Molly White's Citation Needed - Issue 91 – GDP on the blockchain
Episode Date: August 27, 2025The regulator set to take on primary crypto oversight is down to a single Commissioner, and new pro-crypto PACs focus on installing more Republicans in the midterms. Originally published on August 27,... 2025.
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I'm Molly White, and you're listening to the audio feed for the citation-needed newsletter.
You can see the text version of the newsletter online at citation-needed.news.
Issue 91, GDP on the blockchain.
The regulator set to take on primary crypto oversight is down to a single commissioner,
and new pro-cryptopacts focus on installing more Republicans in the midterms.
This issue was originally published on August 27, 2025.
The hollowing out of regulatory agencies has reached a critical point, with the CFTC soon to have just a single commissioner,
as the crypto industry heavily lobbies for it to become their primary regulator.
In normal times, outgoing CFTC commissioners would be replaced by a roughly bipartisan slate of presidential appointees,
but Trump has not bothered to nominate any new commissioners besides his controversial pick for chair.
With the current CFTC acting chair set to depart after a new chair is confirmed,
Trump may hope to exert control over the independent regulatory body by installing a single pawn
who will hold unilateral agency control.
This regulatory vacuum arises as the crypto industry continues to flex its political muscle into the midterms,
with pro-cropto-superpack fair shake leading all super PACs in 2025 to 2025-26 fundraising,
with $59 million raised, giving them a total of $120 million in cash on hand.
Though Fairshake portrayed itself as a non-partisan PAC supporting pro-crypto candidates from
both parties last election cycle, some wealthy and powerful industry executives have opted
to support explicitly partisan packs this time around.
The Winklevoss twins, who run the Gemini cryptocurrency Exchange and our major Trump backers,
have poured $21 million into a new superpack for Trump-aligned pro-crypto congressional candidates,
fearing the election of, quote, Democrats who will have power to slow down and interfere with President Trump's agenda.
Some powerful Congress members are explicitly encouraging this overt exchange of industry money for congressional allies,
like Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott, a Republican from South Carolina,
who told attendees of a recent crypto conference,
Thank you to all of y'all for getting rid of Sherrod Brown. He's running again, by the way.
Literally, the industry put Bernie Moreno in the Senate.
Trump Family Business Interests
Shortly after the announcement that the Trump family's World Liberty Financial would partner with the Alt 5 Sigma Corporation
to create a WLFI Treasury Company, the information reported that Alt 5 key advisor John Isaac
was under SEC investigation for falsely inflating.
the earnings of a family company to pump its stock price.
Alt 5 Sigma wrote that, quote,
Isaac is not and never was the president of Alt 5 Sigma,
and he is not an advisor to the company.
Isaac himself also denied the reports,
claiming, quote, I am not under SEC investigation mentioned in these reports.
He acknowledged that he had previously taken over the predecessor company to Alt 5 Sigma,
called Jan 1, in a hostile takeover,
but that he is now merely a, quote, large share.
holder. However, Isaac remains a party to an ongoing SEC case that names Jan 1 and live ventures, where
Isaac is currently CEO. Furthermore, Isaac has been a consultant to Alt 5 since March 24, in an agreement
intended to last two years. The Trump family's crypto web is only getting more tangled, as Trump family-linked
companies are further entwining themselves with various crypto ventures. Trump-majority-owned Trump media and
Technology Group, creator of the Truth Social Platform, announced a joint venture with Singapore-based
exchange Crypto.com. Tmtg purchased $105 million worth of crypto.com's CRO token. Crypto.com
purchased $50 million of TMTG stock, and the two companies are creating the Trump Media Group
CRO Strategy Inc, a CRO treasury company they plan to take public through a SPAC merger.
In February, Crypto.com contributed $10 million to the MAGA Inc. Trump Superpack.
A month later, TMTG and Crypto.com announced their partnership, initially focused on developing,
quote, America-first investment vehicles, including crypto-etifs, to be offered by Trump's social media venture.
Three days after the partnership announcement, Crypto.com said the SEC had dropped an investigation into the company.
This will be either the fifth or sixth Trump family owned or linked crypto treasury company,
in addition to American Bitcoin, Trump Media and Technology Group,
which itself acquired a substantial Bitcoin treasury earlier this month,
metaplanet and Alt 5 Sigma.
Donald Trump Jr. was previously a major shareholder in Thumbs Up Media.
He sold some or all of his shares,
though some crypto news outlets continue to describe him as involved with the company.
Donald Trump Jr. has become a strategic advisor to Polly Market, the crypto prediction markets platform,
after a reportedly, quote, double-digit millions of dollars investment by 1789 Capital,
the venture capital firm where he's been a partner since his father's 2024 election victory.
Polymarket surged in popularity during the 2024 elections, drawing billions of dollars in bets on the
presidential race, with some figures in the crypto and political world suggesting that betting markets,
are more reliable than polls, experts, or news media.
Donald Trump Jr. echoed this sentiment in a statement about his new role,
quote, polymarket cuts through media spin and so-called expert opinion
by letting people bet on what they actually believe will happen in the world.
In regulators, crypto lobbying groups have written a letter to President Trump,
reiterating their support for his nomination of Brian Quintens as CFTC chair.
His confirmation, they write, is, quote,
to accomplishing the proactive agenda your administration has established to ensure a golden age
for digital assets in America. The letter praises Quintends for his, quote, forward-looking vision
of this transformative technology. It makes no mention of his recently released emails with CFTC
employees obtained via FOIA request, which lawmakers and crypto industry figures have said
raised serious questions about possible ethics violations. Quintens' nomination was
scheduled for a vote in front of the Senate Agriculture Committee in late July, but the vote was
canceled twice. One of the cancellations was at the request of the White House, which did not
elaborate on its reasoning for the delay. Regardless of Quintense's confirmation, the normally
five-person CFTC commission is about to be down to one person. Democrat Kristen Johnson,
one of the two remaining commissioners, announced in May that she was planning to leave,
and she will do so next week, leaving only commissioner and
acting chair FAM behind. However, FAMM has said that when Quintends is confirmed, she too
plans to resign. Though the commission is normally roughly bipartisan, with a rule prohibiting
more than three of the five commissioners coming from a single party, there are questions whether
Trump will bother to appoint any Democratic commissioners or any new commissioners at all.
Johnson published outgoing remarks, warning, quote, in a moment when such significant changes to markets
and market structure are contemplated, I am concerned that the expert staff at the commission
received the support and investments needed to be successful. In advancing an agenda in the name of
growth, it is critical not to dismantle the foundational resilience that supports financial stability
and protects the broader economy. In every instance, consistent with our mission, regulation or
any efforts to deregulate or streamline regulation should not leave customers or markets vulnerable to
fraud. Meanwhile, acting director Caroline Fam has announced another crypto sprint at the agency,
explaining, quote, the administration has made it clear that enabling immediate trading of digital
assets at the federal level is the top priority. As she signals her plans to implement the
industry-friendly rulemaking outlined by Trump in his crypto executive orders, Bloomberg spoke to a
large group of insiders who describe a, quote, regulator in disarray. Bloomberg notes the agency has
brought just one new enforcement action since FAMM's takeover against a futures trader in parallel
with criminal action from New York prosecutors, compared to over a dozen over the same period last year.
International regulators and exchange industry groups have urged the SEC to pump the brakes on
tokenized stocks, stating, quote, these products are marketed as stock tokens or the equivalent to
stocks when they are not. They encouraged the SEC to apply securities laws to tokenize stock.
establish clear rules for the asset class, and prohibit marketing tokenized assets as equivalent to stocks.
In Congress, as the Treasury Department begins the comment process on stable coin rulemaking, as directed by the
newly enacted Genius Act, banking and consumer protection advocates are urging Congress to take a second
look at the law. A group of state legislators and financial regulators, consumer advocacy groups,
and banking organizations have co-signed a letter urging Congress to remove Section 16D of the Genius Act,
which they fear introduces a loophole into states' licensing and oversight strategies for uninsured
depository institutions. Quote, ignoring state law in this regard invites regulatory arbitrage,
allowing certain uninsured depository institutions special privileges to operate across state lines,
as federally insured banks currently do, but without the panoply of regulatory
and supervisory requirements or limitations on preemption applicable to those institutions, they write.
In separate letters, a group of banking organizations expressed concerns about a, quote,
payment of interest loophole in the bill that could allow staple coin issuers to easily bypass the
bill's restrictions on paying interest or other forms of yield. They warned this could introduce,
quote, risk of significant deposit flight, and that if a widespread shift away from bank deposits and
money market funds and into stable coins occurs, it could increase costs and reduce the availability
of consumer and business lending. Another letter by the American Bankers Association and state
bankers associations raised similar concerns about payments of interest and also urged Congress to repeal
Section 16D and strengthen prohibitions against non-financial companies issuing stable coins.
The crypto lobby has penned a response to the banking group's letters, arguing
that they are merely trying to, quote, tilt the playing field in favor of legacy institutions,
particularly larger banks, and describing the bank's concerns as, quote, not a loophole, a feature.
Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott, a Republican from South Carolina, has been speaking
optimistically to crypto audiences about passing the Senate's version of a crypto market
structure bill by the end of September. This bill, still in discussion draft form,
is the Senate's alternative to the Clarity Act that passed the House in July.
Scott claimed that 12 to 18 Democrats are, quote, at least open to voting for the bill,
but, quote, the forces against it, let me just say clearly, like Senator Elizabeth Warren,
standing in the way of Democrats wanting to participate, it is a real force to overcome.
Even if the Senate passes their market structure bill, it differs significantly enough from
the House's Clarity Act that it would need a separate House vote or a conference process.
Former IMF chief economist Simon Johnson warns in an op-ed for Project Syndicate that, quote,
Unfortunately, the crypto industry has acquired so much political power, primarily through political donations,
that the Genius Act and the Clarity Act have been designed to prevent reasonable regulation.
The result will likely be a boom-bust cycle of epic proportions.
In the White House
The White House has finally cracked the code on how to publish numbers to the Internet.
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik announced at a cabinet meeting.
The Department of Commerce is going to start issuing its statistics on the blockchain,
because you are the crypto president, and we are going to put out GDP on the blockchain
so people can use the blockchain for data, distribution, and then we're going to make that
available to the entire government so all of you can do it.
We're just ironing out all the details so we can do it.
To be extra clear, Lutnik is not proposing moving any funds, just using some unspecified
blockchain as a ledger to record statistics like GDP.
In a normal timeline, an announcement that the government will publish its statistics
in an additional type of database would not warrant announcement from a cabinet official,
but it's 2025 and there's a crypto president to indulge.
I am a little concerned that this push is an effort to lean on the supposed inherent reliability
of blockchains to lend artificial credibility to questionable numbers cherry-picked by Trump
when the real ones are unflattering, as he did recently with jobs data. While it is harder to alter
information once it has been recorded on a blockchain, this does not mean the information
itself is necessarily reliable. Blockchain advocates often conflate immutability with accuracy,
suggesting that blockchains inherently validate the truth of recorded data. In reality, a blockchain
only preserves data in the state it was entered. It doesn't verify whether that data was correct
in the first place. I may be ascribing a far greater degree of forethought to Lutnik's announcement
than it deserves, though. Maybe our Commerce Secretary is actually just making sure he tackles
the top priority of making sure polymarket betters can bet on the future GDP without needing to
rely on an Oracle. The Federal Reserve Board has ended its novel activities supervision program,
created in August 2023 to apply enhanced supervision to crypto-related activities and fintech partnerships
with non-banks. The Fed portrays the decision as merely a move to fold such supervision back into
their normal supervisory processes, though Crypto Media Outlet CoinDesk characterizes the change as a continuation
of its, quote, relaxation of crypto oversight. This change has been rather overshadowed by a more serious
attempted shake-up at the Federal Reserve Board, as President Trump has tried to fire Lisa Cook,
one of its six current members. Members can only be fired for cause, and Trump claims a letter
from federal housing finance agency director William Pulte to Attorney General Pam Bondi,
alleging that Cook, quote, potentially committed mortgage fraud, provides such cause.
The investigation into Cook's mortgage is part of a string of inquiries by Pulte into mortgage applications
by prominent democratic enemies of Trump, which have also targeted California Senator Adam Schiff
and New York Attorney General Letitia James.
None of the three have been charged with crimes.
Cook issued a statement that, quote, President Trump purported to fire me for cause when no cause
exists under the law and he has no authority to do so.
I will not resign.
I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since
22. She has indicated that she is willing to fight the removal in court. The attempted firing is another
escalation in Trump's fight with the Federal Reserve, an independent federal agency he has nevertheless
been attempting to influence. Trump had previously privately indicated to Republicans in Congress that
he would likely try to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which he also likely can't do,
but later denied saying so. Trump has heavily criticized Powell, saying, quote, he's a
terrible Fed chair. I was surprised he was appointed, falsely claiming Powell was installed by Biden.
Powell first joined the Federal Reserve Board under Obama, and it was Trump who nominated Powell
to the chair position. Powell was reconfirmed under Biden in 2022 after his term expired.
Trump has also made unsubstantiated insinuations that Powell might have committed fraud,
related to a costly Federal Reserve headquarters renovation. Former Digital Assets Advisory
council director Bo Hines didn't spend long looking for work after he abruptly announced on August
9 that he would be resigning and returning to the private sector. Only 10 days later, the revolving
door flung him into a position as strategic advisor for digital assets and U.S. strategy for Tether,
an offshore stablecoin company that I've previously described as, quote,
the most wild west of the established stablecoin issuers. Hines had helped back the Genius Act,
which will largely dictate Tether's future operations in the U.S.
The bill also received a stamp of approval from Tether,
whose CEO stood in the background as Trump signed it into law.
Bloomberg reported a plan by a Bitcoin fugitive Roger Vare
to pay $30 million in hopes of securing a pardon from President Trump.
Vair was charged with tax fraud in April 2024
after allegedly evading around $50 million in expatriation taxes
owed after renouncing his U.S. citizenship, and is currently fighting extradition from Spain.
According to Bloomberg, Tether co-founder and former Mighty Ducks child actor Brock Pierce
schemed with Matt Argyll to pitch a plan for Ver's pardon in exchange for a hefty fee.
Quote, it's unclear whether Argoll and his associates had genuine connections to people with power,
much less the clout to persuade them that Ver's pardon was a worthy cause, writes Bloomberg,
noting that aside from a LinkedIn picture of him at a campaign event with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.,
Argyll doesn't, quote, appear to have any clear connections to Trump's inner circle.
Although Ver may have been interested in the offer early on, one of his lawyers may have warned him off,
opining that the claims of high-level connections seemed false.
Verr seems to have opted for more reliable lobbyists, like Roger Stone,
who I certainly can't argue lacks experience with presidential pardons,
Stone is, if nothing else, substantially cheaper than Argal, charging a mere $600,000 to lobby for, quote, ending the exit tax and reform of cryptocurrency tax policy.
Vair has also paid $30,000 for lobbying by Sterling Green's Tracy Ackerman on the same subject, as well as, quote, supporting the Make America Healthy Again or Maha agenda, and, quote, criminal justice reform for cryptocurrency related law enforcement and lobbying for the dismissal of charges against Roger.
In the States, Wyoming launched a state-backed stablecoin called FRNT, short for Frontier
stablecoin.
Quote, I don't know how exactly, but this ends with Utah buying Wyoming, wrote a blue sky
commenter.
In addition to giving us crypto-mega booster Cynthia Lummis on Capitol Hill, Wyoming has long been
hot for blockchain at the state level, including by welcoming decentralized autonomous organizations
or Dow's to set up shop there with a bespoke legal framework.
Illinois is taking a different approach, as Governor J.B. Pritzker has signed two
crypto-ante-fraud bills into law.
One is the Digital Assets and Consumer Protection Act, which gives the state's financial regulator
more authority over crypto firms and requires companies to implement cybersecurity and
anti-fraud measures.
The other is the Digital Asset Kiosk Act, targeting cryptocurrency ATMs, imposing
registration requirements and caps on transaction fees. It requires ATM companies to limit
transactions by new customers to $2,500 to limit damage from scammers who instruct victims to transfer
funds using the kiosks, and it requires companies to fully refund scam victims. When announcing the
laws, Pritzker slammed Trump for, quote, letting crypto bros write federal policy. Texas's utility
Commission has sued the state's Attorney General Ken Paxton after his office largely agreed with
journalists who appealed a decision to deny them access to data about cryptocurrency facilities
and their energy consumption. The Utility Commission's lawyers argue that the information can't be
released because, quote, this information could be used by terrorists to plan attacks on Texas's
energy grid and critical infrastructure. It's not clear how they plan to argue that this information is
any more sensitive than information about power plants, where similar data is publicly available.
Cryptocurrency miners in Texas and elsewhere have previously resisted attempts to gain more
insight into their energy consumption. In 2024, they blocked an attempt by the U.S. Energy
Information Administration to collect energy usage data. The EE made a second attempt to issue the
survey later that year.
In Elections and Political Influence
Political Fundraising is where we are very much.
ramping up for the midterms and the pro-crypto superpack fair shake is number one on the list of
super PACs by cash raised in the 2025 to 2026 cycle. They've received around $59 million so far
and have almost $120 million in cash on hand. This puts them ahead of all other super PACs, including
George Soros' Democracy Pack, Elon Musk's America Pack, the Senate Leadership Fund, and the Senate
majority pack. Most of Fairshake's contributions to this period are from Coinbase, $25 million,
and Ripple, $23 million. Among those excited about the crypto industry's massive political influence
are current powerful senators, like the Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott. Speaking at the
recent Wyoming Blockchain Symposium, Scott said,
I got to tell you, I mean, thank you to all of y'all for getting rid of Sherry Brown.
He's running again, by the way, but literally the industry put Bernie Moreno in the Senate.
Sherrod Brown, a Democrat from Ohio, was Scott's predecessor as Senate Banking Chair.
He's a longtime consumer protection and workers' advocate and earned a reputation as a skeptic of not just the crypto industry,
but also of Wall Street banks and other powerful financial players.
In 2024, Fairshake's largest expenditure was $40 million.
to support Republican crypto advocate Bernie Moreno, who defeated Brown and secured his own spot
on the Senate Banking Committee. Brown has recently announced he will run again, this time to replace
Republican John Hustead, who was appointed in 2025 to the seat vacated by J.D. Vance.
Fairshake may soon have more company than last election cycle. While in 2024, Fairshake operated
alongside the Democrat-focused protect progress and Republican-focused defend American jobs.
With all three packs essentially functioning as coordinated arms of the same operation,
a new set of crypto-packs have sprung up, including the Digital Freedom Fund, a super PAC.
Rejecting Fairshake's strategy of claimed non-partisanship, this pack explicitly supports Republicans
who will, quote, help realize President Trump's vision of making America the crypto capital of the world.
The newly formed committee has not yet filed any fundraising disclosures, but the Winklevoss twins announced a $21 million contribution.
There's also First Principles Digital, a hybrid pack.
This pack describes itself as a, quote, Republican-led, Republican-focused organization working to elect pro-crypto leaders to Congress.
It's affiliated with Cynthia Lummis, a Republican from Wyoming, and has raised $1 million this year so far, entirely from the Winklevoss twins.
except for a $5,000 contribution from Trump crypto advisor David Bailey.
First Principles shares leadership with the new America First Digital, a dark money group that
aims to, quote, help advance pro-cryptop policies and regulations, amplify the efforts of
industry champions in Washington, and support ongoing education efforts among key decision-makers.
The crypto industry has also launched a 501c3, so-called educational nonprofit, called the American
innovation project, which will focus on educating policymakers.
Although such groups must, by law, be cautious about engaging in only minimal lobbying
activities, focusing on non-advocacy educational initiatives, I am not confident this will
be carefully followed or policed. The group is backed by crypto companies including
Coinbase, Cracken, DCG, and others, and funded by DCG and the Cedar Innovation Foundation
Crypto Dark Money Group.
AI firms are explicitly naming Fairshake's massive spending blitz as a blueprint for their
own Super PAC, leading the future, which seeks to support, quote, pro-AI candidates.
The PAC has already received backing from AI companies and executives, like OpenAI's Greg
Brockman and Perplexity, and venture capitalists like Andresen Horowitz.
Outside the U.S.
As Binance is reportedly lobbying in the U.S. to prematurely remove its anti-money laundering compliance monitor,
Australia's financial crimes regulator has just ordered the company's local branch to appoint one.
The regulator stated that they had, quote, identified serious concerns with the crypto exchanges
anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing, or AMLCTF controls,
raising questions about how much the global exchange has actually done to rectify the
same problems that led to U.S. criminal charges almost two years ago.
The BitThum Crypto Exchange launched a crypto lending program in South Korea in mid-June,
quickly attracting around 27,600 customers. Within a month, 13% experienced forced liquidations
after crypto prices fluctuated. Korean authorities have announced they will suspend
crypto lending until guidelines are established. The Web 3 is going just great recap.
There were three entries between August 14 and August 27, averaging 0.2 entries per day.
$141.4 million was added to the Grift Counter.
Better Bank was exploited, though some funds were returned.
A bitcoiner was socially engineered out of $91 million,
and BTC Turk was apparently hacked again for $49 million.
In the News
Nieman Lab just published a profile of me and my work, titled Indeastern,
journalist Molly White knows how to follow the meme coin. It also includes an interview where we talk
about my crypto election spending tracker, the crypto industry's lobbying efforts, my broad views on
technology and tech criticism, how I follow and consume news and other media, and some of the
ins and outs of my own media operation. I also spoke to Mario Padiah at the 19th, which I love, by the way,
about the recent dildo-throwing incidents plaguing WNBA players and the broader crypto environment
from which it came. That's titled meme coins and misogyny, what the dildo-throwing trend at WNBA games
can teach us. That's all for now, folks. Until next time, this has been Molly White.
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