Motley Fool Money - Dinosaurs Roar for Comcast and CoreWeave Goes Shopping

Episode Date: July 7, 2025

Andy Cross and Jason Moser discuss: - Jurassic World Rebirth delivers for Comcast - CoreWeave finally gets it done for CoreScientific - Oracle makes a deal with the federal government - Two stocks... to look for if the market pulls back Companies discussed: CMCSA, NFLX, CRWV, CORZ, ORCL, IOT, HWM Host: Andy Cross Guests: Jason Moser Engineer: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Dinosaurs roar for Comcast while CoriWeev makes an acquisition. Motley Fool Money starts now. Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm Andy Cross, joined by Motley Fool's senior analyst and advisor, Jason Moser. Jason, happy Monday. Happy Monday, AC. Good to see you. Good to see you. Thanks for being here. We got confirmation today that CoriWeave is buying another AI data center company, and Oracle is cutting cloud prices for Uncle Sam.
Starting point is 00:00:38 We'll also talk about two companies we're keeping an eye on if the price is right. But, Jason, let's start with the summer movies. Universal's Jurassic World Rebirth, reportedly brought in more than 300 million globally this weekend, giving a nice win to Comcast, the parent owner of Universal. This continues that strong summer at the box office that included How to Train Your Dragon also from Universal and Apple's F1. Jason, is this good news for long-suffering Comcast shareholders like me?
Starting point is 00:01:07 It's not bad news. Most certainly it's not bad news. Now, Comcast Content and Experiences Studio segment brought in $11 billion in 2024, along with about $1.4 billion in operating profits. So, I mean, this isn't something from the revenue side that is a tremendous needle mover. But, you know, I think about when maybe it's a needle mover to the extent that we would say the same thing for Disney, right? I mean, this is the content space.
Starting point is 00:01:37 It can be very lumpy. Some years are better than others. I mean, if you look at the same. segment, right, the content and experience the studio segment. We talked about $11 billion in $2024. I mean, that was $12.3 billion in 2022. So it ebbs and flows, but this is terrific news. And I think the thing that I'm kind of amazed at, you know, the original Jurassic Park came out back in 1993. Yeah. So they have pulled a Disney to an extent and have really expanded and stretched out this IP library. I think that is a good sign for a Comcast.
Starting point is 00:02:12 Jason, I 100%. So I see this, again, this Comcast talk has not done that well over the past couple years. It now yields about 3.7%. And, of course, we have the spinoff, the spin-out of the media properties called Versaunt. Yeah. Versant, Versant, later this year where they're going to spin off CNBC and USA, MSNBC, the Golf Channel, and a few other properties. So I think that's got a lot of investors interested in Comcast,
Starting point is 00:02:37 at least for me, those of us who own it. But this is the seventh film franchise of the draft. franchise, and that franchise is worth about $6 billion. And it is a Disney plague kind of, Jason, because they're using that in their IP. They're using the theme parks. I saw promotions all around the world, all around the cable properties for the Jurassic Rebirth movie. They were showing older Jurassic movies on some of those cable properties this weekend.
Starting point is 00:03:04 So I think from that perspective, it does help build that franchise out. And it's going to be a very competitive summer. and Disney itself has his fantastic four coming out this summer. We have the much-anticipated Superman movie from Warner Bros. coming out this year, but I think it does help build out that franchise that has become more and more valuable to those universal theme parks, including the one that just opened up this year. No question. And I mean, this also plays into sort of that summer blockbuster, right?
Starting point is 00:03:31 We always love to see what the summer blockbusters are going to be. And I just think it's noteworthy these results, particularly given there's sort of tepid reviews that the movie's gotten, right? I haven't seen it, and I kind of take critics' criticisms with a grain of salt. But, I mean, 51% on Rotten Tomatoes and a cinema score of B from the opening weekend audience. I mean, that's not lighting the world on fire from a critics' perspective, but clearly the audience loved it. Yeah, and also, Jason, interesting notes over the weekend that Netflix, with its 300 million subscribers, they said at the Anime Expo in Los Angeles this weekend that more than half its subscribers now watch Japanese anime.
Starting point is 00:04:09 I found that interesting just because it continues to show the power of the Netflix globally as a brand. And one reason why they're, along with YouTube, one of the most valuable media properties out there today. And we've always said they do such a good job with that data. I mean, this personally, I'm not an anime consumer, but I think this is a great example for investors, where it's not necessarily wise to extrapolate one personal tastes into a potential idea, just because it's not something that you like or eat or watch. It doesn't mean there isn't an opportunity there. 50% number globally really does tell us something impressive about Netflix's market position.
Starting point is 00:04:45 100%. When Motleyful Money returns, CoreWeave go shopping. Some of the best lessons don't come from a classroom. They come from experience. On the power of advice, a new podcast series from Capital Group, you'll hear from CEOs, investors, and founders about how they built careers, took risks, and reinvented themselves. If you're starting your own journey, this is the kind of advice you won't want to miss. Available wherever you get your podcast, published by Capital Client Group, Inc. AI infrastructure company CoreWeave announced that it will buy Core Scientific for around $9 billion in an all-stock deal. That's about $20 per share based on CoreWeave's stock. Now, shares are Core Scientific, Jason, are down around 20% today to about 15, so the market sends in something here.
Starting point is 00:05:29 Yeah, this is an arms race like we haven't seen in some time. I mean, companies are just rushing to build their AI capabilities, and this is just another sign of that. But I think it's really noteworthy. The core scientific shares being down so much today. I mean, there can be a number of reasons why something like that might happen. Investors don't think that we'll go through. Perhaps another bidder comes in. But, A, see, I wonder if this doesn't have something to do with the deal structure itself and what it's saying about the market's perspective on CoreWee, because that nine billion number that's being bandied about, let's make sure we understand. That's just based on the July 3rd share price, right?
Starting point is 00:06:06 Core scientific shareholders are going to receive 0.1235 shares of CoreWeave for each share of Core Scientific that they hold. But as noted in the release, and this is important, the final value will be determined at the time of the transaction closed. That's not until later in Q4. So I don't know. Do you think this is like a glass-half-empty view on CoreWeave and whether they can sort of hold their valuation? Because the stock has been on fire since it went public. Yeah, and went public just this year. And the stocks done just fantastically well.
Starting point is 00:06:37 And Core Scientific has done very well, although it has a little kind of spotted history. It was one of those SPACs back in 2021 that when it came public out there was about $4 billion. And it basically lost almost 100% of its value, had to declare bankruptcy, defile from the markets, came back to the public markets in January 2024. And actually, Corwe, we've tried to buy them last year for about $6 per share. So now they're, you know, paying far more for the,
Starting point is 00:07:05 that. It does give CoreWeave the vertical integration, Jason, that I think they need, that they need to build out. They're going to add about nine or ten AI data centers of core scientifics, give them massive gigawatts of capacity. And as CoreWeave is trying to build out its own AI data centers, it does need to continue to build out that capacity. And CoreScientific, Corweave is core scientific's largest tenant. So it makes sense from a vertical integration perspective. But I think the market is just saying, with the share issuance, so soon after Corby became public, there are some doubts about what price they're going to have to get Core Scientific into the CoreWeef family. Exactly. I mean, I certainly understand the market's enthusiasm around CoreWeave, right?
Starting point is 00:07:49 I mean, when you're selling yourself as the AI hyperscaler, and, I mean, there is something to that, and this is clearly a company that's playing a big role in the space. They just reported revenue growth 420% in this most recently reported quarter. But again, you know, and you're right, vertical integration. This is going to be something that really gives Corleave more power over its platform. And to that power, I mean, this is a power play, right? Through this acquisition, CoreWeave is going to own approximately 1.3 gigawatts of gross power, along with the opportunity of 1 plus gigawatts and potential gross power available for expansion. A gigawatt is a lot of power. It's like that power is a medium-sized city. You think about the Hoover Dam, the Hoover Dam, like one of our
Starting point is 00:08:31 biggest hydroelectric generators here in the country. And that, that's responsible about two gigawatts of capacity. So you can see how this could really impact CoreWeave if it goes through. Prediction time, yeah. Do you think it's going to go through? Do they have to lower the price, readjust the deal terms, you think? Yeah, I think it's going to go through. I think that probably the market's enthusiasm is going to remain for Corewey. I think the stock will ebb and flow here a little bit. My suspicion is it'll go through. Probably not going to end up at that $9 billion valuation at the end of the day, because that is pretty extreme for a company like Core Scientific. I mean, that's like 18 times
Starting point is 00:09:03 full year revenue in 2024. Yeah. So, yeah, we might see some change in the price there, but my suspicion is it'll go through. There are definitely some synergies there and some cost savings, but I think it'll go through too, but I do think they'll have to readjust a term. Yeah, exactly. Next up, on Motley full money, Oracle gives Uncle Sam. The old adage goes, it isn't what you say, it's how you say it, because to truly make an
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Starting point is 00:10:27 Is this an Oracle beneficiary, a U.S. federal government beneficiary, a little bit of A, a little bit of B? I'm going to walk the fence here and say a little bit of A, a little bit of B. It does feel like both win somewhat here. This feels a bit like taking a page out of the book of Bezos, right? He was always known for driving down those prices in so many cases, and he's got that quote, your margin is my opportunity. He's taking that Uber long-term view. I think for federal agencies, they're under this mandate to modernize
Starting point is 00:11:00 while also managing tighter budgets at the same time. time. So, you know, the old saying cash is king. I think in this case, it seems maybe cost is king. And we're seeing other cloud providers kind of follow this same lead sales force has done the same thing in regard to Slack, Google, Adobe. So this isn't anything necessarily new. But then I think for Oracle, you know, these discounts can help lock in really, you know, multi-year contracts. Yeah. And that offers more stability for their business model and revenue prediction. And if they can extend those relationships, then they can start talking a little bit, about maybe exercising a little bit more pricing power down the road if they do a good job.
Starting point is 00:11:38 So I can see both parties benefiting from them. I thought this was a little bit more beneficiary for Oracle when I first started studying it. But then I think the GSA, the General Service Administration, is starting to shake their big stick here to try to get some pricing out of some of these big players. It is interesting to me that this is for the licenses, not really for the subscription and it goes through November. The pricing option goes through November of this year. So it does give Oracle a foot in. it's really the first deal, the GSA cut for government-wide solutions, including lots of areas where Oracle and other Cloud Titans provide or provide some of those services and compete
Starting point is 00:12:10 very heavily. So I think it's just more evidence of CFO-Safricats becoming more and more competitive, trying to push Oracle into markets. Clearly, Oracle has been some, has had some nice beneficiaries here in the markets and in their business as the stock has gone really well. It's up 60% the past year or 40% year-a-date date, Jason. It's now a it's north of a $600 billion company, 35 times earnings, that's almost two times its five-year average. So what do you think about Oracle, the stock going forward? I'm glad you brought that up. It does seem like a little bit of a richer evaluation. But going back to Safra Katz, he's looking at fiscal 2026 targets here. Cloud revenue growth projected to grow from 24% to over 40%.
Starting point is 00:12:56 And then that IAAS, that infrastructure as a service, that growth there is pretty, projected, it hit about 70%. So anytime you see valuations like that, I mean, you have to just kind of step back and say, okay, why is the market doing that? Where's the growth? And I think that's where they're seeing some of that growth. Now they just have to deliver. Yeah, I think so, too. I do, again, like this licensee play because as they continue to push more subscription, this does get into the core part of what Oracle has done for so long and done so well for so many years. So I think it is a nice foothold for Oracle. I guarantee the GSA is going to be issuing lots of different kind of pricing asks of lots more providers as they continue to
Starting point is 00:13:38 manage their own footprint as they kind of push towards to be a little bit more technological savvy at the federal government. Finally, today, Jason, stocks are down a little bit, but passed through all-time highs last week. Let's end things with two stocks that we're keeping fresh on our watch list. If the prices are right, what are you looking at? Everybody loves stock ideas, right? A CEO. Of course, yes. One that I just continue to keep my eye on is a company called Samsara.
Starting point is 00:14:03 Ticker is IOT. It's now a $22 billion company. And Samsara operates its Connected Operations Cloud, which is a software platform that connects all of the devices that a company has in its buildings, its equipment, its equipment, its cards, and other facilities. And the platform then establishes this massive network of data and information specific to that company. Now, the company's still working as a way to profitability. Basically, technically, it's cash flow positive, but stock-based compensation more than eats that up, which isn't uncommon for a company at this stage of its life cycle. It's around 14 times forward sales projections today. Now, when I wrecked this company in the trend service back in 2023, the beginning
Starting point is 00:14:44 of 2023, it was at 13 times. And it's been a little bit of a bumpy ride, and the stock has pulled back a little bit. But when you look at the fundamentals of this business, you know, They just reported first quarter results that it exceeded all targets that leadership set the quarter ago. Revenue up 32 percent, annualized recurring revenue, up 31%. They have 2,638 customers with ARA over $100,000. That's up 35 percent from a year ago. So it is a company that continues to grow and establish a fairly dominant position in its market is what it seems. It really does seem like this is becoming kind of the top-dollary.
Starting point is 00:15:25 at its space. And I think it's also a company that possesses a lot of those hidden gems traits. Those principles that our CEO, Tom Gardner loves, he's so fond of, right? I mean, you get reasonable, remarkable growth into expanding markets, check, right? Led and owned by true long-term believers in the company, check, right? I mean, this is a company that is led by co-founder Sanjit Biswas and John Bigot. They own almost 70% of a voting power. And in a relentless curiosity towards bold technical exploration. I mean, that is a double check for a company like this. So if we ever see any kind of a material pullback in this one, I certainly would be very tempted to add it to my portfolio.
Starting point is 00:16:04 Jason, anything, do you have any thoughts on these cute kind of ticker names, IOT? Does that tend to scare you away from a company? Not really. I never would recommend a company on the ticker alone, but it made me, you just made me think of core scientific and it's ticker. cores. It's like the Smoky and the Bandit ticker. It's funny to see those sometimes. Jason, I'm looking at Howmet, symbol HWM. It's a formerly part of Alcoa. Its history is steeped into high precision metalworking 90%. It provides 90% of all structural and rotating arrow engine components for the aerospace, transportation, energy markets.
Starting point is 00:16:44 These are really super high-end precision airfoils and forging, forge wheels and chassis for for the commercial trucking and auto space. The stock has doubled over the past year and it's up almost 50% since the rule breaker team over on Stock Advisor. We recommended it just this year. It has these really serious competitive advantages that we love to see. It's patents, manufacturing, the history behind it, its core clients. You don't really want to mess around with replacement parts for these kinds of really
Starting point is 00:17:16 high precision manufactured items. It does have some opportunities in the energy space because it provides the blades for a lot of these, for the engine turbines that power a lot of the energy that goes into supporting data centers. I do love this business. It's just the stock has done so well. And while rule breakers and the stock advisor team as well as our rule breakers team love buying into strength, I just want to see, I'm not going to criticize anybody for adding this great business to their portfolio. But for me, I'm just going for a little bit of value, maybe a market breather before.
Starting point is 00:17:49 kind of start looking at Howmet, symbol HWM, just a wonderful business, $73 billion, so it's not small, and it has a lot of room to grow in the aerospace market. Yep, plenty of examples in my investing life where patience tends to pay off. 100%. There you have, those two high-quality companies and Sam Samaet that we're watching. If the markets go on, a little bit of a tailspin here in the dog days of summer, maybe they go added to our portfolio. That's a wrap for us today here at Motley Full Money. Jason Moser, thanks for joining me here. Thanks for having me. Here at the Molly Fool, we love hearing your feedback. To be part of that feedback or to ask a question, email us at Podcasts at Fool.com. That's Podcasts at Fool.com. As always, people on the program may have
Starting point is 00:18:34 interest in the stocks they talk about, and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against. So don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows Motley Fool editorial standards and is not a lot of approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. To see our full advertising disclosure, please check out our show notes. For all of us here at Molly Full Money, thanks for listening and we'll see you tomorrow.

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