Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - The Hidden Upside for Stock Investors

Episode Date: May 13, 2022

"This is a once in a blue moon butt-kicking." And we've got the numbers to back it up! (0:30) Jason Moser and Maria Gallagher discuss: - Historic numbers to put the current market into perspective - D...isney's better-than-you-might-think results - Rough times for coffee chain Dutch Bros - Unity Software's drive for profitability - Signs of life from Affirm Holdings - The latest from Roblox, The Trade Desk, and Peloton (19:00) Bill Mann talks with Okta co-founder Frederic Kerrest about lessons from his new book, Zero to IPO: Over $1 Trillion of Actionable Advice from the World’s Most Successful Entrepreneurs. (34:15) Maria analyzes Airbnb's platform enhancements, then she and Jason share two stocks on their radar: Airbnb and Home Depot. Stocks discussed: DIS, BROS, U, AFRM, RBLX, TTD, PTON, OKTA, HD, ABNB Host: Chris Hill Guests: Maria Gallagher, Jason Moser, Bill Mann, Frederic Kerrest Engineers: Dan Boyd, Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:50 Money radio show. I'm Chris Hill, and I'm joined by Motley Fool senior analysts Maria Gallagher and Jason Moser. Good to see you both. Hey, hey. Good to see you. We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street. Okta co-founder Frederick Karest is our guest. And as always, we've got a couple of stocks on our radar. But we begin with a question from listener Chris McCullough, who writes, can you please do an episode where you just say that everything is going to be all right over and over and over again? You know, we could, but I think that would get old quickly. Jason, I understand the sentiment because it's been a rough six months for investors. A lot of stocks that we focus on have had big
Starting point is 00:01:29 pullbacks. And sometimes you just want reassurance from an old guy like me to say, we've been through this before. It's going to take some time, but we are going to get through this. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I would put myself in that same old guy like you category and having been through stretches like this before. I am confident in saying that things eventually, I don't know when, but things will get better. It obviously is a very tough stretch for investors. I was reading earlier in the week that this is the worst year to date for the S&P in six decades. I know that sounds really bad, but honestly, to me, I feel like that should make you feel better about things right now. Really, this is a once-in-a-blue-moon butt-kicking. The market is
Starting point is 00:02:16 handing everybody. I mean, nobody is immune to this. And if you can stay invested and keep investing, I think that you'll look back at this time as one of immense emotional value. And I speak from experience. I mean, the bear markets and the recessions that I've gone through as an investor, they just make you better as long as you can stay the course. I'm not saying you'll execute perfectly throughout them all, but you'll learn a lot of lessons along the way that will help you the next time that comes around. Now, I can read you all sorts of data regarding bear markets. I can tell you that stocks lose 36% on average in a bear market. I can tell you that half of the S&P 500 index's strongest days in the last 20 years actually occurred during a bear
Starting point is 00:02:57 market. And those are actual facts, right? I mean, that's true. I don't know that it makes you feel very good right now, but I do think those are things worth keeping in mind. In one of my favorite quotes, a quote that I always come back to during times like these, Shelby Davis, he said, you make the most of your money in a bear market. You just don't realize it at the time. There's a lot of wisdom in that, in that you really are taking advantage of a situation here where there is a lot of pessimism in the market. We're finding a lot of assets with proven track records of long-term appreciation that are far cheaper today than they were several months ago. So even if it's just a matter of keeping that paycheck, keeping that contribution from your
Starting point is 00:03:43 paycheck going into your retirement plan and just investing in an index fund, just keep that ball rolling, because this will get better, and it will make you a better investor for it. Maria, I know you're not old like me and Jason, but I'm sure you have thoughts on this. Well, I would just say, in addition to all of the wise words Jason said, I think it's important to know that the average time of bear markets since 1957 is about 1.7 years. So, Over the last 15 bear markets, the average downturn is a loss of 30%, lasting just under a year to reach the bottom, taking a little more than a year and a half to break even.
Starting point is 00:04:19 Eight out of 15 of those broke even in under a year. Again, I don't know that that will help people feel better right now, but I think it's always helpful for me to help kind of soothe me to say, okay, these things have happened before. We have come out of them, and here's what we learned from last time. And if you like stocks, if you're like a valuation person, small and mid-cap stocks are now cheaper than they were during the 2018 bear market they're approaching levels of march of 2020 based on forward pe so there are opportunities to be had
Starting point is 00:04:47 i think in this market but i know that we are all you know looking at these numbers with you and understanding that as well let's move to some of the companies making headlines this week disney's second quarter report was highlighted by more subscribers for disney plus but parks in asia were affected by closures due to covid i don't know jason it seemed like one of those reports that had something for bulls and bears. Yeah, it does feel like the market seems to really be judging Disney fully on its streaming aspirations first and foremost these days. And I feel like that's a very short-sighted view on things. I mean, they certainly are transforming the business and investing a ton into this direct-to-consumer offering.
Starting point is 00:05:26 But the core business itself is really performing well, especially considering the current state of things going on around the world. So, if you look at parks revenue, that better than doubled for a quarter from a year ago, $6.7 billion in revenue, $1.8 billion in operating income. If you go back to the same quarter of 2019, those numbers were $6.2 billion and $1.5 billion respectively. So we can see some improvement there from a time ago when things were a bit more normal. Per capita guest spending at domestic parks was up 40% from the same quarter in 2019 and up 20% versus 2021. So that's very encouraging. The median entertainment revenue up 9%. They're still chalking up tremendous operating losses due to expenses in the build
Starting point is 00:06:10 out with all the content. Speaking of subscribers, they ended the quarter with more than 205 million total subscriptions, added 9.2 million for the quarter. Now that includes 7.9 million Disney Plus subscribers. They reiterated in the call again, that keeps them on track to reach their 230 to 260 million Disney Plus subscriber goal by fiscal 2024. It's worth noting, I mean, there are 138 million global paid Disney Plus subs today. They've got some work to do to hit those targets, I think, as well as getting Disney Plus to profitability by 2024 like they're targeting. With that said, they are opening up an ad-tiered model, so that probably will work to their favor, they're going to spend $32 billion on content this year. We've been very
Starting point is 00:06:55 critical of the content, right? It seems that they're really expanding that library for all demographics. So I think that works out well in their favor. And when you consider the whole of this business, all of the IP, the parks business, everything that they do in totality, it really does feel like the market is not giving this business enough credit today. On Thursday, Today, Dutch Bros, the drive-thru coffee chain, warned of slowing sales growth, saying that inflation is keeping younger customers from taking afternoon coffee breaks. Shares of Dutch Bros fell 26%, putting the stock well below its price when the company went public last fall. Maria, I take a backseat to no one in my love of coffee. Should I be taking advantage of the sale on Dutch
Starting point is 00:07:39 Bros stock? It's pretty interesting. Their revenue was up 54% to $152.2 million. They had system-wide James store sales growth of 6%. They have about almost 600 shops. They're guiding for about 30 new shops in the next quarter, but they're planning for flat to slightly negative same shop sales growth. So they had spoken on a previous quarter about how they had only raised prices about 3% since the beginning of the pandemic, but due to rising labor costs and unforeseen 25% spike in dairy prices, they're considering another 3% raise in prices. They're working on energy drink offerings rewards programs they're expanding in texas and oklahoma building out a footprint in southern california for me what my problem is uh with this company is that
Starting point is 00:08:26 it kind of lives in the space it's not as big established well known as starbucks but it is still considered a chain so it doesn't have the loyalty of your small cafe right near your house and it is a drive-through so it's just a one in and out kind of transactional opportunity so you're not really building that type of loyalty. I think with customers, the way you do when you have an in person sit down place. And so I think it's kind of living in unprofitable space where it's not a well enough known chain that people will say, Oh, it'll always be kind of the same, but it's not quite small enough to have that loyal following, even though I, I am on the East coast. So maybe people on the West coast will correct me on that. Clearly it's all about the coffee. If
Starting point is 00:09:09 if this is not a place you're going into and soaking in the ambience. But I do consider the fact that on their latest call, Starbucks talked about most of the new locations they plan to open, they're focusing on those drive-through lanes. Yeah, I think that's a good point. I think that Starbucks is trying to have it both, right? They're trying to have you go in and you sit, and then also if you want the option, you can drive through. I wonder if Dutch Bros will be able to have the opposite of you know them for drive-through and they're saying, and now you can come sit. I wonder if that works the same way in the opposite direction. Unity Software posted a loss in the first quarter and shares of the video game software
Starting point is 00:09:46 development company fell nearly 40% on Wednesday. CEO John Riccitello says he expects Unity to be profitable in the fourth quarter, Jason. Yeah, a bit of a crazy week. I mean, down close to 40% and then up 15% the next day. I mean, just a very, very, very nutty week for a of these businesses. Let's be clear, this wasn't a bad quarter. This was actually a pretty good quarter. There was an outlier event though. Ultimately, they incorporated some bad data from a large customer, which ultimately corrupted one of their algorithms and the Unity monetized business, that's part of their operate segment. That put the business behind the proverbial eight ball as management needs to fix this mistake. There's time and there's money
Starting point is 00:10:29 that comes with this and ultimately resulted in downward guidance, which probably is what really ultimately spooked the market, but there are plenty of signs that they're making a lot of progress and fulfilling the thesis of expanding their business into new verticals and use cases well beyond its core gaming expertise. You look at the numbers, revenue, $320 million. That was up 36% from a year ago. That was at the top of their guidance. The create segment of the business, that outperformed. That's the subscription side. Revenue is up 65%. The operate underperformed, and that's what I was talking about a little bit earlier, that revenue is up just 26%. But the end of the quarter, they have 1,083 customers, each generating more than $100,000
Starting point is 00:11:11 of revenue in the trailing 12 months. That was 837 just a year ago. And dollar-based net expansion rate of 135% remains in their target range. And ultimately, as I mentioned, going into new verticals. I mean, there are a lot of good examples here. The digital twin business continues to expand. They entered 2022 with nearly 3,000 customers in the space. And for the quarter, they closed 34 deals above $100,000. It was up 126% from a year ago. That, I think, is a lot of competition out there for folks who have been paying attention to Matterport, right? Because that's ultimately what Matterport does as well. And then you look at just big customers beyond that core gaming. Lockheed Martin, I think, is a model example, a good example of that in action,
Starting point is 00:11:54 The first project with them started in 2017. They bought a few seats for design visualization, but you look five years later, and Lockheed now has 500 licenses across nine business units for multiple use cases, including simulation, training, guidance, collaboration. I feel like this is working out, but there was a valuation thing, and the revision and the guidance is really what I think sent people selling. Signs of life for Affirm Holdings. third quarter revenue for the buy now pay later company came in higher than expected the loss for the quarter was smaller than expected and shares of a firm moving higher late in the week what do you think maria i think that the buy now pay later space is pretty
Starting point is 00:12:35 fascinating so a firm specifically their revenue was up 54 to 354.8 million their active merchants increased from 12 000 to 207 000 that's driven primarily by the adoption of shop pay installments with merchants on Shopify's platform. So that's a huge growth for that one quarter. Their active consumers were up 137%. Their total transactions were up 162%. So I think Affirm is really executing well, but I'm really interested in following this space and more elements of it because we're seeing increased regulation for these buy now, pay later spaces in the UK. You have Klarna that's now going to start impacting credit scores. They're going to start reporting customers' data to credit, to their credit bureaus in the UK, which will impact
Starting point is 00:13:19 about 16 million people. Afterpay was facing lawsuits about not adequately representing their hidden costs. About 43% of Gen Z users have missed payments. They're talking about how this is the new layaway. This is the new increasing debt. So I think there's questions about the ethics of these sort of payment plans. And I think that the next probably couple of quarters, next couple of years is really going to see a shakeout between buy now, pay later, and see if it's a sustainable type of system or if it isn't working as well as it's selling itself. After the break, we've got more gaming, entertainment, and more. So stay right here. This is Motley Fool Money.
Starting point is 00:13:59 Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here with Jason Moser and Maria Gallagher. Roblox's first quarter loss was bigger than Wall Street was expecting, but CEO Dave Bazzucchi says that bookings in April are improving for the video game developer. Maria, when you look at Roblox, what stands out to you? So what I always like to look at with Roblox are things like their daily active users and their hours engaged. So daily active users is up 28% to 54.1 million, which is an all-time high. Their hours engaged were up 22% to 11.8 billion. They have a lot of notable innovations on the platform including different voice innovations allowing users to communicate directly via speech
Starting point is 00:14:38 there are more choices in expressions of avatar with layered clothing but two positive trends that I really wanted to highlight here with Roblox is that percentage of users that are over 13 are growing in all geographies which is really important to keep people engaged for longer and they're growing within monetization of users and working with these new advertising plans within Roblox so I think that these are the two questions is how can they grow with their older demographic as we were leaving COVID and how can they effectively monetize all of their cohorts in the next couple of quarters. And so those metrics so far are looking pretty positive to me. The Trade Desk first quarter revenue grew 43% and CEO Jeff Green says he's optimistic the
Starting point is 00:15:19 Trade Desk can partner with every major streaming company, including Netflix. I don't know, Jason, seems like that'd be a win for the business if they can get involved with Netflix plans to sell ads on their platform. It feels like a world of opportunity could potentially be opening up for this business because the tailwinds of connected TV and ad-supported video-on-demand are only gaining strength. It was a good quarter. Management exceeded guidance they set on both fronts with revenue of $315 million up 43%, adjusted EBITDA of $121 million and ultimately non-GAAP earnings per share up 50%. Customer retention remains over 95% during the quarter, as it has for the past eight consecutive years now. When you look at
Starting point is 00:16:05 the growth estimates in the digital advertising space for the year, those estimates range anywhere from 8% to 14%. But any which way you cut it, clearly, the Trade Desk is gaining share, and it looks like they could be poised to gain more. You mentioned Netflix, Chris. The word Netflix was used 35 times on their earnings call this quarter. A year ago, Zippy, Xero, bagel, goose egg, none. That all really points back to this ad-supported model that Netflix is talking about. Remember, Disney talking about the same thing here. Jeff Green, he's very optimistic they'll be able to work with Netflix in some capacity. Remember, David Wells, former CFO of Netflix, sits on the trade desk's board. They developed a very good relationship during
Starting point is 00:16:47 that time. The company's calling for 30% revenue growth here for the current quarter. A good business that seems to be poised to keep on doing good things. Peloton's new CEO, Barry McCarthy, was brought in to turn around the company, and that turnaround cannot come soon enough. Peloton's third quarter report this week highlighted how much cash the company is burning through, leaving the business, as McCarthy described it, thinly capitalized. Maria, you tell me, how bad is it? It's not good. The new CEO started his shareholder letter with the phrase, turnarounds aren't easy. And then it just got more depressing from there. Revenue was down 24%. They had larger losses than expected. They had $200 million in
Starting point is 00:17:31 write-downs, $30 million covering inventory the company thinks it can't sell. Membership was up about 5%. Connected fitness revenue was down 42%. Gross profit was down 59%. Operating expenses were up 101%. So everything is trending kind of in the exact opposite direction in which you would want it to be trending. The only positive thing, the only thing that I would say I am always impressed by Peloton and have to give them props is that their churn is super low, consistently below 1%. People are really loyal to the platform, but there has been a year over year decline in the average monthly workouts per fitness subscription. They spoke of how, like you said, thinly capitalized they are. They're working on a $750 million loan with JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs. There are plans
Starting point is 00:18:17 to see your Peloton in a clearer direction, but it's, it's not looking great from where I'm sitting. That's truly impressive that their churn is that low. If, uh, as some have suggested, Peloton is increasingly a candidate to be bought by a larger company. You have to figure that is part of the selling point, isn't it? I mean, people, it's not as many people as they'd like, but the people who use Peloton really seem to like it. I, yeah, people really love them. There's that one, there's one instructor that everyone loves on TikTok. There are people who are really into the platform once they get onto it, but I think it's just not as many people as Peloton wants you to think it is. Feels like that thinly capitalized thing, that could put you in a little
Starting point is 00:18:58 bit of a tough spot, right? A little bit more of a desperate seller of, you know, potential buyers, potential suitors catch on to that thinly capitalized. They could use that for some leverage. All right, guys, we'll see you later in the show. Up next, advice for entrepreneurs from Okta co-founder, Frederick Karest. Stay right here. This is Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. One of the biggest trends of the past two years has been more and more people starting their own businesses. Someone who is familiar with the path of an entrepreneur is Okta's co-founder and chief operating officer, Frederick Karest. He's written a new book, Zero to IPO, Over One Trillion of Actionable Advice from the World's Most
Starting point is 00:19:46 Successful Entrepreneurs. And he recently shared some of the ideas and advice from the book with my colleague, Bill Mann. Who is this book for, Freddie? And what made you want to write a guideline for people who are entrepreneurs? Well, this is kind of the field guide, bill that I wish I had had when we started 13 years ago. I think entrepreneurship is the best career out there. Certainly, from a personal perspective, I think it gives a lot of agency. It allows people to really determine their future, take it into their own hands. Certainly, in terms of moving the world forward, if you look at net job creation over the last 50 years in the Western world. It's all come from net new companies and startups that have not only
Starting point is 00:20:33 created all these jobs, but actually replaced all the jobs that are gone from the giants of yesteryear. But there's a lot of hidden secrets. There's a lot of tips and tricks in there in building successful companies. And frankly, a lot of them are tractable problems. You just need to know how to do them. And so, as I went along, we were very fortunate. Todd McKinnon, my co-founder at Okta and I, we got a lot of help from the generation of entrepreneurs ahead of us. And I wanted to kind of pay it back. So over the last few years, I've been fortunate to help a number of very, very good CEOs and founders. And I just started taking a lot of notes on the questions they would ask, which were a lot of times very basic ones. The CEO of yesteryear
Starting point is 00:21:15 was a salesperson. The CEO of today and tomorrow is a technologist. Technologists know a lot about technology. They don't know a lot about sales, about G&A, about go-to-market. And so they'd have basic questions on how do you hire salespeople or how do you raise financing and again these are tractable problems so we figured we i figured i'd put them all in a book put them in one place make it easy to use and again just a field guide that people can use as they go through building companies and building the future a better future for tomorrow for all of us you're describing a path for entrepreneurs that that for a lot of people it really might seem that you're describing a strategy for how to win the lottery right like so let me talk about you for a moment you you and
Starting point is 00:21:58 i we're the we're the right color and the right gender and you went to stanford in the sloan school at mit for your mba so your dad is the cfo of multiple companies so you have and had networks you are a member of networks that's that are really difficult to crack and so your your book says it has a trillion dollars worth of advice in it, but you rightly call out that an entrepreneur can come from anywhere. But how do people who do not have those legs up get square one? Well, that's a very important point. And it is actually one of the reasons I wrote the book is to demystify this concept, right? First of all, if you're one of the folks out there who dreams of building a company, you'll read the news and there's a very barbell
Starting point is 00:22:51 story that's produced. It's either massive successes, Elon Musk or Arianna Huffington, or you go down the news or massive failures where people lost a billion dollars and everyone's going to jail. What people don't talk about is what happens to 99% of entrepreneurs, 99% of the time, which is you just get up and you work really hard. You put one pant leg on at a time and it's 16 hour days. We're in our 13th year of business, and I'm still working just as hard as I did in year one. So the first thing is just understanding that there's no magic to it. It's a lot of hard work. Now, you bring up a very important point, which is we are the right skin color. We went to the right schools, all these kinds of things. You brought up my dad. He didn't. He was an immigrant
Starting point is 00:23:31 from France. He showed up with $500 in his suitcase, didn't speak the language. And from there, he built an amazing professional career. He was a six-time public company CFO, as you said. But I mean, that was actually a big guiding light in my life. Of course, I was very fortunate. I got to go to the right schools. I got to meet the right people. But that was a very good example that I saw every day. You just get up early and you just get up early. You got to get lucky. There's luck to it. But you also got to work very hard and do a lot of those things. We do talk in the book about some of those specific situations. Networks is a great example of them. Unless you live in Silicon Valley, unless you went to Stanford, unless you're in all these
Starting point is 00:24:07 groups, you're not going to get to meet some of these investors, but there are other networks out there. First of all, you can build your company anywhere now. So if you look at the pandemic situation that we're all coming out of now after two years, it certainly has made it very easy for anyone to build a company anywhere. Number one, number two, we do talk a lot about networks and we talk about specifically how you can optimize on whatever group you're in. So there are whisper networks for female founders. There are whisper networks for black founders. There are actually venture capital funds now that focus on funding only black founders or founders of color. And I think that is great innovation. And that's something I'm very excited about. And frankly,
Starting point is 00:24:49 demystifying that and allowing everyone to have the inside edge from what I learned, that was one of the points of writing the book. And I also want to make this point that you make in the book, which I really, really like. It's called Zero to IPO, which is a process that most companies never make it to. So when we talk about being an entrepreneur, you're not necessarily talking about a company that is starting from ground zero and is going to end up a $40 billion company with a ticker in it. You're talking about people who are creating jobs and creating something at whatever level in whatever business where they have their passion and their idea. Yeah, you're absolutely right. So look, my expertise without a doubt is enterprise
Starting point is 00:25:35 software. I got a computer science degree. I started working in enterprise software 25 years ago. I consciously thought in writing the book about emphasizing it wasn't just for enterprise software people that were building the new SaaS companies, software as a service companies in Silicon Valley. It was really for any type of entrepreneur. And it's organized the chapters generally by the type of challenges, but opportunities you're going to be able to take advantage of as you go through building that company. So it starts with, you just need to have other co-founders. I mean, that's something that the data is very clear. We got a bunch of data from Professor Ed Roberts at MIT who studied this. Having two to four
Starting point is 00:26:15 co-founders is important in any business, by the way. You think about how you're going to build that business. We talk about, look, if you're going to raise venture capital for high growth. That's one path. But certainly cash flow, just getting businesses that are cash flow businesses, getting businesses that you're going to fund for a while and then sell to an acquirer. Those are totally acceptable means and goals for entrepreneurs today. And we talk about all those in the book as well. Sales is one of those that's a little bit trickier because sales is really, in this case, focused on business-to-business sales. So I do admit that. But we, again, put some caveats in there saying, look, if you're a consumer or you're selling to retail,
Starting point is 00:26:53 might be a little bit different, but there's still some tips and tricks you can, you can have in here. The other thing that I think is very important, just kind of closing out on the last question you asked me about, uh, you know, not everyone has the advantage of these networks is one of the things is all the profits from the book. Uh, I'm actually giving to two organizations build, which is a national one and the hidden genius project, which is here in Oakland in my backyard. Both groups use entrepreneurship and leadership skills to help black kids and kids from underrepresented minorities and communities stay in school using some of those entrepreneurship and leadership skills and hopefully become entrepreneurs down the road. So it's also about
Starting point is 00:27:34 making sure that we're sharing the information, but we're contributing as best as we can, frankly, to the communities and the world in which we live. So one of the stories that I love in the book, And again, thinking about entrepreneurialism, and as you said, what we generally hear about today are the huge successes or the huge blowups. And huge blowups generally start out as some form of a huge success. But most of them, even amongst people who end up being successful, there are missteps along the way. And one of my favorite stories that's in this book, and I thought maybe, you know, you could help recount it, was the Stuart Butterfield story with the business that he started. Tiny Speck. Tiny Speck.
Starting point is 00:28:28 Yeah, totally. Yes. The real death of Tiny Speck was the chapter. Yeah, I mean, that's a great point, right? So those are called pivots. I think that's very important. One thing that I really tried to do in the book is I went and found a lot of very successful entrepreneurs, but I told them upfront, this was not going to be some glory stories.
Starting point is 00:28:50 I think a lot of problems, frankly, with the entrepreneurial literature that's out there today is it glorifies and lionizes one person's life. Here's the life of Bill Mann. Here's how he went through it. Let's ask you questions about your life, Bill. and you know one of the one of the great examples i love to use is steve madden steve madden shoes i love steve madden shoes are very comfortable turns out steve madden went to federal penitentiary for three years for trafficking in illicit substances before he started the shoe company
Starting point is 00:29:20 so now if i'm an entrepreneur and i'm listening to that interview you know what's the message there it's probably not the right one so what i said what number one number two if you look at this from the outside like you said a lot of times it's like oh look how amazing these companies are, they were destined for greatness. Meta was destined for great. Amazon was destined for greatness. That's not true. Many times these companies could have died. And so bringing that back and kind of opening that up is very important. So I went to all these entrepreneurs and I said, you've been very successful. Congratulations. But I want you to come and tell the story where it didn't go right. And that's what we're going to try and clarify and illuminate for everyone.
Starting point is 00:29:58 And when actually Todd, my co-founder, read the book, he said, well, there's all sorts of stories in here and they're all true i said well that's the point todd is like this is things didn't always go amazingly for us and but you have to you have to open up the kimono so the example that you're bringing up is stewart butterfield uh you know fantastic uh professional and even better person candidly i've gotten to know him a little bit a very successful founder ceo company called slack they sold to salesforce.com may 12 18 months ago for i think 27 billion dollars you can keep me honest, I don't remember the exact number, but he was an entrepreneur. Um, before he had a photo company that he sold to Yahoo and it went fine. And then he started a second company, which was
Starting point is 00:30:39 called tiny spec and it was a gaming company and it wasn't going very well. Now it turns out incidentally, as part of the internal tools at the company, what they'd done is they built a messaging system, which became Slack that they were using themselves just to communicate. And it was better than what was out there today. And so, you know, they were going to wind the company down and tiny spec was kind of running out of runway. Stuart went and talked to a few of his investors, Mark Andreessen, Ben Horowitz were two of them incidentally that I know about, but I know there were others as well. And he said, Hey, this is what's going on. Tiny spec's not going to work, but I have an idea for what I'm going to do and how I'm going to take this internal tool.
Starting point is 00:31:14 And I want to just kind of see if there's something there. And they're like, yeah, sure. You know what? Keep the, keep the funds that we've given you, roll them into this new thing and see how it works. Lo and behold, that thing took off. It became Slack, which is now the standard in enterprise messaging that I use in all my organizations, incidentally, every single day. They've got a great mobile app and all the rest of it. But that's a good example of, in that case, a business pivot. Look, at a much smaller scale, we had to do a pivot in our business at Okta. We started focused on small and medium businesses. It almost cost us our lives in 2011. The company almost went bankrupt until we pivoted and started focusing on much larger
Starting point is 00:31:48 organizations that actually had a serious identity management problem. And then, you know, things took off from there. So these are very real situations. They happen in all companies at least once, if not multiple times. And again, I think just opening up that process and demystifying it for entrepreneurs, hopefully makes them feel like what they're going through every day, hard work, things aren't going the way you want. You can't hire who you want. You're not selling the software you want, you or the products you want. You're not building the way you want. These things happen to everyone and that's okay. And that's part of the process and it's human and you're going to be all right. Somebody has an idea. What is your best next step advice? What
Starting point is 00:32:27 are they going to learn from this book that gets them from what they think is a good idea to be an up and running? The first thing is go talk to people about it. Like number one. So not just to find co-founders, which is important as a sole founder, the odds are really stacked against you because there's just too much up and downs. You need COVID, not just as a co-founder, which is great, but just share the idea with a lot of people. As many people as that's counterintuitive, isn't it? It's counterintuitive, but here's why people are like, Oh, I don't want to share my idea. You're going to take it. Always want to. Yeah. I'm like, well, first of all, okay. First of all, I'm going to assume that you have done so much work and know so much about this, that
Starting point is 00:33:05 you sharing your idea with me, if immediately I can take it and roll with it means you haven't done that much work on it. Number one, number two, it would mean there's no sustainable competitive differentiators and barriers to entry in your business, which is also like a big problem. So you should share that idea as quickly and as broadly with as many smart people as you can. You might find someone who wants to work on it with you. You might find someone who wants to finance it. You might find someone who knows a customer. You might find someone who's going to give you a bunch of feedback on it. So whatever you're doing, you know, write it down, think it through, research it, study it, but go out and talk to other people and get that feedback because
Starting point is 00:33:40 nothing amazing was ever built in some ivory tower by one person without anyone ever talking to anyone else. It just doesn't happen. You can pick up a copy of Zero to IPO wherever you find books. Up next, Maria Gallagher and Jason Moser return with a couple of stocks on their radar. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against. Don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here once again with Jason Moser and Maria Gallagher. Airbnb has been seeing more people booking longer trips. In response,
Starting point is 00:34:26 the company just introduced a new feature on its platform to enable people to divide longer stays between two different homes. CEO Brian Chesky calls it the biggest change to Airbnb in a decade. Maria, I think shareholders want to know if this is going to lead to more business. Well, I'm personally, as a user, very excited. So this new feature, it's called Split Stay. So once you book a trip for a week or longer, it divides it between two different homes. And if anyone's booked in Airbnb for multiple days, the amount of times I have to go back and forth and make sure I'm not missing a day. If I'm going away for like 10 or 11 days or multiple different places, guests are now going to see about 40% more listings when searching for longer stays.
Starting point is 00:35:06 And this is continuing the trend that we're seeing with Airbnb is more people are staying for longer as people are living and working remotely. Nearly half of the nights booked for this last quarter were for stays of a week or longer. One in five nights is booked are about a month or longer. stays of 28 days or more are making up about 21% of bookings. So I think that this is a really smart feature to add. And I think that it'll really help people who are saying, okay, I'm just going to do a week or two in each place and really plan out a vacation pretty far in advance. All right, let's get to the stocks on our radar. Our man behind the glass, Dan Boyd's going to hit you with a question. Jason Moser, you're up first. What are you looking at this
Starting point is 00:35:44 week? Yeah, keeping my eye on the Home Depot. Ticker is HD. They've got earnings on Tuesday, May 17th before the market opens. Honestly, this is really one of the best omnichannel retailers out there, it feels like. They're getting the consumer wherever the consumer wants. I think that's really important for retailers these days. We'll pay attention to the ticket size, we'll pay attention to transactions. Actually, last quarter saw a little gross margin compression. It's going to be worth paying attention to their take, I think, on inflation and supply chains here this quarter and how that sets up for the rest rest of the year. I'll just conclude with this. Chris, Dan, Maria, I opened a position in Home
Starting point is 00:36:26 Depot myself this week, finally added it to my retirement portfolio, part of that dividend dynasty I've told you about before, Chris. Excited to be a shareholder. Dan, question about Home Depot? I don't know about you all, but I live in a pretty high residential density area. And going to home depot because of that is like just the worst thing on the planet i hate it i can't stay i mean you go on the weekend weekday rather it's full of contractors you go on the weekend and you can't even get in the parking lot like what is what is going on here home depot hey listen i mean it is a massive market right we've got a huge uh huge inventory of houses out there and they're all old they all need fixing up dan so everybody's out there trying you know that's the beauty of
Starting point is 00:37:12 this model, rain or shine, winter, summer, you know, there's always something they're selling for you. That sounds like a good situation for shareholders if Home Depot is that busy. Maria Gallagher, what are you looking at this week? So continuing the trend, I'm going to be looking more at Airbnb. So at the end of April, they had 30% more nights booked for the summer than the same time in 2019. Last quarter, they had gross nights booked up 32%. They're up above pre-pandemic levels in most cases. I also really like it from a sustainability lens. So guest spending in the communities that Airbnb supports has supported over 300,000 jobs and Airbnb itself had collected and remitted more than 4 billion in tourism taxes to local governments around the world. So I think
Starting point is 00:37:54 it's a really interesting company from multiple different lenses, both as an investor and a user. So that's what I'm going to be spending more time on. Dan, question about Airbnb? Sure, Chris. Maria, Airbnb seems like it's everywhere these days and just about every city, just about all over the world. Where do you want to go? Where's the next stop for Maria Gallagher? Wow. Thank you so much for asking. I'm currently booking a trip to London in the fall. And then I'm thinking of another European city, but I am taking suggestions for a city that I can get to easily from London. That will be very fun for a couple of days to travel on my own. Dan, what do you want to add to your watch list oh wow that's i mean i this is a tough one because i as much as i hate going to home
Starting point is 00:38:36 depot you have to go there and airbnb is such a great service so i don't i really am torn here but because i'm taking a break from mowing the lawn to record this program with you all i think i have to go home depot all right all right thanks for being here that's gonna do it for this week's Motley Fool Money radio show, shows mixed by Dan Boyd. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next time.

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