Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Disney+, Jobs, and Big Tech's Return to Office
Episode Date: March 4, 2022Nearly 700,000 jobs were added to the U.S. economy in February. The biggest gains were in the leisure and hospitality industries. Apple, Alphabet, and other Silicon Valley companies announced plans fo...r returning to their offices. (0:30) Jason Moser and Emily Flippen discuss employers taking an "omnichannel" approach with their employees, as well as: - Target's stellar results - Costco's mixed quarter - Salesforce focusing on Slack (instead of more big acquisitions) - Disney's plan to launch an ad-supported tier for Disney+ - The latest from Sweetgreen, Domino's Pizza, Best Buy, Elastic, and Zoom Video (31:00) Emily and Jason answer a listener's question about whether to sell index funds in order to buy more stocks, and share two stocks on their radar: Bilibili and Accenture. Stocks discussed: AAPL, GOOG, GOOGL, CRM, TWTR, TGT, COST, SG, DPZ, BBY, ESTC, DIS, NFLX, ZM, CAN, BILI You'll find 15 stocks and 5 ETFs in our free Investing Starter Kit: http://fool.com/StarterKit Investing questions? Email podcasts@fool.com Host: Chris Hill Guests: Emily Flippen, Jason Moser Engineer: Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Silicon Valley is going back to the office and Disney is going back to the drawing board.
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From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Fool Money radio show.
I'm Chris Hill, and I'm joined by Motley Fool senior analysts Jason Moser and Emily Flippen.
Good to see you both.
Hey, Chris.
We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street.
We will dip into the Fool mailbag.
And as always, we've got a couple of stocks on our radar.
But we begin with the big macro.
The U.S. economy added nearly 700,000 jobs in February, with the biggest gains coming
in the leisure and hospitality industries.
In keeping with the reopening theme this week, Apple, Alphabet, Salesforce, and Twitter all
outlined plans for employees returning to offices.
And Emily, when you think about the rise of vaccines and COVID cases falling all over
the country, this all kind of makes sense.
It's good to have some positive news to kick off your end this week, I should say.
We're still above the unemployment rate pre-pandemic, but it's definitely trending in the right direction.
All the metrics you just mentioned point to an economy that is reopening, relatively strong consumer base.
And with those businesses like Apple recently announcing their plans for office reopening, it's going to be really interesting to see what happens with labor pools and unemployment rates moving forward.
because there's been this collection of feelings from workers and businesses that a lot of people
want to be in the office, while at the same time, a lot of people have become extremely accustomed
to a certain level of flexibility and their work-life balance. Trying to find that middle
ground of both having some sense of control and efficiency in the office, while also having the
flexibility, whether it be for your health, for your family, or really just having a separation
of work and life by having flexibility around your work arrangements. How they marry those
two things together will be very interesting to see. We've seen the fallout from businesses,
CoStar being one recently, who tried to bring the move into the office a little too aggressively,
had a lot of pushback from employees. We'll see if some of these big tech businesses can find the
right way to do it. Jason, you look at something like Mark Benioff at Salesforce talking about
collaboration and flexibility for the employees, but getting people into the office for that
in-person collaboration. Yeah. I think it's very telling to see
all of these companies, Microsoft, Google, Twitter, Salesforce, Apple, so focused now on
getting their employees back. It doesn't sound like it's something that's necessarily optional,
But I agree with Emily. I think what we're looking at going forward is companies are going to have to be more thoughtful about how they do this, right?
I think ultimately, you know, we've talked a lot in the past about the changing retail space, right?
And we've always used that word omni-channel.
And I feel like going forward, really, you need to be like the omni-channel employer, right?
I mean, I think speaking in absolutes as far as this stuff is concerned probably leaves a lot of opportunity on the table.
So if you're like a fully remote company, that probably isn't going to work out very well in the long run, just like if you're a company that just demands everyone to be on site all of the time as well.
So I think the companies that can basically develop that omni-channel employer philosophy that embraces hybrid work, allowing that flexibility while also really, I think, honing in on that need for people to be together, you know, I think that's really going to be the key to it all.
This week, Target held its first in-person investor day since the start of the pandemic.
back. CEO Brian Cornell talked about how the company is getting more efficient and that
the average Target store has added $15 million in sales over the past few years. Oh, by the
way, Jason, their fourth quarter profits were also higher than expected.
Yeah, this one has been just hiding in plain sight. It's very impressive to see
what CEO Brian Cornell has done in his time coming in and having to implement strategy
He's really building that omnichannel retailer that they envision that consumers are looking
for. All of the signs here show that he's doing it. He's succeeding. The stock is up
290% over the last five years, and that's for good reason. Success in omnichannel has
translated into success in the business. They note this frequently that omnichannel guests
spend four times as much as store-only guests and even more compared to digital-only guests.
driving that omni-channel identity is what's been the key point of focus here for Mr. Cornell.
19 consecutive quarters now of comps growth, which is really impressive when you think about
what we've just been through over these last couple of years. For the quarter, comps grew 8.9%,
comp traffic grew 8.1%. It's impressive to see they've grown nearly $28 billion in revenue,
more than 35% over the last couple of years. And it's looking like for fiscal 2022,
that that'll moderate a little bit they're expecting low to mid single digit revenue growth
uh but but again you look back to how the stock has performed that doesn't seem to be an accident
as ron would say this company is firing on all cylinders well and we talk about capital allocation
all the time about it's such an important skill and you think about brian cornell
and anytime there's been a question about his decision to allocate capital in a certain way
and the questions are fair, whenever you ask, is this going to work? The answer almost always is
yes. When he came out and said, we're actually going to get out of the pharmacy business. We're
going to sell our in-store pharmacy presence to CVS. And they got a lot of money for that. And
it's like, well, what are you going to do with that? We're going to invest in apparel. And in
both cases, it's like, all right, is this going to work? And the answer is yes. Yeah. They've done
a really good job allocating capital. I think you make some very good points there. I think
obviously the acquisition of Shipt has been a tremendous boost for this business. They continue
to repurchase shares very opportunistically, bringing that share count down significantly
over the past five years. So yeah, it really does feel like from a capital allocation perspective,
Mr. Cornell has nailed it as well. Costco's second quarter report had a little something
for everyone. For bulls, it was the higher foot traffic in stores with customers buying high
margin items like jewelry and home goods. For bears, it was Costco still battling supply chain
problems. Although historically, Emily, being bearish on Costco, not a great idea for investors.
Well, if anybody's driven past a Costco recently, they already probably had an
inkling that this quarter was going to be decent. Revenue rose 16%, earnings even better,
rising 36% year-over-year, largely because of that increase in foot traffic as well as higher
margin sales. But as you mentioned, there was a good reason to be a little bit bearish on this
quarter. I won't go as far as saying being an all-out bear on Costco, but there certainly were
some headwinds. We had permanent wage increases for employees that came into effect in October
2021. That was expected to weigh on this quarter, as well as those supply chain issues, logistics
challenges, labor shortages. There were lots of things that could impact Costco, but those higher
margin product sales combined with the foot traffic more than made up for the headwinds
they experienced over the past quarter, largely thanks to, again, mentioning that capital
allocation, investing heavily into their logistics and warehousing business. But here's what I found
really interesting about this quarter. Costco chose to keep its membership fee the same. Now,
they may increase it at some point this year. They didn't promise it was going to be the same
forever, but we've seen other businesses, Netflix and Amazon, raise prices amidst this inflation,
and you have to wonder what's going through the minds of the Costco management team here.
Because from my perspective, I think they know their customers are a bit price sensitive.
And with the chip shortages as well as rising inflation, they're already seeing the prices
rise on their everyday goods. With the prices also rising on their Costco membership,
maybe they'd be afraid that they'd knock their renewal rate a little bit if they raised prices
right now. But if you were able to bet on whether or not they raised their membership fee at some
point in 2022, wouldn't you bet on that? Because just if history is any guide, this is the year
they're going to do it. Yes. Historically speaking, they raise their fee every five to six
years. So they're right about in that timeframe right now. I do think they can do it and I would
expect for them to do it if not in 2022, definitely in 2023. They keep their renewal rates near 90%
pretty consistently. So you know they're going to be smart about when and if they do it.
It's pretty amazing when you consider, we talk about businesses like Netflix or
HBO Max and churn rates with customers. Those businesses would kill to have a retention rate,
anything approaching what Costco has. Salesforce wrapped up its fiscal year with profits and
revenue higher than expected. Two years ago, Salesforce bought Slack for $28 billion,
but co-CEO Brett Taylor said on the earnings call, the company has no big acquisition plans
in the near term. Jason, it sounds like they are trying to optimize Slack as much as they can.
Yeah. And I think you probably heard a collective sigh of relief from Salesforce investors. It's
not to say that acquisitions are a bad thing, right? And they've had, I think, a successful
track record thus far. But yeah, let's go ahead and take a step back and digest this Slack deal
first. Always a good reminder of what Salesforce does, customer relationship management, right?
Getting data from all of these different communications channels today, which help
businesses then learn more about their target audiences, right? Helps them retain customers
drive sales. Based on the numbers, based on everything we're seeing, customers find a lot
of value in what Salesforce has to offer. The numbers, again, very impressive. Fourth quarter
revenue, $7.33 billion. It was up 26%. Remember, the overwhelming majority of that is subscription
revenue. That translated into earnings per share of $0.84. They continue to recognize the data
benefits from the Tableau and Mulesoft acquisitions. Those are the data businesses. Altogether,
those acquisitions. That data business now, they accelerated growth at 23.5% from a year ago.
Sales Cloud and Service Cloud are both now $6 billion businesses on their own. In fourth
quarter, they grew 17% and 18% respectively. Back to Slack, yes, Slack continues to perform
very well. Under the Salesforce umbrella, the number of customers spending $100,000
annually with Slack increased 46% from a year ago. You put it all together,
Mark Benioff, I think one of the more glass half full CEOs you'll hear out there. Love listening
to him talk just because he lights up a room and he lights up a conference call. It seemed like he
was really excited to get employees back together and have the offices open. I can imagine that's
exciting for a lot of folks. And it sounds like this coming year is going to be a good one.
They're calling for $4.63 in earnings. And that puts shares now around 43 times full year
estimates. Cheap, no. But relatively speaking, it's actually starting to look like a compelling
multiple for a business like this that has a stellar track record. It's growing and it
continues to push those margins higher. More after the break, so stay right here.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here with Jason Moser and Emily Flippen.
Sweetgreen's first quarterly report since it went public last November was a hit with investors.
The fast casual salad chain is not profitable, but expect sales to be strong this year.
Emily, salad is rarely my first option for a meal, but as a business, I have to say,
Sweetgreen intrigues me. Emily Flippen
I have to say, if you've eaten at a Sweetgreen, you're probably familiar with why this business
had such a great quarter because the food is really pretty decent for a salad. Now, they did
report a loss that was greater than expected, but revenue grew nearly 63%, admittedly coming off
some pretty weak comparables. There's an interesting divisive community behind the
sweet green business as an investment because more than a third of their sales actually come
from the New York metropolitan area. And you can see why a fancy salad chain would have a lot of
success, especially with people coming back to the office, grabbing lunch in between meetings.
This model works in urban areas, but there's also been a large constituent of investors
who think Sweetgreen might be the next Chipotle. When you look at their cash-on-cash returns
and their unit economics for their stores, it's actually really impressive. There's a
big question, Sweetgreen only has around 140, 150 locations currently. Can they make a model
work in the suburban areas that has succeeded so readily in urban districts. I'm not entirely
sure I am sold on it. I do think their prices are a bit higher than what suburban customers
may be accustomed to paying for a lunch out. However, I will say the food is really decent,
if I can speak for myself here, and I can see an argument for a larger store count than the
one they have currently. Would it make sense for them to offer some type of value salad,
something that's a price point of $8 to $10? When you look at the success of Chipotle,
part of the reason why Chipotle management isn't that worried about the fact they've had to raise
prices over the past year is because they've consistently had an option price below $10.
Their most popular item, their chicken burrito, and that's been really steady. Regardless of
where your price point has been, you've been able to walk into a Chipotle and know that you're going
going to get a reasonably priced chicken burrito. Sweetgreen doesn't have that right now. They
charge per topping, which is challenging, I think, for a lot of consumers. Their salads readily end
up being $15 to $20 per salad. It doesn't translate as easily to maybe a more price-sensitive
market. So I do concern a little bit with how Sweetgreen is going to expand. I do think having
some base-level option that is priced at or below $10 would dramatically help them, assuming,
of course, they can make that profitable. The headline for Domino's Pizza is not
the company's fourth quarter earnings report, it's the fact that CEO Rich Allison is retiring.
After less than four years in the corner office, Allison will step down later this spring and hand
the keys to Domino's Chief Operating Officer, Russell Weiner. Jason, Rich Allison is 53 years
old. He's not staying on the board. He sounds like someone who's just going to live the next
stage of his life. I'm getting hungry. I mean,
geez, Chipotle and sweet green and pizza. All right, focus up, Jason. You're right, the big
story, Rich Allison calling it a day. He's with the company for 11 years, CEO for about four,
obviously done a tremendous job, particularly in a difficult time, very sensible to promote
Russell Wiener who has served as the COO for about four years and has been with the company since
2008. We'll have to see how he performs. That's not always a guarantee, but typically, you'd like
to see that COO take the step up. As far as the quarter, it was okay. It wasn't anything really
to write home about, but U.S. same-store sales growth 1%, international same-store sales growth
of 1.8%. That means they continue their streak of 112 consecutive quarters of positive international
comps growth. Just really impressive, but not terribly surprising when you consider their
global retail sales reached $17.8 billion in 2021. That was up almost 12% from a year ago.
And even more impressively, when you look, this was in the call, when they compare it back to
pre-pandemic 2019, they've grown the Domino's brand by $3.5 billion in retail sales on a global
basis over the last two years. It's been a tremendous time. That said, I think going
forward, they're going to witness some challenges here. Inflation, I think, is going to be really a
key point of focus. Management noted on the call, they are seeing unprecedented cost pressures.
They're calling for 8% to 10% cost increases there, and that'll likely be loaded on the front
half of the year. But it's been a wonderful investment thus far because they've managed
capital so well and continue to grow out what is a very large and growing market opportunity in pizza.
The story of Best Buy's fourth quarter report involves supply chain challenges, staffing
challenges, and lower revenue than expected. Naturally, shares of Best Buy were up nearly
10% this week, Emily. Naturally. The market is just showing how irrational it is,
especially when you compare it to something like Costco. But I will say the market was
baking in some big headwinds here due to supply and ship shortages, and maybe the market just
wasn't expecting things to be not as bad as they were. I will say, my concern with Best Buy,
it's an amazing business, it's consistently blown investors out of the water, but are they suffering
from scope creep? Because their move into Total Tech, their $200 membership program, I can see
that working. But getting into furniture and healthcare, it feels outside their areas of
core competencies. I really want to see execution here in a way that I'm not sure is possible
given their existing business lines. When I go into a Best Buy and they've got
their stereo setup and they've got those large comfy chairs, I can buy one of those,
I can walk out with one of those? That's the plan. Outdoor furniture,
indoor furniture, and maybe even telehealth at some point in the future, I guess everything's
on the table for Best Buy. More after the break, including a closer
look at Disney's latest decision for its streaming service. Stay right here, you're listening
to Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill
here with Emily Flippen and Jason Moser. Third quarter results for Elastic were better than
expected, but shares of the software as a service company basically flat this week.
Jason, this was the first quarter with new CEO Ash Kulkarni. How's he doing so far?
Yeah, I'd say one quarter in the book seems like he's off to a good start. Remember,
Elastic, they focus on search primarily for the enterprise, and they did pre-announce the results
a little while back that they would exceed their guidance for the quarter. So there were no real
surprises here. But as you mentioned, new CEO Ash Kulkarni is now at the helm. We'll learn more
about him as a leader in the coming quarters. Founder Shea Bannon has now stepped down to serve
as the CTO, right? So he's going to help lead the company forward, just not in that same executive
level. But the numbers continue to impress. Total revenue, $224 million that was up 43% from a year
ago. Elastic Cloud, which the company continues to make big investments in, that becomes a larger
part of the business. That segment of the business revenue grew 80%. It now represents 36%
of total revenue as compared to 29% a year ago. That's something to keep an eye on because they
see this accounting for more than half of overall revenue here over the next couple of years
or so. Of course, still working at profitability, market doesn't like these stocks too much these
day. But positive operating cash flow, $5.1 million was a good thing to see. But the key
performance indicators tell us they're doing something right, Chris. Total subscription
customer count was over 17,900 versus 13,800 a year ago. Customer count with annual contract
value greater than $100,000 was over 890 versus 670 a year ago. And that net expansion rate
remains just below 130%. The business is guiding for 30% revenue growth in its current quarter,
sounds like 40% growth for the full year. So yeah, tough time for companies like these in this type
of volatile market, but it feels like Elastic is doing what they say they're going to do.
I realize I'm about to throw a rock inside this glass house, but we work at a company where we
call each other fool. Did you know that at Elastic, they refer to each other as elasticians?
I had heard that. I had heard that. Now, I've never heard someone use the word,
but I had read that somewhere. I found that interesting.
So just keep that in mind. If you're applying for a job at Elastic, that's the direction you're
going in. On Friday, Disney announced that later this year, it will launch a new ad-supported tier
for its Disney Plus streaming service. The company did not say exactly when or what the price would
be, only that the ad-supported offering would expand internationally in 2023. Emily, I can
see the bull case for this, and I can also see this as a little bit of a warning flag.
I eventually want to pass the question off to each of you. If you think this is a reactive
or a proactive move, but before I do, I want to rewind back to late 2019 when Disney first
announced that they were going to come out with Disney Plus, a streaming service. Now, I will say
I was a bit of a bear on the idea. I clearly underestimated how many people, adults included,
would continue to pay for an offering from Disney Plus for their streaming services. I thought
coming in at such a low cost, there'd be no pricing power here. And while I have been wrong,
I do think this is a little bit of a yellow flag that maybe the second half of my original thoughts
were a bit on the mark, which is the pricing power of Disney Plus as a streaming service.
Part of what made it so attractive at launch was that it was so reasonably priced, people could
slip it into their budgets, but they've increasingly raised the price. And it seems like in order to
meet their really lofty subscriber goals, upwards of 260 million subscribers by 2024 is their
intention. They're having to come out with an ad supported tier, presumably at a lower price
in order to increase the average revenue per user and bring themselves more in line with
existing offerings. From my perspective, I've been so impressed with the offerings of, say,
Netflix, which has always managed to both increase prices and retain and grow users without ever
having to move towards ads. So seeing Disney so quickly pivot into the ad-supported space to me
says, hey, we're aware that there's a cap on how much people are willing to pay for this. So for
the people who don't want to pay that much, we'll have you pay a little bit less and you can watch
some ads. If you're having to do that, to me, it's saying the content on our platform isn't as
appealing. But what do I know? I want to pass that question off to each of you. I've been a bit of a
skeptic on Disney Plus for a while, but Jason, I know you've been a fan. Yeah, I mean, we're
definitely fans. I mean, we were subscribers in our household. I think, I mean, you make a lot of
really good points there. And I don't mean to be on the fence, but I feel like this is a bit of
them playing offense and defense. I mean, I think they see an opportunity to grow the user base,
the subscriber base, in the face of, like we saw Netflix recently, right? It seemed like a lot of
that success had been pulled forward. Perhaps subscriber growth had slowed down a little bit
there. Maybe they see this as an opportunity at Disney to jump in there and offer something a
little bit differentiated. But by the same token, yeah, it also feels defensive because those goals
were so lofty. I mean, I even said, I mean, I've been a little bit skeptical of that 230 to 260
million number up to this point, just because it was so great. Now, with this most recent report,
really for them to get there, you know, by 2024, that's 20% annualized growth. That seems more
reasonable, at least. And maybe this is kind of an insurance plan to help really get to that point.
I do feel like longer term, I think you're right, the content on Disney Plus and its related
properties needs to continue to get better. If it's going to be a household core offering like
Netflix is, and I think that's ultimately where they need to try to get, is just be a household
core offering. When you consider services that you're going to switch off, Netflix probably
isn't one of them. They want to make sure that Disney Plus isn't one of them either. That'll
take a little time to get there still, I think. To me, it really is very curious. I feel like
the international opportunity here maybe is greater than some might think. And that's just
from the perspective of the advertising-supported video-on-demand offering is a much more popular
offering outside of the United States. I mean, I think globally speaking, it's just a more popular
offering because it's a better value proposition for, I think, a lot of people. So maybe they see
the opportunity there. It will be interesting to see how this develops. I would imagine, though,
it will bring more subscribers in the door, which is what they're looking to do.
Emily, my immediate reaction when I saw the news was, this is a reactive move. Now, I could
very easily be wrong about that, but in the moment, that was my first thought. They are reacting
to subscriber growth not being what they want it to be, and so therefore, they are going with this.
They don't really share a ton of information about Hulu. The bold case for this is,
they're looking at their internal data and seeing if we get people in on the ad-supported version
of Hulu, that's a pathway to them becoming subscribers at a higher price point where
they don't have to watch ads. And so maybe that they're looking at their own data and saying,
all right, we need to offer this ad-supported model because it's going to be a pathway. And
it may also enable them to raise the price more quickly on the regular streaming service of Disney
Plus. And let me say, if this is a reactive move, I appreciate the fact that they are reacting
quickly as opposed to reacting slowly, which is the other alternative.
Yes. Particularly, you mentioned when they rolled it out. Wasn't 2016 the original year they were
looking to roll out their streaming service and then it got pushed back 2017-20. They finally
got it and they got it right. But to your point, yes, if it's reactive, at least Bob Chapik and
his team are moving quickly. Zoom Video's fourth quarter results were better than Wall Street was
expecting, but shares fell a bit when Zoom management said they expect 10% growth in the
fiscal year ahead. I get that it's not as growthy as some on Wall Street would like, Jason, but
this seems very much in character with the guidance that CEO Eric Yuan has given quarter
in and quarter out. Yeah. I don't think really much has changed here. I think the performance
in the stock, I mean, I think this certainly falls in line with many of the other stay-at-home
stocks that have been on such a wild ride for these past couple of years. Zoom shares down,
I think, close to 75% from 52-week high. Now, maybe that's an overreaction, but maybe not.
One thing is for sure, growth is slowing down, and we see that in that 10% guide for this full
year. Hopefully, that proves to be conservative. But again, it's a good business. It's recording
some very impressive numbers. Fourth quarter revenue, just over $1 billion. That was up 21%
from a year ago. And you're looking at non-GAAP net income earnings per share, $1.22. The key
performance indicators, again, for a business like Zoom, similar to a lot of these other
SaaS-type offerings. You're looking at customers and those that are spending more, right? And they
have 2,725 customers now contributing more than $100,000 in trailing 12-month revenue. That's up
66% from a year ago. They have approximately 509,800 customers with more than 10 employees.
That's up 9% from a year ago. And the net dollar expansion rate for customers with more than 10
employees is 129%. So that continues to be a bright spot there. I think something to keep in
mind, remember it wasn't all that long ago, Zoom had that 5-9 acquisition, right? That was something
that was really going to bring two companies together, Zoom focusing a little bit more on
that call center side of the market and perhaps becoming a little bit more like a sales force,
focusing on that customer relationship management. We know that deal got nixed. However, that is not
preventing Zoom from making investments in this space. Now they have the Zoom Contact Center
offering that has rolled out. That is going to be something that they continue to invest in here in
the coming year and beyond. And then I think really the longer term, the bigger question just
really is how will they be able to leverage their technology, right? Their APIs, the software
development kits, how will they be able to leverage that technology, embed it in such a way that
companies are utilizing Zoom on many different levels for all of their communication needs and
the future, because that's really the ultimate goal. But until we get some more clarity there,
I think the pullback in the stock price makes sense. Up next, we'll dip into the Fool mailbag.
We've got a couple of stocks on our radar. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about. The
Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks
based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here with
Jason Moser and Emily Flippen. Our email address is podcastsatfool.com. That's podcasts with
an S at the end, podcastsatfool.com. Drop us a note, we're lonely. Got an email from
Farid, who says, I started listening to your show last year and look forward to each episode.
I like the mixture of opinions and points of view each member brings to the show.
My question for the team is, with quality stocks down because of recent events,
should I sell my Vanguard S&P 500 index fund to purchase individual stocks?
More than half my investment is with individual stocks. In case you're wondering why I purchased
the Vanguard index fund, when I first started investing, I didn't know any better and took
the safe route. My average cost is $200 and it's around $400 now. And if it helps to answer my
question better, we're young adults with a baby. Look forward to hearing your thoughts.
Fareed, thank you for the email. Congrats on the baby. And as always,
you can never drink enough coffee. Before we get into this and the usual disclaimer that we can't
give individual advice. I got to say, Jason, I love starting with the Vanguard S&P 500 index fund.
I think that's as good, if not the best first step for anyone just starting out.
I couldn't agree more, Farid. You're wise beyond your years. Knowing what you don't know is
really key to becoming a good investor, I think. And that was a wonderful first step. So I applaud
you for that. And as someone who's probably been investing for a little bit longer than you,
I mean, listen, I own shares in the S&P 500 index fund as well. You got to protect yourself from
yourself sometimes. I like the question and it's something that I grapple with sometimes as well,
owning that index fund. I think it depends on your risk tolerance to a degree. I think it depends on
what tax implications, if any, you would encounter from selling shares of that fund. The thing about
index funds, I think for many of us, they're just the easiest way to gain instant diversification.
the longer you own them, the more sense it makes as those returns just continue to compound.
But I also understand the desire to invest in individual stocks, and that is also something
I grapple with. I think probably my preferred first course of action would be to focus on
putting new money in individual stocks, if possible, and letting that money invested in
the index funds just keep doing its thing. If that's not an option, then you'll have to weigh
weigh the decisions from there, but that's how I would approach the problem at least.
Emily, you and I recorded something the other day that's going to run on next
Tuesday's podcast, and part of our conversation gets at this notion of selling. I think you
and I are of like mind, which is, if possible, we really don't want to be in the position
of selling. Sometimes you have to, sometimes you want to because you're making a big purchase
or investing it in some other manner. But I think that is our inclination.
Yes. I think there's a false dichotomy that exists with some investors where they think
they're either all passive or all active. And when they're ready to dip their toes into buying
individual companies, they assume that they can't have passive exposure. And that's not necessarily
the case. I have a ton of my money in index funds personally. You can have a mixture of both,
but I do agree that selling tends not to be the best way to go about reallocating because it's
a reactive instead of proactive approach. You should develop an asset allocation that works
for you. And then as you have money, as you have money to invest, invest per that asset allocation.
Otherwise, what you're trying to do is kind of time the market with when is the right time to
jump from asset class to asset class or investment to investment, which again, tends to be the worst
time to try to reevaluate that. I'll just wrap up by saying I love Farid's recognition
that there are quality stocks that are on sale. Keep that mindset because that is how you become
and stay a net buyer of stocks over the years. All right, let's get to the stocks on our radar.
Our man behind the glass, Rick Engdahl, is going to hit you with a question.
Mr. Moser, you're up first. What are you looking at this week?
Yes, sir. Taking a look at Accenture, ticker is ACN. Accenture is a professional services company
They provide strategy and consulting and interactive and technology operations and
services worldwide. This is a business, this is seen as the gold standard in the industry.
The revenue is derived primarily from Forbes Global 2000 companies, governments and government
agencies around the world, serving five core markets, communications, media and technology,
financial services, health and public services, and products and resources. This is a business
to me. You've got CEO Julie Spellman-Sweet, she's been the CEO since 2019 with the company for
better over a decade though. What really caught my eye, this volatile market, Chris, this is a
company that generated better than $7 billion in free cash flow last year. With the stock down 23%
year-to-date, this could be some nice stability in a volatile market. Rick, question about Accenture?
I'm sorry, I nodded off there for a second. I know you're supposed to follow stocks that
are of interest to you. What is interesting about this stock to follow for someone like me?
I know it sounds boring, but I think there's some interesting dynamics to the business.
They have an actual immersive technology division within the company, where they have expertise
within the entire immersive technology and extended reality market there. As we see that grow,
they're going to be able to serve companies around the world with their skill sets regarding that.
Hey, think Metaverse, Rick. Now, do I have your attention?
I'll just add that years ago, my friend Rebecca worked at this company when they changed their
name to Accenture. I remember saying, what is Accenture? She said, well, it's a mashup of
Accent on the future. I said, look, that's just not going to work. This is totally going to
backfire. You can just add that to the long list of times that I was completely wrong about
something related to business. Emily Flippen, what are you looking at?
Well, if you think Accenture is a silly name, then you're really going to have a field day
with my radar stock. And that's Bilibili. The ticker is B-I-L-I. It's a Chinese gaming company.
So I could spend the next few minutes talking about all the very real regulatory and geopolitical
risks that exist with this business that would make it potentially not an investment for many,
many people. But instead of doing that, I'm going to focus on their most recent quarter,
which was actually really stellar from just a core business perspective. Revenue grew 54%,
but more importantly, more than 9% of all of Bilibili's users are paying subscribers now.
And even interestingly enough, CEO Ru Chen is using his own capital to buy back up to $10
million worth of U.S. listed shares. So certainly one to maybe not buy today,
but to at least have on your radar. Rick, question about Bilibili?
Yeah. Is it strictly a Chinese company as far as its customer base? There's a lot of
media out there that's made the cross overseas and not that one as far as I know.
Yes. All of their users are Chinese-based users. It's a pure play in that sense,
but they do license games and contents from other countries, Japan, as well as other countries
across Asia. There is a little bit of exposure there, but user base, all Chinese.
What do you want to add to your watch list, Rick?
Sweetgreen. Going off the board.
I'm sorry, it's lunchtime. All right. Jason Moser, Emily
Flippen, thanks for being here. Thanks, Chris.
That's going to do it for this week's Motley Fool Money radio show. The show is
mixed by Rick Engdahl. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next time.
Thank you.
