Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Tariffs News & Markets in Chaos
Episode Date: February 20, 2026President Trump’s tariffs have been overturned, throwing the market into even more chaos in 2026. We discuss our initial thoughts and go through Doordash’s results and what new technologies we thi...nk are game-changers long-term. Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Jon Quast discuss: - Trump tariffs, GLP data, and inflation - Walmart’s earnings - Doordash’s results - Real/Not Real - Stocks on our radar Companies discussed: Walmart (WMT), Tesla (TSLA), Doordash (DASH) Hims & Hers (HIMS), Lucid (LCID), Mobileye (MBLY), Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Lou Whiteman, Jon Quast Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Breaking news, the Supreme Court has struck down Trump's tariffs.
So what's next?
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From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm Travis Hoy. I'm joined by Lou Whiteman and John Quast.
Guys, we had a show planned in about three minutes before we started.
We got news that the tariffs that Trump implemented last year have been overturned by the Supreme Court.
We're still trying to process all this information, but Lou, there was a lot of data that came out
today. GDP came in a little bit worse than expected at 1.4% growth year over year. Inflation
was a little bit hotter than expected with that core inflation number of 3% year over year. And
now we get this tariff news. What in the world should we be thinking? Chaos, right? And the best
form of chaos. It's more complicated than you think because it was only some of the tariffs
that were struck down. They're the ones that were put in place due to kind of emergency situations
where all of a sudden everything was an emergency. Look, let's break it down real quick. The tariff
case, the Supreme Court said, we don't know what to do about compensation. So that needs to play
out. The administration claims they have other ways to do this. So I think that's just a big
who knows. You can't really break it down. Let's talk about that compensation part,
because that is interesting. This isn't going to be, hey, these are overturned, and here's your
$175 billion or so back. And who even gets it? That may eventually happen, but we are kind of
in limbo. So if you own a stock that has been paying tariffs, you may get a windfall in the
future. You also may not. And it may just be like, sorry about that. And who even gets it? Because
if you own a stock and they passed half of that tariff cost along to the consumer, I don't think,
I mean, are they going to try and do that? So yeah, it's a mess. We were kind of expecting
this. I think we just kind of say, okay, this happened. We'll see from here. The inflation
number, to me, that's sort of a nothing burger. We were expecting, I mean, we were basically
expecting almost that. So, look, the inflation, the big debate is, you know, is this a one-time
thing? Can the economy deal with a one-time thing, or will it just continue? I think that that just
plays out the other line. The interesting thing to me was the GDP number, because that was about
half of what we were expecting. It was the lowest number, I think, at least in a few quarters.
Everyone's going to say ignore this because of the government shutdown. Indeed, federal spending
was down 24%. That's the biggest decline since the COVID quarter in 2020. Yes, some of that is
going to be a bounce back, but let's dig a little deeper. There was trade weakness, which is tied to
all these tariffs, so maybe it'll turn around, but that's big. And consumer spending, Travis,
the largest share of the economic activity decelerated to a 2.4% pace from 3.5% in the
previous period. That, to me, is the most interesting part of this. A lot of this looks
like noise. A lot of this, there's a yeah, but. I mean, I just gave you like 300 yeah, buts here.
But that consumer spending number, that's the one to watch. My hot take, and without having time to
go through all of this really big, is that yes, there's going to be a lot of Chicken Littles
out there. Yes, there's going to be the other side of it, people saying this is a nothing burger.
There is a here here. It's probably not the Chicken Little here. It's not like everybody
panic. But there is trends here that are not in the direction that we want to go.
I love Lou's word choice of chaos. And I don't think that we can understate just how much
chaos there is potential here. I mean, we're talking about $170 billion in tariffs,
and we're trying to figure out where the money goes, where it comes from, who gets it. That's
chaotic. On top of that, the Supreme Court is saying the president exceeded his powers by doing
this, but that does not preclude Congress from taking action. What does that mean? And that
would actually be something that would be more permanent. So it seems like it could impact the
midterm elections. Definitely economic policy is going to be on the ballot. So that's very
interesting. I would say though, from an investment point of view, if you are invested in a company
that was talking a lot about mitigating tariff headwinds, the immediate impact is that is no
longer a headwind. Forget about the water that's already gone under the bridge. We're talking about
starting today, there is no longer that headwind blowing. I think that you think about somebody
like Nike manufacturing in China and Vietnam, Lululemon, for example, there's another company
that is going to feel a benefit from this. Even a retailer such as Five Below, which sources its
products, primarily from these Asian countries, it's going to feel no longer this wind blowing
against it from the tariffs and adding that incremental cost. So I would say that immediately
these companies do feel a benefit. I hope so. The one thing I'd say is that
what plagued us last year was uncertainty. My fear here is that we've now prolonged the
uncertainty. But one point John made, I think, is so good. Talking about, and this is not a
political podcast, nor do we want it to be, but this is a midterm election year. If you're looking
for a potential tailwind, I think we've already seen a shift from the White House in terms of
economic stimulus or economic populism to try to help in the midterms. I do think that that could
play into stocks if there is stimulus and actually propel things higher from here,
even if it is short-term. So it's just a very muddled picture right now.
Lou, I wanted to get your thoughts on the market's reaction, because
initially when this came out, and this came out while the market was open in the first few minutes
of trading, stocks went from being down slightly to up slightly to down slightly again. And now
we're up a little bit about 0.3% for the NASDAQ, 0.2% for the S&P 500. It seems like there is
sort of a little bit of confusion between the algorithms the humans whoever's making big trades
and you know this isn't the if you remember back to april when the when the tariffs were first
announced it was just everything was down we're not having the same bounce back effect so it just
seems like we're in this uncertainty mode or you don't even know what this really means is that the
right way to think about it i think it is i mean look yes we didn't get a bounce back from liberation
day, but we already had gotten that. So I don't think we're... The conventional wisdom was the
Supreme Court would do exactly what it did. So I think, you know, I mean, the market tends to
overreact to things it didn't see coming and kind of underreact. We call it, it's priced in. That's
the way we sound smart there. I think, look, again, if the glass half empty here, which I
think makes sense is, is that, you know, you couple all of this, you couple this just continued
uncertainty. If you give a good CEO a playbook, they will run the playbook. If you tell them the
rules of the game, they will figure out how to compete. We are back to where we were in April
or May of last year, where just nobody knew what the rules of the game were. That's not great for
economic activity. That's not great for committing to a new project. That's not great for building a
new warehouse. That's not great for hiring a consultant to plan out M&A or something like
that. To the extent that the Supreme Court, right or wrong, has just added more uncertainty,
that is a worry, especially with these GDP numbers that suggest there's already some
vulnerability. And then again, just to contrast that against a government apparatus that might
be focused on stimulus that might at least temporarily offset some of that lack of spending,
it's just a big mess speaking of economic activity john we did get numbers from walmart and the the
comments were really interesting in their conference call they basically said lou's
been talking about the k-shaped economy for months here on the show and that was essentially
what they said was hey you know people who are making over a hundred thousand dollars a year
are doing fine they continue spending but people who are making less than 50 000 or so are really
pulling back. They're starting to feel higher costs from tariffs. What was your takeaway from
Walmart's earnings? Because this is sort of the big indicator of what real consumers are doing.
This is not, you know, GDP could be helped by that AI spend, but that AI spend isn't making
it to a lot of regular people's pockets. I don't know if I'd say that people making
$100,000 annually are necessarily doing well. They're doing well for Walmart because they're
shopping there more. So that's one thing. Maybe the fact that they're going to Walmart
isn't the most bullish sign. Exactly. Now, the people who are lower income,
$50,000 annually or less, yes, they are feeling stretched for sure. But that's not necessarily
new. Dollar General has been flagging this for quite a while, over the past year. So
we've seen this before. Normally, I would say, watch out for your kind of lower-end
discretionary spending categories, maybe such as casual dining. But it's still a weird economy
because fast food prices have gone up so much that casual dining is actually pretty competitive
and doing pretty well. You can just look at Chili's from Brinker's. It's got some pretty
decent deals out there, and spending has been quite good. I don't know where the cracks are
necessarily in the economy. But certainly, yes, the consumer is stretched.
Why the hate on Walmart? I mean, why shouldn't the affluent people go there? The glass half
full there is that the higher income shoppers or the consumer is making adjustments as needed to
continue spending. And that is positive for the economy. At the end of the day, we just want a
critical number of people to keep spending. We don't care where they spend. And so Walmart is
fine. Again, I keep going back to this, but it's just we need, the consumer is not one person. The
consumer just doesn't decide to spend or not spend. We need a critical mass of consumers to
feel good enough about their individual situations that they will continue to spend. It doesn't
matter where they spend. It doesn't matter, you know, it does matter how many of them, but for now
it's okay, but we're watching it. And that's all we can determine, I think.
Speaking of spending, when we come back, we're going to talk about people spending more and more, getting their food delivered at home.
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One of the interesting earnings reports this week was DoorDash.
And John, they announced a huge jump in their gross order volume.
And the theory here is that this is one of those aggregators that are pulling together all the demand for order deliveries.
I use DoorDash all the time.
And once you get into their kind of past plan, it makes sense to just keep using DoorDash.
But this continues a trend of companies like DoorDash, Uber, Lyft are growing double digits.
And it doesn't seem like they're slowing down anytime soon.
Yeah, it was a great quarter for DoorDash in particular, the order volume just increasing so much year over year.
And I think this is really a testament for DoorDash, but also for Lyft and the other
marketplaces out there. They're building marketplaces that people actually like. And
I know we don't think about these as two-sided marketplaces, but they really are, in particular
DoorDash, because there's a whole merchant side of getting onto this platform and getting out
there to customers. It's almost like an e-commerce portal in a way, if you can just kind of wrap your
mind around it that way. DoorDash is building something that people like using. And I think
that's really an underappreciated aspect of this business here. It's not just getting the stuff to
your door. It's a platform that both merchant and customer appear to enjoy interacting with,
drivers as well, or dashers as they call them. And so, yeah, it's something that continues to
gain momentum and it's something that we need to watch. Lou, one of the things that I always think
about with these companies is a lot of the conversation about autonomy focuses on companies
like Tesla. But if you look at Uber and Lyft in particular, they're thinking a lot about how the
autonomous future looks. DoorDash hasn't quite talked about that quite as much, but it does seem
like these two-sided markets, if supply, you know, maybe these dashers become autonomous vehicles in
the future, but have they just gotten to a scale where disrupting them with some sort of new
technology is just going to be really, really difficult because there's so much momentum behind
being in the Uber ecosystem or the Lyft ecosystem or the DoorDash ecosystem, as John said.
Give DoorDash a little credit here. They have partnerships with Serve Robotics and a few others,
so they are exploring this too. I think for now, definitely. And we've talked about this with Apple
and AI, that having access to a consumer is so important, the customer list. I do think, though,
there's a world where kind of, you know, your question gets turned on its head. If we truly
have autonomous everywhere, does the aggregator matter? If I can just have AI set, if I can,
you know, in a world where either Google search or AI saying, I want a light bulb, bring me a light
bulb, you know, and, and almost. So you're saying like the ultimate end point of agents is just,
you got an agent that goes out and it finds a retailer and it finds a delivery person.
Or do we need to go through a captive portal, which is what DoorDash or Uber sort of looks
like in that. If I want to ride somewhere, do I have to get on my Uber app or do I just,
whether it's Google or something else, saying I need to get from point A to point B and some sort
of just AI sends a car. So I don't think that they are necessarily set up to inherit the earth
and it's just, you know, they're going to win forever. I think in this current climate where
the, you know, kind of being the gatekeepers is absolutely, and having that scale, that's where
things fund to, I think it works real well for them. And I think that will continue for now.
But if we really get to a point where this stuff is everywhere, do we need DoorDash? Do we need
that middle ground? Or do I just say, hey, Kava, I want this, and Kava just find some
rando robot that can get it there? I, you know, I think that's possible at least. So I just,
I think we have to wait and see on this, but for now, yes, I think the economics are all set up for
he who has the customer can get scale, can get margins. John, do you think that's right? Are
these companies, do they have a durable moat or is AI, maybe some new piece of hardware going to
cause some disruption in these businesses? Well, I totally get what Lou's point is here and it's
well taken. I would say that competition is such an interesting thing. And even in an autonomous
AI agent future, competition and competitive advantages are still going to matter. I think
that partnerships are still going to be formed. And so which company is creating the AI agent
and how those partnerships are shaking out and which restaurant is using that autonomous vehicle
company versus my competitor who's using the other one. I think these things are still going to
happen behind the scenes. Maybe the consumer is going to be less aware of them, but I think it's
still going to happen. And I think if you are an aggregator, if you are the company that has built
the marketplace, it's much easier to incorporate AI agents or autonomous vehicles, even robotics.
I think it's much easier to incorporate that into your marketplace model than it is for the
AV companies to build a marketplace. So maybe long-term they can, but I think over the next
five years or so, I think the aggregators still matter. Is this why we're seeing a lot of these
companies? One of the things I noticed, you know, especially with open AI, but we've seen some
partnerships between companies like Zillow and Google, even the AI companies, which you would
think are kind of going it alone and saying, Hey, we're going to disrupt everybody. We're going to
take over the world are suddenly going, okay, you know what? We also need to have partners,
You know, Lou, I think John's point sort of makes sense, that in theory, you could maybe change everything.
We don't need this app infrastructure that we've spent the last 15 or 20 years building.
But to get from here to there is maybe going to be a little bit bigger lift than any one company can.
And also, you know, disrupting the status quo that so many of us are so used to.
We should note there's a separate land grab going on among the AI companies.
And yeah, again, in the current market, if you are going from no companies and maybe a commoditized
model, I mean, no customers, you're trying to have customers, then yeah, trying to partner works.
I just think that beyond all this, the middleman, and John's probably right, there's a role for
these companies in the backend. I don't know if that's as lucrative as investors might want to
say, if you just become the plumbing. I doubt if AI and autonomous evolve the way the optimists
hope it will. I doubt there's the same need to use Uber to find a ride or for DoorDash to find
food. So I just think that, and again, this might be ultra long-term thinking, but I do think that
pendulums are real and things that seem like, wow, this momentum will never end is normally
those statements and age poorly. And I think in this case that if the technology develops the way
we hope. I do wonder about the long-term future for these guys.
For now, it appears that DoorDash continues to be in a really good position with momentum,
but we'll see if Lou's right here. The disruption is on the way. When we come back,
we are going to see what technology disruptions are real and which ones are not real.
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We like to have a little bit of fun in this section,
and I wanted to get Lou and John's thoughts on what sort of technology disruptions are real and what are not real.
So there's a lot of talk about artificial intelligence, humanoid robots, peptides, and more.
So let's start with humanoid robots.
robots. John, these have been the talk of the market, especially companies like Tesla.
NVIDIA has gotten into that in a really big way over the past couple of years.
But the fun thing that I didn't know until this morning is you can actually buy a Unitree
G1 humanoid robot for $18,000 on Amazon today. Are we closer to this humanoid future than a lot
of us think? Well, Travis, let me tell you, if the $18,000 is a little bit inaccessible for you,
You can just do buy now, pay later. Split that into three payments of six grand.
Oh, great. Great.
Listen, right there is one of the options. Joking aside, listen, I think there is something here
in robotics. It's been a couple of years since Tesla marched that guy out in the Optimus costume,
right? And I thought that was the biggest joke. Boston Dynamics was a company that had been
working in this extensively for many years. And finally, he got into the place of dancing
robots, but still, it was struggling to create something that was truly practical for the masses.
Then Tesla does this move, and lo and behold, what it's actually produced so far in the Optimus
program, I think is actually pretty impressive given the time it's been doing this. You look at
all these other companies such as Unitree, it's kind of created this sprint, this arms race amongst
the robotics companies to really get a practical mass market household robot out there. I think
there is something there. The competition is pushing the technology. I see these more in
warehouses before apartments, personally, but we'll see. I'm really glad. I think John should
buy one of those. Maybe use buy now, pay later. I'm really glad that these are coming and the
optimists, apparently, they're going to be building them in Fremont before the end of the year,
right? Because I'm a big we'll see here. I get the potential. But look, most technology looks
better in demos than it does in real life. It seems to me this is likely to be that on steroids.
If you were let down by Siri after watching the Apple commercials, I can only imagine how you're
going to feel when your dancing robot won't dance for you. So let's get it out there. This is early
generation technology, my bet here is that we're going to find these underwhelming when they're
actually out here. That's not to say there's not great potential, and version 2, 3, 4, 5 could do
a lot better. I am still going to take the over. And John, as far as warehouses, I think you're
100% right. But the thing is, there's already a ton of robots there. And for the most part,
the human form is, if anything, a hindrance in a factory setting, or there are better forms
to take. I don't know if robots that look like us are really the answer the way we think they are,
maybe for cleaning up after your pet, but not in the warehouse, not assembling automobiles and
things like that. So we'll see. We're definitely making progress here, but I don't know if a
dancing robot is coming to my household. Okay. Lou, I think I'm kind of falling on the side
that there's something real here from a humanoid robot standpoint. We're seeing these robots now do
kung fu or whatever karate stuff it was. It's really amazing what they're doing.
But the other thing that you mentioned is there's no real sales yet, at least in a significant
amount. And there's already a ton of competition. So this would be a little bit like going back to,
you know, let's say 2012 when Tesla was coming out with something like the, you know, the Model S.
And instead of only being one electric vehicle where they could take all the market, they could
have, you know, high profitability. Now you've got dozens of competitors that from an investment
standpoint, seems like a challenge. And maybe this should be a wait and see thing. If you're,
if you're, this is part of your investment thesis, is that fair? Or is this one of those,
Hey, it's so evergreen that everybody's going to be able to win. No, I don't think everyone's
going to be like, for one thing, I would be very surprised even if someone has cracked this code
already that if everybody has cracked this code. So I do think it's, look, if you own these
companies anyway and you want the upside, sure, that's great. If you're buying now on the idea
that I think one of the CEOs said, projected, hey, if we sell a billion units at $30,000 a piece,
that's a lot of money. I would take the under on that. Kung Fu, Travis, yeah, they're really good
at Kung Fu. All of the times in your household that you're doing Kung Fu and you're like, man,
I wish a robot could do this for me." See, there's your practical application right there.
You haven't seen my kids playing. It looks a little bit like Kung Fu. They'd probably love to
be hanging out with one of these robots. All right, John, let's talk a little bit about autonomous
driving. A whole bunch of players here. You have Google with Waymo. I wanted to bring Lucid into
this. We don't talk a lot about Lucid, but they have a partnership with Neuro. There are only
three companies in the state of California who are actually licensed to commercially operate.
Neuro is one of them. So that puts a company like Lucid in an interesting position. You have
Mobileye, more of a horizontal business model with partnerships with Volkswagen and another
unnamed US manufacturer. Is this a real technology that we're going to be using in the future? And
I'll get to the investment angle in just a second. But how real is this, let's say, in the next five
years? There's something so interesting about all of this as far as human psychology that I think
is really going to limit how quickly this becomes a thing that is the cars are driving everybody
everywhere. The thing is that autonomous vehicles still do make mistakes. And yes, maybe the
argument is they make way fewer mistakes than a human driver. But I think that the human psychology
issue is we'd like to hold someone accountable when something goes wrong. And I can hold a human
driver accountable, but who do I hold accountable when the autonomous vehicle makes a mistake? And
I think that is one of the things that is just from a psychology perspective, limiting
widespread adoption is going to keep it from being a thing as quickly as many people think
it's going to be a thing.
Yeah.
I mean, look, it's already a thing.
I mean, I'm in Atlanta.
I see Waymo, although Waymo had a bad week.
I don't know what happened, but I was out earlier in the week, saw three different Waymos
being driven by humans.
So I don't know what was going on there.
Maybe I was, but, but look, it's here.
I think Waymo has surprised me at how quickly they're expanding. So maybe it's more here than
we know. I don't think the steering wheel is going away from most of us for a long time.
I still think edge cases are very, very scary. But look, and I don't think just, look, to some
extent, maybe on dancing robots, if one company can figure out, maybe everyone can figure out
something. I don't think it works that way here. I don't think just because Waymo is doing it,
that means everybody's will work as well because there is still so much into this, but it's here.
There's going to be a platform that they can use like a, I use Neuro and Lucid as an example. So
if Neuro's technology is applicable to any vehicle, you just got to stick the right sensors
on it. Is that not potentially a way that this could become more accessible for more automakers?
Over time? Yes. And again, I do wonder about commoditization and if everybody gets good at
this. That's going to take time. It's both here and it's going to be limited for now, I think,
is the takeaway. So from an investment perspective, and I'll start with you, Lou,
is this something that we should be watching, watching from the sidelines, trying to figure out
who is going to be the ultimate winner? Is it really the Ubers, Lyfts, and DoorDashes of the
world? Who are the ultimate winners? How are you thinking about this from an investment perspective?
I think for now, I don't think there's any company where I want to buy it because of their
autonomous driving, period. But I do think that it is real enough that it can be part of an
investment thesis and it can be definitely the potential upside there. Again, this is not
universal. It's not enough to say we are into autonomous. You have to actually demonstrate it
Or like you say, at least for now, the aggregators who can take advantage of those who can do
it.
Look, Waymo is still a very, very small part of Uber's business in Atlanta.
So I do think even like on an Uber, which does seem to be a natural beneficiary, I think
that it's likely to be an overblown part of an investment thesis.
But it's definitely there as potential upside.
I just don't think it's core to any company right now.
I couldn't agree more, Lou.
That's what I'm getting at here as far as, yes, it is here, but I think that it's not
going to be everything is autonomous as quickly as some people think.
All right, let's go to an interesting one.
I called it the moon economy.
We were talking about going to Mars a few years ago.
Apparently, we've changed that, Lou, from SpaceX is talking about going to the moon
as opposed to going to Mars.
Mars is really hard.
Mars is really hard.
The moon is hard, but easier.
is is there going to be some sort of economy there is there going to be an investment
payoff you know this has always been kind of a exploration there's there's outputs you know
from nasa going to mars or go sorry going to the moon you know decades ago but it wasn't a business
that they were in so is there really a business there i look there are fringe businesses there
I think the projections are overstated. Again, I'm not the first to say this, but
there are a lot more mineral resources. There's a lot more potential for cooling AI
data centers and all that by just sticking it deep in the ocean. Our seabeds have a lot of
the same characteristics. We can't figure that out. Again, it's high pressure versus low pressure,
but there are easier ways to do this that we've given up on because, wow, that's cost prohibitive
and hard. I think that at least that backdrop should be a filter for all of this moon talk.
Yes, we need to get back to the moon. Yes, we should explore what we can do there.
Is the moon going to be covered with data centers and mining operations in my lifetime?
I doubt it. I think we might as well actually figure out how to mine in Antarctica and Greenland
and in the bottom of the ocean if those are easier problems to solve that we haven't been
able to do cost effectively. So yeah, the moon sounds neat, but we'll see.
Yeah, I agree with Lou 100%. I'm not sure how self-sustaining the space economy is. It's very,
reliant on government spending, which is good right now because NASA is a priority for the
current administration, but political priorities can change quickly. And so that is something to
keep in mind. But what a fun time for the astronaut kid in all of us, isn't it? I mean, Artemis 2 is
on schedule for launch next month. They did their wet dress rehearsal today. So they tested the fuel
systems. It sounds like that went good. This mission is going to take astronauts around the
far side of the moon, and it's going to be the furthest that we've had people away from Earth.
So that's really, really cool. SpaceX's pivot, they're prepping for an IPO later this year,
potentially. Their pivot from Mars to the moon does make sense, because to Lou's point,
Mars is extremely hard. It's going to be very hard to show its shareholders,
hey, we're actually making progress towards something. Whereas the moon, it's going to be
able to put something up there a lot quicker than it can put something on the red planet and so it
makes sense why they made the switch yeah interesting little side story when my first
year of engineering school in 2000 we did a project for nasa where we were trying to figure
out how to mine stuff on the moon and it was cool that they actually go to these colleges because
the 18 year old kids don't know what's not possible so uh we'll see if any of that stuff
you know, we're now 26 years later, but if any of the things that we were talking about back then
ever come to reality, let's talk a little bit about peptides. This is one of the things I'm
trying to learn a lot more about, but John, GLP-1s are actually a peptide. We don't really
talk about that. So they are already a huge, huge business. We know that Eli Lilly is testing
Retatrutide, which is so effective that people are dropping out of the trial because they have
lost so much weight. Is peptides a real big thing in the future, a disruption, if you will,
of medicine, or is this a lot of hocus pocus? Well, I 100% believe the hype in this domain,
Travis, and I'm not an expert by any means, but I do want to compare this peptide conversation to
something that's related in my mind, and that is protein folding. And so apparently, proteins can
fold in different ways. And when we have medical issues, they can be addressed by how proteins
fold. And in the past, basically, the scientists have been trying to figure out how proteins
fold manually. And they're really smart, and they're working very hard. But then something
out there from google and i'd encourage listeners to check it out it's called alpha fold alpha fold
uses ai to find new ways new protein structures and it's finding in hours what would have taken
a researcher manually months to discover and so i think that as ai pushes forward this medical
discovery, in this case, protein structures, how they fold, this can lead to medical breakthroughs
that just simply weren't possible before we had artificial intelligence really figuring some of
this stuff out. So I think that this does trickle down to real life applications. I would say this
applies to peptides as well. Yeah, I think that's right. The question is, as an investor,
what do you do with it though? Because for one, these things take forever to play out. And again,
I even think about what the GLP wants. There are examples of medicines that have really been
revolutionary and huge markets. For the most part, they did not lead to sustained oversized profits.
Look at statins. Statins are a miracle. There are people alive today because of statins that
wouldn't have been alive 50 years ago. It's also been generic and competed down to the point where
it's not real. I mean, Pfizer is not a quadrillion dollar company because of Lipitor. So I do think
between the time it takes, the complications, and then the fact that if something's really
revolutionary, it will be copied and it will be kind of just competed to death. It's really hard
for investors. There's going to be home runs. It's great for humanity, but as an investment thesis,
it's really hard. Fair enough. If it's good for humanity, maybe it's good for all of us,
even if we're not going to necessarily find easy ways to make money off of it.
When we come back, we're going to get to stocks on our radar.
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notice we like to end the show with our radar segment we're going to bring in dan boyd from
behind the glass for his thoughts john you're up first what's on your radar this week well on my
radar this week is wing stop ticker symbol w-i-n-g this is a chicken wing restaurant chain although
it does sell more than just chicken wings it has over 3 000 global locations it opened nearly 500
in 2025 alone there are some restaurant chains that don't even have 500 locations that's what
it opened up just this past year. What I like about this company is that it takes most of its
orders through the app, and they're mostly takeout and delivery. So it really means that Wingstop has
a lot of operating leverage in the model itself. It can scale very good. In 2025, it installed
smart kitchens to help it scale more efficiently as well. Here's the bad news. Wingstop just
reported the first drop in same-store sales in 20 years. Stock is down about 40% from the all-time
high. But the good news is, it's still incredibly strong, shooting for 10,000 locations long-term.
It has a dividend that's growing fast, trading at its cheapest valuation almost ever at 40 times
earnings. I think there's a lot to like here. Dan, what do you think about takeout chicken
wings? Yeah, there's a wing stop down the street from me, and I've never been.
Sounds like you have an assignment today. It's called research, Dan. This is your
job for the weekend. Lou, what's on your radar this week?
All right, Dan. Since the beginning, eBay has basically been about turning trash into treasure,
or more politely, taking something that someone else can't use, doesn't want to use, whatever,
and putting it in the hands of someone who can use it or wants to use it. With that in mind,
I see great logic in eBay announcing it will buy Gen Z clothing marketplace Depop from Etsy for
$1.2 billion. This is, in some ways, Etsy's trash. It was something that Etsy didn't use
effectively. But eBay, just like all of its Pez customers, I think eBay can find value here.
Deal makes sense to both the buyer and the seller. For Etsy, they tried to diversify,
but it never took off. For eBay, this is their core business. They are adding a brand that kids
see as cool. Depop is really small, only 7 million or so active buyers. eBay should be able to apply
its tech, its infrastructure, and its know-how to grow the business while using this brand
that kids like. And by the way, Dan, eBay's earnings came in pretty good too. This is kind
of an unappreciated, forgotten company, but a really solid business. And I like this move for
them. Dan, can Depop make eBay cool again? Listen, don't ask me to arbitrate what is cool
and what is not, because I can't do that whatsoever. That comes from Lou.
But I do actually use eBay quite a bit. And it's not just the random crap that people are trying
to get rid of. You can actually find a lot of premium products at a discount on eBay. It's a
very good marketplace. All right, Dan, which stock is going on your radar? I got to go with what I
know, and I'm going to go with eBay. For Lou Whiteman, John Quast, and Dan Boyd behind the
glass, I'm Travis Hoyum. Thanks for listening to Motley Fool Money. We'll see you here tomorrow.
