Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Sora Is No Mora
Episode Date: March 25, 2026OpenAI is shutting down Sora and its video generation models to focus on enterprise customers and coding. Meanwhile, Coinbase and Circle are crashing as congress considers a bill that could eliminate ...stablecoin rewards. The irony is, Coinbase could be more profitable without rewards.Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Rachel Warren discuss:- Sora is shutting down- Stablecoins in congress- Amazon’s latest robot acquisitionsCompanies discussed: Disney (DIS), Coinbase (COIN), Circle (CRCL), Amazon (AMZN).Host: Travis HoiumGuests: Lou Whiteman, Rachel WarrenEngineer: Kristi WaterworthAdvertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
open ai's sora is no mora motley fool money starts now
welcome to motley fool money i'm travis hoy i'm joined today by lou whiteman and rachel warren
And guys, the OpenAI news continues to come out.
Lou, we talked about this a little bit yesterday with Tyler Crowe on the show.
But the breaking news yesterday was that they are shutting down Sora, this sort of social
media video app that they launched not too long ago, a few months ago.
But not only that, they're actually shutting down making their own video models.
Rachel, this seems like a huge shift for OpenAI.
they're really focusing on kind of the enterprise side, coding, you know, their Codex product. We
talked about that. It was so striking that they have put so much time and energy, even a billion
dollar deal with Disney to try to build up this video business, one of those spaghetti at the
wall kind of things. And now they're just saying, you know what, we're done with that.
Yeah. I mean, there was a lot of viral buzz around Sora, but there had also been kind of
some major challenges. So Sora had this ability to generate lifelike videos. I mean, it was
generating unauthorized clips of people like Michael Jackson and Martin Luther King Jr. So
there was fierce opposition from actors' unions, family estates. There was even an issue they were
having with the Japanese government demanding that OpenAI stop using copyrighted anime and
manga characters in Sora V2. The other point I think to make here is very high computational
costs required to run these models, very much putting a dent, I think, in the bigger dream
of OpenAI for profitability. Ahead of its reported IPO, potentially later this year,
I think they're really refocusing on their upcoming SPUD model, their AI agents, right,
designed for coding and robotics. I think they're really trying to kind of cut their losses and
reallocate their resources towards autonomous AI agents, enterprise-grade tools. It is interesting
the impact on Disney. I mean, they have this three-year, billion-dollar partnership that
included licensing over 200 characters for Marvel, Pixar, and Star Wars. That feels dead.
Disney publicly said they respect OpenAI's decision, but there was some reports that
the news caught the company off guard that maybe they didn't even hear about it until about
30 minutes after a joint meeting. So a lot going on there. I mean, for Disney's part,
they're now an active free agent in the AI space. They're reportedly engaging with other AI
platforms to find a new partner. So that could be something interesting to see. I think now with
this kind of leader out of the race, a lot of eyes are turning to Alphabet and Anthropic.
you know, Anthropic has notably chosen to avoid video generators entirely. So maybe this is
something that we're not going to see as much investment in the space. That remains to be seen,
but it is a big shift for OpenAI from, I think, where a lot of people thought the business was
going. Yeah, Lou, it does seem like they're at least focusing. And we've asked a lot of questions
about how are they going to build a sustainable business model? So this is maybe a step in the
right direction. But the other interesting thing is it seems like they're kind of seeding a lot
of this consumer space. You know, if you want to make a video, go to Gemini. And that was the
theory even 12 or 18 months ago was that Alphabet was going to be, and Google were going to be
disrupted. This is kind of seeding that entire area to them. You're giving them the focus award,
Travis? Is that the thing? Yeah. Well, I mean, for now, we'll see until they go public and then
start throwing spaghetti at the wall again. I think this is a rare moment of honesty from
OpenAI, a company that loves a good press release. For all of the bluster, for all of the statements
about how wonderful it is, things are not going well. And we're supposed to make bold statements
here, Travis. This may not come true, but I am increasingly wondering if OpenAI will ever get
to an IPO. I mean, the simple math here is that they were not making money on this. As Rachel
of a sudden, just the sheer bandwidth needed was too much for the revenue. Also, I think it's fair
to say that they didn't see a path for revenue, which is kind of the scarier thing. And add into
it the fact that even with a billion-dollar sweetener from Disney, if they would have kept
going, they still couldn't justify it. I think the conclusion here is they were losing tons of
money with no path to profitability. And hey, I guess credit to them for at least backing off.
But look, Anthropic is doing it better.
Anthropic is using a lot fewer resources to actually grab the enterprise customer.
So copying them makes sense.
I don't know if the consumer matters here.
I think the enterprise matters for now.
And yeah, Anthropic is showing the way.
Opening eye would be insane not to follow.
So is the theory there, if you're looking at a potential IPO, that, hey, the consumer
space is just going to be too hard.
Maybe Alphabet is already there with the ad business in particular, something that OpenAI really said they didn't want to do until it was kind of too late.
So if you want to build a real business and go public, you have to go after these coding opportunities, these enterprise opportunities.
And that's what they're focusing on, even though we've seen seemingly everything else.
We had the browser shut down.
We've seen now Sora shut down.
Is even ChatGPT going to be the future of the company, or is it really just Codex at this point?
It's weird to compare them to Alphabet because it's such a different set of circumstances.
One is an established business that in part is backfilling.
Let's be honest, you know, the whole, it used to be Alphabet's going to get killed by OpenAI
because search is going to be destroyed.
Instead, they're kind of just transitioning search, but you have an established customer
base and an established business.
And so it makes sense to stay in that business that you know so well.
I think on the OpenAI side, like Anthropic, starting from scratch, you need to earn customers
and the cost of acquiring a customer in almost any business is high. So you want to go after
the customers with the highest payout that's on the enterprise side. I mean, again, we'll see
what becomes a consumer AI. We'll say, maybe we all will pay hundreds of dollars a month for these
magical tools that make our lives better. There's time to fight that out if, and when that happens
for now, if you are trying to build a business, you need to see your efforts generate revenue.
And clearly, I mean, I don't think this is unique to AI or anything, but clearly the
enterprise is the customer to go to get that.
Yeah, I think it makes a lot of sense in a lot of ways, especially if you are trying
to get to the IPO, but it's just striking how many things they've tried that were supposed
to be the future of technology, the future of artificial intelligence, and they just
didn't really work out.
So we will see where OpenAI goes.
I'm sure we're going to be talking about this again soon.
And when we come back, we're going to talk about crypto and what the future of stable
coins looks like.
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Welcome back to Motley Fool Money with the Hidden Gems team.
Yesterday, we saw shares of Coinbase and Circle plunge.
I think Circle was actually down over 20%, at least one point.
And the reason was Congress is pushing through this Clarity Act,
which is going to set the rules for stable coins.
And one of the things that's been on the docket is our crypto company
is going to be able to offer rewards for holding stable coins. This is something that Coinbase does
on their platform. If you have USDC stable coins, they'll pay you, I think it's three and a half
percentage points right now as a reward for that. So it looks a little bit like interest on a bank
account, even though it's a little bit different than that. But this would make that illegal,
Lou. And the interesting thing here is this would make it maybe a little less attractive to be
holding those stable coins in an account like Coinbase. But if you do still hold them and you
don't really care about that three and a half percent because it's a more efficient payment
method or whatever your logic is, this is actually going to make companies like Coinbase more
profitable because they're not going to have that rewards expense. So it's sort of an interesting
reaction from the market. Stocks are down, but at least short term, Coinbase should make more money
because of this ruling if it ends up passing. Yeah. I keep thinking of that. Life comes at
you fast when I see this. Sure, Travis. You know what? Banks would make more money if people just
put their money in without demanding interest. So you're right. Definitely. But look, I don't
know if this is fair, but I think it's the right call. Okay. And look, life is not fair. I'm not
pro or anti stable coin. I'm not going to say that, but I want them to solve problems, not
create problems. And for all of the flat. And do you not see the efficiency? Let's go there. Let's
all of the issues we have with our U.S. banking system, and it's not perfect, it does work and
it is the model the rest of the world bases itself on. We have a good thing here. Just like in
medicine, the first rule should be do no harm. And to the extent that these stable coins are a
threat to that core system, I think regulators should be aware and trying to avoid harm to this
system that serves us well. I keep saying this about FinTech, but it is so true. The house always
wins. Regulators are risk adverse. That's a feature in the system. It's not a flaw. If you want to
come up with something better, it has to be significantly better than the status quo. Because
again, the status quo for all of our complaints about it works really, really well. And most of
the world wishes they had the problems we had. I've been following stablecoins for quite a while,
but the efficiency of moving money with stable coins. If you own a business and you're paying
3% for credit cards, having an alternative, which a company like Stripe does, they charge about half
of the fee to take stable coins as they do to take credit cards. So that would be the disruptive
angle. Is Lewis saying it's good that we're not allowing or we're not enabling some of this
disruption from stable coins, which is going to just entrench companies like Visa and MasterCard?
I guess, what are your thoughts looking at that? Because that seems like the angle that Coinbase
or Circle is going for is, hey, this is better, it's more efficient, but now we have regulatory
capture coming in, which is always going to be a challenge. Well, and I think another way to look
at it is this. We have heard some pretty lofty ambitions for what stable coins can do for the
consumer, for big business. And one of the hallmarks of adoption, one of the on-ramps that enables
adoption is greater regulatory environment and more regulations in place. And so I think that
in the long term, should this legislation pass, I actually think it's a good thing.
When you think about companies like Coinbase, they've been leaning pretty heavily on USDC
rewards to drive engagement and revenue. So obviously, this is kind of massive regulatory
red line, so to speak. If you think about the Genius Act and other recent bills have really
essentially been trying to treat stablecoins more like traditional cash and less like speculative
investments, which again, is a really important element of long term adoption. So I think by
cutting off rewards, regulators are hoping to prevent a massive drain of deposits from
traditional banks. I think that's one piece of it. But I think it's also about kind of the
fundamental safety of the financial system. And there's also the redemption factor. So the new
rules would mandate that stablecoin holders get priority in case of an issuer's bankruptcy. And
that would finally give users some of the same protections that they would expect at a regular
bank, which again, there might be individuals and entities that have hesitated to adopt stablecoin
should those regulations be in place, would be more induced to do so. So I don't think this is
a dead end. The free money, so to speak, via rewards might be going away. But I think that
core utility of stable coins is still very much intact if you believe in this space.
I think for the big players, this is more of a regulatory speed bump, if you will,
than a dead end. They'll have to pivot their business models, focus more on transaction fees
and infrastructure. But I do think that the genie is already out of the bottle here. And I think
stable coins are probably here to stay. Well, Lou, I do want to push back on that a little bit
because the piece that we're missing here is there is still money, billions of dollars of
revenue coming into these stable coin companies because these assets are backed in the case of
USDC. I think it's their around $80 billion market cap today. That money isn't just sitting
in an empty room. It's sitting in bank accounts. It's sitting in US treasuries. That is generating
interest. What they're doing with rewards, what they're calling rewards is just returning that
to the people that are actually holding the coins. Now you're saying you can't give them that money.
So that profit is going to go to companies like Circle and Coinbase. Is that better? I think
that's the argument you guys are making, is that that's better not to give the rewards out. That
seems a little bit backwards. A couple of things. For one, we'll see how much of that money stays
there for them to generate the interest if this evolves, if there isn't a use for it. Rachel said
they can make it up in fees. If the goal is like, hey, this is better than Visa and MasterCard
because there's none of those pesky fees and the fees are less, here comes the creep. Again,
the house is going to win here. Visa can cut their fees in half a lot easier than these companies
will find it to just raise them. Well, it would be Visa and the banks though. I think that's going
to be the sticky part is that Visa takes a relatively small chunk of that 2.9% or so.
But again, Travis, this is margin and it's always the path of least resistance is the incumbents
lose a little margin versus a new system comes into place. That has happened over and over again.
This isn't just about, quote unquote, protecting Visa or protecting the banks. Right now,
the system that we all benefit from works because, in part, the banks have so much access to
cheap deposits. To the extent that we threaten that for the sake of lower credit card fees,
we are potentially causing a bank crisis down the road that will do more harm than the toll
that they are extracting on the economy.
You can say that this is fear-mongering.
You can say that it'll never happen.
You can say, oh, that's the worst case.
The job of regulators is to avoid worst case.
It is to keep the system stable and functioning because, again, the system basically works.
So this may not be fair.
It may not be consumer-first friendly. It might mean that businesses still have to figure out
what to do with credit card fees. All of that can be true, and it can still be the right decision
in terms of financial stability and long-term financial stability. That's the point. And we
can argue until we're blue in the face about fairness. We can argue about, oh, what are you
doing in that? But at the end of the day, the job of the regulator is to keep the status quo
working because the status quo has gotten us 200 years in pretty well. And that's exactly what
they're doing here. And I'll be on it. Maybe I'm just a, you know, old Luddite, but I appreciate
that holding. And look, I think you put it really well, Lou. And I think, you know,
the investors who are listening to this, who own maybe shares of banks, maybe shares of Visa or
MasterCard, the credit card processing companies, or like myself, I own shares of Coinbase.
think about that you know what sort of disruption is there what does disruption potentially look
like and what is holding off that disruption because i think you laid it out that you're
arguing that the status quo is beneficial even if it's less efficient and less consumer friendly
does that ultimately win you know that's something that the market is going to eventually
figure out one way or the other but for now regulatory capture rules the day when we come
back we're going to talk about amazon's latest robots you're listening to motley fool money
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to motley fool money with the hidden gems team amazon is one of the biggest employers in the
world but it may not be for long if it keeps buying robotics companies last week they acquired
a company called river that makes a kind of dog looking delivery robot this week it added fauna
robotics a humanoid ish like a short like a four foot tall humanoid robot that's supposed to be
quote capable safe and fun for everyone but also we've got zooks in the mix rachel what is going
on here is this a company that's going to have a billion robots and no employees a decade from now
i mean maybe that's the long-term vision right so river they're the swiss startup known for their
dog-like quadruped robots they're designed to like navigate stairs and drop off packages directly at
your door and then fauna robotics makes this humanoid ish robot called sprout it's about
three and a half feet tall. As you noted, when you add Zoox, obviously the self-driving robotaxi
and delivery service to the mix, this picture starts to get kind of clear. You know, you think
about could we be living in a world where a Zoox vehicle drives itself to your neighborhood,
the river dog hops out the back to climb your porch steps, and a fauna humanoid potentially
manages the human interaction or complex tasks in the warehouse. I mean, I don't think we're
there quite yet, but I can't help but wonder if that's the long-term vision. Amazon, for their
part publicly maintains that these robots are designed to work alongside humans, right, to make
jobs smarter, not harder. There's been some leaked documents that have suggested that they maybe plan
to replace, you know, half a million or more human roles by the early 2030s to solve some of their
labor supply shortages. So we'll see what the reality is in practice. But the other thing to
note here is that from these acquisitions, I mean, Amazon's also competing with, say, Tesla's
optimists, as well as other players in this race for general purpose, humanoid robots. So whether
they plan to sell these robots to other businesses or simply use them in the logistics machine,
I think remains to be seen. It's an interesting move to be sure.
I put out a memo to myself stating I want to be a trillionaire by mid 2030s. I mean,
if they could happen, but we'll see. I don't think you should just assume it as fact.
You know, similarly, I'm glad Rachel mentioned the word logistics, because I think about this
in terms of logistics. And I think, not to say that this isn't important, but it's just
Amazon is a different animal because of its scale, but really all Amazon is doing is what
everybody's doing. In the case of logistics, Amazon was just the one company big enough
to take it in-house when everybody else is still delivering stuff. They're just using UPS or
whomever. Similarly, I could give you pages and pages of various retailers, logistics companies,
companies with warehouses that are partnering, experimenting with robotics. I can give you a
trucking company that used to spend $500 million a year on tech related to warehouse tech. What
Amazon is doing is what everybody is doing. It's just more, I guess, in the spotlight because
they're buying companies. It's just this long-term trend towards automation that's been going on
since the seventies. I doubt it ends with zero employees, but if nothing else, it is the path
to greater efficiency and scaling the number of employees you have. Not that this has much to do
about nothing because it does over time make these companies more profitable, but I don't know if
there's anything Amazon is attempting that a lot of other companies can't do through vendors like
Honeywell or through their own internal efforts. Yeah, I think that's probably true. We are seeing
this vision kind of come together with Amazon, especially with the Zoox vehicle, which I kind
of left for dead for a long time but now that that's approved you can modify those and they're
obviously designing those in-house so you could modify that to look you know the crews did this
a few years ago instead of having people inside you just have you have a refrigerated area maybe
for groceries you've got packages coming out maybe it's just one of these robots that parks on the
corner in my block and a whole bunch of robots come out and deliver a handful of packages to
different houses in the area the future is going to be wild i think that's what so we can probably
agree on at this point and there's going to be more robots than there are today well lots to
think about for investors but we do want to pour one out for sora because that was one of those
highly hyped products that uh kind of sad to see go away as always people on the program may have
interest in the stocks they talk about and the motley fool may have formal recommendations for
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disclosure, please check out our show notes. For Lou Whiteman, Rachel Warren, and Christy
Waterworth behind the glass, I'm Travis Hoyum. Thanks for listening to Motley Fool Money.
We'll see you here tomorrow.
