Motley Fool Money - Earnings, Earnings, Earnings!
Episode Date: July 26, 2019It’s Earnings-Palooza! We’ve got the latest from Alphabet, Starbucks, Amazon, Facebook, Snap, MarketAxess Holdings, Tesla, Boston Beer, Align Technology, Chipotle, Hasbro, Mattel, McDonald’s, an...d more! Andy Cross, Emily Flippen, and Ron Gross analyze those stories, preview next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, and share three stocks on their radar. Check out www.paypal.com/fool. Get $50 off your first job post at www.LinkedIn.com/Fool. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Full Money.
It's the Motley Full Money Radio Show.
I'm Chris Hill joining me in studio this week.
week, senior analyst, Andy Cross, Emily Flippin, and Ron Gross. Good to see you, as always.
Hey, Chris, how you do? It's earnings palozo. We've got so many earnings stories. We didn't even
schedule a guest this week. But as always, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar.
We're going to begin with the big macro. The latest GDP numbers came out Friday morning from
the Commerce Department. The U.S. economy grew 2.1% in the latest quarter. Andy Cross,
let me start with you. Next week, we've got the Fed meeting. Everyone's going to be watching it.
Everyone's at what are they going to do with interest rates? How do you think this number impacts the Fed?
Yeah, I think it's more evidence clearly that the growth is not off the charts high. It was a slowdown from the first quarter.
I mean, kind of a continuous slowdown. We've seen, you know, if you just look over the year-to-year trend. But I think for me, this basically says the Fed is looking at the lower level of rate cuts next week. There were talks about maybe 25 or 50 basis points. I think this is going to be about 25 basis cut. I think it's all
baked in that they're definitely going to cut, so it's not a question there. But just, I think this says
pretty much growth is good. It's not phenomenal, but, you know, it's a little bit ahead of
expectations. No reason to go crazy and go up to the high end of the rate cut. Yeah, it's clear that
this is definitely causing a little bit of a stir. We already got a little bit of a threat from
President Trump, who after these numbers came out, tweeted that it was not bad, considering
we have the very heavy weight of the Federal Reserve anchor wrapped around our
neck. So that's just a testament to the fact that I think these numbers are really just pointing
towards what the Fed's going to end up doing next week. And I agree with Andy that a cut at this
point has been baked in, both with estimates and companies and banks. So I'd be surprised if we saw
a big cut, but I think we would expect at least a small one. The non-fake news is that business
spending was weak, and that's why the overall number was weak. Largely probably, can one say
that? Probably because businesses are a little bit wary of tariffs and trade wars and unwilling
to spend as much as they have. So that's probably what's going on. The Fed also likes to balance
cuts with inflation. Right now, we're at about 1.8%. The Fed targets 2%. So we're still
below that. But we are at the highest number since the third quarter of last year. So just keep
an eye on inflation.
All right. Let's get to the earnings. We're going to start with Alphabet. Second quarter profits
and revenue came in higher than expected. Shares of Alphabet up more than the
than 10% on Friday. Andy, that is a huge day for one of the biggest companies in the world.
Yeah, for an almost $800 billion market cap company. It was pretty impressive. Revenue is up 19%.
That was an acceleration off the first quarter. Earnings per share, when you adjust for the European
Commission fine that they had last year. Earnings per share was up about 21%. Operating income
up a little bit less, 13%. If you bake in the European Commission fine. I mean,
overall, pretty good. The revenue breakdown for Google, just on the Google property, which is the
main business, was up 19 percent, up 16 percent on Google properties. That's an acceleration,
again, off the first quarter. So I think investors are looking at Google, such a large company,
and they're seeing continued momentum as consumers continue to use Google as a primary search engine,
and that's having a benefit for the ad business and showing up clearly in both the top line
and the bottom line. Interesting, Chris, they did announce a $25 billion share buyback.
At this level. That's interesting. Yeah, at this level, exactly. The stock's done very well at that size. It's not a huge move. It's only about 3% of the market cap.
But it is a significant amount of their annual free cash flow. So the question I have is, when you think about all the investments Google could make, they decide to plow a bunch more money into their stock. It just says that maybe the investments, at that amount of capital, it's very hard to get a good rich.
turning investment from a company that size?
I'd actually prefer to see a dividend on the stock at this level than the stock buyback.
It'll be really interesting as us Monday morning quarterbacks look back a year or two from
now and decide whether that was a smart use of capital or not.
Well, let's look back three months for a second, because you go back to the last quarter,
Andy, and one of the stories out of Alphabet's report back then was YouTube.
Ruth Porat, the phenomenal CFO at Alphabet, was clearly not happy last quarter.
with YouTube. It seems like YouTube certainly performed better this quarter.
Well, I think that's true, Chris. And what we're seeing, there's also a lot of concerns,
specifically, I think, about Amazon taking on more of the advertising space. And granted,
that will happen. But I think just showing Google's been able to show, an alphabet's been able to show,
they continue to be the biggest player in the advertising space. And that's showing up in both the
growth rates for impressions, as well as revenues and profits. When you kind of adjust for some of the
fines they've faced over the past year.
Starbucks hitting an all-time high on Friday after third quarter, same-store sales in the U.S. grew 7%.
Emily, they haven't put up that kind of number in the U.S. in a few years.
It's been an astounding quarter for Starbucks.
They opened up 442 net-new stores, a third of which were in China.
And the same-store sales growth in China was still at 6%.
So what seemed to be dead in the water for a lot of people,
especially with the launch, the IPO of its competitor, Luckin' Coffee, actually tends to be a good thing for Starbucks.
So they have great growth both internationally and in the U.S.
And I think it really shows the success of a lot of their new initiative.
So they're adding new menu items, adding limited edition drinks.
But I think most importantly, they're improving the customer experience.
So that's revamping the company's mobile experience and launching delivery through a potential partnership with Uber Eats.
So they're all things that are going to drive customer growth.
growth. Membership in their loyalty app was up 14 percent, quarter over quarter, to 7.2 million
members. For a long time, that number looked really small in comparison to a lot of competitors,
but that just shows that they're not just driving people to download the app, but use the app,
spend more money on the app. So it's exciting to see their net sales were up over 8%. So it's a good
quarter for Starbucks. I expect great things, especially when it comes to their international sales.
For many of us, the thesis has hinged for a long time on China growth. And I perhaps incorrectly
had assumed that we would see them start to pull back on expansion, on growth numbers,
in terms of the number of stores. Are they commenting about previous estimates? Are we on track
for growth in China? Or should investors be a little wary? I know it's a good quarter, but what
does the future look like?
Well, anecdotally, I'm working as part of the World Breaker's team. I recently talked with David Gardner,
who got back from a trip in China. And the one takeaway he had for the team after his trip was
Starbucks in China. He was amazed by the lines that were out the door and how quickly they were
expanding. Some of their largest stores are now being opened up in China. So I think we see other
entrants getting into the market, Luckin Coffee, for instance. And you still look at coffee consumption
in China. It's still relatively small, given their population. So a rising tide lifts all boats
in a case like this, we're training people to drink more coffee. And I think as the country
becomes richer, and while it's not growing at the same rate as it did historically, it's still
growing. So people are getting a taste for it. People are getting more money and they want
the Starbucks.
I could see that being a double-edged sword for our friend and colleague, David Gardner.
As a shareholder, probably happy to see the long lines in China. As someone who enjoys the product,
probably didn't enjoy it.
The same like the way. Amazon streak of record quarterly profits has come to an end. Second
quarter profits look good, Ron. They just came in a little bit lower than expected shares
down a little bit for Amazon this week.
Yeah, I thought revenue was solid. Overall sales up 20%. Web services up 37%, but slowed
sequentially from Q1, wherein it was 42%. Investors certainly keeping an eye on that.
Online retail sales up 14%. Subscription revenues, which includes prime, obviously, up 37%.
These are all really strong moves. Revenue growth got a boost from the company moving.
Prime from one day delivery to one day delivery from two. But there were also costs associated
with that, namely about $100 million for the transition, which took a bite out of margins,
which took a bite out of profitability and net income only up about 4%. But overall, still a good
quarter. Guidance, I think, was a little bit weaker than investors had hoped for.
So the success that we talked about on last week's show with Prime Day and the sales that they got
from that, that's not going to show up until the next report, right?
for sure, but all indications were that it was quite strong.
Facebook's second quarter profits came in higher than expected this week,
but shares of the social network were basically flat.
Andy, did anything in particular stand out in this report?
Yeah, well, average revenue per user is up 18% to now more than $7.
Facebook daily active users up 8% to almost 1.6 billion.
Monthly active users up about the same 8%.
2.7 billion of us now use either Facebook.
messenger, WhatsApp, Instagram over the course of a month. Revenue is up 28%. Payments revenue up 36%.
The average price per advertisement shown was down a little bit, so not quite the pricing
power. We saw that with Google a little bit as well, too, but clearly the volume and the
impressions continue to show up in Facebook. That's good news. What was really interesting is this
seemed to get just tossed to the side when you read the conference call and all the articles that are
written because so much conversation around the bigger issue around Facebook, which is privacy,
regulatory concerns, fines. That was literally, seemed to be like 75% of the conference call
was focused on that when their business is actually continuing to hum along as they are making
these investments, finally getting some growth and some improvement into their stories and their
services. I think members and users of Facebook and all of their properties are just resonating
with what's actually there and clearly they're sticking around.
Facebook is kind of an anomaly to me.
So the dialogue does depend a lot on privacy, but ultimately, when you look at the company,
it shows very little in terms of their financial position.
And it is so great at monetizing the platform, at least Facebook's home platform,
that it's kind of set a standard for a lot of other companies,
a lot of other social media companies in the markets.
It's Facebook's the big guy. Facebook shows that you can monetize social media.
But at the same time, you really haven't seen them monetizing other platforms like WhatsApp,
which in my opinion holds a lot of potential for it.
So it'll be interesting for Facebook moving forward to see if they can innovate, I guess.
I don't think they're going to be able to acquire their way to the user growth, but it'd
be interesting to see if they can innovate to establish new products that will gain users
and be able to monetize.
I know that they tried to launch a kind of Slack competitor.
And that really doesn't gain much traction.
So it makes me nervous about their ability to continue to grow in the future.
And they did talk Mark Zuckerberg talked about Oculus and some of the improvements they're making there, too.
Interesting, their CAP-X is actually going to be a little bit lower because they're not spending as much on data centers.
We heard a little bit of that with Google as well, too.
So the data center explosion we've seen over the last couple years has definitely starting to slow.
After a rough 2018, one embattled social media stock is bouncing back in a big way.
Details next.
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for their advertising support of Motley Fool Money. It's fun to charter an accountant and sale the
wide accountancy. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in studio with Andy Cross,
Emily Flippen, and Ron Gross. Shares of snap up nearly 30 percent.
sent this week after SNAP lost money in the second quarter, just not as much as everyone was expecting.
Emily Flippin, you're a SNAP user. What do you think of the business?
Throwing me under the bus there, Chris.
Just identifying. Oh, snap. I wasn't assigning any judgment to you being a SNAP user.
Well, I'm actually apparently in good company. They posted an amazing 13 million quarter-over-quarter
increase in daily active users to 203 million, mainly in the 18 to 24-H brackets.
So I'm on the upper edge there, but I'm still in that age.
bracket. So, the company really associated a lot of that performance. About 7 to 9 million
of those users, they believe they brought in through the launch of its augmented reality
lenses, which they have been called as the perfect for the millennial niche glasses.
So apparently that's working, at least with some of the audience there. An amazing
48% increase year-over-year in revenue. It's still losing money, like you mentioned. And like
we talked a little bit earlier about Facebook, about their ability to monetize their platform,
really struggled in that regard. So despite the great increase in users, they still haven't
quite seen the ability to monetize, at least to the scale that Facebook has. But ultimately,
the big news here is that it pushed the stock price above the IPO price for the first time
in Snap's history. You talk about monetization, and I appreciate that because it all comes down
to profits eventually. Could it be that advertisers aren't impressed with the fact that their
target market has no money? Those 18 to 24-year-olds? Well, I take personal offense.
But compared to the average Facebook user, which has gray hair like me.
I wonder what will happen as these users do start to age, though.
I think the reason why we see such great monetization with Facebook is just because,
you're right, older people tend to click through more often.
So there's a culture that comes with Snapchat that is not based around monetization,
at least not the way it is around Facebook or Instagram.
So I think it's going to be important for them to kind of cultivate a purchasing culture on the app that isn't there currently.
Don't email me. I love the younger generation.
Second quarter profits for Market Access. Holdings came in lower than expected. Shares down 6% this week. Market Access is a platform for bond trading. So not the sexiest thing in the world, Andy.
But even with this drop, shares up more than 70% over the last year.
Bond traders out there emailed Chris on that. This was another outstanding quarter for Market Access, but stock is done just phenomenal. Revenue is up 17%.
Earnings pressure up a little bit more. They continue to invest in the platform. So they gain me.
market share. Trading volumes are all moving in the right direction. So as more and more institutional
traders, they have more than a thousand clients, really start to use electronic trading for
fixed income. And that's basically the exception. It's not like stocks. So bond traders are really
starting to move more towards electronic trading when you're trying to find quotes out there,
find liquidity. Market access is playing into that space. It's done very well. It's more than
$12 billion in market cap now. Very profitable. Margins are almost,
almost near 50 percent, return on capital very high. So continue to make the right investments
if the stock was priced for perfection here. So maybe the guidance and the costs are increasing
in investors or traders may say, hey, maybe not quite time to take some profits, not quite the
gross story that I saw before. But overall, really solid quarter from market access and
the stocks done very well overall. Tesla shareholders had another rough week. Tesla's second quarter
loss was bigger than expected, and shares fell 13%. What do you think, Ron?
Oh, Chris. What to make of this? I think the big deal is that the CTO stepped down. He's long been the number two man at Tesla for quite a while. As far as results go, in a vacuum, things, you know, you would say, wow, this sounds amazing. Revenue's up 59% driven primarily by 134% year-over-year increase in vehicles. They had record deliveries. They had record production. What could be wrong? Well, a few things. One, those numbers were less than analysts were expecting. Number two, because the number
The Model 3 is a lower price point. You saw automotive gross margins take a hit. They're
really only around 19 percent now. The company continues to target 25 percent gross margins.
That's a lot of bluster, I think, from Musk. Good luck with that. So the company posted a loss.
On the call, Musk said he expects a break-even third quarter than a profitable fourth quarter
was likely. They keep kind of kicking the can down the road in terms of profitability,
although they have had profitable quarters before. Do they have enough cash to weather the storm?
They certainly have enough cash for now. They just raised about $2 billion in debt and equity.
They actually were cash flow positive for the quarter, so they have about $5 billion on the
balance sheet. So they're okay for now, but I don't know where this story ends. They're going
to have to ramp up deliveries pretty strongly.
But it's a little bit like what Andy was talking about with Facebook, where you look at the
narrative around Facebook.
So you can look at the business of Tesla, but the narrative of yet another executive is leaving
the company is definitely not helpful.
Not helpful.
The CFO said he was leaving earlier this year.
So the CTO says he will be an advisor, and he says, certainly it has nothing to do with his
belief in the company.
What are you going to say?
So yeah, I think it's troubling.
Boston Beer got a boost from its non-beer brands.
Second quarter sales rose 16 percent, thanks in part to Boston Beer's new line of hard
Seltzer. Emily, I'm not a beer drinker, nor do I drink hard seltzer, but apparently plenty
of people are doing both.
Well, even if you're not a beer drinker or a hard seltzer drinker, you might be drinking
their alcoholic kombucha or their hard cider.
No.
Boston beer still has a lot of product lines that are sticky, even though its
namesake brand, Sam Adams, has been declining year-over-year.
They recently merged with Dogfish Headcraft Brewery for 300 million, and they're going
to explore not only beers, but beer.
alternatives as well. So I actually think there's a lot of optionality still in this stock. They have
raised guidance, great revenue growth, depletions, up 17%. So it's a pretty significant quarter for
Sam Adams and its parent company, Boston Beer. And I think that's really going to continue to
show year of year.
Let's go to our man behind the glass real quick. Steve Broido, do any of the beverages Emily
mentioned interest to? Not really, no.
Earnings Paloosa is going to roll on right after this, so stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in studio with Andy Cross, Emily
Flippin, and Ron Gross. Align technology reported solid numbers for the second quarter,
but the medical device company best known for the Invisaline brand issued weak guidance for
the third quarter, and shares of Align technology fell 30% this week. 30%, Andy? How bad was this guidance?
Their long-term guidance overall, when they look out over years, is 20 to 30%. And they said
the guidance for this quarter is somewhere in the neighborhood of 16 to 19.
15% folks. So not a great expectation for the quarter, mostly based on some weakness about both consumer interests and sales in China mostly. So when they look out across the U.S. and other parts of the world doing very well with China weakness, they just think that's going to impact the quarter. It was a very good quarter they reported with sales doing very well up almost 23%. And then income up almost 40%. That led to earnings per share growth of more than 40% for the quarter.
So they continue to innovate into the Invisaline product, offer more and more solutions, drive customer acquisition with orthodontists and clients, both consumers and doctors.
But clearly, the China market is weighing on the business, and that's impacted the stock price.
They do think that will start to normalize after this quarter or maybe after the year.
So long-term investors could see this as a buying opportunity.
The stock has done very well.
It had been up 60% year-to-date.
So, it was priced for a lot of that growth. And when the growth doesn't come, investors and algorithms will slice the stock.
I am so tired of the China cop-out. I really am at this point. Look, they were projecting 70 to 80 percent growth in China for the quarter, and they banked in maybe 20 to 30 percent. So that's not just, oh, weak or demand. You messed up. You messed up on your projections.
Go get them, Emily.
Especially when you look at companies, you talked about Starbucks. He talked about.
companies that are actually doing really well in China despite a challenging macro environment.
So that to me says, whether that be reaching out and getting more awareness,
educating people, getting marketing, you're not doing enough of something in the area.
And if that decreases your estimates for growth so significantly, I wonder what's going to
be different in the next quarter, what's going to cause that to normalize, unless they're correcting
the mistakes they've made in the past.
Yeah, I mean, there's shipments internationally.
we're up last quarter, we're up 37%, including 33% in the Asian and Pacific market.
So they've been able to grow in other markets, but something clearly is going wrong in China.
Shares of Chipotle hitting a new all-time high this week after our same store sales in the second quarter rose 10%.
Emily, Brian Nicol has been the CEO at Chipotle for about a year and a half, and he appears to be incapable of doing anything wrong.
For now. For now. Digital sales grew nearly 100%, which are now a capital.
counting for almost 20% of total Chipotle sales.
So to say Nicol is doing something right would be an understatement.
The same sort of sales growth, as you mentioned, is up 10%.
There were a little bit of an increase in costs associated with avocados,
something that us millennials get fancy about, call them avocados.
All the cool kids are calling them that.
They are.
I'm just messing with you.
But Chipotle may need to bite the bullet in terms of paying for their fancy avocados,
because those costs have been increasing.
However, sales are up so significantly that it seems kind of marginal at this point.
What the real story seems to be is Beyond Meat.
So last week, I half jokingly mentioned that Chipotle should look into getting Beyond Meat
if they wanted to see a nice little stock pop of their own.
But it's something that they addressed in their earnings call,
essentially saying that they're not interested in partnering with Beyond Meat
because the processes it takes to create the fake meat burger doesn't fit with Chipotle's food with integrity principles.
This immediately made, Beyond Meat, CEO Ethan Brown, a little angry, invited the CEO, Nicol out
to visit the facilities, regardless of whether or not that ends up happening. It's clear
that Chipotle is doing something right.
Did they figure out that whole caseo debacle?
I still like the casso. I still like it. I think they figure that out.
It is interesting, though, if you sort of widen the lens and look at restaurants and food
in general and the trend of delivery, we talked earlier about Starbucks. You know, you
You look at Starbucks and Chipotle. They've both done a good job. I would argue Chipotle got
to it a little faster than Starbucks, but they both done a good job of expanding their operations
within the store to accommodate for the increase in delivery. You walk into a Chipotle,
and they've got people working just on delivery orders. And Starbucks is starting to do the
same thing as well.
The Toymakers had a good week. Hasbro and Mattel both issuing second quarter reports. Hasbro's
profit growth, getting a boost from Avengers.
toys while Mattel lost money, although the loss was lower than expected. And so, Ron, obviously,
that counts as a win for Mattel. Right. Good for both stocks, but for different reasons. Hasbro,
wow. Year to date, stock up 50%, shaking off the 2018 cobwebs of the Toys Rows bankruptcy. Very well,
thank you. Really impressive numbers. Net revenue up 9% even with international business falling 1%
due to negative currency exchange. Digital gaming did very well. Has anybody heard of
Magic Gathering, Magic the Gathering.
Magic the Gathering?
Sure, of course.
Am I showing my age?
Yes.
I have heard of Dungeons and Dragons.
Direct to Consumer Sales are great, including on Amazon.
Everything continues to go really well.
Some promotional activity, but gross margins were still strong.
Adjusted EPS up 71%.
That's strong output, for sure.
Mattel's Film Division has partnered with Blumhouse Productions on a
movie centered around the Magic 8 Ball. Now, I think like pretty much everyone who hears this
story, I was tempted to just sort of roll my eyes. But then I remember that Blumhouse is one of those
small, independent, up-and-coming production studios that actually has a pretty great track record
with, you know, Blumhouse is the studio behind Get Out and Black Clansmen, and they're good with
horror movies, which apparently this is going to be. Blumhouse made a horror movie called
Truth or Dare that had a budget of $3 million.
dollars and it grossed almost a hundred million dollars worldwide.
So I don't know.
I think if you're Mattel shareholder, you've got to be looking forward to that.
Yeah, both Hasbro and Mattel have combined their toy products with entertainment in a very strong way.
Hasbro, Transformers, G.I. Joe, My Little Pony, if you will.
Mattel is going to be set to come out with a Game of Thrones line of toy sets soon.
So they're both doing a good job kind of leveraging their product portfolio.
I would imagine that the ape ball will be pretty exciting as well.
Do your kids have a magic ape ball? You've got younger kids, Andy.
We don't have a magic eight ball, no. I thought you're going to say a magic pony. We've got plenty of those, unfortunately. Give me a magic eight ball over the magic pony.
Coming up, we'll give you an inside look at the stocks on our radar. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.
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here. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here in studio with Andy Cross, Emily
Flippin, and Ron Gross. Final earning story of the week. Shares of McDonald's up after
global same-store sales rose 6.5%. Emily, that's huge when you consider just how big
this restaurant is. Huge, especially considering not just 6.5% in same-store sales growth globally,
but 5.7% same-store sales growth just in the United States alone, largely thanks to promote
games, store upgrades. All of these things are just helping change what the McDonald's experience
is. They're also looking at expanding their delivery options, so they're adding DoorDash as a
delivery partner, trying to compete with a lot of the faster casual chains that we have now as
options. But listening to the earnings call, it was clear that management saw the most opportunity
internationally. They spent a long time talking about underdeveloped markets like Poland, for instance.
that we're seeing double-digit same-store sales growth over double-digit, same-store sales growth.
So it's been impressive for their expansion internationally.
It is a testament to the fact that while McDonald's may feel a little played out here in the United States,
the international opportunities are really undeniable.
But I would say I think the thing that we all wanted to hear,
but I know you wanted to hear, Chris, was are they going to make a premium chicken sandwich?
It's not just me who wanted to hear it.
It's the franchisees who said to the board, we need this sandwich to compete with Chick-fil-A.
Well, me, who spent an hour and a half of my morning listening to the call, I also,
I also wanted to hear about this premium chicken sandwich, but there was no mention of any sort of chicken sandwich.
It's clear that while the franchisees would like them to focus more on menu development to help to compete with companies like Chick-fil-A,
the company was mainly focused on just revamping the stores, recreating the McDonald's experience,
opposed to making a premium chicken sandwich. But let me go on record to say, if they made a
premium chicken sandwich, I'd be the first in line. Let me be the second to say that Chick-fil-A
sandwich, the number one, for those who are aficionados, is about as perfect a chicken sandwich
as one can ever buy. And McDonald's will pale in comparison no matter what they do.
Well, you go back a couple of years with McDonald's, and we started to hear this story from
company management about the investments they were going to make.
the locations, the technology. And there were some people sort of raising an eyebrow, scratching
their head at the time. Those investments are paying off. I mean, it takes a couple of years
for that ripple effect to play out if you do it correctly. But we're seeing the results of that
anyway. Chris, you're seeing, I mean, just think of the same store sales we saw this quarter,
Chippotle, Starbucks, McDonald's. These are all very large businesses with lots of assets
to deploy and figure out. And they clearly are getting it right. It doesn't happen overnight.
So for long-term investors like us who really study the businesses, that's a great added benefit for investing in companies that can get this right and have the patience to be able to let them do that work.
Well, it seems great this quarter, but I will say something management touched on a couple of times in the call is actually the delay of the improvements that they're rolling out.
This is called the expansion of the future where essentially they're making their franchisees update their locations.
And they're actually having pretty significant pushback from the franchisees, whether that just
be because they don't want to deploy the capital or more likely that the franchisees are seeing
the capital deployed and thinking, this would be better spent elsewhere.
So it's interesting to see the kind of pushback that they're getting from their franchisees
and updating the stories.
But I will say, I agree, that just looking based up the numbers that they reported this quarter
and over this past year, it seems like it's working.
Before we dip into the full mailbag, I want to go back to some of the same.
something that's come up a couple of times on this show. And it's stock buybacks. Andy, you talked
about it with Alphabet and their $25 billion plan. Chipotle, part of their announcement,
was the board approving a $100 million share buyback plan. Obviously, that's a tiny fraction
compared to Alphabet. And yet, that actually struck me as being crazier. Because Alphabet
has the money. And when I look at Chipotle and all the great things they've done over the
past year and a half, with their stock being as high as it is, I just sort of looked at it.
And I thought, why would you think about spending? Clearly, they don't have to allocate that
$100 million, but just the idea that they're entertaining that when they can invest it in
something else. I'm just wondering if we're now entering a point where the market is doing
so well, so many stocks are hitting new highs, that a share buyback plan is a little bit of a red
flag now. Well, it's interesting because tying this all full circle back to how we started
the show with the GDP numbers and the interest rates. This is why I think aggressive cuts at the Fed rate is
not necessarily going to have the huge impact because it's not like companies don't have the
capital to spend. They have the capital to spend, and they're choosing to spend it, not necessarily
investing back into their business. And they've been buying back tons and tons of stock.
Pretty much, they see a higher return there, but also it clearly helps the EPS line as well,
earnings per share line as well.
And the recent buybacks are largely, I think, a result of the Trump's tax cuts where
companies saw this kind of influx of cash and didn't really know how to put it to work.
not buy back your stock. I'd rather see Chipotle do that than open up a series of burger
chains like they announced a few years back. And thank goodness management came to their
senses and pulled back on that. But as we've notoriously said on this show, buybacks are
often not the best use of capital. And again, Monday morning quarterbacks will come see
how it looks in a couple of years. I agree. It does give me early 2000s flashbacks looking
at how many companies are buying back their shares. But that being said, as someone who spends a lot
of her time looking at cannabis companies, I think a few of those companies could maybe invest
in buying back some of their millions of shares.
Our email address is Radio at Fool.com.
Question from Dr. Ted McElroy in Tifton, Georgia.
He writes, I'm a member of your Stock Advisor's Service and a longtime listener of all of the
Motley Fool's podcast.
I was going through my industry news as an I, Doctor, should, and I came across an article
I thought you should discuss.
And he sent along a link, and it brings the news.
that, and again, this is industry news for eye doctors. Taco Bell is launching a collection
of branded eyeglasses. They are doing this in partnership with a company called Diff Charitable
eyewear. The collection, and I'm quoting here, takes inspiration from many signature elements
from Taco Bell, including its logo and its packets of hot sauce, which I would just add
parenthetically, I don't want hot sauce anywhere near my eyes. The prices of the eyewear, Ron, you
might be surprised to learn. Range from $85 to $95.5.00. You can buy them online or next month
at the Taco Bell Hotel and Resort in Palm Springs, California. I don't want to sound like
a cramagion. I'm a fun guy. This just sounds ridiculous. The only redeeming thing here is that
there's a charitable component to it, so I'm actually fine with it. Emily, can I interest you
in these eyewear? Of course. And honestly, at $95, Chris, that's a steal. Because you have to understand
And Taco Bell is not just another Yum's brand fast food restaurant. No. Taco Bell is a lifestyle choice.
And heck, if I'm a Taco Bell aficionado, I'm not being wearing those sunned
glasses at the resort all day long.
What I like about this is that I know in my heart that there are executives at other consumer
brand companies that have nothing to do with fashion that are saying to their bosses right now,
you know, you see what they're doing at Taco Bell. I don't know if someone at Chipotle is going up to Brian
Nickel and saying, look, I mean, if Taco Bell can do this, and you used to run Taco Bell,
shouldn't we be doing Chipotle branded eyewear? Hey, listen, if Lulu Lemon can open up a restaurant,
like, why can't Taco Bell start offering a little bit of sunglasses?
Steve Roido, our man behind the glass, you're a fashionable guy. I know that reservations at the Taco Bell,
Hotel and Resort, sold out literally in two minutes, so you're not.
going to be going to Palm Springs next month. But can we interest you in some eyewear?
I don't think so. But it's an interesting choice. It's kind of a cool idea. Just, you know,
let's go completely outside of our lane and give it a shot. Let's get to the stocks on our radar
and our man, Steve Brodo will hit you with a question. Ron, Gross, you're up first. What are you
looking at this week? I've got Editas Medicine, EDIT, a clinical stage gene editing company
focused on the CRISPR-Cast-9 technology, currently developing EDIT-I-1 to treat
rare eye disease back to eyes here. In partnership with allergen, the first in vivo study of a
CRISPR-based genome editing medicine, which means it's editing that's taking place inside the
human body, first time ever about to happen. Really incredibly exciting. If you like the sector,
but you don't want to place just one bet, you can also look at CRISPR therapeutics and then teletherapeutics
to diversify the bet. Oh, a little bit of a basket there. Yeah, a little bit. Steve, question about
editas medicine? So I've heard a bit about the CRISPR stuff. What is the chance that that just doesn't
work out, that that goes down to zero. Wow. There's certainly that it's all about what are the
side effects, and are you fixing genes, but there's other consequences in the human body? If that
were to be the case, then certainly we'd be in trouble here, and we'd have to look. There are other
gene editing techniques out there, too, that are competing with CRISPR. We'll have to see which
is the best one in the end. Emily Flippin, what are you looking at this week?
My hot stock should not be a surprise. Anybody's been listening to me speak, and that's because
it's Beyond Meets. Now, Beyond Meets is scheduled to report, I believe next Tuesday. It's going to be
interesting to watch. I've personally had a negative conviction on the company for a while now,
not because I don't like what they're doing, but because that valuation is insane. Bringing it
back to cannabis for a second, their valuation is the same size as the worldwide cannabis market
right now. So if that tells you anything about what's baked in for this company, but regardless,
this biopharmaceutical company, because that's the only way I can get it to the valuation
where it needs to be. So it's kind of like Editas, in a sense, Ron. Because they're
innovating in their alternative meats category. And they've made a lot of partnerships. It's an
interesting company. I really want them to succeed, because I think what they're doing is
important. But at the same time, oh, it's ridiculous to watch. I'm definitely looking forward
to their report. And the ticker symbol? B-Y-N-D.
Steve, question about Beyond Meat?
So I've heard a lot about Beyond Meat. Where do I get a Beyond Meat burger? Is it my
freezer? Is it the freezer at the grocery store? Is it a restaurant? Where do I buy these things?
Get out of the freezer section. Everybody who can't find it. Thinks that it's in the
freezer section. You've got to go to the meat section of your grocery store. It sits there
next to the ground meat, but you can also buy it at retail stores.
Andy Cross, what are you looking at this week? I like Twilio. I've talked about this
before. Steve, I think you know this one. It's a cloud communications platform
with clients like Amazon, Netflix, Uber, Yelp, WhatsApp, Salesforce.com, founded
by University of Michigan graduate, go blue.
$20 billion market cap reports earnings next Wednesday.
Stocks done so well.
They recently, it's more than doubled this year.
They have 155,000 customers.
They acquired a company called SendGrid for $3 billion that does email communications,
which was not in the Twilio portfolio, a suite of portfolio.
So now it adds that.
Growth rates exceptionally high.
I want to see those continuing to expand.
with SendGrid now into the Twilio family.
And the ticker symbol?
T-W-L-O.
Steve, question about Twilio?
What's the biggest threat to their business?
Oh, gosh.
I guess so Uber was their largest client.
When Uber started pulling back a little bit,
that really hurt the stock and hurt the business.
Now they've kind of managed through that.
So I would say generally overall,
if clients start using their own applications for communication,
that's bad news for Twilio.
What do you want to add to your watch list, Steve?
Let's go beyond meat.
All right, Ron Gross, Emily Flipping, Andy Cross.
Thanks for being here.
Thanks, Chris.
Thanks, Chris.
That's going to do it for this week's show.
Our engineer is Steve Broido.
Our producer, Mac, career, is off this week, so we'll try and do better next week.
I'm Chris Hill.
Thanks for listening.
We'll see you next week.
