Motley Fool Money - 1 Question For Your Stocks
Episode Date: September 9, 2022As profitable companies like Alphabet talk about steeling themselves for the immediate future, investors may want to ask: "How prepared are the companies in my portfolio are for the next 12-15 months?..." (0:30) Jason Moser and Emily Flippen discuss: - DocuSign's latest results, and using the company as a lens for looking at other businesses - Good news (finally!) for Asana shareholders - Rough weeks for UiPath and Bilibili - RH taking a "Tiffany-like" approach to their business (19:45) Emily and Jason dip into the Fool Mailbag to talk about blue chip stocks, as well as: - Stocks they've been buying over the past year - Acquisitions they'd like to see - Uber's upcoming robot delivery tests in Texas and California - 2 stocks on their radar: Casey's General Stores and McCormick Stocks discussed on the show: DOCU, GOOG, GOOGL, PYPL, ASAN, PATH, BILI, RH, MMM, SBUX, HD, TWLO, NET, OM, FTNT, CRWD, UA, UAA, LULU, NKE, ZM, UBER, CASY, MKC Host: Chris Hill Guests: Jason Moser, Emily Flippen Engineer: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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What kind of shape will the companies you own shares of be in when we get to 2024?
Motley Fool Money starts now.
That's why they call it money.
Global headquarters.
This is Motley Fool Money.
It's the Motley Full Money Radio show.
I'm Chris Hill, joining me in studio, Senior analysts, Emily Flippen and Jason Moser.
Could you see you both?
Hey, Chris.
We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street.
We'll answer your questions by dipping into the full mailbag.
And as always, we've got a couple of stocks on our radar.
But we begin with one company's earnings report as a way to look at stocks in general.
The company in question is DocuSign, the electronic signature company.
At the open on Friday, shares popped nearly 20 percent after second quarter results came in higher
than expected.
DocuSign's management also maintained their guidance for the rest of the fiscal year.
The stock dropped down from that early enthusiasm, Jason.
So before we widen our gaze to look at stocks in general, what did you think?
think about DocuScience results?
Well, Chris, I mean, if I had put a bet on this the day before, I would have
bet we probably would have seen the stock in the red because management had guided down
in this report.
So, pleasantly surprised, at least from that perspective, but it does feel like it was a mixed
bag, for the most part.
I mean, this is a business in a state of flux, and there's a lot of uncertainty right now
as to what the future holds.
It's encouraging that they maintain full-year guidance with revenue and billings.
Given the state of enterprise software today, it really felt like they could have found themselves
in a little bit more trouble than we're seeing. So look at some of the pros. Revenue grew 22%.
Billings up 9%. Not terribly inspiring, but it exceeded internal guidance. Held gross margin
steady compared to a year ago. Added 44,000 new customers during the quarter, and again,
that was a 22% increase, and that brings their total global paying customer account to 1.28 million.
And of that customer account, you look at the large customers, that's the customers that are
generating greater than $300,000 in annualized contract value for the company. That figure continues
to grow as well, up to 992 versus 852 at year end. International continues to grow, taking up a
little bit more of the business. And the balance sheet remains in good shape. They've got greater than
$1 billion in cash and equivalence, and they're not burning through that cash. But there are
some cons that come along with this. And first and foremost, this is still a ship without a captain.
We know Dan Springer stepped down just several months ago.
The CEO's search is still underway, but they feel like they're close to a decision there,
so that's good.
They need to make sure they get the right person in for this job.
The net dollar retention rate 110%.
That really stood out.
That's low.
It's as low.
It's been in a long time.
Remember, that metric compares the annual recurring revenue for active subscription contracts
between two period end dates.
Now, to be fair, they pulled forward a lot of growth.
over the last couple of years. And if you go back to 2019 in the same quarter, that number
was 113%. So it's not terribly out of whack with that, but certainly down from the recent
highs that we've seen. So all things told, I mean, it was an encouraging quarter, but not
one where you feel like, oh, these guys have turned the corner.
Well, and Emily, this is a story we could tell about any number of stocks out there in the
sense that we're seeing this pop in the stock today. Shares of Doc is a document.
year-to-date, still down 60%.
Yes, and I had a full roast prepared for DocuSign today on the fact that the market
was up 20% on this quarter.
My opinions have been tempered a bit by the fact that the market has come down.
I think DocuSign stock at the time of taping is up around 8% now, so a lot more reasonable.
But to your point, if there is a narrative for what we're seeing across companies this
quarter, I would say that guidance is really driving stock results.
And so I think what we saw was a knee-jerk reaction to the fact that DocuSign did not
fact, lower full-year guidance when maybe the market expected more of the worst, which caused
that short-lived enthusiasm.
But it is interesting because the narrative that we heard from DocuScience Management this
quarter was that they're interested in cost-cutting.
That's where they're headed.
Even though they grew in the employee base, 22%, let's overlook that for the quarter.
Management said, until we get that full-time CEO in, we're taking a measured approach to hiring,
reassessing our expense base.
And this is very much the same narrative we've heard from many companies this past earnings
season. They've either lowered guidance right for the end of the year, or they've said, look,
we're cutting costs because we're not expecting much from the back half of 2022.
So this is where I want to broaden things, because to that point, Jason, we've heard
that narrative from some of the biggest and most profitable companies in the public markets.
I'm thinking primarily of Alphabet, where the CEO has been talking for weeks now about how
we have to get more efficient.
Not really talking about layoffs, but sort of throwing out the possibility that they could be reducing headcount at some point.
And keep in mind, as big as Alphabet is, last quarter, they still grew revenue 13%.
They're huge. They're profitable.
And if a company like that is talking about we need to get more efficient, I'm wondering if we as investors need to start looking at every company in our portfolio,
and every company on our watch list through the lens of, what do I think this company is going
to be doing in the next 15 months? Not the stock. In terms of the business itself, what are they
going to be doing so that in early 2024, what kind of shape are they in?
Yeah, I mean, a lot to unpack there. I mean, I feel like a lot of that really does
center around leadership. I mean, if you can have a consistent leadership with a consistent vision,
then I think you have a little bit more of a reliable strategy there.
I mean, it does beg the question, why wouldn't all of these businesses always place such a
priority on efficiency?
I mean, really, that makes the most sense, right?
But it's also understandable that in good times when everything is going up and everybody
is so focused on growth, sometimes that can sort of translate into growth at any cost.
And you're seeing a lot of businesses that are paying the price for that now.
And DocuSign is no exception here.
I mean, I feel like you see their headcount up 22, 23 percent from a year ago.
To me, this is a business that feels very bloated.
It just doesn't feel like it needs a workforce of 8,000 people, given what they do.
But here we are.
And perhaps that is just a result of Dan Springer's actions leading up to this point.
This does feel to me a little bit, it reminds me a little bit of PayPal, right?
I think back to what PayPal went through over these last couple of years.
What we saw with Dan Shillman, it's almost like taking your stuff.
success for granted a little bit, and feeling like maybe you've bought into your own hype,
right? Feeling like that all of the success is really due to these actions of pursuing
growth at any cost without really fully acknowledging that the tide is rising and pretty much
lifting every boat. So, I mean, to me, it is something I think worth paying attention
to always is looking at leadership, looking at the expenses that are involved with the business,
because we have a lot of these businesses today that we follow that have yet to get to that path to
profitability, right? They're still on that path to profitability. And for businesses that
really ultimately need to get there at some point, you want to have a clear vision of
how they're going to get there. And for Doc, you sign, and for a lot of these businesses,
I'm not talking about Alphabet here, but for a lot of these businesses that are still working
their way to it, you sort of just make that assumption that they'll get there eventually.
And I think for investors, it's a good reminder to really, in your mind, when you start
working out your thesis for investing in some of these businesses, try to chart out how
you feel like they're going to get there. And don't just chart it out based on what management's
telling you on a call, because that may not be the same running as a team that you're dealing
with a year from now.
You know, I didn't get my little rant on DocuSign. So let me have a little rant on efficiency
here, if you'll hear me out. And that is, I think efficiency is something that's built
into the fabric of companies. And when the economy starts to get worse, you'll hear a lot of very
inefficient businesses suddenly start talking about efficiency. And their definition of efficiency is
oftentimes, reducing headcounts, cutting unnecessary expenses. But in my opinion, these things aren't
efficient. And if I could use a metaphor here, over the past couple of years, a number of us may have
put on a couple LBs, myself included. And that's like going out and saying, okay, well, look, for the
next month, I'm going to exercise, I'm going to eat right, I'm going to lose this extra weight.
That's great. But the problem is I'm not solving the underlying issue, which is the fact that I
probably work a desk job, don't exercise enough, eat fast food too much, whatever it is. And in five
years, I'm going to find that those LBs came back very quickly. And so we have companies that are
talking about making short-term changes to generate, quote, efficiency. But I'd be willing to bet
when you're looking out towards 2024 and 2025, you're going to have businesses that are once
again still bloated and inefficient. So we need to make sure that companies are making systematic
changes for the reason that they were inefficient in the first place and not just cutting costs
for the sake of generating short-term profits.
Well, and we were talking earlier today about Alphabet and how to do that.
how, obviously, it's a massive company, all these different divisions, but it's almost like
they've compartmentalized their inefficiency in the Moonshot division.
They basically set up a division to say, hey, look, this thing's going to lose money over here.
All these other parts, we want to try and be as efficient as possible.
Get on the path to profitability.
We're going to take our Moonshots.
We're just going to put them over there.
Last thing on DocuSign, Jason, how attractive is this job?
We've talked about different CEO positions being open in the past, and some are more attractive
than others. Is this an opportunity where the board of directors might get their first draft pick?
Or is this a job that if you're an executive at another company and the board comes knocking
and saying, hey, would you be interested in this? You've probably got some questions.
I mean, I feel like it's an attractive job for a CEO.
And I mean, the main reason why I believe that is because this ultimately, at the end of the day,
I mean, they have a good product, right?
They offer good services. It's not like this is a broken business from the perspective of they don't have something that customers want, because they continue to grow that customer base, and they continue to iterate and bring more to their overall offering.
This agreement cloud that they continue to refer to, I mean, they're building product integrations with networks like Slack and Stripe.
The DocuSign Notary, which has introduced support now for two additional stays now that's in 25 states.
I mean, how annoying is it to have to actually go physically get something notarized?
If now you can do that.
All right, so I feel like it's a business that has a lot to offer.
Consumers like it.
If you've used it, you know it's slick, it's easy, it's convenient.
But it is a business that has sort of lost its way over the last couple of years.
And I think it took some of its success for granted.
So from that perspective, hey, listen, I mean, I would have sent my resume and I don't think
I'd have a chance, but who knows.
After the break, we've got the latest from retail software and a lot more.
So stay right here.
You're listening to Motley Full Money.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
Chris Hill here in studio with Emily Flippin and Jason Moser.
Let's get to some more earnings.
Some good news for Asana shareholders.
Shares of the communications software company up 30% this week after second quarter
results were better than expected and guidance for the third quarter was higher as well,
which is good, Emily, because it has been a rough year for Asana.
Asana is an unprofitable business, not cash generating, and they have seen a massive contraction
in valuation since their highs at the end of 2021. So if you're looking at the past year, it does not
look good. But if you look at this quarter alone, it is still extremely stellar for Asana.
And Asana shareholders, I think, should take refuge in what a strong quarter this was.
I had mentioned at the top of the show that stock movement as a result of earnings is being
driven by guidance, it seems. And this is very much an example of that. Not only did they beat
on the top and bottom lines in the quarter, but they also raised guidance for the year.
and that's very unusually positive in an otherwise challenging macro environment.
Their revenue rose 51%.
That was 6% over their prior expectations.
And as Jason had mentioned with DocuSign, a lot of this growth was being driven by their
highest value customers.
In Asana's case, those customers are spending more than $100,000 a year on their platform.
Those are driving massive results, and it's showing up in things like their dollar-based
net retention rate, which has been continuously stellar.
So it's a great quarter, but shareholders and investors,
should remember that, as I mentioned, this is a very unprofitable business. And their CEO and
founder, Dustin Motskovitz, I'm probably mispronouncing that, but he bought 16 million more shares
at an investment of $350 million in parts help increase the company's cash balances. Management believes
this will provide sufficient funding until Asana can generate that free cash flow, which they're
currently targeting for calendar year 2024. But that does give you an example of the type of
position that Asana is going to be in over the next couple of years.
From communication software to robotic process automation software, UiPath's second quarter results
got overshadowed by its guidance. Management lowered guidance for both the third quarter and
the full fiscal year, and shares of UiPath hit a 52-week low this week, Jason.
Yeah, it's been a tough 12 months for this business.
This is another example of the market serving as a forward-looking mechanism.
The quarter was in line, but clearly the near-term picture is a bit more cloudy.
management noted on the call. They said in the short term, we're strategically repositioning
the company to increase velocity, efficiency, and customer centricity. I think we can all get
behind doing that, but really isn't that what you should have been doing from the beginning?
We could argue about that, I guess, all day long. Ultimately, ratcheting guidance down a little
bit. If you look at the numbers, they are forecasting third quarter revenue at the
midpoint 244 million dollars. An analyst, I think the forecast was around $2,000.
170 million. So you can see how that then plays out on full-year guidance. And you've
got a business here that is immensely unprofitable, does not generate free cash flow. It's
really all based on years down the road and ultimately how they get to that path of profitability.
Even after the sell-off, the stock is still valued at around seven to eight times sales, which
that's not cheap. But, I mean, there are some signs that the business is doing well.
I mean, they're doing what their customers want or they're doing something their customers
Like, if you look at the end of the quarter, customers accounting for at least $100,000
in annualized recurring revenue grew more than 30 percent from a year ago.
And the customer generating over $1 million grew over 60 percent.
So, again, I think this is just a matter of a business with a good idea, seems to provide
a good offering that customers are signing up for, stuck in a very difficult time during the market.
And any time you see that guidance pulled back, I mean, the market's going to react the way it has.
I mean, dollar-based net retention rate, 132 percent is obviously a positive as well.
And they remain committed to the goal of achieving non-gap profitability and positive adjusted
free cash flow in fiscal year 2024.
Now, there's a lot of adjusts and non-gaps there, but hey, baby steps, right, Chris?
Baby steps.
Rough second quarter results for Beely Bealee.
The YouTube of China has 300 million monthly active users, but revenue growth is slowing and shares
of Billy-Billy down 20 percent this week, Emily.
Well, we talked a lot about how the macroeconomic situation at home impacts businesses that
were invested in, and it can be easy to forget that the same thing is true for businesses
outside the U.S. as well.
And in this case, Beely-Beeleys been negatively affected by the lockdowns in areas like Shanghai
as advertising, as you mentioned, slowed down really notably in the quarter.
Advertising revenue only grew 10% year over year.
And to represent just what a significant deceleration this is, this time last year, that
revenue growth from ads grew more than 200%.
So, a lot of this is the macroeconomic situation in China.
The good thing is that engagement on Bealey-Beelea's platform is still extremely strong.
So the fundamentals are intact.
But unlike a lot of the companies we talked about that are apparently looking towards
2024 to generate cash flows, Bele-Beelea is still very far off from that goal.
Shares of RH up a bit this week, the retailer formerly known as Restoration Hardware, had second
quarter results that were better than expected.
But Jason, I'm a little surprised because this.
These were low expectations going in, and RH said that revenue for the current quarter is going
to fall more than 15%.
I'm not really sure.
I'm not hating on them.
I'm just not sure why shares of RH are up a bit this week.
It is a bit of a confounding business.
I mean, if you look at the results, they weren't anything to write home about.
I mean, revenue of $992 million.
It's essentially flat with a year ago.
They did expand gross margin, 350 basis points.
Adjusted earnings down 5%.
They spend better than $2 billion on share re-purchases here over the last five years,
and their share accounts up.
I mean, there are a lot of things that make me question why the market is receiving the
stock so positively.
But I think perhaps one reason is management's commitment to the brand.
This is a very Tiffany-like story in that you see in the furniture world, there is discounting
occurring everywhere, right?
H is simply not taking that approach. They're taking more of a Tiffany-like approach in avoiding
promotion completely, and they acknowledge that is going to contribute to some near-term pressure
because they're not going to chase that revenue. But they firmly believe in the brand and the
product that they offer, and they believe this is the right strategy to go ahead and not
promote and go ahead and suck it up for now, feeling that maybe as times get better, things
will get better for the business. If you look at the way the business is performing,
formed over the last five years. We're talking about the share-re purchases. The margin
has been tremendous, right? Gross margin up from 34.7 percent five years ago to better than
51 percent trailing 12 months. Net margin up from basically zero to 17 percent trailing 12 months
for a furniture maker. That is actually really impressive. So if they can continue to pursue
that Tiffany-like strategy, then yeah, maybe it does pay off in the long term. But it is worth
noting that a lot of the stock's performance here really occurred over the past year and a half
or so. It's really kind of come back to Earth lately.
Potential acquisitions and stocks for the downturn are just two of the questions we'll hit in the Fool mailbag this week.
Answers after the break, so stay right here. This is Motley Fool Money.
I can't stand, no.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here with Emily Flippin and Jason Moser.
Our email address is Podcasts at Fool.com. Drop us a note, would you?
Like Mike in Ohio, who writes, first, thanks for all you do and the encouragement you provide during bull and bear markets.
Right now, I feel like Mother Abbas and keep asking myself, how do you solve a problem like 3M?
There was a time when people said, GE is a solid, diversified business and will never falter.
Is 3M in that same boat now and looking at the same destination?
Should I buy sell or hold?
Thank you, Mike, for the question and the kind words and for the reference to the sound of music.
What do you think, Emily?
because he's absolutely right. For a long stretch of time, people looking at, oh, I just, I need the ballast for my portfolio. I need that solid blue chip. They would go to GE. They would go to 3M. And it certainly hasn't worked out lately for GE. And 3M has stumbled as well.
Well, I'm a jaded former GE employee. So my first instinct when I saw this question was, well, of course, it's not the same. But I actually, the deeper I got into it, the more I thought, well,
Although, actually, this is a really, really deep and insightful question.
For context, GE was, as many investors know, a highly diversified and profitable business.
They had more than a century of leadership in the Down Jones Index before being dropped in 2018.
And it wasn't because the business became obsolete, like better technology came along.
And it wasn't because the business was a complete fraud, although there were certain question marks about their accounting.
But it's rather because I think the organization just became so large and disjointed that it was impossible to affect.
effectively manage. So the question really is, is 3M so large and disjointed that it cannot be
effectively managed now? And I'm stealing some of this thoughts from Bill Gates' thoughts regarding
GE, and Bill Gates kind of boiled down a lot of GE's failure to two things, one of which is
chasing earnings, right? Trying to get those quarterly numbers, which allowed tiny problems to fester
until they became too large to fix, as well as lots of specific niches being run by generalists who
didn't understand the fundamental business. And when you look at that,
in comparison to 3M, while 3M does not have the same track record GE once had of constantly
meeting or beating expectations, although the past year has been good for them, I do think
it's worth noting that their business is increasingly diversified and not necessarily in a great
way. Their decision to spend off, I believe, their health care segment, as well as their food
services business, is reminiscent of the decisions that GE started to make whenever they became
a little too large to handle. Right now, I don't see any future.
financial reasons why I think 3M investors should be concerned, right? So if you're holding 3M
for dividend payments, personally, I wouldn't be overly worried that a fallout like G is imminent.
But it is something that after reading this question, I am certainly keeping my ears tuned
more closely for in case sales start to fall and management starts to make excuses.
Question from Shannon in New Hampshire who writes, has the downturn in the market over the past
year changed the types of stocks that you've bought during that time? And if so, what types of
stocks have you been buying? I don't know about you, Jason, but the answer for me to that first
question is, yes, it has changed the types of stocks I've been buying.
So I will say the types of stocks I've been buying. I don't think this downturn has
necessarily changed it fully. I think perhaps it's accelerated it a little bit. My purchasing
behavior has changed just a little bit as I get a little bit older. I focus more on bringing
some income-related ideas into my retirement portfolio. So I've seen the opportunities to add
more to companies like McCormick and Starbucks and Home Depot positions as I continue to build
out those income-generating ideas. But I absolutely am still investing in growth where I see the
opportunities. I mean, I've been very upfront about adding to positions in companies like
Twilio and Cloudflare and outset medical, for example. So yeah, I mean, an interesting way
to look at it. I mean, I think that's a great question, because when you run into times like
these, they can be psychologically damaging if you're not paying attention, right? I mean,
it kind of goes back to that loss of version, right? We feel the problem.
pain of those losses more than we feel the joy of those wins. It really does make you
kind of sit back and think, okay, what am I doing wrong? Am I doing something wrong? Am I focused
on the wrong ideas? Am I focused on my strategy? Somehow out of whack there? Because this period
of time has certainly resulted in a lot of opportunities on the growth side too, right? We've seen
a lot of growth pulled back in a material way. But the big question is, were the valuations
those growth companies garnering a year ago where they really warranted it? I mean, we were talking a lot
about 20 and 30 times sales, kind of being the new normal.
I mean, we were kind of saying that tongue-in-cheek.
It's not normal.
And I think we're kind of seeing that play out now.
So, yeah, it's made me rethink it a little bit.
But I think more so it's just kind of accelerated kind of my move towards thinking a little bit more later in life.
To go back to the conversation we had at the start of the show, for me, it's accelerated my move towards
companies that I'm confident are going to be here in 2024.
I mean, I think that's a great way to put it.
I mean, I even look further out.
I think about companies that I feel like are going to be here in 2030.
I feel pretty confident that Starbucks and McCormick and Home Depot are still going
to be here in 2030.
They're still going to be paying dividends.
And I feel very confident in holding those companies for the long haul.
Maybe some of those growth companies, the question is a little bit more pronounced, but I think
that's where you really have to sort of try to delineate a little bit more of those companies
that are still trying to get that path of profitability.
And just to be more specific, not just that they're going to be here in 2024, that
they're going to be in good shape.
They're not going to just stagger over the finish line.
and be in terrible shape.
Question from Sean Williams, who writes,
Fortinet was a previous Motley Fool recommendation,
and I'm wondering if this is still a stock that the team likes.
It's about 30% off its highs and looking interesting now,
unless there's something I missed that would lead you to stay away,
is the thesis still intact with this one?
Emily, for those unfamiliar,
Fortinet is in the business of network security solutions,
was recommended in our Stock Advisor's service five years ago.
He's right.
It's down about 30% off its highs, but over the last five years,
it's up more than 550%.
Yeah, I actually think that Fortinet is probably underappreciated and underfollowed.
And I say that mainly to myself, because I also work on Stock Advisor,
and the last time we made Fortinet a timely opportunity in Stock Advisor was back in May.
So it's been a while since I think we've put that in front of investors' eyes.
And it has not been for good reason.
Fordnet is actually performing extremely well.
We'll spend a lot of time talking about the cybersecurity space, CrowdStrike in particular,
and I do believe that I think CrowdStrike is differentiating itself as a long-term leader.
But a rising tide can lift all boats, and Fortnite is certainly expanding its grasp,
especially in the hardware aspects, firewalls, that sort of thing.
So I've been dismissive, I think, of the power of protecting hardware infrastructures.
And as data centers continue to be upgraded, the need for firewalls and thus, Fortinet increases as well.
While the stock has sold off a bit, I think, after its most recent quarter, I think it came with very little reason.
The stock looks expensive on its bottom line at 65 times earnings.
But the fact that there isn't earnings, I think, is very representative of how strong this company is.
They're hugely cash generating, growing tremendously more than 30% in an otherwise challenging market environment.
So probably an underappreciated long-term winner.
Do they need to change their name?
Because for me, and this is my bias, but when it comes to security, I want your name to evoke security.
Fortinet just makes me instantly question like, what is this business?
I want a security business to have a security name.
That's so funny, because I hear Fort and I hear Net, I think I know exactly what they do.
You know what confuses me?
Crowdstrike.
What are you doing with a crowd that you're striking?
I mean, that's confusing to me.
Maybe the crowd's getting a little unruly and, um,
they need to get back in line. All right, last question from Ann in Wisconsin, who writes,
you said on a recent show that you expect more acquisitions to be made in the next six to 12 months.
Is there an acquisition in particular that you would like to see? Jason, let's take this in any
direction we want. It could be a specific company that we think maybe needs to make an acquisition
or a type of acquisition that a company needs to make. Or I'll just add a third category,
a company that's struggling and probably needs to be a quality.
Well, I mean, I think that we'll continue to see a lot of consolidation in the entertainment space
here over the coming years. The landscape is just getting so littered with so many options
and choices. It's becoming really tough to even decide what you want to subscribe to and watch.
And some streamers are better than others. I suspect we'll see some consolidation in that space.
I'm not really sure I ever actually pull for acquisitions. They're just kind of a nature of the beast.
But one that I feel like probably could make sense at this point, Under Armour to me, I feel
like their time is up, man.
They've had enough time to try to make this work, and for whatever reason, it's not.
I mean, they make good stuff, right?
And there was a time when the success was so obvious, and you fast forward to today, and it's
just been some boneheaded decisions on the part of management that have put the business
where it is today, and they can't seem to get themselves out of this hole.
So I think maybe Under Armour would be better off just under a house of brands.
Now, whether that's Nike or Lulu Lemon or someone else, I don't know.
But it does feel like maybe Under Armour, they could exploit a little bit more value from
that business being a part of something bigger.
And then one that I think I called out, it was one of our review shows or preview shows,
as sort of a wildcard.
Speaking of DocuSign back to the top of the show, I can absolutely see Zoom acquiring DocuSign.
To me, that just seems like it would be complementary to the business.
It's not something that Zoom does today.
I think Zoom is here to stay.
I think it's going to be something that contributes to our new way of doing business, new
way of communicating.
And with this digital transition, the ways of working and communicating, I think it's
something that could be very complementary to Zoom's business model.
And so we know that Zoom is at least got acquisitions on the brain, right?
They had that acquisition of, what was it, five or, not five or five.
Five-nine?
Five-nine.
had that acquisition that got called off because of regulatory concerns there. Maybe they're still
thinking they want to make an acquisition somewhere, and perhaps stock you signed could be something
that would be a complementary way to spur some growth in the business. My jaw would hit the
floor if either of those acquisitions happen. If Lulu Lemon tried to go after Under Armour, I think
I'd be upset with that decision, given the premium status of Louis Lemon's brand. I mean, how dilutive is that?
But also, I just Zoom, there's a lot of things that Zoom can do with their capital docuSign.
I don't see it being to steal a word from every M&A person ever, synergistic, I suppose,
with their core offerings.
What I always hoped for, and this could apply for Zoom, I'm taking it more from the approach
of the company that I would like to see acquired or would be interested to see acquired.
That's Discord.
It's a private company.
They have more than 600 employees across the globe, but it got started as a gaming platform, right,
for people who are gaming together to connect.
And I always thought that there'd be more interest from some of the big gaming companies to bring that communication in-house.
It's a highly monetizable platform right now.
And while it does have its issues, it's widely used.
So I thought Zoom could go after something like Discord to get more to the consumer-facing instant messaging exposure, which I think is maybe more synergistic, if I can, than a business like DocuSign.
But really, Zoom should just do anything with their money at this point.
Yeah, and it feels like there's a lot of interest in enterprise software right now on the private equity side, right?
Toma Bravo and firms like that. Maybe that's a sign that they feel like a lot of these
enterprise software company valuations are starting to look a little bit more attractive now,
given the market pullback this year.
Texas and California are about to test the market for driverless deliveries. We'll dig into
that, plus a couple of stocks on our radar. So stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool
Money. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy yourself
stocks based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money, Chris Hill here in studio
with Jason Moser and Emily Flippin. Some folks in Texas and California may soon have food
delivered to their home by a robot. This week, Uber announced a 10-year partnership with
Nuro, the autonomous vehicle company, to make Uber Eats deliveries in the United States.
And it's going to start this fall with tests in Houston and Mountain View, California. Jason, obviously, we're
We're hoping that some of the listeners can do some boots on the ground research for us and
drop an email to podcast at Fool.com and let us know how this goes.
But what do you think about this?
I mean, I think it has promise, right?
I've seen one of these neuro devices before actually tootling down the road in downtown
Fairfax.
It's funny to watch people kind of get out of the way and watch it go by, and they're
like, what in the world?
What just happened?
I think this holds some promise, right? Delivery has shown a lot of value for Uber over the past
couple of years. It is a money loser. This could certainly help that cause, but I think that
this is something that would be very location-specific. There are places where it just doesn't make
sense. So part of the challenge is figuring out where it ultimately makes sense. But it's also,
I think it's in line with their approach when you think about what Uber does, right? I mean,
I like to think of Uber, and I think of transportation is kind of the hub. What they do is
is transportation. That's the center of everything that they do. And then the spokes are all of
the different ways that they utilize that transportation network, all of the different things that
they try. So you see things like high capacity vehicles and move buses. You see them partnering
with Avis to create Uber valet as an alternative to your traditional rental car. And you see them
even piloting person-to-person rental cars as a potential offering for the business down the line.
So will they all work? No. Some of these bets won't pay off. But some of them will work.
They won't, on their own, all necessarily have the greatest impact.
But together, they do ultimately strengthen Uber's network and value proposition.
And like we were talking about earlier today in the production meeting, I think Uber has
hit this status where it needs to exist.
If Uber went away tomorrow, that would really disrupt a lot of people's routines and
lives, convenience and otherwise.
So I am a big fan of what Uber is doing, and I think this is something that has the opportunity
or the potential, at least, to pay off.
I think the big challenge is figuring out where it works best.
This is so dangerous because the only thing keeping me from ordering pizza and wings at 10 p.m. on a Friday night is just the disappointment in the delivery person's eyes when I come out of my apartment.
And they have to look at me at my PJs. And that judgment, it contributes to my purchasing decisions.
But in all seriousness, this actually could be a game changer for Uber. You can probably play back Motley Full Money radio shows where we sat here making fun of Uber's lack of profitability, saying the only thing that could make them profitable is driverless cars.
And that reality could be coming faster than any of us gave it credit for.
Let's go to our man behind the glass, Dan.
Do you have thoughts on this?
I have a question.
How does self-driving delivery work?
Do I have to leave my house to go down to the curb to remove the food I ordered from the car?
Or it's not coming up to my door, is it?
No, you'd have to assume it's either dropping it off at the front of your driveway or at the front of your building if you're an apartment.
So there is a level of work that the person will have to.
do, I would assume. And to Corollary, what's stopping the rampaging Utes in my neighborhood
from knocking over the little delivery vehicle and stealing my Panera?
I mean, security absolutely is an issue here, but I'm assuming that the folks in Nero
have figured this part out. Oh, I'd imagine they've installed cameras on those puppies.
All right, let's get to the stocks on our radar, and Dan will hit you with a question.
Emily, you're up first. What are you looking at this week?
I'm looking at Casey's General Stores. The ticker is C-A-S-Y. They had a lack of
cluster quarter with both revenue and earnings, mildly missing expectation. And growth was fueled
by the price of gas, which is probably going to be pressured next quarter as that continues
to come down. For contacts, the average price per gallon in the quarter was a 52% increase
compared to this time last year. But even with that pullback in consumer spending, I think
Casey's is still impressive. They grew their inside sales so that sales happening outside of their
gas pumps by 9% in the quarter. And again, for the second quarter in a row, pizza and breakfast
sales were really strong. And while I'm personally not a big fan of breakfast pizza, of which
Casey sells a decent amount of, if Midwesterners like egg on their slices, who am I as an
investor to judge? Dan, question about Casey's general stores? What the heck kind of store is this?
We're talking gas. We're talking breakfast. We're talking pizza. And I'm guessing there's probably
dry goods involved as well. There are. They do decent of grocery sales as well. For the Texans out
there, you can imagine this kind of like a Buckees or a Circle K for the people from Pennsylvania.
Is it a Sheet or a Wawa? I think it's like all of those, except for, if I'm 100% honest, slightly worse.
Yeah, forget Amazon. Casey's is the everything store.
Jason Moser, what are you looking at this week?
Just taking a look at McCormick. If folks were paying attention, they would have seen that
McCormick pre-announced third quarter results this week and updated their outlook due to
moderation of consumption trends earlier than expected, Chris. And I think that the first that you
that just means that maybe people are going out a little bit more and cooking at home a little
bit less, which makes sense. I think the world's open back up and most people have moved
on. Now, that said, I mean, it's not a business. It's in peril. They ratcheted down guidance
just a touch. They expect 22 sales growth of 3 to 5 percent versus 5 to 7 percent before.
They're projecting their gross profit margin to decline 380 to 380 to 330 basis points versus
200, 150 to 200 basis points from before. All things considered, I mean, nothing really
concerning in regard to the business. I mean, you have to understand why you own this stock.
You own it for his income-generating potential because it's a dividend aristocrat. Capital gains
are kind of secondary for holding a company like this. So as long as it's not something that
is challenging to the actual business itself, I don't think there's really anything to see here.
Dan? I appreciate the rueful tone Jason employed at the beginning of this radar stocks here,
because once again, he's going back to the McCormick well.
This is the type of guy.
You see him in the office.
You say, hey, Jason, how's it going?
He says immediately, hey, did you hear about McCormick?
Well, listeners know I have an affinity for it, and that'll probably never change.
But, you know, when you cook like I do, hey, listen, you got to love the companies that give you the tools.
What do you want to add to your watch list, Dan?
I am genuinely curious about Casey's General Stores.
I've never seen one.
I've never been to one.
I kind of have to go now.
Road trip, Emily Flip and Jason Moser.
Thanks for being here.
Thanks, Chris.
That's going to do it for this week's Motley Fool Money Radio show.
The show is Mixed by Dan Boyd.
I'm Chris Hill.
Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next time.
