Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Motley Fool Money: 09.10.2010

Episode Date: September 10, 2010

Can Google Instant find success? What do Apple's new apps guidelines mean for investors? Can money buy happiness? On this week's show, we tackle those questions and talk with CNBC anchor Maria Bartiro...mo about her new book, The Weekend That Changed Wall Street.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:42 From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money. Welcome to the show. Thanks for being here. I'm your host, Chris Hill, and I'm joined by Motley Fool senior analysts Seth Jason, James Early, and Charlie Travers. Guys, good to see you. Good to see you, Chris. Big show this week. Maria Bartiromo from CNBC is our guest this week. She's got a new book out. We've got a lot to get to, including the latest from Apple, Amazon, Best Buy, and Oracle.
Starting point is 00:01:09 But we begin with the big macro. On Friday, the government reported that wholesale inventories in July increased by their largest amount in two years. Earlier in the week, the number of people filing for unemployment benefits was listed to be lower than expected. And also earlier in the week, the price of gold hit an all-time high at more than $1,260 an ounce. Seth Jason, what's your headline this week? Wow, let's start with the two snoozers at the beginning. Actually, the unemployment numbers, the claims number, which surprised people, was a little bit interesting. Now, that may be a result of the fact that with the recent holiday, the bureaucrats out there couldn't crunch enough numbers to get the full data in.
Starting point is 00:01:51 But if it's true that we've got unemployment claims dropping slightly, a little bit better than expected, we'll always take not horrible economic news these days. And that's the new good, isn't it? Yes. Not horrible. James Hurley? Chris, I'm going with gold at a new high. I'm thinking I pulled those gold teeth out of my mouth and sold them too soon. I do think there's merit in the gold view to some degree,
Starting point is 00:02:14 and that we do have a very unstable global economy. But for the record, gold is not really an investment. It's more of a store of value, and the big problem is that nobody knows how to price it. In other words, it's a default. But I'm afraid, so right now I should buy gold, right? That's the question. But MC Hammer apparently knows how to price it, as we've discussed before, with his cash-for-gold business that is apparently doing phenomenally well.
Starting point is 00:02:36 So I'm a little bitter about that, but I don't know. I mean, I think some allocation is probably useful, but I wouldn't go all the way. Well, we've talked about this before. If you're afraid that all heck is going to break loose and the only thing you'll have to do is barter your gold coins for roast lizard on a stick, that's not what most people are buying out there. Visualize my finger quotes as gold. They're buying stubs and they're trading ETFs and things. If things really hit the fan, if the stuff hits the fan, guess what? You're not going to be able to cash in your coupons for gold any more than you're going to be able to trade your dollars for squirrels.
Starting point is 00:03:10 Charlie Travers, what was your headline this week? Actually, the best article I read this week was Michael Lewis and Vanity Fair covering Greece and all the problems and how they backdoored their way into the EU when it was formed. And the amount of corruption and just tax evasion is just mind-boggling for those of us over here in America. But that's contained in Greece. That would never happen here in America. Right, right, right. All that balance sheet fakery, we wouldn't do anything like that here. On Thursday, Apple issued guidelines for software developers looking to create programs for the company's App Store. Apple's been criticized in the past for keeping their approval process secret.
Starting point is 00:03:50 So, Jason, it's a good move by Apple, isn't it? Well, this is the small move. This document was interesting, and I do have to go here first. They actually said we don't need any more fart apps. In other words, here I come, Android. Yeah, and I have to believe that you do. They do need more of those, as many as they can get. But actually, the real news from them, I thought, this week was not only publishing those guidelines,
Starting point is 00:04:11 but also completely rolling over on the development guidelines, which said that you pretty much couldn't use Adobe's Flash to develop your apps or any other program and then port it to Apple. Now, we discussed this in the past, that that would look like anti-competitive behavior, probably. It seems like Apple seems to agree on that. And they also seem to have given up a bit on their harsh advertising policy. So it looks like Apple has decided they're too big to be that kind of bully. James?
Starting point is 00:04:41 You know, what was interesting, if you saw the release, is they did back down on Flash, but they know that high standards are what keep Apple Apple. So they said, okay, you can develop, but you can't do this, this, this, this. So they wanted to still look strict, like we're going to really police you on this, because that's their image. Okay, but, I mean, for someone like me who doesn't have a smartphone and doesn't necessarily care about apps, I mean, what is driving the business decision here? Is it a fear of the Justice Department? Are they fearing, like, anti-competitive?
Starting point is 00:05:10 Oh, I think it's definitely that. And what is interesting is that at this point, this really is a victory for Android and other smartphone operating systems because this lets developers develop an application and then port it to multiple platforms. And what Apple was trying to do was lock them into the iPhone and kind of reduce the development for other platforms. And the fact that Androids were coming in at a faster rate sure didn't help. I mean, stock is up 12%. Absolutely. Apple's old strategy only worked as long as they were the big dog. And now that Android is dramatically outselling them, they can't play that game anymore.
Starting point is 00:05:43 Time for the week in Google. Earlier this week, Google rolled out Google Instant, a new search feature that will predict what people are searching for the moment they start typing. Google says this should reduce the average query time by about four seconds. Gee, guys, what are we going to do with that extra four seconds? I mean, Seth? Man, this just goes to 11. I thought this was the weirdest non-news, but I'm used to non-news from Google. It's, you know, once a week or once a month.
Starting point is 00:06:11 But this was big. This was like a big event. A newspaper article I read said that four seconds means 11 hours across the world are added every second in terms of extra time. That counts, man. Yeah, it's meaningless, and it's also replicable. Anybody can do this. All you're doing is just sending data back and forth a little more quickly. This is as important as the Nexus One phone launch,
Starting point is 00:06:34 and for those who remember that, it was not important. James? You know, Chris, though, if you type in something, I'm trying to think of a clean word. Motley Fool money. I'll try it right now. As you're typing in something, though, it not only presents you with searches, but with paid ads for each keystroke, if there is one available. So it could compound their ad money, and you still see just the image of something.
Starting point is 00:06:59 This thing is stupid. I just didn't know I was going to type Motley Fool money. It took me to fool.com. Oh, well, that's a whole different thing. What a horrible, horrible, Google, try again, fail. All right, also with Google this week, ComScore reported that in the month of August, Americans spent more time socializing on Facebook
Starting point is 00:07:16 than using Google's sites for search, email, and video. All right, Seth, I know you're our resident curmudgeon when it comes to Facebook, but, I mean, that's pretty big that it overtook Google. Because, again, it's not just searching. It's Gmail, it's YouTube videos. Facebook is definitely collecting a lot of underpants to go back to the South Park, to go back to that South Park metaphor that nobody knows if that's worth anything. The difference with Google is that when you go to Google to search for something,
Starting point is 00:07:44 chances are you'll be interested in clicking an advertisement. Most of us have used Facebook in here. Steve Broido, how much stuff have you bought because of Facebook ads? Nothing. Wow. No stuff. Big surprise. What if we gave you a check for $1,260?
Starting point is 00:07:59 I would not know what to buy. Charlie, James, you're a big Facebook addict. I'm not on Facebook, Seth, but my wife and her friends are, and I would say Facebook's biggest accomplishment is bringing computer nerddom to women. I know, but are they doing anything that will make Facebook any money is my question. Absolutely not. Here's where I stand on this, and I am not on Facebook either. I only have a cell phone because my wife got it for me.
Starting point is 00:08:22 But, you know, I agree that the social networking aspect of Facebook alone is not of financial significance. But what if Facebook added search, if they added video, if they added some kind of a shopping piece? They already have the critical mass. They have critical mass, but the information on Facebook is seriously inane garbage. We were talking about Twitter in the same vein several months ago and how Twitter was just going to take over because of it. And that's gone nowhere fast as well. Let me give you a little pushback from a recent guest on Motley Fool Money,
Starting point is 00:08:53 David Kirkpatrick, author of The Facebook Effect. I wonder what he had to say. Well, I mean, he said Facebook has the most targetable ad medium in history because of the specific information it collects about its users. And if they're able to monetize that in a way that doesn't invade privacy. That's the problem. The minute they try to monetize it, people are so attuned. They're so ticked off about privacy at Facebook already.
Starting point is 00:09:17 The minute they try to monetize it, everybody will bolt for the next clone. They don't have to monetize it in a sneaky way, though. I agree. If it's underhanded, it's bad. But if they say, hey, come do your shopping through Facebook, you can suggest stuff to your friends. I mean, that's cheesy, but something like that that's not cheesy. I hope for the sake of all those people who poured all that money into Facebook and want some return on their investment that there's a way to do this, but I won't believe it until I see it. All right. Quickly, we'll go around the table. On a scale of 1 to 10, 10 being Google, 1 being GeoCities, where do you put Facebook's potential as a public company? Charlie Travers?
Starting point is 00:09:55 10 plus. 10 plus? Yeah. Wow. James? From a hot air, I was going to say five or six. I don't know what Charlie's taking this morning. I'll give it a three.
Starting point is 00:10:07 Broido, come on, Steve. I'm going 10 plus with Charlie. I mean, I think you've got a lot of people sitting in the theater at Facebook. How many? Millions and millions and millions. It's a lot of people. Yeah, but some of them are people like you who just said, I'm not spending a dime. Chief's case.
Starting point is 00:10:20 I'm not spending a dime yet. You're not even playing Farmville, are you? But I think we've established if Facebook opens up a DVD store and the apocalypse hits. I'm sold. Coming up, Oracle hires an executive who looks a whole lot like the CEO who just resigned from HP.
Starting point is 00:10:38 It's high drama in Silicon Valley. Stick around. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. You can follow the show on Twitter at MotleyFoolMoney. And as always, drop us an email, radio at fool.com.
Starting point is 00:10:54 Chris Hill here in the studio with Seth Jason, James Early, and Charlie Travers as we dig into some of the companies making headlines this week. And what a difference a week makes, guys. Last week, we were talking about Mark Hurd, the former CEO of HP, who recently resigned. Well, it turns out he's got a nice new job with Oracle as co-president. Well, that's a shame. He was going to have a hell of a time with that $30-some million or whatever.
Starting point is 00:11:16 Yeah, I think we were all worried about him with how he was going to make the dollar stretch with that severance package. Apparently, he and Oracle CEO Larry Ellison have been friends for decades. Charlie Travers, I mean, Hurd, he left HP, but he was given credit for turning the company around, so Oracle shareholders got to be pleased about this. I think Hurd fits in there a lot better than
Starting point is 00:11:37 people might think. The prior co-president, Charles Phillips, stepped down in January after having an affair, so it seems like a perfect fit for the corporate culture. Come on! At least use the word alleged. Alleged. Phillips did admit it.
Starting point is 00:11:53 Yeah, we'll say alleged anyway. Alleged. It's not fair to these executives. You have to use alleged. They could never do anything wrong. Right. But no, the board of directors over at HP did find dubious expense reports. Heard denied creating them.
Starting point is 00:12:07 But regardless, if I was an Oracle shareholder, I would not be happy. We want our managers to basically be squeaky clean and not have any sort of air of a taint around them at all. So if I was an Oracle shareholder, I would not be happy, despite the fact that Heard is kind of a Wall Street darling. Any sense that this might be Larry Ellison's way of grooming someone? I mean, they've been friends for decades, but Larry Ellison is 66. At some point, he's going to want to just step down and hand the reins over to someone. I think the hardware argument isn't heard ancient as well. I think the hardware argument is—
Starting point is 00:12:41 He's not ancient. He's 53. He's more ancient than we are. As someone who's only 10 years younger, I don't like to think of that as ancient. All right, so this geezer might kick her on for a while. But seriously, I think the hardware argument is the one that makes sense, which is that Hurd comes from HP and is used to being a hard-nosed sort of hardware company guy. And Oracle, having brought Sun Microsystems in, Sun has always struggled, supposedly has some of the best tech available,
Starting point is 00:13:07 but somehow can't manage to sell enough of it to make it worthwhile. Oracle's got that problem now. Maybe Hurd is the guy who can turn this around. Well, one other thing I think we should mention is that HP announced that they're suing Mark Heard. I love it when rich guys fight. It's great. It's fun.
Starting point is 00:13:24 It's like a really rich mud fight. But they're worried that he's going to go over to Oracle and start spilling all of the HP secrets. I mean, is that valid? I would worry about it, too. And I'm sure there's non-competes and other things in there. But let's be honest. Non-compete clauses are for small little peons like us. They don't really apply to the big guys.
Starting point is 00:13:46 Best Buy announced it will start selling the Kindle in its stores. this fall. Target and Staples already sell the Kindle, and Best Buy already sells other e-readers, including Barnes & Noble's unfortunately named Nook. James Early, it seems a little odd that Best Buy is just getting around to selling the Kindle, but who do you think this is better for? Is it better for Amazon, or is it better for Best Buy? I would say proportionately Best Buy, because they're hurting in some other respects. But really, is the only reason you haven't bought a Kindle because you couldn't buy it at Best Buy? I mean, at the end of the day, it doesn't come down to distribution or availability. It comes down to functionality, price, and format for all
Starting point is 00:14:24 these. So I think it's sort of the same game for Amazon after that. Amazon's definitely the beneficiary. Right now, if you can get a Kindle there, Staples, Target, I don't think that moves the needle much. But what it does do is it convinces people that the Kindle format, and these all include digital rights management, is there to stay. And you can also already read your Kindle content on blackberry on an iphone on an ipad on android i'm sure it'll be on the upcoming new windows phone os and so in other words people have a lot less to worry about kindle is for is is the razor the blades are the books and amazon wants to sell millions and millions of ebooks and this just helps them do that i prefer the dot matrix printer analogy uh you know it's a little bit
Starting point is 00:15:06 crude, but at the right price, it might be a decent e-reader. Well, and I have to believe it helps Amazon that, to your point, Seth, that it's just out there for people almost to test drive. So even if you're not buying it at Best Buy or any of these other stores, at least you get to check it out and see what the functionality is like and kick the tires a little bit. Otherwise, you're like me and you're just paying $400, which is what they cost originally for this thing you've never seen. Now, we've talked on this show before about James Early's borderline unhealthy fascination with Apple products.
Starting point is 00:15:39 I think his young son has seven iPods. How many Kindles do you own? Oh, we just have the old ones. Oh, really? It's not in the teens? You're not, like, buying everything? No, that's the thing. Ours are the old, crummy, clunky first-generation ones. But really all you need is a screen you can read, long battery life, and that's what the Kindle has that the iPad does not have and the iPad will never have. And that's why Kindles will continue to be popular with people who are just interested in plain books.
Starting point is 00:16:06 And finally, remember when you were a kid and your parents told you that money can't buy happiness? Your parents were wrong. Money can buy happiness, and it's been proven by science. Guys, on Tuesday, I got my edition of my favorite publication, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. It's a page-turner. It's in my bathroom, too. Yeah, you've got to pick one up. According to a survey of nearly 500,000 Americans, it was revealed that people's emotional well-being,
Starting point is 00:16:33 their happiness, increases along with their income up to about $75,000. So less than $75,000, if that's your income, it's hard to be happy. I mean, what do you think? Is that your number, James? You know, I think in this area you'd need to triple that at least. Not to be a weenie. Well, okay, to be a weenie. This presupposes, though, that happiness is sort of the ultimate human state.
Starting point is 00:16:57 I mean, you could have more money and have more security, right, or have more adventure, I would argue. And then I think it also assumes people are spending their money wisely. So maybe for everybody else, but if you give me more money, I will spend it wisely to increase my own happiness, at least. There's no diminishing marginal utility for James Earl. I'm kidding, of course. Yeah, exactly. Charlie, what's Charlie Travers' number? Yeah, or just what's your recipe?
Starting point is 00:17:22 I'd like to be like one of the Johnson & Johnson kids. Just wear that for a week or a month and see how unhappy you can get. Exactly. Steve Broino, what about you, my man? The recipe for happiness is definitely cable television. And I don't know, have you guys seen Jersey Shore? That show is just delightful. Makes me smile every week.
Starting point is 00:17:40 Really? That's your go-to? So it's not money that's making you happy. It's going home, clicking on Mickey. It's entertainment. You and your new bride just sitting on the sofa in your new home watching Jersey Shore. Just giggling. As long as I can catch ice road truckers when I'm on the elliptical machine, I'm great. What is ice road truckers?
Starting point is 00:17:57 You've never seen ice? I don't even watch TV and I've seen ice road truckers. I've never seen ice. What is ice road truckers? It's one of those like reality, like lifestyle, it's my job, it's dangerous kind of shows. They drive trucks over- The frozen road in Alaska. The frozen river, excuse me, in Alaska, which doubles as a road in the winter.
Starting point is 00:18:13 Yeah. It's like 50 below, and they get out and they're like, oh. They're debating the problems of the day and things like that. They're driving over a frozen river. Correct. And if that sounds boring to everybody out there, I'm sure our description of it just makes it even better, right? I mean, I don't mean to be a spoiler or anything,
Starting point is 00:18:30 but doesn't the fact that the TV show exists mean that the film crew lived and therefore there was no crash? We'll keep that one to ourselves. It's a good show, actually. Drop us an email, radio at fool.com. The guys will be back later in the show to talk about the stocks that are on their radar. But coming up, CNBC host Maria Bartiromo
Starting point is 00:18:50 will be our guest as she provides a behind-the-scenes look at the weekend that changed Wall Street. That's why I sing these happy songs. They go dum-dum-dee-lee-dee-dum-dum. Dum-dum-dee-lee-dee-dum-dum. Dum-dum-dee-lee-dee-dum-dum. Come on now, happy songs. Don't go away.
Starting point is 00:19:18 You're listening to Motley Fool Money. There is nothing quite as wonderful as money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. My guest this week is the host of CNBC's Closing Bell, and she has a new book out, The Weekend That Changed Wall Street. Maria Bartiromo, welcome to Motley Fool Money. Hi, Chris. Thanks so much for having me. So the weekend you refer to is obviously the weekend of September 12th through the 14th, 2008.
Starting point is 00:19:42 For those who don't remember it vividly, Lehman Brothers' fate is sealed. Merrill Lynch barely survives. For all intents and purposes, AIG becomes government property. What prompted you to want to write the book? Well, you know, I was covering that moment in time and the entire financial crisis so closely that I felt that I had such a privilege to be able to speak to the insiders and have a front-row seat during this, what I felt was really an extraordinary moment in time for our country. And I felt that I had to document it.
Starting point is 00:20:19 I had to write about it. And so, you know, I had been collecting notes and collecting my interviews, and I knew that I would. I mean, I was busy at work doing the story of the day, but I knew that at some point I would want to sit back and sort of digest everything. And that's why I wrote the book. I just think it was really an extraordinary moment in time. And I think that in order to really understand where we're going in this economy
Starting point is 00:20:42 and where the jobs will be and how things will progress, You need to understand what happened that weekend and how we came so close to the edge, the financial system, that is. And there really are a lot of great behind-the-scenes stories in the book. And frankly, some of them are things that you almost couldn't make up. One that stands out in my mind is when it's getting down to the wire and the various leaders from these banks are going through the books of Lehman Brothers, they start finding examples of just how bad it is. And I'm quoting directly from one of your sources who says, in Dubai, you had man-made islands that hadn't been made, and people had bought houses on those islands and secured mortgages for them, but the islands didn't even exist yet. Right. It was extraordinary.
Starting point is 00:21:29 But I wrote that because I wanted people to understand why it was that so many people were saying that the books of Lehman Brothers were so much different and worse than, you know, other firms. But the truth is, when you consider that and the fact that they had this real estate all over the world that was just losing value quickly, you could understand why so many people were running from Lehman. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. We're talking with Maria Bartiromo. Her new book is The Weekend That Changed Wall Street. What surprised you the most when you were going back through your notes and putting this book together? I think I was surprised by the level of severity that we were faced with and how close the system came to falling and how industrial companies, the largest of industrial companies, were worried that they weren't going to make payroll because the commercial paper market dried up. I think this truly was. I mean, we say it all the time, the worst crisis in a generation, the worst crisis since World War II, but it really was. And I think that, you know, your average person out there didn't really understand swaps, CDOs, derivatives, you know, all this jargon that we talk about. But they did understand that the value of their house had plummeted and the value of their 401k was plummeting, and they wanted answers. And I think it's really important to recognize how we got there and why debt is so troublesome.
Starting point is 00:23:02 And that's why I think we are seeing change. I don't buy into the whole idea that business is back to normal and Wall Street hasn't learned anything. I do think we've seen change. And I think one of the big changes is the fact that the average person out there, whether it's an individual or an institution, recognizes that you cannot borrow forever and that debt is bad and that it will come back to haunt you. And that's why we're so focused on deficits and $13 trillion debt that this country faces and what's going on in Greece, because we've just lived through it with these firms taking on so much leverage. Do you think it's something about the banks themselves that they are almost too big or too complex? Because, again, when you think about things like they're going through the books at Lehman Brothers and they're finding these bizarre, toxic assets, it almost smacks of a company that is so large that it's impossible for someone at the top to get a feel for everything that's happening.
Starting point is 00:24:03 Yeah, I mean, I think that, you know, too big to fail is not necessarily the problem as much as too connected to fail is. You know, I mean, I don't think big is bad. And I think that, you know, Jamie Dimon, who runs J.P. Morgan, would argue that having a large bank is positive for shareholders and employees because when you're in different cycles for various businesses, one business, which may not be doing as well as the others, will offset the others, which perhaps are not doing as well. So I don't necessarily think that too big to fail is an issue. As much as I think too connected to fail is, and that's what we had with Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, AIG, and so many others.
Starting point is 00:24:47 So much connection, not only to each other, but to institutions globally, which is why the global economy really did come to its knees. You know, who knew that AIG was insuring everything from the derivative swaps in real estate to the bridge being built around the corner from you? You know, AIG is so connected, which is why the government, you know, I mean, at the end of the day, you know, the terms could have been much different. But the government ended up taking 80% of the firm to sort of stop the bleeding. Now, you could argue that the terms of the AIG acquisition by government were so different than the Citigroup acquisition, and why is that? But, you know, that's a debate that will continue. But the bottom line is, too connected to fail, and that's still the case, by the way, today, is a real problem.
Starting point is 00:25:40 You're listening to Motley Fool Money. My guest is Maria Bartiromo from CNBC and author of the new book, The Weekend That Changed Wall Street. Hindsight is, of course, always 20-20 vision. Looking back now at the events of that weekend, is there one domino in particular that you look at and think, wow, if that didn't happen, this would have turned out much better? Or is it a case that everything was just far too connected and this was almost inevitable? No, I think there were a couple of things that could have been done differently. I mean, for starters, you know, why is it that the government did not open the window to cheaper lending to Lehman Brothers and the other investment banks before the firm was facing such disaster?
Starting point is 00:26:26 because two weeks after the firm declared bankruptcy, the Fed opened the window to investment banks and allowed them to borrow money at the same rates as the commercial banks. So, I mean, there were steps, I think, that government could have taken. But I also think that Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and New York Fed head Tim Geithner needed to make Congress understand the severity of this. And I think they actually used Lehman as part of that by saying, look, this is the first domino to fail, you know, to fall. Lehman is first. Who knows who's next? We need money for TARP. And so, you know, Congress, I don't think, would have readily put out the money, approved the money, if, in fact, they didn't understand the severity.
Starting point is 00:27:19 And I think that's part of what happened. One of the jobs you had before working in business journalism, you worked as a teller at an off-track betting location. That's right. Did that experience help prepare you for working on Wall Street? Well, it was a weekend job when I was in college. It was on a Saturday. I don't know. I mean, you know, I said to someone who asked me this once, I said, well, maybe the urgency and the horse racing and the fast pace and dealing with money sort of planted a seed for me. I don't know. I mean, it was a good job. It was a city job, and it was a nice salary,
Starting point is 00:27:55 and I did it on Saturdays when I would come home from school, from college. Look, it was a great job, and I enjoyed it tremendously. I do not relate investing to gambling. I don't think it's the same, but at the end of the day, you're making a bet, right? You're betting on something. I hope that when you make that bet in the investment world, you've got some facts and some fundamentals to back up your bet rather than just a guess. So do you still bet on the horses? I'm looking for any tip I can get here. I never was a gambler.
Starting point is 00:28:28 I never actually bet on the horses. I just carried out the trades or the bets. But no, look, I mean, you know what I do like? I like blackjack. Really? Yeah, when I go to the Bahamas or, you know, on a vacation, I will always check out the blackjack table because it's fun. any chance we're going to see you in like i don't know i mean certainly the the poker is televised
Starting point is 00:28:52 if there's like a celebrity blackjack tournament we're not going to see that good in fact i always come up with a number usually it's about a hundred dollars that if i lose a hundred i'm gone i'm you know i write it off to um entertainment and that's it so if i lose a hundred i'm i don't think that you know that kind of number um is going to allow me to sit at the table with some of those big shots. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. My guest is Maria Bartiromo, host of CNBC's Closing Bell, and her new book is The Weekend That Changed Wall Street. All right, Maria, before I let you get away, I've got to end with a round of buy, sell, or hold. So let's start with the fact that you're teaching a class this fall at NYU's Stern School of Business. So buy, sell, or hold the
Starting point is 00:29:35 likelihood that Professor Bartiromo will be surprising her students with the occasional pop quiz? Buy. Okay. All right. Students, you're on notice. Your book is filled with many luminaries from the financial world, and she's one of them. Buy, sell, or hold Elizabeth Warren being named to head up the new Consumer Financial Protection Agency. No, that's a definite buy. Why is that? Because I think that she's done a great job. She's been very vocal about it. I think she probably gets the job. I'm fully expecting her to get the job. Like you, she's a native New Yorker who attended NYU. Buy, sell or hold Lady Gaga? Well, I would have to say buy. I mean, she has been very successful. She clearly has a plan and a vision for herself. You know,
Starting point is 00:30:29 I think I say you go, girl. And finally, she's been in The Sopranos and she appears in the upcoming film, Wall Street, Money Never Sleeps, buy, sell, or hold the acting career of Maria Bartiromo? Sell that one. Sell? I'm not going to become an actress. I'm having the best time of my life right now. I'll do this as long as they'll let me. The book is The Weekend That Changed Wall Street. It's available everywhere now. And Maria, I know you've got a birthday coming up this weekend, so I hope for your birthday you get a spot on the New York Times bestseller list. Ah, thank you so much. Thanks for being here. Really appreciate it. Coming up, box office bombs and a look at the stocks on our radar.
Starting point is 00:31:33 This is Motley Fool Money. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about. Don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. I'm Chris Hill, and back in the studio with me, our trio of senior analysts, Seth Jason, James Early, and Charlie Travers. Guys, one story we did not get to earlier in the show. Now that summer's over, the official summer box office results have come out for the movie industry, and they were decidedly less than awesome.
Starting point is 00:32:03 Revenue for the summer box office down 1%. total ticket sales, that number was down 6%. That's the worst it's been in a while. Just quickly, last movie you saw in the theaters? Well, that's the problem. It's all on Netflix, streaming Netflix. So there's your answer. James?
Starting point is 00:32:21 You know, I really can't remember. I mean, it was probably something with Marky Mark, but I mean, it was probably seven or eight years ago. Charlie? Apparently I'm the only guy here who doesn't live in a cave. I actually saw Inception and Iron Man 2 this summer. I saw Iron Man 2, but it was the only non-kid movie I saw. I saw Toy Story 3 with the kids and Despicable Me and all that sort of thing.
Starting point is 00:32:42 Steve, I believe you have a little box office quiz for us. I do. Now it's time to play Guess the Box Office Bombs. I'm going to throw out a few 2010 summer releases. You tell me if they made or lost money at the domestic box office. That is, did their production budgets exceed their U.S. ticket sales? For some perspective, Toy Story 3 had a production budget of $200 million and it brought in around $409 million domestically. And internationally, by the way, it brought in another $622 million more.
Starting point is 00:33:11 You really can't go wrong betting on Pixar. You just can't. All right, Steve, what's first? Movie one, Robin Hood. Did it make or lose money at the U.S. box office? That's Robin Hood starring Russell Crowe. It came out this summer. Oh, that one?
Starting point is 00:33:24 Oh, that had to be a loser. I thought you were talking about the Kevin Costner loser. I've never even heard of it, so I'm going to say loser. I totally agree. Yeah, no, no, no way. You are indeed all correct. It did lose money. Well, we have sound effects on this show.
Starting point is 00:33:36 We do. We're branching out. Production budget was $200 million. Domestically, it brought in around $105 million. Interesting, foreign box office, around $205 million. So they still made money. Amazing. They did.
Starting point is 00:33:50 Movie number two, MacGruber. Did it make or lose money at the U.S. box office? There is no way that thing made money. Oh, I think it had to make money because I can't imagine production. If they spent a lot making that movie, they're idiots. James? I'm going to say losing money. I've never heard of it either.
Starting point is 00:34:05 I agree with Seth here. Beat on low cost. All right. The production budget was $10 million. Domestically, it brought in around $8.5 million. Oh! Yes. James and I nailed it.
Starting point is 00:34:15 That little? It got decent reviews. Holy crap. You can really bomb with a movie. When you have a lot of explosions in your movie, and at least from the commercials, it seemed like that movie had a lot of explosions, that's going to run up your production costs.
Starting point is 00:34:26 No, that's just a can of gas, man. Ardex Movie is the A-team. Did it make or lose money at the U.S. box office? This whole quiz is a trick. They're all losers. Loser. Now, I'm going to say that one's a winner. There's not enough nostalgia to make money for it.
Starting point is 00:34:43 An approximate tie. I'm going to say. Roughly matched. An approximate tie. Charlie? Witter. Well, the production budget was $110 million. Domestically, it brought in around $77 million.
Starting point is 00:34:54 Ha! Take that, Mr. T, even though you weren't in this one, I don't think. Maybe that was the problem. Maybe they should have brought Mr. T back. I would have gone had he been there. Would you really? For sure. You say that, but I mean, you would have waited for it to stream on Netflix.
Starting point is 00:35:08 There you go. All right, Steve. Our final movie, Sex and the City 2. Did it make or lose money at the U.S. box office? Lose money. You know, for the sake of humanity, I hope it lost money because that would maybe ensure that they wouldn't make a Sex and the City 3. Dude, do you pay attention to what your wife watches?
Starting point is 00:35:25 I don't think she's seen this one. Really? I don't think so. If she has seen it, she was smart enough not to tell me and try and take me with her. And the nanny. Well, Sex and the City, the production budget was $100 million. Domestically, it brought in around $95 million. No way.
Starting point is 00:35:42 However, Foreign Box Office brought in another $195 million. I can't believe it cost them that much to make that. That's going to be all salaries. It's just a bunch of people sitting around a table at a restaurant complaining about men, for crying out loud. That sounds like this show. That probably holds appeal for some people. All right. Thank you, Steve.
Starting point is 00:36:00 All right, guys. Time to talk about the stocks that are on our radar. And Charlie Travers, let's start with you. Oh, yes. Actually, I'm going to squeeze in two stocks for you, Chris. Okay. The first is in air quotes, R2-D2. My neighbor has a real R2-D2 in his backyard, and this is like the coolest thing I've ever seen or the creepiest.
Starting point is 00:36:18 But that leads into my real- What do you mean by real? Like a robot? Full-size robot. Does it move? Not that I've seen, and I hope it doesn't. It's a statue kind of. Yes.
Starting point is 00:36:27 But my real space stock is Orbital Sciences. They do work for NASA with the space station, and they launch satellites up into space. What is the ticker symbol? ORB. All right. James Hurley. Chris, I'm going with a weird company called Almost Family. The ticker is AFAM.
Starting point is 00:36:44 This is a home health care company that helps sort of elderly people in their houses. The business in general, I like it, and they've got a lot of good numbers. They have some clarity now with the new Medicare health reform legislation, but there is an SEC investigation and a class action lawsuit related to allegedly unsavory Medicare billing practices, in other words, overbilling. So I'm not endorsing it, but it could be an interesting sort of growth value play. Oh, I'll endorse it. It's a hidden gem stock.
Starting point is 00:37:15 We own it. And there is a complex story with this billing thing, But what happened is Medicare had to fix how it billed in order to get people to stop abusing the system. They did make that fix. And Almost Family has for years, at least in my opinion, been one of the leaders in trying to clean up billing. And this entire industry has some really sleazy practices. Almost Family has been one of the good ones. And so I think this will all blow over.
Starting point is 00:37:40 But that gets me to my stock. Okay. And I can talk about it very quickly. Nokia, symbol is N-O-K. You might remember them. It seems like they used to make mobile phones that people used. I heard something about that. Yes.
Starting point is 00:37:49 They just brought in a new CEO, a Microsoft executive, Mr. Alop, Stephen Alop, if that's how you pronounce his name, the guy who ran the Office division. And Microsoft Office has been a very good platform for them, much improved lately. I'm not sure he's the guy to turn around Nokia's phones. I think Nokia has just lost its mojo. I don't think the operating system they've got is really going to do much. And I think Nokia remains a low margin player worldwide and is therefore a stock to be avoided. Continue avoiding it.
Starting point is 00:38:20 But if they could produce a phone that weighs less than five pounds, it's going to be a minor. All right. Seth Jason, James Early, Charlie Travers. Guys, thanks for being here. Thank you, Chris. You're welcome. Thanks to our special guest this week, CNBC host Maria Bartiromo. Her new book is The Weekend That Changed Wall Street.
Starting point is 00:38:35 If you missed any part of the show, you can find it at our website, motleyfoolmoney.com. You can also get a copy of our free report, The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2010. And our latest report at The Motley Fool is Five Red Flags, how to find the big short, learn how to protect your wealth, and tactically short the market's most vulnerable stocks. Just visit bigshort.fool.com to claim your free report. That's bigshort.fool.com. Our engineer is Steve Broido. Our producer is Mac Greer. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.

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