Morning Wire - America Votes & Blue Cities Board Up | 11.5.24

Episode Date: November 5, 2024

Americans head to the polls to choose the 47th President of the United States, Republicans hope to win control of the Senate, and big cities prepare for potential post-election mayhem. Get the facts f...irst with Morning Wire. Birch Gold: Text "WIRE" to 989898 for your no-cost, no-obligation information kit. Lumen: Get 15% off your Lumen at https://lumen.me/Wire Shopify: Get a $1 per month trial at https://www.shopify.com/morningwire Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:02 Americans go to the polls today to choose the 47th president of the United States. And it is my pledge to you to always put country above party and self, and to be a president for all Americans. After all, we've been through it together. We stand on the verge of the four greatest years in American history. How did Trump and Harris spend the final hours of their campaigns? I'm Georgia Howe with Daily Wire, editor-in-chief John Bickley. It's Tuesday, November.
Starting point is 00:00:32 5th, and this is Morning Wire. Republicans are hoping to rest back control of the Senate and fend off Democrats play for the House. This is a race between change and the status quo. I represent change. Which seats are the most likely to flip? And D.C. and other big cities are boarding up, preparing for possible mayhem after the election. Thanks for waking up with Morning Wire.
Starting point is 00:01:02 Stay tuned. We have the news you need to know. It's stressful knowing you can't control the election's outcome. But you can take control of protecting your savings by diversifying into gold with Birch Gold Group. Birch Gold will help you convert an IRA or 401k into a physical gold IRA, safeguarding your hard-earned wealth. Text Wire to 989898 to get your free, comprehensive info kit on gold investing. Trust Birch Gold, as I do, to protect your savings and secure your financial future. Again, text Wire to 9898-988 today. An unprecedented and tumultuous campaign season comes to an end, as Americans head.
Starting point is 00:01:44 to the polls to choose the next president of the United States. Joining us to discuss is Daily Wire Senior Editor Cabot Phillips, one of the Daily Wire's Election Night hosts. Here we go. So we've been prepping for this for months, and now Americans who haven't voted already are making some big decisions today. So first, how did Harris and Trump close out their campaigns? So they've both increasingly zeroed in, as you can imagine, on the few battlegrounds that
Starting point is 00:02:07 will decide at all. Harris held four rallies yesterday, all in Pennsylvania. If Trump wins there, as he did in 2016, it would likely be a nail in the coffin for Democrats. So they are going all in. As we've documented over these last few weeks, Harris's closing pitch has increasingly leaned on painting Trump as a fascist and a dictator. But it's interesting.
Starting point is 00:02:26 Yesterday in Pennsylvania, she really didn't talk much about Trump by name, opting instead to portray herself as the future. This is about a future with freedom and opportunity and dignity for all Americans. And so in this final stretch, Let us remember that we have a lot of work to do, and there is power in our work about reminding folks of their voice and the power of their vote. So remember, your vote is your voice, and your voice is your power.
Starting point is 00:02:58 So Harris spending her final day in Pennsylvania trying to fend off Trump there. How did the former president wrap up? So Trump was all over the country, blitzing through three battlegrounds yesterday alone. He held rallies in North Carolina, where he has about a two, Two-point Edge and Pennsylvania, where he stopped in Redding and Pittsburgh. He then capped off his campaign in Grand Rapids, Michigan, where, stop me if you've heard this, he and Harris are in a virtual dead heat. His final pitch was a simple one.
Starting point is 00:03:24 Your life was better when I was president. We're going to make our country so successful. We did it. We had the greatest, we had the greatest economy. You see the numbers. You see the charts. We did such a good job, but we'll do a much better job now because I know the people. Now, we've spent a lot of time digging into the polls.
Starting point is 00:03:42 the campaigns do their own polling, of course. How do they feel about their chances heading into today? Well, it's interesting. Throughout the last month, the Harris camp was giving off a sort of pessimistic vibe. There were staffers leaking to the press that the campaign's internal polling showed Harris behind in battlegrounds like Pennsylvania. And campaign spokespeople were much more measured, saying it would be a close race, but refusing to outright predict a victory. However, in the last week or so, there has been a noticeable shift as they've been pushing a far more optimistic message, saying the early voting numbers are solid
Starting point is 00:04:14 and that their internal polls show them winning over voters who are making up their mind late. Now, this is politics. That could very well be a campaign strategy. You know, they want to motivate voters on their side and maybe discourage those on the right. But it is notable. As for Trump's team, the phrase we've heard a lot from the campaign
Starting point is 00:04:30 is cautiously optimistic. Here's Trump campaign press secretary, Caroline Leavitt, on Fox yesterday. And our internal polls have President Trump leading in every single key battleground state. We are cautiously optimistic about a big victory tomorrow night as long as everyone turns out to vote. And we're seeing that people are turning out to vote. When you look at the early voting trends, President Trump and Republicans are leading these early voting trends in every single battleground state.
Starting point is 00:04:57 And urban turnout is down compared to where it was in 2020. Female turnout for Kamala Harris is down compared to those that turned out early for Joe Biden in 2020. Now, Leavitt mentioned early voting there. Where does that stand now? Yeah, the early vote numbers are just staggering. More than 75 million people have already cast a ballot early or by mail-in. And among the states, the report party affiliation, the breakdown for each side is remarkably close. NBC reports that 41% of early voters were registered Democrats, 39% Republican, and 20% unaffiliated.
Starting point is 00:05:34 Now, that is a potentially good sign for Republicans who usually lag far behind in mail-in and early voting. but many analysts on both sides are warning that it's hard to read too much into the numbers as they could simply reflect changing voting patterns and not necessarily Republicans surging. What is more eye-raising, however, is Republican gains in new early voters. We mentioned this yesterday, but Republicans have significantly outperformed 2020 and also gained major ground on Democrats, especially North Carolina, Arizona, and that key state of Pennsylvania. Part of the reason, no doubt that Harris spent her final hours there. Well, now it's up to the voters.
Starting point is 00:06:09 We'll be anxiously watching those numbers stream in tonight. Yes, go vote everyone. Cabot, thanks for reporting and looking forward to seeing you this evening on DailyWire's election night coverage. Any time. Your metabolism is at the center of everything your body does. And optimizing your metabolic health helps with weight management, improved energy levels, better sleep and more. Lumen is the world's first handheld metabolic coach. I love my Lumen.
Starting point is 00:06:36 I just breathe into it first thing in the morning and it tells me what's going on with my metabolism in real time. Take the next step in improving your health today. Go to Lumen.me.me slash wire to get 15% off your Lumen. That's L-U-M-E-S-Wire for 15% off your purchase. All eyes may be on the race for the White House, but voters today will get the chance to decide control of the Senate. Democrats have enjoyed a functional 51 to 49 majority over Republicans, but Republicans are hoping to flip it today. Here with one last breakdown of the Senate landscape is Daily Wire Deputy Managing editor Tim Rice. All right, Tim, we're really down to the wire. How are things looking in the Senate races? Well, there are 34 Senate seats up for grabs today,
Starting point is 00:07:22 but control of the Upper House could really come down to who prevails in a handful of extremely close races. And right now, Republicans seem to be pulling ahead in those races. First, there's one that isn't close. In West Virginia, where longtime Democrat-turned-independent Joe Manchin has retired. Republican Governor Jim Justice is running away with that one by 30 points. far closer race is in Ohio, where Republican Bernie Marino is leading Senator Sherrod Brown by just 0.4 percent, according to the real clear politics average. In Montana, Republican Tim Sheehe is leading incumbent Senator John Tester by around 6 percent. Tester and Brown have both tried to appeal to moderate voters throughout the campaign by distancing themselves from Biden and Harris,
Starting point is 00:08:02 and in recent weeks have even gone as far as claiming to agree with Donald Trump on things like fracking and trade. Trump tried at these senators in a post on truth social last month, and saying the Democrats have voted with crooked Joe Biden almost 100% of the time and only pretend to be on my side when elections roll around. Now, there's also a competitive race in Pennsylvania, which is, of course, a key swing state. What's the latest there? Right. Democrat Senator Bob Casey headed into today with a slight lead over Republican Dave McCormick, who spoke to the Daily Wire yesterday from his high school gym in Bloomsburg. McCormick had this to say about his opponent. Bob Casey's a 30-year career politician. He's been an elected officer. He's been an elected officer. for 30 years. He's the son of a high-profile governor, and he's lived off his father's name.
Starting point is 00:08:49 He's not entitled to this, he hasn't earned it. And he's voted on these extreme liberal policies that are simply out of step with Pennsylvania. So I say to people on the campaign trail, if you want change, vote for me. If you want the status quo, you should vote for Bob Casey. Most Pennsylvanians won't change. McCormick also weighed in on the presidential race, suggesting that Kamala Harris knocked Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro off the VP shortlist because he was Jewish. It's hard for me to imagine that he wasn't selected, at least in part, because he's Jewish. And there's an extreme wing of the Democratic Party, this anti-Semitic anti-Israel.
Starting point is 00:09:23 And I think that Kamala Harris looked at this capable man who she was probably worried might overshadow her, and also looked at the fact that he was Jewish, which would have certainly brought out some of the extremists in her party. And sadly, that's a sad commentary on the Democratic Party day, but sadly didn't have the courage to pick someone who would have been a more capable running man. One more Senate race to watch this evening, Wisconsin, where Republican Eric Havdy is taking on incumbent Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin. Baldwin has held the edge in most polls, leading by about two points on average. Huffdy joined Daily Wire editor emeritus Ben Shapiro earlier this week to talk about what he thinks is the biggest issue of his campaign, transgender
Starting point is 00:10:05 She gave our taxpayer money for a transgender clinic here in Wisconsin that does this with kids without parents' notification. She's behind pushing the change of Title IX, which the federal government's trying to force school districts to allow guys to play in girls' sports and the guys to go in girls' bathrooms and locker rooms. So she's behind that kind of stuff. But she's just a radical leftist. Now, before we let you go, how are the House race is shaping up overall? Yeah, we haven't really reported on that as much because it's, well, it's messy. Republicans have held a very slim eight-seat majority in the House, 220 to 212. We could see them end up with around the same edge this time,
Starting point is 00:10:50 or there's a real chance that Democrats could flip enough seats to clawback control there. Real clear politics lists about 40 of the seats as toss-up, while the Daily Wire has highlighted 10 races to watch. There's too many to go through all of them now, but some key states hold more. multiple competitive seats, including Arizona, California, Michigan, New York, and Virginia. So lots of possible movement there. It'll be interesting to see how the presidential race impacts these more competitive House and Senate races. If we see a wave for either candidate, we might see both chambers follow suit. Right, and with the House, there's room for a lot of surprises because
Starting point is 00:11:22 there's just not the polling. Tim, thanks for reporting. Thanks for having me. In major cities across the country, business owners have boarded up their windows, while multiple states have activated their National Guard. The moves come amid fear of unrest over the results of the election. Here to talk about what's being done to prepare for post-election riots is Daily Wire reporter Tim Pierce. So Tim, what are these officials bracing for? That could depend on who wins. Historically, Republicans don't have the same capacity for mob violence over elections that Democrats do. The obvious exception is January 6th, and yes, it included violence against police, property damage, and dozens of arrests. But listeners,
Starting point is 00:12:03 should keep in mind that the violence that day wasn't directed at random businesses. That's just not their MO. On the other hand, if you remember back to former President Trump's victory in 2016, that set off riots across the country. Thousands of people protested and shops in major cities were damaged and looted. Now, what specific preparations are being made? Businesses in major cities from Washington, D.C. to Portland, Oregon have boarded up their windows. National Guard troops have been activated in Nevada, Oregon, and Washington state. Nevada's Republican governor, Joe, Lombardo said that the National Guard troops would be limited to helping law enforcement secure polling places and directing traffic. Washington Governor Jay Inslee, a Democrat,
Starting point is 00:12:42 cited Homeland Security warnings of threats to election infrastructure in his order activating the National Guard. In Washington, D.C., some businesses in downtown are porting up, and authorities have erected fences around the White House and the Vice President's residence. After the 2016 election, riders set fires in San Francisco, burn Trump and effigy in Los Angeles, and rampage through downtown D.C., resulting in hundreds of arrests. The George Floyd riots of 2020 became the most expensive riots in U.S. history. The insurance industry paid out somewhere between $1 and $2 billion to cover damages. January 6 costs somewhere around $30 million.
Starting point is 00:13:20 Now, can we expect a crackdown to prevent this kind of rioting? Well, for protests that are connected with the right, there is a precedent for serious jail time. The Justice Department has prosecuted hundreds of people over January 6th, and scored some sentences as harsh as over two decades in prison. That said, in D.C. in 2016, hundreds of people were arrested, but not a single person was convicted. That wasn't because crimes weren't committed. They clearly were. But the activists charged over the damage coordinated their defenses to block prosecutors from building a case against any one activist. The activists themselves bragged about beating the Justice Department after the fact. Likewise, the George Floyd riots were largely
Starting point is 00:13:58 supported by the media in many institutions, which provided cover for the rioters. Even hundreds of medical experts made excuses for mass gatherings over Floyd that they would not condone for any other reason. So if passed his precedent, rioting over a Trump win will probably go unpunished. Right. Tim, thanks for reporting. Thanks for having me. Thanks for waking up with us and tune in this afternoon for DailyWire's election night coverage featuring several morning wire regulars, starting at 4 p.m. Eastern on DailyWire.com.
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