Morning Wire - Americans More Socially Conservative & Mall Exits San Francisco | 6.17.23

Episode Date: June 17, 2023

In a major reversal, more Americans are identifying as socially conservative for the first time ever, the Southern Baptists held their annual meeting this week, and a major mall owner exits San Franci...sco. Get the facts first with Morning Wire.  Genucel: "Extra 10% Off Summer Skincare Essentials Bundle – New Customers Only  + FREE SHIPPING https://genucel.com/WIRE" Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:03 In a major reversal, more Americans are identifying as socially conservative for the first time ever. We've really seen conservative groups, Republican groups, really zero-win on a lot of these issues in an effort to bring more voters into the fold. What's driving Americans to the right and how will this play into the so-called culture wars? I'm Georgia Howe with Daily Wire Editor-in-Chief John Bickley. It's June 17th, and this is a Saturday edition of Morning Wire. The Southern Baptists held their annual meeting this week, and they held firm on several controversial issues,
Starting point is 00:00:42 including who can preach from the pulpit. If you think every Baptist thinks like you, you're mistaken. And drugs and crime are driving more businesses to vacate San Francisco. This week, the parent company of a large downtown mall says they're giving up. Thanks for waking up with Morning Wire. Stay tuned. We have the news you need to know. A number of new polls show more. Americans identifying as socially conservative than at any point in the last decade.
Starting point is 00:01:17 Here with more on which issues are behind this trend is Daily Wire's senior editor, Cabot Phillips. Cabot, some interesting data this month. What are we saying? So each year, Gallup tracks sentiment on a number of social issues. And this year, they found that 38% of Americans now self-identify as socially conservative. That's the highest mark we've seen since 2012 and considerably higher than those identifying as socially liberal. That number is at 29%. For context, last year, 34%. For context, last year, 34%. percent identified as socially liberal, while 33 percent were conservative. And looking back even further, in 2020, social liberals were up 34 to 30. So that is a net swing of 13 points in just two years.
Starting point is 00:01:54 Wow. And if you look at party affiliation, the gains mostly come from independence and Republicans. In the last two years, there's been a 14 percent increase in the number of Republicans who say they're socially conservative, while we've seen a 5 percent spike among independence. Over the same time, framed Democrats have held steady at around 10 percent. And what about age? which age groups have shifted the most. Yeah, this part in particular is fascinating. The common thought is that young people are getting more and more socially liberal, but some of the largest gains have actually come from younger Americans. Over the last two years, the number of 18 to 29-year-olds identifying as socially conservative went from 24 up to 30 percent,
Starting point is 00:02:29 while it jumped from 22 to 35 percent among those 30 to 49, a 13-point jump in two years. And interestingly, over the same time frame, the number actually dropped one point among those 65-plus. So surprisingly, younger folks are actually the main driving force here. That is surprising. What issues in particular seem to be at play? Yeah, the big issue that appears to be driving people to social conservatism is transgenderism. While Americans are still fairly liberal on things like gay marriage, where approval sits at an all-time high of 71 percent,
Starting point is 00:02:59 and abortion, the majority still opposed GOP heartbeat bills, they're much more conservative on transgender issues. The latest Pew Research, for example, shows 60 percent of Americans believe gender is based on sex assigned at birth, In 2017, that number was 54%. Another poll from NPR found that just 24% of Americans support allowing transgender athletes to compete in women's sports. And a separate Washington Post poll this year shows that 68% of Americans oppose puberty blocking medication for minors,
Starting point is 00:03:26 while 70% say elementary schools should not discuss gender identity in class. So there's actually pretty broad support for a number of issues that GOP lawmakers have taken up in recent years. Yeah, we've covered a lot of those bills, including in Florida. So what's driving this shift? Well, these findings really contradict what we've seen historically. For the last few decades, social conservatism has been on the decline nationwide. That eight-point increase over the last two years is the largest on record by a considerable margin. So clearly something is going on.
Starting point is 00:03:55 Many conservatives say a big reason for the trend is that the left has essentially overplayed their hand on social issues, going well beyond what most Americans are comfortable with. And while large portions of Americans did get on board with things like gay marriage, The data shows the latest social justice movements from the left have actually driven people to the other side. Now, it is worth pointing out. There are those who say the culture more broadly has moved further to the left in the last decade. So today's social conservative would traditionally be considered a moderate liberal. So there could be a redefining of the term where people might consider themselves socially conservative by today's standards, simply because they don't approve of the latest social trends.
Starting point is 00:04:31 Now the question becomes if this is a temporary trend or a more permanent realignment. Well, time will tell. Cabot, thanks for reporting. Anytime. The nation's largest Protestant denomination held its annual meeting in New Orleans this week, and the decision to double down on retaining male-only pastoral leadership
Starting point is 00:04:51 has generated a lot of controversy. Daily Wire Culture reporter Megan Basham joins us now to tell us more about what went on at this year's Southern Baptist Convention. So, Megan, I think a good place to start for those who aren't especially familiar with the SBC is to explain what it is. Every year, massive headlines and media coverage
Starting point is 00:05:10 come out of this convention. Why is that? Yeah, very true. And there are a couple of reasons. So one, as John said, it is the largest Protestant denomination and the second overall, just behind the Catholic Church. It represents 47,000 churches and between 13 and 14 million members. And then its seminaries educate something like a quarter of all Protestants who go into ministry work. So that's really just a significant chunk of the population with a lot of influence. And I'll disclose, in fact, that I'm a member of a Southern Baptist Church. On top of that, it's also known for being politically and theologically conservative. Every year, the delegates to the convention, who are known as messengers, will vote on resolutions that tend to touch on social issues,
Starting point is 00:05:54 things like abortion, gun control, issues like that. And what do these resolutions do? Well, mostly they're just statements of opinion, but the SBC has a legislative lobbying arm, the Ethics and Religious Liberty Commission. And what it does is it uses those resolutions to press lawmakers for various policies. And so for that reason, a lot of political actors will try to cultivate favor within the SBC.
Starting point is 00:06:19 Mike Pence spoke to the convention in 2018. So have a number of past presidents, George W. Bush, Richard Nixon, among them. But I'd also say that political progressives have made some strenuous efforts to sway the SBC as well, and they have had some success. A couple of years ago, major sparks flew over a resolution that approved critical race theory as an analytical tool.
Starting point is 00:06:43 And then this year saw a resolution on immigration that asked for more open avenues for asylum seekers and also called for a pathway to legal status for dreamers. On the conservative side, a resolution passed unanimously that condemned gender transition procedures, especially for young adults and minors. and it condemned any laws that undermine parental rights in this area. So that would be speaking directly to that new California bill that requires parents to affirm whatever gender identity their child claims, for example. But the big drama this year was related to a pastoral issue. Exactly, that's right. So like the Catholic Church, the SBC has on paper been committed to reserving the pastorate
Starting point is 00:07:27 for men. But in practice, that had been shifting so that a recent study published by the American reformer, found that there were close to 2,000 women serving as pastors in the SBC. And the most famous SBC church with women pastors was Saddleback, which is Rick Warren's mega-church in California. Now, most people know Rick Warren as the author of the purpose-driven life. He gave the invocation at President Obama's inauguration, so just a very well-known figure. Well, a couple of years ago, he changed his mind on whether women can be pastors, and he started ordained. them. When he retired, he picked a husband and wife team to replace him. So the SBC had disfellowshiped
Starting point is 00:08:10 Saddleback, and Warren came to this convention to appeal. No one is asking any Southern Baptist to change their theology. I'm not asking you to agree with my church. I am asking you to act like a Southern Baptist, who have historically agreed to disagree on dozens of doctrines in order to share a common means. But that appeal did not succeed, and the 12,000 messengers present upheld kicking saddleback out. And then related to that, the convention also considered an amendment to add language to the SBC constitution that would state that churches that employ women as pastors cannot be a part of the SBC's association. This was messenger Sarah Clatworthy speaking to that.
Starting point is 00:08:57 Let those who affirm women in pastoral leadership attend the United Methodist convention where they will be welcomed with open arms. We should leave no room for our daughters and granddaughters in the generations ahead to have confusion on where the SBCC stands. Let them know that scripture is our authority and not the culture. And she was evidently pretty persuasive because the messengers overwhelmingly approved that amendment, though it will have to be passed by a two-thirds majority again next year to take effect. Well, it sounds like a pretty eventful year for the Southern Baptists. Megan, thanks for reporting.
Starting point is 00:09:40 Anytime. A major shopping mall company, Westfield, is walking away from their downtown San Francisco property. The mall owner's exit is the latest in a string of major retailers to abandon the city. Daily Wire investigative reporter, Marade Allardy, is here with the details. So, Marade, a mall is shutting down in San Francisco. Hi, Georgia. Well, the mall company, Westfield, set up.
Starting point is 00:10:05 on Monday that it will turn over Westfield San Francisco Center back to its lender. The lender will decide who will be the new operator of the indoor mall property. Westfield stopped making payments on its $558 million loan, and it has started the process of transferring control of the mall this month. Westfield announced a decision to abandon the property in a statement that cited, quote, challenging operating conditions in downtown San Francisco, which have led to declines in sales, occupancy, and foot traffic. The mall owner called it a difficult decision. The company said the San Francisco Mall has had unprecedented poor performance. You mentioned a drop in sales. How much money is Westfield losing?
Starting point is 00:10:45 According to a company's statement, in 2019, the Westfield San Francisco Center made $455 million in sales. In 2022, sales had plummeted to just $298 million. As far as foot traffic goes, San Francisco foot traffic was at about 9.7 million visits in 2019. In 2022, foot traffic dropped to $5.6. million visits. That's a drop of more than 42%. At other Westfield mall's foot traffic was only down 2% in 2022, so this property in particular is getting significantly fewer visits. So will the mall be closing? No, at least not yet. Westfield is abandoning the property, but it's possible another mall company will take over. But the mall lost almost half its stores
Starting point is 00:11:28 during the pandemic. About 45 out of its 97 total stores have left since 2020. Only 21 new stores opened in that time. So there are still a lot of vacancies, including some of the big anchor stores. Nordstrom decided to close their Westfield location last month, citing unsafe conditions and a lack of enforcement against rampant criminal activity. The tenderline is worse than Ukraine, worse than Afghanistan, worse than everything else. It's really, really sad. I've been here since 1972. It makes you want to cry. There's also less foot traffic downtown post-pastain. There's also less foot traffic downtown post-pandemic, which has hit these stores hard. Some of this is due to larger national trends,
Starting point is 00:12:10 like more people working from home and shopping online rather than brick-and-mortar stores. But in San Francisco, it's also exacerbated by the city's stubborn problems of homelessness, open-air drug use, and crime that dissuades people from coming downtown. As I mentioned, other malls were only down 2% in 2022, whereas Westfield San Francisco was down more than 40%.
Starting point is 00:12:30 Now, what are San Francisco officials saying about this? Well, here are some comments from Matt Dorsey. He's the supervisor for San Francisco's District 6 and represents the downtown area. Right now, San Francisco is dealing with a level of drug addiction and drug-driven retail theft and problems with street conditions. And we've got to get our arms around that. Well, it feels like one thing after another for San Francisco. Maraid, thanks for reporting. Thanks, Georgia. Hey, thank you for listening to Morning Wire. We created this show to bring more balance to the
Starting point is 00:13:04 national conversation. If you love our show and stand with our mission, consider subscribing, giving us a five-star rating, and most importantly, sharing our podcast with a friend. You can also now follow us on Twitter and Instagram. That's all the time we've got this morning. Thanks for waking up with us. We'll be back later this afternoon with an extra edition of Morning Wire.

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