Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing - What We’re Doing (or Not Doing) as the Market Drops

Episode Date: March 6, 2026

The conflict in Iran is on every investor’s mind as stocks seem to sink day after day. But panic is never the right answer and we discuss what we’re doing (or not doing) in today’s market. Then ...we deep dive into an unloved company, Disney. Travis Hoium, Emily Flippen, and Lou Whiteman discuss: - Iran, the market, and what we’re doing now - Broadcom earnings - Disney deep dive - Stocks on our radar Companies discussed: Stantech (STN), Honeywell (HON), Disney (DIS), Broadcom (AVGO), NVIDIA (NVDA). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Emily Flippen, Lou Whiteman Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠megaphone.fm/adchoices⁠⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 The market is falling again, so what should investors be thinking this week? Motley Fool Money starts now. Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money. From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money. Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm Travis Hoy. I'm joined today by Emily Flippen and Lou Whiteman. And guys, we've got to talk about the topic of the week. We have this war, conflict, whatever you want to call it, in Iran that started last weekend, started impacting the
Starting point is 00:00:54 markets on Monday. We're down significantly early on Friday as we're recording. Lou, I want to just get your general thoughts on what do you think as an investor in times like this? What's signal? What's noise? Because it seems like the market goes from, you know, panic to, you know, the market shoot up every 15, 20 minutes, and it's hard to make sense of things. Yeah. So the first thing, I want to give everybody a free pass to do nothing. Because, you know, I mean, it's always fun to be able to brag six months later, I caught the low and I bought something. And, you know, I mean, if you want to be opportunistic, that's fine. But I think it's good enough for your long-term wealth creation to just not panic sell. And so, you know, I mean, the world is changing.
Starting point is 00:01:42 Things could be fundamentally different after this than they were before. Good companies tend to survive these things. And, you know, so yes, I think there's every reason in the world to watch this, to monitor, to think about it. I haven't seen much of a reason to say, oh no, everything I thought two weeks ago isn't right. Like even with today's sell-off, we're down 1.5% for the year in the market. So, I mean, I do think it's hard to take a long-term perspective in this moment, but to not take the second by second perspective, at least you can do a long way towards preserving what you've worked for. Emily, do you have similar long-term views on kind of what to do on weeks like this? Yeah. And actually I have some numbers to back it up too.
Starting point is 00:02:27 And in fact, there is to lose point, a lot of data that supports the idea that patience wins out whenever there is a geopolitical volatility like this and panicking does not and will not help us. And history tells us that stocks actually do go up after these types of events, weirdly enough. And we can debate about why that is. But there's some good data here from the Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Global Investment Office that the average return of the S&P 500 a week after a geopolitical shock is actually positive. One month out, it's around 1.5%. And then when you zoom out to a year, it's over 8%. And if you look at that, the median return after a year, it's even better at over 10%. So it goes to show that panicking generally after
Starting point is 00:03:10 an event like this has already happened by either like selling your stock, selling the market broadly really isn't the best way to go about handling, managing risk or volatility in your portfolio. But I say that not to be blasé about the risk of what we're seeing and certainly what we're seeing happening in Iran and particularly with the Strait of Hormuz, like that is very, very concerning and can be concerning for very specific industries and certain businesses. So I think the bigger question, whether there's two separate ones, I should say, there's a question of, oh my gosh, I'm the average American investor. I have a lot of money in index funds. I have a lot of money diversified across the market, across many different industries and
Starting point is 00:03:46 businesses. And I'm panicking because of this geopolitical event. What do I do? And of course, the answer is sit on your hands, be patient, do nothing. And then there's this question of, oh no, I'm seeing the fact that 20% of global oil consumption is flowing through the straits. There's a potential for further conflict in the Middle East. And now I think some of my particular stocks or individual companies may be exposed. And that's when you have to go back in and start evaluating those particular businesses and exposure in those specific instances. And there are some cases that I think are worth reevaluating in this scenario. Lou, going to those specific points, one of the things that we talked about early in the week a
Starting point is 00:04:26 little bit, and maybe we're seeing this as the week rolls on, is there specific risks related to the economy, because Emily brought it up, the Strait of Hormuz, there's a lot of oil flowing through that area. Oil is a big expense for a lot of people in the U.S. and around the world. If we're already at this weak economic position, particularly in this K-shaped economy that you keep talking about, could this be the straw that breaks the camel's back? Yeah, it really could be. I do. Again, you talk about you don't want to be too, like Emily said, you don't want to be too dismissive or ignore it. We already had headwinds. We already had some percentage of the U.S. consumers out there who are struggling. Adding
Starting point is 00:05:08 a dollar to a price of a gallon of gasoline could be the tipping point that sends just so many consumers that we do see just a real pullback in spending that then spirals into a pullback in commercial spending and becomes a recession. Even here, it's good to recall that this is part of the cycle, even if it comes from an unexpected event. We are probably due for one of these. And again, I think as a long-term investor, we try and wait it out, look for opportunities. So even there, I don't want to panic, but I do think that it's at least a reasonable worry to say, I mean, I don't think that the conflict that's going on can't be resolved in some way that we can, this changes everything. But I do think we have to look at where the economy may go from here
Starting point is 00:06:04 and at least prepare ourselves for it. We've been talking about it forever. Maybe this is what does it. The good thing about the United States in particular is that we're relatively energy independent. And so there is some insulation that happens here. And the good thing about the conflict in the Middle East that we're seeing is that there is going to be pressure from both OPEC and the UAE and other countries that depend upon this strait for other shipments to probably resolve this problem sooner rather than later. And it's not to say that we haven't seen massive infrastructure issues. That's going to take months, if not years, to fix. That is a very real headwind. But I do think that the world we're living in today is different than the world we
Starting point is 00:06:42 used to live in, where a lot of the geopolitical events like these, when we saw conflict, it was, for lack of a better word, something that was months and months in planning. And in this administration, we see an administration that is more willing than ever to try new things and then also walk them back quickly if and when they don't work out. So things are more volatile, more quickly shifting now than they ever have been. And I think that's part of the reason why we're heading into the weekend here. There's a lot of volatility in the stock market just today because people are trying to price in. How much can change just in the next 48 hours before the markets open up again on Monday? So there is a lot going on here that I think people are trying
Starting point is 00:07:17 to price in. But the good news is that I actually think there's a lot of pressure to get this conflict resolved relatively quickly. America in particular is pretty well insulated here. In my opinion, the most actionable advice I have for anybody who's looking at their portfolio and is thinking, what do I do in this scenario? In my mind, and this is just my opinion, I kind of think energy might be a trim here. It's the best performing sector in the S&P 500 so far this year. We're seeing oil obviously spike up as a result of this conflict. And a lot of people, I think, are doing a bit of panic buying. In my opinion, that's a good time to be a little bit contrarian. If your exposure is too high and you're seeing all these assets appreciate in value,
Starting point is 00:07:54 now might be the time to consider exposure. I would personally take a little bit off the table. And then if and when we see the price of oil or gas come back down, that might be the time to buy back in. Well, let's talk about some of those contrarian ideas, Lou. Where are you looking for opportunities in the market? And as you guys are talking, I'm thinking through the stocks that I own. And I focus a lot over the last year, a lot on balance sheets. What companies are sitting on a whole bunch of cash that gives you the optionality that, hey, if there's a moment like this, maybe you just say, okay, fine, I'll buy back 20% of the shares outstanding. Or I'll acquire a company that's in a little bit worse financial position, you know, these dislocations don't
Starting point is 00:08:33 necessarily last forever. But if you were able to play offense in these moments, then that can be a good thing. But how are you thinking about maybe putting your money to work or like Emily said, taking things off the table at a time like this? Yeah, look, I mean, I'm a believer that there's always opportunity somewhere. And I don't think that changes now. But yeah, like how does that change. I think you're right. I think there's a lot of, I mean, but to me, it's more just recession thinking I go into now, like what companies are being beaten down, but can weather this and still thrive long-term. Just, I mean, very simple things. I don't think we're there yet though. I, again, you know, I mean, we're basically flat for the year. I, unfortunately,
Starting point is 00:09:17 I think that for this to really become a buyer's market across the board, things have got to get lot worse, which I don't know if I love that. To Emily's point, I agree 100% on oil. If I had energy exposure, I'd probably be looking to take some off there. Other things too, I think across the board, I own some defense stocks. I actually think the reaction that has been to the upside is probably overstated there. I'm not actively looking to trim because the long-term is opportunity there. But I honestly think there's more opportunities to think about, do I want to hold this through a recession right now than there is opportunities right now to say, I want to buy. Emily, how are you thinking about, maybe if you're taking some of that energy money off the table,
Starting point is 00:10:09 where are you looking for opportunities or what characteristics are you looking for? I just love indiscriminate selling. The panic selling that other people do, I just view it as great opportunistic chances for patient long-term investors, like everybody who's listening is. Yeah. One of the things I do early on days like this is I'll look at the market and I'll go, okay, is everything red? Is everything down 2%, 3%, 4%? Or is it something specific? And this is not a SaaSpocalypse this week. This is just everything was down at least a couple of these trading days like today. Yes, exactly. You nailed it, Travis. Which is to say, this is the reason why I say I love to keep a watch list of companies. If you don't have necessarily the assets to buy
Starting point is 00:10:49 everything you want to buy in any given day, it's great on days like today. If you have a little bit of cash on the sidelines, if you're taking your terming, say, a little bit of energy today, you're thinking, where can I invest? Having that watch list of businesses that are being indiscriminately sold off. And it's not necessarily saying, okay, well, I know software is down big. Is there seeing massive AI-based disruption? Now is the time to buy in. Because there is still this really big question mark. And obviously, it's a case-by-case basis here. But those are companies that maybe there's a reason why they sold off. But on days like today where the industry is selling
Starting point is 00:11:15 and you see great companies that have maybe existed on your watch list, for me, there's a lot of great consumer goods facing names, which I'm sure we'll talk about later in the show. These types of businesses are the ones where it's like, okay, I see a pullback here, maybe I'm waiting to get in, today's the day. When we come back,
Starting point is 00:11:30 we are gonna get a little update on earnings before doing a deep dive on a company Emily and I have been talking about for a while, that's Disney. Stay tuned for that, you're listening to Motley Fool Money. You've got to try Bread First at A&W. You've got to try Bread First at A&W.
Starting point is 00:11:53 And what better way than with a delicious Pret organic coffee, starting at just $1 all day, every day, now until December 31st. You've got to try Bread First at A&W. At participating A&W locations in Ontario. welcome back to motley full money we got a number of earnings reports this week and one that we wanted to talk about a little bit because there's so much involved is broadcom broadcom talked about you know a hundred percent increase in their ai related revenue we don't typically think about them emily as a company that is on par with nvidia but they they really are and if you know if you're
Starting point is 00:12:38 not aware of them as an investor now's the time to at least look at it so what did we learn this week. Oh my gosh. Broadcom, first of all, one of the largest companies in the world. I think it's over $1.5 trillion in terms of market cap. And it's amazing to me. We give a lot of focus to NVIDIA, but Broadcom is kind of a sleeper agent in the world of AI. And their quarter was pretty stellar. Actually, I think part of the reason why we... So both NVIDIA and Broadcom, I will say, since they're serving the demand that exists due to capital expenditures of hyperscalers, these large tech giants, there's very little surprises, in my opinion, that come out of these quarters. Because we've already had quarters from their largest customers who said,
Starting point is 00:13:14 hey, we're 3X-ing the amount of money we're spending on CapEx for data centers this year. So of course, we're going to see great demand for NVIDIA and Broadcom and these other types of chip makers, chip players, I really should say. So these companies, we already had an idea that their quarters were going to be good. And the reason why I think we saw a response that was positive for Broadcom's quarter, but a little bit more muted for NVIDIA's, was it because, oh, Broadcom's better than NVIDIA. It was because of some of the guidance around gross margin that I think we got previously for Broadcom's, some of their newer initiatives in which they thought management said, hey, maybe our gross margin will be a bit lower. Came out this quarter,
Starting point is 00:13:46 leadership basically shut all that down, said gross margins are great. The market was like, okay, great. Wasn't necessarily pricing that in. So the price movement there is less about our Broadcom and NVIDIA competing head-to-head and more about the expectations baked into each of these businesses. But I do think it's interesting that as both of these companies have grown. And you make this good point, Travis, that they're maybe learning to compete more with each other. Right now, they aren't really competitors. They're complementary in terms of the services that they offer. NVIDIA is selling the GPUs. Broadcom can't really make. They're selling the switches and the chip infrastructure that helps make NVIDIA systems run. But as we get
Starting point is 00:14:21 more into these custom chips, there's going to be a question mark of, okay, what is the software that ultimately ends up running them? And right now, NVIDIA needs that software to justify its valuation. And I think there is still this question mark about who wins the software race. Lou, we are getting to the point where Broadcom, NVIDIA, their numbers are phenomenal, but we're not seeing stocks jump 30%, 40%, 50% anymore. We talk about everything being priced in. Are we at the point finally with AI where, like Emily said, okay, we know what the CapEx numbers are going to be. We know how much cash flow all the big tech companies can put to work, not only next year, but in the future. We kind of know what these companies are going to be,
Starting point is 00:15:01 even if it is 100% growth rate. Yeah. You know, that's the thing. I'm old enough to remember when a quarter like Broadcom's was really celebrated and the stock was up, but it wasn't. Both of these companies, NVIDIA is actually the winner over the last six months, but both of them are basically flat over six months. And I do think, to your point, that might be exactly what's going on. Not that we've become just bored with these growth rates. I think we still love these growth rates, but there are limits to how much more we can accelerate from here. I mean, there has to be at some point a limit. Over on the private credit side, just these big hyperscalers going to the debt markets, looking for creative ways to fund continued growth. Questions about everything we
Starting point is 00:15:49 talked about before about the war and everything. We still have to support $4 trillion in IPOs this year to kind of keep this going two or so. So is there just, I think the market is concluding that while this is sustainable and these are great businesses, the growth year over year growth that we've seen that maybe that that is going to cool off. And since the market tries to be forward looking, since it tries to look for what from here, I do think that kind of the muted reactions across the board is just maybe conventional wisdom shipping to, all right, we've finally hit the point that the question is, can we sustain, not can we double from here? Yeah. Do those growth rates continue to slow? Emily, as we were preparing for the show,
Starting point is 00:16:35 one of the areas that I think is interesting that's held up well in this SaaSpocalypse so far in 2026 is cybersecurity stocks. What's happening there? This is an area that I cover. Give us an idea of what these companies are doing and why maybe investors are thinking about this differently than they are something like a sales force. Yeah. In the world of enterprise software, everyone forgets that cybersecurity technically counts as enterprise software too. But the reality is, to your point, that AI is being weaponized against enterprises. Right this very moment, it is happening. And they're trying to commit security breaches. At the same time, companies are trying to use AI to prevent those
Starting point is 00:17:12 breaches. It's one of those things where it's kind of like you need the fire to fight with the fire. So it's hard to argue that despite the fact that it is a seed-based software enterprise, software company, that cybersecurity needs are going away in the world of AI. If anything, I think the market belief right now is that AI has made cybersecurity companies more relevant, even though I would argue that the quarter that we got out from CrowdStrike earlier this week, who is one of the largest cybersecurity companies and one of the largest, most highly regarded players in the market, doesn't necessarily back that up. And the thing that I'm watching closest with them is their CCP program.
Starting point is 00:17:44 This is the program they launched to make customers whole after their outage over the last couple of years. I think it was about three years ago, if I'm not mistaken, two, three years ago. Was that the gift cards that they handed out? Effectively. What they allowed their customers to do was kind of add these add-ons and not charge them for them, right? So they're basically having a lot of customers that are underpaying the market rate for these
Starting point is 00:18:06 cybersecurity offerings that they're going to over the course of the next year or so start to lapse. I think investors are assuming and CrowdStrike is assuming that these customers are going to come in and start paying full price for these modules. And I actually don't necessarily know if we have data to back that up. As important and mission critical as cybersecurity is, this is the industry that I'm probably watching most closely because we need evidence of dollar-based net retention rates for these customers that are turning through the ecosystem are actually going to renew at the higher
Starting point is 00:18:35 rates needed to make the AI investments worth it. It's really funny because I do wonder, just generally, if the greatest tool corporations have right now is, even if they have no desire to replace CrowdStrike or something, to when they get their annual renewal and it's a 3% increase, say, this is great, thanks. We have to talk to OpenAI and then we'll get back to you. If that just neuters the price increase, even if they don't want to go. I think that that scares me more than you have people ripping out the systems. Bigger threat here is that cybersecurity has been notorious. As the threats change, the companies change. I'm not saying CrowdStrike can't be the most relevant provider
Starting point is 00:19:14 in five years in the world of AI, but I at least have to leave myself open to the fact that if history is a guide, as things evolve, so do the winners. They have a lot of work to do. Not that they can't be a long-term winner, but I think I'd be surprised if in five years, the incumbents are when we come back we're going to talk about disney you're listening to motley fool money you gotta try breakfast and what better way than with a delicious pret organic coffee starting with just one dollar all day, every day, now until December 31st.
Starting point is 00:20:02 You gotta try breakfast at A&W. At participating A&W locations in Ontario. It's supercalifragilisticexpialidocious, even though the sound of it is something quite atrocious.
Starting point is 00:20:19 Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. In this section, we like to have a little fun, and I actually want to do a deep dive. I've been talking with Emily about doing a deep dive on Disney for a while so i'm gonna lead in with some questions for you guys see how well you know disney and then we'll talk about their businesses let's start with the studios business this is disney animation marvel star wars pixar of the top five movies in the past three years so 15 movies total how many of them were made by disney emily of the top five movies in the last three
Starting point is 00:20:54 years each of the past three years so 15 total options i would say nine out of the 15 all right lou i think i guess this is price is right i'm going with 10 because i think because you think two-thirds of the movies the the top movies come from disney travis was like this is not the direction i thought no it's high but it's it's seven so it's about half of the movies but the thing that i think is interesting with that stat and specifically is the movie business has become a blockbuster business and Disney is, I think the best at making blockbusters. Emily, do you think that's the case or is this, is this the best studio in Hollywood or, or, you know, a conglomeration of studios or is there a better
Starting point is 00:21:40 player out there? No, I actually wholeheartedly disagree. And I actually think that their studio business is in desperate need of a leadership overhaul. I think it's a depleting asset or should say depreciating asset really because of franchise fatigue. And Disney has been hitting customers, consumers, even Disney enthusiasts over the head so often with reboots of the same franchise over and over again, that it actually, in my opinion, doesn't necessarily matter if they are doing well, quote, at the box office, right? If the biggest hits, because they spend so much money to make them, they end up being not that big of a profit driver for Disney as a whole. And I actually think the company, the more they kind of overuse the IP and the
Starting point is 00:22:30 studio business, the worse it gets for Disney as a franchise as a whole, because what they're doing is they're devaluing the value of that IP. If they were focusing on quality over quantity, I actually think that'd be better for their company. What IP do you think they're over utilizing here? That's a great question. If I actually knew any Disney movies, I probably would answer you. My concern is this is the narrative that I hear from the big Disney fans. You are not talking to a big Disney fan. But I assume it's all of the same. I mean, think about every major blockbuster. Name off the big blockbusters from Disney. They're all reboots of the same franchises. I'm just going to guess here, and I don't know either because
Starting point is 00:23:07 I'm not really a movie person, but I'm going to guess that, you know, the normals like it a lot more than the people who are loud about it, but I have no idea. The thing I can't figure out here is like, yeah. So yes, they have leaned in on franchises, but some of the movies that I'm guessing that weren't Disney movies that were on the top or like Despicable Me, I don't know, 30 or Dune, Dune 7 or whatever, you know? So it's not like they only do that. Best is so subjective. Certainly, Disney isn't the place that you're even going to get. I don't see why Oppenheimer or something was a creative arts film. But yeah, Disney isn't going to lean in there. But they have won the global box office nine of the last 10 years. Creativity really isn't
Starting point is 00:23:50 the moneymaker. I think these franchises are great for other parts of the business. So I don't think this is a weakness or an Achilles heel. I think they know what they're doing, And, you know, they may not win a lot of Critics' Choice Awards with some of this, but I think as a business, it is at least OK when you look at the sum of the parts. It's so interesting that you guys have generally negative views because I have little kids and Disney is the like we will go see every single Disney movie, every Pixar movie. Disney plus is the one that they have basically complete access to, because I can trust Disney as a studio to make movies that they're going to, they're, they're going to enjoy and are also not, you know, going to be appropriate for kids. Um, so I, this is always one of those, I may know, know the fan that you're talking about, uh, Emily, who is so negative on overusing
Starting point is 00:24:42 Star Wars in particular. You know, I was a star something, but that group of fans is, is so intense. And then you get the people who actually go to movies who are kids with their families. And guess what? Zootopia 2 was great. It was great. And actually, I think Zootopia 2, to your point, outperformed virtually all of the Frozen franchises. So you're right. Maybe I am being overly dogmatic here by focusing on only a couple of the big franchises that they seem to reboot every other year. And to your point, Travis, too, also, I am not the target audience for a lot of these movies i don't have kids and i am not going to go see zootopia 2 although i have heard to your point heard great things you shouts out by the way to one other franchise that i think was
Starting point is 00:25:28 disney inside out go see both of those if you have another yeah all right speaking of where where do these movies end up well they end up at the parks and they end up driving the parks if you look at we're actually uh gonna go to disney here in a month or two and the amount of upgrades that they're making in Disney World and all the parks around the world is crazy right now. And it's all based on, most of it is based on this newer IP. So in the last 10 to 20 years, instead of the old IP. But since 2017, my question for you is, how much has Disney's experiences revenue grown? So almost a decade, they changed the way that they reported. So that was the furthest it went back. So 2017, how much bigger is that business today, Lou?
Starting point is 00:26:11 I couldn't even tell you. 10 years? I'm just going to show my ignorance and say it's up like, I don't know. It's up big. It hasn't doubled. I'll say doubled just to move on. Okay. Gosh, I just lost my breath there just realizing that 2017 was almost 10 years ago. Goodness gracious. I actually think that Lou's probably not far off. Parks is my favorite part of Disney's business. And I think they're probably close to a double, maybe a bit below that, let's say 80% growth. Yeah, you guys are right, 86%. My other fun stat is the cruise business doesn't get a lot of attention from investors because it's a volatile business if you look at the cruise lines. But Disney has seven cruise ships and is actually launching another one next week.
Starting point is 00:27:02 And that is an area of huge investment for them. That's one of the bigger drivers of the parks business. But Emily, when you look at Disney's business overall, how much does the parks business play into your thesis on the company? It's virtually everything to me. And not to say that I think that Disney could just get rid of everything else and only be parks. I'd be happy with that. I really do love the other aspects of Disney's business too. And I do think the IP that they're building with their studio business and streaming business is critically important to maintaining the demand for the parks. So it all works together in one big ecosystem, but the parks, in my opinion, it's the bread and butter. I love the fact that Disney's new CEO is somebody who
Starting point is 00:27:42 was formerly the head of parks, which is, I guess the name is. That didn't, that didn't go well last time though. Okay. I have, I have a bone to pick actually about this with JPEG, but we can get to that. I know we're going to, I presume you're going to ask us about the streaming business and I'll, I'll give my spiel then. But I do think that having somebody who understands the core value of the parks is absolutely critical. Because if you over-invest into less profitable areas, then the reason why people are buying Disney shares starts to lose focus. And that's exactly what happened over the course of the whole Disney Plus. I think that was like the 2019-ish era when JPEG came into power. And I think any money that the business chooses to reinvest into the parks,
Starting point is 00:28:21 and I recognize that a lot of the investments they're having here are not necessarily going to just content buildup, a good portion is, but a lot of it is maintenance of infrastructure These are expensive, large beasts to run and manage, but I think it's money well spent here. I mean, this generates the lion's share of Disney's operating income. It's more than 70% of total operating income from Disney just comes from the parks. The one red flag that exists for me, or actually I should say it's two. One is I hate the fact that they don't break out the cruise revenue as a different segment within parks because cruise ships are so expensive, hundreds of millions of dollars, and I'm sure they're very profitable, but I don't know what
Starting point is 00:28:58 I think they don't do it because they're so profitable. Everything that I've seen about their, the pricing of their, they have such pricing power in that market specifically that they're charging 50% more than other cruise lines. And so I think they want to hide that. I think I hope that's the reason. I wish I knew. Look, let's, let's be honest here though. The whole like parent criticism is, is that they, you know, lock you inside the park and then charge whatever you want for food, water, stuff like that. Imagine sending you out into sea and the pricing power they have then. So, of course, people do it voluntarily. Yeah, I know. I know. Like everything Emily said is correct. So I don't know what I can say more to that other than just kind
Starting point is 00:29:39 of see from our discussion above. This is what justifies the movie theater. I mean, the movie franchises, too, obviously. I mean, look, Parks is a great business and it's a better business for them than it is for anyone. Are they better at it? Yeah, I think they're pretty good at execution and they think about it. But how much of it is just all of that IP that, you know, I don't think you want billions and billions of loss leaders feeding in. But to me, this is what justifies everything else going on. Everything just, you know, those parks, those are just where everything flows to that and it ends up, it's a big pile of money. Well, it seems like this is also the one that has the biggest moat you know you can't just netflix is can't just go out and
Starting point is 00:30:22 build a whole bunch of parks to compete with disney all right let's talk about that streaming business that that emily mentioned earlier my question for you is how many subs does disney plus and hulu have as of at least the last time they reported this and i'm just combining those two because those are kind of the biggest thing they had espn plus they're not they've split that split off that app but that's a little bit wonky so we'll just go with hulu and disney plus streaming what is if you add those two together what do you get to emily oh this is i was really hoping to go to lou first so i could have something to gauge my answer off of because i actually have no idea and it's embarrassing i don't i i'm gonna guesstimate 50 million oh all right i'm going
Starting point is 00:31:04 much higher but now emily scared me because again i'm afraid i was i'll go 150 195.7 million subscribers. Disney Plus alone is 131.6 million. To put that into a little bit of context, the last time that Netflix reported, they don't report their total numbers now, but they've said that they're over 300 million. So they're not quite the same, but you're kind of getting into that territory. Emily, I'm going to lean on you here first again. How do you think about the streaming business? Because this is a business that, you know, you mentioned JPEG. When he came in. That was basically the pandemic started. Iger said, I'm out of here. JPEG saw the growth going on at Disney Plus and was like, I'm going to lean into that. Didn't necessarily work out super well
Starting point is 00:31:51 when Iger came back. He got the streaming business back to profitability. But as an investor, how do you think about that business? Is it just a tack on? Is it a profit driver? Where are we going with this in the future? Yeah, you can tell how little I care about the streaming business based off my answer there. Great for Disney Plus. Again, clearly not the target audience here, although I do subscribe to Hulu. So maybe I should have factored that into my equation here. I will say, I rewind back to when Disney Plus was initially launched. And what happened at the time was Bob Iger set up the expectations for what Disney Plus could be in terms of Disney getting into the streaming service. And I was, being my classic self, very skeptical at the time
Starting point is 00:32:30 because we saw the decades, the many, many years of Netflix and other big streamers who burned cash trying to make the content game work. And yes, of course, Disney was sitting on a bunch of very valuable IP, but we know how expensive it is to make valuable content. And there was a lot of price compression for streaming at the time as well. And Disney Plus was being launched and sold well below the price of the need to be profitable, of course. Now, Iger- They were practically giving it away in those days. They were practically giving it away for free. Exactly. Iger did all this. Let's be very clear about this. Iger set up the strategy and then he left and he said, I'm going to put Bob Chapek
Starting point is 00:33:06 in charge. Chapek, the guy who ran parks, the guy who has all the experience with the biggest profit driver at the company, but very little experience with say streaming and content management. And then of course, when Disney Plus proceeded to destroy Disney's financial performance over the next couple of years, they struggled to make that business profitable. Iger then comes in and says, wow, JPEG did a terrible job executing my plan that I set out. I'm going to come in and fix it. So I have a little bit of a bone to pick. I think that JPEG was the right person to lead Disney as a company, but not the right person to be launching Disney Plus, to be using that as a corporate strategy. Now, since then, obviously, Disney has gotten
Starting point is 00:33:47 its act together, raised prices on Disney Plus, managed its content library. I think a lot of this, by the way, has come from Hulu and price increases with Hulu and benefits from ESPN, of course, massively underappreciated properties. They're bundling these now too. They didn't own all of Hulu when JPEG took over. So there's advantages that they have owning that. Exactly. But I think all of that is the reason why the streaming service now is more profitable. And this now, it's not quite making up, if I'm not mistaken, for the legacy networks business in terms of total profits being driven to the company, but it's well on its way to making up for it. And in my opinion, that's all the streaming business needs to do for Disney.
Starting point is 00:34:24 All it needs to do is make up for that nominal portion of sales that was being generated by the network's business, make up for that capital there, and then continue to build the IP so that people want to go to the parks. That's all I need. Yeah, spot on, spot on. Lou, I'm going to go to you first with this legacy question. Do you care about the legacy business? ABC, ESPN is part of this.
Starting point is 00:34:49 they've got FX there's a if you have cable you're paying a lot of money to Disney is that a business that you value at all when you're looking at their company there is value but it is the least important thing I mean there's some IP here too so you know you do have some of that I think that if any part of this business goes it's this one in fact if you want to take look there are so many of these like kind of orphan businesses out there I don't see Disney buying and adding scale here, it's not important enough. But it seems like you just spin this out. Maybe Disney holds on to 5%, 10% of a merged networks business with the Comcast network business, has a sweetheart licensing deal. But yeah, this is the afterthought of the company.
Starting point is 00:35:34 Emily, you agree? Yeah. If you thought I didn't know enough about, say, the studio portion of Disney's business, you're going to be appalled by how little I care about the networks part of Disney's business. In fact, I actually think the faster they do spend it off, the better. And now it does seem, given the benefits that we've seen from the Netflix, the attempted now Netflix deal with Warner Brothers and the spinoff of that studio business from the legacy media business and the different content assets there, now might be the good time for Disney to be thinking about, okay, we see profitability picking up and streaming. Now is the chance for us to take this legacy networks business and find a buyer for it. Because I do think that the faster they
Starting point is 00:36:11 get rid of it, the easier it is for this new management team, which by the way, we do have a new management team here, to focus on what's most critically important for the company. But I recognize that it's much easier for me to sit here on a podcast and say this, and much harder to turn this multi-hundred billion dollar business around at the drop of a hat. When we come back, we're going to get to the stocks on our radar. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Robin Hood and Little John walking through the forest, laughing back and forth at what the other one has to say. Reminiscing this and that and having such a good time.
Starting point is 00:36:45 Oodle lolly, oodle lolly, golly, what a day. Never ever thinking there was danger in the water. They were drinking . You gotta try breakfast at A&W. You gotta try breakfast And what better way than with a delicious Pratt Organic Coffee, starting at just $1 all day, every day, now until December 31st. You gotta try Pratt first at A&W. At participating A&W locations in Ontario.
Starting point is 00:37:24 As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows The Motley Fool's editorial standards and is not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. To see our full advertising disclosure, please check out our show notes. We'd like to end the show with stocks on our radar. Emily, what do you got this week? Stock on my radar this week is a company called Stantec. The ticker is STN. This is a Canadian design-focused engineering consultant.
Starting point is 00:38:04 Don't let your eyes glaze over because I promise you this company is a lot more exciting than it seems. They're a diversified mix of clients across infrastructure, environmental services, water, buildings, and energy. Lots of mission-critical projects. I really like this management team that's growing double digits on their top line while also expanding their bottom line through a combination of both organic growth and acquisitive growth. They have a track record that spans decades. I think it's trading at very reasonable valuations today as well. One of those babies with the bathwater that's been sold off with the broader stock market. Dan, what do you think about Stantec? Did you all know they have their own 66-story skyscraper in Edmonton called
Starting point is 00:38:41 Stantec Tower? That's pretty cool. That seems now maybe a little excessive, Dan. I hope all the locals call it The Stan, right? I hope they designed it themselves. All right, Lou, what's on your radar this week? Dan, I'm doubling down. I'm looking at Honeywell, ticker HON, but I'll be honest, I'm thinking about GE. GE was an underperformer for years until it split. Now, two of those stubs are up 100% and 500% since. Honeywell is doing a similar breakup. I think it could do just as well. This week, we got details about the soon-to-be independent Honeywell Aerospace. Business split pretty evenly between commercial and defense with a huge spare parts business. That's great for margins, generating $3 billion plus in free cash
Starting point is 00:39:23 flow. I'll note, they're going to take on a lot of the parents' debts, so they do need to manage that. But post-split, I think Honeywell Aerospace could be a top choice to take advantage of this surge in demand. I'm very intrigued. Dan, does Honeywell have you intrigued? Honeywell is such an innocuous name. And it's like they're a giant company with a ton of diversified business. Their fingers are in a lot of different pies, gang. But then you hear Honeywell and you're like, oh, that sounds nice. You see, Dan, you're making my point, though. Imagine how simple it's going to be once it's three companies and we'll know exactly what they do. I do like that. All right, Dan, which one's going on your watch list this week?
Starting point is 00:40:04 You know, I like simplicity, Travis, so hopefully Honeywell does get a little more simple with how they name things. So let's go Honeywell. Why not? It's worked out for GE. For Emily Flippen, Lou Whiteman, I'm Travis Hoyum. That's it for us, folks. We'll see you here next time.

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