Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - As GameStop Turns
Episode Date: January 29, 2021Investors react to the escalating drama with Redditt, speculators, and GameStop. Johnson & Johnson reports Phase 3 trial results from its one-shot vaccine. Apple reports record-breaking revenue. Micro...soft hits a new high on earnings. Facebook slides. Atlassian rises. Starbucks surprises. And Tesla dips. Motley Fool analysts Andy Cross and Ron Gross discuss those stories and weigh in on the latest from Mastercard, Visa, and General Motors. Ron and Andy share two stocks on their radar: NextEra Energy and Unity Software. Plus, Ad Age’s Jeanine Poggi previews the advertising for Super Bowl LV. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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as always, gentlemen. Hey, Chris. How are you doing, Chris? We've got the latest earnings from
Wall Street. We've got the latest vaccine news from Johnson & Johnson. And as always, we've got
a couple of stocks on our radar. But we begin with America's hottest new soap opera, As GameStop
Turns. This week, an escalating drama on Wall Street became front page news across America
and around the world. GameStop is, by most measures, a challenged bricks-and-mortar
retailer that sells video games. Because of that, it is one of the most heavily shorted
stocks in the market. But retail investors, led by a Reddit community called WallStreetBets,
has been steadily buying shares of GameStop, pushing up the price and forcing short sellers
to run for the exits. This week, shares of GameStop are up more than 400%. Year-to-date so
far, shares up nearly 2,000%. Ron, I'll start with you. There are so many angles to this story.
We have hedge funds on one side. We have retail investors on the other. We have Robinhood
somewhere in the middle. As an experienced investor, what do you think as you watch all
of this play out? Oh boy, this is different. A few thoughts here. So I love the sharing of
information and how social media has changed that game. No problem with that. I love that
individual investors, especially young individual investors, are becoming more interested in the
stock market. Wonderful. I don't think all hedge funds are the devil. I think shorting does provide
some benefits, such as liquidity and the ability to hedge your portfolio. But importantly, I don't
think what the Wall Street bets folks are doing is investing. It's speculation, it's manipulation,
and it's going to end badly for some. It's probably not illegal, but it's going to end
up being painful for some that got in at the wrong prices and don't actually understand what's going
on because they're not investing, they're gambling. More than ever, I think it's important
for folks like us to teach the importance of being a long-term investor and what that means
to own a small piece of a company for the long term.
I think the market's self-correcting.
Institutions are going to figure out how to mitigate this.
Maybe there won't be as much shorting going on in individual companies.
This won't persist.
But as you said, a lot to unpack, a lot of different emotions flowing all around.
You know, Chris, for me, what's really interesting is this just continues to bring more and more
light to some of the optics and some of the mechanics behind what's going on behind the
scenes when you place a trade, any of us place a trade. I've certainly placed trades that are
just a few shares for expensive stocks, but just how market makers work, the impact of leverage,
that's the real danger here for me, is just the impact of leverage and concern of any,
well, certainly institutions, we're seeing hedge funds get crushed because of the leverage. But
When you see this stock and these short squeezes and GameStop has 70 million shares outstanding,
and almost about that were short going into this, so you just see a lot of this short
covering and continued buying of the stock that pushes the stock further and further
up as market makers and investors or hedge funds or anyone who was short in it has to
cover those shorts.
And because so many of them are levered, that continues to make it worse and worse and worse.
And you just see this play out.
And while it started off maybe as a Reddit Wall Street bets kind of retail investor move to get started in this and propel it,
that was just the spark behind this fire that just kind of grew as more and more institutions.
And certainly, when you look at the dollars at play here, this is a lot of institutional money on both sides of the trade.
they can continue to get on board that, and that just continued to propel the stock up as
they had to cover more and more of their short bets. And that's just the real danger of leverage.
And I love what Ron said in really helping people understand this. But the one reason why when we
talk about things you really need to be careful of, it is using that leverage either on margin
or borrowing to buy shares in any way or go short, because that can really have dire consequences.
and you need to be careful of that. Yeah. It reminded me a little bit of
the drama we saw play out years ago with Herbalife, where Bill Ackman, billionaire
money manager, comes out and says, I'm shorting this stock. And Carl Icahn, in part because of
some animosity towards Bill Ackman said, oh, you're going to short that? I think I'm going
to buy it and cause you some pain. I mean, this one obviously involves a lot more players,
But the fundamentals, Ron, seem like they're pretty much the same.
Yeah.
You know, I said I'm not against shorting because it does provide some benefits.
But we should be clear, it's not investing.
It's placing a bet on something going down.
It's not being happy to be a partner in a business with the folks running it and owning
it for the long term.
So, it is a more speculative thing just by definition.
Very dangerous, though, because when you sell something short, you're betting it's going
to go down.
if it goes the opposite way, a stock can theoretically go to infinity and your losses
are unlimited. If you buy a stock, your losses are capped because it can only go to zero.
So folks need to understand what they're getting into.
Let's move on to some stocks that are very far away from zero. Apple's first quarter report was
highlighted by revenue of $111 billion. And the fact that sales in every product category rose
by double digits, despite all that, Andy, shares of Apple down a little bit this week, but still
up 70-plus percent over the past year. Oh, gosh, Chris, it's been a fantastic stock
and one of the largest market cap companies in the world. Most profitable quarter ever for Apple,
as you mentioned, 111 billion sales, up 21% in the first time that it crossed over the $100
billion mark. Blew away estimates. It was the highest growth of a quarterly growth since 2015,
earnings per share of $1.60. That was up 35%. They continue to buy back a lot of stocks,
so that really helps the EPS grow. Again, blew by the estimates of $1.42. Sales were in that
double-digit, Chris, in every group that you look at. iPhone, MacBook, iPad, wearables, services,
above 10% growth in all those categories. iPhone, which is the largest business, obviously up 17%.
Wearables, home and accessories up 30%. Services up 24% and is now the second largest group with
almost $16 billion in quarterly sales across all geographies, especially China, where they saw
growth of 57%. So, a really impressive quarter by Apple. On the gross margin side,
the total gross margin was up 160 basis points, or 1.6%. And on the product, the gross margin was
up 5.3 percentage points to 35%. So, a really nice quarter from Apple, continuing to grow that
install base of iPhones and MacBooks. That's now a record high for all of those devices. And that
really helps propel the services business, which is a growing part of their business, more
profitable. That's where they're spending a lot of energy. And you just look at their Apple One
product to continue to show lots of excitement and lots of growth. So record high in FaceTime
calls over Christmas, they mentioned. And I thought that was kind of interesting just thinking
about those of us who are Zoom investors as well. So really a nice quarter from Apple and
continued exciting product innovation with iOS 14 throughout the year.
$2.2 trillion company trading at 35 times earnings. I'm okay with the 35 times, but
as Apple is one of my largest positions, Andy, do we think that this could double? For us,
anybody, new investor or current investor, to get a double, we've got to go to $4.4 trillion.
Is that even possible? Not exactly, because they're buying back
so much stock, Ron, as you know. So, it's not so much the market cap, it's much more
of the per-share basis. So, because they are buying so much, they bought back $24 billion
worth of shares last quarter and paid out $6 billion in dividends. So, when you add
the dividends and the share buybacks, that will impact the stock price. So, you don't
need it necessarily to go to $4.4 trillion, because on a per-share basis, which is what
we care about the most. I mean, a double, I think, will still be a little bit tricky for the next
five years. But I think from a steady performer that is having more and more impact on the S&P
500, I think you're going to be making some money on Apple over the next few years.
All right. I feel a little better.
Shares of Microsoft hit a new all-time high this week after second quarter revenue grew 17%.
The Azure cloud business leading the way for Microsoft once again, Ron.
They continue to just really put up wonderful numbers, better than expected revenue of 17%,
strong demand for corporate cloud computing services and software that supports all of us
while we're at home, 14th straight quarter of double-digit revenue growth. Just to break down
some of the segments, the productivity business up 13%. That's the segment that houses the office,
commercial and consumer versions of Office, as well as LinkedIn, which was up 23%.
Intelligent Cloud, that's going to be the big story, up 23%. That includes Azure, which was up
50%, continues to get it done there. Even personal computing was up 14%, which includes Windows and
Xbox. Xbox content and services are up 40%, and they did introduce some new game consoles.
hardware is up big, too, at about 86%, despite the fact that there were semiconductor supply
shortages that kind of hurt them getting that to market. So, the company continues to put up
wonderful numbers. As a result of that revenue growth, you saw margins widen, operating income
up 29%, with net income up 33%. Strong guidance, exceeding expectations, returned $10 billion to
shareholders in share repurchases and dividends, which was an 18% increase. They are firing on all
cylinders. Facebook's fourth quarter profits and revenue came in higher than expected,
but shares falling 6% this week. CEO Mark Zuckerberg made it very clear that Facebook's
primary competition is now Apple. Andy, if you didn't think they were fighting before,
it's clear that they are now. It is very clear. He was exceptionally clear in the opening remarks
and the press release saying, I do want to highlight that we are increasingly seeing
Apple as one of our biggest competitors. iMessage is a key part to their ecosystem.
Talking about how iMessage is pre-installed in all the iPhones. They also have concerns a lot
around the iOS 14 ability to restrict targeted ads by requiring users to opt in to third-party
apps that collect data. So, yeah, definitely, he did not mince any words by going directly
after Apple talking about their competitive advantage. It reminded me a little bit of
the accusations of Microsoft with Internet Explorer back in the 90s. But overall,
really solid quarter. Revenue is up 33% to $28 billion. Earnings per share up 52%. Both far
ahead of the analyst's expectations. Their cost structure only up 25%, Chris. That really juiced
the operating profit by more than 44%. Free cash flow up 90% to $9 billion. Continuing to rake in
the dollars. Their ad revenue, which is the biggest part of their business, up 30%. Other
revenue, which is Facebook Marketplace and Oculus Quest up 156%, with daily active users
now at $1.84 billion, up 11% across Facebook. Really seeing the benefits of the shift to
online commerce and the advertising growth. Ad impressions, by the way, up 25% across
all their platforms. So, really seeing a lot of spending going on across their platforms
with advertising as more and more of us are shifting over to commerce spending and buying
online. And I will just note also that they talked about how they will, they do see more and more
investments and more and more effort to kind of work through the funnel from looking at advertising
all the way down to purchasing through their Facebook ecosystem to be able to take, especially
on Instagram with Instagram shopping, being able to take benefit of people seeing advertisements
and going on to buy it. So it'll be interesting to see how that evolves. But clearly the headline
really was Mark Zuckerberg addressing Apple's competitive position.
Up next, Johnson & Johnson comes through with promising news in the fight against COVID-19.
Details after the break, so stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here with Andy Cross and Ron Gross.
More good news in the fight against COVID-19. On Friday, Johnson & Johnson announced the results
of its vaccine in phase three trials. It is 85% effective in preventing death and severe disease.
And Ron, this is a one-shot vaccine. So no going back weeks later for that second shot.
And everything we've seen so far seems pretty promising.
You know, I was originally conflicted when I read the headline, but I'm coming around now.
That headline was 66% effective overall, which beats the FDA threshold of 50% for an approved
vaccine, but it's less than that 95% we've been hearing from Moderna and Pfizer. I was like,
I don't know. But offered 100% protection against COVID-related hospitalizations.
I think that's the number to focus on, and your 85% number as well. Because, okay, we can maybe
be home and feel a little under the weather, but if it's not progressing to something life
threatening. I think we're in a good place here. I've come around and I think this is
really positive news, as you said. Tesla's fourth quarter revenue was
nearly $11 billion, but shares down a bit this week. Although, Andy, shares of Tesla
up more than 600% over the past year, so hopefully shareholders aren't complaining.
Yeah. Elon Musk has really benefited from that and that actually hurt them on the
profitability side, but still a really nice quarter on the profit side. There's six quarters
in a row now. They were profitable, wrapped up the first year of profitability on a generally
accounting practices metric, expanding their programs to increase production and deliveries
by 50% long-term. That's the goal. They think they will exceed that this year. They were
implying that, which is good news. Their operating margins at 5.4% for the quarter in 2020. The
operating margin was at 6.3% versus negative in 2019. So, you know, that's at the industry best
levels, Chris. The revenues, as you mentioned, $27.2 billion for the year, up 31%. Free cash
flow at $2.8 billion versus $1 billion in 2019. So, continuing to make lots of investments and
building out their capacity. The Fremont factory is almost at full production speed. The Model 3
and Shanghai is now up to 5,000 per week. And their first Model Y crossover was made in the
China factory. So overall, the investments that they're making in Tesla continue to expand their
lead. Obviously, the stock now is at an $800 billion market cap. So a lot of growth and a
lot of excitement is still baked into the Tesla share price. But so far this year, they've been
able to live up to those expectations. Shares of Starbucks falling 6% this week.
First quarter profits came in higher than expected, but same-store sales in the U.S.
were down. Revenue was light. This wasn't a bad quarter, Ron, but the bad outweighed the good.
Yeah, I'm calling it a mixed quarter. So, as you mentioned, some metrics. Revenue fell
5%. Usual culprits there. Reduced customer traffic. They had to modify the operations.
Reduced store operating hours, temporary store closures, all these things COVID-related.
Global same-store sales down 5%, which was a worse-than-expected number. I think that's
what investors are largely focusing on. But sequentially, we did see some improvements.
So, things are slowly getting better. We saw a 19% decrease in comparable transactions. But
interestingly, that was offset by a 17% increase in the average ticket. So, each time folks were
spending a bit more money. Regionally, the Americas were down 6%. International was down
only 3%, which was helped by China. Starbucks has long been a China story in terms of growth and
expansion. China was up 5%, so that's a positive number. Margins narrowed, the lower revenue,
COVID costs, there's not much they could do with respect to that when revenue takes a hit.
You saw just earnings down 23%, which was disappointing. But the growth story continues.
they opened 278 stores, they're going to open 1,100 new Starbucks stores globally. And I think
the growth story will be intact once we get to the other side of COVID. They offered fiscal guidance,
which puts them probably around fiscal 2019 earnings. So, you know, certainly a step back.
Sorry to see that Chief Operating Officer Roz Brewer is leaving. She's going to be the CEO
at Walgreens. By the way, on that news, shares of Walgreens popped to a 52-week high. She's
been a great leader on Kevin Johnson's team. For sure. I believe the CFO was departing
as well or had departed. Some changes up at the top, especially during difficult times
where you need all hands on deck, not a great thing to see. They'll get through this though.
Kevin Johnson is a strong operator, strong leader.
All right, guys, we'll see you later in the show. Which advertisers are betting big on Super Bowl
55? Janine Poggi of Ad Age has a preview of what to expect. That's next, so stay right here. This
is Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. On February 7th,
the Kansas City Chiefs play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55. And for companies
looking to promote their products and services, 30 seconds of ad time will only cost them around
$5.5 million. Here to help us make sense of it all is Janine Poggi, Senior Editor at AdAge.
She joins me now from New York. Thanks so much for being here.
Janine Poggi. Hey, Chris. Thanks for having me.
So there's always a lot of buzz around Super Bowl ads, but this year the buzz seems to be
more about the companies that are not participating in the event. And I'm thinking primarily of
companies like Coca-Cola, Pepsi, and Budweiser. Budweiser is not going to be advertising during
the Super Bowl. I think it's the first time in more than 35 years. Let me start with this.
Is that a surprise to you? Look, anytime a Super Bowl advertiser like Budweiser,
who's been in, you're right, it's been 37 years since Budweiser hasn't aired a Super Bowl ad.
Of course, that comes off as a surprise. But the thing to remember, and I think gets lost in a lot
of the conversation, specifically around Budweiser sitting out, Anheuser-Busch, its parent company,
is still running the same amount of Super Bowl ads that it did last year. It's just choosing to put
its dollars into other brands to feature. So they'll have ads for Bud Light, there'll be ads
from Michelob Ultra. And then they're also doing, in place of a Budweiser ad, a corporate spot.
So more of a total brand advertisement versus just focusing on Budweiser. So it's not like
Anheuser-Busch is not in the game. They're in the game in the same way they've been the last
couple of years. They're just reshifting and refocusing their efforts. Although as a category,
automakers this year are largely sitting out of the Super Bowl. And I'm curious if you think
that's a reflection of the general economic climate for automakers, or are we actually
seeing some cracks in the Super Bowl as being sort of this last bastion of a can't-miss huge
television audience? I think that is definitely a factor of what we've seen from COVID and the
economic uncertainties this year. Currently, we only have confirmed of two automakers in the game
right now. Those are Toyota and General Motors. We're still waiting on a couple of others,
but we've seen some big ones that are in year after year, like Hyundai and Audi sitting out
this year. So really, you know, I think we were not surprised by this move, the auto category in
particular, along with movie studios, unsurprisingly, ones that are hugely represented
in the Super Bowl in typical years. We will definitely see far fewer from both categories
this year. On the flip side, I should point out that we are going to see some first-time
advertisers during the Super Bowl. Chipotle, Huggies Diapers, Fiverr. It seems like Super
ads, in part because of the cost associated with them. I mean, the $5.5 million for 30 seconds,
that's just the ad time. That doesn't include whatever these companies are paying to make the
ad. Are there rookie mistakes that you see from first-time advertisers? I mean, if any of them
come to you and say, all right, before we put our creative team together, if we're just looking to
not make mistakes, what should we avoid? Well, I would actually start by taking a look
back at last year. A first-time advertiser from last year was Quibi. Quibi came into the Super
Bowl in a big way. We all know how that story turns out. They launched in the spring and shortly
after, Shutter didn't even make it a year, but they went out with a Super Bowl ad before the
you know, service even launched to like get out there early and that, you know, not that the
Superbowl ad led to this situation, but they spent a lot of money, obviously, advertising
the service. I think this year's interesting one for first-time advertisers, you mentioned a couple,
I think one of the ones I'm not sure if you mentioned was Scott's Miracle-Gro. I think
that one speaks to the types of advertisers we're seeing in this year's Superbowl for the first
time, a lot of them are really brands that found a bigger or new consumer base amid the pandemic
and amid lockdown. So you think of Scott's Miracle-Gro, lawn care, gardening, not necessarily
something in a prior year you would have thought to be in the Super Bowl. But in the pandemic,
we saw a lot of people turning to gardening, wanting to take care of their lawns because
they're home and there's nothing else to do and there's an outside space for them and their
families. So brands like that, another one being Vroom, which is an online car dealership that
delivers the car right to your door. You don't have to go to the dealership contactless. The
whole thing, you know, that we're thinking about Chipotle promoting their delivery service,
you know, different things like that, that I think this year you'll see almost all of the
first time advertisers taking advantage of maybe some new publicity that they found during the
pandemic. There are ads that are trying to drive action. Go to our website, take this survey,
do whatever. There are ads that are really more about branding, and certainly some of the ones
we talked about earlier, Coke, Pepsi, Budweiser. I mean, everybody's familiar with those brands.
Is there one strategy that works better than the other? Because it seems like if you're trying to
drive action, that can be a high-risk, high-reward strategy. The Super Bowl, to me, has always come
across as a place where it's about brand awareness. Many times in the Super Bowl, we've seen brands
come out there, you don't even know what product they're necessarily trying to sell, or they're
not specifically trying to sell a product. It's about a message that connects consumers to the
brand. And that might not be a direct message saying, come buy our chips, our dip, our cola,
whatever other product they're trying to sell. It's about people remembering the brands and
being, oh yeah, I really liked that ads when they're in the grocery store and they see
those chips on the shelf, you know, that comes to mind. So I do think that the Super Bowl,
given the cost and the large amount of people that are watching the game, it's really about
building brand awareness, whether it's a brand that's very familiar and we've seen year after
year or a newcomer that is just trying to get their company out to a larger audience.
The Super Bowl, year in and year out, is the most watched television program of the year.
We'll see if that streak stays alive. But it's been that way for decades. Most of us
watching the game, we're watching the commercials for fun. This is your job,
this is what you do for a living. What are you going to be watching for and are there
any ads in particular that you're, that you haven't been privy to yet that you're curious to
see? So on the day of really, you know, at that point, hopefully, because we're not doing our
jobs, if not, I've seen most of the ads. So I'm really looking at social conversation around these
ads. What is a driving interest? I have to say there have been plenty of times that an ad that
myself or my colleagues, you know, have just been like, we don't think that's going to land
uh, maybe because we spend so much time looking at these, some of them really resonate in different
ways with audiences. So I'm really looking to see if there's any that like we just judged
wrong. Uh, but you know, for this year in particular, I think one thing that
we at ad age are paying really close attention to is how well brands are being inclusive in their
ads. I think it's an important conversation in the ad world right now. It's an important
conversation in the country right now, you know, really taking a look at beyond just casting and
checking off a box, what the storytelling is, the inclusive storytelling, who's working on the ad
in front of and behind the camera. And I think that'll be an important part of the conversation
this year. I don't know if that'll amount to much change. I hope it does. But I do think regardless
that we'll be closely focused on and watch, you know, as we see these ads come in.
If you want to know which businesses are making headlines for their marketing spends,
you can follow Janine Poggi on Twitter, read her stuff online at adage.com. Janine,
I know it's an especially busy time of year for you, so I appreciate you taking a few minutes to
talk. Thanks, Chris. Appreciate it. Up next, Andy Cross and Ron Gross return with a few things,
including a couple of stocks on their radar. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about,
and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks
based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here once again
with Andy Cross and Ron Gross. Guys, a couple of more news items before we get to radar stocks.
Visa and MasterCard, both out with quarterly reports this week. On the surface, Ron,
it seems like a similar story. Both stocks falling a little bit because quarterly revenue for both
were falling. But still, we saw improvement over what we had seen out of both Visa and MasterCard
earlier in the pandemic. Correct. Things are improving sequentially,
but they're still obviously weak, and they're largely weak in both cases because of sharp
decreases in cross-border volume as a result of the fact that travel is basically non-existent,
both personal and business. For MasterCard, you saw cross-border volume down 29 percent.
Visa, you saw it down 21%. As a result, you saw revenue fall for both companies, but as we said,
improving sequentially. Earnings per share for MasterCard down 16%. Visa, not as bad, down 3%.
No guidance really offered from either company. MasterCard's CEO did say, we believe there's
significant pent-up demand for travel. I guess that makes sense. We continue to expect to see
improvements in the second half of the year. I'm not convinced that we'll follow through with
respect to business travel, personal perhaps, that's right. We'll keep an eye on it. These
will come back. These are both strong companies. You can own one or both. Visa is a little bit
cheaper, a little bit better run in my opinion, but both great companies to own.
Do you think three months from now, they're going to be at the point where they
are offering guidance? Oh, boy. Let's maybe call it
six months. I think we got to let the vaccines get into arms at a little bit faster rate.
Second quarter profits and revenue came in higher than expected for Atlassian,
but shares of the collaborative software company falling a bit this week despite that. Although,
Andy, Atlassian's guidance was good too. Yeah, Chris, it's interesting. They're
really making this shift from some of their customers, especially some of their large
customers from a server-based business to the cloud-based business. And they've talked a lot
about that evolution. That's going to take a multi-year process to move those clients from
the servers to the cloud and to the subscription business. And that's going to drive the bulk of
their revenues going forward. It does now, and it will be going forward. The revenue is at $501
million, up 23%. Handily beat estimates. Subscription revenue is up 36%. Like I said,
about two-thirds of the sales now come from subscription business. EPS was about flat at
37% on the adjusted side, but beat the estimates. Again, gross margin at 84%, up a little bit from
a year ago. R&D expenses up 40%. They continue to plow a lot into people, headcount, and into
research and development. Free cash flow up very nicely at almost $180 million. That's 36% of
revenue. Very profitable in the free cash flow line. They're making this shift, Chris. They
talked about this, how much time this is going to take, how they have to move these clients there,
but they're excited about it. They launched a new Jira service management business that has
end-to-end cloud. It helps bridge the line between IT service and software development
that is really blurring. They think that will expand their opportunity to sell more and more
clients and more and more tech workers over time. They hired 467 people, about 9% more
to their workforce. Continuing to make those investments, it's going to take some time for
this to all play out. The price of sales at 30 times for a $56 billion company. I think you'll
make money going forward in Atlassian, but I don't think it's going to be one of those stocks
that's going to generate really hefty returns for your portfolio going forward. On Thursday,
General Motors said it plans to stop making gas-powered vehicles by the year 2035. And guys,
I know that's 14 years away, but this is one of the largest automakers in the world that we're
talking about. And with that as context, Ron, I'm a little surprised by this timeline. I mean,
great to see from an environmental standpoint, I'm a little surprised that they're being that
aggressive. Yes. Clearly, this is where the industry is going. And it's a matter of timing,
as you said. And I don't know if 2035 is the right number. I don't know if it's going to be
quicker. I don't know if it's going to be longer. Biden's administration clearly wants to accelerate,
replace the government vehicles, 650,000 of them with all-electric models. Things like this will
help accelerate the move. I do want to say, I don't think this is a winner-take-all proposition.
There's not one winner here. It's not GM, it's not Tesla, it's not whoever. It's just the way
there's no one winner in the car industry right now. So there's going to be plenty to go around
as the entire industry shifts to the new paradigm. Andy, are you surprised by the timeline?
No, I think they have to be aggressive on this push. Like Ron said, everyone's moving there.
Volvo is moving there. That's the way the direction is going. It is interesting. Tesla
is about 10 times the size of GM in market cap. It sells about a tenth of overall sales compared
to GM. Tesla sells 500,000 cars. GM sells, what, 8 million cars or so. Much smaller. Obviously,
stock has been so much explosive and really the example. Certainly, Tesla has such a wide lead in
autonomous driving and that technology, which is really driving them forward, I think. But certainly,
GM has to be really proactive and aggressive in making this change.
Well, we've heard from General Motors. Now, I guess we're just all waiting to hear from
Stellantis. With that, it's time to get to the stocks on our radar. Our man behind the glass,
Dan Boyd is going to hit you with a question. Ron Gross, you're up first. What are you looking
at this week? Following on the GM story, we're going to be hearing more and more talk about
renewables and alternative energy, especially under the Biden administration. I'm going with
NextEra Energy. NEE operates the largest electric utility in Florida, but it's also the largest
wind and solar operator in the world with more than 150 wind and solar energy centers.
started really building this 10 years before other folks were in it. They've got a great
first-mover advantage. They've got a great growing backlog of renewable energy projects,
which gives us some visibility into future revenue and earnings growth. The CEO recently
said the company's share is around 20% for solar and up to 25% for wind. Skilled management,
great capital allocation, industry-leading margins, increased their dividend for 25
consecutive years and is aiming for a 10% growth rate in dividends per share through at least 2022,
current yield 1.6%. I think you'll get a nice yield and you'll get capital appreciation.
Dan, question about NextEra Energy? Sure thing, Chris. Ron, is NextEra
in the business of actively reducing its fossil fuel power production plants by any means,
or is it just building out new renewables? Well, they're certainly trying from the
electric utility side to be as efficient and environmentally friendly as possible.
But the big exciting, I think, part of the business, the growth on the less regulated
part of the business will be to build out those solar farms and those renewable energy farms to
really not just be in 26 states and four provinces in Canada, but to really take the world by storm.
Andy Cross, what are you looking at this week?
Dan and Chris and Ron, I'm checking out Unity Software. I know this is a company that I think
Jason's talked about before and he likes it. I'm still looking at it. A $42 billion market cap
company. Operates the largest third-party platform to create and manage and monetize
2D and 3D games. IPO'd in September at around $52 and now at $155. The company debuted in 2005,
I think, at an Apple conference as the exclusive Mac game developer. Powers more than half the
most popular video games out there. There are two business segments in Creative Solutions and
Operate Solutions. Creative Solutions is a subscription offering of tools that allows
developers and designers to create 2D and 3D games. Operate Solutions allows them to monetize
that. Then Unity takes a little lick off the lollipop, too, in a rev share agreement.
Some large customers like Zynga take to electric cards. 740 clients now have more than $100,000
in revenue to Unity. It's up 34% year over year. Revenue is growing 40% a year with a really nice
dollar-based expansion rate of 144%. Very scalable business, starting to push outside of just the
gaming platform, especially in like Auto and CAD. And that's one thing I'm watching because it might
not be as beneficial for the operate solutions. But Unity Software, a really exciting growth
company. Dan, question about Unity? This company strikes me as almost like a software-as-a-service
company, where it's got the really excellent scalability of adapting its products to just
about any sort of realm. Andy, are there any sort of products that you're really excited about
that Unity has been working on lately? Well, yeah. They've signed these
arrangements with the auto company. It's really interesting to see how they use that technology
outside of pure gaming. That's exciting because it expands their market opportunity,
but also a little bit of a concern because they don't have those extra revenues through
the Operate platform. So that's something to watch and something to learn a little bit more
about with Unity. What do you want to add to your watch list, Dan?
You know, well, Chris, I think I'm going to go with Unity this time. I think both companies
are really good, hence the no jokes this episode. But I like the idea of the scalability of software
solutions for video game makers. All right. Andy Cross, Ron Gross,
guys, thanks for being here. Thanks, Chris.
That's going to do it for this week's show. It's mixed by Dan Boyd and produced by
Mac Greer. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.
