Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Netflix Makes a Shocking Acquisition
Episode Date: December 5, 2025Netflix announced it will buy Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming assets, beating Paramount Skydance and Comcast who were also bidding for the assets. We discuss the implications for the ...streaming industry and winners and losers. Plus, Meta cuts spending on the metaverase and stocks on our radar. Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Jason Moser discuss: - Netflix buys WBD - Mark Zuckerberg cuts metaverase spending - Where will disruption come from next? - Stocks on our radar Companies discussed: Netflix (NFLX), Disney (DIS), Hims & Hers (HIMS), Meta Platforms (META), Alphabet (GOOG), Delta (DAL), Salesforce (CRM). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Lou Whiteman, Jason Moser Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Netflix is buying Warner Bros. Discovery.
Are the streaming wars finally over?
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Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm Travis Hoy. I'm joined by Lou Whiteman and Jason Moser.
Guys, we got to start with the news of the day.
That is Netflix buying Warner Brothers Discovery, or at least part of Warner Brothers Discovery.
They're going to be spinning off WBD's Discovery Global.
that's the old TV station, CNN, TNT, stuff like that. But Netflix is going to pay $82.7 billion
in total. Warner Brothers Discovery shareholder, if you are a shareholder, you're going to get
$23.25 worth of cash, $4.50 in Netflix stock. Netflix is also taking out $59 billion worth
of debt to finance this deal. There's a $5.8 billion breakup fee. There's a lot going on here,
Lou. But what is your first reaction? This news came out early on Friday, and I think it was
frankly surprising because it wasn't Netflix that seemed like they were in the lead. It was
Paramount, Sundance, and Skydance. I can't get these names correct. And suddenly, Netflix is
the winner. So, in 2013, Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos said, the goal is to become HBO faster
and HBO can become us. Spoiler alert, or what is this? Is this a surprise ending or something like
what? They are going to become HBO in a weird way. But yeah, I mean, the first reaction is, wow,
I think it makes sense. I can't help but make the stupid joke about 25 years ago, there was a
market-defining deal where the target had Warner in the name and it marked the top.
I think this is different, though, because I do think that AOL might have been coming from a place
of desperation. Netflix sees an opportunity here. Netflix sees, I think, an amazing opportunity to
get a great content library in a world where it's getting harder for them to license because
everybody has a competing product. Nobody wants to give Netflix their content anymore. Yes,
it's a lot of debt. Yes, it's a lot of risk. Yes, we'll see what regulators have to say.
But this makes sense. And I think as a consumer, I probably like this outcome too. So there's a lot
of wow here, but I think a lot to like. Jason, what were your thoughts when you
saw this deal? I guess it made me think these annual price increases for Netflix probably even
going to go a little bit further because they now really take that top position of, you know what,
if you have streaming, I haven't had cable for, I think, over a decade now. Netflix is one of those
you have to have if you don't have a cable subscription. I agree. It's a bedrock streaming
subscription for virtually every household. I think that only becomes more the case with a
deal like this. It's funny, you saw Ted Sarando saying, I know that some of you are surprised we
made this deal, right? We tend to like to build things rather than buy them, but they just view
this as a unique opportunity, as Lou said there, to go ahead and get a catalog of just some very
valuable IP, some very valuable content that they know customers like. You look at Netflix,
around 300 million subscribers there. And with HBO Max and all of this, that's a little bit less
than half of that. So they're going to add some subscribers. There's clearly some overlap there,
but they're going to bring some new subscribers into the mix there. And more so, they will have
just a ton of additional content that comes with it. I think the one thing, I'm not as excited
about the deal. I understand why they're doing it. But it also makes me a little nervous from
what we were talking about earlier, Travis, like the Disney perspective. And what I mean by that
is, you think about this, Disney has a market capitalization today around $186 billion. That's
on $94.5 billion in revenue and $12.3 billion in net income. Netflix, on the other hand,
has around $435 billion market capital and just over $43 billion in revenue and $10.5 billion
in net income. I think one of the things that's really held Disney back over the last several
years, one of, I think, a few, I think they relate to the streaming game, better late than never,
but that Fox acquisition, I think, set them back a little bit because it was such a large
commitment. I just worry about this from Netflix's perspective in that it is such a large commitment.
it could take some time to really flow through the financials and make as much sense.
But generally speaking, I do understand the move. If there's a company that's going to be able to
execute this, I think it's Netflix. So, I get why they're doing it. Definitely true. I would say,
though, it matters what you buy. And so, I do think that Warner, I see more logic here. I mean,
I told Disney, Fox, I see what they were doing. But I do think the target matters and the target's
better. Travis, on the pricing thing as a consumer, all I'd notice is that if you actually
do want this content, I doubt Netflix raises their price by $11 per month. And the minimum
to be a Warner Brothers streaming customer was $11 per month. So I think that speaks to the
optionality here. I think some of what the studios are upset about, will movies go to
the theaters anymore kind of some of those questions i think netflix can kind of give in
on that pretty easily and maybe they have made some promises that they're gonna keep keep having
theatrical releases but also ted sarandos was the one who said that you know basically we don't care
about theaters so this is there is some natural tension in the deal and a lot of times what
happens with these kind of deals is you make a a promise or a commitment and five or ten years
from now, you kind of forget about that. But let's look at the other way. And maybe I'm being
too Pollyanna here, but does the bigger studio presence mean that it makes more economic sense
to sort of lean into the theater as another source of revenue? Yeah, and with $59 billion in debt,
maybe you need to think about that. Right, right, right. Well, that's it. I'd offer new ways to
tackle that. I don't know. I think there's a lot of ways to play out. The one thing,
and you know i mean that not i mean disney has had good management and less good management
every year the one thing again i would say too is is that if you're going to bet the jockey
i'm going to bet on netflix's management team to work to work through some of the wrinkles iron out
the wrinkles here and i don't know i don't want to be too positive like i say i still wonder if
it gets through especially globally with antitrust but i do think that man you're putting a really
smart people in charge of even more great assets. And as an investor, there's a lot to like about
that. I think that makes perfect sense, too. And the other thing to think about, too, is because
of all of these assets they're bringing in, and this could go one of two ways, but there's a
distinct possibility we will see more levels for subscriptions coming from Netflix. Do you think
there's going to be a Netflix Plus? Netflix Max. Maybe. Let's get a little bit more creative,
right? But I mean, you're catching my drift there, right? I mean, it could be. I mean,
think about it, Netflix in the day, one of its keys to success was simplicity, right? It just
was easy. And as time grows, as the competitive jockeying heated up in the space, they had to
kind of start offering some more levels of subscriptions to be able to attract various
consumers and exercise that pricing power sort of incrementally along the way. So, I mean,
it wouldn't shock me at all to see them offering some more levels of subscriptions with this
acquisition, which could be good for consumers, but it also means it's going to be a little bit
more convoluted or difficult to figure out exactly which level you really want. But that might give
them the opportunity to flex that pricing power a little bit more under the radar, so to speak.
I want to get to some of the other competitors here, because I think the other piece that we
have to think about with Netflix is, I don't think this deal gets done if it's not at least a little
bit defensive, meaning Netflix can now play offense, say, you know what, we're going to be
the biggest and we're going to buy this huge studio and we're going to keep it away from
Comcast and Peacock and Paramount Skydance. Jason, when you look at that, how do those
companies survive now? I mean, I think that's where you do have Netflix. They're by far the
biggest. Disney is now profitable in their streaming business. They have a pretty clear
strategy you have disney plus with kind of the kids stuff you have more adult general and
entertainment is under hulu espn i don't i don't know how we don't have numbers behind how many
streamers they have but it seems clear that that's going to be the they're going to be pulling in all
kinds of stuff with sports then you have these other companies that they're just not big enough
to be the must-have and they if you're looking at what you're going to cancel on your streaming bill
it seems like the odds of canceling those even goes up after this if netflix actually pulls this
off. Well, I think you're right there. And so, to Lou's point, I kind of wonder if this thing
actually does make it past the regulatory side, because it is really a big deal where the strong
only gets stronger. I mean, we're looking at pretty much the incumbents in this space at this
point are Disney and Netflix, and then there's everybody else. And it's very fragmented with
all of those different streaming properties. It makes it very, very difficult for them to operate.
They can keep on doing what they're doing, but that doesn't mean it's going to be attractive
from an investing perspective, and they're not going to ever really be able to exercise the
same level of pricing power unless they have some kind of differentiation. A time ago, I would have
said maybe that was live sports with Peacock, but we're already seeing, you've got Disney,
you've got now Netflix really trying to enter that live sports space. Let's not forget about Amazon
in their streaming business as well. I think you look at that trifecta with Disney, Amazon,
and Netflix, and then there's everybody else. I think the competitive landscape has just gotten
a lot more difficult for everyone else. Maybe it's the banking in my past,
but every problem gets solved by a deal, guys. You know that. Every problem is solved by a deal.
Peacock, Paramount. By the way, this deal isn't going to close for a year and a half,
Right. But I think, look, there is two tiers. And I think the royalty is the royalty. The rest
have to team up. Peacock, Paramount, call each other. I think that deal makes sense. I think
it would make at least a stronger second-tier player. Real question there is egos. I don't see
the Ellisons wanting to give up control. And I think Comcast likes having a horse in this race.
I don't know how you structure that so everybody is happy, but assuming Netflix is allowed to buy
Warner Brothers Discovery, and maybe it becomes easier if Peacock and Paramount are together,
because you can say, look, this is another. You could at least try and make the argument
to regulators, but I do think that further consolidation is the natural result of something
this big. It makes you wonder if those smaller competitors aren't maybe behind the scenes
knocking on the doors of Amazon, Disney, and Netflix and saying, hey, guys, you want to buy
us too? How fun would that be? Here's the other question. You also have this spinoff that isn't
getting much attention, the cable networks. I believe Comcast is still planning to do the same
thing. Is that another deal, Lou, that could potentially happen? Same answer. Yeah, same
answer. The Comcast TV networks, it's trying to tread water with a little more scale to spread
out over the sales team? Yeah, I think there are too many of these things, period. As a consumer,
as a business, consolidation slash failure, I think consolidation is more likely because they
all do have something of value. I think probably that's the way the world was going before this
deal, but a big deal tends to shake things up and cause other deals. So, yeah. Who is the big winner
here? That's going to be my final question. Lou, you go first. If you've got to pick one stock,
which one is it? Oh, man. You know, you want me to say Disney, I may say Disney.
Just by not doing anything, Disney is the winner. Well, the bold case is, you know,
we talked about it. Disney had some issues before with some of what they did. If nothing else,
you're bringing your biggest competitor drama too, right? So you're kind of bringing them down
to your level. And also, yeah, I do think that Disney, maybe all of that issues will one day
look like a first mover advantage, right? But I think them, I still think Netflix is a big winner
here, because again, I go back to this, maybe I'm too optimistic, but you give the smartest people
in the room more good assets. And as an investor, I'll take my chances with that. Jason?
Lou, you stole my answer. The smartest people in the room. I was going to say,
I think that, again, if there's any company that's going to be able to execute this type
of an acquisition effectively, I think that Netflix is probably it. They just clearly have
a tremendous track record of success, some very smart people in the business. And again,
And I think a brand that is just a bedrock of the home entertainment landscape today.
I just don't see that going away.
When we come back, we're going to get to the other big news of the week.
That is Meta Platforms cutting spending on the Metaverse.
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Welcome back to Motley Fool Money.
Meta announced this week that it is cutting investment in the metaverse by about 30%.
Now, we don't know the exact details, what's the metaverse, what's AI, but this was a massive
investment that Mark Zuckerberg made in trying to build out VR, AR. They even changed their name.
Lou, has this whole metaverse thing been a mistake by the former Facebook? By the way,
can we get that name back? Or change it to AI platforms? I don't know. Yeah. Look, guys,
I don't know what to think. I can't figure out if I am going to praise Zuck here or bury him.
Because look, in one sense, this is a growth stock that makes a lot of money. You want these CEOs to
be making big bets. Meta has a money printing machine in its advertising business. I don't
necessarily want to just pay a dividend there. You want that cash to be invested in the business for
big ideas. On the other hand, you judge your CEO on making good choices with what to do with that
money. It just isn't a matter of throwing money at the wall. It's let's make good investments.
Easy for me to say in hindsight, but was there ever a moment where any of us wanted to say,
hey, Zuck, why don't you burn $77 billion to put us all inside of a video game? That would be cute,
right? And now look, yeah, a lot of this I think is they want to invest in AI. Either good news,
bad news, AI is going to make that $77 billion look like pocket change. So, you know, here we
go again. But yeah, I don't know what to think here. Yes, take big swings. But at the end of
the day, you will be judged on the quality of the investments you make. And I don't ever really
understand where they were going with Meta. And probably for shareholders, good riddance.
Yeah. I think Lou's right there. It's a little bit of both. You want to praise him and maybe
kind of chastise him a little bit for this, because it was clearly not the right move.
I mean, you just look back at the last two years, and that has chalked up close to $40 billion in
operating losses in the Reality Lab segment. But clearly, AI is the opportunity going forward. So,
it's good to see Zuck at least acknowledging that. I mean, as investors, right, when things
aren't working out, you just sort of change your mind when the facts change. And clearly here,
I mean, I followed the space for several years. And while there are some interesting sort of
implications of AR and VR, this metaverse sort of concept just hasn't really developed, I think,
as he would have hoped. Now, it's not to say that it won't in the future. Maybe it will.
Maybe it'll be well after we're gone, guys. I don't know. But this made me think about Google
or Alphabet from the perspective of their other bets segment. And when you look at other bets,
yeah, other bets, that segment loses a lot of money, too. But if you just look over the last
two years, I mean, it's basically, its losses are a quarter of what Reality Labs' losses are.
Diversified losses, too. And that was going to be my next point. Exactly. It includes businesses
like Calico, which is biotechnology. G-Fiber, right? You've got what Verily in health science
is. You've got Waymo. You've got Wing, which is drone delivery. They've got their X, which don't
mistake that for the old Twitter. X is Alphabet's moonshot factory, which is that research and
development facility. So, to your point there, yeah, that's a very well-diversified other bets
business. And I think the market has always given it a lot of credit for, for that Facebook meta,
whatever they decided to call themselves. Yeah. It's still an advertising play. That's not a bad
thing. They do that very well. Uh, but trying to figure out that next iteration, that next sort of
paradigm turns out that's a little bit more difficult than perhaps we thought. The other
thing that kind of goes against what the release was about, or the information that came out about
these cuts at the Metaverse is they hired Alan Dye, who's coming from Apple. He was one of their
design executives. He's known for things like the Apple Watch and the Vision Pro. So when you look
at something like their AR ambitions with the glasses, you have that wrist device that senses
what you're doing with your hand. You have displays. So there's a lot of overlap there.
It almost seems like they're shifting from this metaverse idea to going all in on what
he, it was described as he's going to be running AI-equipped consumer devices.
So, were we just renaming the metaverse to AI-verse, Lou?
Renaming, I don't know, because I do think there is a difference.
You know, you have to stick in the real world with a lot of, with the glasses and stuff.
You don't get to go into the cartoon.
But yes, I think it's pretty clearly, if we want to give Zuck a more charitable read,
he did see that in the future, we are going to be experiencing augmented, all sorts of
just like reality plus scenarios.
And maybe he was wrong on the video game world, but he may not be wrong on the AI-assisted
reality.
And so it is more of a shift than it is just a, we were wrong.
Definitely going to be interesting to see what they do with all that cash, because AI
is costing a lot of money they don't have a clear strategy there but they're obviously spending a
lot of money to pull people in to try to figure this out uh and so we it seems like zuckerberg's
long-term reputation is going to be determined over this next five to ten years when we come
back we're going to play unstoppable force versus immovable object you're listening to motley fool
money
welcome back to motley fool money today we're going to play unstoppable force versus immovable
object and the unstoppable force is these disruptive companies that it seems like
just keep growing and compounding year after year so think about amazon or netflix
do those companies win long term in some of these industries we're going to talk about
or is it the immovable objects, the incumbents that just kind of don't seem to go anywhere?
So let's start. I'm going to go with you, Jason. Is our electric vehicles an unstoppable force
of disruption in the auto industry, or have we gotten past that and the immovable object is going
to be Detroit and big oil and sort of the current political environment? Are we taking away some of
these incentives for electric vehicles and maybe going back to the big gas guzzling SUVs?
I think that longer term, the electric vehicle is the unstoppable force. I think like with most
things, with most tech advancements and tech waves, there's a lot of hype and a lot of
expectation in that things will happen a lot more quickly. History just shows that they tend to
develop and evolve a little bit more slowly than we had hoped. For example, we're seeing folks now
of a sudden saying, well, maybe I don't want a gas vehicle, maybe I want a hybrid. It could be
a plug-in hybrid or just a regular hybrid. They start making that shift away from what we've done
traditionally through the years. I think that when you're looking at it through the right timelines,
I think electric vehicles are absolutely an unstoppable force. If you're looking at stocks
in the space. Tesla is the obvious name. Given Elon Musk's resources and ability just to continue
allocating and accumulating resources, it's hard to bet against him. I know he's mercurial
and gets people worked up, but it sure feels like Tesla is going to be an important company
in our economy for many years to come. For the record, I love my hybrid. I will
never buy another car other than a hybrid, but I'm not ready for an EV. So, it makes sense.
Jason's spot on. The narrative wasn't wrong. The narrative was just going too quick.
Electric vehicles, I think, are an unstoppable force, period. It'll just take a while.
For me, the stock to play on that, not just kiss up to the host, is that if this is going to take
longer than you think, so there is a market for ICE vehicles longer than you think, but we are
heading towards an electric future, General Motors, with the resources to both invest in the
future and still supply today, I think that's a pretty good stock to just play the reality,
not the hype. By the way, the number two EV maker in the U.S., a lot of people don't realize that
GM is actually pretty big, and they've got similar margins to Tesla at this point. So,
if making money matters, GM's actually pretty good at that. All right, next up, wind, solar
batteries, renewable energy. This has been between 70% and 90% of new capacity being built in the US
as we move to artificial intelligence. If we need more power, that seems like where we should be
going. But you have the immovable object of the existing infrastructure, the political lobby,
tariffs, the reality of renewable energy being an intermittent energy source, which always seems to
come up, especially with these AI discussions. So if we do have an energy boom driven by AI over
the next five to 10 years, which it seems like we're going to, are wind, solar, and batteries,
these renewable energy technologies going to be the winners? Or is it just going to be kind of
the old guard? Lou, I'm going to have you go first. Yeah, not to mention the other thing here
is that the old guard is still more efficient. I mean, burning dinosaur fossils, it's not good
for the environment, but it is still the most efficient way to get things to go. But yeah,
I think I hate calling renewables an unstoppable force because I don't know how or when renewables
are going to end fossil fuels, but I do think they are a big and important part of the overall
solution that will continue. So definitely a force, maybe not unstoppable. Tesla's tempting
here too, I guess, but we already mentioned Tesla and Tesla, they only do some things.
I want to play the field here because it scares me just taking on one wind or even one solar
project or trying to bet on one thing. Brookfield Renewable Partners, BEP, just a collection of all
of this and kind of riding the trend without having to pick winners. I think that this is a
force and I think that is a stock to invest to sort of benefit as this happens. Sort of an old
guard company with newer technology underneath. Yes. Jason, what do you think? Yeah, I mean,
I think renewables are the way of the future. We're clearly headed in that direction. Again,
it goes back to, it's just going to take a little while to fully get there. It's a big world out
there. It's funny, I was down in Georgia for the holidays, driving to my parents' house down in
Moultrie, Georgia, and just along the way, saw plenty of solar farms out there with a lot of
solar cells out there generating electricity, a lot of farmland down there. We're seeing even
agriculture starting to adopt that solar mentality. And there's a ton of sunlight out there, right?
And so, I think I'm going to take this a couple of different ways. One, I know that we've got a
lot of folks in our Foolish universe who like first solar. First solar, I think, is a compelling
idea. I mean, it does not come without risks. I think the solar space in general is just really,
really difficult. Again, I think, ultimately, it's just too great of a resource to pass up on.
But then the flip side of that, too, is, I'm going to go back to Amazon, what Jeff Bezos
was talking about a few months ago, with data centers in space, Travis. The beauty of having
the data center in space is just unlimited power because you're up there with the sun.
Now, who actually is providing the generation there, I guess, remains to be seen. Maybe
First Solar will be a part of that. Probably, it will be another company that has yet to
even start. But I think it just makes you think of things through the appropriate time lens.
If you can conceptualize data centers in space, then I think you can sort of conceptualize the
idea that absolutely renewals are going to be the way. This seems like a pitch for a Jason Moser
VC fund to space projects that probably won't happen for another 10 or 15 years.
We'll connect after the show. You're a little younger than I am. So maybe if we partner up,
You can be there to watch and succeed eventually. I want to get your thoughts on what's going on
in healthcare right now. This seems like an area where there's much more innovation
than has happened over the past 20 years. I've got young kids, so I'm kind of seeing this up front,
the points of frustration, the points of opportunity. Do we have an immovable object,
Lou, in big pharma, big insurance, just sort of the establishment in healthcare? Or is there
an unstoppable force of disruption in telehealth, in direct-to-consumer medicine? You have a startup
from, I'm blanking on his name, the old Mavericks owner. Mark Cuban. You have stocks like him's and
hers. Where is your head at with these companies? Because this looks like both an opportunity and
a threat, depending on what your view is. So I am siding with the immovable object here,
but with a huge asterisk. It's broken. Healthcare is broken in this country. And I think some of
these forces that are coming in need to augment it and change it. But I think there's so much
established. I don't see the immovable objects going away. So it's kind of a weird answer because
yes, they're broken. Yes, they need to be disrupted. But there is just too much infrastructure
in place that I think that, I mean, what Mark Cuban is doing, what these telemedicine,
they contribute, they help, but they are not in and of themselves an answer. We need a better
answer. We need a better unstoppable force. I don't think I've seen it yet. Just kind of on
that theme, I'm going to do a stock that's kind of way out there, but just kind of on hope that
maybe. I'm going to take Amazon for this one. Because Amazon keeps trying to disrupt or get
involved in different parts of the healthcare environment. They have a ton of money to throw
at the problem. I don't know how to solve this. I wish I did. But maybe, people at Amazon are
smarter than me, guys. And maybe they can figure out how to do it. Jason?
Yeah, I agree with Lou on the immovable object. It does feel like for as many great and innovative
companies that are out there trying to help reshape the health landscape and utilize technology,
I think they're more of a feature. They're an add-on to this immovable object that is our
healthcare system. I've always talked about Teladoc being a wonderful service. We've used it
so many times in our household. Travis, you mentioned having kids. We had stretches where
they were taking care of pink-eyed situations, and we never had to leave the house. That was
just really convenient. But ultimately, we've seen these companies have some difficulty making
that leap into the next level of the healthcare system. I think we're seeing what HIMS and HERS
is doing. The market clearly has a lot of enthusiasm for that company day. Again, I think
they're features of this broader healthcare system. I'll share that several months back,
I actually bought shares of UnitedHealth just when the stock was tanking because I view that
as one of those companies that essentially, and I don't want to jinx it, it just feels too big to
fail. It is so big and so integral to our healthcare system. Rather than it going away,
yeah, it's going to have to be a part of how we reshape it. But to me, between the dividend and
the depressed stock price, I thought, well, hey, there's an opportunity for a little healthcare
exposure with one of the top dogs in the space. The Minnesota economy thanks you, Jason,
the headquarters is not too far from me. I want to end on this one, and that is a topic that's
been really popular on the market today, especially with a lot of the leaders in tech.
That's AI in the physical world. Is that going to be an unstoppable force? And you can take this
any direction that you want. Or is the immovable object that, you know what, people are still
ultimately what's going to matter? And there's just so many areas that we talk about being
disrupted, uh, with humanoid robots, uh, or there's, there's, there's so many potential
opportunities. And I keep coming back to, I don't know, maybe my kids are just doing the same stuff
I'm doing today. So Jason, where does your head go? And you look at robotics and AI in the physical
world being an opportunity because Jensen Wong talks about this. Elon Musk talks, talks about
this. These are some of the wealthiest people in the world. They're making the decisions about
what's going on in tech, but are they right? I think with AI, the conversation we're having
with a lot of us today, at least, with these absurd amounts of money that are being invested
in AI, what does AI mean? That's a very broad term. Understanding physical, tangible examples
of what AI can do for us in our life, it's just not always so clear how companies are ultimately
going to be able to monetize that. But when you start talking about robotics, I think that's where
you know, that tangible example starts to make sense. And yeah, that's probably oftentimes going
to be more in the industrial side of things as opposed to like the consumer commercial style
of things. At least early on. At least early on, right? So, I mean, you look at sort of the obvious
examples with Amazon and its Kiva acquisition, incorporating the robotics into the warehouses.
I mean, that is only becoming more and more the case where these robots are taking care of
business and working alongside humans, right? It's not like humans are going away, but yeah,
maybe you don't need that same size workforce. I mean, it's boring companies like UPS, again,
incorporating AI into their logistics model and robotics in order to be able to sort of help take
care of problems like that. And then companies like AMD and NVIDIA developing the technology
along the way. So certainly I see AI in the physical world making a lot of sense from that
perspective, even today. Yeah. AI is going to make the world easier. Robotics is going to make
the world easier, it's not going to replace people. Like Jason said, whether or not it's
just we need someone to babysit the robots, repair the robots, maintain the robots, I don't know what
the future looks like, but I am very, very confident that there will still be a big role
for people. As far as the stock here, give me Honeywell, or at least Honeywell once they break
into three parts. Automation is a big thing. Is this going to be like a success story of the
GE breakup where finally you would start unlocking value?
Well, yeah. I mean, I will say I have no desire to own Honeywell right now, but all three of
those parts that they are, yeah, I think it definitely could be. There's a lot of companies,
so GXO Logistics is one I love to go to with just automation. It's about making human workers
their lives easier and maybe changing the job function. I don't see any time in my foreseeable
future where it's just nothing but robots. But I do think that blend will hopefully improve quality
of life all across the board. Yeah. We'll need to work together,
people to babysit the robots or ultimately people to disable the robots when they inevitably turn
against us. Yes. And Jason, that's why I'm my prime
director. These robot lawnmowers, we do not want to arm the robots, right? Yeah. So factories are
The one thing I want. Not blades, please.
No. When we come back,
we're going to touch on earnings and get to stocks on our radar. You're listening to
to Matley for me.
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We did have some earnings this week. Jason, what did we learn from Salesforce? This is one of those
AI plays, but is that really the story for them? Yeah. Well, we're talking about tangible examples
of AI and what it could be doing. It seems like at least for Salesforce, these investments are
working for the business. Shares have been having a tough year for sure, but they continue to connect
the dots, I think, to where big AI investments are actually driving growth. If they can keep
doing that, ultimately, the stock price takes care of itself. But to me, Salesforce's business
is one where it is a bit more obvious about how AI tools can help their customers in customer
relationship management. And they talked about it on the call. They said it was the best third
quarter ever in the history of the company. And it was the fastest growth that they did in bookings.
But then they also noted, and I thought this was interesting because it reminded me of CrowdStrike's
earnings earlier this week, net new average order value. They had the fastest growth in net new
average order value. And that, to me, tells us a lot. Bringing in that new business and assuming
the reason why they're bringing in that new business is because they continue to advance
with these AI tools and helping their customers in that customer relationship management business.
And it was interesting. There was one example Benioff called out in the call with AgentForce,
the annual recurring revenue around $540 million for the quarter. That was up 330%
from a year ago. And he pointed to the Williams-Sonoma example of their AI sous chef
named Olive. So, if you have any questions as to what is Salesforce, go to WilliamsSonoma.com
and just check out their AI sous chef, Olive. It's their chatbot. It's just fun to play with
if you're a kitchen and cooking nerd like me. I definitely need to check that one out.
These AI plays are so interesting because their revenue grew 9% year over year. That's what I
always wonder about is, is AI going to ultimately drive a lot of revenue growth for these companies?
We always end with stocks on our radar. We bring in Dan Boyd for comments or questions. Lou,
what is on your radar this week? Dan, I'm looking at Delta Airlines,
ticker DAL. Delta this week came out with an estimate on the cost of the government shutdown,
which included, of course, a curtailment of their flying. There was going to be a hit.
It was $200 million, about half of what analysts had expected. Part of the reason why
was the continued strong pricing power they're seeing. Dan, this is a best-in-class operator
in a market of haves and have-nots that just keeps winning. They have 30% of the lucrative
of business market, despite having only about 20% of the seats in the U.S. And here's the punchline.
Delta, which is a clear market leader and has been doing better than the industry,
trades at about half of the earnings multiple as rivals like American and Southwest, who,
quite frankly, aren't doing as well. That's a really weird time to be an investor. These are
cyclical, but a lot of really interesting things going on at Delta right now.
Dan, are you a Delta guy? I am not a Delta guy. But Lou,
Where are you going, pal? You're flying Delta. Where's the destination?
Can I go to New Zealand? Can I go visit Peter Beck?
Oh, that sounds fun. Jason, what is on your radar this week?
We were just on Delta over the holidays. They just treated us very, very nicely. So,
yeah, look, I'm going to go with DocuSign, ticker is D-O-C-U. They reported earnings this week as
well. It's been a less than stellar year for the stock, but the business actually continues
to perform quite respectably. They pulled the old beat and raise. They beat their internal
benchmarks. They raised guidance for the year. They saw respectable revenue growth there. Not
lighting the world on fire, but to your point with Salesforce, it was 8% growth for the quarter,
billing through 10%. They continued to generate cash flow. They continued to repurchase some
shares. The dollar net retention rate was 102%. That was up from 100% from a year ago.
And importantly, that number of large customers that spend over $300,000 annually with the
company, that clocked in at 1,165. That was up 8% from a year ago. So, again, I think this is
a business. They continue to do what they say they're going to do. And I think that's occurring.
It just might not be growing as fast as investors were used to several years ago.
Dan, what are your thoughts on signing online?
Only 1.7 million clients for DocuSign, Jason. Seems low.
Well, you got to remember, Dan, it's a lot of enterprise clients out there,
so that's not representative of just individuals.
Okay, Dan, Delta or DocuSign, which stock is going on your watch list?
I'm flying like an airplane today, Travis. Let's go Delta.
Warren Buffett avoids the airlines or says he wants to avoid the airlines,
but Lou is dragging us back in. That's going to do it for us. We will see you tomorrow.
We'll be right back.
