Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Big Tech is Getting Bigger
Episode Date: October 27, 2017Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft all hit new highs after their latest earnings reports. Jason Moser, Matt Argersinger and Jeff Fischer analyze the growing dominance of these tech giants. We also take a ...look at Baidu, Intel, Twitter and more, and share a few stocks on our radar. Plus, we get the inside scoop on two of the biggest candy makers as we talk with Joel Glenn Brenner, author of The Emperors of Chocolate: Inside the Secret World of Hershey and Mars. Thanks to Freshbooks for supporting The Motley Fool. Get a 30-day free trial by going to FreshBooks.com /FOOL and enter “MOTLEY FOOL” in the “How Did You Hear About Us?” section. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Fool Money radio show. I'm Chris Hill, and joining me in studio this week
From Million Dollar Portfolio, Jason Moser and Matt Argersinger. And from Motley Fool Pro and
Options, Jeff Fischer. Good to see you as always, gentlemen. We've got the latest headlines from
Wall Street. We'll take a closer look at the business of candy. And as always, we'll give
you an inside look at the stocks on our radar. But we begin this week with earnings palooza.
Three of the biggest public companies all hitting record highs. Microsoft, Alphabet.
We're going to start with Amazon's third quarter report. Revenue came in just shy of $44 billion.
That is a 34% increase over a year ago. And shares of Amazon on Friday, Jeff, up 12%.
Unbelievable, Chris. And the shares are up 46% year-to-date, and 360% just the last five years.
So, if you thought you were too late to Amazon, you were not. And the good news is, I don't think
you are too late now, either. I think the company will be much more valuable five and 10 years from
now. Right now it has a $525 billion market cap. Let's see where it is five years. I bet it'll be
much higher. Anyway, Chris, retail sales were up 22% year over year. That's higher than they grew
a year ago when they grew 20%. So that's amazing. Amazon Web Services revenue was up 42%, which is
a little slower than a year ago, but still very strong. The company did have lower operating
margins pretty much across the board. But in the web services business, which is key, which is
where a lot of profits are made. The operating margins were up sequentially, so people were
happy to see that as well. Not talked about so much, but really interesting to me is ad
revenue was up about 60%. Huge growth there, and that's very high-margin revenue, and they
have a lot more room to keep growing that revenue.
Yeah. Amazon, a company that famously keeps things close to the vest, they don't
have an advertising division, per se, Matty. That actually, the number he referenced there,
goes in their other revenue segment.
Well, it just speaks to the tremendous optionality of this business. I'll just go
back, though, to the core retail business growing over 20%. If you look at the overall
e-commerce just in the U.S., it's growing in the low teens year over year. As mature
as Amazon is, it's still putting up this amazing growth. We've talked a lot about other companies
making headway, Walmart's making headway, Target to a certain extent, other e-commerce
players, but Amazon, the juggernaut of the business, is still growing, and it's accelerating
its growth, which I just think is exceptional. Yeah, Matt, and they haven't yet
cracked, of course, groceries to a great extent. They bought Whole Foods, but it's still a
small part of their business. They haven't really cracked healthcare, let alone pharmacy,
where there are rumors of looking at how to get into that, because that's a giant industry,
so there's a lot more for them to grab. Yeah, as we came into the studio
to tape today, there were all these reports that CVS is in talks to buy health insurer
Aetna for as much as $66 billion. And part of the rationale for that, Matty, if it in
fact goes through, is so that CVS can defend against Amazon.
It's amazing. Actually, Jason was telling me before the show that you can type
to AmazonRx, and right now it goes to just Amazon. But clearly, whatever anecdotal evidence
you need out there, Amazon is getting into this business. And I think about the fact
that now, my wife and I, for the most part, we get all our groceries at home. Amazon Fresh
is just an amazing service. With the Whole Foods acquisition, you just have more and
more to choose from. But I like the idea of, you go see your doctor, you order directly
from your doctor online through Amazon, and by the time you get home, your drugs are waiting
for you, along with your groceries.
You think there's someone whose job it is at Amazon to just secure URLs? That Jeff Bezos
is just like, you know what? I don't know if we're going to do this. Go ahead and secure
that, just in case.
I bet.
Alphabet's third quarter profits came in higher than expected, so did overall revenue.
Their margins are growing. Matty, did anything bad happen to Alphabet, or was this just all
sunshine and rainbows? Because it really looks like all sunshine and rainbows.
It really is. There might be one thing I'll mention, but this is just another example
of the big getting bigger, the big getting stronger. We talked about Amazon's business
accelerating, Alphabet's business is kind of accelerating. Revenue up 24%, that's above
of the average they've been generating the last several years. Growth in the core advertising
business was up 21%. And growth in Google's other revenue, so this is not other bets,
but just other revenue, hardware, cloud, that business was up 40%.
What really impresses me, and it's impressed me for a long time but just continues to blow
my mind, is YouTube and just the power of that, what that's doing for the platform and
for Google's search business. 1.5 billion users spending an average of 60 minutes per
day on YouTube, which is just massive. But one interesting thing the company pointed
out in the conference call is, they're also racking up a lot of time in the living room.
100 million viewing hours per day at home through smart TV or other TV devices. So,
no longer is YouTube just, I'm looking at my phone, or I have my iPad, or I'm playing
a game or something like that. It's now, people are watching YouTube on their TV and doing
so in really prodigious rates. Yeah, the skinny bundle offering,
like Hulu has, I think there's a lot of runway there, and we're seeing them make a big advertising
push. Certainly, we've seen some stuff going on here in the baseball playoff season. I
think that as time goes on, those skinny bundles that Hulu and Google are offering are only
going to get better, because they give consumers what they want in the way of content, and
the service aspect of it is just so much more optimal. When you consider you don't have
to call anybody, you just go in there and click a button here or there, you record a
payment. You don't have to call or wait on hold. The service aspect of it is so much
better than something you might deal with Verizon or Comcast, who notoriously have very
bad reputations for service. One small cloud over this sunshine
and rainbows we've been talking about is the traffic acquisition costs. They're up 54%
year-over-year, and that's, of course, Google paying smartphone makers and web browsers
to run Google search and ads. Critical cost, that's up 54%. Mainly, that's because mobile
is just so much more of an expensive platform for them, they have to really pay up for it.
We want to see that scale out. You want to see that number come down. Otherwise, operating
profits probably aren't going to keep up with revenue over time.
Microsoft's first quarter profits came in solidly higher than Wall Street was expecting.
Jason, the cloud business continues to grow. It's been growing for a while. The PC business
growing this quarter, too. That was a little bit of a surprise.
A little bit. The word I used back in July was cloud. The word this quarter is
is cloud. This is the same old thing here, but that's in the good way. When you look
at the commercial cloud business, the run rate is now at $20 billion annually. For context,
Amazon Web Services is around $18 billion. Both are really leaving Google in the dust
in that regard right now, but Google is obviously also a very big player as well. The more I
think about it, the more I think Satya Nadella is Microsoft's Steve Easterbrook. We think
about all of the success that Easterbrook has had at McDonald's in turning this business around,
Satya Nadella has done a lot of the same with Microsoft, identifying the key opportunities,
cloud. I think we probably all still have some questions about the LinkedIn acquisition,
but the bottom line is, they're realizing stronger engagement, and it's contributing
to earnings per share. And then there's a big runway in gaming as well, a new Xbox coming out
soon. All in all, I mean, this is a business that is still extremely relevant in offices
all over the world. And I think that is going to continue, and Nadella and his team are
doing a very good job exploiting that and monetizing it, and investors are clearly winning.
Okay. So, we've got Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft. We've got three stocks. These are
three of the four biggest public companies out there. Apple is the biggest. We'll be
talking about them on next week's show when they report their earnings. But of these three
stocks for investors who are looking over the next five to 10 years, they're all hitting
new highs this week. Are any of them unreasonably priced? Is one more so than the other that
you look at and you think, well, even if you have the five to 10-year time horizon, it's
something where you want to wait for a little bit of a pullback. What do you think, Matty?
I would say, I'll call out Microsoft only because I think the business, compared to
the other two, is a lot more mature. And the valuation for Microsoft is kind of in line
with Alphabet, actually. And I just think Alphabet's got a lot of bigger runway ahead
for them. I mean, Microsoft, what they've done is very impressive. If I had to pick
one of the three, I'd say Microsoft. I'd kick that out.
Jason?
Yeah, I think Amazon's the easy target there. But, you know, Matty hits on a very good point
there. We've got to think forward, right? And so, Microsoft, I think we've been conditioned
to sort of accept this low valuation. It's still somewhere around 20X free cash flow.
But on a forward-looking basis, I think that Alphabet and Amazon are the companies that
have the bigger opportunities. Honestly, I think you buy a little bit of all three of
them and you're going to be just fine.
O' There's no question, all three trade at a bull market type of price. At some
point in the next five to 10 years, we'll see a significant market drawback. It's almost
inevitable. Call it a bear market, whatever you like. We'll see a year or two of stocks
falling at least in the next five to ten years. That said, I think all three are priced such
that five years, there's a decent chance they'll generate a decent return over five years.
Ten years, there's a very good chance they'll generate a good return. That is, as long as
Amazon or Google Alphabet is not attacked by regulations, or Amazon, which trades at
75 times free cash flow compared to Microsoft at 20, doesn't make some missteps and hit
its profitability prospects. Third quarter profits for Baidu more
than doubled, but shares of the Chinese search engine giant fell more than 7% on Friday after
guidance fell short of what investors were hoping for. Even with the drop, Matty, it's
been a hell of a year for Baidu. It absolutely has. In particular,
I look at the 31% increase in the average spend per marketing customer. Again, this
was a company that, for the last two years, there's been a shadow on them with some of
their customers. The Chinese government got involved to clean that out. Even though their
advertising ranks are lower, the amount of spend per advertising customer is really,
really impressive. iQiyi, which we've talked about before, their YouTube-Netflix hybrid
is, as I'll say, Ronnie's not here today, firing on all cylinders. 160 million daily
active users on mobile. Time spent using iQiyi up almost 30% year-over-year. I thought their
guidance was actually quite good. If you adjust out some of the businesses, like the delivery
business and the mobile game segment that they divested, the core business is going
to grow between 28% and 34% in the fourth quarter. I don't know, the sell-off to me
seems a little overdone. Yeah, I looked into it as well, and
Chris, you're right, the stock is up 46% year-to-date despite the sell-off, so it's great. It's
up 1,800% since it went public in 2005, which to me feels recent. Life-changing returns
there with what was known from day one as the Google of China, so it isn't like it was
hidden. But the problem that I see in the quarter was the talk about their big investments
in autonomous cars and AI. AI is their second pillar, strategic pillar, and it's going to
be a long time before they see artificial intelligence adding anything to profits.
In fact, I don't think any company has really cracked how to make a lot of money from AI
yet. So, investors lost a little patience hearing that.
Coming up, earningspalooza rolls on. Stay right here. This is Motley Fool Month.
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Welcome back to Motley Fool Money! Chris Hill here in studio with Jason Moser,
Matt Argersinger and Jeff Fischer. Shares of Chipotle down 15% this week after a disappointing
third quarter report. Jason, it appears that queso is in fact not the answer.
It seems like the perception out there is that you could get a better meal on
the upside down from Stranger Things than going to Chipotle. It's just scaring people
away at comps of meager 1%. I mean, we've been talking about this a lot. I know you're
a little bit hot under the collar, Chris. So, I'm not going to try to talk you back
off the ledge, because I think things are about as bad as they look. For me, at this
point in time, I can absolutely see a scenario where Chipotle, where Steve Ells decides to
maybe look at taking this thing private again. I don't know that he is suited to take this
company forward as a publicly traded company. And I think part of the problem is, for better
or for worse, he's going to put purpose and mission above everything else, and that includes
profits. Now, that's okay. You can do that. But as a publicly traded company, your life
is going to be a living hell. So, I think that we need to start looking at the options
here as far as the path forward. I mean, if you look back a year ago, he was targeting
2017 earnings per share of about $10. Fast forward to today, through the first nine months,
it's at about $5 adjusted. So, $5.39 adjusted for some one-time events, which just basically
means they're not going to hit that target this year. The best-case scenario, maybe they
hit that target next year. You plunk a $30 multiple on that, you get a $300 stock. All
of a sudden, it looks like the stock is actually pretty reasonably priced today. And I don't
know that it ever garners that multiple that we're so used to seeing, that premium multiple.
So, all in all, just an extremely disappointing 2017. It seemed like it started off so promising,
and boy, the tide just turned quickly.
Intel's third quarter profits came in 26% higher than Wall Street was expecting,
and shares of the chipmaker hitting a new all-time high on Friday.
Jeff, this was not one of those beat-by-a-penny kind of quarters.
No, massive results.
And we have to give Intel credit when you think about it,
how much the industry has changed since the 1990s, let alone the 80s.
And it has sustained power, and it has evolved as technology has changed.
Whereas IBM, Hewlett-Packard, so many other early computer leaders fell by the wayside.
Intel is trying to be the driving force of the data revolution, so it's making money on Internet of Things, on, of course, storage, data, cloud, on memory, which grew sharply, it's memory chips, and, of course, on the CPU sold into computing devices.
26% earnings per share growth this quarter. The stock trades at 13 times expected earnings for the year ahead, so it looks very inexpensive compared to all the other tech giants.
has a good 2.5% yield. I think we've been saying for many years that Intel looks like
a good value with a good yield, and the stock has delivered results as well. Not as much
as the others, but still decent results. And I think it's on a good path.
Align Technologies' third quarter profits came in higher than expected, and shares
of Align up more than 16% on Friday. Big day, Matty.
A huge day. And this is such a great example of an early, small rule-breaker
who owns a niche or owned a niche market within the medical industry and has just skyrocketed
and become a standard and a go-to brand. I was looking back at the Rule Breakers recommendation,
which I wrote up in June 2014 for Align Technology. At that point in time, they were growing revenue
year over year between 15% and 20%, depending on which quarter you looked at. Flash forward
to today, revenue in the most recent quarter up 38%, and the core Invisalign business up
over 40%. A total example of a product that has just caught fire. Earnings up over 60%,
both of those numbers crushing estimates. The big deal for Align, and we've been looking
at this, is just the rapid expansion they've had overseas. Invisalign not only has become
the go-to place for braces or lining teeth here in the U.S., but it's being really adopted
overseas, especially in the Asia-Pacific region, where they're seeing incredible growth. It's
an expensive stock at $230 per share, but I thought it was expensive around $50 a few
years ago, and it's trading roughly the same multiple.
And Invisalign is expensive itself, so there you go, good margins.
Are they talking at all about expanding outside the mouth, or are they just thinking,
you know, we're just going to focus on this for now?
I think it's all about the mouth right now, but they do have some things, other types
of dental technologies they're looking at, but no, they're staying in the mouth.
What are you thinking, Chris? What else could they align?
I'm just thinking, possibly. Maybe team up with some chiropractors, get some R&D going
on that. For the first time in a very long time, it was a great week for Twitter. Shares
up 20% this week after a strong third quarter report, and they raised guidance for the fourth
quarter. They're not profitable yet, Jason, but they're getting darn close.
Yeah, what do they say? A broken clock and all that good stuff, right? At some point
or another. I mean, the statistics, you just had to believe a good quarter was going to happen.
I thought you'd be a little more excited about it.
I am excited. I just think we need to look at this from a practical viewpoint here.
I think that there was probably a little bit of a short squeeze involved with the stocks
run up on Thursday and Friday. Now, with that said, it does appear that management's efforts
to get the growth engine going again are starting to pay off. You look at daily active users,
was up 14%, fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth there. They've sort of
redefined their advertising landscape with some different offerings and products that
focus more on the video front that they're making all of these investments in. So, ad
engagements doubled, the cost per engagement down 54% from a year ago. And data licensing
is becoming a bigger part of the business at about 15% of revenue today and growing
very fast. So, this all put together gives us a company where they very well may be gap
profitable here at the end of the year. And I think that once it becomes GAAP profitable,
then we can look at it from a more fundamental sort of point of view in regard to valuing the
stock. And I think it's important to note that they do finally now have sort of a leadership
trifecta in there with Dorsey and Noto and new CFO Siegel. So, perhaps that will help keep this
company moving forward. We want to see at least one more quarter of performance like this so we
can call it a trend, as opposed to, could just very well be an outlier. But we'll wait
and see.
And Twitter still gets such a tiny percentage of the dollars being spent on online advertising.
Compared to Google and Facebook, they're not even in the same ballpark. So, you can view
that as a positive. There's a lot of upside if they crack this.
Well, I think there's such a great point, Jeff. And I think advertisers are probably,
in a way, kind of sick of the Facebook. They're not sick of it, because they're making lots
of money. But they'd like another platform, another place to be putting ads. And Twitter
should be that.
There's no question advertisers are looking for that. A lot of industry research does point to that.
And it's also worth noting the tailwind of the stock-based compensation as that continues to come down.
Once revenue re-accelerates, that'll really make a big difference in a short amount of time.
All right, guys, we'll see you later in the show.
Halloween is just days away. Up next, we'll dig into the secret world of Hershey and Mars.
Stay right here. This is Motley Fool Money.
come with me and you'll be in a world of pure imagination welcome back to motley fool money
i'm chris hill if the most secretive chocolate maker you've ever heard of is willie wonka well
that's probably because you've never heard of the mars family and that's just how they like it
mars is not only one of the biggest private companies in america it is also one of the
most secretive. But our guest this week got a rare inside look at Mars. Joelle Glenn Brenner
is the author of The Emperors of Chocolate Inside the Secret World of Hershey and Mars.
And she joins me now from New York. Joelle, thanks for being here.
Absolutely. My pleasure.
Let's go back in time because this is a book that you wrote, I believe, in 1999
when you were working at the Washington Post, you had a chance to go visit Mars headquarters,
which is not too far from full headquarters in Northern Virginia. This is an incredibly
private company. I guess my first question is, why did they let you in the front door?
How did you get in the front door? Well, you know, I pestered them endlessly and made it
clear I wasn't going to go away and that I wasn't going to write a story about them
that used just sort of former employees and outsiders that, you know, that had been done
time and time again.
And the only story that was really worth pursuing was one where you actually got to go inside,
talk to members of the Mars family, learn how the company was managed, learn its history,
understand its operations.
And of course, for the Washington Post, Mars was one of our local businesses. So they're headquartered, as you said, in McLean, Virginia. And, you know, so my assignment was pretty basic. It was, you know, I was a business reporter and it was, hey, we want to know more about Mars.
So after endless pestering, I think the final sales pitch that landed the deal was that I said, hey, if you guys let me do this piece, you can hand it out from this point forward and never have to talk to another journalist again.
And if you hate the piece and you don't want to do that, well, then you can just use it to tell everybody this is why we don't cooperate with the press.
So I said it's a win win either way.
And, you know, I was young and ambitious, and I made it clear that I didn't have an agenda.
I really just wanted to get in there and understand what they were about.
What did you think you were going to find when you got there, and what did you actually find?
Well, you know, it was very interesting because, you know, as you said, there's hardly anything written about the company.
I remember going to the library in the Washington Post and opening up, you know, the folder for information that we had.
And there was one article in there from 1966. And that was it.
And so it had become kind of this, you know, joke, the kind of holy grail of a business journalist, right, to break through and get inside.
And it was really fascinating. All the rumors that have, you know, been throughout time about this company, about the secrecy, about the eccentricity, about members of the family just doing all kinds of odd things.
I mean, those things were true. But what was most interesting to me was that by getting inside, I get to put them into a much broader context. And what was most fascinating, to be honest with you, Mars was the most well-run company I had ever come across.
I was dumbstruck by the things that that company was doing early in the 20th century that nobody else was doing.
They were so far ahead of their time.
The founder, Frank Mars, and then his son, Forrest Mars, who took over the business.
I mean, Forrest was a student of math and of numbers and science.
And he put together a really unbelievable program for managing his company that's unlike anything I've ever seen.
And believe it or not, those principles, which were distilled almost 100 years ago now, they are still in place at the company today.
And you will find things at Mars that you never find anywhere else.
and I think a perfect example of that is that basically at Mars, everyone essentially knows
what everybody else makes in terms of their salary. And that just doesn't happen in the
corporate world. But the reason why it works at Mars is because, like I said, Boris had a way
of distilling his management practice down very, very specific numbers and categories.
and his whole management structure only had six levels to it. And the top level was the family.
So in truth, you only had five levels of management. And within each of those levels,
there was a published chart of what the salary ranges were within each level. So by understanding
how well your division was doing and understanding where you were on that chart, you could essentially
see what you are making versus somebody else. Mars is a company that rewards its employees
for their efforts. Your salary does not stay consistent at Mars. So this isn't something,
again, you never find at a company. Here's a place where if your factory does not achieve
its goals, you lose money. You're going to see a deduction. Everybody there gets a 10% bonus to
their base salary just for punctuality. These are things that are written in stone. They're
called the Mars Guiding Principles. And it's like a 30-page booklet that every employee gets. And in
that 30 pages, you can understand everything about how the company runs. But again, because it's
privately held, they are able to put in place targets and goals and a way of managing that
the public companies simply can't get away with. It has made them an incredibly efficient company
and always on the cutting edge of technology. But this is not, by definition, a cutting edge
technology business. This is not a business that is on the leading edge of healthcare or science.
They make M&Ms. And I appreciate that because I'm a fan of M&Ms. But I'm curious where the
culture of secrecy comes from. I'm wondering if it is simply a product of Forrest Mars and
his personality, or if it is seen as a business advantage that they're willing to exploit
to every possible extent?
So the secrecy is a very interesting thing.
First of all, I don't think many of your listeners know that the story of Willy Wonka,
the Raoul Dahl original story, was based on the stories that he read in England about the
competition between Cadbury and Roundtree. And his parody of the candy business as being this
incredibly secretive, strange, eccentric world was based in truth. And there is a history within
this industry, and you'll understand it really quickly when I explain, the ingredients in the
products, they're not a secret, right? I mean, everybody knows what's in an M&M, what's in a
Milky Way, what's in a Mars bar. If you can't patent or somehow protect intellectual property
with your products, what can you do? How do you gain an edge? And so those are the things that
All of the candy companies were incredibly secretive about.
If, for example, Ferrera were to figure out how to put a crispy cookie inside a bonbon of chocolate, which they did with their candy Ferrera Rocher, which is now very popular in the United States, that little gold-foiled ball, then that's a trade secret.
That becomes incredibly valuable.
And I'll tell you, Forrest Mars Sr. would have given anything to understand how the Ferreira family had figured that out. Because getting a crispy cookie into a piece of chocolate that has fat, it has cocoa butter in it, it has some liquid in it, how do you keep that cookie crisp?
I mean, these are things people don't think about when they eat candy, but there's a lot
of technology and a lot of science that goes into making the candies that we eat.
And when I talk about technology, I'm not talking about the internet, I'm not talking
about coding, but I'm talking about things, for example, at Mars, their manufacturing
systems are unbelievably fast.
There isn't a company on this planet that can match the production levels, what Mars
can get out of this factory in a 24-hour period beats the competition hands down. But that's a
huge trade secret. So when Mars has to have somebody come in from the outside, which is a
little rare, but when they do have to bring someone in from the outside to fix something on that line
or to fix a piece of equipment, they literally blindfold them. They don't want anybody outside
of the company to see how they do what they do. All of those things become your trade secret.
So let's go back to your closing pitch to the Mars family for why they should let you in the
building. What was their reaction to the story that you wrote for the Washington Post?
Well, it was very interesting, actually. They had ordered, I think, over a thousand copies
of the magazine prior to the piece being published that they intended, you know, to take to
headquarters and, and I guess use in the way that I had recommended, which was to send off other
journalists. But they called the Washington Post after the piece came out, and they said they
didn't want the copies, they would pay for them, but they weren't picking them up. They were
incredibly upset with the story, but not for the reasons that you and I might think. It was because
I had given what they considered to be too much detail about Forrest and John and some of their
everyday practices, coming to the factory, what their timing was like coming into work in the
morning. And they really thought that the piece represented a security threat to John and Forrest.
And then I told them, of course, that I was going to go on and write a book that was not just about
Mars, but also about their competition, Hershey, and would sort of detail a history of the candy
industry by looking at these two enormous competitors. And they were not at all thrilled.
But after the book came out, I will never forget, I got a letter from Boris Mars Jr.
that said, all things considered, you did a fair job. And by fair, he didn't mean, you know,
fair isn't even handed. He just meant, you know, I did okay. And I think that's like the highest
compliment the man ever gives out. So I was quite pleased to receive that note.
It's interesting to compare these two companies, because as you said, they are
obviously competitors. But when you look at the way that these two companies have evolved,
you have two chocolate makers, one of which is a private company that is incredibly secretive.
The other, in the case of Hershey, is a public company that might be one of the most open
and public encouraging companies I can think of.
When you think about Hershey Pennsylvania as a destination, it's not just that they're
a publicly traded stock.
They want you to come and visit.
They want you to take the tour.
They want you to enjoy the theme park.
And they want you to know everything about Milton Hershey.
Well, you know, it's very interesting because the history of these two firms is closely intertwined.
And you are absolutely right.
Milton Hershey had a very different understanding of marketing in his day.
And he strongly believed that just putting the Hershey name out there, no matter how he got it out there, whether it was through the town,
whether it was from a wrapper that had been tossed on the ground that had Hershey's name on it,
Whether it was stamping Hershey actually into the chocolate bar itself, he believed that all of those marketing tactics were enough to make Hershey successful.
And so the idea of the town and the amusement park and all the other assets that are related to Hershey, they were all part of Milton's way of promoting his chocolate.
it. But what's really fascinating is something that Hershey actually doesn't talk about very
much. And that's the fact that their biggest stockholder is actually the Hershey Trust.
And what is the Hershey Trust? Well, the Hershey Trust is the entity that Milton Hershey put all
of his wealth into long before he died, didn't leave himself a penny. And he established that
Trust to fund and support a school for orphaned boys. That was his main interest and focus. He
and his wife Kitty could not have children, and they founded an orphanage. And today, believe it
or not, that Hershey Trust still funds a school that is still in the town of Hershey that most
people are completely oblivious to when they go to Hershey. But the Milton Hershey School has
saved hundreds and hundreds now it's a boys and a girls school and it's not just orphans
but it's kids from inner city situations unstable homes you know kids who've lost a parent
and these kids would be bereft in the world save for this school which they board in and they are
given the best education and they go on and they make amazing lives for themselves but when you buy
a Hershey bar. Believe it or not, what you're really doing is funding the school. Last question,
and then I'll let you go. Since Halloween is just around the corner, what's your favorite candy?
Boy, that's a toughie, but I happen to have the palate of a five-year-old, and that's an honest
admission. And I love anything that is brightly colored, super sweet, and super tangy. And so one
of my favorites has got to be Now and Later, if you can believe that. I'm not really a big
chocolate fan. I appreciate chocolate and I appreciate all that Hershey and Mars have gone
into producing their products. But when it comes down to it, I would rather have a lollipop or
something than a piece of chocolate. The book is The Emperors of Chocolate
Inside the Secret World of Hershey and Mars.
And now you know that when you read it,
she did so as a fan who,
someone who's not really a fan of chocolate.
Joelle Glenn Brenner, thanks so much for being here.
Thank you.
They played the monster match.
The monster match.
It was a graveyard smash.
They played the match.
It caught on in a flash.
I'm next.
We'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
This is Motley Fool Money.
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As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and
The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks
based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in studio
once again with Jason Moser, Matt Argesinger, and Jeff Fischer. Time to get to the stocks
on our radar this week. And for that, of course, we bring in our man behind the glass, Steve
Broido, to hit you with a question. Jeff Fischer, you're up first. What are you looking at this
week?
If you're a biotech investor, you have to take a look at Celgene now. The formerly
$100 billion biotech leader is now about $75 billion. It's actually lost 33% the past month.
It's a cancer, inflammatory disease-treating biotech giant. One of its leading drugs saw
light sales. One of its pipeline candidates had a giant setback. But the company still
still foresees 20% earnings per share growth annualized through 2020, and the stock trades
at 7.8 times that estimate. Now, that said, Chris, a year or two ago, they gave guidance
out to 2020, and when they did that, I got a little nervous. IBM has tried that, I believe
eBay tried it years ago, and when you're just wrong, the stock gets clocked, and that's
what's happened, because they had to lower that guidance a lot.
And the ticker symbol? CELG.
Steve, question about Celgene? How involved are they in the genomics
space, with all this genome stuff going on we hear about all the time?
I think it's become an integral part of almost any very large biotech company. But
they don't talk about it that much, Steve. Jason Moser, what are you looking at?
Yeah, Under Armour, ticker UA. Earnings are up here on Halloween. Here's to hoping
for a treat, not trick. Now that founder Kevin Plank has a full executive team with Patrick
Frisk and COO, and David Bergman as the new CFO. I'd like to see if it doesn't benefit
him that he's got this full team helping lead this company forward. It could be argued that
he made some bad decisions, or decisions maybe that haven't paid off like he hoped previously.
There's a lot of value in having a team of diverse and respected opinions. Frisk, particularly,
he has a lot of experience in retail and apparel with VF Corp and Aldo. Maybe some improvement
there with the Curry 4 lineup coming out, easier comps coming down the road here for
the coming year in 2018. So, I'm just interested to see how they're looking at 2018 beyond
with this new executive team. Steve?
When do they get beyond just sportswear? I know they claim to be a little bit,
but when does that happen? Well, Steve, let me tell you.
About a month ago, I went on the app and I ordered three new pairs of Under Armour slacks.
And I'm going to tell you, man, I love the stock, and you know that, but these are, by
Far and away, the best pants I have ever bought.
Matt Argersinger, we've got less than a minute.
What are you looking at?
I'm sticking with Baidu, B-I-D-U.
I just think the sell-off on Friday was a little overdone.
You've got a strong balance sheet, strong, improving, accelerating core business.
You've got iQiyi, and you've got an optionality around AI and driverless cars.
Steve?
Would you like to visit China if you could?
I would.
I would, Steve.
I'd take you with me, too.
Three questions and an offer to go to, three stocks and an offer to go to China.
What are you going with, Steve?
I think I may be going with Jeff Fisher.
Oh, no China trips? I thought the trip was just drunk.
Well, the pants, too. The pants sound good.
That was a tough call.
They're good pants.
Alright, guys, thanks so much for being here.
Thanks, Chris.
That's going to do it for this week's edition of Motley Fool Money. Our engineer
is Steve Roido, our producer is Mac Greer. I'm Chris Hill, thanks for listening, we'll
see you next time.
