Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Is Apple a Trillion-Dollar Value?

Episode Date: August 3, 2018

Apple reaches a trillion-dollar milestone. Baidu faces a Google-sized potential competitor. Blue Apron fails to deliver. And Red Robin and TripAdvisor lose altitude. Ron Gross, Jason Moser and Matt Ar...gersinger analyze those stories, as well as the latest from Tesla, Square, Take-Two Interactive, and Activision Blizzard. Plus, Restaurant Business Magazine executive editor Jonathan Maze talks Chipotle, IHOP, McDonalds, and the changing restaurant business. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:33 From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money. It's the Motley Fool Money radio show. I'm Chris Hill. Joining me in studio this week, senior analysts Jason Moser, Matt Argersinger, and Ron Gross. Good to see you as always, gentlemen. Hey. How you doing? We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street.
Starting point is 00:00:48 We will dig into the restaurant industry with our guest, Jonathan Mays. And as always, we'll give an inside look at the stocks on our radar. but we begin with the first company to hit a market cap of $1 trillion. Shares of Apple up this week after third quarter revenue came in north of $53 billion. And Ron, this isn't even their big quarter. But what's not to like? I mean, it's very impressive with revenue up 17%, even though iPhone volume was flat. They've been able to increase price points. The service business up 30%. Love that that's becoming a more important part of this business. Repurchase shares,
Starting point is 00:01:25 gobs and gobs of shares. $43.5 billion of its own stock during the first six months of this year. $220 billion of stock since it announced the buyback program in March 2012. Still has $243 billion of cash on the balance sheet. Plenty more buybacks to come. Dividend is there. It's only 1.4%. I imagine that will be increased. We'll have a nice shareholder yield company going forward. Yeah, that's what's so impressive, is that by buying back so much stock over the last several years, they've kept upping the bar on the share price they needed to hit $1 trillion. And so, it just makes my defeat feel so much worse, because I had been riding Amazon's train for a few years here now.
Starting point is 00:02:09 But I think it's nice, because now we get to talk about the first company to maybe get to $2 trillion. You can bet who I'm going with. Yeah, I was with Matty along that ride, calling for Amazon. I think we both probably knew, though, that Chance is favored Apple. It makes a lot of sense. They didn't have that far to go. And there's a reason why they're there. It's a phenomenal business, a phenomenal company. We've talked a lot through the years and quarters that it is still primarily a phone company. And the big question was, how do they address that? Can they make the leap beyond just that. And to Ron's point, iPhone sales, it's abating, the growth abating
Starting point is 00:02:45 a little bit, but they've really turned it up on the services side. I think they continue to bring a little bit more value to the table for the people that are in that Apple universe already. So, it's just a very relevant business that should continue to be relevant for many, many years to come. I have to say, I think one thing we talked about in the past with Apple is, with the dependency on the iPhone, what would ultimately happened to its pricing power, with so much competition. But the average selling prices for the phones has kept going up. It's been very impressive. Well, they got a lot of that, too, from the iPhone X or X or whatever it is. God,
Starting point is 00:03:19 why didn't they just need a X? That's like the one black mark on this company, just put a X. It does seem like they bumped that price up considerably, just $1,000. They're not selling those things like hotcakes, but they're selling enough to where it's really helping juice that average selling price, along with that iPhone 8. And by the way, the stock is not expensive. I mean, there's no irrational exuberance going on here, even though the trillion number sounds big. I don't know, 16X maybe, forward earnings? Relatively reasonable. You remember when the big question around Apple was, is this company ever going to pay a dividend? And then once they did start paying
Starting point is 00:03:55 a dividend, you had some people out there saying, well, I think that's it. I think that's it for the stock. It's going to be 3M, and people are just going to buy it for the dividend, and there's no growth. Interesting week for Baidu. Second quarter profits for the Chinese search engine giant came in 45% higher than a year ago. But shares of Baidu falling this week on reports that Google is planning to launch a censored version of its own search engine in China. What do you think, Matty? Well, Google throws the wet blanket, because Baidu's results were, as you mentioned, fantastic. And I remember seeing the stock price go up like $15 in after-hours trading, only to drop by almost $15 when it opened
Starting point is 00:04:33 the next morning because of the Google News. But it would be easy for me to dismiss the Google News and say, don't worry about it, Baidu has been dominating in China, they haven't had to deal with Google for almost a decade now, they have this dominance in terms of search impressions, advertisers. And does Google really want to launch a search engine where they have to restrict words like human rights and democracy? It doesn't feel like Google. But keep this in mind, depending on what report you believe, Android has something like a 70% to 80% market share on smartphones operating systems in China. So, if this Dragonfly or whatever Google ends up calling this, does pass the Chinese censors and becomes able
Starting point is 00:05:15 to be sold and serviced in China, enormous lead right off the bat if they can get it onto the Android system. TripAdvisor's stock has been having a good run in 2018, and that ended this week when TripAdvisor's second quarter revenue came in just 2% higher than a year ago. You tell me, Jason, is this a legitimate concern, or is this sort of a speed bump kind of quarter for TripAdvisor? I'm not going to be an apologist here. I mean, I think we've all been pretty critical with TripAdvisor and the bungle they made with the instant booking platform. But going through the release, it does feel like this was a pretty harsh reaction to what was not really a bad quarter. But
Starting point is 00:05:52 I think anytime you have a business like TripAdvisor that's run into the top-line growth headwinds that they've run into, the market's only going to pay up so much for that. So, the good thing is that they have a platform that's still very engaged and growing. I mean, users are growing, reviews are growing, and people are doing more with those reviews. And it's encouraging to see that they're growing the non-hotel side of the business as well. A bit of margin pressure there for the quarter, that was also a bit of a comparables thing there. All in all, I mean, it's a healthy platform. I think management really lost a lot of time in money in that instant booking strategy just didn't really work out. But it seems
Starting point is 00:06:31 like the market is liking the stock a little bit more after that initial sell-off. We'll have to see. I don't know that I'd be terribly concerned right now, but it was a harsh reaction. Do you have a sense of what the next move is for TripAdvisor? Obviously, as you said, they put a lot of time and effort into the instant booking. I'm wondering if there's some other monetization strategy that they're working on. But primarily, it's attractions. I mean, they're really trying to get to that point where TripAdvisor is a platform that not only you consult whenever you go, wherever you go, but then when you want to book something to do, you're able to do that through TripAdvisor.
Starting point is 00:07:07 So, I mean, hey, listen, when I went to the Bahamas, I told you, everything I found there that we did, we found it on TripAdvisor. Pig Island, hey, do I need to say anything else there? I mean, that's worth gold. So, as long as they can figure out a way to really effectively monetize that going forward on a sustainable basis. And I think they will. That's certainly what they're gunning for, and just bringing over a seamless experience to the phone, because those monetization challenges still exist. You had me at Pig Island. Shares of Tesla up more than 15% this week, despite a second quarter report that featured Tesla's worst loss ever. Ron, they lost more than $700 million, but the confidence that profits are just around
Starting point is 00:07:46 the corner really seems to be there. I guess so. Investors, right, we're focused on, they hit their $5,000 sedan goal. They say they're going to be able to up it to their $6,000 sedan goal. They said they would not need to raise more cash, which I think was a big deal. Investors calmed down after he said that. He said they would be profitable in the second half of 2018. And get this, he expects Tesla, he meaning Mr. Musk, he expects Tesla will record a profit in all subsequent quarters. Now, who wouldn't want to be a shareholder of that? Didn't we have that recently? Was it American Airlines' CEO coming out and saying,
Starting point is 00:08:25 we're going to be profitable from now to the end of time? We will never lose money ever again. He's obviously full of bluster and makes big promises. Interestingly, the street also reacted to the fact that he apologized this call for being rather rude to analysts on the last call. I'm a forgiving guy. That's fine. It's kind of weird that he had to apologize because he can't hold his tongue. I'm not a big fan. I think he's too much of a salesman for my tastes. I actually finally bit the bullet, pulled the plug and asked for my $1,000 deposit back. Decided not to
Starting point is 00:09:00 pursue the purchase of the Model 3. I just got fatigued by the whole thing. Just real quick, how long were you waiting? From the time that you put down the $1,000 to the time that you said, I'd like my money back, how long? It was in the second half of 2017 that I asked. It hasn't been a full year yet, but it's probably coming up on it. I think Tesla is a paradox, because in a way, short sellers are just hounding this stock. And of course, they got obliterated this past week. And that tends to happen to companies like this. But actually, if I am a Tesla short seller, I'm actually rooting for this company
Starting point is 00:09:33 to actually be successful, start generating a profit. Because actually, for something you said, Chris, is, when they do start generating consistent profits, maybe it'll be valued just like all the other automakers. And it wouldn't get this crazy valuation that it certainly gets in the market. You're going to get tweets that say, this is not a car company. I get it. It can't be valued as a car company. Bit of an unrelated note here, but sort of related.
Starting point is 00:09:54 I was reading recently where Jeff Bezos is pumping a lot of money and resources into Blue Origin, his space company. Now, after reading that book, The Space Barons, which talks a lot about Bezos and Musk and their race to space, so to speak, I really do believe that SpaceX is Musk's true love. And if he needs to start devoting more time and or resources to SpaceX, I just can't help but feel like Tesla is set up to suffer from his absence, if there is any kind of a prolonged absence. I mean, SpaceX, I think, is his baby. That's his passion. Tesla, eh, maybe not so much.
Starting point is 00:10:32 Up next, we've got video games, financials, and a little something just in case you're hungry. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. This episode of Motley Fool Money brought to you by TD Ameritrade. You're always on the cutting edge of technology, and TD Ameritrade prides itself on being ahead of the curve, too. Their latest innovations put their resources and services on the popular platforms that you carry and use every day. So now, to stay on top of the markets, all you have to do is enable the TD Ameritrade skill for Amazon Alexa, or just message them on Facebook. You can learn more about their commitment to innovation at tdameritrade.com slash innovation.
Starting point is 00:11:15 Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in studio with Jason Moser, Matt Argesinger, and Ron Gross. Good second quarter results from Square. Shares up despite Square's guidance being a little lower than analysts were hoping for. But Jason Moser, the war on cash is alive and well. The war on cash continues. I tell you, I mean, I saw a lot of Square equipment at many of the stores I visited in Rhode Island and Connecticut here this week. The gross payment volume is really the important metric to watch with a company like this. This tells us precisely the power of the network and how it's growing because it draws a direct line to the question of that growth to the money that's actually flowing through all of their systems. And GPV was up 30% from a year ago
Starting point is 00:11:59 to $21.4 billion. Now, you compare that to a company like PayPal, they just reported gross payment volume for the quarter of $139 billion. My reason in bringing that up, Chris, is simply to show you that not only is PayPal still light years ahead, but it also shows there's a tremendous market opportunity out there. And Square's working on trying to capture that. Products like Square Appointments, Square for Retail, Square for Restaurants, they are really going after all sorts of angles there, getting these businesses that are made up of smaller businesses that need to benefit from these cheaper payment solutions and better technology to help them grow their businesses. Square is doing a great job in building this out.
Starting point is 00:12:43 And there is a blueprint out there to be profitable in this line of work. Obviously, PayPal is the poster child for that. So, you can see how powerful the business can be if they keep doing what they're doing. And there's no reason to believe that they shouldn't one day get there. Video game stocks in the spotlight this week. First quarter profits for Take-Two Interactive were higher than expected, thanks to its Grand Theft Auto franchise. Activision Blizzard's second quarter profits got a boost from Call of Duty, but shares falling despite that report. Take that in any order you want, Matty. Yeah, I think it's a tale of expectations for these companies. I think Take-Two's
Starting point is 00:13:15 results were just a lot better than expected from investors, and their annual guidance has been increased because of that. Activision Blizzard also had a better quarter, but just didn't raise their full-year guidance. So, I think there's some questions from analysts saying, you know, well, maybe they're expecting a little bit more of a tepid second half to the year. But for both these companies, there's so much built into the next five or six months, because you've got Red Dead Redemption 2 coming out in October. That's going to be Take-Two's biggest franchise release since the last Grand Theft Auto. And for Activision, you know, we've got, of course, the annual Call of Duty game that's coming out in the fall, but also
Starting point is 00:13:51 So, a new iteration of World of Warcraft and Hearthstone and some other things. And so, I think these companies are just doing better than people thought right now, but it all really hinges on how good holiday video game sales are. And they look like it's going to be pretty good. I was going to ask about the holiday quarter. Like, is that the most crucial quarter for these types of companies? Because we've talked before that video game as a business tends to be a little lumpy. It's very, very lumpy.
Starting point is 00:14:13 Yeah, this tends to be the slowest period right now. We're in the summer. Hopefully, most kids aren't at home playing video games, or they're playing Fortnite. They are. But, yes, it is really all about it. And video games kind of build their publishing schedule around the holidays. Shares of Blue Apron fell more than 30% this week after second quarter results were a disaster. Ron, Blue Apron is not just burning cash, they're losing customers. And that may be the even bigger problem.
Starting point is 00:14:37 It's a really bad report. Loss of customers down 24% from last year, down 9% from the end of March. We recall that they had a bit of a snafu with one of their facilities and that hurt operations. And they can't seem to get it right, and it continues to spiral down. The one good thing, and this is not a sustainable way to run your business, is that they were able to cut costs, and they did a good job there. Gross margin's actually up, administrative costs down. So, I'll applaud them for that. But it's the business model here that is really keeping them from succeeding. One interesting note is that they're trying to sell into Costco right now their kits, which I think is interesting. I'd be curious to see how that goes. But I don't think
Starting point is 00:15:27 that's the savior for the business. O'Reilly. Does this industry work? Because it seems like we've talked about, whether it's Blue Apron or any of the competitors in the meal kit delivery space. Whatever one thinks of the actual product, and Matty, I know we've talked before about HelloFresh. I mean, I've tried a couple of different ones. Like them, not enough to keep it going. And it makes me wonder if this works as a standalone business or if the future of meal kit delivery is really as a loss leader for a larger business. I think there is a future. I just think right now there's just too many players in the marketplace. And you mentioned it, you've tried several of them. I have too. And I think that's the problem. I think people are just trying
Starting point is 00:16:06 this one, this one. But there almost needs to be some consolidation. It needs to be one big player that can reach 10 million customers, subscribers, and eventually succeed. But hard to see right now. Completely agree. This week, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers warned that second quarter profits will be lower than previously thought. And that was all investors needed to hear. Shares of Red Robin down more than 20% and hitting their lowest point in five years, Jason. Well, I mean, you cannot guide down the way they guided down and not expect just a total
Starting point is 00:16:37 market exodus. And that's what we got, right? I mean, these are cheeseburgers at the end of the day. It's not rocket science. So, it is a very competitive industry to begin with. Management actually used the word hyper-competitive in the call, which I found interesting, making the point that it's very difficult to grow sales in this hyper-competitive environment where most everybody else out there is focused on cutting prices, offering discounts and deals and whatnot. Red Robin trying to take a little bit of a different tack here in maintaining pricing and sort of convincing consumers that they are getting something special by going there. I mean, hey, bottomless steak fries, I can get on board with that. I just don't
Starting point is 00:17:17 know how many people out there really care about it at the end of the day. It's not a small business, right? They do own most of their stores, so that's encouraging, but we also see with companies like Chipotle, that can be a sword that cuts both ways as well. So, not a bad business, but it's a very difficult market. Restaurants are tough to really sustainably do well. O'Reilly. Restaurants are tough, and it is a competitive environment. We're also in a good economy. I mean, I was thinking that when I was looking, I mean, Cheesecake Factory reported this week, similar type of results in terms of the stock. I mean, what happens
Starting point is 00:17:50 to some of these restaurant chains when the economy invariably hits a recession at some point? I mean, I think some of them have to disappear. The world just doesn't need some of those concepts out there. Like, we always ask this sort of rhetorical question about JCPenney, does the world really need JCPenney? Well, no, probably not. I think we'll see some of those restaurants fade away as well. Why do you think Shake Shack gets the benefit of the doubt? Because they're also in the burger business. I'm not saying that they're running their business exactly the same way, but, I mean, that's a $2 billion company.
Starting point is 00:18:21 Red Robin Gourmet Burgers is $500 million. Matty, if I offered you, you can own all of Red Robin Gourmet, or I'll give you a quarter of Shake Shack. Which of those two are you taking? Oh, gosh, I'm going Red Robin all the way, and that's just because I don't have the right number in front of me. But I think at some point, the average Shake Shack was valued at something like $20 million. And I don't know if that still holds true today, but the valuation on Shake Shack just confounds me. There's some sort of cult following in both the people that go eat there and the people that buy the stock that doesn't exist with a more staid company like Red Robin.
Starting point is 00:18:56 It sounds like Tesla. You could have just said the same thing. Same question, Ron. I'm giving you all of Red Robin. I'm giving you a quarter of Shake Shack. Which one are you taking? I think I'm going Red Robin. Really? I think I'm going Red Robin. You're a New York guy. We have a Shake Shack being built right around the corner from my home, and I've never been in one. So, I will visit, and then I will get back to you.
Starting point is 00:19:16 You know what? You're going to change your tune. And all the Amazon New HQ people are moving into your neighborhood. They're going to love going there. Ryan Gross, Jason Moser, Matt Argersinger. Guys, we will see you a little bit later in the show. Up next, more restaurant talk with industry expert Jonathan Mays. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Starting point is 00:19:33 Money, money, money, money, money, money. And I got a little beer money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. Jonathan Mays is the executive editor of Restaurant Business Magazine, and he joins me now from Minneapolis, Minnesota. Jonathan, thank you so much for being here. Thank you for having me. There are a bunch of things going on with a bunch of different restaurants,
Starting point is 00:20:01 and we will get to those, but I want to start sort of broad. Right now, when you look at the restaurant industry from a 30,000-foot view, what stands out to you? The thing that really stands out is the industry is undergoing a fairly monumental shift in the way consumers are using restaurants, even individual restaurants. They are getting a lot more takeout, and they are not dining in as often. When they dine in, they really want a new experience or they want entertainment. So it almost doesn't matter what kind of chain you look at. If you're looking at somebody like a sub concept, if you're looking at noodles and company, if you're looking at a casual diner such as Applebee's or anybody else, consumers are really much, much more likely today than they were even a couple of years ago to order that food and take it with them.
Starting point is 00:20:57 They don't like eating out at restaurants. And if you think about that, the impact this has on the industry is actually fairly big. The big headlines tend to be on delivery, right? You got all these third-party providers and all these restaurant companies are falling all over themselves to deliver food. But people are just going to Chipotle or they're going to Firehouse Subs and they're ordering the food and they're taking with them. And so it's kind of influencing how companies are looking at how they develop real estate.
Starting point is 00:21:32 It's really forcing massive changes in the casual dining sector. They're opening smaller restaurants. And then that just sort of has an influence just on overall sales because if you're taking food with you, you're less likely to get a drink. You're not going to get alcohol. And so sales have been relatively weak. It's interesting because one of the restaurants that in general has been a better-than-average performer over the last few years is Texas Roadhouse. Ken Taylor, the CEO, we had him at a Motley Fool event last year. And he was asked about delivery, and he said, you know, we encourage all of our competitors to do as much delivery as possible so they can deliver lukewarm food to their people.
Starting point is 00:22:16 I mean, he's very focused on the in-restaurant experience. And it seems like, at least in the case of Texas Roadhouse, that really hasn't hurt them at all. No. And Kent is a very famous contrarian on this, because a lot of his competitors, like Outback Steakhouse, they're really going gangbusters on takeout and delivery. And Texas Roadhouse isn't. But we separate out the delivery element. and even Texas Roadhouse will tell you that they have had increases in the number of takeout orders over the years so it's just uh it delivery I think is is is one part of this whole thing about about takeout and the growth of of overall takeout in in in the restaurant business and and the thing
Starting point is 00:23:04 about Texas Roadhouse and what they've been able to do is they do a really good job of of you know their, you know, their service is really good. Their food is, is, is very good. Um, their, I mean, their roles are spectacular. Um, you can throw peanuts on the floor. It's kind of a fun experience. It's very energetic. You know, the restaurants are busy and that makes a difference and that sort of thing. So, I mean, yeah, they sort of prove, they show that if you do your job and you do it well, people will come into your restaurant and we'll really, um, and, and we'll buying in. But even in their case, they're seeing increases in takeout. You mentioned Chipotle. Obviously, the big news this week with Chipotle is in Ohio, where a county health department
Starting point is 00:23:47 reported more than 500 inquiries tied to a possible outbreak at a Chipotle restaurant. We've seen this movie before, Jonathan. What is going on with Chipotle? It appears to me, at least on the surface, that their food safety practices are pretty solid. So they voluntarily closed the restaurant, they sanitized everything. You know, they're asking employees if they're sick before they come into work every single day. Actually, if you look at one of the inspection reports that's been on that restaurant, they were noted for how good the hand-washing was, but, you know, they keep having this. And, you know, at this particular point, we don't really know what happened with this particular restaurant, you know, but it's,
Starting point is 00:24:27 you know, historically, their last few years have been something else. It certainly was obvious back in 2015 that they definitely had some operational problems. Those operational problems really revealed themselves as the company overhauled its management. To be honest with you, I sort of wonder if there's like a hypersensitivity a little bit to Chipotle sometimes and people are really quick to report things. But at the same time, I mean, we got more than 500 people saying that they got sick at this particular location. That's substantial. So it's not small. So I've never really seen a restaurant company go through what they've gone through. It's pretty incredible, actually.
Starting point is 00:25:06 Because let's face it, there are restaurants all across America that have food safety issues of one kind or another. On an ongoing basis, they're not getting the headlines that Chipotle has. And I'm wondering if Brian Nickel, the CEO, I'm assuming he knew that when he took the job, that fairly or unfairly, this is just the world that Chipotle is living in right now. and it's right in the middle of the spotlight. Yeah. I mean, they knew when they started. I mean, you have to. Just look at what happened last year in their restaurant in Sterling, Virginia,
Starting point is 00:25:41 which, by the way, sickened a lot less than the reported cases in this Ohio situation. And, you know, it really set their sales back. And it is something that they're going to have to deal with, really, until they've gone through a period in which they haven't had a situation like this. But, you know, I mean, single restaurant outbreaks do happen. Restaurants are fairly common sources of foodborne illness. It just sort of is. And the other thing I'll point out, Chipotle also recorded that on Tuesday
Starting point is 00:26:11 that they had their best summer sales day in the company's history and their best digital sales day ever. So as this is happening, as we're getting all these reports of all these people apparently getting sick in Ohio, people are still going because they wanted the free guacamole. I think that no food chain has been in the spotlight in 2018 to this point quite in the way that Papa John's has been. And this week, it took yet another turn, the entire Papa John's saga, when the founder, John Schnatter, went on CNBC and basically trashed the current management, saying he has no confidence in the company's current management team, including Steve Ritchie, the CEO, that he has worked with for so long. I mean, look, I understand if Schnatter got his feelings hurt,
Starting point is 00:27:10 if he's upset at the board of directors, he's the largest shareholder of Papa John's. Doesn't it behoove him to sort of quietly stand off to the side and let the board and the management team right this ship? Because forget comparing Papa John's to Domino's. Domino's has been one of the most dominant operators, and by the way, one of the best performing stocks of the last 10 years. Um, but Papa John's is just in a world of hurt right now as a business. Yeah. Um, I really don't know what he's doing. I, I, I, I'm not entirely sure what his end game here is. I mean, look, Papa John's is, is company, uh, or he, it's, I mean, he founded it. Uh, he was the chairman for its entire history. He was a CEO for most of it. And really, if you go back,
Starting point is 00:28:10 if you just go back less, you know, just one year, he was a very successful one. And then all this happened. He was also, by the way, for a long time, highly regarded as a company spokesman. So and he, you know, he drove very consistent sales for a very long time. And suddenly he's seen all of this go away and in and again in his mind it's his company his name was on the you know i mean his name is on the on the signs um he has been there's maybe no restaurant company in modern history so associated with one single person as papa john so he's very emotional about it and And clearly regrets that he stepped down, clearly regrets that he's no longer, you know, in charge there and still kind of believes. I mean, he feels that, you know, he didn't doesn't really see that he did anything wrong.
Starting point is 00:29:10 And just in from his perspective and also believes that, look, I mean, look at my history running the company when I've been in charge, this company has done well. And when I'm not, it's not. But, you know, at the same time, as you mentioned, he hired all these people that he's now trashing. I don't see a real easy way out. absent john schnatter uh getting together you know um with with uh you know getting together maybe with a private equity firm or some other buyer and engineering a buyout um you know kind of leveraging his 30 ownership um something like that uh would to me would seem like the most likely scenario here because i really don't see anything else at this particular point given the way shares have gone. Let's go to the largest restaurant in the public markets, and that's McDonald's. You look at the job Steve Easterbrook has done as CEO. It's been tremendous.
Starting point is 00:30:11 It's really shown up as well in the stock performance. Although, over the past year, it's been kind of up and down. I mean, the stock basically trades where it was a year ago. And I'm curious, when you look at the behemoth that is McDonald's, what is the opportunity you see for the business going forward? They are the biggest name. They have the biggest marketing budget. And, you know, in the United States, their opportunity is still, you know, continuing to improve the food and finding the right solution from a value standpoint to get people in the door because they've got to, you know, if they want to start adding any locations again, they've got to get that traffic back up in the United States. And that's, I think that's the
Starting point is 00:30:54 issue keeping their stock down, I believe, is this concern that their traffic numbers have not been very strong, especially this year. I'm curious, as someone who studies the restaurant industry for a living, all aspects, not just operational, but also promotional, what your thoughts are about the recent campaign that IHOP had to promote their burgers, where they said they were changing their name from IHOP to IHOB. And then they basically said, no, we were just kidding. They got a lot of attention for it. Based on the latest earnings report, it doesn't appear to have moved the needle at all in terms of that restaurant sales. No, it hasn't. I mean, the campaign on balance, in theory, was a success from the standpoint that they did get a lot of
Starting point is 00:31:43 attention for the brand. I mean, how often have you talked about IHOP in the last decade the way you did when they were doing this campaign? But I think it also sort of opened themselves up to a lot of criticism. People were confused by it. I still get people who think that they were literally changing their name to burgers, which wasn't remotely the case. And I mean, to me, I thought it was kind of obvious at the get-go that they're not really changing their name because that's would have been an entirely dumb idea um because you know international house of pancakes is extremely iconic and it's a very very good brand name and breakfast is where you want to be it's the strongest growing day part right now breakfast
Starting point is 00:32:30 is a very very good thing um burgers by uh on the other hand while people eat a lot of burgers highly competitive so i mean i understand what they're trying to do they're trying to build the day part that they weren't very strong in, but at the same time, it's just sort of not what they do, and it's not their strength, and it confused people, and, you know, maybe it got some sales, but it also might have alienated some people that really didn't quite like it very much. Last question, and then I'll let you go. When you go out to eat, are you able to relax and enjoy yourself, or is some part of your
Starting point is 00:33:05 brain always evaluating the business of the restaurant that you're in? No, I don't. I eat out a lot. I got kids. So, and they're, they're active. And I, I remember going to a casual dining restaurant and I'm just sitting there assessing her. It was a, it wasn't a very good time to be honest. And, um, the food was mediocre. The atmosphere was bad. And, uh, we, you know, I have two kids in my life and we, we each had a meal. My teenage son who eats everything in sight, didn't finish his burger, which is really telling. And then we ended up paying $80 for this experience for the four of us. And the entire time I'm, I'm remarking on, on this and,
Starting point is 00:33:49 and analyzing it with my family. And ever since every single time we go to a restaurant, I have compared it to that particular event. And I think my family is getting annoyed with me. Jonathan Mays from Restaurant Business Magazine. If you're on Twitter and you want to learn more about the restaurant industry. Jonathan Mays is a great person to follow. Thanks for being here. Thank you very much. Coming up, we'll give you an inside look
Starting point is 00:34:14 at the stocks on our radar. This is Motley Fool Money. Just eat it, eat it. Open up your mouth and feed it. Have some more yogurt, have some more spam. It doesn't matter if it's fresh or canned. Just eat it, eat it. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
Starting point is 00:34:42 and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in studio once again with Matt Argersinger, Jason Moser, and Ron Gross. Quick update before we get to the stocks on our radar. Quick update on The Motley Fool podcast, swag shop. As you may remember, for the month of July, we were having a sale across the shop, 25% off everything in honor of The Motley Fool's 25th anniversary sale. And I'm happy to say that we are extending that sale throughout August, in part because it was so popular that we started to run out of stuff. And it turns out, Ron, I've recently learned that inventory, it's not the
Starting point is 00:35:25 It's not your thing. It's a learned skill. You're not born with inventory management skills. I'm going to be less critical about retail inventory controls. See? Under Armour, Kevin Plank, it's not easy! I was going to say, Square's got some technology that could help you with that, Chris. Let's talk after the show. Again, you can check that out. Go to shop.fool.com, and the 25% sale continues through the month of August. Let's get to the stocks on our radar. A man behind the glass, Steve Brodin, is going to hit you with a question. Ron Gross, you're up first. What are you looking at this week?
Starting point is 00:35:53 I got Equinix, E-Q-I-X. It's a real estate investment trust that is the largest operator of data centers in the world. Strong competitive advantage because of that installed base. Obviously, capitalizing on the growth in data consumption and cloud outsourcing, strong management team, 61 consecutive quarters of revenue growth. And again, it is a real estate investment trust. So, you've got a nice dividend that I think will grow over time 61 consecutive quarters you got it that's a nice nice little run yeah i just jinxed it probably steve broido question about equinix where is real estate going in the next 10 years we look like we've got prices that are very high homes are very home uh expensive uh commercial real
Starting point is 00:36:39 estate going up or down uh i think it's an interest rate play here so if i had to guess i would say there'll be some tough times but the trend over our lifetimes next 20 50 100 years i think will be up. But there'll be some blips as we get some interest rate hurt on the way. Jason Moser, what are you looking at this week? I feel like I'd be letting Mac down if I didn't bring up Teladoc. So, I'm going to go ahead and just bring up Teladoc. Actually, Teladoc Health now. The ticker is T-D-O-C. Teladoc released earnings this week, and they chalked up a very strong, if not predictable, quarter. One of the nice things about the business is, when you have a membership model like
Starting point is 00:37:17 that, it can be fairly predictable. They are adopting a new corporate brand, as I mentioned, Teladoc Health now. And it's a subtle difference, but really it speaks to their ultimate strategy, the goal of being a comprehensive provider in the telehealth space. So it's going to utilize the acquisitions they've made recently, like Best Doctors and Advanced Medical, trying to become more than just that one app on your phone that you use if you've maybe got a sore throat or something. Steve, question about Teladoc Health? What's the first industry that Teladoc will displace entirely, the first field of medicine? The first field of medicine? That's a good question. We always hear them talk about flu season and how it's just really having such a
Starting point is 00:38:00 great impact on keeping a lot of sick people out of emergency rooms. So, hey, if we can keep all of the flu sufferers out of a hospital and just send them some prescriptions and get them cured that way, hey, let's disrupt the flu. I mean, why not? I'm in. They're disrupting the flu. Yeah. Matt Argersinger, what are you looking at this week? I'm looking at despigar.com, ticker DESP. You made that up. Well, I have to give credit to one of our young analysts at The Fool, Emily Flippen. She came up with this idea. It's the leading online travel agency in Latin America. It came public last year. But it's
Starting point is 00:38:30 down about 40% from its IPO. It's had some changes in the executive ranks. The CFO recently left. But revenue is growing at 20%, and Expedia owns a 13% stake with an option to buy the company or take a majority stake in the company. So I'm starting to get interested in this one. Despigar.com, Steve. What are some hot travel spots in Latin America if you live in Latin America? If you live in Latin America? Oh, my gosh. You making the trip to the U.S.? No, no. I mean, I think you're staying in country. I think there's some beautiful beaches in Mexico
Starting point is 00:39:00 and Brazil and some great hiking you can do in Argentina. I'm just, I have no idea what I'm talking about. Yeah, Cabo, there you go. Go to Cabo. Three stocks, Steve. You got one you want to add to your watch list? Well, I recently bought Teladoc, so I, therefore, will be watching Teladoc. Hey, now. All right, guys. Thanks for being here. Thanks, Chris.
Starting point is 00:39:16 That's going to do it for this week's show. Our engineer is Steve Broido. Our producer is Dr. Matt Greer. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.

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