Motley Fool Money - Election Drama and New All-Time Highs

Episode Date: November 6, 2020

Investors react to the election. Uber reports a big loss but scores a big win at the ballot box. The Trade Desk soars on earnings. CVS Health names a new CEO. Match Group and MercadoLibre hit all-time highs. Paycom and Qualcomm surprise. And Clorox cleans up. Motley Fool analysts Ron Gross and Jason Moser discuss those stories and weigh in on PayPal, Peloton, Roku, Square, Upwork, and Wayfair. Plus, our analysts share two stocks on their radar: Alarm.com Holdings and Scotts Miracle-Gro. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Okay, caller one wins court side seats to tonight's game. What? I won floor seats? You did. I've been calling for 13 months. Wait, Chris? Yes, I finally did it. What are you going to wear? Men's Warehouse. They've got today's looks for any occasion, and I need to look like a celebrity.

Don't want to stick out. Exactly. They've got Chill Flex by Kenneth Cole, Joseph Abood, and a tailor at every store for the perfect fit. Congrats. You can stop calling now. Not a chance. Hit any look for every occasion at Men's Warehouse. Love the way you look. Everybody needs money. That's why they call it money. From Fool Global Headquarters, this is Motley Fool Money Radio Show. I'm Chris Hill. Joining me this week, Andy Cross and Ron Gross. Good to see you, as always, gentlemen.

Hey, Chris. For the second week in a row, it is earnings paloosa. We've got a ton of earnings stories to get to, along with a couple of stocks on our radar. But we're going to begin with the big macro. As we are recording this, votes are still being counted in several states that will help decide the presidential election, but all trends at the moment are indicating that Joe Biden will become the 46th President of the United States of America. Friday morning, guys, we also got the jobs report for October, and it was big, Ron. 638,000 jobs added, and the unemployment rate fell from 7.9 percent to 6.9 percent, and the stock market is on its way to having its big.

Best week since April. Yeah. Concerning the election, you know, blue wave, divided government, take your pick, make your prediction, what's best for the market, what's not. I don't know. And I don't think anybody really does either, to be honest with you. So I don't change anything about the way I invest when new administrations take hold. I do the foolish thing.

I buy great companies that I believe in. I hold them for the long term. The ups and downs, they're going to happen. Administrations are going to come and go. But great companies will rise over time. And that's how I think about it, and it helps me sleep at night, and it's much, much easier, Chris. As far as the economic news, this is a strong report, really nice to see. Unemployment rate fell to 6.9 percent, that all-encompassing unemployment rate, we call it the U-6, not we.

The government calls it the U-S.6 down to 12.1 percent from 12.8. So this is good news, and we saw the labor force participation rate take up, which is nice as well. Now, we see spikes going on all over the place, overseas in the U.S., some states, some municipalities talking about pulling back. It's very hard for me to predict what happens now when we go through a second wave in through the winter. But I'll take the good news where I can get it, and I think this is a very strong report. Yeah, I will say, I think there, just think about where we wore last week, Chris, when

there's a lot of fear and the market sold off, and now we've seen this rebound. So I think we can continue to expect this volatility. We've been saying it now for a while. I think you'll see it depending on how the election all plays out. I think there is some excitement that we may not see as aggressive tax hikes as we may have seen if the election status holds. I think there's some excitement there. I think we'll still see a stimulus package at some point in some way over the next few months, whether it happens this year or at the beginning of next year we'll have to see. But clearly, I think there's some more excitement in the markets than there was last week. And to Ron's point, you want to continue to own the best and the brightest stocks.

that's what we try to do with the Motley Fool, and you want to hold them for the long term through the thicker thin. But things are looking a lot better than this week than they were last week. Yeah, and I know I said I tried not to focus too much on the ins and out to the administration, but it's interesting to watch if you're a political observer that the Senate is still in play. And that perhaps would have an even bigger impact on legislation and things like tax policy and, you know, regulations, even more so than who is president. So I will be keeping an eye on that. All right. Let's get to some earnings. Shares of Uber up more than 35% this week. Uber's third quarter loss was smaller than expected, but along with the earnings report, voters in California

approved Proposition 22, which allows Uber and other companies in the gig economy to classify workers as independent contractors rather than employees. Ron, Uber shareholders needed some good news and they certainly got it this week. Yeah, Prop 22 is a much bigger deal than whatever they reported for the quarter, and we will touch on that in a second. Without this passing, which it appears it will pass, it's not over yet, but it appears it will pass. California would have been a real problem for both Uber and Lyft, as well as some other gig economy companies that are focused on gig workers. So this was a must-get for them, and so the relief rally makes perfect sense to me. These shares are up 33 percent since October 30th on the here.

deals of Prop 22. For the quarter, the company did beat expectations, but they still reported an increased loss. Overall, sales were down 18 percent. Gross bookings were down 10 percent, with ride share being down 50. Now, the good news, delivery bookings, Uber Eats and the like, up 135 percent makes sense. We're all getting food delivered. Nobody's eating out or not as much, certainly, as we used to. So that works. The company's still confident in that elusive path to profitability. Sometimes I make fun of that phrase path to profitability, because it's what you say when you're not profitable. But they still see the path as the recovery takes hold. Management thinks they'll achieve its goal of quarterly adjusted profit, in quotes, adjusted profit by the end of

next year. So a year from now, we'll start to talk about whether they were hitting their goals that they put up for themselves. Balance sheet is good. They have a lot of debt, but they also have a lot of cash. So they're not in any jeopardy in that regard. Shares of the Trade Desk up more than 25% on Friday after third quarter results blew away analysts' expectations. Andy, it's not like the Trade Desk hasn't already had a big year in terms of the stock performance. What stood out to you in this report? Chris, it was a really nice report now. We did have some leading indicators when Facebook and Alphabet talked about their advertising business looking much better than what it was. And as Jeff Green, the co-founder and

CEO of the Trade Desk set in the call is so far. far, we've seen several years of advertising disruption and innovation, basically compressed into a few months. So a really nice quarter of the trade desk. And coming off a quarter that maybe wasn't so good the last quarter. So sales at $216 million up 32 percent. That was versus a drop last quarter. So a reversal there. That was really impressive. They won significant amount of new business from their competition, talked about how they're taking market share in the programmatic ad space, which is really important for the trade desk. So lots of continued growth in the connected TV market, Chris.

That's the connected TVs as we're more and more connected to streaming services rather than tied to our cable box. They talked repeatedly about how the cable companies continue to see folks, members, subscribers cutting the cord. They expect that to continue. That's an advantage for the trade desk. Spend in mobile video was up 70%. Same in the audio spend, connected TV spend across.

the trade desk market was up more than 100%. Customer retention stayed very strong at 95% for five straight years. So when you add it all together, you just see this continued emphasis on what is going well with the trade desk. That's in more and more ad spending, moving to online, moving to connected devices, trade desk solution, their programmatic ad solution is really winning clients and both new clients and existing clients.

And now it's just continuing to build that momentum. I mean, you see it this week and the day after the earnings with the stock price up almost 25%. Third quarter profits in revenue for CVS Health came in higher than expected. But that took a backseat to the news that CEO Larry Merlo is stepping down after a decade in the corner office. Executive Vice President Karen Lynch will become the new CEO on February 1st of next year. Ron, am I right that she came over from Aetna as part of the CBS Health Etna merger? Yeah, she's currently the EVP of CVS Health, but the president of Aetna. And as you said, she'll replace Larry Murlow, who has not only been in the executive suite for 10 years, but at the company for 40 years.

So quite a long career. So I think that's the bigger news here. The quarter, you know, they beat expectations and they raise guidance, but it's still kind of ho-hum to me. It's nothing to get too excited about. Total revenue is up 3.5% driven by growth in health care benefits and their retail long-term. care segment. That segment, the retail, was up 5.9 on increased prescription volumes. The health care benefit up 8.8% on membership growth. So those are certainly fine numbers. The pharmacy services business was the weakest, but still up almost 1%. So not too bad there. Adjusted operating

income fell 8.2%. COVID-related, related, easy for me to say, expenses, taking a chunk out of profitability there. And there's also reimbursement pressure, as we've been saying. for the longest time in that retail, long-term care segment. So net income ended up falling 20% hurt by a one-time charge. I wouldn't think that would continue with on early extinguishment of debt. But they did increase their guidance for the fourth quarter. So they're seeing some firming in their business, some strong pockets there. But again, we're not talking to gangbuster growing company at this point.

If the trade desk was the stock of the day on Friday, then the stock of the week was upwork, shares of the freelance work. platform up more than 50% after a strong third quarter report. Andy, what is going on at Upwork? Well, I think it's really kind of the lowered expectations through the most of the year. It just wasn't really getting it done. I think investors now see the quarter they reported and say, hey, wow, maybe there's something more to the Upwork story. Revenues at 97 million up 24%. That was up versus growth of 19% last quarter and much higher than the company's estimates at 89 to about 91 million. Gross service volume. So that's like all the traffic across the Upwork platform,

which presents an online platform for freelancers and hirers to get together. That gross service volumes were up 23 percent. More and more clients adapting the Upwork services in record numbers now. Core clients up 24 percent. So that matches about the volume success that they saw. A lot of good success in their marketing and their search engine optimization channel. Add it all up, Chris. And you have a net loss of 0.2 to 0.3 percent, and that was much better than the negative estimates that they had the last quarter. So I think for the stock performance that was just so dramatic this week, it was really this expectations were not so high. And now investors seeing that Upwork is actually a growth, a little bit more of a growth story. And their guidance was

still for more and more growth of 24 percent on the sales next quarter. So continued success from Upwork, and that's a little bit different than what investors. we're seeing earlier this year. Coming up, earnings paloosa rolls on, so stay right here. This is Motley Fool Money. Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. Chris Hill here with Andy Cross and Jason Moser tagging in for Ron Gross. Shares of Mercado Libre hitting an all-time high this week. Second quarter revenue for the Latin American e-commerce and fintech company grew nearly 150% year-over-year. And Jason, Maccada Libre's digital payment system is really really, really, really starting to rack up some big wins for shareholders.

It really, really is. This Mercado Libre story, it's really all about the boom in Latin America's middle class. I think it demonstrates the importance of having that middle class and the wherewithal of management to continue to invest in this business to provide ultimately a total solution. And if you look, speaking of the middle class, I mean, if you look between 2008 and 2018, Latin America's middle class expanded from 33 million households to 46 million households. It's becoming a greater proportion of the overall economy. You mentioned the revenue growth there up almost 150 percent for the first time ever, certainly not the last, surpassing $1 billion for the quarter. Gross merchandise volume, which is a very important metric.

We talk about that with these networks up 117 percent currency neutral. Unique active users grew 92.2 percent reaching 76.1 million. So just, I mean, a lot of money flowing through that, through that. network, a lot of people using that network. And to your point on Mercado Pago, reached almost 60 million unique payers during the quarter, added seven and a half million payers. A lot of that is attributable to Brazil. I think that one of the things we talk about with Mercado Pago is its power on the platform, but it's even more impressive when you look off platform. People using that solution for buying things that aren't affiliated with Mercado Libre's market. That off-platform,

total payment volume grew almost 115% in US dollars. And it reached $8.4 billion in transactions. Just phenomenal growth in really what is, again, a total solution from shipping and fulfillment to payments to marketplace. So I mean, there's a reason why the market's embracing this company the way it is, because it's, as Ron would like to say, firing on all cylinders. Online payroll systems may not be sexy, but shares of paycom hit an all- time high this week after Paycom's third quarter profits and revenue both came in higher than

expected. It is as rock solid as it gets, Andy. It is, Chris. And it hasn't been a great year for Paycom overall. I mean, the revenues for this quarter were up 12 percent and their guidance for the next quarter is up at 10 percent. Now, this is a company that's historically has grown revenues north of 30 percent a year and profits north of 50 percent. So this has been a very great growth company over time. But they do provide that those services to a lot of a small, medium-sized business, as many of which have been That's been a drag on their business, but I think this quarter, they continue to have higher and higher recurring.

98% of their revenue is recurring. I mentioned the revenue growth of 12%. That's back to the pre-pandemic levels now. So they've kind of had this return. I think investors were finally expecting that. They have less than 5% of the market overall, so it's a very large market. They continue to innovate. It's very profitable business.

They're getting a lot of scale. They continue to add more and more small businesses, even though the small business market in general has been hurt. So overall, I think a really nice quarter for Paycom, the stock, when you look at it, selling at 85 times operating profits and 26 times sales for a business that isn't quite growing as fast as it is, it looks a little fully value, but overall, it's a very solid business, very profitable and run by a person, owns a lot of stock in the company. Qualcomm wrapped up its fiscal year with a bang, fourth quarter profits and revenue, higher than expected for the wireless tech giant and shares of Qualcomm up 15%.

Jason, this is the second quarter in a row. We've seen a big move up in Qualcomm stock. Yeah, I mean, it's been, I think, very easy to overlook this business over the last several years. Tech has been in a bit of a holding pattern with phone saturation and then questions regarding where this next wave of growth would come from. But we're certainly seeing now that there are a number of avenues that should continue to drive this business forward in the coming decade, really. 5G is absolutely a big part of the story. But, you know, there's a lot more to it as well. Looking at the numbers for the quarter revenue of $6.5 billion,

earnings per share of $1.45. Now, that's non-gap. It excludes some settlement and royalties from a Huawei situation there. But, I mean, when you look at the way the business is performing, the tech segment revenue, $5 billion, their licensing segment, which is smaller but higher margin, $1.5 billion. Operating income in that licensing segment was $1.1 billion. That was up 40% from a year ago.

So very encouraging there. It's interesting to note, too, that management going forward is going to be breaking down revenue a bit more granularly, going by segment. So they're going to give us the handsets, the radio frequency segments, the auto segments, the Internet of Things segments, because those are really the drivers of the business. It's not just a handset company anymore. Now, to that, it's still handsets are making up the majority of sales. And to that, I mean, they have now 110 5G agreements there with handset providers

in forecasting 450 to 550 million 5G handsets shipping in calendar 2021. So a lot of tail ones for this business in the coming year. Peloton kicking into high gear to start its fiscal year, paid digital subscribers, grew more than 300% in the first quarter, and shares of Peloton also up 15% this week, Andy. Chris, these numbers are just pretty astounding. You mentioned 382% on the page digital subs. That was versus 210% in the fourth quarter, which itself is just incredible. The revenues at $758 million, up 232% again versus 172% last quarter. So they're seeing this acceleration. Number of workouts across the platform up 306% to 78.

million. That's almost 21 monthly workouts per subscriber up versus 12 a year ago. So as we all are sitting at home and we're looking for ways to exercise and get a little, get out of our seats and out in front of Zoom, obviously Peloton benefiting from this. They are, however, seeing some pains from that growth, Chris, as the co-founder John Foley said on the call, and he owns almost $800 million dollars worth of the stock. It pains us that we've been underperforming recently versus the high standards we strive for. Wait times for our products have been unacceptably long. So a lot of, I think, growth pains that Pelotana is going, considering the past year during the pandemic, has been so extensive. But overall, the business continues to hum. The bike plus new offering

is just seeing really high growth and a lot of interest and a lot of demand in the growth for the next quarter and for the 2021 guidance, they raise that. So they continue to see high expectations from Peloton, from their members, from their workouts and the kind of demand that we are all looking to fulfill as we sit on our butts at our house. And now we can maybe more sit inside a Peloton bike. It's a good problem to have, but it's still a problem. Interesting to see how they deal with it in 2021. All right. Coming up, we'll talk about a business that makes something you probably have in your home, but do you have this business in your portfolio? Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.

Welcome back to Motley Full Money. Chris Hill here with Ron Gross and Jason Moser tagging in for Andy Cross. PayPal's third quarter report came with some tempered guidance for the fourth quarter. Shares of PayPal up this week. And I don't know, Jason, I feel like the combination of the guidance and the fact that shares of PayPal have doubled in the past 12 months is why we saw the reaction that we saw. Yeah, probably so. I mean, PayPal could certainly be a victim of its own success in 2021 with tougher comps and as they continue to, you know, wean themselves off of eBay completely here.

But to my mind, that would really only present opportunities to buy. I mean, what's just clearly becoming one of the most important financial platforms in the world. They chalked up just another really, really strong quarter total payment volume of $2,000, 47 billion dollars, up 36%. They're operating now on a run rate of essentially $1 trillion in that total payment volume. So, I mean, that just is phenomenal to think about, particularly compared to something like Mercado Pago that we talked about earlier. They added 15.2 million new active accounts for the quarter. They now have 361 million active accounts. And we talk a lot about companies that have, you know, benefited for lack of a better word, from this

pandemic, PayPal is no exception there. And to that point, in regard to the user growth, if you look back to just the month of January of this year during the fourth quarter earnings call, management said for 2020 that they expected to add approximately 35 million new accounts. In this release here, they now expect to add 70 million. So they've essentially just doubled that user expectation. And so, yeah, you would have thought the market might have received that a little bit more a little bit more optimistically. But I think to your point, eBay continues to to become less a part of the business, which in the near term can be a little bit of a headwind on revenue. But in the longer term, it's absolutely the right thing to do.

And then finally, in regard to Venmo, because we talk about that a lot here, Venmo now has 65 million users. It drove almost $45 billion in total payment volume. They're forecasting $900 million in Venmo revenue in 2021. And get this, Chris, in 2021, it will contribute positively to transaction margin dollars. So there is your profitable Venmo. I love Venmo, but yes, as a shareholder of PayPal, I have been wondering, hey, when is that going to start making somebody? So nice to see that we're getting some guidance around that. Shares of Roku hitting an all-time high on Friday after a strong third quarter report,

profits, revenue, active accounts, all up for Roku. And they're into business of video streaming, Ron. So maybe we shouldn't be surprised by this. Exactly. Pretty big beat, as we all seem to be streaming more than ever because there's nothing else to do. A reported 17% year-over-year drop in linear TV viewing among adults 18 to 49 is what's really driving this. And the numbers just, you know, really are impressive. Total revenue up 73%. Their platform revenue increased 78%. Now, advertising, which is part of their platform segment, has really become the fastest growing part of this business. And they saw monetized video ad impressions grow almost 90%. These are really strong numbers.

numbers. They added 2.9 million incremental active accounts. They're now up to 46 million. Average revenue per user, I only say it because I like to say ARPOO, grew 20 percent, up to $27, and gross profit was up 81%. So this is pretty big. Now, they don't bring that much money to the bottom line yet. Expenses are still pretty high. So for example, there are only about $12 million in operating profit for the quarter. But that includes $35 million of stock-based compensation, which is an expense. Some people kind of think it's not, but it is, but that does take a whack out of their profitability. And it's just something important to realize. They introduced some new products during the third quarter. Their Roku Ultra 4K HD player,

they have some high hopes on. They expect a fourth quarter of year over-year growth will likely be in the mid-40 percent range. So some strong growth continuing. Shares are up 87 percent this year. Just, you know, just killing it. Let's get back to the war on cash. Shares of Square of more than 10% on Friday after third quarter profits came in much higher than expected. And Jason, payment volumes for Square are on the rise once again. Yeah. I mean, not surprising to see another strong quarter from Square, particularly after we saw PayPal's results earlier in the week. The bottom line is that technology is just changing the face of commerce and finance. Square is one of those companies right in the middle of that

intersection there. So, looking at the numbers, total net revenue across the $3 billion mark is up 148% of you exclude Cabr, which they sold off a little while back. Transaction-based revenue was $925 million. Subscription and services-based revenue was $448 million. That was up 60% from a year ago. Very encouraging. To compare it to PayPal, which I always like to do, just to get an idea of the size of these networks. Square, you know, they, they, they, they gross payment volumes were up, you know, $30, 31 billion. So you can see compared to something like a PayPal, it's much smaller, but that means there's also plenty of opportunity there, particularly when you look at that two-sided network. And speaking of that two-sided network,

Cash App, which is really a driver of this business, is proving its case. Users continue to grow. Gross profit for Cash App was up 212 percent for the quarter. And it was an interesting snippet here from the letter that since its launch less than a year ago, more than two and a half million customers have bought stocks using the cash at. Billions of dollars have been traded on the platform. So I was always curious to see how that was going to play out. If it was something that was getting gained some traction, it sounds like it is. Speaking of opportunities maybe to buy the stock down the road, it's worth noting that they are going to be ramping up investments in the business next year, approximately 40 percent from the previous year. So that is going

to play out on the bottom line to an extent. It depends a little bit on how that top line performs. just something to keep in mind. There may be some windows of opportunity opening up to buy shares or add to a position in the coming year. I think, again, when we talk about important financial platforms out there, Square is always in the conversation. Do you get the sense that Jack Dorsey and his team at Square are looking at additional, not revenue streams, but just additional ways to deploy what they're doing in other parts of finance? Yeah, I mean, they're definitely trying to to build out complementary offerings, and you see them building more crypto functionality, you see them considering bringing in some tax services as well with an acquisition there.

So yeah, I mean, it does seem like they're trying to add more drivers in that regard. The risk there is sort of a diversification factor there. You want to make sure they're kind of keeping their eye on the ball. For now, it seems like they are, but Dorsey's running two companies He has a hands-off leadership style for sure. But yeah, it would be very easy to sort of take your eye off the ball, very competitive space. First quarter profits for Clorox doubled year over year. They raised guidance for the fiscal year. And revenue growth for Clorox was the strongest they've seen in more than 20 years.

Ron, you were in your 40s the last time of Clorox had a quarter like this. How dare you. Yeah, really strong numbers, but perhaps we really shouldn't. be surprised. We're all clamoring every time we go to the store for chlorox wipes, or at least we were. But really strong quarter, up 27% in revenue, double-digit growth in all segments, driven by demand for hygiene, disinfectant products. But it's not just the namesake Clorox product. It's glad trash bags. It's water filtration devices. It's vitamins, and it's even charcoal because we're all grilling outside. So lots of different categories here getting it done.

28% increase in the health and wellness segment, 39% increase in the household segment, just to throw out a couple of metrics out there. The gross margins widened, making this even better on the strong volume growth, some cost savings, favorable product mix, eighth consecutive quarter of year-over-year gross margin expansion. That's really, really impressive for a company that's been around for a while, like Clorox. Supply chain has been under pressure because the demand is so strong, So they're doing their best to get stuff back to the consumer as best they can.

Earnings per share up 66% if you exclude a one-time gain for a Saudi joint venture that they have. But 66% really, really impressive, raise their fully revenue forecast. Shears trading at 28% for like a consumer products company. It's interesting to see. But if they continue to put up these kind of numbers, that's warranted. They likely won't continue to put up these numbers, you know, two, three, four, years down the road. Well, it's interesting because you think about, well, what is the value of any company's brand? Brand is one of those things that is hard to quantify. It doesn't show up on the

balance sheet. But you look over the past few months the number of other businesses in the airline industry and the hospitality industry who are in their effort to reach out to their customers and say, we're going to make our environment as safe as possible. They are name-checking Chlorox. They're saying, no, here's how clean it is. We're using chlorox. I mean, again, it doesn't show up on the balance sheet, but that is absolutely something that goes in the plus column. Yeah, it becomes, the brand name becomes the product, the way Band-Aid becomes an adhesive strip or jello becomes gelatin. And that's really powerful. And you can kind of, you can play some games and look at like what advertising spend has been over a 10 or 20-year period,

kind of add that all together, capitalize it, and get a sense of what a brand like Clorox might be worth. We do that sometimes with companies like Coca-Cola. But yet, don't underestimate the power of a brand. Up next, proof that a pandemic cannot stop true love or at least the desire for short-term companionship. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy ourselves stocks based solely on what you hear. Welcome back to Motley Full Money. Chris Hill here with Jason Moser and Ron Gross. Match Group is the parent company of Match.com, Tinder, OKCupid, and countless other dating apps.

And Match Group's third quarter report proved the pandemic cannot stop the need for human interaction because Ron shares hit an all-time high this week. My favorite is plenty of fish. That's good. That's my best. That's my favorite brand of theirs. Shares up 88% reflecting. It's just really, really strong results. Better than expected subscriber growth and operating results. Revenue up 18%. Average subscribers up 12%. Arpoo, there I'm going to say it again. Increase of 4% average revenue per user for those that are listening to the first half of the show. How dare you? Tinder. They're one of their most important segments. Direct revenue group 15%. That was driven by 16% average subscriber growth and I have 6.6 million subscribers to Tinder. Their non-Tinder brands collectively grew by 23%. Really strong. It all kind of fed down to operating income being up 14%. Now, this is interesting. Net income was actually down versus

this period last year, but that was because they had a very artificially low tax rate in 2019, the same quarter of 2019. That's not going to repeat. So I would, think it would be much more important to focus on that operating income increase of 14%. Company trades it 60 times. Okay. So the stock being up 88% this year, you know, took its toll on that valuation there. And they're not putting up numbers, I don't think, to really justify 60 times, but they are putting up impressive numbers. I get that the stock is expensive, but I also can't think of who their competition is. I mean, Match Group has done such a good job of building out their portfolio of brands, that they own this space.

Right. Every time you mention a name, a hinge, for example, they own it. Plenty of fish, they own it, match, Tinder, hour time even for, I think that's the one that I see on the commercials for older folks. They own it, and they've done a really great job of segmenting the market and going after each segment. Shares of Wayfair up 20% this week after the online home furnishings company's third quarter report. Jason, did Wayfair actually turn a profit? Yes, they did, Chris, and we'll get to that. Just another really, really impressive quarter.

I mean, the stock has had a phenomenal year. I mean, it's up 200 plus percent. But, you know, it really kind of deserves it. We've gotten a nice glimpse in the potential of this business model. It's no longer a question of, will it work? It works. If you look at the numbers, I mean, revenue of $3.8 billion. It was up 67 percent from a year ago.

Active customers of 28. 8.8 million up 51% net income of $173.2 million. And yes, gap earnings per share of $1.67. Just phenomenal. I mean, we talk about businesses that are flourishing in this time and certainly Wayfair is one, as commerce has just accelerated this move to online. So, you know, the investments they are starting to make a lot more sense now. A very important metric we pay attention to repeat customers as a percentage of total orders. Repeat customers place 71.9% of total orders for the quarter. That was up 67.3% from a year ago. And there's another interesting statistic here from the release that I thought was noteworthy. Customers place 60% of total orders

via mobile versus 53.8% a year ago. So this is, I mean, that's really impressive to think about in my eyes. But it is a tremendous market opportunity. They see it ultimately is an $800 million total addressable market between North America and Europe. Speaking of Europe, that is operating now at a $1 billion run rate. Gross margin, very strong, came in at 30%. That was up, 6.5 percentage points from a year ago. And it's important to remember, too, that gross margin, that reflects that shipping and fulfillment cost that Wayfair has to handle. So that margin expansion is strong. They expect quarter four to see a little bit of a drop there, 26 to 28 percent just because they see volumes, you know, shrinking a little bit. But to that

point, they do see supply picking back up. So we shouldn't see really any supply-related issues for the holiday season. All in all, just very encouraging. Real quick, before we get to the stocks on our radar, news from Panera this week, the once and potentially future public company, Panera Bread. Panera is going to be testing sales of beer, wine, and hard Seltzer at several locations in the Kansas City area. I'll just say our email address is Radio at Fool.com. So if any of the dozens of listeners that we have in the Kansas City area want to test this out and let us know how it goes, please do. But Ron, I don't know. I mean, we saw Panera succeed and then sort of level off as a public company. It got taken

private by JAB Holding. We've always sort of thought it might be rolled out into the public markets again. It's going to be interesting to see how this test goes. Yeah, first pizza and now booze, and this is the effort to bring customers in later in the day, the dinner hour. I actually don't see that happening to any great extent. I could be short-sighted. I'll be watching the test as well. But I don't think the Panera ultimately becomes a place where a large number of people will go for dinner. All right, let's get to the stocks on our radar. Our man behind the glass, Steve Broido is going to hit you with a question. Jason Moser, you're up first. What are you looking at this week?

Yeah, one that doesn't get a lot of attention these days, but it's one that I pay a lot of attention to. Alarm.com, ticker is A-L-R-M. This is really a play on 5G and more specifically IoT or that Internet of Things as alarm.com is responsible for all of these devices and the software that go into homes and buildings for security and whatnot. You're talking about things from thermostats and sensors to even facial recognition. admission programs. But all of these devices, they connect, they send data ultimately to alarm.com's cloud. They have 9,000 service providers from ADT to brinks that sell, install, and support alarm.com's devices and software. They reported earnings this week. A very strong quarter with total revenue up, just over 24%. Nice diversified revenue stream there. They see 2021 shaking out nicely. Again, I like the tail ones there in 5G and Internet of Things. Neat business

Founders are still involved, nice inside ownership in a world where small caps aren't staying small for very long at a $3 billion market cap. This looks like one that still has a lot of room to grow. Steve, question about alarm.com? So if I understand this business correctly, if I buy an alarm.com product, it's connected to its own 5G network and I don't need to data plan. I don't need to pay for anything. It just comes along with it or is not worked that way? No, you're right. Ultimately, you're paying alarm.com for that service. And alarm.com is connecting all of those devices and managing that through their cloud platform and providing that data to help all of those devices connect and speak and run as efficiently as possible.

Ron Gross, what are you looking at? How about Scott's Miracle Grow? SMG, manufacturer of lawn care products, fertilizers, weed control. We talked about this company earlier in the week on our podcast. It seems really interesting to me. Shares are up 60% this year. Just reported a really strong quarter. Company-wide sales up 79%. Now, operating expenses were up 47% due to some incentive comp, bonuses to hourly workers, which I'm a fan of. Interestingly, Q4 is typically a seasonal loss for them. This is the first profitable fourth quarter since 2006, so that's impressive. Trading it 21 times, which isn't that bad, but I need to get

a better handle on what kind of growth this is going to get, you know, what we're going to see over the next two or three years before I decide if this is one I want to jump into. But it's an interesting company. Steve, have they changed that formula in like 40 years. I think that it's the same formula. What's going on here? This makes no sense. Are you talking about their roundup product? They've got lots of products and there are lots of different uses. And I honestly don't know if they've changed that formula or not. But it sells pretty darn well. Two very different businesses, Steve. You got one you want to add to your watch list? I'm going alarm.com. This Scott's miracle grow is nuts. That doesn't make any sense.

All right. Jason Miser, Ron Gross. Guys, thanks for being here. Thanks, please. That's going to do it for this week's edition of Motley Fool Money. The show is Mixed by Steve Broido. Our producer is Matt Greer. I'm Chris Hill. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.