Motley Fool Money - Black Friday’s Best Stock Gifts and Investing Lessons

Episode Date: November 28, 2025

Black Friday is finally here and this one-day holiday has somehow become a month-long event. But it’s a reminder that retailers have to play a new game and that’s driving the winners and losers in... retail. Plus, we discuss the stocks we would give as gifts and what’s on our radar this week. Companies discussed: Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), Spotify (SPOT), Garmin (GRMN), Roblox (RBLX), Astera Labs (ALAB), Ferrari (RACE), GE Aerospace (GE), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A, BRK-B), Target (TGT), Shopify (SHOP). Host: Travis Hoium Guests: Dan Caplinger, Asit Sharma Engineer: Dan Boyd Disclosure: Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, “TMF”) do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. We’re committed to transparency: All personal opinions in advertisements from Fools are their own. The product advertised in this episode was loaned to TMF and was returned after a test period or the product advertised in this episode was purchased by TMF. Advertiser has paid for the sponsorship of this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 We hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving, but now the real fun begins Black Friday shopping. Motley Full Money starts now. That's why they call it money. The best thing. Cool global headquarters. This is Motley Fool Money. I'm Travis Hoyam, joined today by Dan Kaplanar and Asit Sharma. We're going to get to the state of retail.
Starting point is 00:00:47 That's going to be kind of the theme of the day today. But let's start with what I think is the biggest story. That is what in the world happened to Black Friday. This used to be a huge shopping holiday. Guys, I got my first Black Friday email from retailers. This started coming in October 31st. The Real Flood started November 5th. That's more than three weeks for what used to be a single day holiday.
Starting point is 00:01:10 And they still say Black Friday sale. I'll say, what in the world is going on in retailers right now? Well, we're seeing the desperation heave, right? As consumers have pulled back over the last couple of years, so much more depends on this group of days, starting with October 30th or 31st and running on through. I mean, it used to be such an event, and retailers took such great advantage of our excitement as consumers. The biggest retailers, the ones that really moved the needle in the industry, of course, are the ones who've made lots of investments in shipping and logistics.
Starting point is 00:01:48 So they have the ability now to make money across a spate of days, and that puts pressure on the rest of the industry to respond. And so it's sort of never-ending. And by the way, I saw my first Christmas trees not long after Halloween out there. So there's some more merchandising ahead. But I think this is a natural evolution of the way, just as in big tech, we see fewer companies swing the results for many. the imprint of Amazon and Walmart best buy these big retailers is something that the entire industry has to adapt to. And unfortunately, for some of us who used to have fun on Black Friday, that means it's a never-ending slog to find deals and keep trying to stay awake late at night for some of us clicking away. Dan, one of the things that seems to really change with retailers is there was sort of a formula there, right? You'd probably sell these TVs at a loss, you know, 15, 20 years ago. But then somebody would come in and they would buy a bunch of other stuff.
Starting point is 00:02:48 And at the end of the day, you had a huge sale day. You made your margin that you needed to. And now it almost seems like that playing field has leveled out because if I'm looking for a TV, I can just go online. I can even ask chat GPT. What is the cheapest best value TV, you know, at a certain price point or a certain size? So is this just another example of retailers being, being put under pressure by kind of these big online names like I said mentioned? I think so.
Starting point is 00:03:16 And it's also a lot of those big retailers have made big online pushes themselves. I mean, look at Walmart. You know, Walmart is more interested in its online business than its retail business. That's why it's moving its stock to the NASDAQ to position itself as a tech company. So I just think that in-person shopping, just it used to be more fun than it is now. It used to be, you had the incentive. You'd get up at 4 a.m. You'd get up at 4 a.m. You'd go to the store, you'd get the deal, you'd get the deal that nobody else would get. That was your payoff. Right. And that's what you got. Now, there's FOMO of not finding the best deal that is out there. If you go to the wrong website, oh, I only got 25% off. If I'd gone to this other website,
Starting point is 00:03:58 I could have gotten 30% or if I clicked on at 5 a.m. instead of 6 a.m. It's just kind of nutty. And so, you know, now it's almost like this adversarial relationship. Like, if you don't get the absolute best deal, then you find out about it later, you're angry at that first retailer who you did business with. And that's not the relationship that retailers are trying to have. I didn't think we were going to be nostalgic for the running through Target at 4 in the morning or the fights that ended up happening over, you know, Nintendo 64. That was my thing from my childhood. But I guess here we are. Maybe that was kind of more fun times in shopping. We did get some data this week. Actually, this morning as we're recording, we're recording this
Starting point is 00:04:40 few days early. Dan, the numbers are up. Retail numbers are up, but what is the bigger story here as we look throughout the year? We had tariffs coming in in April. That was a huge story that we talked about a lot. We're maybe starting to see some of that impact, but we're also not seeing consumers completely crater. So what did we learn from kind of this preliminary data? This is not up to date. We still have delays because of the government shutdown. But what do we know right now? Yeah, this is September data that we're looking at. And retail, sales up 4.2% year over year from September 2024. That includes a bunch of stuff. It does not include natural price increases, though. So you take a look at CPI up 3% over the same period. You're really
Starting point is 00:05:23 looking at just like a 1.2 percentage point increase in real terms, inflation adjusted returns on retail sales. And when you look at the numbers, Travis, it's not quite as good as that because a lot of that extra spending is really more towards the essentials, the staples types of areas, things like food, clothing, essentials. When you look at discretionary spending, not quite as healthy, we saw some strength in autos, but I think some of that, these, again, September numbers, we saw sort of a pull forward in September as EV credits expired. And so I think that the picture here, maybe not quite as rosy as those headline numbers would make it sound. I said, how are you thinking about the state of retail? And then how does inflation play into that?
Starting point is 00:06:12 Because we've been talking about that all year. Three percent's not nothing. It's not the 7, 8, 9 percent that we saw a few years ago, but it's also higher than the Fed typically wants. Yeah, 3 percent is difficult if your wages aren't rising by at least the same amount. And we've seen wage inflation cool. So the ability of what we get paid to keep up with what we have to purchase, that's really come to parity. So not great for the consumer. And I think the retail environment is fragile. We see that Buy Now, Pay Later is being used increasingly for the discretionary side and the staple side. So people are using Buy Now, Pay Later in order to purchase groceries in some cases. So I think the consumer here, at least in the U.S., really feel stretched. Now, there
Starting point is 00:06:59 are pockets of affluence, and the affluence still are paying up for certain types of goods. And we've talked on this show about the success of on holdings in recent years. They're still selling into the strength of that brand. But then, on the other hand, it's so uneven in the economy. I think that's a warning signal as we look ahead to 2026. Now, the U.S. consumer has shown an ability to endure a lot longer than you or I would normally predict. But I do feel we're coming to a point where further gains in retail sales. So the ability of retailers to bring in traffic to have a little bit of price increases that they can pass on, that is paper thin. And in fact, the preliminary data that I saw this morning indicates a little bit that those who are importing goods are absorbing
Starting point is 00:07:50 for now some of that cost increase. So that's impacting their bottom lines. So eventually that likely gets passed on. It gets passed on. Right. The other piece of information that came out, I think it was this morning, was about half of GDP growth is apparently coming from the AI buildout. So building data centers, buying GPUs, all of that kind of stuff. Asset, does that concern you when you'd look kind of from a macro perspective that in theory, this is, you know, this could be a revolution. But one of the ways that this pays off is that AI starts replacing job. It's kind of like a, you know, it's potentially a negative on both sides. If we keep this investment up, you lose jobs. If you stop the investment, then the economy goes south. Yeah, this one is super hard to figure out. We've had
Starting point is 00:08:34 waves of this in the U.S. in the past where when you thought the U.S. economy had lost its ability to grow in a new direction, it just surprises you. And I will point to the boom in natural gas. Part of that was fracking. That was a sort of a stopgap in our economy that then let incremental GDP growth. So a little bit of growth beyond the core happen, and then we've got to the next revolution, and then the next. So maybe two or three revolutions out from that time period. Here we are at AI. This one feels a little different, though. I've seen figures as high as like 90% of the incremental change in GDP. So that 90% of growth could be due to the AI buildout. Now, in some ways, this is fine for the economy because there are businesses out there that specialize
Starting point is 00:09:19 in construction and electrical wiring, and that's great for the economy. But the flip side of that, if we all become so much more productive, it is scary because you don't really see a through line to people having replacement income. So if my job gets taken away by AI, maybe it will one day. Maybe the three of us, our avatars will be conducting this show in a few years. Absolutely. What will we be doing?
Starting point is 00:09:45 I mean, hopefully the three of us will be together having a beer somewhere, but I don't know. It's iffy. I said, it's interesting because I've taken that. It's sort of shifted my investing philosophy a little bit. It used to be that I kind of shied away from overinvesting in high tech stocks because I kind of felt like my job had a lot to do with the success of those high tech stocks. And now at this point, it's sort of like, well, if high tech has a potential to replace me, it's sort of like, where's that income going to come from, Travis?
Starting point is 00:10:18 It's going to come from my holdings of the high-tech stocks that are profiting from all this stuff. So in many ways, it's a career hedge in a way that before I kind of shied away from it as a career concentration. I like that as a career or life hedge. Like if you're in medicine and you're worried about, you know, hymns and hers disrupting the way that you make money, maybe just buy some stock. Exactly. Same thing if you're in law and you see chat GPT or jazz. Gemini, you know, coming for that business. Maybe, maybe that's the way to hedge it. I do want to get to
Starting point is 00:10:51 the changes that we've seen in retail. We've talked about some of these broad changes, but we're investors. And one of the things that sticks out to me is you look at over the past 20 years. This does not include dividends, but Target stock is up about 200% in the last 20 years. That's a long time for not a lot of gains. Walmart's up about 900%, so a little bit better. But then you look at Amazon, 14, 14,000 percent. Shopify, I don't think they were quite public. So this is just since they went public, about 6,000 percent. I'll say, what sort of lessons can we learn from those? Because it seems like the things that we've been talking about, Black Friday going away, it's because of these companies that are driving these gains for investors.
Starting point is 00:11:30 Well, Travis, for the large part, the companies that you mentioned use their cash flow and their balance sheets, maybe not Shopify is more of a cash flow story. but many of those retailers use their resources to invest in distribution, to invest in logistics that enabled them to take advantage of this explosion in online commerce. So we have AI now as a theme, and I think they'll continue to benefit because it's the Walmarts of the world, the Etsies, the Shopify's, the targets that are cutting deals for conversational commerce. In other words, making deals with chat GPT so that they can sell within that huge funnel. I don't want to reduce chat GPT to a marketing funnel, but that's...
Starting point is 00:12:11 But they've got to make money somehow. Hardly going to be their destiny, right? Yeah. And we'll see smaller retailers also play this game because chat, GPT, opening I have such a desperate need to monetize all their investments. So, yeah, little fish will be able to play in this game. But that's something that you'll need to do if you're a retailer. You'll need to understand how you reach consumers at the point of consumption,
Starting point is 00:12:32 which in the future is not even going to be served. or a website, but it's going to be that input box for whatever LLM you're using. Yeah, that seems to me to be how retail has evolved is that retail has figured out that in many ways they can't do things based on their traditional model. They need to take advantage of these intermediary platforms that expand their visibility, widen the scope of their products. I mean, I've got local retailers here who do business across the country, even across the world. But they wouldn't have been able to do that if they didn't have Shopify, if they didn't have
Starting point is 00:13:09 Amazon, if they didn't have relationships with these bigger intermediaries. And yeah, they give up money in order to have exposure to that. So far, it's been profitable for them, or at least more profitable than just having the local business. I worry over the long term, if take rates continue to go up, if Amazon, eBay, Shopify keep trying to get bigger fractions of that dollars. Is there a point where their retail partners, kind of the folks in the trenches, finally decide, you know what? Like, you're not leaving enough for us. We're going to get out of that.
Starting point is 00:13:42 It's like, are they killing the golden goose as a result of that? I don't think we're there yet, but I do look for that as a potential future risk. AI will definitely play a big role in the future of shopping. We just don't know quite what it looks at like yet. So that will be really exciting to see how that plays out because it did pay off well for investors in the last big cycle. So when we come back, we're going to talk about what we're giving thanks for from an investing perspective. You're listening to Motley Full Money.
Starting point is 00:14:10 These days, I'm all about quality over quantity, especially in my closet. If it's not well-made and versatile, it's just not worth it. That's honestly why I love Quince. The fabrics feel elevated, the cuts are thoughtful, and the pricing actually makes sense. Quince makes high-quality wardrobe staples using premium fabrics like 100% European linen, silk and organic cotton poplin. They work directly with safe ethical factories and cut off the middlemen so you aren't paying for brand markups or fancy stores, just quality clothing. Everything they make is built to hold up season after season and is consistently rated 4.5 to 5 stars by thousands of real people like me who wear their clothes every day. The Quince, Mongolian cashmere crewneck sweater may be the most comfortable one that I own.
Starting point is 00:14:52 It's light, soft, and it was a lot more affordable than you think quality cashmere would be. Stop waiting to build the wardrobe you actually want. Right now, go to quince.com slash motley for free shipping and 365 day returns. That's a full year to wear it and love it. And you will. Now available in Canada, too. Don't keep settling for clothes that don't last. Go to QINC-E.com slash motley for free shipping and 365 day returns.
Starting point is 00:15:16 Quince.com slash motley. Welcome back to Motley full money. Thanksgiving was yesterday, but this can be a moment of reflection. So in the investing world, I wanted to ask you to, what are you thankful for us? I want to hear from you first. Okay, so for all of my apparent cynicism so far in this podcast, there are a lot of things I'm grateful for that I'm thankful for, Travis. And one of them is that I live in a very advanced and wealthy society where there are numerous opportunities to carve out your destiny. And I know that's changed from decades ago and maybe even a few years ago.
Starting point is 00:15:53 I do feel it's harder in this age to pursue and realize your dreams, but it's still possible. And I think, you know, the ability to make a good life for yourself and maybe those you love is important to most of us. So I'm thankful to be here. And I'm also thankful for just small moments of introspection. You know, they're so rare in this world in which we live in. I'm going to try to do a better job in the coming year of carving out those moments. We just all need to remember sometimes that we're human.
Starting point is 00:16:25 We can disconnect and we can reconnect with ourselves and with others. So grateful that I can turn my phone off and be a human. And I plan to do that some more than I have in this past year. Probably something we could all do a little bit more. Dan, what are you thinking about right now? You know, I think I kind of share us its thoughts about this. It's easy for me, easy for a lot of people to focus on things that aren't going well. You know, prices are up.
Starting point is 00:16:52 Housing's expensive. Lots of things are challenging today. But even in those tough times, what I can. kind of fall back on. What I see a lot of other people falling back on to is just how much support you can get when you're going through a tough period. It seems like no matter how much the suffering, you know, the whole world may be suffering. Everybody in your community might be having difficulties. But when something really happens that takes the whole collective effort of everyone to get through it, it's just amazing how people come through, get together.
Starting point is 00:17:29 put differences, little petty differences aside and really help to support each other. I've benefited from that this year. I've been really appreciative of that. Don't discount that. Don't be cynical about it. Don't take it for granted. It is really the most precious asset that you have. Are these connections that you have and just kind of the innate support that you can count on when you're going through a tough period for yourself? Count on that and then try to be that person for others when they're going through the same kind of times. Such good advice. I wanted to go a little bit different direction here. And I've spent some time in entrepreneurship.
Starting point is 00:18:08 And at a time like this, I think about the people who are taking the biggest risks. We're investors here. We get to judge people and founders and CEOs and say that they're doing things right or crazy. But at the end of the day, these founders are dedicating their lives to these companies. And I'm reminded of, I was at an event at Piper Jaffrey, and they brought in a bunch of interns. And one of the executives said something about how, you know, we're working hard, we're doing things, we're trying to make money. But at the end of the day, we're not taking that much risk. The people that were working for, the founders of the companies that were trying to sell, they're taking the huge risks in business. And so I just think that as an investor,
Starting point is 00:18:54 we get to ride along with that, right? And we get to be sort of the mouthpieces, the talking heads. But if you're these CEOs who started a company 20 years ago, that's a long time to make a huge investment in the sacrifices that they make along the way. In a lot of ways are not sacrifices that a lot of us would make to build the kind of businesses that they're building. So something I think is always important to think about it this time is, you know, as investors, we get to benefit from a lot of work. that other people are putting in.
Starting point is 00:19:26 It's easy to think that everybody was successful because you only think about the CEOs that end up being successful. Think for everyone that you know, there's so many that didn't make it that took that risk and it didn't pay off. It just makes it all the more special when it works. Yeah. And then you find those serial entrepreneurs, some who failed numerous times and then finally draw the lessons together and made it big.
Starting point is 00:19:46 Those are fun to study as well. Speaking of entrepreneurs that could maybe use a little bit of support, go shopping. your local restaurant. Those people are putting a lot of, a lot of risk on the table to put food on people's tables at this time of year. So something to think about if you're willing to spend a little bit of extra money. When we come back, we are going to talk about the stocks that we would give as gifts this holiday. You're listening to a motley full of money. You can get anything you want at Alice's restaurant. The old adage goes, it isn't what you say. It's how you say it, because to truly make an impact, you need to set an example and take the lead.
Starting point is 00:20:25 You have to adapt to whatever comes your way. When you're that driven, you drive an equally determined vehicle, the Range Rover Sport. The Range Rover Sport blends power, poise, and performance. Its design is distinctly British and free from unnecessary details, allowing its raw agility to shine through. It combines a dynamic sporting personality with elegance to deliver a truly instinctive drive. Inside, you'll find true modern luxury with the latest innovations and comfort. Use the cabin air purification system alongside active noise cancellation for all new levels of quality and quiet.
Starting point is 00:20:57 Whether you prefer a choice of powerful engines or the plug-in hybrid with an estimated range of 53 miles, there's an option for you. With seven terrain modes to choose from, terrain response to fine-tuned your vehicle for the roads ahead. The Range Rover event is on now. Explore enhance offers atrangeover.com. Welcome back to Motley Full Money. Let's go Black Friday shopping, but let's do this investing style, Dan and Asset, I want to, I want you to buy some stocks for some hypothetical people. Maybe you have some people these ages in your lives. I pick these ages because this is who I have at home. We're going to do a new, what stocks would you buy for a newborn, an 8-year-old, a 22-year-old? So maybe somebody starting their career, starting their
Starting point is 00:21:46 investing life, and somebody maybe that's a little bit closer to retirement, maybe still working, maybe in early retirement. Where are you thinking from an opportunity risk profile and then them identifying with it. Asset, why don't you go first? If you have a newborn in your life and you're gifting them a stock, what are you gifting them? Travis, I'm going to gift them Amazon, symbol AMZN. We've been talking a lot about retail, and we've mentioned some businesses that have been around for a long time. So think of Walmart. It's been around for decades. When you look across the landscape, I think there are a few companies that merge the longevity of retail with high tech, as well as Amazon does. And I think it will be there for someone who has 25 years of compounding in front of them.
Starting point is 00:22:31 This is a business that will overtake Walmart, I believe next year, as the world's largest company by revenue. It's on track to hit a trillion dollars of revenue in just a few years annually. But it also has some amazing businesses tucked inside. As we know, it's one of the world's largest logistics companies. That's a subdivision of Amazon. It has an amazing high-profit advertising business that is challenging some stalwarts like the trade desk. We've heard a lot about that this year. Don't forget Amazon Web Services, which has a run rate of some $125 billion in annual revenue, extremely probably. Pretty big business they've got there as a little side business. There's lots of side businesses here. So I think there's enough there that this conglomerate
Starting point is 00:23:12 stays together and will compound for someone who is born today. Of course, no stories without risk. So we need to think ahead of who takes over when Andy Jassy is out of the picture. But the investments it's making in AI capacity, robotics for automation, etc, are pretty impressive. So I'll give them AMZN. Dan? Travis, I stuck with a Mag 7. I went with Alphabet, ticker G-O-O-G-L, and many of the same arguments, broadly speaking, Alphabet has a big business, has a whole bunch of stuff.
Starting point is 00:23:47 For folks, my age, you think of Google and the Internet search engine as the big driver, of ad revenue of business generally. But more recently, Alphabet's gotten into a whole bunch of different businesses as well. A lot of people kind of thought that they'd gotten themselves left out of the AI realm, and that made Alphabet, if any of those Mag 7 stocks were value stocks, Alphabet was that value stock for a long time. Maybe not so much anymore. We've seen a big jump in just the past few months,
Starting point is 00:24:20 as people have realized that Google is not down for the can. out when it comes to AI. Oh, how quickly the sentiment changes on a stock like that. Exactly. Yeah, invidia's down, Alphabet's out or Alphabet's up. Who the heck knows? You know, that's the stock market that we live in these days. But also with Alphabet, you mentioned YouTube, YouTube, kind of the unseen cash cow in many ways,
Starting point is 00:24:46 not just generating financial success, but also visibility. It's just such a core part of a lot of people's lives. And if you have young kids, you are probably watching some YouTube at some point throughout your day. Inevitably, inevitably. Sometimes even when they are, without you thinking about it, because their embeds are in all kinds of websites that you might be in, too. Add to that, other ventures, you know, you've got Waymo on the self-driving car side. You have other bets, Alphabet's got plenty of money to dedicate towards things like quantum computing. I mean, it's the way of the future.
Starting point is 00:25:23 I think Alphabet's going to be part of it. I think that a newborn can appreciate that and be in a position to benefit from the appreciation in Alphabet stock. Again, ticker G-O-G, G-O-O-G-L. Yeah, I have an 8-year-old who recently decided that he wanted to buy some alphabet stock, and his line was, when I search for something on Google, it's like I'm paying myself.
Starting point is 00:25:46 Exactly. I thought that was great. I want to throw one in here for newborns, go a little bit higher on the, the risk profile side, I'll let. And this is one that we actually bought their products when our kids were little. And I think their business has gotten a lot better, 45% growth in the most recent quarter. They are, it's, you know, it's kind of a medical device, but it's an at-home device. And they're getting some lock-in. That's one that, I don't know, if you let that
Starting point is 00:26:10 compound for 18 years could be a good one. But that, like I said, when we spent money on those, I was like, okay, maybe let's put a couple hundred bucks into the kids' brokerage account in this because we're buying their devices as well. All right, if you have an eight-year-old in your life, and again, we have an eight-year-old. So I have thoughts on what is going in his portfolio, but he's making his own decisions. So, Dan, what are you going with if you're gifting a stock? I'm going with Roblox, ticker RBLX. I've got nephews.
Starting point is 00:26:42 They are, oh, boy, 13 and 10, I think they are at this point. And they are still, still playing Roblox. I thought that this might be one that they would age out of at some point. And maybe it'll come, but it hadn't come yet. And it's just, you know, Roblox has done a really good job of establishing engagement. And part of their business model has been attract those kids to start early. But then the question's always been, can you retain as they get older? And at least based on anecdotal evidence for me,
Starting point is 00:27:16 my family, seems like the answer there is yes. And that's good news for the company, because each one of those kids that they bring into adolescence, maybe even into adulthood, supports the overall ecosystem. Kind of like what I see there. I said, what do you have? It seems like yours, you're peering into our lives here in the Hohm household. Well, I'd tell you, I struggled a bit with this because my first thought was Dutch Bros. Symbol B-R-O-S. You're hopping up eight-year-old's on coffee? Exactly. Then I put some more thought to it.
Starting point is 00:27:50 I said, no, that can't work. And then I thought about Spotify, which is looms large in our household. I thought, okay, I'm on the right track, symbol SPOT. But then I settled on Garmin, symbol GRMN. Now, this is a business that's very interesting because, of course, they got their start in GPS technology. And over time, they've retained that. So they still have some great satellite devices.
Starting point is 00:28:12 In fact, I have a text handheld satellite device. Once in a way, someone in my family, I have three boys now in their 20s, will trek someplace exotic or remote. So I like having that, can turn their subscription on and off. But the wearables aspect of this business is so interesting. So we are a family. He doesn't have a lot of Garmin products. They're a bit pricey. But one of my sons does have a Garmin computer on his bike.
Starting point is 00:28:38 And the metrics that these fitness wearables and bike accessories give are really setting the standard out there in the market. marketplace, you'll see them sold in some great places like REI. I think coupling this for a young person with the fact that this business throws off a very healthy operating margin, something like 25, 26 percent can be powerful if you are a little older than a newborn, aware of that product. First of all, it's healthy. It's for people who want to be fit. So what better for a young eight-year-old than to point to a product that they could use for years and upgrade as time goes on and be healthy. But also about this business, it's very diversified. It even has a marine segment, so some technology for navigation for boats. It has an automotive equipment
Starting point is 00:29:29 manufacturer OEM segment, so supplies technology to automobile. So it's a really diversified company. But just circling back to the strongest part of the thesis, it's got a brand that's just extremely strong in the marketplace. I think that brand is going to get bigger and better. They have withstood a lot of competition from many brands over the years. So I think this could be a fun one for a youngster. The Garmin Bounce Watch, they've kind of delayed getting into the kids' watches, but that's something we've been looking for for years is, you know, as these kids start adventuring out in the world on their own,
Starting point is 00:30:02 I want to know where they are. And now their bounce line has GPS. You can do texting, but it doesn't have all the features of an Apple Watch. So that is one thing that is on the top of my son's, Christmas list. And why this is important, Travis? So when the three of us were kids, you literally could go play out in the woods. Nobody, forget your parents or your neighbors. Nobody would even think of you until like dinner time. It wouldn't stress out after 15 minutes, like where is my kids? So technology like this, it's a good middle ground. This could let you let your kids go play in
Starting point is 00:30:37 the woods again. If you're going to stress and be a 21st century parent, so be it. You can check once or twice. Okay, I see they're playing Ford out somewhere. So now I can go back to my own deal. So this can help. Technology can help us go back a little bit towards the way things were and just let kids be kids. So I'm excited for products like this. All right. 22, 25 year old in your life, Dan, what are you gifting them? So I'm going with Ferrari, which ticker R-A-C-E, stock advisor pick. And I'll tell you, I've gotten into Formula One. There's a lot of people who've gotten into Formula One. Ferrari has not exactly had. But not for Ferrari at the point. Well, that's the thing. Not the most successful 2025, but nevertheless, it is a good, it is a good regular way for race fans to see
Starting point is 00:31:27 Ferrari vehicles. And it kind of adds to the Panache. You know, we're talking earlier in the show about retail and how luxury retail kind of occupies its own space, not quite as up and down as you may see for discretionary retail at other areas of the income spectrum. And Ferrari's just done a great job year in, year out, maintaining its luxury brand. I think that that continues for decades to come. Great pick for a young adult. I always make one less car than they have demand for. Asit, what are you looking at? Well, I want to rave just a quick bit over Dan's pick. I mean, I love that idea. I think Ferrari is such a strong brand. And yeah, not the greatest F1 year, but traditionally, they're so big in F1 and such a hallowed brand, it draws people to that industry in general.
Starting point is 00:32:15 And I will say, gents, I had to be in India on short notice just a few weeks ago. I was there about 10 days. And on the third day, we took a taxi. Taxis are very cheap in Bombay, Mumbai, as it's called today. And so this one driver just sort of clung to us. We would come out of a story. He'd still be there. Like, can I take you to the next place?
Starting point is 00:32:35 What's interesting about this story is he had these beautiful Ferrari decals on his icon. iconic blue old school Mumbai taxi. It's such an aspirational brand wherever you go. People love Ferrari. Let me go to my choice though for a 22-year-old. I'm going to go out on the risk spectrum as you did some. Travis, this is a company called Estera Lab symbol ALAB. This is, okay, a semiconductor company, a smaller player that supplies basically interconnectivity components to businesses that work within data center. So it helps speed up signals between GPUs, CPUs, and different parts of the data center. They also are working on a next generation technology, which allows different components on a server rack to pull their memory. So every GPU, CPU, sort of contributes memory to one pool, and it makes it a much smarter rack.
Starting point is 00:33:27 That's their next stage of technology. It is a volatile business. It's going to be up and down. But again, if you have the time horizon, much as you spoke earlier, Travis, I think it's a good business for a youngster to sort of look into, don't bet the farm on it, but get businesses like this in your portfolio, a long growth curve ahead despite the risks inherent in this industry. All right. Quickly, if you have somebody that's closer to retirement, just one sentence, what stock are you thinking about? Asset. For me, I think GE Aerospace, the reason is you can still get some growth out of this company. It does pay a dividend. And it's in an industry where there's just pent up demand as far.
Starting point is 00:34:07 as the eye can see. We can't build plane engines fast enough to satisfy military and commercial demand. That's more than one sentence, but I'll stop here. Dan. Travis, I'm 55. My biggest holding money where my mouth is, Berkshire Hathaway, ticker BRK-B, Buffett's retirement, not a problem in my view. And you get a little Google with it. When we come back, we're going to talk about the stocks on our radar. You're listening to Motley, Bull Money. In a world full of noise, long-term thinking stands out. Capital Ideas podcast, Capital Group leaders explore the decisions that matter most in investing, leadership, and life. It's a rare look inside a firm that's been helping people pursue their financial goals for more than 90 years. Listen to the Capital Ideas podcast from Capital Group,
Starting point is 00:35:12 published by Capital Client Group, Inc. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows the Montlethool's editorial standards. It is not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only to see our full advertising disclosure. Please check out our show notes. One of the things we like to do with investing is make it identifiable to time of the year. So if you don't maybe want to talk politics at the Thanksgiving table or around the holidays, maybe tie it to, you know, what's going on in
Starting point is 00:35:53 the world, what you're spending your money on this holiday. So then when you think about that, what comes out in Thanksgiving, food, investing, travel, where does you mind go to? I think that there's two things that I want to highlight here. One is that there's been in my life much more of an emphasis on experiential stuff than there is on physical goods. And, you know, it's like we all have enough food. It's a celebration. We're lucky in that respect.
Starting point is 00:36:19 We have plenty of material things. But what we don't have enough of is time together. And so I think smart businesses. they're starting to realize there's a lot of people in that boat and that if they can offer experiences that people can share, that is a moneymaker. The other thing I'm going to be doing, we're taking a trip. My in-laws are in the southern tier in New York. We're heading up to Rochester for a show. The Kodak Tower is still there. And for me, that's a lesson for my nephews in investing survivorship bias. Eastman Kodak, one of the biggest technological innovators in 1960s and 1970.
Starting point is 00:36:56 mostly a husk at this point. The Rust Belt has plenty of these stark reminders that yesterday's boom can turn into today's bust, but also lots of green shoots coming up in those ravaged areas of the country. It's encouraging to see. Investing lessons are all around us, I think is the lesson there, Dan. Asset. Yeah, I was on a very similar wavelength thinking about my answer to this question because we love to travel as a family. And sure, we've gone through our more materialistic phases, but at this point in my life and I think our family's life, we love to just be together.
Starting point is 00:37:32 If we can travel together, that's great. So I encourage folks, look around when you're traveling. There are brands. Not all them are the best investments, but from the airlines. Do you use Airbnb booking.com? I use them both. And I alternatively love to stay in an Airbnb or a hotel,
Starting point is 00:37:49 depending on where I'm going and what this situation is. But looking on the ground at businesses, you know, when you're abroad, is so much fun. You see global brands and you will see some reappear and reappear. One quick one, which is, again, maybe not the best investment unless you're at retirement age, is McDonald's. What crazy menus they have, whether you're in Rome, again, or Mumbai like I was. I always love to at least stop in the McDonald's and see what the crazy stuff is on the menu. McDonald's, bring some of that back to the U.S. please. We like to end the show with stocks on our radar along with comments and questions from
Starting point is 00:38:24 Dan Boyd behind the glass. Dan Kaplinger, you're up first. What's on your radar this week? So I'm looking at Kratos Defense and Security Solutions. It's ticker K-T-O-S. I kind of took the question literally, what's the stock on your radar? Well, it's a stock that makes radar equipment. We've got the Christmas season coming. You get all these goofy reports from, you know, Norad is tracking Santa on the radar. Well, if that's happening, it's probably Kratos equipment that's doing it. They are helping out with a whole bunch of other defense stuff as well. It might not be the first thing you think of with stocking stuffers for the kids,
Starting point is 00:39:03 but the trends that we're seeing in Washington and around the world with greater spending on defense have plenty of shoppers in the government looking for deals on the equipment that Kratos is selling. Dan, is this the kind of stocking stuffer you would like this holiday? Yeah, I don't know about that, Travis, but what I do know is that Kratos shares a name with the main character from the God of War video game series, and those were pretty good. So I think, Asa, you're already, that's a tough task to beat Dan's pick if we have a video game tie. But what's on your radar this week? Well, on my radar is Alibaba, the e-commerce and tech giant in Asia.
Starting point is 00:39:43 I did a little research on Alibaba's name. I couldn't tie to a video game, but it is indeed. named after Alibaba in the 40 Thieves. Founder Jack Maugh famously thought that the idea of Open Sesame was just tied into this brand, and it would open up new avenues for commerce. What I like about Alibaba is that it reminds me of Amazon Web Services, which I talked about earlier. It's one of the biggest online retailers in the world, but it has a great little cloud business that is growing well in excess of the rest of the company. Very nice profit margins, relatively cheaply valued versus hyperscalers in the U.S., and they threw off about $21 billion in free cash flow
Starting point is 00:40:20 over the last trailing 12 months. And I'll be quiet here to get my question from Dan. Dan, what do you think about Alibaba? I mean, Alibaba makes a lot of sense this time of year, Travis, Black Friday and everything. But also, like, I don't know, what really sets it apart from its competition? Because there's a lot of e-commerce out there. Yeah, I think what sets it apart is that they really jumped into AI and a little bit of quantum computing. They pulled back from that. They're really just tech forward. They're fierce innovators. They love that e-commerce side, but they know the money is where AI and the next generation of computing lies. So that's where they're putting their models. Okay, Dan, which one's going on
Starting point is 00:40:57 your radar this week? I mean, Osit had a fantastic pitch. I got to go with Alibaba. Well, congratulations, I said. I need to look at Alibaba again, too. For Asit Sharma, Dan Kaplanarplinger, Dan Boyd, and the entire Motley Fool team. I am Travis Hoym. Thanks for listening to Motley Fool Money. We'll see you here tomorrow.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.