Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Motley Fool Money: 07_02_2010

Episode Date: July 2, 2010

What do the latest jobs numbers mean for investors? Will Google's Droids capitalize on the new iPhone's bad reception? Will Ryanair's vertical seats catch on with U.S. airlines? And will Hulu's new se...rvice catch on with viewers? On this week's Motley Fool Money Radio Show, we discuss those stories, share three stocks on our radar, and talk with Nicholas Carr, author of The Shallows: What the Internet is Doing to Our Brains.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Don't you wish you could just hit skip on the worst parts of your life? You know, the same way you can skip an ad? I get it. I'm Siaya and I live in Ice Cove. I've made some questionable decisions that didn't end up the way I planned. And today I'm still figuring it out. Somehow things usually get worse before they get better. Apparently, that's how I roll.
Starting point is 00:00:22 So bundle up and come along for the bumpy ride. Stream a new episode of North of North Tuesdays on CBC Gem. everybody needs money that's why they call it money from fool global headquarters this is motley fool money welcome to motley fool money thanks for being here i'm your host chris hill and i'm joined by motley fool senior analyst seth jason James Early and Shannon Zerra. Guys, happy Independence Day weekend. And to you, Chris.
Starting point is 00:01:00 On this week's show, Google's big buy, Steve Jobs' rumor hysteria, a different way to fly, and what the internet is doing to your brain. But we begin with Friday's jobs numbers, which did not impress the stock market. The unemployment rate fell to 9.5%. That's down from 9.7%. But that was because 650,000 people gave up their job searches and left the labor force. So they're no longer counted as unemployed. The private sector created just 80,000 new jobs, much lower than expected. Seth Jason, I know there's a lot there, but what did you think of the news?
Starting point is 00:01:35 Well, everybody out there should remember that the news is pretty complex around this and often misleading. So this is kind of, these numbers, can I just call them lame? When you say the unemployment rate goes down, yet there are fewer jobs and people have given up, you're essentially saying, hey, you know what, you gave up looking for work. Congratulations, you're no longer unemployed. And that's obviously completely bogus. So I would call this a pretty weak report, and I wouldn't be excited. But I'm going to freak you all out and say that there's actually, again, some decent news in here.
Starting point is 00:02:06 Some of the meager job growth came in places where I believe we'd like to see it. Transportation, warehousing up, health care up, not quite so much. Mining up, manufacturing up. A lot of the losses or a lot of the negative was construction, which is odd. Isn't that where the stimulus was supposed to go? So although I'm a little bit up in the air on the 28,000 jobs created in the, finger quotes here, amusements, gambling, and recreation portion. So we do this.
Starting point is 00:02:32 It's Vegas, baby. Yeah, I'm not sure that's where we need people to be hired. We also got some grim housing numbers. The pending home sales index down 30%. Now, Shannon Zimmerman, a few months ago, you were talking about what could happen after the first time homebuyer tax credit expired. Are you surprised by what's going on in housing? I'm surprised by the magnitude of the miss.
Starting point is 00:02:53 I mean, so the street was expecting about 10% decline, and it's 30%. That's dramatic. It's hard to believe that all that is attributable to the expiration of the home buying credit. But, you know, people are motivated to buy expensive things with a little bit of sop from the government, I suppose. Seth, Jason, to what extent is the housing market a barometer for the broader economy and for the stock market? I don't know that it's that great a barometer. People have looked at past recessions and said, well, typically the housing market, by which I mean the folks who make houses, we need to wait for an upturn there and that that's an indicator that we're coming out of a recession. But remember, this recession, unlike just about any other I can think of, was caused by a bubble in that very market.
Starting point is 00:03:35 So it's tough to say that that will be a leader. Now, last month, we also got some news late last month that new home sales were down 30 percent. That's a smaller problem than this pending home sales index dropping 30 percent. But I'm actually, as much as I hate the National Association of Realtors, which is the source of this information. You're on record in several places, I think. These are the people who have their hand out. They want 6% of every real estate transaction in the USA. Don't know it.
Starting point is 00:04:01 But they do have data. And you can believe a bit of their spin this time around, I think, which is that if people believed that this $8,000 giveaway was going to disappear, that you probably did pull some activity forward from a couple of months in order to pay for the last month or two. So I don't think that things are quite as bad as this number looks like, but I don't think they're great either. Well, one other piece of data, though, is the mortgage rates are at historic lows.
Starting point is 00:04:28 So it's remarkable this precipitous decline when people can get mortgages at less than 5% through fixed mortgages. That's a pretty incredible metric to have in mind when you think about the drop, too. Guys, one last big macro item. We had a sharp drop in consumer confidence in May. Now, we're all obviously consumers, so on a scale of 1 to 10, 10 being you're really confident and all you want to do is go out there and consume, and 1 being you're locked in your basement with bottled water and ramen noodles.
Starting point is 00:04:58 And guns and ammo. Exactly. A full bathtub. Where are you in terms of your consumer confidence? I'm actually flashing back now to a girl I dated in high school whose father was a survivalist. It was canned ham that was a big item for him. I don't know. I'm a five or a six, I guess.
Starting point is 00:05:16 To me, the consumer confidence report is always overblown. What are people doing? Are they making more money? Are they spending more money? That's where you measure their real confidence. James Early? You know, I'm probably a four or five, but I see low confidence is almost a good thing because I think we grossly overspend as Americans in retail items and things we don't need.
Starting point is 00:05:32 So long-term good, short-term bad. Seth Jason? I'm probably a five or so, but I bet I peak at seven or eight. You know, that's if I'm pretty drunk. Moving on. Apple has been hit with a number of class action lawsuits over antenna problems with the iPhone 4. At issue, reports that holding the phone with your fingers covering the three black lines on the phone's edge and the bottom left corner caused a big drop off in reception. According to reports, the ever helpful Steve Jobs told one disgruntled iPhone user to, quote, avoid holding it that way.
Starting point is 00:06:07 Jobs also called the reports, quote, rumor hysteria. So, Seth, Jason, let's add to the hysteria. What did you think? Aren't you glad we have these law firms out there that care so much about that they're engaging in these lawsuits? The class action lawyers? Yeah, the best anyone can hope for here is they'll get you a discount on a vinyl glove to wear while you're using your iPhone. The important thing to me here isn't that Apple has screwed up, and I think they probably have. It's that it hasn't mattered.
Starting point is 00:06:34 This is their record-setting product. They are, I like to think of them right now in the position of somebody like Madonna. It doesn't matter how crummy her album is, people are going to buy it. Or think of the late Michelangelo, who never finished anything. Or the late Michael Jackson. Yeah, or the late Michael Jackson. Nobody cared as long as you could say, I'm employing Michelangelo. That was fine.
Starting point is 00:06:53 I bought the Madonna album. Who cares if it's terrible? Yeah, not only does it not matter that Apple screwed up, Steve Jobs seems to be enjoying it. It's a funny line. Their word is now that the signal has never been measured correctly in the first place since the beginning of iPhones. Yeah, that's a separate issue on the bars, I think. And they're saying that that explains all of the video and everything we're seeing on the Internet, but I don't know that it does because people are using applications to run download speed tests using data streaming in,
Starting point is 00:07:21 and unless these people are doctoring these videos, it's a pretty impressive drop. It's a head fake. It's an absolute head fake. It's a separate problem, and it's good that they're going to fix it, but it doesn't really address the real issue. Well, sticking in the smartphone space, Bloomberg and others are reporting that Apple may release a Verizon iPhone sometime next year. Motorola's new Droid X is getting good reviews, so can the droids compete with Apple if Apple teams up with Verizon? No, the Verizon thing is like the zombie hope that can never be killed. It keeps coming back again and again. Maybe it will happen. Eventually it'll happen, but yeah.
Starting point is 00:07:54 To me, the thing for Android is, what will the App Store do? That's the thing that has made iPhones such a transformative device. And it seems to be burgeoning now. If that platform gets an App Store like Apple does, thank you very much, then sure, it can compete, I think. I don't know if it can. And first of all, this new Droid phone, I saw some pictures of it. Either the person holding it had Hobbit hands or this thing is as big as like a piece of French toast. It's enormous.
Starting point is 00:08:25 But the problem Android is going to have is the same problem that Windows had with its mobile operating system that Apple doesn't have, which is it has much tighter control of the quality of the apps that come through. And so it makes for a more seamless experience. And what I've seen of Droid apps is that they look pretty snazzy and everything, but Droid phone makers are kind of putting a lot of what you might consider bloatware or crapware, it's often called, on these phones. And that is going to hurt them when Apple seems to be giving everybody exactly what they want, even if they give them a half-busted iPhone. Yeah, and that's just the latest manifestation of what the real difference is between Google and Apple. It's sort of the open source versus the boutiqued. And right now the boutiqued is winning.
Starting point is 00:09:07 People want to be told what to like and what to buy, and Apple will do that. What do you think is the biggest misconception about Apple? That they care deeply about having the absolute best hardware and software experience. I mean, the antenna issue, I believe they knew about it, and they just— And said, ship it anyway? And said, ship it anyway, because everyone will just buy one of those weird condoms for the phone and be fine. I've got to admit, I'm a little jaded, Chris, about how they're handling this. I was kind of an Apple cult follower.
Starting point is 00:09:33 Kind of? What do you mean, kind of? Well, yeah. You're totally in the tank for Apple. But I'm a little disappointed. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. We're going through some of the big stories of the week. Google announced that it's buying travel software company ITA for $700 million.
Starting point is 00:09:48 It's Google's fourth largest acquisition, and it may raise some regulatory concerns. ITA already licenses its technology to travel booking sites and airlines, as well as Microsoft's Bing search engine. Seth, Jason, you're the biggest Bing fan around here. How much trouble is... I love that Bing homepage. That flight stuff they have is actually pretty interesting. I don't see how this works out, because I think the feds are going to give it a pretty hard look. Because here you'd have Google responsible for feeding data to a lot of people who are competing in this field.
Starting point is 00:10:23 I don't know that that works out, but it's kind of an example of where Google has been forced to go lately for its much lauded innovation. The innovation has largely been sort of through the pocketbook and making acquisitions. It's just the ongoing effort to hoover up every company under the sun except for Apple. Coming up, the financial benefits of whiskey, and you'll never guess what they're renting in China. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in the studio with Seth Jason, James Early, and Shannon Zerman
Starting point is 00:10:57 as we dig into some of the companies making headlines this week. European discount airline Ryanair is planning on selling $7 standing room only tickets. Passengers would stand in vertical seats with seatbelts and pay an additional $1.50 to use the bathroom. James Early. I was like, you're a travel enthusiast. How much are you loving this idea? Well, first of all, Chris, an adult diaper costs only 99 cents, so I don't see it.
Starting point is 00:11:22 I think I see a business opportunity there. An arbitrage. I actually like it. I think we're in a world of reality-based pricing. The internet has made information more accessible. We know what things cost, and companies make margins on things, and I think this makes sense. Seth Jason, you're a cheapskate. You love this idea.
Starting point is 00:11:39 You know, I wanted to be able to really crack wise about it, and then I thought about it for a second. I said, wait a minute, there's no idiot in front of me bashing their seat. I have pretty long legs, into my knees, and you're probably safer. You're going to have a shoulder belt, according to what I've seen, so you probably bounce around less in the airplane. This actually looks like a pretty good idea on short flights. I think there's this opportunity of supplemental flight insurance. You know, most people are injured through turbulence. The airline crashes, of course, get all the big headlines.
Starting point is 00:12:09 But people actually, they bump their heads, they break their arms. I bet this is going to happen more often as a result of this. You know what? I don't think so. I bet people standing there are going to want to strap in, whereas if they're in the seat, they're, yeah, no big deal. And then you hit that big drop, and you're up in the overhead bin, up there with the maggoty meat that we read about this week.
Starting point is 00:12:24 Which airline was that? USA. USA? Yeah, somebody brought maggot-filled meat and put it in an overhead bin, and it fell on people. Oh, it was awful. You know, I saw that email thread. I didn't even click the link.
Starting point is 00:12:35 All right. This show brought to you by USA. here. On a more serious note, if you're Southwest Airlines or JetBlue, how hard are you looking at this as something you might follow? Well, I understand that Southwest is thinking of strapping people on the wings now. Stacking them up. I think they may have to, but Ryanair does things that airlines in the U.S. have not done. They're very, very extreme on the cost cutting. It goes from everything from charging people for everything, pillows, peanuts, breathing the air, as well as things that make an awful lot of sense, like having seats that don't recline because then
Starting point is 00:13:07 they can't break seats without that seat back pocket because you have to pay people to clean it out. So a lot of what Ryanair succeeded on seemed pretty ridiculous at first, but it makes a lot of sense. From the Truth is Stranger Than Fiction department, CNN is reporting that companies in China are hiring white people to portray foreign executives to impress clients and officials. Requirements for the job are pretty simple. Be white, don't speak any Chinese, and look good. Is that Larry King's next gig? You never know. The guy needs a job. The practice is tied to the Chinese concept of face, where having a few foreigners around means a company has prestige, money, and connections abroad.
Starting point is 00:13:45 James Early, we're a room full of white guys. Are you tempted by this job opportunity? We are. I am. I am. The CNN story is interesting because it profiles this one guy who just goes from job to job, giving speeches as like a fake jeweler or a fake something else. And I thought, well, surely this guy is going to get found out at some point. So I was talking to my Chinese connection analyst, Sean, on my team, who's Chinese, And he said, no risk of that because, frankly, to Chinese people, all white people look the same.
Starting point is 00:14:09 So this guy can just go around as long as he wants to. Now, we have no reason to believe that there are any U.S.-based companies that are renting white guys. But if you had to guess as to one well-known CEO who could be a rental, someone who's just like an out-of-work model or actor, who are you going with? Well, I have my answer, but I want to go back to that for a second. Because as funny as it is, there's actually an investing story here that people need to think about. And that is that you buy a lot of these Chinese stocks we have on Hidden Gems called Jinpan. And the whole idea that this might be considered business as usual, you're essentially swindling people, is very, very scary. If that's how business is done, then you need to suspect a lot more.
Starting point is 00:14:51 You need to ask a lot more questions anytime you buy a Chinese stock. And I'm certainly going to now begin mine with how many white guys are on the payroll who aren't actually doing anything but standing around looking like a white guy. With that said, my CEO, who I think is probably just a rented white guy, is Eric Schmidt of Google. Really? Seriously, he was brought in to look like the adult presence. You couldn't have these two young guys with names like Sergei running this company. And he essentially, he's the big white guy, the tech white guy. James, what do you think?
Starting point is 00:15:21 Chris, I was going to say Angelo Mozzillo, a former CEO of Countrywide, but he's used so much spray tan that he's no longer white. Shannon? Lloyd Blankfein. We're doing God's Work fame. Apparently, God's Work involves method acting. Yahoo announced this week that its board of directors has approved a plan to buy up to $3 billion worth of company stock over the next three years. Now, guys, Yahoo's stock hit a 52-week low this week. As investors, we tend to like share buybacks. Shannon, do we like this one? Well, so, maybe most investors like buybacks. I'm a little on the fence there. A lot of
Starting point is 00:15:55 times it seems to be theater. And the CEOs of companies like to make it look as though they, oh, we know what we're doing, and we're going to acquire a company, or we're going to buy back our shares. We feel so confident in our future. We know our shares are undervalued. That's right. But on the other hand, Yahoo does look cheap to me right now. So maybe this timing will be right. Share buybacks, to me, are a poor second to dividends in terms of rewarding shareholders in ways other than stock price appreciation.
Starting point is 00:16:20 Hulu has launched a paid subscription service. For $10 a month, subscribers will have access to full seasons of all shows currently offered by Hulu, which is co-owned by News Corp, Disney, and NBCUniversal, as well as a few other companies. Seth, are you betting on this idea? For our listeners who don't know, Hulu is an online video site that essentially is what YouTube and Google hoped it would be through piracy and or extortion, as I like to look at their business model,
Starting point is 00:16:48 which was hopefully everyone who uploads so many network shows The networks will give up and just say, all right, you have the license to use these and charge whatever you want. So the content providers did an end run about this, and they came up with Hulu. Hulu actually has very, very good, high-quality video. It's a great site to use, and it's been very popular. So I would not doubt they couldn't make a go of this. And finally, Diageo, the beverage giant that owns brands like Jose Cuervo, Smirnoff, Guinness, and Johnny Walker, has a big deficit in its pension plan.
Starting point is 00:17:24 So the solution? The company has put aside two million barrels of whiskey into a pension funding partnership. Diageo employees are still going to receive their pensions in cash, but if the company defaults, this move guarantees employees won't go away empty-handed. James Early, if you're a Diageo employee, on some level, aren't you hoping for the company to default? A barrel of whiskey. And whiskey is highly priced these days. You know, the pension shortfall was registered at a time when stocks were at a low.
Starting point is 00:17:53 So it's probably bigger than it is right now in reality. So it's a pretty good move, I think. Whiskey is not cheap. Yeah, and it is whiskey. They will buy it back, apparently, after 15 years, which is, I think, a clever solution. So I like the Asho. I don't know. A better backstop, if you're an employee at any of these companies, is just to know where the copper is in the wall.
Starting point is 00:18:12 Smash, grab, and run, baby. The lead from your computers. Let's just go around the table real quick. What's the best way you've ever been paid that didn't involve money? You know what, that's a bad question. Let's just move on. I don't want to hear James' answer. All right, the guys will be back later in the show to discuss the stocks that are on their radar. But hey, drop us an email.
Starting point is 00:18:32 Have you ever been paid in whiskey or, for that matter, anything else that wasn't money? And would you fly standing up? Send us an email, radio at fool.com. That's radio at fool.com. Maybe the song about a ramblin' man Put old Jim Beam in my hand Cause you know I still love to get drunk And hear country sounds
Starting point is 00:19:07 But don't play with me Coming up, is Google making you stupid? Author Nicholas Carr will be in studio to talk about what the internet is doing to our brains. Stick around, you're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. In 2008, Nicholas Carr wrote a cover story for The Atlantic, posing the simple question, Is Google Making Us Stupid?
Starting point is 00:19:39 That article set off a big debate and became the basis for Carr's latest book, The Shallows, What the Internet is Doing to Our Brains. And he joins me in studio now. Nick, welcome. Thanks a lot, Chris. All right. So what is the Internet doing to our brains and more specifically to my brain? It's turning us into perpetually distracted creatures. And, you know, we get huge benefits from the technology, from all the information we have access to, to all the communication tools.
Starting point is 00:20:07 But I think the emphasis of our thought is shifting ever more toward skimming and scanning and processing lots of little bits of information quickly. And we're losing the ability to actually pay attention, to think about one thing for, you know, more than a few seconds. But haven't we seen this before with other new mediums when they became popular, with radio, with TV, even printed medium like comic books? You know, there was this notion that it was going to ruin the youth of our nation. What's different about the Internet? I think what's different is that earlier media, earlier entertainment technologies, They were kind of segregated in some area of the day. And even television, which obviously we watched a lot and we still watch a lot, we see it as kind of an information, I mean, an entertainment device.
Starting point is 00:20:58 And the difference with the Internet now, particularly when we all have, you know, BlackBerrys or iPhones, is that it's with us all the time. And we're kind of – it's bursting out little messages to us throughout the course of the day. You know, a lot of people today, the first thing they do when they wake up, they grab their BlackBerry or their iPhone, check email. Last thing they do before going to bed is checking email. And so unlike any other earlier media, this one's with us all the time, and it's kind of imposing its way of thinking on us throughout the day. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. We're talking with Nicholas Carr. His new book is The Shallows, What the Internet is Doing to Our Brains.
Starting point is 00:21:39 one of the things you say in the book is that you find for yourself personally, you're not thinking the way you used to think. It's changed the way you read. How has that happened? Yeah, the book comes out of my own personal experience. A few years back, I realized that I was having trouble when I'd sit down to read a book or a long article. You know, I'd get a page or two in, and then my mind wanted to start clicking links, do some Googling, check my email and I realized that you know I'd been using the the web a whole lot like a lot of people for the for a number of years and something that used to come naturally to me deep attentive reading had suddenly become very difficult and it wasn't just reading I realized it was the ability
Starting point is 00:22:27 to concentrate on one thing to pay attention to one thing and I related that to the fact that that the net in the web and constant connectivity, which gives us all sorts of things that we enjoy, was imposing the need to constantly be connected, to constantly being engaged with new information, and it was stealing away some of the quieter, calmer, more attentive ways of thinking. So is it enough to merely recognize that this is happening and then make the conscious choice to, just as once upon a time, we used to set aside time just to watch TV. Now we need to set aside time to unplug. I think that's important to realize that there are different ways of thinking.
Starting point is 00:23:13 And if we don't practice them, we're going to lose them. The problem and the challenge is that the expectation of constant connectivity is now being woven into our work lives, into our social lives. If your boss and your colleagues expect you to be able to respond to emails and other messages instantly, it's very hard to say, I'm going to take a break. And similarly, if your friends are organizing their social lives through Facebook and through Twitter, there's a cost to backing away. But if you cherish and value the full range of thinking that human beings are capable of, I think you have no choice but to make some sacrifices and
Starting point is 00:23:50 set aside some time to get disconnected. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. We're talking with Nicholas Carr. His new book is The Shallows, What the Internet is Doing to Our Brains. Let's go back to that article you wrote a couple of years ago for The Atlantic. Is Google making us stupid? I think Google and the internet in general, the editors of the magazine chose that title, but I have to keep answering the question, is making us, I think, superficial. And that's a word that has lots of negative connotations, I know, but, you know, there are benefits to obviously to having all this information and to being able to jump around. But I do think that we're short-circuiting the kind of mental processes that underpin rich, deep personal
Starting point is 00:24:42 knowledge, and that also, by extension, have been the foundations for a lot of our culture through the years. So I do think it's making us more scattered thinkers and, in the end, more superficial thinkers. But, you know, in defense, some of us were superficial to begin with. That's right. But the fact that deep thinking is maybe a rare trait, to me, makes it all the more precious and all the more reason we should protect it and not all become scattered and superficial. How have your habits with respect to the internet changed since you've worked on this book? Well, I've been a big early adopter of technology for most of my life and really used most online tools as they came out. And what I've done is I have begun backing away. I mean,
Starting point is 00:25:34 I got rid of my Facebook account. I dropped off of Twitter and am trying sometimes successfully, sometimes not, to restrain myself in checking email and doing all the other types of things we do online. And when I wrote the book, for instance, I made a conscious decision to use the web to find information, to locate what might be relevant. But then I actually went to libraries and bookstores and stuff and got printed materials and read them rather than just depending on the web for everything. We're talking with Nicholas Carr, author of the new book, The Shallows, what the internet is doing to our brains. As one who follows technology and business here at The Motley Fool, one of the emerging rivalries that we can't help but watch constantly
Starting point is 00:26:23 is Google and Apple. If you had to essentially bet on one of those two companies over the next two years, which one would you bet on and why? I think I'd probably bet on Apple, simply because it has, I think, a clearer idea of what people want across software, hardware, in web-based businesses. And I think it's proven, and a lot of this has to do with Steve Jobs' vision, that it can remake markets around the power of its own products. When I look at Google, for all of its talents, It seems like a more passive kind of company that it throws a lot of things out into the market and then waits for the response rather than getting out ahead of what users and buyers and searchers want.
Starting point is 00:27:20 And as a result, I think if you look at its business, obviously a very profitable, very successful company, but it's still a narrow company. It does all sorts of things, but it still makes all its money from, you know, selling little tiny ads next to search results or next to other content. So I think Apple right now is showing that it can succeed across a much wider range of activities than Google has proven itself capable of succeeding in. Other than each other, what do you think is the biggest threat to Google and to Apple? That's a good question. I think it's probably the unanticipated new service that comes out from an entrepreneur. You know, I think all of us use Google, for instance, and Google's the one that seems to me most vulnerable simply because it is a narrower company. We all, most of us use Google today, you know, all the time.
Starting point is 00:28:21 But there's, I think that the quality of its search results as it's bringing in more and more things, the video, you know, tweets and news headlines into its search results, it seems to me that it's lost something as it keeps incorporating new features. So I think it might be vulnerable to a really different way of navigating the web and navigating information. Apple's a tougher call because right now it seems to be going from strength to strength. But I guess, you know, if the mobile market ends up proceeding down the way that the PC market did when Apple lost the PC market, if we go with a more open system and reject kind of the closed Apple universe, that would obviously be a big hit to Apple. There's no sign right now that we're moving in that direction, but it's always possible. All right. Nicholas Carr, time to play a round of buy, sell, or hold.
Starting point is 00:29:24 And as always, these are not stocks, but we'll treat them as though they were stocks. Buy, sell, or hold the likelihood that there will still be a print edition of the Washington Post five years from now. I would sell on that. I think there are going to be print newspapers left. certainly in five years. But the universe of them is going to shrink and continue to shrink fairly rapidly. The Facebook movie comes out this fall. So, buy, sell, or hold the future of Facebook itself. Unfortunately, I would buy that, even though I wish I could sell it. Even though you've left it? And this shows how you shouldn't let your own emotions
Starting point is 00:30:10 affect your investment choices. I have lots of problems with Facebook, but it's kind of cornering the market on social networking. And, you know, you see it being built into devices, popular devices. So at this point, its immediate future, at least, looks pretty strong. Buy, sell, or hold Twitter? I'm going to hold Twitter. I think the people who use it now tend to love it, but I still don't think it's broken into the mainstream, and that remains the big question mark. Are we all going to be tweeting in a few years, or is this going to be relegated to a small, if important, segment of the market? Buy, sell, or hold the future of the iPhone? I would buy that. I mean, I think there is another model, the kind of Google model of more open types of systems.
Starting point is 00:31:14 But right now, Apple has the most vibrant app market. It has a lot of market momentum. It's got great marketing. So for a while anyway, I think Apple will still rule that world. And finally, buy, sell, or hold, peace and quiet? I'm going to – now here I'm going to go ahead and let my emotions determine my investment choices. Even if it leads to big losses, I'm going to go ahead and buy that. Because, I mean, you can't go wrong with peace and quiet, can you?
Starting point is 00:31:48 At a personal level. Whether the market agrees with me or not, I'm not sure. But as an individual investor, I'll take Peace and Quiet. The new book is The Shallows, What the Internet is Doing to Our Brains. Nicholas Carr, thanks so much for being here. Thank you. Haven't had that for so long. I've got peace and quiet ever since you've gone.
Starting point is 00:32:37 Coming up for Independence Day weekend, we'll talk a little Fourth of July fun. Plus, as always, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar. This is Motley Fool Money. As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about. Don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. I'm Chris Hill, and back in the studio with me, our trio of senior analysts, Seth Jason, James Early, and Shannon Zerman. Guys, it's Independence Day weekend, and Seth, during the break, we found out that you've actually got a relative who signed the Declaration of Independence. That's true, Chris. Every American out there owes their independence to me.
Starting point is 00:33:15 No, I checked. Now, there's no Seth Jason or Sophocles Jason or whatever old name. No, I actually come from a proud American mixture of hobo stock, and that's not a joke, actually. And on my grandmother's side, the second person to sign the Declaration of Independence, Josiah Bartlett, who was the representative from New Hampshire, is a distant either grandfather or granduncle, depending on which way one of the kind of blurry connections plays out. You might know him from TV's West Wing. Yeah, and I had no idea. Unlike James Early, I don't watch TV. He was the basis for the character on the West Wing. That's crazy.
Starting point is 00:33:53 So you're not getting a cut of any of the West Wing money? I'm not, no. Would I be sitting in here and doing these kinds of questions if I were? No, but I think our producer, Matt Greer, had a good idea, and we want to employ all of our listeners on this one. We're tired of the phrase, put your John Hancock here. John Hancock as a proxy for the word signature. Let's get your Bartlett.
Starting point is 00:34:16 Yeah, exactly. Put your Bartlett right there, would you? And if nothing else, people are just going to kind of stare at you for a moment when you do that. Get your Bartlett on. Independence Day weekend plans. What do you think, guys? Barbecue, going to the beach? I'm going to spend the entire time in my house with the shades down,
Starting point is 00:34:32 listening to the Bruce Springsteen song, Independence Day, which is probably the most morbid Fourth of July song ever. James? Chris, I just moved, so I'm going to try to sleep. I'm not even living out of boxes yet. That would be a step up from where we're at right now. So I'm going to work on that. A living among foxes right now.
Starting point is 00:34:49 I'm going to put the baby in a trailer behind my bike, or it's actually a trike. Should we be calling child services? No, she's pretty happy back there. And we plan to try and do a, what is it, a 60-mile round trip with her. So if I don't get in here on Tuesday, you'll know where to find me, which ditch. If I could buy stock right now in your daughter growing up and hating your guts, I would. Is she going to be securitized at some point? Steve Broido, what have you got planned?
Starting point is 00:35:16 I'm also moving. I feel like this has been a great move. I feel like I've been moving for the last several months. I know. We still have boxes at my place, dude. They're a year old, and they still haven't been unpacked. Go home away! I don't want to brag to all our listeners across the country, but here in the Washington, D.C. area, I think we've got the best fireworks. I feel pretty confident
Starting point is 00:35:36 about that. It's the nation's capital. Yeah, we make fun of Washington, D.C. and what goes on in Congress and the government and that kind of thing. But when it comes to fireworks, kind of have it all over the rest of the country but you know what if if you think you have better fireworks just drop us an email radio at full.com send the video uh yeah exactly send the video but disney world does not count but are we all fireworks fans when i was a teenager we used to shoot bottle rockets out of lengths of uh pvc pipes sure you had you know a little bazooka and i shot one one time and it skipped off the water and into the back of a boat down by the gas tank and blew up now the odds of that starting a fire or an explosion are fairly low but even then as
Starting point is 00:36:12 a kid, I went, ooh, that's pretty bad. And that about wrapped it up for me. All right. I think the investigations will be forthcoming. Let's move to the stocks that are on our radar. Shannon Zimmer, we'll start with you. My stock is one I've mentioned before. It's one that I own, and the full-owned shares of two Stryker, the medical device and orthopedic implant manufacturer. A bit of a fire sale going on in this fantastic company amid concerns of what might happen to the bottom line with healthcare reform. I think those concerns are overblown. Looking at the valuation profile right now. It's well below its own historical five-year
Starting point is 00:36:42 average, below its industry average as well, which is just unconscionable. This is a good buying opportunity for a great company. And what's the ticker symbol? SYK. James Hurley. Nothing unconscionable, Chris. I like that. I do have a company called Greif. The ticker is GEF. This makes industrial
Starting point is 00:36:58 containers, like plastic boxes and plastic bags to hold, like, stuff. Exciting. Chemicals and products and things like that. Long-term management. Is this a real company, or are you just You're making one up. I'm stretched, but I did make one up.
Starting point is 00:37:13 This is a real company. Excuse me. Long-term management, high insider ownership, like 40%, 2.9% yield, raised their dividend recently. I like it. Any chance that the folks at BP are going to, because BP kind of needs to put a lot of stuff into bags and boxes. Yeah, they could use some containers.
Starting point is 00:37:29 Seth Jason. Atheros Communications, I believe I've talked about them here before. They design, sell chips, wireless chips, actually LAN chips, A lot of what you see in broadband routers are inside your computer or, even more importantly, in upcoming devices, handheld devices. These chips are designed by Atheros, and they have been a big winner for us at Hidden Gems, although right now the stock has kind of been brutally cut back over the past couple of months down to about $27 a share. And it's tough to figure out exactly what this company is worth, but I look forward to a future when you may see that sort of hockey stick type growth
Starting point is 00:38:07 because we are getting to a place where you may just see a chip, and this is going to sound like an exaggeration, but seriously, in your refrigerator, in your TV, all sorts of devices are going to have networking chips in them in the future, and Atheros is in one of the best places to capitalize on that. Ticker is ATHR. I'm just stunned that there are other chip makers besides Intel. I thought it was Intel, and that was it.
Starting point is 00:38:29 Luckily for us, there are a few more. All right, Seth, Jason, James, Early, Shannon, Zimmerman, guys, thanks for being here, and happy 4th. You're welcome. You too, Chris. Thanks also to our special guest this week, Nicholas Carr. His new book is The Shallows, What the Internet is Doing to Our Brains. You can find it online at Amazon, ironically.
Starting point is 00:38:47 If you missed any part of the show, you can find it at our website, motleyfoolmoney.com. You can also get a copy of our free report, The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2010. All that and more at motleyfoolmoney.com. Our engineer is Steve Broido. Our producer is Matt Greer. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.

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