Modern Wisdom - #326 - Jim O'Shaughnessy - Surviving The Great Reshuffle

Episode Date: May 27, 2021

Jim O'Shaughnessy is an investor and the founder, Chairman, and Chief Investment Officer of O'Shaughnessy Asset Management. Time, space and geography are collapsing. The richest people on the planet a...re no longer in charge of labour or buildings, they're symbol manipulators. The skillsets we need today are completely different to what was needed 50 years ago, let alone 500. Jim is here to give us some advice on how we can survive this catastrophic reshuffling. Expect to learn why 2020 was the best thing to happen to talented people in the developing world, the danger of grade-inflation in top flight universities, why we both have a man-crush on Rory Sutherland, why Isaac Newton was a dick and much more... Sponsors: Get over 37% discount on all products site-wide from MyProtein at http://bit.ly/modernwisdom (use code: MODERNWISDOM) Get 20% discount on Reebok’s entire range including the amazing Nano X1 at https://geni.us/modernwisdom (use code MW20) Extra Stuff: Check out Jim's company - https://www.osam.com/  Check out Jim's Podcast - https://www.infiniteloopspodcast.com/  Follow Jim on Twitter - https://twitter.com/jposhaughnessy Rick and Morty and The Meaning Of Life 1 - https://hackernoon.com/rick-and-morty-and-the-meaning-of-life-6640df17e263 Rick and Morty and The Meaning Of Life 2 - https://medium.com/@dan.jeffries/rick-and-morty-and-the-meaning-of-life-part-ii-screw-enlightenment-become-an-adult-instead-e1b2ec832e4e Jim's Superthread - https://twitter.com/jposhaughnessy/status/1343371350493319169 Another Jim Superthread - https://twitter.com/antilibrary_vk/status/1164959690234593280 Get my free Ultimate Life Hacks List to 10x your daily productivity → https://chriswillx.com/lifehacks/ To support me on Patreon (thank you): https://www.patreon.com/modernwisdom - Get in touch. Join the discussion with me and other like minded listeners in the episode comments on the MW YouTube Channel or message me... Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/ModernWisdomPodcast Email: https://www.chriswillx.com/contact Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hi friends, welcome back. My guest today is Jim O'Shaunasey, he's an investor and the founder, chairman and chief investment officer of O'Shaunasey Asset Management. Time, space and geography are collapsing. The richest people on the planet are no longer in charge of needed 50 years ago, let alone 500. Jim is here to give us some advice on how we can try and survive this catastrophic reshuffling. So today, expect to learn why 2020 was the best thing to happen to talented people in the developing world. The danger of grade inflation in top flight universities, why we both have a man crush on Rory Sutherland, why Isaac Newton was dick, and much more. Jim so much fun. I really, really enjoyed this. He's got so many insights from history. He's obviously super ridiculously well-read. It kind of like an investor, philosopher, king of some kind. So yeah, enjoy this one.
Starting point is 00:01:05 Also if you haven't already downloaded my ultimate life hacks list yet, then what are you doing with your life? Head to chriswillx.com slash life hacks and pick up a copy of my ultimate life hacks list over 200 ways that you can upgrade your life instantly at everything that we covered in the first two and a half years of lifehacks episodes. On this very podcast, ChrisWillX.com slash lifehacks going download it. Plus it will add you to my three-minute Monday newsletter list. But now it is time for the wise and wonderful Jim on Seanacy. Sean O'Chi. So Christopher, great to see you. Great to see you as well. Look at you in your AirPods Pro Max. So these changed my life.
Starting point is 00:02:11 I got them as a gift. I had the kind of headphones you have on for most of when we did one remote on Infinite Loops. Those were fine. And my son Patrick was like, dad, and you know, he's the podcast king. So he's like, you've got to get these. They'll change your life. They're like, I don't know how many microphones in them.
Starting point is 00:02:33 And when we were testing them, well, let me put it this way. My wife says street photographer in Manhattan. I won't talk to her with these on, if's on the street because I hear everything she doesn't hear They're like ridiculously good and then my producer was like, okay, let's run a test for the mic he goes He goes, I don't even know what to say he said the mic on those is better than the mics that I'm telling people to get for the podcast So anyway my wife got him for me for Christmas. So.
Starting point is 00:03:07 Good wife. Well played wife. Yes, she played very well. And they are remarkable. Yeah, I've got to put, so I've got the pros. I'm an air pod evangelist, man. I went the day that the air pod pros came out.
Starting point is 00:03:18 I was in the Apple store. The day that the air pod pro maxes came out, I had a preorder through a buddy. And I have to say out of the pros and the pro maxes, I had a pre-order through a buddy. And I have to say, out of the pros and the pro Maxis, I get a lot more use out of the pros, reason being that those are they're a heavy beast to throw around, but you are right, that is a one unit podcast studio, that and a laptop with full charge, and you can do a podcast from anywhere on the planet, which is pretty incredible. Yeah, well, you know, maybe we'll talk about it, but I think we're right in the middle
Starting point is 00:03:47 of what I call the great reshuffle. And I think we're moving from being used to and having skill sets designed for the physical world. And we are moving into the digital world. And you need very different skill sets. But as you've just mentioned, time, space, and geography are collapsing. And you're a new castle, and I don't need any coal. So, I don't need the gold. I spent this Sunday, I got invited for a coffee from a friend, podcast, who's also a new castle.
Starting point is 00:04:21 And he's a local lad, working class, local lad. And I was making jokes about the factor What are we gonna go and do we gonna go and shovel coal? He took me to a the oldest railway line in the world is in just outside of Newcastle and it's still got a Functioning steam train and the shovel I shit you not the shoveling coal into it It pulls up outside of the station the guys got a flat cap on. He's got like black lung him and his father His father's lost a couple of vertebrae. It was so realistic. But dude, I've heard you talk about What you've just mentioned there this
Starting point is 00:04:54 Changing of the dynamic which is offering up opportunities to people with what would have been previously useless But now very useful Characteristics that they have. So someone, I saw this meme a while ago, this is so you, I saw a meme a little while ago and it was a guy, a really sort of big buff guy in a smart shirt at the front of a bedbath and beyond store. And it just had this thought bubble coming out the side of its head and he said 500 years ago, I would have been a proud warrior. Yes.
Starting point is 00:05:29 This is the other, I call it the great unschuffling, but the other one that I also use for short hand is revenge of the nerds. Basically, what's happening is, and that's that meme. So we could spend the rest of the podcast talking about why memes have the effect they do on people. It's something I've studied a lot of and we'll get into why. But anyway, that meme nails it, and that's why it's so funny. It's funny because it's true. And the whole idea, if you looked at the Forbes 500,
Starting point is 00:06:10 the first one they ever did, you know, that's the rich person list. They did the first one they did in I think 1982. If you looked at that, what you would find is the majority of people on the list inherited their money. Okay? The rest of the people on the list made it through physical things, real estate, oil, steel, etc.
Starting point is 00:06:36 Obviously, we're not bearing the lead because everyone knows who's on that list today. And they are all symbol manipulators. And so I've been using that term for a long time because it's what I am, right? I don't make anything with my hands. I mean, it's all thought, right? And Bill Gates doesn't make anything. He figured out a way to turn his thoughts into billions and billions of dollars because once the thought is on the software or whatever, make one ship a million, ship 10 million,
Starting point is 00:07:14 ship 100 million, doesn't matter. The unit cost of all the other ones is zero. So as we shift it into this digital world, and I kind of mark maybe 2014 thereabouts, I started to really notice it. And then, so I started talking about it then, but not a lot, because a lot of people look at me like, are you barking mad, mate? I mean, what's going on with you? COVID happened. And trends that might have taken maybe as long as a decade
Starting point is 00:07:53 got collapsed into a year. So Skype, you know, no disrespect to Skype, but Zoom comes in and eats Skype's lunch. And I found out why that was, by the way, they did it because Skype isn't meant for multiple participants. It's great for what we're doing, fantastic. I use Skype all the time to talk to friends all over the world. Zoom is designed to have multiple participants and the whole experience was designed
Starting point is 00:08:40 keeping in mind that people are that this is not a phone call, right? So mindset meant a lot. But the point is, ideas about geography. So I just hired a new colleague and he's in Bangalore, India. And so he's actually outside of Bangalore. But so let me tell you how he is a fantastic example of the trend to digital and what that means. So number one, his opportunity set over the last year exploded open. He was no longer having to look for jobs in his geography. He could look for jobs anywhere in the world. The prejudice against letting people do that evaporated, right? Because of COVID. And so all of a sudden, time, space, geography collapsed.
Starting point is 00:09:29 Number two, I didn't look at his CV. His CV was Twitter, and I watched him for nine months. So you go from an accreditation, an imparatoor, from some very high and mighty institution, but all that piece of paper, a diploma, all that says is a gym, this suggests that gym might be good at this. Really? Because you know, my kids went to really great schools, my daughter went to Yale. My other two went to Notre Dame. I mean, these are really great degrees in the US,
Starting point is 00:10:08 and they're all very talented, luckily. But we were talking about it. They were talking about great inflation, especially at places like the IVs. Everyone gets A's. Well, OK. That means no one gets A's. But so it's just the game people started started playing was I just got to get in.
Starting point is 00:10:28 I got to get that stamp that from the IV and I'm gold. In the old days, that was true. Nowadays, your resume or your CV is, you show it every day on social media, in blogs and podcasts and everything, and it grows. And so the way I look at it, if you were a Bitcoin official, you'd say, proof of work. Well, that's actually what's happening now. So, Batzel, who I hired, he had a long history of proof of work, that he was clever, that he was able and with technology, all of those things. I got to see before even getting on the first Zoom with him. The third thing is, the way you think a linear thought process was rewarded in the physical world. A non-linear thought process is going to be rewarded in the digital world. And we can talk a little
Starting point is 00:11:36 bit more about what that means if you want. And then finally, the idea that the leverage the digital world gives you. I mean, Archimedes would be like, what? I mean, because I have a lot of friends who are single shops and the leverage that they can gain through multiple distribution platforms, you know, selling a writing course, selling a speaking course, selling a blah, blah, I just was on with another Brit and it was a very fine guy and he makes all of his money on YouTube. And so the thing that I found as kind of the flip the switch, so to speak. So Max Plank, the physicist, said famously that progress
Starting point is 00:12:28 happens one funeral at a time, meaning that the old guard has their points of view, not very few of them retain beginner's mind, and they ossify. And frankly, they're wrong, but they're the ones in the Dean's chairs, they're the ones who are determining who gets to go to Oxbridge. So they die off and then the new ideas replace them and then repeat, rinse and repeat. That's gone. It's gone because COVID forced the world. This was a world reset.
Starting point is 00:13:05 And so it wasn't like it was just the United States that had a lockdown, the UK had a lockdown, Brazil had a lockdown, Bangalore had a lockdown. And so we were all in the same digital boat together. And so it out of necessity erased those prior prejudices that would have kicked in absent COVID. So I mean, and the other things that it has affected are really profound, but it has kicked us into the digital age, I think maybe five to ten years before we would have fully been
Starting point is 00:13:42 there. COVID was the best thing to happen to talented people in the developing world and the worst thing to happen to talentless people in the developed world. Absolutely true. I also learned about conceptual inertia from intellectual ideas, historian, guy called Thomas Moynahan, who's just written a history of existential risk. So the book is the history of ex-risk, humanity and how it discovered its own capacity for extinction. And what he talks about
Starting point is 00:14:14 there is that, I can't remember who it is, it says history doesn't crawl at leaps, but you do very much get somebody proposes a new model, heliocentric universe to geocentric universe change, then people resist the model, then the model actually becomes proven or more people get on board with it and it actually becomes widely accepted intellectually or even rationally, but the substrate, the source code upon which society is built lags behind so, so, so slowly. The big organizations, the bureaucracies, they take ages to catch up, the litigation, that takes ages to catch up, and then the culture comes along really slow, just lumbering behind. And what you get with that is this conceptual inertia.
Starting point is 00:15:05 And yeah, the conceptual inertia, awesome. I use it all the time now. Get the forcing function. If you have this forcing function, it doesn't permit anyone anymore. It's tightened the bottleneck so much for all of this stuff. The extraneous shit had to go. It's like if you don't understand
Starting point is 00:15:24 how to do remote working properly, how to use Monday.com or Notion or Asana or whatever team flow program it is that you're using. If you can't do video conferencing, Rory Sutherland already had Zoom Fridays in his company four plus years ago. Zoom Fridays. So Rory is a great guy.
Starting point is 00:15:48 I'm interviewing him for Infinite Loops on Friday. Your last one with him. Your last one with him. I listened to while I was in Dubai his preparation for my one with him. Dude, the guy is a, the man is a force of nature. He truly is. He truly is.
Starting point is 00:16:02 I mean, oh my God. He, he, he. He frames things so well that I've always believed that if you can frame things, you can get people to understand things they can't understand with the wrong frame. Rory is maybe one of the best and most skilled reframers of anyone I've ever talked to. He is brilliant. He is brilliant. And in addition, such a lovely man and what a great sense of humor. And he says, I love talking to him.
Starting point is 00:16:38 On this point, it's sort of interesting. So, for example, Nick Bostrom, existential risk, I'm sure you're familiar with Nick. Bostrom, is it cold? Yeah. You're right. So, but he's, you should read him, but who I'd even recommend you read more, is a book I reread called The Beginning of Infinity by David Deutch who is a quantum physicist at Oxford and He does such an incredible job of building the intellectual scaffolding for why When the enlightenment happened all of a sudden we figured a ton of shit out because the he says basically man humans we are universal connectors and
Starting point is 00:17:28 explainers and what he means by that is pre the enlightenment the gods were in control. Why did this happen? The gods did it okay and then the church which was representing the gods they said no no, we know because we have a line directly to that it was a god. Um, anyway, the enlightenment came along and they're like, no, dare to know, you know, and ironically they used as Isaac Newton used as the the motel or the saying for the society The take no one's word for it You know that you know that so Isaac Newton when he discovered his theory of gravity Do you know what was happening then I do the plague yes?
Starting point is 00:18:22 Yeah Well, so I'm a huge fan of Isaac Newton for a variety of reasons because he was weird as hell is that why yes yes the weirdest humans in history is that why absolutely barking mad totally crazy and totally crazy if you go through his his other books right all the other stuff it's a lot of alchemy yeah yeah's all on, you know, and he was insane. The other thing that I liked about him was he was a spiteful bugger. He used to go to public hangings and stuff, didn't he? He loved it. And so at the same time, there was a fellow in Germany named Leibniz, who was at warf, okay? But Liebnitz was also a genius,
Starting point is 00:19:05 and he came up with, basically, with calculus, one could argue a little ahead of Newton. Newton was a master of public relations, and he's like, no, no, no, no, no. Do you know one of his most famous lines, which is, if I have seen further than others, it was because I was able to stand on the shoulders of giants? Yeah. That was a dig. It was because I was able to stand on the shoulders of giants. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:19:25 That was a dig. It leaped nets. He was, no one knows this, but it's kind of like Andrew Marvall to his coin mistress, and your quaint honor turned to Dustin into ashes, all my lust, the graves of fine and private place. But none, I think, do they're in brace. You know what quaint was Elizabethan slang for? The woman's genitals. So, it was a low-key dig. But perfect, because it met its target, it was not a weapon of mass destruction. It was a smart bomb. And the only one who got it. The man who was aimed at.
Starting point is 00:20:07 Right? He's saying that because I'm a dwarf. That's so good. So Newton is just such a fascinating character. I mean, because the other great use of Newton is he lost a fortune in the South Sea trading scale. Yes. And it caused him to lament that he could measure the motion of heavenly bodies, but not
Starting point is 00:20:32 the madness of men. And I used to have a graph. I don't use PowerPoint very much anymore because I find that when you don't use any visuals, people actually pay much greater attention to you. But if I do use them, I only use a few. And one of the great ones that we used to use for a long time was a chart of the South Sea Bubble and then a chart of the Nasdaq during the .com era. And obviously, of course, well course well actually correlations don't
Starting point is 00:21:08 call our causation now but it's a great example and you gotta give me that and and so newt was just he's another great example because one of the most brilliant mental and right I will concede and stipulate that. Barking mad, most people don't know that about him, but still don't confuse the message, physics, with the messenger, right? Because that's what people, again, human operating system, we, we bolux that up all the time. So let's dig into that. So separating the art from the artist, or the message from the messenger, is something that previously we were able to do, because we, the eye of Sauron and the sword of Damakles
Starting point is 00:21:57 wasn't hanging over everyone in the same way that it is now. I wonder whether we're actually starting to optimize for people who are slightly less extreme than that. Isaac Newton wouldn't make it through university and being published now. Let's say that there is a degree of insanity that needs to tinge the top geniuses, Jeet Jeenei. Let's say that there's an amount of insanity or craziness or no fuck's given that has to be, it layers that, right? But now, that's an existential threat to the thing that you are supposed to be bringing to the market.
Starting point is 00:22:41 Wow, that is a really interesting observation. So we're optimizing for more normal. The palatable version of that. I have to think about that. I love that. I don't think about it. I don't either because so I'm thinking of a couple of so I'm a big philosophy and enlightenment type reader. I love it And I hate the way people use enlightenment because it's all you know peace and love and you know We're gonna just everybody's going to be happy now. That isn't what enlightenment is enlightenment is truth realization I am not enlightened. Let me hasten to say that is truth realization. I am not enlightened, let me hasten to say that, but I've read a lot of the writers on the topic
Starting point is 00:23:28 and the one who I connect with the most is a guy by the name of Jed McKinna. But what I gotta tell you about Jed McKinna speaks to your point. Jed McKinna is not his real name or their real name. Jed McKinna is a completely fictional character that this author devised to tell us that we're all fictional characters. I love that very meta.
Starting point is 00:23:54 But why do I know that he is the real deal? Precisely because he's nowhere. He doesn't have a Twitter account. He doesn't have Facebook. He doesn't have a Twitter account, he doesn't have Facebook, he doesn't have Instagram. This guy could be monetizing his reputation to the tune of, I would, I would conservatively say, 5 million US a year if he wanted to because I've run into like his hardcore supporters and a, they don't know who he is, which I think is cool.
Starting point is 00:24:23 But b, so he's solved for that that way. Another example is, like a guy I've had on the podcast, Brian Romelli. So, Brian, he's got a big Twitter presence. He's got some really interesting ideas that have proven over time because he's written about them for 20 years. And if you go back like I do and read his original stuff, he's pretty bang on. But he leans into it. He basically, in his bio, he says, I'm a charlatan.
Starting point is 00:25:00 I'm a thinker of prohibited thoughts. And so, of course, what he does with that is he draws people who like those misfit toys to him. So, you know, he's got a hundred and ten thousand followers on Twitter. And he's got a very active sub-stack, I don't know what it's on, but so here's another guy who's solved for it, right? I think your question or observation that I need to think about is does this affect a large enough cohort so that it retards innovation. I don't, on the face of it, just given the speed of everything that, of innovation, I got to say probably not.
Starting point is 00:25:54 But, you know, I was, again, just having a conversation with my wife who, you know, never wants to talk to me about anything because she's like, no, no, I don't, I'm not going down a rabbit hole with you for three hours. But this was a conversation she was actually interested in, which was like, why is Tim cook highly thought of at Apple? I mean, and I said, well, you know, she was like, he's no Steve Jobs. And I'm like, well, no, of course he's no Steve Jobs. They needed a Steve Jobs to get to where they are right now, but now Tim, you're looking at some of the cool stuff
Starting point is 00:26:30 that's coming out from Apple, and on top of it, he's a much more normal guy, and so what did he do? He decided I'm gonna create such a fortress that no matter what, I'm gonna be able to fend off the attacks. Now, that happens. It's like Hemingway's line. How did you go bankrupt gradually and then suddenly? Right? So am I open-minded to the idea that some nutcase in a garage somewhere, probably in Austin now, or maybe Miami. It's gonna come up with a thing that obsulates the iPad.
Starting point is 00:27:10 I think it will happen. I mean, I think what you'll see is you'll see clear transparent things that can fold like a newspaper, but when you open them up, you can have whatever you want on it. You could have a sports, you could have a rugby match going on up here. You could have the times of London to read over here. You could have Twitter open down here, and it will all be seamless. So I fully expect to see that in the next 10 years.
Starting point is 00:27:41 Where do people start with Jed McKenna? What's the first thing they read? So he's got a three part, a trilogy called spiritual enlightenment, the damnedest thing. That'll do. But just let me put a warning label on here, okay? So I will put up, again, and I'll tag you on Twitter. I will put up two, and I'll tag you on Twitter. I will put up two essays that I suggest people read by my friend Dan Jeffries before
Starting point is 00:28:11 they go into Jed because Jed is hard core. It's not all puppies and wonderful things with him, but he's very worthwhile. With that proviso. That'll be linked in the show notes below. So going back to what you were saying there, about hard to fake signals of authenticity. That's what I think you were talking about. And I saw this with Sam Harris last year,
Starting point is 00:28:42 towards the start of this year and last year. What I came to believe was that Sam had a non-typical perspective, which made him unpopular with both sides of the aisle. The way that you can guarantee disagreement in 2021 is to be in the middle, because when you're out on the extremes, you guarantee agreement from at least one side, when you're in the middle, you guarantee disagreement from both. So what that made me think was I can have greater faith that Sam believes what Sam's saying because he has to pay such a high cost to hold the particular positions that he does. That again that is a wonderful, heuristic to use because you're right.
Starting point is 00:29:28 And this is another part of this great reshuffling that I talk about. So what's happening there is that traditional media has gone all provdah. So, but for both sides, right? So, so if you're to the left, you're going to watch MSNBC in the U.S. You're going to watch MSNBC and CNN and if you're to the right, you're going to watch Fox. What people don't understand is it's all propaganda, all of it and it is so shocking to me. I stopped watching TV news 10 years ago because I was noticing it's starting down that path.
Starting point is 00:30:07 Trump only accelerated it. Listen man, the greatest thing that ever happened to the New York Times was Donald Trump getting elected president because they were going broke. And then all of a sudden, Donald Trump got elected president. They decided, you know what, we're going to chuck this gray lady bullshit and we are gonna go full Probda and we don't give a shit if it's right or not it's gonna be anti-Donald Trump and Then you had like Fox doing the well-elect Donald Trump says it's right that it's right God damn it And so you had these two contenders right both of which are spewing bullshit and
Starting point is 00:30:49 these poor people, and again, this is a generational thing. Mostly the people I'm trying to convince this stopwatching TV news are people older than 70, right? The habit for them of watching TV news back when it was Walter Cronkite, they just can't stop doing it. And younger people are getting it much faster. But so what happened to traditional media back to Sam Harris was and Matt, I always mispronounce his name, Matt, to buy Tibby. He's a great writer very much to the left. I used to follow him when he was the lead writer for the Rolling Stone, because I think one should... So my own version is, I don't have a party. The only thing that defines me is I'm fiercely anti-authoritarian of either the left or the right.
Starting point is 00:31:40 I just... It always leads to bad things, in my opinion, if you study history. I just it always leads to bad things in my opinion if you study history so But my I mean like if I went through my political opinions some people depending on the order in which I listed them Some people would say you're a left winner Other people would say what that's a right wing thought and and so I'll just give you a couple of for instances. So I think all drugs should be legal because the war on drugs is a sham and it has corrupted so many different levels of our societies that, I mean,
Starting point is 00:32:17 Portia goes a great example. They basically decriminalized, they didn't make them legal. But guess what happened? Like all of the bad crime, all that just went flunging. I think that all nonviolent drug offenders in prison should be released. I mean that was like they were saying to me when Trump lost and they were saying what would be It's big fuck you to everybody and I said if I was his advisor and believe me, no fan of Donald Trump.
Starting point is 00:32:49 So if he asked me to be his advisor, I'd say fuck off. But, but if I was, if I was going to be able to be a whisper or something in his ear, it would have been pardon every nonviolent person in prison on a drug charge. Can you imagine? Well, it would have put such a stone in the shoe of everyone, right? Because they would have thought, hang on, this is so disjointed from what we thought that he would have done. Yeah, man.
Starting point is 00:33:16 Exactly. I mean, dude, when you're talking about that, this sort of new answer of opinion, this is Jordan Petersonism from years ago, he said it in the interview with the GQ lady. I can't remember a name. They sent Kathy Newman away, put her on a short course of steroids and training. And she came back having read a little bit more sort of enlightenment philosophy. And that you know the one that I mean. Well, they didn't, they didn't turn his microphone on and all that sort of stuff.
Starting point is 00:33:37 And he said in that, and this is the first time that I heard it. And I have never got rid of it. He said, if I know one of your perspectives and from it, I can accurately predict everything else that you believe, then you're not a serious thinker. It's very unlikely. There is no reason in hell that your view on abortion should be impacted by your view on immigration
Starting point is 00:33:59 or your view on the level of corporate tax or your view on gun rights. But because we've lumped these things together, you end up with an increasingly partisan level of politics that then gets fueled by a media that needs to drive clicks. Clicks are driven by an algorithm which is enforced by things that you either really hate or really agree with. And it's, when people say, well, I often get asked on other shows, why would we be increasingly polarized?
Starting point is 00:34:27 I'm like, how can we not be? Right. How it would be so unbelievable if we weren't up against all of this. So, so we know a lot about algorithms. That's what we do. The algorithms for traditional media are optimized for fear, uncertainty, and doubt.
Starting point is 00:34:44 And it's much easier to outrage people. So they're max out on outrage items on both sides, right? And they keep people, I've likened it to an emotional plague. And because what's happened is we haven't given up on a religion, we just changed the putes, right? So the new religion is politics and total compliance with the belief talking points, if you will, is the price you must pay to be thought of as a good person. Oh, you're right. I'm like, I'm a heretic. I proudly call myself a heretic. I'm an apostate. Come at me. Do whatever you want. But this also happens because I don't give a fuck what people think about me. I don't want to offend people. And by that, I mean,
Starting point is 00:35:40 look, I've been so lucky and so blessed in life. And like one of the things that I enjoy doing is working with people, younger people especially, not just in my field, but in a bunch of fields. I like this idea of teach, you know, Trent Griffith, who I just did a podcast with yesterday and he flipped it on me, and he started interviewing me. But he's got this great idea, which is fits in with karma, but he calls it give to get. And what he means is, if he can only teach one lesson to a younger person, it's give. And don't expect or hope for getting from, so let's say, I give to you, Chris. getting from low, so let's say I give to you Chris and the wrong way to think about it is, now God damn it, Chris owes me something, that's reciprocity, right? And it's in the book
Starting point is 00:36:34 influence and everybody knows about it. Trends take on this and Rory, I'm going to ask him about it on Friday because I already know what he's going to say. But, Transtake is, no, no, no, no, no. Karma, you put it out and it, you know what, it might not come back from Chris. In fact, Chris might do something really dastardly to you. It comes back though. The wheel of karma just keeps going around and round and round. And you build good karma or bad karma and It comes back and now if you want to make that much less mystic
Starting point is 00:37:13 You're programming your brain and you don't even know it right so We're all metaprogrammers of our own brain and we program our brains with the stories we tell ourselves about ourselves And so if you're putting a lot of bad karma out there, what your brain is doing is it's going, oh, okay, he likes bad. I love him. I love him. The algorithm's being reinforced. Yes, I will oblige him.
Starting point is 00:37:40 He thinks the world is an ugly place full of trouble and strife. That's what I'm going to serve up for them because my reticular activating system, you know, if I was talking to a neurobiologist, that's what he'd talk about or she'd talk about. If I were talking to one of these enlightenment people, they would say karma, but it's not this mystic thing. It's programming. And you're self-programming yourself every day. And that's how that all comes about. It's like, I have like four questions.
Starting point is 00:38:09 I wrote a piece called, A Long Thread. Actually, a series of threads called, The Thinker and the Prover. And it's on an old model by a guy by the name of Leonard Orr. And he separates the brain into the thinker and the prover. And the thinker can think anything it wants. It can think three impossible things before breakfast as the Queen said to Alice in the Wonderland series. But once the thinker has thought it out and latched on,
Starting point is 00:38:37 I believe this. That's another reason why I present all of my ideas as hypotheses or thesis because the minute you say, I believe, what your brain hears is, this is true. And not only is, this is true, but this defines you as a human being. And that story starts revving up. But so what happens is back to politics, right?
Starting point is 00:39:02 So let's say, well, take me as an example. I am in favor of a woman's right to have an abortion. I am opposed to capital punishment because I don't think the state should be able to have the right to take a human being's life. But I also think that the taxes done wrongly will actually get less revenue for the government than more. That's kind of a classic right-wing point of view. The others are kind of classic left-wing's point of view.
Starting point is 00:39:34 Immigration, I think, and I, man, do I stir the hornets nest when I put this up on Twitter or say it in a podcast, I think that the United States right now still, still after everything, has a huge advantage that other countries don't have. And that is the smartest people in the world want to live and work here. And my idea is we should let them. And that means if they come here to go to university and and so I stage it, and first I say stem degrees, right? Science, technology, et cetera. We should staple a green card to it and say,
Starting point is 00:40:15 welcome to America, go create. And yet because of this whole orthodoxy, and label thinking, that's the other thing that drives me mad, people were word thinkers and labels negate us. So the minute you label something, rules for radicals, that's what he says. Label, personalize it. Stalin knew this. Stalin was, one death is a tragedy. A million is a statistic. People are
Starting point is 00:40:49 simply not going to get worked up over a million deaths, but when it's Ivan who you know and you know his daughter and his wife, that's going to really rev you up. So the point being though, that traditional media knows what's happening. And all of their best people, Sam Harris, Matthew, a ton of like first rate writers. But do you? Look at Substack at the moment. Matthew Eglaceus has just left Vice, which was already a splinter off from the legacy media world that just started to come alongside,
Starting point is 00:41:26 but they never kind of really were and they got a TV show and it's still, but they were already a heterodox organization and he said no, this is, this is still too bureaucratic for me. Amigo, Amigo, do a sub-stack. Yep, and that is what's going to happen. Ritlarge, and it also explains why you see this hysteria among the traditional media, because worldwide, well, especially in America and the UK, there was a deal, and the deal was, I'm going to be a journalist, I'm not going to make gobs of money, but I'm going to have influence. And I'm going to get to know all these important people and influences important people. And it was a trade, you know, the hierarchy of needs that a lot of very smart, switched on people made.
Starting point is 00:42:22 Going away. It's going away. And so, sub-stack, that's the future, and you know, we'll have our own channels. Right? So, I'm a big believer in reading people that I know I'm going to disagree with, just because I'm probably wrong. Right? That's the other thing that it drives people crazy when I say this, but empirically speaking, look at history, look at what the back to our friend Isaac Newton believed, and with the exception of that gem about physics and calculus, everyone of his beliefs were wrong. They were wrong.
Starting point is 00:43:04 He was the smartest guy in the planet. Leibniz notwithstanding. But the point is, when you have context, right, it's like people getting all worked up about in this country, Thomas Jefferson, Thomas Jefferson owned slaves, tear down all his statues. You know, boo this man. Okay, let's put some context in. Let's understand that as horrible as slavery was and is an abomination and something that all throughout human history was practiced widely. All the way back to the Helots in Sparta and the Slaves in Greece, they actually had a more enlightened attitude about it
Starting point is 00:43:51 than we in the West did, because you could make them free. And some of the greatest Stoics were started life as slaves. And so as the world progressed and we became more sensible, in my opinion, slavery, that's an abomination. We 600,000 Americans died over it.
Starting point is 00:44:18 The highest death count of any American war, any war we've ever engaged in, including our little spat with our friends from... There's the one against yourselves. ...was the one against ourselves, it was brother against brother, and 600,000 Americans died for an idea. And that idea was slavery is an abomination. It has to be, it must be abolished. And, and then what happened? Well, as you said
Starting point is 00:44:50 earlier in our in our conversation, the cultural belief that that layer for a lot of people, even enlightened people, and this is what I want to emphasize here, even for the most enlightened people, they still had these awful beliefs in their head, right? Because they had grown up in a world that was described. Have you read Cloud Atlas? By, um, not Blanky on his name, but anyway, I've watched the movie. So the book is so much better. I enjoyed the movie for just for fun. But the book is like his magnum opus. And it's brilliant on so many different levels. But one of them is that it's kind of a zen-like, we're all connected through time. And but one of the stories, as you'll remember from the movie,
Starting point is 00:45:43 was the awakening, if you will, of the lawyer about the evils of slavery. And he went from being the agent of his wicked father-of-law, who had very neanderthal views about the world, to being quite awake, and his best friend being an escaped slave, who saved his life. And so the point, the larger point, I think, is people fall into this without knowing they're falling into it. And suddenly, so I equate dogma with that, brain death if you at your point about
Starting point is 00:46:27 One you extrapolate. Yeah, yeah, if you I'm really not interested in talking to you because I don't think I can change your mind That's another one of my beliefs. I can't change you Chris Only you can change you I can help you if you're looking for that kind of help, but if you're not, I'm not going to help at all, maybe someone else will, but that has to come from within. And once I really realized that, you know, I'm not so smart, it took me while to get all this stuff. But I was working with an employee and I'm kind of like, you know, he just kept making the same mistake, same mistake, same mistake.
Starting point is 00:47:11 And I got really frustrated until I finally figured out, I can't change him until he wants to change this. Nothing will change. And in fact, he will dig in. He will dig in on the thing I'm trying to change. So I was doing him a disservice trying to get him to see the light. When you are, when you are mirrored in a belief system that you tie to yourself, you literally can't see the light because your brain, these wonderful quantum computers that we carry around with us have amazing abilities to say, nope, nope, nope,
Starting point is 00:47:55 and if do I agree with it? Yep, yep, yep, and so people are honestly surprised when something that they deeply believe is proved fundamentally wrong and they will go to massive lengths to deny it. Flat Earth Society, my friend Tim Irvin who has waited for a while. He has a great story about this. So there's a movie about the Flat Earth Society, right? So today in 2021, with all of the photographs that we have from space and from the moon and from all of our satellites showing the sort of round, not really round, a sort of round world on which we make our lives of interesting things. And they will basically invent anything to tell you you're wrong. No, you were hypnotized by aliens, this is all fake. And what's interesting is when you're trying to convince people of deeply
Starting point is 00:48:54 wrong beliefs, the best place to go and study is cults, because cults have this down to a science. And here's the other thing that I often say, and people don't believe me. You want to know who the easiest people to fool are the smartest people. Why are the smartest people the easiest to fool? Because they're smart. Because they understand, they know like people always say, well, I'm not smart. They know they're smart. Come on. You know, and so their brain is like, I am smart. I will automatically see all of the bullshit that they're trying to sling at me.
Starting point is 00:49:39 You won't. No, you won't. That's the way that they get their hooks in. It's like one of the best stories is one of the biggest not biggest but one of the most interesting victims of the Bernie made-off scam was a guy who published a book about How can's work and how to avoid them? It's just like perfect. You can't make this shit up. And so the other thing that's interesting about smart people, what else are smart people good at? Smart people are really good at building bulletproof narratives that they first convince themselves of, I think, you know, and whatever. And then so they keep iterating on that narrative
Starting point is 00:50:25 until it's like pretty bullet proof. And then they go and convince a bunch of other people because they're smart. And so one of my heroes, Richard Feynman, the physicist, like the quote I use all the time is, the first rule is you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool. It's like this whole behavioral finance thing.
Starting point is 00:50:51 I know that I would fall for every single one of those biases. I know I would. I know myself well enough, so I, yeah, oh, yeah. So what did I do? It's like a friend did this survey about behavioral biases and talk to a bunch of investors or advisors, et cetera. And the question was, what is your biggest behavioral bias and how to a bunch of investors or advisors, etc. And the question was, what is your biggest behavioral bias and how do you deal with it? Not a lot of my friends, they said confirmation bias, survivorship bias, etc. They went and he's long and this is what I do to deal with it.
Starting point is 00:51:21 And my answer was simple, what is your biggest behavioral bias? And I said, being a human being. And it said, how do you solve for it? I'm a quant. So does that leave out a lot? Am I leaving knowledge potentially that I is not available to me as a quant, you bet I am, you bet I am. But the idea is the trade-off, the base rate, if you will, directionally is good, because virtually all of the greatest meltdowns ever. And boy, I've been around for a lot of them. Take super, super smart people. Give them leverage, basically unlimited leverage. And... Boi. Boi.
Starting point is 00:52:08 Boi. Well, one of the, one of my favorite mental models or biases is to never multiply by zero. And God, I try and tell the boys this all the time. I have about 500 guys and girls that work for me for my events company between the age of 18 and 22. And there are essentially an unlimited number of zeros to multiply by when you're that age.
Starting point is 00:52:28 And just trying to highlight a couple of those, texting while you drive. But tell me, tell me what you're gaining. What is the place stupid games win stupid prizes? Like what's the prize that you're getting for texting while you drive? Unprotected sex on a one night stand. But tell me, tell me that that is a big fat zero that you're going to multiply there, my friend.
Starting point is 00:52:51 You can have spent the last four years of your life saving up your money. You've got your mortgage deposit ready for the house. You're going to buy a house quicker than anybody else that you know. You're ready to move away. You've got the visas even sorted. You've got this perfect graduate job out in America. That's a hundred times, 150 times, 2000 times. I just got someone pregnant and I'm 22 years old.
Starting point is 00:53:10 That's an 18 year, that's an 18 year quarter of a million pound liability that you've just created there. Zero. You can spend all the time that you want in the gym, working on my body, I'm doing my nutrition, I'm sleeping right, I'm eating right, I'm drinking, I'm watching, I'm working hard on my form, I'm doing my rehab, I'm sleeping right, I'm eating right, I'm drinking, I'm watching, I'm working hard on my form, I'm doing my prehab, I'm my rehab, I'm rolling my body out, I decide to ride a bicycle without a helmet, or I decide to text while I drive.
Starting point is 00:53:35 If you're very dead, it doesn't matter how fit you are, that's a big fat zero. And yeah, this is one of the unknown catastrophes that we can encounter are inherently catastrophic. And it's, you don't see it until it happens. And it's only with the benefit of hindsight. A good example of this. I ruptured my Achilles playing cricket last year. It was the first time that I'd played cricket in ten years since I'd played for a decade, took a decade off, went back, first game, went into bat, was in bat for 15 minutes, loving it, dad was over the far side,
Starting point is 00:54:08 dad was great, so he always used to come to the games, ping, a kill these girls, ended up being not too bad of a thing, actually quite an interesting personal development strategy, but at the time, I just thought, you're a fucking idiot. Of course this is gonna happen. You haven't played, apply a metricly demanding athletic sport
Starting point is 00:54:31 in a decade, and you thought that at 32 years old, you would just be able to get back into it. And one of my friends said one of the most common ways that he sees people get injured that in his friend group, our age group, is people that used to play a sport when they were a kid getting back into it about 10 years later. So this is a public service announcement to everybody.
Starting point is 00:54:54 Just do six weeks of training, condition yourself back into it. Do not think that you can do the things that you used to be able to do 10 years ago. Oh, man, I'm going to just steal so much stuff from you. I love the Never Multiply by Zero. That's fantastic. Talk to me a little bit. Before we finish up, I've got a couple of threads open in my mind. I really want you to try and how would you prepare for the reshuffling?
Starting point is 00:55:21 You know, you have preppers out there, like the Doomsday preppers, you guys in America love them, and they've got their bunkers underground. The reshuffling is occurring, the talents which previously served us are no longer the ones that we can utilize in this world. That's basically what the reshuffling is talking about, right? That what used to be a competitive advantage no longer is,
Starting point is 00:55:44 and in this new world we need to have new modes of thinking, we need to have new skills. What would you do? I take 30 years off your life. What would you do now? Yeah, yeah. So what I would do is I would watch broadly and read broadly, just like if I was gonna even use a metric to decide what I want
Starting point is 00:56:08 to read, I would find people that I resonated with on social media and I would take their recommendations. And if they said, hey, read the beginning of Infinity by David Deutsch, I would read that book. And I would learn to be endlessly curious because Dorothy Parker was an American with a wonderful quote which is curiosity is the cure for boredom there is no cure for curiosity and and if you can and and I find that it becomes almost a habit. So if you start getting curious about something, that makes you curious about other things, and so on and so on. I use the John Cleese from Money, Python, and so on and so on, get when I'm doing it on Twitter.
Starting point is 00:57:00 But activate your mind. And this sounds like pedestrian information, but I can't tell you how many people that I've given this advice to, and they're like, really? And I'm like, yeah, really? Like, university, that wasn't your education. That was a certification and a socialization process,
Starting point is 00:57:22 which you probably benefited from, by the way. But now, now that you've articulated, now your education begins, right? And so, consume as much as you possibly can intellectually speaking. So listen to your podcast, listen to mine, listen to somebody who, like, listen to Sam Harris. Because you learn, by listening to Chris Chris's podcast that Sam Harris is not a sproker because he's at risk. Oh, that's interesting. I think I'm going to subscribe to Sam Harris. And I'm going to listen. I subscribe, by the way.
Starting point is 00:57:57 And so the second thing, keep, this is so hard. Don't become prematurely certain, right? Everybody, just see it immediately. Like, they see one thing about whatever, one of the issues we were discussing. And I'm certain that this is right. No, you're not. You're not.
Starting point is 00:58:26 And that leads to what I call deterministic thinkers. Right, so we're deterministic thinkers living in a probabilistic world. That world just got a fuck ton more probabilistic because we now, it's a universe, right? And I get to, I get to talk to Chris and say, hey, I'm looking for somebody in the UK because I want to do this. And I got, right, I got just a guy for you. I Skype with him.
Starting point is 00:58:53 I give him the job. It's done because you showed me the, or you recommended him, you see his record. So, so the idea that, that you need, or even want in a weird way, some imparator from an institution, that's going away, and your imparator is you, right? So I would do that.
Starting point is 00:59:21 If you took 30 years off me, I would learn how to program because that is such an amazing skill and Elite programmers, which I know a lot about now because of what we're doing at OSAM and friends and things man, it is It's a it's a power law. It's not it's not like an arithmetic thing And it's a power law. It's not like an arithmetic thing. When you are 10 times better in programming, then this guy down here, he can't even begin. You're not even talking about the same universe.
Starting point is 00:59:57 Are you talking about capacity to make money, ability to see the world, happiness, what are you optimizing for here? Well so what I optimize for is knowledge because and by that I mean the whole happiness thing that always has made me shake my head because I can't figure it out. I think that chasing happiness as an end goal doesn't work. What makes you happy is being able, in my opinion, could be wrong, but being able to do what you want to do, what animates you, when you want to do it, how you want to do it, and basically being able to do that. Do you know how close that is to Morgan Howe's description of what wealth is? So Morgan's a good friend of mine, disclosure.
Starting point is 01:00:57 I do know how close it is. Do what you want, with who you want, for as long as you want, and no one can tell you otherwise. That's his description of wealth. Bingo, and he's right. He's absolutely right. That's why his book, I recommend the psychology of money, fantastic book, because he understands what wealth really is. And so many people, especially in the United States, but also the UK, it's a little different, it's certainly much different in some Asian, I travel a lot, so I've been to, you know, Bhutan, I've been to Nepal, I think it's great, because I think the more you learn, the better. See, what am I optimizing for? I'm optimizing for learning. And if you optimize for that, the rest kind of takes care of itself. And by that, I mean, so I'm an asset manager.
Starting point is 01:01:49 I've been an asset manager since I was 27 years old. So I've been a fiduciary on my life, on my adult life. Chris, I honestly can count on one hand, the number of people who I met, whose money we managed, whose goal was to make a lot of money Not even five. It's actually four and I remember each one of them because guess what they are fucking miserable and and they just they never have enough and they always want more than the next guy and They're covetous and they're jealous and they're
Starting point is 01:02:25 envious and those are the most destructive sins because you can't have any fun with them. I mean at least gluttony and then you're gonna enjoy it right. So everyone else other than those four everyone else became rich by doing something that fascinated them. Or that they were really good at. So, you know, we have some from some professional sports people. They were just so good at it. They were optimized for it.
Starting point is 01:02:57 And, you know, they were built for it. They lovely gene structure, right? But they pursued it. They didn't make that rookie mistake that you made. Multiplata is zero. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. They were like, oh no, no, no, Ben injured. I'm not gonna do that. So, so but every one of them and they come from a wide variety of fields. They were obsessed almost with something and they just wouldn't give it, they wouldn't give up, they just kept going, they kept going, they kept going.
Starting point is 01:03:31 And guess what? As a side effect of that, they were like some of the happiest people I've ever met in my life. It's like, I'm a very cheerful person, you know, despite Jed McKinna because I kind of get to do whatever the fuck I want to do. And that's wonderful. Here's something for you. Here's something for you. I want to interject there. A lot of the time when I speak to people, I see a combination of a number of different things happening,
Starting point is 01:03:58 survivorship bias and a narrow worldview from people who sit in a position, perhaps where you are now, where you have degrees of freedom, wealth, generally, lack of boss, headroom above you to do the things you want, et cetera, et cetera. And I often wonder about whether or not their advice, how applicable their advice is to people who are before them, right?
Starting point is 01:04:22 Because the person who has the things can talk about the model that they think should be pursued. But hang on a second, is that how you got to where you are now? Is that the way that you went through that? What are your sort of thoughts around this? Is there a period? Is there a grind reel that people need to go through between sort of 20 and 40, something like that? So, again, really great question. I'm going to be stealing a lot of your questions that people need to go through between 20 and 40, something like that? So again, really great question. I'm gonna be stealing a lot of your questions and when I have people on my budget.
Starting point is 01:04:53 So yes, there is a grind period, but to answer your question, I did things in a very unorthodox way. I started Oshanasi Capital Management without any backers. And I believe that if I got this book, what works on Wall Street is propping up my computer here. If I got this book published, that would make my career. So I was, I was, I like locked on to that.
Starting point is 01:05:22 How can I make that so? And that's a fun story and it required a lot more than you might think. But to people looking outside at me and say the ages between 27 and say 45, they would have said, man, Jim's not just a grinder. That's all he's doing. He's just grind, grind, grind, man. He's on a plane all the time. I don't want that life That's awful, you know to me It was like I was doing what I loved and and so I think you need to you need to look at what is the what is the Platform on which we are viewing this individual? Are we viewing them from the outside? Do we understand that what looks like a super bad grind to us is actually like sparking
Starting point is 01:06:15 joy in them? Dude, let me tell you, you brought Tim Cook up earlier on. I was sat down with one of the head branding guys for Apple in the UK, who's the first, we've been shut down for ages, it was the first lunch that I had in like six months that wasn't made by me. And we sat down and he was telling me this story about Tim. And he was at this private, super triple A level and above employee, seminar thing out in America. And Tim's giving this, Tim's giving this talk. And someone asked a question to do with the passion, should I follow what I really love,
Starting point is 01:06:54 should I do what feels fun to me? I'm trying to do that, but the work is hard. I thought that following your passion was supposed to be easy. And Tim said, no, no, no, following your passion will be the hardest thing that you will do in your life. He said, you will have to lift the heaviest weight that you have ever lifted, but the tools will feel light. Tools will feel light. Wonderful. Wonderful.
Starting point is 01:07:28 Tim is absolutely right. It's so funny, you know, I'm feeling Jungian, Jungian synchronicities here because we were having this conversation last night about with my wife about, you know, why Apple, why do I still think Apple's great? And I said, because it's a whole different deal. Tim Cook's tools have to be by necessity. They're different than Steve Jobs tools. And I so vibe with that statement
Starting point is 01:07:58 because it's true. I mean, listen Chris, I worked crazy hours. Here's another one that I often say and I can tell by just looking at the person. I know you'll get it because you, this is the kind of guy you are, but think like an owner. If you can think like an owner as opposed to an employee, you retain, you just naturally retain much more agency within yourself. You retain much more responsibility within yourself. You don't blame other people's when you fuck up. You fucked up.
Starting point is 01:08:34 And that's the other thing that I tell people who are kind of afraid to fail. I do not know, including these four miserable fucks who only want it to be rich. I do not know a single person who is rich, who didn't fail, sometimes spectacularly, and it was all in how they reacted to that. So I mean, I have a whole list, right? I put it up sometimes
Starting point is 01:09:06 as in mistakes were made and yes by me. And the way I look at it is I learned so much from those failures that I couldn't have gone to the next level of where I went in my career without learning that, right? So think like an owner, it's hard for people to think that way because it just is. But the quote from Tim Cook is absolutely right. What looks and feels at the time like, I know, sometimes some wrong human beings, right? Sometimes when you're sitting in a hotel, I remember I had to do an actual
Starting point is 01:09:51 book tour for my third book, How to Retire Rich, was by the way, it was the only book that I wrote for a general audience. And I was on Oprah Winfrey for it, and that was a trip. And anyway, but this The was deadly. It was like, morning, you gave a talk and a breakfast, and then you did a talk and a lunch, and then you did G.V. and then you got on a plane and went to the next market. In St. like that mentality, that was 1997. My miracle year as Trent Griffith would say. And so at the end, I'm like, okay, I just, I don't think I can eat another powder egg. I just can't, but then I would just like rev myself up
Starting point is 01:10:36 because I'm like, I would just remind myself, dude, you were just so helpful, win-free, man. You have women coming up to you in airports going, are you Jim O'Shaugh on a scene? And that's cool. That's cool. And so looking from without, there was a lot of woe with me. I'm not home. I came home every weekend because my kids were young. And I wanted to see my kids. And that was a deal breaker for me. And so other people would say, well, but that's just added to it. No, get when you are doing that grind,
Starting point is 01:11:09 when you are lifting that heavy weight and the tools are light. One of the things you gotta think about too is you can put provisos and cure two fours if we're gonna get legalistic in here, into your own game plan. One of my previous those was, I don't care where I am on this three week national tour and Canada.
Starting point is 01:11:34 I am going to be home right afternoon, get my kids at school, spend the weekend with them, fly out something at night. And it was that hard on me. Sure, maybe. I was probably in a beautiful place like Whistler in Canada and maybe I just wanted to hang but it was more important that I had that built in To the deal because that was more important to me and and so I can hear somebody right now listening and saying well Fuck you know I worked for whatever Lloyd'ss or, and you know, they, they have this social media, they, I have to be anonymous. Okay, be anonymous. Doesn't matter.
Starting point is 01:12:12 Jesse Livermore, one of the most brilliant guys in markets that I have ever met, he's a no-sam partner, uses our data, writes these incredible pieces. I had a guy call me from one of the most prestigious universities in the United States and he was like, dude, Will you tell that guy that if he's gonna do that again to submit an application for a PhD in finance and you'll get it With that with that would be his thesis. He's anonymous. Nobody knows who he is. And now we're coming full circle back to this new age, right? Hit quality of Jesse's work. Is everything. You can and the other thing that's interesting about being anonymous is remember that messenger, messenger hating the messenger, and so therefore hating the message.
Starting point is 01:13:08 If you hate him, you don't hate him, because you don't have any idea who the hell he is, but you hate his message. Okay, that's fine, that's fair game. But so the last thing I would say is, The last thing I would say is don't spend, if I'm a huge fan of writing with your hand, there's reasons for why this were. And you're a lefty too. I am, yes.
Starting point is 01:13:39 And so, if you want to know the fastest way to know whether you know something or not, try to write it out. Because if you don't know what the fuck you're talking about, it will show up on the page. And you'll be like, oh, I thought I knew this. Now, you didn't know it. And so, like, another thing that I do is I recommend that. Like, people come to me and they're like, how do I do this?
Starting point is 01:14:07 I have all of these liabilities or these perceptions of a ceiling. And I'm like, perception is reality, man. If you believe, and I cannot tell you the number of people that I've worked with on this, and the ones that got it, sword, right? They put themselves in their own prison of their beliefs, right? And it's hard to come up with an escape plan if you don't know you're in jail.
Starting point is 01:14:34 And so when you work with them, and you have them write things out, they're like, I can't believe I just wrote this down that I believe this. This is like bullshit. Why would I ever believe this? So so right Right about what you want to be right about how you get there are is everyone gonna make it? No, I mean that's the way the world works and And you know the other thing finally Retain your agency. Timothy Larry, who was vilified in this country, the perfect scapegoat, he actually was a very brilliant professor
Starting point is 01:15:17 at Harvard, but he also kind of like Isaac Newton, like the limelight. He liked the people talking about him. And so Nixon was like, oh, I'm gonna make all of those non-addictive drugs, class one, and you're gonna go to bed max for using them. And finally, that bit of ridiculousness is going away and they're finding miraculous recoveries from like PTSD and everything else. Anyway, Larry was a psychologist who was actually pretty gifted.
Starting point is 01:15:48 And so he said we get imprinted at a certain age. And it's very difficult to undo that imprint later on. As you might guess, Larry suggested that LSD might be a very good agent to help you. I am print and actually they're finding that and the research they're doing, particularly with veterans with PTSD, miraculous recoveries, and how any sane individual could be against this, I just don't know. These people like literally tried to kill themselves. But so what he said was, you get imprinted with a loser script or a winner script. But so what he said was you get imprinted with a loser script or a winner script.
Starting point is 01:16:27 The loser script, what do they do? Chris, it's your fault. It's, let's say I suck at this podcast and people are laughing and Jim had an off day, you know, he was pretty stupid. The loser script is, that was Chris's fault. And I was, it was because of Skype. I didn't like Skype. I like Zoom. And I was hungry. You're just going to see this laundry list, everything but me. That's a loser script. And if you configure that out and there are ways by the way to reverse that and And if you maintain your agency is the easiest way I've found which means
Starting point is 01:17:13 You got on it you can own the success, but you also got on the total total snappoo and And when you do that, it's uncomfortable And it's like Teddy rose, one of our presidents, had this great thing about the man in the arena. And now we would say the human being or the man or the woman in the arena. And it's scary as hell, honestly.
Starting point is 01:17:36 I just subscribed to a friend. He finally decided he's gonna write for sub-stack and charge people. And so I'm DMing with him on Twitter, and he's like, I am terrified that I'm gonna fail. And I'm like, dude, you took the first step which takes a lot of courage. Just to keep leaning into it now.
Starting point is 01:17:57 Like, I'll amplify you. I'll say, guess what? I just subscribed to, and I think you should too. And so I'm not saying that this is easy. It's not. I mean, it'd be great, right? If like, what's the joke, the meme about, you know, get money, make it a zillion, bro down, sell it. That's the way the world works, man.
Starting point is 01:18:28 And you're an entrepreneur, you know that. And like my old joke was, I would be perfect if I didn't ever have to employ or deal with another human being. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Including me, by the way.
Starting point is 01:18:42 Yeah. Yeah. Man, there's so much there at the very end. I'm trying to sort of wrangle it all together. With finite creatures surrounded by infinite complexity, so it makes sense that you're going to be scared. It makes sense that you're going to be concerned of things because inevitably you're in a battle against entropy that you can't win. In the end, entropy is going to win out. But my Twitter bio is correct. We locally reverse it. We locally reverse entropy talking about writing, the importance of writing, forcing your thoughts into words. When you have something
Starting point is 01:19:18 that's in your head, if you don't have an outlet like a podcast or a friend that you can have a deep meaningful conversation with for 30 minutes once every week, which is a prescription I give, or a journal practice, morning pages, or whatever it is. If you don't have that, all of your thoughts are just notions that these ephemeral clouds and you can't grasp them, they're not concrete. And if reading 1984 taught us anything, it's that the quality of your language is directly proportional to the quality of your thoughts, because without the words to describe the things you're thinking, the things you're thinking, stay inside of your own head, and you don't even understand them in terms of a concrete for yourself.
Starting point is 01:19:57 So that's important as well. Talking about taking the leap and just sort of jumping and learning to fly on the way down. I'm someone, I haven't had a massive amount of failures. I'm prudent. I'm a very, very sort of prudent businessman, the way that I make my entrepreneurial decisions always earths towards the side of caution. And I think I have something to learn there. I'm not really too sure what it is yet. I feel like I have something to learn there. I'm not really too sure what it is yet. I feel like I have something to learn, some sort of insight to learn around,
Starting point is 01:20:29 around failing or around pushing harder, failing faster. I'm not really too sure what that is yet. But man, this, we could go on forever and ever. And we will do it again. It's been too long to get you booked in, but I won't make it this long for the next one. Infinite Loops podcast. What else should people check out? Podcast. Check out osam oscarsem at a Mary.com. That's where all of these research pieces that we do have a home.
Starting point is 01:21:00 Check out. Canvas. You can get to it through OSAM We didn't even talk about that and that's the way the world's going I We're in the fast lane of asset management and we got a muzzarati and It's unbelievable watching this explosive growth. It's customization and if you've ever had a bespoke suit You don't want to buy one off the rack anymore watching this explosive growth, it's customization. And if you've ever had a bespoke suit, you don't wanna buy one off the rack anymore.
Starting point is 01:21:33 So that's a whole different conversation. We could do an entire podcast about that because that's what we see coming. And once you understand that you can get treated like you're on Saville Row, but you're paying Joseph A. Banks prices. That's a pretty nice deal. So check out Canvas when you're there. That's interesting. And then my son, Patrick, he has, like, so he has an enterprise that I have nothing to do with Colus. It's called all his he came up with it
Starting point is 01:22:06 He's killing it over there, but the reason I suggest it is because What it's becoming is like if you want to know about you fill it in you go over to colossus you type your search term in Upcom any podcast where there's a domain expert on it, up come the transcript, up come, we think you should read this. I said to him the other night at dinner, you're chasing all the MBA programs out, right? Here's another digital world, right? Because the leverage that is inherent in that, especially for young people, go over to Colossus.com and I'm sure you have some kind of passion. Guess what? There's going to be
Starting point is 01:22:54 a domain expert who is really compelling and what to read, so check that out too. Jim, I'll show on the sea ladies and gentlemen. I will catch you next time. Cheers. Thanks, Chris, this was great.

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