Morning Wire - Trump Leads New Poll & Brazil’s Free Speech Fight | 9.9.24
Episode Date: September 9, 2024Trump leads again in the polls just days ahead of the ABC debate, the House GOP seeks to marry proof of citizenship to vote with government funding, and protestors flood the streets of Brazil. Get the... facts first with Morning Wire. Stamps: Get a 4-week trial, free postage, and a digital scale at https://www.stamps.com/wire. Thanks to Stamps.com for sponsoring the show! ZBiotics: The drink before drinking with ZBiotics. Get 15% off your order with promo code WIRE at http://www.ZBiotics.com/Wire Shopify: Get a $1 per month trial at https://www.shopify.com/morningwire Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Trump pulls ahead once again, and the last.
latest New York Times poll as both candidates prepare for this week's
make-or-break debate. What can we expect from each candidate and who has the most to gain and
lose? I'm Daily Wire, editor-in-chief John Vickley with Georgia Howe. It's Monday, September 9th,
and this is Morning Wire. So our entire election depends on the idea that the 20 million
illegal aliens who have been smuggled into the country that broke our border laws, that they're
going to tell the truth on a federal form. I'm a growing concern of a growing concern of the United States. I'm a
Growing concern over illegal immigrants voting in elections, House Republicans tied government funding
to a new measure requiring proof of citizenship to vote.
And the world watches Brazil as protesters flood the streets in support of free speech after the country
bans Elon Musk's social platform X.
Thanks for waking up with Morning Wire. Stay tuned. We have the news you need to know.
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With just two months until the presidential election, a slew of new polls is bringing bad news for Kamala Harris' campaign and comes just days before her first presidential debate.
Here with more is Daily Wire Deputy Managing editor Tim Rice. So what's going on with these polls?
Yeah, hey John, it was not a good weekend for the Harris campaign. A New York Times Sienna poll released yesterday found former President Donald Trump leading Harris 48% to 47%. Now, that may not seem to
like much, but bear in mind that Democrats generally need to lead by several points to be in a
position to secure enough electoral votes to win. Trump won in 2016 after trailing by a pretty
wide margin at this point in the campaign. And the more you dig into the data, the worst
things look for Harris. More than 60% of likely voters said that the next president needs to
represent a major change from President Joe Biden, but only a quarter say that Harris represents
that change. And 47% of voters say that Harris is too liberal, despite her re-recent,
efforts to disavow her past positions and rebrand herself as a tough on-crime moderate.
One other finding that's sure to have the Kamala camp on edge,
28% of likely voters said they needed to learn more about Harris,
while just 9% said the same about Trump.
That really raises the stakes for tomorrow night's debate.
Right, all the pressure's really on her tomorrow.
Now, that's not the only poll showing Harris behind, right?
Yeah, that's right.
Also yesterday, 538 pegged Trump's odds of winning the Electoral College at 63.
a new high compared to Harris's 36%.
The Harris campaign is working to manage expectations ahead of tomorrow's debate,
with campaign chair Genomalley Dillon reminding voters that Harris entered the race as a quote-unquote
underdog and that a lot can change between now and November.
The Trump campaign, meanwhile, is sounding very optimistic, with Trump's spokesman Jason
Miller declaring, quote, the honeymoon is officially over and Kamala Harris has been exposed
as a radical left individual who owns the destruction of our economy and,
our border. This is clearly good news for Trump, but is it maybe a bit too early for his campaign
to start celebrating? Definitely. Harris is still polling slightly ahead of Trump in Michigan,
Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, three battleground states that almost certainly will decide the election.
Remember, Trump likely just needs to win one, while Harris likely needs all three. The Wall
Street Journal reported yesterday that both campaigns are fighting to lock down the Latino vote in
Philadelphia, which could determine who wins the state. Biden carried Pennsylvania by just 80,000
votes in 2020, although Trump did make inroads among Philadelphia Latinos in the last campaign.
Of course, this week, all eyes are on Philadelphia for a different reason. How are the campaigns
preparing for tomorrow's big debate? The New York Times has reported that Harris has gone all in
on prep, holding up for five days in a Pennsylvania hotel on a mock debate set, facing off against
the campaign staffer dressed in full Donald Trump regalia.
Trump is taking a more informal approach, meeting with his advisors for quote-unquote policy time,
during which he brushes up on the same points he made in his first and only debate with Biden.
Trump will likely try to attack Harris on policy lines,
tying her to unpopular Biden-Harris administration policies,
and digging her for not articulating policy positions of her own.
Harris has reportedly decided to abandon Biden's strategy of attacking Trump as an existential threat to democracy
and will instead attempt to paint him as an out-of-touch elitist.
is shaping up to be a maker break week here, particularly for Harris.
Tim, thanks for reporting.
Anytime.
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House Republicans want to tie election reforms to a budget bill this month,
setting up a potential government shutdown battle.
The reforms would aim to block non-citizens from registering to vote.
Daily Wire reporter Tim Pierce is here to talk about the budget battle brewing on Capitol Hill
and the concerns over a legal immigration that's driving it.
Hi, Tim.
So first, what is House Speaker Mike Johnson after here?
Hey, John.
This could set up a high-stakes government shutdown fight just weeks out from the election.
Johnson and Republicans in the House want to use a stopgap funding bill to get the Senate to strengthen election laws,
in particular by requiring proof of citizenship as part of voter registration.
House Republicans in this session have prioritized election security, a major issue for former President Trump.
I would shut down the government in a heartbeat if they don't get it and if they don't get it in the bill.
Why are Republicans focused on a proof of citizenship requirement above other election integrity measures?
Well, the requirement is well suited for Republicans to tie it in with another high priority for them, the crisis at the southern border.
We've seen several states recently purge their voter rolls of thousands of non-citizens who somehow registered to vote.
Texas removed 6,500 non-citizens from its roles.
Alabama removed over 3,000. Louisiana removed about 600, including 138 non-citizens who appeared to have actually
cast a ballot in an election. Now, these may or may not seem like big numbers, but elections are often
decided by slim margins. Here's Florida Senator Rick Scott explaining that on Fox business last week.
We have got to make sure non-citizens don't vote. We just saw the way, Virginia, Alabama, Texas,
just cut off 16,000 people off their voter rolls that were non-citizens. My last election was won by 10
thousand votes. This is important. Now, these funding battles can be tricky to navigate. The party
perceived to be shutting down the government is typically the one that is punished in the next election.
That obviously makes this funding battle particularly risky ahead of a presidential election.
Here was Scott painting Democrats as a shutdown party if they don't support this requirement.
It's not us. We're saying we want to fund government. Now, we ought to do it through next year
so the next president has the opportunity to make sure he fixes the budget. And we ought to make sure
non-citizens don't vote. It's pretty simple. If Chuck Schumer doesn't believe in those things,
then let him make that decision. Now, we've seen more and more headlines about the immigration
issue recently and its impact on communities. What can you tell us about that? Right. We're starting
to see more and more pretty localized stories propelled into the national media because of how
alarming and sometimes just outlandish they are. We've reported several times now about the gang
activity in Colorado. Then there's what has happened in Springfield, Ohio. According to the latest census,
city is made up of less than about 60,000 residents. But local officials estimate that about 20,000
Haitians have moved in, mostly since the pandemic. And residents are complaining about what
those migrants have done to the community. Here's what one Springfield resident told the city
commission last month. I don't even want to seem like I'm coming down on the immigrants because
it's the people that's bringing them down here. Because wherever they're at, that's what they're used to,
bro. They're in the park, grabbing up ducks by their neck and cutting their head off and walking off with
It's been pretty shocking for many residents whose neighborhoods have dealt with an influx of these migrants.
We're hearing reports now from more communities across the country, seemingly every week.
Tim, thanks for joining us.
Thanks for having me.
Brazil's decision to ban the social media platform X sparked massive protests in the capital city of South Palo over the weekend.
Meanwhile, Kamala Harris's past statements on online censorship have come under increased scrutiny.
Daily Wire Culture reporter, Megan Basham, is here with more.
So, Megan, we reported last week that the Brazilian government shut down X because Elon Musk
wouldn't censor citizens' speech.
People are clearly up in arms about it.
What's the latest?
Well, Georgia, I can tell you that if you look at that video from Sao Paulo this past Saturday,
what you'll see is thousands of Brazilian citizens flooding the streets.
Now, estimates vary on just how many were there, but certainly you can see that main thoroughfare
of the Capitol completely packed on Saturday. So most of the protesters wore the green and yellow of
the country's flag, but you also saw quite a few sporting t-shirts and waving flags with Elon Musk's
face on them. So the protesters called this an Independence Day rally, and those who participated
said it was in support of free speech, of course, but also democracy more broadly. This was one of the
speakers, Gustavo Gaiere, a member of Brazil's Chamber of Deputies. We will never be
democracy, no matter what cost.
Enough hope.
Democracy in the world.
Learned datership.
Now, what about Brazil's former president, Jair Bolsonaro?
Obviously, he's a major figure in the protest as well.
Right, he is.
So Brazil's former right-wing president has very much made free speech,
one of his key issues ahead of the country's municipal elections that are coming this
October.
But officially, Bolsonaro has been banned from running again until 2030,
because of what the current administration claims was an attempted coup.
So for those who don't remember in January, 23,
Bolsonaro supporters stormed the Brazilian Congress and the presidential palace
after what they claim was a rigged election.
And that's part of why the current government under left-wing president, Lula,
says that online speech has to be policed,
because they say that's how Bolsonaro's supporters organized before
and because they say that incident proved that,
Bolsonaro is a threat to democracy. So you can really see some parallels to American politics there in
Brazil in the last couple of years. And that same judge, DeMores, who led the charge against Elon Musk and
X, also spearheaded a criminal investigation into Bolsonaro for some financial malfeasance and
allegedly falsifying his COVID vaccine records. Now, Bolsonaro has denied all of this and called the
investigation a witch hunt. And part of the reason many analysts say that,
the Brazilian government banned X was not just because Musk refused to censor speech,
but because he would not cooperate in censoring support of Bolsonaro,
so specifically political speech.
So some very eerie similarities there.
Now, we talked last week about how the Biden administration has stayed very quiet
about what's happening in Brazil.
Are there any new developments there?
You know, not yet.
So obviously, a number of news outlets have asked the White House for comment,
and so far they haven't provided one.
not even anything coming from the U.S. State Department.
And some former Bolsonaro officials are calling them out on that,
saying that the U.S., and I'm quoting here,
has a responsibility to be a reference point for democracy,
for rule of law, for freedom in the hemisphere.
What's happening in Brazil has really shined a light
on Kamala Harris's position on censorship.
When running for president in 2019,
she threatened to hold social media platforms accountable
if they didn't police or censor what she called,
called misinformation or hate.
And if you profit off of hate, if you act as a megaphone for misinformation or cyber
warfare, if you don't police your platforms, we are going to hold you accountable as a
community.
There are rumors that if Kamala Harris wins the election, she may appoint Minnesota's current
attorney general, Keith Ellison, to be USAG.
and he has clearly signaled his support for Brazil's decision to ban X.
Just last Monday, right after that decision came down, he tweeted this,
Thank you, Brazil in Portuguese.
The Trump campaign immediately responded,
calling Ellison a radical and a natural fit for Harris.
Well, unpopular political speech is exactly why we have the First Amendment.
Megan, thanks for reporting.
Anytime.
Thanks for waking up with us.
We'll be back this afternoon with more news you need to know.
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