Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Paramount Gets Warner Bros. Discovery, But Netflix Comes Out a Winner
Episode Date: February 27, 2026Paramount has won the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery, but it was Netflix stock that soared on the news. We cover the latest in buyout news and give some ideas for more companies that should be... on the block. Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Jon Quast discuss: - Paramount wins WBD - NVIDIA’s “disappointing” quarter - Earnings roundup - Joby and Uber - Stocks on our radar Companies discussed: Rocket Lab (RKLB), Mercadolibre (MELI), Netflix (NFLX), Warner Bros Discovery (WBD), NVIDIA (NVDA), Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), The Trade Desk (TTD), Snowflake (SNOW), Joby (JOBY), Uber (UBER), Doordash (DASH), Lyft (LYFT), Spotify (SPOT), Live Nation (LYV), Disney (DIS), New York Time (NYT), Garmin (GRMN), Peloton (PTON), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B, BRK-A), PayPal (PYPL). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Lou Whiteman, Jon Quast Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Warner Brothers Discovery has a buyer, again.
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Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm Travis Hoy. I'm joined today by Lou Whiteman and John Quast.
And guys, our plans were all thrown out the window last night when we found out that Netflix is apparently not going to be buying Warner Brothers Discovery.
Paramount has swooped in again. John, what did we learn? And is this saga going to finally be
over? Are we going to continue debating this for the next six months? Well, yeah, I think the saga
is finally over. And I think that Netflix shareholders should breathe a deep sigh of
relief. I didn't like this deal from the start for Netflix. In my view, Netflix's business is
along just fine. Why saddle itself with a mountain of debt to buy an asset that is inferior to
itself? That simply didn't make sense for me. And I think that Netflix shareholders are coming out
good here now that Paramount is the winner for the Warner Brothers assets. Lou, let's go through
some of these details. Paramount Skydance is going to be paying $31 a share for Warner Brothers
Discovery, the prior agreement was $27.75 per share from Netflix. That was cash. The difference
between those two numbers is this spinoff of some cable assets that was an unknown value,
but could be more than the delta there, $3.75. And it could be worth less. So is this actually
a better deal for Warner Brothers Discovery? Because it seems like we're increasing uncertainty
with, does this deal actually close? We'll get to some of the huge weight that's hanging over
this from a regulatory standpoint in a second. But just from a numbers standpoint, why does this
make sense? You say that's uncertainty, but there was no certainty that the Netflix deal was going
to close. So I think that that uncertainty, I think probably, arguably, Paramount has an easier
regulatory hurdle here than Netflix. Just because they're not as big?
Right. Just because Netflix is a dominant player. There is more of a financing uncertainty just
because Paramount is such a smaller company, but you do have some guarantees from the Ellison
family for that. Any M&A has uncertainty. There is certainty in cash. If you make the uncertainty
of who closes for what reasons a wash, because they're both questions there. $31 in cash is $31
in cash that you can do whatever you want with. $27.50 and a stub, you can argue what that stub
is worth. It could be worth zero. It could be worth a trillion dollars. It's obviously worth
somewhere in the middle. But yeah, $31 in cash is cash. And I do think that at the end of the day,
that almost always in these deals, cash is going to get valued higher in terms of a fairness
opinion or trying to figure out what's what. Lou, I also want your thoughts on some of these
other details. There's the $31 per share in cash, but there's what's called, I'm reading from the
press release here, a daily ticking fee equal to $0.25 per share per quarter beginning September
30th, 2026, as well as a $7 billion regulation or regulatory termination fee that would be payable
if regulators block the deal. That seems like this deal could get really expensive. And by the way,
Paramount Skydance is only about a $12 billion company today. So has Larry Ellison just swooped
in and said, hey, I'll write a blank check as long as we get this out of the hands of Netflix?
Yeah, basically. It's fun to look at the relative size of these companies,
and certainly Netflix had a lot more they could do if they wanted to because of their relative
size advantage. At the end of the day, if someone is willing to write big checks, that does even the
playing field. I think the cleverness of Paramount here is I think some of those sweeteners, that's
what might have been hard for Netflix to match or match in a way that was financially viable for
them. I think Netflix shareholders should be happy that Netflix isn't just going to say
all-in, whatever it takes. I do think though, I trust this management team. I like the Netflix
management team. I do think that they weren't willy-nilly here when they just went for this
asset. I do think it spoke to, if not a need, I think it spoke to our life is getting harder
with getting content and this is a source of content that we can just pay one price for and
have. I think this is more than a like to have for Netflix. I think they really did want it,
but I don't think they're in trouble if they don't have it.
John, Netflix does now get to go back to being what they were. I agree with you
that this was probably a headache that they didn't even really want to take on,
but it was better than creating a new competitor with Warner Brothers Discovery and Paramount combining.
But now we are going to potentially have that competitor.
It's not going to close likely until late this year, maybe even into next year.
But is a Paramount, Skydance, Warner Brothers Discovery combination going to be a viable competitor to the Netflixes, the Disneys of the world?
We even still have NBC and Peacock out there.
is this going to be one of the big players? And do they have the financial wherewithal to do that?
Because this is going to be a company saddled with debt. That's exactly the question, Travis.
And I think that Netflix is playing a very smart, competitive game here. If it is playing a game,
listen, yes, it does. It is going to have the assets. It is going to have the content from
that perspective, definitely is going to be one of the major players. But if I have a major
competitor in a space, I want that competitor to have less financial flexibility than I do.
That is going to be an advantage for me. And so it's hard for me, I know we're not a cynical
podcast, but it's hard for me not to think that Netflix was playing chess the entire time here.
It had basically won this deal, and then it lets Warner Brothers go out and get a better bid,
And it does. And then it says we're out, almost like it wanted this to happen. And the end result
here is it gets $2.8 billion in free money for the breakup. One of its main competitors now has
more debt than it can. Well, I mean, it'll be able to handle it in theory, but it's going to be
definitely shackled to this debt for the foreseeable future and have less financial
flexibility than Netflix does. So I say Netflix has won this deal hands down.
I need to push back just to this idea. I don't think that Netflix risked $80 billion
just to try and break up a competitor. I don't think that that was the goal.
I think, look, I'm not dismissive of this new entity being a competitor, but there's a lot
of competitors out there. I don't think Netflix made this move just because they didn't want to
see Paramount and Warner Brothers Discovery put together. I think they saw it as a way to add
content and they need content. And then again, they didn't need it as bad as Paramount, so they
walked away as they should. But I think that it would make a great script of succession or
something like that, but I don't really believe it. That's going to be the next show.
And let's be honest, if I'm a Netflix shareholder and they did just put their balance sheet on the
line in hopes that Paramount would be slightly more risk on than them. I need to rethink my
admiration for that management team. I mean, you are really, really throwing the management team
under the bus if you think they were playing that game, just from my perspective. Do either of you
think that it's going to be possible in the next, let's say, three to five years that we find some
deal between netflix and paramount warner brothers discovery whatever this entity is going to be
called where they go you know we're just going to license a bunch of this content that we just
acquired to netflix because netflix can write us the biggest check john sure anything is possible
and there are some assets here that i think that netflix would have liked to have had its hands on
in in particular the dc comics intellectual property i think that netflix can do a lot of
things like that, a la Disney.
So yeah, there is a possibility
that it's willing to license this from the new entity.
The other potential winner here
is potentially movie theaters.
I think it's probably more likely
that we'll see more movies in theaters
with this combination versus
with Warner Brothers Discovery going to Netflix.
When we come back,
we are going to get to a flood of earnings news this week.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
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Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. We had a lot of earnings come out this week,
and the big one was NVIDIA. That was obviously the one that drives the market, both the S&P 500
and NASDAQ. John, what did we learn from NVIDIA, and was it as bad as the market's 5% decline in
the stock indicates? Well, I mean, really, the investment community is wondering about future
growth more than anything and in long-term, right? So it just reported 73% revenue growth in the most
recent quarter. It's expecting an acceleration to 77% in the upcoming quarter. That sounds good,
John. More than just good. I mean, if this was a small company, we would say this is incredible.
This is a company with over $200 billion in trailing 12-month revenue. It's incomprehensible.
Analysts were asking, is it realistic to expect this kind of growth to continue?
and pointing out on the conference call, listen, the hyperscalers are spending like $700 billion
this year in capital expenditures. Much of that goes to NVIDIA for its GPUs. So the question is,
how realistic is it to expect growth on top of $700 billion in spending already? Well,
we're getting some news today that OpenAI just secured the bag for $110 billion in funding,
some of that from NVIDIA, which is interesting. But OpenAI isn't raising this money to park it
in the bank. It is going to be spending this money on infrastructure, on AI. So yeah, I think
that the capital expenditures can keep rising and NVIDIA can keep growing. How much is the question?
Lou, my question here is around whether this was just the market getting certainty around
how much of that revenue that John said that hyperscalers are going to be spending over the
next year, somewhere around $650, $700 billion. We now have sort of a matchup between what the
growth of their spending is going to be in 2026 and what NVIDIA is expecting to grow in 2026.
Now the question, it almost seems like it's already turning to 2027. Are those hyperscalers
going to spend a billion or a trillion and a half dollars, and this is going to be a continued
growth story, or have we hit some sort of peak or we're near a peak? Because when you look back at
the capital spending in the late 90s and early 2000s, that was actually kind of the warning sign
that we were, when you started decelerating, that was when companies like Cisco really,
really took it on a chin. I don't want to get too caught up into those analogies,
but that is the real only historical comparison that we can make right now.
Yeah, certainly the market thinks so. I find it interesting, if you look at NVIDIA stock,
it has had a great, I mean, it's been a wonderful stock, right up 50% over the past year,
but basically flat in the last six months. So it has done nothing in the last six months.
And I think this is the exact conversation that investors are having, right? There's nothing
wrong with this business, but how much higher can it go? I mean, look, Meta and some of these
companies using off-balance sheet, it feels like we're getting to the point where we just can't go
higher. NVIDIA pushed back at this though. So yes, 50% of data center revenue came from the
top five hyperscalers. So there is market concentration, but they talked a lot in this
quarter about the diversity of demand coming from model builders, enterprises, sovereign customers
are a big part of this. So there could be other levers to pull here, but I think that's what the
market is debating here. There is no question about the strength of NVIDIA's business. All of
the metrics are off the charts. I don't think they are, relative to what they're doing now,
unreasonably valued. But how much more can we squeeze this as far as upside? That is the debate,
I think it's a fair question. I think there could be an answer. I don't think it's set in stone,
but I do think that there is just no way that the growth we have seen can continue indefinitely.
Even these cash-producing hyperscalers just don't have the cash to keep jumping the way they have.
John, the other news that we've gotten in the past week is companies like AMD selling a whole
bunch of chips to Meta. You have Google, a lot of rumors about what are they going to be doing
in the TPUs? Are they going to be trying to sell those to other companies, maybe even
form joint ventures? Is that another sort of headwind where you go, hey, 18 months ago,
there was no competition. And now there's at least some competition in the market that could
squeeze not only revenue, but margins eventually. I don't know if I call it a headwind yet. It is
definitely a question because, for example, you bring up the TPUs. That's not exactly new
technology. We've been waiting for that to scale and really put any measurable dent in NVIDIA's
business for a while now. I think that if you're looking at it, though, from an investment
perspective with NVIDIA, you're looking at those profit margins. They're historically high. They're
really incredibly high for a hardware. I know it has software, but we're selling a lot of hardware
here. Those margins over 50% for a hardware business, that is really quite good. The question
is, and the reason it's so high is because of supply and demand. Demand is outpacing the
supply. Can these other products come online, meet some of that demand, and finally bring it
into more balance, and then NVIDIA's margins will compress to still good, but not what they are
right now? That's the question on everyone's mind. It's definitely still a buyer's market.
I mean, competition exists, but I don't anticipate NVIDIA having any issues clearing out inventory
And again, just the strength of this business. I'm going to steal this from our colleague,
Tim Byers, but I thought he's brilliant. And I think this is such a neat stat.
From year over year, fourth quarter, fourth quarter, NVIDIA spent $2 billion more in R&D
sales admin expenses. That produced $28.8 billion in additional revenue. So, for every $1 a new
operating expense, $13.68 in additional sales. That's the way you run a railroad. And again,
just for all of the, oh no, it can't go up forever, please, please appreciate what they have.
And status quo seems pretty okay right now. On the other end of the spectrum, we have a
company like The Trade Desk. John, this stock is down 83% from its highs. What did we learn
this week and are they in trouble? I think that we didn't learn a whole lot. We learned that
growth continues to slow down more than what we're accustomed to seeing, more than what we
ever have seen with the trade desk. That's a question. And what's really interesting about
this is the company is a digital advertising company, right? And it launched its AI platform
Kokai 10 quarters ago. And this was supposed to be the big thing. Seven out of the 10 quarters
since launch, revenue growth has decelerated. Now, Jeff Green, the CEO, is pointing out that
100% of customers are now using this supposedly better version of the platform. But there have
been some reports from customers that it's too complicated. And that might be contributing to
the deceleration. They might not like it as much as they were expected to like it. And I think that
Green himself confirmed this on the fourth quarter call. He said, the complexity of our ecosystem is
a moat for the trade desk, but that doesn't mean we have to hand the complexity back to our user.
To me, this is him saying, we have in fact handed the complexity back to our users,
and that shouldn't be what's happening. This should be simpler for them. It should be simpler
to use. And if it was, maybe they would not be decelerating as much as they are.
Lou, we also heard from Snowflake. What did we learn in the quarter?
A decent quarter, but here's what I find so fascinating, because the narrative has been
about how AI is going to eat everybody's lunch, right? That everybody is doomed because of AI.
And Snowflake definitely falls into the category of companies that are supposedly doomed.
so contrast that with their cash from operations and free cash flow they uh had a great uh 345
million dollars in free cash flow where did that come from deferred revenue deferred revenue is
revenue that customers are paying for you know future future performance or future obligations
but it doesn't you know because it's in the future it's not hitting the p&l sheet right now
On one hand, you have the world, Snowflake is doomed because of AI. On another hand,
what's actually happening is customers are putting down hundreds of millions of dollars in cash to
use Snowflake products in the future. I feel like the market should at least meditate on that a bit
and think about what that might say for Snowflake's prospects. When we come back, we're going to talk
about potential other buyouts that would be interesting in 2026, you're listening to Motley
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welcome back to motley fool money in this segment we like to have a little bit of fun with investing
and since we've been talking about the netflix paramount warner brothers discovery drama we
thought you know what other deals or mergers make sense it might even be fun i'm gonna throw out a
few ideas for you guys. Lou just threw out a spicy one for us that I'm excited about a little bit
later. But I want to get your thoughts on this and whether these would be good ideas. Let's start
with one that I've been talking about for a while. That is Spotify merging with Ticketmaster. John,
does this make any sense to you? It doesn't make as much sense as Spotify moving more into a video
platform. I really like that idea. You want them to become Netflix?
Yeah, or at least have a Netflix component that integrates well into the audio that they already
do. That makes a lot of sense to me. Look, Spotify has a good thing going, so I'm just
reluctant to suggest anything that might mess that up. But sure, there are plenty of synergies
that a business like this can have with a business such as Ticketmaster. That could be some really
cool integrations, some really cool promotional things that it can do if it had that.
I don't hate the idea. I'm not necessarily in love with it, but it makes sense.
It makes a ton of sense. There's obvious synergies. The question is, is it worth it for
Spotify to spend about half of its market cap to gain those synergies? And that's where it gets a
little harder. Spotify is about, I think, $100 billion, and Live Nation, Ticketmaster's parent,
is what, about $40? So you figure with a premium, something approaching $50. I don't know if I think
it's worth the hassle at the price. If they could have gone back in time and gotten this
years ago, I think it would be a natural ad. Also, you know, Spotify has done a pretty good
job moving away from the baggage that comes with you're ruining the music industry. You know,
they've kind of moved on from that way to just step right back into the, um, into the middle
of the dog park, so to speak. If you do that, that, that alone, maybe you're the savior.
Everybody hates ticket master, but no, you know, very few people hate Spotify. So maybe you're the
savior. You lower your fees a little bit. I don't know. Maybe it's a, maybe it's a good thing.
Again, if you're paying a premium for something, the reason that everybody hates Spotify is,
I mean, it's Ticketmaster, sorry. It's, is that the business model works so well.
I doubt you pay a premium and then, you know, drastically neuter the, the opportunity.
It just is one of those things that every time I get an email from Spotify about some artists that
I listened to and go, you know, Hey, there's a concert coming to your area. I just, I just think
there's so many commonalities between those companies that it makes a lot of sense but
i think at the end of the day every time i look at it lou i sort of come down to where you are
where would it be worth the price live nation ironically isn't actually all that profitable
maybe maybe you're right there all right let's go to one that i think could be more fun disney
buying lego this would add more ip to disney that's what disney does really well more stuff
for their theme parks and more consumer goods. Lou, does this make sense to you?
I don't like this just because I don't want Lego getting any more expensive. And you know,
Disney would check up the prices. I think it sort of makes sense. It definitely made sense
in the past era of Disney. I don't know if current 2026 Disney is really just looking to add up new
universes the way it used to. So I doubt there's be much momentum here. But Lego is a great
franchise. They have some parks. They have all of the IP you could get. I definitely think Bob Iger
10 years ago, if 10 years ago is now, Lego would make a ton of sense. I don't know if I see Disney
really, really going in this direction right now today. I agree with Lou. I don't know if it goes
in this direction. However, among the companies that exist in the world, very few would make
sense for Disney and Lego would be among the ones that make sense. What about a company like
Nintendo? Again, that would be a much, much bigger deal, a whole different can of worms.
But one of the things that has been rumored about the new CEO at Disney is that he's going to lean
more into things like gaming and maybe even spin off some of these non-core assets, whether it's
the cable companies, whether it's the sports business, that's going to focus you more on
IP, movies, games. That's Nintendo's wheelhouse. Anything there, John?
Oh, tons of stuff there. That would be a match made in heaven. I don't think that it could ever
get done just because of the sheer immensity of the Nintendo brand, the Nintendo company.
But oh my goodness, Disney would be like a kid in a candy shop if it got Nintendo.
All right. What about one of the legacy media companies that actually survived in the company
that is trying to disrupt them. I don't know exactly how well their business model is doing,
but New York Times and Substack, it seems like the direction of New York Times is to lean into these
writers more, they're bundling. Substack doesn't really have much of a bundle, but Lou,
does this make any sense or am I barking up the wrong tree?
It kind of makes sense, but here's the thing. Substack's main selling point is writer ownership,
that the writers own it. And that's not New York. I mean, New York Times is trying to invest in
writing, but that is not really their game. Antitrust could be weird here. I don't know
what antitrust regulators would say, but it does feel like that almost by default, and I respect
the New York Times, but almost by default, you would lose a lot of the value that the
perceived value on Substack if it was part of the New York Times. So I feel like you'd be paying
maybe a billion dollars. I think it's the valuation I've seen for Substack. So not an
insignificant amount and then see a lot of your best assets, maybe, I don't know, you'd have to
figure out a way to make sure they don't walk out the door. John? I agree with Lou here. I do think
directionally, this is a very interesting idea. Substack does seem to be kind of the future of
reporting and these good journalists who are on the platform, this independence that they have.
but the new york times would have to change who the new york times is to make this a good deal i
think that it would be skating to where the puck is but you'd have to leave something of yourself
along the way and i'm not sure the new york times is willing to do that one other idea yeah i i think
you have to like talk to cox community enterprise about this but um if i was the new york times i'd
be much more interested in i think trying to get axios for probably half the price i think that
fits the brand much better. Yeah, the combination of different business models would probably be a
challenge for the New York Times and Substack. But I don't know. You're right, John, that a lot
of the breaking news is now not necessarily coming from the big media outlets anymore. It's coming
from these smaller producers. One of my hobby horses recently, as I look over at my Peloton
bike that is collecting dust and my Garmin watch, is that these two companies make a lot of sense
together. Garmin is a much, much bigger company. It is a profitable company. Peloton is struggling.
I think they need to find a buyer. They're losing subscribers. Garmin is trying to move
into that subscription business. One of the reasons I'm not doing it is because I'm already
paying for Peloton. Is there something there, John, where they can pull these two businesses
together, kind of match up the common user base and maybe make a bigger business than the sum of
its parts. In a different timeline, Peloton would be the larger, more successful company compared
to Garmin. And Garmin would make sense as a bolt-on to Peloton's business. I'm not sure how
much it makes sense to bolt on Peloton to Garmin's business if Garmin is the one in the driver's
seat. However, I do see the integration capability between the two. You're wearing a Garmin that is
monitoring so much of your own health, and then you're jumping on some Peloton equipment that is
also integrating with that. That makes sense. But I'm not sure how much Garmin wants this,
although the two businesses do have things in common. So my grand theory on these exercise
apps is that they all advertise with people that look a lot buffer than I am. And they're selling
the dream that if you just sign up with this, or if you buy this equipment, if you do whatever,
you will look like the model. And then inevitably, we know what happens. That's not what happens.
And so these things tend to be fads, which is a way to say that I would never buy one of these
subscription businesses on the way down. I agree with you, Travis. I think a deal in theory could
make sense. And Garmin, I think, would like to go in the subscription. But you're still going to pay
a billion plus probably what 2 billion i think where peloton is unless they can you know i i i
think that why would you pay for these these falling knives tend not to bounce back
all right well hopefully my peloton bike is still usable for the next few years but maybe maybe i'm
uh maybe i'm on the on the wrong side of this lou you brought up this one before we started
recording this segment, and I kind of like it. Make the case for Berkshire buying PayPal.
It just feels like a Berkshire business. I mean, my criticism of PayPal is it's a mature
financial services company. Where are they going to grow? But they have a massive cash flow
generation ability. They're buying back their shares at an impressive pace. They are doing
the things that mature companies do. Their problem is that they're still sort of viewed
through the fintech prism. There's been a lot of talk about PayPal, who might buy them. I think a
lot of that, Travis, we talked about it earlier in the week, I think a lot of that is just
opportunistic potential buyers and not really a desire to sell. They have a new CEO coming in,
I think they'd rather give the CEO some time. But Berkshire with their massive amount of cash
to buy this company, take it out of the quarter-to-quarter spotlight of what growth is,
and just use that cash generation ability to invest in the business and invest elsewhere,
it just feels like a Berkshire type of asset. And it would be very much Berkshire to invest
in a financial services business once it's past the bleeding edge and when it's more just
predictable. And we get this now. I agree with everything that Lou just said
from a financials perspective. I think from a valuation perspective, it makes sense for
for Berkshire as well. The one thing that I would say is up for debate here is whether PayPal has a
durable competitive advantage. And I think that Berkshire would be interested in, does this
business have something going for it five years from now, 10 years from now that we can be certain
about? I think there's an argument that you can make for both sides of that. And I wonder where
Berkshire would fall down as far as PayPal's competitive advantage. You know what would help
with that competitive advantage is if PayPal was the one operating payments for Dairy Queen and
Geico and all of these other businesses that Berkshire owns. So that could definitely be a
help. Let's end on this one. DoorDash and Lyft. John, this was your idea. Make the case for it.
Yeah. If I'm CEO of DoorDash, I would acquire Lyft right now and figure out what I'm doing
with it later. I would let it operate. You're saying the price is too good.
Exactly. I mean, what is it trading for? Five times its cashflow or something like that.
I would, I would acquire it, allow it to operate independently. And if I let it operate
independently, I think this works out well for me. If I figure out ways in the future to integrate
it into one kind of rollup platform, better go toe to toe with Uber. Maybe I do that. I think
you can buy it now and figure it out later. I love this. I think it's a great idea. I don't
think there's any chance of it happening because DoorDash said, we're going to spend a couple
hundred million on building our infrastructure and the stock got punished. I don't think the
market would like it, but maybe because it's not just, I promise you, we're going to spend and
it's going to work out, it's going to be a real asset. But Lyft is a very, very good second fiddle
in its industry. There's a lot of ways that a smart management team, I think, could combine
this to Dash's platform. I don't think it's going to happen, but I love this idea.
They're also partners. And this is kind of the non-Uber ecosystem. I think this makes a ton of
sense. The other one that I would throw in there, too, that has been kind of rumored to be looking
at a company like Lyft is Zoox. And this is an Amazon company. But what if one of these autonomous
vehicle units gets spun out, maybe acquired by a DoorDash of the world? They can have custom-made
vehicles. I don't know. There's just, there's a lot of opportunity here. DoorDash has a nearly
$80 billion market cap. They have the money to play with. I love this as well. Maybe we'll be
talking about this deal at some point in the future. So Tony Zhu, call your banker. John
only wants a 5% finder's fee. Otherwise the deal should come together quick. All right. When we
come back, we're going to get to Stock Center Radar. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
The devil went down to Georgia. He was looking for a soul to steal. He was in a bind because
He was way behind and he was willing to make a deal when he came across this young man
sewing on a fiddle and playing it hot and the devil jumped up on a hickory stump and
said, boy, let me tell you what, I guess you didn't know it, but I'm a fiddle player too.
And if you'd care to take a dare, I'll make a bet with you.
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Lou, one of the interesting pieces of news this week was that Joby is moving closer to actually
flying their eVTOL aircraft. And one of the first places they're going to do that is in Dubai,
and you're gonna be able to access it on uber is this a big deal or nothing i mean it's somewhere
in between but what part of this is new the we knew about the partnership we knew that we saw
what the app is going to look like and it's kind of cool to have a little helicopter icon there to
be able to pop into pop into the toll sure sure but i mean we knew this was coming we knew jobi
was going to launch in 2026 we knew it was going to be dubai look it's not insignificant but right
now, the press release arms race is going strong. Joby's, our tribal archer, they just announced
a deal with Starlink today. It's like everybody's trying to get their friends together.
Once we're actually in the air, we can judge the economics, we can judge the stocks. I mean,
this is great for Uber. It's great optionality. But just like Waymo right now is just a teeny
tiny part of the business with potential. Joby, it's going to be even a smaller part of the
business. These are stuff for investors to monitor, to be aware of, to hope for the future.
But this is not actionable right now. This is all just kind of, you know, oh, neat.
The Archer announcement, I think, was interesting because, yeah, Starlink onboard. These are not
going to be very long flights. If you can't get away from your device and you're being connected
for 15 minutes while you're on an eVTOL aircraft, I mean, look out the window for a couple of
seconds. I thought that was just sort of a strange announcement, but maybe we need to be connected
24 seven. Hey, it's all about who has the best friends. All right, let's get to stocks on our
radar. John, you're up first. What are you looking at this week? Listen, I'm tired of Lou beating me
week after week. So I'm going with a stock that I think that even he would vote for over his own
pick this week. So I'm going with Mercado Libre. This is symbol M E L I. This is a business that
many of our listeners probably don't know firsthand unless they're in Latin America.
The company has operations in Mexico, Colombia, Brazil, et cetera. It has an e-commerce marketplace,
fintech, logistics, advertising, lending. It does a ton. Here's the thing. The stock is down over
30% from its high, and it doesn't have anything to do with business execution. In fact, 2025 was
the company's seventh straight year of 30% growth or better. The stock is down because investors
are worried about execution risk from here. It expanded free shipping, that compressed margins,
it increased lending, and so now it's setting aside more money in reserves. Investors seem
to fear that the business will suddenly make a major misstep after years of flawless execution.
On one hand, I get it, there is a new CEO, so maybe a little bit more execution risk, but
I think investors are being overly fearful here. The valuation is the cheapest it's been since the
great recession. That's too good to pass up. Dan, what do you want to know about Mercado Libre?
John, how are you going to say that our listeners aren't familiar with Mercado Libre? We did a whole
segment on them yesterday on this very show. I meant as a consumer, Dan.
That's fair, I suppose. John, do you have firsthand use of Mercado Libre?
I do not. I lived in Paraguay and it didn't have a big presence there.
Lou, what's on your radar this week?
All right. So, John's right. I do love MercadoLibre, but I also love Rocket Lab.
Dan, I'm going to talk to you about Rocket Lab, ticker RKLB. They released earnings this week.
It was a beat on revenue and EBITDA, but really, investors didn't care. That's not what we're
focused on here. Rocket Lab pushed the timing of its first neutron launch into the fourth quarter
of this year. They had previously been targeting the first half of the year. Before that, they
promised last year. We knew a delay was coming. They warned of a tank rupture when they were
testing it, but the timeline is probably a little longer than investors had hoped. This is important
because the Neutron rocket will increase the size of payloads the Rocket Lab can launch into space
and in turn create a lot more opportunities for the company. Here's the good news. Rocket Lab
ended a quarter with a backlog of $1.4 billion with a B in future space system business, nearly
$500 million in launch contracts. The company continues to acquire components, making sure
the supply chain's good. They still have over $800 million in cash on hand. As for the Neutron,
I'm still optimistic. I don't think long-term investors are going to care if it gets off.
Five years from now, we're not going to care if it was this quarter or that quarter.
They just need to get it airborne. But until this happens, Neutron will be an overhang,
and it could create buying opportunities. So I'm watching it close, Dan.
Dan, what do you think about Rockets? I just want to point out to all these
rocket investors and everything is that we're never going to be on Mars, gang. It doesn't
have a magnetosphere. We cannot live there. No, we're going to the moon now.
Yeah. No, you are 100% right. All right, Dan, which one is going on your watch list?
We're going to go, I don't know. I kind of like both companies, to be honest. So we're going to
go MercadoLibre because, you know, we talked about it yesterday. Thank you to John and Lou for
joining me and Dan Boyd for the work behind the glass. I'm Travis Hoyum. Thanks for listening to
Motley Fool Money. We'll see you here tomorrow.
We'll be right back.
