker
to work in the HR department of your company. This is me doing very, very complicated, multifaceted financial products that require the
most clinical dissection to work out what the hell is going on. And you're doing it based on whether
or not this person, but I could send one of the 18-year-olds that works for me in Club promo,
one of the event managers I've got who are just brimming with testosterone and charisma, send them in as they pretend someone of something
and this, so anyway, I think that lays the land quite nicely. We've got the fact that
this was huge growth that he had a lot of money behind him. Can you give the elevator pitch for how we
work made its money, like what the actual core of their money making operation was?
Sure. It was essentially a rent arbitrage. So the idea is they would go to a landlord, Lisa building, or a floor of a building. And they would
pay a certain amount of money to that landlord, let's say it's a hundred bucks. And then they
would then slice that office into that office up into a hundred little offices, rented out to a hundred people and each rented
out to them for a buck 50.
So then, you know, they're making 150 bucks.
That's essentially the business.
That's it.
It's as simple as that and it's frankly as old as time.
And that was what was so confusing to people.
Is that this is a business that existed before.
We work had made the offices cooler.
They had done an amazing job of branding, which is not insignificant.
But the idea of taking big spaces and cutting them up in a smaller office is something that
has happened all the time.
Regists, which is a company based out of Europe, is sort of the most prominent example.
And so that was kind of what was most confusing about people or two people who were skeptics
of it is, that's a tough business and it's a risky business because what happens and
we've seen this now, is what happens
when you hit a downturn.
And I think, if suddenly all 100 of your tenants
or even 50 of your tenants leave, then you're under water.
And if that happens at the scale that we work had grown,
that's going to be a problem.
And I think that's an underrated sort of part, or maybe under
considered part of the success of a lot of these unicorns over the past decade, is that the economy
did nothing but grow, basically from the 2008 recession, up until the pandemic that we're all
experiencing. By and large, it was an upward trajectory. And so none of these companies had to deal with kind of what had fallen or deal with doing business
in a difficult climate. So, you know, we worked tried to make money other ways. I mean, the
apartment business didn't quite work. The elementary school wasn't making money. You know,
they tried to get people to pay for extra printing,
but those are marginal things.
This is not a software business
where you're gonna be selling more and more services
the more and more you get people on your business.
Essentially, it just came down to renting out space
for a certain amount and hoping you could lease it out
to other people for more money.
Me and you could do that.
Me and you could, we could get whatever that nice apartment that you're in now with that
painting of a very majestic castle is.
This is, this is a wee work in Austria.
Like, me and you could do that.
And this really is like the elephant in the room, the crux of the story, that we work was positioning
itself as a tech company. It was billing itself as a tech company. It was telling people
it was a tech company, but it was the oldest of old time real estate. And it was just skimming
off the top, the difference between long lease versus short lease. And once you get below your minimum occupancy to hit break
even point, which is inherently risky when you allow this hyper flexible one month minimum,
no month minimum rolling contract bullshit. You are left holding 400 plus properties across
six continents, all of which can't be occupied during a pandemic,
which no one could foresee.
But you certainly could foresee if there is ever a downturn, if there's ever a reason for
people not to go to work or just generally a recession, our cost to going to go up and
our income is going to completely disappear off the face of the earth.
Yeah.
Yeah, I mean, to go back to your point like, yeah, you and I could run one of these
spaces. There are people like you and me who do them. They don't run 400 of them, you know?
And, and the, like, you know, I, you know, speaking for myself and others, you know, what Adam
Newman had partly was, was the same and why he and, and Masa from Softbank were sort of came so neatly together
is a very high risk tolerance and a willingness to sort of say this doesn't totally make sense,
but there's an argument for it, there's an argument that we can kind of make that this
might work.
And so, you know, there's a very thin line between, between, you know,
the kinds of risks that pay off and the ones that ends up with equal lapsing. And I think
some of this just comes down to temperament. And we start the book with a quote from Adam
Newman's high school driving instructor who, you know, recognized in kind of just the way that
he operated as a teenager, the thing that he said in a class in Israel where Adam grew up was,
was Adam's either going to be a millionaire or he's going to jail.
Like, those are the two options. There's no like nice steady Adam Newman work his way up the ranks at some job. He's a go big kind of person and the question was going to be whether he ended up being successful
with that risk or falling on his face.
Or both.
Or both.
And that's sort of the central irony here.
And I think a real central irony of a lot of this era, I mean, you can look around it at other examples. I mean,
I mean, Billy McFarlane's in prison. So, you know, he, I think he clearly has fallen on his face.
But for Adam, he's rich. He's going to be wealthy for the rest of his life. In theory, he has a
billion dollar package that's currently tied up in some legal maneuvering.
But, you know, the risk paid off for him personally
and he's gonna have some reputational sort of work to do,
but the risk paid off.
Take us through the downfall, what happened?
And also, it happened to be when you began reporting on them. Have you considered that?
I think that I played a very, very, very, very small role.
Pivotal. But I showed up a few days before Adam went on his 40th birthday party
around the world trip that ended up in the mall, Deves. He's a big surfer, as I've mentioned. And while they were there,
this was in April of 2019,
they decided to go public.
And this had been a thing they had been kind of tossing around,
but didn't want to do.
And Adam didn't want to do because if you have that temperament,
it's a lot easier to just be able to connect with Masha
and say,
we're going to go take this big risk. Once you become a public company, you have shareholders to
report to and you're going to have to explain why you're opening an elementary school.
And so from there, it was basically an extremely chaotic summer. A lot of the companies you're seeing going public now, the Airbnb's of
the world, they've been preparing for this for a long time. We work in in certain
ways had been there had been an early pre-massive moment where they
considered going public and very faithfully decided not to. But it was a sprint
and it was a sprint from April to the end of the summer when the company
released what's called an X1.
And the S1 is a document, is again this document that you send to the SEC and it has all this
information on how your business works basically that is meant to give to investors.
And sort of from the beginning, it was clear,
these documents are very boring documents.
They are pages and pages of charts and graphs
and disclosures in very small font.
In the beginning, the very first page,
I've just looked it up so I could read it for Baytum, the very first page of WeWorks version of this said,
we dedicate this to the energy of we, greater than any of us, but inside each of us.
Again, you can ask lots of questions about what that actually means. But the point is, if you're a financial investor
and that's the first thing you see, you're sort of like, huh?
And so then from there, it was a shockingly quick turn
of public opinion against the company.
And again, some of that was people finding out about Adam
and his quirks for the very first time and sort of being like, what the heck is going on here.
What sort of quirks? What sort of quirks?
The fact that he, in his wife, Rebecca, who who also sort of came into the company later on as sort of
an executive and was sort of the driving force behind the company.
The fact that they had so much control was one big thing and so much control that they
wanted to start an elementary school.
They didn't really tell many people about it
and it just kind of happened.
And so some of it was just sort of the control
that they had over the company,
but if you wanna talk about some of the weirder stuff,
and some of it's not weird,
in a fact, for one thing, Adam surfed a lot.
That's okay, lots of people like to surf a lot.
But we work was also invested in a wave pool company,
a company that made one of these kind of inland surfing
pools that are now becoming vaguely popular,
but didn't seem to have anything to do with
we work's business.
It came out sort of, you know,
was sort of an open secret that Adam smoked a lot of marijuana.
And that, again, in and of itself, not the strangest thing in the world, but when you
have, you know, the CEO of a company, sort of doing this as kind of regularly and openly
as he seemed to be, it led people to ask a lot of questions.
And then I think the main quirk, I guess,
to circle back to that sort of epigraph that I mentioned,
was just the way that he talked,
and the way that we worked talked about what they were doing,
and the fact that they talked,
they just wouldn't state the obvious, which is we're a real
estate company that insisted on saying, you know, we are elevating the world's consciousness,
that this is all about the energy of we and all of this stuff that I think, on the one
hand, I'm in favor of elevating the world's consciousness, whatever that may mean.
Sounds like it. I'm in favor of elevating the world's consciousness, whatever that may mean. Sounds lovely.
Yeah, the energy of we sounds like a good thing, but I think at a certain point it became clear
to people that it purposefully or not, it was distracting.
It was distracting from the actual reality of what was going on, which was we were
provide nice office space, but elevating the world's consciousness is
is not something that it does. Do you know the British term all talk and no trousers?
No but I can imagine what it means. That's Adam Neumann. This is again the corollary for Adam is
This is again, the corollary for Adam is, is, uh, I'll talk no shoes because he would walk around without
blank shoes. How did I guess? Um, I think that's another part of it. It's not only the comeuppance of an undeserved company overall, but it's someone in the Adam position who,
Someone in the Adam position who from the outside looking in has a number of things that the, especially like the normal working class guy or girl would find pretty difficult to
deal with.
Spending a lot of time surfing, spending a lot of time smoking weed, decides to employ his
wife probably on some ridiculous retain a package for someone who I'm sure that she has many talents, but I
bet that she's less qualified than many other people who could have got that job.
And then this wrapping in 2020 awakened, like Austin psychedelic language is the icing on a very twaty cake.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And I think it's, you know, getting, calling people on hypocrisy is almost tiresome because
there's so much of it.
But, but like, you know, never gets old, man.
Never gets old, man.
I guess so.
The, the, the, the, the newments. The newments talked constantly about making the world a better place.
They talked constantly about climate change and sustainability.
They flew all over the world on a private jet.
They had seven homes at least.
New homes kept emerging as I would continue doing this reporting.
They lived a very lavish lifestyle.
And again, I don't want to totally criticize that.
I like having nice things,
but you can't really have it both ways.
You can't say, I'm all I care about,
it's literally, Adam said, I want to change the world.
That's all I care about.
Well, no, clearly there, there are other things and very material things that, meanwhile, a lot of, a lot of your employees,
frankly, are not getting to benefit from. So, 100%. There's a couple of quotes, one in particular
that I really liked, hyperbole, autocrat leadership and a Disconnect from Reality were suddenly assets on the path to power.
And that really, in a sentence, I think, highlights the growth at any costs or growth at
by any means obsession that we've got coming out of this sort of angel investment world
from Silicon Valley.
And I tweeted something today, which said that the internet
has permitted sociopathic and charlatans
to con people at scale.
And it really does feel like there's a particular matrix,
framework that you would be able to create
for these people, the Billy McFarlane of this world,
the Adam Newman's of this world, it was Theranos Lady, Elizabeth Holmes.
The Elizabeth Holmes is of this world.
There is common threads between them all that weave them together into a particular type
of person.
And the scary thing is that all they needed was the right company. Like the key issue behind Elizabeth Holmes
from Theranos, from Adam at Newman from WeWork
and Billy McFarlane from Five Festival
is their product was shit.
Like fundamentally their businesses did not work.
But specifically with Theranos,
like you said it was going to do a thing and it didn't.
At least Adam Newman actually had offices.
They just weren't financially sustainable and they were the minimum occupancy was too high and
it was too risky. Bill and McFarlane did not deliver a festival. Elizabeth Holmes did not test
your blood. But between them all there's some common threads. So I want to get into the Theranos
story just a little bit because it's just fun.
Before we do that, what are the lessons that you think the world should take away from the
WeWork story? I've been thinking about this a lot, especially, you know, I started writing this book for the pandemic began. And we are in an era where for better or worse,
a new world is going to be built.
And Adam, maybe down to new worlds,
new things are gonna be built.
Frankly, more easily than they once were
because as with the Adam Newman WeWork story, he
built it out of the recession.
It wouldn't have worked if he had started it at another point.
He started it at this sort of trough when real estate prices were low and you could do
something kind of different.
And so we're at the beginning of some kind of new cycle. And I think as I look back on this story and this era, trying to figure
out the fine line between, I guess, to sort of take what you said, being charming and being
a charlatan is a crucial sort of radar for all of us to develop. And I don't, it's tricky to know which person
is going to fall on which kind of line.
But I think we can look at this in our politics,
in business, everywhere.
We've become more and more, I think, keen to follow
kind of charismatic leaders.
And there's no easy solution to solving that, but I think
being wary of charisma and thinking more about the numbers and the data behind anything
is something that we'd all do well to follow. I agree, man. It is the cult of personality is just so, so strong.
And I wonder how much social media is played into this.
Like previously, people who were famous or talented
or competent or whatever, they felt like so untouchable.
Like there were these angelic, symbolic, difficult to reach barely human individuals
that you would hear about or that people would go to a street parade to catch a glimpse
of.
And now, like, I know what Kim Kardashian's dog's called because she uploads like 45.
I mean, I obviously don't follow Kim Kardashian
on Instagram, but I imagine if I did, I would know what her dog was called.
It's okay if you do, I think.
Reeves, Reeves, I promise you, I promise you, I don't, someone's going to go and check,
but I know I don't. We have this desire for transparency and this cult of personality,
I think, is being fed by the
ability to see behind the curtain, you know, like, President of the United States, man, like,
he's tweeting all the time and I think it's thoroughly entertaining, but I think it's incredibly fact that you have this ambassador for the personality frontier being the most powerful
man on the planet, is that well?
If he can do it.
Yeah, Adam Newman was very good friends with Jared Kushner.
They were both New York real estate people.
Adam Newman and Donald Trump were New York real estate people. Adam Newman and Donald Trump were New York real estate people.
And it's not new that this kind of bombasts can get you far.
It does feel as if it can get you farther than it once did,
that it's maybe a little easier to pull the wall over people's eyes.
And yeah, I think social media and the way it enables anyone
to kind of build a global brand off of very little.
Sometimes you can back that up.
Sometimes you can get by without having to back it up for a while,
but eventually, at least that's what we'd like to believe.
Eventually, there will be some consequences for it.
And I think there was, the WeWork case, we'll see in the president's case and in others.
But people get to get to the case.
They get found out, right?
The thing with social media is that you can scale clout in a way that you never could before.
Previously, to become famous, you had to do something,
not just be someone. And the fact that you can be famous for just being someone, not like
Louis XIV, just be someone, not like dynasty wealth, bourgeois living in some baroque mansion
somewhere, not that kind of be someone. I mean, like just reality TV, spend six weeks on
the right TV program and come off in the entire country knows your name. Like that is
fame for fame's sake as opposed to fame for talent or capability or hard work or whatever's
sake. But as with many things that are hollow like that, when you come up against slightly tougher times,
or when you decide to actually stress test that fame,
you find that it's incredibly hollow.
And you're like, oh, actually, there's nothing in here.
Like, hit it with a hammer, and it cracks and spliddles
everywhere, and you're like, oh, that was all it was.
I thought that this was the Elon Musk.
I am allowed to have this much bravado
because of how much gusto I've got behind me, how
virtuous and sort of reliable this is.
So I want to finish off on the Elizabeth Holmes Theranos story.
If anyone doesn't know or is interested, if this slow motion car crash sounds interesting,
first off, go and buy Billion Dollar loser LinkedIn LinkedIn show notes below, the fantastic book that we've
just been talking about. But also on Amazon Prime, just search Theranos, THERANOS, T-H-E-R-A-N-O-S,
and there's a really, really good documentary about it. What parallels can we draw from Adam
Newman to Elizabeth Holmes? I'll start by saying the one difference which you hinted at earlier.
I'll start by saying the one difference which you hinted at earlier is that we work worked. The business was there, it was a real thing, there were offices, people liked them, they
paid money for them.
All of those things was a very real difference.
But it was interesting that I started reporting on this just as I think that that documentary
was coming out and I was talking to we work in poise and and they were suddenly feeling
kind of nervous having watched this this thermos documentary and I think some of the similarities are
obviously in the two leaders Elizabeth Holmes what you know became famous as you said
for without having the real or anything real to sort of sort of back that up.
Adam had become this similar kind of figure.
There were things like the stratification of information.
I mean, you look at these two different, two companies
and they both of them kind of became so big,
so fast you were kind of in your own corner and
you assume that they're adults in the room, you assume that they're kind of checks and balances
going on, which is like what we all hope, I mean that's the only way to like go through your day
with some kind of healthy subskepticism, but some kind of belief that that people are running the
numbers and and I think you know in both cases that failed people,
and then the checks and balances on that point.
A lot was made about what's there in us.
There were no doctors on its board.
It was all big names who had been kind of wooed
by Elizabeth Holmes and Charmed by her.
And that was the case with Adam.
It was kind of these
finance people. There was not a real estate person on, on WeWorks Board of Directors, which,
which was in some ways an intentional move. We worked in want to be seen that way. And,
and it's a lot easier to sort of pretend, pretend that you're something else.
The partitioning of information is really interesting. And it's telling that that's how every
secret service across the world works as well.
Yeah, it's a convenient way to run an organization so long as someone is sort of making sure they're
all working together, but when the danger is of course when like
one part of it, the organization isn't holding its weight, it could all crumble.
So, man, I really enjoy this story. I don't know what it is about it, and I wonder if the people
listening get the same sort of satisfaction. I know that they do. Everyone listen, get this same come up and satisfaction, they're calling out of hypocrisy. And a billion dollar
loser linked in the show notes below, if you enjoyed this story, then go and check it
out. Any other things that people should check out online, any other places you want to send
them, Reeves?
You know, you can go to billiondollarloserbook.com and that has kind of all the information about
where you can buy the book and I'm on Twitter and not really on Instagram, but you can
find all my other thoughts on this and other things on Twitter.
Peace, thank you very much.
I don't follow Kim Kardashian either.
And on that note.
So you and I are the only two people in the world.
Who don't follow Kim Kardashian, right?
Sorry Kim, but for now, ladies and gentlemen, we'll catch you next time.