Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Rising Unemployment, Rising Investor Optimism
Episode Date: April 17, 2020More than 5 million more Americans file for unemployment as the monthly total surpasses 22 million. Abbott Labs gets a boost on optimism over its coronavirus testing. Gilead Sciences gets a boost on o...ptimism over its coronavirus treatment. Procter & Gamble reports its biggest U.S. sales gain in decades. Amazon hits an all-time high. Comcast launches a preview of its Peacock streaming service. And Verizon buys BlueJeans Network, a videoconferencing company. Motley Fool analysts Jason Moser and Ron Gross discuss those stories, take stock in the banking and airline industries, and weigh in on some dividend hikes. Plus, the guys share a few stocks on their radar: Spotify and CRISPR Therapeutics. And Okta co-founder and COO Frederic Kerrest talks cloud-based security software, password protection, and misconceptions about entrepreneurs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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from fool global headquarters this is motley fool money it's a motley fool money radio show i'm
chris hill joining me this week jason moser and ron gross good to see you on my screen gentlemen
Jason Moser. You as well. How are you doing?
Jason Moser. We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street. Okta co-founder,
Frederick Karest is our guest. As always, we've got some stocks on our radar, but we begin
with the big macro. An additional 5.2 million Americans filed for unemployment this week.
That brings the total over the last four weeks to 22 million Americans unemployed. Yet, gentlemen,
the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all up this week. And Jason, I know there are some bright spots
out there and we're going to get to them, but just the unemployment number and a rising stock market
really seems like a disconnect. Jason Moser. I mean, it definitely does.
And I think this portends what is going to be really a tale of two recoveries, right? I mean,
we're going to see the recovery for Wall Street and we're going to see the recovery for Main
Street. And I think it's fair to assume we always talk about the market being forward-looking. I
I mean, the market is going to get ahead of the actual recovery, right?
And so, I mean, at least we're seeing, we came out of a really bad stretch in March
where it seemed like every day there was nothing but bad news.
And now here in April, we're starting to see some glimmers of better news.
And it does seem like the curve is flattening, maybe there's a finish line here.
And I think that's ultimately what the market is taking into consideration, at least partly,
is that there is a finish line here. At some point, we're talking about opening the country
back up here, step-by-step, little-by-little. And that's encouraging, but it is going to be,
I think, the tale of two recoveries. And Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, noted in his most recent
JPMorgan shareholder letter, around 100 million Americans own stock. And that's an impressive
number from one perspective, but from the other perspective, it also shows that most Americans
don't actually own stock. I think that's where that other side of the recovery is going to be
a bit of a bigger question mark. We sit here, we talk about these market conditions and enjoy the
fact that the market's maybe recovering a little bit, but we can't ignore the fact that most people
out there aren't participating in this, and there are some real ramifications of this shutdown that
are going to play out for a while to come. But there is a finish line. This isn't something
that's going to last forever. It's not going to be a lost decade, and perhaps that's something
that's playing into these numbers today yeah i agree and i agree it's all about the market being
forward-looking i think what the market is telling us is that they see the stimulus package packages
as a bridge to what will one day be a new normal um and the new normal will include antivirals and
vaccines which were also at the same time we're getting good news about these coming out so a
flattening curve a stimulus program as a bridge antivirals and vaccines kind of gets you back to
we're at least somewhere closer to where you want to be and the market is showing us that right now.
Yeah, I mean, we definitely saw some encouraging news, let's call it. You look at Abbott Labs
and the COVID-19 tests that they're working on. Gilead Sciences, that stock was up about 10%
this week on reports of a clinical trial of Gilead's antiviral drug that could be promising
in terms of treating COVID-19. So, yeah, I think that there are definitely some bright spots that
investors are excited about. I think it's fair also to look a little bit more forward. I mean,
we're getting into this earnings season now, which I think is going to be pretty interesting.
And all we know going into this earnings season, it's going to be bad, right? But it's going to be
really bad. And that's all we can really say, right? It's very difficult to quantify this,
because we haven't been through something of this nature before. I mean, those unemployment
claims are phenomenally large. And I think you have to go all the way back to 1982, I believe,
to see the last stretch of time where it was something of this magnitude. But for me, I mean,
I am actually looking to next earnings season, because I think that's actually going to be a
bit more telling. It's going to help put this earnings season more into context. So while the
market is reacting pretty positively today, I certainly wouldn't read into that and think,
oh, we're out of the woods now, because it's very, very possible that in the next three months as
the next earning season starts to hit. We're going to get a little bit more context as to how bad
things either are or were. And we, I think, will know a whole heck of a lot more three months from
now. And unfortunately, I don't think we're going to flip a switch and get back to somewhere close
to normal. There's too many people unemployed and there are too many small businesses that
unfortunately, I think, are going to go out, even though there's a paycheck protection program and
other stimulus programs for small businesses out there. So not everyone is going to go back to work
quickly. Some folks are going to have to switch careers, I think. They're going to have to find
other places to work. This is going to take a while. So while the economy will look better,
probably six to 12 months from now than it does today, it's not going to go back to where we were
six months ago. Not anytime soon, I don't think. Well, let's move on to retail because we got the
monthly report for March and sales fell nearly 9%. That was the worst drop in history.
although groceries were a bright spot, consumer goods as well. And Ron, we saw that on Friday
with Procter & Gamble's third quarter sales up 10% because among the brands in the Procter & Gamble
empire, you've got Charmin toilet paper and Bounty paper towels.
Yeah. So two things. Don't extrapolate that March retail sales as something that looks not that bad
at eight or nine percent down because it's a short period of time and things are actually
much worse than that, I think, if you broaden out the lens. And I think we'll see actually
numbers come in that except for grocery and beverages will just continue to be really,
really weak. On the other side, I wouldn't extrapolate too much out of Procter & Gamble
because that strength is more of a one-time, perhaps a two-time hit because people were
stocking up on consumer staples. Theoretically, that's not going to continue into the future,
at least not at this pace. So while P&G had a real strong report, raised their dividends and
kudos to them and what they're doing, I would be careful not to extrapolate those results into the
future. And Jason, Amazon shares hitting another all-time high this week. Well, I mean, that does
make a lot of sense, right? We're seeing, I mean, clearly a lot of businesses struggle in this
in this market. But as we note, in times of trouble, this is when the leaders typically
gain more share and come out on the other side of the recovery even stronger. So, whether
it's an established business like Amazon, and that makes a lot of sense there, look
at some of these other businesses that are participating in the digital economy and it's
understandable why they're performing well. DocuSign hitting 52-week highs here. Well,
makes a lot of sense. We don't have to sign papers in person anymore, we can do it digitally.
Teladoc Health, obviously, telemedicine gaining traction. Look at Shopify. I saw a data point
here now where Shopify's network is essentially handling Black Friday-level sales or Black
Friday-level traffic every day, which is just amazing to think about. But the fact of the
matter is that Shopify is a business that helps people set up their e-commerce presence.
That makes a lot of sense there. Then you couple that with what we saw at news this
week where Stripe, the payments company, just raised some more money at about a $36 billion
valuation. Now, understanding that private valuations are a bit more nebulous than the
public valuations, but that puts Stripe at a 44% premium to Square, and Square has done
an awful good job as well. Now, the reason why Stripe matters is because Stripe is the
payments provider for Shopify. Shopify's success, to a degree, begets some of Stripe's success.
we do see a point in time where Stripe does go public, there's going to be a lot of interested
parties there as well. So, there is an opportunity here for a lot of companies, and we're seeing
some really capitalize. Yeah, I think the crisis exacerbates
the opportunities for the market leaders, right? Amazon's, the Costco's of the world,
they're going to be the winners here. There will be a retail shakeout, there will be a
restaurant shakeout. We're not going to be left with the same amount of retail and restaurants
out there after this is over. We saw earlier in the week JCPenney finally perhaps talking
about some kind of bankruptcy, although I think it should be a liquidation, not a reorganization.
How long can we drag this one out? But that's just one example. Yes, companies are furloughing
workers and yes, they will bring them back online at some point, but they're not all
going to come back online and not all these businesses will survive.
Let me tie two things together that we've been talking about here. One is market
leaders, and the other is the earnings season that we are entering into right now. Because
Facebook and Alphabet make a ton of money off of advertising. And we're starting to see more and
more data come out about advertising spends being slashed. Barry Diller, the chairman of Expedia,
came out this week and said, Expedia normally spends around $5 billion in advertising. This
year, they're not even going to spend $1 billion. Now, I get that they're in the business of travel,
not every business out there is necessarily going to slash their ad budget by 85%.
But that's going to be interesting to see what color we get from Facebook and Alphabet.
Yeah, I think that's exactly right. I think when you look at these platforms,
whether it's Facebook or Google, I'll throw Twitter in there as well,
these are platforms that are all seeing tremendous boosts in engagement. The dilemma is that
that engagement really is more about what's going on with the coronavirus and COVID-19. I mean,
that is really what is covering these networks wall to wall. And advertising partners don't
really want to be advertising in the midst of that news cycle, right? I mean, you don't want
to be throwing your advertising dollars towards a platform that's really focused on probably the
worst news we've been dealing with, you know, maybe in our lifetimes. But I mean, it is something
that will pass. Another interesting point, Pinterest recently updated their numbers,
I think withdrew guidance, but they noted even despite the weakness across the entire advertising
market, their exposure to some of the more affected segments like travel and automotive
and restaurants, that their exposure is a little bit lower in those segments. And those segments
have been hit a little bit harder as well. So, it is interesting to see how some networks like
Pinterest, which cater to a little bit more of a specific audience, are a little bit more
protected in a time like this. But you're looking at Google and Facebook, they're going
to come out of this just fine. Yeah, but I will add, you would expect
to see companies pull back on marketing and advertising, because those are variable expenses
versus fixed expenses. And that's a lever they can pull to rein in expenses and costs
as they need to wait this out.
So that is one place,
the revenue's not gonna be there anyway.
So to pull back on marketing and advertising
is almost a no-brainer.
Bring those costs down, buy yourself some time.
Before we go to the break, Jason,
the big banks kicked off earnings season this week.
As an industry, the big banks typically go first.
Goldman Sachs, Bank of America,
JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley.
What stood out to you when you look at them as a group this week?
Yeah, I mean, to me, the headline really, the headline can be summed up in two words,
and that's lost reserves. And, you know, I've been thinking about this. I think one of the
byproducts of the Great Recession, it could be argued, is that it did put our major financial
institutions on firmer footing from a capital perspective. It certainly gave them the mindset
to come into something like this a little bit more prepared. But they're doing the things that
they need to do. They're going to continue to pay dividends until that becomes something
that is more concerning. Buybacks are suspended. But back to the reserves. I mean, we look
through these calls here. JPMorgan built their reserves up by $6.8 billion this quarter.
Bank of America built theirs up by $3.6 billion. And since year-end, their reserves are now
built up by $6.9 billion. Wells Fargo built theirs up by $3.1 billion. And Chris, you
know, I love to go through these earnings calls and just sort of search for some language there.
We talk about that word reserve. This quarter, JP Morgan mentioned the word reserve in their call
31 times. That was six times a year ago. Bank of America used that word 46 times this quarter
versus 10 times a year ago. So there's a clear trend there. And these banks are very focused
on making sure that they are in good capital positions. And that's what we want to see.
Agreed. Now, that's interesting research. Counting the number of times. I love that.
Hey, data's king, Ron. You've got to go where the data tells you.
The other trend I saw pretty much across the board, the only bright spots for all of these companies were their trading divisions, whether it's Bank of America up 33 percent, J.P. Morgan up 32 percent, Goldman Sachs up 28 percent.
We're relatively large numbers, only bright spot pretty much across the division.
Citibank, more focused on consumer, not getting it done pretty much anywhere yet at this point.
But trading strong, everything else weak.
Coming up, if you're a fan of the Fast and Furious movies, we've got some good news.
Stay right here.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money.
Chris Hill here with Jason Moser and Ron Gross. The airline industry getting a little bit of good
news this week. Delta, American, JetBlue, and Southwest all coming out saying they've reached
agreements with the Treasury Department on that $25 billion plan for payroll grants. So, Ron,
we were talking earlier in the show about companies getting a bridge. This is certainly a bridge for
the airline industry. A badly needed bridge. And it's interesting, from a stock perspective,
it looks like analysts were hoping for more. I'm not sure what more they were looking for,
because the stocks didn't react as one perhaps would have expected. But this is very important.
$25 billion, as you said, in payroll grants, no furloughing until September 30th, limits on
dividends, share repurchase, executive comp. One of the interesting parts of this is it gives the
government warrants to acquire stocks. So it's likely that when this all shakes out, we're going
to end up with some government ownership of the majors here. And, you know, folks like American
Delta, United JetBlue Southeast participating in this program. So that will be interesting to see.
I don't know if this is going to be enough, quite frankly. I think the airline industry is going to
get back to some kind of new normal very slowly. $25 billion, and there's another $25 billion on
the other side and stimulus as well. We may have to go back to the well here, depending on how long
this takes. Yeah. And the more you hear from the CEOs in the airline industry, the more you get a
clear picture of just how they are cutting capacity to the bone. Yeah. United came out and said demand
won't come back quickly. Expect demand to remain repressed for the remainder of 2020 and into 2021.
one, that's sobering, but it's realistic. Even when we do get back to travel, planes will be
nowhere near capacity. Maybe they'll be at half capacity if we social distance. International
travel will certainly take a while to come back. So, you know, this will take a while. Prices
obviously are very, very low, as they should be. And if we can get back, let's call it a year or
two from now or even three, gains from a stock perspective could be strong enough to make up
for the time it will take to get us back on our feet here.
This week, Comcast started a soft launch of its new Peacock video streaming service.
Comcast is the parent company of NBC and Universal. So, Jason, there's obviously a lot of
content there with The Office and Parks and Rec and the Fast and the Furious movies and the Despicable
Me movies. Interesting though that they're doing this soft launch. This is not what Disney did with
Disney+, where they delayed the launch and did everything at once. This is starting now just for
sort of the high-end subscribers of the Xfinity services, and then into 2021, it's going to get
the full push. Yeah. I mean, I guess I'm on the fence about this service. I mean, I understand
what they're doing. I wonder what their end goal is here with this. I mean, is it to have
a presence in the streaming space? Is it to build a streaming empire, so to speak? This is one of
the first bricks that they lay in the foundation. I think it really does boil down to, are they
going to have that arsenal of content that ultimately will attract viewers, that keeps
them around, and then maybe affords Comcast the ability to raise prices on that service as time
goes on? It really does boil down to having content that people want to watch. One of the
comparables there. I see what Disney has done with FX on Hulu, for example. And as a Hulu live
subscriber, you know, that's essentially kind of your skinny bundle, right? It's cable, but it's
not cable. But they've rolled FX into that Hulu family, and it gives them the opportunity to
continue monetizing on the advertising front while also monetizing on the subscriber front
in the context of a bigger offering. And so, it feels to me like consumers are starting to become
a little bit exhausted with all of the streaming services that are out there. Peacock is definitely
late to the game. I just don't know how many eyeballs it's ultimately going to attract.
The goal is obviously 24-7 law and order. So what else is there? No, but they're all reasonably
priced in a vacuum. With ads, $5. No ads, $10. That's great. But how many of these are going to
show up on my credit card statement every month? I've already got four, five, six. There's too
many. We have to, we're going to go back at some point to some kind of bundling, some kind of
partnerships, or there's going to be just big winners and lots of losers. And that'll be
interesting to watch. All right, guys, we'll see you later in the show. Up next, a conversation
with Okta co-founder, Frederick Karest. Stay right here. This is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. It was three years ago this month that
Okta went public. Okta is a software business that helps companies manage identity and access.
The stock's risen more than 500% since the IPO. Earlier this week, Motley Fool CEO Tom Gardner
and senior analyst Bill Mann talked with Frederick Karest, Okta's chief operating officer and one of
the company's co-founders. They discussed cybersecurity and tips for setting up a good
password. Frederick Karest kicked things off by sharing Okta's origin story. So we started the
company just over 11 years ago. It was me and another guy, Todd McKinnon. We still work together
after 11 plus years. I've spent more time with him than I have with my wife. So I know
all of his little pet peeves. Today, the company's got about 2,400 employees,
about 8,000 enterprise customers. We've been public for three years on NASDAQ. So that's
12 quarters, not that I'm counting, but if I were, it would be 12 quarters. And I think it's
about a $600 million revenue run rate business grown in the high 40 percentage. So look, if you
give me all those stats, when we started the company 10, 11 years ago, I would have taken
in the heartbeat based on where I am sitting today and what I think is ahead, obviously,
the COVID crisis notwithstanding. I think the opportunity is great in the next three,
five, 10 years, and I'm excited to talk with you guys about it today.
So, Frederick, I'm pretty good at math, and so if I go backwards 11 years,
yeah, you are founding your company. You're at Salesforce in 2008 and 2009 when you were
talking about this, which was really the last real financial crisis, obviously very different
from today. It was a real leap of faith, I think, for you all to go out during that time.
Are there some things that you feel like you got right from the outset by virtue of being
forged in steel, so to speak? Yeah, well, certainly, I think that, so a couple things
The first one is, if you look back historically over the last 20, 30 years, large technology companies have successfully been founded, oftentimes in these moments of crises.
So whether it's Google that happened on the previous one, you look at our whole generation of cloud technology infrastructure companies that were built in 2009, 2010.
Why is that?
Well, first of all, when you're building a company like ours, it's infrastructure, it's identity, it's security.
it takes a couple of years just to get the core of the platform up and running.
So there's nothing going on in those first couple of years, other than building the software,
trying to put the first team together, spending a lot of time with potential customers or not
even customers, you don't have any customers, but just talking to people about what kinds of
problems you would help them solve. And so by the time you've actually built up that first
base of product and feel like you're good enough to get out there and get going,
people are actually starting to buy again. So I wouldn't be surprised if we see that happen again
this time around. I think entrepreneurs are a very resilient bunch. Certainly, I think there's
a lot more focus put by venture capitalists on the types of businesses that they're going to fund
without a doubt in the coming times here. But I think for those who really find the right product
market fit or opportunities, you're going to see a whole new host of companies that are built that
way. Now, for us, we also kind of lucked on the timing, right? Because if you just look at the
data on what's happened in enterprise IT spend over the last 10 years, yeah, you would say,
well, you guys are geniuses. It's not like I could have foretold that in my crystal ball when we were
building the company in 2009, right? Software as a service, cloud security was a very small business.
We kind of took this leap of faith that it was going to go to where it was going to go.
You know, I could have never, never hoped for these kinds of results. So we've been,
we've been very fortunate that way. So can you just describe, define for somebody who's now
encountering Okta for the first time. What is the Okta Identity Cloud? What does that mean?
Yeah, absolutely. So what we do today very practically is we help with two main things.
We help in what we call workforce identity management, which is for employees, contractors,
consultants. If you're a new employee, you come to the company, a very easy way for you to access
all of your applications, whether they're cloud, whether they're on-premise, it's a very simple
dashboard. It's a very easy way to go. Could be two-factor authentication, which is a one-time
SMS on your smartphone so that you get that quick code to put in. So the idea is to improve the end
user experience while also enhancing security, something that's never been done in the past.
It was always like you jacked one up, the other one went down or you flipped them around, but you
can never get them both right. So we like to think because of course we're perfect that we got them
both right and that you can do both things. What does that mean for IT? It means there's one central
place they can manage all these things. So if I work for you, you let me go. There's one place
you can take away access to all these publicly available internet services. So I can't go home
and log into Salesforce and take the forecast across the street to the other guy. Okay. So
that's the first business workforce identity management. It's at scale. It's in large
deployments, you know, large insurance companies, large parts of the government,
fortune 500 companies are deploying it to their employees and their contractors and their partners.
It's on any device since it's basically, since it's on the web, it's on any device. Of course,
the second part of the business is customer identity management so if you fly on jet blue
you have a true blue number or if you go to uh mlb.com you're one of 60 million consumers every
year who logs in to watch their baseball games or you have one of the 27 different properties
at albertson's the retail chain that you go and shop at we run the identity infrastructure for
all of those so that when you go to albertson's if you have three different uh parts of the
Albertsons business that you actually buy from, you actually have one username, one password,
one number, make it very easy for you. And on the back end, Albertsons can actually track Tom and
say, oh, Tom shops at these three places. Let's make it really easy for him to shop at this fourth
one. Let's give him a bunch of coupons and things like that. So those are the parts of the business.
Some of them, in a lot of cases, very transparent. People don't even know that they're using the
service. Millions, tens of millions of users authenticating every day on the service now.
so it's really starting to become a big part of the of the uh of the economy as we're out there
and we're fortunate things have gone well and when you think about the single point of failure for
any security situation it is always the individual so having leaving the individual off the table for
you in some ways creates different vulnerabilities for whatever systems you all are working with
yeah that's totally right i mean if you look at these you know it's not like when people you know
when you get one of these unfortunate articles that are on the top of the wall street journal
you open it it's above the fold so and so just got breached it's not like hackers cracked aes
256 bit encryption what happened is one of the system administrators was using a weak password
on some basic travel website got compromised they reused the password and got into a bunch
of administrative credentials and then bingo they were in now that's not what happens all the time
but that's actually what happens a majority of the time. So you're totally right. And that's why
just like basic password hygiene is just something that I cannot emphasize enough to all of your
listeners. Just do the basic things. Don't reuse passwords. Use complex ones. Use passphrases,
just all those little tips and tricks. And then multi-factor authentication. I mean,
multi-factor authentication should be everywhere. It should be seamless. It's a very, very easy thing
for people to do. And it really gets rid of all of these types of problems. For somebody who has
no idea what multi-factor authentication means so uh so multi obviously more than one uh factors
for authentication very simple when you go to the atm machine you have two factors you have your card
and you have your pin so it's usually something you know and something you have so in this case
it's like when you go to your bank website something you know your bank password and
something you have your telephone where it sends you an sms with six digits that's a version of
multi-factor authentication i i i want to know about uh your podcast yes zero to ipo yes so you
were just when we talked to you last podcaster yes now when we talked to you last time you were
just getting ready to start it and i i love it thank you what are some of the things that you
have learned from you've had you you've had amazing guests on and i mean not just necessarily
from a profile perspective, but you've had incredibly interesting entrepreneurs come
through. What are some of the main things that you are learning from them that you are reapplying
to your work at Okta? Yeah, there's a lot of layers in that. I love the question, Bill.
So first thing is zero to IPO. I started getting a lot of when we were fortunate when the company
went, when Okta went public, you know, we were helped a lot by entrepreneurs who were ahead of
us in the journey as we built Okta. So I want to make sure I was giving back. I'm on the executive
advisory board of the MIT Entrepreneurship Center. So I want to make sure that we're helping
entrepreneurs. And I started getting the same question over and over as entrepreneurs would
come ask me. And so finally I said, hey, you know what? Maybe I should just write a number of
articles about this. And then people said, well, will you interview some folks? So I became an
accidental podcaster. We did season one last year. We actually just kicked off season two with
Eric Yuan from Zoom a couple of weeks ago. Season two is going to be rolling out through
April, May, and June. So there's more coming there. The idea is just to help everyone else
debunk the myth of what happens in building these companies. And it feels like a lot of
the information, first of all, I understand why, but the media tends to hype up massive success
stories like Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos, or the ones that are complete failures. And we don't have to
go through the names, but where they lose hundreds of millions of dollars and there's fraud and all
these other kinds of things. And I understand why they're trying to sell viewers. But what
happens to 99% of the people right in the middle, no one ever talks about. And it's just day-to-day
hard work, going to work, trying to get all these things going. And some of my favorite podcast
episodes were when you hear from these people like Carl Eschenbach, the famous guy who built
VMware from 200 people to 20,000, who's known as being a go-to-market magician. And he tells
you the story of when in 2004, before they even had iPhones or anything, he's sitting there with
his rep trying to close one big deal at a big pharmaceutical company. And he has to just sit
there all day and he can't get the deal done. And he's like, the rep's starting to cry. I got to go
back to my wife. And you're like, what do you mean? Like, this is the legend. And so what we
just wanted to translate to everyone. And so what I took back to Bill, which is a little bit
comforting is that it's hard for everyone all the time. And anyone who thinks that you can just read
the press and it's up and to the right and everyone's a hero, you're just being misled.
And so half of the thing was the folks who came on and it was Patty McCord, who built a culture
deck at Netflix, or Ben Horowitz talking about how he's trying to go public with three weeks of
cash left, or Andre Iguodala talking about how he practices for hitting the big shot. Because once
in a while, you're going to have that big shot and you've got to hit the big shot. It's true for me
now. Right when we go into earnings that morning, when we're about to get on the earnings call,
Todd and I look at each other with Bill, our CFO and our head of IR. And we say,
this is a big shot. You've got to hit the big shots. You've got to get locked in. You've got
to get focused in. And, you know, I'm just trying to, I'm just trying to help. I think
entrepreneurship is great. It's not a perfect equalizer, but it's a lot better than going and
working at large companies. You have a lot of people who have the opportunity to start new
companies and all sorts of different industries. And especially in today's, it's the driver of the
economy. So the more that we can simplify and debunk the myth of entrepreneurship and just
share it, I think it behooves us all to do that. Coming up, we've got a couple of stocks for your
watch list. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against,
so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money.
Chris Hill here once again with Jason Moser and Ron Gross. Verizon has entered the video
conferencing fray, gentlemen. Verizon this week bought BlueJeans Network for less than
$500 million. BlueJeans, unlike Zoom, Jason, they focus much more on the enterprise side
of things. They've got 15,000 customers, including some pretty big companies out there. It really
is going to be interesting to see how this all shakes out.
Yeah. Verizon CEO Hans Vestberg noted that they've been looking at this company,
they've been looking at BlueJeans for about a year, and that he believes that
Verizon's distribution will be a big advantage in helping grow that platform. Now, in theory,
I agree. I think Verizon has phenomenal distribution and that there's a lot of
potential there. Again, we talk about Comcast and Peacock and maybe being a little bit late
to the game. Granted, a lot of this happened very quickly with coronavirus concerns and
Zoom has taken off because of it. I honestly think there is going to be a real branding
problem here though with BlueJeans. I just don't know that people are going to work that
into the conversation very, very well, like, hey, I'll BlueJeans you, or hey, I'll see
you on BlueJeans. There is potential there, but when we look at all of the progress Zoom
has made thus far, privacy concerns notwithstanding, they're digging into fixing that problem a
now. But what they did early on was just, they took this market by storm. And it's really become
one of the phrases that pays here during this time. It's become a verb, right? I'll Zoom you.
So, I do understand the sentiment there. I think that competing on the commercial side
makes more sense. But they have to figure out a way to propose a better value proposition,
right? They need to come up with a better value proposition and convince a lot of those customers
out there that are using Zoom today, why they should be using BlueJeans instead. I'm not certain
that Verizon's distribution network cuts it, but we will see. It seems like a relatively modest
bet on the part of Verizon. I wouldn't be surprised to see this thing get written down
in a significant fashion over the course of the next year or two.
It is interesting for a company most of us haven't heard of and that is less than $500
million value. They do seem to have some real serious customers, whether it's
Facebook or LinkedIn or Viacom and large banks, a lot of them the ones we just mentioned earlier in the show, appear to be customers as well.
So it will be interesting if we get some user data at some point to see kind of how much penetration they have here.
Verizon also said they have kind of some kind of a future in their 5G offering.
I don't necessarily know what that will be.
That will be interesting to watch as well.
But just on a step back kind of a note, it's interesting to see one of these tuck-in acquisitions starting to happen.
And we've been wondering if M&A activity will pick up.
I think we were largely talking about if that will happen among public companies and that BlueJeans is obviously private.
But it's interesting to see Verizon putting some money to work here during a time where maybe BlueJeans valuation was down because the competition is heating up, hard to say.
But I think we're going to continue to see lots of these little tuck-in acquisitions.
Well, I think that's a good point you make there, Ron, too, is this acquisition happening now.
they can say they've been looking at it for the past year. But this may have been about as
attractive an opportunity for blue jeans as they were going to come across. I mean, you got to
figure that at this point, they're selling it, you know, a lower valuation than maybe they would
have been a year ago. Or perhaps higher because the space is hot. That's the other side of the
trade. That's true. Hey, real quick, before we get to the stocks on our radar, Ron, this week,
Johnson & Johnson, Costco, Procter & Gamble, they all raised their quarterly dividend,
and not a huge amount, sort of in the range of 6% to 8%.
But in this environment, when all these big companies are either keeping their dividends in place
or cutting them back, I feel like this is going to be a badge of honor down the line.
It's a really strong signal to the market.
It's showing not only is business strong right now and cash flow generation is strong right now,
but our balance sheets are strong and we can continue to do this and not only continue,
but increase them. Very strong signal to the market and to investors.
Alright, let's get to the stocks on our radar. Our man zooming in, Steve Broido,
we'll hit you with a question. Jason Moser, you're up first. What are you looking at?
Yes. As the world's largest music streaming platform, I'm taking a look at Spotify,
ticker is SPOT. They have earnings coming out on April 29th, and this is a stock we continue to
follow here at The Fool and many of our services. Monthly active users is one of the key metrics for
Spotify. They recorded $271 million last quarter, that was 31% growth from the year ago. But the
The more important metric is actually the premium subscribers. Last quarter, they chalked
up $124 million there, and that was 29% growth. I want to see how they're growing that premium
subscriber base, particularly in the face of this stay-at-home economy, so to speak.
This is a time when they should be shining, but they make their money a couple of different
ways, advertising and subscriber fees. Subscriber fees make up the overwhelming majority of
their revenue. And then finally, I just want to get a little bit more insight as to how
they view their acquisition of the ringer family of podcasts, because they continue to tout this
exponential growth in the podcast market, the opportunity there. And I tend to agree. I just
want to see how they're exploiting it. Steve, question about Spotify?
Sure. What makes them different than all the other streaming providers?
Well, I think they really, when they were competing against Pandora back in the day,
it was more of a bespoke offering, which gave them the leg up. You could go in there and listen
to anything you wanted on demand. And that ultimately is what gave them a leg up. And now
as users continue to listen, the technology there recognizes what you're listening to. They have a
very good recommendation engine and they've incorporated a lot more into the offering as
well. So it's become more of an entertainment platform. Ron Gross, what are you looking at?
Going back to CRISPR Therapeutics CRSP, down 32% from its December 2019 high.
Gene Therapy Company focusing on the CRISPR-Cas9 technology to edit genes.
Main partnership is with Vertex, a $69 billion pharmaceutical company, a good partner to have.
Importantly, their balance sheet is solid, $943 million in cash, only $52 million in debt.
And they've had some really promising early-stage data that they actually can cure a sickle cell disease.
So looking forward to seeing more of that.
Steve?
I'm a CRISPR shareholder.
Ron, do you see them playing a part in the COVID-19 solution?
Not in the near term, no.
They would have to ramp up and start from scratch.
So I think there are other folks who are much further along,
and we should look to those folks for the next six-month, three-year innovations.
What do you want to add, Steve?
I think I'll go with Spotify.
Hey, now.
All right, Ron Gross, Jason Moser.
Guys, thanks for being here.
That's going to do it for this week's show.
I'm Chris Hill.
Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next week.
