Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - 4 Stocks We're Thankful For
Episode Date: November 25, 2022Cue the sound effect, it's time for our Thanksgiving Special! (0:21) Ron Gross and Jason Moser discuss: - Humble Pie (aka, stocks we were wrong about) - Stocks we're thankful for - Turkey stock...s to avoid - Financial topics we really hope don't come up this holiday season (19:11) We revisit our conversation Scott Galloway, author of the bestselling book “Adrift: America in 100 Charts” and discuss a potential rebranding for nuclear energy, and which CEO has created the most shareholder value. (37:20) Jason and Ron share two stocks on their radar: AMETEK and Taiwan Semiconductor. Stocks discussed: APPH, WD, SBUX, DIS, HD, COST, NKE, BRK.B, TSLA, BBBY, AME, TSM Host: Chris Hill Guests: Jason Moser, Ron Gross, Scott Galloway Engineer: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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A Thanksgiving tradition unlike any other.
Motley Fool Money starts now.
Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money.
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Fool Money radio show. I'm Chris Hill. Joining me in studio, Motley Fool senior analyst Jason Moser and Ron Gross.
Good to see you as always, gentlemen.
How are you doing, Chris?
It's our Thanksgiving special. We will give thanks for some stocks. We'll call out a few turkeys.
We'll revisit a conversation with bestselling author Scott Galloway.
And yes, we've got a couple of stocks on our radar, but it's our Thanksgiving special,
which means only one thing.
Dan, that's right.
It's the one show per year where we actually break out the special effects.
It gets me every year.
Let's start, Jason, with a serving of humble pie.
Because, you know, what's Thanksgiving without pie?
What is a stock or a business story this year that you were wrong about?
Well, we all need this. I think that you've made an incredible leap as an investor
when you can appreciate and actually look forward to making mistakes because you know
that you will get better from them. Chris, my humble pie this year, App Harvest,
a company that I've talked about before on this show, a company that I own, a company
that I've recommended, it has been a very, very disappointing performer since I recommended it
and purchased it. To be clear, and I want to make sure everybody understands this, I
am still keeping my shares, but this is one I clearly got in on far, far too early. For
those who are unfamiliar, App Harvest is in the business of controlled environment agriculture,
ultimately building these indoor farms in order to try to solidify and stabilize our
food supply. We saw that really take a hit here over the last few years. I do like what
the company's doing. But this was a company that was brought to the public markets via SPAC.
And we know how many of those SPACs have turned out. SPACs brought companies to us at a far
earlier stage in their lifecycle than probably we would normally see them. So it was exciting,
but it was also very easy to become a bit separated from the potential of where the
business could go in time versus where it actually was at that present-day moment.
So for me, the lesson learned, recognize where a business really is, what reasonable financial
expectations look like. It's not to say it can't or won't work out, but it typically will take a
little bit longer. Chris, SPAC me once, shame on you. SPAC me twice, shame on me.
Ron, what form does your slice of humble pie take?
For this one, I'm going to humbly choose the worst-performing stock in the instant income
portfolio, which is a portfolio of dividend-paying stocks that I put together each year for our total
income service. Walker & Dunlop, WD, is down about 40% since this portfolio was created
only eight months ago. It's likely, I think, to be fine over the long term, but this year
has really been brutal. They are a commercial real estate financial services company with
interest rates increasing and real estate falling. They've just taken it on the chin,
quite frankly. As CEO Willy Walker said on the most recent earnings call, in this rising
rate environment, every deal is under pricing pressure. Mortgage servicing has been hit
especially hard. As I said, I think it's going to be fine. Again, as Willy Walker said, the
pricing pressure is solely due to interest rate increases, and it will abate the moment
rates stabilize. Only 12X forward earnings, 3% yield. I humbly suggest I think we're going
to be OK. My humble pie is, it's not one stock,
really just the idea of my being very wrong in 2022 about former CEOs returning to their
original jobs. This happened earlier in the year when Howard Schultz came back to Starbucks.
I was saying, no, that's not going to happen. And recently, when Bob Chapek at Disney came
under fire, one of our coworkers said, do you think Bob Iger would ever come back and
be CEO?" And I said, no. And he said, what percent of chance would you give? And I said,
zero. Zero percent chance that Bob Iger is coming back. And yeah, fortunately, it's pie.
It tastes delicious. Flipping from humble pie to stocks we're thankful for. Jason, what
do you got? Well, I'm thankful this year gave me the
opportunity to buy shares in a company I've long admired, The Home Depot. We always talk
about our trips to better our homes. Home improvement is a massive market. Nothing really,
I think, going to get in the way of that. Near-term macro concerns have hit virtually
every corner of the market in some capacity. Even the biggest market leaders are feeling
the pressure. If you look at Home Depot, those shares are down close to 25% year-to-date
and trailing the market. But I actually think that has represented opportunity. There are
big tailwinds, obviously, in an aging existing housing market. You've got over half the homes
in the U.S. today are 40 years or older. A housing supply that still needs to catch up
with demand. Home Depot, to me, just stands out. It's an investment that I'm going to
enjoy owning for many, many years to come. Along those lines, Ron, I am also
thankful for a stock that I finally bought this year. Actually, two stocks that I finally
bought, Berkshire Hathaway and Nike. A-shares?
Not the A-shares. If so, after the show, can we talk?
My pockets are not that deep. But finally, after years of listening to you
talk about Berkshire Hathaway, I finally bought some B shares. Jason, for all of the times
you've talked about Nike, when it took a hit earlier this year, I thought, this seems like
an opportunity and I'm not going to let this one pass me by. Ron, what about you?
I wanted to pick a stock that I've recommended at The Fool and that I also own personally.
So when I scanned down the list of my stocks to see what my biggest winners have been,
Costco jumped out at me with a 1,000% return for me personally. Listeners will remember
that I've spoken about Costco many times, even recently on this show. Lots of admiration
for former CEO and founder Jim Senegal, created an amazing corporate culture. Current management
has continued that legacy. They're relentless about the value proposition for their customers,
especially that $1.50 hot dog and drink, which isn't changing anytime soon. I love the membership
model. I love the pricing power. I love the 90% retention rates they enjoy. I first bought
Costco back in 2008 when I first recommended it in our inside value service, for those
that remember inside value. Lots of nostalgia here for me, plus not too shabby of a return.
Bill Mann mentioned recently on the show, talking about Apple. Obviously, when
you think long-term about Apple, you're thinking about Steve Jobs. But Bill pointed out, you
look at the stock appreciation under the leadership of Tim Cook, and it far outweighs what the
stock did in terms of Steve Jobs and his leadership. Kind of the same thing with Costco. Jim Senegal
sort of set the tone, did such a great job leading that company. Craig Jelinek, under
his leadership as CEO, the performance of Costco shares is really pretty phenomenal.
Yeah, he took over something that already had this wonderful business model. He didn't
screw it up. He took it forward. We always say, the stock's not cheap, the stock's not
cheap, but yet the stock keeps moving higher. So, perhaps we're even underestimating where
a company as great as Costco is should be trading.
Ron, quick question, just your personal take on the matter. I'm sure you saw the
headline recently where Sam's Club is taking the price of their hot dog and soda down to,
what, $1.38? $1.38.
And they're one-upping Costco's $1.50. I would need to do a taste test. I bet
the beef is inferior, if it is even beef. Yeah, maybe they're turkey dogs.
More of our Thanksgiving special after this. Put down the leftovers and stay right here.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against,
so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris
Hill here in studio with Jason Moser and Ron Gross. It is our Thanksgiving special.
thank you for listening. Thanks for spreading the word on social media, for rating and reviewing
Motley Fool Money on whichever platform you're listening. It's the kind of thing that helps
other people find the show, and we appreciate it. So, thanks for doing that. Thank you to our
radio stations across America that broadcast our show every week. And we're thankful for
listeners like Rich Smith, who dropped an email to say the following. Thank you for all the content
you provide. It means a lot more to me this year because I'm currently serving overseas.
I'll be spending Thanksgiving 2022 with my military family, but seeing the new episodes
of Motley Fool Money show up in my podcast feed helps to pass the time a little more easily.
Shout out to everyone else serving our great nation and away from their loved ones. Be safe,
take care of each other, and stay connected. Sincerely, Rich."
Wow. Such a great note. Thank you, Rich.
Thank you so much for doing it. Thank you for your service as well.
Absolutely. All right, let's get back to using the sound effect more. With Turkey
stocks, this is more forward-looking. This is a stock to avoid. And I want to point out,
I looked at the list of stocks we talked about on last year's Thanksgiving special,
and we did right by the dozens of listeners. Because last year, we said, stay away from
Peloton, stay away from Zillow, and Avis Budget Group. All three of those stocks down in the
past 12 months, and down worse than the S&P 500. So, I feel like we did our listeners a solid.
Ron, a turkey stock that people should stay away from?
It's got to be Bed Bath & Beyond, Chris. This is a stock you and I have owned on and
off over the past year, 18 months or so. I think we may even have made some money on it,
Thanks to the Wall Street Bets crowd, perhaps. Thank you! Shout out to the Reddit community!
But now, I think it's permanently impaired, and I think it's time to stay away.
I know it's tempting to take a shot at a stock when it's $3 a share, when it was at $30 sometime
over the last year. Even if it gets back to $10, you'll hear people say, that's a triple.
How hard could it be to get back to $10? Well, Chris, I think it's likely more of a zero
than it is a $10. The meme stock, folks, notwithstanding. I can't predict that.
My original hope was that new CEO Mark Tritton was going to turn this around. He did not.
He went in all-in on private label. He did sell off some non-core assets, which I appreciated,
but his merchandising strategy, which he was really famous for over at Target, just really,
really fell flat. He is no longer at the company. They're closing 150 stores. They're reducing
costs, moving, thankfully, to a national brand merchandising strategy, trying to firm up
relationship with vendors. But most importantly, it's trying to firm up its balance sheet so
it has time to execute the turnaround. $3.4 billion in debt. Bankruptcy is a real ... it's
not out of the question here. It's a real challenge. We have to keep an eye on it. It's
too risky for me. I think I'm going to stay away. I recommend others do as well.
There was so much there, Jason, and yet I think the pull quote for people online is
going to be, I think the business is permanently impaired. It's like, boy, it is tough to bounce
back from permanently impaired. What about you? What's a stock to avoid?
Yeah, I know this will probably send a few of the diehards in my direction. To me, Tesla
is one. I've never owned Tesla shares before. Obviously, it's had a tough year. Stocks down
somewhere around the neighborhood of 50%. But it seems like everything's down 50% this year.
But again, I look at Tesla, the valuation for me has never really fully made sense.
It's 10X the market cap of a Ford, for example, yet Ford brings in double the revenue.
Now, I understand, of course, that will change. Tesla is growing. But we always talk about,
well, is it a car company? Is it a battery company? Is it a power company?
Maybe it's going to be a metaverse company. It's like Razzles. First it's a candy,
then it's a gum. Personally, this really boils down
for me to leadership. It really boils down to, I just do not feel good about all of these
things that Elon Musk is doing. The Twitter purchase, you got him SpaceX, the Boring Company,
whatever else he wants to do. He's recently testifying in court that he doesn't want to
be a CEO at any company. It seems to me very difficult to have any faith that you can really
trust what this guy is going to do. I'm not saying that Tesla is permanently impaired.
Don't get me wrong there. But it does feel like, to me, there are a lot of catalysts
on the horizon, in the near term at least, that could take this stock lower. Again, it's
not to say don't own it. If you like it, great, good on you. But it just feels like things
are going to get worse before they get better. First of all, I love the voice that
you did, because that is the voice I always imagine when people are like,
you don't get it, man. You're not looking at this company the right way.
Did you buy some Bitcoin? No, I didn't get Bitcoin. You just don't get it, man.
Second of all, on a more serious note, I'm just looking at my own notes, and I just
jotted down, before coming in the studio, I just wrote down for A Stock to Avoid,
I wrote, Tesla, and then a hyphen, and then I just wrote, the CEO is very distracted.
And on a more serious note, I have to go back to something Bill Mann said recently on the
show about management. He was talking about small businesses and how he looks at management
and how important that is when a business is smaller. And then as a business grows,
he continues to look at management, but he looks more at, what is the team underneath,
in some cases, a founder, CEO, that sort of thing. And that's the sort of thing that I
When I look at Tesla, there are other companies too, I don't want to just single out Tesla,
but Tesla is one of those companies where I just look at it and I think, well, what
is the bench strength? Who are they relying on? It really is true, Ron. We were talking
earlier about Apple. Part of what enabled Steve Jobs to do what he did was, he had an
amazing operator in the form of Tim Cook who he could rely on for all of the operational
parts of the business. Tesla, I think one of the best things Musk could do, not necessarily
step down as CEO, but just set up a structure where he's delegating a lot more.
Delegating, for sure, but make no bones about it, this is his company. All you have
to do is listen to the trial going on now about his pay package, where they basically
said we needed to figure out what we were going to do to keep him because he's the company
and if he walked away, we'd be in trouble. Maybe if he steps down, they could
bring in Bob Iger. Where do you think we go from here? I know
we are a month away from our 2023 preview. But just thinking about management, it really
does seem like everything is on the table, both in terms of the question of whether or
not we go into recession and what challenges businesses have, what the leaders of these
businesses are dealing with. I guess where I'm going with this, Ron, is, it seems like
a particularly rough time to be a public company CEO.
Oh, yes. Taking away guidance, hurting people with poor guidance, not having good
visibility into your own business. After all, who should have more visibility than the leader
of a company? It's a rough time, for sure. Supply chain disruptions notwithstanding,
that makes it even worse. Alright, before we go to break,
something we started doing a few years ago, a little something I like to call,
not at the table, just a business or investing story you're just hoping does not come up this
holiday season, Ron. All things crypto. Now, last year,
when everyone thought they were a crypto genius making money on everything from Dogecoin to
digital picture of apes, I especially didn't want to talk about it then. I don't want to talk about
it now, even though those same people are wringing their hands saying, oh, gosh, what happened?
There's a lot of real people losing a lot of real money. It's not that funny, but I
just don't want to go there. Leave it off of my table.
I'm looking at my notes, Jason. I just wrote down one word, crypto. What about you?
Well, crypto definitely comes to mind. It's not something where I consider myself
an expert by any means, but I sure as hell don't want to talk about it either. People
are going to think I'm piling on here. Enough with Elon Musk. Just for a day. He bought Twitter,
He closed the deal. He owns it now. He's tweeting all the time, and that's great, even more
so than usual. Matter of fact, I think there's probably a relation to how many tweets he
offers out a day versus a decline in Tesla's share price.
There's also a crypto link there with him as well. It's all things lead back to Musk.
I'm sure he's going to do something in the next couple of months that's going to
warrant another headline and us to talk more about, oh, can you believe what he's doing now?
But one day, let's give it a rest.
Yeah, I don't know that your wish is coming true.
In my house, it will.
We just got to turn all things over to Charlie Munger. Charlie, what do you think about crypto?
Charlie, what do you think about Tesla? Charlie, what do you think about Musk? Just whatever
Charlie says. He's not on Twitter, but is there someone
who's just tweeting out Mungerisms? Because that would be amazing.
I'm pretty sure there is. Yeah, there's Mungerisms.
All right. Jason Moser, Ron Gross, guys, we'll see you later in the show for Stocks on Our Radar.
But up next, we've got a conversation with bestselling author Scott Galloway.
So, stay right here.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. Scott Galloway is a professor at the NYU
Stern School of Business, host of a popular podcast, and the author of several bestsellers,
the latest of which is Adrift, America in 100 Charts. Earlier this fall, I caught up with
Galloway and started the conversation by asking how he got the idea for his new book.
Well, I'm fascinated by charts and trying to communicate information with images and visuals.
We've had an alphabet for 1,500 years, but we've been interpreting actions and taking instruction through images for tens of thousands,
whether it's paintings on cave walls or trying to figure out when to plant the crops based on the height of the sun in the sky.
We can process information communicated through visuals six to 60 times faster.
And I've always over-invested in everything I've done in finding someone exceptionally creative to help display information visually.
I always say, with everything we put out, a podcast, well, that's actually not true, not a podcast, but a book, a video,
I always say, can we say this with an image as opposed to words?
And we've produced several thousand images across our body of work over the last decade.
And I thought, if you were to try and pick the hundred most illuminating or shocking or insightful,
and then group them or cluster them into themes that told a story, how would you do it?
And so there's narrative.
It's basically the book is laid out, a chart, then a page of narrative, then another chart,
and it tries to tell a story around, A, some of our biggest problems,
and then I save the last chapter for what I think are some potential solutions.
The process you just described reminds me a little bit of a documentary filmmaker
who has, in some cases, 70, 80 hours of footage and tries to distill it down to maybe 90 minutes
or two hours. How challenging was the process of getting it down to 100 charts? Because certainly,
if I was your publisher or your publicist, I would very much be focused on a nice round number
like 100. Yeah, it's definitely a phenomenon. If I'd had more time, I would have written you a
shorter note. The hard part wasn't what to include. It was what not to include. And we literally have
several thousand charts and I sort of backward integrated and I said, what are, I think are the
biggest issues facing America and that people aren't, or that are sort of underreported or if
you will, many of them and, and then what charts best illuminate the issue. But the hardest part
is finding that narrative and that arc, that, that story arc that tells a story with them and
then trying to bring it all together. That's the hard part. The hard part is the clustering and
the sorting. You can find the ingredients, but somebody really intelligent figured out, oh,
chocolate and peanut butter actually go really well together. And so, yeah, that was the hardest
part. But it's something, you know, this was fun. This stuff is fun. Writing a book is the hardest
thing I do professionally. There's supposedly a hormone that comes over women right after child
birth that gives them amnesia. Otherwise, they would never have more kids because it's so painful
and unpleasant. And I think there's a similar process with writing a book. This is my fourth
book. About halfway through every book, you think, why the heck did I agree to do this again?
And so, right now is the euphoria stage. You get to the end of the book like never again. I get to
speak to smart people like you. I get to have fun. People are nice to me on Twitter and LinkedIn.
And all of a sudden, I can feel that amnesia washing over me. And already, we're like,
well, what's the next one? So, yeah, we'll see. When I think about your first book, which is
about Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Google, was that book, as you were writing this one,
was that book, I don't want to say a North Star, but was part of the process of putting this book
together, looking back at that first book about big tech and essentially saying, I want to update
what I wrote before? There were some similarities. For example, in the four, my publisher didn't
want charts. The conventional wisdom, when you put charts in a book, it feels like a textbook
and it won't sell. We said no. I think we have 30 to 50 charts in the four. I just think sometimes
it's just much more illuminating to show the dominance of these companies graphically.
The difference, the major contrast though versus the four is I started the four as a love letter
to these companies. They are the largest recruiter out of my class at Stern. I have a decent
amount of economic security because I've owned their stocks for a long time. I love their
products. And then as I really dug into the research and kind of marinated in the data
around these companies, the book turned, morphed into a cautionary tale. By the end of writing
the book, I was just like, you know, it was kind of like, for a moment, when you write
a book, the day you finish the book, you feel like for a few minutes you know more on that
topic than anyone in the world. And then a few minutes later, you don't, because things change.
But I felt like I was the kid who could see dead people. And that is, I thought,
these guys are scary. People don't realize. People don't remember when I wrote The Four in 2017,
the only debate about The Four was who was going to be president, Jeff Bezos or Sheryl Sandberg.
The general assumption was Sheryl Sandberg was the lock on for governor of California,
and then going to be Bloomberg's running mate, and then be president.
And we were just all so enamored with these companies, including Mark Zuckerberg.
And I generally, for a moment, I'd like to think I saw the externalities a little bit
sooner than some other people, just by looking at the data.
This book, Adrift American Under Charts, I started out very pessimistic.
Polarization, failing young men, income inequality.
There's just some rise of the shareholder class, decline of the middle class.
But by the end of the book, I felt much more optimistic because I think one of the major
messages I'm trying to get across in the book is the biggest problems we're facing are of
our own making, and we can absolutely unmake them.
And I have a chapter in the book called The World We Made.
And if you look at the things we have faced down, if you look at the things we have pushed
back on, if you look at the things and really bad ideas that we have defeated, there's nothing
we're facing now that we can't defeat.
There's this great photojournalist, I think her name is Mariana Amalo. She's colorizing
World War II photographs. There's this wonderful photograph of an allied landing craft that's
just front skate. It's just dropped. There are a couple dozen young men. Their average
age was 26. Their average wage was $800 a month after inflation, wading towards Omaha
Beach, and two of three of those men would not leave that beach alive. I imagine them
turning around and somehow, through some space and time, Loki-like metaverse wormhole can
see what's going on in our lives. We say, oh my gosh, we're facing income inequality,
we're facing polarization in our media. I can't imagine they wouldn't say, you can't
fix that, look what's waiting for me on the beach. Look what I'm about to sacrifice and overcome.
And whether it's coming up with vaccines that saved one to two million American lives,
by most estimates, no one's waiting in line for Russian or Chinese vaccines.
Whether it's 50% of global philanthropy is sponsored by American organizations,
and we've taken world poverty down. The World Health Organization in 1970 said,
let's commit to cutting it in half in 40 years. They cut it in half in 20 years,
and then they cut it in half again. Most of this has been American-led.
I actually came out of this book, started down and started at half empty, started at half full,
come out of the book actually quite optimistic about America and our ability to face down these
challenges. I was going to say, you end this book on a very hopeful note. For anyone who might be
thrown off by the word adrift in the title. You end the book with, I think, a great deal of
optimism. And as you touched on recommendations for specific remedies, things like simplifying
the tax code, the one that really caught my attention was rebranding nuclear. And I'd love
to have you share a little bit more about this, because I think this, among other things, relies
on your expertise as a professor of marketing. But when I was reading that, I thought, oh, yeah,
nuclear power really could use a rebrand. Well, think about Hollywood and how it portrays
electric vehicles or wind and solar. These are generally like the ultimate boyfriend in a
Hallmark Channel movie is a guy who owns a solar farm or installs solar panels or
our heroes, our innovators coming up with electric vehicles. Think about Hollywood and
nuclear power. Start with Monty Burns on The Simpsons. The evil guy owns the nuclear power
plant. Or there's that incredible docudrama Chernobyl. Or there's the China syndrome with
Jack Lemmon, where we're going to burn a hole through the... Hollywood has done a great job
but basically Nazis, then South Africans during apartheid, they always find a bad guy,
then the Taliban, and nuclear. Nuclear is the corporate bad guy, maybe only second to tobacco
executives. I'm not an expert on energy, but it strikes me that if you look at the fact that one
power plant or one reactor can power a city the size of Philadelphia, when you look at the actual
number of fatalities stemming from 50 or 60 years of nuclear. When you look at the fact that
we are arguably funding a war in Ukraine with fossil fuel dependence, it just strikes me that
any serious, and then you also quite frankly, just look at the relative efficiency or inefficiency
of some of the cleaner sexier technologies, wind and solar, just how much of it we'd have to build
to replace fossil at the rate we want. I would argue that most data leads you to any serious
conversation around the type of pace and cadence we need to establish to turn back climate change
has to involve a sober conversation around nuclear. And that's not to say there aren't
risks. That's not to say there aren't externalities. But the emissions, I think the
total nuclear fuel spent from U.S. nuclear power plants could be put in cement casings six feet
high and cover a soccer field. Now, it's dangerous stuff, and you've got to be really careful
with it, but that's nothing, I believe, compared to the emissions of most other, especially
fossil fuels. Some very bright people, including Bill Gates, and some people I really respect
are saying, yeah, let's start calling it elemental energy. There's some interesting conversation
now around whether we put out plans to mothball some plants in California. Germany is thinking
maybe they don't unplug their plants. But I think nuclear and the advances in nuclear
are really interesting. Even some of this new technology where you can have a mini plant
the size of a Winnebago that can power a fairly sizable town, or even something the size of
a backpack that can power a neighborhood. I'm actually really excited about nuclear.
I think it offers a solution. Sometimes the most obvious solutions are right in front
of you. Bill Gates is someone you referenced
in an article you wrote recently for The Atlantic entitled America's False Idols, really about
tech entrepreneurs. One of the things that caught my attention in the article was
the number of times a company founder lists his name in the S-1 filing, which seems like it might
be a new exercise for investors to just go through the S-1, see how many times someone like Adam
Newman lists himself in the WeWork IPO paperwork. I'm curious though, Scott, if you look at
the follow-on leaders of companies differently, if you look at someone like Tim Cook differently
than Steve Jobs or Andy Jassy different from Jeff Bezos, because, I don't know, they don't
have everything that comes with being a founder attached to them. And instead, they are an
operator. Yeah, so there's a lot there. The idolatry of innovators. And by the way, if I
wrote that article again, I probably wouldn't include Bill Gates in that imagery, because
I actually think Bill Gates is doing really good work. And I have a lot of admiration for him. And
I think we could do worse than have the wealthiest people in the world with the same foci as Bill
Gates. But anyways, having said that, the charismatic storyteller leader has been a
key component of any of these companies that have accelerated from zero to half a trillion
dollars or more. That is their ability to articulate an incredible vision, whether it's
Steve Jobs and his showmanship, or Jeff Bezos' 1997 investment letter where you read the
thing and you just want to buy shares, or Adam Neumann, who I've been on stage interviewing
before, who's just incredibly charismatic. You just want to be around him and a part
of what he's building. That ability, that competence of a CEO to articulate a really
compelling vision such that they attract cheap capital, and basically, to use another World
War II reference, overwhelm the enemy with brute strength, that's what capital is. Typically,
the company in any sector that has access to the most capital, the cheapest capital,
the odds-on favorite to win. A really compelling CEO who can raise a lot of capital, well ahead
of the curve, and pull the future forward with that capital, that can buy amazing things,
plans, property, IP, people, wins. What's unusual about it, you brought up Tim Cook.
He's an exception. Tim Cook has added more shareholder value than any individual in history.
People might say, what Steve Jobs did, taking a company from zero to $300 billion was more
difficult. But nobody has taken a company from $300 billion to $2.5 trillion. Tim Cook has added
$2.2 trillion in shareholder value. No one has ever done that, accomplished that. And he's a
supply chain guy. And I don't know if it says as much about the difference in CEOs, because I still
think at the end of the day, they are spokespeople. And when you listen to Tim Cook in his own way,
he just kind of reeks of credibility and integrity. And the performance is just so
outstanding. I think the jury's still out on Andy Jassy. I don't know if he brings the same level of
compelling vision storytelling as a Jeff Bezos. And I think that's still TBD.
But I think this Elon Musk weaponizing or leveraging whatever the term is, Twitter,
with 90 million followers, and as a result, spends almost zero on traditional marketing,
General Motors has to spend $2 billion. The storytelling, visionary, charismatic CEO
has become the criteria for a CEO. They've become our new heroes. We have an idolatry of dollar,
and specifically tech CEOs. Every third year, Times Person of the Year just picks the richest
tech person. I think it's a phenomena, talking about the book, the idolatry of innovators is
nations become wealthier and more educated. Their church attendance and reliance on a superman goes
down. But we need new idols. We need to look to people who can answer the unanswerable.
And technology is the closest thing we have to sort of mysticism or magic or spirituality,
because my iPhone can do amazing things. I have no idea how it works. So Steve Jobs kind of is
the information age Jesus Christ. And I would argue Elon Musk is kind of taking that mantle.
And it leads to some very unhealthy places. These firms aren't regulated the same way other
firms are regulated, and these individuals are given a wider berth than any leaders in history.
And unfortunately, I think of wallpapers over things such as teen depression or organizing
insurrection. And my last point, and I'll stop those words out, there's an illusion of complexity
that's fomented by these companies that these are big problems we can't figure out. And yet,
you remove one account from Twitter and 30% to 60% of election misinformation goes away in one
night. Amazon gets critic-bombed on their Lord of the Rings series, where people are showing up
and making incendiary comments and fake comments. They close the comments section down, they use AI,
they enforce identity, they post it 48 hours later, and the comments are legitimate and have
more veracity. So, they figured it out in 48 hours, but Meta and Google throw up their arms
and say, these problems are too big. No, they're not. We're not talking about the realm of the
possible, we're talking about the realm of the profitable. So, they create this illusion of
complexity to try and stave off what are fairly obvious solutions and actions they should take.
The book is Adrift, America in 100 Charts. It is out now and available wherever you find books,
so pick up a copy. Scott Galloway, always great talking to you. Thanks so much for being here.
Chris, thanks for your good work.
After the break, Ron Gross and Jason Moser are back with a couple of stocks on their radar.
This is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in studio with Jason Moser and
Ron Gross. It is our Thanksgiving special. We have just enough time for radar stocks.
not going to hit you with a question. That's how little time we have. Ron, what's on your radar?
Going back to Taiwan Semiconductor, TSM, Pure Play Semiconductor Foundry,
shares are almost 25% cheaper versus the last time it was on my radar, on March 18th. Big news
is that Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a purchase of $4 billion of Taiwan
Semi stock. China, global economic slowdowns are the main risks here, but it looks cheap to me,
plus you get a 2.2% dividend yield. Jason Moser, what are you looking at?
Yeah, it's the $30 billion market cap company you've never heard of, Amatek. That's right,
ticker AME. Amatek is a global manufacturer of high-tech industrial solutions that play
an important role in many important and growing markets. They generate revenue through products
marketed and sold via electronic instruments and electromechanical. Think thermal management
systems. Dan, think things like precision manufacturing systems. They serve industries
like semiconductors, aerospace and defense, healthcare, and their primary strategy is
growth via acquisition. Identifying small leaders in small niche markets, acquire them,
bring them under their umbrella, and maximize those efficiencies, grow the business.
I've never heard of this company. Dan, what do you want to add to your watch list?
I'm not entirely sure that Jason's company is real, so I'm going to have to go with Taiwan's
Semiconductor. That's going to do it for this week's
Motley Fool Money radio show. The show is mixed by Dan Boyd. I'm Chris Hill.
Thanks for listening, and we'll see you next time!
