Modern Wisdom - #721 - George Mack - Why Can No One Think Rationally Anymore?

Episode Date: December 18, 2023

George Mack is a writer, marketer and an entrepreneur. Thinking for yourself is one of the most important skills you can develop. However it's hard. It's a difficult task to overcome the boring, negat...ive, irrational trends around you. Which is why you need some new tools in your mental models box. Expect to learn what the Keynsian Beauty Contest is, why memes are so influential in society today, which behaviours appear positive but actually harm you in disguise, what the forgetting paradox is, what the most useful emotional state is, why “ignorance is bliss” is a putdown in 2023 and much more... Sponsors: Get a 35% discount on all Cozy Earth products at http://www.cozyearth.com/modernwisdom (discount automatically applied) Get the Whoop 4.0 for free and get your first month for free at https://join.whoop.com/modernwisdom (discount automatically applied) Get 15% discount on Craftd London’s jewellery at https://craftd.com/modernwisdom (use code MW15) Extra Stuff: Get my free Reading List of 100 books to read before you die → https://chriswillx.com/books/ Buy my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom - Get in touch. Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello, everybody. Welcome back to the show. My guest today is George Mac, he's a writer, marketer, and an entrepreneur. Thinking for yourself is one of the most important skills you can develop. However, it's hard. It's a difficult task to overcome the boring, negative, irrational trends around you, which is why you need some new tools in your mental models box. Expect to learn what the Keynesian beauty contest is, why memes are so influential in society today, which behaviours appear positive, but actually harm you in disguise, what the forgetting paradox is, what the most useful emotional state is, why ignorance is bliss is a put down in 2023, and much more.
Starting point is 00:00:40 George has been coming on the show for five years now, and every single time that I get to speak to him I love it. He has one of the best insights into human nature and Social trends and why we are the way we are and I just love it This is what we talk about over dinner or coffee and it's exactly the same conversation now just minus the coffee in the dinner and one week today It's Christmas. It's gonna be Christmas day and there will be no episode on Christmas Day. Time to put your phone down and spend it with the people that you enjoy that are around you. But we've got a Christmas special coming out. We've got a lessons from 2023 episode. This Thursday, which is so good, and was one of the biggest
Starting point is 00:01:21 most played episodes of last year. So you don't want to miss that. And then in between Christmas and New Year, we've got some more special stuff too. So I hope that you are winding down appropriately ready for the New Year. Also, if you need a annual review, you can get that right now for free by going to chriswalex.com slash review. It's an annual review template that I've used every single year to recap the lessons from the last 12 months and plan the year ahead. You can get that right now for free at your Super Holiday Store. See flyer for details.
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Starting point is 00:03:31 If you've seen me on any of the big cinema episodes on YouTube wearing a necklace, it will always be from crafted. I absolutely love it. It works with formal wear, casual wear, whether it's daytime or nighttime, all of the pieces are super high quality, the designs are great and I love them. That's, it's daytime or night time, all of the pieces are super high quality, the designs are great and I love them.
Starting point is 00:03:46 That's all I wear. Also they have an unlimited lifetime guarantee, so if your piece breaks for any reason at any point during the entire life of the product, they will give you a new one for free. Get a 15% discount, sitewide on everything by going to bit.ly slashcd-wisdom using the code mw15. A checkout that's b-i-t.ly-c-lettasy-lettasy-wisdom and mw15. A checkout. But now, ladies and gentlemen, please welcome George Mack. The Keynesian Beauty Contest, what's that? So the Keynesian Beauty Contest is this idea of different levels of human interaction with things.
Starting point is 00:04:46 So let's say you lined up a hundred people and Chris has to go rank them in order of who's the most attractive. That's like level one. But level two, that's quite a simple idea. But level two is when you're also predicting what everybody else in the room will think. And what's really interesting is what Chris will rank is very different to what he will think everybody else will think. And then level three is another layer when you have to factor in everybody else knowing that everybody else is playing the game. And what's interesting is when they run these experiments,
Starting point is 00:05:19 let's say they ask people to rate the cutist dog video. What they think is the cutest versus what the group, then when they vote for the group will be the cutist. It completely becomes different. So when people are aware of other people's perceptions, it completely shapes things. So in terms of like a practical application for this, there was a period where the Lib Dems were voting higher and higher in the polls, almost up there with conservative and labor. So people were saying, these guys are great, these guys are great. But then when it comes to that level two thing,
Starting point is 00:05:48 well, what is everybody else gonna vote for? People don't actually vote for them because they're factoring in everybody else. So when you're dealing with thinking systems or other people and predicting what they're gonna do, the behavior becomes a lot more complex as a result. Yeah, there's an interesting study that was done on women giving their level of education when they know that other people are going to see the answers and when they think that
Starting point is 00:06:16 it's going to be kept private. And female intracextual competition says that women should downplay their successes so that they don't get sabotaged by potential other females that are trying to derogate them and manipulate them in some way or another. Get that new tonic and you're going. That's good. Get it down you. And what it means is that when women know that other people are going to see their answers,
Starting point is 00:06:40 they downplay what it is that they've achieved when they're keeping it private. They tend to be a little bit more truthful. But you know the Abelene paradox. Not familiar with this. You're going to absolutely adore this. So Gwinda first introduced me to it, right? And it's just, again, when you see it, you can't unsee it. The Abelene paradox is a situation in which a group makes a decision that is contrary to the desires of the group's members, because each member assumes the others approve of it. It explains how a number of accurate individuals can become idiots when they get together. So I think Emperor's new clothes in a way. An acquaintance invites you to his wedding despite not wanting you there because he thinks you want
Starting point is 00:07:20 to attend. You attend despite not wanting, because you think he wants you there. At a business meeting, someone suggests an idea he thinks the others will like, perhaps recruiting a trans influencer as the face of the brand. Each member has misgivings about this, but assumes the others will think that they are transphobic if they speak out,
Starting point is 00:07:37 so everyone approves the idea despite no one liking it. Or every member of a family in North Korea who hates communism, but they never mention this to each other because each assumes that the others approve of it. You have this, or I've had this on social occasions as well, where you'll be at dinner and it'll be getting later and later, and nobody's left yet.
Starting point is 00:07:56 And sometimes I'll be sat there looking at the clock, I'm I can leave, I can leave, and then one person leave. The high agency exit. There's a Mexican wave of people exiting. Look, whole thing exits, and what's beautiful about the Keynesian beauty contest is it deals with reflexive systems where people's perceptions, shape reality and reality shapes perceptions.
Starting point is 00:08:14 There's this great, so George Soros, there's this amazing financial times article that he wrote about reflexivity. And Talib said this on Ferris, I didn't know if you knew this, that Soros wanted to be a philosopher, but basically just had the shadow career of crashing the pound and becoming one of the big, big hedge fund managers in there. But one of his ideas is this concept of reflexivity, which is like, so a statement of the whether it's going to be rainy today. That's not reflexive, because I'm dealing with a natural phenomenon in the sense that my thinking on my words doesn't shape reality.
Starting point is 00:08:49 So if you said that on TV, it doesn't change the weather. But if you go on TV and go, this is a revolutionary moment. The statement impacts reality. So you see these feedback loops between perception, reality, thinking and reality. So when you're dealing with human beings, the systems are so much more complex, which is why you see these meme stocks pump and down because people are up, everybody else is thinking the meme stock is going to be more complex. Right. So that everyone is trying to not only work out what they think about a thing, but future project, what other people will think about a thing, and then
Starting point is 00:09:21 adapting their projection and trajectory of the future to account for that. Yes. And then also thinking that other people are thinking about the overall thing as well. So that's how complex things can become. Robin Dunbar taught me that the main reason in his opinion that human beings' brains got so big is not so that we could more accurately remember where the food is or use tools or fire or contemplate the higher mysteries. It's because if you live in a 30-person part of a 150-person tribe,
Starting point is 00:09:56 and I know George, and I know that George's friends with Dean, but Dean used to be friends with George's ex-friend Josh and now Dean and Josh. And it's this very complex intersecting web of hierarchies and who's in and who's out and by how much and who used to be like this. So the human brain largely is a Facebook friend tracker with knobs and dials that you can keep in touch with. And that's why he said that human brains got so big because computationally to try and do, you know, this, it's like, you know, one squared versus two squared versus three squared versus four squared. The number's just, yeah, run away with each other. And that's kind of how it works. It's like 30 squared.
Starting point is 00:10:41 It's like 30 people and each of their interactions with each different person now and in the past and in the future and what do we think's gonna happen? Mmm, I think the idea of reflexivity is a whole, and then when you see it, you can't on see it. I don't know if you've ever done any cognitive behavioral therapy, but there's this most simple model in there, which when you go, ah, okay, this all makes sense now. And it's like the reflexivity of the human mind where you have a triangle, which is how you go, ah, okay, this all makes sense now. And it's like the reflexivity of the human mind
Starting point is 00:11:05 where you have a triangle, which is how you think, how you act, how you feel, and all three of them impact one another. So how you feel, impact how you think and act, how you act, impact how you think and feel, and how you think, impact how you feel and act. And then when you begin to see this triangle constantly exists, and I had the biggest midwit meme moment ever, whilst I was away, I was in late coma,
Starting point is 00:11:30 perfect scenes, and I was driving this little speedboat, and I was like, I'm fucking James Bond right now. Like, I'm living the dream, right? Anyway, I see a video back, and my face is like, I sit to the person who filmed the video, I go, is this what my face is like all the time? They go, yeah, you never really smile. Rest in bitch for it. I had resting bitch for it. And I honestly think one of the highest ROI things of just shaping
Starting point is 00:11:56 perception is, I mean, you told me you have a tattoo of a smile that. Yeah, it's a smile, yeah. And listening to the Sam Harris podcast you did of checking on the present moment and just, rather than focus on the breath, just focus on how your facial expressions are. Right. And just the simple, like, it is the highest thing they're just moving it to a brief smile. A, your perception completely changes. But B, as a reflective system, rather than people going, fucking hell, that guy's really serious. Yeah. Oh, that guy's a bit fucked. Treat him as something else. Yeah. I, Yeah, I realized that I was socially anxious,
Starting point is 00:12:28 especially toward the end of my 20s, the end of my teens, and then getting into the start of my 20s. And that's a reflexive recursive system as well, because if you're nervous around people, people might interpret that as nervousness, or as seriousness, or whatever, which means that people treat you in a manner
Starting point is 00:12:46 which is less warm because you appear less warm, which means that you see the world as an adversary, not as a compatriot, which means that you then are less capable of opening up and there it goes. Well, that's, it's the same with the thinking, feeling and acting thing, right? So if, for example, you have the thought, I'm an introvert and I hate going out.
Starting point is 00:13:06 Therefore, you feel a bit more wanting to stay in a bit down and then you act like that and then that cycle completely repeats itself. And it's so simple and it's why cognitive behavioral therapy has such an impact, right? When you can see that triangle and then go, well, which leave, are we gonna pull here?
Starting point is 00:13:22 I told you my theory about introversion. Most people aren't introverts. They're friends just suck. That even around, like, if you get an introvert around the right people, they're no longer introverted. And it's a recursive loop as far as I can see. Many of the people that believe that they're introverts are just in the wrong social group.
Starting point is 00:13:42 One of the questions I was going to ask you about is things you've changed your mind on. And on this specific point, I had that realization where when COVID happened, a lot of people experienced this where they start going online and they're meeting so many interesting people, because the online world, you immediately go to like global maximum, like the best of online. And then you can immediately think that I'm just going to be online from now on. I'm just going to be doing Zoom calls all the time. I'm going to be in Telegram chats.
Starting point is 00:14:07 And my online friends are so much more interesting. But the realization that it's just because they get getting to global maximum or like the peak of the internet, you just log on and you're there and you find your little tribe, but trying to find that in person is really difficult. But then when you find it, it's like a hundred X. Correct. Yeah, it's deeper. One of the interesting things that's happened with the internet is it's allowed people with very niche interests to find other people that've got niche. This is all of Reddit, right?
Starting point is 00:14:33 And Reddit is refined, not by individuals, but by topics. And it makes it unique in some regards, right? For a social media. That's been great because people that are into obscure late 80s anime from one particular region of Japan or whatever are able to get together and enjoy whatever it is that they're into. So good for a selection effect but bad for depth, right? And in person, very difficult to find that three other people in your 500,000-person city that's also into this obscure anime,
Starting point is 00:15:08 but if you were to find them, the level of depth of connection, which is why I think using the internet to explore and then using in person to exploit is the best paradigm, that's how we met. Yes, you know, we selected to become friends through the internet, and then once you do that, you go, okay, let's twist this into in person.
Starting point is 00:15:27 What's super strange about this though is all you need is one in person event. Like if, for example, you never meet and you use the digital layer as the foundation. So you just text chats, video calls, you could stack like thousands of them versus if you have one physical experience, the acts as like the, the, the floor that you then stack everything else on top of, it's so much richer. You only need a few in-person meetings to then be able to stack it. It's the reason why I put it in my newsletter this week, I think it was always say yes to dinner. And if someone's coming through town and you're maybe a little bit tired and you
Starting point is 00:16:03 just don't know whatever whatever, but you've been kind of a bit interested in this person in a while. You've been chatting to the money internet or something. Just say yes to go to dinner. And the number of times that just saying yes to a meeting, a quick coffee with somebody, a catch up or whatever it is, the number of friends that you have on the internet is so vast. And the number of people that you've met in the real world is so small that if you can be the sort of person who steps out of internet friend and into real world friend, which only takes 30 or 60 minutes to traverse that particular, because if you were to just high-five someone in an airport as you're both rushing for planes,
Starting point is 00:16:36 I don't think that does it. I think there needs to be a little bit of cost, there needs to be a little bit of investment of time put in. I'm gonna run about 60 minutes. You know, a dinner would be more than enough to be able to get this done. But if you can do, you know, a trip with somebody, if you can go away with somebody or if you can go through something a little bit more difficult, like taking mushrooms whilst doing VR, then, yeah, you can get out on the other side. Memes, both of us are massive fans of memes. You're
Starting point is 00:17:03 going to meet Mary Harrington a little bit later on today who came up with meme first explain later. Before we even get into talking about the most important memes that I want to run through with you, why what is it about memes and stickiness of ideas that's so important? Why do you think that's so crucial to get right? So the first point is that meme itself, the word, is an ironic word. It's kind of like dyslexia. Like no dyslexics can spell dyslexia. And the word meme is itself quite a bad meme
Starting point is 00:17:34 because when you say meme to most people, what do they think? They think of a... Dogphote on the internet. So you need to zoom out a little bit first and go, a meme is essentially just a spreadable idea and how the story spreads from people to people. So dog photos is part of that,
Starting point is 00:17:51 but you have okay Boomer, you have Karen, you code, learn to code, make America great again. Like all these things, whether you hate them, love them, whatever, are memes and they spread. And you see this where there's ideas that have existed that haven't had the right meme, kind of like a product that hasn't had the right marketing. And then you create a meme for it and like charisma has been around for so long. People have spoke about it, but it's always so.
Starting point is 00:18:22 I love the side here of you. Charisma was like the most uncharismatic topic to talk about. Ironic. Sorry, Charlie Hooper. Sorry. But all of a sudden, you create the word Riz, and everyone wants Riz. And then the language shapes perception, and then people are actually talking more about it.
Starting point is 00:18:38 Same with the word Ick, like the fact that you then have this placeholder to then discuss these things. But I think the fundamental thing with a good meme is the almost look at it like a simple algorithm. And thanks to COVID, like I've known about K-Factors for ages, right? Or are numbers... It's essentially for, let's say, with COVID, different strains, how if I had it, or one person had it, how many people they spread it to.
Starting point is 00:19:02 So if you go over one, then it's exponential growth. This is a big thing in the startup and tech space for a while. So when you're analyzing a Facebook coming along, how many, when Chris joins, if he brings one more person with him on average, then just infinite growth until it disappears. But with a meme, what you need for that K factor is essentially the level of emotion and the friction for it to spread and How simple it is to understand the more complex it is The the less the mean whereas when you shorten it down to Riz and it's catching. It's three it's three
Starting point is 00:19:39 Kin letters all of a sudden It's really an absolute sense. Is it four zeds? It could be, it could be, yeah. All right, it depends if you're North or South London. Yeah, I was talking to the dude that founded legendary foods, the cinnamon roll thing that I gave you all you're on. And I was saying to him, what do you call the category of products that you've got there? We've got a craft for everyone that's pointing in this direction. There's a craft table filled with protein goods over there.
Starting point is 00:20:03 And I was like, what do you call what you do? And he's like, we've been trying to, like, nomenclature this for ages, because the closest thing is protein bar, right? But it doesn't capture what's there, because there's crisps and there's a cinnamon roll and there's a pop tart and there's, like, donuts and stuff. So it's not protein bar, a health snack, a protein-conscious confectionery treat, like healthy sweet, like what, you know, and it's all about getting the meme right. Yes.
Starting point is 00:20:31 And if you get the meme right, everything downstream from that works. The episode I did with Eric Weinstein, he made a really nice tweet about the fact that he was talking about making the temporary archival, I think, the ephemeral archival. And he likes the idea of filming things in high quality because he gives it more gravitas and more evergreen sort of lindy nature. But he said to me, over text, in a stickiness arms race, great ideas don't stick around because they're insufficiently sticky. So you can have an amazing idea that's called protein bar, but it needs a better meme name.
Starting point is 00:21:11 Yeah. And you can do the reverse as well, which is what people are very skeptical of, which is this is a cool sounding name, product, category, movement, whatever, but there's no there there. That's right. It's just meme and no, yeah, all meme, no substance.
Starting point is 00:21:25 Yeah, yeah, yeah. Once you see it, you can't unsee it. And my, I mean, it's already happened. So I don't even think this is a crazy prediction. But you look at the 2024 election or insert future elections now thanks to social media. That will be decided by who has the best memes, not who has the best policies. And once you see that, you can't unsee it. And I think the key thing to them factor in is
Starting point is 00:21:48 now you have global internet. And the next level you kind of seeing it now is Spotify. Two years from now, maybe we'll be speaking right now in Portuguese because of this AI language translation. So you then factor in languages no longer gonna be a barrier. Internet adoption is gonna be completely global as like parts of the third world fully hop online and the older generation dies out the ability for a meme to go from nothing to
Starting point is 00:22:12 24-hour Investation of the entire world like a virus Be the positive and beautiful or negative and destructive is is about to happen. I was talking to somebody who His book title was a pun, right, which kind of like a meme, like a play on words. It was like a book about sex called You're Doing It Wrong or something like that, right? And he mentioned that he was selling the translation rights, but because words, what you're doing with pun specifically, which is a kind of me, is playing in multiple interpretations of the same word or the same sentence. But by design, that doesn't translate over into other languages.
Starting point is 00:22:53 So his great piece of advice was, if you're going to write a book title that you intend to go international, don't use a pun. Because you can end up like talking about the flight of pigeons or something by accident, because they're trying to retrofit your pun to this new language, which doesn't work, which means that you have to either compromise the pun entirely or keep the pun but lose what the actual context is. Well, on that specific point, to explain memes is essentially to say, people judge your book by its cover. The age or advice of don't judge your book by its cover is because people judge the book by its cover. The age or advice of don't judge your book by its cover is because people judge the book by its cover. So if you can spread it,
Starting point is 00:23:28 they're trying to stop us from enacting our nature. So one meme that I think is terrible, that I think so important for people to understand is, and we use, me and you use this word a lot. Like if you had to graph it in terms of words we speak, after like the and, and a few others water. This one's up there, which is leverage. Like we use leverage all the time. And I originally got it from the Valsburg Almanac, and I when I heard it, I almost didn't want to admit
Starting point is 00:23:57 I didn't fully understand it, so I didn't want to sound stupid. So I'd go and research it and I go, okay, so this guy called Archimedes. And if you have enough leverage and engineering, you can create things where the import can produce a much greater output. So people will use it like that. So when I create a company, I try to create the cultural value around leverage. So I created this Google sheet and everybody would input in there, like the highest leverage task that week. So that was one of the values that we tried to create as a company. And every of our value made sense.
Starting point is 00:24:26 But we'd go in there and we'd do these weekly checking calls. And everyone would be like, I'll be honest with you, I don't know what highest leverage task means. And I was like, huh. And then you zoom out right now, you've got the Instagram gurus who chat about, I'm the hardest working man in the room. And then you have the kind of meme
Starting point is 00:24:42 of smart work versus hard work. And none of it really sticks, especially coming from an educational system. And then when you begin to fully understand code leverage, media leverage, capital leverage, labor leverage, it begins to stick a little bit more. And I think in how do you actually get this into an idea that begins to translate?
Starting point is 00:25:02 One of the terrible ideas that I do have for this, which I'll bring up, because it's on here, which is a lot of napkin maps, but is essentially, I wanted to, this is a kid's story, but I need to change the name to begin with, I animate it, it's called, hungover Jeff Bezos on his yacht. Right?
Starting point is 00:25:19 Versus, versus the world's hardest working man. So we have this story of these two individuals competing against each other, because I identify with the world's hardest working man. So we have this story of these two individuals competing against each other. Cause I identify with the world's hardest working man, I grew up watching Eric Thomas videos of like, you've got to want it as bad as you want to breathe. Like that kind of stuff. And ultimately, so let's say for example,
Starting point is 00:25:37 we give this Instagram guy who traps about hard working, this guy is better than everybody else cause he doesn't sleep, he works 24 hours a day, right? Jeff woken up at like 11.50, like nagging headed. He's probably got one of the best vitamin IV drips in the world. Goes on his jet ski that day, probably does a zoom call with his chest coach, like whatever. Who's worked hard of that day?
Starting point is 00:26:00 If you judge it in the old fashion interpretation that I think a lot of us have that don't understand leverage because we don't get engineering and things like that, you go, well, he's worked 24 hours that day, Jeff's done a few Slack messages. But I was like trying to go, well, what if you actually ran the napkin math? So right now, if you look at it as purely as like outputs, so this guy's got 24 outputs of hours of manual work that he's been doing, whereas Jeff's been sat on his ass. If you look at like that, that's it 24 to zero hours of manual work that he's been doing, whereas Jeff's been sat on his arse. If you look at like that, that's 24 to zero. But all of a sudden, when you begin to quantify leverage,
Starting point is 00:26:31 you go, ah, this begins to click a little bit. So this is NAPKIMMAS from about a year ago. So the point of NAPKIMMAS is not to be in the comment section saying that this is right. I know some of these numbers are wrong, but it's for the metaphor. So Jeff has 1.6 million people that work for Amazon. So let's say they all work eight hours per day.
Starting point is 00:26:48 Jeff's achieved 20.8 million hours of work that day. Then if you looked at robot leverage, so Amazon's warehouse, when I looked at these statistics, has 500,000 roaming factory robots. AWS has 1.8 million servers. They all work 24, 7, 4, here. That's 55 million hours of robot work per day, whilst he's been sat on that yacht.
Starting point is 00:27:12 And I'm not even gonna get into how much more output a robot can achieve per hour than a few. Let's just give the hardest working guy that you can keep up with them. Okay, then you look at advertising leverage. Amazon spends $46 million per day on marketing. Assuming it costs him $20 to reach 1,000 people, he's receiving 2.3 billion impressions per day.
Starting point is 00:27:34 Hardest working guy is going around knocking on doors, trying to sell his product. So Jeff's advertising leverage is about the equivalent of doing 95 million hours of door knocking per day. Then you look at media leverage, so Twitch gets 71 million hours of content viewed every day. Amazon Prime has 117 million subscribers. Let's assume that they're 10% watch one hour per day. That's 11 million hours of content viewed every single day.
Starting point is 00:28:00 So that's 82 million hours of storytelling done in person that this guy would have to do. So and then let's not go into all the other things you could think of related to Amazon. So hard is working on the rooms work 24 hours. Jeff sat on his yacht with a hangover and watching bits of succession and zooming away, has achieved 244 million hours of output. And then when you view it like that, the whole leverage complexity, the reason why leverage is a bad meme is because you need other topics and other realizations from engineering to understand it, which prevents it from spreading. But when you go, oh, Hong Kong over Jeff Bezos on his yard versus hardest working man in the world, you realize that in the 21st century, despite probably the PTSD from the education system. Leverage is more important, but it's a shit meme. In other news, this episode is brought to you by... Cosi Earth.
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Starting point is 00:29:20 and wake up feeling more rested and revitalised. Plus, there is a ten year warranty on all of their products. That's how confident they are that they're going to last. But don't just take my word for it. Oprah has chosen Cozy Earth as one of her favorite things for five years in a row now. You can get an exclusive 35% discount site wide on everything by going to cozyem.com.com Sean Puri has this idea about what you work on is way more important than how hard you work. He says hard work is very overrated. I think he refers to himself actively, refers to himself as a successful lazy man.
Starting point is 00:30:05 And he optimizes for laziness and frictionlessness. And yeah, it's the same, you know, the janitor or some guy that's working double or triple shifts, that amount of effort doesn't have an in-kind return to them, compared with somebody who is able to leverage code or media or labor or capital or even just picking the same amount of input that they've got with very limited leverage, but on a better task, a task that has more potential upside long-term. The key thing is to remove the conversation around hours work that we had from school and just be inputs outputs. So I have this number of inputs, what number of outputs am I getting, and remove the concept of hours' work, remove everything else on all of a sudden.
Starting point is 00:30:50 That meme is a little bit stickier, whether that's going to be a kid's story or not, probably not, and it's going to adapt the title a bit. But I think to view leverage through that makes it an easier idea for people to understand. But the reason why leverage is a bad meme is because people don't have the engineering knowledge. It doesn't spread, which is why it's such a Silicon Valley concept, and I think this idea still hasn't fully rippled through society. Don't forget as well that exponentials and squares
Starting point is 00:31:17 aren't something that the human brain is built to work out. It's like that I want one piece of rice on the first square of the chess board and two piece of rice on the first square of the chessboard and two pieces of rice on the second square of the chessboard all the way up and by the time you get to the final square on the chessboard you've got more pieces of rice than there are fucking particles in the universe or something. We just don't deal well with exponentials, which means that leverage inherently given that it's dealing with unfair multiplicatives, right? It's a multiplicative system rather than an additive system
Starting point is 00:31:45 for the most part. It's this times this, not this plus this. It's just gonna be tough to understand. You've got an idea, the best means compress mass emotion into a simple contagious concept like okay boomer or Karen, does that mean? Well, first off look at okay boomer. Who doesn't understand that? Two words,omer. Who doesn't understand that?
Starting point is 00:32:05 Two words, Karen. Who doesn't understand that? Make America great again. Who doesn't understand that? You can hate those memes, but it's compressed so much emotion. So let's say the okay Boomer one. It's compressed so much emotion of the millennial
Starting point is 00:32:20 and Gen Z being spoken down to by the boomer generation who have messed up a lot and it's completely compressed all that down and born that spreads. Same with Karen, same with even the word make America great again. Like there's so much emotion. Way more than it's four words. Yes. It's way more than the constituent parts. Yes, yes, yes. And with memes, it's all, I forgot who said it. It's the idea of, I'm sorry I didn't write you a shorter letter, but I didn't have time. Yes, yes, yes. The people look at it and go,
Starting point is 00:32:55 oh, that's so unfair, I wrote this 10,000 word, I say, that nobody ever read. But it versus this meme has spread. But you need to be able to optimize for that K factor. But you need to be able to optimize for that K factor, but you need to be able to compress as much emotion into that word for it to spread. Did the meme industrial complex used to be the purview of mainstream media, were they ever creating memes effectively, or is this a internet thing? Again, it's a little bit reflexive in the sense that they both interact, right?
Starting point is 00:33:22 So what RuPaul Murdoch would put on the news would be because he kind of knew what people would like and then what people liked was kind of because what they saw on the news and there's this constant thing here. So RuPot Murdoch or that generation of the meme industrial complex that own everything and could control the narrative, I actually think it's ironic that they've made succession now because they wouldn't have been able to make it 10 years ago because he had so much power, right? First, it's now, it's like, we can do what we want.
Starting point is 00:33:46 It would have seemed more like a documentary than a drama. And you can see why the mainstream media, dislike social media so much, because the mainstream media had the meme-industrial complex, in that they could put ideas out there and control the narrative. Whereas now, the meme-industrial complex is essentially this bottom-down approach of completely decentralized meritocracy to some extent. Yeah, it's all the users rather than the gatekeepers that are creating it. And a few algorithm developers who know that these faceless, algorithm developers can meme market it.
Starting point is 00:34:18 You can just shit it a little bit there and go, you know what? On YouTube now, we actually prefer long form podcasts in the algorithm, boom. And that just completely shifts things. So it's weird how you've got these kind of faceless algorithm creators now and these face creators that own the meme industrial complex. The last memes, or most of the memes that you see that come out of mainstream media are accidental memes. So it's a guy trying to propose to his wife a baseball game or something that gets wiped out by a security guard or something. It's never something that is designed to be funny. It's always the byproduct of something that was supposed
Starting point is 00:34:56 to be something else, which has come through in that way. I've also got this idea about how, if you want to be able to predict the future, look at a current cultural movement or mean that hasn't had the inverse already made. So, um, 2020 COVID gets released. That's summer. Everyone has to stay in the house. 2021, Megan, the stallion starts talking about hot girl summer. Last year, you weren't able to be free and liberated. Therefore, this year, you can be your best self, you glam up, go out with the girls, sleep with the guy, et cetera. 2022 is Ferrell Girl Summer, which is, treat yourself like an animal, don't wash, don't shave,
Starting point is 00:35:33 just put baggy clothes on and don't take any care of yourself. Another version, pick a partistry comes out sort of late 20s, early 2010s, then you get that sanitized by me too, which is a counterculture movement in some regards, not just to that, but to other stuff. Then you have Red Pill, then very quickly you have Migtown Black Pill that comes out of it.
Starting point is 00:35:56 So if you want to predict the future of means, look at a mean that's been created that hasn't had its inverse come out too, because every movement needs its counter movement in order to be able to balance it, because there is a market, there is a meme market for anything, which is not the thing which is currently popular. For every movement there will always be. It's like the equal and opposite force thing. For every meme there is an equal and opposite meme that comes out.
Starting point is 00:36:19 Well, question for you is, what do you think is, you know, we had the chat last time of what is ignored by the media, but we had the chat last time of what? Is ignored by the media but will be studied by historians and what we're kind of saying there is what's a really important topic? That hasn't had its full mean moment yet, right? Yeah, and what do you think buzz? What do you think are super important topics that just haven't like haven't been mean correctly? That's a really really cool. I haven't caught on yet or will catch on. Like what ideas sound crazy today, but five, 10 years from now, I'll be like, oh yeah, that's the thing.
Starting point is 00:36:50 Yeah, I think a lot of individual personalities, so this seems to be a very effective way to get memes to move. You know, like the meme of the Sigma male, which is kind of the guy who steps outside of the hierarchy. I don't think that there's very many good memes for women. I don't think that there's been many archetypes. Most of them are like derogatory in a lot of ways.
Starting point is 00:37:15 So like, you know, like the Karen, the party girl, the like Dubai yacht chick, there's not many there that I think are like almost aspirational in a way. And maybe this speaks to female personality and disposition that they don't... I don't know about girls, but guys would happily have like he-man or the rock or whatever in a bedroom post-a-wall. But girls would also, a lot of the time, have guys, like some hot singer. I don't
Starting point is 00:37:45 know whether girls use role models and aspirational, admirable figures. Like, if you went into a teenage girl's bedroom and had a post from Jordan Peterson quotes on the wall, you'd think, like, let's take you off to psychotherapy. So, yeah, certainly individuals in some ways, like memes for aspirational memes for girls, I think that there's a massive market for them. in some ways, like memes for aspirational memes for girls, I think that there's a massive market for them. What about you? This is, I think, one of the most important topics, but it's so ugly and boring.
Starting point is 00:38:13 And I even work with, like, I'm fearsome of saying this because I can just feel people like skipping to the next YouTube chapter as soon as I say this, but give me like a minute to just say it. And it's even the word now, right? You're going to go, right? Cybercrime, right? It's just like nobody takes it seriously, but it's so fucking important.
Starting point is 00:38:35 And just to maybe give a bit of a story that's going to help with this, have you heard of the Bangladeshi bank heist? No. Now we're talking, right? This is going to blow your mind. And again, it doesn't sound good right now, but it's going to be good. So the biggest bank robbery in history was, I think it's about $60 million in Brazil in about 2015, 2016. We've cybercrime recently. They almost hacked $1 billion from the Bangladeshi bank using the Swift system.
Starting point is 00:39:05 For context that year, the Bangladeshi GDP was 230 billion. So think with GDP as well, it's movement of money. It's not total money. If Chris sends George Ten and I send it back, that acts towards the GDP, but it's just us exchanging money. So imagine taking $1 billion like that from a developing country immediately. And the only reason that fate, the only reason this isn't, there will be, I think, within five to 10 years, there will be a COVID-like moment. Do you remember pandemics before COVID? It was like bird flu, spine flu. You just be like, oh, the sun's just trying to get clicks and
Starting point is 00:39:41 things like that. I remember I used to tell people about COVID in January, February. I won't say who, but they used to call me conspiracy George for bringing up COVID. And now obviously, the pandemics are taken very seriously, but there will be a 9-11 or a COVID like moment for cyber where things get very, very dark, very fast. I think the Bangladesh, you bank heist is only a tiny example of that where you go from $60 million robbery in person to $1 billion overnight. And the only reason why it failed is because the hackers that were working on this system,
Starting point is 00:40:09 so they emailed, they sent an email with a CV application. The person at the bank clicks on the CV, infects everything. They're working on it for a year. They time it perfectly during the new year's holidays. Everything about this height has gone perfect. Bear in mind this bank would only move about 300 K-around. The Swift system, so it goes to the Federal Reserve in America,
Starting point is 00:40:29 so it sees one billion and they're like, yeah, sure. So it's like the security systems weren't in place, the only reason it failed is because two things. One, they had a typo for the addresses. So, literally, it didn't fail because of the amount, it failed because of the human error. Human error, and it was a really basic English spelling that they made a mistake. And then, too, the bank in the Philippines, they were sending it to, was called Jupiter Street.
Starting point is 00:40:52 And Jupiter was a company associated with Iranian money laundering. So it just happened to flag in the system. Otherwise, it would have gone through. Both of which were human. A billion would have been taken from Bangladesh, like one of the poorest countries in the world, like that, and the impact that has, and you then begin to realize what happens at one point when certain airlines get attacked, certain banking systems get attacked, and we're so relaxed,
Starting point is 00:41:13 but because I say the word cyber security, and only 3% of the audience have carried on right now, but it's so boring, but we need stronger memes around it, because it's such an important topic. Yeah. Wasn't it, you told me some story about the salary that was, yes, offered for the British head of cyber security.
Starting point is 00:41:34 So the head of cyber security in the UK, we spoke about this last time, got offered a salary or like on LinkedIn jobs. It was 55 to 65 K pounds for the UK, right, $30,000, $80,000. Yeah, which, listen, it's obviously a great income for most of the world, but for the head of cybersecurity. When you're dealing with hackers that are trying to steal one billion dollars. Yeah. Yeah. It's just evidently something that's, it's, that's specifically, I'm going to guess a,
Starting point is 00:42:03 uh, governmental problem because I'm going to guess, a governmental problem, because I'm going to presume the head of cybersecurity at Facebook is, oh yeah, an ungodly amount of money, because they are already red-pilled on just how big of a deal this is. But if Facebook goes down, it's obviously a big issue, but if government systems go down, a lot worse. If the emotion caused by the meme is greater than the friction of spreading it, you've cracked the meme algorithm. It's exactly that. That is an example of a simple but not easy truth. That is all memes. Does the emotion outweigh the friction of spreading it? If so, you've created that
Starting point is 00:42:42 outweigh the friction of spreading it. If so, you've created that positive one number that it begins to spread, spread, spread, spread, spread. It's so simple. You've got one in here that's the same as mine. The easiest way to predict the next meme is to look at the current memes and bet on countermeams appearing. You take that from me.
Starting point is 00:42:58 You better have done. Potentially. That was my idea. The fastest growing company to the next ten years will have a chief meme office that's working for them directly or indirectly. If you look at all these fast growing consumer businesses,
Starting point is 00:43:11 they either have a chief meme officer in house. So you can think of these influencer celebrities that are creating a McGregor with proper 12, the McGregor meme and all the sub memes that he creates around him. Who the fuck is that guy, et cetera, et cetera. Then product there, all they'll have memes working via through them indirectly that they'll ride on.
Starting point is 00:43:34 So we was chatting about Marick Health, this isn't a plug, but obviously your testosterone number's going through the roof and the human meme, people chatting about optimization. And I guess they do have Derek running it, but still riding that meme movement. If they were to do it five to ten years, ten years ago, it probably wouldn't have the impact that it's happening, but now chief meme officer indirectly or directly.
Starting point is 00:43:58 Boom. Yeah, I think I learned about this word. You're glowing. You taught me about that a while ago, Zach taught me about it, and then Mark won't shut up about it as well. You know what that is? Like when someone looks like a federal plant
Starting point is 00:44:11 and they're putting across information that is to persuade the populace, but people can see through the fact that they're actually doing it on behalf of the CIA. X CIA agent says that CIA isn't actually listening to your phone calls, mate, you're glowing. Right? Like that's the sort of shit that they'll say. But I think people are skeptical now, even of memes. Perfect, perfect, perfect example. Did you see what
Starting point is 00:44:37 Jim Shark did with Francis and Garnu where we broke that door? Switch it out, get the orange boy in there. Come on, you go. You see where Francis and Garnu broke a door. No. Right. So, Jim Shark, like Fed a video on to Reddit that they created of CCTV, a person that was supposed to be Francis and Garnuoux didn't turn out to be him. Breaking the door of a corner shop, the glass door. That was close. Yeah, that's in this, yeah. Yes, right.
Starting point is 00:45:12 And they staged it, created it, used a stunt double instead of Francis for the bit where the glass breaks, put Francis back in, had him get shouted at by this fake shopkeeper in a fake shop front, fed it using a burner account onto Reddit, and then Reddit got picked up by Twitter, and then from Twitter, it got picked up and signal boosted, and some people saw through it like this looks like it, because he's wearing Gymshark.
Starting point is 00:45:33 This looks like a plant from Gymshark or whatever, but for the most part, made headlines, papers picked up on it, all the rest of it. So yeah, the, how do you say the like contrived mean complex or the manipulated mean complex, like the MMC, is something that everyone's skeptical about. You know, I look at each platform now like a mean information highway and each one produces different memes just due to the constraints of it. So the memes that get produced from TikTok are quite unique and correct.
Starting point is 00:46:06 Yeah, they don't export particularly well. Yeah, whereas people that come out of YouTube, like yourself, slightly different, what's interesting though is most memes that get created, you go back and it's reddit, it's full-chann, maybe bits of Twitter. And it goes down the meme information highways and then ends up at LinkedIn.
Starting point is 00:46:23 I wonder. All roads lead to boomer face. Yeah, yeah, what's that message from parents? Yeah. I wonder whether one of the reasons that 4chan and Reddit work particularly well is our written memes the most robust of all, because you can turn something that works on written into video, into spoken, but the reverse isn't necessarily true. Like, there was that one of the dude drinking. Was he drinking like ocean fresh cranberry juice whilst skateboarding down the street listening to Led Zeppelin or something? It's like some song from some band. And then this song's now number one across the world because there's one dude, skateboarded, was drinking cranberry juice or something, fucking, sales of cranberry juice went through the roof and he's now the ambassador for fucking ocean fresh or something.
Starting point is 00:47:12 That doesn't necessarily translate across onto written word, but most written word memes can be translated across and do get used. Potentially, but I think another factor to, so you know, have you heard the lollipolluzer effect? It's where you stack multiple biases. When you have multiple biases. So on that specific point, I think you've got that, but it's not just that, it's also the fact
Starting point is 00:47:32 that most people on there are pseudonomous and anonymous, which means they can just see the over-tune window here and go, I'm just going to go through it. I'm going to go through here. And then ultimately, it's the memes that shift the over-tune window with time. But the ability for them to be pseudonomous and anonymous
Starting point is 00:47:46 and then create something that they can go into territories that right now the meme industrial complex won't touch. And then they push it through. I had this idea about how there is a lot of derogation of mainstream media at the moment. You know, like mainstream media is dying and no one really cares about it anymore and it's all about independent media and it's all about YouTube and podcasts and stuff like that. But what you do forget is that there is still quite a lot of status associated with going on mainstream media because it's a scarce resource, right? There is an unlimited number of YouTube
Starting point is 00:48:21 videos that everybody can upload. There's no status or prestige associated with uploading a YouTube video, getting lots of subscribers or getting lots of plays, or having lots of followers on TikTok or whatever, but anyone that's got an iPhone can work Twitter or work TikTok or work YouTube, but there's only 200 Dr. Phil guests per year, right? So because it's inherently a scarce resource, there is still value and prestige associated with it because of the selection effect. Oh, you've had to be pre-selected. It's like the fucking Hunger Games, right? So I think that something that's probably not being priced in is first, that general scarce resource prestige associated with,
Starting point is 00:49:06 still associated with mainstream media because it's a limited resource. And secondly, at the huge swath of boomer parents and people who aren't chronically online, who see Dr. Phil, you know, all of middle America, you know, that whole daytime TV thing, the loose women thing, they still move culture, they just don't move culture in a way that we care about at the moment. There's this really interesting, just a side point, it's really interesting.
Starting point is 00:49:35 Is it Liberty Mutual or someone that's this bank in America and they're playing it really well? It's like, we can't stop you from becoming your parents, but we might be able to help you invest and save. And all of the adverts are about younger people than should be complaining about these particular problems, complaining about problems that are beyond their age, like someone who's parking over two parking spaces, and they're shaking their fists, kind of like their parents would do, someone that's cutting the hedge too early in the morning or something, like complaining about things
Starting point is 00:50:06 that parents might have once complained about. But they're too young for it. And the point is, like, you're going to grow into complaining about the complaints that your parents have got. So let's say it's a Liberty Mutual or something. They're using the meme of, okay, boomer, as almost self-deprecating for us
Starting point is 00:50:22 all to future project ourselves out into that. But yeah, mainstream media, scarce resource, what do you think? I can think there's a little bit of a lot of polluser that exists as well. In the sense, yeah, it's a scarce resource. It still has a shadow of its former self. Like, even if I see a seven-year-old boxer, I know who that guy used to be, and he could still, even if he's like, I could beat him up now, he still has that shadow of his former self.
Starting point is 00:50:51 So I think it's that. It's interesting when I did the Fox News thing for the Kaelin cocaine phone, which followed the most serious news stories that it was me in Amsterdam with sliders on my feet, and I blazed it here chatting about that. And that, even though though it probably got way less views than this or anything else that I've done was treated so differently because of the fact it was mainstream media. Yeah, there's this an idea called conceptual inertia, which is that it takes a long time for ideas to change even if the science does.
Starting point is 00:51:20 I spoke to this, he's like a science historian, and he was talking about the development of science and then belief over time. So for instance, when you get the, like the geocentric, as opposed to the heliocentric view of the solar system, that it's not the earth that's at the center, it's the sun that's at the center. And when that happened, even though it was after a while, first off, it was heretical, then it was exploratory, then it was proven, but tons and tons of the populace just hadn't come along for the ride. Ideas die one generation at a time, and it takes a good chunk of time for people to catch up
Starting point is 00:52:02 and it's kind of the same with mainstream media, right? Not only are there still people around that hold mainstream media, like even I do to some degree, you see some person on fucking dancing with the stars and you're like, oh well done for that person, even if I wouldn't want to do it. So not only is there still people around that are living that, but also even once they're gone,
Starting point is 00:52:19 the echo of what they valued is still valued, and it takes a little bit of time for this stuff to go away. On that point though, of ideas die one generation at a time. How do you, is there any way to speed that up? As we're, because technology is changing so much faster and faster. You want an idea holocaust. Yeah, you look, but like how do you deal with like GPT-3, GPT-4, and people being able to catch up with how?
Starting point is 00:52:47 I don't think there's a solution for it, mate. I think that humans run at the speed that they run at. And think you can overclock humans in the same way that you can overclock technology. You're just playing this game and we're going to move along. And what you end up with, if you try and do it too quickly, is you end up with firehousing, which is the problem of overloading people with information isn't that they start to believe one narrative increasingly
Starting point is 00:53:12 more frequently. They begin to distrust all narratives overall because they just can't get the first. It was this thing and then it's this thing. COVID, everybody during almost everybody during COVID, almost everybody during the last election, almost everybody during the fucking Israel Hamas war, which we're not talking about. Like, that is, it's this thing, and I know it's not, it's actually this thing, it wasn't them that did it, and then actually, yeah, it is those, and no, it's not your tactic or your story was wrong. And what people end up doing is just saying, all right, I check out. So the answer I've had for this is, if you look at something like David Deutsch's beginning
Starting point is 00:53:46 of Infinity, which I think is an amazing idea, but the meme is tough. The problem that exists is, and we spoke about this before, where five years ago, you cringed at your former self, but what would have probably have sped that up? Maybe doing five months rather than five years to realize those mistakes was thinking five years from now I'm going to cringe at former me what are those things. So there's almost this simple expression I developed which is like everything is wrong is the first bit of it. And you just assume every belief that I hold is wrong, everything Georgian Chris has said to some extent is wrong. Anything that defies the laws of physics is wrong
Starting point is 00:54:24 and we'll be, we will look back at it five to 10 years to some opinions loosely held. Yeah, but the problem with that is it just opens up this vortex of like, where do I, like the, what do I do? Yeah, there's flaws gone. Like you're just in this spinning, infinite, Rick and Morty loop,
Starting point is 00:54:38 and you don't know what is what and people would prefer to have strong beliefs, then just complete nihilism and complete everything's wrong. So the conclusion I have with that is that everything's wrong, but they're a better or worse ideas. So constantly looking at, okay, so I've got this new idea in my head, it can have a placeholder there,
Starting point is 00:54:56 and I like it, and it was better than the previous idea that I had, and then you're constantly playing this infinite game of stacking up knowledge and stacking up knowledge, but always realizing, because what will happen is you'll get the new idea and then you think that idea is right. How many times have you developed some new morning routine, I completely addicted to it and been like, this is the answer, I found the answer. And then a couple of months later we go, it wasn't the answer.
Starting point is 00:55:17 The Lindy effect works so far. Well, if a person sends you about this new app, new meditation habit, new XYZ, more than you've been doing it. Once you've been doing it for six months, let's check in. Because then it's serious. Tiago Forte, the reason that he doesn't use anything other than Evernote, is he refuses to use software that's not 10 years older or older older. It has to have been around for 10 years.
Starting point is 00:55:39 And it's basically the exact same as what you're talking about there. Louise Perry taught me yesterday this great quote, tradition are the experiments that worked. Yeah, that's the thing that, yeah, the thing that people are often defending was once the replacing thing. Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes. Because unless it's been around for fucking forever,
Starting point is 00:56:01 like how many things are axiomatically just, like, unmovable or unmoving from when it first ever happened. What's this Trojan horses to avoid thing? So it's having a phone call with a good friend of mine and his business, he's doing very, very well. And he says to me, he goes, I've stopped listening to all business podcasts. I was like, hold on.
Starting point is 00:56:21 I was like, your business is doing really, really well. And you've also stopped consuming new information about business, you guys, yeah, I just watched NFL stuff. I'm like, huh, I'm like getting mid-witted meme, right? Yeah. And I was like, why is that? Well, the problem was particularly like the stuff that isn't just like Lindy business content,
Starting point is 00:56:38 like new ideas, this industry's popping off it. He would just get shiny object syndrome. And the critique of that self-improvement space of how can you watch football or how can you do that is the problem with him, with the business podcast is that it was like Trojan content or Piric porn, like a Piric victory. It was Trojan content in the sense that he felt it
Starting point is 00:57:00 was good for him, but it was actually harming him. And I'd say that is often a lot worse than the things that you know are going to harm you. So if you eat a takeaway and you know it's bad for you, I think that's not for it the next day. Yeah, that's not as bad as thinking something's healthy, a Trojan horse getting in. And it's actually really bad for you. How was the business podcast just dig into how they were Trojan horses a bit more? Well, in the sense that he has a business that's working really well and he just has to exploit and focus and work hard, whereas when they're then going, oh, does this new AI thing that's
Starting point is 00:57:34 popping off and people are getting funding here or this guy's exited his business for ABC and he's been in it half the time. So he just get envious, he'd get shiny objects in Rome versus just putting on the football. He's like, switch the brain off, know what I need to do, and you can see these Trojan horses that exist everywhere. So like, you could have, I call it like a Trojan pay rise,
Starting point is 00:57:56 where you kind of get this incredible job, that not an incredible job or a job, I had this happen to me, where a job comes along and off as you double the salary, but you stop learning as a result. And on the one hand, yeah, you've got this thing that feels like you've made progress,
Starting point is 00:58:09 but actually on a long enough time horizon, it's gonna massively reduce your potential because you're no longer learning. So looking at these Trojan horses everywhere. A long commute would probably be one of those. We've been talking a lot about hidden observable metrics and a really great observable metric is, and a really great observable metric is salary, and a really great hidden one is commute length.
Starting point is 00:58:30 You know, the derogation of your energy to do things when you get home, the quality of your relationships and your friendships, the amount of time that you have to be able to learn new things. And yeah, you can trade in your ability to upgrade yourself for a better salary, but you're right over a long enough time horizon. What was it that was going to give you more happiness or satisfaction, or even salary in the end? It was presumably going to be your skills and the rapidity of you to be able to upgrade
Starting point is 00:58:55 them. So, yeah, that's very interesting. Have you noticed in your life any Trojan horses that you've let sneak in? I'd say certain bits of content I find I'm a lot more specific with my information diet now. So even stuff of, I used to try and keep on top of the world's cutting events. And then I'm, because I felt like I needed to be a responsible sit-as-and-and, I needed to be on top of things.
Starting point is 00:59:27 And I realized that a, the current thing would just disappear. Then there's this constant new, current thing that would then disappear to your mom's house. Perl calls it the, was it the perpetual now? Yeah. And by the time it's on Twitter, it's like the peak stock price. It's, you know what I mean? By the time it's, every big it's going to get. It's the bit, it's as's, it's going to get. It's the biggest it's going to get.
Starting point is 00:59:46 So avoiding constantly keeping on top of all the world's cutting content of edge, which I used to think like I was being an informed citizen because people would use the term, I wrote about this, people would use the term ignorance is bliss. And I go, you know you're in this like Nietzsche and upside down society where people are using bliss
Starting point is 01:00:03 as a shaming mechanism. Because I think, we we like I realize this where it's something like I think there's like 500 million tweets uploaded per day. There's 500 hours of content uploaded to YouTube per minute and I think some of that 67 million people die per year. Right. So we're all in the ignorance gutter. But it's like some of us will be looking at the stars. And I think you have to be so specific with that information diet, because by definite, you cannot consume all the world's information. So I used to have my, you know, this, I used to have my Twitter trending topics to Angola. So I just keep up today with like the Angle, so basically on Twitter, you'd have the trending topics in your region. And it was be like, I'd get distracted by
Starting point is 01:00:45 all these complex issues. And I just feel shit after it is like Trojan content. Yeah, so I just updated it to Angola and know about Angola now. Unfortunately for me because it's done it the way that as you realize you can't hack it with Angola, I'm still in the UK based on Twitter, which means that at least twice a week at the moment, Chris Williams and trends, Chris Williams and MP, of course, the unfortunately named Labour, I think it's Darbyshire that he's a part of, very anti-Semitic, which means given the current geopolitical climate, it's a bad time to be a Chris Williamson at the moment. Bio's used to think whether or not he would look and see his name trending, but it not
Starting point is 01:01:30 be him and think like, what's my love Island alter ego done this time? Fucking hell, he's gone on another reality TV show. I've got, I'm doing this live show with James Smith in Dubai in a couple of months time. The next one, actually. And I wondered, given what Chris Williamson has been talking about, is very, you know, like pro-Middle Eastern talking points, whether there's going to be a huge welcome party for me as I step off the plane at DXB Airport and how disappointed they will be when this Chris Williamstrides off the plane. Yeah, reality so far has just been an SEO warfare between YouTube and Twitter. Everybody else watching this is just NPCs
Starting point is 01:02:08 in the simulation that is that. Do you ever watch the one with Jet Li, that film? No. It's like he, in this other universe, he's able to move between like 350 universes or whatever, and there's a version of you in each of them, and if you kill yourself, the power of all of you gets shared between you. So this guy tries to become the one, this evil jet-lead,
Starting point is 01:02:30 goes around killing all of the other jet-leads and all of the other different universes, and that's kind of the SEO battle between me and Chris Williamson, Darbyshire M.P. at the moment. Fuck it out. On the loopy butt row, because there was an infinite of all texts there, with the information diet,
Starting point is 01:02:47 hack I recommend, and people think this takes way longer than it is, but I do warn people that you will stare deeply into the abyss, and the abyss of the information has a deep back into you. YouTube, they should remove this. YouTube has this button where you can see your history.
Starting point is 01:03:02 And I went through, I clicked on it, and I was like, I just go through the last 100 videos that I watched, it takes about five minutes to do. And I just ranked them in terms of regret, neutral, and like, glad I watch that. And 72% of the content I watched, I book it under regret.
Starting point is 01:03:18 So that's an example of Trojan content. Well, the post content clarity thing was an idea that I came up with to try and help me. It's exactly that, just like less statistical. While you're watching something, it's almost always compelling, even if it's bullshit for you and making you feel worse, because if it wasn't compelling, you would be watching something that was. It's like the meme evolution of the Mr. Beast countdown to the $1 billion yacht that he's going to spend time on or whatever, right? That's the most compelling piece of
Starting point is 01:03:49 content. So even stuff that you don't like is compelling in the moment or else you would have switched and watched something more compelling. But it's only after the, it's like a post-coital pillow talk with yourself. After you've done a session on YouTube where you get to say, okay, and how did that stuff make me feel? Like, do I want to ring my friends? Do I want to go outside? Do I feel like the world is against me or for me? Do I feel like I can go and achieve things? Do I feel more educated, more wise, more in tune with myself? Or do I feel the opposite? And a lot of the I think, the things that you watch are limitically hijacking and compelling, but the after effect, like the come down, the content come down, is so strong that if you were able to future project yourself forward and realize what's the hangover
Starting point is 01:04:35 that I'm going to get, the content come down, I'm going to get from this, the post-contact clarity. The pillow talk that you have with yourself actually would remind you that it's not worth it. YouTube actually is a Platform for this is kind of useful because there's a few options you can put in don't recommend channel If you just see something on your home screen you can just press the three But three dots and say don't recommend channel and you'll never see that channel again unless you search for it Right, it'll never just randomly appear on your feed, which is phenomenal. So I think that's, you know, if you were talking about crafting and shaping
Starting point is 01:05:12 the informational landscape that we're a part of, and it's all esoteric and fucking like philosophical and stuff, but from a tactical perspective, like that's one thing. If people use Twitter on desktop, which I do, I don't have the app on my phone, I very rarely use it on my phone. TweeMex, which may now be called Tweepie, is a way that you can see
Starting point is 01:05:37 the most popular tweets from people, but it's a Google Chrome extension that when you're on your home screen, it actually sits over the top of the trending news. So it'll hide trending news. So you can't put yourself in Angola where you can, but it doesn't work. But you can use Tweemex or Tweepie.
Starting point is 01:05:52 And the Google Chrome extension will hide that and replace it with like top tweets from one of the people that you follow. I think we've probably got about five years left of this algorithmic warfare of trying to get you to stay on platform as long as, because as soon as more and more AI tools come on and then you begin to have these dynamic conversations
Starting point is 01:06:11 of how you want to feel based off these algorithms, I think we'll look back at this as a very, very weird time in history when most content was created by humans as opposed to robots. No, in the sense that that to some extent, but more importantly, like, for example, you see the difference when you go from YouTube to YouTube premium and you can skip certain things and you can download things. Why can't I just customize my algorithm more? Why can't I have a kale algorithm during the
Starting point is 01:06:34 week and then a cocaine algorithm on Saturday night versus this kind of static algorithm? Because the problem with the algorithms, I actually realized when I was doing that YouTube order, the best YouTube is amazing when you use it for search and it's such a high agency thing there where you're sitting there thinking and going, oh, okay, I want to learn about X, so I want to do ABC and you search it versus the explore page when it's just fundamentally solo agency. Because by definition, it's trained on your past data. So it's keeping you stuck in the past, whereas when you're actually searching on YouTube for topics, you're actually breaking out of the past and creating a new data set. There's all sort of, there's multiple use.
Starting point is 01:07:13 So I've realized this, Uber does this very well, actually, where at different times of the day, I take different journeys. So if it's first thing in the morning, it'll know that I tend to want to go to the gym. If it's the middle of the day, there's a couple of restaurants that I typically go to. If it's on a Wednesday at this time, it knows that I usually go and get an appointment at this place, or it's a haircut, or it's a whatever, and it knows that I go from certain places to other places. Very well done, right? But that's because there's multiple views at multiple periods of the day. use at multiple periods of the day. YouTube hasn't yet realized that I only watch long-form documentaries about the in-depth trench warfare strategies of World War I on an evening time,
Starting point is 01:07:54 like a night, fall asleep. So I like listen to some Ken Burns documentary or some long documentary or whatever, like some 11-part psychoanalysis of Hitler, I mean, balls deep in at the moment, right? That only happens on an evening time, but it means that it resurfaces it to me during the day. So yeah, there's multiple use, multiple times, and you know, like you can go from dark mode to light mode, it's like, do I want to go from learning mode
Starting point is 01:08:19 to entertainment mode, but I don't think that that, that doesn't seem to be likely just because what the platform always want you to be in is click on mode. Right. They don't want you to have agency over what it is. They just want maximize time on site. Let's outsource it to don't forget, especially YouTube, that Algo is a black box. If you were to go to YouTube, the engineers and say, tell us what you're doing, show us the algorithm. They're like, yeah. Do you think we know? Do you think we know what our algorithm does? We set it like two fucking reward functions.
Starting point is 01:08:55 Time on site, click through. That's it. And then just let it run. It's just this recursive nightmare where everyone descends towards UFC knockout complication. All the way down the stack. Yeah. What's the forgetting paradox?
Starting point is 01:09:11 So thanks to your Sam Harris podcast, I started going more and more down a mindfulness rabbit hole. A bunch of people did that. I was with someone. He's. He said that. It's so good. And within that, he has this,
Starting point is 01:09:25 a few things that I had out the back of it that then created the forgetting paradox, which is you start to observe your thoughts. And Sam presents this idea of like, think of a candle. And he goes, well, are you that candle? It's like, well, no, of course I'm not that candle. So it's like, why do you therefore identify every other thought?
Starting point is 01:09:41 And then he has this scenario where it's like, think of, oh, basically wait for the next thought to appear in your head and try and predict it as it's happened. Oh, like, just try and observe it as it's happening. Sorry. My one was so, so, so niche this. My one was, I sat there. And from nowhere, since when I realized I wasn't in control, my own thoughts, it was just I and Robin cutting in on the left wing. It was like, this former football player who retired like eight years ago, I'm like, that is almost like a dream state. And I was like, that's why I called it waking up right. It was like this former football player who retired like eight years ago, and I'm like, it's almost like a dream state. And I was like, that's why he called it waking up right.
Starting point is 01:10:07 I was like, it's fantastic. And the thing that I hadn't heard Sam talk about that I realized off the back of that was, I'll ask you this question now. How many thoughts, like clear sentence thoughts, do you remember from yesterday? Very few, almost none. Can you think of any, like a sentence?
Starting point is 01:10:32 One over dinner that I spoke to Alex about who's debating Ben Shapiro today, but I didn't say it to him. I kept seeing who's talking. So, you remember one thought from yesterday, well, about the day before, I assume day before zero, right? Yeah, okay, so you have 10,000 to 70,000 thoughts per day, and you captured one. Anyone listening at home pause it and just go, how many thoughts do I remember from yet? Like clear sentences, not I feel hungry or whatever. Clear sentences.
Starting point is 01:10:54 So from a 24 hour window, kind of like Twitter or TikTok, the mind's thoughts completely disappear. And it's quite a useful tool that then when a thought loop appears, you just go, oh, this is going to disappear tomorrow. And you realize the forgetting paradox is, and this is not just at the individual psychological level, it's at the general societal level of we forget how many things we forget, because by definition, we've forgotten them.
Starting point is 01:11:22 And if we hadn't forgotten them, therefore if we hadn't forgotten them, therefore we would have remembered them. The same way you had 10 to 70,000 thoughts yesterday and you remembered one. But you don't even realize how many thoughts you've forgotten because by definition, you completely forgot them. And you see this with like trending topics as well where it comes and then someone will mention that and you go, I haven't thought about that in years. It's only when that pops back in, you see the forgetting paradox.
Starting point is 01:11:47 Like I'm cutting back in on the left wing. Yeah, yeah, yeah. You're very good at this. It's one thing I've changed my mind upon as a result of this. There's probably a whole wave of guys that listen to your podcast who are like, just ghost Instagram guys. They don't really post the social media, but one of the second and third-order consequences of that is you don't capture much of your life. And I'm sitting here now at 29, I've always avoided photos and videos because I didn't want to be seen as that vain guy on Instagram. But I think something you're very good at is capturing content. And as I come from a live island background, which is the problem of that is I dissociated taking photos
Starting point is 01:12:31 with posting on social media and being gauche, right? I did lunch on Sunday from the plane with Douglas Murray in this nice fucking restaurant somewhere I had to crocks on and Douglas was in a full suit and we had lunch and it was four hours and we got to have this great conversation and I was like, I wanna remember this. Not that I don't, not that I would forget it in any case but I wanna properly remember this.
Starting point is 01:12:55 But you're like, when do you take a foot, I'll make, come here, let's take a photo. Oh yeah. But I was like, I think in a second, no, like this will, when that resurface is on my memories or whatever, I'm not taking a photo to post it on social media. But because most people only take photos so that they can then post them on social media, I'd associated taking photos and remembering my life with being a vain Instagram media.
Starting point is 01:13:18 Not the same. We need to like make photos great again for guys. Yeah, particularly. Like, decouple taking photos from thinking that you are creating content, right? Or being narcissistic or doing this to create. And that's even worse if you're a content creator, right? If you're someone that's posting stuff on the internet,
Starting point is 01:13:38 you're like, oh, here we go again, like better fucking switch the work face on. Whatever, it's not like that. So I can just take a photo to be with my friends. But I wonder about how much people think about the focus on the thoughts that arise, how much they consider what they're going through right now to be unbelievably important.
Starting point is 01:14:03 You forget how many things you've forgotten because you've forgotten how much you've forgotten. This has always been a justification for me to get people to force thoughts into words, either spoken, written, even art in some regards, but I think it's best to do it in actual words because I said this a million times on the show, but when you have a thought, it's
Starting point is 01:14:25 like a cloud, right? It's like trying to hold smoke. It's like this wispy, a femoral kind of like, it's a smell. It's like this ambience that you've gotten. You're like, yeah, I kind of know what it is. It's like, okay, tell me. Like tell me what that idea is. And then you try and squeeze it down into words and you go, I actually don't have any idea
Starting point is 01:14:44 about this. And I remember before I had the podcast, I, and after I'd started thinking about things more seriously, but before I had an outlet that caused me to be rigorous and highly scrutinized heavily what I was thinking about, I had ideas that I didn't know. I had ideas that I didn't know. I had ideas that I didn't know, right? This sense, but I'd never forced it into take form and it concretized this thing.
Starting point is 01:15:11 That's why writing's such a good tactic for this or having conversations with people that you care about. You know, the strategy of recording a podcast with a friend that you're never going to publish, like 30 minutes once per week, put the voice recorder on. If you don't want to be a content creator, you just can't be bothered or you're not confident enough, yeah, sit down with a friend, press record, have a conversation about whatever you want, but it's focused, it's rigorous. So on that, there's a few things here. So one, there's this idea I stole from Balaji, which I call it the Balaji Transformer,
Starting point is 01:15:39 which is when you're wanting to become creative, he tries to understand everything from a written perspective, then from an algorithm, like, he'll create an algorithm of the same piece, then he'll speak it out loud, then he'll draw it on a whiteboard, like Walt Disney's business plan map. And when you transform it from four to words,
Starting point is 01:15:57 to written, to visual drawing, you actually, that action of transforming is where the creativity begins to occur or the clarity. On this specific point, though, I think relating to the forgetting paradox that begins to exist as a result is, or we've particularly going back leaping back round to CBT, that we spoke about at the beginning. This is like such midwits, simple shit,
Starting point is 01:16:26 but it's so good. We spoke about the CBT triangle at the beginning. The next thing that they get you to do is, so let's say you have a recurring thought of, I'm a fucking loser. It's something really dark. The natural thing, like the Instagram gurus are like, no, you believe in yourself, like pump your chest up.
Starting point is 01:16:44 So in CBT, what they'll get you to do is, we'll just write down the thought that you have. And the ability to move it from mine to paper and you just kind of look at it there. And the next thing which is great what they do is, rather than just like trying to fight that for, which then kind of creates, balloons it more and more and more because you're repressing it, it's like, well, what's five, five bits of evidence that support that? It's like, well, I've losing touch of all my friends. I've not been to the German weeks. I thought I'd be here by 25 or 35, and I'm not there.
Starting point is 01:17:13 And you write down all those reasons. And then you go, you get all the fucking air out of the balloon of that thought. And then in CBT, it just goes, OK, and what's all the evidence that you haven't considered? It's like, well, when I go to XYZ Party, people are so happy to see me, or, burda, da, da, da. And then at the end, kind of like the jury,
Starting point is 01:17:32 the foreign against, you just go, well, based off all the evidence I have now, what's some more useful potential for? On this specific point, have you heard of true, it's from Derek Sivas, which is so good, which is this idea of not true but useful. Yeah, I've been playing with something similar, which is figuratively true, but literally false and literally true, but figuratively false.
Starting point is 01:17:53 Whereas, we had that chat about determinism, right? Whereas I think determinism is potentially true, but harmful, and no good information has it. What I realize now for the determinism debate, just say I completely agree with you guys. Unfortunately, I'm just 100% determined to believe free will is true. And I'm just determined. I can't change it.
Starting point is 01:18:12 But a good example that Sivas has there is yet, useful or not true, but useful belief. And essentially anything outside of physical reality to some extent can fall in that of, they might not be true, but what's useful. And with cognitive behavioral therapy, you can just analyze both foreign against and then come to your own conclusion.
Starting point is 01:18:27 Yeah, the figuratively true, but literally false, literally true, but figuratively false is great. So, um, porcupines can throw their quills, literally false, figuratively, good to stay clear of the fucking porcupine, um, religions throughout time, looked at pigs, uh, as uniquely sort of morally dirty animals, literally false, but figuratively, their flesh does carry a higher pathogen load typically than other animals like for like, so let's not eat them. Good.
Starting point is 01:18:58 The reverse, literally true, but figuratively false or functionally useless would be a different way to put it, belief that free will doesn't exist. Okay, right? Everyone seems to say, all the smart people seem to say that that's the case and all of the people that seem to have some counter argument to it. It's all like lexical Brazilian jiu-jitsu where they actually change what free will means, like dandana kind of does this. He just sort of kicks the can down the road. All of the like, compatibilism stuff seems to kind of kick the can down the road. But I spiraled a X Club manager into a two week depression because I sent him 45 minutes of Sam Harris on Joe Rogan
Starting point is 01:19:36 redpilling him about free will. And he didn't leave the house for two weeks. He's like, well, I've gone on free will. It's fucking pointless. That's fucking information hazard. I don't need to know about that. I definitely don't need to believe it. And I't need to put a putty stock in believing it. So, I guess it's a bit of a slippery slope if the only things that you believe are functionally
Starting point is 01:19:53 the things that are beneficial to you because you can end up... I actually know, useful, useful is the key word, not beneficial, useful because self deluding yourself to something that's so grand standing and harmful isn't useful. It's anything that's fundamentally useful to you and the people around you. What's the new ideas that sound crazy but will be normal 10 to 20 years from now? Yeah, so obviously last time we had the what is ignored by the media but will be studied by historians and what ideas sound crazy today but we'll be we'll look back and go, oh shit, kind of like when the internet comes along and it's like everyone was mocking it and boom we're here
Starting point is 01:20:30 now. I have a list of these. So one, which is my greatest meme I've ever created. So going back to cyber that it's kind of an ugly industry, one industry that might be ugly then cyber was two. So one is plumbing industry. And as a result, so many entrepreneurs create new bands, aura rings, like trackers, glucose, but it's super sexy. Creating a smart toilet. Like the A, the total addressable market is huge. Yeah. If you have a smart toilet, and the meme I created was like the toilet speaking to you, which is like, good news, you're hydrated. Bad news, you've got Climidia. Right. And a smart toilet could feasibly eradicate all STIs and STDs like that. You could the amount of data that's in the essentially.
Starting point is 01:21:17 Yeah. The exists, but nobody wants to touch that because it's a bit, if it's Iki, right? Same with another similar strand to this, which I don't like to say out loud, but we're gonna have to, some mind geek porn company, the own, every single porn site you can think of, had the biggest technological monopoly of all time,
Starting point is 01:21:34 but nobody spoke about it. There was no government bodies getting involved because they didn't wanna touch it because it was Iki. And I think a lot of these ideas are potentially Iki, another one I think about is, with AI coming along right now, all my single friends complain dating apps
Starting point is 01:21:47 that they hate the swiping. They like the dates, but they hate the swiping. And when dating apps came along, it was seen as the ickyest thing. People mocked it, but now, is it something like 50% of people meet their potential partner online? And everything else has gone through the floor
Starting point is 01:22:03 in terms of how they meet. The only one that's gone up is restaurants and bars. Have you seen this? So the only one that goes up in that chart of how did you meet outside of dating apps because dating apps has at the whole market, like Mark Andreessen, software eating the world, is restaurants and bars. And I'm convinced that's bullshit. I'm convinced it's people who met on dating apps. I don't want to say that they met on dating apps because there's a huge bracket of those. So dating apps has at the whole market. And I think with AI coming along, it's going to be so obvious where it moves to a more matchmaking model, where you're not swiping based off your data sets and then you're getting
Starting point is 01:22:33 a few specific candidates. ETA.AI. No. I'm pretty sure that this is like Algo matchmaking. It's a combination of, I think, personal, individual, actual functional human and AI matchmaking keeper. It's for people who want long-term relationships.
Starting point is 01:22:53 And, yeah, they're trying to use data sets to find compatibility between people. It makes sense, right? It's like the anti-dating app, dating app. This is manually swiping. I'm judging it purely off-looks and then you meet them and it's completely different and they don't look that way and they've lied and it's a completely broken system. Yeah, it's looking at what will be accepted as a plausible future technology. I certainly don't think, I know that you've been on this for a while,
Starting point is 01:23:27 you were pretty sure that pseudonymity on the internet would become more widely accepted. I still don't think that that's going to be the case. Where'd you sit on that now? I've got a weird opinion on this one. I could be so, bear in mind, all these are different. Because all of your other opinions have been so normal. So, no, all so far. All of these opinions, I think, will ultimately, there's high risk in that, right? If it, a lot of them like it to fail, because by definition, if they sound weird today, it's because they're fucking weird, are they wrong, right?
Starting point is 01:23:54 But I do think as soon as these, you already seeing these virtual influencers come along, and I think you'll have the pseudonymity combine with the virtual influencer, because if you look at traditional media, reality TV was really late. Only came along in the like the 90s, like as it came along. But as the social media, it's always been reality TV.
Starting point is 01:24:12 There's no James Bond in social media. There's no Spider-Man in social media. There's no Superman. There's no Batman of these characters with IP that begin to exist. So I do think that's where that, there's a guy we spoke about him called the Cultural Tutor on Twitter. And he's just gone, bleh. So I do think that's got potential, but yeah, I don't think that's where, there's a guy, we spoke about him called the Cultural Tutor on Twitter. And he's just gone, blah. So I do think that's got potential,
Starting point is 01:24:27 but yeah, I don't think it's necessarily as big the pseudonymity thing hasn't taken off yet, but is that because it won't take off yet or because it's had certain technological restrictions. I'd say the other one, which you red-pilled me on this. So me and you were on a flight, like three years ago. This is inside the act of studio. And Chris is probably like, this is very mind-crisis podcast at that point. We're on a beach after that flight and he goes, if I
Starting point is 01:24:52 can get things to 100,000 subscribers, I think I'll be happy. And you say to me on that flight, or we've got our face masks on, you go, I'm thinking of working with a speaking coach. And I was like, as a friend, I was like, do I say something here? Because I don't think this is the right move. And in my defense, I was concerned that you'd go full politician. It would sterilize any character I had. When politicians speak like this and it just immediately is horseshoe theory. For like, you're so charismatic, it becomes uncharismatic. And I was concerned that would happen to you.
Starting point is 01:25:28 Too much risk. And I told you that, and you rightfully ignored me. And then like three years later, I'm listening to that Rogan podcast, and he said that the way you pronounce words, if he was running for president, he would vote for you, right? And I texted you going, one, I'm sorry, I was wrong, two, can I get an intro? Right?
Starting point is 01:25:44 I wanted an intro to the speaker. So I do wonder whether charisma will become the new fitness. So the same way Instagram made people concerned about how they look, voice memos, podcasts, recorded zoom calls, remote work, people hearing themselves back, will begin to become a bigger and bigger thing. Yeah, that's a very good point. We're definitely being more surveillance scrutinizes your delivery in a way that you didn't do previously. Have we seen people take writing classes so they can do better Facebook
Starting point is 01:26:14 statuses? I'm not sure. But even like going back to what we said earlier for risk becoming a meme and then people at least thinking about it. Yeah, whether there'll be more like doing exactly what you did, probably not, but there'll be more like doing exactly what you did, probably not. But there'll be, I think it'll become an area that people are a lot more mindful of. The same way, people who work out aren't necessarily paying for a PT. Yeah, that's true. The gap in the gain was something I think I introduced you to as well. This idea that there are two ways to live, either comparing yourself to where you want
Starting point is 01:26:44 to be or comparing yourself to where you were. And one of them is like running toward the horizon, which is every step that you move forward, you are inevitably going to push the desires that you have one step further away from yourself. Morgan Haussle, his quote about the best way to win the game is to stop moving the fucking goalposts. And I had this conversation with Big Dan Bals Aryan over the weekend and said, every time that you achieve something, what you're doing is positing a new minimum bar, which you have to get over. Right? Fantastic. I've just done this
Starting point is 01:27:19 many plays or made this piece of art that sold for a particular amount of money or whatever, plays or made this piece of art that sold for a particular amount of money or whatever, how exciting. And almost immediately there is this sort of like post-coytale fucking realization that, oh my god, that's the new bar for my best performance. That's really high. That means I now need to be even better at my next thing. And someone recently won the largest lottery in history, a $1 billion lottery, someone just won that.
Starting point is 01:27:51 From a life trajectory perspective, that's potentially one of the most disastrous things that you could have happened to you. Because how are you ever going to have a better day than the day you woke up and found out that you'd won a billion dollars? It's, the argument is a slow success strategy would be to purposefully try and drag out the wins that you have.
Starting point is 01:28:12 So, you know, a tactical way that you could do this would actually be, let's say that you start to accumulate more wealth, financial freedom and stuff like that, and you can afford your absolute dream car. But instead of buying the absolute dream car, you buy one of the dream cars that's kind of en route to that one. It's the 50% or the 75% car that goes in between because you'll still take a good bit of pleasure from that one. And you'll have something to look forward to that you know is within your control.
Starting point is 01:28:43 And you're not then looking for the overclocked 150% dream car, right? Oh, I mean, the helicopter, I'm buying yachts and I'm buying boats and all this other stuff. So I think, and I said this to Dan, somebody who, you know, winning poker games and stuff is large influxes of cash in kind of out of nowhere, and he seemed to agree that it expedites your ability to just like
Starting point is 01:29:07 play the hedonic adaptation game, but it overclockes the pace at which you have access to it and it's dangerous. So yeah, slow success strategy as a counter to the gap in the game, sort of game that we play with each other and this whole hedonic adaptation thing. It's one of those things, though, of theory, then reality. Like, can you actually slow yourself down once that dopamine kicks in? That takes a lot of wisdom, right? It takes a hell of a lot of restraint. Yeah, I mean, I don't know. I don't know. And like, what are you going to do? Like, say, oh, no, I don't want that billion dollars from the lottery,
Starting point is 01:29:39 please. But, you know, even with that, okay, can I get someone to set up some sort of fund or trust that like drip feeds this to me or invests it in a particular way? I don't know, just placing, trying to place yourself worth in different ways, different locations. But I mean, the gap in the game is one of the most important ideas that I keep forgetting about. It's like a Ben Hardy book from three years ago,
Starting point is 01:30:07 and he came on the show to talk about it. It's really great. And every time that I find myself getting too deep into dopamine criss, we should talk about that. We should talk about the difference between dopamine George and serotonin George, and then also probably cortisol George as well. But we both feel this, and I think a lot of people people do that you just live in this sort of next task, next achievement, overclocked hustle grind
Starting point is 01:30:33 culture, I will get my pleasure from my accomplishments as opposed to the one that actually ends up being more fulfilling, which is I spend time with my friends lying in the park under a tree, like eating some snacks that somebody brought along or something like that's the most serotonin side of things. I think the gap in the game is just a better meme for abundance and scarcity mindset. Abundance and scarcity kind of like hijacked a little bit by a lot of woo woo. Whereas the beautiful thing about the gap in the game, so you always have three things
Starting point is 01:31:03 right, you have who you are now, there's fucking future idealized, projected version where you've trillionaire and everything's going well and everybody loves you. That gap, no matter how much you move up, just grows, it's infinite. Versus you have a third state, which is where you started. So the gain is measuring yourself constantly
Starting point is 01:31:23 from where you started and the gap is measuring yourself to this infinite ideal. But the beauty, it's a nice concept, right? But that's one of those things that's forgetting paradox. You can learn that, and then it disappears for two years from now. But going back to like resting, serious face or resting smile face, the beautiful thing about the gap of the gain is you can only, you can only exist in one of the two states at once. That's what I loved about that concept is, you're even the gap or you're even the gain. So it's constantly throughout the day. It's like a resting serious face or resting smile.
Starting point is 01:31:49 Yeah, it's a simple razor, it's midwitterable. It's beautiful. Yeah. What do you think is the most useful emotional state? Oh yeah, so this is a niche thought experiment, but I'll give it to the audience. So the inspiration for this thought experiment was you've ever heard that kind of bro bar debate of you have the world's best athletes
Starting point is 01:32:13 across every 100 top sports, which one is the technical best athlete in the sense that you take a basketball player footballer NFL MMA and they'd all do the other 99 sports who would rank the highest and there's big like bro debate about it. It's great. And I was like, okay, that's an interesting idea. I realized I'd lay there in bed. And again, Iron Robbins just cropped like, cutting on the left wing.
Starting point is 01:32:35 And this thought pops in my head. And I'm like, what would be the, if you applied that for emotions, what would be the most useful emotional state? So you create this fucking Olympics of like, happiness, sadness, anger, joy, fear, envy, etc., etc. And then you look at a hundred different life events you could be in, doing a podcast with you, going for a bike ride, getting a Starbucks, getting fired from my job, what's
Starting point is 01:32:58 the outcome that you're optimizing for here? Most useful, what useful. Probably achieving the outcome that you would have liked upon reflection. Right. Is where I'd probably describe that, but I'd probably need to think about that more. But let's say you have all those situations from married to funeral, to losing job, to first day at job, and you look to all the different emotions you could have, like which one would perform the best on average. And I realized I go, probably calmness. If you could, like, it's not even like the sports debate where it's like up for debate,
Starting point is 01:33:31 I go, I think calmness just is top for pretty much the more. Or if not, it's in the Champions League places, in that like top four. And to, but then I was like, okay, let's steal my myself here. I wasn't sleeping that night. And so I was like, okay, well, let's say for example, there's a fire, breaks down the building. Would you want to be calm? Would be the criticism of it? steal my myself here. I wasn't sleeping that night. And so I was like, okay, well, let's say for example, there's a fire, break something to build in. Would you want to be calm?
Starting point is 01:33:47 Would be the criticism event? And it's like, you want to be swaffil. You wouldn't want to be lazy, but you'd probably want to be calm. I assume I'm not a fireman. We have bullshit jobs, right? Like we don't do serious jobs, but when you chat to people who have proper jobs,
Starting point is 01:33:59 the best guy is the ones that are calm and are pressure. So I think it kills that. And then the second criticism, if you were to steal manate as well well would be, well, let's say it's your, that may work for neutral events or toxic events or things where it has to go well, but let's say it's your wedding day. Do you want to be calm? And I was like, that's probably a good criticism. But then I was thinking about it. And when you have you speak about the wedding day, they always say, I was great, but I just wish I soaked it. In more, I wish I could slow down time a bit more. And I don't think anything slows down
Starting point is 01:34:29 time quite like calmness. And for any criticism you do have where you wouldn't want to be calm. The beautiful thing about calmness is, you can calmness is such a base state that you can then ramp up any emotional top off, but you can't do the reverse. Really hard to go from anger to like peak calmness. So I just looked at it and go, but you can't do the reverse. Really hard to go from anger to like, peak calmness. Yeah. So I just looked at it and go, that wins the debate and then I fell to sleep that night. Calmly.
Starting point is 01:34:50 Yeah, calmly. Douglas asked me yesterday what, like aim for in life. And I used the word peace, which sounds so cooked, like in retrospect. It just sounds so lame, especially when I'm talking to this, you know, like firebrand, fucking like cultural commentator guy, like, says things that people don't like and all the rest of it.
Starting point is 01:35:10 But it is true that, like, if the price is your sanity, you shouldn't pay it. I would pretty much whatever it is, there's almost nothing that's worth that because ultimately, without your sanity, you can't enjoy any of the things that you're going to get from it in any case. And I think that largely calmness and peace could probably be interchangeable here. But to critique was here, what I would say as a listener, it's like, yeah, that's fucking nice. And I might forget that as part of the forgetting paradox,
Starting point is 01:35:36 but like, what does that do? It's like, well, how do I become calm? And the answer is I haven't fucking fully figured that out yet, but I guess the first step is realizing that it's probably the most useful thing to aim for and again using the hidden and observable metrics matrix. Like, it's one of the most hidden metrics, right, the texture of your own mind. I will happily work a job with a boss that's a dick that pays more money, that makes me
Starting point is 01:36:02 feel miserable, that causes me to be anxious before I go into work, because I can't see the price that I'm paying in terms of my lack of peace or calmness, right? But I can't see the increase in my bank balance every month, just trading it in, trading in that hidden metric for an observable one. You're seeing that with glucose monitors, in the sense that people would just eat whatever. And now they have that orange juice and then video game dashboard go terrible.
Starting point is 01:36:30 Yeah. They can begin to piece that together. We unfortunately don't, I've gone back to resting fucking smile face. If there was a way of tracking that throughout the day and you could turn it into a video game of where your facial expressions were sat, I think you'd have a lot happier people. It's weird. Yeah. What was that? You told me, and you described it really beautifully, and it was the first time
Starting point is 01:36:48 that anyone had described the same psychosis that I go through when I'm meditating about, I'm the sort of person that has thoughts about thoughts. Oh, yeah, we were chatting about this over dinner where it's this infinite loop that can exist when you're observing your own mind, and you get to a state of no thoughts, and then after you've dealt with all the iron robin thoughts, what comes up is, I look at me having no thoughts, I'm fucking great. And then you end up in that whew. Well, yeah, it's a Trojan thought. Yeah, you think, oh, wow, I'm the sort of narcissist that thinks, wow, look at me, the sort of person that has no thoughts. And then you think, oh my God, I'm so self-deprecating,
Starting point is 01:37:26 I'm the sort of person that mocks me for being the sort of person that thinks, wow, I'm the sort of person, oh my God. And then you just, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, boom. Cycladume, so funny, man. So funny, what else you go? We always have chats about high agency,
Starting point is 01:37:43 and I get that, it as a powerful meme right now, but I've been collecting examples. One of them that came from a mutual friend, David Senra, have you heard about James Cameron? I thought this is one of the craziest stories ever. Again, talk about memes or ideas. So you know James Cameron, the movie director. So he was a truck driver when he was 18,
Starting point is 01:38:01 and he couldn't afford to go to movie to movie education, which is called film studio, film school. And he decided, I can't afford it. So I mean, the low age thing there is like, okay, it's that reality blah, blah, blah. And I was like, this guy is so good that he came up with the idea of going to the library and everybody who could afford the film degree, when they're handing in their dissertations or their work, they put it in the library that night, he would just go there, take the pieces later night, put them in the photocopying machine, photocopy photocopy photocopy, and taught himself his whole film degree from scratch because he couldn't afford it. I was like, that is elite story. So good. Wow. That is cool.
Starting point is 01:38:47 There's another one we spoke about a while ago in the high agency library. I told you about the guy that took down Silk Road. So Silk Road was the biggest black market, illegal drugs empire, FBI, the CIA, the CIA, the DA, this guy called Dreadpire Roberts, who turned out to be Ross Olbrecht. And there's a lot about that case that gets super political and I don't want to have that conversation, because I'm not educated on it. But the specific part that I found fascinating was... The way he got caught, so the FBI with all their resources, best intel, best spyware in the world couldn't catch him. There was this one tax inspector who started working on the case.
Starting point is 01:39:27 And this guy just thinks, okay, I'll go and Google. And just searches, he goes, what about if I just find the first original post about Silk Road online? And he finds it in this Bitcoin forum. And what the Dreadpire Roberts did, obviously when you're at that zero to one stage of a new company, even if it's an legal drug market empire, you need to get people in. So you create an account like, oh my god, of people seeing this.
Starting point is 01:39:50 And he's like, this is the earliest post that exists online. And he reached out to the forum owners, as like essentially reverse engineer this altoid handle, what the email address was. And it was Ross Olbrick to Gmail.com. And he was the first guy to win Mask and I love that story because it's like one guy with Google has beat the FBI, the CIA, the DEA, but achieving essentially the most wanted man in America at the time. I say it's similar to James Cameron, right? Like a guy with essentially no resources, but comasively over before. Have you heard
Starting point is 01:40:21 speaking of movies, there's a new Guy Richie film out that's an oddly very similar plot to the gentleman, but is different. I can't remember what it's called. It's on Amazon Prime. Everyone should go watch it. Guy Richie is the guy's fucking brilliant. But if you've seen, it turns out Douglas is friends with him. And do you know that he has created his own like, hut slash barbecue slash foot warmer thing?
Starting point is 01:40:49 Do you know about this? No, right. So in the gentleman, if you see a hue grant toward the end when he's confronting Charlie Hunnen and trying to screw him over the outside and they're kind of sat under this, it could kind of a nice sort of indoor outdoor mezzanine-y-looking shed type thing and there's like a fire and a big smoke. Turns out that Guy Richie invented that.
Starting point is 01:41:14 Like it's his product, right? This is the ultimate product placement that he's put in. And I think they talk about one of the features that he has in the gentleman. And then in this most recent one, again, it's Hugh Grant playing a very similar sort of role. This time he's like a rich billionaire, like super dick guy. And he's like cuts to this scene. And he's explaining how he's like reverse searing a stake on Guy Richie's custom designed thing, which you can go and buy. It's super expensive, I think, but you can go and buy it on the internet, such like Guy Richie Barbecue, and I'm sure it'll come up. And yeah, he just got this product that he's created.
Starting point is 01:41:52 I'm pretty sure when he went on Rogan that he talked about it, but yeah, he's just got this product that he created that is now featuring in multi-million dollar blockbuster movies, and directed by this great guy. But yeah, ultimately is just, I guess part of the funnel for his super. She's me, Officer. Chief me, Officer, yeah, is super expensive, but.
Starting point is 01:42:12 Barbecue. What have you got coming up next? What's the next few months going stuffy? A few different things. I've got a few essays I want to publish. A few different ideas I'm working on. But yeah, just, I don't actually know how to answer that question. Just enjoying it.
Starting point is 01:42:29 Good. Where should people go? They want to keep up to date with your reading, your writing, and all the rest of the stuff. Yeah, so best places, Twitter or X, just George, underscore, underscore, mark, sign up to the newsletter list as well at George, mark.com or George-mark.com. Some bastards got the thing without the dash. Yeah, you can find it all there.
Starting point is 01:42:46 Hell yeah, George, I appreciate you. Thank you, man. you

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