Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Stock of the Summer and Unsung CEOs
Episode Date: May 23, 2025Memorial Day means mowing the lawn and grilling – while you’re outside we’ve got a company to keep in mind and a few CEOs worth watching. (0:21): Jason Moser and Bill Mann discuss: - What Jo...ny Ive and Sam Altman are cooking up for hardware with OpenAI and io. - MercadoLibre’s founder and CEO Marcos Galperin stepping down, and the unsung CEOs that should be getting more love. - Target’s continued retail woes, and how Home Depot and Lowe’s are holding up until the macro tailwinds return. (19:11) With summer officially kicking off, we thought it was a good time to catch up with Trex CEO Bryan Fairbanks. Motley Fool analysts Andy Cross and Sanmeet Deo caught up with Fairbanks about the war on wood decks, how the company is handling tariffs, and why he expects business to boom as the macro picture clears up. (33:19) Jason and Bill break down two stocks on their radar: Warby Parker and Pinduoduo. Stocks discussed: AAPL, MELI, TGT, HD, LOW, TREX, WRBY, PDD, Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Jason Moser, Bill Mann, Bryan Fairbanks Engineers: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
It's officially summer.
This week's Motley Fool Money Radio Show starts now.
Everybody needs money.
That's why they call it money.
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Fool Money radio show.
I'm Dylan Lewis.
Joining me in the studio, Motley Fool Senior Analyst Jason Moser and Chief Investment Strategist
over at Motley Fool Asset Management, Bill Mann.
Fools, wonderful to have you both here.
Hey, hey.
Hey, Dylan.
This week, we've got a mini-dive on the quintessential summer stock with its CEO, a look at the home
improvement market, and of course, Bill, Jason, you guys have brought stocks on your radar
this week.
We're going to kick things off, though, with an unexpected hardware update in the AI landscape.
OpenAI will be buying I.O., a device startup led by famed Apple designer Johnny Ive.
Jason Ive and CEO Sam Altman have apparently been in talks for a while.
That's led to this $6 billion deal.
We've been thinking about AI generally in a software sense.
Interesting to see a hardware development here.
It is. I think you had to expect at some point or another for this to happen.
I think that while you look at OpenAI today, and that's obviously not in our realm of publicly
traded companies that we typically cover here at The Fool, I think it's interesting to think
about this deal from the perspective of Apple and actually what it means for Apple.
If you look at the lineup of talent that is going to be over at OpenAI working on these
devices and this strategy going forward, there are a lot of Apple veterans beyond just Johnny Ive.
From that perspective, I think two things here can be true.
I think this is absolutely something that has the potential to be a threat to Apple,
given its apparent lack of progress in the AI space to date.
But we also shouldn't get ahead of ourselves here, because this all sounds good on paper
with the amount of former Apple talent, but building compelling devices that ultimately
do something different than what we're used to doing today, and then actually changing
consumer behavior is really hard.
And most importantly, it takes a really long time.
It almost sounds, instead of calling them Apple talent, you might describe them as Apple
dissidents. Well, the way that Johnny Ive is talking about the iPhone, which he was
very instrumental in developing, is almost like he's talking about Frankenstein. He does not
think of it as being something that is an unalloyed good for the amount of intrusion
that has into our lives, which makes it interesting to me that they're coming up
with another form of technology, I think that the thing I wonder about most is how they are going
to make an AI piece of technology that is somehow less intrusive, which sounds like what he wants
to do. Some in the financial media are likening this to Meta, then Facebook, buying Instagram for
$8 billion back when it was a 13-person company. Because at the end of the day, we're going to have
to be a little patient with this IO development. I think this is basically pre-product. There's
nothing that they're really showing out here that says, this is what we are doing and this is the
plan. But I think if you were to handpick the person, Bill, who would be developing the next
great consumer product, you could pick a lot worse than Johnny Ive. He's probably the first
person you'd want to be doing this. Yeah. And again, going back to what
his misgivings were about his first time around, you know that he's bringing a sensibility that
brought one of the most beautiful devices that we can imagine, one of the most evocative devices
that we can imagine that has really changed so much of how we even interact with each other.
But at the same time, he's not 100% happy about it. So, it's going to be fascinating to see how
he changes his philosophy about this device. Yeah. And I think you made a good point there,
Dylan, just in regard to this is essentially pre-product, right? I mean, we ultimately have
no clue what they're thinking about. And it sounds like maybe they're still in that development stage
of trying to come up with exactly what they want to introduce to the market.
I'll refer to a few of the things that Sam Altman said here. He's talking about developing
a product, he says, that has never happened before in consumer hardware. I don't know
what that means, but there you go. Furthermore, when we think about the smartphone today and
how it impacts virtually every minute of our lives, we do so much more on our smartphones
today than we ever have before, I think it's also important to note, they don't actually
view what they're doing as something that's necessarily going to displace or disrupt the
smartphone necessarily. They used a good example there. I thought, in the same way that the
smartphone didn't make the laptop go away, they don't think that the first product that
they make is going to be something that ultimately makes the smartphone go away. But it will
introduce perhaps a different way of doing things, utilizing this AI technology that's
obviously grown by leaps and bounds here in the past year.
From one visionary to another, MercadoLibre dropped earnings earlier this month,
but they weren't quite done with updates. The e-commerce and fintech giant in South America
announced that founder and CEO Marcus Galperin will be stepping down from his leadership role.
Gents, I'm going to dip straight into the mailbag here. Irina, a listener from the Czech Republic,
which is pretty darn cool, wrote us a note immediately after the news came out.
The founder and current CEO has written a letter to employees, and it's very touching. For me,
it sounds like the essence of how a transition should be conducted. I would love to hear the
fool's two cents. All right, Bill, what do you think? You left something out when you described
Marcos Galperin, which is billionaire. He's a young man. He's not retiring. He's just looking
to move on and do other things. He has succeeded in any way you would hope to succeed. It suggests
to me that he believes in his bench because he is very tightly tied to, his financial success is
still tied very tightly to MercadoLibre. He's doing it at the right time. It will be interesting
to see. We've seen this happen so many times when Howard Schultz left Starbucks at what you would
think was the top, and it turned out to be the top. It's up to his bench, but it is interesting
to see that he has enough trust in them that he's moving on.
Ariel Sharfstein, the President of Commerce, will be stepping into the role. Jason, I have to be
honest, it seems like about as good an executive position as you could line up. This is a company
with a vibrant e-commerce platform, a bustling fintech platform, a lot of things going in the
right direction. Clear roadmap here. That ball is rolling. Don't screw it up.
It's not to say, I say that somewhat tongue-in-cheek, but shoot, you look at Disney,
for example, when Iger handed the reins over to Chapek. Really, that ball was rolling. Things
were in pretty good shape. Maybe there were some decisions made pre-Chapek. But Chapek got in there
and did some things differently, and it didn't really work out. It is a great position for
Sharfstein. But again, it is still a job that's going to require the ultimate execution.
There is something else that's really great that's going on for them, which is that the
Argentine economy has gone from being a basket case to being somewhat successful. So, he is
handing over the reins at a time in which one of their biggest markets has real momentum for them.
Absolutely. MercadoLibre, not necessarily a household name for a lot of folks who follow
the U.S. market. A lot of fools know it because it's something that pops up quite a bit in our
premium services. But zooming in on Galperin's tenure, he launched the company, co-founder,
took that company public, shares up roughly 9,000% in the time that MercadoLibre has been
a publicly traded business. Pretty good.
He built an e-commerce company that does tens of billions of dollars in gross merchandise volume.
A fintech arm that was originally intended to facilitate the e-commerce business now does
hundreds of billions in total payment volumes. Bill, he may be one of the most visionary leaders
that does not get enough press. Yeah, I would say that he's very high
on that list. When MercadoLibre launched, it was meant to be and was described as
the eBay of Latin America. Now, it's so far beyond that. It became the Amazon of Latin America,
which is not an easy place to build a business like this. They have some real monopoly
characteristics at MercadoLibre now. Galperin is not someone we talk about at all, but I would put
him on the Mount Rushmore of executives and CEOs and founders over the last, let's call it, 20
years. Nobody ever gets to flowers while they can still smell them. Bill, I'm glad you're
bringing them. Jason, any CEOs you think deserve a little bit more love than they're getting?
Yeah, one a bit off the radar, speaking of emerging market e-commerce billionaires,
a company that I've spoken with our colleague Emily Flippen about recently called Coupang,
which is basically the Amazon or MercadoLibre of South Korea. Founder Sukbum Kim still owns
nearly a 9% stake in the company, worth north of $4 billion. Controls close to 75% of total
voting power there, according to the latest proxy that was just filed in April. So, a very
interesting company. Now, I think the question for me is just in regard to its market opportunity,
given that it holds about 90% market share in its home country of South Korea, how far it can
expand outside of those geographies. They kind of tried Japan, pulled back. They're looking at
Taiwan. We'll see how that all shakes out. Clearly, a business that has done a lot right.
That's very much in thanks to their founder, CEO. Bill, you are the king of obscure stocks. I have
to give you the final word here. What do you got? It's a little $132 billion company called
Danaher. Danaher has something called the Danaher Business System. It was really developed by their
longtime CEO, Stephen Rails. They have returned superior returns on capital to the market over
the last 40 years. Incredible track record that he and they have. He's not someone who's spoken
about a lot, but when you think of Danaher, when you do, Stephen Rails should come to mind.
Basically, a bonus radar stock segment, this show. Absolutely love it. Don't worry,
We still have our traditional one coming up later.
We've got a lot more coming up later, in fact.
The dollars and data on home improvement and a lot more.
Stay right here.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
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Welcome back to Motley Fool Money.
I'm Dylan Lewis here in studio with Bill Mann and Jason Moser.
And we're digging into retail.
Target out with fresh numbers and Home Depot in lows, showing the state of home improvement.
Bill, we have long been waiting for the Target turnaround.
we will continue to wait for the Target turnaround.
I think one of the most amazing statistics from Target actually comes from Walmart, which is this.
75% of Walmart's market share gains came from households that make more than $100,000.
Walmart is taking over Target's core market. Target has completely lost its way. And as we've
seen in retail. If you are a retailer who has a little bit of fire in your brand, you're doing
fine. But the ones that have lost their way, like Target, they are getting beaten up, and badly so.
People have been wondering for a long time, Jason, a company like Target,
surely, at some point, strong brand, people still like to go there for some things.
There has to be some point where they get things right. Is there something that would
get you interested in this stock? That's a tricky one. I will say,
if you want to look at at least some positives from the quarter, digital sales stood out. That
was driven by a 36% increase in same-day delivery through the Target Circle 360,
as well as continued growth in drive-up, which now accounts for close to half of total digital
sales. It seems like they're making progress on the digital front. Then, everything is going back
tariffs and how exposed these retailers are. It does sound like at least they are diversifying
that supply chain. You go back to 2017, they had about 60% exposure to China. Today, that's about
30%. They feel that it will be under 25% by the end of next year. They're making progress there
as well. We've got a long weekend here. Busy one
for the weekend warriors, at least for me. I've got some projects lined up. Probably some folks
making some trips to Home Depot and Lowe's. You know what? We've got to look at what's going on
with those businesses this week. We're going to start out with Home Depot.
J. Mo, how are doers getting things done right now?
Oh, doers are getting things done, at least in this climate. It's not great,
but it's not so bad for these home improvement companies. We saw earnings per share $3.56
for the quarter. That was down just modestly from the year ago. Comp average ticket was
essentially flat. Transactions only decreased about 0.5%, which I thought was pretty encouraging.
The thing that stood out to me, big ticket purchases, those $1,000 or more, that was
actually up 0.3% from a year ago. I thought that was encouraging. Furthermore, the fact
that they maintained guidance for the full year was a positive. I love that they refer
to this in the call. I think it paints a long-term picture here as to why you want to own these companies.
Today, more than 55% of houses in the U.S. here are 40 years old or older.
That just begets lots of renovations and repairs and demand that's going to be coming down
the pipeline for these home improvement companies in the coming years.
Warren Buffett describes retailers as businesses that have to be smart every day.
Jason rolled right past this and said 0.3% growth in $1,000-plus tickets. That is a reversal for
two years of declines. Some of that has to do with things being pulled forward because of COVID
when we were sitting in our houses during the pandemic, staring at things that needed to be
done. Those things that needed to be done got done. But what's really interesting about Home
Depot and Lowe's is that they are competing with each other and really nobody else at this point,
even for those types of projects. The run for both businesses has been tough.
You mentioned that there was a lot of growth pulled forward. Also, the higher rate environment
eating into some home improvement projects that people might be financing. One bright spot I did
notice looking at Home Depot's results, the SRS distribution segment. Jason, this is a business
that they bought focused on roofing, landscaping, pooling. It seems like it was responsible
for the majority of the growth that they were pointing out year over year.
Yeah, it was. You can be forgiven if you look at the difference between the top-line
growth there of somewhere in the neighborhood of 9% or something, comps being so ultimately low.
They really are benefiting from that acquisition. They'll anniversary it, I think, here in June,
very shortly. But there's no question, that was a very big acquisition. I think it was
the biggest acquisition in the company's history, if I'm not mistaken. They're biting off a lot
there, but it seems like they're integrating it nicely, and it will absolutely just expand
that network. They'll get better at distribution. I suspect Home Depot will continue to maintain
its position in the market. Perhaps borrowing a little bit from the
Home Depot playbook, Lowe's announced in April that they're acquiring Artisan Design Group,
a business focused on design services, looking at flooring, cabinets, countertops.
A little bit of a smaller deal, $1 billion deal. Aside from that similarity, Bill,
any things that stick out to you as you stack these results together?
They're two halves of the same hole. I described them earlier as a duopoly, and I think that that's
the case. They're both very smart retailers. If you notice, they tend to speak of each other in
a very complementary fashion. I think that they both recognize that the game for both of them is
to make sure that they don't get disintermediated by somebody else rather than each other. That's
why you see these bolt-on acquisitions for both of these businesses, trying to make sure that
they remain as relevant as possible within this segment. I think there's a word for that, right?
Isn't it, what is it, frenemies? That's right. That's what the kids are calling it.
All to say, Bill, when the macro picture improves, you expect both these businesses to thrive?
I do. I thought it was really interesting in the Home Depot call where they said basically that
they're going to generally maintain prices. And I think that has a little bit to do with
the conflagration that happened this week when Walmart openly talked about pricing and the
tariffs. I think that they're being very, very careful about how they talk about this.
They're only going to go to price because of tariffs in a very small, incremental way.
I think also, it's interesting to look at these two companies together. Now,
Home Depot is significantly larger in market cap, store footprint, and whatnot.
You look over the last five years, Lowe's has been the outperformer. Now, you stretch that
out over 10 years on Home Depot's, you know, the outperformer there. But it was something that
struck me when Marvin Ellison took over the CEO role at Lowe's. One of the main priorities was
taking that cash cow business and starting to return some value to shareholders. And I think
that's been a big part of Lowe's' outperformance over these last several years. And if you just
look at it from share repurchases alone, over the last five years, Home Depot's share repurchases
brought that share count down about 8%. I mean, hey, that's great. As a shareholder,
I'm feeling pretty good about that. Lowe's, that share counts down like 26% over the same time
period. That whittles down that overall pie of shares outstanding, making each share a little
bit more valuable. And clearly, I think that's had a big role in that outperformance.
And given Lowe's undervaluation as compared to Home Depot, I would describe that as being a
better capital allocation than Home Depot's, although both are good.
Fully agree. And Lowe's is also a dividend aristocrat, so they still prioritize that
dividend. Million dollar question for me. I have a trip planned to Home Depot tomorrow to pick up
a lawnmower and shed. Are you guys making a trip this weekend? I don't think I'm going to need to
make a trip. I've already got the lawnmower, and I'm certain I'm going to have to mow the grass
by Sunday. I recently installed floating numbers on my house, and I'm so proud of myself for having
done it right that I think I'm going to sit this weekend out. Take the W.
All right, Bill Mann, Jason Moser, fellas, we will see you guys a little bit later in the show.
up next we hear from the ceo of a company you see on shelves at home depot and lowe's
brian fairbanks and his company trex stay right here those things about full money
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welcome back to motley fool money i'm dylan lewis it's memorial day weekend and if you're like me
you've probably got a few home projects lined up maybe some plans to be hanging outside and
putting food on the grill with summer officially kicking off we thought it was a good time to
catch up with trek ceo brian fairbanks his company is the brand name in decking if you've got one
you already know, their recycled composite products are coming for the standard wood deck.
Motley Fool analysts Andy Cross and Sammy Deo caught up with Fairbanks about the war on wood
decks, how the company is handling tariffs, and why he expects business to boom as the macro
picture clears up. Trex really invented, Brian, the composite decking category decades ago.
And so just lay out, what is composite decking and what does Trex do special? What makes Trex's
product special? So composite decking, it's a mixture of wood and recycled plastic. We extrude
that into material that can be installed with hidden fasteners or directly with a visible
fastener on the deck. We have products that range anywhere from $2 a linear foot to over $10 a
linear foot, depending upon the aesthetics of the product, the design capabilities of it, and what
that specific customer need is going to be. In addition to the decking products, we also have a
large selection of railing. Again, many different price ranges, anywhere from more entry-level
where products of our enhanced T-rail product, which is designed to replace a vinyl PVC-type
product, all the way up to our most premium cable rail-type systems for high-end installations.
Trex has been doing this for over 35 years now.
We stick to our knitting.
We know what we're doing in the outdoor living area.
And we're proud of the products that we've put into the market over the years and see a great growth runway ahead of us.
And, Brian, is it fair to say that wood is really a primary competitor of you?
You are trying to redefine and have for so many years what it means to have a decking out the back of my house, for example.
Yeah, absolutely. If we look back to the 2016 timeframe, we'd really been focused on just the
premium part of the marketplace. Most of the prices were going to be three, four times the price
of wood. We recognized at that point for long-term growth opportunities, we needed to really hit
where the market was, and that was wood. We started talking about designing a product specifically to
go after that market right around 2017 timeframe. And in 2019, we launched our enhanced product
line. That product was picked up by both Lowe's and Home Depot. They carry that on their shelves.
They do still to this day carry that on their shelves. But we also sell it through our Pro
Channel partners as well. So, it's widely available across the country. You'll be looking
at over 6,000 locations where our product can be serviced. And one of the most important parts of
strategy. We want to be available wherever that consumer is looking to be buying decks.
And of course, there's a lot of wood decks that are still sold out there. Approximately 74% to
75% by volume is a wood deck today. So, a significant opportunity for us to go after.
Since we've launched our enhanced product line, composites were probably about 18% of the market
in that time frame. Now it's 25%, 26% of the market. So it has delivered on the strategy,
but significant upside ahead of us still. Brian, let's talk a little bit. You mentioned
the Home Depot and Lowe's. I want to just clarify some of the distribution directions and areas
where Trex plays. So let's just say I'm going to remodel my deck, and a lot of your business
is tied to remodel. Let's say I'll remodel my deck. Explain to us where Trex fits in when it
comes to distributors, when it comes to dealers, when it comes to retailer? How do I get a Trex
onto the back of my house? That's an important point you made there. We are
primarily repair and remodel. 90% to 95% of our business is repair and remodel. There is a
reasonable business with those home builders out there, but the home builders do a great job
on focusing within the house. How do you get upgrades inside the house? Not as much on the
outside, I do think there's significant opportunity there. As it relates to the channel itself,
one of the unique value propositions with Trex is that we have the largest footprint of areas
where our product can be purchased. And let me go through that in a little bit more detail.
First, we have, as I mentioned, shelf space with both Home Depot and Lowe's. So every one of their
stores. Either we have the product on their shelves or they can order any one of our other
products through special order. Then we also have the side of the business with a builder's first
source, a USLBM, an 84 lumber. Most of those are going to be catering more to the pro business.
So we're really trying to make sure that wherever the customer wants to shop for that, whether
they're at the kitchen table working with a contractor, they're walking into a builder's
first source location, or they're walking into a home center, they are going to see the Trex
product there, and they're going to learn about that Trex product. A little bit further on the
value chain, with our home centers, we will ship product direct into their distribution centers,
and then from their distribution centers into the stores themselves. Let's call it 30 different
SKUs that maybe go into a store that are being sold direct from Trex. The remainder go through
distributors. Distributors are companies like Boise Cascade, Specialty Building Products,
International Wood Products, companies like that where their specialty is being that middleman
between the manufacturer and the end retailer. The home centers can special order through
distribution. In the case of the Pro Channel with the Builders First Source, we're selling direct
to the distributors, and then they're reselling into the Pro Channel Center. So, a little bit of
a complex channel there, but it works well in getting material out of our factory and close
to where the consumer needs it. Brian, I mean, I'm sure you've been
anticipating this question. So, tariffs, what do they mean and not mean for Trex's business?
We're fortunate. We are primarily a North America-produced company, I should say,
even more so in the United States. About 5% of our total cost of goods sold are going to be
potentially impacted by tariffs. Now, that's a little bit larger number than our direct
manufacturing. And the reason that I put a little bit more in there, we buy some railing from
overseas, so that will be tariffable coming out of some Asian countries. But there's a whole
indirect purchasing side of the business. Think about gloves. Think about safety glasses.
Virtually all of those are manufactured in Asia somewhere. And even though the rates have come
down, there still appears to be there's going to be a tariff on those sort of products out there.
Small motors, small sort of maintenance sort of things that we keep on the shelf. Those are
things that are extensively produced outside the country. So even when you are primarily a U.S.
manufacturer, we are not going to be immune from these tariffs. We'll start to see the impact on
direct purchasing over the next quarter or so. We can easily manage that. The part of it that's
the indirect, we can also easily manage it because of the dollar value of it. But I think it's one of
the pieces that the media misses a little bit right now of these longer-term indirect effects
that we're going to see with this tariff. Whether it just stays at 10% or whether it's 25% or 35%,
it just really comes down to the magnitude of what it's going to be. But overall, I'm very
comfortable where we are, our ability to be able to mitigate it. Our supply chain team has already
done a great job in identifying where they're coming from, being able to negotiate mitigating
strategies with our suppliers, and then understanding what piece of that will be
flowing through to Trex. Do you find that you're able to pass on that pricing, even if it's a
minimal amount, to customers? And is there resistance to it? We have not passed along any
of that pricing as of yet. And I've told our customers that we're going to take a little bit
more conservative approach on this than many of our competitors are. I've felt that with this
whole tariff regime coming in place, there was going to be a lot of moving parts on it. And to
immediately jump and say you're going to take 10%, 15%, 20%, whatever the number is, the chances of
being wrong are pretty high. And you might have to go back out, you might have to rescind that
pricing again. So, what I've communicated to our channel is that we're going to see how this all
comes together and understand what the real long-term numbers are going to be, how much can
we mitigate through negotiations with the channels that we operate within, how much of it at the end
of the day will pass through to our income statement. And then, of course, we will look
at pricing to be able to offset that along the way. But we're taking a little bit of a step back
and waiting to see where this all settles out. You know, now that we've kind of set the stage
and the stage is made of trek stacking, of course, it's time to talk a little bit about the bigger
picture. So a lot of talk about a potential recession, you know, on and off talk. We're
seeing some slowdown in the housing market. How does Trex kind of navigate this potential
recession scenario and housing slowdown? How has it done in the past with similar slowdowns?
I think we can just look over the past couple of years. Repair and remodel has slowed as well as
the new home side of things. It's been stable, but we're still well below where we need to be
from a replacement cycle. And then existing home sales continue to lag where they need to be. I
was really hoping this year to see the existing home sales increase considerably, that does tend
to be a driver of repair and remodel spend. If we look historically around recessionary time
periods, Trex has tended to perform considerably better than rest of repair and remodel. Part of
that is because wood decks are always falling apart. It doesn't matter what the economy is
going to be. People will need to replace those decks. The other thing is our consumer does tend
to be a little bit better off from a financial perspective. Our average entry-level consumer,
$100,000, $125,000 family income at that entry level, and then our more premium products moving
up $150,000 family income beyond that. So, we operate at a little bit higher level from what
many organizations operate in. I think probably the thing that's most exciting for me is that
we've been in a cycle now that people have been underinvesting in their existing homes since the
end of 2022. End of 2024, we hit the projected low spot, about $1 per square foot of livable space.
On average, that repair and remodel rate should be closer to $1.26 per square foot. So, you've got
2022, 2023, 2024, all of those years have been underinvested. And Zonda Economics makes the
projection that by 2027 timeframe, we'll be back to that average again. That's just back to the
average. Now you have to catch up for all of that underinvestment that we've had for the prior three
years. So that's why I'm pretty excited about the marketplace. There's a lot of other noise out
there the consumer has to deal with, but the underlying piece of it that's going to generate
the demand, that is going to be there. We just have to work our way through this short term here
and get the consumer feeling a little bit better about making those investments into their home.
Brian, my follow-up and my last question is just one thing that we should, as investors,
continue to watch going forward when it comes to Trex.
Yeah, Trex has been in a trading range now for the better part of a couple years. I think you'll
see a lot of repair, remodel, a lot of building product type companies have been in that. Even
if we look outside of the Magnificent Seven, that's where the largest piece of the growth
in the market has come from. As we start to see some of these economic metrics come back,
we will start to see a broader expansion of valuations in these companies. Our company,
we're trading at a lower multiple than we have in a considerable period of time. And
when we start to see some of the general economic indicators pick back up again, and we start
to see that higher level of growth, we have the profitability, and I think the stock will
back off to the races again. So, pretty excited about that. I'm more excited because of that
pent-up demand. If we didn't have that out there, I'd be a little bit probably less sure about it.
But because of that extensive pent-up demand and that we will see existing home sales begin to
expand over the next couple of years, great opportunity at this point.
Listeners, unlike Brian Fairbanks, I do not have a Trek stick. So, my summer prep involves a bit
more work, and I've got that to look forward to this weekend. If you're a Motley Fool premium
member, you've got more of that conversation to look forward to. You can catch Andy and
Sandmeet's entire convo with Brian Fairbanks over in our video hub and plenty more conversations
on our Fool 24 member live stream. And if you want to become a Motley Fool member, you
can join Stock Advisor at fool.com slash sign up. Coming up after the break, Jason Moser
and Bill Mann join me again to talk about the stocks on their radar this week. Stay
right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
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disclosure in the show notes. I'm Dylan Lewis. Bill, I think you might have a thing or two to
say as well. Dylan, I serve as Chief Investment Strategist at Motley Fool Asset Management, LLC,
an affiliate of The Motley Fool. While affiliated, MFAM is a separate and independently
regulated entity. None of the investment decisions made at MFAM involve individuals
from The Motley Fool's media or business operations. As you know, Dylan, all of Motley
Fool's money management operates independently in this way.
I appreciate you clarifying that, Bill. We are back. This is Motley Fool Money.
Before we get over to our radar stock segment, as we usually do, I have a quick programming note.
This will be my last show in the host seat for Motley Fool Money. It has been an honor and a
joy to sit here working with our in-house analysts like Bill and Jason and our engineers, Dan and
Rick on the show each week. Almost 11 years ago, I came to The Fool as a freshly minted college
graduate armed with a finance and journalism degree and some vague sense of how that might
be useful for myself and for the world. The Fool has been a tremendous place to be turned loose
and work on that. I'm grateful to all my colleagues, to Tom and David Gardner for letting me
be a part of TMS Voice out here. I feel very lucky that no matter what's been going on in my life,
each week I've had the chance to talk to folks and make sense of what's going on in the market
and what's going on in the world. Listeners, I hope you've enjoyed our conversations as much
I've enjoyed having them. And while I'm heading out, the show goes on. Motley Fool Money will
continue next week, and I will be one of the dozens tuning in. I have two things to say about
that. Number one, it's been a privilege to work with you. And number two, Jason, you know he said
my name first. I do. Well, I mean, age before beauty, right? Dylan, really quickly, you said
the word, it's been an honor. And I've known you ever since you've been here, and I've really
enjoyed working with you. Going to miss you, but also know you're going to light the world on fire
in whatever way you choose. All right. With that bit of sentimentality out of the way,
let's get on to stocks on our radar. Our man behind the glass, Dan Boyd, is going to hit
you with a question. Bill, you're up first. What are you looking at this week?
We're going to talk about Mr. Toad's wild ride here and PDD Group, which is ticker PDD,
Pinduoduo, a Chinese company that is the parent company of, amongst other things, Timu.
So, we are going to hear from them, finally, how the tariff regime has been impacting them,
how the reduction in loopholes regarding dropshipping into the United States has affected
them. I would imagine that it is overstated what has happened to this company. I suspect they're
going to have a report that is better than we anticipate. Dan, a question or a comment, perhaps,
about Pinduoduo, ticker P-D-D. Yeah. How much of their business is Timu? Because Timu is
generously a steaming pile of crap when it comes to what it offers. So, I'm just curious about that.
It is a fairly large component of their business. It is a larger component of their business
outside of the United States versus inside of it, which I think is the more important part.
and I will leave the editorializing of their business and their products to Mr. Dan Boyd.
Jason, I think you might have an easy case to make this week. What is on your radar?
It's a company I have not really followed very closely, but as a wearer of eyeglasses,
I think I'm going to start paying a little closer attention. That's Warby Parker,
ticker is WRBY. Now, Dylan, when Google Glass first came out over 10 years ago,
it was revolutionary, right? But it didn't really work out. It didn't live up to the hype.
and ultimately fizzled out. But technology has made a lot of progress, and now the company's
going to give it another shot by partnering up with Warby Parker to roll out a new series of
smart glasses, very similar to what we're seeing with Meta in its partnership with Ray-Ban.
But the new specs will be built on top of Android XR, and will include Google Gemini that users can
speak with to actually use the devices. And so, Google has committed just a modest $150 million
on their part, a little bit more meaningful for Warby Parker, of course. That'll get the ball
rolling. Those are expected to come out here sometime after 2025. Dan, a question about Warby
Parker, ticker WRBY. I had glasses from Warby Parker before, and they were pretty good. But
then I wanted to get another pair. This was like a year later or something. They were like, no,
you have to go to an optometrist first. I was like, don't you guys have my terrible eyes on file?
Can't you just give me the same glasses as you did last time? They're like, no,
you need to go to a doctor first.
And so I've never used them again.
I guess that's how it works.
I mean, at some point, doesn't that prescription expire
and you have to have something updated?
They have something on file.
If I tell them I want the glasses,
why can't they just give me the glasses?
They're looking out for your best interest.
Dan Boyd, anti-medicine.
He's not a fan of extra friction in the process.
Dan, which one's going on your watch list this week?
I don't know which way you're going to go.
Hey, they both stink, but we'll go pin duos.
Dan, appreciate you weighing in.
Jason Bill. Appreciate you guys being here bringing your radar stocks. That's going to
do it for this week's Motley Fool Money radio show. The show is mixed by Dan Boyd. I'm Dylan
Lewis. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next time.
