Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - The Hidden Opportunities in AI
Episode Date: September 26, 2025Beyond the big names, where are there opportunities in AI and discounts in the market overall? Plus, Meta’s changing AI plans and we play “Higher or Lower”.Travis Hoium, Lou Whiteman, and Jon Qu...ast discuss: - AI’s hidden gems- Tiktok’s sale- Where there are opportunities today- Meta’s AI plans Companies discussed: Oracle (ORCL), Alphabet (GOOG), Meta Platforms (META), Chipotle (CMG), Cava (CAVA), NVIDIA (NVDA), Vertiv (VRT). Host: Travis HoiumGuests: Lou Whiteman, Jon QuastEngineer: Bart Shannon Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Where are the hidden opportunities in the stock market and artificial intelligence?
Motley Fool Money starts now.
Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm Travis Hoy. I'm joined today by Lou Whiteman and John Quast.
I think we're obligated to talk about artificial intelligence at the top of the show,
but I don't want to go in the direction that we're talking about all over the place with
Oracle's deal with OpenAI, what's happening with Google. We'll maybe touch on some things with
meta a little bit later. But my question for you guys is, what's intriguing in artificial
intelligence when you dig a little bit deeper? We saw some pictures this week of the massive
facility, Stargate facility that OpenAI is part of building in Texas. There's got to be a lot of
opportunities there. So John, what's sort of hidden underneath the surface that investors
should be looking at with AI build out that isn't just these big names like NVIDIA?
Yeah, Travis, just kind of the way that I tick, I don't really like the headline grabbing companies
as much as I do like the beneath the surface kind of ways that you can play this artificial
intelligence trend. I think that energy is actually kind of interesting, which if you know me,
you know that I normally would be looking for something shinier in the investment world. But
if you look at the information from the U.S. Energy Information Administration,
there was basically 2% annual growth for energy from 1990 to 2005. Then for the next 15 years,
there was essentially no growth in energy. But now we're entering a period where we're kind of
getting back to that 1990s growth trend for electricity. And this is electricity demand,
Right. So really, I think there was even a century before that. Right. So you have more light bulbs, you have more air conditioners, there's more stuff. And then I think kind of what happened in 2005 to 2020 is things got more efficient. Right. We have more efficient fridges, we have more efficient light bulbs. And so there was there's sort of a little change. But now we're back to growth.
And you're exactly right, Travis. And if you look at residential electricity, we're still seeing basically no growth because things do get more energy efficient. Where the growth is coming from is the commercial market, the commercial end use, and the data centers for AI are one of the big drivers of that.
So the opportunity is that power producers, utilities, or is it just kind of the tide lifts all boats in the energy space?
For me personally, as someone who doesn't really closely follow the energy space, probably it's a rising tide lifts all boats. I have done well with my investment in Vistra Energy, but there are many different ways that you can look at this.
I think that, yeah, what's going to be interesting in the future, too, is just what is the saying that necessity is the driver of innovation?
I think that there will need to be some innovations in the energy space if we're going to meet all this demand that is booming between now and potentially 2040, according to some reports.
And nuclear has gotten a lot of attention, but that's still 5, 10, maybe 15 years away.
Lou, you know, John brought up a lot of picks and shovels kind of ideas.
And energy is in a space that I'm sort of looking for these opportunities, too.
We've seen not only is demand going up, but also prices are going up.
That's not necessarily something that those of us who are paying our electric bills every month like to see.
But it does mean there's maybe more opportunity financially for investors.
So what's intriguing you about kind of beneath the surface in AI right now?
So I'm going to be glass half full here.
I'm going to start out with everything I don't like.
And I want to like the picks and shovels.
I agree with John in theory.
The problem for me is I think that we're kind of late to that.
A lot of these businesses have been bid up already.
So it's not as intriguing to me.
Energy to me is just a minefield because there's so much CapEx that's going to have to go into
this.
So much of it is transmission and investments everywhere.
And as you say, like nuclear, it sounds great, but making it work.
So I just, I see so many pitfalls.
I'll be honest with you, Travis.
I don't own NVIDIA, but I would rather own NVIDIA at today's valuation than to really
explore some of these, I think, overvalued picks and shovels.
I also would avoid the data center REITs and the core weaves.
Like, Travis, I'm not even going to use your money to buy those.
Thank you.
Just because depreciation scares me.
This isn't like railroads where the track lasts 100 years.
These NVIDIA trips are outdated six months after they come off.
So how does this play out over time with this investment?
that scares me. As far as where I would like to go, I think the next big thing is the boring
incremental progress with AI. And I look at things, maybe they're not flashy, maybe they're
not consumer focused, maybe it's not going to be like your imaginary friend on your shoulder, AI,
but places like robotics, where you can go anywhere from here, like Honeywell and Amazon,
even in the warehouse, drone companies like Kratos and AeroVironment, Intuitive Surgical,
Just all of these things where incrementally robotics can get better due to AI.
I think that's a huge opportunity.
I'd also say the same as boring as business processes, whether or not it's Microsoft,
whether or not it's Salesforce, whatever you're talking about.
But just I think the next big thing in AI is going to be all those boring, mundane back
office tasks getting automated successfully, you know, like a next level to what we've
done the last 30 years.
I know it's not as sexy as a lot of these things we talk about, but I really do think
that's where the money's going to be made. To me, I see revenue growth. I see opportunity there.
So I think boring is better here. You brought up robotics, and I think this is going to be a
really interesting space to watch. Do you think there's both opportunity and risk with some of
those names like Honeywell? Amazon's maybe a little bit more innovative, but Google announced
or basically has a robotics operating system that's powered by AI that could allow a lot of
different companies to develop their own robots. You have companies like Figure. It seems like
there's a ton of innovation going in the space. So is that possibly a threat to some of these
legacy companies that maybe aren't innovating quite as fast? Or is this, again, just kind of
a rising tide lifts all boats and at least Honeywell or companies like that are going to be
better off than they were? I would push back on Honeywell not innovating as fast. I think you're
right that it's going to, if Google can commoditize some of the operating systems, that there's a lot
more opportunities. And I do think that's a risk. But I think that some of the companies that
actually have deployments and real world experience and they are innovating based on
what their customers and they have real live customers are communicating to them what they
want. I don't know if I think Honeywell is at a disadvantage here, but yes, it's going to get
more competitive from here. John, you had another interesting idea. I think we all kind of know that
these GPUs run hot, but how are they keeping them cool? So the traditional way to keep all of these
GPUs cool is just by blowing cold air over them. I forget how many months ago it was now, but there
was a generative AI trend where everyone was turning their pictures into Ghibli studio art.
And Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, comes out and is like, our GPUs are literally melting right now
because the demand, the workload is so much that the GPUs are just overheating. That's going to
only increase in time as GPUs become more densely packed in there as workloads grow. And so liquid
cooling is something that is actually kind of an interesting trend to watch here, kind of a beneath
the surface thing, a better way, a more efficient way to keep these GPUs from overheating. And
some market research out there, it's a small market, but it's essentially predicting that
it's going to 10X in size over maybe the next seven years, give or take. So this has actually
been a boom for a company such as Vertiv, symbol VRT. It's trends like these that I really get
excited about this beneath the surface that nobody really thinks about, but is actually
really important to making all this work. Another one that's been a big beneficiary
in the Motley Fool universe is Comfort Systems. And that's a company that's just doing industrial
air conditioning. They got it. It's a roll up. They got a bunch of different things that they
can do. But when you build out a data center, you look at it's not just GPUs that goes into it.
There's a lot of different systems that go into it. So that's going to be another way to play
this, but there's going to be a lot of surprising stories that companies that do well, Lou,
what'd you want to add there? Well, it's just, yeah, I agree with all this, but again,
just what scares me and I may be proven wrong here, but comfort systems, I think is up 1500%
over the last five years. I've heard of it's a relative bargain up 700% for kind of industrial
companies. I, I would love to have gotten in on this and been smart enough to see this five years
ago. Right now, I just, like I say, I think I hate, I hate to be this boring, but I'm just
going to go with NVIDIA. Could be the value play here is the company that everybody already knows
about. Let's touch on another story in AI that could have a ton of demand for data centers and
GPUs. That's TikTok. We got some news this week that there's at least potentially a deal
for TikTok to stay live in the US. Oracle, Silverlake, and Andreessen Horowitz are going
to take 45% stake. John, how does this impact companies? We don't need to get to the legality
and if this is actually going to happen, but assuming that TikTok stays live, is there
companies that see this as either an opportunity or a threat? Well, first and foremost, you know,
Applovin, symbol APP, it really wanted to be the one that acquired TikTok here. It put in that
bid. And it's kind of disappointing that it didn't get it because you look at an advertising
technology companies such as Applovin, a lot of people may not realize they're just watching
videos, but TikTok has this whole social commerce element to it. And I really think that's where the
world is going more and more. I think if you could have married that commerce element with
the advertising technology of Applovin, that could have been kind of a really powerful thing
together from a business perspective, kind of like a one plus one equals three kind of a thing.
so poor app loving didn't get the the bid here but no i i think that look there are a lot of
companies that do use tiktok and so they're going to be happy to see that it's staying live here in
the u.s lou oracle's always the elephant in the room here they're involved somehow they're going
to pay for this uh even though they have now 120 billion dollars in debt just took out another 18
billion this week what's your takeaway is this is this going to be a big deal is this another
you know oracle roll up what's going on with tiktok yeah so i mean oracle i guess they're
paying for it but john pointed this out in in our show notes uh the reported price oracle isn't
paying a lot for this you know like less than what pinterest is worth which is kind of curious to me
and i'll say this too just in terms of competition i am not tiktok's core audience you may not be
aware of that but i i'm pretty sure i'm not but i do have someone who fits into that demographic
in my household. I don't think TikTok is today what it was a few years ago. I don't think it's
done, but I think it's losing momentum, you're saying. I think the momentum's passed. So I don't
think a meta has to worry about this too, too much. I mean, yeah, sure. I'm sure they would
have loved to have seen competition just disappear. But I don't think that this really changes the
course for meta. I think Instagram is still a big winner and some of the other apps. As far as
Oracle, it's a great deal on paper, but this isn't their wheelhouse, Trev.
You know, I mean, this is a very different thing from Oracle.
I'm wondering how hands-on or hands-off they're going to be with it.
I mean, Larry Ellison loves to metal.
I can see this being sort of a trophy asset.
It's going to be fascinating to see it play out.
But John said it best, Apple oven, you can make a case.
You can make a case with a lot of companies why it would make sense.
For Oracle, it just feels like you're buying a customer and you're putting a trophy on the mantle.
Elon Musk was a power Twitter user when he bought the company and eventually renamed it X.
Maybe we can get Larry Ellison to be a power TikTok creator.
How great would that be?
And Travis, is there a world where Paramount Skydance could figure out how to incorporate TikTok?
Absolutely.
Absolutely.
I mean, I think that's the other thing is all these individual people and very wealthy people are playing in this.
When you get the media and tech involved, we'll see where this goes.
But I do think this is going to be notable for even companies like Alphabet, who owns YouTube, YouTube shorts, YouTube, you know, on TV.
That's that's a growing business.
But when we come back, we are going to see in this frothy market where AI is the big topic.
What else are Lou and John looking at for deals?
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
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welcome back to motley fool money in a market that looks very highly valued today where
artificial intelligence is all people are talking about. I want to know what Lou and John are
looking at that looks a little bit more like a value. So Lou, what's being overlooked in the
market right now? So wait, it doesn't look overvalued. I think it is overvalued. The S&P
500 as a multiple of earnings is at near record highs relative to the 20-year average. This is
an overvalued market. But the neat thing is, Travis, as you say, it's so focused on just the
AI, the hyperscalers, all of this. Yeah. Arguably 400 to the S&P 500 are decent value here. You
know, like it's so top heavy. I even go a lot of places. I'm going to go to regional and mid-sized
banks. Right now, the super regionals, companies like Truist, PNC, Regions, U.S. Bancorp, but
there's a ton of them. They're all trading at less than 1.5 times their book value. Book is a pretty
good measure for banks because we sort of do just kind of like, it's a way to just look at their
deposits, what they'd be worth in a sale. All of those companies I mentioned are paying a dividend
of more than 3% too. Truist is up near 5%. There's some catalysts here. Lower rate environments tend
to be good for banks because they can reprice deposits lower, faster than they have to reprice
loans. In the case of Truist and some of these others, there's also a lot of COVID era ultra low
loans that are coming up for refinancing. That should boost margins. I think there's just a lot
of opportunities in these banks. Is the risk here that the economy is worse than at least the
market is indicating. And so defaults on things like auto loans, maybe not houses, more traditional
loans are going to be maybe a little bit higher than you would like. And look, when interest
rates go down, the reason they go down is because the economy is not great. Absolutely. So it's a
little bit of a double-edged sword. Absolutely. I'm taking a long-term approach. If I can lock
in a 5% dividend yield now, I think the companies can survive a downturn and you get that dividend
yield that you bought in at today for the next 10, 20, 50 years, if you want.
John, what are you seeing that's overlooked right now?
Yeah, I'm looking at the restaurant space as a whole. So many of those stocks have dropped in
2025, and that's kind of what caught my interest. Now, I get it. There's definitely things going on
in the restaurant industry. It seems like consumers have less money to spend. It seems
like the fast food places are starting to get into a little bit of value pricing wars. But when I see
a whole space that is starting to trade down, that means let's go poking around to see which
of the best companies are unjustly selling off with their peers. And here's one that I have
really liked since it went public from a business perspective, but the valuation has never made any
sense to me. And that is Mediterranean Chain Kava. It really is a great business. When you look at
it, it has great average unit volume, same store sales consistently tick up. The restaurant level
operating profit is often quite strong. As of this taping, it's down about 60% from its all-time
high. That's its largest drawdown since going public. It trades at about 50 times earnings.
Now, we know that 50 times earnings sounds expensive, but this is a company that is still
gearing up for a lot of long-term growth. And this is actually the lowest the valuation has
been since it went public. I'm not necessarily saying that the bottom is in for Kava. I think
that it could still be in for a couple of rough quarters as kind of the trends slow down and
investors kind of wade through that. But thinking about it long term, I think that the valuation is
making a lot more sense here if people are interested in buying Kava stock today.
Do you think there's a possibility that some of these fast, casual, all lump Kava in there
have been kind of overbuilt? One of the interesting trends over the past quarter or two has been
people are sitting down to eat more and maybe that's partially because i i mean i remember
driving through at mcdonald's when we were traveling and it was like 50 to feed the family
and i was like what in the world is going on here i might as well go sit down and eat a burger to
spend an extra you know 20 bucks uh but is that sort of a risk here is that this this middle is
kind of being hollowed out because the value that sort of used to be there isn't always there it
just seems like the numbers are hard to splice right now. I think that's definitely the case
with some. I think if you look at like the fast casual burger space, think Shake Shack, for
example, I think that that's a little bit less competitively advantaged as something like a Kava,
which is really somewhat more unique in the market. I won't say it's completely unique, but
that Greek Mediterranean focus, that's not something that you get at any kind of a restaurant.
And so, yeah, I think there is more room for a Kava expansion. That is a space where I'm going
start digging around here as well i think there's some deals somewhere when we come back we are
going to play a little game called higher or lower we're going to see what lou and john think
a bunch of stocks are going to be moving over the next year you're listening to motley fool money
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welcome back to motley fool money today we want to play a little game called higher or lower and
this is simple i just want to know if lou and john think the market and some stocks we're going to
talk about are going to be higher or lower a year from now. I want a little bit of context. I want
to know what you're ultimately bullish on, where you're seeing opportunities and where you're
seeing risks. Lou, let's start with the market, the S&P 500. You mentioned earlier, we are at
relatively high price to earnings multiples. So do you think the S&P 500 a year from now is going to
be higher or lower? I'm going to go ahead and cheat before we even start. Okay. I will answer
your question. You can't push. Well, no, no, I'm not going to push. I will say lower, but I have
stronger conviction that it won't be dramatically higher or lower than I do which direction it'll
go. I think we're going to be range bound for a while now. I think that's these competing pressures.
So I don't think we're going to just see crazy movement either direction. But if I had to guess,
I would guess red, not green. Yeah, I'm going to have to take the other side of that, Lou. I'm
going to say the S&P 500 will be up a year from now. Multiple reasons for that. First, I mean,
the GDP, we're already seeing some pretty good numbers coming out from that this year. And it
seems like things are almost heating up, if anything. That's interesting. Interest rates
are likely to head lower in the next year. That's often something that can push stocks a little bit
higher still. And look, if you look over the long term, it is always the safe bet to bet that the
S&P 500 will be higher over the next year. Yeah, the odds are definitely in John's favor here.
John, one thing I want to push on is interest rates are going lower when it comes to the Fed.
I think that's probably true.
But the interesting thing is since they announced that they were cutting the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points or a quarter of a percentage point,
the 10-year, which is really what things like mortgages, car loans are based on, is actually up.
So do you think that's going to reverse and the market's going to go, you know what, rates are going to stay lower for longer.
So maybe with this 10-year-old, go from 4.2 where it is today to 3.5 or something like that,
and that will end up being a tailwind. Well, Travis, I would say that the lowering
of the interest rates, to your point, I mean, obviously you're correct. I would say my point
was more general to the position that the Fed is taking. It's a little bit more of an easing
environment. And so we see this in multiple ways, not just interest rates. So M2 money supply is
also heading higher again. Normally, this does have a little bit of inflationary pressure. Yet
again, the Fed's in a tough spot, right? Trying to juggle inflation and growth. But overall,
I would say the trends are pointing to definitely more of a investment speculation market than
more cautious. Yeah, the sentiment would definitely have to change to be lower. We'll see. That can
change really quickly, but the odds are in John's favor in this one. Lou, I want to go to one that
I have a lot of questions about right now.
We mentioned them earlier.
Oracle.
Oracle has just took out $18 billion worth of debt.
So that would put them at about $120 billion worth of debt.
They also still have to build out all of these data centers
that are going to be serving $300 billion worth of performance obligations for Oracle.
They've got to pay for TikTok.
There's a lot going on with Oracle, but it is one of the hottest stocks this year.
is it going to be higher or lower 12 months from now? Up 92% in the last six months. That's a
pretty good six months. And what we've seen with not NVIDIA, not the suppliers, but the AI consumers,
so to speak right now, you know, is that there is a hot stock and everyone else and the hot stocks
tend not to stay that way forever. All around about way of saying it's going to be red. I don't
know if it's going to give up on 92%. It could still end up being a great three years, but I'm
going to take the under from here. That's so interesting. Yeah, I'm going to have to disagree
with Lou again. Listen, if you had asked me the three-year outlook, I don't know what I'd answer.
If you'd asked me the five-year outlook, I might guess down, but over the one year,
one of the biggest drivers of a stock over a single year is how investors feel about it.
And Oracle just forecasted some of the most incredible backlog growth numbers that I've
ever seen in my entire investing life, if it comes close to delivering on those, or...
And we're not actually going to know in the next 12 months, to be fair,
because a lot of those performance obligations start in 2027.
As far as delivering on those performance obligations, but we could theoretically see
some of those backlog numbers even climb higher still in the next year. So I think that this is
something that can keep investors pretty excited about Oracle over the next year. So I would bet
higher.
A stock that has not had quite as much excitement is Starbucks. They announced some layoffs
recently. John, is Starbucks going to be higher or lower a year from now?
I'm going to guess lower. Again, if you'd asked me the five-year, I would say higher. But over
the next year, I still think that Brian Nickel, look, they brought him in for a reason. Brian
Nickel is a great operator, and Starbucks needs some things fixed in operations. I think he needs
a little bit more time to cook in the kitchen if they're going to make the changes that they need
to make. I think that it persists for a little bit longer than investors wanted. And so I would
guess over the next year, Starbucks, I don't think will be down dramatically, but I think it will
drift lower. Salt's a glass half full here. I mean, John's right, but the market is forward
looking. And I think Brian Nicol, just even what was announced this week with the 900 layoffs and
trimming the stores, he is being proactive, right? And I think the market will, even if the job
isn't done, I agree the job won't be done in a year, but I think that if we see signs of progress,
the market will react positively. Stock's been pretty beaten down. So I think investors are
looking for good news and they will lean into good news and it'll be great.
Our commodity price is something that you're worried about with coffee and the potential
for more import tariffs on coffee.
And I know that that's been kind of floated
in the countries that a lot of coffee comes from.
It may or may not be subject to some tariffs.
So, Lou, is that a worry?
Yes, but Starbucks, A, that hits everybody.
And Starbucks is better positioned to handle it
with its scale than some.
So I do think, again, I think the stock is going to move
on the success that Nichols has.
And I think there will be signs of success within a year,
even if coffee prices do go up.
How about this for signs of life, Lou? It's going to sound like I'm talking out of both sides of my mouth, but I don't really go to Starbucks all that often, not like I did in my 20s. I was there maybe six months ago, and it was stone cold dead in there. Now, I've been a couple of times since, and you could not get a seat in my local Starbucks. It was just booming, and people were buying coffee and staying a while. And that's exactly what Nickel wants to see.
He wants to see this return to back how Starbucks used to be, where it was a place where you
didn't just get coffee.
You went and you hung out for a while.
It was a coffee house that you wanted to be in.
That's what he wants to get back to.
That's why he's cutting some of these stores is because it doesn't really fit in with that
vibe that he wants to have.
And so I would say that anecdotally, I am seeing some of those signs of life.
So maybe you're right, Lou.
Maybe we see this sooner than later in the numbers and the stock responds accordingly.
The question is, is there a vibe shift at Starbucks? That will be interesting to watch.
The next stock I want to know about, a lot going on. We could make this an AI stock. You can make
this a media stock. Alphabet. John, Alphabet's had a really nice run the last few weeks. Now
getting a little bit more expensive, not trading in the teens, price to earnings multiple. It's
more like the mid-20s. But are shares going to be higher or lower a year from now?
I would say that Alphabet is also heading higher. Now, part of that is if you're going to bet the market is going higher, you're pretty much going to bet that Alphabet is going higher as well, considering that Alphabet is so much of the S&P 500. But man, what a great collection of businesses, right? You have the advertising component, you have search, you have YouTube, but you also have this just sleeping giant. Maybe it's not so sleeping anymore.
But when it comes to artificial intelligence, it's really doing a lot of things well.
And as I pointed out earlier in the show, that is an area of advertising where I see
that artificial intelligence can really make a difference.
And so I think that you pair Alphabet's AI chops with the distribution that it has with
YouTube and other things.
I think that that is a really powerful thing to keep the business going in the right direction.
I'm just going to think of this as Oracle versus Alphabet for this purposes.
and I'm much more optimistic
Alphabet can run from here than Oracle.
So I'm going to say green
just as the opposite of Oracle.
You're right, Travis.
They finally kind of turned it on,
but it has been,
I think I'm fairly beaten down for a while.
A lot of those headwinds are gone.
So I do think Alphabet can go higher.
I love that you're not making me
say how much higher though.
Yeah, multiples are going to be
a big deal with them
and we'll see how much
the cloud business can grow.
But the fact that it looks like
Apple's talking to them
about using Gemini
Meta is talking with them about using Gemini.
They're looking to be in a pretty good position in AI,
which a lot of people didn't think even six months ago.
Let's talk about a stock that we've kind of danced around a little bit.
The company that Brian Nicol used to run,
another company in Fast Casual, Chipotle.
Lou, Chipotle had some negative comps in the most recent quarter.
Stock has come down a bit,
but is it going to be higher or lower a year from now?
So kind of the same logic as Starbucks.
I'm going to say it will be higher.
I'll be honest with you.
I am not excited as an investor.
So I think we're coming off the bottom.
I don't know if I see this as being kind of a market beater over the next few years.
So I'm not all that enthusiastic.
But if I had to guess one direction or the other, I would say that there's probably signs
of life again, like with Starbucks and a bounce.
I don't know what it is with me and Lou disagreeing today, but I'm going to say lower for Chipotle
over the next year.
And my reasoning for that is pretty similar to Starbucks, although perhaps a added twist.
So you look at Chipotle's restaurant-level profit margins.
They have been at an all-time high, and I don't know if anyone in the restaurant business matches them, let alone beats them.
And now struggling with traffic a little bit, getting into more of a discount, fast, casual fast food environment,
If you start not having the same pricing power that you had, those restaurant level profit margins necessarily come down. And look, Chipotle has room to do that because the margins are already so high to begin with. I think that it's still something that they have to work through. They have to win the customers back and they have to make sure that they're competing on price.
And so I think this is a little bit of a headwind for Chipotle in the near term.
Long term, I still think the business has a lot of promise.
Some mixed reactions there, which is, I like that because there's a lot to think about
in this market.
You can make a bullish case, you can make a bearish case, and we'll see where things
play out.
I think the holiday season is going to be really important for a lot of these companies.
When we come back, we are going to get an update on what's going on at Meta.
They are spending billions and billions of dollars and now finally introducing a new
app that actually looks kind of compelling.
We'll touch on that when we come back.
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to see our full advertising disclosure please check out our show notes one of the interesting
companies in ai and tech in general right now is meta platforms mark zuckerberg is spending billions
of dollars on talent and gpus but there's rumors that they may be looking at using gemini to help
make their ads a little bit more effective they introduced the meta ai app yesterday which is
basically like, you know, shorts or TikTok, but just AI generated videos. John, I'm having a hard
time figuring out if meta is falling behind or leaping ahead. So what's your reaction from all
this? I think that the question you have to answer is where's the value in AI? Is it in developing
the models or is it in using them to your advantage? I think that the strong argument is
that the long-term value is not in developing the models themselves, in which case, by all means,
go to Gemini and use that. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella says that as these models get more
sophisticated, they're going to be commoditized. And so that's not really where the value would
be in that scenario. Look, Meta got some of the best AI minds that money could buy.
And now it's figuring out what to build. It's actually doing a good job when it comes to
advertising and using AI to its advantage there. And so I don't think that Meta is necessarily
falling behind. I think that it is using the models to its advantage. And a lot of those people
that they hired are working on products. They're not just researchers. So, you know, it's an
interesting distinction. They were paying a lot of money. It wasn't the, you know, the researchers
coming from OpenAI. It was people who have developed things like, you know, Copilot,
who they're paying a lot of money to. But yeah, Lou, what are your thoughts on where Meta is
headed today? So I said earlier in the show that I, you know, I think the opportunity in AI is some
of the users. And, you know, I was more thinking about business processes, but I think it's smart.
Like John said, I do think that the models are kind of all in a race to the same thing. So Meta
is trying to figure out how to use it. I look, Meta is talking about a lot of different things
using, using their, their technology for government work, for business work. But right now
it is mostly just an AI version of these sticky consumer apps that we all, I don't want to use
the word love, but we all know. And look, maybe that's their place and it makes sense for them
to at least start there. I think the real money is getting to those other places that they're
talking about. And I'm a little skeptical that meta will be the one leading the way with like
government AI and business to business AI, things like that. So I think in a way they're ahead with
their core audience, but I don't know if the end of the day, that's going to make them one of the
big winners here versus I think just the business-to-business opportunities are going to be
so much more lucrative over time. So is the better play the hyperscalers or the companies who own the
eyeballs, Lou? I love the eyeballs because if we're going towards just kind of commoditization,
it's who's able to funnel those tools to users to use them. Whether or not you're talking, again,
consumer or commercial. I mean, it could be Microsoft with just having Copilot on everything
right now, if you use Office. I think that that is the competitive advantage, not the model.
The interesting thing for Meta, I think if you look back at their history over the past 21 years,
is they started with peer-to-peer. You're talking to your family. Then when you get,
you know, you go to the feed, then you get disruption from TikTok. And you know what?
We need to give people the content that's going to keep them engaged. That's not necessarily from
within their network.
We're going to pull in all this other content.
And now we're just going all the way to AI content.
It's not real content at all.
It's just made by computers.
What a transition.
I don't know if you should give Mark Zuckerberg credit
for making that evolution
or think that this is dystopian,
but maybe somewhere in the middle.
We do like to end the show with stocks on our radar.
I'm going to be the one making the call.
What's going on my watch list?
Lou, I'm going to have you start.
What is on your radar this week?
So I'm looking at consulting giant Accenture,
ticker ACN. They released fourth quarter earnings this week and they were pretty meh. They beat on
the top and bottom line, which is good, but those were reduced expectations. Revenue is only up 7%
year over year. And they set initial guidance for their new fiscal year, which is starting now
at a lackluster two to 5% revenue growth. And look, that's not great, right? This is a company
facing real headwinds, both from federal spending in the wake of the Doge effort and corporate
customers who are currently gun-shy about committing to new products. Stock is down
30% year to date, but I do think these headwinds are temporary. AI bookings doubled year over year
and the company is beginning to turn those bookings into revenue. AI revenue has tripled.
They also boosted their dividend by 10%, kind of giving us a reason to wait. For those of the
long-term focus, Accenture is really looking interesting to me. John, what is on your radar
this week? Yeah, I'm going to go with Shift4 Payments. That's ticker symbol F-O-U-R. This is
a financial technology company. It processes payments. It has software for businesses. And
it's usually deployed at very large venues and restaurants. So think NFL stadiums. That would
be a customer for Shift4. So the downside, if you want to call it a downside to the big venue
strategy, is that you can get a lot of volume, but your take rate on those transactions might
actually go down. But the benefits outweigh that, in my opinion. So when it wins a single customer,
it's normally a very efficient go-to-market strategy. It doesn't have to spend a ton on
sales and marketing. They also tend to be very reliable customers, and so they stick around for
a long time. Look, it's grown at a greater than 20% growth rate for a very long time,
very consistent amount of time. It's still growing. It just acquired Global Blue to address
more international markets. And it's trading at less than 15 times its forward earning estimates.
Now, to me, you look at its track record, we look at the valuation and how fast it's still growing.
That is a steal. The payments business has been kind of a tough business, but it is a growing
business. Is there something that differentiates them from Toast and Square and Adyen and all
these other companies that kind of seem to do a lot of the same things? Well, I mean, I can feed
you the company line, and that's that its software is built for customers such as these, whereas some
of the other players are built for smaller players. And so that's a consideration that some
of these companies use when they're looking for a financial technology partner. Yeah, maybe there's
just to be a whole bunch of niches in this business, but we'll see. I like where John's
going with Shift4. I've had this sort of in my purview for a little while, but I need to dig a
little bit deeper. So I will put Shift4 on my watch list. For Lou Whiteman, John Quast, our
production leader Bart Shannon, and the entire Motley Fool team. I'm Travis Hoyum. Thanks for
listening to Motley Fool Money. We'll see you here tomorrow.
