Morning Wire - Inflation Defines The Election & Congressional Trading | 10.24.22
Episode Date: October 24, 2022Biden taps the oil reserves as inflation increasingly defines the election, newly released data shows the 2022 fiscal year was the deadliest on record for migrants crossing the southern border, and fe...wer than one hundred federal officials or their families engaged in over 80,000 stock trades over a 5 year period. Get the facts first on Morning Wire. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Two weeks until Americans decide who will control the House and the Senate,
and inflation has separated itself as the defining issue.
With the Biden administration scrambling to address spiking gas prices,
we look at the current state of the economy and its impact on swing state races.
I'm Daily Wire editor-in-chief John Bickley with Georgia Howe.
It's Monday, October 24th, and this is Morning Wire.
New data released from U.S. Customs and Border Protection
shows fiscal year 2022 was the deadliest year on record for migrants at the same.
southern border. We can be compassionate at the border, but you've got to enforce the law. And if you
don't return people, then this is what you're going to have. We break down the numbers.
And more than a decade after Congress passed legislation meant to curtail insider trading by
federal officials, a new investigation reveals that the problem may be as widespread as ever.
Thanks for waking up with Morning Wire. Stay tuned. We have the news you need to know.
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As inflation continues to hit new record highs and the cost of energy is spiking ahead of winter,
President Biden is making a controversial last-ditch effort to bring down gas prices before
midterm elections.
Here with the latest is Daily Wire senior editor Cabot Phillips.
So, Kavah, tell us about the latest move from Biden.
Well, after a summer that saw the highest inflation in gas prices in American history,
there was finally some good news for the White House over July and August as gas prices started
to come down into the early fall. But now they are shooting back up really quickly, and the White
House is clearly desperate to get them down before Election Day, for obvious reasons. A recent Trafalgar
poll shows that 54% of Americans say rising gas prices makes them more likely to vote Republican,
while just 32% say it makes them more likely to vote Democrat. Right, and that's where the oil
reserve comes in. Exactly. The president announced late last week the release of another 15 million
barrels from the nation's emergency oil stockpile. This is the final stage of 180 million gallon
release that the president promised back in the spring. Republicans say the move is more about PR
than actually lowering costs, given the fact that the country right now goes through 20 million
barrels a day. So, you know, 15 million doesn't really make much of a dent.
There was also some pushback on the president's attempt to lower gas prices by negotiating
with the Saudis. What do we know there? Well, we all remember Biden's now infamous meeting with the
Saudi crown prince where he was seen on camera fist bumping the country's tyrannical leader.
Well, the main point of that meeting was to convince the Saudis to hopefully increase oil
production in a bid to lower prices here in the States. But that meeting failed. As the Saudis and
OPEC announced earlier this month that they would go the opposite route and would actually start
cutting production by two million barrels a day starting in November, which is going to cause prices
to go up even more right before election day. So that was bad enough. But then the Saudis made a
pretty shocking claim last week. They issued a statement saying that President Biden had urged
the Saudis to wait until after November midterms to make that decision on oil and threatened
economic consequences if they did not. In their words, it was a ploy to avoid bad news ahead
of the election. Now, Republicans say that that constitutes a quid pro quo and that Biden was
basing foreign policy decisions on political whims. So not a good look. We know gas prices are
going to impact voters on election day, but zooming out, how
is the broader state of the economy impacting things now?
Well, we've talked plenty about national trends showing that many voters who earlier in the
year had listed social issues as their top priority now list the economy as number one.
The latest polling from Reuters, for example, shows that 44% of voters list the economy
as their top issue.
No other issue even cracked double digits.
But in those key battleground states, we're seeing even more evidence of the impact that
the weak economy is having, especially in states with Democrat incumbents.
So while Republican challengers in states like Nevada and Georgia can promise something new,
look, it's tough for Democrat incumbents to run on a message of, I'll fix the economy
when they were the ones in power as the economy tanked.
Yeah, you can see why that might not be as effective this cycle.
Yeah, and to that point, the latest polling does show that even the majority of Democrats
are now dissatisfied with the state of the economy.
So those more nominal Democrats, maybe the ones that aren't as likely to vote in off-year elections like this,
might be less motivated than usual to show up for their party.
And one final note here, the latest polling from CNN had two very interesting nuggets.
First, they found that in the most competitive congressional districts around the country,
Republicans not only held a 48-43 lead on that generic congressional ballot,
but among voters who say the economy is, quote, extremely important to their vote,
which is a sizable portion of the electorate, Republicans were up 26 points, 56 to 30.
Yeah, that's pretty sizable.
and clearly the economy is the defining issue of this race.
We'll keep following the latest developments.
Cabot, thanks for reporting.
Anytime.
That's Daily Wire Senior Editor, Cabot Phillips.
Coming up, migrant deaths at the southern border hit an all-time high.
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The Department of Homeland Security
released September's border numbers on Friday.
The data set several records
for the past fiscal year.
Not only is fiscal year 2022
the highest on record
for migrant encounters,
it was also the deadliest.
Here to discuss the latest border numbers
is Daily Wires Tim Pierce.
Tim, welcome.
Thanks for bringing me on.
So Tim, walk us through
what DHS released last week.
Sure, Georgia.
The Department of Homeland Security
released September's border numbers
on Friday evening.
It was the last month
in fiscal year 2022,
and it was a doozy.
The number of migrant encounters
at the border for the month of September tallied nearly 230,000. That's the highest tally for the
month of September on record. Because September is the last month of the fiscal year, the report
also included yearly totals. It turns out 2022 shattered records for both migrant encounters,
as well as migrant deaths. Total encounters for fiscal year 2022 were just shy of 2.4 million.
The number blows past the previous record of 1.6 million set just last year.
If you factor in the number of documented gotaways in 2022,
total migrant encounters for the fiscal year should be closer to 3 million.
Right.
Now, we've been tracking migrant encounter numbers pretty closely on this show,
but something you mentioned that we haven't discussed much is migrant deaths.
You said that 2022 was also the deadliest year on record.
What were those numbers?
Well, according to the data released Friday,
Border Patrol agents have recovered the bodies of over 850 migrants
who apparently died trying to cross into the United States illegally.
It's the highest number of migrant deaths in a single year at the border on record.
It includes migrants who died in all manner of ways attempting to enter the country,
often dehydration, heat, or drowning.
I should note that Friday's data also showed that Border Patrol arrested 20 known or suspected terrorists in September.
That brings the total number in 2022 up to 98.
For reference, the number of known or suspected terrorists arrested at the border in the prior five years combined was just 26.
So in light of those numbers, has the Biden administration made it?
any comment about what they plan to do at the border?
They have not issued a formal statement about the new numbers,
but that's not so surprising because 2021 also set records for these numbers,
and that did not spark much change and approach either.
The administration is primarily focused on processing migrants
rather than stopping them at the border.
Biden has tried to get more cooperation from governments such as Mexico
and caring for migrants, but he has had limited success.
The administration has made some changes around the margins, though.
For example, they eliminated a policy that Garrier,
guaranteed entry for migrants from Venezuela.
That policy seems to have had a significant impact.
After it was announced, the number of Venezuelan migrants stopped at the border dropped
from about 1,200 a day to around 150 a day.
Right, that seems to be very significant.
Now, DHS released this report at around 11 p.m. on Friday night.
Is it fair to say they did not want much press coverage of this issue?
Yeah, some reporters said the administration appeared to be slow walking the data's release
even before it was published.
The numbers received some attention over the weekend, though.
Congressman Henry Quayar is a Democrat in Texas
and one of the most vocal critics of the administration
on the left side of the aisle.
He said Sunday that the numbers showed
that the border is far from secure.
Here's Quayar talking to Fox News.
I saw the numbers from the Venezuelans
that dropped out.
I actually want them to do that to every country.
If we do that to every country,
the numbers will go down.
We will be able to control our borders,
and that's important to us that live along the border.
Well, Henry Quayer is also fighting to hold on to a very purple district in Texas,
and this is a very important issue for them.
Tim, thanks for reporting.
Thanks for having me.
That was Daily Wires, Tim Pierce.
A new report by the Wall Street Journal shows that some federal officials
are heavily engaged in trading stocks.
Often in industries or with companies, they oversee or help regulate.
Here with the details is Eric Eggers,
the co-host of The Drill Down with Peter Schweitzer,
who's been covering this issue.
So, Eric, first, why does it matter that federal government employees are buying and selling
stocks in high volumes?
So there's a couple concerns, but the overriding one is the idea that people are leveraging
positions to buy or sell stocks based on non-public knowledge.
The other is that the idea that government officials are supposed to be regulating certain
industries might favor a company if they hold stocks in that company.
And does this new report show that?
Absolutely.
From the records of the Wall Street Journal looked at, over 26,
500 federal officials own stocks and companies that were lobbying their federal agency.
This includes things like 200 EPA employees and their family members,
collectively owning between 400,000 or up to $2 million in shares of oil and gas companies on an annual basis, for example.
The Department of Defense employees or their families owned between 1.2 and 3.4 million of stock and aerospace and defense companies,
including some Chinese companies the United States was considering blacklisting at the time.
Some of the individual examples the report revealed are actually pretty bad also.
Yeah, walk us through some of those, if you would.
So a Defense Department official for Southeast Asia was buying stock in Chinese company Alibaba
while the Treasury Department was considering blacklisting the company.
Two weeks after the guy purchased the stock, when Alibaba wasn't blacklisted, their stock rose
4% and the official sold the stock immediately afterwards.
Another Department of Defense employee, this one's a scientist whose division was overseeing
the testing of F-35 jets, bought stock in Lockheed Martin, who makes the jets, weeks before
the Pentagon announced that they would be buying $1 billion more worth of those jets from that
company. Another example is a lawyer who runs the National Labor Relations Board's office in
Oakland was holding Tesla shares as her office was pursuing complaints against the automaker
Tesla and chief executive Elon Musk. And actually, while that investigation was ongoing,
she increased her holding in the company. Now, your team at GAI,
has been covering the issue of stock trades by federal officials for some time now, right?
Absolutely. Our organization was actually started after our president, Peter Schweitzer,
wrote a book called Throw Them All Out, which exposed how members of Congress were buying
and selling stocks and industries that they had committee oversight over. So the public outrage
over the revelations in that book and subsequent media coverage led to the passage of the Stock
Act, which required members of Congress to disclose their stock trades on a monthly basis.
And the Stock Act, that's the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act, that actually passed with bipartisan support.
So what happened here?
So that's really what's at the heart of this.
The act passed 96 to 3 in the Senate and 417 to 5 in the House.
So that doesn't normally happen.
But the problem is the act doesn't have a ton of teeth.
The year after its passage, Congress quietly removed some of the provisions relating to federal employee disclosures.
So as a result, you now have the activity that the Wall Street Journal is discovered.
And what about the members of Congress themselves?
So there are more disclosures for sure.
But, and this is interesting, the PDFs of those disclosure forms aren't searchable, which
makes real-time monitoring more challenging.
And last year, a series of investigative reports revealed that actually over 50 members
of Congress had violated the act by not disclosing the transactions in time.
And there's no evidence that actually been subject to any fines or penalties.
Definitely something that merits more looking into.
All right, Eric, thanks for reporting.
That's Eric Eggers of the Government Accountability Institute and co-host of the Drill Down podcast with Peter Schweitzer.
Other stories were tracking this week.
President Xi Jinping, China's most powerful leader in decades, was awarded a third five-year term as general secretary of the Communist Party on Sunday.
Author Salman Rushdie, a high-profile critic of Islam, is on the mend after an August attack.
But Rushdie's agents say the author has lost sight in one eye and has lost the use of one of his hands.
Rushdie was attacked by a man who rushed the stage at a lecture on August 12th.
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