Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - The Secret to Out-Innovating the Competition: Inside the Tesla Playbook
Episode Date: April 5, 2026What’s the secret to out-innovating the competition? Former Tesla President Jon McNeill joins the show to discuss his new book, The Algorithm: The Hypergrowth Formula that Transformed Tesla, Lululem...on, General Motors and SpaceX. Motley Fool analyst Rachel Warren talks with McNeill about the five-step formula for achieving hypergrowth, the hidden metric every investor should track, and the AI revolution. Host: Rachel Warren Guest: Jon McNeill Producer: Bart Shannon, Mac Greer Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, "TMF") do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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I wanted people to see what was behind the scenes driving the success of Tesla, who seems to out-innovate their competitors again and again and again.
And I wanted people to see that that could be done by frontline people, everyday people. You didn't need to be Elon Musk to do this.
That was John McNeil, former president of Tesla and author of the new book,
The Algorithm, the hyper growth formula that transformed Tesla,
Lululemon, General Motors, and SpaceX. I'm Motley Fool producer, Matt Greer.
Motley Fool analyst, Rachel Warren, recently talked with McNeil about that formula and about
why you don't have to be Elon Musk to out-innovate the competition. Enjoy.
Hello, everyone, and welcome back to Motley Fool Conversations. I'm Motley Fool Analyst
Rachel Warren, and today I'm excited to welcome John McNeil to the show. John currently serves
as the CEO and co-founder of DVX Ventures. Previously, John served as president at Tesla.
Following his time at Tesla, he joined Lyft as COO, where he played a pivotal role in doubling
the company's revenues, helping to take the company public. John currently serves on the
boards of numerous companies, including General Motors, Lululemon, and Stash, and his upcoming
book, The Algorithm, the hyper-growth formula that transformed Tesla, Lululemon, General Motors,
and SpaceX. John shares a behind-the-scenes look at how iconic companies scale and outlines a
playbook for leaders to drive sustained growth and impact. John, welcome to the show.
Thanks. Nice to be here.
Excited to talk with you today. One of the things that's really interesting,
I want to start off talking about your book.
You've codified this formula that has been applied at a range of these companies that
I noted called the algorithm.
So I'd love it if you could walk us through your book and its themes, but really also
talk about those steps of the algorithm in order and what it means for companies.
Yeah, the algorithm is really the operating system, I would describe it, that got invented
at Tesla really through making mistakes.
We made a lot of mistakes that we would do postmortems and say, how the heck did we get
here?
And then we would develop a principle to not do that in the future.
So that's the heart of the beginning of the framework.
And the framework then was used, once we developed it, to give everybody in the company a framework
from which to innovate, really on a weekly basis.
And the reason I wrote the book was I wanted people to see what was behind the scenes driving
the success of Tesla, who seems to out-innovate their competitors again and again and again.
And I wanted people to see that that could be done by frontline people, everyday people. You
didn't need to be Elon Musk to do this, which is why the framework was developed, because
Elon can't be everywhere all the time. And so we had literally thousands of people that were
driving innovation all over the world who were following this framework. So the framework,
to the heart of your question, is basically five steps, and then I identify three secret
ingredients that really make it work. But the five steps are question everything at the beginning,
question the requirements that you've been given, because you want to not build a business around
a bad set of assumptions, or you don't want to build a process around a bad set of assumptions.
So I'll give you an example of that from the financial market. So my firm today,
we invent companies. We start companies ourselves and grow them and scale them.
we took a look at the etf market and and looked at uh like super cycle etfs and found that the
top holdings of almost every f etf uh in the super cycle space was amazon google microsoft
nvidia and apple you can buy that as an investor for two bips that's called the mag 7 or the s&p
500 uh you can you can buy that product you don't need a super cycle product at 75 bps
doing the same thing. But we stepped back and started to question the requirements of why that
was, why ETFs were built this way. And the first thing you get is a requirement that everybody who
builds an ETF follows, and that is they build ETFs by market cap weightings. And if you want to do
like an AI infrastructure ETF, and you're going to follow the market weighting assumption that
the whole industry follows. You drop NVIDIA into that ETF and it overwhelms every other stock
because its market cap is so high. But if you take a different approach, so we started to say,
is it a requirement to formulate ETFs based on market cap? The answer is no. It's not a requirement
of law. It's not a requirement of regulation. It's just a requirement that has been evolved
over time because that's the way everybody does it. And we said, well, that doesn't give investors
exposure to profit pools. And there's a lot that goes into like an AI data center that's not
NVIDIA. And it turns out there are 60 public stocks that go into an AI data center. And if
you weight those public stocks by their contribution to the AI data center, you get a very different
looking ETF that actually exposes investors to the actual profit pools. And this is kind of a
unique situation where we've got five years of commitments by the hyperscalers to AI data center
builds. We know what the purchase orders look like. We know what's going into those so that
we can backwards engineer that and say, which stocks are going to benefit? And it turns out
when you create an ETF and you question the requirement for market cap weightings, and you
say, is there a better way? You come out the other end with a answer that says, yeah, there is a
better way. And that is, in this case, to weight by profit contribution. And so we developed an
AI infrastructure ETF based on profit contribution, not market cap. The industry told us we were
crazy. Nobody does it this way. We said, fine, because we had back-tested it to know that we
beat the stuffing out of every other AI infrastructure ETF on the market. We introduced
that in December of 25, so just over a year ago. And it is, over the past 12 months, the top
performing AI infrastructure ETF in the market. You would have been up more than 80% if you'd
bought it on day one. Because it turns out that it reflects the profit pools that are getting
created. And as the market wakes up to these individual stocks that are being helped by AI
data center builds, the value gets created in those stocks and our ETF takes advantage of that.
But that's an example of the very first step of the algorithm, which is question everything.
Because when you start to question things, you start to discover there are these assumptions
that people operate under that are really self-limiting. And if you step out of those
self-limiting assumptions, you can create an innovation that creates a lot of value
and breaks new ground.
And so that's the first step of the algorithm
is question everything, basically.
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I was going to say, can you walk us through the remaining four?
So then the next one is a second step in simplification.
And simplification is hard.
Most people don't do it.
There's that famous Mark Twain quote that I would have written you a shorter letter
if I'd just taken the time.
It's because simplifying is hard.
It takes a lot of work.
So the first step of removing false assumptions and requirements is a step to simplify.
The second step in the algorithm is the second step of simplification, and that is delete
every step you can in a process.
And you probably haven't deleted enough until you've had to add some back.
So delete ruthlessly.
And then the third step of the algorithm is once you've got the simplified process, now
you manually run that process. And this is got to sound crazy coming from somebody who spent their
entire career in tech and hard tech, not to automate, but we tell our teams go manual because
all the best businesses were built manually first. The original team in Amazon didn't automate the
distribution centers we see today. They actually went and bought books. They put up an order site.
They would take an order, they would go buy the book from a local bookseller, put it in
a box, ship it so that they learn the distribution side of the business before they automated
anything.
The founders of DoorDash, who were CS majors at Stanford, put up a PDF of restaurant menus
with a phone number at the bottom and the phone number rang in their dorm room and then
they would order the food from the restaurant, go pick it up and deliver it so that they
could simplify the process. And we tell our teams, do what Amazon did, do what DoorDash did,
do it manually first. Because when you do, you learn firsthand all the opportunities to simplify.
So that's the third step of the algorithm, run the process manually. Fourth step is now speed it up.
So put cycle time constraints around it, because when you speed something up,
it exposes all the quality flaws and process flaws. And so now you're further refining.
and then once you've got this process optimized with speed the fifth step is automate last which
again sounds totally counterintuitive coming from a tech firm a place like tesla but we just learned
this lesson so many times where we would automate first and when you automate a bad process all you
do is speed up the uh the time to a bad answer or a bad outcome and so we learned over time to
automate last. And probably the sharpest example of that happened in Model 3 when we were trying
to design a factory that was the most automated factory in the world. You might remember like
Elon talking about the alien dreadnought and the machine that would make the machine.
There was an attempt to design a factory completely digitally before it was done
manually, before the process was actually run in the real world. And when that happened,
And when the machines were installed, you could see that, oh, my God, huge mistakes were made.
Like there wasn't enough room in between the machines for humans to get in and maintain them.
So you couldn't even maintain the machines.
And that automated line never worked.
And that was close to a billion dollar mistake.
And when we did the postmortem on that and said, how did we get ourselves into this situation where we had to build a tent in the parking lot to build cars manually,
to actually save the company with cash flow that was desperately needed.
How did that happen?
It was because we automated first, not last.
And so we learned these principles by making the mistakes along the way.
And that was a doozy of one that led to that last point.
During your tenure at Tesla, you saw the company go from $2 billion to $20 billion
in 30 months in the early years of the Model 3 launch.
And I wonder, was there a specific algorithm breakthrough that moved the Model 3
from sort of those production doldrums to a cash flow machine?
Was that driven by a superior product, a superior operating system,
or both kind of to apply your framework there?
Kind of both.
We had to start to apply the algorithm to each problem we were facing,
whether that was how to do service in a business that's doubling every eight months
with an installed base that's doubling every eight months.
Anything from service to how the car was built, to how the car was sourced,
to how the car was designed. Like we took this, we took this framework and gave it to teams.
So an example of that was we were selling cars faster than we ever had in our history. And we
couldn't build service centers fast enough to service the cars. And so we got a small team
together that ran our service business. And actually the team was the team that ran our
Palo Alto Service Center because it happened to be just down the road from headquarters. So we
could work with them really quickly and iteratively. And so we went to the manager of that site and
said, can you figure out how many cars you can fix before the customer's done with their cup of
coffee? And he's like, yeah, why? And we said, well, because if you can do that, so a customer
can finish their cup of coffee, say, in 20 minutes. If you can fix a car in 20 minutes,
we may not need a building for that. And if we don't need a building, we may be able to do service
in a way that has never been done in the industry before. And that's
mobily in customers' driveways or their offices. And the guy said, yeah, John's accepted. I'm up
for it. So worked on that problem for like a month. He came back a month later and said,
you guys have to come see this. So we went down the hill and what we saw was a parking lot that
was buzzing. And the parking lot had three lanes that cars would go down. A customer was met at
the entrance of the parking lot by our senior tech, so like the senior surgeon in a hospital.
And that senior tech would ask them for the symptoms of what was wrong with their car.
And because that senior tech had seen everything, they knew whether that car was going to be a small,
medium, or large repair. And those were the three lines that the car went down in the parking lot.
So the smalls and mediums could be fixed in the parking lot and the largest had to go inside.
And it turns out that 80% of the cars didn't have to go inside.
So we didn't need a building.
And if we didn't need a building, we could fix those cars anywhere, not just in a parking lot of the service center.
We could fix them in the customer's driveway or home office or in their parking lot of their office where they went to work.
And so questioning the requirement first off is do we have to do repairs in a building?
The entire industry believes that.
Dealerships have enormous service centers that they've built.
Midas and Meineke and others have built enormous footprints of buildings to fix cars.
We questioned the requirement of, do you need a building to fix a car?
The answer was no.
We ran the process manually in a parking lot to get it working.
Then we took a couple of hundred Model Xs that had been returned on Lemon Law returns,
stripped out the insides put tooling on the insides put technicians in those and it turned
out we answered the question could a technician be more productive if they didn't come to a building
or at least as productive and the answer was yeah we found out that they could so we started to
deploy these just in san francisco and the bay area and customers were blown away that we would
come and fix their car in their driveway like magic elves we try to make it fun we put espresso
machines in these Model Xs so you could get an espresso while your car was being fixed
and just had a lot of fun with it. And then the last step was we automated
all the process around scheduling and parts of work and all this stuff.
And it fundamentally changed the way that automotive service is done. And still,
car manufacturers cannot figure out how to do this. And they could go try to copy. But I think
until they ran the process manually within their own system, they probably wouldn't optimize it for
themselves but that's an example of like how a service team just by using this framework
completely innovated uh in service and that didn't involve elon musk at all that was
really just really diligent people on the front lines following this framework to to invent
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something you've pointed out and something i also took away from your book was this idea that really
the speed of innovation is such a key factor so i think it kind of begs the question does a company
with a shorter cycle time tend to have a more durable moat than one with just a strong brand?
And how does this apply to areas outside of tech? Yeah, I think one of the things that the Japanese
taught us and Toyota taught us was this metric that Toyota executives follow, which is cash
velocity through a business. We all learn to evaluate investments based on market cap
kind of metrics like EBITDA multiples, revenue multiples, which have growth metrics built into
them. But what the Japanese do is they say, really, the measure of how good you are as a
leader is how fast cash moves through your business. And so an example of that is when
I started at Tesla, it was roughly 14 days for us to take a pile of aluminum on one end of the
factory and turn it into a car on the other end of the factory. And Toyota at that time could do
that in about four days. They could take a pile of aluminum and a Lexus would come out the other
end of the factory or a Toyota or a Scion in four days. Took us 14 days, took us four days.
So what does that mean? That means Toyota can do the same amount of business with a third less
working capital than we could. Let me just let that sink in. Speed of cycle time and speed of
cash mean that you need far less working capital than your competitors. And if you need far less
working capital, you have a balance sheet advantage, you have a liquidity advantage
versus your competition. And that's why cycle time of cash or speed of cash really, really matters.
it's really hard to measure that and so that hasn't become a measure that is available to
the street or to investors right but it's absolutely critical if you want to assess
how good you are versus your competition it's almost like the 40-yard dash for businesses like
what's your time well can a culture of speed be retrofitted into a slower growth company or is
it something that's more of a dna level trait i think it's a dna level trait uh it is you know
there's this old adage it's hard to it's hard to make a sprinter out of a marathoner uh because
the sports are so different right and um and that's because the muscles get toned up uh and
trained to go 26.2 miles versus 100 yards or 100 meters and um i think it's just hard to take a
business that has been a a business that hasn't been measured on cycle time or has been a slower
moving business and speed it up not impossible but just like you got to know what you're getting
into if you're biting off that challenge. We've talked a lot about how the algorithm applies to
tech sectors, but I want to lean a little bit more into its application to other sectors outside of
tech. I mean, I mentioned earlier on the boards of GM, Lululemon. So how does one apply the
algorithm to say, you know, a century old automaker versus a high growth retail powerhouse? And how
can we as retail investors sort of view those elements when we're evaluating investments?
I think the first clear evidence of this is top-line growth.
So you look for top-line growth.
But then you've got to achieve that top-line growth with discipline, and that discipline is reflected in gross margin.
That's the first discipline indicator that you get is, are they doing this really well?
and uh and then third you get you get operating expense leverage over time because you're not
adding headcount for every new dollar of revenue that comes in and so you're getting operating
expense leverage and that that comes down to ebit uh and cat and and cash flow operating cash flow
so like take take nvidia for a second uh you know they've got the the biggest market cap because
they're generating sort of high two digits, three digit growth. So incredible growth at that scale
at a close to an 80% gross margin. So they're showing operating discipline
and the ability to continue to command both price and efficiency out of their organization,
price out of their customer efficiency, out of their organization. And then they're also
getting operating leverage. So they're kind of three for three. So as an investor, I'd look at
that and say, I have industry-leading top-line growth, I have industry-leading gross margin,
and I have industry-leading operating cash flow, that looks like three reasons to say yes to that
stock, depending, again, on how far it's run past its peers and how much upside there is. But that's
the first indicator that, yeah, this is something you probably should consider investing in.
Just a couple more questions for you. One, looking ahead to the next decade, what are some industries or sectors even that you think are best positioned for an algorithm style disruption?
I think wealth management. It befuddles me today that consumers still have to put together their own estate plans and tax plans, and those are disconnected from their investing plans and often lead to adverse outcomes because they're disconnected.
um and there are not a thousand ways to construct a portfolio for a person in a certain age in a
certain stage of life and i do think the wealth management industry which has largely been a
sales-driven approach of going and getting clients and assets is uh is going to change or you could
say it in a more negative way, it's going to get disrupted because there's an ability to deliver
more sophisticated outcomes that are coordinated for customers and much higher value for customers.
And so that's one where we have our eye on it, and we're going to try to maybe play in that space
and figure out how to do that too. Because there's a trillion dollar transfer that's happening
between generations over the next 10 years, and that's going to create a bunch of wealth
management opportunities in this current kind of manual bespoke process isn't going to serve
that kind of capital well. Is there a sector or industry that looking ahead to the next five to
10 years excites you the most? That's one that does in terms of the opportunity for it. I think
AI is one of the first technical revolutions that's happening in affecting white collar work
first, not blue collar work. Every other technical revolution has essentially affected blue collar
work first. And so I think we look across white collar sectors for opportunities because this is
a unique moment in time where there's going to be disruption and value creation happening at scale
in white collar. And so there are a bunch of industries that excite us as we look with that
kind of filter on. One last question. If someone listening or watching this could only take away
one or two algorithm metrics to really track the health of their long-term holdings. What should
those be? Health of their long-term holdings. In terms of metrics in those companies, I would look
at cash velocity, so cycle time, and the ability to expand margins over time, both operating margins
and bottom line margins. That tells you whether a management team is really good at what they do.
Fantastic.
John, it's been so great to talk with you today.
I wish we had more time.
To those who are listening or watching,
check out John's book,
The Algorithm, The Hypergrowth Formula,
The Transformed Tesla, Lululemon,
General Motors, and SpaceX.
It's a fantastic read.
John, thanks so much for joining me today.
Thanks, Rachel.
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