Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Microsoft’s Big Deal and Coinbase’s Big Debut
Episode Date: April 16, 2021Microsoft buys Nuance Communications in a $16 billion deal. Coinbase makes an $86 billion Wall Street debut. FDA hits the pause button on Johnson & Johnson’s COVID-19 vaccine. Katrina Lake steps dow...n as the CEO of Stitch Fix. Bed Bath & Beyond slips on earnings. White Claw introduces Surge. Pepsi serves up big growth in its snack division. And IBM unveils a surprising name for its cloud business. Motley Fool analysts Emily Flippen and Ron Gross discuss those stories and share two stocks on their radar: Bilibili and Ecolab. Plus, e.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields talks about the big business of cosmetics. Looking for more stocks for your radar? Get 50% off Stock Advisor by going to http://RadarStocks.fool.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Chris Hill. Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money.
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Fool Money radio show. I'm Chris Hill. Joining me this week,
senior analysts Emily Flippen and Ron Gross. Good to see you both.
How are you doing, Chris? Hey, Chris.
We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street. We will dig into the big business of beauty and
cosmetics. And as always, we've got a couple of stocks on our radar. But we begin with a big deal
in big tech. Microsoft announced it's buying Nuance Communications, a voice recognition company,
in a deal worth $16 billion. CEO Satya Nadella says they will use the technology in their
healthcare cloud products. This makes Nuance the second-largest acquisition Microsoft has ever made.
And Ron, they must love that tech because they sure didn't buy Nuance for its amazing balance
sheet. No, and it's even closer to $20 billion when you count all the debt, which pales in
comparison to, as you said, the $26 billion for LinkedIn, but it's still a huge deal. And I
actually like this deal. Nuance specializes in voice recognition, artificial intelligence.
They're actually the company that originally built the backend for Siri back in the day.
They're especially strong in healthcare, where they help doctors speed up documentation,
they help to predict a patient's needs, they improve digital record-keeping at hospitals.
This is going to fit perfectly into Microsoft's Cloud for Healthcare initiative, I believe. In
fact, Microsoft estimated that the combination of both companies should double the total addressable
market in the healthcare provider space to nearly $500 billion. They'll be aggressively
attacking that space, I'm sure. These companies have collaborated before. They're no strangers
to each other. They have integrated Nuance's technology into Microsoft Teams in the past.
They've had a healthcare collaboration as well. I expect we'll see further collaboration
and integration. Teams, Office 365, perhaps they're even going to go after the automated
assistant market to go after Apple and Amazon in that space. It didn't come cheap. These tech
acquisitions, companies tend to pay up. Microsoft paid 13X revenue, 2020 revenue of Nuance,
which is not as high-flying as some of these 30X, 40X, 50X sales to revenue, price to revenue we
talk about, but still it's pretty pricey. But overall, I continue to be a really happy
shareholder of Microsoft. I'm a big fan. I think they're executing well, and I think this acquisition
makes good sense. By my count, they still have over $100 billion on the balance sheet
that they can put to use. It's safe to assume we're going to see more acquisitions, maybe not
at this level, but they got the money, Ron. They've got the money. It's a competitive
world out there. They're coming up against Amazon, Apple in the healthcare space. Even
Google has a research effort in healthcare. So, I think you'll continue to see acquisitions there
as well in other sectors. Not only do they have an unbelievable balance sheet, but they produce
gobs and gobs of cash flow each quarter. So, yes, we will continue to see future acquisitions.
Another week, another hot new public company. On Wednesday, Coinbase went public through a
direct listing. Coinbase is the most popular crypto exchange in the United States. And now,
Emily, it's worth more than $65 billion. Sure. Emily Flippen. Totally reasonable,
right, Chris? Coinbase has had an incredibly volatile start to its life as a public company,
but given the market conditions we're living in today, I can't say that anybody was really
surprised. There are lots of good things about the Coinbase platform. They have over $90 billion in
crypto assets, which is 11% of the crypto market cap. They have a huge following of institutional
users. In fact, nearly 65% of the assets on their platform are owned by institutions. But there is a
really natural level of skepticism that comes into this business, not just based off of its crazy,
really immediately high valuation in the public markets, but also just controversies around
cryptocurrency in general, how viable it is from a business perspective, as well as the potential for
margins to be compressed as competition heats up. I'm glad you mentioned the institutions
because one of the things I've heard is that this is a way for, whether it's institutions,
hedge fund managers, mutual fund managers, this is a way for them to get exposure to the crypto
market without having to essentially pick and choose among the world of Bitcoin. Is that as
much as anything part of the bull case for something like Coinbase? I don't want to use
the word easy, but I can't think of another one. Is this just an easier entry point for a lot of
fund managers? It's an interesting argument because there are a lot of Bitcoin or other
cryptocurrency ETFs available. It's not that Coinbase is the only way to play the market
without owning shares of Bitcoin directly. I'll just add, I'm fully aware that
we get cynical about some of these things, these high flyers, these high valuation companies,
and we're often wrong in our cynicism. But I'm going to double down on it anyway,
because I fail to understand how this can be valued similarly, if not more than,
the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, Intercontinental Exchange, especially
understanding that there's going to be lots of competition here. Lots of folks can add on an
exchange for cryptocurrencies and they will not be the only game in town. In fact, they're not
the only game in town. But if this market continues to be a reasonable opportunity,
others are coming for them. I don't see how that valuation makes any sense.
Let me play devil's advocate and try to convince you, Ron. Because there's a good
argument that their 0.5% transaction fee, which is their average across, is going to be pulled
down as competition heats up. Where I think Coinbase could make up some of that margin
increases is by providing analytics and data services. It is admittedly a lot of the things
that we see ICE and other exchange providers providing to the people who list on their
exchanges. But I do think they can expand more into data and analytics, which can be a higher
margin revenue source for them. Well, they better expand quite a bit
to grow into that valuation. Time will tell, it'll be interesting to watch.
This week, the Food and Drug Administration asked states to temporarily halt using Johnson &
Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine after six people in the U.S. developed a rare blood clotting disorder.
The FDA says that this move was out of an abundance of caution. Ron, it's Friday afternoon
as we're having this conversation, this is an evolving situation as Johnson & Johnson is in
this regulatory limbo. But from a business perspective, at this point, it really doesn't
seem like the company's been hurt in any way. I would tend to agree with that. We'll have to
watch how it plays out. Six people, one death, which obviously is tragic, but out of 6.8 million
doses that have gone into arms. I think the phrase abundance of caution is appropriate here because
typically I don't think that level of complications would rise to the level of needing to halt
something, but we're in unprecedented times here and kudos to the FDA for being extra cautious here.
It's interesting to note that the AstraZeneca vaccine over in Europe had similar issues
and came under scrutiny with clotting as well. Both J&J and AstraZeneca use gene and viral-based
technologies, whereas Pfizer and Moderna, which have really had not many issues at all,
use a different technology called messenger RNA, mRNA. So, perhaps there's something there in the
way these vaccines are made. J&J, in fact, asked Pfizer and Moderna to help study blood clot risks.
interestingly, they declined. AstraZeneca, not surprisingly, was like, yeah, I'll participate.
But Pfizer and Moderna didn't see any reason to go in and duplicate the efforts of regulators.
So, we'll have to wait to see what happens here. My guess is that J&J will come back on the market.
I just hope that this doesn't increase the vaccine hesitancy that we've seen across the world,
the U.S., not just for health reasons, but it's a business show for economic reasons. We're in the
early stages, mid-stages of reopening up. Getting to herd immunity is an important part of that.
Getting vaccines in the arms is an important part. J&J is very important because it's only one shot
and it doesn't require the cold storage of some of the other vaccines. You can do it in different
places of the country, more rural areas, for example, it's easier on college campuses,
things like that. I hope this turns out to be a non-event and J&J comes back on the market
relatively soon. Shares of Stitch Fix down more than 10% this week. After company founder Katrina
Lake announced she will be stepping down as CEO, she will stay on with the company as executive
chair. But Emily, this is kind of surprising when you consider she is only 38 years old
and there are a lot of people out there who bought this stock based on their belief in the CEO.
It's certainly a sad day for Stitch Fix because Katrina Lake, Stitch Fix was her baby. It was
her mind child. She had spent decades developing this idea and this business, and she is relatively
young. But it just goes to show that having a really motivated, invested founder doesn't
necessarily mean that the business itself is going to succeed. I like when those two things align,
but in this case, I think Stitch Fix is kind of fighting an uphill battle with its core service,
which is subscription box clothing. One area, while I think Katrina Lake has an amazing job
in many areas, one area that I think is ripe for improvement is this business's strategy.
It seems to be confused about if they're using algorithms and AI, if they're using stylists,
or if they're going direct to consumer or subscription boxes. They've been a bit all
over the place. With Elizabeth Spalding coming in as the new CEO, it'll be really interesting
to see what strategy she takes in terms of segmenting Stitch Fix's market and really going
after one strategy in particular. Coming up, we've got snacks and beverages,
and if you're looking for something a little stronger, we got that too. Details after the
break. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill
here with Emily Flippen and Ron Gross. Bed Bath & Beyond ended the fiscal year not with a bang,
but a whimper. Fourth quarter sales fell double digits. There were charges due to store closures
and shares of Bed Bath & Beyond down 15% this week. Ron, you and I are both shareholders of
this company. I get why the stock is down, but the turnaround that CEO Mark Tritton is trying
to pull off is not for the faint of heart, and I still like what he's doing. Yeah, and I think
he's still on track too, despite the sell-off in the shares this week. The stock had already run up
pretty nicely amid the high expectations for Tritton's turnaround and also some of that
nonsensical Reddit GameStop stuff that they got kind of caught up in. So I think investors were
likely to take some money off the table if they saw any weakness in the turnaround story. And in
this case, it was the light revenue. But overall, I think the quarter was solid. Comp sales over
across all the stores up 4%, up 6% across bed-bath stores. Third straight quarter of comparable
store sales growth. We had the tailwinds from some COVID home-related projects going on,
but that was offset by a decline in traffic at the physical stores. As you said, revenue down
16%. That's largely due to the divestitures of World Market and Christmas tree shops,
which I was actually really pleased to see them get rid of, as well as some planned store closings.
So the turnaround's on track. Adjusted gross margin was up a bit, less promotional activity
going on. Operating expenses were mostly lower due to the divestitures. The bottom line looked
fine to me. Adjusted EBITDA up 13%. They had earnings per share of $0.40, which actually
beat expectations. They reiterated guidance for fiscal 2021 of around $500 million in EBITDA,
which translates to about 8.5 times enterprise value at the current share price, which is not
pricey, in my opinion, especially if Tritton continues to execute and profitability continues
to increase. I happened to be in a Bed Bath earlier this week and I will tell you, the
merchandising is very, very evident and the focus on private labels such as Nestwell and Haven,
there's mostly private label goods in some of the departments there and it was very evident.
Let's give Tritton some time. I think the story is still on track and despite the pullback,
I think we're okay here. Last year, sales of hard seltzer were 160% higher than the previous year,
but one market leader is not sitting still. This week, White Claw introduced Surge, which is hard
seltzer with a higher alcohol content and it comes in a bigger can. Emily, if this is even remotely
popular, there is no way Boston Beer Company doesn't do the exact same thing with their
truly line of hard seltzer. Chris, I think this is a disaster.
Hear me out. White Claw created an entire industry of convincing alcohol consumers
that picking White Claw was the healthier choice. They were small cans, simple design,
no carbs or low carbs, only 100 calories, five percent alcohol. These were the things that you
could sit with your friends out on a patio sipping. If I am at a friend's house, we're
having a barbecue, and someone pulls out a can of Surge, these things are double the calories,
double the size, nearly double the alcohol content, you don't think that's going to start
a conversation? I mean, it's a Sunday night. What are you doing with your life?
I think before we know it, they're going to do the same thing without the carbonation.
before you know it, we're all just drinking whiskey. Here's what I will say though,
and what I think is really critical from an investing standpoint. We saw Constellation
Brands last week come out with earnings and they spent a lot of time talking about their
Corona seltzers. They were the second fastest moving seltzer brand over the last year. That's
a genuine threat to White Claw. What I think White Claw was thinking here is, okay, we'll continue
with our dominating seltzer brands, but this new product isn't going to cannibalize any of the
people who are already buying White Claws, it's going to get the Four Locos crowd, the college
students who maybe see a giant can on their way out of Total Wine and pick it up.
I don't know. Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery. It's not going to surprise me if
Boston Beer does this with Trulie. We'll stick with beverages. First quarter profits
in revenue came in higher than expected for Pepsi. Ron, as Pepsi waits for restaurants and sporting
venues to open at full capacity, the Frito-Lay snack division continues to get it done.
Ron Grossman, As we were all basically sitting home in quarantine snacking,
which is the truth and it's the offset to the fact that restaurants, theaters,
stadiums were closed and the beverage business was really hurt. Pepsi has stayed afloat as the
result of their diversified business. Interestingly, just from a stock perspective,
shares are up about 6% over the last year, and they're actually down slightly from pre-COVID
levels. Investors are not too excited about owning this company right here, right now. Some metrics,
revenues up 6.8%, free-to-lay up 4%, Quaker up 2%, and the beverage business up 5%. Numbers look
fine. It's just not all that exciting. Their operating expenses, I think, were pretty well
controlled in the absence of some COVID-related expenses. You saw a nice increase in margins,
which led to a net income earnings per share increase of 29% as a result of that leverage
of margins going up. That is pretty strong in my opinion. They reiterated their 2021 guidance,
which is mid-single-digit increase in organic revenue, high single-digit increase in earnings
per share. And as you said, management predicted an acceleration in growth in the second quarter
as a result of the gradual reopening of restaurants and theaters following the rollout of vaccines.
They said, quote, we've been losing market share in the beverage space in the past. It's getting
better. We are gaining share right now. That was interesting to see because Coca-Cola has
kind of been eating their lunch, so to speak, for a bit recently. Interestingly, the company
also signaled uncertainty over demand for multi-pack snacks as consumers return to offices
and colleges, and we all get out of our living rooms and off of our couches. Shares are not
too expensive, 23X, Coke is 25X, kind of in the same ballpark here. They remain very strong
companies, they're just not high-growth, high-flyers. Well, and we've talked about
different businesses pulling forward growth. I saw one industry report that North American
snack sales in 2020 rose 11%. Typical growth is more in the range of 2-4%. I think it's telling
that Pepsi stock really isn't doing all that well when you consider that this division is just going
crazy with growth over the pandemic and it's not likely to continue in 2021.
Yeah. We think of stocks like Disney or the Cruises or the airlines as reopening plays here.
There's nothing wrong with thinking about Pepsi in the same way. Once restaurants are back online
and theaters and stadiums, that business is going to come back pretty significantly. If you're only
paying 23 times now, you might have some nice upside here. Ron, Emily, we'll see you later
in the show. Can I interest you in an industry worth half a trillion dollars? Up next, we'll
dig into the business of cosmetics and beauty. Stay right here. This is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. According to some estimates,
the cosmetics industry is valued at more than $500 billion. One of the more recent entries
into that market is e.l.f. Beauty. No, e.l.f. Beauty does not sell products for
Santa's little helpers. e.l.f. stands for eyes, lips, face. Mandy Fields is the Chief Financial
Officer at e.l.f. Beauty. Recently, my colleague Bill Mann caught up with her to get a sense of
where e.l.f. is going in the future and to get an overview of the cosmetics industry.
E.L.F. plays in both the color cosmetics and skincare space. Both are large industries,
both domestically and globally. And we are well-positioned to play in both of those spaces.
I would start by saying E.L.F., E.L.F. stands for Eyes, Lips, Face. And so, that's usually where I
start these conversations. What does E.L.F. even stand for? So, Eyes, Lips, Face. And in the color
cosmetics space that we play in, we are what we call on the mass side of color cosmetics. So
there's a mass side and there's a prestige side. You think prestige, like you mentioned L'Oreal,
the body of L'Oreal brands largely live in the prestige space, but they do have the L'Oreal
brand that lives in the mass space. And so when you think about some of Elle's key competitors,
L'Oreal, Revlon, CoverGirl, Maybelline, those really round out the top five with ELF being
in that fourth or fifth slot there. On the mass side, you think about color cosmetics,
we are mainly distributed in places like Walmart, Target, Ulta are our top customers. We're also in
the drug channel and internationally. I think that one of the key differences with ELF is that we
actually were a digitally native brand. So, we were founded online back in 2004. And we have that
relationship with our consumers. So, direct-to-consumer, and that certainly has played in
our favor during COVID, especially as a lot of consumers have shifted that purchase behavior
from in-store to online. So, color cosmetics, great category. Historically, has been a growth
category. Prior to COVID, it was kind of on a negative two, negative three trend overall. But
certainly, the expectations are when things open back up, color is going to get back to growth.
I want to talk a lot about that over the time that we have together. I do want to make sure
when we use industry nomenclature, so maybe give me a definition of what you mean when you say
color cosmetics? What is that exactly? Sure. Color cosmetics. So just think about
lipstick. Like I said, eyes, lips, face. So anything you put on your eyes, lips, face,
eyeshadow, mascara, blush, foundations, concealers, primers, all of those things
fall under color cosmetics. And then, like I said, we also have our skincare side, which has been
a growth driver for us as well. And skincare cleansers, moisturizers, things of that nature.
So skincare, so just to define them, skincare is probably something that you're not looking at to
change the shading of your face. That is actual care. So, okay, fantastic. And so you've given
us a little bit of where ELF fits into the industry, but you mentioned both prestige and
Mass. Mass, yes. What is the difference between the two? Or is there a bright line between them
in terms of how an ELF would interact with its end customers versus a Prestige brand?
You know, I think that the difference is, and actually now there's a new term called
Mass-Stige out there that is really the blend of both Mass and Prestige. Of course there is.
And so, I guess the way to think about it is, like I said, mass players traditionally
are kind of those Walmart targets, drug channel of the world.
And then you have ultas of the world, and really start to play in that, what we call
mass stage space, and then into prestige.
And I think the great thing about Elf is that Elf Beauty has really been on an evolution
over the last year, from moving from single brand in the mass space to now we have three
brands under our portfolio. We have Else, which is kind of more on the value side of things in
the mass space. We have Well People, which is kind of more so in the middle from a price point
standpoint, but also distributed in Target and has presence in Ulta as well. And then we have
our key soul care brand that we just launched in December that really sits on the kind of more in
that prestige space. And you talk about kind of where it's distributed, kind of exclusive with
Ulta and with price points kind of in that $20 to $40 range is more so on the prestige side of
things. It had to be particularly going back a year ago from now. And you started in 2019.
2019. No, it was spring of 2019. Okay. So you were about a year in and suddenly
suddenly everything's shutting down for for a brand that's about beauty that's about self-care
you had to be really careful that you weren't doing something that you that you weren't missing
the boat on what people were feeling at that moment that's right in in march of 2020 not that
many people were worried about feeling beautiful yeah no and there's no doubt about it i mean march
of 2020, you know, we saw significant declines in the business. And, you know, we went into
kind of COVID contingency mode. Like, what are the plans that you're putting in place to
weather this storm? And, you know, the first thing I did, having been in a highly levered
environment prior to ELF, I went out and made sure our credit agreement was amended so that
our covenants, you know, remain intact during this time. But outside of that, our first priority was
really making sure our consumers and our employees were safe. And so, we did not fall tone deaf to
that at all. We did not continue with our marketing campaign that we had been on prior to that. We
flipped, and you mentioned Eyes Look Safe was one of the things, Eyes Look Space Safe was one of the
things that we did to really educate people. Wash your hands. Make sure you're using sanitizer.
We started sending out hand sanitizer with every purchase on elfcosmetics.com. We sent care
packages to our employees, making sure they had masks and gloves and bleach wipes and whatever
it is that they needed in those early days. We wanted to make sure that everybody felt safe,
cared for. We made donations during that time to food banks because we knew people
were in need during that time. And so, we really are a company that cares about our consumers,
our employees, and making sure everybody felt connected. You talked about interviewing the
CTO from Zoom. I mean, we have leveraged Zoom so much. There's so much communication now
in our town halls. We were doing weekly town halls to make sure people felt connected during
this time. And so big credit to Zoom for keeping us all together. Could you just imagine if this
had happened even five years before? Oh my gosh, I know. Really? Yeah. I tell my kids, if this would
have happened when I was a kid, I don't know what we would have done. We would have been out of
school for a year. They would have had to have sent a pigeon to tell me that like things were
opening back up, you know? Yeah, exactly. Just, yeah. No, it really, you know, it really, really
has been remarkable. So, I'm going to ask a question. I'm going to try not to sound like
an idiot in doing so. So, it's totally okay for you to say, that's really not a great question.
My first, as an analyst, the first company that I ever analyzed in your industry is a company
called Amore Pacific, and they're based in Korea. And this was 10 years ago, and they had made the
point very strongly that most cosmetics companies did not have a palette that was reflective of
their market. Their market was primarily Korea, Japan, China. How much has the industry changed
now? How much has the industry changed so that, so that the palettes meet everyone where they want
to be? Yeah. Did I do okay with the question? You did okay with the question. Yes. What you're
getting at is the diversity, making sure people feel represented in color cosmetics. And I think
that the industry has made a lot of strides in the right direction, especially ELF. We certainly
have and making sure that we have, you know, concealers and foundations that kind of represent
the full shade range, certainly more room for us to continue to improve upon that and, you know,
make additional shades, making sure people feel well represented in everything. I will say that
from a diversity standpoint, it does start at the top. And so our board is, you know, starting with
our board, very diverse, over 55% women, 20% Black representation on our board, which is very rare.
I think our diversity stats put us in one of three publicly traded companies with that kind
of profile. Our executive team is also quite diverse. You don't normally see that in these
types of companies, publicly traded large companies. And then our employee population,
over 75% women, very much leans towards millennial. I think it's over 60% millennial.
And over 30%, 35% diverse. So, we have started to really see that at the top and that it filters
down to all of our decision-making when it comes to colors and palettes, our shade ranges,
how we show up in our marketing, making sure that from a marketing standpoint, when
we put images on Instagram and out there in social media, that it's fully representative
of everyone out there. I'm going to close with this. My wife is a professional who's also been
working home for a lot of the year. Last week, I went downstairs and she was wearing heels and
she'd had earrings on it was a little shocking to me and it wasn't shocking she looked amazing
but it was a little shocking because it's the kind of thing that we used to do all the time
we always were about you know dressing up a little trying to feel attractive 2020 and the
beginning of 2021 changed that a lot for a lot of people yeah and you all shifted very well
your numbers reflect it. I feel and hope like we're about to shift again.
Yeah. What do you feel like, what is ELF's strategy or thoughts to, as we all come out
of our cocoon, what is 2022 and 2023 going to look like for you? Yeah. Well, as you said,
ELF has done well during, we were doing well before the pandemic, have done well during,
and feel well positioned as we come out of the pandemic. And we have continued to build share
over that time and feel so good about our ability to continue to build market share.
As we look forward, you know, we're hopeful that things are opening back up and vaccines roll out
and people get back to wanting to get out there. We've heard people call it the roaring 20. We'll
come back and people will want to really get out there and dress up. Seems a little aspirational
so far. Yeah, I know. And so we're cautiously monitoring the situation. It will be, I think,
a full recovery, totally dependent on the speed of vaccination rollout and how quickly people can
get back to what they were doing prior to the pandemic. That's right. And so we're watching
it and we're hopeful. Up next, Ron Gross and Emily flip and return with a couple of stocks
on their radar. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against,
so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here once again with Emily Flippen and Ron Gross.
Last fall, IBM announced it was spinning off one-fourth of its business to focus on
opportunities in hybrid cloud growth. At the time, IBM used the word NUCO as a temporary
placeholder name for the business. And this week, IBM announced the permanent name of the new
company is Kindrel, K-Y-N-D-R-Y-L. The company said, and I'm quoting here,
Kindrel is a modern adaptation of two words that are central to the new company's identity and
mission. Kin is derived from the word kinship, referencing the belief that relationships with
people are at the center of the strategy and that long-lasting relationships must be built
and nurtured. Drill comes from tendril, bringing to mind new growth and the idea that business is
always working toward advancing human progress. Emily, where would you like to start?
I genuinely don't know where to begin. I imagine there's somebody out there really
patting themselves on their back for writing this up, feeling really proud. And it's hilarious,
not just because kinship and tendril, they replace the I's with Y's. So that just adds
an extra level to unpack here. But it's the fact that IBM is doing it. The more I think about this,
and I've had a couple of hours to ponder over this name change this morning. So I've developed
a rather sophisticated take, if you don't mind me saying. It's IBM, International Business
machines, the world's oldest, most legacy name, now going a complete 180, too far to the other
end. Kindrel, this is a naming disaster, Chris. Well, I would agree. And I know we tend to make
fun of these new names on the show. Mondelez, we got a lot of laughter out of, as well as a number
of truest. But you can do it right. I think Accenture is fine. Accent on the future makes
perfect sense to me. It's not that hard to pronounce or spell. You can get this done
if you really want to go that route. However, this is, I think, a big miss.
I'm glad you mentioned Truist, Ron, because one of my thoughts was the people who came up with
Truist must be high-fiving each other right now. They must feel so good about themselves relative
to Kindrel. Let's get to the stocks on our radar. Our man behind the glass, Dan Boyd,
is going to hit you with a question. Emily Flippen, you're up first. What are you looking
at this week? I am looking at Bilibili. The ticker is B-I-L-I. It is a Chinese live streaming
service that's back on my radar after listening to some great thoughts from Aaron Bush and his
team over at Master the Metal last week. Bilibili has really reinvented its business to become
diversified, not just live streaming, not just gaming, but e-commerce and social interaction
platform. It's truly taking up a lot of market share in China, and it's one that I'm really
excited to be a shareholder of. Dan, question about Bilibili?
Sure thing, Chris. Emily, over the last three months, four months here since January,
the stock has been on a little bit of a wild ride. What do you think for the next eight months,
is this volatility going to calm down at all? Bilibili is volatile, not just because it's a
Chinese company, but it also had a little bit of controversy earlier this year regarding some
content that they had featured on their site taken from Japan that was, to be kind, less than
appropriate. I will expect this business to continue to be volatile, especially since they're
going through a business transformation. But I do think Bilibili long-term could be a $100 billion
plus business. Ron Gross, what's on your radar this week?
Dan, because I know you're a huge fan of specialty chemical companies and you're a huge fan of making
fun of me, I'm going to go with Ecolab, ECL, leading provider of cleaning, sanitation,
other specialty chemical products and services, $12 billion in sales, global leader in water,
hygiene, infection prevention solutions, low-risk profile, long track record of success, gaining
share from rivals, margins have been improving. They're increasing innovation through growth
investments, moving into digital technologies and cell capabilities. They've raised their
dividend annually for the past 29 years, and they've paid dividends for 84 consecutive years.
Yield is just under 1%, so not huge, but hey, it'll beat cash every day.
and I think you'll have a nice total return opportunity with both the yield and
price appreciation going forward. Dan, question about Ecolab?
I was just thinking, does the value of a stock make a value investor, or does a value investor
search for value stocks? This is a classic Wheelhouse Ron stock. It's chemicals. It's
a dividend aristocrat. It's been around for almost 100 years. What, Ron, is it you or is it the
stocks when you are pitching me on these value stocks? It's the pond you fish in, right? I think
so. I don't necessarily understand technology as well as some, and I can't predict the future as
well as some, so I gravitate to these more old economy companies that, for me, are easier to
predict and to value. What do you want to add to your watch list, Dan?
Well, I like giving Ron a little bit of, you know, ribbing every now and then about his stocks,
but I actually like Ecolab a whole lot. I think there is a lot of future in water
and how important that's going to be to a lot of people. So I'm going to go with Ecolab.
What do I do? What do I need to do to get you on my side, Dan?
I don't know. I mean, water or Chinese video games?
It's clear to me. It's clear to me.
So is water. We're out of time. Emily Flippen, Ron Gross, thanks for being here.
Thanks, Chris. That's going to do it for this week's
show. Our producer is Mac Greer. The show is mixed by Dan Boyd. I'm Chris Hill. We'll see you next
week.
