Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Tech Sell-Off, Square Deals, and Power Moms
Episode Date: March 5, 2021The Trade Desk, Magnite, and other ad-tech companies tumble after Google announces some big changes. Costco and Target fall on earnings. Zoom Video reports a big jump in revenue but the stock tumbles.... Okta buys rival Auth0 for $6.5B in stock. Square buys a majority stake in Jay Z’s streaming service, Tidal. Mercadolibre slips despite record revenue. And Amazon looks to secure some Prime programming with the NFL. Motley Fool analysts Andy Cross and Jason Moser discuss those stories and share two stocks on their radar: Lam Research and AppHarvest. Plus, author Joann Lublin talks about her new book, Power Moms: How Executive Mothers Navigate Work and Life. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Chris Hill. Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money.
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Fool Money radio show. I'm Chris Hill. Joining me this week,
senior analysts Jason Moser and Andy Cross. Gentlemen, good to see you as always.
Hey, Chris. We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street. Bestselling author Joanne
Lublin is our guest. And as always, we've got a couple of stocks on our radar.
But we begin with a shakeup in the digital advertising industry. Google is promising
not to use technologies that track people individually across the internet. And one
ripple effect of that announcement is that shares of the Trade Desk and Magnite both dropped 20%
over the span of 48 hours. Andy, a bunch of different angles here. Let me start with this.
Does this announcement from Google fundamentally change the business of the Trade Desk and Magnite?
Chris, it does not. First of all, Google's been talking about this for the past couple of years.
They first proposed this in 2019, this idea of this privacy sandbox, looking for a better way to
help their clients serve advertisements in a way that doesn't involve so-called third-party
cookies. So this is not necessarily new. This week, they came out with that announcement that
is much more pronounced that, yes, we are ready to do this now. So we're pushing it ahead.
And that privacy sandbox is going to remove the use of these third-party cookies that the likes
of the Trade Desk and Magnite and others use to help serve and target advertisements. So
from that perspective, it is a big impact on those businesses, but it's not a secret.
And I think Trade Desk has been thinking about this and talking about this specifically,
and Jeff Green, their leader, the founder of the Trade Desk. So I can't imagine that they're not
surprised by this, and they are looking at lots of different solutions. But fundamentally, it does
not change their business. It will be a challenge for them to be able to navigate this new
environment, though. Jason, even without this news, I feel like the Trade Desk would be selling
off a little bit just because of the sell-off that we've seen this week and last week with
NASDAQ stocks. Yeah, yeah. I think you're absolutely right. I mean, Trade Desk, like many
other popular names in the tech space, has really flown in a short period of time. And we saw the
recovery of the advertising market materialize earlier in the pandemic. And that really, I think,
sort of lit the candle for companies like Trade Desk to come roaring back. And the stock has
done tremendously over the past year, for the most part. I mean, this news, it's material,
it matters given Google's, given Alphabet's position in the market, right? I mean, this is,
we talk about walled gardens. I mean, this is one of the biggest walled gardens out there.
And it's interesting to see how Google is talking about this new technology versus what
they've used in the past.
It's this cohorts idea that, I mean, who knows how it ultimately will work.
I mean, they seem to believe that cohorts makes more sense than the PII, that personally
identifiable information that companies like Trade Desk and Magnite and whatnot rely more
on.
And maybe there's something to that.
I think Andy is right. This is not Trade Desk's first rodeo, so to speak, and they, I'm certain,
have been giving this a lot of thought into how they will deal with this from a business
perspective. I'm a little bit on the fence here with this. I'm still not fully convinced that
people ultimately care about their privacy as much as the headlines may have us believe.
I think people love to whine about it. Then I think they like to go back to posting their
lives for all to see on social media. So, you can see the conflict I'm getting at there.
I think convenience still trumps privacy for most. With that in mind, I look at companies
like Tradesk. I think they'll be able to handle this relatively easily because of all of the
investments they've made in their business up to this point and given the knowledge they have in
the space. I'll just note also, Jason, that it does not apply to Google's mobile apps yet.
And mobile is such a big part of the evolving digital ad space.
That's an important point, and I think you're right.
I think Trade Desk continues to make these innovations.
And this does not mean that Google is not targeting us in some capacity,
just a different way that they think is a better privacy practice than what they do right now.
That's debatable, though, honestly.
Yeah, and back to the Trade Desk stock performance real quick, and then we can move on.
But just worth noting that ad spend on the platform, we talked about this,
I think, a couple of weeks ago. But ad spend on the platform for 2020 was $4.2 billion. That was
up 34% from a year ago. Spend in the fourth quarter alone was $1.6 billion. That was up
from $1 billion a year ago. And if you look at the overall spending in total global ad spending,
that actually fell 4.5% in 2020. So, the trade desk picked up a lot of share along the way in
2020, which speaks to the stock's performance. It makes a lot of sense. This pullback seems
seems relatively reasonable. Let's move to a couple of big
retailers. Target's fourth quarter report had pretty much everything you would want to see
as a shareholder, including same-store sales up 20%. CEO Brian Cornell is not offering guidance
for the current fiscal year, and that may be a small factor in shares of Target falling 8% this
week, Jason. Yeah. It looks like down 13% since earnings, which I feel like maybe we're seeing
a little bit of a victim of your own success thing going on here with a number of these businesses.
The pandemic has been a real tailwind actually for a lot of businesses. We knew going in
that there were a lot of businesses that at least had the infrastructure in place to respond to such
a shift. They answered the call though, and they really showed their omnichannel capability. I
mean, Target and a number of other businesses really answered the call. If you note in the
call, Target Management said they saw unprecedented share gains across all five of their core
merchandise categories in the year. That speaks to how well they were able to respond to the
pandemic in 2020. But investing is all about the future. You have to look forward to this
next year and you start wondering, do things normalize here? Because they've been exceptional
for some of these businesses and I think Target is one of those businesses. What does that
normalization looked like. To the numbers, you mentioned the comps up 20%. That was traffic
growth of 6.5% for the quarter on top of 13.1% increase in average ticket. Digital comparable
sales up 118% accounting for two-thirds of the company's overall comp growth. Then you
look at the performance of Shipt, which was that acquisition, I think, back in 2017 for
the year. Target sales on the Shipt platform grew more than 300%. Memberships were up 130%
So, there are a lot of great numbers, and that's kind of where I'm getting to that victim
of your own success thing.
In regard to the guidance, I don't know that I would really read too much into that.
I mean, management noted it, Cornell noted on the call, I mean, providing guidance, he
feels would be an exercise on falls precision at this point.
It's really, they're focused on execution, and that's the word they used.
It's about execution, less about guidance.
That's their mindset for the coming year, and I feel like maybe they're being a little
bit conservative because they think there's some reasons to be optimistic for the back half of the
year. But again, they're going to be coming up on some tough comparables.
Costco's second quarter report was highlighted by digital sales coming in 75% higher than a year
ago, but profits were lower than expected and shares of Costco down 6% this week, Andy.
Yeah, Chris, it was interesting on that profit picture because they took a $246 million,
$0.41 per share pre-tax charge for COVID premium wages. God bless them for supporting the people
who are out there helping us go shop, you know, every day and on the front line.
So, I thought that was, while maybe a little bit surprising, I think that hit the earnings
picture and was lower than what analysts were expecting.
Again, evidence of what we love to see in some of our favorite companies, and Costco
certainly, you know, stands above so many.
So, sales up 15% for the quarter versus 10% a year ago, so saw some acceleration there,
even though down a little bit from the previous quarter. You mentioned the strong e-commerce
sales up 76%, membership fees up 8%. Strong U.S. renewal rates, of course, at 91%. They now have
almost 24 million paid members, up 506,000 members since the first quarter. Very strong in the fresh
foods, continues to be a really strong part of the business. But across all of the areas from
the merchandise side, really strong. And again, they also are on the forefront by come March 1,
they have increased their hourly rate by $1 and now are at an average of $16 per hour versus $15.
So, you know, from a stakeholder-friendly business, from a conscious capitalism business,
Costco continues to do really well. And the stock's down about 18% over the past year. And now,
you know, sells at a much more reasonable 30 times, which is kind of earnings,
their more historical norms. For the first time in a while, I think those of us who don't own
Costco shares should get a little bit excited. Zoom Video's fourth quarter revenue
was 370% higher than a year ago. Despite that, Jason, shares of Zoom Video are 15% lower than
a week ago. Yes. Well, speaking of companies
that have run a long way in a short period of time, Zoom is certainly another one of them.
I was thinking about this over the week, and Zoom's earnings release really brought this
to the front of my mind. But things can change in investing, and there can be valid reasons
to sell. It's certainly never about holding companies just blindly. But if the business
is doing well, then it's not really productive to worry about what the stock price is doing
at any given time. And ultimately, I think that's why time might be our greatest edge
as individual investors. And that really speaks to me when I think about Zoom, because while
the stock has obviously pulled back considerably on this earnings release, that is not really due
to the company's poor performance, right? Because it's not performing poorly, it's performing
wonderfully. And to the numbers that you just spoke to there, I mean, it's just, I mean,
it's amazing. It's amazing to think about it. This is another one of those companies that really has
benefited from this shift in the way we do our work. I mean, it's a fair question. Is this going
be the way that we do things from here on out. Probably for some and for others, maybe
not as much, but when you look at the numbers, 467,000-plus customers with more than 10 employees
now, that was up 470% from the same quarter a year ago. 1,644 customers contributing more
than $100,000 in trailing 12 months revenue, that was up approximately 156% from the same
quarter a year ago. And that net dollar expansion rate continues to perform above 130% for the 11th
consecutive quarter. So, I mean, maybe there is a little bit of a victim of your own success
dynamic at play here, too. But I do think, you know, with Zoom, it's become less about this
video app. And I think it's neat how they talk about this on the call. It's becoming a video
communications platform. It's doing more than just connecting with someone on your
and speaking via video chat. And Zoom Phone, I think, is a great example of that.
They see a big market opportunity out there for the telephony market.
They see a $23 billion-plus market by 2024, so that's another opportunity they're pursuing.
Gross margin was down a little bit in the quarter, but that really was due to an increase
in free usage related to the pandemic, an admirable thing for them to do.
So, all in all, a business that continues to perform very well.
We obviously like management with Eric Guan, he's always got a nice sense of humor.
where he opened up the earnings call with, I'm not a cat. For those of you who remember
that call between the lawyers and judge or whatever, where the lawyer showed up as a cat
and couldn't figure out how to turn it off, Eric had a little bit of fun with that on the call,
and that got it kicked off on the right foot. I think a lot of things really still to like
about this business. Jay-Z's got 99 problems, but being rich ain't one.
We'll explain after the break, so stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Chris Hill. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill
here with Andy Cross and Jason Moser. Eventful week for Okta. The cloud identity management
business came out with strong fourth quarter results that were overshadowed by an acquisition.
Okta is buying Auth0, a rival security company, for $6.5 billion worth of stock. I should
mention, Andy, that shares of Okta were down 23% this week.
Yeah, Chris, it's a lot of dilution for Okta, but what this helps them do is address more of the client side.
So, very simple, client access, when you go to a website and you want to get access to that website, that's really Auth0's specialty.
Okta is really on the enterprise, the workforce identity, so helping workforces, enterprise, large companies manage their identity system and access lots of different cloud and third-party apps.
That's really their specialty. The client side, the customer identity side, is only a quarter of
Okta's core business. That's growing faster than the other business. They said, hey, Auth0 really
specializes in this, works with developers to help build those tools, and we want a part of that.
For $6.5 billion, yes, Auth0 is about a $200 million in sales business, growing 50% a year.
It's about the same sales multiple that Okta sells at, maybe a little bit cheaper looking
forward too. So overall, from that perspective, you could see the pairing together could be very
effective for Okta's core business to expand on that with the client side. It did overshadow
the quarterly results that were pretty good from looking at the quarter, but the guidance was a
little bit weaker, I think, than people expected looking at more like 30% growth versus 40% top
line growth. So that's another reason that the dilution and the price, I think, have kind of
hurt Okta's stock price in the near term, but long-term, I think it's a pretty good deal.
Back in 2015, Jay-Z bought Tidal, a music streaming company, for $56 million. This week,
he sold a majority stake in Tidal to Square for $300 million in cash and stock. As part of the
deal, Jay-Z will be taking a seat on Square's board of directors. And for anyone asking why
Square would buy a music streaming business, CEO Jack Dorsey says it's about finding new ways for
artists to support their work. Jason, I'm going to go on a limb and guess that Jack Dorsey is
more bullish on this deal than you are. Well, probably. Listen, he also knows a lot
more about that business than I do, so I'm going to give him the benefit of the doubt. I'll get to
that in a minute. It's a very easy thing to ponder and question and even doubt, but I think at the
end of the day, it is a tiny bet in the context of a very successful business. The skeptic might
view this as just a way to get Jay-Z on Square's board? I don't know. I do think it's important
for investors to know, at the end of the day, this deal could completely flop, go to zero.
It would not impact Square's core business in the slightest, just a fraction of the $4 billion
they have on the balance sheet. Now, to your point, I like the idea. It's about giving the
artists more of what they're producing. It's about giving them their due. I don't know exactly
how they're going to do that. But I have to believe, given Dorsey's love of Bitcoin,
he's probably eyeballing the whole non-fungible token thing at this point, particularly given the
recent news that the band Kings of Leon is going to offer their next album in non-fungible token
form. So there's some interesting developments in that space that might help protect artists'
art a little bit more. I have to believe he's probably looking at that. But I think you made
a really good point earlier in the week, Chris, when you said, and this is really unlike Twitter,
I think Dorsey has earned the benefit of the doubt from us in regard to this business, Square.
He's done a lot of things right.
So I'm going to let him run with this one and see where it goes.
Shares of MercadoLibre falling 15% this week, despite the fact that fourth quarter revenue was a record $1.3 billion.
Andy, maybe this is just more of what we've been seeing recently with the sell-off of NASDAQ stocks,
but there was a lot to like in this report.
Well, Chris, I think the gross profit picture was a little bit bleaker
because of so many of the investments they're making in their logistics business. They now
have seven airplanes, and they serve eight different routes across Mexico and Brazil,
which is kind of interesting, I saw. But their gross profit margin fell because of those
investments, and also some of the lower product margins they sold during the holidays. So,
that hurt. But from the revenue side, Chris, like you said, the revenues grew more than
almost 150%. They have a record 37 million buyers now across their platform. Gross merchandise
volume. So, the stuff they sell across their platform was up 110%. It was a little bit down
from what it was in Q3. So, maybe some concerns there on the growth. But Mercado Pago, the payment
platform and the fees continues to really be a bright sign. The total payment volume is up 134%.
Off-platform total payments is now 75% of Pago's total payment volume. So, they're not just online,
they're also going offline. They're really expanding their product offerings and their
solutions across all of Latin America. It was a really impressive quarter by MercadoLibre.
Later in the show, we're going to take a look at how Amazon, Disney, and others are getting ready
to bid for NFL broadcast rights. But up next, bestselling author Joanne Lublin with a look at
how power moms are navigating work and life. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money, I'm Chris Hill. Joanne Lublin has spent her career writing
about the workplace. For more than 25 years, she wrote the Wall Street Journal's career
advice column. She was also part of the team covering corporate scandals that won the journal
the Pulitzer Prize in 2003. A bestselling author, Lublin's latest book is Power Moms,
How Executive Mothers Navigate Work and Life. She interviewed over 100 business executives,
starting with the boomer generation paving the way, as well as ones from Generation X,
Millennials, and now Gen Z that are following in the footsteps, and in some cases, living in the
shadows of their trailblazing mothers. She recently talked with my colleague Kate Herman
about what she discovered in her research. One of the things that I found in this
cross-generational look is that things are getting better for working moms in their 30s
and early 40s as they move into executive roles. And it's because of three things that are
different. Well, one is we have obviously great improvements in technology. We would not have
been able to have this year-long experiment and work from home due to the pandemic if we couldn't
be doing what you and I are doing right now. And, you know, my generation, we often stayed late at
the office simply because it was technologically slow to dial up when you got home. And so,
you know, you didn't have that flexibility that these younger moms have. The second thing is that
the workplace has changed in terms of employers are much more understanding of the needs and
how important it is to attract and retain not just working moms but working dads too
because that's what the millennials and the people coming after them are looking for
they want companies and other workplaces that are not just family friendly and name only
And the third change that I saw in this younger cohort of executive moms is that their spouses, who overwhelmingly were husbands, were hugely supportive of not only their choices to be committed to their careers, but were committed to being equal parents and to be partners on the domestic front.
and so these women would not have chosen these people to be their life partners or stuck with
them for very long if they weren't amenable and they were willing to revisit the issues you know
when circumstances change uh or when it got kind of too hard for them because of that what's called
The Mental Load, you know, who kind of keeps all the trains running on time at home.
Right. Well, and so that actually is a perfect pivot to your concept of work-life sway versus
work-life balance. I think work-life balance is something we all hear a lot about. Talk to us
about work-life sway and what that looks and feels like. I am so enamored of this concept of work-life
Sway that I wanted it to be the subtitle of the book. And so I said to my publisher, this is the
book's title, Power Moms, Secrets of Work-Life Sway. And she's like, I mean, she's like, no one
will buy the book. They won't have the foggiest idea of what you're talking about. And that's
true because I didn't until I heard about it the first time. I certainly knew that work-life
balance was an impossible ideal. And I talked about that in the one chapter in my first book,
earning it that looked at working moms. And the title of that chapter was manager moms are not
acrobats. Okay. Because you cannot have anything close to a perfect balance. You cannot maintain
that yoga pose of standing on one leg for any indefinite period of time. But when I started
interviewing the younger executive moms, the very first one I met introduced to me this idea of
work-life sway. And I was like, work-life what? And the concept is that when we have to be 110%
in the moment focused on a job task or what's going on with work, we can do so without any
guilt because we know if we need to sway and go with the flow because of some life or family
crisis that has arisen, we will do so and then come back when it is relevant and appropriate.
And this, of course, has been writ large during these many months that so many white collar employees have been working from home in which, you know, in the middle of that Zoom call, the dog starts barking or, you know, washing machine you've been leaning on suddenly starts vibrating.
your laptop doesn't hold it or you know the mom who I interviewed for the book who herself is a
parenting consultant when she saw that she'd been quoted she put something on LinkedIn yesterday
saying she has three kids you know five seven and nine and the only 27 seconds she could remember
having for herself in recent months is when she snuck into the closet in the kitchen and ate from
a bag of chocolate chips. Bless. Very relatable. Very quietly. So no other kids would know she was
eating chocolate chips. Oh, that's amazing. Well, one of the things that you talk about,
Joanne, is this notion of to help maybe achieve that work-life sway, to help make sure that
we can enjoy sort of the richness of all of this and be a power player in the workspace, but also
be a power mom is to choose wisely when it comes to an employer, right? You have to choose the
right company. So a lot of these names of the women that you have talked to for this book are
going to be very familiar to our full members who are watching. We've got Procter and Gamble,
Nike, Home Depot, Coca-Cola, the list goes on and on. In your research, did you find some companies
that are really helping these power moms get it right or conversely very wrong? Do you have any
shining examples of either of those? I certainly did not focus hugely on the ones that were getting
it wrong because the whole idea is to set role models for other workplaces to imitate. But the
last chapter of the book, which is looking at making work workable for working parents,
I highlighted several companies that I thought were going above and beyond.
And two of those were American Express and PwC.
And what American Express did was twofold.
Number one, they made parental paid leave more generous and they made it applicable essentially across the board, irrespective of your gender or marital status or sexual orientation.
if you were going to be you know a primary caregiver of a child coming into your life
you were entitled to 20 weeks of paid leave and when they put in this change at the same time
they took steps to make sure that the guys knew that this was expected behavior of them because
until we change what we expect people to act like for men when it comes to parenthood it's still
could it be a problem for women? And so they did things like have special programs where new or
expectant fathers could hear from senior men who had done this, who had taken their paid leave,
and who had seen their careers benefit from it. They put in a 24-7 parenting concierge
who you could tap way before you went off on leave.
And it was open-ended for how long that service was available
when you came back from leave.
But I think, frankly, the most important thing
that American Express did was they recognized
that having a lot of people go out for 20 weeks of paid leave
is going to put a burden on those of us who are still working
and don't have children or our children are grown
or never plan to have children.
And that can create a huge amount of tension between the parents and the non-parents.
And so they gave supervisors extra money to hire temporary additional staff to fill in
some of those gaps.
That's a brilliant idea.
PwC is a company that was in the forefront of making life easier for working moms way
before this was sort of the conventional wisdom in corporate America. As early as 2008, they put
in a mentoring moms program, a mentor moms program. And it was the idea of a woman who had
had a child and came back to work and felt it would have been great to have other women who
had been there, done that to support her. And these mentor moms, again, end up being paired
with a mother-to-be long before the child arrives and is supportive throughout their
leave and when she comes back.
And then if you fast forward and look at some of the things that they have done during the
pandemic, among other multiple steps that PwC has taken, is that they have established
protected time.
So you can say, you know, sorry, guys, at least today or maybe all this week, I cannot do Zoom calls for work.
I can't be looking at texts or emails between whatever, 8 and 11, because I'm supervising schooling from home.
and this idea that we recognize not only that parents have other demands on their time when
we're working from home but that there are grown-ups they are adults and they can figure it
out when they need that protected time period how are we not always on in the circumstances that
we're living through right now it's very simple you turn off your phone and and you realize that
frankly, you are not perfect and you are not the be all end all solution to all the problems that
are happening at work. And you decide what time of day you will be reachable and when you will not.
And in going back to a couple of those executive moms who I'd interviewed pre-pandemic,
once the pandemic hit to say, you know, you worked from home or you worked remotely before you dealt
with this always on issue before, you know, what are you doing differently? One of those women
worked for a company where a hundred percent of the employees were working remotely before the
pandemic. And in her case, she set those ground rules of protected time rather than the company
coming back and offering it. She told her employer between eight and 11 or seven and 11 every day,
I am not reachable. And so, you know, there are ways to set limits.
The book is Power Moms, How Executive Mothers Navigate Work and Life.
You can find it pretty much anywhere you find books. Hey, are you looking for stock ideas?
Good news. Andy Cross and Jason Moser are coming back with a couple of stocks on their radar.
Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about,
and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks
based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here once
again with Jason Moser and Andy Cross. The NFL is on the verge of signing a series of
new deals with different networks looking to secure the broadcast rights to America's
most popular pro sport. The usual suspects are involved, Fox, CBS, NBC, and ESPN, but
the most intriguing potential deal could involve Amazon. The Wall Street Journal is reporting
that Amazon is talking with the NFL about locking up exclusive rights to Thursday night
games. This would start after the 2022 season and be the biggest deal yet in terms of major
pro sports moving away from traditional broadcasting cable TV. Andy, we got some big public companies
involved in these negotiations, Amazon, Disney, Comcast, Viacom. Take it in any direction
you want, but ultimately, I'm curious, what shareholders should be hoping for out of these
negotiations? We think the advertising wars are challenging
and have a lot of big players, nothing compared to the NFL rights wars, I think. So it is
interesting. I think, again, this is more to the value, for me, this is more to the value of Prime.
Really, Amazon, such a large company with the ability to touch so many levers in what we do
as consumers and how we interact, this is saying this is another value prop they want to do and
they want to continue to build up that Prime and grow that member base and add more and more value
for consumer there. So they're seeing the NFL maybe as an opportune time in the Thursday night
games, especially as a way that they can continue to add that value in a way for them that may not
be nearly as expensive as other platforms. Also, they have their other expressions of
entertainment from gaming, not just shopping, gaming. They also have a budding advertising
business. So I'm not actually super surprised to see them make this kind of push. You know,
the NFL, I think, has been under such scrutiny over the last couple years, and maybe they're
seeing an opportune time to kind of strike why others might not be paying quite as much attention.
Yeah. Jason, even though, as reported in the journal, if Amazon goes through with this deal,
they're going to be spending exponentially more for the exclusive rights to Thursday night. Right
now, they're paying $75 to $100 million a year just for non-exclusive rights. But it almost
seems like the risk factor is a little bit lower for Amazon than it is for the traditional networks.
I think absolutely. It was a far simpler time growing up in the 70s and in the 80s
where you had essentially three networks just vying for this content. It was just
pretty understandable how that would all shake out. The NFL, I think, certainly realizes they're
doing a very good job of playing the old guard against the new guard here. You look at something
like Amazon. Amazon is already a place where a lot of people are going to get their video content
via that Fyre device. That is a true competitor to Roku. This does make a lot of sense. It's very
much in line with what they've done historically in spending big, making bold bets. Exclusive
is the key word here, I think. Exclusive is a very expensive word. You got to pay a lot for it.
But I think the NFL remains very popular, even through the difficult times. It's not bulletproof,
but it sure feels like it's close. And I think Amazon would love to be able to use that NFL
brand and say, listen, come here for exclusive NFL content. It's bound to change even more with
the world of sports betting. I think there are just a lot of opportunities there. And for sure,
over the course of the next 10 years, we could expect this to only be more and more the case,
this content going to newer players in the content space.
All right, let's get to the stocks on our radar. Our man behind the glass, Dan Boyd,
is going to hit you with a question. Andy Cross, you're up first. What are you looking at this week?
Dan, I'm looking at LAM Research, symbol L-R-C-X-L-A-M Research. It makes all kinds of
equipment for semiconductor chip manufacturers like Samsung and Micron and Taiwan Semiconductor,
the second largest in this space. It's a $76 billion business, so quite large.
With the usage of all kinds of connected devices in the digital revolution, think like
5G technology, entertainment data centers, driverless technology, we rely more and more
than ever on semiconductor and chip technology. We need someone to be able to make the equipment
that makes those chips. That's really what LAM research does. It's interesting now because of
where we are in the semiconductor cycle. We're reliant on these. We're seeing a lot of challenges
on the supply side as well as excitement on the demand side. That could really be very interesting
for future demand and growth for LAM over this year and next year, not as cyclical as it used
to be. So, LAM Research is one I'm putting on my radar stock. Dan, question about LAM Research?
Yeah, sure thing, Chris. Andy, one of the things that you mentioned is that they make the chips,
they have manufacturing capability of the chips. Do they own their own manufacturing
facilities, or are they leveraged? Yeah, Dan, they make the equipment that
makes the chips. So, they make the big, expensive equipment that makes the chips for the Samsungs
and microns of the world. They do that themselves, and they do it all over the world and provide
that kind of equipment to all different kinds of players. Jason Moser, what are you looking at?
Yeah, taking a closer look at AppHarvest, ticker is APPH. This past week, I had the good fortune
to interview president of the company, David Lee. Really fun interview, and we'll be putting that
out on Industry Focus in a couple of weeks in our SPAC series. AppHarvest is a SPAC that just
recently came to the public markets. All this talk about fintech these days. Listen, Chris,
that's not the only tech out there. Dan, have you ever heard of agtech? Not ad, ag, A-G,
agriculture. Connected agriculture is a thing. And companies like App Harvester are using
connectivity, cloud edge sensors, all of this to really help take agriculture and our food
supply to the next level. They came public via SPAC, so essentially pre-revenue. This is a small
business right now. Net revenue for this first quarter is predicted to be in the range of around
$2 to $2.5 million. For the full year, you're talking about $20 to $25 million. It is really
just a business that's getting its feet underneath it. This ag tech space is real. It's growing. It's
a big opportunity. Neat business with a phenomenal vision. I'm looking forward to learning more about
it. Dan, question about App Harvest? I mean, apples or apps as in applications? The name,
Chris, Jason, I don't know. It's too confusing. I understand where you're coming from. Just focus
for right now on the tomato because that's their specialty. If you like tomatoes, you're going to
love App Harvest. What do you want to add to your watch list, Dan? I do like tomatoes, but I like
manufacturing even more, Chris. I'm going with lamb research. All right. We're out of time. That's
going to do it for this week's show. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.
We'll be right back.
