Motley Fool Money - Amazon Up, Walgreens, Nike & McPlant Down

Episode Date: June 28, 2024

Amazon joins the likes of Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia and Alphabet above $2T. Who is least likely to stay there? (00:21) Jason Moser and Bill Mann discuss: - Tips for playing the long game with the 2024... election cycle ramping up - Amazon joining the $2T club, and which member is most likely to experience a big fall. - Disappointing earnings for Walgreen’s and Nike, while McCormick keeps business zesty. (19:11) Author Nicola Twilley talks about her new book Frostbite, the development of modern refrigeration, and what its evolution can teach us about the development of other technologies today. (31:22) Jason and Bill break down two stocks on their radar: Disney and Itron. Stocks discussed: AMZN, RMD, WBA, NKE, NVDA, DIS, ITRI Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Jason Moser, Bill Mann, Nicola Twilley, Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Tim Sparks, Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:27 We've got a message for investors in 2024 and a new company crossing the $2 trillion mark. This week's Motleyful Money Radio Show starts now. That's why they call it money. The full global headquarters. This is Motley Fool Money Radio Show. It's the Motley Fool Money Radio show. I'm Dylan Lewis. Joining me over the airwaves, Motley Fool's senior analyst Bill Mann and Jason Moser.
Starting point is 00:01:15 Fools, great to have you both here. Hey, hey. Good to see you, Dylan. We've got a rundown on the history of refrigeration, some big. earnings moves, and of course, stocks on our radar. We're going to kick off with some of the biggest stories of the week, though, and maybe starting off with the most unavoidable one. Last night was the first 2024 presidential debate in Atlanta. We're going to put politics on the side here and just acknowledge it's an election year, and much ink is going to be spilled
Starting point is 00:01:41 on that over the next few days, weeks, and months. Bill, we know the market likes predictability. Elections are not exactly predictable. What do you want listeners to have in mind as we look out to the back half the year and are processing a lot of election-based news. And 2024, I think, will be even much less predictable, particularly after some of the wake from last night's performance. You know, I say this every four years, and every four years people get really angry with me for making this point. But the market and our economy has survived really, really, really bad and really, really great administrations in the I don't put as much weight into who is sitting in the Oval Office in terms of the performance of either the markets or the economy.
Starting point is 00:02:33 There's a lot of people, too. There are huge cycles at play. I think most people who watch the debates probably came away with something that was somewhere in between disgust and terror. And, you know, I felt the same. We have survived all. sorts of, you know, of administrations, this is a rule, a land of rule of law and regulations and not power. I think we will ultimately be just fine, although it's going to be an interesting six months. Jason, what about you? What is your message to voters, or should I say investors, those who vote with their dollars as they look out over the next six months? I like that. Investors more. I think most voters, I would imagine most voters came away from this. more firmly entrenched in sort of their opinion than when they went in. So, I think for investors,
Starting point is 00:03:29 the thing that really came to mind immediately was just that the market in the short term is a voting machine, and in the long run, it's a weighing machine, right? That old saw that Ben Graham gave us, we've seen so many greats use that if Jeff Bezos stands out as one. It is really, it's about taking that longer-term view. And I think Bill really hit on something there. I mean, there is plenty of data out there that shows you that our economy, that we as a nation have prospered under both kinds of administrations, really, and everything in between, right? So we've seen great performance and poor performance across the aisle. And so I think that's something just to keep in mind there. Now, I do recognize that this election cycle, and I think this is important to note,
Starting point is 00:04:14 there is more uncertainty and there are more potential outcomes at this point than we probably have ever seen in any election cycle in our lives. And so, yeah, we will see a lot of ink spilled here in the coming weeks and months. And I just encourage investors to not let those headlines cause, cause hasty or irrational decisions. Because, yeah, I think at the end of the day, you know, we're going to continue to move forward regardless of the results. And I think things will be okay. Yeah, not to sound too Pollyanna-ish, but the U.S. economy is one of the most resilient economic machines that's ever been devised. It's really, really hard to screw it up. A piece of that resilient economic machine celebrating a major milestone this week,
Starting point is 00:05:01 we have a new entrant to the $2 trillion club, Amazon joining Alphabet, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Apple as one of the only companies to hit the milestone. Jason, it feels like kind of a nice opportunity for us to reflect on Amazon the business year, because I think that they have managed time and time again in this climb to $2 trillion to embody the nature of whatever got you here will not get you there and have been an incredibly flexible business. Well, I mean, it is, after all, I mean, it started out as just a purveyor of books, right? I mean, Jeff Bezos was just out there trying to more or less democratize the book market. And lo and behold, look where we are today.
Starting point is 00:05:43 I mean, this is a company now. That valuation, incidentally, represents $8,700 per prime member in market capitalization, something like 230 million prime members at this point. I mean, that's, hey, listen, I feel. From the man household, that feels about right. Yeah, from our household that feels about right, too. But I think, you know, when you look at Amazon today, I mean, you've got a business that reported close to $50 billion, billion dollars in advertising revenue alone in 2023.
Starting point is 00:06:14 If you go out of it as 2020, it wasn't even its own explicit line item on the earnings report. We've talked ad nauseum about AWS and that opportunity, $90 plus billion in revenue in 2023 and no signs of slowing down, clearly capturing a lot of this AI opportunity. And to boot, I think the CEO transition has been just a total success. It's really hard to argue that it's not worked out well. So you've got a lot going for this company right now. And it sounds like Andy Jassy is going to be, going to be steering this thing for a good while to come. And so far, so good. Listen, I mean, it was September 4th, 2018, when it crossed one trillion.
Starting point is 00:06:55 I think we're going to see $3 trillion here in the blink of the night. I'm going to throw an intentionally hard question at you and revisit that $1 trillion milestone a little bit. I mentioned the five companies to top $2 trillion, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon. on. Bill, if I were to say five years from now, one of them is a sub one trillion dollar company. Which one is it? Oh, no. You're really going through, are you? Okay. I'm going to hate this answer, but I'm going to give it anyway. I think the answer of those is actually Nvidia. And the reason why I think that is not so much, hey, it's gone up so much, but right now, Nvidia has a lower revenue base than Accenture. And Accenture is a sub-200 billion dollar company. So you're talking
Starting point is 00:07:41 about something that is 9% the size of of Nvidia. There is so much that is being based on things that are not yet in evidence for Nvidia that you having come up with this absolutely horrible exercise, that's the one I'm going to have to go with. It's a thought exercise, Bill. It's not a prediction. I just want to give you guys something to play with here. It's mean.
Starting point is 00:08:08 I was told there would be no meanness here. Yeah. And I'm going to respond to my meanness. Which one is going below $1 trillion? I mean, I'd probably wager none of them. But I think Bill strikes some important points there. And I will throw in there. I do think that we should at least acknowledge Nvidia's assent here over the last five years.
Starting point is 00:08:30 I mean, it's up better than 3,000 percent over the last five years. Now, of all of these companies that we mentioned, the next closest competitor there, it's Apple at 343%. So it just goes to show you, if you think about that hype cycle, I mean, AI is going to be something that will follow out a hype cycle to some extent, right? Are we at the peak of inflated expectations? Maybe. I mean, what if we hit some trough of disillusionment at some point? What's going to be the company that feels that the most? I don't know, but it seems reasonable to expect that there could be some type of correction in Vidius share price, but I wouldn't say that would be something to, you know, have longer-term implications on the business. It's still a very good business.
Starting point is 00:09:17 All right, we're going to wrap this segment talking through another one of the hottest markets in 2024. Bill, ever since the weight loss management drugs like Wagovi and Zepbound have hit the market, and consumers have started using them, there has been a ton of speculation about some of the industries that they may affect outside of pharmaceuticals. This week, we got a look at one potential avenue for disruption. Shares of Medtech company ResMed down as much as 10% this week, after studies of Eli Lilly Zepbound showing the drug may help reduce the severity of sleep apnea. ResMed is in the business of treating sleep apnea.
Starting point is 00:09:53 Bill, how are you processing this news? ResMed is the leading producer of CPAP machines, their sleep apnea airway machines. They are directly in the path of the GLP1 drug. companies, you know, they are definitely not Eli Lilly proof. The data that came out of this Zep bound weight loss treatment study was astounding, reduced sleep apnea by almost 63%, and a large number of the people who were in the trial is that they no longer had sleep apnea. Now, the interesting thing about this is that for ResMed, GLP drugs have actually, GLP1 drugs, I should say, have actually been around for a while. And there has not been a reduction in the revenues at
Starting point is 00:10:40 Resbet. They've continued to see a growth in sales. And longer term, I do wonder that the part of the science that we don't know yet, which is what is it going to be like for people to be taking GLP1 drugs chronically over a very long period of time? We don't really have data yet. So I think that investors are right to be nervous. I feel like this is pretty much overblown, given the evidence that we have now. All right. Coming up after the break, we've got a downout look on two huge brands in retail. Stay right here. You're listening to Motleyful Money. The old adage goes, it isn't what you say, it's how you say it, because to truly make an impact, you need to set an example and take the lead. You have to adapt to whatever comes your way. When you're that driven, you drive an equally determined vehicle,
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Starting point is 00:12:15 Welcome back to Motleyful Money. I'm Dylan Lewis, joined on the air by Bill Mann and Jason Moser. Next wave of earnings kicked off this week and some big movers on quarterly updates for us to go through. first up shares of Walgreens down over 20% this week following the company's earnings that were below expectations. The company also reduced its outlook for the year and signaled that it will be interested in closing some of its 8,600 locations. Bill, what is going on at Walgreens? I am not so old that I don't remember when Walgreens was being described by Charlie Munger as being one of the best retailers in America. What you're seeing now is a continuation of a process that's already starting. They actually came out
Starting point is 00:13:06 and said that 25% of their stores are at risk of being closed. It won't be that number that they're closing, but they're considering 25% of them to be underperforming. They've already closed almost 500 stores since February, and they're stepping away from Village MD, which was their primary care, the offices, the minute cliques that you see in Walgreens. So they're in the middle of a huge retrenchment. And the biggest problem for them is once again, Amazon and a lot of the other online pharmacies that are taking foot traffic away from Walgreens because it's the front of store that you go in and you fill a prescription and then you also buy things in front of store, which are very high margin for this company. So they've got some problems that they need to solve. I am confident that Walgreens. will be able to do so, though, in time. One of the interesting things I saw in the earnings results
Starting point is 00:14:02 and some of the commentary for management, we were just talking about the impact of the GLP-1 drugs. CEO Tim Wentworth noted they are losing money on the pharmacy-filling prescriptions for those GLP-1 drugs. So the impact of them being felt within their own industry in addition to some of the ancillary industries. Jason, anything to add on the Walgreens side? Yeah, I mean, just to reiterate something Bill said,
Starting point is 00:14:22 I mean, a quote from Tim Wentworth said, 75% of our stores drive 100% of our profitability today. So, clearly, they have a real estate problem, right? They are going to be closing down some underperforming. This is a company that needs to right size the business. And then just the general state of the consumer, I mean, he noted, and I quote, the consumer is absolutely stunned by the absolute prices of things. I think it just goes to say that perhaps the consumer is not in as good a person. place as we could be hearing these days.
Starting point is 00:14:56 Sticking with the downbeat earnings theme, shares of Nike down over 10% following earnings Thursday after the bell. Jason, results came in ahead of expectations on the bottom line, but the company fell short on revenue and on outlook for the year. You were just talking about the state of the consumer. Are we seeing that show up in Nike's results as well? Partly, and partly this is the result of some missteps from management. We talked a little bit about last quarter, and I'll talk to that in a minute here.
Starting point is 00:15:25 But, I mean, I guess ultimately, we just say for Nike, this is a marathon and not a sprint. It's going to take a little time to get this thing going back in the right direction. And this was a quarter that, to me, very much rhymed with their last report. And back to that misstep, you know, there was this intentional move to more Nike Direct that they made. And that's really been a bit stifling. Nike Direct revenue for the quarter, down 8%. obviously a problem, and they saw fourth quarter revenue down, I think, essentially flat. And then their wholesale revenue, which is kind of where they're taking the business back to,
Starting point is 00:16:02 as they sort of try to correct that Nike Direct Misty up, wholesale revenue, up 8% on a currency-neutral basis. That's encouraging. But again, your point, the guidance, when a company ratchets back the way they did, you have to expect the market to take a different perspective and offer a new, new valuation on the stock, and that's exactly what's happened today. Bill, what are your thoughts on what we saw from the Greek goddess of victory? There was no win. Those results were awful. They were so awful that the cynic and me wonders a little bit whether they kitchen sinked all of their problems. Just throw it all in, get it out of the way, and so they can, you know,
Starting point is 00:16:39 they can next time around show some improvements. I'm only saying that because it's been done in the past. You know, we can dump on it all over Nike. They were never going to turn the question. company around in a single quarter. It was not going to happen. The competitive pressures for Nike are as strong as they have been since the days when it seemed like Under Armour was ascendant. They are basically out of trend right now. Athleisure is beating workwear. So that's Lulu Lemon. That's On Holdings. That's Adidas. I feel like it'll come back. Fashion is a funny thing. It does cycle, and it cycles in a way that a lot of times people can't predict. I did think it was interesting by my in the conference call, a Nike executive used the word innovation 47 times.
Starting point is 00:17:27 You have to innovate, obviously. That's how you get out of those issues, Bill. Got to super innovate 47 times. We're going to wrap with a look at McCormick. It came up last week on the show as Bill's radar stock, but Jason, we couldn't talk McCormick without bringing your name up as well. So I'm going to go to you first on the earnings take here. companies up around 5% on earnings, would you see?
Starting point is 00:17:51 Yeah, I mean, all things considered, it was a respectable quarter. I think we've seen enough evidence that the consumer is in a tough spot right now. I mean, that's another theme that was reiterated here in McCormick's call, but it's not a McCormick-specific problem. I mean, this is something that's really been playing out on a lot of CPG-related companies, and they just kind of need to tread water right now. They can only pass through so much on pricing. But again, I think it's encouraging, reaffirming their guidance for this fiscal year.
Starting point is 00:18:16 They did note in the flavor solutions, side of the business, which is that commercial side, some lower demand from quick service restaurants and packaged food customers, which is interesting because you're seeing that dynamic play where people are trying to figure out, okay, where can I get the best value here? Is it going out to dinner or is it cooking dinner at home? And what we're seeing is that a lot of folks, and I think we'll talk about this a little bit later, we're seeing the quick service restaurants, right? Your fast food restaurants may be having a little moment here focusing more on the value. Let's focus on the really important stuff.
Starting point is 00:18:48 here, Dylan. I mean, we're talking about 2024. McCormick is launching nearly four times more grilling rubs and seasonings compared to 2023. And importantly, the grilling season of 2024 is off to a great start. That's all I needed to hear. I leave assured. I will never short the grilling market. Bill, now that Jason has gotten his contractually obligated first take on McCormick out of the way, what did you see? I'm not sure that I should speak on it at all. since last week I was accused of stolen valor for even bringing it up outside of Jason's presence. I'm going to defer to the grillmaster and simply point out that much more of McCormick's business comes from the restaurant channel than we maybe think. We think of all the spices that
Starting point is 00:19:38 are in our cabinets. That is huge margin business for them. And it has struggled almost across the board. It will cycle back. All right, Bill, Jason. We're going to see you guys a little bit later in show. Up next, we've got a look at the history of refrigeration. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Full Money. but the road to refrigeration in the home was not a slam dunk from the start. Cold storage went through all the same cycles as most new technologies, from full dismissal to misuse and abuse. Author Nicola Twilly's new book, Frostbite Details Modern Refrigeration. This week, Motley Full Money's Ricky Mulvey caught up with her about the history
Starting point is 00:21:12 and what its evolution can teach us about the development of other technologies today. Nicola Twilly's book is Frostbite, How Refrigeration Changed, our food, our planet, and ourselves. She's also the host of Gastropod podcast I enjoy and a contributor to the New Yorker. Thanks for joining us on Motley Full Money. Thanks for having me. Your book follows the history of refrigeration. I think it's relevant to investors because there was a hype cycle involved. And for a retail investor listening, you're going to consistently see hype cycles. The one we are contractually obligated to mention is artificial intelligence. Refrigeration follows a general hype cycle in an interesting way and also breaks from it because as the technology
Starting point is 00:21:56 rose, there was still a lot of distrust in it. But let's start, let's go through the hype cycle with refrigeration. What was the technology trigger? What triggered the interest in mechanical refrigeration and not just sending things around in ships and ice boxes? Well, there are a couple of things that triggered the interest. So first of all, our waterways were getting more polluted. So the ice trade was doing great, but unfortunately as cities grew, and before we had the sort of water treatment that we have now or the EPA or any of those, you know, pesky things that try and keep our water clean, the waterways for harvesting that ice were filthy and people were getting sick.
Starting point is 00:22:41 So there was a real trigger there. But actually, the sort of overall motivator was one, cities were getting bigger. and when cities are big, they were bigger than they'd ever been in history. And they need to be fed. And it was increasingly a problem of how to do that. You know, there were complaints. You know, 3,000 pigs living in Kensington, London,
Starting point is 00:23:07 you know, trying to herd flocks of turkeys into Philadelphia to be killed. Because how did you get your meat? It had to be walked into town and slaughtered there for you. you do eat because it couldn't be shipped under refrigeration. So that was an issue. The other thing is, honestly, a scientific mistake. So chemists at the time had discovered protein. They were all excited about protein.
Starting point is 00:23:34 And they had mistakenly concluded that protein was the only nutrient that people needed to be strong and work. Carbohydrate was just like a fancy extra. they hadn't discovered vitamins at all. So good luck to you on produce. But they were like, protein is it. And protein in their minds came from meat and dairy, flesh forming foods. So they weren't like, great, let's all eat lentils.
Starting point is 00:24:03 They were like, wow, we really need to eat more meat. If we are to have strong workers in our cities, we have this meat famine. And so that was the real urge. It was a crisis at the time. In the early 1800s, you know, the finest minds. in science. We're engaged on this question of how do we get this flesh forming food to our urban dwellers so that they can be strong and productive. And people were thinking about fumigation and coatings and drying meat and shredding it into a little kind of like whole wheat shreddies that
Starting point is 00:24:34 you could rehydrate and compressing it into little pills and powders. There were all sorts of solutions. And actually cold was thought to be the least practical of them all because no one had figured out how to do it at scale mechanically. At the time, they were just thinking, oh, we have to use ice. And natural ice is just too ephemeral and can be scaled up. So that was sort of what triggered it and led to people actually finally figuring out how to make cold on demand and eventually shrink it a little. The first refrigeration machines were these steam-powered behemoths that just went up in flames all the time. With electrification, they were able to be shrunk and become a little more reliable. It's easy to take our refrigerators for granted,
Starting point is 00:25:25 but they were incredibly unreliable. And before then, you would have had tremendous gambles being placed on shipping various produce or meat to different sides of the country and the world, hoping that it doesn't melt before it gets there. So why was, was it just the technical psychological failures as to why the idea of mechanical refrigeration was dismissed? Was it that or was there more to the story? Yeah, that's a great question. I mean, first of all, literally no one thought it was possible. Cold, this is one of the things that I think is so remarkable about this. You know, humans have had control of fire for millennia. People argue it's one of the things that made us human. we have had control for over cold for a couple hundred years max.
Starting point is 00:26:13 It was sort of discovered by accident as a party trick by a Scottish professor how to use what is a chemical known as a refrigerant to actually create cold on demand. And for a century after he discovered it, everyone ignored that and didn't think that cold could ever be mechanized and at scale. And it really wasn't until this global ice trade took off that people thought, you know what, cold is useful. And if we could figure out a way to do it at scale, it would be handy. And a lot of people had taken a lot of time at that point.
Starting point is 00:26:52 So American entrepreneurs like Gustavus Swift of Swift meat company in Chicago, I mean, he invested enormous amounts of time and money. trying to ship meat using ice from Chicago to New York eventually succeeded, not before he had had to dump, I mean, train car after train car, into the fall river in Boston after it arrived completely rotten. He lost a lot of money on the way. So it was the people trying to use ice to deliver meat and dairy at scale, who really gave the impetus to the impetus to the, sort of, and honestly, they were pretty oddball inventors. One was an Australian journalist. It was a
Starting point is 00:27:41 Florida physician. I mean, they're, they're just kind of random individuals who kind of just built their own steampunk machines and made it work. And those early machines, I mean, they're uninsurable, they're unreliable. People would ship, you know, meat from, say, Argentina to Paris, and the whole thing would go rotten. on route, you know, because the machine broke down. So it was a, it was a people died, people committed suicide when they lost all their money. It was a troubled beginning for the industry, for sure. Yeah, I think if we look, if we continue the theme of the hype cycle, the things that seem to switch are the peak of inflated expectations where people are very excited about
Starting point is 00:28:28 this new technology and the trough of disillusionment. So usually there's a huge amount of excitement and interest, and then people immediately lose interest and they say, we were way too excited about this. With refrigeration technology, it seems that that switched because there was so much distrust in eating produce that had been sitting around for a while, it couldn't possibly be fresh. I think that's the most interesting thing about this is because nowadays, it's the exact opposite. People don't trust that food is fresh if it hasn't been refrigerated. And if it's been out of the fridge for a couple of hours. They're not sure it's good anymore. But it was literally the exact opposite. In 1911, the dairy poultry and egg warehousemen got together to hold a promotional
Starting point is 00:29:13 cold storage banquet to try to convince Americans that they could eat refrigerated food and not die. You know, there was editorials in the Journal of the American Medical Association being like, well, this proves nothing. You know, cold stored food is still deadly. And honestly, at the time it kind of was because, and this is the aspect of the hype cycle where there is, are these inflated expectations, food warehousmen and food wholesalers saw this new technology and were like, great, immortal life for food. I can take something out in the morning. I can have it out all day. And if it doesn't sell, I'll just put it in the refrigerator and it will be good the next day, you know? So there are headlines from the time. There is no death, only cold storage. Food
Starting point is 00:30:01 was sort of being stored for much longer than it should have been in ways that we now know aren't safe at all. And no one had done the scientific research to figure out, okay, how long will refrigeration really keep food good and how, what temperature do things need to be at? And any of that didn't exist. Those mistakes also led to a lot of distrust because things spoiled. People got sick. what did it take for what did it take for folks to eventually trust and rely on refrigeration, particularly in the Western world? Yeah, I mean, people at first were just like, well, I mean, I don't know. How am I supposed to know that this chicken, previously, if you'd bought a chicken and it
Starting point is 00:30:45 looked like it was freshly slaughtered, it was freshly slaughtered. Now, if you bought a chicken, it could have been slaughtered six months ago, a year ago. You had no idea and you had to trust. and people didn't trust. And there were a lot of foodborne illnesses associated with chilled foods. And so what it really took actually was government regulation. The government hired this rock star scientist, a woman, which is very, very unusual at the time. Her name was Polly Pennington.
Starting point is 00:31:17 She had got herself a degree in chemistry against all the odds. The University of Pennsylvania was refusing to let her do a PhD, and she kind of finagled her way in. She set herself up in business, and she is the one who made refrigeration scientific. She traveled around the country. She worked out the answer to the questions like, how long does a chicken stay good in cold storage,
Starting point is 00:31:41 and what temperature should you keep it at? And how much ice do you need in your rail car to keep it at that temperature and so on. And she is the one who restored, or really not restored, created that trust in refrigeration. The end of her life, she sort of said, this is my legacy. People now trust that refrigerated food is safe.
Starting point is 00:32:04 And so that's what it took. Listeners, we'll be airing more of Ricky's conversation with Nicola Twilly this weekend on our Sunday show. You can catch it and all of our episodes in the Motley Full Money podcast feed wherever you listen to shows. And don't worry, no issues with bad leftovers here. Our engineer Dan Boyd's been keeping the tape fresh in the crisper.
Starting point is 00:32:22 Coming up next, Bill Mann and Jason Moser return with a couple stocks on their radar. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about. And the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell anything based solely on what you hear. I'm Dylan Lewis, joined again by Jason Moser and Bill Mann. Jens, we've got stocks on our radar coming up in a minute, but first, as we often like to do on the show, some fun with food.
Starting point is 00:33:13 We've got two great stories on McDonald's this week. First up, Bill, the McPlant is struggling. The head of McDonald's America, Joe Erlinger noting the company's plant-based burger developed with Beyond Meat, struggled in test markets in the Bay Area and in Texas. We have not seen any developments of the McPlan. I have to say, I'm not a huge fan of the branding. I'm not all that surprised that it didn't really work out. The McPlan seems like one of the most desultory names I think I've ever heard.
Starting point is 00:33:39 I'd like a McSrub, please. Look, it's easy for meat eaters to laugh about something like this. And the results were terrible. They expected to sell 40 to 60 units per day per store in the Bay Area, where you'd think the market would be primed. They sold fewer than 20. In East Texas, it was three per day. So it was a miserable trial for them.
Starting point is 00:34:01 But I always think back to one of the greatest CEOs that I've known. own woman named Cheryl Batchelder who ran Popeyes, who once said, people don't come to Popeyes for salad. So I kind of wonder maybe if the trial was poorly conceived. Like, hey, come in and try this McPlan. People who don't go to McDonald's already are not likely to come in and do that. But if you were to structure it as, hey, families who have a member of the family who are vegetarians, come give this a try, I feel like they would have had a much better shot. So we're going to see it again. I hope it succeeds.
Starting point is 00:34:39 But McPlant, I mean, come on. Bill, I think what I'm hearing there is a know-your-lane and stay in it for McDonald's. A bit. A bit. I would say that's right. You can build a new lane, but don't just like, don't just like tape it on and expect people to show up. Jason, as you teased earlier, we do.
Starting point is 00:34:58 We also saw some developments from McDonald's this week indicating they might know what they need to be focusing on the company coming out with a $5 value meal in an attempt to reach more value-oriented customers. For $5, you get a sandwich, small fry, four-piece McNugget, and a small drink. A little bit more in what I would expect to be getting from McDonald's. Yeah, yeah. I mean, speaking of sticking to your knitting, I mean, this is something that McDonald's at Al are very, very good at, right, presenting value. And I think this is going to be their moment to shine, because as we've seen, with many of these consumer packaged goods companies and retail in general, we're just seeing that trend go on where the consumer is facing headwinds and having
Starting point is 00:35:39 to make choices and tradeoffs. I think that McCormick call was sort of noteworthy there, and that consumers are really starting to focus on value at the grocery store as well as restaurants. Typically, what that means is your quick service, your true fast food restaurants are going to have a little bit more of a moment in the sun. So I absolutely could, these restaurants on taking advantage of this moment in time. By the same token, you know, I don't, we don't eat a lot of fast food. I mean, it's just obviously, obviously the longer term implications on health, I don't know that you want to be taking your family out for McDonald's or Burger King or Wendy's three, four, five times a week. So maybe that's a problem. But, you know,
Starting point is 00:36:22 at least they're taking advantage of this little window they've got. I will say, you know, it's the summertime. I'm doing a decent number of drive. up I-95 and up the Garden State Parkway going up to visit New Jersey. I've made some stops into the fast food restaurants along the way. Not thrilled to be dropping $15 at Wendy's at the rest stop for a burger and a meal. So I welcome the $5 menu options. I hope we see more of them because it's a little sticker shock. I hope we see more of that Wendy's dream sickle frost because that thing is fire.
Starting point is 00:36:54 More menu innovation. Never bet against it. All right. Let's get over to stocks on our radar. our man behind the glass. As always, Dan Boyd is going to hit you with a question. Bill, you're up first. What are you looking at this week? My company is a microcap that maybe you all have never heard of before. It's called Disney. And Disney has, yeah, I don't know this. They've got parks, they've got movies, they've got ESPN. What they really have had over the last couple of years is
Starting point is 00:37:21 trouble. They have almost no part of the business has been firing well, except for actually maybe the theme parks, oddly enough. They have a legitimate blockbuster on their hands in the movie studios with Inside Out too. They've had a resolution of a lot of their political arguments with the state of Florida. And they're in the process of revamping the park ride reservation process. So I sense from Disney and the Disney shares that people have extrapolated a whole lot of the trouble. and Disney is starting, at least in parts of their business, to see green shoots and is coming out on the other side. Dan, a question about Disney. More of a comment, Dylan.
Starting point is 00:38:06 Bill, I have a toddler and my wife is pregnant with our second due in October, and she's starting to make noise about going to Disney World. And I am terrified. I've never been, never wanted to go, and I know I don't want to drop that much money. Start saving now. is you're going to Disney. That's going to be a new banking product, I think, in the next couple of years, the Disney savings account, just to put the money there so it's there when you know your child is five or six.
Starting point is 00:38:33 All right, Jason, what is on your radar this week? Yeah, a company called ITTRON, ticker is ITRI. And ITron, they have a portfolio of smart networks, software services, devices, and sensors that help their customers better manage operations in the energy, water, and smart cities. space. So you think about their customers, those are primarily large, electric, natural gas, and water utilities, as well as smaller utilities. But those offerings ultimately help these companies take advantage of this industrial internet of things, right? All of these devices and networks and things are all being connected and transmitting all of this data all the time.
Starting point is 00:39:13 We talk about AI, the benefits there of running things more efficiently. And this is just really right at BITron's alley there. 60% of the business is thanks to its network. solution segment. That's a combination of communicating devices like smart meters and modules and sensors, as well as network infrastructure and software. So, an interesting business as we start to see our nation's energy needs expand. Dan, a question or a comment about ITron. You might think that Disney might be the flashier choice here and get my nod, but, and this could be a wild statement here, but I think that infrastructure and water and utilities might be a little bit more important. than Disney these days.
Starting point is 00:39:56 All right. Disney, you're going to have to wait. That little microcats might grow up to be a big company someday, but not today. Dan, appreciate you weighing in, putting Iotron on your watch list. Jason, Bill, appreciate you bringing your radar stocks and your analysis, as always. That's going to do it for this week's Motleful Money Radio Show. The show is mixed by Dan Boyd. I'm Dylan Lewis.
Starting point is 00:40:13 Thanks for listening. We'll see you next time.

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