Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - The Future of Education
Episode Date: June 14, 2019Lululemon takes a breather. Casey’s General Store hits a new high. Restoration Hardware raises the roof. And Blue Apron delivers a reverse stock split. Analysts Andy Cross, Ron Gross, and Jason ...Moser discuss those stories and weigh in on Chewy’s IPO, Dave & Buster’s earnings, and bad bank names. Plus, Motley Fool co-founder David Gardner talks with 2U CEO Chip Paucek about the future of education. Get $50 off your first job post at www.LinkedIn.com/Fool. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Fool Money radio show.
I'm Chris Hill.
Joining me in studio this week, senior analysts Jason Moser, Andy Cross, and Ron Gross.
Good to see you, as always, gentlemen.
Hi, Chris.
Howdy.
We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street.
We've got a conversation between David Gardner and CEO Chip Pousek.
And as always, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
But we're going to start with some retail earnings.
Shares of Lululemon Athletica basically flat this week, despite a good first quarter report,
and they raised guidance, too. Andy, what gives here?
Well, the stock's at a near all-time high at about $175. It's up 143%, Chris,
over the last three years. Compare that against Nike, which is up 55%. And I won't even mention
about Under Armour. We'll leave that go. I mean, this is a really impressive company,
and what they've been doing, especially in the omni-channel, but just overall for the
first quarter results, the sales were up 20%. That was ahead of analysts' expectations.
Earnings per share up 35%, again, ahead of analysts' expectations. Comp store sales were
up 14%. It was a little bit down from last year, but about even on the constant, if you
look at constant currencies. The digital sales, Chris, continued to really be the driver for
Lululemon. Those comps are up 41%. And the direct-to-consumer was up 33%. It's a little
bit slower than all of last year, which was up 49%. But that's really the driver. It's a higher
margin business. Lululemon continues to really do very well when they think about their store
presence, as well as their digital presence. And they're linking those two together in more and
more ways. That's really impressive. And they're rolling out more and more of the buy online,
pick it up in the store, and they get that store traffic in there
that's really profitable for them.
They're talking more and more about men's apparel, yes?
Yeah, they are, definitely.
It's one of their three pillars of growth, Ron.
It will surprise no one at this table that I went to try on some Lululemon apparel
and it did not fit my body type.
So I hope they have more success with the more fit gentlemen.
Maybe you need to do some more yoga.
Yeah, you do have to do more.
I mean, there are more than 10 million men now who do yoga,
and it's a growing space for them.
I happen to own a few pairs of Lululemon pants I like very much.
I own a beanie as well, too. What do you mean, a beanie?
A little skull cap that you wear when it's cold or when you go to your yoga studio, Ron.
It is a growing presence. That, along with International, when they laid out their growth plans,
looking at International, looking at men's, it's a market that is growing overall as we
get more and more health-conscious, and Lululemon is benefiting from that.
I'm glad you mentioned International, because Calvin McDonald's been CEO for less
than a year. He's talked about how they're looking to grow men's and digital, and those
seem to be pretty modest goals, achievable goals, over the next few years. He's talking
about growing international sales by a factor of four.
Yeah, it's only about a tenth of their sales, Chris, overall. So, it's a small part of it.
Men's, they're looking at more than a double. Same with digital, those are larger businesses
for them. So, the international market, China was a really bright spot for them as their
e-commerce sales in China more than double last quarter. So, considering the health trends
around the world, Lululemon is playing in a really nice spot right now.
Casey's General stores wrapped up the fiscal year in style. Fourth quarter profits
and revenue came in higher than expected. And shares of Casey's General up nearly 15%,
hitting an all-time high, Ron. An all-time high for a company store
I've never even seen. Beat expectations, EPFs up 33% in the quarter, thanks to opening
of new stores, 5.7% increase in same-store sales. That's a pretty big number. Expanding
gross margins, all combined to, as I said, an increase in EPS of 33%. Fuel sales were
weak, but they made up for it and strengthened grocery and prepared foods. They just launched
an e-commerce site. So, welcome to the 21st century, KC General Stores. Nice to see. They've
got a fuel fleet card program that's working really well, and they're launching a mobile
app, the company is executing. Ron, you've got to get outside the
East Coast, man. Now that your son's going to be going to school in the Midwest,
maybe you can visit in case he's there. They're well-known for their pizza, right?
Yes, very much so. We need to get a little boots-on-the-ground
research, Ron. To Andy's point, let us know. This company has increased their dividend
for 19 consecutive years. It's a very impressive company.
On the way to becoming a dividend aristocrat.
All kidding aside about Ron's travel, are they talking at all about expanding
outside of the Midwest? I mean, you look at where their stores are located and the coasts
are completely excluded. They're not talking a lot about it.
They've got 2,150 stores, let's say. There were 70 new stores over the last year. They
continue to put up stores, but in the same relative geographic area. We'll see in a couple
of years what they say. Another week, another hot IPO. Chewy,
the online business of PetSmart, went public at $22 a share Friday morning and promptly
shot up more than 75%, Jason. Just another day in the market.
That's it? Only 75%? Yeah. Well, I mean, it's pretty impressive.
I mean, when you look, it gives it around a $15 billion market cap here at the end of
the day, which is impressive, given the company is only bringing in about $3.5 billion in
revenue and is still unprofitable. But it is growing. You know I love the pet market.
It's a huge opportunity, has a lot of tailwinds, and more and more people, particularly younger
generations are finding they're taking to having pets. In the S-1, they list the total
market opportunity there of $70 billion. The breakdown of 42% in food and 22% in supplies
and over-the-counter meds really is in Chewy's wheelhouse. That's the immediate opportunity.
This makes me think a little bit of Wayfair back in the day when it went public. It's
a neat business, you see the merits of it, but then you immediately ask yourself the
question, what keeps Amazon at bay here? Because Amazon definitely sells this same kind of stuff.
And I mean, they're chalking up more than a billion dollars annually in pet food and supply
sales, and that number is growing as well. It really does all come down to customer centricity,
I think. With both Amazon and Chewy, they both claim to be very customer-centric. They hire
to keep customers happy by giving them great customer service. That's terrific.
I don't know how well that's going to protect them as they continue to get bigger,
but the numbers don't lie. From fiscal year 2012 to now, revenue grew from $26 million
to $3.5 billion. Net sales per active customer grew from $223 to $334. So, they're doing
something right, obviously. I think firing in on a big market opportunity and where people
are doing most of their commerce, it is worth noting that PetSmart will be the majority
owner of this business with the IPO spun off still.
When you draw comparisons to Wayfair, it's probably worth remembering, for anyone
who's looking at Chewy and thinking about the opportunities here, it's worth probably
reminding folks that Wayfair has spent a lot of money on marketing. And it's probably reasonable
to expect that Chewy is going to be spending a lot of money as well.
I think that's a very fair statement. Customer acquisition costs are huge in the
early days. It's imperative that once they get those customers, they keep them. It does
seem like they've built a pretty loyal customer base, but time will tell.
RH, known to the rest of us as Restoration Hardware, having a good week. Shares
of RH up more than 20% after a strong first quarter report. They also raised guidance, Ron.
They kind of needed this one, because it's been a little rocky lately for RH.
Another store I've never been in. I should get out a little more. Yeah, they're
off 30% from their late February high due to some soft revenue last quarter, but this
quarter looked good. Let's not forget, they went public again in November of 2012 at a
price of $24 a share. Stock stands now at $109. So, a nice run since going public after
having been taken private in 2008. They've reinvented themselves, showrooms into galleries,
they changed and updated their product offerings, added a loyalty program. All those things
are showing up in the numbers this quarter. Revenue up 7%. Operating margins really strong.
Adjusted net income up 48%. That's a huge number. They have taken steps to mitigate
the impact of tariffs. They've put some price creases in place. They've renegotiated product
costs and they've shifted some supply chains out of China. So, good to see that they're
being proactive there. A substantial increase, as you mentioned, in guidance for the fiscal year.
The company is only trading at 12X earnings at this current price, but the industry only
trades at $13X. So, not necessarily cheap. You mentioned how they have been
selective in increasing prices. It really does seem, though, like if they are smart
about that, they can continue to do that. Because, look, they sell expensive stuff.
Yeah, they've turned themselves into, really, a luxury brand, a luxury company,
to their credit. Not always an easy thing to do. So, they probably do still have room.
Really interesting comment from the chairman, the CEO, actually. He says his company remains
undervalued. Actually said those words, and they're buying back stock to prove it.
Can I just say, I would watch the heck out of a reality series called Ron Goes Shopping.
You see me at my computer.
No, no. Someone takes Ron across America going to publicly traded stores that he's never
been to before. I would watch that.
Incorporate a little yoga at the end of each episode.
Downward value.
A little meditation, Ron.
I can't even touch my toes.
You want me to go to yoga?
Coming up, the latest reminder that rebranding does not always go well.
Stay right here.
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Oh, I'd like to be that man.
He's got money to burn.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against,
So, don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money.
Chris Hill here in studio with Jason Moser, Andy Cross, and Ron Gross.
Dave & Buster's first quarter report featured the company's first profit miss in five years.
Shares of Dave & Buster's fell 20% this week, Andy.
Was it that bad?
Well, the comp trend, really, when you look at the last few quarters,
in this quarter, they reported they were down 0.3%.
That was versus a 2.9% growth in the previous quarter.
And the trend really had been improving, and then it kind of reversed.
So, I think when you look at what investors were looking forward to with Dave & Buster's,
they continued to do well in the amusement, so in the gaming, which is about 60% of the business.
But it's really the food and beverage, Chris, that just continues to drag them down.
And the costs there continue to increase, so their profit margins are dropping.
So, overall, I think investors are just not really impressed with what they were seeing in Dave & Buster's
and clearly reflected it in the stock price.
One of the things they mentioned in this report was how the new locations are
doing pretty well, the comp locations that have been open for more than a year are falling
off a little bit. I don't care what retail business you're in, you never want to see that.
Yeah, from just the category of walking in. The walk-ins, they call it, on the comp
side, that was down 0.6% versus special events, which was up 3.3%. But the walk-in is the
biggest part of their traffic. So, you add this all in, and they lowered their guidance
for the year, both on revenue, comp growth, and net income. And so, they might actually
show a net income drop this year, and so investors punish the stock.
For the record, I have been to a Dave & Bud's several times.
Shares of Blue Apron fell more than 10% on Friday, but the stock price is going
to soar on Monday, guys. And that's because Blue Apron announced a 1-for-15 reverse stock
split that takes effect at the market close on Friday. And Jason, of all the red flags
for investors, this one seems like it might be the reddest.
Yeah, Chris, you know I like to keep an open mind when it comes to investing. Rarely
do I try to look at things in absolutes. There's always some gray area there. Wouldn't you agree,
Ron? For sure. Two sides to every trade, for sure.
In this case, I think I'm going to have to make an exception. It is hard to imagine
this isn't a one-way ticket to bagel town, as I like to call it. This is all really based
on New York Stock Exchange guidelines. I'll read you the guidelines here real quick so
the listeners will understand. It says that a company will be considered to be below compliance
standards if the average closing price of a security as reported on the consolidated
tape is less than $1 over a consecutive 30 trading day period. That tells you really
all you need to know. Blue Apron stock is in the tank, and it's hard to imagine it really
is going to come back, reverse stock split notwithstanding. I mean, this is just basically
financial engineering. I've made fun of Pandora for a long time as having some of the worst
financials I had ever seen. Blue Apron really is right up there. And I think the problem
is that they're caught in this situation where the meal prep business is somewhat of a fad,
and it is a market where there is no real distinct or sustainable competitive advantage.
And we're watching that story play out here.
In February, SunTrust and BB&T announced a $66 billion merger, the largest bank deal in a decade.
This week, the merged entity announced their new name, Truist.
Not Truist as in the most true.
No, this is Truist like someone took the word trust and then misspelled it by inserting the letter I.
And unanimously, the reaction was negative.
And I don't, Jason, for the life of me, I don't know how they came up with this and why they didn't check with us.
So, well, yeah, you're right. My first inclination, my first impression was that this was a typo.
I thought that must, that can't be right. It must be trust.
And then the only thing I can fathom is maybe this is a play on the word altruism.
And they just think they're, you know, serving, you know, God, man and country and everyone else in between being just the best bank in the world.
I don't know. I just, it's hard to imagine why they wouldn't go with just SunTrust or BB&T though.
I want to see a video of the PR agency with everyone sitting around the table.
One of the account guys suggests Truist, and the whole place lights up.
Yes, that's our name.
This is amazing promotion for that guy.
Yeah.
Terry nailed it.
I mean, it seems like that would come straight from an episode of Family Guy or something.
The same firm that came up with Mondelez or Capri for Michael Kors or Tapestry for Coach.
Now, we don't have video, but I did get an email from one employee who requested anonymity and said that when the video announcement was live streamed for employees, there was no applause in the room because they thought the name was a joke.
They thought, oh, this is the joke name, and then the real name is going to come.
And that's, you know, if you're with SunTrust or BB&T management, that's not a good sign when your own employees.
Terry might have got demoted then.
I mean, we're having fun with this, and it's all fun and games here now. But if they decide
to go through with this, I think the chances are very good that probably in a couple of
years, they decide they maybe need to rebrand to another name. There are a lot of costs
involved with that, beyond just the cash that you're throwing out there for marketing and
sales and whatnot. I mean, you've got a brand reputation. There's brand equity at stake
here. I just have to believe they're rethinking this.
Even the people at Tronc reversed course when it came to Tronc.
History is on our side, Chris.
All right, let's get those stocks on our radar.
Our man behind the glass, Steve Broido, will hit you with a question.
Ron, you're up first.
What are you looking at this week?
I'm going to go back to Hillrom Holdings, HRC.
They're a medical equipment company.
They're focused on monitoring patient support, surgical solutions.
New opportunities of connected care should lead to revenue growth, margin expansion,
a lot of untapped potential internationally, particularly in Asia.
A 2015 acquisition of Welch Allen really increased their exposure to medical diagnostics.
15th consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth announced in April,
and they've raised their dividends for nine consecutive years.
Steve, question about Hillrom Holdings?
You bet. How does the virtual doctor trend play into this business?
It actually is a risk to this business, which is why they spent $2 billion in 2015 to acquire a company
to do outpatient services to reach the person at their home, rather than just relying on the hospital bed.
Jason Moser, what are you looking at?
Sure. Taking a look at Axon Enterprises, ticker AAXN, they are responsible for those
taser weapons and on-body cameras and the software to run all those systems that law
enforcement uses around the country. The company initially got on my radar in my building out
research for the AR service that we just launched. But back in early 2018, Axon hired on a team
of imaging engineers to incorporate AR, VR, and AI into the fold. So, whether it's in the form
of training, or perhaps even creating holistic scenes of incidents as they are happening in real
time, there are a lot of possibilities here as they bring more technology into the mix there.
And I think, honestly, we want police to be able to do their jobs, but we also want more
transparency in what's going on. And that really is what Axon is playing into. Solid fundamentals,
seems like they're growing. Could be a good opportunity here.
Steve, question about Axon?
So, I'm a shareholder. How do they deal with all this footage?
I mean, they must have just thousands of hours of footage to go through, and where do they keep it all?
It's all on the cloud, Steve.
Andy Cross, what are you looking at?
I'm looking at Adobe, Chris, the software company that provides Photoshop and Acrobat, Illustrator, Lightroom,
Creative Cloud Solutions, reports earnings next Tuesday, $134 billion market cap.
Stock's done really well over time since we recommended it in Stock Advisor.
It's up more than 700%.
They announced a really interesting partnership with Microsoft that kind of merges together the cloud solution.
So I'm looking to see what they say more about this partnership with Microsoft to go after Salesforce.
Steve?
Are you buying or selling PDFs?
Just the electronic versions.
I'm keeping them.
I'm buying them, Steve.
What do you want to add to your watch list, Steve?
Well, I own Axon and Adobe, so I'll go with Hillron Holding.
All right.
All right, guys.
Thanks for being here.
Up next, a conversation about disrupting education with 2U CEO, Chip Pausik.
Stay right here.
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Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill.
Last week was FoolFest 2019, our two-day investing conference,
complete with breakout sessions on a wide range of investing topics.
One of the featured guests on our main stage was Chip Pausik, the co-founder and CEO of 2U,
an educational tech company based here in the Washington, D.C. area.
He sat down with Motley Fool co-founder David Gardner to talk about corporate culture, disrupting education, student debt, and much more.
And David kicked things off by asking Chip about the business of 2U.
Let's start first, Chip, with 2U, your company.
I know a lot of us own some shares out there.
It's a rule-breaker pick.
It hasn't had a great last year.
We're going to talk about that a little bit later.
Or good month, this month.
I'm thrilled to be in a room of long, focused investors.
Yes.
And over the last 30 days, I've been in a room of the other type quite consistently.
Okay, understood.
We'll talk about that.
Let's talk first about the business, though.
For anybody who doesn't know what 2U does, brief overview from the CEO, please.
So I started the company 11 years ago.
We partner with top universities to build what we believe is the world's best digital education.
We recently took the word digital off that because we've gradually expanded the number of blended opportunities.
But the whole idea here is why should you pick up your life, quit your job, and move to attend a great education experience like grad school?
So we have many different program examples that are on our degree side.
And over the last two years as a public company, we've built a really large market-leading segment called Alternative Credentials, where you're getting a certificate from a school like Oxford to learn artificial intelligence, or you're taking a boot camp from a school like Georgia Tech to learn how to become a full-stack web developer.
So that's all brand new, but for you, this community of people has sort of been around us for a long time, and I don't mean how bad, we were just noting that I think I met you for the first time in like 98, it was a long time ago.
But with 2U, the business that we've sort of built, our legacy business has been our graduate degrees, and that business is still growing really nicely.
Company overall, the reality is the world today is still mostly not digital in higher ed.
So the estimate is that about 2% of the world's higher education is digital.
So when you start thinking about what that means long term,
and you think about how big higher education is and how few large companies there are,
what makes me very proud is we're the market leader in a variety of ways.
And I don't mean our stock price.
I mean, you know, what the business actually delivers,
I think you can argue is a is a social mobility engine and as the world goes
more and more digital we're in a prime position to take to sort of drive a Mac
truck through that opportunity and that's what we're trying to do and chip
what is the economic model how does to you make money we share tuition revenue
with our university partners over long contracts the the to you takes somewhere
in the ballpark of 60 plus percent of the tuition and the reason for that we
We provide a comprehensive operating system called 2UOS that is a combination of people,
technology, and data to build, deliver, and support these programs.
And it ranges from everything to from finding the students for the university partner to
supporting them to putting them in clinical placement experiences.
So as an example, one of our programs is a master of science in midwifery.
Well, you wouldn't want to go to the midwife that delivered the virtual baby.
So like we actually find a placement for you to deliver 30 babies, and that's part of your
curriculum. Things that might not be exciting but are really important to the university partner
like accessibility, cyber security, privacy with the world of GDPR and the complexities about
privacy law. We provide a privacy practice to our schools. So it's a comprehensive approach.
The university does all academic functions, does all admissions decisions. It's really their
program. It's not ours. So you can think about it almost as a joint venture expressed through a
revenue share where I'm kind of the subservient
partner. The way I've always seen
your business and what I really appreciate about
it is that it feels as if
for esteemed graduate
degrees and universities
you're basically showing up and you're saying
hey, we will give you more
students than you have right now because you
just have the ones on campus and we can bring
them from anywhere and so let's partner
up and let's share revenue over
long periods of time. That's right. Simple
as that. That's right. I saw it firsthand
And last weekend, I was in the University of North Carolina Business School, Keenan
Flagler, which was, I think, your first business school partnership.
It was our first business school, yes.
And one thing I noticed about that, and I really enjoyed speaking, there were about
200 graduates.
Let me say, I'm going to say there were 1,400 graduates so far over maybe almost 10 years
now.
Over 10 years, about 1,400 graduates.
Right.
And so about 250 of them had taken the time to come back to Chapel Hill.
Which is pretty incredible.
I mean, if you look at the percentage of students that have graduated from the school overall
in some recent period was like 40,000
and they had a reunion and like 400 came
and in our program, 1,400 and
250 came. You know,
it shows, like,
online education done this way is
super intimate. It's not
what you think. You're not a random one or
zero. You're not a random master student.
You know, you're becoming a Tar Heel.
You know, you're not just sort of a
miscellaneous, you know, name without
a face. They're very
intimate. You saw it. It's super
fun. The reason I know
and part of the reason that I was there, I was there
the day before David, is I graduated
from that
same program, so we're both Tar Heels.
I took the MBA program
while we were, you know,
while I was running 2U. I didn't
do it to eat my own dog food. I didn't do it for the hair
club for Men Effect. I did it because
I wanted it. And, you know, I was a liberal
arts major at GW, and
I had read balance sheets for many years, but I'd never
made one. You know, I talked about regressions,
but I'd never built one. And
And I really wanted it.
And my wife and my board supported me, fortunately.
They both thought I was a little crazy, but I went for it.
And I did an IPO while in the MBA program, which we're not sure if anybody's ever done
that before.
That was complicated.
Because, you know, you have live classes.
So I took live classes from Dublin, Dubai, Hong Kong, all over the Cape Town.
Let's talk about tuition rates.
This is obviously something that you and your company deal with.
It's a national issue.
It's becoming a social issue, the idea that, you know, it's so incredibly expensive to
go to college today.
It's far more, I mean, if tuition rates keep going up, whatever it is, 4, 5, 6, 7% a year,
the math just ends up not working out.
So how do you partner with universities?
Do graduate school tuitions rise as much as undergraduate tuitions?
I'm not quite sure of the financial dynamics, but how do you play within that realm?
So I would say, first of all, you know, we care about it deeply.
We're spending much more time on it than would be obvious.
So you can think about it from a program design standpoint.
How do you design the program up front to be more affordable to somebody?
So as an example, that undergrad program that I'm talking about is disruptively priced.
Part of the reason we think it'll be big news.
So it's an incredible brand, disruptively priced.
Some of it's program design.
But on an existing program, there's no question that figuring out how to hold back the tuition
increases is a big part of our challenge over the next five years.
Do you have any control over that?
We don't.
I would say that's one of the tricky things.
We have influence but no control.
And one of the things that gets a little silly about the bear case that's out on the street at times about 2U is that somehow we're the puppet master with the marionette strings and the school is in the middle and they're doing everything I tell them to do.
So the schools are in charge of the program, and that affects things in our business.
So tuition is one of them.
Now, I will tell you that we've got a pretty receptive group of partners today in thinking about how to pull back costs, maybe more than they were, let's say, even three, four years ago.
So we're working on a variety of things to do that.
You know, 2U participates very actively in scholarship plans across our portfolio.
So that's built into our business.
We're going to talk about that more to help us on the bear case side because people don't realize that we actually do spend quite a bit on scholarships inside the system.
But creating more affordable options for people to enter is one thing.
You also have to remember that online versus campus, what makes it tricky, one of the aspects
that's tricky about being public for me as CEO is that anything I say in a public earnings
call or a setting like this, I have to be comfortable with all of my clients hearing.
And that's tricky.
So very often the reason we curtail something that we might think it'd be easy to say is
not because it's material nonpublic information.
we can't say it anyway. It's because it could upset the client. And so conversations about how
things happen at the client side, that's a very tricky place to be. You know, it's, I have to be
careful about how much I say publicly. So an example of that is online versus campus. You know,
we don't compare ourselves in our online programs to our campus programs because in some ways we are
the campus program. We're just the online expression of it. And an example of where that matters is
debt burden where if you've picked up your life quit your job and moved and you're physically at
the campus if you're taking out loans you you typically have to do it for both the room and
board and for the opportunity cost of your lost income whereas at at in the online program almost
everybody stays employed i mean that's a big part of the value problem so down at north carolina
another thing i heard last weekend was the deans say our model's broken we know it how we get paid
just doesn't make sense anymore.
This is a guy who's more from business,
not from academia,
and he's running a business school,
but it was really compelling what he was saying.
He was saying,
we're not going to be able to change this next year.
It's just too sudden.
But he said,
it makes no sense in this regard.
We're asking people who don't have money
at that stage of their life
for a lot of money,
and then later on,
when they have money,
we don't ask or get anything from them
unless they want to be generous and donate.
And so he was saying,
it makes more sense
he was saying, Dean Shackelford, to move to a subscription model, where maybe you subscribe
over a longer period of time, you have a longer association. So that was very disruptive,
that kind of thinking, and probably it's overdue for all of higher education. And I'm just
curious what you think when he says something like that, and how you think about that for
two of you.
Yeah, I get very excited. So the career curriculum continuum, if you look on our investor disclosures,
you'll see that, you know, we think it starts with sort of bite-sized opportunities for somebody to learn a skill
and goes to these highly certified, longer-form degrees, and there's a lot in between.
Longer term, I would love to be able to provide a scription by discipline over the life of a student.
We think it's very powerful.
Now, we're at the early stages still of building all of the different product sets,
so until you have enough, you really can't do that, but I think it's super powerful.
Another thing that relates to maybe what Doug was talking about is you'll see more and more news over time about something that's called an income share agreement.
Now, I hate that income share agreements have barely even launched and they're already controversial because it tends to be anything in higher ed finance tends to be controversial.
But the idea behind an income share agreement is instead of having a larger amount of tuition up front, you defer the tuition and then over time you pay a percent of your income.
So there are some startups
and some traditional schools that are doing it.
We sort of take an approach to it
as deferred tuition can be a lever
in improving the marketability of the program.
And it does mean that you're sort of willing to say as a school,
hey, the proof is in the pudding here.
Like, we're going to stand behind it.
So we think both of those, the notion of subscription
and the notion of sort of deferring tuition
for a percent of salary,
could be really powerful ways to improve affordability over time.
It's really interesting.
I mean, you have kind of your two legs of the Colossus here, a stride time,
and your first leg you planted on how things have always worked,
and tuition share with traditional schools,
and then the other part of your leg is on the future that you're hoping to create maybe,
and in between is where we are, and there's a lot of shaking going on right now.
Coming up, Chip Pausik weighs in on 2U's stock price and shares his advice for the graduating class of 2019.
Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill.
Let's get back to Motley Fool co-founder David Gardner
and his conversation with 2U CEO Chip Pausik in front of a live audience.
So, Chip, the stock was rocking along for us in Rule Breakers.
It was up nearly 200%.
Yeah, I think last year I could have walked in here like Vince McMahon doing that.
Then last year happened, it's been about cut in half over the last 12 months.
So, I mean, we've seen just you guys are a wonderful local company,
Great Glassdoor reviews.
I know people love your culture.
We're going to talk about that a little bit.
You're doing good work in this world.
Your growth in the business is very clear.
Why is the stock price, in your mind, less than half where it was just 12 months ago?
And yet we're still up slightly for Rule Breaker members.
Well, we officially did in this quarter lower guidance for the first time.
It's the first time that we had a financial number, not some implied number or a whisper number.
You know, all that works.
But we actually brought down guidance.
Now, we brought down guidance 2%.
so we brought down guidance
just on a pure financial basis
less than most people's ranges
our ranges are pretty tight
and a quarter billion dollar market cap
for market cap fans
if you didn't already know that
so Chip's company
just short of two and a half billion dollars
you meet many folks doing this
and some of the investors you meet
give you legitimately interesting insights
and I won't name the person
but really good investor
very smart investor
and sort of occasionally sees something
And he said to me on the road just two weeks ago, he said, you know, you're now like, we don't ever see it really.
You're like a value growth stock.
Now, that is not necessarily, you know, good news.
We'd rather have.
But he said, you know, what's happened is because of that guy down, people are now questioning whether there's something fundamentally wrong inside the business.
And once they become sort of convinced like us that there's not something fundamentally wrong, you just become really attractive.
And so, you know, what we have to do over the next several quarters is just, you know, put points on the board.
Nothing we say right now is going to matter.
We're in that sort of moment in time that you go through.
And unfortunately, most companies do go through this as a public company.
So we just have to sort of ride it out.
Now, I will tell you, this community of people, our team is long.
The board is long.
Why?
This is a massive opportunity.
So you've won local awards and probably nationally as well,
since Glassdoor is a big online phenomenon
for the quality of your culture to you in the workplace.
Give a one-minute culture course to aspiring entrepreneurs
about how to do culture right at a company.
So I would say culture at a company, I feel like,
is like when my kids, my kids are now 17 and 15,
but when they were younger, you're two years old,
you go to the bowling alley, you push the button,
and the bumpers come up, and it's a rager.
Everybody has a great time because there's no gutter balls.
And so I would argue the culture at the company, or at any company, is kind of like the bumpers.
You won't always get a strike, but it prevents the gutter balls.
And I feel like that is huge in a business like 2U.
So you have to own it, and you have to focus on it, and it has to be intentional.
You can't just let it be.
So I spend a lot of time on our culture.
We have nine guiding principles.
When you establish them and you sort of frame them out over time, there are moments where you can feel a little cheesy.
because one of them is, don't let the skeptic win.
No, it's true.
No is easy, yes is hard.
Figure out how to get to yes.
Be bold and fearless.
What does that mean in the context of a company?
It doesn't mean go skydiving.
It means figure out how to do something better
instead of doing it the way that I did it four years ago,
sort of every day.
And so today, to you, I'm pretty obsessed
with not just ensuring the culture,
but really demoting the authority within the company
as far down as we can to make high-quality decisions.
And if we don't do that, I worry that over time,
the risk tolerance that built to you will decline.
And so pretty focused on that right now,
is just making sure people have clarity of role
and clarity of decision-making.
I think you were impressed by the size of our gathering today.
Yeah, it's awesome, by the way.
And I am, too.
It gets bigger every year, and I love it.
I'm impressed by the size of the number of employees
that you're taking to Las Vegas later this month?
We have a company meeting, annual company meeting.
We have two big tentpole events.
I would love to argue that they're both about shareholder value.
The company meeting is definitely about shareholder value.
The other one, Halloween,
one of our guiding principles is have fun.
Halloween's just fun, and it's great.
The company meeting, we bring the employees together,
and it really is a day and a half
truly focused on the mission of the company.
And from a hiring standpoint,
point, there's no question that the mission over indexes, we've done a ton of regressions
over the years to figure out what matters to our employee base. And the mission, it's
so clear that it's mission and then everything else, and it's a long list. And so we do bring
the employees together to talk about both what's new and thinking about the future and
to galvanize everybody to sort of eliminate the back row in higher education. It moves
every year. This year it happens to be in Vegas. Last year it was in New Orleans. The
year before it was in Long Beach. You know, it does move. So next week is like a very
large wedding for me.
I see a red number
getting near flashing. Chip, let's
end the way we like to
end this time of year. So this time of year
is the graduation time of year.
And I think we all can appreciate
the moving commencement
speeches that kids get
exposed to. Chip, with
45 seconds or so, wind up the clock.
Would you be willing to share what
you might have said or would say
to graduates of
all schools right now
this time of year. So I was, I met an individual when I was out boating one time who was a former
funeral director. And he, he's a true story. And he said to me, you know, he struck me as a really
nice fellow. And I was talking to him and he said to me, every day is a holiday, every meal is a
feast. And I said, what? And he said, every day is a holiday, every meal is a feast. And I looked at
him, I thought, wow, that's amazing. And he said, you know, I had a massive heart attack and I woke
up after 20 years of running my funeral parlor, like a grade A, you know what? I woke up in the
hospital and all I could do was count the ceiling tiles. And he looks at me and he says, don't wait
till you're counting the ceiling tiles to process that statement. And from that point on, I tried to
make it my personal sort of metaphor, my personal tagline. Every day is a holiday, every meal is a
feast. If you can actually process it every day, it's hard because you wake up and you might spill
coffee on yourself or you might be upset about something or having a stressful day. But if you
could actually process every day is a holiday, every meal is a feast, you're better, work is
better and life is better. That's going to do it for this week's edition
of Motley Fool Money. Our engineer is Steve Broido, our producer is Mac Greer. I'm Chris
Hill, thanks for listening, we'll see you next week.
