Modern Wisdom - #833 - Eric Weinstein - Are We On The Brink Of A Revolution?
Episode Date: September 2, 2024Eric Weinstein is a mathematician, economist, former Managing Director of Thiel Capital and a podcaster. It feels like the world is reaching a fever-pitch. From deep fakes to cheap fakes, AI girlfrien...ds to senile presidents, we've never had more access to information, and yet it's never been harder to work out what is true. So, what do we do? Expect to learn Eric’s thoughts on the 2024 presidential election, whether we are being gaslit on a global scale by the media, the future of string theory and what's next for theoretical physics, why we have canned humour and what that means as a society, Eric’s thoughts on Joe Rogan, what my biggest weaknesses as a human are and much more… Sponsors: See discounts for all the products I use and recommend: https://chriswillx.com/deals Get a Free Sample Pack of all LMNT Flavours with your first box at https://drinklmnt.com/modernwisdom (automatically applied at checkout) Get a 20% discount on Nomatic’s amazing luggage at https://nomatic.com/modernwisdom (automatically applied at checkout) Get 5 Free Travel Packs, Free Liquid Vitamin D and more from AG1 at https://drinkag1.com/modernwisdom (automatically applied at checkout) Get $350 off the Pod 4 Ultra at https://eightsleep.com/modernwisdom (use code MODERNWISDOM) Extra Stuff: Get my free reading list of 100 books to read before you die: https://chriswillx.com/books Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom Episodes You Might Enjoy: #577 - David Goggins - This Is How To Master Your Life: https://tinyurl.com/43hv6y59 #712 - Dr Jordan Peterson - How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs: https://tinyurl.com/2rtz7avf #700 - Dr Andrew Huberman - The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain: https://tinyurl.com/3ccn5vkp - Get In Touch: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact - Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
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Hello friends, welcome back to the show. My guest today is Eric Weinstein. He's a mathematician,
economist, former managing director of Teal Capital and a podcaster. It feels like the world
is reaching a fever pitch from deep fakes to cheap fakes, AI girlfriends to senile presidents.
We've never had more access to information and yet it's never been harder to work out what is true. So what do we do about it?
Expect to learn Eric's thoughts on the 2024 presidential election, whether we are being
gaslit on a global scale by the media, the future of string theory and what's next for
theoretical physics, why we have canned humour and what that means as a society, Eric's thoughts
on Joe Rogan, what my biggest weakness is as a human
are, and much more.
Don't forget that you might be listening but not subscribed and that means you will miss
out on episodes over the next few weeks which will make you trez sad.
We have Robert Green, the one and only, coming on.
Chris Bumstead is back for his second episode plus a ton more guests and you don't want
to miss them and the only way you can ensure that you won't is by hitting the follow button
in the middle of the page on Spotify or the plus in the top right-hand
corner on Apple podcasts.
It helps to support the show and it means that you don't miss episodes.
And it makes me very happy indeed.
So go and do it.
I thank you.
But now ladies and gentlemen, please welcome Eric Weinstein.
When we spoke at the start of the year, I said it was way too close to November to switch anybody out.
Turns out that I was wrong.
Beginner's luck.
You said, what are the odds that Joe Biden has a debilitating event between now and November, including death?
So he runs a one in 20 chance of dying in any given year or above that I don't think you know whether he's even going to make it to November.
in 20 chance of dying in any given year or above that I don't think you know whether he's even going to make it to November.
Debilitating event could have been a debilitating public event.
I purposely left it vague and I didn't say the other part of it, which I now feel comfortable
saying, which is I don't, I don't know whether, I don't know whether Donald Trump will be
allowed to become president.
What'd you mean by that?
I think that there's a remarkable story and we're in a funny game, which is, are
we allowed to say what that story is? Because to say it, to analyze it, to name it is to bring it, uh, into view.
I think we don't understand why the censorship is behaving the way it is.
We don't understand why it's in the shadows.
We don't understand why our news is acting in a bizarre fashion.
So let's just set the stage, given that that was in February.
is acting in a bizarre fashion. So let's just set the stage given that that was in February. There is something that I think Mike Benz has just referred to as the rules-based
international order. It's an interlocking series of agreements, tacit understandings,
explicit understandings, clandestine understandings about how the most
important structures keep the world free of war and keep markets open. And there has been a system
in place, whether understood explicitly or behind the scenes or implicitly, it says that the purpose of the two American parties is to
prune the field of populist candidates so that whatever two candidates, uh, exist in a face-off
are both acceptable to that world order.
So what you're trying to do from the point of view,
let's take it from the point of view of, let's say
the state department, the intelligence community,
the defense department, and major corporations
that have to do with international issues from
arms trade to, oh, I don't know, food.
They have a series of agreements that are fragile
and could be overturned if a president entered the Oval Office who didn't agree with them and the mood of the country was, why
do we pay taxes into these structures?
Why are we hamstrung?
Why aren't we a free people?
So what the two parties would do is they would run primaries.
You have populist candidates and you'd pre-commit the populist
candidates to support the candidates who won the primaries.
As long as that took place and you had two candidates that were both acceptable to the
international order, that is that they aren't going to rethink NAFTA or NATO or what have
you.
We called that democracy.
And so democracy was the illusion of choice, what's called magician's choice, where the choice is not actually, you know, pick a card, any
card, but somehow magician makes sure that the card
that you pick is the one that he knows.
Uh, in that situation, you have magician's choice
in the primaries, and then you'd have the duopoly
field, two candidates, either of which was
acceptable and you could actually afford to hold
an election and the populace would vote.
And that way the international order wasn't put at risk. And you could actually afford to hold an election
and the populace would vote.
And that way the international order wasn't put at risk every four years because you can't have alliances that are subject to the whim of, um,
the people in plebiscites.
So under that structure, everything was going fine until 2016.
And then the first candidate ever to not hold, um, any position in the military
nor position in government, uh, in the history of the Republic to enter the oval
office, Donald Trump broke through the primary structure.
So then there was a full court press.
Okay.
We only have one candidate that's acceptable to the international order.
Donald Trump will be under, um, constant pressure
that he's a loser.
He's a wild man.
He's an idiot.
And, and he's under the control of the Russians.
And then he was going to be, you know, a 20 to one underdog.
And then he wins.
And there was no precedent for this.
They learned their lesson.
You cannot afford to have candidates who are not acceptable to the international
order and continue to have these alliances.
This is an unsolved problem.
So I don't have a particular dog in this fight.
I one believe in democracy.
I also believe in international agreements and it is the job of the state
department, the intelligence community
and the defense department to bring this problem in front of the American
people and say, we have a problem.
You don't know everything that's going on.
And if you start voting in populist candidates, you're going to end up
knocking out load bearing walls that you don't understand.
But Trump was in office for four years.
Did he turn the entire table upside down?
He risked doing that.
Same.
Well, you remember that there was this uncomfortable accommodation given to the
central intelligence agency at the beginning of his actual term, there was a
question about, um, was he going to question the, I have a very different point
of view than most of my friends, uh, who are also, you know, at least nominally Democrats, which is, it was a very immoral
thing that was done to him.
He was asked the question, will you pre-commit that you will
accept the results of an election?
Now, if you were going to rig an election, you would ask somebody that to begin
with and that's part of the game.
And he says, well, you know, we'll see.
So you have this very strange thing going on
where democracy is the greatest threat to
democracy.
Now, how can that be?
It's two different concepts of democracy.
One concept of democracy is the will of the
people you hold plebiscites.
And even if you do it with an electoral college
or political parties, the idea is that the
people are like, you know, by and of and for the people.
The other idea of democracy is that democracy is about
institutions that sprang from democracy once upon a time,
and that those institutions have to be kept strong.
Those are two completely different concepts that are overloaded to the same
word. Under that circumstance, we have a paradox, which
is how do we keep the electorate from overturning
the type A democracy from overturning the type B
democracy?
And that's the unsolved problem that they will
not bring in front of the people.
So what you have is a situation in which I believe
that there are many people in Washington, DC, who
think that Donald Trump cannot become president because he can now go for broke.
He's also not going to try to run for reelection.
He's relatively unconstrained.
He's wealthy.
He's, uh, he's learned how to play a lot of these games.
And maybe got a little bit of an axe to grind as well, after the last six years.
No kidding.
And he's a wild card.
You know, there are three people who are doing amazing versions of the
drunken boxing game, Kanye, who's probably, uh, the first one to really
fail, Elon and Donald Trump.
And all three of them tried to do something where you couldn't pin them down.
You couldn't figure out like what they were going to do next.
And that's what the order is.
Keep keeps trying to do like, will you commit to this?
Will you say this?
We, will you mouth these words?
And none of these people would play the game.
I find this all you ever see Emmanuel Augustus or this boxer who actually,
you know, I think Floyd Mayweather said it was his, his toughest
opponent because he just, he wouldn't fight in
the style that anyone could recognize.
Probably the most unpredictable.
Yeah.
And the most entertaining boxer I've ever seen
in my life.
I mean, just check out any highlight reel and
you won't even believe this is real.
It doesn't seem possible.
So that's what Donald Trump is.
He's a guy who's got formulas that confuse
people like Sam Harris.
You know, Sam and I have been debating this for years.
I think that Trump is an incredibly intelligent man
and that there's incredible method in his tweets.
Uh, of old, you can just, you could put them
into a data set and you say that there are five or
six different types of tweets and then the left
falls for every one of them every time.
So in the situation, you have a question.
How is it that Donald Trump and RFK junior cannot possibly reach the Oval
Office and we have to have a candidate who is pre subscribed to perpetuating
these institutions, these agreements and these orders. And there's only one out of three, uh, who, who has
that character and that person is not one of primary.
Right now we have no idea who's running the
United States of America.
Um, I just came here in a Tesla and I did not steer
once and I would say America is in full self driving
mode and we don't know what the AI is that's running
the Oval Office.
And that's really bizarre given that we have something like six minutes to make
a decision about nuclear launches.
Uh, we have no idea what the United States government in the executive branch
actually is, but it can't be Joe Biden.
Every time it seems that an election has happened over the last decade or so, it's
always been this one is different.
This is the most important.
This is the most important.
Is there something different about the one that we're about to go into?
How should we think about this election?
As World War II unraveling, the order that has produced the illusion of
peace for this length of time.
Imagine that you were, let's say in the
2000s, that you had this thing called the great moderation. And there was a story that we had
finally banished volatility from the markets. None of that was true. What you were doing was
you were going farther and farther into a regime without understanding that sooner or later,
the Jenga tower has to collapse.
The order that was put in place at the end of World War II, none of its architects are still
alive. Very few pieces of information were passed down about what it actually is or how
it functions because it's secret. And I think what you can say is that, um, we are now living on the fumes built from that victory.
Uh, that is what is unraveling.
You're about to head towards a multipolar world where the game theory
in a, in a dyadic game of two players doesn't look remotely like the game
theory in a, in a five or 10 player game.
game theory in a, in a five or 10 player game.
So Kamala is essentially the youngest boomer possible and she's tied to the last silent
generation president will ever have, which was a
bizarre thing to begin with.
And she's pre-committed to trying to continue
that order, uh, in the guise of a, uh,
alternatively woke Wall Street friendly Indian black folksy.
I don't even know what she is, uh, to quote the great Chris Williamson.
She's a meme of the meme of the meme.
Uh, that was from our last talk.
And I would say this is probably the most insane
election we've ever seen by, by a comfortable margin.
I would say that there's no one in second place.
Uh, I can't think of another election that is even close to this bizarre,
including the attempted assassination on, uh, Donald Trump.
Yeah.
The, there's so many things all coalescing at the same time from what's
happening with the media to AI to discontent to fake news and cheap fakes
and construed constructed.
Sorry.
Fake news was a fake story.
If you look at the, um, Google trends, fake news was a tiny story during the
2016 cycle that blew up immediately afterwards.
It was the placeholder as the intelligence community or the blob figured
out what it was going to do next to try to take control of the international order.
You have to realize that that's the first real surprise
in presidential history, where they lost control of the process.
Well, I've got a surprise for you.
I told you not to watch this before we get to do this.
I actually listened.
Did you? I told you not to do it.
I know, it's like pouring sugar on a picnic to keep ants away.
Okay, okay. So, for the people who haven't seen it,
we'll just do a quick recap.
MSNBC was exposed today for yet another set of lies.
They deceptively edited together this video
of different Joe Rogan comments to make it appear
that he was singing the praises of Kamala Harris.
She's gonna win. No, she's not. She can win.
She is a strong woman. She is a person who served overseas twice.
She in a medical unit. She was a congresswoman for eight years.
Yeah.
She is a person of color. She's everything you want.
She's gonna win. No, she's not. She can win.
They just want no Trump, no matter what.
What do you make of that?
That's the most brazen cutting together of something that millions of people have seen.
They don't really, whatever it is, is not really trying to fool you. It's trying to instruct you.
You're allowed to see the truth.
They can make it difficult to find the truth, but it's hard to shut up.
Joe Rogan.
They've settled for something else, which is think about MSNBC and CNN,
the New York times, the Washington post, the Los Angeles Times, Reuters, AP, et cetera, as a set of
instructions for how to keep your job.
You're allowed to disagree.
We'll set the boundaries of the disagreement.
We'll set the topics of the disagreement.
You may not even watch any of these things, but we'll
make sure that it filters through to the people that
you are watching so that they're outraged and
you're given a choice.
You can choose to understand whatever you
want and you can choose to say whatever you
want, but if you say what you understand to be
true, you can know what the consequences are.
You may lose your marriage, you may lose your
job, you may lose your friends.
And so in essence, we all know that, um, if you question the war in Ukraine, or
if you say, look, I detest Donald Trump, but I'm voting for him because what's
going on at the democratic party is unholy and insane, you're signing up for
whatever Thanksgiving dinner, um, we have planned for you.
We're talking to your uncle.
We're talking to your spouse.
And in essence, this is a lot like Caligula installing his horse as a Senator.
No one's fooled that the horse is an ordinary human Senator.
The choice is, do you wish to say something?
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I'd been trying to find this term for a while
that I'd learned through film critics online.
People like Critical Drinkers,
a sweary Scottish film critic.
And retroactive continuity. Retroactive. Yeah. But I didn critic, and retroactive continuity.
Retcon.
Yeah, but I didn't know what retroactive continuity,
I didn't know that that's what retconning,
I just knew it as retcon.
So retroactive continuity is a literary device
in which facts in the world of a fictional work
that has been established through the narrative itself
are adjusted, ignored, supplemented, or contradicted
by subsequently published work that recontextualizes
or breaks continuity with the former.
So the question is, is, is what we're seeing just the Star Wars
cinematic universe equivalent?
Yeah, this is, this is Sherlock Holmes and Professor Moriarty, where
he falls off a ledge and yet here he is again.
It's every episode of South Park when Kenny's died.
And yet here he is again. It's every episode of South Park when Kenny's died.
So it's very important to understand the back of house in everything that you're doing.
So, you know, when you go to a hotel, there's an entirely secondary structure of floors, elevators, entrances, cafes that are necessary to support the front of
house, uh, which is the illusion of, uh, the hotel that you're staying in.
And the same thing is true for screenwriting and the creative arts.
I think everyone should, for example, read, save the cat.
Uh, it's a book on screenwriting that points out that films aren't broken
into scenes so much as they're broken into beats.
They're about 40 beats in a film and the beats have names.
And so if you read this book, you'll one, one is called the bad guys close in.
And another beat is called all hope is lost.
And these are mainstays and your programmed client side at a subliminal
level to be able to follow a film based on the idea that your
brain is already tooled to absorb this stuff.
There's a concept called spackle in Hollywood where
it costs a couple of lines to make something that
makes no sense, makes sense.
I think it's referenced in Thank You for Smoking,
where they're smoking in space
and there's an issue with product placement.
How does it make sense to have cigarettes smoking
in space after sex and you know, whatever.
Oh, it'll cost us two lines of spackle.
And so everyone-
Oh, how interesting.
Every once in a while, the craft pokes through.
And so this is the back, retcon is a back of house concept.
And the issue again, really comes back to professional wrestling.
The smart is a smart Mark,
a person who is being duped and agrees to be duped,
but has a metacognitive perch from which to watch his or her
own deception. So you're both the consumer of the story.
Like when you go to a movie, you know it's fictional.
You don't sit there saying, this is such BS.
You know, the old thing I used to say is you don't scream,
don't you understand it's just photons projected on a wall.
We are complicit in our own deception.
Otherwise we'll never be seduced
and there's nothing more wonderful than a seduction
to which we are willing and eager.
This is an unwanted seduction.
This is coercive.
This is based on a lot of carrot being taken away
and more or less all of what you have is stick.
It's strange in a world where everything that everybody does and says on the internet is permanently recorded on some version of a blockchain that's kept in screenshots, even if it's not actually, even if it then gets deleted from Twitter.
It just seems odd to me that there is so much retconning of this.
You spoke about managed reality last time.
You know, a good example, a nice simple example of this
is Kamala Harris was never called the border czar.
Like we have, they went back and changed the old articles
from three years ago.
Here's my question.
When did you wake up to this?
Because in my situation, Peter Thiel, who I used to work for,
said this to me, he's like,
"'Eric, how did you get there earlier?'
And I said, well, I was in the university system.
And academics has a faster glide path into the ground
than everything else.
You could see it there in the 1980s.'
I don't know, I think it has taken a little bit of time.
Um, maybe moving to America, seeing these things closer up has been part of it.
Uh, I have a strong non-conspiratorial disposition, so I will always attribute
to incompetence or negligence or fear of losing your job cowardice.
Uh, you're running the packet.
Done.
There's the lefty innervation packet.
And it's something that you're sort of obligated to run,
if you're going to be a member in good standing
of the American left.
So one part of it would say that correlation
does not imply causation.
Data is not the plural of anecdote. Never explain by malice what can be understood through incompetence. There's
a large sequence of things that you're expected to say if you want the pat on the back from
your colleagues, a random walk down Wall Street, nobody can beat the market.
You know that there are rich people three doors down
who got that way from investing,
but they're simply lucky idiots.
All of these things you're expected to run
if you're part of the expert class
so that the expert class doesn't turn on their masters.
And what it is,
you see, I was about to do the double copula is, is I always do that. Um,
what it is in my opinion, um, I'm going to have to do it.
I can't get out of it. What it is is a, uh,
a collection of safeties so that you don't use the tools of data, let's say on your masters
and attempt to convict them.
Give an example.
For example, let's imagine that you have a high number of deaths around a vaccine or
injuries. That could lead to questions about under what legal regime
the vaccine manufacturers achieved immunity.
And so you say, oh no, no, no, that's just,
correlation does not imply causation.
Of course there are going to be runs in poker.
Of course there are going to be runs in poker. Of course there are going to be clusters of data.
This is what being fooled by randomness is all about.
So if you think about what those things,
how they function inside of your mind,
they tend to keep you from seeking remedies.
You're not going to put somebody in jail
if you believe all these things.
You're not going to go somebody in jail. If you believe all these things, you're not going
to go poking into the intelligence community.
If, if, if conspiracy theorists makes you think
about a lunatic, you're not a lunatic.
You're a grownup.
It's first order sophistication.
Do you ever see a film called Victor Victoria?
No.
Victor Victoria is the, I think the tagline on the poster was the story of a
woman playing a man playing a woman.
And so it was a female impersonator who was actually Julie Andrews.
Right.
Right.
Now, if you saw Victor behind Victoria, you certainly saw one level deep.
That's one level of counter intuition.
And most people, when they get to one level of counter intuition, stop,
pat themselves on the back.
And at least they're not like the poor fools who only see Victoria, because
Victoria, you know, is the female being impersonated.
But what happens if you see Sally and let's imagine Sally is the person
playing Victor playing Victoria.
Now you've got a problem, which is you say that's a woman.
So everybody who sees Victor says, you poor bastard.
You are fooled.
And Reddit is great for this, by the way.
The average Reddit post is, huh,
I see through that thing that you're taken in by,
but have fun with it.
You know, it's a superiority contest
at first order counter intuition.
So at first order counter intuition,
conspiracy theorists are losers in their mother's basements
who posited a new world order where the flat earth society
of lizard people controls the cosmos.
And the funny part about it is the Atlantic council exists.
What's that?
That would be Sally playing Victor playing Victoria.
I mean, in other words,
of course,
there are conspiracies everywhere.
We found a million conspiracies.
I could tell you, you know, various operations,
Operation Condor, Operation Sea Spray,
where we sprayed bacteria on all of San Francisco.
We all know about the Tuskegee Medical Experiment,
Operation Northwoods, Operation Mockingbird,
Operation Ajax in Chile.
We know that conspiracies are the lifeblood of the world.
Every trade group is a conspiracy.
The Twitter files are about conspiracy.
So we're living in a world,
hopefully you've achieved a point in your life
where you've been invited to
many conspiracies.
And if you haven't, I'm really sorry, but they're everywhere.
Now, what is a conspiracy theorist that somebody trying to figure out what
these things are from outside?
That's what you've got to stop.
And how do you do this?
Well, there are a lot of bad conspiracy theorists.
There are a lot of losers and a lot of morons
and a lot of idiots who imagine that lizard people
are controlling everything.
And so you try to make it look like the people who,
well, let me give you an example.
The moon landing and the JFK assassination
are not in the same category.
It's quite probable that something funny is going on around the JFK assassination.
And it's highly improbable that the moon landings are fake.
You know, TWA flight 800 seems very strange or what is like 300 missing man pads from
the Afghan theater.
A bunch of people saw something streaking up to a plane and the explanation doesn't exactly
add up.
Now you have a problem.
Like let's, you know, the famous one that I like, which is just so dangerous. It's funny.
You can just watch the radioactivity.
If you can agree that nothing like building seven's collapse has ever
happened in structural engineering, you can say, well, that is interesting.
It's just interesting that no building has ever collapsed like that.
No steel building of this height, you know, from,
from flame, whatever.
And the instant you say that some member of a group
of 10 friends will say, Oh yeah, I bet it was a bunch
of thermite placed by Israelis, right?
Einstein.
And you're thinking, wow, gosh, that seems like a
really high penalty to pay for just noticing.
No building has ever collapsed like that.
I'm not saying I, I don't believe that.
So it's this kind of pattern match of any type of skepticism with a slippery slope down to the most extreme conspiracy.
And that's, and yeah, you're just in error.
You're, you took first order counter intuition
so that you became superior to the Flat Earth Society,
but you're not the guy who's gonna figure out
the Iran-Contra scandal.
Because if I told you the Iran-Contra scandal,
it doesn't matter how many documents you look at,
you'll still never believe that that was true.
It's so insane.
It doesn't matter how many documents you look at, you'll still never believe that that was true.
It's so insane.
This retconning, this mass lighting,
gas lighting at global scale,
it is mind blowing to me that this is done on the internet
when everything is held together.
Why?
Because the entire internet is obsessed
with pointing out hypocrisy.
If... No, no, no, no, no, no. It's not the entire internet is obsessed with pointing out hypocrisy. If...
No, no, no, no, no, no.
It's not the entire internet.
A large portion of very vocal...
A large portion of very small accounts,
a large portion of right of center accounts.
Almost no one in what I considered my world
does anything remotely like this.
In other words, if you walk into a physics department, good luck finding a Republican.
And good luck finding anybody who will believe almost anything that you tell them or will do so publicly.
I took a tour through the East Coast, the corridor of great universities from
Massachusetts down to Philadelphia. And you know, I have many friends and
colleagues in this department, and they take me into their offices and they'd
all close the door and they say, you have no idea how bad it is in here. And these
are mathematicians and physicists, and they are living in a
world in which it is simply too dangerous to dissent, to ask questions.
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That's nomadic.com slash modern wisdom and MW20 at checkout. I did some research.
Tech company employee donations to midterm candidates by party, well over 90% in favor
of Democrat.
There is a 33% gap between Republicans and Democrats in self-described party affiliations
of US journalists in 2022.
And there was this recent Google, Furore and couple that being popped for monopoly unfair
competition practices on top of are they putting their finger on the scale and editorializing.
If you search for Donald Trump's name, you get negative stories about Donald
Trump and positive stories about Kamala Harris.
If you search Kamala Harris's name, you just get positive stories about Kamala Harris.
Okay.
But how, how many, how many, let me, let me, let me keep going.
So I don't think I'm not saying that Google isn't, but I don't think that Google
needs to editorialize
the search results.
If there is such an unbalanced original content pool that they're pulling from, if you have
this huge sway in terms of tech, if you have this huge sway in terms of the people that
are writing the articles, I don't think you need Google to put their finger on the pulse.
You're already it's 90% in one direction.
If you take from that poll representatively, it's going to
move in that direction.
So that you've, you've now once again, uh, evidence the same
basic idea, which is, uh, we'll just chalk it up to emergence.
These are all emergent effects that we never have to posit
intent, you never have to say that there's a finger on the scale.
Great.
You're out of it.
Well done.
That's insane.
Chris pulled the ripcord and got out of it.
So here's the thing that I thought that was really interesting.
Wait, wait, wait, wait, but I want to understand something.
How do you think you get to these levels of bias among employees?
Do you think that something about being in tech makes you Democrat friendly?
I think my working hypothesis is that it's cowardice. Say more. In order to keep your job, you need to tow the party line and the party line is somehow
dictated top down, not bottom up. Maybe it's emergent from the Great Society
programs of the 1960s. Maybe the idea that the hiring practices
not being allowed to discriminate in various ways
and the interpretation through the courts
means that the HR departments have to do things
that make it impossible to be,
almost impossible to be a vocal Republican
in a large workplace. So one of the interesting things about that graph, the 33% gap between
Democrats and Republicans, if you go to about 1970 is when it really begins to
diverge, but what you also see is that, uh, self described independence move at
almost the exact same rate as Republicans going down.
So you get a bit of a gain for Democrats, a large
loss for Republicans and also again, for independence.
So how many of these people are, uh, Republicans
masquerading as independence when they do the self-report?
What, what if it's picked up by my colleagues?
This is Timur Koran's theory of preference
falsification that you have two sets of preferences.
You have the preferences that you keep at home, uh, and the
preferences that you show the world. And this is the engine of preferences. You have the preferences that you keep at home, uh, and the preferences that you show the world.
And this is the engine of revolution because
there's always one guy like a James DeMore
working at Google who's so autistic that he's
going to spectrum himself right out of the
workplace and say what he actually thinks.
He doesn't see the social mores that he's
supposed to adhere to.
And this is why what happened, you know, one, one of the gifts of the Ceausescu
in Romania is that they gave us this amazing footage of their undoing.
And Nicolae Ceausescu is at a rally, uh, in Bucharest and he's on, you know,
whatever balcony and he's saying his stuff and there's some noise in the back.
He's like, what's that noise?
It keeps going in that somehow the noise starts growing louder and people are discontent and they're just not willing to lie anymore.
And each person emboldens those around them and you see the revolution
spread like a tumor.
Did you read that uncommon knowledge article that I mentioned?
The Ben Hunt.
Yes.
Yeah.
Yeah.
I thought that was very interesting.
I live this, right? I mean, like if you look at my KFabe article, it's 2011 because I'm worried
that professional wrestling is going to determine the presidency. If you look at my article
on the National Science foundation, the national
academy of science conspiring against American scientists.
That's from the early two thousands.
I was canceled in the early 1990s for pointing this out long before
it being canceled was cool.
The, this is, I don't know what to call it.
It's like an ether in which we, we swim.
It's all around.
It's, it's water to fish that we can't see our entire lives are bathed in this.
And, you know, you've always had Howard's in types, let's say on the left, who
are willing to point to, to, to issues.
And your parents would say, well, you know,
be very careful with that book because if you do know the truth,
you can't participate in polite society.
If you're not part of the intelligence community or part of the inside group.
And it's the idea is that the truth can be made unfit so
that to understand the world
is to remove yourself from the chessboard.
Hmm.
Thinking about the, whether it's finger on scale, editorially, whether it's
drawing from a pool, which is disproportionately represented from
one ideology or another, uh, everybody is saying, I don't know what's going to happen in November, but it's going to be a nail biter.
And it does make me think, well, given that we have
what appears to be a disproportionate amount of sort of mainstream accessibility to stories leaning in one
direction positively, as opposed to in another, I wonder
what would have happened had that not been the case.
It makes a nail biter actually seem kind of like an
interesting.
Who are these people who know all this stuff? Why am I out of this club? Had that not been the case, it makes a nail bite or actually seem kind of like an interesting.
Who are these people who know all this stuff?
Why am I out of this club?
Everybody knows stuff about what's happening in November.
I mean, the last time I was on the program, I
said it's a million years.
Um, Donald Trump was almost killed by an AR 15.
Joe Biden has been suffering with some
level of dementia that's been progressing through his entire
term in office. When was the last time you saw MSNBC with
five geriatric neurologists watching his g gate, his speech, and telling you
their professional opinions from publicly available data.
You're in the magic show, baby.
And the funny part about it is the reason I don't want to hybridize with anyone
else is that responsible conspiracy theorizing is very much an adult activity.
Responsible conspiracy theorizing is not based on saying, well, I've,
I've got the certainty over here and I've lost it because I know I'm being lied
to. So I've, I've, I can tell you exactly what is going on.
It's the lizard people.
Responsible conspiracy theorizing says, I know
that the story makes sense.
And I know that I don't know how to correct it,
but you know, Naval Ravikant once pushed me to do a Twitter thread called the
invisible world is first discovered in the visible world's failure to close.
Right? So the idea is we find out that there's a neutrino because a neutron has a certain amount of energy and a proton and an
electron into which it decayed doesn't have the same amount of energy. So something was lost. So,
you know, there was a hypothesis due to both Pauli and Fermi, that there must be some particle that is diabolically neutral,
undetectable by almost any means possible that is carrying away this extra energy.
And so the idea is the visible world, that is the charged particles or the neutron which
you could detect, that world didn't close.
Therefore there had to be something else.
Well, you know, when Kamala goes from being incredibly unpopular to the loved
candidate with no primary, the visible world just failed to close.
The idea that nobody ever convenes a bunch of geriatric neurologists to analyze
Joe Biden is the visible world failing to close.
This is the origin of anti-interesting.
These are all anti-interesting events, and you can measure the control of
journalism by its desire to report on what everybody wants reported and is
absolutely pathologically uninteresting, not to the journalists, but to the
editors who tell the journalists what can and cannot be featured in print.
How do you think this is being justified to and by the people inside?
What I think, I think I tried to come at that as frontally as anyone as you've ever heard.
What if, let's just steel man their perspective rather than making them the
evil baddies, twiddling their, twiddling their mustaches.
What if the idea is that an outbreak of truth and
democracy would destroy NATO and the world order?
Let's imagine that that would undo the markets
that would spread nukes.
You know, what happens if, if ending, uh, the
control of social media would mean that weaponized
anthrax plant plans could be spread frictionlessly.
If four amino acids lead to worldwide lockdowns,
the amount of leverage in this system should
frighten you at the same time that the shadowy
figures are frightening you.
And the problem with the heterodox is like, we
mentioned Ben Hunt.
I think I've spoken to him once or twice and
what's his famous tagline?
Something like burn it all the F down.
I didn't know that.
Okay.
Well, this is part of the problem when you wake up
and you realize that your entire life is, is, uh,
embedded in a lie,
managed reality, managed reality.
You say, I don't want to live in managed reality, man.
It's like, are you crazy?
I don't want to live in managed reality if it's badly managed, but I can't
live in direct reality either, because maybe that's just too dangerous.
And so, you know, I, I highly recommend that
everyone learn the lesson of the United States
versus the progressive, which is a court case
that would be famous, but for the fact that
we're determined to forget it.
It was a Streisand effect case where a magazine
decided that it would be an excellent idea to
point out that there are no nuclear secrets.
And they said, why don't we get, I think his name was Howard Borland, a reporter
who had no physics background to figure out the redacted portions of the Stanislav
Ulam Edward Teller paper that had been declassified, declassified, but redacted
that explained how you get a chemical reaction to start a fission
reaction as the detonator for a fusion reaction. And so he figured it out. They had shorted the
information. It was scattered throughout libraries. Do you know this? You don't know this.
No, no, no. This story's great.
Oh my God.
You need, you need a little bit more power in you. Got that in nuclear.
Next time tequila.
Dynamite.
There were two cases in the 1970s, one at Princeton and one at the Progressive magazine.
I probably should have done the Princeton one first.
There was a guy named, I think it was like John Aristotle, who was a, he was the Princeton mascot, like the tiger.
Okay.
Illustrious.
And he was a shitty, shitty physics student.
And he said, you know what, I'm going to use the fact that I'm a shitty
physics student, like below average at, at, you know, Princeton's like one of
the greatest physics departments of all time.
And he said, I'm going to approach Freeman Dyson at the Institute for
Advanced Study and see whether I can work out how to make a fission bomb that would actually work.
So Freeman Dyson said, I will give you no information that is classified, but I will
tell you whether whatever you come up with will work or not. The guy did it. And as a result,
he turned it in. That is not to be found in the Princeton archives, where all the junior
theses are kept and page 20 of it, I believe, is
redacted because it was a working design for a
fission bomb.
And then the much more dangerous one was the
progressive magazine versus the United States,
where the United States.
Do you know about the atomic energy acts of 1946
and 54?
Perhaps surprisingly, no.
Welcome to my world.
Um, there's a category called restricted data that is almost never discussed,
which is the only place in law where if you and I were to work at a table at a
cafe and I were to show you something
that could influence nuclear weaponry, the government doesn't need to classify it.
It is born secret the instant my pen touches the paper and writes it down.
How is it defined?
Anything that impinges on nuclear weapons, including just information.
So you don't have acute clearance.
I don't have acute clearance.
We don't work for the government.
Simply all we're doing is physics.
Wow.
Yeah.
And this has been around since, I don't know, 4654.
It's the only place in law.
It's never been tested in the courts.
place in law, it's never been tested in the courts.
And if you couple that to the 1917 espionage act,
which carries capital punishment, I believe that it is illegal to seek information at a Q level if you don't have an access to it.
So there is a question, which is if you're any good at physics, are you
potentially committing
a capital crime by advancing the field if it could influence nuclear weapons?
We have no idea whether it would be found constitutional, but what happened
was when the progressive magazine showed that at least a reporter through basically
archeology in like Los Alamos library and things, um, could find this and put it together.
Then the only thing keeping the proliferation of weapons is the difficulty
of producing fissile nuclear material.
There is no nuclear secret per se.
I mean, you can say what it is.
You've got a chemical sphere that implodes radioactive material
that reaches critical mass.
You have a fission explosion. You've got a chemical sphere that implodes radioactive material that reaches critical mass.
You have a fission explosion.
And now the problem is you're using a nuclear bomb like Hiroshima
Nagasaki level bomb as just the detonator.
Trigger.
Yeah.
So it's going to rip apart this casing.
How do you keep it from, um, destroying the mechanism that's
supposed to do the fusing.
Well, the only thing faster than the other
particles is light.
You've got to use light from this reflector to
actually do the fusion in the final stage.
Wow.
And that's what he figured out.
Now, the reason you haven't heard about this is
that we've been undoing the Streisand effect.
We've been making physics boring.
Physics isn't interesting. Physics isn't interesting.
Physics isn't scary.
We've got tons of, I don't know, Chinese,
Iranians, people from all over the world,
studying irrelevant theories that
aren't going to go boom.
How did that happen?
We don't know.
And I don't know whether you've seen the Mark
Andreessen, Ben Horvitz video where they're
talking about their visit to the White House in AI.
Tell me.
I really wish we were doing this over
Negronies or old fashions.
Um, I'm sure that we could get one ordered.
To Rogan.
Okay.
All right.
All right.
All right.
Um, we'll just stick to experimental
nootropics and high doses of caffeine.
Fantastic.
Yeah.
Um, so they're, they're doing a podcast and they say that, well,
they met with the White House and there's this question about, should we regulate AI?
Now, I don't know if you've been, undoubtedly you haven't, but you might have talked to somebody
who's really been through the transformer architecture and the attention mechanism.
Talk to somebody who's really been through the transformer architecture and the attention mechanism.
It's basically just linear algebra.
And it's not very sophisticated linear algebra.
So they said, well, you can't ban math.
And the white house said, oh, yes, we can.
We did it. We've banned entire regions of theoretical physics.
And they said, Oh, what?
So we don't know what that means.
We don't know.
The most narrow reading of that is, is that you've buried, you've
banned some kinds of nuclear physics.
That's going to say you're the physicist.
If you were to make a couple of bets, what do you think that they're talking about?
This is the big question.
We don't know whether that we're talking about the stagnation of theoretical
physics or just nuclear physics.
You're okay with speculating. Let's speculate.
I'll do the decision tree. One possibility is that they're simply saying that they made nuclear physics very, very difficult to do.
And that has to do with not very sexy physics, the physics of protons and neutrons in nuclear.
So that branch exists. The other branch says, um, we used string theory
to cock block actual progress in theoretical
physics and derailed an entire field, at least
in public.
I can see where this is going.
Well, I'm, I'm trying to say I didn't put, um, Mark and Ben up to this podcast.
You go, go take a look at that footage and you tell me what they're talking about.
But it draws a very interesting line between what we were talking about last
time, which is this seeming theoretical dead end, which everybody has been obsessed by.
But before we get to that, let me point something out.
You have never heard the phrase deemed export.
No.
So you've never heard of restricted data.
You've never heard of deemed export.
You've never heard of United States versus progressive.
You've never heard of the Princeton mascot.
All of these things can be looked up.
These are all in a memory hole.
The deemed export is information that is like a sensitive gyroscope for, um, you
know, a targeting, uh, system for, for a weapon.
You can't give a sensitive centrifuges and gyroscopes to rogue regimes like North Korea or Iran.
Deemed export is the information equivalent of it.
You cannot share that theory or that insight.
It's the extension to intellectual matters, to ideas.
There are ideas you're not allowed to share with foreigners.
There are ideas you're not allowed to share with foreigners.
And my point is you don't know about any of this stuff. How is it then that you immediately say, well, surely we're not doing X,
surely we're not doing Y.
And my point is do me a favor, research the history of the government attempts
to keep the Manhattan projects secret.
Like you may not know that Harold Urey, the very famous chemist, I believe history of the government attempts to keep the Manhattan projects secret.
Like you may not know that Harold Urey, the very famous chemist, I believe published false and misleading academic papers.
There's an entire complex that you're not supposed to see, which is how do we keep
all of these things, uh, from providing
advantage to adversaries.
And if that structure exists and you've never heard of it and you've
never thought about it and you don't know the history, why are you so
sure that you know that this is all nonsense?
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That's a good point.
That's a very good point. I think the implication, which
is pretty interesting for me that you were hinting at there is that there is a potential
of the obsession with string theory being a red herring, very tempting, shiny, sparkly red herring, popular one that has
curtailed physicists from looking elsewhere for quite a while.
You're giving me that look. You're giving me a look as if I'm close, but not close enough.
No, no, no.
When I say shiny, what I mean is popular, shown out front, dangled and made to be glitzy and-
To the public, but-
Also internally, it seemed to me,
did Ed Witten, did you not tell me
the last time that you were on here,
there are no other theories, just words?
Is that not the guy from which everybody else is down-
That is not shiny.
That is saying everything else is crap and dangerous. In other words,
it's string theory can't sell itself as physics. By any telling of the story,
string theory is the most failed theory in the history of physics. If you look at the number of
papers, the amount of money, the number of people, the number of PhDs, number of conferences, achievements in physics proper per investment or size of effort.
It is the most failed theory in the history of
physics and the way in which it survives is by
hunting and destroying its enemies and making its
enemies dependent on them.
We all have a circuit in our brain that we're
going to run to the string theorists
to talk about the problem with string theory
because of peer review.
It's like, when I wanna report the police department
for being corrupt,
well, you should go to the police with that.
Wait, you're not understanding.
So that's the problem.
If I were-
I think we're on the same page.
Okay. I think we are. Well, I think I'm just trying to say it's the problem. I think we're on the same page. Okay.
I think we are.
I think I'm just trying to say it's the problem
with string theory, not the equations, not the shininess,
not the advertising campaign.
The problem is look at how they treat everyone else.
Everyone who is not a string theorist,
who is trying to do stuff that could end up
as a deemed export or as restricted data is covered and splattered and
shit. Lawrence Krauss and Leonard Susskind caused quite a ruckus with this not long ago. I didn't
know that it had happened. In my defense, I hadn't seen this podcast and it only came out like a few
days ago. Absolutely. So this is Lawrence Krauss and Leonard Suskin.
Suskin being one of the best theoretical physicists ever.
No.
No.
Why is he somebody worth listening to then?
Um, he's very, very smart and he's one of the most important string
theorists ever, and he writes exceptionally clear and correct introductory books.
Okay.
But he is not a leading physicist.
But is somebody at the forefront of string theory?
Absolutely.
And he said, quote, I can tell you with absolute certainty, string theory is not
the theory of the real world.
I can tell you that 100%.
My strong feelings are exactly that string theory is definitely not the theory of the real world. I can tell you that 100%. My strong feelings are exactly that string
theory is definitely not the theory of the real world. Is that taking it out of
context? Is that him framing it somewhere else? Or does that encapsulate the fact
that he thinks string theory is a dead end that doesn't describe the world?
He's playing a game that I would, I would say is Logomachy, an argument over words,
where he says that big S string theory is not the theory
of the real world, which is the theory that was used to destroy all of its competitors
and that little S string theory exists. I don't, this is basically the attempt, uh,
to take a school massacre and plead to a parking ticket. And no, I think that the prosecution should decline the offer
from the good Dr. Suskin and say, no, no, no, you have 40 years of the destruction of your
colleagues to answer for you've chosen to be, um, words, family, an asshole,
uh, to just about everyone who came up with a competitor theory.
And I've dealt with Leonard directly.
He can be charming.
He's a great raconteur. He's very brilliant. And he chooses to be a Wolfgang Pauli without
achievement. He's taken a massive advance on a future career, which he will never have at age 85.
So this is a person who wishes you to think of him as the leading physicist. He absolutely,
categorically, by the standards of physics known to our elders is not.
And Leonard Susskind is playing a game.
He's saying, you saw Kill Bill.
One of the great romantic scenes of all time is filmed between Beatrix Kiddo and
Bill at the very end of the film.
He's absolutely destroyed her life.
He's killed her husband, fiance, the father of a child,
forced an abortion.
She's been raped.
Every indignity on Earth has been suffered by this woman.
And in the end, she wants to know,
how could you do that to me?
And what are his words?
He says, I overreacted.
And you see in the film, if I recall correctly,
she leans forward
and she says, you overreacted. Is that your explanation? Like, how can that be
that my life has been turned upside down and you're offering to me is I overreacted.
So these people, and I want to specifically call out the most
aggressive of them, Lubos, Lubos, modal, Michio Kaku, Leonard
Susskind, uh, Jeff Harvey, Michael Duff, uh, Andy
Strominger, Kumer and Vafa have been on a tear that nothing
else exists, destroying 40 years of competitors.
And what does the bride say to Bill?
Said, you and I have unfinished business.
That's where we are right now.
Your explanation to me, Eric Weinstein, is,
you overreacted, Leonard Tusken.
You and I have an unfinished business.
What happens next?
Oh, that's going to get interesting.
You're watching the beginning of the collapse.
You're watching people running for the exits. We're not yet at the Lehman brothers, September 15 moment with AIG looming in the background.
But right now, all of these guys are trying to plead to,
oh, well, it's not string theory proper.
We meant, ha ha ha ha.
We meant something related to string theory.
Yeah, that's it.
You know, it's like that moment comically
when somebody is caught red-handed.
We're in the middle of Shaggy's, it wasn't me.
It's theoretical retconning. Yeah. somebody is caught red handed. We're, we're in the middle of shaggy's. It wasn't me.
It's theoretical retconning.
Yeah.
And, uh, you know, there's this beautiful offering that Hector makes to Achilles.
We will give each other the honor of a proper burial.
Achilles is an interested.
Let's do this thing. What does that mean?
Well hopefully somebody will come up with some money to hold a conference to get these
people in the same room with the people they've tormented, whose careers they've ended, whose
funds they've stolen, the stolen valor of actual achievements in real attempts to change
physics. And wouldn't it be delicious and fun to see Michio Kaku, Ed Witten, Lenny Suskin,
Michael Duff, Jeff Harvey, actually have to face people who know what they're talking about
and have a discussion of what did we just do for 40 years? Are we protecting the American public from restricted data?
I have no idea.
But I can tell you this, nobody in their right mind gives a startup
40 years of runway with never a call with investors, nor even a basic MVP,
most, you know, minimal viable product.
even a basic MVP, most, you know, minimal viable product.
We've been playing Weekend at Biden's and now we're also playing Weekend at Lenny's.
This is really funny.
Who else would you want to have a chat with the guys on the string theory side of the
world?
Well, I think Peter Wojt would be fun.
He's got two new theories.
Again, I don't agree with either of them.
I have my own theory and I'm happy to fight with Peter,
but Peter and I have been friends for all these years. Uh,
I would love to have Nima Arkani Hamed and Ed Frankel and others,
uh, judge this people who aren't really string theorists who appreciate the
best parts of string inspired mathematics, let's say,
or string inspired mechanisms in physics.
There is, the equations are not without interest or merit.
It's the, the sociology should be hunted
and removed with extreme prejudice.
It's anti-science.
So I don't know much or anything really
about the inner workings of string theory,
but Sabine Hossenfeld has been on the show,
Brian Greene's been on the show,
Sean Carroll's been on the show.
Oh, let's get them, all of them.
And I saw a tweet saying that somebody
had been to a string theory convention
and had asked the question, what is string theory?
And the best string theorists on the planet came up with the answer,
we kind of don't know what string theory is.
And the other answer is whatever it is that we're doing.
Whatever it is that the string theory community is doing.
Even if they did something that had nothing to do with string theory,
they've now tried to say, how about this?
And I don't know if you remember Maxwell Smart and Get Smart.
So he was a comic version of James Bond, an American bumbling secret agent who somehow solved cases and stopped terrible plots, but always by making accents.
And wherever he was caught, he would say, you know,
I'm not worried because right now we're surrounded
by the third battalion of the Marine Division of Sentence.
I said, I don't believe that.
Would you believe 12 police officers?
No, Mr. Smart, I don't believe that either.
Two Cub Scouts with slingshots.
So, this is a very old pattern.
Yeah.
Is this too far gone for string theory now?
Is it the mask is beginning to slip to the point
where even Ed Dutton's going to have to eat his words
within the next decade?
They'll never eat their words.
They'll just keep lying.
Lying as a way of life, lying to the public as,
I mean, I think Suskin somewhere else in this interview
says something like we have to keep interest in physics high.
Look, science is fine.
What we have now learned to call the science TM is an abomination.
And one of the things people don't learn about from regular investing, retail
investing is what's called relative value trades.
People say, oh, I'm bullish on tech.
I'm staying out of the tech market.
If you don't have the ability to go short, you don't know what a relative
value trade is relative value trade says.
Uh, I think Microsoft, uh, as the right idea over at open AI and Google's
Gemini, uh, has too much political encumberment.
So I'm going to go long Microsoft and I'm going to fund it by going short
Google and therefore whatever tech does, they'll both go up or both go down as a sec
within the sector as the sector rises and falls, but you're betting on the
relative trade hedge kind of exactly.
The right trade at the moment is go long science because it's been beaten up with
its association with the science TM.
So short, the science TM long science, uh, I think is the
multi-billion dollar trade for smart countries at the moment.
And you have to hunt out the science TM, which lives inside
of the journals, lives inside of the funding agencies, lives
inside of the departmental defense mechanisms, lives inside of the CIA, DITRA, all of
these sorts of blob related agencies that get
their paws into science.
And by the way, I absolutely want the military
to pick up the funding of basic research.
We have to overturn something called the
Mansfield amendment, which a previous generation
was obsessed by and modern academicians don't even know exists.
That was when the military was funding basic research.
They were our best friends.
They stayed out of our hair.
They were just paying a retainer so that they could call on us in times of emergency.
And we stupidly gave away that funding source and it's time to get it back.
And it's probably time to allow physicists, mathematicians, biologists,
intellectual property rights over basic research, not just technologies.
Because what right now, what we're doing is you're impoverishing the people who
provide your safety and your prosperity.
You're not letting them participate in the very society that they're funding.
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Is this indicative of a broader problem in all of science?
Is physics the tip of the speed or is there anything even further down?
Science used to be dominated by physics and mathematics in a certain sense,
after the atomic weapons proved their metal.
And then the physicists showed that they could do things that nobody could
imagine, for example, molecular biology is basically founded by physicists. World Wide Web comes
out of CERN. Semiconductors come out of Stanford and the actual silicon that was in Silicon
Valley. So then it became a biology focused. So right now, when you say science, most people think biology rather than
in previous years where most people thought the physicists who could do
everything, uh, we need hearings and we need to basically read the national
academy of sciences, the national science foundation, the national science board,
the national research council, um, the journals, Lancet, Nature, Science,
publishing houses of all of the science.
We've got to get rid of the science.
The science is infecting us.
We need lawyers, guns and money.
And it does seem like a fantastically asymmetric trade.
You know, I think I hear this all the time
in the world of trading,
look for limited downside and unlimited upside.
I think we could make fantastic progress
with within theoretical physics within five years.
And I can promise you nobody's interested in funding it.
What does it mean when academicians go after
Harvard MIT?
Is it academicians though?
Yeah. Oh, it's trolls with PhDs.
There's an entire community of, um, trolls hunting
people who dissent.
Like I bet Sabina Haassenfelder has people who are just sitting
around trying to destroy her.
Yep.
And the same was true.
It's also, it's magnified, I think, not just by the descent, but
also by the platform, same one exposure.
People got jealous of exposure.
And I don't think it's that.
Oh, I think that it is very, very obvious that if somebody gets attention
and someone else feels
that it's undeserving in one form or another,
that guy's a phony and look at all of the,
whatever they get.
I think there's some of that, but I think to
think that that's what it is, is mistaken.
Not entirely, but I think that it's a really
big leverage function on top of it.
I don't think that's true.
Right now we have a country with no president
and we've moved on and what's Taylor Swift doing.
Right.
So my claim is, is that anti-interesting, once you understand what anti-interesting is,
like assume that you actually want it just to humiliate people.
You'd give them a talk.
that you actually wanted just to humiliate people.
You'd give them a talk.
If you can't play the piano, um, and I want to humiliate you because you say you're a piano player.
Away you go.
I'll get you a grand piano on a stage in an audience.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
No, no, this isn't that.
This is something really interesting.
And because it's also, it's cheap, it's free. Why don't we find out whether somebody has something to say?
I'm telling you right now,
I believe I can explain where the particle spectrum comes from.
I can explain the origin of this is my claim.
The 16 particles that make up the first generation of matter,
not coming from particle theory, but coming from general relativity.
The most natural thing in the world is to say, that's a really bold claim.
There's no known explanation for the particle spectrum in terms of general
relativity. What is that guy talking about? Let's get him in here.
Let's get him on video. We'll humiliate him. This will be fun.
We'll take away his audience. Never happens.
Instead, what it is, is that there's this constant sort of whisper campaign against
somebody like Sabina.
Oh, she's a popularizer.
She's not serious.
She's she doesn't know her stuff.
Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
Italy, uh, they sold out of, uh, pop, pop
musicians.
I like their old stuff.
Well, did you see this thing with Sean
Carroll and, uh, Kurt Jaimungal?
I know Kurt theories of toe toe, theories of everything. Um, I didn't see what him and Sean got into. This is,
is this is spicy. This is like the Kardashians for physicists. I love it. Oh, absolutely. Yeah.
So Kurt says, well, what do you think of Lee Smolin, Stephen Wolf from Eric Weinstein and Peter Wojt?
And Sean Carroll very deftly says, Oh, I wouldn't put Lee Smolin in with them.
The others are amateurs.
Lee Smolin is a serious physicist.
Peter Wojt just wrote one of the greatest books in physics and mathematics I've ever
seen. A comprehensive guide to the role of group theory within the quantum,
symmetry within the quantum.
Nobody knew that this guy had this in him.
He was running this blog and it was an excellent blog.
Everybody in the community reads it and many people pretend that they don't
because it's very critical of string theory, but he's very, very good.
Then he writes a book like this.
Nobody saw it coming. Then he comes up with two theories, both of which I of string theory, but he's very, very good. Then he writes a book like this, nobody saw it coming.
Then he comes up with two theories,
both of which I think are wrong,
but are really, really clever about the nature
of the strong force, what would be called weaker hypercharge
and what would be called weak Isis spin
and the origin of the left right asymmetry
of the universe called chirality.
And when I ask these critics,
they have no idea what these theories are.
It took me like 15 to 45 minutes
to get the basic idea of both.
This is preposterous.
For Sean Carroll to claim,
Peter Wojt is considerably better than Sean Carroll.
And if you don't believe it, let's have the two of them on stage with each other.
It's very funny.
I would love to see Kurt's moderate that conversation.
Yeah.
Uh, so I had an idea that I really wanted to teach you about.
And I think I love this part of our interaction.
Well, I, I, here's something I prepared earlier.
Um, so you'll be familiar with the term audience capture, which is when you begin
feeding red meat to your audience, you start to say what they want or expect
you to say rather than what you truly believe, because you've been positively
reinforced to do so by plays and comments and potentially money.
There is a, you know, that I brought that up in the article on the international,
on the intellectual dark web that Barry Weiss.
No, I didn't.
So there is a new idea, which I love called criticism capture.
Tell me about it.
I don't know about it.
So this is, uh, Ethan Strauss and I'm relating this to your idea of an accuracy budget as well.
Okay.
And I think this may be pieces together.
So let's see what you think.
Criticism capture is more dangerous than audience capture.
Most people have occupations where they get criticized in private to have it take
place in public as happens in media is a different dynamic, especially in this era.
I happen to think one's response to criticism is important and
almost defining in this field.
The game isn't just what you do.
It's what you do after what you're doing gets defined by people who hate it.
I've contemplated hypothetically ideal replies when getting ripped at scale.
Some are cruel, some are nice, some are strategic, some are impulsive.
In a way,
they're almost all dishonest. Nearly everybody in this situation attempts to seem above the fray
they're fighting, like the Wojak of the happy face in front of the rage tears. That's why you see so
many public figures on the internet starting off with LOL when what they really mean is fuck you.
In most instances, whatever you come up with
is only marginally better than I know you are, but what am I?
The basic theory is that people are more unhinged
when addressing their criticisms, not their compliments.
I call this the Streisand squeeze
in a slightly different context.
So the idea is that a low value human
becomes obsessed with you because what they get out of it is
if you react to them,
they want the attention and the portion of your audience that dislikes you to become their audience.
And if you answer the criticism,
like intellectually, you're fundamentally playing
into a gambit.
So you try not answering the criticism
and then it becomes, why won't he answer his critics?
And then you're saying, well,
are you applying this criticism uniformly?
Are you...
criticism, um, uniformly.
Are you,
it's, it's an absolutely diabolical situation.
So the point that I find interesting is not, although it is,
what is the motivation of the criticizer is interesting to me,
but what is the response of the criticized is much more interesting to me.
What are the options?
I'm actually just interested.
What do you see as the options that are possible?
Because I can't, this is a problem that I can't solve.
I understand.
I think there's a great point that Ethan makes
where he says that the unraveling usually starts
as a rebuttal to some criticism,
not the embrace of some inspired followers.
Say more about that.
The impact of criticism isn't the impact.
Yes, people fear the professional, social,
and financial consequences of reputation harm,
but often in media, that's not what kills you.
Instead, it's your own unforced errors
in response to the criticism.
Some people change their messaging to avoid the blowback,
like a wide receiver shying from necessary contact over the middle.
Some disagreeable personalities get their backs up and over-correct.
Their content starts to match the fevered pitch of their most aggressive detractors.
They almost mirror the derangement regarding criticism itself as a positive indicator.
So I think we've all seen over the last five years,
people lean into almost being a meme of a meme,
being a caricature of themselves.
And, you know, I know that you had a,
I think you were disheartened by
what you didn't see your audience do for you
when some criticism came for the portal.
There wasn't criticism.
I can handle criticism.
You'll notice that I have a very strong civility issue.
I have an anti-stalker, anti-troll policy.
For example, I really like Michael Malice as an individual.
But when Jay Leno had a bunch of hot oil or something,
scald his face, Michael chose to make a joke and he said,
well, Jay Leno hasn't been hot, this hot in years.
And it's not like I don't understand the joke,
but it's like, I don't know Jay Leno
and the guy just had scald. I just don't do this.
I don't like getting energy from hurting people. I just did this Terrence Howard thing with Joe
Rogan. And I told Joe, I will not go on a show as a debunker. I texted you and said how impressed I
was with your patience. It's not just patience. Terrence has a couple things that are really worthwhile and that...
But still, interposing...
Wait, wait, wait. It entitles me to say...
a lot of what you're doing is just very, very low quality.
But this thing that you're doing over here,
I'll vouch for it, I'll put my name behind that.
That's really clever and really good.
If I can't find one jewel,
one gem, one positive thing to say, it's, it's for somebody else. And part of this is I'm trying to
indicate, this is what criticism actually is. I'm modeling what criticism. I wasn't weak. I didn't
shy away from what I considered to be the sort of uninformed or pseudoscientific or historically
inaccurate stuff in that.
But I also had no desire to hurt Terrence.
And in fact, I wanted to elevate him and help him.
To make him feel silly or.
You know, there's a time to hurt somebody.
And I don't, Terrence hadn't done anything.
You know, he's confused about things
and he knows that he has something and he doesn't know where it comes from and all that kind of stuff.
And then to hear some giant portion of the internet say, Oh my God, you know,
this is the way this is the genius.
And another portion say, this guy is an idiot and has nothing.
Neither of these things are true.
To get back to your point about criticism capture, I can't solve this problem
because the critics are mostly stalkers.
I'll answer a critic.
Anybody who's, the first thing I'm gonna do,
if you call me like cult leader,
I'm gonna say, well, tell me something.
What did you call Ed Witten?
What did you call Annie Susskind? Because that's a cult. You want to talk about
a cult. I mean, that's a serious cult. There's no way
that you can say, well, you know, this tiny cult down the
street, you know, has a problem with pedophilia. So well, did
you check out the Catholic Church? Well, no, we're not
doing that. That's a religion. Oh, okay.
I understand.
So you're going to go after small fry.
Um, as long as you go after everybody evenly
and fairly and academically, you're not a troll.
I saw a great quote the other day that said,
cult failed religion, religion, successful cult.
They're, they're interrelated at a very important level, but you know,
like redemption is part of all religions usually, and very often
some of these minor cults are just about expulsion and
destruction.
I think that what we have to realize is that civility wasn't
some sort of nicety among 18 uh, 18th century gentlemen.
It's absolutely essential to high trust activities like science that have
incredible power over our lives.
And I am not aware of my critics.
I have trolls.
I have stalkers.
I have people I fear physically and I think about legally and I think
about protection from them.
But I'm not aware of a single critic of my theories.
If you ask anybody who jumps up and says,
oh, I'm a critic of Eric's theories,
I would say, ask that person,
has that person tried to hunt down your previous connections and
written to your friends and tried to dig up dirt?
And if they answer honestly, because I actually have the letters and emails
that these people engage in, these people are character assassins posing as critics.
And I think that this is actually the big problem.
We don't have debates.
We have, um, we have street fights.
We have people pulling a knife in a boxing match or, you know, plaster, you
know, bandages in their boxing gloves or whatever is going on.
We need fights.
We need critics.
We need debates that are refereed that ethical, where people shake hands at the beginning
and hug at the end.
Touch gloves, you know?
We don't have that.
And we're dying from that.
You'll notice that, for example,
in the string theory and the string theory critics,
they basically don't appear on the same stage ever.
And this has to do with wrestling versus MMA.
You notice that you don't see, um, if wrestling is so effective, why don't we,
why don't we try it like professional wrestling inside of an MMA thing where
you're jumping up on the cage and coming down and all this stuff.
It's because one thing is an actual sport and one thing is a simulated sport.
And I think that what we need is we need Queensbury rules.
Queensbury rules is how you avoid K-Fabe.
Um, you have ideas.
You can't gouge eyes.
You can't use small digit manipulation where you break fingers.
You can't go for the throat or the genitals.
You put your finger on.
I've never heard of this criticism capture and I love it.
And that's why I developed the concept of the strice and squeeze.
Either you allow us to whittle away at you or you respond to us.
You boost us and you become part of the trap.
You know, if you ever watch like David Attenborough, naturalism, you'll see pack animals,
whether it's orcas or hyenas, doesn't matter.
They do this thing where they nip at their target.
Mm-hmm.
And then there's this weird voiceover,
which I don't understand at all, which says,
you know, the hyenas are trying to trick the animal into expending its energy
to fend off these nips. The nips don't actually do much damage, but they do exhaust the animal.
So it won't be able to fight later. So, okay. So imagine that you don't respond to the nips.
Do you live? No, no, no, you... Then the hyenas become emboldened
and then you die a different way.
So my point is, is that evolution would certainly
have figured out not to respond to the NIPS
if that was a winning strategy.
Everybody's concerned about their social status.
Isn't it interesting that everybody
pretends that they aren't?
I am.
Of course I'm concerned about my social status because it's my ability to
walk into a department and talk to a college.
I think what we're going to do is we're going to solve this problem because to
not solve this problem is to effectively dead end, um, our most important
scientific endeavors to say nothing of other forms of criticism, but just in
science right now, the critics
don't exist, the stalkers are everywhere.
And the lengths to which the stalkers will go, particularly in my case, PhD level stalkers, people who write to my wife's thesis advisor, you know, you're
talking about a level of insanity that I think these people are emboldened because
what they do in the shadows just isn't known.
Can you see my kiddies playpen pink fluffy version
of your terrorism capture?
Sure.
Can you see the line that I would draw between that
and the idea that you have of an accuracy budget
and how one could become perverted by the other?
Oh, sure, look.
But I love the accuracy budget thing
and I've not heard of it before, which is why I wanted to give you the opportunity.
Well, the hypocrisy budget, the accuracy budget, all of these budgets,
totally to human life, the inconsistency budget.
Mm-hmm. Yeah. Can you explain?
Because it's, it's one of the coolest things that I've learned.
I really appreciate that.
In order to live a life in public,
you're going to opine on a million different things.
You're not going to be giving full footnotes. You're not going to be giving, um, oh, I don't know,
bibliographies and counters.
And so in essence, there's sort of a good faith level of hypocrisy and
inaccuracy and self-kindness and all of these things
that every human being exhibits.
And if the idea is that we're going to hold everyone who's expressed inconsistent
opinions or found a self-serving opinion now and again, and we're going to call
that person a hypocrite or a liar or whatever, we're going to torch all of our best people.
What if we took Gregor Mendel and his peapods
where we found out about Mendelian genetics
and we said, well, you faked your data,
so everything you did is crap.
Because he did fake his data,
but he's also a genius who advanced the field.
Mutant in his alchemy.
Yeah, for sure.
And all of, in order to keep good people So a genius who advanced the field. Newton and his alchemy. Yeah, for sure.
And all of, in order to keep good people in the public sphere, the key question
isn't, have you ever exhibited inconsistency?
Have you ever been cruel when you shouldn't have been self kind?
Like, for example, you made the statement in our last meeting.
It's way too close to November, uh, for anyone to leave the race.
Does that mean that we should never listen to Chris Williamson again?
Horseshit.
In fact, the most important thing is, is that you own that in the
first part of the interchange.
And so my feeling is, is that not only do you have, uh, a budget for making
strong statements that turn out not to be true, but that not only do you have a budget for making strong statements
that turn out not to be true, but we also know that you're like a really good faith
actor and I would listen more to you the next time you say something like, Oh, come on,
Eric, there's no question that whatever it is.
So how do we get this idea of, no, no, no, that was hypocritical, but he's way under budget on hypocrisy.
She's, you know, she got that wrong.
Um, but on the other hand, uh, you know, she's told us so many
things that are right.
Her, her budget doesn't go to zero.
Like I think Neil deGrasse Tyson is really, really wrong on gender.
On the other hand, so much of what he says is just true.
And there's a move, like I'm very critical of Neil, but do you want to
cancel a guy who's this good at explaining science?
Sean Carroll is an absolute ass when it comes to critics of mainstream
theory and a diabolical one.
But he's civil, he's a great explainer.
He really knows physics at a very deep level
that many people do not currently.
And I don't wanna see Sean Carroll removed
from science explanation.
I wanna dance with him on a stage. That would be fun.
But that is not a person that needs to be removed
because he's got a really bad, nasty streak to him
when it comes to the criticism of mainstream physics.
I just don't understand this desire for personal destruction. There's, there's this, some.
There's no principle of charity.
Yeah.
Well, there are people who don't know.
I should say it differently.
I've become aware that in that community to show any kind of mercy or charity or
generosity, let's take the debunking community, the people who are the To show any kind of mercy or charity or generosity.
Let's take the debunking community.
The people who are always telling you, don't worry. I will warn you about the bad people on the internet you're consuming.
They work at the level of the human and that's how you know that there's
something wrong with them.
I can't think of an individual who always gets
everything wrong.
You know, Donald Trump has done a lot, right?
Broken clocks.
What?
No, it's not broken clocks.
Did you think Adolf Hitler got to be the leader of
Germany because he got every single thing 180
degrees wrong that you could set your clock to him?
How wrong he was.
No, he had to get things right, but he's
absolutely diabolical.
So what do we do?
We put a perimeter around him and say, look,
that thing is so dangerous that we are going to
act as if everything it says is wrong.
And that's what this, that's what this comes
from.
It comes from a strategy where you can't afford
to do fugu with certain people.
Fugu?
Japanese puffer fish served as sushi where the
neurotoxin produces a delightful tingling sensation
on the tongue if carved correctly and if served
improperly kills the patron.
So you have fugu chefs and you can't afford to
let an unlicensed chef serve fugu.
And so in part, the an unlicensed, uh, chef serve Fugu.
And so in part, the strategy is you say, well, puffer fish is just too dangerous to eat and therefore
puffer fish bad.
I think that that's what we do too often.
We've just decided that effectively, um, the debunking
community wants to go after people wholesale.
It's much more efficient to destroy the human.
Well, efficiency was sort of what was front and center there that we all look for shortcuts, right?
We have heuristics, we have a reputation.
This person has been wrong X number of times.
Therefore we can accurately predict that dot dot dot.
Um, but it seems like any inconsistency, any hypocrisy, any failure is often
magnified and scrutinized and blown up out of proportion with the accuracy budget.
One of the interesting things that I've been talking about recently is that
content creators, like a
podcast or a YouTuber or whatever, will get criticized for the videos that they
made or the guests that they brought on.
Yeah.
But they never get complimented for the guests that they didn't bring on.
Give me an example.
Like you've never had Alex Jones on, have you?
No.
So for instance, the number of guests that get offered to us, get suggested
that we should bring them on, that we should bring them on that I should bring them on.
And I say no to because of me not believing that they're a good actor, that
I don't want to speak to them, that I'm not interested in them.
Uh, but very few people know the people that you said no to almost nobody does.
So you don't get any bonus points.
Because it's very confusing.
Like for example, I might have Alex Jones on my show.
I would never do a info wars, right?
And so the idea is you're trying to figure out the context.
Alex Jones says many interesting things
and he's been right about many interesting things and he's gotten things really dangerously wrong.
Um, you have to take it.
And by the way, I've talked to Alex Jones, which is interesting.
Um, the funniest part about it is he uses Alex Jones as sort of an adjective.
Like that guy is way more Alex Jones than I am.
Um, which is really disconcerting, like
intellectually, um, James O'Keefe does some
good work and he does some work that I can't
stand and I had him on, or, you know, I had,
um, the woman who plays Riley Reed, the
pornographic actress as a guest on the portal.
And, uh, I'm very disturbed by some of the
things that she's engaged in, but I find her.
You know, absolutely a charming soul.
And we talked about things that did not, that
were not England, England, only, uh, exciting
because we were talking about the context of the
work.
So the issue of serving Fugu is really important.
And I think that it has to do with in what context does it occur?
Does the host push back and sort of warn people about some of the
issues that are dangerous and is the, is, is the host, is that person
good enough to serve Fugu?
So when we balance criticism capture and how that feels for the creator,
the people that people are fans of that me and you are fans of, we are both.
This is the funny thing about, about content that Elon Musk's jet is delayed.
I imagine he's got lots of things to do, but one of those things will probably be
if he's tired, I'll open up YouTube and I'll see what's on there.
Everybody is a fan of somebody on the internet, whether it's writing, reading,
hearing, whatever it might be.
Um, and when you combine that with this idea of an accuracy budget and basically
the fact that everybody's accuracy budget starts in a
deficit, that the principle of charity is very
rarely given to anybody on the internet.
Uh, I had this idea of the peak hate rule,
similar to the peak end rule that everybody,
every content creator, every sort of public
person is known for their biggest and most
recent, uh, sort of run in with something that people find reprehensible. Okay. Uh, so, uh, Jordan Peterson is known for their biggest and most recent, uh, sort of run in with
something that people find reprehensible.
So, uh, Jordan Peterson, best known for bill C 16, he's a transphobe and also
Jordan Peterson is a Zionist pro Israel.
Maybe that's the most recent thing that he's done or he mansplains to Kathy
Neum, I don't know who, whatever is sure, whatever his most recent thing is.
Um, Lex tweeted recently.
I think that neither Trump nor Harris will destroy America of elected president.
Call me crazy, but I think that Trump is not a fascist and Harris is not a communist.
I think this is a reasonable, rational position, but according to the internet, it's insane.
Either way, getting attacked by both sides has been mentally exhausting for me.
Perhaps that's the design of the current political climate.
Anybody with moderate open-mindedness needs to be pushed out in favor of a battle
between dogmatic extremes.
This doesn't seem like the right path toward truth has been mentally exhausting
for me was the point that I made.
And the thing that I've realized now kind of seeing both sides of the fence,
being both a creator and a consumer is that this lack of principle of charity, this over magnification
from the creator side in terms of how it feels from a criticism capture perspective, that your criticisms
are more deleterious than your compliments are enthusing. And the fact that the accuracy budget doesn't
exist basically means that apart from the most
staunch, I don't give a fuck, Tim Kennedy, Joe Rogan style, or I don't read the comments style
approaches, almost everybody that you like to watch on the internet is on this very slow descent
where they begin to run out of fuel.
That anybody that decides to play with ideas that needs to push the accuracy budget.
Right.
Anyone that decides to actually push up against, I'm not too sure here, but I'm going to give this a crack.
Okay.
They are going to be disproportionately criticized online.
That is going to be a deleterious and it's going to derogate their motivation. And that basically means that everybody is on this sort of slow and it's
essentially a fight against like digital entropy.
Well, look, I'm learning something from our conversation in real time.
Like for example, I cannot, I don't have a good response to stalking.
And what I realized is that my discomfort with the people who are coming after me
is a stalking based discomfort.
And now I'm suddenly understanding why Joe Rogan is saying, like, don't read
the comments, which is like a, don't let the critics live rent free in your head.
That's not my problem.
So, so in part, um, if I understand what you just said, I think Kamala has some
communism in her appeal.
I may not be native to her, but I know that the, uh, under 30 crowd is playing with like neo Marxian ideas.
And that I've been told by the democratic party, we need their votes.
Don't worry.
They won't get anywhere inside the party.
We just let them mouth off and they don't get any legislation.
I've been told here's the plan.
We need you to stop coming after us.
Of course we're hypocritical.
We're courting communists because we need the votes to win. told, here's the plan. We need you to stop coming after us. Of course we're hypocritical.
We're courting communists because we need the votes to win,
but I guarantee you they won't be able to do any damage
if we are elected.
So now you say something about Kamala
and somebody says, I can see the communism.
Equity is communism.
It's equality of outcome.
That support for October 7th is revolutionary.
It's not, you're not talking about liberalism or progressivism.
You're talking about, uh, calling the murder of parents in front of their children resistance.
These sorts of things are confusing us because we have these very strange amalgams. I can tell
you that part of Kamala is the appeal to the Hamptons crowd that she will continue the carried
interest exemption in the tax code. That doesn't feel very communistic. Another part of her is speaking to, you know, radical Islamists saying,
don't worry, we're going to be portraying this as bigotry and Islamophobia. You're just another
religion like any other and you're being subjected to prejudice. So how do you deal with an amalgam
where you can't go long and short? I can tell you that there are parts of Donald Trump that I very much appreciate,
and there are parts of Donald Trump that make it impossible for me to imagine voting for him.
When he was at a rally and there was a protester being let out, he said, you know,
back in the day, we all have our bad Trump.
We know how to take care of such people.
And if anybody wants to rough these people up, I'll pay your legal bills." And I thought,
wow, you have no idea what you just unleashed and you're comfortable with it.
I don't want that person with a nuclear football. My discomfort with Donald Trump
isn't a class issue or whatever. I saw a temperament that shouldn't be anywhere near that.
Kamala Harris shouldn't be anywhere near the nuclear football.
I have no idea who's on top of the nuclear football
because it can't be Joe Biden.
I promise you that.
And I've been assured by the way,
that what's really going on is that there's a team
that is governing because Biden cannot
and that I should feel if I knew who these people were,
I would be pleased as punch
because they're far better than Joe Biden.
Can you imagine being told that as an American?
We're not going to come,
we're not going to invoke
the constitution and rid ourselves of a president
who's incompetent.
We've instead installed a great team that you
can't see, so don't worry.
So in all of these situations, Chris, I think
what's happening is we don't have the ability to
slice and dice the average person.
I don't know if you've seen this poll that I'm
running right at the moment, it's still live.
I decided to try to make pro-choice and pro-life the same category.
And I asked the question, you want to pull it up on my Twitter feed and read it?
By the way, anytime you do a poll on Twitter, you will always be told you don't realize that this is biased because it's your audience and you don't realize
that your language is prejudicial, but it's funny that those complaints aren't
levied at AP or Harris or because every poll is subject to something like this. This one's
really instructive. Question. Is your position on abortion, whatever it is, exactly the same
for the day after conception as it is for the day before full term birth.
Yes, of course, 33%.
No, of course not, 67%.
25,507 votes.
There's a bit of time left.
I don't think it's gonna reverse though.
Well, here's my question.
First of all, is that already an interesting result because pro-life and
pro-choice in their most staunch form are now sharing a position that it is
either my body or my body, my choice, or, uh, this is a life, uh, and it's
always murder.
So both of those are now grouped and about one third of the respondents
hold a pro-life or pro-choice position. The comments are dominated by people saying,
of course it's a life, this is a monstrous question. How can you even think about this?
I don't believe in murder. So in other words, it's not even the pro-choice people, but the pro-life people who are dominating the comments.
And it goes back to Yates with the idea that, uh, the worst are full of
passionate intensity and the best lack all conviction.
It's not right, but it's the people within a clear ideological position
feel very comfortable speaking.
And the people who have a nuanced position have learned their lesson to shut
up the quiet middle.
And this is why mirror negative stuff on the internet doesn't have a lot of
effect on me. I just say, Oh my God,
I've I've learned my lesson about the Chihuahua effect.
The Chihuahua effect is, is that the annoying
voices that just yap all day long have time
because they're not doing anything productive.
They're mean people.
They're not that important.
So I basically just block on civility.
If you start using loaded language about clown,
LOL, you know, that stuff, I just block you
because I can't afford to have that person in my head.
What I don't know what to do with is the fact that people don't realize that
neither pro-life nor pro-choice as an example,
captures an average thinking person's response to the complex embryology of
pregnancy and cessation.
I've always said that, uh, what is a position that you,
you know, that famous Peter question,
what is a position that you hold
that most people would disagree with?
I don't actually know if this is the truth,
but it's certainly one that people don't talk about.
And mine is that both pro-life and pro-choice
sound like the right answer to me.
I can be, I've got permanent recency bias
based on whoever the most,
the closest proximity last guy was.
If I've just watched Shapiro,
I, oh yeah, well that doesn't make a lot of sense.
And then if I-
I'm exactly the opposite.
My feeling is that the only two positions
I don't listen to in immigration theory
is open borders and closed borders
because they're both exactly,
this is my get a room position.
Closed borders and open borders people should get a room.
Pro-life and pro-choice people should get a room.
The rest of us are trying to solve problems.
I don't know what you guys are doing.
And it's not like I don't have absolutes in my life, I do.
It's just that they're few and far between
and they have to be carefully chosen.
And I think this has to do with shelling points, if you know that concept.
Ashima don't.
So if you don't believe that conception or birth is the right limit point for interceding in a
pregnancy, then you're looking for some point that
is much less well-defined, you know, is it a particular Carnegie stage?
Is it viability?
If it's viability, what happens when the technology changes?
What about frozen embryos, et cetera, et cetera.
So we have this, this pension for clear positions that are wrong over nuanced positions that are right,
but lack a good shelling point.
And that's always been the case.
I noticed this so long ago that certainty is a proxy for expertise.
It's a good version of it.
It is.
Uh, I, the example I use all of the time.
Um, I, I don't know why it's the case, but Peter's I am geopolitics guy.
Yeah.
He has, uh, Rogan actually brought this up and Sam Harris both separately.
Uh, and it was so funny.
It was this thing that I'd had after I'd spoken to him that I then heard Rogan
say in an episode and Sam say on the intro to the episode of Peter, this is
the most certain man I've ever spoken to in the world.
I don't necessarily have the chops or have done the research to be able to work
out the veracity of what he's saying, but my God, it's convincing because this
isn't caveated, it's not, it seems to be so the evidence would
suggest that so on and so forth.
This is exactly what's going to happen with
nitrogen balance and the soil and Russia over
the next five harvests.
This is what we know is going to occur with the
Chinese battleships in the South China sea.
Which is, so I'm exactly the opposite guy.
My feeling, and I, and I wish I would love to
just push this out is pay the tax on the way in.
So for example, uh, of all the free speech people,
I am the only one I know who says categorically, I'm not a free speech absolutist.
And I've watched my friends who said they were free speech absolutists.
Hey, the tax on the way out.
Well, the problem is, is that you know,
you're going to meet a situation in which you have to realize
that that's simplistic.
So the key thing is there are a lot of things
that generate applause, you know,
and you've got to forego the applause lines, right?
Because those applause lines are there because people are saying,
finally, somebody said it.
They just, I appreciate the clarity.
There wasn't a lot of wiggle words.
Can I give you a physics term that we've been playing about with me
and a couple of my friends?
Love to learn.
Thinking in super positions.
Yeah.
Before collapsing it down, but there's some people who can't bear the uncertainty.
A hundred percent.
I mean, I really believe that that is probably the one concept of quantum
mechanics that actually, like if you, the Heisenberg stuff where people say,
well, if you, if you look at a system, you interfere with it, that has nothing
to do with Heisenberg, the superposition is actually pretty much a tight pairing
between quantum mechanics and what it is that we need to do with Heisenberg. The superposition is actually pretty much a tight pairing between quantum mechanics and what it is
that we need to do.
Another version of this, by the way, is some giant
percentage of the population says, I don't
understand your argument when they say, when they
really mean I don't accept your argument.
For example, you could ask me, I don't, you could say, Eric, I don't accept your argument. For example, you could ask me,
you could say, Eric, I don't understand antisemitism. Jews do so much, they contribute to society.
I would say, I understand antisemitism.
Now there's a question, wait a second.
We're trying to label antisemites as lunatics
and you're saying you can actually,
yeah, I can run it in emulation.
I have a sandbox in my brain.
I've got a little antisemite in my Jewish brain.
I'm sure he's loving it.
He's having a great time up there.
He wants to know why so many of your guests are Jewish.
Um, we've got to stop doing that.
We've got to stop saying, I can't understand X
when we mean I understand X,
find X very, very dangerous
and wrong.
It's almost like a weakness or a fragility
to not allow yourself to try and play that other side.
What was that?
You need to be able to explain the other side's argument
better than they can.
Yeah, this is the steel manning thing that I think,
I actually forget who I heard it from first.
I used it on Sam Harris and it was- The first time I ever heard it I heard it from first.
I used it on Sam Harris and it was.
The first time I ever heard it be used was Sam and Jordan
was how they opened up that Pang-Burn debate.
So I think he got it.
I think you can hear on something called Faith in Reason
where Sam asks me to clarify what that means.
And it wasn't original to me,
but it's a really important concept.
It's very cool.
And...
It's outrageously civil.
Well, thank you.
And you know, this is,
one, part of the reason, you know,
something I don't know how to deal with
is that I coin a lot of acronyms, concepts, et cetera.
And people say, why do you do that? It detracts from your message.
It's a lot of clutter.
And I, I don't know how to respond exactly.
We're missing a lot of concepts.
And one of the things that I know is coming from you is a book in which you
take all of the things that you pepper these conversations with,
these concepts, which are necessary for modern life, but haven't been embedded in our education. Right.
So like the Streisand effect before you get to the Streisand squeeze is actually
something that's very important to understand in our media age.
And if that wasn't pushed out,
it would be very confusing as to why somebody wouldn't respond to something when they do have an answer.
Our cognitive toolkit got hit with a lot of stuff having to do with the internet,
then the web, then social search and mobile.
social search and mobile.
That is so much change that a brain that came before those five things cannot function in the modern world.
And what we need to do, of course, and this is why I was suspicious that we're
going to be in this criticism issue forever is we haven't yet invented the
concepts that make modern life tolerable.
And I think that you and I and a bunch of people
in podcasting land are casting about
for what are the missing concepts?
And I give this example of the word selfie
because it was the best example I've ever seen.
Why did hot chicks in restaurant bathrooms
take pictures of themselves in mirrors?
Nobody knew.
Didn't make any sense.
And at some point somebody coined the word selfie and it was instant.
We'd all seen this phenomenon, but nobody had had a concept.
He was word of the year in one year.
Yeah.
And the reason is, is that you needed it because it was there everywhere, but
until it had some place where it could nucleate around.
This is good.
So this is just tied me in to,
this makes an awful lot of sense.
So your idea of an accuracy budget, okay?
I think I need to request a meme budget.
Yeah.
Because one of the criticisms that people have for me
and a bunch of my friends like George or whoever, why does everything need a fucking name?
Why does everything need to be an analogy?
Why does it have to be that?
Why does it have to be a yogurt lid moment as opposed to why can't you say
you just saw something?
I'm like, for a few reasons.
Firstly, this is great.
Firstly, remembering concepts is hard and essentializing something, taking it from this big long story.
The parable of the Mexican fisherman.
If you've heard the story a couple of times, you remember what it is.
You don't need to hear the story again.
You just hear the parable of the Mexican fisherman.
Oh yeah, of course.
It's the guy that overcomplicates his life and ends up coming back to the place where
he began.
It's the same stories you get in the alchemist by Paulo Coelho, et cetera, et cetera. Fantastic.
Disc ego, it pick whatever it is of choice. And then it takes this huge big concept and synthesizes it down.
And if you don't know it, then you can click on that and the hyper,
the phrase or the, uh,
fails over to a bumper sticker,
the bumper sticker to a summary paragraph in abstract to a short essay to a book.
And so the idea is that the more you need of these things,
you can keep clicking through.
Yep.
And to expand out, to expand out.
The funny thing is that have you noticed that canned humor
disappeared?
What does that mean?
Nobody, three guys go into a bar.
That thing that your uncle used to do
doesn't happen in our world at all.
And almost all of the Jewish wisdom
that had been in the Talmud,
in my experience, my father had 35 jokes,
which if you understood all of them
was a blueprint for life.
And like, I'll just say the punch lines.
Knew he had a hat.
Keep your goddamn Jack, uh, $5,000 plus legal expenses.
Now by killing can humor, you killed off the encapsulation of thousands of years of Talmudic study about the very difficult
trade-offs and constraints that human beings are under. And so you say, yeah, I
don't tell corny jokes. You sound like you're from the Catskills, like, well, no
shit, Sherlock. You just basically took the human endowment and flushed it down
the toilet. Now, something else I want to play with if I can. The stuff that comes back at you on the internet,
if you had to pick and choose what you think is fair
and what you've learned from
versus what you think is just a distraction,
I wonder if that would be something we could play with.
Like, what have you learned from your critics?
Where do you think there's validity?
Where do you have an unsolved problem?
And where do you just have the idea of,
I can't have that in my head,
it's the worst thing in the world?
The most accurate, I think, is that my difficulty
in discomfort, pushing back, my people-pleasing nature
is in me everywhere that I go.
Actually, apart from when I'm in a restaurant
dealing with waiters,
I'm pretty good at making my sort of needs known there.
But outside of that, sitting with discomfort,
disappointing people, making them upset or angry,
I often feel like other people's emotional state
to my responsibility.
And this is something that I have across the board.
And that means that I have a particular vector of weakness
when it comes to the podcast,
because a lot of the time I need to push back
against ideas I need to stress test.
And if you say something, a good example of this,
Abigail Shrier wrote a book, Bad Therapy.
And I fundamentally disagreed with a lot of the ideas in it.
So I thought, and I messaged a friend before I was going to do it and said,
this is my plan for the episode.
I want to make my positions known and not step in and throw a life
boy to try and fix the problem.
And the, you know, perennial recovering people pleases out there may sort
of feel the same that you say a thing, which is going to induce some discomfort or something, which is it
stops.
It's got a harsh end to it or whatever.
And then you say, well, would it be with it?
You sort of bring this thing into land by offering.
So how can it be the case that therapy, all therapy is bad because it allows you or causes
you to focus on your yourself and your issues.
But you also include in that CBT, something which is unbelievably practical
and shows up as an evidence-based intervention for lots of people's
disorders.
Is it that, and then it's the, is it that you step in to soften the blow?
So throughout that episode in particular, I had to ask these questions.
And then as I watch the guests, I get to this point, which is exactly the reason
that you ask a difficult question as opposed to there is this compulsion
inside of me, I'm dragged forward to go, well, what I mean, and, and throw this
sort of lifebuoy to them, uh, because sitting with that discomfort.
So that is by far, I think the most valid criticism.
Now, one of the things that nobody gets to see
is how hard it is for people to achieve the things
that they achieve.
So apart from in sports,
you've got a guy that's got the world bench press record
with long arms, and you go, oh my God,
look at the length of his arms,
look at his bench press record, that's phenomenal.
The dude that's five foot 10 that's in the NBA,
oh my God, look at his height, he's in's phenomenal. The dude that's five foot 10 that's in the NBA. Oh my God, look at his height.
He's in the NBA.
You know, you can see this physical characteristics.
But then if you were to see Douglas Murray
and Malcolm Gladwell on stage together,
or Ben Shapiro and anybody,
and you go, they're able to be disagreeable so seamlessly.
For me to get even 5% of the way there,
I need to do the equivalent of a one rep max
to ask Abigail Shrier about CBT.
And that's for me just an obvious area
where hypertrophy and new gains can be accrued most easily.
So I think that's the fairest of the criticisms.
Anything else that you think is like something you find in the
comments where you feel like, you know, you're, you're pointing
at something that's true, but you're not getting it right or.
Um, certainly.
Oh, actually, I mean, one of the, one of the criticisms that,
that comes up relatively frequently is I'm both a misogynist, a red pill, right wing misogynist,
and also a blue pilled left wing cuck at the same time.
Superposition.
Super, absolutely thinking in a superposition,
but you'll see the comments on the same video.
Yeah.
You'll see them underneath the same video.
And that is one of the things as somebody
who, uh, fears, not fears criticism capture, but
certainly would be a poster boy for criticism
capture being warping.
And it's something that I need to account for.
I, I do particularly well with positive
reinforcement, with enthusiasm, with excitability.
Can I give you my take on this?
Cause I think there's one of the most interesting
things that you just put your finger on.
Well, what you're talking about are cognitive clusters.
So for example, when I was on,
this is the first time I learned about it.
I was on stage with Ben Shapiro and Sam Harris.
And if you look at the clusters of comments on that video
from the Masonic
Theater in San Francisco, they were like, thank God Eric was
there because otherwise we'd be hearing about, uh, is there a
God? Yes, no, which is boring as hell. Why is Eric on stage?
We're all here just to hear the atheist debate, uh, the
Orthodox Jew. So what you, what you learn about is that the cognitive clusters
have no awareness that they're part of this
dyadic relationship of what you are and how they process.
So for example, I'm colorblind, as is my brother.
Are you really? Yeah.
Well, and-
The first thing that everyone says to a colorblind person,
what color is that over there?
You go, I don't fucking-
It's very interesting being colorblind
because the terminology is bad.
You see color, but you don't have the same,
it's not like the world is black and white,
it's just yellow or green, I can't tell.
So depending upon what colorblindness you have,
you see different numbers in the pebble tests
that they give you. So the see different numbers in the pebble tests
that they give you.
So the question of what is the pebble,
it's basically Mindstorm versus Green Needle
or the dress or any one of these things
where people factor themselves out of the equation
and they imagine that they are in a universal position
as consumers of whatever it is that you just said, right?
It's like, why does he spend so much time
on the stuff he's discussed on every other podcast?
Why does he just jump in as assuming everybody knows
exactly what this is about?
Your audience is unaware of the fact that they've been cognitively
clustered. And so when you read these things, you're not reading about you. You're reading about
dyadic relationships with different cognitive clusters and you'll find the same, like,
one of the things that I know is that a lot of people don't agree with the dialectic.
They believe that there's a thesis and there's an, an antithesis and there's no synthesis.
There's just people sitting on the fence who are pussies for not having a position.
And so every time I attempt to synthesize things, because things are in a superposition
and I'm trying to talk about the nuance, they have an idea of, he never says anything because
to them, to that person saying something is to say
Trump is the man. You gotta go with Kamala. Otherwise, you're just you know
Those sorts of people in that poll for example
The cluster that believes that
pregnancy doesn't change in any meaningful way relative to abortion
are a meta-cluster, including pro-life and pro-choice.
Yep.
What we need to do more of is to understand
what it is that we're reading as feedback.
I know, for example, that many people find me overbearing.
And it's not that I don't see that in myself, but nobody ever asks me,
do you see in yourself that you can be overbearing in conversation?
Totally.
Well, if you can see it, why do you do it?
Interesting question.
Um, in general, I find that sometimes I try not to be at overbearing at all.
And I feel like most conversations end up in a conversation I've already been in.
I'm old enough and I'm just bored because I think that humans in general are a large
language model.
That's one of the reasons Naval hasn't done another podcast properly since Rogan said
I don't want to say the same things twice.
Maybe.
But I guess what I find is that people don't ask about other people's levels of self-awareness.
Oh, I love asking that.
I love asking that.
That's one of the reasons that your question is so interesting.
There's a concept familiar or similar to what you were talking about
before called tilting at windmills.
An online stranger doesn't know you.
All they have are a few vague impressions of you too meager
to form anything but a phantasm.
So when they attack you, they're really just attacking their own imagination.
And there is no need to take it personally.
My brother has a version of this that I think is brilliant, where he says that the person who's just cut you off in traffic,
all you know about them is that they cut you off in traffic.
You don't know about their work in pediatric oncology.
And so until you actually have a fuller position,
you don't realize that you've cut somebody off in traffic and been cut off
in traffic and the only data point you have represents the entire human.
Of course. Yeah.
It's a combination of fundamental attribution error and a bunch of others. and been cut off in traffic. And the only data point you have represents the entire human. Of course. Yeah.
It's a combination of fundamental attribution error and a bunch of others.
There's a, an equivalent, an equivalent that I learned, uh, from Instagram of all places,
which I think sort of shows this relativity or our assumption that our position is the correct one.
Every guy that fancies girls with bigger boobs than mine is a chubby chaser. Every guy that fancies girls with bigger boobs than mine is a chubby chaser.
Every guy that fancies girls with smaller boobs than mine is a pedophile.
That basically you have yourself as the reference point and then anything
outside of that on either side is, is some perturbed.
Why do you think this is?
Why do you think that we don't actually, I'll be honest, almost no conversation in my life moves
above the level where I could set a large language model to have it.
Good question.
So I think we have these social mores and dynamics typically that we follow, uh,
and dynamics typically that we follow
by not wanting to look silly or play outside of an area that we know.
A lot of the time it causes us to go back to scripts
that we've run before that we knew kind of worked.
So I think confidence,
sort of social confidence has a lot to do with it.
Thinking is expensive and it's hard.
And genuinely trying to be generative
during a conversation is tough.
A lot of the time people are uncomfortable with silence,
which causes them to push answers out
when sort of sitting back would have maybe allowed them
to come up with something new.
If you're trying to go quicker, your direction can be less precise and you can move in a less agile way.
You're just trying to get the things out as opposed to giving yourself a little bit of a beat.
This is why the best definition of a best friend is who can you spend time in silence with without
it feeling uncomfortable and who can you be around with silence with without it feeling uncomfortable?
And who can you be around with the least filter?
I think those two together are a really good example
of who are your people.
Present company excluded,
just for the obvious reasons.
Who are the guests who bring out the best version
of you as an interviewer?
George Mack, who's one of my best friends, phenomenal writer, Rob Henderson,
Gwinda Bogle, Rory Sutherland, Douglas Murray.
On the guesting side, Rogan.
So you've interviewed Rogan?
No, on the, on the whole, as a guest, guest, guest, guest, guesting side.
But I don't do that that much.
So I don't have a particularly big, uh, pull to pull from, uh, but those are
the guys that I get to play with ideas.
And I know that we're focused on the idea.
I know that, uh, Tim Ferriss was a really great example of this.
Just such a great conversation list.
You know, he's, if I'm imprecise with a question, or if I'm trying to I know that Tim Ferriss was a really great example of this, just such a great conversationalist.
You know, he's, if I'm imprecise with a question,
or if I'm trying to get to something,
he takes the best version of the thing that I said
as what he, and he infers what I meant to say,
and it's absolute best.
So he almost, as such a great interviewer,
makes you a better interviewer
by turning your hopefully quite good question into the best question by his answer,
sometimes reframes it, sometimes moves it in the direction. It's really great.
It's, it's like a multiplicative environment.
Do you feel like you know things about Joe Rogan or Lex Friedman
or Douglas Murray that most people don't know that make them so successful.
Yes.
Or in Tim Ferriss and...
Certainly Rogan and certainly Douglas.
Okay, so...
Let's take Rogan because a lot of people are mystified by this.
All right, so let me open up.
The Joe Rogan superpower as a podcaster is that he can ask a question with a statement.
Nobody else, nobody else has landed on this. And I realized this the first time that I got to sit
down with him. So news to me, it's a, it's for a couple of reasons. Joe is able to say a statement
in response to a statement. So you as the guest or some dusty academic author that's got a new
book out and you're telling him about, you know, you're David Buss talking about evolutionary psychology and
it's all interesting and these are new concepts. And you finish up explaining about how sex ratio
hypothesis works. And Joe says, it's so interesting because in New York, you know, you have this sort
of abundance of women and the guest then goes, ah.
So Joe doesn't make a conversation feel like an interview
because he answers statements with statements.
If you actually listen, a lot of the time,
Joe doesn't ask that many questions in his podcast.
He's not a big question asker
when compared with most other podcasters.
He makes statements.
And the reason is, if you listen to most conversations,
normal conversations between friends, statement, statement, statement, statement.
It's back and forth.
One of the reasons that Joe's show feels so naturalistic is that he
asks questions with statements.
It's very rare.
Super rare.
I've been trying to do it ever since I went on a show two years ago for the first time.
I've been trying to cultivate that because I think it makes for such a
beautiful conversational flow.
One of the problems that you have is as you start to push the guests' expertise,
the delta between yours and the guests' expertise,
your ability to answer statements with statements becomes lower.
You need to say, what do you mean by that?
Or how's that the case?
Or what would you say is this thing?
But that's what makes him, that's one of the reasons that makes him so great.
And that's why it's so enjoyable as a guest on the show.
I don't immediately resonate with that
because I think that sometimes he has different dynamics
with different guests, but it's very,
it's certainly at a minimum adjacent to something
that I experienced with him, which is,
he's really less egoic than just about anyone I deal with.
And the way that you see this, like, you know,
an interesting thing happened,
it's happened a couple of times between you and me,
where when you said this thing, like,
do you know what audience captures?
Like, ugh, I don't, I'm straining.
Cause I was like, it wasn't much discussed
before I brought it up,
but I don't want to say that's mine, right?
I just, I want to let it go,
but I don't want to suddenly lose my claim on it.
And that has to do with like ego and insecurity and,
and whatnot.
Wanting to be recognized, yeah.
Well, just in trauma from having had things taken away
from you that you can never get back.
Joe could take the shot himself
and instead he serves it up to you.
Correct.
And maybe you can't even do as good of a job
as he would have done, but his job,
like until you piss him off,
good of a job as he would have done, but his job,
like until you piss him off, he's trying to make you the best version of you.
And this is, this is where, uh, I come into
tension with my people pleasing nature that a
combination of give someone a for open, they'll
show themselves for who they truly are in any
case, that asking questions that, you know, sort of,
it gives people the opportunity and the room
to step on the landmines that they're going to lay
for themselves in any case.
But also, I want a guest that comes on the show
to just have a good time.
I see it as my job to basically be a trampoline.
So they're gonna jump up and down
and it's my job to be as springy as possible
and make them seem as acrobatic and as great as they can.
And a lot of the time that means taking something
that someone said and as opposed to trying to tear it down
to is this what you, how about this?
Or that's an interesting idea.
I've got this, that's Bill, Bill, Bill.
Oh, that's so interesting.
So on and so forth.
And it can seem like pandering.
I can see how they could seem sort of sycophantic in some ways.
But for me, as far as I can tell the job of a podcaster is to make the guests
ideas as good as is possible.
This is, this is the best light that they could be seen in, and this is how they
relate to me and this is what I think about them and this is the best light that they could be seen in. And this is how they relate to me. And this is what I think about them.
And this is what I thought that you meant. Uh, and that's why it's fun.
That's, that's, that's what fires me up.
Do you know why I do your podcast?
It was like three in a row when I am really trying to do less podcasts.
I keep bringing you out of retirement. Yeah.
Well, no, but it has to do with the fact
that this is how I get a chance to see you when you're in LA.
And like, we don't go out to a bar.
So this is my chance to like hang out with you
for a couple of hours.
And in a way, it's sort of sad.
We have this dynamic where it's like also,
save it for the podcast, save it for the podcast.
It's frustrating because in part,
like I have lots of friends that I don't podcast with, though.
I have great conversations with one of the things about Joe, for example, that I really, I don't know how to tell people it.
He's obviously like this thing about he's a meatball, a meathead is a great troll.
That meathead reads so much, he knows so much, he's interested in so much,
that a lot of what's happening is that he's actually
infusing the guest with an idea.
He could take credit for himself,
but he would rather that the guest looks good.
And it doesn't come across as people pleasing.
And I'll be honest, I don't really see this criticism.
Maybe it's because I see you principally
in your interactions with me.
I don't like the gotcha style.
You saw this with Don Lemon and Elon Musk,
where somebody comes from the gotcha style of interviewing.
It's like, well, just softball after softball.
It's like, you idiots. softball after softballs. Like you idiots.
What do you think life is? Do you think it's like, you, you, you, you did the
gotcha question that fouled the person up on air and
you got to see them sweat and break down and lose.
That's not what makes great podcasting.
You want repeat characters that you keep coming back
to and you watch their development.
And I, so I just want to say that from, from my
cognitive cluster, I'm not
positive that these criticisms of you are valid and maybe with other guests, but
in general, I feel like you can, you can establish an evolution of thought without
going through that sort of competitive nonsense.
I appreciate that.
Yeah.
And it's something I'm working on.
So one of the most important personality traits
that me and my friends have tried to cultivate
in ourselves is agency.
It's what we're obsessed by.
It's what we talk about.
Essential intentionalism, which is a subset.
It is necessary, but not sufficient
in order to be able to build out agency.
Something else that we really love talking about.
And upon reflection, I realized that all of us had first learned
about the word agency from you.
So I wondered whether there is a.
No, from my first podcast.
Whether there is a tension to navigate between wanting to maximize agency, wanting
to have control over the outcomes in your life, basically believing that I will win the video game
sort of no matter what's in front of me,
and I will also treat life in that sort of playful manner
as well, which I think is an element of agency.
How do you navigate the tension
between wanting to live a hopeful agentic existence
and all of the doom and gloom
that you're permanently embroiled in?
This is a, it's an amazing question and I,
it's strange to me that it didn't get
followed up by almost anybody.
High Agency is a lifelong commitment for
me and
you know the song Boy Named Sue by Johnny
Cash? Can you play it on the harmonica?
It's mostly a, it's a patter song before, it's like rap country.
No, not familiar.
My daddy left home when I was three, didn't leave much for me, ma and me, but this little guitar and an empty bottle of booze.
I didn't blame him, he ran and hid, but meanest thing that he ever did was before he left he went and named me Sue.
The guy, he must have thought it was quite a joke, got a lot of laughs from a lot of folks. That seems I had to find my whole life through some guy, some guy would
giggle and I'd get read, some guy would laugh and I'd bust his head.
I'll tell you life ain't easy for a boy named Sue.
Anyway, it goes on.
And basically this guy has to become tough and agentic and he swears that, uh,
you know, he'll search the honky tonks in saloons until he finds his father and kill him.
And finally he chances upon a saloon and there at a table,
dear deal instead was the dirty mangy dog who named me Sue.
And he gets into a fight with his father.
The father cuts off a piece of his ear and, uh, finally Sue gets the better of his father and he says you
know you have the right to kill me and don't blame you if you do but before you
know before I die I want you to thank me for the spit in your eye because I'm the
dirty mangy dog who named you Sue or whatever and they reconcile. That song to me is about dyslexia.
It's about dysgraphia.
It's about the torture of school for being smart and not even having a high IQ,
because one of the four components of IQ is something called processing, which I
just think is an abomination that that somehow gets into intelligence.
which I just think is an abomination that that somehow gets into intelligence.
I was a B minus high school student in math,
mostly because I was charming or the grade would have been even lower.
And so one of the things that weirdly I'm most proud of in my life and sort of
the origin story that people don't ask enough about because it has to do with dyslexia is that somehow a B minus high school
student limps out of high school.
And three years later at 19 has a master's degree in mathematics headed for
arguably the top department in the world as a graduate school at Harvard.
And that's not a story about I'm so smart.
It's a story about agency.
It's about doing the thing that you're not good at, like that you're really, really bad at.
And, you know, my son who's currently, um, he's finished all of his physics
courses in, in the theory portion of his major as a freshman,
many years ago, he broke my heart and he came to me and he said, dad, I know I'm not a good student,
but you'd think of all the things
I'd at least be good at math,
because he was very analytical.
And then suddenly he, you know, during the pandemic,
he wanted to get out of the school he was in because it was a bad fit in the science department. And he was stuck at home between 10th and 11th grade. And he said,
Dad, I want to know if it's okay if I use this time when I'm stuck at home to study for the
graduate record exam as if he was a graduating senior in physics.
And he says, I want to take it in the fall. And I said, well, let's review this. You've never
taken calculus. You've never taken a course in physics. You're struggling in all of your
technical subjects. Why do you want to take the GRE in physics? And he said, I listened to you
very carefully. And you said that we should get around college by using the graduate record
exam as a college equivalency disease, a degree,
just the way we have a high school equivalency degree. And he said,
I've looked at all of the universities as to what their physics requirements
are in the top 10.
And it's very uniform because they have to be interoperable.
I've reduced it to basically four books that I have to know.
I know what the prerequisites are and there's a test to see if it works.
So I can hold myself accountable.
I've noticed that the only place holding the GRE in physics is in Arizona.
Can we fly to Phoenix and take the GRE in physics as if I'm completing a four-year college.
I thought about it. I said, this means you're going to be ruining your summer. He says, no,
no, no, for me, it's fun. Let me try. Will you back it? So I bought him the books,
bought the plane ticket, and the kid sat at the table for like two and a half months.
We fly out, he takes the exam, but the kid's never taken any relevant class whatsoever.
And he proves that he's at least at that level.
Life is filled with these opportunities.
They're cheat codes everywhere.
There are panic rooms where if you know which book to pull, the bookcase just swings open for you.
Um, both my kids graduated a year early because all you have to do is ask your
high school, Hey, I really want to graduate a year early and it's possible.
I don't know how to teach people. because all you have to do is ask your high school, hey, I really want to graduate a year early and it's possible.
I don't know how to teach people that know is the beginning of a conversation.
You know, one day I was having a steak dinner,
I think with Dave Rubin and Jordan Peterson.
And it came to the big five personality inventory,
which Jordan swears by.
And he was discussing, you know, he can read off your Meyers
Briggs like that.
And he says, but that's not really as good as the big five.
So he gave Dave his big five.
I was terrified.
I didn't say anything.
He says, you, Eric, are particularly, why?
He said, well, you're very high in trait openness,
but what really distinguishes you
is you're the most disagreeable person I've ever met,
or something close to it.
And I think cultivating disagreeability even sounds bad.
Well, he's very disagreeable,
but it's trait disagreeability rather than that.
It has to do with non-acceptance. It's very disagreeable, but it's, it's trait disagreeability rather than that.
It has to do with non-acceptance.
Somebody says there's nothing we can do.
Well, is there really nothing you can do?
Are you sure?
You know, very often, for example, I can get Chet GPT to tell me things that's not supposed to by figuring out how to do prompt engineering.
There's almost always a way to do anything that seems like it should be possible.
And cultivating this trait, MacGyvering everything or finding the cheat code
is a way of life. And if you don't have that as a dyslexic,
my grandfather was probably the most brilliant of four people in his generation,
and the four families that came west to make mayonnaise for,
that's how we ended up in California.
And he wasn't equal to it.
Couldn't graduate from college,
couldn't get beyond,
his intelligence couldn't get beyond the deficit.
And one of the podcasts that nobody listens to me on that I'm proudest of is a podcast called something like teach me
teacher, where I basically go after educators and I say, you
guys are the most dangerous, horrible people to the
neurodivergent.
Every second of my life spent in your classroom, I'm like, You guys are the most dangerous, horrible people to the neurodivergent.
Every second of my life spent in your classrooms before college, before university is a second I want back is trauma is pain.
All you did is instill in me that I'm an idiot.
I'm a moron.
I'm not good enough.
I should go away.
I'm bad.
I'm aberrant.
It's like, I got it. I really got idiot. I'm a moron. I'm not good enough. I should go away. I'm bad.
I'm aberrant.
It's like, I got it.
I really got it.
You don't like me.
I don't like you.
You're bad people to me.
You can think that I'm the student who's just disagreeable.
But the fact of the matter is life depends on disagreeable people.
What would you say to the people who feel like they didn't fit in when they were younger,
they still don't fit in now?
Like life happens for other people and they're on the outside sort of watching?
It's an interesting question.
I don't know how to give everyone advice, but is there something that you're best at?
Is there something that you don't suck at that isn't valued by the world?
You know, that's kind of the beginning of you have to make some room for
self-esteem.
One of the things that I'm not positive my grandfather ever said it, but I
remember it as if he said it is you owe the world your eyes.
Maybe your eyes aren't that good.
Maybe what you see isn't true.
Maybe you're confused. Maybe you're clouded. Maybe you're egotistical.
Maybe you're a narcissist, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
But whatever your eyes are, they're yours.
And you have a right to process the world and say what you see.
And one of the quotes that I like best of myself, which is not oft repeated,
is most of us die never having heard our own inner voice even once.
It is so shocking to speak with your voice.
The first time I understood anything about male-female romance,
something slipped out of my mouth that clearly was a lack of impulse control.
And it worked.
It was charming.
And it shouldn't have worked.
It should have been crash and burn.
But some point you'll have an accident where something will sort of work out better.
Do you know the Tom Petty song, Even the Losers?
Oh, if I ever get invited on the Tonight Show, that's what I want to come out to.
So it's the song and well, it was near sort of like a Bob Dylan book.
It was nearly summer and we sat on your roof and we smoked cigarettes and we stared at the moon.
And I showed you stars you never could see.
Couldn't have been that easy to forget about me.
And it goes into the story in which a guy
who clearly is a lower status guy is on a roof.
And in my mind, he says,
I showed you stars you never
could see. Like maybe he's an astronomy geek and somehow he's got the hot chick on a roof
and they're smoking cigarettes and he seems cooler than he is. And he says, you know,
something about, uh, you kiss like fire. So it doesn't tell us about sex. Doesn't get
into like the notch on his cane.
And I love songs that talk about kisses as proxy for whatever happens.
And in that story, he has an accident where he's above his station in the world as he
perceives it.
Somewhere you have an accident where you had your best day ever.
Even the person who's the most shit out of luck has their best days ever.
And they have to ask themselves, well, what happened on that day?
What was it that you did?
Start building on that.
And, and by, you also have to realize that certain kinds of
criticism has to be ignored.
You can't process all criticism because a lot of criticism is designed to hold
you back as opposed to help you get better.
And your obligation is only to process constructive criticism.
Now you can turn negative criticism and destructive criticism
into something you can do, but stop processing the criticism that's actually poisoned so that the other
person can get ahead of you in the world.
And I think that that, that, that thing about high agency is try to find the
cheat codes, the one I've given before that I love because I don't need it
anymore is that in Penn Station in New York, you're intermediate between Washington,
D.C. and Boston. So you're not guaranteed a seat on the train. And there's a giant board which says
which track you should meet your train, whichever direction you're going. That means everybody runs
to try to get a seat on that train. But there's a much smaller screen that says arrivals for people meeting trains
since mostly trains are never met.
And there's a tiny number of people who crowded around that screen.
And they always knew what platform the train was coming in 10 minutes
earlier than everybody else.
And you'd go to that platform and you'd see everyone else
who figured out that cheat code.
you'd see everyone else who figured out that cheat code.
And so my claim is, is that somebody's winning.
Try to figure out what it is that they're doing. You can even pay them.
Like, just give me half an hour of your time.
Tell me what you do.
Let me watch you.
If you're not good in a bar,
whether you're male or female, meeting people,
somebody's good.
Befriend that person, buy them a drink, do something kind.
Breaking the fourth wall, the exact solution
that I found to be able to punch above my own weight
when we wanted to start this cinema series for the show
was I realized that really big name guests,
like the sort of top flight ones
that are in the most demand,
you can get them to be more likely to come on the show
if you just go to them.
If you find out where they are
and you often send a car for them and you show up there,
because the likelihood of catching Jordan or you
or Jocko or Goggins when they're through Austin
is essentially zero.
But say, look, I'm gonna remove all of the different bits
of friction, I'm gonna come to all of the different bits of friction.
I'm going to come to you.
Can we make it work?
That was one of the things that worked.
So again, George, uh, has this question he uses to work out who is the highest
agency person in your entire life.
Tell me you're trapped in a South American prison.
You know, one of this one is it's absolutely, It's one of those or 5,000 people in there.
It's a hundred people per room.
There's half the number of bunk beds.
Everyone's got a skinhead.
You have 24 hours to get out and you've got one phone call.
Who'd you ring?
It's hard in my case.
Why?
I happened to be the brother of Brett Weinstein.
I happened to have worked for Peter Thiel.
Um, my wife is a total supermind.
Uh, I've got no shortage of these people.
You want to get one phone call.
I know I can't figure out who most people, the thing that I worry about is that
most people have no one.
Yep.
But you know, it has to do with people who are extremely generative and high
trust and can readjust their thinking because no solution is clear.
But yeah, I think a different version of that question is, is your problem,
which call to place or that you have no one you can even think of.
And then another version of the question would be if you could call anyone and
you don't happen to know them personally, is there anyone that you would think would be the best person?
And another insight for this would be for how many people would you be that phone call?
That's an interesting question.
We want to cultivate agency in ourselves and every time that I've asked this question at
dinner or on a podcast.
So what's the most impossible situation you've gotten your, you've
MacGyvered your way out of.
Uh, I've managed to prepare myself pretty well.
Typically, um, it's not much MacGyvering, but I came off a moped in Bali, uh, and
managed to lose the skin on basically the entire
left-hand side of my body, Balinese road versus me in a tiny pair of swim shorts.
And I lost, um, first round TKO.
And I needed to come up with a solution to be able to get myself, uh, looked after
while I was out there in terms of sort of healthcare, I needed to kind of manage my
own, um, the protocol that
I was going through.
And then I also needed to make the call about when to come home.
And it wasn't like I had a ton of money to be able to get myself back.
Uh, so did that, spent a week later up trying to get better, realize I wasn't going to get
better.
Also realized that Indonesia versus the NHS for all the problems the NHS has, I'd rather
be in the UK.
So I managed to do that, but that involved, Oh, actually that was an interesting one.
On the way back, one of the things I didn't want to do was not be able to have
my foot elevated, but I had no, I had nowhere near enough money to be able
to fly business class.
So flooded my eyelashes at the mail, uh, flight attendant and, uh, they took pity
on me and put me in premium economy and a couple of other things.
So that's one that comes to mind,
but no South American prisons or anything like that yet.
How about you, is there anything that comes to mind?
Yeah, not all of which I can discuss.
But-
Not at liberty to say publicly.
Well, no, I mean, some of it is...
I also have two children to shepherd through this world.
And there's a lot of technology just in terms of problem solving that I love
sharing with my audience, but there's some that I reserve for, for my family
alone and you know, I would say there are lots of things that I'm not good at.
To have Jordan Peterson come after you on conscientiousness.
I think it's because he's asked me several times to do his show.
I've never really gotten back to him.
I don't know if that's so Jordan.
I totally apologize.
Love you.
The, um, I think that in general, the thing that I'm most valued for in my family is when
you need an elephant or two pulled out of a hat.
That's what I'm really good at pulling rabbits out of the hat.
Not so much.
Yeah.
Yeah. Yeah, very much. So I hope that I'm the same too.
But you know, actually probably geometric unity is, I have only two claims.
No, sorry.
I should say it differently.
I have only three claims on immortality.
My children is my first.
Geometric marginalism, which I did with my wife, which is rebasing economics on the differential calculus, not of ordinary calculus, but of gauge theory is the second.
And that is dwarfed by geometric unity.
And the image I have, and I think about this is of a person cradling a flame in a hurricane
for 40 years against all odds.
Like it is without question the most brilliant thing I've ever done, ever will do, whether
it is right or wrong, whether it I've ever done ever will do,
whether it is right or wrong, whether it is fool's gold or real gold has not been
determined by the outside world. I'll be stunned if it's fool's gold, but I cannot
believe I don't even know how to live with it. It's so, it's so outside of
ordinary. I can't answer questions. People's like, Hey, what are you up to? What are you thinking about? What are you doing? And it's so, it's so outside of ordinary. I can't answer questions.
People's like, Hey, what are you up to?
What are you thinking about?
What are you doing?
And it's like, if I told you what, why does the
conversation will always go South?
And I think, you know, Lex asked me this, like, what are
you proudest of?
It's like trying not giving up, not listening to every voice in the world,
which says, let go of that thing.
It's like, now I'm betting that 10,000 of you are wrong and I'm right.
And I pretty sure I will win in the end and you will lose, but I will probably
have to wait for this generation of humans to die or retire.
What did you bring?
What's that?
Which one?
The little things. What are those?
Well, I mentioned this woman when I was on Joe Rogan, Beth Sheba Grossman,
and she's a national treasure. What you're holding in your hand is a three-dimensional projection of
the four-dimensional platonic solid corresponding to the dodecahedron. I
think that's called the 120 cell. So that's a four-dimensional object
projected in three dimensions and it's the analog of the dodecahedron. There are
five platonic solids. In dimension four, you'll give me that one.
This is the thing that you can't even believe exists.
That is called the 24 cell.
It is a platonic solid projected into dimension three
that has absolutely no analog that was only
discovered in the end of the 1800s I think by Shafley. Almost no human knows
it exists and because of the fact that you and I have been able to do millions
of views more people are going to know about Bathsheba Grossman. Um, and we're going to take care of our mathematical artists who are able to
transmit the most profoundly bizarre features of the world.
This has to do with something called an exceptional Lee group called F4.
It's 52 dimensional.
It has it, then it's next analog is 78 dimensions called E six.
E seven has 133 and the granddaddy of them all.
He eight has 248 dimensions.
Nobody knows why they're there.
It's like a mathematical platypus from outer space with no context.
And I brought them sort of for no reason, um, because I didn't know where we were going.
When I did the Terence Howard thing at Joe's request, um, it generated a lot of interest
and a lot of heat.
I got a ton of criticism.
Why would you sit down with a pseudo scientist?
You're normalizing this behavior.
Terence Howard is actually playing with all sorts of geometric shapes and dualities between geometric shapes that even professional mathematicians couldn't
figure out. Neil Grass-Thyssen says, I don't know where these come from.
Um, I didn't know where the conversation would head.
You always throw curve balls. And so I just want,
I brought a couple of toys and things in case they, they came up.
Have you ever read escaping flatland?
Oh, how can I not even know about this?
So it's a book from the 1800s,
and it is about a sphere
that goes to visit a two-dimensional world of flatland.
So in the two-dimensional world, you have different shapes,
and the shapes denote the class.
Well, this is Abbott's book, Flatland.
Yes.
Is this beyond that?
No, but it's also referred to as escaping flatland.
I see. I didn't understand.
Sorry. So yes, Abbott's book.
But I always think about that.
I still really don't understand tesseracts and those,
what are those vases that loop back on themselves?
What are they?
Fine bottles.
Yeah. Like I still.
Hey, shout out to Clifford Stoll in Berkeley, California,
who produces them at Acme Klein Bottle.
Somebody I did a commercial for who never asked for it.
Just, we have to help these businesses
so people are aware you can order a Klein bottle.
Go on, sorry about that.
It's just cool.
But you know, Interstellar is my favorite ever movie.
And they tried to sort of represent a 4D tesseract in three dimensional shape,
three dimensional space. And that's kind of hard to wrap my head around.
But Flatland is, is an interesting, um,
equivalent just one down into a place that we can.
So for the people that haven't read it,
this sphere is able to make itself shrink and grow at will
in front of, and it amazes the inhabitants of flat land
because obviously as it moves up and down
through its third dimension,
it just grows and shrinks in the two dimensions.
I'm always fear passing through a plane
you see in the cross section.
Correct, yeah. And it gets bigger and it you've seen the cross section. Correct. Yeah.
And it gets bigger and it gets smaller and flatland, the flatland
inhabitants are absolutely amazed at this ability that has to do.
And, uh, it's just great.
It's a really, really cool way to think about.
And I also think about, you know, the challenges that people
have of orthogonal thinking.
you know, the challenges that people have of orthogonal thinking.
You know, if you are trying to play with ideas that
break against whatever the sort of the current flow is, maybe it's with subtlety or complexity or nuance or charitability. And. And, um, yeah, I like, I like thinking about that sphere.
I like thinking about him.
It's a very odd thing that you bring up because that example, and when you said
the title escaping flatland, I was goosebumps.
Um, I have not gotten back to Sam Altman who asked me for a proposal because I'm not sure
whether I'm supposed to help Sam. Now Sam is a friend of mine and I think very, very highly of
Sam Altman. Um, despite all the machinations and whatnot, I know him to be a person deeply concerned
with humanity who will not be understood.
Maybe he has to do Machiavellian things in order to take care of humanity. It's a very confusing
situation. In a certain sense, large language models are flatland. All it can do is read what
we've already done and extrapolate. And so to the extent that we haven't extrapolated everything
from what we've already, it can connect things that we didn't connect.
Example I like to give is Guns, Germs and Steel may have been one of the great books of all time, but it was Jared Diamond taking things that were in the literature scattered.
And without doing real original research, he came up with a thesis that was spellbinding.
The key question is how do you break out of flat land? And there's a tool that is not understood because you learn about it in, I don't know, middle school,
and you don't realize what it is, and that's the square root operation.
The square root is how you escape flat land. You ask for the square root of two, which is an integer, and you
wind up in algebraic numbers that are irrational. You ask for the square root of negative one and
you add end up in purely imaginary numbers that you learn in school and you don't know why they're
there. Even mathematicians don't really fully understand how to apply them in everyday
life.
Um, reasons we can get into in another podcast, you can apply it to the
determinant of a matrix if it's anti-symmetric and get something called the
Fafian that nobody who's taken ordinary calculus, uh, ordinary linear algebra has
even heard of it's sort of reserved for the priests of mathematics.
that your algebra has even heard of. It's sort of reserved for the priests of mathematics.
The square root is an example of a question
that you can ask inside of the reality
that you're aware of.
So for example, the light between you and I is photons.
And those are examples of bosons,
but the matter here is sort of the square root
of the light, if you will.
And this is what we would call fermionic.
Once you understand that the square root is the psychedelic of mathematics that breaks you into
the panic room that you did not know was even present in the house that you bought.
I mean, it's your house.
At some point, I realized that there was a space behind a wall in our house.
And I said, break it open.
And the contractor broke it open and found all sorts of things that had been
like hidden there since the 1970s in a compartment that could be open up.
And people had lived in the house.
They had no idea that this thing exists.
That's what therapy is like.
That's what therapy is like.
Therapy is inviting somebody into a house that you've lived in your entire life
and them showing you rooms that you didn't know whether.
It's also the case that most of the really important programs in your
brain have never run like, I don't know if you've ever experienced real hunger.
I don't know whether you've ever, I've only once in my life gotten to a level of hygiene that was
so low that my risk taking suddenly changed. It's an emergency program that says you cannot afford
to not take massive risks. If you're this dirty, I was in the Himalayas in the north of India,
and I cannot even believe the risks I took when I was that dirty. Um, it's an astounding thing that we live in our own bodies and have no idea
what's internal to us in particular, in our own mind, the issue about.
Tesseract like I could teach you to see four dimensions.
If you take that Klein bottle and for people who don't know what it is, they can
Google it. Imagine that in clear glass, you take an ordinary
bottle with a punt, that little thing at the bottom that goes
up. And you pull that punt through the wall and you bend
the neck and you fuse the two. Now, okay, you say, well, it
has to go through the wall of the bottle. But if the bottle is clear and you make the neck increasingly blue as it goes
into the punt and then it goes back into the clear, if the amount of blueness is
a fourth dimension, you can see that it's not actually intersecting itself
because the wall of the bottle is clear, but the neck is highly blue.
So you are actually literally seeing four dimensions.
Now I can increase that to five dimensions by changing the texture,
six dimensions with respect to the opacity.
And you can more or less see six dimensions visually.
Once you train your mind, I mean, it's like, it's not a particular trick
above that.
You really don't have the benefit.
It like the entire back of your head is your visual cortex and you,
you can't use it directly.
Then you have to start doing incredible things where you allow low dimensional
sort of sketches to stand for higher dimensional objects.
And you have to lean on the crutches of algebra.
But if the question is that before you shuffle off this mortal coil,
you want to see four dimensions.
It's entirely possible.
We've got an even more intense couple of months coming up than
the last time that we spoke.
You kind of hinted at it earlier on, this velocity of stories and forgetfulness,
either done on purpose, done by accident,
done due to sheer random access memory limitations.
How do you, well, first off, to sheer random access memory limitations.
How do you, well, first off is the speed of meme
and news velocity that we're seeing now
just classic election year and I've not been here seeing this up close before?
No.
No, the, I want you to think about the number of times you've seen a Mona Lisa
mean, the Mona Lisa had to be the Mona Lisa for many years before it was worthy
of so many means that Trump photograph where he's pumping the air with blood on his face had about
four seconds before it was a meme.
The concept of the sacred and the archival is being lost because of the novel
environment provided by the internet.
is being lost because of the novel environment provided by the internet.
And the tools of editing,
you know, the distracted boyfriend meme,
or hoctua, right?
These things are so fast
that they are robbing us
of the sacred.
And you don't need to believe in God, the reverence.
Um, if you've ever been to Florence and seen Michelangelo's David.
I'm going in a week and a half.
Oh boy.
The Botticelli room at the Uffizi Gallery, the David in particular,
because you see the studies when you go to the academy,
you're walking through the studies for the David,
and then you actually see this thing,
you've seen it a million times before,
and you still can't believe it.
It's so different.
It's so different than everything else.
Like, I was just playing Jules Holland and Jeff Beck doing
Drown in My Own Tears.
And I was thinking, I am the same species as Jeff Beck.
I am the same species as Michelangelo.
I'm the same species as Gaudi
and his ceiling of Lysagrata Famia.
These are things that are just beyond anything.
How did I get onto this?
Oh, the sacred, the reverential.
Mm-hmm, speed of memes.
The speed of memes.
We can't afford it.
We too are entitled to the archival.
We too are entitled to something that isn't a joke.
You know, the cringification of everything,
everything is being performative, everything has been done.
God damn it.
Yeah, I know exactly what you mean.
The exhaustion that you have with it, I feel as well.
I like, sorry, I like earnest people.
I like cringe.
You wanna talk about something really contrarian?
Like I was just listening to Tim McGraw's, uh, something like that.
Do you know the song?
Had a barbecue stain on my white t-shirt.
She was killing me with that mini skirt.
You know, never heard this.
The whole song is, it's cringe.
You know, like Shania Twain's,
Man, I Feel Like a Woman is a bit cringe.
I like it a lot.
The Tim McGraw song is the setup for a heterosexual romance
between what must have been a 16 year old girl
and a 17 year old boy who meet at a county fair.
And it's perfectly constructed. And the reason that it's cringe is because it's so clearly perfectly constructed. It introduces the boy buying gasoline and a Coke. He drives to the
county fair. He sees a girl in line, instant attraction. They skip stones together. So it's not just animalistic.
There's a sweetness and whoever wrote that song, I'm assuming it's Tim McGrath,
but maybe it was somebody else realizes that every woman has this question.
Why aren't you going to leave me as I age?
What is so special about me?
Right.
And so they're, they're singing along about she's got red lipstick and the
mini skirt and all this stuff.
Like she's above, he's below.
I worked so hard for that first kiss, not about sex.
You don't know whether anything went beyond that kiss.
You probably don't remember me.
So you think that they don't have sex is very well constructed.
And it's basically a song for men and women at the same time.
We used to know how to do this.
And part of the reason it's emotional is that we really blew it with LGBTQ.
I really appreciate that we screwed up with gay men.
We did not do a good job by them.
Being gay and being male is a very strange, different thing
from the point of view of heterosexuality.
It's a huge evolutionary puzzle.
And we needed to make accommodations particularly
for that community.
But it is also true that heterosexual families are as flawed as they are with the fighting, with the
recrimination, et cetera, et cetera, are the mainstay of a society that will last.
And I have an enormous number of gay friends. It's not some of my best friends are gay. It's like way too many of them are gay.
So I spent a lot of time in, in gay space. And what I've learned from that
is that you can go about 85% of the distance talking about relationships, sex in the abstract,
hopes, dreams for the future, attraction. And then the last 15% is really different.
And I don't want to be in your business at all.
And it's constructed that way because we freak each other out.
We don't really want the specifics of the details beyond a certain point.
And I think that that last 15% can't be shared between straights and gays. We can go 85%
of the distance. But the heterosexual community is now much more in need of help than it ever has
been before. And the idea that as soon as you say something about boys and girls and falling in love
and all, and just these assumptions
about masculinity and femininity that you immediately have to acknowledge every other
type is, is one of the things that I think is absolute poison for a society.
There's special stuff about men and women that isn't shared with the rest of the rainbow. And boy meets girl, boy loses girl, boy gets girl,
in this song is about rekindling the ability to say,
I have a right to sing about boys and girls
without bringing in every other thing that can happen.
We've got to get back to romance.
If you think about songs that mention marriage, right?
There are all sorts of songs where men and women sing along together, old songs,
that appeal equally to both groups. And if you think about this, the concept of
a man putting a woman on a pedestal and a woman looking up to a man, both of
these things have to happen for the magic to occur.
I think we've stopped instructing our young as to what this is and why it's worth working for and
why being single and racking up spectacular body counts is not an answer
the way you think it's going to be when you start out, you know, it's important
not to keep changing everything every four seconds.
There are, there are novels.
Think about when the Sopranos came out and the length of those storylines.
Think about the development of Tony Soprano versus, let's say, a beautifully drawn character
like Michael in The Godfather.
Tony Soprano is drawn at some level that puts a great film like Michael
Corleone, you know, Michael Corleone's Odyssey to Shame.
How do we come up with something that's archival?
And one of the things that I say that nobody, I don't think
anybody's picked up on it.
I have a line that great art is the reflection of our time in real time for all
time. You have to accept that if you're Shakespeare, you're writing in England in a particular era,
you can't try to write universally. It has to be performed in that time to feed back to the people
who are living it with you. And it has to be archival so that, you know, nobody says, wherefore art thou
in our modern context, but we're going to work our asses off so that we can go back.
I can still recite the first lines of Chaucer because my high school knew
that it was important to know something in Middle English.
Where is that?
How do we stop this memeification? I get it. Everything's a joke. in Middle English. Where is that?
How do we stop this memeification?
I get it, everything's a joke, but now the idea is that the guy's throwing spitballs
in the back of the class or the professors, and the class is not functioning.
You know, at some level, cringe, earnest.
The hardest thing to say is, I believe in this person.
Like, you know, Douglas Murray is a mutual friend of ours. I don't know everything Douglas has said. I don't know that he hasn't
said some really horrible things, nor does he know whether I've said those things, but I saw him
attacked online. That's an archival friendship. I want to be friends with Douglas forever.
I really admire that guy. And
I really admire that guy.
And I think it's important for us in the podcasting universe to be earnest and to say, I care.
It's that you want to talk about something radical.
It's not Reddit.
The average Reddit post that I read has one point and it's, wow, you fell for that thing
that I saw right through.
Really?
You're going to use your time on planet earth to convince people that you see through everything
and that everybody who fell for something.
There's this brilliant moment that Brett Easton Ellis had when I was podcasting with him
where he started talking.
We were talking about seduction. that Brett Easton Ellis had when I was podcasting with him, where he started talking,
we were talking about seduction. It was like, can you imagine never falling for a seduction? Like never being seduced your whole life. Man, are you missing out? How do we get people
to be able to hold the illusion? So with respect to the next couple of months,
So with respect to the next couple of months, I don't know that anything crazy is going to happen.
It's still a million years.
Kamala was not elected through a normal primary system that we've had since 1968
when everything fell apart in Chicago for the Democrats.
Donald Trump, the assassination story is a very, very bizarre one.
I don't think Donald Trump is acceptable to the international order.
I don't, I'm not saying that they will take him out with a bullet, but they will
certainly take him out with memes, tweets, data analytics, skullduggery.
Um, and I'm actually most interested in this other campaign of Bobby Kennedy,
but more importantly at the moment, Nicole Shanahan. I was just up with Nicole Shanahan
in the Bay Area and I haven't endorsed her and she hasn't asked for an endorsement. What she wants to work on is incredible.
I wrote a paper on Kossian labor markets and immigration and how to actually redo
immigration properly.
And Nicole is thinking about AI and Ronald Koss and
his very deep theories of economics.
Do you know about Koss?
I listened to the episode you did with her.
So I know that much.
To take Kamala, who is currently vice president,
and the ridiculous things that she says
that make no sense at all,
and to talk to somebody who wants to talk
about protecting the labor market
the way Andrew Yang, Sam Altman,
and now Nicole Shanahan are thinking about.
You're talking about people who don't even seem to be like the same species.
I need to ask you this.
Can you please try and explain to me what you interpret by what can be
unburdened by what has been, what does that mean?
I don't know if I should say, I don't know if I should say
there's a line in Marx
where sometimes you hear certain phrases like a world to win. AOC uses the phrase, we have a world to win, which comes from the end of the
Communist manifesto originally written in German.
It was the name I used to hang out in the revolutionary bookstore in Cambridge,
Massachusetts with the communists because they print everything in every language.
So if you're trying to learn multiple languages,
they'll print the same text in all of these languages
and you can compare.
It basically says you have to wipe out what has been
to arrive in the new.
And where's it from?
What can be unburdened by what has been?
It's not a direct translation, but it occurs in Karl Marx.
I could, I wasn't expecting this.
I could find you the exact reference.
If you think about what Mao had to do to wipe out Chinese history,
what Pol Pot had to do, you're trying to wipe out memory because the
memory has all of this burden. Why is it important to go after doctors and lawyers and teachers and
professors? Because in some sense, they are going to resist the new order that you're about to
impose.
You're looking for a blank slate.
Like a tether to the past.
Okay.
I'm going to tell a story.
I don't know that I've ever told anyone.
Maybe I have, maybe I haven't can't promise it's original to you, but I was
in Hoi An in Vietnam and I'm going to lose this one.
Hoi An is one of the only beautiful places that I found.
Hue and Hoi An, a lot of things were really ripped up in that war.
And there is an unbelievable and difficult instrument, which the Vietnamese language is very hard.
So I'm going to say it wrong called, it would be written as Dan Bao.
It's one string and a giant lever and you pluck the harmonics and it's
supposed to be an intimate instrument.
I think sometimes played by the blind where only the person who's
intended as the recipient of the music.
Okay.
where only the person who's intended is the recipient of the music.
Okay.
I see this in a window in Hoi An and I become transfixed by it.
And a woman says, I see you looking at this in English.
Would you like to come in?
And I said, I don't want to impose. She says, no, no, no, it's not mine.
So she invites me in.
And I said, I don't want to impose. She says, no, no, no, it's not mine.
So she invites me in and there's this guy who appears to be brain dead.
He's like deformed.
I'm not going to get through this.
And he's speaking very haltingly and I don't know who he is.
And something about music, something about journalism, something about a professional.
I can't really make out what's happening.
I'm asking about the instrument and this woman brings him a guitar and this deformed man starts playing some transcript, like Chopin
or some piano concerto on the guitar at some incredible level.
And I can't even imagine that his body can do it.
And so I have no idea where I am or what's happening.
And then he motions for like a book and she brings a book and it has all of these
articles about this man tortured for his principled stand against communism.
stand against communism.
This man has been destroyed mind, body to the point where
it's just painful to watch him.
And I realized that basically he just, do you know what a nail house is?
If you Google nail house under Google images, do it.
Well, you can't do it or you're off the internet. No, I can do it.
Tell me what you see.
It's a tall building, an individual standalone structure
in the middle of a road?
There are these people who will not give up their homes when a shopping mall goes in or a road is put.
And for some reason they'll build a highway to screw over the person who stands up and says, I will not move.
And the idea is that that road is the future unburdened by what has been. And then there's some holdout who won't go along with the program.
If Kamala Harris is as unsophisticated as we think she is, do we really believe
that she is quoting from the dark depths of why do you believe she is as unsophisticated
as you have just claimed?
What did her father do?
I don't know.
Look it up.
And by the way, I am assuming that I will end up on the open skies watch
list as a result of this podcast.
That is crazy by the way, what happened to Tulsi, the trip, the
quad S on her boarding pass, Donald J.
Harris, the father of Kamala Harris, Jamaican American economist, professor
emeritus at Stanford university, originally from St.
Anne's Bay, Jamaica.
What kind of economics?
Known for applying post Keynesian ideas to development economics.
What's post Keynesian?
I don't know.
Post Keynesian economics is a school of economic thought with its origins in the general theory
of John Maynard Keynes, subsequent development influence to a large degree by a name I can't
pronounce.
I think that there was a lot of whose family comes from the far left, you recognize certain sorts of commonalities.
I'm sure she would see them in me.
Um, the democratic party is not communist.
I don't think that that's right.
That's the critique of many of my right-wing friends, but it is welcomed
in a lot of neo-Marxian thought.
I would say AOC is straight up Marxist.
I don't know.
I think Kamala is both, is everywhere between crony finance and Marxism.
You're talking about things for which you do not have language.
So the reason that I said I don't think that
Kamala can be as sophisticated as perhaps this obscure reference
said a hundred times,
apparently according to the archive. Who's Charles Mingus?
I don't know.
Kamal is a lot smarter than you're giving her credit for.
I mean, this is the, uh, your point about how many levels through it.
Do you go, this is the first one. This is the second one.
This is the third one.
But in order to be able to do the Ukraine is a country, it is a small country.
Russia is a big country.
They are a bigger country.
This is bad. Time is all around us in order to be able to do that self referentially with agency,
knowing what you're doing, the meta cognition to be able to do that and play a role to me seems
that's like 200 IQ stuff to be able to do that.
I don't think so.
I think it's one 30 IQ stuff. I think you do that. I don't think so. I think it's 130 IQ stuff.
I think you could do it better than you think.
We could have a pretend, all right, I'm going to talk to you in a way
you haven't heard before, son, I'm going to school you on a few things.
You can stop that silly grin and wipe it right off your face.
All right.
We can sound like however we want.
I could affect some sort of Oxbridge accent or I could do
Cockney. It doesn't matter. You're looking at
characters. This is why I wrote the 2011 K-Fabe
essay, because you're looking at professional
rev- do you imagine that the Iron Sheik, you know,
who is the Iron Sheik? Who is Triple H? Who is the undertaker?
Do you think he actually works in a mortuary?
These are characters.
George W. Bush, as a debater in Texas for the governorship,
was really, really smart.
And suddenly he got real dumb and folksy.
And do you imagine he actually says nuclear?
He knows it's nuclear.
You know, I would learn to say nuclear.
I could say nuclear.
Yeah.
I got to be careful with that nuclear physics and I can, I can get Democrats to
correct me and look like assholes every time this is, there's an old FDR line, which is nothing in politics happens by accident.
Don't get taken in at level one.
Look, you know, friend of mine, Dan Barkay has a beautiful thing where he says,
a beautiful thing where he says, when someone looks at the window and one person sees the reflection and the other person is looking through the window and what's on the other
side, they don't realize that they're seeing different things.
I believe that in part, this is a superposition of signals to Wall Street, to Antifa, to organized
labor, to women in the workforce worried that they're never going to find
mates and have children.
These are ridiculous things crafted to appeal to many different people
and to be decoded by different groups.
different people and to be decoded by different groups.
Kamala really is scary for very reasons, for very different reasons than Donald Trump is scary.
It's a weird election for me because I know three of these
people, I know JD Vance and I know Bobby Kennedy a little bit
and Nicole Shanahan a little bit better.
And I don't at all know the democratic ticket nor do I know Donald Trump.
But Donald Trump isn't who he seems to be.
Donald Trump is much more methodical, much better at business and
very shady techniques at that.
You know, I think I remember hearing a story about how he bought a bunch of
pianos for his hotel and didn't want to pay full price and then explained.
Well, I don't know if the story is true. So I'm going to be very clear about that.
Allegedly.
Allegedly.
And I talked to people who are in business with them.
And one of whom did serious business with them said to me,
he's a very good businessman who you wouldn't want to do a second deal with.
These are complex life forms. And I don't know what I'm watching. I do know that I had a meeting sort of by accident with a person in the democratic party
who really tried to explain to me, Eric, can you hold off on the anti-democratic party tweeting?
You need a higher level briefing about how we're actually conducting ourselves.
I just don't think that the surface is worth very much.
We're in a lot of danger.
And one of the things that I don't love about myself in podcasting space is that
I don't get to talk about why I'm so worried about existential risk.
It doesn't come out of needing gloom and doom to energize me.
I am so head over heels with this planet, with all of its wonder and beauty,
that I can't imagine that people who have never been to Glacier National Park,
have never been to a Hindustani classical music concert, who've never had great durian,
are cavalierly putting it all at risk because it's fun to posture on
issues like Ukraine or Iran. And that's like a major distortion about who I am. Most of what I am
is about just waking up every morning and saying, my
God, I'm still here on this wonderful spinning orb.
And what are all these completely empty suits doing just to maximize profit
that is putting everything at risk.
And that's why I think this election is a catastrophe.
I have no idea what Donald Trump or Kamala Harris represent.
I have a very good idea about what Nicole Shanahan represents.
And I have a pretty good idea about what Bobby Kennedy wants to represent, whether he does it,
the job, you know, he's a complicated guy with a complicated past and I'm not signing on for,
but he's got a real pure heart and he
listens and he's unafraid to take on. Look, the man is willing to die. I want it to be very clear
about this. Bobby Kennedy is willing to die to take on the intelligence community like his uncle.
This is a person of extraordinary courage, of extraordinary intelligence and ability
who's had a very complicated life.
And yeah, there's, you know, like with anybody, there's a lot of stuff that I don't want to
sign on for, but I'm definitely working with that campaign, which is not asking me to endorse
it. And I'm parking my interest with them.
Um, and I want to explain what the calculation is because usually the
question is who are you for?
Who are you against?
It's not that.
If more people will answer Kennedy Shanahan until November 1st, you will get
the maximum amount of leverage over the other two
campaigns at a bare minimum.
But if you throw your lot in with Donald Trump or Kamala, the duopoly has won
every election since Millard Fillmore.
That's 42 straight elections.
If we do not break the duopoly, it will break us.
And the Kennedy Shanahan ticket is sophisticated in realizing
that campaigning could be something different.
It's trying to figure out what should campaigning be.
But it's crazy to be an all day session trying to figure out how to
save the labor market from AI.
And I also want to want to say something about JD Vance without naming names.
And I hope JD doesn't get angry at me for this one.
JD invited me out years ago to Ohio
to a room in which I was the only Democrat.
The only person probably had ever voted Democrat
or lots of prominent people.
And we sat in an oak paneled room for three days
in the middle of Ohio.
And I swear to God, it was like talking to progressives
who were worried about coal miners.
It was people talking about the working poor. And unless you're going to believe that all of these
luminaries and the Republican party were there to fool Eric Weinstein so that he would leak
something from this meeting, these people actually cared about shit out of luck. Americans who were hurt by NAFTA, who had been betrayed by the
democratic party and watching JD.
Like he's campaigning, however, he's campaigning.
I don't totally recognize that person, but I can tell you this, that in his
off moments where he's just dealing with me, human to human, There is no question in my mind that he cares about
the working poor and middle Americans
and people under a squeeze.
And he cares about hillbillies, and it's not a joke.
You know, black Americans are famous for contributing culture
to the United States of America, whether it's dance or music
or oratory or writing.
Hillbillies are much more invisible.
But hillbillies have been central
to providing culture for our country.
One of the most generative populations out there
in West Virginia and Kentucky.
And I think people forget
that we had slavery in the 20th century.
Lots of it white.
You had alternate money
like Bitcoin, except it was script issued by companies. People lived in towns that were owned by companies. They had
private armies that were called detectives like Pinkerton. There
was war. Look up the Battle of Blair Mountain
or the Harlan County Cold Wars.
JD Vance is an heir
to like listen to you know, which side are you on?
Oh my God.
Pete Seeger.
There was a union organizer.
Sorry.
I come from very left like far far left, there was a union organizer. Sorry, I come from very left, like far, far left.
There was a union organizer whose house, I think,
was shot up by a detective agency
to intimidate him into not organizing the workers.
And his wife stayed in the house and penned the song.
Which side are you on boys?
Which side are you on?
They say in Highland County, there are no neutrals there.
You'll either be a union man or thug for J.H. Blair.
Pete Seeger took that song
and made it almost like an anthem.
The Democratic Party abandoned these people.
If you look at the statistics for voting, it's Democrat and blue right up until Al Gore.
And then it goes hard, hard red.
These people were hurt bad.
And while Hillary was calling them deplorables, people like JD Vance and the right were saying, what do they need?
We're not afraid of their Bible thumping.
We recognize the culture, the endowment, the contribution to
American society.
And I wish the democratic party were doing this.
They're right there.
Go speak to them, stop spinning on them and shitting on them and pissing on them.
But somehow we've got this sort of NAFTA coked up on you. You're not going to be able to do that. You're not going to Go speak to them. Stop spinning on them and shitting on them and pissing on them.
But somehow we've got this sort of NAFTA, coked up on NAFTA intellectual
elite that says, Hey, we helped people in Mexico.
So some, some coal miners got hurt.
Boo hoo.
Look at the suicide statistics.
If you look at suicide statistics, the group that you think is on top, middle-aged white
men are killing themselves at a level that nobody else is.
And that's a very clear marker of who's actually in distress.
Young black women are not in the amount of distress that middle-aged white men are.
And I think that that's one of the things that's going on in these campaigns. That's so confusing, which is that I can tell you for sure that JD Vance,
Nicole Shanahan and Bobby Kennedy are 100% sincere no matter how they're
campaigning or what you're upset about in their off moments.
And I've been with all of them.
These people deeply care about the shit out of luck.
They're, they're interested in taking on real power.
I don't know Trump.
I mean, look, you can tell it's not, there's no allegiance.
I've, I can't imagine voting for Trump.
JD Vance is not the person being portrayed as weird.
You want to talk about weird, take one look at the democratic party and the
bizarre stuff that's going on with, you know, I don't know, gender affirming
care where you're cutting off penises and breasts, giving it new names for
radical mastectomies or reproductive mutilation.
That's weird.
To try to do that at scale, a tiny number of people need that in their lives.
And by the way, you and I talked about this last time.
This Olympics was a real wake-up call for me.
The number of people who can't deal with the idea that there are people with,
who've been raised female who may have XY chromosomes and this is treating this as if it's trans or if it's weird behavior.
I mean, I was just sickened by the Republicans.
I was sickened by the conservatives who are so adamant about trans that they
don't have decency and compassion for a soul who might be in an ambiguous category.
Now that said, I also think that if you're XY, Karyotype, you should never be entering a boxing
competition and using that leverage against somebody else. It's also the case that even if
you're shit out of luck, you have responsibilities in something like a combat sport. And, and I felt like we tried to have a complex discussion and I got hit with all
of these people on the conservative side.
We're like, you're making this out to be so complicated.
This is a tiny category.
Well, show me the love in your soul first, and then we'll have a discussion.
Yeah.
It was a, an incorrect pattern matching.
Don't you think?
From the, I thought it was a real foot in mouth moment for a
lot of people on the right.
I thought that they could have.
All of the talking points that were being used about trans people were
being applied to this, which just made it sound like people on the right are
the bigots for somebody that doesn't fit into
one category that everybody had always accused them of being.
But it's another superposition, right?
How can you hold the need some care, especially for an athlete?
Oh my God.
But how do you also say to this person, guess what?
I know that your love for boxing is this thing and it's your pursuit that's carrying you
through life.
I just, unfortunately for you, this is maybe a sport that you're
you can't do it.
You know, if, if that's what's going on and there's a lot of, you know, there's also a question if you take like Mike Tyson, you know, if you take Mike Tyson's
fast twitch muscle, somebody had to ask the
question, is that great athleticism or is that just too much power to be
firing at a human head?
Um, I don't know the answers to these things.
Joe invited me to combat sports, to see UFC.
It's remarkable how, like, I think nobody's been
killed in the UFC ever.
Right?
It's very important to actually ask these really
tough questions.
And I think that, and you know, part of the reason
that I wouldn't take the question about, about
Brett is that the last time we had a discussion, I
found myself being discussed on my brother's
podcast and I don't want to being discussed on my brother's podcast.
And I don't want to be pitted against Brett and Heather. I love them. I think the world
of them, they're brilliant. Their hearts are in the right place. But if we get into an
argument about Ovo testes, they're going to lose as two biologists and I'm going to win.
It's not all about motility of gametes. Uh, the world will keep throwing curve balls at
you and you have to begin from a heart open place to say, some of us are shit out of
luck because we fall in edge categories.
And so I stand by everything that you and I did last time.
It's a difficult place to be.
And if you have to simplify it as to boys or boys, women or women, you're not getting
it on the other hand, we have to stop normalizing what is effectively a reproductive holocaust against
children who we trusted to schools where people are allowed in to recruit into
reproductive mutilation.
And you've got to combine these in the superposition or you're just not getting it.
Eric Weinstein, ladies and gentlemen, Eric, I really appreciate you.
Every time that we get to sit down, it gets, uh, easier and more fun and appears
to go for longer as well.
Chris, you're one of the best out here and I really appreciate it.
Maybe the next time we just get a beer, uh, we don't have to have two mics.
I tried to do it.
I tried to get that the line of cocaine.
You said you didn't want it when we went to the bathroom.
I look, I'm trying to embody my old club promoter world, but dude, I really do
appreciate you.
I, uh, I look forward to making sense of what happens
over the next couple of months at some point next year.
We'll look forward to doing it soon with you.
["All Fans," by The Bachelorette plays in background.]