Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Nvidia, Target & The Mailbag
Episode Date: May 24, 2024AI continues to float Nvidia’s boat, and it's helping an unlikely old school name in tech. (00:21) Jason Moser and Bill Mann discuss: - Nvidia’s blowout quarter and upcoming stock split. - Why bu...y-now-pay-later is going to start looking more like the credit card industry, and what Jamie Dimon has to say about the state of JP Morgan. - Earnings updates from retailers Target, Autozone, and Lowe’s. (19:11) We dip into the mailbag to answer some questions about a red-hot legacy tech stock, how to handle a growing position, and how to break into the investing biz. (32:27) Jason and Bill break down two stocks on their radar, Sonos and Boston Beer, and a few recipes on their radar too. Stocks discussed: NVDA, AFRM, JPM, TGT, AZO, LOW Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Jason Moser, Bill Mann Engineers: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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The year of NVIDIA continues, and we dig into the mailbag.
This week's Motley Fool Money Radio Show starts now.
Everybody needs money.
That's why they call it money.
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Fool Money radio show. I'm Dylan Lewis. Joining me over the airwaves,
Motley Fool senior analysts, Bill Mann and Jason Moser. Fellas, great to have you both here.
Hey, hey. Good to see you, Dylan.
We've got answers to your mailbag questions, the lowdown on Target's continued woes,
and of course, stocks and maybe something else on our radar this week.
We're going to start with Nvidia. This is perhaps the most anticipated release of earnings season,
perhaps the most anticipated earnings release all year, Jason. Fresh results from the chipmaker
out this week. Expectations were high, results even higher. What jumped out to you in the results?
Yeah. Well, wash, rinse, repeat. Things continue to look very, very good for Nvidia. It appears
that's going to continue here, at least for the next several quarters. The results, as you said,
very impressive. Revenue of $26 billion. It was up 262% from a year ago. And beyond their outlook,
even their internal outlook of $24 billion in revenue. Now, with NVIDIA, we talk about this
a lot. The crux of this business really is the data center side. And to put that in the context
of the $26 billion in revenue, data center represented $22.6 billion of that, right? Up
427% from a year ago. So, if you see what the stock is doing and you wonder why all of that
enthusiasm, well, when you're a company and you chalk up those types of top-line growth numbers,
I mean, that's going to do it. Because the other three core parts of the business in automotive
and pro-visualization in gaming. I mean, they're there, right? Gaming is in the billions, at least.
These other drivers of the business, they're performing well, but it's the data center
business that really has investors excited. And given the investment that companies,
large and small, are going to need to continue to make as we build out this AI infrastructure
and we learn more about how companies are able to benefit from this AI investment,
it feels like NVIDIA is right there where they need to be.
Shares were up on the report. Not too surprising. The market really liked the earnings and revenue
numbers. But I think the market was also paying attention to some of the other announcements we
got, Bill. We have a 10-for-1 stock split. We also have NVIDIA increasing their dividend.
What do you make of that? I make nothing of the stock split.
I know investors like them. It's a nothing burger.
Nvidia has added $1 trillion to its market cap this year. It is now trading larger than the
entire German stock market, is larger than Tesla and Amazon combined. And really interestingly,
there are some statements that Jensen Wong made today, and he's talked about this before in the
past about the chapters of the AI factory story, where we're in the training and inference
component chapter. We're going to move into enterprise and then heavy industry and then
sovereign artificial intelligence. This is an area where NVIDIA believes it's going to be able to
play and lead for a long time. He was laying out a path for a long period of consistent growth
in this market. I want to push back a little bit on the stock split take there, Bill, because
the conspiratorial part of my brain says, Jason, we were checking in on the Dow last week. This
is a conversation that we had. And I have to imagine NVIDIA looks at a $1,000 share price and
says, there's no way we're getting into the Dow with a share price that high, given that it's
price weighted. But maybe, maybe with the stock split, we could see ourselves getting included
there at some point. How many additional chips do they sell doing that? That's my question.
It could have been the ulterior motive. I mean, we say it all the time. It's the same size pizza,
just cut into more slices. And yeah, I mean, it's not something that really creates much more in the
way of value. Though, interestingly, there is data out there that shows that the share splits like
this, where it changes the nominal price meaningfully, there is data out there that
shows in the near term over the course of the following year plus, those shares do tend to
outperform. Interesting data. I don't make much of it because we tend to look through a longer lens.
But yeah, I mean, I think inclusion in the Dow is certainly something up there for consideration.
I think that one thing to keep an eye on with NVIDIA, and this is important because it's two
stories here, right? It's the success of NVIDIA's business, but then it's also very much dependent
on the success of its customers. And they're starting to demonstrate some ROI there. The
customers are actually starting to be able to contextualize ROI on what they're spending with
NVIDIA. And they called it out in the call here, they noted that for every $1 spent on NVIDIA AI
infrastructure, cloud providers have an opportunity to earn $5 in GPU instant hosting revenue over the
course of the next four years. Now, I want to make sure I reiterate opportunity, right? That point
was made, opportunity. It doesn't mean it's guaranteed. But when you start to at least put
some numbers around it and understand the ROI that customers can gain from spending their money
within Vidya, it makes it a little bit of an easier leap for those customers to make. And
obviously, that would bode very well for Vidya's business. Read the stock splits, Jason. Correlation
is not causation. I fully agree. Fully agree. All right. This week, we also saw updates in
the landscape of Buy Now, Pay Later, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau putting out guidance
for companies like Klarna, Affirm, and PayPal that their customers will experience the same
protections as credit card users. Jason, some people in the industry have been wondering if
this would happen. What does it mean for the industry that it is? Well, I think in simplest
terms, it's a good thing for the industry in that it's a sign that perhaps the industry is at least
maturing. It has, to this point, I think, been a bit of a wild west of an offering, and there
haven't been a lot of guidelines or hasn't been a lot of structure. There's really not a lot of
understanding still. I mean, even today, it's really unclear how many buy-now-pay-later providers
do or don't comply with things like refund and dispute requirements. It's good news in the sense
that this really helps codify what's been more or less a Wild West offering at this point.
It's worth remembering, though, this is still debt, right? I mean, it's essentially spending
with a credit card, just in a different form. And it's important for consumers to remember,
this isn't some silver bullet. This isn't some alternative offering that makes it so much easier.
You're still spending via debt, and that's something to keep in mind.
Bill, Jason mentioned refunds. We also, I think, have provisions like they must
investigate merchant disputes, must provide bills with fee disclosures. When I hear some
of these requirements, I hear more cost for the industry. Is that one safe way to look at it?
Maybe. It's important to note that one of the things that's also happening is that a lot of
the buy now, pay later platforms don't report loans, and these are loans, to the credit agencies,
which means that we don't even know what the full health of a bunch of American households are by
virtue of not knowing what that level of debt is in the same way that we do credit card debt.
So, when you hear regulatory changes that are going to cause these companies to have to report
fully, I think that that's a really important thing. And it will be good news for the good
actors in the space. All right, let's stick with finance for our final story this segment.
We have J.P. Morgan's annual meeting this week, giving us some fresh thoughts from Jamie Dimon.
Bill, we looked at Jamie Dimon for thoughts on the market. We got some pretty direct thoughts
from Dimon about his own stock this year. We sure did. And so, Jamie Dimon has been
asked forever how long he's going to stay in the seat at J.P. Morgan. And he's always kind of said
five years. Well, he said this time, it may be less than five years. And so, the question that
becomes, who's going to follow a legend like Jamie Dimon? But he also has been asked about
share buybacks and other forms of finance at J.P. Morgan. And currently, the shares are trading at
about two times book. And he believes, and I'm not sure that I fully agree with him, that when
you do a share back, you are providing money to exiting shareholders as opposed to existing
shareholders. And I think he was kind of trying to temper enthusiasm just a little bit because
obviously everyone would love a share buyback. It seems like something that you would like to do.
But he is first and foremost a steward of capital at J.P. Morgan. And he's saying,
we have plenty of better places to put our capital into than our own stock at current prices.
Bill, I'm going to ask you for some reckless speculation here. Diamond is 68. He's a far
cry from Buffett's 93. But you mentioned succession. Is there anybody even on your
radar for a Diamond successor? It's a great question. And they've
kept it pretty close to the vest. But there have been a reshuffle that's placed people like Tony
Rohrbaugh very high into the mix. I think that's probably where he may be going.
We will see. He's not saying, I'm leaving soon, or even in five years. He's just saying that
it is closer that he's at his end than he is at his beginning. At 68 years of age,
the actuarial tables would suggest that he's probably right about that.
Borrowing a line from Buffett there, Bill.
I love it.
All right, coming up after the break,
we've got a rundown on retail earnings
with updates from Target, Lowe's, and AutoZone.
Stay right here.
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Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Dylan Lewis, joined here on air by Bill Mann and Jason
Moser. A big week for retail earnings. We have updates from Target, Lowe's, and AutoZone. Jason,
let's start with Target. The woes continue. Shares down 7% after earnings this week,
showing that revenue is down 3% year-over-year. And to borrow a phrase from CEO Brian Cornell,
continued soft trends in discretionary categories showing up and hitting results.
When are things going to get better for Target, Jason?
Yeah, I think this was a noteworthy quarter, particularly when you consider Walmart's results,
which just came right before. Kind of a tale of two cities there, right? We see Walmart seeming
to really benefit from this consumer. There's a bit more trepidation among the consumer.
But Target, obviously, is still dealing with some issues there. Comp sales down 3.7%.
That was the fourth straight quarter of declines there. Total sales down 3.2%. They had traffic
and transactions both down 1.9%. Those are the things you don't want to see. You want
to see the opposite, particularly in regard to the traffic and the tickets.
It was noted in the call that business trends do continue to normalize a little bit, right,
that pattern where consumers now are remixing their spending a little bit more back in the
services and entertainment outside of the homes after not having done that over the last several
years. And that is absolutely impacting Target's business here. Now, I mean, there is somewhat of
a silver lining. I mean, they did know the call that U.S. consumer continues to exhibit what they
call a high degree of resilience in the face of multiple challenges. We did see inventory levels
continue downward 7% there. So, that means they're moving stuff off the shelves and growth margin
expanding thanks to cost controls and less discounting. But, you know, I mean, I think
about Target, and particularly when we think about grocery, and that's an area where I feel
like they really need to pick it up here, because it's around a fifth to a quarter of Target's
overall business. Whereas, with something like a Walmart, you're talking about more along the
lines of half of its business and not more. So, there's a big opportunity, particularly in the
face of a cost-sensitive consumer. But it does look like they're making some progress,
and that's encouraging. On the note of grocery, we also had news this week that Target will be
cutting prices on 5,000 what they call everyday items in their stores, which do include a lot
of grocery items, clearly taking aim at Walmart. I want to believe that it'll work, Bill, but I
feel like Target has been that friend that said they'll be there in 15 minutes for the last hour
and a half. This report was a disaster for them because there's something that's not even really
being reflected in the minus 3% comp. That is a minus 3% real dollar comp. We have been in a world
where, I don't know if you guys know this, but everything is much more expensive this year than
it was last year. I hadn't noticed that. So, for them to have reported a negative comp,
they haven't even caught up with inflation. With inflation built in, that is a minus 6% or 7%
comp. This is a disaster for Target. And as Jason pointed out, Walmart had an entirely
different experience. So, yeah, they've got a lot to do. I think this is the friend who has
not been particularly dependable as of late. And I'm not sure that price cutting is what's going
to get them there. I think that there is something else deeper, very, very wrong at Target that can't
be blamed on either the resiliency or non-resiliency of the consumer. Seeing consumer trends show up a
little bit in results from AutoZone this week, shares down 5% on their earnings results. Bill,
what'd you see in the report? You know, one of the things I love about AutoZone is the fact that
every time you look at their reports, and this goes to the exact opposite of what Jamie Dimon
has said, this is a cannibal company. Charlie Munger is the one that called them this. He once
said, pay very close attention to cannibals. These are companies that are eating themselves
by buying back their own stock. AutoZone's share count is dramatically lower than it was
three, five, 10 years ago. In this last quarter, they repurchased almost $750 million in stock,
and they have another $1.4 billion outstanding. So, this is a company that even if the results
are lower, every share of stock that you own becomes a more and more concentrated component
of the ownership of the overall business. Digging into some of the results quickly, Bill,
quarterly net sales for the auto company rose 4%. Street was expecting numbers to be a little
bit higher. It doesn't sound like you're too discouraged by the results you saw.
No. I think that you see with the auto industry that there is a trend that goes between our
people tending to hold on to their cars longer, and you can measure it by the average age of
rolling stock. That has come down a little bit. That is very much a cyclical. AutoZone's results
may have been a little light, but ultimately, they were fine, and this is a steady-as-she-go
business. All right. Bringing us home in our retail roundup, pun intended, we're going to
look at numbers from Lowe's. Jason, revenue and earnings down year over year, but ahead of
expectations. Love that we have Lowe's numbers here because we can stack them against the results
from Home Depot's numbers last week. What did you see? Yeah, well, I see two very similar stories.
I mean, they absolutely rhyme. And that's not terribly surprising. They're very similar
businesses. I think I'd give Home Depot maybe the edge here this earnings season, but not by much.
Comp sales down for Lowe's are down 4.1% from a year ago. And they did note, I mean,
continued consumer pressure, especially on things like DIY big-ticket items,
discretionary spending. It's just something that consumers are putting off for now.
But still, they brought home earnings per share of $3.06. We were talking about Target and then
that transactions and ticket data. Same principle applies here. We want to see those numbers in the
positive and growing. Unfortunately, we saw transactions down 3.1% with ticket down 1%.
And that just puts pressure on margins, puts unneeded pressure on margins. But it's exciting
to see that they have rolled out their DIY loyalty program, Milo's Rewards. Very excited
about that and the potential it can bring. Maintaining guidance for the full year. And
I think just an interesting side note here with this company, I don't know if you realize,
the share count is down 24.2% over the last five years. Total return on the share since then,
about 145% well outpacing the market. So, maybe this is a case of share repurchases gone well.
You know, here I thought we were doing a retail roundup. Turns out we were just doing
a buyback bulletin. I see Bill pumping his fist. That seems to be the theme of our first two
segments today. Absolutely love it. Bill, Jason, stay right where you are. Got a couple of questions
for you in our next segment from our listeners. Listeners, you stay here too. You're listening
to Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Dylan Lewis with Motley Fool analysts Bill Mann and
Jason Moser. Listeners, you asked, we're answering. We're dipping into the mailbag ahead of the
holiday weekend, pulling questions we got from listeners via podcasts at fool.com or sent to us
on Twitter at MotleyFoolMoney. Our first one I'm going to fire over to you, Bill, comes from Martin
via Twitter, and he asks, I never hear you cover or talk about Dell, which has been on a tear.
Would be interested to hear what's happening with it. Thanks. And Bill, this is a question
that I think is probably brought on by some pretty stellar performance in recent history for Dell.
Dell has been a rocket. And you're right, Martin, that we don't talk about Dell very much. And part
of it has to be said. Dell went private in a leveraged buyout in 2013, but came back onto
the public markets in, I don't want to call it a sneaky way, but in a super complex transaction
when they bought out the tracking stock for a company called VMware. Suddenly, Dell Technologies
was back on the market. I can't really claim that too many of us here at The Motley Fool has paid
too much of attention to it in the interim, which is a shame because I think we are moving now into
what may be a great upgrade cycle in the PC market because so many PCs, the installed base of PCs,
do not have chipsets that are sufficiently fast or powerful enough to operate in an environment
in which artificial intelligence and AI processes are going to be more and more of what is demanded
upon them. So, I think that what is being talked about here, and Jensen Wong has actually called
out Dell by name, is that what we are about to see is a massive upgrade and recycling in the
computer space. And I think that's probably where Dell has caught such a bid as it has, and it is
up 200% over the last year. AI lifting a lot of boats. Jason, I want to put this one over to you
just as a follow-up. When you hear a major trend or major wave pushing some companies forward that
you didn't quite expect, what's your process for processing that? Yeah, I mean, we talk about this
often, right? And AI has been sort of the term du jour over these last several quarters. And it
brings all of these companies out from the woodwork. I mean, all of a sudden, everything
becomes an AI play from actual AI companies to quick-serve restaurants and everywhere in between.
And Dell's an interesting case study because we kind of knew this company so long ago as one thing,
and it comes back to the market as sort of that thing, but a little bit different. It seems like
they do a lot of different things these days. And I will say, I don't follow the company very
closely, so I don't know the particulars of it. But what I do know is when I see something like
this, I want to make sure that connecting the dots makes sense. Is this a company that is
leading the way or really helping to develop this space, like in AI, for example? Or is it a company
that's riding the coattails, more or less? And I can't really say for certain what classification
Dell falls into at this point. It feels more like they're a beneficiary, maybe that they're
riding the coattails. I don't know for sure, but that's certainly one way to look at it.
All right. If you're a longtime Dell shareholder, you may be in a position similar to Jonathan,
who gave us our second question for this week's mailbag. Jonathan writes in,
hello, fools. I have a few investments in my retirement portfolio that have grown to
significant percentages, such as Amazon, to just under 10%. I like Amazon, and I'm only 34,
so I don't necessarily want to sell it, but the performance does impact my portfolio quite a bit.
I see two options. Sell a little bit and redistribute the gains. Or two, lower the
percentage over time as I contribute to other positions. What do you think? Jason, I want to
put this one over to you first. It makes sense. We see some of those big winning portfolio positions
get bigger and bigger. It starts to get into that sleep number territory for us.
Well, yeah. And I think it's certainly different depending on the company, right? I mean,
If Amazon's becoming a bigger part of your portfolio, that's a little bit different than
saying it's something like a Kava. Nothing against Kava, there's plenty of opportunity there.
I love their food. But they're two obviously very different companies with very different
risk profiles. In Amazon, there's a little bit more stability there, I think we could argue,
than perhaps something like a Kava at this point. It's worth thinking about the company
first and foremost. But then, you have to start assessing your comfort zone there.
I think what he said, it was 10%, I think, at this point now. That's not outrageous. For some
folks, they may feel uncomfortable at that level. But I look at some of the guidance that we'll
offer in a couple of the services that I work on today. We break it down between higher risk,
medium risk, and lower risk. We would say with those lower risk positions, you might have 5%
to 6% in your portfolio. For the middle, maybe it's 3% to 4%. For the high, it's going to be
one to two. Now, those positions hopefully grow over time and become a bigger part of your
portfolio. But it's up to that individual to figure out what their line is. And I do like
the other point that he made, particularly at that age, at 34, you have to think of it from
the perspective, ideally, you'll be contributing a lot of money to this account in the coming years.
And just investing in other ideas is going to diversify you and bring that weighting down
over time. If you like the company, if it's running and it's done well, and you know you
have a lot of time and a lot of money that you're going to be investing over the course of the next
several years, you may not need to worry about trimming that position right now. Maybe you give
it a little bit more time to run and find out where your line is ultimately. Bill, what's your
take on this one? Many professional investors would suggest that their position sizing skill
is more important than their skill at picking securities. I'm not sure what that says about
that industry. I really don't agree with that at all. But your position sizing, we're talking
about a Cadillac problem here. You have a position that has become a very large portion of your
portfolio. I salute you for that. One of the things that you need to keep in mind is that
the larger your largest position size is, the higher the risk of your being wrong is to you.
Now, it sounds to me like you've got plenty of time, you've got plenty of earnings power
in front of you. So, I would not suggest that you would reduce unless it is the kind of situation
where you think if you turned out to have been wrong, that it would have been too much for you
to handle. If you're a listener like Jonathan, one thing I'll throw out there, if you're thinking
about selling those positions down to redistribute some of the gains, just being mindful of your
holding period and whether you're looking at long-term or short-term gains. If you're looking
at short-term gains, you might want to delay that just so that you have a lower tax burden
when the bill comes around. All right, gents, our final question comes in from Catherine.
She is a fresh grad looking to do exactly what you guys are doing. Catherine wrote into us
at podcast.fool.com, hey, Fools, I'm a 2024 graduate, still figuring out what's next,
but I want to get into the finance and investment industry. What tips do you have for applying for
investment research jobs and ways to get noticed while applying. Jason, I'm going to kick this one
over to you first. Boy, there are a lot of different ways you could go with this one.
I come from a background where this was not my first profession. I had worked in the golf business
and banking and insurance. I worked for the State Department. A little bit of history behind there.
Actually, that served me very well. It differentiated me a little bit as I came
into The Fool and got the interview, I had a little bit of a different work history to
fall back on there and talk about, which I think is a good thing.
And so, you know, we hear David Gardner say all the time, lead a more interesting life.
I mean, it sounds very simple.
It's probably a little bit more difficult at times to do in practice, but I do think
it's something to keep in mind.
The more stuff you have to talk about that or about like that, the more experience you
have, I think it just builds, you know, a bit of a broader worldview, a little bit more
of a helpful worldview and makes you stand out. I'm going through this right now, talking about
this kind of stuff with my older daughter. She just finished her freshman year. She's an
international business major. And talking about what she might do after. And I think one key
thing, and we utilize this here at The Fool a lot throughout the years, was seek internships.
Even if you've graduated, internships are a surefire way to get your foot in the door with
the company, learn the inner workings of not only the company, but the industry in which they focus.
In companies, internships are typically fairly self-serving. I mean, yeah, it's neat to be able
to go work at that, but that company has an ulterior motive. They're looking for talent.
We've hired a lot of talent from our internship program here at The Fool through the years.
I think that's something to keep in mind as well. Be flexible. Don't insist. Be flexible.
and listen even even if you're having trouble getting started i think we live in a day and age
consider just starting something on your own as a first step sell yourself right you could go out
there and start a sub stack or something like that and build out sort of your own investing
chops that way and create a little bit of a brand on your own it's a bit of a of a living and
breathing resume that can help you develop and sort of show people what you're capable of
On that last point, Jason, that was exactly my experience getting a job at The Fool,
was coming out of school, was a finance and journalism student, undergrad, wasn't really
sure what I was qualified to do, but had worked in the industry, capital F finance with some co-op
jobs, realized I really didn't like it, and wound up writing about the industry on the side,
writing about stocks on the side, and then used that as my portfolio for applying to jobs.
The feedback I got interviewing at The Fool was, you're already doing the work. You're already
clearly interested in this. This is something that we think you're going to step into and be
able to contribute immediately. Bill, I know that you also have some college students in your life.
What's your advice, maybe for them, but then also for Catherine, who wrote into us?
Catherine, I would like to hearken the great financial analyst, Jelly Roll, who said,
I want to tell you that the windshield is bigger than the rearview mirror for a reason.
you have an advantage that that jason and i did not have in that you are in an environment in which
you are very comfortable reaching out to people through you know through social media through any
period through a bunch of different channels through linkedin that did not exist when jason
and i were coming up i would recommend highly that you do so that you ask people to have
conversations with you who are doing things that you would like to do. And some of them will answer.
And then really, really importantly, have a pitch that is just no more than two minutes long
of your best thinking in investing and you will do fine. All right. That's a wrap on our mailbag
segment. But listeners, we always love hearing from you, whether you catch us on the radio or
in your podcast feeds. You can shoot us a note at podcastsatfool.com. You can reach us on Twitter
at Motley Fool Money, or you can leave us a voicemail on our hotline and get your voice
on the show. Our number is 703-254-1445. That's 703-254-1445. Up next, we've got some stocks
and some other things on our radar this Memorial Day weekend. Stay right here.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
I'm wondering if your love's still strong
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And that time I went and said goodbye
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As always,
people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may
have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell anything based solely on what
you hear. I'm Dylan Lewis, joined again by Bill Mann and Jason Moser. We're going to have radar
stocks coming up in a second, but we always love a story that hits at the intersection of business
and food, and boy, do we have one this week. Bill, Red Lobster announcing bankruptcy and closing
locations are the endless shrimp to blame. If you didn't think that you needed a story
about endless shrimp and capital stacks, this is a great story for you. Red Lobster is actually
owned by a company called Thai Union. Thai Union is their shrimp provider. Now, if Red Lobster has
been in decline for a bunch of years and they owe a lot of money to creditors, what is one way
that the equity holder can get ahead of the creditors. Well, for one, you could require
them to do endless shrimp all the time if you are a shrimp merchant. Intrafish.com is telling me that
right now, Thai Union, who's the owner, is being investigated for dumping shrimp into Red Lobster
and pushing Red Lobster into bankruptcy. An unbelievable story. I cannot wait to
see more details come out. Bet you didn't think you were getting
intrafish.com on The Motley Fool Money Show, did you?
No. No. The industry leader in all your fishing needs. All right, let's get over to stocks on
our radar. You guys bring the stocks. Our man behind the glass, Dan Boyd, is going to hit you
with a question. Jason, you're up first. What are you looking at this week?
Sure. A little Memorial Day twist here. Let's take a closer look at Boston Beer.
Ticker is SAM. This is the company that's known for brands like Sam Adams, Twisted Tea,
Truly Hard Seltzer, Angry Orchard, even Dogfish Head Beer. They've got a new CEO in Michael
Spillane, although Jim Cook still owns about 20% of the company and controls all the voting
interest. That hasn't changed. If you look at the company's most recent earnings report,
this has been a company that's been witnessing some pressures lately.
Depletions were flat. Shipments were up modestly. Net revenue up just about 4%. They did see a
little margin expansion there. But they ended the first quarter with $205 million in cash and no
debt. And the stock now trading at around 30X full-year earnings estimates. This is always
a stock that's demanded a bit of a premium. It feels like maybe that shine has worn off a little
bit. It's starting to make me wonder if there's not an opportunity here.
Dan, a question about Boston Beer, ticker SAM. Out of all those properties you mentioned, Jason,
what's your favorite? Honestly, Dan, I think I'm going to have to go basic here. I love the
Sam Adams Summer Ale. That's just a good refreshing one. And for a Memorial Day hoist,
it's a good recommendation. Just in time for summer season. All right, Bill,
What do you have on your radar this week? The one on my radar screen is Sonos,
which is an audio company. They make speakers, etc. Last week, they rolled out a new app,
and it has been widely panned, particularly for coming up with a new clunky UI that has taken out
functionality for vision-impaired people. They are getting a huge amount of flack. Now,
their response was, hey, an app is never finished. And so, they are going to be putting out new fixes
and functionality for the app. I don't think it's a coincidence that the stock has dropped about 10%
since this new app came out, though. So, they have some work to do to repair some damage.
Dan, a question about Sonos, ticker S-O-N-O. Yeah, Bill, I mean, there's always the question
of what are you doing, bringing this crap stock to the table here? I don't have to ask that one.
So, all right, you got the Sonos, you're out at the pool party, Bill. What are you bumping
in the speaker, in the Bluetooth speaker there? Man, I've been going heavy into Chris Stapleton
lately and a band called Monophonic, which is one of my favorite, favorite new bands.
Dan, I'm going to put this watch list decision to you a little differently this week.
you can have a party without music or you can have a party without drinks which one are you taking
what or is it a party uh okay you can always you can always sing to yourself dan no that's a good
point uh oh man i don't know i have a toddler so we we do parties that don't feature alcohol
you know because because it's that's a thing now though i don't like them very much
it sounds sounds like bolsonos and sam could be on your radar i believe that i believe that we
just heard synapses blow in yeah no my mind is broken now i can't that's such a hard decision
all right since it is memorial day weekend we got a special little bonus radar segment
we're gonna do a little bit of radar recipes jason what's something that listeners can keep
in mind this grilling season? Well, I am all for the ribs, the burgers, the pulled pork, right?
Get all that stuff going. But if you're looking to change it up a little bit, you got to grill.
You know something I really enjoy making? A good carne asada. And you side that up with some
elotes, right? The Mexican street corn. It's a nice little twist on a Memorial Day cookout
where I think people are kind of used to the same old, same old. Bill, what about you?
Peaches are now ripe. To go along with that carne asada and the elote, I recommend a peach salad
with its peaches, a little bit of prosciutto, a little arugula, a little pepper, and a little
mozzarella mixed together. Delightful. Love it. Appreciate your radar stocks and
recipes. Appreciate Dan weighing in and mixing today's show. That's going to do it for this
week's Motley Fool Money Radio Show. I'm Dylan Lewis. We'll be back next week.
We'll be right back.
