Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - Wall Street’s Wild Week
Episode Date: October 12, 2018While stocks rise in the long run, this week reminded investors that stocks go down faster than they go up. Ron Gross, David Kretzmann, and Jason Moser analyze what happened, how emotions can get th...e better of us, and what investors can do to prepare for the next drop. We also share why we’d be ok if Twilio, Match Group, Visa, Mastercard, and Idexx Laboratories fell some more next week. Square needs a new CFO, Sears a miracle, and we dip into the Fool Mailbag to discuss both cannabis and Coca-Cola. Plus, cybersecurity expert Bruce Schneier talks about the growing challenge of hacking and his new book Click Here to Kill Everybody: Security and Survival in a Hyper-connected World. Thanks to LinkedIn for supporting The Motley Fool. Go to https://www.linkedin.com/fool and get $50 off your first job post. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Support for Motley Fool Money comes from our friends at Rocket Mortgage by Quicken Loans,
who are excited to introduce their all-new RateShield Approval. If you're looking to buy
a home, RateShield Approval is a game-changer. And here's why. Quicken Loans will lock your
rate for up to 90 days while you shop. And if rates go up, your rate stays the same. But if
rates go down, your rate also drops. So, you win either way. It's the kind of thinking you would
expect from America's largest mortgage lender. To get started, go to rocketmortgage.com slash
Fool. Thanks also to LinkedIn. LinkedIn Jobs matches people to your role based on more of
who they really are, their skills, interests, and even how open they are to new opportunities.
For $50 off your first job post, go to linkedin.com slash fool. That's linkedin.com slash fool.
Terms and conditions apply. Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money.
The best things in life are free
But you can give them to the birds and bees
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Fool Money radio show.
I'm Chris Hill.
Joining me in studio this week, senior analysts Jason Moser, David Kretzmann, and Ron Gross.
Good to see you, as always, gentlemen.
Hey, how are you doing?
We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street.
We will dip into the Fool mailbag, and as always, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
But we begin with the market's wild ride on Wednesday and Thursday. The S&P 500 fell more
than 5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost around 1,400 points. Everyone was freaking
out, Ron. Friday morning, the bleeding appeared to stop and the market bouncing back a little
bit. There's a lot to unpack here. How'd you do this week?
You know, stop me if you've heard this one before. These things happen. At the end
of a nine-year bull market, we've got extremely low unemployment, high GDP, low interest rates
for forever, a really long period of time. At some point, folks, inflation ticks up,
interest rates rise, stocks correct. It's actually quite healthy. It might be painful
and know, hey, listen, I don't like to see my stocks go down, but it's actually quite healthy.
If you don't panic, you stay the course, you think long-term, you can actually benefit from it.
Yeah, Jason, around the office this week, there's been a lot of quoting of David Gardner,
co-founder of The Motley Fool, who said, remember, markets go down faster than they go up,
but over time, they go up more than they go down.
Yeah, and it feels like they've been doing nothing but go up for a really long time.
So, this is sort of a nice reminder that they do indeed go down and life indeed does go on.
I think, honestly, we were talking about this earlier this morning,
I think that one of the biggest benefits from coming out of the financial crisis,
if you were an investor and you went through the financial crisis,
then this is the kind of thing where you can just brush right off your shoulder
and just keep on moving along, because you understand what's at stake here.
I mean, this is why we invest the way we do,
Because you can't predict when stuff is going to happen. There's not necessarily a rationale
for what happened, but it does happen and you need to be able to maintain your composure,
understand that you're going to have some bumpy rides along the way. But again, when
you look at that 5, 10, 15, 20-year time horizon, the market clearly trends in one direction
and it's not down. But that's the thing, David. I mean,
there are a lot of investors who really just started in the last seven, eight years or so.
So, they've never dealt with something like this.
Yeah, this week is a helpful reminder that stocks do indeed sometimes go down.
But at the same time, you do have to take a step back and keep this in perspective,
because the S&P 500 has just fallen back to where it was in July a few months ago.
So, even though, obviously, it hurts to see your money go down more than it feels good to see your money go up,
we tend to react in a sharper way to pain rather than the joy of gain.
So it's really just, this comes down to the psychology of investing. But when you can keep
that long-term time horizon in mind, just remember that the longer you hold, the higher your odds of
success over time. There's never been a 20-year stretch with S&P 500 where you actually would
have lost money. And that's going through the Great Depression, the Great Recession,
multiple wars, and all sorts of other macro events and worries. So the longer you can hold your
stocks and the wider your time horizon, the better off you'll be as an investor. But it doesn't take
away the pain that you see in a week like this. But I think with that kind of perspective, you
treat a drop like we've seen this week as more of an opportunity rather than something to fear.
And I think it's also important to note that the stocks that have been the highest flyers
are the stocks that have come down the most and actually have a bigger impact on the S&P 500
because of how much they've grown. And I'm thinking largely about the tech stocks,
stocks that you'll often hear called momentum stocks. And by the way, if you buy a momentum
stock, you better understand that momentum goes both ways. So, what goes up does come down.
Physics tells us that. Hopefully, they go up more than they go down. But when these stocks
that have been on a tear come down, they come down rather severely. That can create an opportunity
to pick up shares as they get cheaper if you have the stomach for the volatility. Sometimes I see
people jumping in a little too soon. They see one day a company drop 2% and they say, oh,
time to get in. 2% in the scheme of things when a stock is up hundreds of percent is nothing.
But it's important to see what pockets of the market are really bringing the market as a whole
down. Yeah, I think it's really easy to get into a situation like this and get nervous,
particularly if you're a relatively new investor. We like to quote Warren Buffett all the time here.
There is one quote, I'm going to push back on him a little bit, because he said something to
the extent of diversification is for people who don't know what they're doing, or something to
that effect. And I get what he's saying there. He's like, if you know what you're doing, then
really you can go ahead and concentrate your bets and feel good about how you're investing.
I think for the most part, people need to focus on diversification. I think this is a great example
of a time where diversification can help combat the emotions that you likely feel in volatile
times like these. We invest a certain way, obviously, long-term in mind. We have a lot
of those growth names in our portfolio, and a lot of that growth has been pulled forward
in these valuations today. So, to see them take a hit is not surprising. But if you have
some nice, staid dividend aristocrats, for example, in your portfolio to help counter
those high growth names, then this volatility becomes a lot easier to stomach.
Well, that was one of the things we talked about last week, Ron, was we're seeing interest rates
going up. We're seeing 10-year treasuries at a seven-year high. And another thing we talked
about this morning was just sort of the speed. I mean, it's not just the market is going down,
it is the speed with which we're seeing these drops. And I have to believe that at least part
of this is that rise in interest rates and the relative attractiveness of stocks going down
ever so slightly. For sure. Interest rates are a very,
very big part of this. And not only do higher interest rates make borrowing costs for companies
higher, which lends to them having declining profits as a result of increasing costs, but
higher interest rates create alternative investments that make the stock market perhaps less attractive
than it looked when interest rates were low. If you can earn 3% at a risk-free 10-year
U.S. Treasury, maybe you don't want to own a 2% dividend stock, unless of course you
think there's appreciation potential on top of that to be had. But you start to think
about it a little bit and do the math, and certainly a subset of investors say,
I'll take the 3%, the 3.5% safe money. Yeah, I think rising interest rates
impact shorter-term investors or traders more than it impacts fools like us who have a long-term
time horizon. We're often investing with the intent to hold these companies for at least
five years. And ideally, you have 10, 20, 30 years. And in the grand scheme of things there,
where interest rates go from one quarter to another, one year to another, probably doesn't
matter as much when you're thinking in terms of decades, not quarters or years. But at the same
time, you're seeing all the talking heads on CNBC and TV who do often have a shorter-term time
horizon. That's all they talk about. So, you can't just ignore it. But keep that longer-term
picture in perspective. And I think the interest rates turn out to be more noise when it comes to
the individual companies in your portfolio. And just to double down on something that Jason
mentioned about diversification, you just have to remember that the volatility that we've seen
this week is the norm, not the exception when it comes to the stock market. So,
build your portfolio accordingly. Position your portfolio in such a way that you can kind of
ignore this inevitable short-term volatility as best you can and keep that long-term time
horizon in mind. For some people, that might mean having a little bit more cash on the
side to take advantage of market declines like this. It might mean diversifying into
some more stable companies, like Jason mentioned. But whatever it is, you want to build your
portfolio in such a way that you see this inevitable volatility as an opportunity, not
something to worry about.
And I'll just add, during times like this, you often hear criticism of the Fed
being too tight on monetary policy or wherever. They're always to blame. I would recommend
to Foolish investors to turn that conversation off in your head. Focus on the companies you
own, the companies that you think are great for the next five and 10 years. Let the Fed
do whatever the Fed is going to do. It's out of your control anyway. Just stay as a long-term investor.
It's kind of laughable when you consider that a few years ago, the Fed was being
criticized for cutting rates. They can't win. It's a miserable job.
I'm sorry, you can't have it both ways. You can't say, the economy is the strongest
it's ever been, and then in the next breath say, but please don't raise interest rates
a quarter percent because we're so fragile, we'll just be destroyed. I should point out
that we are taping this in the middle of the trading day on Friday. So, while the market
was up in the morning, who knows where it'll end up. So, fingers crossed, it ends in the green.
But let's just go around the table, because one of the things that we talked about
in our planning meeting this morning was, we were kind of hoping to see a little bit
more of this. And who knows, depending on how next week goes, maybe we'll get more of that.
We're looking for opportunities, particularly if you've got a little cash on the sidelines,
if you've got a watch list. And by the way, this is why we do stocks on our radar.
This is why we have a watch list. So, Ron, I'll just start with you. What's a company
that you've got your eye on that, if it fell 20% next week, you wouldn't be too upset?
Yeah. People think we're disingenuous when we say we wish the stock market would
have kept going down. But it really is true. I've had a lot of cash on the sidelines waiting
for opportunities like this. And I'm under-allocated in some of those high-tech stocks I mentioned
earlier. And I'd love to get in on them at cheaper prices. 20% lower would be awesome.
So, a company like Twilio, T-W-L-O, they make applications that arm developers with the
tools to embed communications, like text, voice, and video. So, the WhatsApp app of
Facebook uses Twilio's applications. I'd love to be an owner of that stock, but at the right price.
Jason? Yeah, it was an easy one for me.
I'm already an owner of IDEXX Laboratories. The ticker there is IDXX. But I would certainly
love to pick up some more shares at a cheaper price. IDEXX is the market leader in the pet
diagnostics equipment and testing markets. So, they get a lot of those big razors, the
equipment, into veterinarians' offices, and then they sell them those blades, the consumables,
in the form of those diagnostic tests and whatnot. I have a veterinarian that uses all
of their stuff, swears by it, and my three dogs at home seem to be very happy and healthy,
Chris. So, I'm going to take his word for it. David?
I'm looking at Match Group, kind of in a similar boat to Ron here. This has been
a high flyer. It's been an incredible stock, but still trading for close to 40X forward earnings.
But this is a company behind a portfolio of dating sites and apps like Tinder
and its namesake Match. This is really getting to be a business that's printing cash. Free
cash flow has more than doubled over the past four years, expanding globally. They have
a subscription model that they're rolling out with Tinder that seems to be doing really
well so far, finding ways to increase user engagement both in North America and around
the world. That's one I'm keeping an eye on. I'll just add, the first thing I did
when the market started turning south is, I checked our internal system to see if I
was clear to buy the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000. Nothing wrong with buying an ETF, a
broad-based index. With a nod towards a theme we've talked
about for a while now, the war on cash, I will simply say that I would not at all be
upset if Visa and MasterCard had really bad weeks.
Good options. This may be hard to believe,
there actually was material news from some of the companies on Wall Street. We will dig into that
next. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Hey, speaking of rising interest rates,
there's a lot of unpredictability when it comes to buying a home these days.
Some folks are getting nervous, and our friends at Quicken Loans are doing something about it.
They're calling it the power buying process, and it works like this. Quicken Loans will verify your
income, assets, and credit in less than 24 hours to give you a verified approval. That gives you
the strength of a cash buyer. And once you're verified, you qualify for their all-new exclusive
rate shield approval. They will lock your rate for up to 90 days while you shop. And the best
part is, if rates go up, and they just might, your rate stays the same. And if rates go down,
your rate also drops. So, either way, you win. It's the kind of thinking you'd expect from
America's largest mortgage lender. To get started, just go to rocketmortgage.com slash
fool. Reach Yield approval is only valid on certain 30-year purchase transactions. Additional
conditions or exclusions may apply based on Quicken Loans data in comparison to public
data records. Equal housing lender, licensed in all 50 states. NMLSconsumeraccess.org,
number 3030.
And I've got $2 in the jukebox.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in studio with Jason Moser, David Kretzmann,
and Ron Gross. New radio stations to add to our family of affiliates. Shout out to Newstalk
550 AM and 99.1 FM in Wausau, Wisconsin. Also, 99.9 FM in Stevens Point.
We love them. Shout out to the Cheese State. Shares of Square fell more than 20% this week.
Some of that was the market, Jason. Some of it was also due to Sarah Fryer, who is the
CFO at Square. She announced she is leaving at the end of the year.
You know, I was in communication with the investor relations department at Square.
I was trying to work out an interview with Sarah, and they were like, you know,
she may be a little bit busy, well, now I get it.
She's very busy.
Yeah, there was a bit of a one-two punch there.
I mean, you understand when the market pulls back, a stock like Square is going to pull
back even more, because there's been a lot of growth priced into that stock price.
Losing Sarah Fryer is not good.
I mean, you can't sit there and cupcake it. She really is the most public face for the company,
I think even more so than Jack Dorsey. But I think it's important to really recognize
what Square is. It's not just about cheap swipe fees for small businesses around the country,
and really around the world. You've got Square Capital, you've got the Cash App,
and all of this other software that they're building out and offering for retail and
restaurants and whatnot. So, this becomes really, I know we use this word a lot, but it works here
as an ecosystem. And it matters, because as you get these merchants using this Square
hardware and software, you see some switching costs start to develop there. And I think
that they are in the middle of really growing out something special here. And I think if
you look at Square, where they are today vs. where PayPal is today, through the second
quarter of this year, the gross payments volume that has traveled through Square's networks
is just under $40 billion. That same number, the gross payments volume that's traveled
through PayPal's network is close to $275 billion. So, that gives you a very good idea
of the opportunity that's in front of Square. There's plenty of growth to be had there.
And we also know with PayPal's business model, there's a good blueprint there as to how profitable
Square can be if they keep doing what they're doing. So, my guess is that Jack is going
to be very thoughtful in how he fills this role to make sure that he gets someone in
there to keep this company on the path that they're on.
No doubt, these are big shoes to fill. She's done incredible jobs since she joined
Square, I think, six years ago, in 2012. And I think there will be more scrutiny from investors
in Wall Street on how Square goes about this, finding a replacement for her. Because still,
Jack Dorsey is CEO at Twitter and Square. And Sarah, like Jason mentioned, has really
been the public face of Square, and almost operating more as a co-CEO alongside Dorsey.
So, who they find to replace her will be important.
You had me at cupcake.
Sears falling again this week on reports that the company is preparing to file for bankruptcy
as early as this weekend. Ron Sears is working on some financing deals that could potentially
keep them open through Christmas. Here we go, finally! I think it's
to liquidate or not to liquidate, that's the question. Chapter 11, reorganization,
or Chapter 7, liquidation? I think Lampert wants to keep this afloat. He wants to get
some interim financing to make it through Christmas. He wants to shut a bunch of stores.
He wants to try to reorganize this thing to keep it going. I'm not sure the banks agree.
It might be time for them to take whatever they can get in liquidation and just go home.
I mean, who's lending them money at this point, with the way that Eddie Lampert
has run that company for the past however many years?
Reports are that Bank of America and Wells Fargo are in talks with them for
emergency financing. That doesn't necessarily mean long-term financing. They do have $134
million of loans coming due, I want to say, on Monday. So, that's when we actually could
see the bankruptcy filing.
So, are Walmart and Target sort of the slight beneficiaries of Sears if they liquidate?
I guess so, but I think they've been benefiting all along from the slow demise.
Our email address is radioatfool.com. Question from Philip Green, who writes,
there's been a lot of talk about investments being made in cannabis companies from outside
the industry. Do you think tobacco companies are looking at cannabis legalization as a
strategic opportunity? Seems to me that there would be fewer logistical hurdles on the part
of these companies that already grow and distribute a variety of leafy products. David, what do you think?
Philip called it. This week, it was rumored
that Altria is rumored to be looking to invest in a Canadian cannabis producer. Afria is
the name that keeps coming up as far as the producer they're looking at within Canada.
I think the biggest question here is, why did it take so long? Because it's been almost
a year since Constellation Brands first invested in Canopy Growth, and they re-upped that investment
in a huge way in August. And along the way, you have more and more of these multinational
companies getting more comfortable, I think, with the legal framework of the legal cannabis
industry in Canada and elsewhere. So, you have Coca-Cola, Diageo, PepsiCo, all mentioning that
they're sort of at least keeping an eye on it, exploring potential partnerships with cannabis
companies in Canada. But I think this is a testament to the fact that these companies
are getting more comfortable with the idea that the U.S. federal government won't intervene with
these kind of deals. So far, Constellation Brands hasn't dealt with really any legal headwinds,
at least from the U.S. government. So, it's probably an indication that these companies
expect full federal legalization of cannabis to happen in the U.S. sooner than later.
Yeah, if you're on the board of directors at Altria and you see Coca-Cola and Pepsi
are kicking the tires on this industry, yeah, you have to be wondering why you're not.
Yeah, and you also have to take a step back and realize that per capita cigarette consumption,
at least in the U.S., has been cut in half since 2000. So there are clearly headwinds
when it comes to tobacco use. But cannabis is potentially a healthier alternative to get a
similar high and, you know, kind of fill the gap that is being lost with cigarettes.
All right, guys, we'll see you later in the show. Up next, a conversation with
cybersecurity expert Bruce Schneier. Stay right here. This is Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. Whether it was Equifax last fall or Facebook
and Google Plus just in the past few weeks. Hacking has very much been in the headlines.
Bruce Schneier is a security technologist and author of several books, including his latest
entitled, Click Here to Kill Everybody, Security and Survival in a Hyperconnected World. Bruce
joins me now from Boston. Bruce, thanks so much for taking a few minutes to talk.
Yeah, thanks for having me.
So, Click Here to Kill Everybody, kind of a dire title, although you tell me,
How bad is the problem? Because it's certainly getting a lot of attention.
And it's a different problem that I'm talking about. You're talking about data theft. You
mentioned Equifax, Facebook, Google+, remember the Target breach, office personnel management.
Those are all somebody stole and misused data. But I'm writing that as something different.
I'm writing about the new world of physically capable computers, where it's no longer phones,
and servers and laptops. It's cars and medical devices and power plants and home thermostats
and appliances. It's computers that affect the world in a direct physical manner. And there,
the issue isn't loss of data. There, the issue is loss of life and property. So security is not
getting better, but the threat model is changing because of how computers are being used.
So one of the things that has been talked about with reference to a company like Tesla is that as their vehicles get more dynamic, get smarter, you've heard people say, well, it's not so much a car, it's a computer that you can drive.
Knowing what you know, are you more likely or less likely to be interested in driving a vehicle like that?
And we're not going to have much choice because it's not necessarily a computer-assisted vehicle like a Tesla.
It's a computer-connected vehicle like everything else.
I tried to buy a car last year that was not on the Internet, and I failed.
They did exist, but not in the fair class I wanted.
And this is a security problem.
It's complicated, but this is dangerous.
We don't know how to build computers that can't be hacked.
And that characterization of a car as a computer with four wheels and an engine, I mean, really, it's a 100-plus computer distributed system with four wheels and an engine, is accurate.
Just like your refrigerator is a computer that keeps things cold, and your microwave is a computer that makes things hot, and an ATM machine is a computer with money inside.
These are computers.
They fail like computers.
They can be hacked like computers.
Yet the consequences is someone disables the brakes, someone disables the steering.
There's a great video on YouTube now, a reporter from Wired a few years ago, is in a car and researchers take over the car remotely from 10 miles away.
First, it's fun and games.
They turn on the radio.
They turn on the windshield wipers.
Then they disable the steering.
And they can disable the brakes.
This is worrisome.
So well before you get to a driverless car, a Tesla, a car that makes stay-in-the-lane decisions, normal cars can be hacked and have key functionality disabled.
So is this something that you see the marketplace solving?
Is this a situation where companies just have to get better about building in security for whether it's a smart home device or a vehicle?
Or at some point, does regulation need to step in?
This is 100% market failure.
What we have today is what the market delivers.
So let's talk about Equifax last year.
They lost the personal information of every single American.
And there were very angry Congress people.
I testified before the House.
There were angry people on both sides of the aisle.
Something must be done.
This cannot stand.
It's now a year and a month later.
Nothing was done.
The lesson of Equifax, what the market teaches is underspend on security, do a lousy job, get to market quicker, have more features, take your chances.
if you get unlucky, weather the press storm and you'll be fine. That's the lesson Facebook is
learning today, right? A lot of very angry Congress people, nothing will happen. I see no way to solve
this other than regulation, right? The markets cannot solve it. And in a sense, that's not a
surprise. There isn't an industry in the past, I don't know, century and a half that has improved
safety and security without being forced by the government? Planes, automobiles, pharmaceuticals,
food production, medical devices, restaurants, consumer goods, workplace, most recently financial
products. Again and again, the smart business thing is to have lousy products that the public
will buy and do your best after the fact to duck any real cost for that insecurity or
unsafety.
In my book, I talk primarily about policy solutions.
There's a lot of tech to do, but policy is the key here.
So you mentioned your attempt to buy a car.
I'm curious, given everything that you know, given everything that you've written about,
how has this affected other parts of your life do you for example not have a smartphone because
of the potential for hacking do you avoid smart home devices that sort of thing you know no and
in a sense that's really lousy advice you'll hear people say this right you don't like iphone
security don't buy an iphone i don't be on facebook but a lot of these things are essential
for living in the 21st century, right?
Of course I have a smartphone.
And of course I have devices in my home
that are on the internet.
You can't not.
Of course I have an email address and a credit card.
I'm not on Facebook.
That's because I'm a social freak,
not because I'm worried about security.
We're not going to be able to solve the problem
by denying ourselves the benefits
of these computerized and connected things.
There's real value in all of these.
And what I tell people is, you know, you make your best decision, do the best you can.
I mean, it's not going to be something that you'll be able to fix in a buying decision.
So you mentioned the data breach that Target had.
And I think that for a lot of people, and certainly it's the case with me, that when I see a headline like that, major retailer had a data hack, tens of millions of credit cards have been potentially compromised, et cetera, that sort of thing.
Honestly, Bruce, my eyes just kind of glaze over because it's sort of commonplace now.
Of course, and Target knows that.
All corporations know that.
That's why they don't care.
That's why they're not making security better.
I guess as an aside, can we all agree that calling your company Target is a bad idea?
All right, so aside from that, what you're seeing is the reality.
If you have a bad security breach, your stock price is not affected.
Your customers don't leave you.
It's commonplace.
Why would a company spend money on security when there's no cost to insecurity?
All the costs are borne by their customers or sometimes users or sometimes random people like Equifax.
I can't even fire Equifax.
I didn't hire them in the first place.
They just have my data without my knowledge or consent because it's legal for them to do that.
Very serious market failure here.
This is not something the market will solve.
So you say that there's really no incentive for greater security.
But if you – let's move away from this type of security and just think in terms of what we consider to be traditional defense security for America.
If you go back in time 20 years and you look at the companies that are in the business of defense for America, Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics, Northrop Grumman, those types of companies, those are publicly traded companies that if 20 years ago you had bought all three of those stocks, not only would you have done well as an investor, you would have soundly trounced the market's return.
Is there no similar opportunity in this type of security? Because this is a show for investors, and this seems like a massive problem that someone, whoever figures out how to solve it, will benefit tremendously from it.
There are security companies that do great. The corollary of all of the computers and services you buy are lousy is there's a huge aftermarket in security products and services, and they do do well.
I mean, a lot of things don't sell, but a lot of things do sell. It's a complex market. And there are opportunities. When you find customers in pain and companies who can alleviate that pain, that is a good market. There's a lot of things that aren't selling well.
In a lot of ways, it's like selling insurance or step back, right?
There are two ways to sell things, fear and greed.
Greed is I want something.
Fear is more complicated.
I don't actually want the thing, but I want to avoid what I would get if I didn't have the thing.
A fear sell is a lot harder than a greed sell.
You can sell fear.
Like burglar-armed companies make money, insurance companies make money, and internet security companies make money.
But it is a harder sell.
So you have to be clever about it.
And lots of security companies don't do well.
Some do great.
To what level, on a scale of 1 to 10, do you have optimism that there will be regulation,
that all the interested parties from the government side and from Silicon Valley will come to the table and work to solve this?
100% there will be regulation
because the government
regulates things that kill people
no exception
as soon as the internet starts killing people
there will be regulation
whether the tech companies will be at the table
who knows
it could be just something that's born out of fear
and happens quickly
whether the tech companies will wise up
and realize that regulation is in their best interest
that's less likely
this is Silicon Valley
They're very libertarian, very regulation phobic.
They don't really understand the value of government.
But once truly bad things happen, I think they'll have no choice.
We are past the debate of government regulation versus no government regulation.
We are now in the debate of smart government regulation versus stupid government regulation.
When you look at the big tech giants, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Microsoft,
Of that group, is there anyone that you think is either poised to be a leader on this issue
or is particularly vulnerable on this issue?
They all can be leaders, and they're all vulnerable.
They're the big companies.
They're the ones who are going to be affected, and they're the ones who are going to affect the process.
My guess is that sooner or later, the companies will realize, those big companies,
that regulation favors incumbents,
that regulation actually is a barrier to entry to new competition.
And then they will embrace it.
You're seeing some talk about the tech companies now in privacy regulation, not because they want it, because they're seeing things like the new California privacy law saying, yikes, and want a federal process that will be worse that they can influence to preempt that.
Last question, and then I'll let you go.
Look, we've seen the credit card being compromised.
We've seen that story before countless times.
We've seen Facebook a few times this year alone.
For my money, the most unusual hack that I've come across is the Las Vegas casino that was hacked through an Internet-enabled fish tank.
Is that number one on your list of unusual hacks, or do you have something that tops that?
You know, it's funny.
It's what I was thinking of when you were leading into the question.
It's a good example of things being connected and vulnerabilities affecting each other.
A Target Corporation was hacked, they had a financial network hacked, through someone who broke into the HVAC contractor of several mid-Pennsylvania stores.
That Vegas casino had their high roller database stolen by hackers who broke in through the fish tank.
So seemingly innocuous things that we connect to the internet in our networks can have wide-reaching effects.
I think that's one of the important lessons that we need to teach.
That it's not just a fish tank who cares, it's your financial network.
It just looks like a fish tank.
The book is Click Here to Kill Everybody, Security and Survival in a Hyperconnected World.
It is available everywhere you find books.
Bruce Schneier, thanks so much for being here.
Hey, thank you.
Coming up, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
Stay right here.
This is Motley Fool Money.
All right, before we get to the stocks on our radar,
let's talk about hiring. Because if you hire the right person, that can make a huge impact
on your business. And that's why it's important to find the right person. And where do you find
them? You find them on LinkedIn. LinkedIn is more than the world's largest professional network.
It's also a better way to find great talent. 70% of the U.S. workforce is already on LinkedIn.
So what are you waiting for? Businesses rate LinkedIn jobs 40% higher than job boards at
delivering quality candidates. And that's what you want. You want quality candidates coming
through the door. Just ask any of the hundreds of thousands of businesses who have posted to
LinkedIn jobs over the past year. 22 million professionals view and apply to jobs on LinkedIn
every week in every industry, even yours, even mine. So if you're not using LinkedIn for your
hiring needs, you're missing out. So get on over to LinkedIn.com slash fool for $50 off your first
job post. That's linkedin.com slash fool. Terms and conditions apply.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against,
so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris
Hill here in studio once again with Jason Moser, David Kretzmann, and Ron Gross. We've got a little
bit of time. Let's dip back into the Fool mailbag. Radio at fool.com is our email address. From John
Sheffield, I listen to your MarketFoolery podcast every morning while getting ready for work.
Thanks, John. He didn't have a question. He goes on to write, my family bought me shares of Coca-Cola
when I was about six months old, set it to reinvest, and left it there. I moved it to my
own trading account a few years ago, and now at 23 years old, it has grown to quite a large position.
I've been investing for a few years now with my own money, but I've never known what to do with
this massive position, because that has a very low cost basis. Do I sell some of it
down and put it to work somewhere else? Do I let it sit and continue to reinvest? There's
not a ton of growth opportunity, but Coca-Cola pays a nice dividend every quarter. Thanks
and keep up the great work." First of all, John should be taking his family
out to dinner. That's the first thing. But we get a version of this question from time
to time. We love to see this. But it's a nice problem to have, Ron, but it's still a problem.
It's still a problem, and it's a problem for a financial planner, but I'll take a shot at it.
If it's too big a portion of your portfolio, and it probably is at 23 years old,
it probably is wise to sell some of it down as you get older and put it to work in other things.
It doesn't have to be done immediately. There's no rush. Coca-Cola is not going anywhere. As he
mentioned, it pays a nice dividend. Cap gains tax rate, 15%. Not too bad, not too punitive.
You can take it and put it somewhere else that will earn you more money, hopefully,
than you're going to pay in taxes. Eventually, one day, you could let your heirs take that stock,
and the cost basis will step up, and there'll be no taxes associated with it. But at 23 years old,
you're probably not thinking about your heirs that much.
Yeah, Coca-Cola is certainly probably going to continue to be one of the more stable companies
you can invest in. It's not going to be a high flyer, but like John said, you get the
reliable dividends. So, I think part of it is, how confident are you in Coca-Cola shares
five-plus years from now? But in the meantime, I agree with Ron, it can't hurt to sell bits
and pieces, sell in stages, as you have other ideas that you want to diversify into.
And quickly, I would say, don't reinvest the dividends. Take the dividends in cash
and put them to work in something else, rather than accumulate more Coke.
Alright, let's get to the stocks on our radar and our man behind the glass. Steve
Bruno's going to hit you with a question. Ron Gross, you're up first. What are you looking
at this week?
I've got a radar stock, not a recommendation yet. Boston Omaha, B-O-M-N. It's a small-cap
stock, only about $600 million market cap. Under the radar, early-stage conglomerate,
which is funny, early-stage conglomerate. But they invest in businesses with attractive
economics, mostly right now in outdoor advertising a la billboards and surety bonds insurance.
They also hold some home building real estate services and some other things, too. Really
strong leadership, two investment guys. Right now, they're only taking minimum wage as a
salary until they can grow this thing. So, I really like how they're aligning themselves
with shareholders. Steve, question about Boston, Omaha?
What's the most memorable billboard you can remember, Ron?
Well, I think on the way to Vegas, there are some very interesting billboards
that you see as you get closer to the Strip. Jason Moser, what are you looking at
this week? Taking a look at a new IPO, a recent IPO here called Eventbrite, ticker is EB. As I
said, they just went public, so there isn't a whole heck of a lot of information out there
beyond the S-1. But this is a tech platform in the form of an app and also a desktop. But
ultimately, they have the components for individuals and groups to plan, promote,
produce live events. And this helps them do that without having to go to a number of different
providers. It helps drive ticket sales. And that's ultimately how they make their money,
is by getting the fees from these ticket sales. The interesting thing about this company management,
it's led by a husband-and-wife team of Kevin and Julia Hartz. And if Kevin Hartz sounds
familiar, Chris, well, Kevin Hartz was also behind the founding of Zoom, which is a company
that was recently acquired by PayPal, and you know I liked it a lot.
You were very bitter about that acquisition. I was a little bitter.
You wanted Zoom to be a standalone public company.
still harboring a little bit of it, too.
Steve, question about Eventbrite?
Sure. With all the video streaming that's going on in this world today, do you worry
about that taking a hit at Eventbrite?
Well, I think that's an opportunity potentially to leverage what they're doing
with partners, whether it's Live Nation, or we've seen Live Nation with Twitter, for example,
start offering some video streaming there. So, I think there are a lot of different ways
they can leverage that content with social partners to be able to get that out to bigger audiences.
David, what are you looking at?
I'm looking at Vail Resorts, ticker MTN.
I believe this was Maddie's radar stock last week, so I'm double-dipping here.
But this is the company behind ski resorts.
And they're increasingly diversified across different seasons,
so summer and winter, and geographies around the world.
Dividend yield at an all-time high, 24 times free cash flow.
Taking a look.
Steve, how do I know when I'm ready for the Black Diamond?
Oh, gosh.
Don't ask me, Steve.
That's the answer.
What do you want to add to your watch list, Steve?
Eventbrite sounds pretty cool.
Yeah.
All right.
Jason Moser, David Kretzmann, Ron Gross.
Guys, thanks for being here.
Thanks, Chris.
That's going to do it for this week's edition of Motley Fool Money.
Our engineer is Steve Roido.
Our producer is Matt Greer.
I'm Chris Hill.
Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next week.
