Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - A Vaccine Boost
Episode Date: November 13, 2020Pfizer announces encouraging results from its COVID-19 vaccine. Disney gives investors 73 million reasons for optimism. Beyond Meat reports a surprising loss. Lyft reports a surprising increase in rev...enue. And DoorDash prepares for an IPO. Motley Fool analysts Ron Gross and Jason Moser discuss those stories and weigh in on the latest from Cisco Systems, DraftKings, McDonald’s, and Unity Software. And Ron and Jason share a couple of stocks on their radar: Cloudflare and Titan International. Plus, Motley Fool analyst Emily Flippen talks about what the election outcome means for the cannabis industry. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Chris Hill, joining me this week, Jason Moser and Ron Gross. Good to see you, as always,
gentlemen. Hey, how you doing, Chris? We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street.
we've got the latest on the cannabis industry, along with a couple of stocks on our radar.
But we're going to begin with the story that we have all been waiting for. On Monday,
Pfizer announced that its COVID-19 vaccine, which is in Phase III trials, is more than 90% effective
in participants who were not previously infected. Obviously, Jason, we still need final approval,
there are still steps to go. But in terms of the ripple effect for the stock market,
It was pretty breathtaking to see entire categories of stocks go up 10% or more.
And on the flip side, a lot of the quote-unquote stay-at-home stocks falling 10%, 15% or more.
Yeah, I mean, this is the news that we want to hear, right?
I mean, this is the news we've been waiting for.
And it does sound like we're one step closer to the light at the end of the tunnel, so to speak.
To your point there, I think it's been very entertaining to watch the knee-jerk reactions
in the market over the week. I don't think it was really a surprise to any of us to see
this quote-unquote stay-at-home stock reaction. We were all anticipating that there would be some
sort of rotation from one to the other. It was a little bit surprising to see how drastic some of
those moves were. But I mean, that's the power of big money and a lot of liquidity, being able to
make decisions very quickly and just go ahead and move. It is worth remembering, I mean, as you
said, this is something, this is not over, right? We still have plenty of work to do in regard to
production, distribution. I mean, there is going to be time that goes through here. But it makes
me think back to the Fool Fest presentation that I gave in, I think it was June of this year,
when I was talking about stay-at-home stocks and presenting some ideas for members. My final
takeaway was ultimately, look, the stay-at-home stock conversation is fun. It's interesting to
look at businesses from that perspective, but let's make sure to understand this is a short-term
catalyst. It's not a long-term trend. We're not going to be staying at home forever. Make sure
that these stay-at-home stocks that you're interested in, that you're buying, make sure
they're going to be good businesses even after all of this is said and done. You look at companies
like DocuSign, like Teladoc Health, like Chipotle even. These are companies that I think will
continue to prosper well after all of this is done because of this acceleration in this digital
transformation. It's worth just keeping that in mind and understanding that a lot of these
short-term knee-jerk reactions are just that short-term knee-jerk. We still like a lot of
these businesses that we've been focused on over this past year. I'll take a little bit of the
other side of what Jason was saying about how the stay-at-home phenomena was perhaps a short-term
catalyst. I don't blame any of the traders out there for not necessarily knowing how to play
this or play it correctly, because we didn't know necessarily if this was a permanent paradigm shift
in the way the country is going to operate, or a bubble was forming, or a combination of both.
And I do think in a sense, even though this will shake out and the vaccine will get people back
to doing things they used to do. I do think there is going to be a certain amount of a paradigm
shift in this country. For sure, not everyone is going back to work. And I think for the way
companies run, the way companies that benefit from work at home operate, that will benefit them.
The commercial real estate market is perhaps forever changed, at least for the foreseeable
future. I do think there are some real paradigm shifts. And so seeing the reaction in the markets
are always interesting to me, because you would think that the institutional investors certainly
knew a vaccine was coming at some point. So, to bid these stocks up to the point where they then
needed to really correct is interesting. Like, why would you do that? And I think it's because
of human nature, and we don't really know. We don't know where the paradigm ends and the bubble
begins. It's greed, right? It's just uninhibited greed. But I mean, Ron, I think you and I probably
agree for the most part on this. I do agree. I think we're going to see some permanent changes
in the way things are done. I was thinking about this last night as I was picking up
dinner from Chick-fil-A. I love the fact that I can just order off of that app, go park in a
parking place, and then have them bring that food out to my car. It's one more solution where I
don't necessarily have to go to the drive-thru. I don't have to go into the store. The restaurant
industry, I think, is a good example of one where we'll see, I think, a permanent shift in the way
behavior is. And we saw a great example this week in Chipotle announcing that digital-only store,
if you saw that. I mean, I think that's so smart to do, because I think this has changed the way
consumers ultimately will want to do business, at least to some extent. We just didn't really
know it until it was kind of forced upon us. Yeah. I wonder, did this situation accelerate
those changes, or would those changes maybe have never come to the extent we're seeing now?
that's an interesting, we'll look back at it 10 years and try to do a post-mortem on it.
Disney ended the fiscal year with another loss, but the fourth quarter report came with some
positive news as well. Disney Plus now has 73 million paid subscribers just one year after
it launched and shares of Disney up 8% this week, Ron. Yeah, crushed expectations. Disney Plus,
clearly the bright spot. Vaccine bodes well for the parks, but for now, still pockets a weakness.
first annual loss in 40 years. That's pretty, you know, speaking of a once-in-a-lifetime
circumstance that affects businesses, that's a big data point. So, total revenue down 23%.
Looking at the various segments, direct-to-consumer, not surprisingly, up 41%.
But interesting to note, a higher operating loss. Improvements at Hulu, ESPN+, offset by higher
costs at Disney+, because guess what? The rollout is going quite well, as you mentioned. 73.7
million subscribers, really strong. Let's not sell Hulu or ESPN short on the streaming side.
Hulu, 36 million. ESPN, 10 million subscribers. Pretty cool. One-year free trial offer for Verizon
customers for Disney+, is expiring this week. Let's keep an eye on what that does to subscriptions,
because that could be interesting. Let's mention a couple of other things about some of the other
segments. Media networks up 11%. Weakness in ESPN offset by increases in FX and the domestic
Disney channels. No one should be surprised that the parks were down 61%. But again, the vaccine
bodes well, I think, for next year and the year after. Studio entertainment revenue down 52%.
no big theatrical releases versus last year, we had Lion King, Toy Story 4. So, it shouldn't
be a surprise there as well. Disney announced they would not pay its semi-annual dividend.
I think that's prudent. Let's keep kind of hunkered down here for a while until we see
the actual turn. But I do think things are looking up for Disney. I've held this stock
for years, really decades, and I continue to be a proud shareholder.
Unity Software went public in September and issued its first quarterly report after the closing bell
on Thursday. The video game software business didn't just lose money, Jason, they lost nearly
six times as much money as Wall Street analysts were expecting. Of course, shares of Unity
Software are up more than 10% on Friday. Well, it's an IPO, Chris, so there's
lots to go through there in regard to how those financials all play out.
But I think the big picture takeaway here, this really was just the kind of quarter you
wanted to see them report as their first one post-IPO.
There's nothing crazy here either way, really no real surprises.
This really is just the business we signed up for.
And for those unfamiliar with the business, Unity operates a software platform that helps
customers develop, create, run, monetize interactive real-time 2D and 3D content.
And it helps their clients bring more visualization and real-time experiences to more industries.
It's known for its gaming prowess, but really, it's entering markets, including automotive,
architecture, engineering, and construction, many more via all sorts of interesting partnerships
from companies like Autodesk to NVIDIA and plenty more.
But to the quarter itself, revenue of just over $200 million, that was up 53.3% from
the third quarter of 2019.
they operate in two segments of the business. There's the operate solutions and the create
solutions. The operate solutions segment of the business grew 72%. That represents about 60% of
the overall business versus the create solutions segment. We saw gross margin tick down just a
little bit, but an interesting data point here that I thought tells a good story here. Customers
that contribute more than $100,000 in annual revenue to the business. That grew to 739
customers from 553 a year ago. But interestingly, the percentage of those customers' total revenue,
that stayed flat at 72%. In other words, it's a sign that they're not growing overly dependent
on those big customers. That's a good thing, they're growing that overall customer base
and not relying too much on the big customers. Dollar-based net expansion rate of 144% vs. 132%
shows that they're expanding the relationship that they have. Guidance in check for the rest
of the year. All things considered, a very good start. But yeah, we'll need to pay attention to
the financials as they work all of the IPO nuts and bolts through. Shares of DraftKings
up on Friday after a third quarter report that came with increased guidance for the fourth quarter.
and the return of the NFL in September seems to have helped the sports betting business, Ron.
Yeah, a pretty strong quarter and probably growth continues here for quite some time. Revenue up
42% after adjusting for the timing of that wonky public offering that they did where they backed
into a special purpose acquisition company called Diamond Eagle. An increase of monthly unique
players of 64%, now topping one million. As you said, major league sports like NBA, MLB,
NHL returned, very, very important. Now, sales and marketing up significantly, about $200
million. That's necessary. They're live now in seven more states, that comes with increased
expenses, but that is going to be the way they grow this business. They're making lots
of moves here. They're entering new states, both on the gambling side, the fantasy side,
advertising side. They're signing new strategic agreements, PGA, MLB, even the Cubs and the New
York Giants are now the official teams of DraftKings. They're investing in technology,
including a standalone casino app, so lots of stuff. I even like what they're doing on the
corporate governance side, adding two directors. Michael Jordan is now a special advisor to the
board. Lots of good stuff going on. They raised their 2020 revenue guidance, introduced 2021
revenue guidance, which is pretty strong. It's going to be an interesting company to watch.
Coming up, a lesson in how one company's announcement can affect
another company's stock price. This is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here with Jason Moser and Ron Gross.
Shares of Lyft up more than 20% this week. Lyft's third quarter revenue was higher than expected,
and they announced they're working on a food delivery service. Ron, I don't mean to be
skeptical, but that is a healthy bump in the stock price for a business that is still quite
unprofitable. Right. Show me the path to profitability, please, someone. This was a
good quarter, all things considered, but I think there are many things to consider.
But all things considered, not too shabby. Now, revenue down 48%. That's year over year,
not surprising. What's important to watch is how they're doing sequentially, how things are
improving. So a 47% increase in revenue from the second quarter to the third quarter, clearly
showing improvement as things get back to normal. Of course, now we're seeing spikes and things
getting back to unnormal. I can't predict necessarily what's going to happen there,
but I think we're going to be hunkered down clearly for the winter. So let's keep an eye
on, again, sequential probably will be weak going into next quarter. But there was a recovery in
active riders, a 44% recovery from the second quarter. I'm not getting in an Uber or Lyft
anytime soon, but clearly folks felt comfortable doing so. For context, active riders were 12.5
million in the third quarter versus 22.3 million this time last year, so still a big bite taken
out of their business. Net loss was around $450 million for the quarter. They remain focused. I
love this. This is the whole path to profitability thing we like to make fun of, or at least I do.
They remain focused on achieving adjusted EBITDA profitability by the fourth quarter of next year.
Who wants to bet that that gets pushed into 2022? I do. Proposition 22 out of California,
really important, as we discussed with Uber, just as important for Lyft and other companies that
focus on the gig worker, the independent contractor. If that had gone south for them,
it would have been a major deal. So it was extremely important that that appears to have
been passed. Balance sheet's okay, $2.5 billion of unrestricted cash. And as you said, John Zimmer,
the founder, said they're getting into the delivery business, doing it differently than Uber. They're
going to partner with the companies that want these deliveries to the so-called last mile.
Be fun to watch how that shakes out. Cisco Systems' first quarter report had the distinction
of being the fourth in a row where the company's revenue declined, and yet shares of Cisco Systems
up more than 10% this week, Jason. What's going on here? Jason Moser. Well, thank you, low
expectations. I don't mean to sound like two glass half empty here, but I can't think of one reason
to invest in this business given the other options that are out there today. It feels like the IBM of
a new generation. If you look at the numbers, that really does tell you the story. Sales down
9% from a year ago, earnings per share as well, guidance is not inspired. They've been outplayed
and out-innovated by all of these smarter and nimbler companies out there. I don't think there's
a reason to expect that to change. You could have seen maybe some signs in the Cisco WebEx,
the video conferencing segment of the business, but that hasn't even really performed given that
that we're living in this Microsoft Teams and Zoom world now. You look at this company's
financials over the last several years, top line is going nowhere, net income going nowhere. EPS
is really only being driven by share repurchases. They do have a relatively healthy balance sheet.
It feels to me like the biggest catalyst for this company is going to be some sort of meaningful
acquisition, but we're going to have to wait and see there. Third quarter profits for McDonald's
were higher than expected. Same-store sales in the U.S. rose more than 4%, but shares
of McDonald's flat this week, Ron. Yeah, they beat expectations despite revenue
being down 2%, but there's some good and some bad here. A mixed report, global comp sales
down about 2%, but in the U.S., up 4.6%. The U.S. is clearly doing better, international
down 4.4%. The U.S. is much stronger than their international business. Drive-through
and delivery continue to be an integral part of the recovery, an essential part of the recovery.
Their famous orders marketing campaign, Chris, did you get your Travis Scott meal
during the quarter? I did not.
Yeah, neither did I, but it was quite effective. They're doing a pretty interesting
job with their marketing lately, which they've indicated will continue. Earnings up 5%,
not too bad in this market. Declared a 3% increase in their dividend, we've discussed before,
some folks cutting their dividends, some folks' business strong enough to actually increase their
dividend, which is an indication of good things to come, I think. 2.4% yield from McDonald's,
not too shabby. They announced new growth strategies like their marketing campaigns,
focusing on digital delivery and drive-through, what they call the 3Ds, going to introduce a
loyalty program, a McPlant line-based plant menu-based items, and most importantly,
a new crispy chicken sandwich. I'll sell the plant-based items and I'll buy the chicken sandwich.
Speaking of the McPlant, shares of Beyond Meat down 20% this week, in part because of that
news, Jason, but also Beyond Meat's third quarter report was really ugly.
It wasn't the best, I do agree, but a bit of a tale of two businesses. You saw the retail
retail channel net revenues are up 39%. You unfortunately then had it countered with food
service net revenues down 41% year-over-year. Now, retail is far and away the larger part
of the business. That represents about 80% of revenue through the first nine months of
the year. But interestingly, international food service really took a hit down 65%. Total
international revenue down 46%. All of this just ultimately results in a top-line growth
of just under 3%. That's a problem for a stock that's valued the way this one is or was.
Not really a knock on the business, but you have to look at the facts here. It's not a
profitable business, there's no free cash flow. Even in the good times, it's not necessarily
a high-margin business either. You have to consider that and the power of substitutes
in this market. I do think it's interesting, this whole McDonald's-McPlant thing. You saw
McDonald's on their call playing offense. Beyond meat, they really sound like they're playing
defense. That'll be something to keep an eye on going forward.
All right, guys, we'll see you later in the show. Coming up, you may have missed it,
but November has been a big month for the cannabis industry. Details next, so stay right here. This
is Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill.
The big winner on election day this year wasn't a Democrat or Republican. It was the cannabis
industry. Five states had some type of marijuana legalization on the ballot, and voters in all
five states approved those measures. Emily Flippen is a senior analyst at The Motley Fool
and oversees our cannabis investing service, Marijuana Masters, which made her the perfect
person for me to catch up with earlier this week to talk about Election Day, where she sees this
industry going, and more. I'll get to the federal legislation in a second. Let's start with the
states because we had five more states now, Arizona, Mississippi, Montana, New Jersey,
South Dakota, they all approved some form of legalization. We got more states coming in the
next couple of years, including states like Florida, Ohio, New York. They're going to have
additional legalization measures on the ballot. But for right now, given what we just saw on
election day with five more states, how much of a boost is this for the cannabis industry?
It's extremely important for the cannabis industry to gain legitimacy.
And the more states that have cannabis legalized, preferably recreationally for the industry,
but even medicinally, provides a level of legitimacy to their businesses right now,
especially because cannabis and marijuana is still illegal under federal law. So, more states that
have legalized provides a little bit of a tailwind to businesses that may already be up and running
in states where cannabis businesses have been operating for adult use, recreational use
already legally. So it's an incremental tailwind. I like to say that we'll see states start to fall
in kind of like a domino fashion to begin to tax the substance, to gain revenue from it.
But the big move will have to turn to the federal government.
Well, and when you look at some of the numbers, and I know California is the biggest state,
So, it's not like a state with the population of Montana or South Dakota can extrapolate
similar numbers. But when you look at the tax dollars that California is bringing in,
it makes a pretty compelling case. It makes a compelling case for the states to legalize,
when you look at it from the perspectives of businesses, right? So, the cannabis businesses,
the people who are owning, operating retail dispensaries, growing the product, extracting it,
selling it themselves. It's not as simple as what state has the biggest population. I want to be
there because we're legalizing on a state level. Every individual state has their own regulations
about where you can sell, what you can sell, how you can sell. All of these things make it
really interesting when you look at the economics of cannabis businesses. It's not the same across
the United States. It's highly dependent upon individual regulations. I'll point to Florida
as a market that's really interesting. You mentioned that's a state that could potentially
legalize for adult use at some point in the future. Right now, they have medical, and
they have to vertically integrate in Florida. That means that if you're a cannabis operator,
you have to grow your cannabis yourself, you have to change the product, and then sell
it yourself. You have to do everything yourself. Actually, because of the way they have licenses
shakeout makes for a really, really lucrative state, more lucrative than the California
which is seeing more pricing pressures because they've opened up for more licenses.
Under the Trump administration, there was no appetite whatsoever for any kind of
federal legalization. Under a Biden administration, there might be, although at this moment,
control of the United States Senate is kind of up in the air. Mitch McConnell,
the current majority leader in the past, really hasn't shown any interest in moving this type
of legislation. Is it fair to assume for investors that with Mitch McConnell, if he remains the
majority leader in the Senate, federal legalization legislation really isn't moving anywhere?
I think that's a fair statement. I try to temper investors' expectations for
what a Biden administration may do when it comes to cannabis. The most that Biden administration
has talked about is potentially decriminalization, which is great for a social level, not as
important from an economic level. The businesses themselves would still be dealing with a substance
that's illegal under federal law. That puts your focus towards, well, if it's not a priority of
the executive branch, then this needs to be a priority of Congress. We've seen a lot of
of legislation come up over the past few years, I'll point to the Safe Banking Act, which was
passed by the House of Representatives to open up the banking sector for legal cannabis industries
at the state level. And that simply hasn't been docketed to the Senate. It hasn't been made a
priority. It's dying on Mitch McConnell's desk, as it were. So I don't expect for that to change
in the future, not just because we haven't seen a lot of excitement over the past few years for
the Senate to take up changing legislations, but also because we clearly have more pressing
priorities in this country, in my opinion, as opposed to getting the Safe Banking Act passed.
We have healthcare reform, we have the potential for dealing with this pandemic that we're all
suffering through right now. I just don't think that this is top of mind for a Senate. I would
tell investors to temper their short to medium-term expectations for what could happen on
a federal level. Let's move to the company side of things because we've talked before
about a lot of interest in this industry over the last few years, therefore a lot of startups,
and the potential for consolidation. Do you expect big companies, whether they are in this industry
or outside of this industry, but maybe want to start getting exposure to it, do you expect over
the next couple of years large companies to make investments in cannabis businesses? Or did what
we saw with Constellation Brands and cannabis growth, did that scare people away?
I think it will take some federal legalization to really see the money start to flow into these
cannabis businesses. But the businesses that we see already taking the risk of investing in the
space are businesses that see the writing on the wall. I think Constellation Brands may have been
the exception, but I'm pointing specifically towards tobacco companies, Altria Group,
making their own investments into the cannabis industry. These are businesses that need to make
those investments despite the outsized risk. I think canopy growth and Constellation Brands
may be a little bit ahead of their time as that investment is panning out and the losses
are accumulating to Constellation Brands thanks to that investment.
What I would expect over the short to medium-term, two things. First, larger businesses,
if they are getting involved in this space, I would expect for them to have partners,
to have cash investments, not to take large equity stakes the way that Constellation Brands has with
cannabis growth. The second thing I'd expect is for actual cannabis companies, legal cannabis
companies right now in states where they operate, making investments into other businesses.
For instance, you mentioned Arizona is a state that has legalized adult use cannabis starting
in January of next year, 2021. We already saw a current multi-state operator in the U.S. make
an acquisition in that state to try to expand their own business. These little deals, I think,
are what we're going to start to see shake out as more and more states come online.
For investors who look at this industry and think, okay, if I'm looking 10 years out,
20 years out, I think it's bigger than it is today, I want to start dipping my toes in the
water here. Where should they start looking? Because to take a completely different industry,
housing. We've talked before on this show and on other shows about how maybe jumping right in with
home builders isn't necessarily the best way to go. You can invest in housing through home
improvement companies like Home Depot and Lowe's, the quote-unquote picks and shovels companies.
Is the cannabis industry the same way that for people like me who do not have any investments
in this, starting out, look at maybe those ancillary companies on the margin?
Yeah, that's a great way to get started in the cannabis industry. The first thing I'll say
before diving into some of those segments is, look, don't fall for the fear of missing out
in cannabis. I think a lot of people feel like they need to get exposure. They have to do it
right now or they're going to miss the boat. The reality is that this is an industry that's
probably going to take at least five to seven years to really start to pan out. And even from
that point. It may take another decade to grow. You're looking at very, in my opinion,
long-term tailwinds here. That means there's no rush. Don't panic and go feel the need
to buy every cannabis company. But that being said, if you're interested in this space,
but you're not necessarily interested in buying a pure play cannabis industry, there's lots
of ancillary plays. You can look at retailers of hydroponics as a good example. Hydroponics
has been the cheapest way to grow cannabis. A lot of these retailers, Scott's Miracle
Grow is a good example of a company that made acquisition of a hydroponic retailer. Even
Grow Generation specifically targeting the cannabis industry. These are two companies
that have expanded as a result that are otherwise solid businesses that aren't buying and selling
cannabis themselves. There's lots of ways to play the industry. If you are looking for
those pure plays, then what I would consider is look to the U.S. A lot of the Canadian
players get a lot of press and a lot of excitement, but in my opinion, the way regulations have
shook out, and Canada makes it a really hard and price competitive market. Not to say there
aren't good companies or good plays, but generally speaking, I think the opportunities that we
see in the U.S. are greater, in my opinion. Again, hold the companies for the long-term
though, because this will take a long time to play out and for these businesses to be
consistently profitable. If you want to hear more from her,
check out our daily podcast, Industry Focus. She hosts it every Tuesday. Emily Flippen,
always great talking to you. Thanks for being here.
Thanks for having me. Up next, Ron Gross and Jason Moser
return with a couple of stocks on their radar. Stay right here, you're listening to Motley
Fool Money. As always, people
on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may have
formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here with Jason Moser and Ron Gross.
Seven weeks until the end of 2020, guys, which means there is still time for some new IPOs.
On Friday, DoorDash filed its paperwork with the SEC. The leading food delivery app in the U.S.
was last valued in the private markets at $16 billion. What do we think? Are they possibly
going to find some takers for their stock? I think this looks okay to me. $1.9 billion
in revenue over the nine months, net loss of $149 million, which actually isn't that bad.
It seems to me they're getting close. It would be nice to see a profitable IPO. As you said,
$16 billion is a big valuation for a non-profitable company, but I think there are some takers here.
They're the leader in market share, 49% compared to Uber's 22% market share, Grubhub's 20% market
share. They've got a million delivery workers. Prop 22 also helped these guys because they're
all independent contractors, of which my son was one over the summer. More than 18 million
customers. I hate the corporate governance here. Three classes of stock, the voting power will be
controlled by the founders. But what are you going to do? That's how these things are going nowadays.
Our email address is radioatfool.com. Got an email from Charlie Baldwin at Lehigh University. Go
Hawks. He writes, I'm 22 years old. I've been invested in the market for a couple of years now.
most of my portfolio is invested in tech stocks and I own a lot of Amazon. With this new antitrust
lawsuit against Google, I'm curious how shareholders have historically been impacted
by regulatory breakups. If Amazon were to get broken up, would it be good or bad for me?
P.S., I'm a huge fan of the show. It's gone a long way in providing a foundational understanding
of my knowledge in the stock market. Thank you so much. Thank you, Charlie. Thank you for listening
and thanks for the question. Jason, I'll go to you first. What do you think?
Yeah, I mean, it's difficult to say because regulatory breakups aren't really all that
common. I mean, the threat of regulatory breakup is one thing, but that threat could result in
ultimately a different action. Like, Amazon or Google could come out there and say, hey, well,
what if we went ahead and spun off this business before you tried to break us up? That could solve
the problem. And so, that could work out. And that actually can work out fine oftentimes. I mean,
this wasn't a regulatory breakup, but back in 2013, Pfizer split out its animal medicine business,
Zoetis. And so, now you have two companies, you have Pfizer and Zoetis. And if you go back to
that point in January where they split that out, Pfizer's total return to this point here is around
82%. Zoetis is 463%. Now, I'm a very happy Zoetis shareholder, Chris, but that's because I love the
animal market. I love pets. I think animal medicine, there's just a tremendous opportunity
there, and Zoetis owns that market. I think if you look at something like an Amazon, for example,
and I'm an Amazon shareholder, the plain example would be splitting off the commerce business from
the AWS business. I can see the merits in owning both. I certainly think that they are market
leaders in both respects there. Again, it boils down to, is it a regulatory breakup, or did they
come to some sort of a resolution beforehand. Either way, together, this is a phenomenal
business, whether you're talking about Alphabet or Amazon. I think that if you separate the two
most important parts of it, they would continue to figure out ways to be awesome. I wouldn't worry
too much about that at this point. I think in general, if it's the
Justice Department's goal to hurt a company's competitive position, that typically would
bode poorly then for the company going forward. It might very well be good for the consumer,
but in general, a company's competitive advantage would go down.
On last week's show, we talked about how Panera is starting to test the idea of selling alcohol
in a few locations in the greater Kansas City area. And we put out a call to the dozens of
listeners for a little boots on the ground research. And they delivered an email from
Andrew in Overland Park, Kansas, who wrote, a couple of weeks ago, I went into Panera to get
a coffee after work. I found the place that was always empty, filled with people drinking. They
had turned it into a fun bar-type atmosphere with wine and local Kansas City hard seltzers and
brews. Apparently, not everybody is a fan because on my way to work today, I stopped by the Panera
near my house, and an older couple was complaining to the manager about being there the night before.
they were offended that their favorite restaurant had become, as they put it, a swingers bar.
Now, the characterization of this couple's side, thanks to Andrew,
nobody has better listeners than we do when it comes to this. I don't know, it seems like the
test is off to a good start, Ron. I love it that it's their favorite
restaurant. That's the part of the sentence that I just loved. I don't know. This doesn't work for
me. I don't see this disaltering this restaurant in any major way. I think it's remained what it
is. The clean food slogan always I found odd, but it's relatively fine food for lunch. It's
not a nighttime establishment. It's not a bar. I don't see this taking hold.
I'm just going to say one more time, Bloomberg doesn't have their listeners doing
boots-on-the-ground research like we do. We have the best listeners. Let's get to the stocks on
our radar. Our man behind the glass, Dan Boyd, is going to hit you with a question. Jason Moser,
you're up first. What are you looking at this week? Jason Moser. Sure. Let's open this with
Cloudflare. Ticker is NET. Cloudflare operates a cloud platform that delivers a range of different
network services to businesses around the world with a focus really on edge computing.
And these services focus on security, performance, reliability, internal protections, and more.
Edge computing, for those unfamiliar, edge computing ultimately optimizes connected devices
and applications by ultimately bringing computing closer to the source of the data being used.
So, as we talk more about 5G and faster bandwidth and more data and more robust experiences,
I mean, edge computing is going to play a big role in that.
And Cloudflare's business is really interesting. Their model leaves really no stone unturned
as they serve everything from free-to-use to pay-as-you-go to subscription offerings.
No customer accounts for more than 5% of revenue. The top 20 customers remain under 20% of total
revenue. All in all, they have 3.2 million total customers that's free and paying subs.
Big-time customers like Mars, Garmin, IBM, of course, Shopify, LabCorp, and many, many more.
I think in this age of edge computing, in this move to 5G and faster everything,
Cloudflare is going to be a business that's really helping get us there.
Dan, question about Cloudflare? Absolutely, Chris. Jason, this isn't for me,
but this is for somebody who maybe doesn't know, because I totally know.
Maybe you should explain what edge computing is. Yeah. Well, edge computing, ultimately,
it's just about bringing the actual devices and applications, bringing computing closer to the
source of the data being used. So, it's actually shortening the distance that that data has to
travel through infrastructure that's strategically placed all over the world.
We've got a minute left, Ron. What are you looking at?
I got to revisit Titan International, Chris. TWI, global manufacturer of highway wheels and tires.
I've owned this for years, recommended it many times on this show. So far, it's been a rather
large blunder of mine, quite frankly. But it is showing signs of life. Shares are up 250%
since June 1st, up 65% just in November. Yes, I'm still losing money on the investment,
but some positive results. Agricultural markets look like they're going to strengthen. We could
get an infrastructure spending bill that would bode well for the construction market.
Balance sheet looks better than it has in a long time. I'm not done yet. I'll keep updating our
listeners. Dan? Not really a question,
Chris, more of a comment, but it's very on-brand for Ron to pick a tire company that was founded
in 1890. Thank you. I do the digging for the listeners. What do you want to add to your
watch list, Dan? Well, despite Ron's absolutely glowing summary of how Titan International has
done him so far, I think I'm going to go with Cloudflare. All right, guys, thanks for being
here. We're out of time. That's going to do it for this week's Motley Fool Money. We'll see you next
We'll see you next week.
