Motley Fool Money - 2024 in Review: Energy
Episode Date: December 7, 2024It’s not talked about too much, but energy stocks have sneakily been some of the best performers in the S&P this year. Fool analyst Nick Sciple joins Ricky Mulvey for a conversation on the bigges...t energy stories of the past year. They also discuss: - How the US has gotten more efficient at extracting oil from the ground. - The challenges facing companies hoping to build small nuclear reactors. - Flatlining investor interest in renewables. Companies discussed: VST, OKLO, SMR, GEV, BWXT, FSLR Host: Ricky Mulvey Guest: Nick Sciple Producer: Mary Long Engineers: Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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For me, I think there's really three buckets you can look at to invest in nuclear power.
It's folks who own and operate existing nuclear sites.
So think about these as the utility companies we talked about earlier.
You can have folks who are playing the supply chain.
So whether that's folks like BWX technology to make fuel components, that sort of thing,
or the uranium producers, which is an interesting segment of the market where there's potential kind of crunch there.
Or you can look at folks who are developing reactors.
And if it's me, I'm really looking in those first two.
buckets folks that have operating businesses today that have been doing this for quite a long time.
I'm Mary Long and that's Nick Seiple, an analyst for our full Canada service and an energy industry
watcher. As we close out the year, we're sitting down with a number of analysts to look back on
key industries to review what's happened and what might be coming in 2025. To kick us off, my colleague
Ricky Moldy caught up with Nick to look at the energy sector. They talk about AI's insatiable
need for power, how the U.S. has gotten better at getting oil out of the ground, growing interest
in small nuclear reactors, why investors have soured on renewable stocks, and some other stories
that Nick's keeping an eye on in the year to come. As we wrap up the year, we're looking back
on some industries on the show. And for energy, one of the industries that has dominated the
S&P top performing stocks of the year, even though you may not have heard about it as much.
We're bringing in Nick Seiple to talk about it. Nick, what are your top energy headlines for
2024? Thanks, Ricky. Great to be here. I'd say really, really,
that the big energy headline this year, the headlines that dominated everything this year is
AI. How is that related to energy at all? It's really, this is the year energy demand or expectations
around electricity demand really went straight vertical. I think a lot of folks don't realize
energy consumption in the U.S. hasn't really increased that much in the past 20 years, up about
5% since 2005. Now we've got energy consumption end-user demand from AI, expected to increase
rapidly, both from AI and other data center applications. Just training an AI model uses more energy
than 100 households do in a year. And some of these next generation AI data centers might need
as much power as some big cities. Estimates of AI energy consumption are that it's expected
that more than double by 2026 could triple by 2030. And that would take data centers' responsibility
for energy demand from 2% that it was in 2022, up to 6% or more in the coming years. And that
doesn't sound like much. But again, a four or five percentage point increase in energy demand is
what we've seen in the past 20 years. And this is just the beginning of what we expect AI energy
demand to drive. And that's what's been driving lots of activity in the energy space this year and
some of the companies we're going to talk about. There's a pretty close correlation between
economic growth and energy usage when you look at developing and modern economies. But when we
think about the grid right now, one of the great questions that a lot of these big tech companies
are trying to figure out is can we power?
the needs of artificial intelligence. Right now where the grid stands, is it ready for the demands
of AI? As of today, no, we need additional energy capacity. You've seen Elon Musk talk about this. You've
seen Sam Altman from Open AI talk about this. You mentioned all the big tech companies rushing to
try to acquire energy to meet their long-term power demands just over the past year and a half.
You look at electric utilities estimates. They've doubled their forecasts for the additional power
they're going to need over the coming decade.
And that's really, again, creating incremental demand, seeing folks to rush to secure energy
supply, whether that's nuclear, natural gas, or others.
Energy taking the top spot, many of the top spots in the top five best performing stocks
of the year.
Three of them, Vistra, Constellation, and GE Vernova.
Vistra has the top spot, and this is a power generator with the capacity to serve 20 million homes.
Right now it serves about 5 million.
This company plays in natural gas, coal, solar, also has a few nuclear plants.
And you may be surprised listening to the show that the top performer in the S&P 500 is, in fact, a utility company.
So, Nick, why have investors become so excited about Vistra over the past year?
Yes, you mentioned Vistra Energy, Constellation Energy, both of these companies, independent power producers, meaning these are companies that compete in the competitive energy markets that's as compared to your regulated utility that earns a regular.
regulated rate. Obviously, this expectation of increased electricity demand for folks with
existing generation, as demand goes up, expect them to benefit. Also, I think importantly,
these folks are two of the largest nuclear power generators in the U.S. Constellation,
the number one, and competitive nuclear power generation, Vestra number two. And those assets have
become significantly more valuable in the past year. You've seen existing plants get license
extensions where they can last for another 20 or 30 more years. You've also seen,
Inflation Reduction Act, subsidies that have helped these companies produce more nuclear
power and keep some of these plants online.
There's been growing demand.
Again, as I mentioned, for new nuclear capacity, both these companies have existing sites
that can expand their production.
A lot of headlines this year, Microsoft working with Constellation Energy to bring back online
the Three Mile Island nuclear plant.
So these existing nuclear facilities aren't valuable just for the power of the plants
that exist can generate, but they can.
can be uprated and also you can add a distinct capacity over time.
So really, these companies are direct beneficiaries from the expectations for increased
electricity demand over time.
And that's part of why those stocks have moved up into the right.
Yeah, you keyed in on the expectations.
It's not the business performance that has dramatically changed quite yet for a lot of
these energy companies.
This is an expectations game where investors are getting really excited about these
companies.
Do you think this excitement is warranted, though?
Well, it depends how much of this energy demand material.
over the long term. So certainly lots of expectations about what we could see from AI. However,
there could be more efficiency or there could be fewer data centers than expected. However, these
nuclear assets are super valuable and scarce. If you value these companies at replacement value for
these plants, you could argue there's still more upside for the companies. But at the end of the
day, they're operating in a commodity market that is difficult to predict. But I do think it highlights
just how valuable these existing energy assets are. That's why these companies are performed so well.
Now, can they maintain that performance over the long term? You're not going to see utilities return
hundreds of percent a year in a normal market environment.
Let's talk about some of the ways we get energy for a little bit. Number one is oil.
And oil in the United States hit records this year. Our nation's crude output rose to about 13 million
barrels per day. According to Bloomberg, that's about 50 percent more than what Saudi Arabia is putting
out. And this is also at a time of increased efficiency. This record number,
is being done with less than one third of the rigs that were needed a decade ago.
Looking at this big picture, Nick, how has the U.S. become so much more efficient in getting
oil out of the ground?
Yeah, I think the short answer really is technology, learning innovation, right?
We're 15 plus years into the shale revolution here in the U.S. and these companies,
both because of the conditions we saw in the market in the late 2010s, and just because of, you know,
just natural efficiency, these companies have had to get more productive.
You see things like longer laterals drilled for wells.
You see difference changes in fracking fluid, fracking multiple wells at once, better drilling technology,
utilizing automation.
These companies are really, really good at pulling oil and gas out of the ground, and they've
gotten better and better year after year.
At some point, we will hit the limit of this efficiency, but it's really been impressive,
the ability to continue to grow production in the U.S.
We've heard calls for peak shale year after year after year, and production keeps going
up and to the right.
Yeah, there is a limited supply of oil in the ground, but there sure is a lot of it.
Looking at these efficiencies, it costs less money to get oil out of the ground to break-even
price going down. Is this a trend that you expect to continue for the long term?
Well, I mean, the growth can't continue forever. There's a certain point in which all the
oil and gas that is in these rocks is squeezed out. But I think the, you know, the Shale Revolution,
the importance of the U.S. as an energy producer has been changed for, you know, what I think
will be a long time. I think that the balance of
power and oil and gas has been changed, such that OPEC isn't quite as important as they've been in
the past. They still are very important. And whenever they turn the spigots back on, we'll see some
impact on price. But I think the U.S. is in a much better position, energy security-wise, than it was
20-plus years ago. And I don't expect that to change anytime soon. Can we maintain this level of
growth forever? Probably not. But I think the U.S. is positioned as a significant oil producer
are unlikely to change anytime soon.
Let's move on to nuclear.
There's been a lot of investor interest.
Stocks for these companies have done quite well this year.
And especially in the SMR space, the small modular reactor space.
Two companies that play here are New Scale and Oaklo.
Both of these have seen a lot of interest.
We had the CEO of Oaklo on the show earlier this year, Jacob DeWitt.
And Oaklo is up almost 100% over the past year.
Also a name in the chairman seat you might know with Sam Altman,
New Scale.
which is appropriately tickered, SMR is up more than 700%.
Here's the kicker, though.
These kind of look a little bit like biotech companies to me, Nick,
where they're not generating revenue,
and a lot of this is expectations over an exciting new technology.
So neither of these have a fully operational,
small modular reactor up and running.
Right now, as we stand at the end of 2024,
what are the challenges these companies are facing getting these off the ground,
or on the ground?
You don't want them in the air.
That's right. If we start having them in the air, we've really had an incredible breakthrough.
Yeah, I mean, it's really all of the above. Regulatory challenges, permitting, lack of skilled labor, really the cost.
I mean, new scale had been, you know, they're the company that has the first, you know,
small modular reactor that's approved on the market. They had plans to deploy in 2026.
But last year, their partners pulled out because the cost estimates came in significantly above what they,
I think is 50% or more above the original.
plans. And I think it just really highlights a challenge with these companies. You mentioned,
New Scale and Oaklo, both of these are companies that have plans to build reactors are in
certain stages of the regulatory process. But at the end of the day, these reactors are still on paper.
And if you think about these, you know, on paper designs, they can be simple, they can be small,
they can be cheap, they can be light, they can be easy to be built quickly, but you start to run
into some of these other challenges as you deploy these reactors. And often you see these things
come in behind schedule, delayed. And this is.
has been something from the onset of nuclear power in the 50s on to today.
We just saw it in the past year or so.
In Georgia, we saw a Voktoll Unit 3 and 4 come online.
These are the first big, large-scale reactors built in the U.S. in a number of decades.
They had originally, those projects started in 2009, have been planned to be done seven years ago at a cost of $14 billion, came in in the past couple years at over $30 billion.
And so the gap between these plans for nuclear reactors and actually getting to construction
are quite wide.
We'll see whether ACHLO or New Scale or any number of companies that remain private are able
to get there.
But I think a lot of what you're seeing with the price moves today aren't about the operating
company.
It's that, oh my gosh, we've got two companies available to invest in that are operating in this small
modular reactor space and let's rush out to gobble them up.
I, for one, I'm skeptical about whether we actually get to operation.
And I gave you a couple of reasons.
You know, the cost of these things end up coming in significantly higher in the real world than they do on paper.
Yeah, but if you have that Sam Altman tech money going behind you, he might want to operate some of those data centers with small modular reactors.
I got my string out in my cork board.
I can see how this works out even if it comes in a little bit over budget, Nick.
With your skepticism, do you think we'll see any small modular reactors running in the next, let's say, three to four.
five years in the United States? Yes, in the United States, not commercially, but we will see
at least one running in the U.S. in the next five years. The Department of Defense has the project
Pelei microreactor project is going to be the first microreactor deployed in North America.
That's currently under construction here in the U.S. right now and is expected to be completed by
26. That's a Department of Defense program. If we look in North America in general, the earliest deployment
of small modular reactors is expected to come in in Canada with Ontario power generation.
They're building the BWRX 300 reactor, which is built by GE Hitachi, which is a subsidiary of
GE-Vernova, which you mentioned earlier.
They're already building, doing some of the pre-construction work, building some of the components
that will go into that, and construction is going to start next year. The plan is for that
plant to be operational in late 2028 or early 2029. So that just sneaks us under that three to five-year
timeline. Oklo has talked about having a commercial reactor available by 2027. If everything goes
exactly according to plan, they could make that happen. I've laid out my skepticism for that.
But I think there's a couple plants under construction today, both the military one I talked
about, Project Pelae and this one in Canada that should get to market by 2028 and that are under
construction. So, you know, not totally looking down on this market, but just some of these
companies that don't have operations or don't have, you know, the shovel in the ground today,
it's a long way to go to get there in the next three to five years, that's for sure.
You're not trying to dismiss the difficulty of nuclear science. I get where you're coming from.
There's big tech companies mentioned Sam Altman, but there's other big tech companies that
are very interested in nuclear energy. How are you seeing them get in this game?
Well, we've seen lots of deals this year, and it's kind of you can put them into two buckets.
It's securing capacity from existing nuclear plants.
You had Amazon make a deal with Talon Energy for $650 million to acquire nuclear energy from their existing plants.
Microsoft in the kind of existing plant bucket I mentioned earlier, made a deal with Constellation Energy to drop power from their existing plants,
both reactivating the Three Mile Island nuclear reactor, but also having a power matching agreement to power their data centers with nuclear power there.
But we're also seeing activity by Big Tech to build new nuclear reactors, or at least explore
that type of activity. And this is using utility partners primarily. So, Amazon has a deal to explore
deploying small modular reactors with Energy Northwest in Washington State. Also has a relationship
with Dominion Energy that's exploring a small modular reactor in Virginia. Amazon also invested
in X Energy, which is another one of these small modular reactor design company.
companies, Google also investing in a small modular reactor design company, Cairo's Power, and
then also in the world of kind of building new nuclear reactors just this week. Meta announced
that they're going to put out a request for proposal to build one to four gigawatts of new nuclear
generation capacity in the U.S. by the 2030s. So whether it's building new capacity or trying
to lock up existing nuclear capacity, you've got all the big techs really swirling around.
For lots of reasons, it's not just powering AI. It's that these companies have to lock up existing nuclear capacity.
have taken the climate pledge and in order to power these facilities in a way that's carbon
neutral, nuclear is really the only available way to do that given that you need to run these
things 24-7 and the intense power needs. So, you know, lots of demand from big tech and you're
seeing lots of money getting thrown around, almost panic spending, I would say.
Panic spending, that sometimes isn't a good thing. I'm imagining, though, you know, there could be
some shareholder calls, you know, a few years from now. You know what? Over here at Meadow,
we've learned that it's really difficult to store nuclear waste. That was not something we've been
able to figure out over the past few years, so we've had to turn to a new energy source. This is something
I'm imagining. And also, to be clear, I'm optimistic about the future of nuclear. I think it's a
really cool technology. And it is, as you said, if you're trying to achieve carbon neutrality,
it's a good place to get energy. So let's say if big tech can't accomplish their nuclear dreams
to power these cloud servers, these AI chatbots that are sucking up so much energy, you mentioned
the power earlier, it takes 10 times more energy to do a chat, GPT query than it does to do a Google
search. So if big tech can't get nuclear up and running, where would you expect them to turn?
Well, I really think it's an all of the above, regardless of if you get nuclear up and running.
They've been some of the largest deployers of renewables over the past several years.
You're going to see companies turn to natural gas in the near term because of what I mentioned
about needing a capacity 24-7 without any of this intermittency.
So, I mean, 2024 is supposed to be the year.
If things finish out the way we started the year, it's going to be the year where we have
the most new natural gas generation announced in the U.S. since 2017.
We've got more than 200 gas units at various stages of development across the U.S.
So this increase in energy demand isn't just going to fall on building new nuclear plants.
We're not going to be able to solve it just with new natural gas plants, and we're not going to be able to do it just with renewables.
I think there's really growth everywhere.
And natural gas is one of those areas where we've seen a return of interest in the past year or so.
This is another one of those segments of energy where folks have continued to call a peak demand for the commodity,
and it continues to go up and up and up as demand surprises.
As we talk about nuclear, you mentioned your skepticism towards some of the companies that don't have small modular reactors going.
But last year, you also pitched BWX technologies for our Stock March Madness game, which you won,
as I'll remind the listeners, or those who don't know, Nick won Stock March Madness with this company,
which supplies fuel for nuclear submarines in the U.S. Navy.
The company also makes real revenue and is profitable.
Another one where expectations have changed for the company is more interest in nuclear comes in.
So with investors who are also excited about this space, you know, do you recommend should they look to the more
established companies, should they look at the startup? Should they take a basket approach?
Yeah, for me, I think there's really three buckets you can look at to invest in nuclear power.
It's folks who own and operate existing nuclear sites. So think about these as the utility
companies we talked about earlier. You can have folks who are playing the supply chain.
So whether that's, you know, folks like BWX technology and make fuel components, that sort of thing,
or the uranium producers, which is an interesting segment of the market where there's potential
kind of crunch there, or you can look at folks who are developing reactors. And if it's me,
I'm really looking in those first two buckets, folks that have operating businesses today
that have been doing this for quite a long time. If I had to pick one company, BWX technology
still is the, I would say, the highest quality nuclear business that I think is the lowest risk
for folks to invest in. Today, you mentioned the military nuclear sub and aircraft carrier business.
They make fuel for those. They also manufacture the reactor components. They've been doing that for
decades. It's basically a monopoly business, makes up the majority of the revenue. They also are
one of these companies building that Project Paley microreactor in the U.S. generating revenue.
They're also working with DARPA and the Space Force on the first nuclear rocket engine in space
with Project Draco. So they really have the flagship nuclear programs of the Navy, of the Air Force,
and of the Army, if you think about Project Pellet, if you think about, project Pellet. If you think
about the history of nuclear power.
A lot of the innovation and nuclear has been driven
by US military programs and has for quite a long time.
When you're looking at microreactors,
they do have the ability towards the end of the decade
to potentially deploy the project Pellé reactor
commercially or kind of derivative designs
from the Pellate reactor commercially,
which puts them in the competitive market
that Oclo is trying to get to.
In micro reactors, if you look at small modular reactors,
they're positioned as a merchant supplier in the market.
So that means that they can provide
services to lots of these potential small modular reactor design companies, the most notable of
which I talked about the BWRX 300 reactor that's being built in Ontario at the Darlington
site. They are building the reactor pressure vessel for that reactor and are currently generating
revenue on that today. So if you think about the kind of small reactor designs in North America
that are getting built right now, BWX Technologies has shots on goal on both of those and also have the
potential to offer business to lots of these other small reactor, small modular reactor design
companies. They're the only company that's able to manufacture large nuclear reactor components.
So I think they're well positioned regardless of who wins in small modular reactors to really
gobble up a portion of that business. And then, you know, without spending too much time here,
they have a medical business that's in a position to grow rapidly, providing nuclear radio
isotopes. Aklo is invested in there as well. So I think this is a business that a lot of companies are talking about
doing things in these SMR space, marker reactor space, but VWX Technologies is generating revenue
today and has the potential to continue to do that as the space grows over the next 10-plus
years. So I think this is a business that is high quality is going to grow with the market
and also doesn't carry the same risk that some of these paper reactor companies have today.
Oh, they've got plans. They've got people who want their reactors, Nick.
A quick question before we move on. For the project paper,
Reactor, that's something that the Department of Defense ordered. Where's the energy for that going?
Do you know? Yeah. So it's going to be built at the Idaho National Laboratory, which is one of the,
there's a handful of kind of U.S. nuclear laboratories. The Oak Ridge National Laboratory here in
Tennessee is another one. And it's going to be deployed at the kind of test center. And, you know,
over the long term, if it proves viable, would be something that would be deployed at remote military bases,
you know, across the country and across the world really solves the problem of how do you provide
logistics to these to these bases. I think that the stat was something like 50% of the casualties
in Iraq and Afghanistan were related to just transporting diesel and other types of fuel to
remote military bases. And obviously, if you could put a small nuclear reactor on these bases,
you could, you know, save a lot of lives. So certainly there's a military application here that
that makes a lot of sense. Let's move on to some renewables because renewables,
stocks outside of nuclear, have had a rough few years. For example, the I shares, global clean
energy, ETF, it's about flat over the past five years and has had sort of a selling off basically
since the pandemic hype. And many of these companies, it's impossible right now, Nick, to talk
about these companies without talking about the political situation. Travis Hoyum was writing on
fool.com about first solar, which is a company that makes solar panels and operates, we'll call
them solar power plants. You can imagine the large fields of solar panels that are generating energy.
Hoyem pointed out that basically if it did not receive clean energy subsidies, then its operating
income would fall by more than two-thirds. Trump administration coming into office has talked about
rolling back these clean energy subsidies. What are the impacts you're going to be watching if that
happens? Well, I mean, very hard to predict, especially given how, you know, the president-elect, like
to negotiate. But I mean, if you look across the board, you know, if the Inflation Reduction
Act went out the board, you could certainly see lots of impact in some of these renewable
companies. I mean, nuclear benefits from some of these subsidies under the Inflation
Reduction Act. Renewable diesel is another area of the market that you look at, that's had
lots of investment over the past few years, that if you look at the economics of that business
without subsidies, it doesn't really work. You know, electric vehicles, they've talked about
rolling back electric vehicle tax credits, certainly would hurt the folks that are benefiting from that
today. So, you know, you could see really effects across the board. I mean, some folks might argue
that, you know, maybe you see some marginal projects that only existed because of subsidy,
kind of get abandoned and kind of create breathing space for other projects. But I think it's really
difficult to predict. And I think if you have an investment thesis that is wholly dependent on the
government doing X or not doing X, it often is going to put you in a bad.
spot as an investor. So I just don't let the kind of political narrative drive your investing decisions.
Do you think the investing thesis for a lot of these renewable energy companies remain strong
or for any of these renewable energy companies?
I mean, renewable is continuing to grow rapidly. So, I mean, solar deployment in the U.S.
grew 25 percent, utility scale grew 30 percent, you know, about 90 percent of total new electrical
generating capacity in the U.S. in 2024.
for renewable. You're seeing really rapid growth in renewable. However, it is more challenged
than it was a few years ago. Interest rates are higher, which is making some of these
projects that would have penciled out at lower interest rates not work in the same way they
would have previously. Potentially, you have fewer subsidies. You saw some of that in California.
So for me, I think it's hard to find super attractive places to invest in renewables today. That
doesn't mean that they're not out there. But I do feel like some of these segments of the market
are becoming a little bit commoditized, and there's a little bit more attraction to invest
in some of these other areas. So if I had to invest in the renewable kind of area, I would
be looking at some of these companies like Brookfield Renewable Energy, folks who own kind
of a broad basket of renewable assets and less in some of these companies that make panels
and that sort of thing, which for solar would fall in that bucket. One of the other
the thing to mention, too, you talk about what happens with changes in subsidies. But for solar
in particular, if you see a return of tariffs, they have a lot of manufacturing capacity in the
U.S. And a lot of the low-price solar panels are imported from China. So there's more puts and
takes that could happen here than just, well, you pull subsidies over here, you add tariffs over
there. Your mind could spend if you spend too much time thinking about some of this stuff.
You start doing a lot of bank shots. While renewable,
energy capacity is still expanding, it seems to me that the fundamental problem for a lot of these
companies is baseline power needs. That's something that nuclear energy addresses, but the sun isn't
always shining. The wind is not always blowing, and you can't have rolling blackouts because of that.
Are these renewable companies in the wind in solar space? Are you seeing them meaningfully
address these baseline power needs? Well, everybody's trying to get involved in battery storage
in some way, and some of that is driven by subsidies or incentives. You know,
California changed their rebate mechanism, which puts you in a better position if you have battery storage.
But again, on the flip side of things, if you have a solar panel farm plus battery storage,
that's another additional spend that you have to make.
So, listen, I think there's a growing realization that it's going to have to be in all of the above
strategy to solve our energy needs.
We're not just going to have renewables with battery storage that replaces all of our natural gas and nuclear.
I think we're going to need more of everything, you know, to achieve our needs.
So, you know, just because renewables won't provide 100% of baseload power all the time,
you know, doesn't mean that there's not, you know, a bright future ahead for the market.
And we're not going to be producing a heck of a lot more, you know, solar energy in particular,
five and 10 years from now than we are today.
I just think the market is not as optimistic about renewable energy as it was a few years ago.
And I think they were probably too optimistic a few years ago.
optimistic a few years ago.
And finally, what energy storylines are you watching as we enter into 2025?
Yeah, so I'll give you three.
The first one, what is OPEC going to do with their idle capacity for the past couple
years?
There's been a question of, you know, when is this potential oil production on the sidelines
going to be brought online?
Sooner or later, the cartel is going to kind of give and decide, hey, we want to sell more
of our product into the market and we were tired of waiting around for higher prices. If that
does happen, then the trickle-down effects to producers in the U.S. and around the world, obviously
could be significant. Number two, looking in North America, in 2025, the LNG Canada project
will begin exporting. I believe it's this summer. It's scheduled to do its first exports. That's
going to be the first liquefied natural gas project in Canada. Canadian natural gas has been
significantly below world benchmarks for quite a while.
because of a lack of offtake capacity.
I would expect that to drive price of Canadian natural gas up in 2025.
And there's some producers there that could stand to benefit.
And then the last one is what's going to happen.
I mentioned earlier, there's BWRX 300 reactor that's going to start construction in Canada in 2025.
I want to watch the progress of that reactor under construction.
If it starts to see some of the same kind of cost overruns and delays that we've seen it at
prior nuclear, new nuclear projects we've seen in recent years, then that could start to,
you know, lessen some of the optimism in the nuclear sector. However, you know, Canada has
been working for the past several years to extend, you know, the lives of existing nuclear
reactors has been able to do that actually below budget and ahead of schedule. If some of that
same kind of expertise can drive some of the same results for construction of small modular
reactors, then maybe you see the order book pick up. So be interested to see what happens there. Lots
on, I'm sure there's going to be some stories that surprise us in 2025 as well.
Nick Seiple. Appreciate your insight. Appreciate you being here. Thanks for joining us on Motleyful money.
Anytime, Ricky. Thanks so much. As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about,
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you. I'm Mary Long. Thanks for listening. We'll see you tomorrow, Fools.
