Motley Fool Money - A Marijuana Mirage?

Episode Date: September 21, 2018

A Canadian cannabis company produces big returns for shareholders. Amazon unveils new products. Medtronic makes a big buy. Olive Garden delivers for Darden Restaurants. And Disney gets a boost from ES...PN+. Jason Moser, Matt Argersinger, and Ron Gross analyze those stories along with the latest from FedEx, Under Armour, Eventbrite, United Natural Foods and more. Plus, Bloomberg Businessweek writer and best-selling author Ashlee Vance talks Elon Musk, Tesla, SpaceX, and weird technologies.  Thanks to Molekule for supporting Motley Fool Money. Get $75 off your 1st order at http://www.molekule.com and use the promo code “fool”.     Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:31 That's M-O-L-E-K-U-L-E.com. And use the promo code, Fool. Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money. The best thing in life are free, but you can get them to the pun. From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money. It's the Motley Full Money Radio Show. I'm Chris Hill joining me in studio this week's senior analyst, Jason Moser, Matt Argusinger,
Starting point is 00:02:02 and Ron Gross. Good to see. He was always, gentlemen. Hey, you do. We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street. Best-selling author, Ashley Vance is our guest. And as always, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar. But we begin this week with Tilray, the well-known Canadian cannabis company that I've never heard of until this week. It started the year with a market cap of around $2 billion. And, Jason, it's going to close this week with a market cap of just north of $12 billion. dollars. I'm used to seeing this kind of exponential rise with technology companies. What is going
Starting point is 00:02:37 on with this kind of a stuff? I'm not even used to seeing that kind of a rise with tech companies, at least not in the course of a week. And I think that's what we're seeing more or less. But coming from someone, me, who supports legalization, I am for it. Okay? You need to avoid this thing like the plague. I mean, this is, it's mania. That's the only real word I can offer. that fits the mold. And I think a lot of it is based on speculation, perhaps what will be one day here domestically. With Tilray, it is a Canadian company, and I think a lot of people are sort of thinking that what is going on now with Canada will one day be that same way here. But this is just a wicked combination of speculation. And in Tilrey's case, it's a very low float on the open market.
Starting point is 00:03:25 Of the 93.1 million shares outstanding, only 19.1 percent of them trade. on the open market, that means it's only about 17.8 million shares. Very low float means high volatility, which is what we're seeing. And when I talk about high volatility, just go back to September 19th, the stock hit a high of 300 and a low of $151, all in the same day. On the 20th, high of $244, low of $158, all in the same day. That is not normal. We don't see that. And that's why we tell people with stuff like this, this business and the stock, it's not based on anything fundamental. That's why you've got to steer clear of this thing and wait until we have a better idea of how legalization is going to take form here domestically before
Starting point is 00:04:06 you start placing any crazy beds. Yeah. And speaking of fundamentals, Chris, I think you mentioned a $12 billion market cap, if I heard correctly. Well, this company in the last 12 months did $28 million in revenue. So that seems reasonable. Right. Even if the day it all becomes legal in Canada, as Jason mentioned, maybe more legalization here in the U.S., even if that revenue went up 10x in the next year, it would still be a ridiculous valuation. I think this ultimately, just as Jason described it, it's a total mania. And this is kind of for me a buy-the-rumor-s-sell-the-news kind of thing. In other
Starting point is 00:04:43 words, I think these companies are still going to be rallying. And it's not just Till Ray. You have companies like canopy growth, Aurora Cannabis, and the day it goes legal in Canada, I feel like that's the day these stocks probably turn over. Just ask yourself, what would be their competitive advantage? I mean, what they do is grow and distribute marijuana. I mean, I knew guys that did that in college. We won't run a $13 billion businesses. I mean, it just was, I don't know. It didn't have all the staging and optics of Apple's recent event, but this week, Amazon unveiled more than a dozen new hardware products, including a microwave oven that works with its voice assistant Alexa. Ron, I'm not even sure
Starting point is 00:05:22 where to start with this. I want it all. I want every single one of them. It's very interesting to whether it's the echo auto or the microwave, as you say, or the clock. Who doesn't need an echo clock? But I think what's happening here, in all seriousness, is that we see Amazon creating an ecosystem, which is what we've time and time spoken about with respect to Apple and what's been so interesting for Apple. They want to be in your home, your car, your business,
Starting point is 00:05:51 and they want it all interconnected through the Alexa X Echo system. And I actually think it makes cool. good sense. And I think they've got a nice head start on the folks that are competing against them. I think it's amazing to think about five years ago. We really would have all just given Apple the first place ribbon in this race. And fast forward to now. And it just, it seems like Siri just get out of her own way. And Amazon has just flooded the market with echo enabled devices everywhere. It's pretty amazing. Well, and also, Maddie, we've talked for years about the smart home and you look at Alphabet,
Starting point is 00:06:31 their acquisition of Nest. I mean, where is Google in all of this? What do you suppose the reaction was at Google headquarters? Because, again, this was a very quiet event in some ways. Yes, and I just think it speaks to the fact that Amazon feels like it's a lot closer to home for us because most of us use Amazon regularly. I mean, we're not always going out and buying Apple products every month or Google products every month. We're using the services and things like that.
Starting point is 00:06:55 But Amazon, we're tangibly buying things for the home. And this technology aspect, this platform now that we have for the home from Amazon, feels more like a natural extension, I think. Yeah, 5% away from a trillion dollars catching up on Apple. I think announcements like this will help them. Stock still has room. Well, speaking of the stock, we got a question from Stephen McRae. He writes, I've developed a good problem in my portfolio.
Starting point is 00:07:21 I purchased shares of Amazon several years ago. just under $300 a share. At the time, it represented about 5% of my portfolio. Today, it represents close to 20% of my portfolio. I've heard people talk about trimming a position when this happens and putting the money somewhere else to increase diversification. My problem is, I still believe in my original thesis, and I believe the future is still bright for Amazon. What are your thoughts when you find yourself in this position? Maddie? Well, Stephen, this goes definitely in the bucket of great problems to have. And many investors don't experience this at all in their lifetime. So, congratulations on buying a great company and holding it for this long. 20% to me personally seems a little
Starting point is 00:08:04 high. If I was looking across all my portfolios, I would say this feels like me an opportunity. If you still love the company, maybe consider, I wouldn't trim it all at once, but consider maybe selling 1% a quarter, get it down to 15%, slowly allocate elsewhere. That might be the way I'd approach it. Yeah, and everyone's risk tolerance is different. Some folks would be okay with 20%. I'm not one of those folks. I wouldn't sleep well at night, which no amount of money can beat a good night's sleep. So I would trim it back. It'd be interesting to see if there's tax consequences. I'd love it if it's in a retirement account for him, and he can make this switch tax-free. Given the push towards all of this echo stuff, and I really can't top the answers these
Starting point is 00:08:45 guys gave. I mean, it's everybody's risk tolerance is unique to their own behavior. But going back to all of the echo-enabled stuff, I mean, I'm trying to figure out exactly what problem does that solve for the most part. I mean, I'm a big fan of the echo device. We've got a few in our house. But beyond asking Alexa to play music or a podcast or give me the weather forecast or convert something, I'm just not sure that it is going to solve as many problems as perhaps the headlines would have you believe. But Ron wants everything. He wants it all. I want it all. But yet Ron wants everything. Why do you... It's going to connect my home in many different ways. It's not going to be emailed. Email enabled. It's going to be able to handle a lot of your business aspects. It's going to be in video conferencing. Obviously, in your car, you can have a new app that basically give you nav.
Starting point is 00:09:39 It's great stuff, but when it doesn't work, it does get pretty frustrating. I mean, I'll just use my lights as an example. I have it set up to work and turn on my lights. But every once in a while it fails, and I'm like, Like, cowley, it's just, now I've got to get up and hit the switch on the wall. It's killing me. Now you know what to get Ron for his birthday. Well, there you go. Thank you. This week, Medtronic, the medical device giant, got even bigger when it announced the acquisition of Mazur Robotics for $1.6 billion. I'm guessing they got a good price, Maddie, because shares of Medtronic were up on this news.
Starting point is 00:10:10 I think they did. I mean, I'm a shareholder of Mazur robotics. And so I think this is one of the situations where I'm supposed to say, well, this feels sweet, you know. But actually, there's nothing really sweet about it for me, because I was really excited to see Mazur remain a small, independent company, and see if they could grow. They're a real innovator in the area of robotic spinal surgery, and they're demonstrating great efficacy in that. When they made the deal with Metronic a couple of years ago, they did it for the right reasons. In other words, Metronic has a massive sales organization. It would
Starting point is 00:10:37 give them wider distribution, a lot more traction. But I knew as soon as Mazur had any sort of success, Metronic was right there to buy him out. And they already owned 12% of the business. of the shares coming into the deal. So not surprised by the buyout, a little bitter that I'm going to lose my mazer shares pretty soon. It's not to be confused with Moza Robotics, which is something I haven't invented yet, but I've got a couple of ideas. United Natural Foods is the largest supplier to Whole Foods. Fourth quarter results came in lower than expected in shares of United Natural Foods down down more than 12 percent on Friday, Jason.
Starting point is 00:11:08 Yeah, it's been a tough year for this company for a couple of reasons. Really. Amazon buying Whole Foods has put them in a little bit of a different position in the value change. But also, if you go back to July in this merger with super value and essentially this effort to consolidate on the wholesale side, it makes sense. But I think it really shines a light on how difficult the space is. And so with United Natural Foods, that relationship with Whole Foods was very meaningful. It was responsible for about 33, 34 percent of their yearly revenues. The acquisition from Amazon is going to change that most likely.
Starting point is 00:11:43 That relationship ends in 2025. But it's not to say that they couldn't perhaps end it sooner. And so I think that management at United Natural Foods is feeling a little bit of the fire there. That was the impetus behind the super value merger, and the super value merger is not going to come cheap. And at the end of the day, they are still caught in this massive price squeeze as these grocers just compete for the lowest cost. So I don't know that the future really looks bright for these guys, even if they execute this merger flawlessly. It's just a really difficult business, the grocery space. And more and more
Starting point is 00:12:19 United Natural Foods seems like they're kind of in that middleman spot. Coming up, we've got a surprise from Disney and a hot IPO. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Full Money. Hey, before we get back to the news, quick shout-out to TD Ameritrade. You're always on the cutting edge of technology. Yeah, you are. You might not think you are. But if you're listening to this show, you are. TD Ameritrade prides itself on being ahead of the curve, too. They're latest innovations put their resources and services on the popular platforms that you carry and use every day. So now, to stay on top of the markets, all you have to do is enable the TD Ameritrade skill for Amazon Alexa or message them on Facebook. And you can learn more about their commitment
Starting point is 00:13:02 to innovation by going to TD Ameritrade.com slash innovation. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money, Chris Hill here in studio with Jason Moser, Matt Argusinger, and Ron Gross. of FedEx falling a bit this week after first quarter profits came in lower than expected. Ron, part of this is FedEx is paying its employees more. That seems like a good thing for FedEx in the long run, and that seems like a bad reason to sell this stock. Yeah, I have no problem with that. It was two things. Higher bonuses for management and wage increases for hourly workers. Management, okay, I will begrudge them a few bucks.
Starting point is 00:13:42 I'm fine with the hourly increases for their workers, and I think that will bode well down road. I think what hit the stock a little bit here is the whole tariff thing. So far, 10% of FedEx's business in China has been affected by the tariffs, and FedEx gets about 2% of their overall revenue from that region. So I think there's some fear there, but I think it's overblown. Tariffs, I assume they're going to work themselves out. I think about it like I think about currency. I don't know how to predict it. I don't know where it's going to go, but I assume it's going to work its way out. So overall, though, I think it's a strong report. Revenue up 11 percent, earnings up 38 percent, which was actually worse than expected, but pretty
Starting point is 00:14:23 good on the heels of a tax, lower tax rate, which everyone is obviously benefiting from. But they raise guidance, shares were only 14 times earnings. I thought the report was great. Back in April, Disney launched its ESPN Plus streaming service with a price tag of $5 a month. This week, Disney announced it now has 1 million subscribers. Obviously, they're looking for more than that, Maddie. This is a pretty good start five months in. I think it is, because I think a lot of us, a lot of the investment community was pretty
Starting point is 00:14:54 skeptical about this when they first announced it in 2017 and then certainly after they debuted it just a few months ago. But hitting a million is huge. And I think Bob Eiger on the last conference call kind of hinted at that. He said, you know, conversions from free trials were going well. Subscription numbers were stronger than expected. And so I think this is good news because I think it sets, it makes investors feel a little more confident about what's happening next year, which is.
Starting point is 00:15:17 is the Disney app, which I think is the bigger platform, the bigger subscription service they're going to launch. And it comes on the heels of ending the distribution agreement they have with Netflix. And so I'm still a little bit worried. I'm glad to see the traction, but I worry still that there's just too many choices now in front of consumers. It's nice that people seem to be paying up for this incremental ESPN content. But I feel like Hulu is still out there as, you know, they're going to get a majority stake in that. I feel like that's their best bet. That's the best platform for them to compete with the Netflix's and Amazon's YouTube's of the world. And I imagine eventually a lot of that content, Disney content's going
Starting point is 00:15:51 to flow there as well. So that's one thing to keep in mind, though, is when they get that access to Hulu, do you think on some level they are building these apps with sort of Hulu as the backup plan? Maybe not so much with ESPN Plus, but certainly with the movie streaming app. Because they're already in the same way that there's original content on ESPN Plus, Katie Nolan Show and other things like that. There's also original content in the works for the movie streaming service they've got next year. That's right. I feel like, I think you put it great. Hulu is the backup plan. They're trying to, they're trying out these separate brands, ESPN sports, Disney, Disney content,
Starting point is 00:16:30 Star Wars, Marvel, all that. Hulu probably feels a little too broad, more like an almost like a cable service. I know, Jason, that's kind of how you start to think about Hulu live and things like that. And maybe you're right. I think if these apps don't gain a lot of traction, And all that stuff ends up on Hulu anyway. The restructuring continues for Under Armour. The Sports Apparel Company announced its second round of layoffs in the past year. Jason, we don't like seeing people lose their jobs. So hopefully Under Armour is, if nothing else, getting smarter about how to run their business.
Starting point is 00:17:01 Yeah, I mean, on the headlines, it is more people losing jobs. But from the investors perspective, this really is an indicator that CEO and founder Kevin Plank is listening to his team and acting on their advice. And in this case, CFO David Bergman, I mean, they laid this goal out earlier in the year to, instead of focusing on top line revenue and growing this business as fast as they can, to kind of get back to where they are at this stage of the game, focus on what they have, trim the company down, get rid of the fat, focus on profitability, become more efficient, become leaner, and then over time, if you run a good business, it will grow.
Starting point is 00:17:43 If you have a brand that people want, it will grow. If you make products that people want, they will buy them, and your business will grow. So this really is in line with that goal. I think it makes a lot more sense. I think that one of the biggest mistakes Kevin Plank made, and this is with all of his success, I think the mistake that he made was always pinning his desire to supplant Nike as the number one brand, the number one athletic brand of the world. I think you can do that, but you can't ignore the fact.
Starting point is 00:18:09 It took Nike a while to get there. So you can't just say you want to do that and then do it over night. night. Time is a part of that equation. And so Under Armour is going to have to put in some time to do that. But I think that they've got some decision-making going now that has got this company headed back in the right direction. In terms of the next 12 months for Under Armour, how big is the e-commerce channel? Because one of the things we've seen recently with Nike is they've done a good job of building that out.
Starting point is 00:18:36 Yeah. And with Under Armour, it's very much the same story. We see with the Sports Authority going under, with Dick's sporting goods, obviously, having it's a good. its own challenges. Nike and Under Armour continue to push that direct-to-consumer channel. It's responsible for about a third of Under Armour sales today. I expect it will become more as time goes on. Definitely, we'll continue to invest in that channel. The award for IPO of the week goes to Eventbrite. Shares of the ticketing and event technology platform rose 70 percent on its first day of trading. You tell me, Maddie, is Eventbrite a stock I need to put on my radar?
Starting point is 00:19:09 Well, it's an interesting company, and I'd qualify that. that's 70 percent because even though the IPO price was $23, it actually opened for trading at 36. So us public investors never obviously had an opportunity to buy at $23, but still very impressive debut. The company, as far as I understand, it's really focused on the smaller creators. So, anywhere from small artists to fundraising, things like that, and creating events, selling tickets to those things. You have $255 million in revenue over the last 12 months. That's growing about 50% per year. Market cap right now is around 3 billion. So the valuation's high. And I'd say I'd wonder how they compete or measure up against a company like Live Nation,
Starting point is 00:19:53 which also does events, but obviously on a bigger scale, and also owns venues and has relationships with artists. I think Eventbrite is probably a company that's going to focus on the smaller events, smaller artists, and maybe that's their niche. Well, and that's the thing. When you look at Eventbrite's business and sort of the venues they're working with, the acts that they're working with. In the same way that we talk about young startup beverage companies, part of their goal is we just want to be bought by a much bigger beverage company. I'm wondering if part of Eventbrite's idea is hopefully at some point Live Nation is going to buy us. It's possible, but I wonder if Live Nation would ever be interested in doing things
Starting point is 00:20:30 at this kind of scale. But, you know, hey, if Eventprite approves the model out, and I think they've obviously had some nice traction, they serve 700,000 creators in events last year. There's probably something to the business. All right, Matt Argusinger, Jason Moser, Ryan Gross. Guys, we'll see you later in the show. Up next, Bloomberg Business Week writer Ashley Vance will share a few thoughts on Elon Musk, the future of Tesla, and a couple of technologies that are just flat out weird. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Chris Hill. If Elon Musk is not the CEO of 2018, he's certainly the most talked about CEO of 2018. Ashley Vance is a writer for Bloomberg Business Week, and he's the author of the bestselling book, Elon Musk, Tesla, SpaceX, and The Quest for a Fantastic Future. He joins me now from Palo Alto. Ashley, thanks for being here. All right. Thanks for having me.
Starting point is 00:21:34 So we've got investigations by both the SEC and the Department of Justice. We have high-ranking executives leaving Tesla. The interview that Elon Musk did on Joe Rogan's podcast, and other erratic behavior. You literally wrote the book on Musk. Has any of what has transpired in the last six weeks surprised you? Well, I guess in some ways, yes, and in some ways, no. I mean, you know, it's no secret. Elon has always kind of been his own guy and beat to his own drum. And, you know, when I was reporting the book,
Starting point is 00:22:14 I guess I would say that a lot of these types of, behaviors were were known to me and and you know I write about them but um Elon was a little bit less famous then and he certainly was not on Twitter as much as he is these days um and and so you know I think that the public is getting a full dose of of what Elon can get up to um on the other hand especially this year with him just making these huge pronouncements on Twitter and engaging with people, this type of behavior seems to be something very different than what we've seen before. In some ways, I kind of feel like there's a good Elon and a bad Elon, and the bad Elon has come out. Well, I'm glad you mentioned Twitter, because that's a conversation we've been
Starting point is 00:23:02 having here at the Motley Fool, is to what extent is the behavior that we see on Twitter from Musk or any public company executive, merely just an amplification of who they are, or or if in fact in the case of Musk, we're seeing an unraveling of sorts because certainly he has talked about in interviews the pressure that he feels like he is under. Yeah, well, I think, I mean, it's different this time around here. He's been on Twitter for a long time and he's used it as this amazing tool. Tesla doesn't spend any money on advertising, unlike all the other carmakers who are among the leading advertising spenders in the world. And for years, he used Tesla really deftly, and he would generate all his marketing for the company, and it had the shine. This is the first year where we've seen him pick fights with people, make these huge kind of crazy announcements and really snipe at journalists and things like that.
Starting point is 00:24:02 And so it's been kind of frustrating to watch. I mean, I am neither like pro or anti-Elon. I admire what his companies have done, but it's been a little sad to me. just to see all this goodwill that he built up over the years and this shine for the companies and his personality, it's certainly taken a huge hit. And I think there is, there's something of a trap with Twitter where if that, if it taps into your personality and you get kind of addicted to this interplay with the public, just about everyone who tweets seems to get undone at some point.
Starting point is 00:24:41 It really is kind of this opening to do yourself in. It's interesting because some of what he tweets about is much more of a personal nature. Some of it is very business-focused. And earlier in the week, we had Musk tweeting out that Tesla has gone from production logistics hell to delivery logistics hell. Is one of those worse than the other? Because I honestly have no idea. I think they're probably about just like equally as bad. I mean, this is the other funny thing is that you look at 2008 is this period.
Starting point is 00:25:17 I write about a lot in the book where Tesla was struggling to get its first product out. SpaceX had its rockets blowing up. It looked like both companies were going to go bankrupt. Elon was going through this very nasty public divorce. That was a crisis, the likes of which I don't think most people would handle. And he actually came out of that one remarkably. well, it's hard for me to imagine that this year is actually worse than that, although he seems to say it is, and Tesla really does seem to move from one terrible crisis to the next, which is also perplexing,
Starting point is 00:25:52 because they've been at this now for 15 plus years. They've been making Model S's and Model X's by the tens of thousands, and, you know, you just sort of felt like they would have ironed out some of these these kinks by the time the model three came around, but it really has just been one calamity after another. And again, it's frustrating to watch because here's this company that I was thinking of this kind of like its iPhone moment when it has this lead over all the competitors and could just be taking over the market for electric cars so clearly. And it really feels like it's missing its moments and allowing everyone to catch up. You mentioned the grand pronouncements that Musk is prone to making early August. He makes the famous comment about funding secured. Shares of Tesla
Starting point is 00:26:46 are down about 20 percent since he did that. They report earnings in seven weeks, and he came out of the last earnings call talking about how we're going to be a profitable company. Do they really need to deliver a profit in this next report? Or can he find some wiggle room somehow? Well, it would sure help. I mean, the funny thing about Elon, even though he's been on this kind of Twitter campaign for the last year or so over the last few months, he still seems to have a ton of goodwill, especially from maybe not institutional investors, but the consumer investors out there. And to that end, he seems to be able to get away with just about anything, turning a profit or showing proof that they have fixed some of these problems with the Model 3 manufacturing,
Starting point is 00:27:34 I really think that would go a tremendous way to getting rid of a ton of these ills. I mean, basically, it's still, if Tesla can make cars in this quarter and the next quarter and get these things out the door, it takes care of a lot of problems the company is facing. That's what it basically comes down to. But, you know, otherwise, he's, Elon's always been prone to making these big announcements, setting these aggressive timelines and missing them, but people afford him. a lot of leeway because he is trying these very ambitious things. It's just that in this particular environment that he's put himself into,
Starting point is 00:28:13 now when you start missing numbers or under-delivering, you know, it seems to come with like a much, you would think it would come with a much bigger cost. One of the things you wrote about in the book was his passion for space. How soon before Elon Musk quits working at Tesla and moves over to run SpaceX full-time. So this is something that I don't think gets as much as attention as it deserves. And, you know, Tesla, contrary to popular belief,
Starting point is 00:28:42 Elon did not actually found Tesla. You know, he was the first money into the company, and he was chairman, but he basically came in to rescue the company. And even though he is very passionate about electric cars, Tesla was sort of foisted upon him as this thing he had to fix, and I think he's been trying to fix it ever since. but SpaceX is absolutely his baby, and space is what he cares about the most. And so part of me does wonder if all this is some sort of self-inflicted crazy play to, I don't even know.
Starting point is 00:29:15 I mean, sometimes I think this is a conspiracy theory to actually drive the price of Tesla's stock down so that someone like Apple or Google could actually afford to acquire them. And so Elon could save a bit of face and just go off and run SpaceX full-time. I know that that's where his heart is. There's part of him that wants to prove all the short sellers against Tesla wrong and prove out the market for electric cars, but especially on the electric car fraud, everyone's doing it now. I think he could kind of leave Tesla and go to SpaceX if an opportunity presented itself.
Starting point is 00:29:51 Last question on Tesla. I want to go back to something you touched on earlier when you mentioned the potential that Tesla has built this lead in the electric vehicle space. they are on the precipice of potentially losing it. One of the other comments from earlier in the week came not from Musk, but from a former executive at General Motors who said that Tesla is headed for the graveyard. And I saw that comment, and one of my thoughts was, well, if I were an executive at General Motors, I would probably not be a big fan of Elon Musk.
Starting point is 00:30:26 And I took it with a grain of salt. I have taken it with a grain of salt, or should I just take that at face value, that this is a company at a pivot point? And if things don't break their way, Tesla could be in serious financial trouble. Well, I came from Bob Lutz. He used to work at GM and has never had much love for Elon or Tesla. I mean, he's been banging the Tesla is dead drum. I think almost as long as Tesla has been alive.
Starting point is 00:30:55 To his point, the company is burning through so much cash. that if it just cannot figure this manufacturing stuff out in some reasonable amount of time, there's no question. It has to go out to the market, raise more money. It's unclear exactly what that would look like and how favorable the terms would be or who's going to keep believing in Tesla. So there obviously is a scenario where this could all end horribly wrong. I think if I was betting on Elon versus Bob Lutz, I personally would bet on Elon just because he always seems to figure the way out of these things.
Starting point is 00:31:37 And so, you know, that is where, if I was a betting man, that's where I would go. Before I let you go, I have to ask you about Hello World, which is the video show that you have on Bloomberg. One of the recent episodes was about Zooks, I think I'm pronouncing that correctly, Z-O-O-O-O-X, a company working on robot taxis. Give me the thumbnail sketch on robot taxis. Yeah, sure. Well, yeah, so Zooks is, to me, maybe the most interesting, self-driving, autonomous car company. If you look at everybody else from Waymo, which is a Google spin-out to what General Motors and Cruise, it's kind of self-driving. self-driving startup are doing. Everybody else is just shoving sensors onto existing cars, and it's
Starting point is 00:32:25 the car that we all know, just with a whole bunch of stuff glued onto it. And so Zooks, their whole idea is to do a robotic self-driving car from the ground up. And so that means it looks a lot more like a London cab, where you've got no steering wheel, or you've got no front seat. It's just these seats facing each other in the middle. And from day one, this car will be, you know, have all the sensors integrated in and just look, I would say, like, a lot more futuristic than sort of the cars we're seeing today. And it has raised an incredible amount of money. I think it's up to $900 million they've raised to date.
Starting point is 00:33:04 And so there's a lot of venture capitalists out there betting that they have the right idea, although, you know, to me it's the kind of coolest idea in self-driving, but it's definitely the riskiest idea as well. On the Hello World website, it says that you're all about finding fresh and weird tech creations. What's the weirdest technology you've encountered while you've been working on this show? Well, so for the last like two years during the show, I've flown all over the world. I've been in guys who have made homemade flying cars and gone up with them and sort of like, you know, risked my life. when I was in Chile, I was injected with frog poison by a shaman while I was exploring the technology of the Atacama Desert.
Starting point is 00:33:53 So I've seen just about all of it. I'd say possibly some of the stuff we saw in Russia might be the absolute weirdest, where we had a company that was doing cryogenics on the cheap. And so freezing people's heads and bodies in tanks that were just in the backyard of a house. in the suburbs of Moscow. And so that was something I never thought I would see first hand. You know, at the Motley Fool, one of the things were about is helping people save money. I don't know that cryogenics is where you want to skimp.
Starting point is 00:34:27 It's cheap, man. It's like a tenth of the price of big cryogenics. And, you know, I can attest that there's a very nice Russian guy who comes by and dutifully cools your head down once every couple weeks. And so, you know, if you've got a few hundred bucks stashed away, as you're nearing the end of life, maybe it's worth a risk. Maybe, but right now the frog poison is sounding a little more attractive. It's more enlightening in the here now, for sure.
Starting point is 00:34:58 You can follow Ashley Vance on Twitter. Definitely check out his video series, Hello World. You can find it on Bloomberg.com. And you can pick up a copy of the New York Times bestseller, Elon Musk, Tesla, SpaceX, and the quest for a fantastic future. Ashley, always good to talk to you. Thank you so much. Appreciate it. Coming up, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
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Starting point is 00:36:59 promo code fool. That's M-O-L-E-K-U-L-E dot com and use the promo code fool. Oh, greenback, green-back dollar fill, just a little piece of paper coated with chlorophyll. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy yourself stocks based Solan, what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money, Chris Hill, here in studio once again with Jason Moser, Matt Argusinger, and Ron Gross. You can listen to past episodes of this show and all of the Motley Fool's podcasts. Just go to podcast.com. And by the way, earlier in the show, we talked about Tilray. Our industry focus podcast actually has a bonus episode this weekend,
Starting point is 00:37:45 and it's all about Tilray. So check that out. First quarter profits for Darden restaurants came in higher than expected. Darden is the parent company of Longhawks. Horn Steakhouse, Capital Grill, and of course, Olive Garden. Darden shares falling a little bit, Ron. This was a good quarter. It's a very strong report. As you say, they beat on both sales and earnings, so that's strong. The one dark spot is that cheddar scratch ain't making no scratch. Same store sales for that chain down 4%. But overall, the blended same store restaurant sales increase was 3.3% with Olive Garden, of course, leading the way at 5.3% comps.
Starting point is 00:38:23 increase. So I think things are going well. Labor costs are higher. They are pretty much across the board. That's not surprising. But they did see a drop in food marketing and other restaurant costs, which helped offset it. They raised guidance. Very strong report. Let's go to our man behind the glass. Steve Brodow. Steve, before we get to the stocks on our radar, how much credit would you like to claim personally for Darden Restaurant's strong quarter? I did eat there yesterday, and I'm not kidding. It was delicious. The thing is, I get a lot of gift cards because people think I love the Alvgarden because I do love the Alvgarden. So I came with like three gift cards.
Starting point is 00:38:58 I was like, I don't know how much money is on these. I got a free meal. It was great. That's fantastic. So that's going to show up in next quarter. Next quarter. Okay. You're welcome, shareholders.
Starting point is 00:39:06 Let's get to the stocks on our radar. And Steve will hit you with a question. Ron, you're up first. What are you looking at this week? I'm going to go back to Oak Tree Capital, O-A-K. And this is a stock that has not done well. You're to date down 6%. And that's because they are an alternative asset manager.
Starting point is 00:39:22 That just, quite frankly, does not do well in this extended bull market. They work on distressed investments and investments that typically don't really go up in this type of a market. So their time will come, though. They have a stellar track record. They have a dividend in excess of 5%. And when things finally go down, they will benefit. Steve, question about Oak Tree Capital? If you had to give the elevator pitch for Oak Tree, what would it be?
Starting point is 00:39:48 Long-term stellar track record that will eventually benefit. when the cycle turns. Jason Moser, what are you looking at this week? Yeah, in the spirit of the Ryder Cup, which starts next Friday, looking a little bit more closely at Callaway Golf, ticker is ELY. And I've, for the most part, just issued investing in golf altogether, just with my experience in the business. It's just not the highest margin game.
Starting point is 00:40:10 But I'm actually more interested in Calloway's minority stake in Top Golf, which is the driving range concept that Mary's hitting golf balls with the social dynamic as well. You meet your friends there for food, drinks, they have sports on TV and whatnot. They're around 41 top golfs today. The goal is to open another 100 here domestically as well as 100 internationally. Already very profitable and Calloway has about a 14% minority stake in it and they intend to continue investing in it. So, you know, hey, it's got my attention.
Starting point is 00:40:39 Steve, question about Callaway Golf? Do people buy golf clubs online or is this something you need to really touch and feel and buy this, you know, hold on to the thing to make the purchase? That's a good question. people do buy them online, but club fitting today is more popular than ever before. And so most people who are serious about the game typically go get fit for clubs before they buy them. So that means Jason doesn't buy online. That's what I take from that. Matt Argusinger, what are you looking at this week?
Starting point is 00:41:03 I'm going with Disney, ticker D-I-S. We talked about it earlier in the show. The Fox acquisition is probably going to happen. It's going to muddy the waters a little bit. But ultimately, I think you have what was already the premier entertainment company in the world, but even by far now the premier entertainment company in the world. I really applaud Bob Eiger a year ago for really essentially going all in on streaming and really changing, shifting the direction of the company. It was bold. We're seeing a little bit of traction now finally with that. So I think the table might have turned for them. Stock trades for less than 15 times earnings. I just don't think that lasts very long with a company like Disney. Steve, question about Disney? What was going on with that
Starting point is 00:41:41 Han Solo movie? Can someone tell me that was in the theaters and then 10 days later was gone? What happened? Yeah, you know, I actually didn't see the movie and that, well, there you go. That's the problem. No one else did either. That's right. Can't explain it. Disney, Callaway Golf, Oak Tree Capital.
Starting point is 00:41:58 You got a stock you want to add to your watch list, Steve? I might go golfing. Hey now. All right, Jason Mozer, Matt Argusinger, Ryan Gross. Guys, thanks for being here. Thanks, Chris. That's going to do it for this week's edition of Motley Full Money. Our engineer is Steve Broido.
Starting point is 00:42:11 Our producer is Matt Creer. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.

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