Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - EVs and Inside Elon Musk’s Mind
Episode Date: October 6, 2023BYD is on Tesla’s heels, but we all know Elon Musk loves a challenge. (00:21) Ron Gross and Bill Mann discuss: - The jobs report, and why they’re paying attention to mortgage rates, credit card... delinquencies and inventory levels heading into earnings season. - Meta’s plans to offer a monthly subscription to users in the EU. - Cyberattacks hitting Clorox, MGM, and Caesar’s. - China’s BYD heating up the race in EVs. (19:11) Elon Musk’s biographer Walter Isaacson explains Musk’s fascination with X and how his fixation on mission fuels his innovative and entrepreneurial spirit. . (33:00) Bill and Ron break down two stocks on their radar: Chevron and Burford Capital. Stocks discussed: META, CLX, MGM, CZR, TSLA, KVUE, ASR Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Bill Mann, Ron Gross, Ricky Mulvey, Walter Isaacson Engineers: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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We've got the inside scoop on Elon Musk
and the story of an electric vehicle company vying for Tesla's crown.
Motley Fool Money starts now.
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From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Fool Money Radio Show.
I'm Dylan Lewis.
Joining me in studio, Motley Fool Senior Analysts Bill Mann and Ron Gross.
Gentlemen, great to have you both here.
How you doing, Dylan?
So great to see you guys.
It's awesome, right?
We've got the stories of Elon Musk and AI,
the real price of Facebook, and stocks on our radar.
But we are kicking off this week looking at the big picture.
Ron, we have a fresh jobs report in our hands as of Friday morning. What is the headline?
Headline is that I'm a geek because I love a fresh jobs report. It's so sad.
But this is an interesting one. Jobs are up $336,000 for the month,
way better than the consensus of $170,000. So the labor market, very, very strong. Interestingly,
average hourly wages rose 0.2%. Now, that's a little bit less than expected. That's going to
be important if you stick with me. Unemployment rate, 3.8% compared to 3.7% prior. Let's call
that flat. Leisure and hospitality led the growth as it has been on occasion over the last couple
of years post-COVID. I'm thinking the Fed likes this report, even though the stock market was a
little mixed on Friday, even a little confused on Friday. We have the job market remaining strong,
which bodes well for the economy, but it's counterintuitive to the thought that the Fed
really needs the labor market to break if it's going to bring inflation down to its goal. But
we do see that wage inflation number being lower than expected. So wage inflation is coming down
is a positive indicator. That's what I think the Fed probably likes to see. We do have 10-year
treasury yields at 16-year highs. But I'm guessing we get one more rate hike, and then we'll have to
see what we see. Bill, I saw you nodding your head there as he was talking about the Fed liking
what they saw in this report. What stood out to you? It's so funny because we have spent about
12 years now during this zero interest rate environment. As far as the Fed has gone with
rates, because I think that we all sort of like rates to be lower rather than higher.
Generally, yeah. That feels good. But bad news has been good news and good news has been bad news.
But I think that we've come to the end of that period of time. I mean, it's really funny
how expensive an 8% mortgage feels right now.
Oh, yeah.
And it just has to do with the path.
And it's because of the fact that we're accustomed
to being able to borrow really, really cheap money.
But 3% rates, I mean, that has never happened before
in history before 2009.
So societies do really well when things are stable
and they struggle when they are.
And I think that we're in a period right now
where the economy is doing really, really well.
I think that's the bottom line and rates are coming up because of that. And so I think we
need to get used to the fact that higher rates are actually good news. All right. I want to take the
jobs report and actually something you just mentioned there, that 8% rate number, specifically
looking at mortgages and kind of get a bigger sense of the macro picture, putting all this
stuff into perspective. I'm looking at all of this, just a couple of headlines that I saw over
the last couple of weeks. Mortgage demand hits 27-year low because of near 8% mortgages. Bond
yields hitting 16-year highs. Credit card delinquency is jumping past pre-pandemic levels.
Ron, which one of those three do you want to zoom in on here? Help me make sense of it.
Well, Dylan, as the husband of a realtor, I'm going to say the mortgage story certainly
hits close to home, but it obviously impacts lots of folks, right? Those who have homes with
adjustable mortgages, and most importantly, probably those looking to buy a home. And as
you said, we're approaching 8% for mortgage rates, which was around the same rate when I first
entered the housing market. But gosh, as Bill just said, I got used to 3% for a while.
Back in the 20th century?
It seems pretty severe. Exactly. Literally. Bill can say that. I'm not allowed to.
But you know, the added cost-
The late 1900s.
Well, no, don't go with that. The added cost of financing a mortgage, along with rising home
prices due to the fact that there is no inventory out there for homes, has made affordability for
homes the lowest we've seen in decades. They're 20 percent behind last year in terms of a sales
pace. And people are struggling in terms of what to do if I want to get into this housing market.
And people are holding on to their houses longer than they have in the past, especially if you have locked three percent locked in for 30 years.
You're in no hurry to really that that's that's good money right there, as Bill said.
So, you know, these higher rates, are they going to the weak real estate market, the higher rates?
Are they going to jeopardize this soft landing the Fed is trying to engineer?
Or as we said earlier, with the labor market remaining strong, the economy remaining strong, are we actually OK?
and this could turn out well.
It's not an easy thing for the Fed to engineer,
but I'm thinking we're close.
We're plus or minus a little bit to getting that done.
In our planning meeting for the show, Bill,
you were kind of taking a different angle
on the rate story,
looking a little bit more at the debt side of it
and what we're seeing with delinquencies.
Yeah, Ron is taking the center of the curve,
which he absolutely should take.
But at the left tail,
I think you're seeing a lot of distress for people.
And a lot of it has to do with the fact that one of the things that you were encouraged to do, why rates were so low for so long, is they were trying to encourage spending.
I mean, maybe they don't mention it that way.
Maybe they don't phrase it that way.
But we have come accustomed to taking more and more credit as a percentage of our income because credit was so cheap.
And so there is a lot of distress that's going on at certain levels.
you see car payments under a multi-year high in delinquencies. Credit cards are at a multi-year
high for delinquencies. So, we should not forget when we're talking about, hey, the economy is
going great, that these types of changes add a huge amount of distress to the most vulnerable
amongst us. One of the things I'm curious about with this adjustment in rate environment is
we've gotten very used to not only lower rates, but also a very quick intervention to get rates
lower when things need to be propped up a little bit. Do you expect the Fed will adjust and maybe
be a little bit less sensitive to something like that going forward? Well, they've only told us
for the last 18 months that they're not going to do that anymore. Higher for longer. Higher for
longer. Yeah. So, if they're telling you, we should believe them. Yeah. Looking forward,
we also have the earnings season ramp up next week. And I'm curious, do any of these macro
factors, Bill, play into what you are looking at for companies? Or are you looking at other
things as companies begin to report? So, I think one of the biggest things,
and for some reason, I think this has gone underappreciated, but you remember back in 2022
when we were hearing stories about people ordering newer refrigerators and because of supply chain
issues, people were saying, well, your delivery window is sometimes between nine months from now
and never, right? So, companies did the very logical thing in that type of environment of
taking on as much inventory as soon as they could just to make sure that they never had a sale
that got missed because they didn't have inventory in because they didn't plan.
So, there is a backside to that. And that is, if you take on a huge amount of inventory,
that means that you've tied up a lot of capital. And if that inventory suddenly doesn't get used,
that can create financial distress. And companies went out, and a lot of times they bought with
cash, but they also financed a lot of that inventory. And so, it has created a little bit
of a macro bubble, if you will. So, it's something that I'm really interested in. And I think that
we should, I mean, we should obviously always remember that there's individual incompetence
everywhere. But systemically, that was a problem. Ron, he's looking at the balance sheet. Where are
you zooming in? You know, earnings are, if you exclude energy sector, earnings for the third
quarter are expected to be up around 3%. And it's supposed to be up pretty significantly in the
fourth quarter. I'll believe that when I see it. Wait and see. So, I'm going to be looking at the
retailers for many different reasons. Among them, I want some signals on the strength of the
consumer, as Bill said. Savings accounts are coming down. Credit card balances are going up.
I want to see how does the consumer look in both the essential and the discretionary categories.
I want to see if the retailers are inventoried properly.
Do they have the right mix?
What has been their ability to raise prices in this inflationary environment?
That does still persist.
How are they positioned for the holiday season?
I think the retail sector will inform me in a lot of different ways on what I can expect for the next six months.
All right. Coming up after the break, we've got a new name about to take the lead in electric
vehicles. Stay right here. This is Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm
Dylan Lewis, joined in studio by Bill Mann and Ron Gross. Guys, social media users in Europe
may finally face the decision, their data or their dollars. Bill, Meta is reportedly planning
to offer users in the EU the option to pay $14 a month for Facebook or users will have to opt
in to letting the company use their personal data for ad targeting. Is this incentive or
disincentive here by Facebook? It does seem like a very super specific number if this is just a
rumor, right? Yeah. They seem pretty far away in the planning for this one. That's right. I feel
like the Wall Street Journal got good information on this. And they're reporting basically that it's
a choice based upon European regulations regarding personalized ads. So, you as a consumer may not
want to be tracked and have targeted ad sets to you, in which case they're giving you the choice
to pay. Simple enough. And so, I don't know about you, I have no illusions about my privacy. And
as far as I'm concerned, I find it much more annoying when I get super untargeted ads than
when I get targeted ones. But I actually like the fact that there may be a choice out there,
like, yeah, you can just pay. And the illusion that this is all free is no longer going to be
the case. You mentioned the specificity of that number. And I looked at the recent calls for
Facebook, parent meta. And if you look at Facebook's average revenue per user in Europe last
quarter, $17.88. Now, I'm not a mathematician, but three times 14 is more than $17.88. Ron,
does this become something that's actually interesting as a moneymaker for Facebook?
You know, I think everyone is going to find out how much they can tolerate ads in a world where
they're asked to shell out $15 to $20. All of a sudden, targeted ads aren't going to seem so
intrusive or creepy. And, you know, if Facebook knows that I love pizza, I'm OK with that.
I point exactly on it. You heard it here first.
Target Ron Gross with pizza ads. Outside of the economics of this bill, I think one of the things
that's kind of interesting is we've consistently seen the EU lead the way with regulation,
especially regulation towards big tech. And this looks like the space to watch to see kind of where
this industry is going. I think it's really important to recognize the fact that there in
the United States, when it comes to regulating big tech, there is like a plus and a minus because we
are talking about a bunch of massive American companies. And so, if you mess with their
economic model too much, there actually might be a downside in terms of market losses or things
of that nature. And I mean stock market losses. The EU doesn't have that upside of not going in
and being pretty sharp with these tech companies.
I mean, I can't, can you name the largest European pure technology company?
I could, but we don't have time.
Well handled there.
It's down the list.
Well handled there, Ron.
I mean, that's my point.
It is far down the list.
So they have different interests in Europe.
They are much less worried about the impact on consumers
and they're much more worried about competition. I mean, that's how they regulate. But in this
case, I think it really has to do with the fact that there's no bad news when it comes to Europe
in terms of regulating big tech. Sticking with tech, Clorox is one of the latest companies to
disclose details of a cyber attack. Ron, in a filing, the consumer goods company said it will
be spending $25 million on digital forensics and legal work related to the hack, but it may pale
in comparison to what they feel in terms of the business impact due to disruptions.
Yeah, it's a little scary out there right now. This is just one in a long list of cyber attacks.
In this case, sales will be down 23% to 28% for the quarter as a result. They're going to end up
with a loss for the quarter instead of $150 million in profit. It caused them to take some
systems offline. It led to product outages, processing delays. They've had to do some of
it manually while they get their systems back up and running. It looks like the group called
Scattered Spider is likely behind this, as well as those from MGM and Caesars. If you recall,
Caesars paid the ransom. I believe MGM chose not to. It's a difficult decision based on how
impacted your business is, whether you want to give in to those demands. The more we give in
to the demands, the more likely they will continue. But this is, like I said, a long list. Johnson
Controls, Dole, Campbell Soup, Brunswick, and many, many more have been hit by cyber attacks.
The Securities and Exchange Commission has come in with more stringent regulations of late,
which is you must tell the public if you're hit with something significant so they don't just
sweep these under the rug. That seems like a good baseline provision. I think we can all be happy
about that. Two votes. Bill, as someone who is looking at companies, owns companies in their
portfolio, I feel like it's kind of hard to look at a pattern of this and say, oh, I might be a
little bit more subject to one of my companies being targeted. Also, probably pretty hard to
kick the tires and understand the cybersecurity measures that a company has in place. What is
the investor angle on something like this? Well, let me ask you this. If you were to look
at your portfolio, and let's just pretend this is your portfolio, if Clorox was in it, would you
think that that was one of the more susceptible or less susceptible companies. Naturally, I would
think less. I would as well. I think you're going to start hearing about something over the next
couple of years called code debt. And basically what code debt is, is when you think about what
a company's entire code infrastructure looks like, a lot of companies have code that's written on top
of machine language and Pascal, you know, and they have millions and millions of lines of code
that probably do the work of 300,000 lines of code today.
And when we think of cyber attacks,
we think of maybe someone coming in through the front door.
But basically, if you think about a code stack,
every single line is a potential front door.
So I think that you're going to start to see
a lot more investment in lowering that code debt.
And for me, I would be very comfortable
holding a basket of the cybersecurity companies, because I don't think that there is going to be
one winner. And I also don't think that we are going to be more secure with a single winner.
Yeah, they don't look cheap to me, those companies, but probably the growth probably
will support the valuation to some extent. The CrowdStrikes, Okta, Zscaler, Fastly, Fortinet,
those types of companies, at least some of them, it would be probably wise to hold in your portfolio.
All right, we're going to round out the news updates with a look at electric vehicles.
don't look now, but there's a new carmaker coming on Tesla's heels. China's BYD is reportedly on
pace to sell 1.8 million EVs by the end of 2023. Bill, that would bring it even with leader Tesla.
Sounds unbelievable, doesn't it? Because there are functionally zero BYD
EVs on the roads in the United States. I was going to say, I've never seen one.
Yeah. So, it's a company that is owned 6% by Berkshire Hathaway. They bought it in 2008 for
$225 million. Their stake is now worth $6 billion. Charlie Munger, mostly, right?
Yeah, exactly. So, once again, those guys, I don't know if you've heard about them. I think
it's going to be big someday. But kind of an unusual investment for them.
It's an extremely unusual investment for them. It was far more speculative than they tend to,
but they thought that the CEO was really, really remarkable. He's a guy who still flies coach
to this day is, you know, you would not go into their office and see any of the corporate
trappings that you see anywhere else. Now, for the cars themselves, there is something very
specific to keep in mind. They are exporting primarily to Europe. The Chinese EV market is
a bit of a mess at the moment. They're making a surplus of 10 million cars. So, they have to go
somewhere. The EU, as we talked about earlier, is actually investigating the Chinese EV industry for
anti-competitive practices. But the bottom line at the end of the day is that EVs coming into the
United States, the Chinese EVs pay a 27% tariff and they don't get the tax credit. So it is
something to watch. Although here in the United States, you can't necessarily see it.
Yeah, that's fascinating. And it's a totally different approach to the EV market than what
we saw from Tesla. They famously started at the high end, brought things down to the low end
over time to make a more budget-friendly vehicle. We're going to get a little bit more on Tesla
later in the show, but we're going to say goodbye to you guys briefly. Thanks for hopping in with
the news updates. Up next, we've got Elon Musk's biographer, Walter Isaacson, and the inside scoop
on Musk's holy grail for AI and how it could wind up in cars.
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Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Dylan Lewis. One author is consistently the go-to
for profiles on the most innovative, brilliant, and complicated minds, and that's Walter Isaacson.
His latest work is a biography on Elon Musk built on countless hours spent with Musk and his friends,
family, and colleagues. Motley Fool Money's Ricky Mulvey read the book and this week spoke
with Isaacson about Musk's fascination with the letter X and how his fixation on mission
fuels his innovative and entrepreneurial spirit. One thing I didn't realize, and it is apparent
throughout the way he names his kids, the way he names his company, is the letter X and just how
important that letter is to Elon Musk. Walter, you are a man of letters, but I would doubt you
have that type of preference for exactly one letter. Why is this letter so darn important
to Elon Musk. Even as a kid, whether it be the X-Men comics or the mathematical concept of the
unknown, the mystery that you have to hunt for in an algebra problem, for example, it made him love
X. It sounded as if it was risk-taking, as if it's hardcore. There's an adventuresome quality
to it. And throughout his life, whether it was, you know, his eldest surviving child was named
after his favorite comic book character in the X-Men comics, Xavier, or his first company was
called X.com, which morphed into PayPal, but he fought to keep the name X. And you see it over
and over again with SpaceX are turning Twitter now into X, thinking he feels, you know, little
tweeds with blue birds and little blue check marks that are anointed to members of the elite
is bullshit. And he needs a hardcore, somewhat more mysterious type of thing. And then XAI.
So he, and he, of course, his three-year-old kid who's with him at all times has a name that
sounds like an auto-generated Druid password, but he calls them X. Yeah. And a lot of the arguments
when Musk started with the founders of PayPal, where he was pushing for X, his arguments
seem to be getting the same ones now. X.com sounds a little seedy. People don't know what it is.
But he pushed through it similar to what he's pushing through now. And maybe Twitter really
is the culmination of that dream in the 90s of what x.com could be.
You got it right, Ricky. Nobody else seems to have captured that, but it's part of the narrative,
which is feeling burned that Peter Thiel and others ousted him from the company that he had
called x.com 20-some-odd years ago. Then they named it PayPal. He thought PayPal was a sweet
little name, like a friendly person who helps you get paid. And of course, it does have a
more friendly feel to it, just as little blue birds and Twitter has sort of a sweet and friendly
feel. But nobody uses the phrase sweet and friendly to describe Elon Musk. He's hardcore,
he's all in, he's a risk taker, for better or for worse. And when he was first buying up
stock in Twitter. And we were at the Gigafactory in Texas even before it opened. And he told me
he was going to go try to control Twitter. He said it will be the booster rocket, the accelerant
to make a payment system connected to a social network, connected to a place where things like
the Motley Fool podcast can be posted and make money. People can do content and make money.
He said, this will fulfill my dream of TheOriginalX.com.
I'm looking at my time, and I know I have to focus on Tesla a bit. One of the things
you've written about Tesla, and I think this is foundational to the business,
quote, Musk focused on the importance of the mission rather than the potential of the business,
end quote. For a lot of short-term stock traders, that might not be the best course of outcome,
but a lot of long-term investors have benefited well from that mentality. How does that drive
Tesla's model. What do you think would have changed at Tesla if that were reversed,
if the potential of the business was more important than the importance of the mission?
You know, if he were driven mainly by money, you won't start a rocket company and you wouldn't
start an electric vehicle company. And he always has a mission in mind and then backfills with a
business plan. To take SpaceX first, his mission is getting to Mars, and then he realizes,
I can launch communication satellite. In fact, I'm the only person who can send up rockets,
land them upright, and reuse them. So I will launch my own internet in low Earth orbit with
Starlink. Now you ask about Tesla, he decided by doing high-end vehicles like the Roadster,
he could fund a factory because he thought it was ridiculous that America was outsourcing
its manufacturing. And that would make it so we didn't have a feel for innovation if we just
sort of design things and let it be manufactured somewhere else. So he spent more time focusing
on not just the product, but what he called the machine that makes the machine, the assembly line,
each station on the assembly line. And by insourcing everything is not the best short-term
business model. If you're going to go for short-term profit, obviously your labor costs
are better if you're having it manufactured in other places. But he said, we have to look at
the longer term. And it was a period in which I think more than 70% of the intellectual property
that automakers produce in America, they were sending offshore to get produced. And he more
and more decided to insource it. But it did finally mean that he has the two most productive
factories around in Fremont, California, and Austin, Texas. And now he turned out already this
year, a million Teslas. And he's worth more than the next eight or nine car companies combined.
And one of the things I sat in on a meeting, it wasn't public, but I put it in the book.
He's now building the new assembly line that's going to create not just robo taxis,
but a pretty cheap $25,000 car, something to go up against a Corolla. That will, because he's
willing to price it cheaply, but then make up for it with huge manufacturing, that will take Tesla
to the next level, along with Autopilot when he finally gets full self-driving done.
The last question I want to ask is about AI. He has a new company called X.AI. A lot of this
seems to be driven from a conversation that he had with the Google co-founder, Larry Page,
where Musk is talking about the dangers of AI and Larry Page essentially accuses him of being
a speciesist, which is that if these computers can think and feel, don't they matter as much as
we are? Your book describes times where Elon Musk has stretched stories, thinking in retrospect,
forgetting what people say. Has anyone followed up with Larry Page about this to
dive into his thoughts about what it means to be a speciesist?
Larry doesn't talk about it much because he used to be one of Elon's best friends. I mean,
Elon Musk is the world's richest couch surfer. He didn't have a house in Silicon Valley,
so he would stay at Larry Page's house. And they'd spend nights and nights talking about the risk
of artificial intelligence turning rogue on us and leaving humans behind, sort of the Asimov
issue. And as you said, Larry Page thought that was nuts, you know, and like, no, and by the way,
if we could get computers that could have consciousness, why isn't that just as good as
human consciousness? And Musk says, yeah, I'm a species. You know, I actually believe in the
human species. I think it's a cool species. I'm more in favor of it. And I talked to,
even one of those arguments was at a birthday party. Reid Hoffman is there. Many other people
are there. Sam Altman, of course. And so these conversations happen over the years,
including with Demis Hassabis, who is the founder of DeepMind. And he's trying to
throw himself in front of the train when Demis is selling DeepMind to Larry Page.
And so he's gathering, Musk is gathering people to try to stop that. So this isn't just one
conversation. This is about two years of him opposing Larry Page on this notion of we need
more guardrails on AI. And now he's still that way. He believes that Sam Altman took OpenAI,
which Musk had co-founded with Sam Altman from being a non-profit open source thing to now being
a closed source in which it has a for-profit arm that has sold a large percentage to Microsoft
and it's Elon Musk's nightmare in terms of AI at least that Microsoft and Google without guard
rails are going to create AI. So in some ways, one of the culminations of the book, besides the
first launch of Starship, is Musk deciding that he has to get into AI himself rather than having
trusted open AI and other things. And near the end of the book, there's a whole scene. It's where we
meet Siobhan Zillis's, their children for the first time. I'd spent a week or so with Musk
and was just back here in New Orleans, resting, recuperating, and maybe starting to write.
He said, no, you got to come back. It's something we can't talk about on the phone.
And we sat in the backyard of Siobhan's house in Austin by the swimming pool with their two
twins sitting on their lap. And he said, I'm going to have to start an AI company, XAI.
And the interesting thing is, it's not just about doing a chat bot. It's not just about
large language model, generative, you know, predictive, transformer-based language intelligence,
you know, chatbots like ChatGPT. He feels that the holy grail is real-world artificial intelligence.
Real-world artificial intelligence that doesn't just process language and search the, you know,
billion documents on the internet so you can ask what are the five best popes or something,
but something that can process video data like the 8 billion frames a week from tesla cars and
the cameras in a tesla car all being processed not just by nvidia gpus but by dojo this chip
that he's doing that maximizes the ability to do video and oral things and for that matter twitter
feeds. Eventually, he wants to create cars that can drive themselves and robots that can walk
around a factory floor or walk around Burning Man or walk around your house and have planning and
have intentionality and be able to do things. And that is going to be his next big thing,
is real-world AI. I'll leave with this, which is having watched Sam Altman and Google and all
doing machine learning based on processing of millions and millions of documents and words
and everything else and being able to predict things. He makes a pivot at the end of the book
from the full self-driving technology he has been using, which is a rules-based algorithm
where FSD11, for example, has hundreds of thousands of lines of code coded by real
engineers and humans that, you know, have simple things like when you see a red light, stop. Or
when you see a double yellow line, don't cross it. Or when you see a bike lane and you're taking
a left turn, here's what to do. And they show him that instead of doing a rules-based algorithm,
you could do what Chad GPD does with language and do it with navigating the real world,
which is to look how millions and millions of drivers handle different situations.
and the machine learns what to do based on human imitation.
So it is almost like chat GPT for self-driving.
Walter Isaacson's biography on Elon Musk is in bookstores and online.
And if you want more of his insights on what motivates Musk
and the unbelievable story of a knife thrower at a child's birthday,
check out our full interview with Isaacson in Motley Fool Money's podcast feed.
The whole conversation will post this Saturday. Coming up after the break, Bill Mann and Ron
Gross return with a couple of stocks on their radar. Stay right here. You're listening to
Motley Fool Money. As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they
talk about, and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or
sell anything based solely on what you hear. I'm Dylan Lewis, joined again by Bill Mann and Ron
Gross. We've got stocks on our radar coming up in a minute, but first, we talked earlier about
the arms race and electric vehicles. We're going to check in on an equally competitive space.
Popeyes has officially taken over KFC to become the second largest chicken chain in the United
States, Ron, it is a sad day for the colonel. You know what? Both of those are fine,
but they're not great. They pale in comparison to our favorite Chick-fil-A.
The nation's favorite Chick-fil-A. I mean, you get the No. 1, the original chicken sandwich
with a combo fries and a drink. It's delicious. It's No. 1 for a reason. And it has been taking
market share from No. 2 and No. 3. Not only is it cementing its No. 1 spot, but, Bill,
Chick-fil-A continues to take away market share from the others.
I do want to talk about Popeyes and put a little respect on their name for a little bit because
Popeyes was a distant, distant trailing competitor for a bunch of years until a CEO came in named
Cheryl Batchelder and she completely revolutionized and rehabilitated the company. I mean, I don't know
if you remember going into Popeyes in the 1990s, but you couldn't leave and not feel bad about
yourself. She was very good at pretending to invent the chicken sandwich. Yeah, that was a
wonderful PR and marketing campaign a couple of years ago. I think we all bought into the taste
test fever. I think one of my favorite Cheryl Batchelder moments is when someone was asking
her about healthy options. She said, nobody's coming into Popeye's for a salad. It's knowing
your customer, and it's incredibly, incredibly important. Absolutely right. But it is a tale
of customer service. And that is what Chick-fil-A excels in. And it is also what Popeyes has gotten
much, much better at. All right, let's get over to stocks on our radar. Our man behind the glass,
Dan Boyd, is going to hit you with a question. Ron, you're up first. What are you looking at
this week? This one comes from our very own Matt Argersinger over at Dividend Investor. It's
Kenview, K-V-U-E, the former consumer health products business of Johnson & Johnson.
well-known products, Band-Aid, Tylenol, Listerine, Motrin, Neutrogena, names we all know.
J&J completed a spinoff and IPO of Canview earlier this year. J&J still owns about 9%,
but it's mostly now been released to shareholders. It's the largest pure play consumer health
company. Stock's down about 10% from the IPO. From a PE ratio perspective, an earnings ratio
perspective, it's cheaper than competitors like Colgate and Procter & Gamble. 4% dividend yield
for those who are interested in income, probably well-supported by the cash flow this company will
generate. I don't know if the stock's going to knock the cover off the ball, but you get 4%
and you get probably some upside as well. Dan, a question about Canview and any
interest in that 4% dividend yield? That's pretty juicy, not going to lie.
But this company, Ron, I can't imagine it's going to be growing fast at all.
It already has every big brand under the sun.
Yeah, they're the leader, and they will continue to grow at the rates of the economy,
maybe a little bit better than that.
And that's what we should expect.
If you can buy it at a discount, you might get some additional upside from that 4% yield.
All right, Bill, what's on your radar this week?
I'm going to talk about a company called Rupo Aeroportuero.
Easy for you to say.
Right. Here we go. Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, also known as ESUR, which is a conglomeration of Mexican airports in the southeastern part of the country that includes Cozumel, Cancun, Merida, and a number of other places.
Tough news for them earlier in the week when the Mexican regulator came in and said they were going to change, and they haven't said how, but you can assume that it's bad news, how these operators of the airports are compensated on landings.
They make a huge amount of money, upwards of $30 per ticket, for any person to land at the airport.
So, changes are coming, but these are still, I mean, Cancun Airport is massive.
You don't just build another airport next door and compete with it.
So, you're talking about a company that has an absolutely dominant position in a part of the market where there's more and more travel going to.
It is a story of what happens when you have a single customer, and the single customer is pretty powerful.
and in this case, it's the Mexican government. But it was cheap beforehand, and now it's even
cheaper. Dan, I took French in high school, so I'm going to stick with the ticker on this one.
A question about ASR. Bill, can we trust the Mexican regulators not to regulate this company
out of existence? No. Back to you, Dan. I think it's true with every company that has generally
government contracts that the governments have the right to close out the contracts. I mean,
absolute. But in this case, the Mexican stock exchange went down 3% yesterday as a result of
this action. And that matters to the Mexican government as well. All right, Dan, which one
is going on your watch list this week? I'm taking Kenview. They got Band-Aids.
All right. Bill Mann, Ron Gross, thank you guys for being here and bringing your radar stocks.
Dan Boyd, appreciate you weighing in. That's going to do it for this week's Motley Fool
Money radio show. The show is mixed by Dan Boyd. I'm Dylan Lewis. Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next time.
I'll see you next time.
