Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Introducing the Dividend Seven
Episode Date: December 8, 2024Motley Fool Senior Analysts Matt Argersinger and Anthony Schiavone join Mary Long to discuss: - How a company enters into the Dividend Seven. - If Home Depot can still be a growth stock. - The metr...ics that dividend investors need to understand. - Companies that have raised their dividend for decades. Companies discussed: PLD, JPM, PEP, HD, ABBV, MCD, BLK Host: Mary Long Guests: Matt Argersinger, Anthony Schiavone Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Desireé Jones, Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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So if you think about that, how many recessions, business cycles, wars, calamities happen over
a 50-year period, and yet here's a company that's raised its dividend every year.
I'm Ricky Mulvey, and that's Motley Fool senior analyst Matt Argesinger. Look,
dominant tech companies have their own category, the Magnificent Seven. You probably already know
it. But on today's show, Matt Argesinger and Anthony Chavone unveil their own group of seven.
The Dividend 7. Powerful companies that pay investors income. They joined Mary Long to
discuss a big retailer that's insulated itself from Amazon, a dominant financial company with
$10.7 trillion in assets under management, and what it takes for a company to enter the Dividend 7.
Matt, and most listeners are likely already familiar with the Magnificent Seven, this
basket of tech stocks that have dominated the market recently. But you two have come up with
a different set of stocks. You've called it the Dividend Seven. What exactly is the criteria for
making it into this group? And how did you land on these requirements? There are seven of them,
I'm correct, right? That's right. Well, thank you, Mary. Yeah, this was a fun exercise for us.
We've seen, of course, the Magnificent Seven be this, I don't know, this major force in the market
that investors have just been magnetized to. And we thought, well, we talk a lot about dividends.
We do a dividend show here at The Motley Fool every other week. And we thought a fun topic
would be, could we do our own version of the Magnificent Seven and layer in dividends and
come up with this Dividend Seven or Dib Seven group? And so the Magnificent Seven was our
inspiration. And so I think that's kind of, and it kind of feeds into the seven criteria we use
to select the stocks. So we'll start with the first one, which is just dominance. I mean,
if we think about the Magnificent Seven, these are some of the most dominant companies,
if not the most dominant companies in the world. If you think about Amazon,
Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla. And so we thought, okay, let's start with that. Let's only pick
companies that we think are dominant. They're, of course, sizable. They have tremendous scale
and they have leadership in the markets that they serve. And in most cases, they're the
leading number one market share company within that space. But then, of course, since this is
a dividend seven and not just a magnificent seven, we had to have some dividend criteria.
So the next three are dividend criteria.
We have dividend growth.
We wanted each of the companies to have grown their dividend by at least 100% over the last
10 years.
So a doubling of their dividend.
We wanted companies that were committed to a dividend.
This is our third criteria, which is they had a sizable payout ratio.
They were prioritizing the dividend in the way they allocate capital for the business.
And then our fourth criteria was dividend yield.
And this is something, of course, investors are always looking for when they're looking
for dividend stocks.
What is the stock yield? Well, we wanted yields that were at least 50% higher than the current
yield on the S&P 500, which right now is around 1.2%. It's near a historic low. So we were kind
of looking for a dividend yield of about 2% minimum for each of the companies that we were
looking for. And then the fifth criteria was just, we just wanted growth. In other words,
we wanted, we call it business growth, but we wanted confidence that this wasn't a business
that was stagnating. This was a business where revenue, earnings, cashflow, we could see it
all that moving higher in the future. In other words, the business has tailwinds to it.
The sixth criteria is financial strength. So strong balance sheet, cash flows that are robust,
that can withstand business cycles, a company that's built to withstand unexpected circumstances
or macroeconomic issues, things like that. And then the seventh and final criteria,
I know I've droned on a little bit, was we're looking for special. Is there something with
this company or this set of companies that make them unique, make them stand out, kind of make
them visible in the minds of investors, consumers, you know, beyond just them being a corporation
in the US. So those were the seven criteria we used. So we got seven companies here today. We're
going to take a moment to kind of spotlight each of them briefly. But before we get there,
thinking about this group as a whole, there's a push-pull in dividend investing between yield
and growth a lot of times. Both are factors that you considered, obviously, when pulling this
particular group together. As a whole, do you find that it favors growth over yield or vice versa?
What's kind of the thinking behind that here? Yes. I wouldn't call it a dilemma, but it is
something that dividend investors in particular struggle with is, do I buy companies that have
big yields, yields of 3%, 4%, 5%? Or do I buy companies that are paying a dividend but might
have a smaller yield but are capable of growing their earnings and therefore their dividend at a
faster rate over time. The good news is with the seven companies we picked, it actually is quite
balanced. The average dividend yield for the group is about two and a half percent. Now, some
investors might consider that low, but remember the yield on the S&P 500 right now is 1.2%. It's
a historic low. So this group on average is double that yield. So I think that's important. But at
the same time, remember, because we were looking at companies that were growing their dividend or
doubling their dividend over the last 10 years, you're still getting a lot of growth here as well.
So I love the list because I think each of the companies, again, on average,
has a pretty nice balance between yield and growth. Okay. So we're going to spotlight each
of these companies. There's quite a varied group. We've got a REIT, a bank, a consumer goods company,
a retailer, a fast food chain, drug developer, an asset manager. First up is that REIT that I
mentioned. This one likely will not be a shocker to anybody who follows The Dividend Show.
or listens to a lot of full content pretty closely. We got Prologis. It's the world's
largest REIT and a global leader in logistics, real estate in particular. It's got more than
$200 billion in assets under management. It's grown its dividend and returned over 190% in the
last 10 years. Guys, the CEO and the kind of co-founder, co-founder of Prologis' predecessor
company, he's described this Prologis as, quote, basically the toll taker in the world of global
commerce. What's he mean by that? Right. We're big fans of Hamed Moghadam,
who's the CEO and co-founder of Prologis. Well, if you think about Prologis, its size and scale,
we're talking 5,600 buildings spanning 1.2 billion square feet on four continents. It really
is kind of the real estate backbone of global commerce. I mean, so much transaction, so much
inventory flows through Prologis' facilities every year. The company estimates that 2.5%
of global GDP, which I don't know the number off the top of my head, but that's a big, big number.
Two and a half percent of global GDP flows through Pelagius' real estate every year. And if you think
about the importance of supply chain management, of inventory management among companies today,
especially companies who are doing business in kind of omni-channel ways. They might have a
brick and mortar presence. They might have, of course, these days have an e-commerce presence.
And so the need to have physical infrastructure to support that is more critical than ever. And especially since, if you think about since COVID, the effect that the pandemic had on supply chains and the need for companies to have more control over their inventory and their sourcing was so huge.
And so that's why I just think there's so many tailwinds to Prologis' business.
And of course, it's been a wonderful dividend company and one of the best REITs, if not
the best REIT that Ant and I come across all the time.
And so we had to have Prologis in our Div 7, at least our inaugural Div 7.
Matt, you mentioned these tailwinds and I buy everything that you're saying, but you'll
look at the stock price of Prologis and it's down about 14% year to date.
Why do you think that is?
Ant, do you want to take a crack at that?
Yeah. So let's go back to 2017 for a minute. The Fed was raising interest rates. And on a
conference call, an analyst asked Hamid Magadam, what's the impact of higher interest rates on
your business? And Hamid responded, the short-term impacts of higher interest rates on our business
will be a 10% to 15% drop in our stock price. And then he continued saying, interest rates are
going up because the economy is hot. It will translate into rents and growth and activity.
And in six months, the impact of higher interest rates on our business will be exactly zero.
So if we fast forward to today, the 10-year treasury rate was around 3.6% in September,
and now it's around 4.2% today. And over that time period, you've seen a roughly 14%,
15% decline in Prologis' share price. So that's essentially exactly what Hamid
said seven years ago. So as a Prologis shareholder myself, I'm not too worried about Prologis' recent
share price underperformance. You're still collecting a 3.5% dividend yield and the
payout is growing at a double digit rate. So as a shareholder, I'm fine with that.
So it sounds like if you were to add smart management as an eighth checkbox for the
dividend seven, Prologis would check that box as well, for sure.
Good point.
One more question here before we move on to the next in this group. Funds from
operations or FFO is a key number for REIT investors. For folks listening who are less
familiar with REITs or kind of newer to this space, what does FFO measure exactly? And how
does Prologis stack up on that front? Right. REITs are a little bit of a different kind of
entity in the stock market. I mean, they're publicly traded just like stocks, but they
have some special rules, which we don't have time to really get into. But the best way to measure
REITs, the cash flow of REITs is not through earnings. It's really through this term funds
from operations, FFO. And what FFO does, it does a number of things, but the two big things it does
is it excludes depreciation. But you think about the biggest cost for a real estate company is
depreciation. Real estate gets depreciated over time, no matter what it is, residential real
estate, commercial real estate, it depreciates over time. And that's a non-cash expense that
FFO adds back to earnings. And then also gains losses on property sales. So REITs, if you are
buying and selling properties all the time. And it'd be kind of strange if you're trying to measure
the operational prowess of a company to include those because that could be volatile. A company
might decide to sell a bunch of properties one quarter, buy a bunch of properties in another
quarter. And so smoothing that out and taking that away gets you a better kind of idea of what
the operational cashflow of the business is. And that's what FFO is. Okay. Up next in our
Div 7 basket, we've got JP Morgan. This is the world's largest bank by market cap, probably a
very familiar name to most everybody. It is a massive company, steady dividend growth, a commitment
to that dividend, dividend yield of more than 2%, which is higher than a lot of other banks,
over 200% dividend growth in the past 10 years. There's a lot of good here. And again, it seems
even if you strip the numbers away, the name JP Morgan has such power.
Yeah, gravitas, right.
But it's like, I hear all this stuff and I'm like, okay, what is the bear case against?
JP Morgan, is it ever going away? Why might someone not want to invest in this company?
Yeah, this was a natural fit for our Div 7. And you mentioned, Mary, the 200% dividend growth
last 10 years. That was a big draw for why we wanted to have it in the list. But yeah, I mean,
If I had to take the bear case for JP Morgan, I would say, you know, banks have benefited
finally from the higher interest rates that we've gotten over the last few years.
That's been done wonders for their net interest margin.
Banks have still been able to pay really ultra low rates to depositors on checking accounts
and savings accounts, but then turn around and lend those borrowings or that capital
at much higher rates for the first time in really 15 years.
And so that's been a huge benefit to banks. And so if we do get lower interest rates and the Fed
has already sort of embarked on an easing cycle, that could hurt the net interest margin for a
bank like J.P. Morgan. I mean, you're talking about a bank and for some reason in the U.S.,
we just have thousands of banks. Whereas you go to most other countries, including Canada,
just up north, they have like five banks. We somehow have thousands of banks in the U.S.
And so there's always competition. I think J.P. Morgan, of course, is the most dominant,
it, but even JP Morgan has competition from Bank of America, Citibank, Goldman Sachs and
investment banks as well. And then there also has been a very strict regulatory environment for
banks since the global financial crisis. That's really limited the capital allocation flexibility
of banks. So even JP Morgan every year has to ask permission from federal regulators to raise
its dividend to do buybacks and things like that. And so that's been a bit of a cloud.
And who knows? I mean, this is not my area of expertise, but we do have, you've seen the rise
of Bitcoin, now over $100,000 a coin, I can't believe it. But the whole rise of decentralized
finance kind of coming out of the whole crypto market, crypto ecosphere. And also at the same
time, you've had this rise of private credit, non-bank lenders, that's competition for JP Morgan.
And so, you know, that would be my bear case.
But gosh, talk about a dominant company and one that we had to have in the Div 7.
Such a dominant company that we're going to just do a quick spotlight there and now move
on to the next because we've got a number of companies to still get through today.
The third company in the Div 7 is another one that really needs no introduction, PepsiCo.
This is, again, unsurprisingly, yet another steady dividend grower.
One of the things that stuck out to me, it's got a payout ratio of 70%.
pretty high. For the listener who, again, might be newer to dividend investing, what does that
number mean exactly? Yeah. So the dividend payout ratio is one of the most important metrics for
dividend investors. A couple of different ways you can calculate it, but one simple approach is
take the annualized quarterly dividend rate and divide it by the expected earnings per share for
that year. So let's just say Pepsi is expected. I'm making this up, but let's say they pay out
$0.70 in dividends this year. And management expects to generate $1 in earnings. The payout
ratio would be 70%. So in other words, earnings would have to fall more than 30% for the dividend
payout to become unsustainable. And for a company like Pepsi that has very stable recurring revenue
like model, they can afford to have a relatively high payout ratio at around 70% because they have
a strong balance sheet. They have predictable revenue. You know earnings growth is going to
occur pretty much every year. And they also have a strong track record of dividend growth.
for another sector like oil and gas stocks, for example. They tend to be a lot more cyclical.
So you'd want to have a payout ratio that's lower than 70%, preferably less than 50%,
because their earnings are more volatile. So generally speaking, a payout ratio less than
50% tends to be pretty safe, but companies like Pepsi could certainly pay out more than that.
And a high payout ratio for a quality company like Pepsi can even signal higher earnings growth in
the future. There's certainly a lot of quality and steadiness that you get when you invest in
Pepsi. But if you zoom out and look at total returns over the past 10 years, Pepsi does beat
out Coke, but it falls pretty far below the S&P 500. What's the case for investing in Pepsi
specifically rather than putting your money in the S&P or an index fund?
Yeah. So what's interesting is over the last 10 years, Pepsi was roughly tracking the market's
return all the way up until early 2023. And that's when we had the mini banking crisis,
if you want to call it that. And then you had the explosion in AI. That's when the market really
started to outperform Pepsi. So Pepsi is not necessarily doing anything wrong. The market
is just assigning a lower earnings multiple to Pepsi and a higher earnings multiple to the S&P
500. So I think as an investor, the investing case for Pepsi is it's 3.4% dividend yield is
is roughly almost three times larger than the S&P's yield of 1.2%, like Matt mentioned earlier.
And then it trades at a discounted valuation compared to the market. And then third,
Pepsi provides a diversification away from a tech-heavy S&P 500. So there's something wrong
with investing in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund. But if there's an argument for investing in Pepsi,
I think that's the one to make. Okay. The fourth stock that we're looking at today
is Home Depot. Just in preparation for this episode, guys, I checked and Home Depot is at
an all-time high. So maybe this goes back to our earlier conversation about growth and yield,
but this stock has been on a tear recently. It's pretty fair to say. Again, I thought this was
supposed to be a dividend play. Is Home Depot one of those ones that is a growth stock too?
I think so, Mary. It's definitely got both attributes. It's a company that
has prioritized the dividend, has steadily grown that dividend, and the dividend has
always taken up a pretty good chunk of Home Depot's earnings. So there's been a decent payout
ratio. But no doubt, Home Depot stock has been on absolute terror recently. And it's actually
kind of surprising to me because if you look at the business and how the business has performed,
it's been a rough couple of years for Home Depot. Really, almost since the day the Fed started
raising rates back in, gosh, when that was that early 2022, Home Depot's business has struggled.
And that's because the housing market, which, of course, is in the short term so correlated with rates, with mortgage rates, has been really stagnant.
And so with less home housing turnover, Home Depot's business has struggled.
Yet, like you mentioned, Home Depot is almost at an all-time high.
And I'm wondering if it's because the market is anticipating with the Fed lowering rates, is there going to be a stronger housing market in 2025 and beyond?
They're going to see a big pickup in home renovations.
Maybe that's the reason.
So the market's already looking ahead of here, but it certainly seems a little bit stretched
in my view.
Home Depot has grown its dividend over 280% in the past 10 years.
I think that's the highest out of all of these companies that we're looking at today.
I think you're right.
Has management's philosophy about returning cash to shareholders, has that changed at
all in that time or perhaps prior to this 10-year horizon?
Or has it remained pretty consistent and they're just really good at what they do?
That approach to the dividend has remained consistent. Certainly with CEO Ted Decker, it's probably even gone more into the philosophy of what the company does. But yeah, the dividend has always been a priority. And I think the steadiness of Home Depot's business, the fact that the company generates so much cash flow, has such a stable revenue picture, and it's so well diversified in terms of products.
And it's got something with a lot of retailers don't have, which is sort of that protection against e-commerce.
By the way, it is one of the biggest e-commerce companies in the country, but it has that sort of anti, not anti, but protection from Amazon and other sort of mass online marketplaces because of just the nature of the products it sells.
And I think that's insulated it from a lot of competition as well.
So it always has good visibility in its cash flow and therefore has always made the dividend a priority.
Quick sidebar here. With the exception of Prologis, almost all of the companies that we've talked about today and more that we'll continue to talk about in just a moment are really big brands. Like with Home Depot, everybody knows Home Depot. You see the orange apron, you associate that with Home Depot. PepsiCo, I would bet that most people have Pepsi products in their kitchen. J.P. Morgan, that's a name that a lot of people know.
do you make anything of that? Is there some kind of relationship between really strong brand
building and dividend payers? Or is it just a product of, hey, these companies have been around
for a really long time and they represent quality? Yeah, all of the above. It's like that, Mary. And
I love Ant's answer on this as well. But I think this just goes into, you see it throughout history.
Where do the most dominant companies, how do the most dominant companies become so dominant? And
It's because they have such a brand presence and imprint on the minds of consumers, investors, other businesses, right?
Home Depot, as one example, serves, and Prologis in particular, serves mostly businesses, not necessarily consumers.
And so I think that goes hand in hand with having a major company.
And it's obvious that was part of, I think, the reason, at least maybe indirectly, as to why these companies are showing up in the Div 7, because they're so recognizable, at least most of them.
and that made them natural fits. I would just echo what I said earlier about financial strength
is a lot of these businesses are so big because they've been able to survive for so long. I mean,
most of these companies we're talking about today have increased their dividend for more than 25
consecutive years, 40 consecutive years, even 50 consecutive years. So you have to have a strong
balance sheet to be able to survive that long to get that known brand that many of these companies
have. So yeah, financial strength, very important. Up next on the list, I'll admit I was a little
surprised to see just because I don't typically think of drug developers as falling into this
category. The stock that I'm talking about is AbbVie. Again, it's a drug developer, 52 consecutive
years of dividend raises. Like Pepsi, actually, this is a dividend king. What's that distinction
mean, guys? Right. Well, a dividend king is a real rare distinction that a company can get if it
raises its dividend for 50 or more consecutive years. So if you think about that, how many
recessions, business cycles, wars, calamities happen over a 50-year period. And yet here's
a company that's raised its dividend every year, even through the global financial crisis or even
through the COVID that we recently had. Every year, this company has raised its dividend. And
Avi, which is, by the way, a spin out from Abbott Labs, which maybe some investors might be more
familiar with, but it was able to maintain its dividend history when it was part of Abbott Labs
going back 52 years. When you two talked about this company on The Dividend Show,
one of the things that you pointed out is that it has a CapEx ratio of less than 5%.
I can hear a lot of people, and I caught myself initially doing it too, thinking,
wait, hold on, this is a drug development company. They've got to spend a ton of money
on research and development. But important to note, there's a distinction between CapEx and
research and development. What is that difference? And why does that distinction between the two
matter. Right. Well, so R&D is an operating expense, and it gets expensed right as it's
being expensed, as you're paying to conduct tests, you're paying lab technicians to do
certain things. So that money is spent. It's an operating expense. It goes out the door.
With CapEx, think about things that are long-term investments in the business,
building facilities, labs, acquiring other businesses, intellectual property,
those kinds of things. Those are long-term investments that get expensed over time.
But the nice thing is, even though there's still cash going out the window, it doesn't affect your expenses in terms of your operational income. And so the fact that AbbVie has such a low CapEx ratio means that it doesn't have to spend a lot on big capital expenses, and therefore its free cash flow is generally a lot higher, which I think is important for a company like AbbVie, which is in the drug development business.
We know how volatile that can be. You can have successes with certain drugs or failures with
certain drugs. It can be a little bit up and down. But as long as AbbVie is generating cash flow,
the business can be somewhat more stable. Okay, moving on to the next stock in this
group, we've got McDonald's. Kind of like Home Depot, this is another company with a healthy
focus on dividend that also seems to just keep growing. McDonald's, again, has grown its dividend
for 48 years in a row, so almost at that dividend king status, but not quite yet. It has a payout
ratio of about 60%, a yield of over 2%. And again, on the growth point, they're speeding up new store
openings, are growing their digital channels. They've also got a franchise model. And how does
that set up this franchise model come into play for a company like McDonald's? Yeah, I mean,
McDonald's has more than 41,000 stores across 100 countries. They've served hundreds of billions of
burgers over the years, hundreds of billions of burgers. But somehow, like you said, they still
find a way to continue to open up new stores and continue to grow. And to your point, it's that
franchise model. McDonald's essentially purchases the land, they purchase the building for a new
store, and then they collect rent and royalties from the franchise. So by franchising most of
their stores, McDonald's can expand more quickly because the capital investment isn't as large
compared to opening a company-owned store, where they're paying for everything and their
capex will be larger. So I think that franchise model is one reason why, after all these years,
McDonald's is still growing and opening more stores than they ever have before.
As we kind of continue to think about this growth piece of the equation,
GLP-1 drugs have been a big story throughout the year. Surely, they'll continue to be in 2025 and
beyond. How do you think that might affect McDonald's growth story? And I mean, also Pepsi,
I would say, kind of falls into this category of a company that could potentially be affected by,
if not, if they haven't already been affected by the rise of weight loss drugs.
Does that play at all into kind of how you think about McDonald's moving forward?
Yeah, I mean, it definitely does. And that is a million dollar question. How do these drugs
affect a lot of these food-related companies? And to be honest, I don't know. I don't think
anybody really knows the full impact that these drugs will have on eating habits over the long
term. I have a suspicion that the drugs might not impact the food companies too much, maybe on the
margin, but they won't have a devastating impact. And let's just say, hypothetically speaking,
let's say they do have a massive impact on eating habits. What are the second order effects on that?
What happens to Pepsi's pricing power? What happens to its weaker competition? So those
are all questions that need to be answered too. So there's a lot of unanswered questions right
now. But one thing is true, if you look at McDonald's stock price right now, it's near
an all-time high. So the market doesn't seem to be too worried about GLP-1 drugs. But yeah,
I mean, we'll see. I really don't know, but it will be interesting to see how this unfolds.
If I could just add also, we took a look at Hershey and considered putting Hershey on our
seven list as well, because Hershey is a company that has such a great history, dividend track
record, et cetera. But we thought, well, McDonald's, Pepsi, and Hershey, we're being a
little bit contrarian when it comes to the whole GLP-1 story, actually to Hershey as well. But for
now, McDonald's, Pepsi. And again, you're trying to diversify a lot, and you've got a bunch of
different companies within this group that play in a lot of different sectors and industry.
Last but not least, rounding us out, we've got the world's largest asset manager,
that is BlackRock. In the Dividend Show, guys, you called out the iShares franchise in particular
as being what makes BlackRock kind of tick this seventh qualifier to putting it in the Dividend
seven. It's special sauce. What makes it unique? What is it about the iShares brand that stands out
so much? Right. I mean, BlackRock has always been a massive asset manager in the world,
but the iShares brand is really what kind of set the rocket fuel for this business more than a
decade ago. Again, this is one of those companies where it's going to be more familiar to investors
and businesses and pension funds than it is to maybe your average consumer. But BlackRock has
$10.7 trillion in assets under management, which is just a massive number. I mean,
the GDP of the United States, I think is around 20 trillion, maybe a little more than that now.
So just to put that in context, I mean, it's a massive, massive number. And the iShares ETF brand
is probably by far the most recognizable ETF,
I'd say, brand in the marketplace.
And it's where just so many assets go.
So many money managers around the world,
funds, pension funds, as I mentioned,
know the iShares brand,
are comfortable with the iShares brand
and tend to use the iShares for various strategies
or for their fund management.
And so it's just got these tentacles everywhere.
And if you look at, for example,
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF
that they just launched recently,
it's already become, I think, the largest or the second largest Bitcoin ETF. And that owes itself
to the BlackRock brand, the iShares brand. It's all of a sudden investors saying, well,
if I want to invest in Bitcoin, how do I want to do it? Well, I'm going to use iShares because
I know they're cheap. I know they're big. I know they're backed by BlackRock, which is
one of the largest and most stable asset managers in the world. And that just kind of feeds on
itself. And so BlackRock seems to me like this monster dominant of a company that is just going
to get more and more dominant as time goes on. To close out today, guys, we used the MAG7 as a
jumping off point for this conversation. That's kind of what inspired you to pull together this
Dividend 7 group in the first place. All of those are growthy tech companies. So when we think about
valuation, some investors might use a peg ratio to value some of those companies. That's maybe
not the case with some of these that we've talked about today. How do you two value the companies
that we've talked about today? Any stick out as a little too pricey for your taste or on the flip
side as being priced pretty attractively right now? I tend to just use a simple price earnings
multiple as a starting point. For a lot of these companies, they're very well-established companies.
They tend to have very predictable earnings, predictable revenue growth,
predictable dividend growth as well. And then it's not, I wouldn't say it's necessarily a
valuation metric, but yield is definitely important and it's something that Matt and I look at.
Like we said, we want to look at companies that at least have a dividend yield 50% higher than
the market. Preferably even higher than that is even better because as we know of the long run,
I think that dividends account for, what is it Matt? Roughly 50% of the market's return over the
last 100 or so years. So dividend yield is also very important. Yeah. For me, Mary, I would say,
we mentioned Prologis and had that great kind of look back at what the CEO said a bunch of years
ago. And that to me seems to stand out as one particularly compelling opportunity. On the flip
side, I'd say we did talk about Home Depot. That one feels a little stretched to me, just given
where we are, where its valuation is, and the uncertainties around interest rates in the housing
market. But I would say in general, if you look at these seven companies, these seven companies,
I would not call any of them cheap. In other words, because they're so dominant, because
they are so recognizable, and they're included in so many, of course, investor portfolios and
institutional portfolios. Just like the MAG7 and however that group changes over time, I expect
this DIV7 is generally going to include companies that are pretty pricey, but deserve so because
they deserve a premium because they are premium businesses. Matt and Ant, always a pleasure
talking to the both of you. Thanks so much for the time today for walking us through the first
iteration, hopefully the first of many different iterations of the Dividend 7. Thanks so much, guys.
Thank you, Mary.
as always people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about
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recommend to friends like you I'm Ricky Mulvey thanks for listening we'll be back tomorrow
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