Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Motley Fool Money: 01.31.2014
Episode Date: January 31, 2014The stock market stumbles. Facebook connects. Chipotle serves up big earnings. And Google surprises. Our analysts discuss some of the week's big stories. Plus, Leigh Steinberg talks about his book, ...The Agent: My 40-Year Career Making Deals and Changing the Game. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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everybody needs money that's why they call it money
from fool global headquarters this is motley fool money it's the motley fool money radio show thanks
for being here i'm chris hill joining me in studio this week for motley fool one jason
Moser, from Motley Fool Supernova, Matt Argersinger, and from Million Dollar Portfolio, Mr. Ron
Gross. Good to see you, as always, gents.
Hey, glad to be here.
Earnings Palooza rolls on. We've got the latest results from Facebook, Apple, Visa, MasterCard,
and more. It is Super Bowl weekend, so we will dig into the business of pro football
with our guests this week. And as always, we will share a few stocks you can put on
your watch list, but we begin this week. Before we get to Earnings Palooza, Ron, let's start
with the market in general. We're wrapping up the first month of 2014. We do take the
long view, but increasingly, if you look at the coverage of the market and you hear the
rumblings out there, there is genuine concern when people consider the Dow is down more
than 4% in one month, the S&P 500 down about 3%. What do you say to someone who says,
wait a minute, what's going on here? I would say things weren't great in
2013 either, from many different perspectives, metrics-wise, economics-wise. And we had a
32% increase in the S&P. So, go figure and go try to predict where the stock market will
go based on the data you see. It's very tough to get it right. But listen, emerging markets
is kind of the thing of the month. We're worried about emerging markets, whether it's Turkey,
Argentina, India, what have you. The taper is feeding into this, obviously. The stimulus
will go away. People were, I think, looking for a reason to take some money off the table.
After such a strong year like last year, remember we used to have the January effect? I want
that back. Stocks are supposed to go up in January.
What do you think, Matty?
And Ron just mentioned the taper. Speaking of the Fed, Ben Bernanke had his last
meeting this past week, and the Fed didn't do anything. They stuck to their plan to reduce
their subsidy, essentially, by another $10 billion. I just think that was the right move.
I think the Fed looked at the data for the U.S. and overall looks pretty good.
We do have these emerging market jitters, but I kind of applaud them for not doing anything,
because it sickened me sort of at the end of the week when I started to see a lot of pundits say,
hey, I can't believe the Fed didn't do anything.
I mean, we've got these problems in emerging markets.
Certainly they want to help us out here, and that just seemed ridiculous to me.
Yeah, what's interesting is that the vast majority of S&P 500 companies
have beaten expectations this earnings season.
You would expect to see the market rally on that, so the weakness is interesting to me.
I think people aren't buying it, necessarily. There's been a lot of share buybacks. Share
counts have come down. That makes earnings per share go up. It makes it look like a
beat when perhaps it's not. Revenue growth isn't where it should be, probably. But yet,
the headline is that companies are beating.
I think Ron keyed in on something that's pretty interesting there. There were plenty
of bad metrics last year. We still had a stellar year in the market. But it makes me think
of a question I took earlier this week on Ask a Fool, where someone was asking, why
don't we utilize stop-losses in our recommendations?" Stop-loss is basically an order to your broker
to basically say, we'll sell this stock if it gets down to this price. See, I kind of
cap my losses and just cut bait and move on. But the answer to that was, that's just not
the way we operate as long-term investors. The way the world is getting smaller, the
internet is bringing basically everybody together, and the flow of information is so fast now.
I mean, volatility plays a much bigger role today in the market than I think it probably
ever has. And when you look at something like a stop-loss, you're taking the chance of selling
at a loss based on just some basic noise out there that is more or less meaningless, where
we're not giving ourselves the chance really to hang on for three, five, even 10 years and really
recognize some substantial gains. So, I think it really shines a light on why Foolish Investing
works so well. Yeah, I wonder all the people who had stop-losses on Chipotle over the years
are feeling right now. We will get to Chipotle in a little while, but let's start with
Facebook. Shares hitting an all-time high this week after fourth quarter profits came
in higher than expected. And Jason, once again, the story, mobile ad revenue. The story here,
virtually non-existent when the company went public, and now it's more than half their
revenue.
Our man behind the glass there, Steve Broido, was loving that noise.
He's literally jumping up and down.
He's thrilled. I mean, if you're an investor in Facebook, you've got to be really happy,
and I think you have to be excited about what the future holds at this point. I'll count
myself among the early skeptics, really, of Facebook. And I've certainly changed my tune
based on the work I've done on the company and really what I think they're capable of doing.
Because the company turns 10 years old next week. And when you look at this next decade,
I think that Mark Zuckerberg knows it is going to be a focus on engagement. They've got a user
base of 1.3 billion plus people that are coming to that site on a constant basis. I mean, weekly
active users were $757 million for the quarter, and they now make fully more than half of
their revenue from mobile, like you mentioned. So, I think when you look at what Facebook
is doing today, the market opportunity that's out there with mobile advertising alone poised
to hit around $45 billion by 2017, Facebook is going to get their share of it. Advertisers
go where the eyeballs are, and the eyeballs go to Facebook.
Ron, pretty amazing when you consider, as Jason said, next week, Facebook turns
10 years old as a company. And it is now, as a result of the stock moving up this week,
it is now the 20th largest public company. Yeah, it's really interesting. It's
actually now the largest company in a million-dollar portfolio as well. Not the largest company,
our largest allocation. It's almost 10% of our portfolio now as a result of the increase
in the stock, which gets a guy like me a little nervous.
I was going to say, how are you sleeping? But we still think it's undervalued.
We still think it's got plenty of room to grow. The sizing is a different matter. I'll
have to think that through. But we still think there's plenty of room ahead.
Alright, let's talk moving in the other direction. Shares of Apple down around
10% this week. Matty, first quarter results, you know, you sell 51 million iPhones and
it's just not enough anymore. It's not a new record there. Of course,
they also sold 26 million iPads and 4.18 million Macs, which were also up big year over year.
But again, they sold about 10%, fewer iPhones than analysts were expecting. The revenue
for the current quarter looks a little bit light, and that is enough to shave about $40
billion off the stock, or off the company's market value in the past week. The problem
with Apple, obviously, is a perception problem right now. It has nothing to do with how they're
doing as a business. How they're doing as a business is phenomenal. The iPhone didn't
exist in 2007. Now, about 500 million people around the world have used the iPhone. It's
It's amazing. Right now, it's, can Apple innovate? I get antsy when I hear that, because I think
that's absurd. We're sitting here watching a movie on a three-inch piece of glass, which
we were capable of doing just a few years ago. It's incredible.
Tim Cook said some interesting things on the call. He talks about new product categories
that Apple might be getting into. The only problem there is that he's said that a few
times in the past. Since he's actually been CEO, he's kept mentioning, hey, our pipeline's
stuffed. We're entering new product categories. I like the fact that they're buying back stock.
They bought $50 billion back in the last quarter. They've gone through about 50% of their authorization.
They're obviously seeing value in the stock, not as much as someone like Carl Icahn.
Who calls it a no-brainer?
Right. Until the perception changes with Apple, and until Tim Cook can really deliver
on his call of having more product categories, I think the stock is going to stagnate.
Ron, Tim Cook really does need to deliver, because he was specific this time. He said,
by the end of 2014, we're going to have a new product, and people are speculating, well,
it could be a smartwatch, it could be some other form of wearable technology, it could
be a new TV. But they've got to have something. They've got to have something. And I know
they've got to have something, because I'm getting sick of hearing myself say, this company's
got to start growing again, they've got to introduce new products. As an investor, if
I keep hearing myself say the same thing quarter after quarter, almost year after year, things
got to change or I have to move on to another investment.
Imagine how our listeners feel. He's on a short leash with me. Not too
short. I'll give him the rest of the year, but he's got to make good on that promise.
Google's fourth quarter profit rose 17% on higher ad revenue, the stock hitting
a new all-time high. Ron, I'm assuming this is also part of why the million-dollar portfolio
service you're running is having a pretty good week.
Yeah, it was a great week with Facebook and Google and a few others. 17 is the
number for Google. 17% increase in revenue, 17% increase in profits, 17% growth in their
core advertising business. It was a really strong quarter. I don't think people were
expecting it to be that good. They're jettisoning, finally, their Motorola business, selling
it to Lenovo, which they've rung about $2 billion of operating losses since 2012 by
owning that business. They'll keep some of the important patents, they'll get rid of
that hardware distraction, and they'll focus on their core business.
But for all the praise we give Google, and deservedly so, I think we should take
just a moment and dwell on this, because the Motorola acquisition was massive, and they
are selling it to Lenovo for a fraction of the price. And even if you factor in the patents,
this is a pretty big swing and a miss. I would have to agree with that.
what are you going to do? You get rid of it and you move on. But they burnt up a lot of
cash there, without a doubt.
Coming up, forget stock market predictions, we have got Super Bowl predictions. This is
Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in studio with Jason Moser, Matt Argesinger,
and Ron Gross. Earnings Palooza rolls on, guys. Chipotle up more than 10% on Friday
after a strong fourth quarter report, Jason, revenue was up. Do I have this right, that
same-store sales were up more than 9%?
Isn't that kind of crazy to think about? It was 9.3% for the quarter, which is, I mean,
that's phenomenal, even for a fast-growing company like Chipotle. I mean, it just shows
that, really, the traffic was going through the stores in what's not even really seasonally
their busiest quarter. But, I mean, the market likes to focus on that same-store sales number,
and because it was so robust, I think that's part of the reaction of the stock today, obviously.
It's something I focus on in the call, quarter in and quarter out, because they focus so much on throughput.
They give us a lot of great insight as to their throughput statistics and how they're doing.
And they really are continuing to knock that ball out of the park.
I mean, you look at your peak times during the day.
During the lunch hour, they picked up an average of six transactions per hour.
The peak dinner, they picked up an average of five transactions per hour.
That just means that when you see that big, long line at Chipotle, you know that you're going to get through it pretty quickly and still get a great experience.
But, yeah, I mean, they just continue to really do everything well.
The cost of food is rising a little bit.
They've hinted at more than likely we'll see a price increase in the third quarter of this year.
Thankfully, they have a little bit of pricing power to be able to do that.
The balance sheet is creeping up on $1 billion in cash now, and this is just a self-funding business.
And it's a little-known fact that the word pizzeria was mentioned 13 times in that conference call yesterday.
That's right. They've got that little investment at a pizza place in Denver.
Yep. Pizzeria Locale. They're going to be opening a couple more this year, they already said.
So, it's definitely something that they're having fun with.
They're working with the founders of that pizzeria locale.
It's a minority investment today with really, I think, the opportunity to bring it under that Chipotle umbrella fully,
sort of like the shop house is developing as well.
Yeah, the numbers are just incredible for Chipotle.
My only concern, I guess, is that I feel like the more restaurant chains I'm going into now,
I'm seeing the model play out. In D.C., we have a small franchise called Sweet Green.
I don't know if you guys have ever been to it.
That sounds way too healthy for me.
It's salads. It is mostly salads, but it's started by a couple of Georgetown University guys.
But you go in there, and it is essentially, I'm in Chipotle, but they're making salads.
Yeah, same with Roti, Roti Mediterranean.
That's right.
Elevation Burger is the same thing. They literally are running that same model.
I have not been in a store that runs it as well as Chipotle.
And it's beyond just the incredible efficiency.
It's also just the idea of focusing on natural foods and healthy eating.
And that's exactly the reason I sold the stock $250 a day.
Well, at least you can take solace in the fact that apparently David Einhorn is still actually short this stock.
And I just read in November, the end of November, it's confirmed at least up to that point he was still short this stock.
So, I imagine he's not too happy.
He didn't put a stop gain on it.
A stop gain.
In the other direction, Amazon down about 10% on Friday after fourth quarter profits
came in lower than expected. But, Matty, the big story seems to be that Amazon is considering
raising prices on the Amazon Prime membership service. It's $79 a year. They're talking
an increase of anywhere from $20 to $40 on top of that. Good move?
I think that is a good move. If you think about it, they've had Prime for about
nine years. There's never been an increase. Yet, we know shipping costs are higher now.
We know a good thing is that the average Amazon customer is ordering more per order, so we're
getting more things shipped. Also, we didn't have streaming movies nine years ago. Now,
on Amazon Prime, you can watch 40,000 movies and TV episodes. In my mind, it's an incredible
bargain for $79 a year. The idea of raising that $20 to $40, I don't think is going to
have a big impact, and it'll do a lot for the business. We've seen Costco, which I know
Ron's a big fan of. They've been able to raise their membership fee about 10% every five
years or so. No problem at all there. I think it's a great move for Amazon.
But Jason, it's got to be communicated correctly. As we've seen with other companies,
if you botch a price increase, you're going to pay for it.
Interesting. I asked the question on Twitter earlier today, people how they felt
about that. One of the responses there was that they felt like they were doing this to
to appease Wall Street's expectations. Now, I don't think that's it at all. Jeff Bezos
has made his position very clear, he doesn't care what the street thinks. I think they
will raise the price to $99. I think there's a big perception between the difference of
$99 and $100. I think that $20 of incremental income for each Prime subscriber would be
tremendously beneficial, and that $99 still makes the consumer feel like they're getting
a good deal. One thing that wasn't addressed on the
caller they haven't really talked about is the idea of, and they mentioned it in the
past, but the idea of maybe doing multiple different tiers, like Costco does.
Well, and Netflix talked about the same thing, too, right? A price tiering structure.
I think it opens their world up to more potential customers because it's not just a one-size-fits-all
model maybe at this point. I'm not concerned about current Prime
members renewing. I think everyone I speak to really enjoys their Prime membership. I'm
concerned about new acquisitions. When they're trying to get new people and they see that
price approaching $100. That worries me a little bit.
Visa and MasterCard, the two dominant players in the credit card space, both stocks
down a little bit this week after their latest quarterly reports. Ron, I'm curious, on your
take, it looked like Visa's quarter was a little bit better than MasterCard's, but both
stocks getting hit just a little. Just a little bit. But I agree with
that. Visa, their numbers came in a bit better, especially the operating expense numbers.
MasterCard was a bit heavy there. Some rebates came in higher than analysts were expecting,
and that hit the bottom line, where they really were only able to grow about 3%, whereas Visa
had stronger profit growth of almost 9%.
Shares of Under Armour up around 30% this week. Fourth quarter profit up 35%, Jason.
And it's the 15th straight quarter that revenue has increased at least 20%. And they are just
crushing it up in Baltimore. Yeah, I was combing through the release and the call to try to find
something to harp here about. It just all really looks good for Under Armour. I mean, 35% top-line
growth-free, sporting retailer. I mean, that's pretty phenomenal in and of itself. But you sort
of see what they're selling. I mean, accessories have done very well, but they made, I think, great
strides in footwear. And 25% growth in footwear is significant, because when they first got into
that market. I don't think many people gave them a chance going up against Nike. They've
really been focusing hard on building out that running shoe department. They understand
it's a big market opportunity. And to top it all off, they demonstrated a little pricing
power. I mean, gross margin was up a full percentage point there. And inventory levels
keep in check, and revenue is outpacing it. So, yeah, a lot of great things here for Under Armour
shareholders.
All right, we've got just a couple minutes left in the wake of talking about sports apparel.
The Super Bowl is this weekend. Our man on the other side of the glass, Steve Roto, he's
actually going to the super bowl steve how excited are you that is correct i'm very excited it's
gonna be a great time do you have some under armor uh what's the weather core layer uh cold
and uh and windy probably but i did buy some long underwear some not under armor oh steve i bought
them from amazon though so oh there you go you won for two that's good all right i want one
prediction about the super bowl doesn't it have to be about who is going to win the game it could
be about the game itself. It could be about one of the prop bets, the commercials. Give me
something, Ron. One prediction for the Super Bowl. The over-under, I think, is about 47.
Take the under. Take the under. You think the weather. Defensive struggle. Yeah. Defensive
struggle outdoors. Okay. Matty, one prediction. Okay. I say this as a somewhat frustrated New
England Patriots fan. Mark my words, Denver fans, at some point in the game,
Wes Welker is going to drop an important pass.
Just wait.
Yeah, I think you're right on that one.
I think we've got to talk about the Super Bowl within the Super Bowl.
A lot of talk here about the second screen phenomenon on Facebook and Twitter going at it this year.
I think Twitter comes out on top as the winner of the Super Bowl.
Interesting.
Steve Reuter, one prediction.
I know you're a big sports fan.
I think it's going to be a pretty tight game, but I think the Cowboys are going to pull it through.
Right on.
Drop us an email, radio at fool.com
Send us your prediction for the Super Bowl
And just send some words of encouragement
That Steve stays warm and doesn't freeze his butt off out there
Alright guys, we'll see you later in the show
Up next, we're actually going to head to New York City
To talk about the business of pro football
With sports agent Lee Steinberg
Stay right here, this is Motley Fool Money
You know we're just strutting for fun, strutting our stuff for everyone.
We're not here to start no trouble, we're just here to do the Super Bowl shuffle.
The sack man's coming, I'm your man Dent.
If the quarterback's slow, he's gonna get bent.
We stop the run, we stop the pass.
I like the dumb guys on they ass.
We're gonna rock this town, rock it inside out.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money, I'm Chris Hill.
Over his 30-year run as a sports agent, Lee Steinberg represented over 150 professional
athletes, including the number one overall pick in the NFL draft eight times.
His clients included Hall of Famers Troy Aikman, Steve Young, and Warren Moon.
He talks about the ups and downs of his career in his new book, The Agent, My 40-Year Career,
Making Deals and Changing the Game.
He joins me now from the Super Bowl radio row.
Lee, thanks so much for making the time.
Oh, it's my pleasure.
It is the Bronx Zoo here.
I'm sure it is.
So I appreciate your spending a few minutes with us here at The Motley Fool.
I want to start in terms of your book with your career.
You had such a successful career in a business where many people fail.
What do you think led to your success during your run?
Well, first of all, I had the good fortune of being a dorm counselor in an undergrad dorm that the freshman football team lived in.
And in 1975, Steve Bartkowski was the very first pick in the first round of the NFL draft, and he asked me to represent him.
And we ended up getting the largest rookie contract in NFL history.
But the approach has been athletes as role models, retracing their roots to the high school community where 120 of them have set up scholarship funds.
Then at the college level, people like Eric Karros and Troy Aikman, Steve Young,
have all endowed scholarship funds.
And then at the pro level, it's foundations like War Guns,
where he has 131 single mothers he's moved into homes.
for the first time to have a home by making the down payment.
So athletes can be role models, and that's what I profiled,
athletes that would be willing to do things like,
well, I have Lennox Lewis, a heavyweight boxing champion,
cut a public service announcement that said real men don't hit women.
how has the business of sports agency changed during the uh the 40 years that you've been
around it i have to believe there have been some significant changes
when i started back in 1976 the um each team got two million dollars as its share of the national
television contract that figure is now 130 million dollars so if rip van winkle had gone
asleep back in 1975 he would not recognize this world 130 million dollars is what it cost
for jacksonville in carolina to to uh come into the league so they're making as much tv money as
It actually cost to buy a franchise 20 years ago, and we have the explosion of big stadium revenue flow from that.
We have the explosion of fantasy football.
The estimates are 20% of the business computers which are on during the football season in businesses are being used for fantasy football.
So we're in the midst of a massive, massive occasion by television, even baseball, which always complained about the owners about losing money, have quadrupled their gross receipts since 1994.
94. And so the sports are all rolling in money. And now the rookies in football and in basketball
have a salary cap. So it really guarantees that the money goes to proven productive starters,
but also that teams will make a huge profit. Now, to the extent that the average person
thinks about sports agents, the person who comes to mind is probably not an actual sports agent.
It's probably Jerry Maguire. And you were involved in that. You know Cameron Crowe,
the director. You were a consultant on the film. How did all of that evolve?
So Cameron Crowe called me in 1993. He was the writer-director. I'd seen Fast Times of Rich
high which i liked and he started following me around so he went to the league meetings in 1993
he went to uh the draft where drew bledsoe was the first pick in 93 and then flew up to the
press conference he came to pro scouting day a number of games with me um super bowl parties
and sat in my office forever and i told him stories lots and lots of stories and uh then he
went off and wrote the script, and I had to vet it to make sure the willing suspension
of disbelief did not get broken, and then they descended on my office and took my pictures,
and magically, Jerry Maguire's head is on my shoulders, and I actually took Cuba Gooding,
Jr., who played the white receiver in the film, down to the Phoenix Super Bowl and made
him pretend all week that he was a client of mine to put him in role. I actually had to show
Jerry O'Connell, who played the quarterback, how to throw a spiral because he had gone to NYU and
they did not have football. You're listening to Motley Fool Money, talking with Lee Steinberg.
His book is The Agent, My 40-Year Career, Making Deals and Changing the Game. I want to ask you
about the business of the NFL, because for the 30th year in a row, the Harris Poll was
conducted about the most popular sport, and for the 30th year in a row, the NFL is the
most popular sport in America.
But Lee, more and more, the more we learn about the effect of concussions, first and
foremost, I'm curious, what do you see as the greatest threat to the NFL's popularity
right now?
i think the greatest threat to the sport is the existential threat posed by concussion
i had a crisis of conscience back in the 1980s because i had so i have to start in quarterbacks
in the nfl i had 61st round draft picks and very first pick in the draft eight different years and
i watched steve young troy acheman uh warren moon drew blood so quarterback after quarterback
get concussions, and when we went to the doctors to ask them how many is too many and what's the
magic number, they couldn't tell us. So I started to hold concussion conferences, and the first one
series was in the 90s, and we listened to the neurologist and issued a set of recommendations,
of which the NFL adopted virtually none. So in 2007, Warren Moon and I did it again,
And we had the neurologist who said, at that point, three seems to be the magic number.
And after three, there's an exponentially higher rate of Alzheimer's, premature senility, and chronic traumatic encephalopathy.
So at that point, I called it a ticking time bomb and an undiagnosed epidemic.
I now believe that every single time an offensive lineman hits a defensive lineman, it triggers a low-level concussive event.
So you could have an offensive lineman coming out of football with 10,000 sub-concussive hits, none of which have been diagnosed,
and the aggregate of which is much worse than getting knocked out three times.
And so let's suppose that 50% of mothers knowing this tell their kids,
play any sport except tackle football.
It won't ruin football.
It will just change the socioeconomics.
So the people who play will be very akin to the people who box,
knowing the problem they have.
So I've been pushing helmetry that does more than skull fracture, changing flocking and tackling techniques for kids and Pop Warner, creating technological devices that are able to diagnose low-level concussive hits.
and finally that we do research into nutraceuticals and pharmaceuticals
that will either prophylactically protect the brain
or will stop it from swelling at the time of the hit.
And ultimately it's the magic pill that will actually help cure brain damage.
One of the ways that some people manage pain is through medical marijuana
and it just so happens in the Super Bowl this year
We have two teams from two states where marijuana use is legal.
And I'm just curious where you think the NFL goes with this in terms of their drug policy.
Well, ultimately, it will go where the rest of the country is going,
which is to say that there's no difference in harm between two intoxicants, liquor, alcohol, and marijuana.
and so the marijuana currently is an iq test for a player we don't really morally judge him but
the fact that he can't abstain from uh that at the time of the test is uh uh shows that he's
not that committed to football but there's no real rationale for it uh one drug alcohol
It causes people to get aggressive, causes fights, breaks up marriages, causes people to drink and drive, which causes accidents.
And the other one causes people to watch cartoons and eat munchies.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money, talking with Lee Steinberg.
His book is The Agent, My 40-Year Career, Making Deals and Changing the Game.
You are very candid in this book, not just about your success, not just about your wins, but about how it all came crashing down, divorce, bankruptcy.
When you look back and think about among the roles for an agent, it is to help clients keep control of their lives.
How did you end up losing control of yours?
So there was a series of reverses in the 2000s.
My father died a long death of cancer.
My two sons were diagnosed with an incurable eye disease.
We lost a home due to flooding that had to be knocked to the ground, and then I got divorced.
And I felt like I could not control or protect anything, and unfortunately just felt a desire to check out.
I felt like Oliver on the Beach, tethered down with Lilliputian-sticking forks in me.
And so I spiraled down in 2007, 8, 9, and in 2010, in March, I decided that there is—that I had to make a change.
So I gave my practice away.
I went into silver living.
I worked a 12-step program in a unique fellowship, and I said two things.
Number one, I will be sober, and number two, I will be a good father.
And that was four years ago.
So now I've been refunded, and we're back to build a new company that does representation, that does representation and marketing and content supply.
You're making a comeback in the business world, and I'm curious for anyone listening who is thinking about heading into this world as their life's work,
Just what's one piece of advice you'd give someone who's interested in becoming an agent?
That they need to understand the power that athletes have.
They need to not simply focus on dollars in the bank book,
but on second career where we have three players who now are minority owners of teams.
You've got Bruce Smith, who retires and has ownership in a luxury hotel in Washington, D.C.,
and has an executive position in a construction company.
And second of all, they need to know that athletes can trigger imitative behavior.
So when we had Lennox Lewis cut a public service announcement that said,
Real men don't hit women.
It did more to trigger behavioral changes in young rebellious adolescents
than a thousand authority figures ever could.
All right, last question, and then I'll let you go.
We've got Denver.
We've got Seattle.
You've been around pro football for the better part of the last 40 years.
Who's going to win the game?
I think the game centers on whether or not the defensive secondary of Seattle can slow down Peyton Manning,
which no one has done, and whether the front can put enough pressure.
I mean, ironically, it puts Richard Sherman right back into the lineup.
Everyone's picking Denver.
I'll pick Seattle.
I think they're young and aggressive and hungry.
and they're probably the only team existing that could figure out a way to slow down that.
The book is The Agent, My 40-Year Career, Making Deals and Changing the Game.
If you are a fan of football, you've got to pick this up.
Lee Steinberg, thanks so much for being here.
Thank you.
Coming up, we'll give an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
This is Motley Fool Money.
Chris Hill. As always, people on the program may have
interest in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations
for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. I'm Chris Hill.
Joining me back in studio once again, Ron Gross, Matt Argersinger, and Jason Moser.
Guys, time once again for the stocks on our radar. We'll bring in our man, Steve Broido,
to hit you with a question about your stock. Ron Gross, what do you got?
I got LinkedIn. LNKD reports next week, stock is off 16% from their September highs.
Last quarter, they issued some weak guidance. 37% sales growth just isn't enough for some folks.
Wow.
So, be very interested to see how they come in versus expectations. We own a position
in a million-dollar portfolio. We really like it. Think it's a great company.
Steve, question about LinkedIn?
First off, I'm a shareholder. My question is, if LinkedIn does not become the dominant way
that people communicate about jobs. If it's not, just send me your LinkedIn profile. Don't send a
resume, no cover letter, just send me your LinkedIn profile. If that does not happen,
what happens to the stock? It goes down, Steve. It goes down sharply.
Does it go away? I don't know if it goes away. I think
they're not just going to be that. They're going to be other things. They're gathering so much data
and they're going to use it in many different ways. We don't really know where yet. We have
to think 10 or 15 years down the road. But for me, that is their core primary business. And if that
doesn't work, we'd be in trouble. But we've talked before about companies,
Facebook is the first one that comes to mind, that have a big network of people, have the
ability to build a platform to compete with LinkedIn. It doesn't really seem like we're
seeing that play out, though. Right. It doesn't need to be the only
place to go, but it should really be the de facto standard, I think, and certainly be
the market leader, because it's certainly priced that way from a stock perspective.
Matt Argersinger, what do you got? I got MercadoLibre, M-E-L-I. I think
report either this coming week or the following week, but this is the eBay slash Amazon of
Latin America, the biggest e-commerce site in Latin America. Really been hit hard lately,
emerging market fears, of course, currency fears, just to give you an idea. They're reporting
in local currencies about 45% revenue growth. In U.S. dollar terms, it's about 26%. Stocks
come down a lot because of that. One of my favorite ideas, we own it also in the Odyssey
One portfolio in Supernova. Super psyched about it.
Steve, a question about MercadoLibre?
We seem to have an incredible shipping platform in our country.
Does Latin America have that same ability to get packages back and forth as easily as we do?
Great question.
Thank you.
One out of every hundred he just nails.
No, so that is an added cost to them because there's different sort of shipping regimes in each of the countries,
say between Brazil, Venezuela, Argentina, Mexico, et cetera.
So that is certainly a risk to the model.
I bet there's someone who thinks he's the Steve Broido of Latin America, but he's wrong.
There is no comparison.
Jason, we've got about a minute left.
What's your stock?
I know you'll approve of this.
It's Dunkin' Donuts, ticker D-N-K-N.
Sign me up.
Guys, franchise, pretty much everything.
They've got about 11,000 Dunkin' stores today, so there is room to grow if you look at it
just from the perspective that Starbucks has something like 20,000 Starbucks stores around
the world.
But what really caught my attention this week, though, is their new DD Perks program in which
they're basically recognizing the power that Starbucks has built with their app, being
able to use that app as tender and getting rewards for frequenting those establishments.
And I think Dunkin' Donuts has that same fierce customer loyalty, and I think they stand to
benefit pretty nicely from this program. Steve, question about Dunkin' Brands?
How do you ensure consistency with the franchise?
Well, Steve, I think that in all honesty, it's just a donut. It's not rocket science. And so
fortunately for them, I think they have a pretty good hold on the recipe of those donuts. But
But by the same token, you know, your quality control is at risk when you franchise everything.
Five seconds, Steve.
What do you like?
Mercado Libre sounds pretty interesting.
Oh, yeah.
That's going to do it for this week's show.
Wow, it's because he's so happy with this question.
That's going to do it for this week's show.
We will see you next week.
