Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - A $2 Trillion IPO & the Space Economy
Episode Date: April 3, 2026Oil has soared to $110 per barrel, but hasn’t hit the economy yet. We discuss why and than get to the hottest IPO ever, SpaceX, and what the future of the space economy might look like. Travis Ho...ium, Lou Whiteman, and Dan Caplinger discuss: - Oil markets - SpaceX’s $2 trillion IPO - Our mini-portfolio - Stocks on our radar Companies discussed: TransDigm (TDG), Truist Financial (TFC), Rocket Lab (RKLB), QXO (QXO), Nelnet (NNI), Booking (BKNG), Moderna (MRNA), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Microsoft (MSFT), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B), Alphabet (GOOG), Uber (UBER), Intuit (INTU), Workday (WDAY), Disney (DIS), Nike (NKE), McCormick (MKC) York Space Systems (YSS). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Lou Whiteman, Dan Caplinger Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Oil continues to climb, but is there any relief in sight?
Motley Fool Money starts now.
Everybody needs money.
That's why they call it money.
The best things in life are free, but you can give them to the birds and bees.
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm Travis Hoyum, joined today by Lou Whiteman and Dan Kaplinger.
And guys, we're going to get to space. Space is going to be a big topic here today,
but we do want to start with the oil markets. This is kind of the thing that everybody in the
market is thinking about, if not talking about. And Dan, I wanted to get your thoughts on what's
going on? Because oil is not your typical market. It's a physical product. It's traded years out in
the futures contracts. And we have this straight-ahore moves. It is more or less closed.
20% of the oil in the world goes through that straight. What are we seeing in oil markets?
Because it seems like prices are up. We're at about $110 per barrel for both West Texas
Intermediate and also Brent Crude right now. But it seems like people in the oil industry continue
to be worried that things are going to get much worse, but they're not yet. So what's the real
story here? Well, it's interesting because there are so many different perspectives to look at
this from. From the perspective of the American consumer, things look pretty bad. I mean, gas
prices where I live were around $2.80 a gallon in December. They're up about $1 per gallon,
up around $3.80. I think that regardless of what the actual level is, that dollar increase is
pretty consistent across the country. And it's interesting because a lot of folks have suggested
that the U.S. is insulated from the impact of this because we don't necessarily depend directly
on Persian Gulf oil. But when you look at some of the other countries that do depend more on
Persian Gulf oil, they have not even seen the percentage price increases we have. Korea was
up about 15%. Japan's up in the 15% to 20% area. We're up closer to 30% to 35%. It's interesting
how the macroeconomics are playing out here. The other thing, and this threatens to get a
little bit wonky about futures markets and things like that. No, let's get wonky. This is what I
want to explain. You could spend your whole life just studying what the futures markets are. There
was an entire class that I took in grad school doing the formulas of, of how you price things
like, like oil. And it's, it's fascinating. It's a big reason that things are not higher than they
are than they currently are. Yeah. So oil futures are in an unusual situation right now. Just for
those who aren't familiar with this, you can buy oil at a specific price at a specific point in
time in the future. And the prices will be different depending on when you want it. If you
want it at a high demand time, the price is going to be higher. If you want it at a lower demand
time, the price is going to be lower. Right now, we have this huge disparity. Front month,
the current month, if you want oil right now, $110 a barrel. If you are willing to wait
until the end of 2026, much lower, $40 a barrel lower, still $70. Oil futures a year and a half
out, they're only up $10 a barrel. Prices of the front month are up like $50 a barrel.
So what this is telling folks, this is a situation that's called backwardation in the futures
markets. And what this is telling people is that at least the financial folks trading these futures
don't think that oil supply is going to be a problem for very long. They think that something's
going to happen, supply is going to get restored, and prices are going to go back at least pretty
close to where they were before all of this started, which is a little bit surprising
because we've got some folks saying things like, well, the infrastructure is all messed up and it's
going to take a long time for everything to get back to normal. And so there's kind of a disconnect
between what these futures markets are saying and what you're hearing a lot of experts talking about
as far as the physical production and movement of oil across the global market.
I mean, just to underline that, the oil futures market does a lot of things. It reflects a lot
of things. It reflects investor psychology. It infects some form of speculation, but it also
immediate financial hedging is a big mover of markets here. It does not reflect the underlying
physical supply or demand for oil at any given time. So it's a tough thing to do right now,
you know, to kind of look at it. I think we need to focus on supply and what is actually in the
refineries and not on the price, but that's a lot harder to look at. So that's why we look at price.
Well, and that seems to be the other piece is the difference between, we talked, I think,
last week about crack spreads, which is the difference between the price of the refined
products, so gasoline, and the price of oil itself. And that seems to be one of the challenges
today is, hey, we can provide you gasoline, but we don't necessarily know, depending on where you
are in the world if we're going to have oil to actually refine in the future. And so there is
this kind of delay, too. The other thing is, the Strait of Hormuz, it's a couple of days to get to
India. It's two weeks to get to the U.S. So there is this time lag difference, too, Dan, that just
seems to be kind of complicating things. But you're right. The market is typically smarter than any
individual person. And the market is telling us that this is not going to be a big deal. So is it
something we should just kind of look past in these kind of wonky pieces in the oil market
or just kind of figure themselves out? I think it's too early to conclude that
because you often will see these markets see major disruptions. They'll see major moves in
one direction or another. They're very responsive to current events. You'll see $5, $10 barrel moves
in a single day based on, okay, there was an attack, there was damage to a major facility,
or there was progress in negotiations, there was some sort of deal, starting to get European
countries involved with that. Oil is fungible. It doesn't matter. Iran could say, we're never
going to send oil to the U.S. again, but if it just continues to provide, if it opens markets
back up, if it starts selling oil to European countries, to Asia-Pacific countries back at
their normal regular volumes, then the global markets are fine. It's just a matter of allocating
what's in the global market between the U.S. and other providers. To me, it's too early to
conclude that the futures market is right and all of the technical experts are wrong. Because like
Lou said, there's some financial wrangling going on with the futures markets. It doesn't always
reflect what's actually happening in the physical world, what's happening at the individual oil
well level, at the pipeline level, at the tanker level. You've got to look at all of that.
Lou, the other piece that I'm ultimately more concerned about than specifically what's going
to happen with oil is what happens to the economy. One of the data points that we got
before we started recording is that the jobs market is actually doing pretty well. Jobs were
unemployment was down slightly. I think everything was better than expected in that report,
by and large. It doesn't seem like this incremental step up in prices, and we're only a
month or so into this, so maybe we wouldn't see some of that data yet. But is an economic impact
something that we should at least be thinking about as investors? Because the market is
is, you know, at or near correction territory with the NASDAQ. So the market's starting to
pull back a little bit if oil stays elevated. And this backwardation that, you know, Dan is
talking about doesn't stick. And we start to go to 140, $150 a barrel. It seems like that would
impact the economy, but that's not actually what we're seeing. Yeah. So let's take a step back
because I think it helps answer this question about this whole, because we talk about a lot
that the U.S. is a net exporter and what Dan's talking about, how insulated are we? We are a net
exporter, but that can be deceiving because that is refined products too. We export a lot of
petroleum. We still import crude, so we are actually still very dependent on the world for
crude. We're not energy independent. Fortunately, less than 10% of that comes through the Gulf.
So, you know, we, again, the Saudi oil doesn't really mean, you know, what's going to straighten
our news isn't too important for us. That's a global story. But we still do need this idea
that, well, since, you know, we have energy, we can just stop exports and shut it down and let
the rest of the world have a problem. That really doesn't work. So where does this leave us with
the economy? Should we be watching it? Yes, absolutely. Does it lead to a recession? I mean,
I hate to answer this way, but the answer is maybe. It's definitely a headwind. We definitely
have headwinds already. Seems like the U.S. consumer is doing okay in aggregate. We've
talked about that. The consumer, that's a tough thing to read. Jobs number is strong.
If I had to guess, I do think there's enough headwinds that we will end up in at least a
mild recession in 2026. As all of this ripples in, as remember, we still have the tariffs rippling
in. There's just so much going on. I don't know if I'm worried about a terrible recession.
It's not a given. It's never a given. Yeah, I'm worried, if nothing else.
It's funny, though, because we've been saying this for so long. There have been so many of
these factors that have been like, oh, well, the consumer's got to give up now. Consumer sentiment
is terrible right now. Nobody's certain about what's going on. And yet, the economy just keeps
plugging along. And so, I agree with you 100%, Lou, but I have agreed in the past with that
sentiment, and that sentiment has just been 100% wrong in the past, in the recent past.
Yeah. This is why I think, as foolish investors, we talk about the long-term,
what sort of investments are going to do well over the next 5, 10, 20 years, because it's so
hard to predict what's going to happen over the next six months, particularly with the economy.
I mean, the other thing to throw into this is the dollar is getting stronger.
So, you know, I don't know how that would complicate things from an economic perspective,
but lots to think about as, you know, this conflict continues and oil prices are going
to be something we're probably going to be talking about for quite a while here on the
show.
When we come back, we're going to talk about the space economy, the potential $2 trillion
IPO.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
new from Nespresso blend wellness into your coffee routine with the coffee plus range
infused with functional benefits choose the coffee you love with added b vitamins like coffee plus
b12 to help support immune function and coffee plus b6 to keep your day moving or go with the
flow and choose ginseng delight our new double espresso with ginseng extract whatever lies ahead
don't change your morning. Let your morning change you. Discover Coffee Plus on Nespresso.com.
Fly me to the moon. Let me play among the stars.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Space is hot and so is SpaceX. They have apparently officially
filed for a confidential public listing. It doesn't really sound like it's that confidential
if everybody knows that it happens. But they're looking at potentially, Lou, a $2 trillion
valuation. That's a huge number. Can you help me make sense of this? Well, see, I can't because
the part that's confidential is all of the numbers, which is what we'd like to talk about. But
look, let's talk about what's going on here because there's a lot of market dynamics going
on here. Nothing illegal, nothing unfounded, but this is just how it works. SpaceX, as we all know,
has a huge number of shares outstanding. All of its investors, employees, all of that.
But they don't sell all of those shares in an IPO. They don't need to come up with $2 trillion.
And I think that's so important because we're talking about, oh, can the market support a
$2 trillion IPO? They only need to come up with $80 billion or whatever they end up pricing,
just that small sliver they're going to sell. Given how hot space is, and given investor
interest in Elon Musk. I don't think it's a surprise that they can raise $80 or $100 billion,
and that's a lot more reasonable sounding than the $2 trillion number. There's a lot of other
levers here. I know Dan loves to talk about the index, so we can get into that. But look,
this is a very, very big company with a very large share count. All they need to do is sell
this small amount, and gosh, there's interest. So yeah, $2 trillion, $3 trillion, who knows what
they can get to if they squeeze enough. Eventually that matters though, doesn't it?
Because eventually the lockup period, you talked about all the investors. Those investors, this is
what you would call an exit. And that means that they get to take their money out. And even if
there's a three-month or a six-month lockup period, you would think that eventually the number of
shares being sold in the public market, the float is going to increase pretty dramatically.
Absolutely. The better question is, can they sustain that valuation? Not the valuation they
can get on the first day. I feel like we're re-debating Tesla. As people have been saying
for years, we can't sustain that. I think I'd probably take the under on whether or not it's
still over $2 trillion if it goes out of $2 trillion in six months. But I don't think it's
going to fall dramatically. I think there is a lot of excitement, a lot of interest here.
there is definitely market support for this IPO. It's big numbers, it matters and stuff,
but we're almost talking semantics, whether or not, on what level can it support. There is
interest here, and that's what you need to do an IPO. Travis, I want to point out one thing about
the exit that you talked about. It's true that the most obvious exit is just selling the shares
outright. But recently, we've had more and more investors, more and more employees, high-level
employees with big stock holdings. They never sell shares. Instead, they'll go to a broker,
they'll make an arrangement, they will pledge shares as collateral, they will have a loan
facility that lets them draw money out of it. The shares never get sold. It is at that point
in everyone's best interest, the shareholder, the bank, the lending bank, to keep the share
price as high as possible. And so those shares never actually trade hands. Elon Musk has done
that to great success over the course of his career. I suspect that his best employees have
seen that and are willing to emulate it. And so, I will be curious to what extent the investors
that have gotten in on SpaceX pre-IPO decide to fully exit versus using one of these alternative
strategies. The other thing a lot of these investors can do is just distribute the shares
so that they can take their management fees for being a hedge fund
or whatever sort of fund you're investing with.
Lou, I wanted to ask you about the space economy
because this is ultimately what we're buying
if we're going to be buying the SpaceX IPO.
And just so people are aware, I believe the date now
is they're looking at June as a potential IPO date.
So sometime between now and June, we will get the full S1.
That's where you get the information about the financials,
how many shares are going to be sold,
all of those kind of details. We'll, I'm sure, cover those on the show when they come out.
But what is interesting about the space economy? Because that's really what we're buying,
and I'm still a little bit confused of exactly what that's going to look like five or 10 years
from now. Travis, space is the final frontier. It's a chance to boldly... Oh, sorry. No, okay.
There are estimates all over the place here. The most famous one is Morgan Stanley saying
a trillion dollars in space revenue by 2040. That's like the North Star. SpaceX, we don't
know exactly, but it's maybe $16 billion today. So, they're not going to have half of that
trillion even if it comes, but there is at least a there there for growth. How's it going
to grow? I mean, in theory, there are a lot of things you can do in space. I'm going to
take the under on the databases in space, at least for the foreseeable future. A lot
of the exotic things, but there are a lot of ways that companies can benefit from the data you can
get from space, the incremental positives. The government, militaries are increasingly
interested there. There's a lot of revenue potential there. Just like every other market
excitement, there are winners and losers here. Not everyone is going to make it. Valuations are
all over the place, but they're mostly high. It's the Wild West. It's early days, just like
all of these markets go, but there is a real path towards revenue growth on both the global
government and commercial side. And that is what SpaceX, as a leader here, and give them credit,
they are a leader here, that's what they're leaning into with the IPO.
Dan, the other piece of this is you have a social media and AI business attached to SpaceX. That
seems like the new version of a conglomerate. Yeah, and kind of the negative version of the
conglomerate. I mean, space stocks are hot, but boy, social media is kind of taking it on the chin
lately. And so putting X Twitter in with SpaceX seems like the negative side of putting things
together in a conglomerate. At the same time, you also have XAI, which I think that there's
probably some investors who would have preferred that the AI side be a pure play and be divorced
from the space stuff because they share Lou's confusion about, okay, well, what is the space
economy? What is SpaceX really focused on? If you mix those two in, well, it's like, well,
AI is not just a space data center play. AI is much more than that. The combination here,
I'm not sure what Musk gets out of it. It seems to complicate things, but like Lou said,
we have to wait for the paperwork before we actually know what this thing is going to look
like for investors? You know, I'll just say I'm kind of pro just one ticker to invest in Elon
Musk's vision. If anything, that's an argument. Just merge with Tesla, too. But I kid. We're
not going to do that. Elon Musk doesn't need my advice. Well, not yet. Yeah. Every banker is
already on this deal. But Elon, I might say, you know, we talked at the beginning, they're only
selling a small number of shares to get a massive valuation. That's impressive on paper. Given the
XAI need. Maybe, though, get a lower valuation, sell more shares, and actually fill the cash
coffers. I don't know. Just an idea. I know it wouldn't be as cool as $2 trillion, but
maybe they're making the wrong move here, Travis. When we come back, we're going to talk about the
stocks we like in the market right now. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
choose the coffee you love with added b vitamins like coffee plus b12 to help support immune
function and coffee plus b6 to keep your day moving or go with the flow and choose ginseng
delight our new double espresso with ginseng extract whatever lies ahead don't change your
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. In this segment, we like to have a little bit of fun,
and so I thought today we could all draft a little mini portfolio. So we got a lot of
concerns what's going on with the market dropping a little bit in 2026. We talked about oil and the
economy. There's always opportunities in the market. So where are we seeing those opportunities?
We're going to each pick five stocks. I'm even going to play along this week.
Lou, you are up first. Who's the first stock you're putting in your little five-stock portfolio?
I'm going to play the hits here. I'm going to play my hits and I'm going to start out
with one of my oldest investments and I think it's just a great opportunity today. Transdyn,
ticker TDG, this aerospace parts manufacturer that somehow over time has managed 45% plus
gross margins and continuously. They do it in a neat way. This is a stock that's only
up 2,360% in the last two decades, Travis. So, not bad. That's not bad. Not bad. They are right
now trading near a 52-week low. They are sort of not exposed to the right part of the cycle right
now, which has kind of been holding them back. But this has always been a private equity firm
masked as an operating company. They're very good at dealmaking. They have $10 billion in M&A
firepower at their disposal now. It's a reasonable valuation. I just hold this company as long as I
Ken, and now looks like a good time to add. Dan?
First up for me, Booking Holdings, ticker BKNG. This is the online travel agency that has
the namesake booking. It has Priceline. It's got Kayak. It's got a whole bunch of different
properties underlying there. It has been under attack lately because people are worried that
artificial intelligence is going to get good enough that you're just going to ask your
favorite chatbot to set you up with a trip with the hotel and the airfare and rental car,
whatever else you need, and it's going to take care of everything for you. That, they say,
is going to hurt booking, but I'm skeptical. I think that AI users are going to end up
appreciating the customized AIs that these legacy companies have put together, booking, working hard
to make sure that its AI capabilities are up to snuff. And I think that with proprietary data,
they will be able to do a better job than all-purpose models will be able to do.
Booking also about to do a stock split. Its shares have been over $4,000 a share,
and that's going to change. I think that stock splits don't add any value, but they do attract
the investor attention. And that is why I am suggesting that as the first stock I'm talking
about today. The forward price earnings multiple for booking is 15. I don't remember ever seeing
it that low. I haven't looked at them in a while. The growth has slowed, but not to the extent that
you would expect a sub 20 forward PDE for sure. Yeah. I'm going to kind of stick with the theme
of AI is not going to disrupt the way that people actually use technology. Alphabet, look, this is
an AI play in a lot of different ways. It's also a play on when my wife uses AI, she's just using
the Google search bar. That's the way that most people are going to use artificial intelligence
in the future. I don't think that we're going to be wearing some sort of, you know, AI pin or
anything like that. It's going to look a lot like it looked in the past. Guess what? The winners are
going to keep winning. Alphabet is going to be the biggest of those. The CapEx numbers are insane
right now, and I think they will eventually come down. But guess what? If they come down,
you get more cash flow from Alphabet. So I love where they're sitting. YouTube is undervalued.
I think Waymo is probably hiding a ton of value in there. So this is the easy button in AI,
Alphabet, my first pick. Lou, you're up. All right. So I'm contractually obligated
to have at least one Brad Jacobs company, right? Because I got to do my stick. And the one I chose
is QXO, the newest one. Jacobs, for those who don't know yet, is a serial entrepreneur behind
United Rentals, United Waste, XPO, two of the three biggest winners in the Fortune 500 over
the last decade. QXO is a roll-up of building product distributions. They just did their
second acquisition, Kodiak, a distributor of construction supplies, lumber, windows.
If I'm honest, it's fairly valued for what it is today. It's a $13 billion or so company.
But their plan is to get to $50 billion in sales in a year to come. Tons of risk,
very much an M&A story, but no one is better at M&A. I like this as a growth story.
Dan? Up number two for me, Moderna, ticker MRNA. Everybody wrote this stock off. This is one stock.
this is the one time that I have been successful in averaging down. I was a big loser on a small
portion that I bought above $200 a share. It ended up getting down below or almost to $20 a share at
one point. Obviously, the company famous for its COVID-19 vaccine, but I saw the COVID-19 vaccine
not as a long-term producer in itself, but as a proof of concept for the mRNA technology,
which the company would then apply to other diseases, other treatments. I think that that
plan is on track, really. Investors are starting to see it. That stock price has gone up from $20
to, it was recently, up to about $50 or so. I think there's more upside ahead. The stock
and the company have been unexpectedly resilient in the face of a hostile environment from the
federal government at this point for the core COVID stuff, just kind of proves that I think
the company is making big strides towards diversifying its portfolio and kind of proving
the value of its technology in being able to treat a wider variety of diseases and health conditions.
Yeah. Well, the stock is still in a 90% drawdown from its peak during COVID, but it has almost
doubled in just the past, I guess, four months or so. So wild run here over the last few years
for Moderna. I am going to go with another easy button stock. That is Uber. Look, self-driving
vehicles, particularly Tesla, were supposed to destroy businesses like Uber. I think we're seeing
now with all of the announcements that they have, all of the companies that are putting
fully autonomous vehicles. A lot of them still have safety drivers. We're starting to get to
the point where they're pulling those safety drivers. Uber is going to be the app that we
interact with, whether you're looking for a ride, whether you're looking for some food or even to
order physical products. I think you can buy a TV from Best Buy and get Uber to deliver it to your
house. This is just one of those businesses I think is going to be much bigger a decade from
now than it is today. That's why it's No. 2 on my list. Lou, you're up next.
All right. Next up, I'm going to go with Nelnet, a silly little company with a weird name,
but they are all over the place in student loans, servicing, payments, school software.
They have a venture capital arm, including Huddle, which is very, very popular among high school
athletes, expanding its banking and financial services. This company has quietly beat the S&P
500 over the last five years and even longer. I think that they are just now hitting its stride,
gaining momentum. I really, really like this company. I wish they'd rename it so maybe
investors would get more interested, but really, really solid under-the-radar over-performer.
Dan, what do you got? I'm taking a page from Ray Dalio's
playbook over at Bridgewater Associates and trying to incorporate some inflation hudge
commodity exposure. My pick here, Freeport MacMoran, ticker FCX, major copper and gold
producer, big copper producer. It has had its share of operational challenges. Its biggest
copper mine in Indonesia has faced some operational issues. But we all know what the
gold market has done over the past year or so. It has been an effective diversifier for
portfolios. That's the whole Dalio approach, is basically put yourself in a situation where
you can benefit from growth, but you're not overexposed to recessionary conditions.
You can benefit from stable pricing, but you are able to fend off inflation. I think that
Freeport-McMoran gives you that commodity exposure in the form of a stock, so you don't have to deal
with all those futures markets that we were talking about earlier in the show. It gives you
an ability to... It counts a little bit as an allocation to gold, which a lot of people have
been wondering, okay, well, how do you do that? Is that something that you should do when the
price has already gone up so much? I think it's a good balance with Freeport-McMoran because
their big thing is more copper than it is gold, but you still get the gold exposure as an icing
on the cake. I'm going to go with another unloved company in the market. I like the
contrarian plays Disney. Disney gets a lot of flack right now, but shares are trading for 14
times earnings, basically on a forward and trailing basis. I was talking with a friend last
night who was just at Disney World about the run that they've been on. We talk about not having
original IP. In the last 13 years, we have Frozen, Moana, Encanto, Zootopia. Is there a better 13-year
run for Disney. I don't know. You could maybe say the 90s, the 94-year run or so that they had in
the 90s. But for original IP, this is actually kind of a boon for Disney. And they don't get
credit for that. They're investing $60 billion in the parks. The parks alone are generating $10
billion a year in operating income. And guess what? They're all under construction. So they're
going to be bigger. They're going to be getting more people in. They're going to be charging more
money in the future. I think this is, we're going to look back at this as, as one of those
opportunities with Disney, just one of those companies that if you think about things are
going to be disrupted by artificial intelligence, one thing that isn't is those real world experiences
like going to Disney world. So Disney added to your watch list. Let's, let's, let's rapid fire
here. We got two left for each of us, uh, in a couple of minutes. So Lou, why don't you,
Why don't you drop two on us? I'm just sticking with my weird name
portfolio here, I guess. Two more real quick. Truist Financial, TFC. Regional banks are out
of favor. They might remain out of favor for a while. You get Truist Financial, a good company
in the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, a decently run bank trading below book value and with almost a
5% dividend yield. These are the times to ride through the headwinds and find good banks.
Last one, we talked about space economy. I have to have my rocket ship. Rocket Lab
is my pick for this space economy. I like it better than SpaceX, even if they're both public.
$38 billion today. I can't justify it today, but if they do what they hope to do,
$38 billion is going to look cheap. So, high risk, high reward.
Travis, my last two. I'm going with, one, Microsoft. It's in the same category as you
put Alphabet in, the beaten down Mag7, unappreciated company. I had good experience
with Alphabet when Alphabet was out of favor. Alphabet's now in favor and Microsoft has moved
out. People are concerned, I think, concerned about open AI status in AI adoption, concerned
about Microsoft's ability to get its users to use its co-pilot AI program. But I believe
Saatchi Nadella has established himself as being able to recognize these cross-currents and
navigate them and find a way through. So, I think that if you're looking at a Mag7 stock,
Microsoft's the one I'm looking at. And then Berkshire Hathaway, ticker BRK. It's the
biggest holding in my portfolio. It kind of never goes out of season. It has some energy exposure,
which I like. We have recently gotten word that there is a Greg Abel put in the form of stock
repurchases. The company said it started making stock repurchases earlier this quarter for the
first time in quite a while. That reassured shareholders that the transition away from
Warren Buffett as CEO may not have the price disruption in the stock that people were worried
about. I'm going to throw out into it a couple of companies that I don't think are going to be
disrupted by artificial intelligence in the way that a lot of investors currently do into it.
We're going to have to do our taxes somewhere. Accounting has got to happen somewhere. I don't
think we're just going to throw it into a chatbot. They're trading for 16 times forward earnings.
Nobody likes paying that bill to into it when you got to do your taxes. But in the next couple of
weeks, a lot of us are going to be paying them a little bit of money to help file our taxes.
The other one is Workday. Guess what? All these AI companies use Workday. So why not own Workday?
12 times forward earnings. I just think another one disruption, probably not on their horizon
possible, but, uh, but definitely like the pricing there. When we come back,
we're going to get to the stocks on our radar. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
new from Nespresso blend wellness into your coffee routine with a coffee plus range
infused with functional benefits choose the coffee you love with added b vitamins like
coffee plus b12 to help support immune function and coffee plus b6 to keep your day moving
or go with the flow and choose ginseng delight our new double espresso with ginseng extract
whatever lies ahead don't change your morning let your morning change you
discover coffee plus on nespresso.com
as always people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about and the motley fool
may have formal recommendations for or against so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what
year. All personal finance content follows The Motley Fool's editorial standards and is not
approved by advertisers. Advertisements are a sponsored content and provided for informational
purposes only. To see our full advertising disclosure, please check out our show notes.
All right, I wanted to touch on brands a little bit here before we get to radar stocks. And
the news this week was that Nike had a pretty weak earnings report. Their
sales are down on a constant currency basis. Dan, are we at the point where these brands,
Nike has been an outlier. You think about the rise and fall of Reebok, FUBU,
Gerbeau, if you go back to my youth. Was this just inevitable that Nike would hit this
wall eventually? And this is just what happens to brands?
It often happens. I don't think it's inevitable. You can find some outliers out there. I mean,
chocolate bars are boring. So Hershey and Nestle went beyond that. They brought in Kit Kat. They
got 8,000 different Kit Kat flavors, and now people care about it again. When you and I,
when i was kids when lou and i were kids you know you got the lego sets that you had to like build
it yourself you had to come up with what you were doing oh we had the bucket yep now it's like you
buy the f1 car set you charge 900 bucks for it there's like sophisticated instructions and stuff
so you know some some brands survive but a lot aren't able to to make that disruptive move
you know i mean look nike is what it is i don't find it an attractive investment but this is still
a massive company that is profitable and is kind of growing. At least we're getting benefits down.
I think this is one of these cases, and I see it so much, I'll even be controversial and throw out
Starbucks and Lululemon. As investors, there's a difference between the company is fine and I want
to invest in it. And I think Nike's just at the point that, yeah, there are better investments
out there, at least to my eye. Yeah. We'll likely see their shoes for a long time to come.
doesn't necessarily mean it's going to be a great stock. All right. We like to end the show with
stocks on our radar. We'll bring in Dan Boyd from behind the glass. Dan Kaplinger, you're up first.
What's on your radar this week? All right, Dan, the stock I'm bringing to you today,
York Space Systems, ticker YSS. It just went through its IPO in January. This is a company,
it's a pure play in this new space economy. And what it's trying to be, it's trying to be sort of
the cost-conscious provider of a lot of these services, satellite launches and things like
that. They are using modular manufacturing to try to keep costs down. This is something that the
Department of War has really liked to see, and it is gaining acceptance in the U.S. government
and with other providers as well. The stock did lose half its value after its IPO,
but it has started to bounce back. It's regained almost all of that Artemis II's launch
They had a big day the day after that. I do think the SpaceX IPO is going to initially pull away
capital from investors who are interested in these space stocks. But if it is helpful for
space overall, York should benefit from it at some point eventually. Dan, what do you think
about York Space Systems? It sounds like Mr. Kappengler is telling us to get in on the ground
floor here for York Space Systems. But such a recent IPO, I'm a little bit wary. Lou,
what's on your radar this week? Dan, JMO couldn't make it, so I feel it's my responsibility to talk
about McCormick, ticker MKC. It was a big week for our favorite spice maker. They delivered a top
and bottom line quarterly beat, also announced a massive merger. McCormick is going to combine
with the food assets of Unilever in a deal valued at more than $40 billion. And Dan, finally,
someone has the courage to combine Frank's Red Hot with mayonnaise, right? We've all wanted it,
right? Yeah, I don't know. But look, the market didn't react well to this deal. It's huge and
failed combinations like Kraft Heinz spring to mind. And I'll concede McCormick management has
a full plate here. You see what I did? JMO would like that. But I think scale matters in this
business. And I think McCormick is better managed than Kraft Heinz. I am at least intrigued here
kind of watching this. A lot of risk, but a lot of potential rewards here as they kind of fill up
the shopping cart. Dan, we didn't make any spice must flow puns during the oil segment, but what
do you think about the spice flowing with McCormick? You know, mixing hot sauce and mayonnaise
there, Lou, has been a restaurant staple for decades at this point. Any like tangy,
spicy sauce that you're going to find next to your chicky tendies at the restaurant is probably
just a mayonnaise and hot sauce mixture. And McCormick's got them both, the big ones,
Tallulah and Frank's Red Hot, which is saying something about their catalog.
All right, Dan, which one is going on your watch list? I like it spicy today,
Mr. Travis. I'm going to go McCormick. There you go.
Sorry, Dan. Next time. There was a lot of space stocks today. So if you are interested in space,
Hopefully we gave you some good ideas to research.
Dan, pro tip, you might have done better with the York peppermint patty.
I know, that's what I was thinking.
Now we're talking.
All right, thanks to Lou and Dan and Dan Boyd behind the glass.
I'm Travis William.
We'll see you here next time.
