Motley Fool Money - AMC’s Drama and the Future of Restaurants
Episode Date: June 4, 2021AMC Entertainment takes investors on a wild ride. DocuSign, Five Below, Lululemon, and Zoom Video report strong earnings. Twitter launches a subscription service. Etsy makes a big buy. And enterprise ...search company Elastic gets a nice bounce on earnings. Motley Fool analysts Emily Flippen and Jason Moser discuss those stories and share two stocks on their radar: Brazilian payment processor StoneCo and hardware and software maker Trimble. Plus, restaurant industry expert David Henkes talks winners and losers, the importance of chicken sandwiches, and why investors should expect more restaurants to go public. Looking for more stocks for your radar? Get 50% off our Stock Advisor service just by going to http://RadarStocks.fool.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money.
From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money Radio Show. I'm Chris Hill,
joining me this week's senior analyst Emily Flippin and Jason Moser. Good to see you both.
Addie. Good to be here.
We've got the latest headlines from Wall Street. We'll get the latest on the restaurant industry from our guest, David Hankis.
And as always, we've got a couple of stocks on our radar. But we begin with the
The stock of the week, AMC Entertainment, shares of the movie theater chain doubled this week,
despite the fact that on Thursday the company filed to sell more than 11 million shares,
which sent the stock falling more than 30 percent that day.
Emily, management is pretty clear about the fact that the stock price is divorced from the
reality of the business of AMC Entertainment.
What goes through your mind when you're watching all of this madness play out?
Well, the first thing that goes through my mind is that management is smart how they've
played this. They've raised over $500 million thanks to the surge in traders, and over 80%
of AMC shares are now owned by retail investors. So they're certainly catering to that
target demographic here, but that's actually not what's causing this crazy pop. And it's
actually a little bit more confusing than what media makes it out.
out to be, which is just that all these people are flooding into AMC. That's why the stock is up in
the hundreds of percent and only a few days. It's really more about options and how options are playing
on AMC. It's a complicated process, and to keep it short, essentially options are causing, and the
hedging process for options are causing huge increases in the share price that are definitely
going to be temporary. And what's really sad about this whole situation is that oftentimes the people
who end up suffering the burden the most are those 80% of retail shareholders and a business
like AMC.
Let's move on to some earnings then.
We're going to start with DocuSign up more than 15% on Friday after first quarter profits
and revenue were higher than expected.
The electronic signature company also provided upbeat guidance.
And Jason, I know this company did well during the pandemic when everyone was doing business remotely,
but DocuSign really seems like it is set to thrive during the great reopening as well.
Oh, yeah. Yeah. I mean, it feels like this has gone from just a helpful way to get through
a difficult time to absolutely just the way people want to do business now. I mean, it's very
hard to find anything wrong with what's going on here with DocuSign. It's not just the
e-signature company anymore. I think that's really, that's been the gateway drug, if you will,
that really gets customers in and it hooks them for all of the other capabilities that they're
building out with the agreement cloud. In the numbers.
all show that the strategy is working. Top line growth of 58% for the quarter. They raised guidance
again. This is going to be a $2 billion revenue company by years end with 80% gross margins,
a massive suite of offerings, and still a lot of share to capture. So I understand the profitability
concerns, but let's give them a little leeway here because they're making the right
investments. Total customers now just under $1 million. It was up from $661,000.
a year ago. Enterprise customers now at 136,000. That's up from 89,000 just a year ago. International,
now becoming a bigger part of the business here, just crossed over the $100 million mark
for the quarter. Again, dollar net retention rate, 125%. So they're keeping their customers
and they're growing those relationships, operating leverage, becoming very apparent in the business.
And this little acquisition that they made recently of a little startup called Claws, I think,
just shows the position that they're in now. This is one of the market leaders, and they're
going to be able to consolidate and bring those neat little startups into their family and build
out their capabilities. So a lot of things to really be optimistic about with DocuSan.
First quarter revenue for Lulu Lemon Athletica rose 88%. The apparel retailer also raised
guidance for the full fiscal year. The stock was treading water this week, Emily, but these
seem like the kind of result in guidance you would want to see if you were a little.
Lulu Lemon shareholder. This was a really incredible quarter for Lulu Lemon, but I'm not sure
how much of it was truly a surprise. I think anybody with eyes or any shareholder of Lulu
Lemon knew that there were clear tailwinds for this business as stores began to reopen, especially
as we head into the spring and the summer months. So the fact that they had earnings and revenue
that beat expectations alongside raising full year guidance and second quarter guidance really didn't
take the market by surprise. What did take Meese by surprise, though, was just looking at the
two-year strength and numbers for their men's and international businesses. That's going to be
critical for driving growth and justifying today's valuation of Lululiman. And men's is still growing
faster on a two-year basis than their women's business right now. Admittedly, it's coming off
of a smaller base there. But that does go to show that a lot of the growth is going to be
convincing more people that, hey, we aren't just a leggings company, despite the fact that that's
how media likes to present Lulu Lemon. Their business that caters to have leisure across all demographics
all across the world. If management's able to make good on their claim that they aim to have
a 50-50 international North America split in terms of revenue for their business over the long term,
this could be a great stock to own. Was there any talk on the call about Mirror, which is the company
they acquired last year to compete with Peloton. Over the holidays, we saw a lot of marketing push
from Lulu Lemon about Mirror. I'm seeing a lot more from Nordatrack these days in terms of trying
to compete with Peloton, less so with Mirror. Mirr has always not intended to take away
from the ownership of the market for the Pelotons in the Nordatrack, but rather add to it, right?
It's a completely differentiated product.
What's interesting about the way that Lulu Lemon and their management team talks about
MIR is that it actually operates as a funnel into a kind of culture, a lifestyle brand that
is Lululemon.
Somebody can own both a MIR and a Nordic track or a Peloton.
So it's additive the way that I see it, but also importantly, it's going to be additive
to their business structure.
It won't move the needle this year, but they're adding $200 million on their top line from
the acquisition of Mear expected. So we'll continue to watch that, hopefully grow over the next
few quarters. Shares of Zoom Video are still down from their high for the year, but up a bit this
week after first quarter revenue grew 191%. The growth is slowing, Jason. But a year ago, one of the
big questions about Zoom video was, how many of these customers can they keep? And it looks like
they're doing a pretty good job answering that question. Yeah, I like that this follows our
DocuSign coverage, because this feels very DocuSign-esque in how they're iterating and ultimately
writing their second act.
I mean, the video chat for Zoom has been the gateway, much like e-signature has been for DocuSign,
but now it's about building out a platform and allowing companies and customers to do more,
to be more productive with these tools that Zoom has built, to be able to work.
And what ultimately is becoming a hybrid world, right?
a hybrid workforce world.
And so, examples, I mean, they've launched a video SDK.
They launched that in February.
They announced a $100 million apps fund in order to help build out their app presence, ultimately
letting users bring their favorite apps directly into the Zoom experience in a way that inspires
more collaboration and boosts efficiency.
I mean, they just closed out their largest deal ever in terms of annualized recurring revenue,
with a leading global financial services firm. That actually resulted in Zoom getting
over 90,000 hosts, which obviously is a large number. And also called out some big customers
in Kimberly Clark Target and a company called DENSO, which is probably unfamiliar to most
of us, but that's the world's second largest auto parts company. So when you look at the numbers,
sure, growth is slowing down, but 191 percent revenue growth is nothing to sneer at.
And they are still calling for ultimately about 50% growth overall for the year.
And to your point, they are keeping a lot of those customers that they're bringing in.
They ended the quarter with just under 2,000 customers, generating more than $100,000 in trailing
12 months revenue.
And again, that net dollar expansion rate for customers with more than 10 employees, that
was over 130% for the 12th consecutive quarter.
So again, bringing customers in, keeping them.
growing those relationships. I suspect that this is really still just the beginning for what
is becoming a very, very fun story to watch play out.
Etsy has a new acquisition and Twitter has a new way to make money.
One of them is definitely more impressive than the other. Details after the break, so stay
right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Full Money. Chris Hill
here with Emily Flippin and Jason Moser. You can hear Motley Full Money every week on radio stations
across America and starting this weekend on News Radio 939 in Springfield, Illinois.
Shout out to the Capitol City. Let's get back to the news of the week. Twitter introduced its first
ever subscription offering Twitter Blue. For a few bucks a month, Twitter Blue offers dedicated customer
support, easier ways to read long threads, among other features. Twitter's going to be rolling
this out in Australia and Canada. Jason, no word yet.
on when it will be available in the U.S. shares of Twitter basically flat on this news.
Well, I'm going to make a prognostication here. Chris, I think that Twitter blue is going
to finish up in the red, all right? I must say here, I'm not very impressed. And I'm going
to try to be diplomatic about this because I do like Twitter. For a time, clearly, I was very
bullish on the company its potential. I think the real risk here, though, and I certainly feel
this way as a user, that what this Twitter blew, it's very underwhelming. And frankly, these are
features that I would have expected to see them rolling out over the course of the past few years
as just part of the free user experience. So for a long time, I mean, the criticism was
that they just didn't move quickly. And I think that was a valid criticism. Now they're starting to
move, but hey, you know what? They want to charge you for it. Well, at least give me something
that's worth paying for. Because this stuff that they're rolling out here, the ability to roll back
tweets or organize tweets, it just doesn't.
seem like it's worth paying for. And if you look at how this ends up impacting the business,
I mean, I feel like I'm giving them a lot of credit for maybe getting 5 million paying users
from all of this. So you're talking about $200 million in incremental revenue. Not very meaningful
of the top line. Certainly should be high margin dollars. There could be some lessons.
They glean from this. But I'm just having a hard time seeing the Twitter subscription as being
ultimately very successful. What malarkey. What malarkey is that, Jason? Goodness.
gracious. What do you mean? It's not valuable. Have you already signed up?
The ability to undo tweets alone is the most valuable thing Twitter has rolled out over the past five
years. I'm sensing sarcasm. It's not sarcastic at all. I actually think that there is a world in which
Twitter blue is very successful. Now, I will be the first to admit you tweet way more than I do,
Jason. But if I was a tweeter more than I am today, I would value a lot of
of these things.
Yeah.
Etsy is making its biggest acquisition ever.
The company announced this week it is buying Deepop a secondhand fashion marketplace for $1.6 billion.
Emily, you like the deal for Etsy?
I love this deal for Etsy.
I am so excited, Chris, because it has been forever since I've seen a great business make an acquisition
of the size mainly in cash.
And as a shareholder, I love to see businesses making acquisitions in cash.
because they're essentially taking on all the risk of the synergies that would arise from
this acquisition as opposed to acquiring with shares, in which case that buck is kind
of passed on to me as a shareholder.
So I love this acquisition, not just because it's all in cash and that makes me excited,
but also because Deepop is aimed at an entirely different generation of users than Etsy has
currently.
The vast majority of Etsy users right now are older than the age of 26, whereas 90% of
Deepop users are younger than 26. They're focused on things like streetwear, sportswear,
vintage wear, TikTok followers, these sorts of things that really diversify Etsy's business.
And just show a level of underrated optionality that I think Etsy is going to create as
a platform of platforms.
Yeah, the fact that I have shopped on Etsy and had never heard of Deepop before this week,
I automatically knew it was aimed at a younger audience.
Well, I tried to get on there today and just check out the platform before we taped.
I went to their website, then realized they don't have a website.
You can only use the app.
And I realized I was also too old for their target audience.
Elastic is a SaaS company that focuses on data search for businesses.
Elastic's loss in the fourth quarter was smaller than expected this week and shares up more
than 13 percent.
Jason, this was your radar stock on last week's show.
What did you think of the latest results?
Well, it's even more of a radar stock now, Chris.
This is really peaking my interest.
It does feel like if you're looking for a company that's going to benefit from the growing
amounts of data that continue to be exchanged on the enterprise side, Elastic should certainly
be on your short list.
And like you noted, they develop software and services that let their users search through
data, structured and unstructured data to figure out all sorts of solutions in consumer
and enterprise applications.
So, with a market opportunity in the neighborhood of $78 to $80 billion today, clearly still
a lot of room for this business to run. The numbers for the quarter certainly very encouraging.
Total revenue, up 39 percent excluding currency effects. Revenue for the year was up 40 percent,
billings up 33 percent. So it's continuing to grow, and it does have that subscription-style offering
that we love so much that generates that recurring revenue. As far as the key performance,
indicators with a business like this. Very much like DocuSign. You're looking at customers,
DocuSign and Zoom. You're looking at customers. The customer account now over 15,000. That's versus
11,300 just a year ago. A customer account with annual contract value greater than $100,000.
It's now over $730. That's up from 610 just a year ago. And ultimately, subscription revenue is
where it's at for these guys. 93% of total revenue in the net experience.
engine rate slightly below 130 percent as they maintain those customers, bring new ones in,
and grow that relationship. Ultimately, they're calling for $785 million in revenue for the
coming year. That's 30 percent growth. They see crossing the $1 billion figure the following
year. So I certainly see a pathway for this company. It's one that I continue to dig in more.
It's a $12 billion company. They're not profitable yet. Do you have for a company like this,
your own timeline in terms of when you want to see them getting closer to profitability?
I try not to hold their feet to the fire too much these days, just because so many of these
businesses are just getting, just getting started. So, I mean, listen, when you have a business
that's crossing over $1 billion in revenue, I'd like to start seeing them extract some profitability
from the particular with the operating leverage you can get from a model like this, but we'll give them a little wiggle room.
After a mostly down week, shares of five below rebounded on Friday.
After first quarter profits and revenue, both came in higher than Wall Street was expecting.
Same store sales for the discount retailer rose 162%.
Emily, let's face it, not every retailer survived the pandemic.
Five below appears to have made it through the storm.
You know, Chris, I wasn't going to pull out those yearly numbers with same store sales up 162%,
revenue up 167 percent because those numbers are so meaningless. But since you brought it into the
conversation, let's talk about that. Coming off of what was a really challenging year for most
retailers, five below being one of them, their stores, unlike a lot of other stores, were shut down
for extended periods of time. They were not an essential retailer for a period of time before they
started to reopen. So five below is coming off the back of what was a rather dark year for the
business coming into the lights of post-pandemic life. But even if you look at it over the two-year
basis, which is the better comparison, this is an outstanding business. Sales were up 64% on
the two-year basis in comparison to 2019. Earnings were up 91%. And same store sales were up 23%.
And that was driven by double-digit ticket growth, even with stores having reduced hours.
So extremely impressive business. Big question is, can they continue to grow store account?
like they have over the past two years.
Emily Flippin, Jason Moser, we will see you later in the show.
Who are the winners and losers in the restaurant industry?
And why should investors expect more restaurants to go public over the next few years?
The answers to those questions and more from industry expert David Hankis right after the break.
So stay right here.
You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
I'm Chris Hill.
Few businesses have been as challenged over the past few businesses.
challenged over the past 15 months as much as restaurants.
Here to give us an update on the current state of the industry.
And more is David Henkis.
He is a senior principal at Technomic, one of the top experts in the industry.
And he joins me now from where else?
His home in Chicago.
David, good to talk to you.
Good to talk to you, Chris.
Thanks for having me.
So the last time you and I talked, it was last July.
At the time, the forecast for the year was restaurants being down in the neighborhood 20 to 30%.
And here we are 11 months later.
How's the forecast for 2021 looking?
Well, the forecast for 2021 is actually looking really positive.
And we're in the process of re-looking at our numbers
because the first quarter of 2021 has just blown the roof off of all of our expectations,
I think.
You know, you look at the public chain reports.
You look at some of the distributor numbers, Cisco U.S. foods,
PFG, that report public numbers.
Everyone seems to be having a really good year.
Now, to some degree, it's pantry restocking.
It's getting ready for sort of an influx of pent-up demand that we're seeing.
But to some degree, consumers are just coming out and they've got money to spend and they're ready to go.
And so we think this year is going to be a good year.
We're going to be revising our forecasts up slightly.
I'm not sure exactly how much yet.
but we're looking at a
a 20-21
of probably
I don't even want to put a number on it right now, but
we're looking at probably double-digit growth
and significantly more in places like fast food
and fast casual
and some of those that never really declined
particularly to a large degree during the pandemic
are going to continue to do well and we're going to see a big bounce back
in full-service restaurant. So it's going to be a good year.
One of the big storylines for the industry over the past month has been about hiring difficulties.
A lot of restaurants, whether it's local mom and pop shops or some of the national change,
really seem to be having trouble staffing up.
What does it look like to you and your colleagues at Technomic?
Is this something that is just sort of a natural speed bump coming out of this pandemic?
And two months from now, everyone's going to be fine? Or is this a sustainable challenge for some
of these?
I think when you look at the big roadblocks to a potential full-blown recovery in 2021, there's
really two big things we're watching. And they're somewhat interrelated. The first is labor.
Right now, there's a lot of different causes. And so you can't necessarily track it back.
You talk to some restaurants, they'll tell you people, you know, they're getting government
benefits. It's hard to match that. You know, the effective rate of some of the people with
unemployment benefits is something like $15 to $17 an hour that they're earning on unemployment. And so
restaurants are unable in some cases to match that. But you also just run into a situation where
there's people that don't want to come back to restaurants who, you know, I mean, working in
restaurants in the best of times is a tough spot to be in at times. And some people have moved on to
other jobs, to Amazon, to gig work. And so, you know, there's a number of things at play. And I think,
you know, the pandemic, there's still people that maybe aren't quite willing to come back to
restaurants. So labor is a huge issue. And we're seeing, you know, supply and demand that the
demand for labor is well outpacing the supply. And what that's doing is it's driving up wages, right?
So a lot of talking the industry about, you know, I mean, there's there's this fight for 15 and
there's a lot of government initiatives around raising minimum wages, it's almost happening now,
you know, because of market forces. And you could argue some of the government is involved in that
with some of the benefits. But restaurants are having a hard time and they're having to increase pay as a
result. So that's a huge watch out because what ends up happening with capacity a lot of times is that,
you know, if you're going full guns on a Friday night, but you can't open a part of your restaurant
because you don't have enough servers to do it or you know, you're you don't have the sous
chef in the back or you don't have, you know, the busboys. I mean, it's going to be an issue.
The other thing that we're concerned about is the cost environment. Now, this relates as well to
labor because costs are going through the roof with a lot of things and labor included. But there's
been a huge supply chain challenge over the past 12 months. Shortages, delays, you know, certainly the
a lot of people talk about the Suez as if that was sort of the start of it, but it wasn't.
I mean, this has been an issue really since the beginning of the pandemic as supply chains have
been stretched and pulled in ways that nobody ever expected.
And so the cost environment, the labor situation are both too big watchouts that could have a
material impact on the recovery this year.
Are there any chains that have been able to take advantage?
advantage of the fact that a lot of smaller chains, a lot of mom-and-pop restaurants just had
to shut their doors in some cases permanently, have some of the larger chains been able to
capitalize on that and maybe expand their footprint at an accelerated rate?
Let's put it this way. We track the top 500 restaurant chains as part of our ongoing
tracking of about 1,500 operators. But we published the top five five
500 in a report called, oddly enough, our top 500 restaurant reports.
And so you look at restaurant sales last year.
Overall restaurants declined about 18 and a half percent.
The overall food service industry was down about 25, but restaurants were down about
18 and a half percent.
When you look at the chain part of the market, it was only down 8%.
So right away, and you know, and you'd say, okay, well, 8 percent, they're still declining,
but fast food chains only declined 1%.
Fast casual chains declined about 5%.
And then the sit down chains were anywhere from probably 25 to 40%.
So when you talk about winners and losers,
you look and you say fast food as an industry,
only decline as a chain part of the industry,
only declined 1%.
And then you start to peel back the onion and say,
who did well?
Chick-fil-A, up 13%.
Domino's up 18%.
Some of the other pizza chains, Papa Johns,
let me look at their number here.
Papa Johns was up 16%.
And so a lot of the pizza delivery chicken players
did extremely well, but even McDonald's, right?
McDonald's is a $40.5 billion chain.
They actually grew 0.3%.
And so the big chain,
that were able to especially take advantage of their drive-thrus or that focused on delivery
or to a smaller degree takeout absolutely grew their share.
And in fact, if you look at our top 500, last year in 2019 pre-pandemic full-service chains
were about 24% of the makeup of the chain market.
That declined to 18%.
So fast food or limited service restaurants more generally, really, really,
really, you know, and again, you know, many of them declined, but a lot of them grew and grew
and grew a double-digit pace. And so, you know, I think our sense more generally is that the big
chains, those with the financial wherewithal to make it, to withstand some of the challenges,
to invest in technology, those are the ones that are really better positioned coming out.
The other thing that I think it's important to note is that when you talk about unit closures,
right, and we're still trying to get our arms around unit closure.
but for the most part, restaurants and especially restaurant chains didn't really close that many
units. And so what we thought would be this bloodbath of, you know, really, you know, closing a ton of
units, probably the biggest of the top 10 chains that closed the most units was Subway. They
closed about 7.5% of their locations. But listen, Subway's been challenged for a long time. And so
you can't attribute all of that to the pandemic. But, you know, Chick-fil-A grew 7%
percent in terms of locations. Duncan grew, I'm sorry, they declined. Dominoes grew four percent
in terms of their locations. And so, you know, even in a pandemic, you had some operators not only
maintaining or growing their sales, but in some cases, we're investing in growing their location counts
as well. And so, you know, coming out of the pandemic, these chains that didn't have to close as many
locations as we thought, and that withstood and held up with their sales better, invested
in technology, they're going to be certainly well positioned and have been well positioned,
and a look at their recent same store sales would prove that point out that they've really
done pretty well. A year ago, the hot item was chicken wings. Restaurants that didn't even
specialize were adding wings to the menu because they worked for takeout at delivery.
Are chicken sandwiches now the new chicken wings?
Because it really seems like it's not just the fast food restaurants that are angling for this market.
Well, I would probably argue that chicken sandwiches have been it for the last several years, right?
I mean, and you're right.
I mean, you know, every major quick service restaurant is now competing, you know, in this chicken sandwich war.
I mean, I think they've all looked at the growth, and I just referenced at Chick-Fleigh that continues to do well, right?
And so, you know, all of these chicken players, you know, KFCs come out with them and, you know, and all of these players that are chicken, that make sense.
But then McDonald's and Burger King, and now Chili has just came out with one, right?
And so, you know, and what makes it interesting is because a lot of these chains are now competing on delivery, to some degree, whether you're a fast food,
restaurant or a sit-down restaurant doesn't matter as much anymore because the consumers are just
ordering them on their phone, right? So you can order a chili's chicken sandwich just as easily as you can
order a Chick-fil-A sandwich, and both of them are going to be brought to your door, and both of them
are delicious. And so chicken sandwiches have really become sort of ground zero in terms of the
restaurant battle right now, and almost to the extent that it's comical that, you know, I mean,
it's like every week somebody else is rolling out a new chicken sandwich. And, and, you know,
listen, by the way, I think they're all pretty good, right?
I mean, you have them and, you know, personal tastes may vary,
but, you know, at some point you got to say that there's a sort of a, you know,
a sort of declining utility in offering these chicken sandwiches.
Now, that said, chicken restaurants last year, right?
The KFCs and Chick-fil-A's grew 10%, right?
And so, you know, in a pandemic, the chicken category, not chicken as a product,
but the chicken, you know, chicken-style restaurants or chicken restaurants that we classify as
chicken restaurants grew 10% last year, the fastest of anything.
And so consumers love their chicken.
They continue to vote with their wallets.
And, you know, it doesn't seem like there's any end in sight in terms of consumers'
insatiable demand for chicken.
Over the past decade, investors have seen a lot of publicly traded restaurants being taken private,
Panera Bread, Duncan, among them. Later this month, Krispy Cream is going to get its second
act as a public company. Should we expect a more successful second act for Krispy
Cream? Should investors expect more restaurants being spun out into the public markets
over the next decade?
You know, it's a really good question. When you look at Krispy Cream, you know, it's
German ownership. I mean, they've really righted the ship. I mean, it was taken private because
they had overextended themselves and overextended. And, you know, and when it was acquired,
it was, you know, it was struggling, right? And so they've turned it around. I think when you
look at the investment, you know, there are a lot of what we call these facts, these special purpose
acquisition companies that are going after restaurants. And a lot of them are publicly traded or
they're publicly traded shell companies that are acquiring restaurants.
And so I do think, you know, perhaps it's not an IPO in the traditional sense,
but there's going to be a lot more publicly traded entities that invest in restaurants
and give investors more of an opportunity.
Now, I think, you know, and I don't offer investment advice unlike you guys.
And so I, you know, I don't want to necessarily tell you to invest in anything.
But listen, we're at a point right now where the next several years for restaurant growth
is probably going to be pretty explosive coming off of,
the worst year probably ever in terms of the restaurant industry. Now, individual company performance
is going to vary, but I think that a lot of people are looking at this as a buying opportunity because
there's distressed assets. There's a lot of, you know, chains or restaurant companies more generally
carrying a lot of debt. And so, you know, the extent to which investors either, you know, in a lot of
private equity, but again, these SPACs or, you know, other investors, there's going to be a lot
more activity happening over the next couple of years, and probably some IPOs as a result
of that.
Last thing, and then I'll let you go.
We talked recently on the show about the partnership between Pringles and Wendy's for the
limited edition chip made to taste like Wendy's spicy chicken sandwich.
These things come across your radar all the time.
Have you seen anything recently that you're particularly either excited about or horrified
by?
Well, I think, Chris, part of the challenge in me answering that is we work with a lot of
these companies, right?
And so I've seen a lot of things that horrify me.
I don't necessarily want to talk about it.
But sometimes they work, right?
That's the thing.
There are absolutely these things that you or I or anyone else could look at and think,
boy, that doesn't look like it would taste very good.
And they're a hit for some of these chains.
Yeah, we see these mashups happening and, you know, and so I think a lot of it is around, you know, and, you know, what you're, there's two different ways, you know, restaurants are kind of investing in that, right?
They're working with a CPG company to get something into their grocery shelves, but then there's also a lot of menu innovation where they're just doing crazy flavors or doing things and, you know, young brands and, you know, some of these QSRs are notorious for that.
And, you know, and really what they're doing is trying to create buzz and trying to create something,
especially for the younger consumer, right?
I mean, they're looking to break through social media, breakthrough sort of the word of mouth
that a lot of younger consumers, you know, how they communicate now on, you know, on the different
social media channels and really create something that is buzzworthy.
And so it's almost to the point where the flavors are beside the point, right?
It's having something that is crazy, unique, and new that people are going to talk about.
And, you know, sort of if it works great, but the primary benefit of all of that is just to get people talking about you and your brand.
And I think that's probably what's driving a lot of that.
You want to know more about the restaurant industry.
There is no one better to be following on Twitter or reading his stuff.
David Hankis, thanks so much for your time.
Thanks, Chris.
I appreciate it.
Up next, Emily Flippin and Jason Moeser return with a couple of stocks on their radar.
Stair it here, you're listening to Motley Fool Money.
A bottle of whites, a bottle of red, perhaps a bottle of Rose instead.
As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about,
and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against,
so don't buy ourselves stocks based solely on what you hear.
Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
Chris Hill here once again with Jason Moser and Emily Flippen.
And just a couple of minutes to get the stocks on our radar, our man behind the glass, Dan Boyd,
is going to hit you with a question. Jason Moser, you're up first. What are you looking at this week?
Yeah, keeping an eye on a really good performer for us and the augmented reality beyond service.
Companies called Trimble, ticker is TRMB. They build hardware and software that's aimed at connecting
the physical and digital worlds. So focus on positioning, modeling, connectivity, data analytics.
I'm keeping an eye on the ongoing infrastructure bill negotiations here in Washington, D.C.,
because while the two parties may be at odds right now on how much it's going to be,
it sounds like there's going to be something and it's going to be a big number regardless.
And when you look at the most recent earnings call, CEO Robert Painter, he noted that.
He said, and I quote, we want to play offense and invest now for the mid-to-long-term opportunities
that we see in the market.
We see a generational opportunity out of a North America infrastructure bill and a strong commodity
price backdrop in the agriculture market.
So to me, listen, with the number of end markets this company serves, I feel like this could
be a sleepy reopening play, Chris.
Dan, question about Trimble?
Absolutely.
Jason.
So it looks like this company has had a pretty big surge in the stock price since last spring
when the COVID-19 pandemic began.
What can you tell me that explains why it seems to have gone up so high in such a short time?
I just think recognizing the value proposition and the hardware and software, they provide
the switching costs involved. Once customers commit, they kind of got to stay in there,
and they've done a good job of expanding those relationships.
Emily Flippin, what do you got?
I am looking at Stoneco, the tickers, ST&E, their Brazilian payment processor.
They had a weaker than expected earnings report, but a lot of the pessimism is really just caught up in COVID.
You can imagine it as the square of Brazil. I think it has a lot of long-term opportunity.
Dan, question about Stonecoe?
The square of Brazil. I'm surprised it's not Jason talking about this, what with his war on cash basket.
What I will say is it fits perfectly into that war on cash basket, but it'll be critical to watch their take rates.
Competition in Brazil is fierce.
Dan, what do you want to add to your watch list?
You know, I'm going to go with Stoneco this time.
I think Brazil, of course, is one of the largest emerging markets in Latin America.
And I hate cash just as much as Jason does.
Is this for your life?
Emily Flip and Jason Moser. Thanks so much for being here.
Thanks, Chris.
That's going to do it for this week's show.
It's Mixed by Dan Boyd. Our producer is Matt Greer.
I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.
