Motley Fool Money - Friendship Breakup Costs Tesla

Episode Date: June 6, 2025

You can’t maintain all of your friendships from the school year through summer vacation. (00:45) David Meier and Jason Moser join Ricky Mulvey to discuss: - Earnings from CrowdStrike, lululemon, a...nd Broadcom. - Elon Musk’s feud with President Donald Trump and the impact on Tesla shareholders. - Docusign’s turnaround story. (19:03) Stacey Vanek Smith, co-host of “Everybody’s Business”, joins Ricky for a look at the tough job market facing college grads. Then, (35:20) David and Jason pitch two radar stocks, Asana and Amazon. Companies discussed: CRWD, LULU, TSLA, DOCU, AVGO, AMZN, ASAN Host: Ricky Mulvey Guests: David Meier, Jason Moser, Stacey Vanek Smith Engineer: Rick Engdahl Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. The Motley Fool and its affiliates (collectively, "TMF") do not endorse, recommend, or verify the accuracy or completeness of the statements made within advertisements. TMF is not involved in the offer, sale, or solicitation of any securities advertised herein and makes no representations regarding the suitability, or risks associated with any investment opportunity presented. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any investment decisions. TMF assumes no responsibility for any losses or damages arising from this advertisement. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:32 It's summer. all your friendships from the school year. This week's Motley Full Money radio show starts now. That's why they call it money. Cool global headquarters. This is Motley Fool Money. It's the Motley Full Money Radio show. I'm Ricky Mulvey.
Starting point is 00:01:03 Joining me on the internet today, it's Motley Fool senior analysts, Jason Moser and David Meyer. Fools, great to have you both here. Ricky, it's awesome to be here. We've got earnings from Crowdstrike and Lulu Lemon, but, I mean, come on, how are we not going to talk about the breakup between Elon Musk and President Trump? First up, though, we're keeping our eye on the ball. We're starting with some economic data before we get to the juicy stuff. JMO, the unemployment rate stands at 4.2%.
Starting point is 00:01:31 And while jobs were added above estimates, this report also says that the U.S. added almost 100,000 fewer jobs than estimates thought in the prior two months. Something almost embarrassing as embarrassing as a vocal crack. I'm seeing headlines that the labor market is softening. I'm seeing headlines that this report is strong. What say you? Yeah, this is an economy. There's this sort of duality, right?
Starting point is 00:01:58 There's the reality of the situation is that things are okay, right? I mean, we've been kind of worried that we're standing on a cliff here as of late. But, I mean, employment, yes, it slowed down a little bit. Wages, wage growth was there, albeit slower as well. All things put together. I mean, things are okay, and we're not close to teetering into a recession. It would appear. But then there's this anxiety, right, from consumers, from businesses, as we work our way through
Starting point is 00:02:29 exactly what the impacts of all of this tariff stuff will ultimately look like in how that could impact business activity. Will it increase inflation? For now, though, things look pretty good. I think the question that I get from this, because it seems like everything's, kind of okay. It's going to be interesting to see how the Fed sort of reacts to this in the back half of the year. I mean, there's a lot of analysts out there that are positing that we probably could see the Fed be a little bit more aggressive with interest rate cuts in the back half of the year,
Starting point is 00:03:04 particularly as inflation continues to abate, but it all still kind of hinges on what in the world is going to happen with this tariff talk. And that still just remains entirely unclear. And traders are optimistic, to your point of a recession, on the prediction market call sheet, the odds of a recession this year are at 27 percent, something that remains surprising to me since we are coming off a quarter of economic contraction. And according to the book, two of those gives you a recession. And we also have fewer ships coming in to the port of Los Angeles. This is a very confusing economic time for any observer.
Starting point is 00:03:38 We're going to dive in some jobs, trends, tariffs, the economy, with Bloomberg's Stacey Vanek-Smith later in the show. So I'll wrap up the economic talk there. and stick with earnings. We're going to focus on the business. Starting with our earnings chatter. We've got CrowdStrike. David, the cybersecurity giant and full favorite reported earlier this week. Here's some of the numbers. Total revenue grew to more than $1 billion. That was a 20% increase from the prior year. 97% gross retention for its services. That's pretty good for a company still coming off an outage. However, investors did not like the
Starting point is 00:04:14 guidance going forward. What stood out to you in the results? Two things. Almost $200 million of annual recurring revenue added during the quarter, bringing the total to more than $4.4 billion, and a free cash flow margin of 25%. When I put those two numbers together, that shows me that there's plenty of demand for its products and services and that the company is generating value from that growth. That is a good report. From CEO George Kurtz, he said, quote, what excites me the most is the necessity agentic AI is creating for CrowdStrike holding inks AI native security, end quote. So if you're going to understand the business and the growth path moving forward, you need to understand the AI agents that this cybersecurity giant is implementing. So we'll start here.
Starting point is 00:05:02 Why is Kurtz so excited about agentic AI? Yeah, it's actually on the other side that he's excited. because AI agents were by customers of CrowdStrike, they actually create threat vectors for bad actors. So the more agents that are being created, and they're being created very, very quickly right now, the market opportunity is only going up from there. So I would also be excited about an increase in a market opportunity
Starting point is 00:05:31 of a market where I am a leader. I heard a quote on a search engine, which is PJ Votes podcast, that basically cybersecurity is the only business that gets worse every single year in technology because you have so many new threat actors coming in that these businesses are trying to keep up with. And then when you look at the balance sheet here or the financials, CrowdStrike has authorized $1 billion for share buybacks. This is also a company that likes to issue a lot of stock. And it makes sense. That's how you attract software talent. But how excited should the investors be
Starting point is 00:06:05 us on the retail side about this $1 billion in? potential share buybacks. So the first thing is I actually agree with your previous statement. That's the paradox of cybersecurity. It's always needed and always growing because bad actors are always out there. But at getting to your question about repurchases at today's prices, I am not excited about that buyback at all. There has to be better ways of investing that money than buying back very expensive shares.
Starting point is 00:06:34 I get it. It's about trying to control dilution, but there's, there has to be plenty of money. of things for CrowdStrike to be investing in going forward. Yeah, I'm just going to say, I bet you they really wish they executed this a year ago, right? Absolutely. More than doubled since that outage. And like you, Dave, I mean, I'm definitely not excited by this. And I am, I bet dollars to donuts that there is no way this even remotely brings that share count down. Now, that's not unique. We see that all of the time in this in the space. Correct. Still, it's worth remembering. So for those listening,
Starting point is 00:07:09 you have a few options when you have that extra cash, you can keep that cash on the balance sheet, or what's wrong with a special dividend? You can pay a special dividend to your shareholders from time to time if you think your share price is a little high. Other companies do that. J-mo, let's move to Lulu Lemon. Lillu Lemon, the maker of stretchy pants in other fashions, is down about 18% this morning. Man, how about our tariffs for this business, Jason? He's stretchy pants. Yeah. I mean, listen, it is exposed to this tariff environment like most others in its space.
Starting point is 00:07:44 Now, I'm not sure that they necessarily have the same exposure. If you look at their 10K, for example, and they quantify their supply chain exposure. They're 35% of fabrics originated from Taiwan, 28% from China, mainland, and 11% from South Korea. Now, on the flip side of that, the raw materials that they use, things like content labels, elastics, buttons, clasps, draw cords, all of that really essentially originates from Asia, Pacific, and mostly the China mainland. So they do have that exposure there, but they are also working on trying to mitigate that. And it'll just remain to be seen how well they could pull that off.
Starting point is 00:08:27 But it's worth noting, I mean, their inventories at the end of the first quarter were up on a dollar basis, 23%, $1.7 billion versus $1.3 billion a year ago. So that's definitely something to keep an eye on. Well, something that has investors in Lulu Lemon, like me, shaking in our ABC pants, is that a lot of this growth is coming internationally. And if you're buying shares of Lulu Lemon, you have to recognize that a lot of that sales growth is coming from the mainland of China, where it's selling finished products. So if you're hanging on to... to Lulu Lemon's stock, you're buying into that story. But right now, Lulu Lemon has gotten absolutely crushed. It's at basically a grocery store earnings multiple, which to me says no growth
Starting point is 00:09:14 is ever coming again for this company. What's the market saying about this, about Lulu Lemon right now? And maybe what say you? I mean, you're right about the international growth. It's China revenue is up 22 percent versus the America's up only 2 percent. And CEO Calvin McDonald noted on the call. He said that their senses that U.S. consumers remain very cautious and are being very intentional about their buying decisions. And that just flows right into discretionary spending and impacts the company like Louvre Lemon. In regard to the multiple, I mean, I think the multiple makes sense today. You're right. This thing has gotten crushed. And at around 18 times full year earnings
Starting point is 00:09:51 estimates, that's low, historically speaking. However, it also is because essentially it's pricing and no earnings growth. I mean, they essentially are not going to grow earnings this year. So then the question you have to ask yourself is, what does it look like beyond just the year? If you think the company can return back to modest top line growth and really bringing it down to the bottom line for more robust earnings growth, then today would make a lot of sense as a potential buying opportunity. My sense is the multiple it will ultimately be assigned is somewhere in the middle, right? 18 seems low for a company that I think can still grow, but I don't know that I'd be find this company at 70 times earnings either.
Starting point is 00:10:30 One thing to always remember about Lulu Lemon is that these buyers have discretionary income, and they love this product. So over the long term, that has served the company well. After the break, it's the rumble between President Trump, Elon Musk, and the impact on Tesla. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Full Money. Welcome back to Motley Full Money.
Starting point is 00:10:56 I'm Ricky Mulvey here with My. Motleyful senior analysts, David Meyer and Jason Moser. J-Mo and David, we talk about businesses a lot on this show. What we don't talk about often is friendship. And what we've learned this week is that some friendships don't last forever. And that is the case with Elon Musk and President Donald Trump. If you want the receipts of their beef, you can check out X and Truth Social. But Musk is throwing barbs over the big, beautiful bill and the impacts on the national debt.
Starting point is 00:11:24 Turns out Elon Musk really does care about that. President Trump, of course, likes his bill. And during this, I don't even know if you say a foolout fist fight, sparring match, whatever metaphor you want to use, they're not happy with each other. Tesla stock has taken a fall. More than $150 billion gone in market cap in just one trading day. Fools, I'm going to give this to Jason first. What is the most expensive breakup you've ever had?
Starting point is 00:11:53 Boy, that escalated quickly. and I'm not going to get into my personal life on this show, Ricky. But I think this is, given what we know about both people, this seemed inevitable. And who knows what tomorrow brings, but both very strong-willed and probably stubborn as a word that works here too. The back-and-forth has been entertaining, I guess. I mean, unless you're a Tesla shareholder, and I'm not,
Starting point is 00:12:18 but I'd imagine they probably don't really care for these barbs going back and forth. But I think it's important to note that the impact here on Tesla could be significant in regard to the bill, right? The bill essentially eliminates a credit worth as much as $7,500 for buyers of certain Tesla models and other EVs by the end of the year. And according to JP Morgan analysis here, I mean, that would translate to a roughly $1.2 billion hit to Tesla's full year profit. So that's not insignificant. it. And then you couple that with separate legislation that's been passed by the Senate based on California's EV sales mandates. I mean, that's another potential $2 billion headwind to Tesla's sales, right, according to J.P. Morgan. So you're looking at some legislation here that could have a
Starting point is 00:13:08 meaningful impact on the business if it passes in its current form. But then, you know, I saw the tweet there from Musk. He was like, okay, whatever. Let, you know, let the credit expire, right? Go ahead and go as is, but you know, fix the rest of the bill. So who knows how this will all shake out, but, but it's, it's been, it's been quite, quite a couple of days. I think once you start accusing the president of being on certain lists and threatening to release those lists, I would guess that he is not going to take your calls anymore. David, I am not going to ask you about your personal life. I'll just assume that you've never had a $150 billion breakup. But Tesla is in a very weird spot right now, right? Because we have seen what happens when brand,
Starting point is 00:13:51 get political. Usually it's brands sort of going to the left. We've now seen it with brands going to the right. Tesla has managed to upset people on both sides. If you like Trump, you may not be happy with Elon Musk right now. And if you're on the left, you may not like what he has done when he was in the White House during his one-month tour of Doge. Do you think Tesla can break this trend of brands getting hurt for the long-term when they get political? So that's a very interesting question. I think the answer is yes, but only if Musk stops focusing on the soap opera and starts focusing on the things that will drive the future value of Tesla here. So what do I mean?
Starting point is 00:14:37 So for Tesla, it's like, okay, let's get full self driving. Let's get that out. Let's get the cybercabs out. Let's get progress with the Optimus robots. All the things that are going to drive the future value of. of the company, put your attention there. Stop this nonsense. You work for the shareholders. And you're a huge shareholder. I realize that money may not matter to him, but it does matter to the people that have invested in his company. So he can break the cycle, get focused on what is important for the
Starting point is 00:15:10 future value of the company. And ultimately, I think at some point he will do that. Ed, you know what, if I can give him advice if you're both listening, if you got an issue with someone, a phone call is always better, a coffee is always better. It's always tough once you start airing it out on social media. Let's get back to earnings. Let's get back to earnings because maybe the quietest trillion-dollar company on the market reported this week, and that is Broadcom. David, revenue rose 20% on the year here. This is an AI-fueled growth story that I think not a ton of people are talking about. But what did we learn about the chip business from Broadcom's report this week? We learned that the demand for AI chips remains high and is growing fast.
Starting point is 00:15:55 So within its AI semiconductor revenue, that increased 46%, which easily outpaced the entire chip segment that it has of 17% growth. And quite frankly, that's good for Broadcom and anybody supporting that industry. And Broadcom's chips, you know, we talk about Nvidia and the GPUs that allow these like LLMs to run, Broadcoms chips are more of a connective tissue. They're working in the background, doing memory and networking for running these AI workloads. And their customers include the big tech companies we talk about more often on the show. So for listeners that are less familiar with this space, why do these big tech companies need
Starting point is 00:16:40 Broadcom chips? It's a great question that can be answered with a question. Do you want your AI to work? Yes. So you need to be able to spread the computing around the data center and stitch it back together to deliver the answers you're looking for. And that's what Broadcom's chips does. You know, that's pretty important.
Starting point is 00:17:00 That's got to be done, right? If we want this to work, that Broadcoms chips make it happen. And then as we wrap up on the Broadcom topic, anything else in the report really stand out to you? No, just that 46% growth in the AI semiconductor. part of their business, that's phenomenal. I mean, it just really is. That steals the show. Let's wrap up with DocuSign. J-Mo, DocuSign's revenue, this may surprise you, is actually up from a year ago. And many investors have been out on this COVID-fallen angel. I've clicked on DocuSigns. What's happening with the business? Yeah, this is a bit of a good news, bad news quarter.
Starting point is 00:17:43 And we'll get into the good news here in a minute, but why is the stock down? It really is about the billings and the subsequent guidance for the coming quarter. Now, it's worth noting that they actually raised guidance for the full year, but I think the outlook for the coming quarter maybe has the market wondering how that's exactly going to play out. Management misforecast the billings number, and that came in a little bit lighter. It's worth noting, we've seen this before with this company. It is partly a billing story. Billings that's ultimately a timing issue. So it can be difficult to predict. I kind of wonder if they shouldn't just eliminate from even guiding on buildings, to be honest with you.
Starting point is 00:18:17 But, I mean, talking about the good news, like you said, top line revenue up. We saw what, 8%. We saw dollar net retention rate of 101%. The positive trend there continues. Total customers up 10% surpassing 1.7 million in large customers. We talk about this metric a lot with DocuSan. Large customers spending over $300,000 annually with the company grew 6% from the year ago. So, I mean, I understand the building's concerns, but there was also a lot to like
Starting point is 00:18:46 in the report. And then quickly, this company has been telling investors a turnaround story for a while now. You can lose a lot of money waiting on turnaround stories. We've got 20 seconds left. Yes, no, maybe. Are you buying the turnaround story at DocuSign? Cautiously optimistic. I think all of the metrics that matter point towards this company's still growing, and that's ultimately encouraging. David Meyer and Jason Moser, gentlemen, we will see you a little bit later in the show. But up next, We're going to make sense of the economy, this strange economy with Bloomberg's Stacey Vanek-Smith. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Full Money. These days, I'm all about quality over quantity, especially in my closet.
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Starting point is 00:20:42 You're listening to Motley full money. I'm Ricky Mulvey. The economy isn't an interesting spot. The labor market looks hot on the surface, but it's a different story for college grads. And as tariffs came online, inflation actually cooled. Helping me make sense of this is Stacey Vanek-Smith. You may have heard her on Marketplace or The Indicator from Planet Money. She's the co-host of a new show called Everybody's Business. Vanek-Smith joined me earlier this week to make sense of the job market and tariffs. Stacey Vanek-Smith co-hosts the podcast, Everybody's
Starting point is 00:21:17 Business from Bloomberg Business Week. Welcome to Motley Full Money. Thanks, Ricky. It's great to be here. It's great to see you. What an interesting time to check in on the job market. because what we're seeing is this very healthy picture at the surface. The U6 rate, which includes marginally attacked workers. Oh, you're going deep. The U6 rate. Let's go all in, yes. Because that's people who want to work a little bit more.
Starting point is 00:21:43 It's the biggest, broadest understanding of the labor market. As we look at the April numbers and we'll have new numbers by the time you're hearing this, but not when we're recording this. That was down April to April. You heard at the last press conference from Jerome Powell, quote, the unemployment rate remains low and the labor market is at or near maximum employment. Stacey, this sounds like a labor market that is firing all cylinders, but there seems to be a lot of issues and problems under the surface.
Starting point is 00:22:11 I completely agree. I think this is just one of the most interesting job markets I've ever seen. I don't think I would have ever even imagined a disconnect like this would be possible because everything from my training, and I've been looking at business and economic issues for a long time, you know, it usually the job market is something that you feel. Like there's a reason I think that people know about the unemployment number. It's probably the most easy to talk about of all economic indicators, I think. You know, I feel like it's the one people pay attention to the most because it's the one you feel and affects our day-to-day lives. So I tend to
Starting point is 00:22:49 think of it as something that connects very easily with my lived reality. And it just does not feel at all like the job market's in a good place. It feels like it's in a bad place and all the signs would point to a bad job market. But you're so right. If you look at the numbers, this job market's super strong. Like unemployment's near historic lows. We just got the Joltz report, maybe the best name of an economic report that I know. But it's like, I think it's job openings, labor turnover, something. But that report came out and it looks great. Like job openings are up. Hiring went up more than expected. I just, I don't know, Ricky. I don't know. I have some thoughts, but it's, it's such a disconnect. The good news is you're on a podcast, so you're welcome to share those
Starting point is 00:23:36 thoughts. And the Joltz report is an interesting one. That's one that I've called before, that take your job and stuff it index, because it's people voluntarily quitting their job, usually with the belief that you can go out and find another job if you're willing to do that. you've also done some reporting with college grads right now. You looked into how the job market is looking for entry-level workers, which is sort of at the most risk of getting cut out by AI, especially for white-collar jobs. What have you heard from them?
Starting point is 00:24:08 Yeah, I did. I'm based in New York, and so Columbia had their graduation last week. And so I went up and talked to some of the graduates about how they were feeling. They are also all feeling everyone I talked to felt pretty bad about the job market, except for one woman who was in engineering who said she felt like everyone she knew had a job. Everybody else I talked to when I talked to like a dozen people, everybody felt terrible about it. The computer science graduates felt terrible about it. I talked to one young man and he had a job, but he said about 40% of his fellow graduates in computer science did not have jobs.
Starting point is 00:24:46 The electrical engineering graduates I spoke to said the market was terrible. Like everybody just said universities are cutting funding, research is going down, our job for computer science getting replaced by AI, like you said. They were feeling terrible about the job market. Yeah. So can you make any sense of that disconnect that you have this very healthy surface number? You have college grads feeling not great. In the last quarter, GDP went down. Economic growth slowed a little bit.
Starting point is 00:25:15 And you would expect to see jobs really reacting to that. And yet, it is a full employment picture in the economy, according to our Fed chief. Well, I think there are few things going on. I mean, the short answer is, I don't know. Like, I just don't know. I'm so puzzled. A couple of things to keep in mind is that sometimes jobs are a little bit of a lagging indicator because companies will often wait a little bit to lay people off if times get tough.
Starting point is 00:25:44 And especially because we had that really hot job market during the pandemic. And so it was a lot, it was hard for businesses to find workers in a lot of cases. So they might be more hesitant than they would have been before to let people go, just knowing that it can be hard to find good people. There's a lot of uncertainty right now. I think maybe companies are waiting and seeing a little bit. So maybe they are just kind of holding their cards close to their vest and waiting to make moves. But, I mean, another part of it is maybe the sectors that are hiring versus the sectors that are experiencing layoffs. I looked into the Jules report a little bit.
Starting point is 00:26:20 And like sectors like healthcare and social assistance, those are hiring. A lot of the jobs are that and business services. The ones laying people off are like manufacturing and leisure and hospitality, especially leisure and hospitality, I think, is pretty visible. So it could just be the sectors that are hiring might be sort of less visible than the other ones. Also, as humans, we tend to be oriented more towards the bad news a little bit. Like, I do think there tends to be a little bit of a negativity bias sometimes because we're trying to, you know, and we went through such a trauma with COVID.
Starting point is 00:26:57 So maybe that's part of it. I have trouble believing that. But I don't know. Like, I'm looking at the numbers. I can't. I don't know. It doesn't make any sense to me. What about you?
Starting point is 00:27:05 What do you think? Some of its vibe from looking at LinkedIn. I see a lot of, like, job searching posts on LinkedIn. But then I realize, like, there's a tremendous amount of bias in that sample. One of which is because LinkedIn has this feature of the open to work sticker. Yes, that's a good point. So it used to be not as visible if someone was looking for a job or just posting on LinkedIn. And then there's also a selection bias there where if one is posting regularly on LinkedIn,
Starting point is 00:27:32 they are more likely to be looking for a job. And then I think there was a lot of gains. I haven't looked at the Joltz report, but I would guess, you know, with the slowdown in white collar work, the only way that that makes sense is if there is some makeup in, what you said is healthcare work and then service and hospitality, even if it's not travel and leisure. So that part would be my guess. We're also journalists and media is like a hot mess right now. So we might have a skewed view and just because the things, the people we know and our colleagues are, you know, it's a difficult moment for media.
Starting point is 00:28:06 Yeah. And I'll also be curious to see what the long-term effects of a lot of these moves are. I have one of my buddies who is a software engineer. a lot of the work that is done at an entry level is talent development for a lot of big organizations. And when that's passed to AI, his point is you're just going to have a slow leakage because everyone who knows things is going to move to different organizations or retire. And then you're going to be stuck with this longer term problem where you've developed no internal talent to take on the roles that middle managers and senior leaders need to do at your
Starting point is 00:28:37 company. And you basically, you've eviscerated your farm system to use a baseball metaphor. I don't know if that'll be entirely be true. Businesses are pretty nimble, but I do wonder if a lot of these companies are creating long-term problems for themselves by getting rid of the entry-level positions. I think that's probably true. I mean, and that could be, that could account for why it's such a hard moment for recent grads in computer science to get jobs because the one young man, I keep wanting to say the kid
Starting point is 00:29:09 that I talked to me was not a kid. He was a graduate in computer science with a job that he had lined up, but he said, a lot of the entry level coding jobs were just being done by AI. He said he was using AI to do a lot of his coding. And I was like, do you think you would have had an assistant for that? He's like, you know, maybe he's like certainly would have taken a lot more of my time. And he, I think, was at a little bit of a higher level. So he was okay.
Starting point is 00:29:32 But I think a lot of the, you're right, a lot of the jobs that would have gone to people starting out that helped to build a pipeline, that help to kind of funnel people into a career. I think a lot of those, you know, especially in certain fields, are getting snapped up by AI for sure. The other biggest economic story is tariffs. This is a tough topic to pre-record, but we shall try. We've had to make some edits in the past to let the listeners know because you record something one day and then it turns out by Friday when you're listening that things get a little trickier. But from your economic lens, what are your biggest questions about this tariff story right now? Oh, I think, I mean, tariffs, I'm so interested in this. And simultaneously also so a little bit scared of it.
Starting point is 00:30:18 I mean, I think the big story, you're so right. I mean, a friend of my, I do a lot of work for Marketplace, the public radio show. And I was talking to my editor there. And she said they will not assign any feature stories on tariffs anymore because things change so fast. She's like, we keep having to kill stories. It's just, I mean, I think Trump has changed tariff policies more than 50 times since he's taken office. 50 times. I mean, usually trade deals.
Starting point is 00:30:44 I mean, these are slow, creaking wheels in the economy. Like they spend years hammering them out. And then they're sort of in place forever. And these are sleepy, sleepy topics. There's this trade economist Chad Bown, who's wonderful. And he has this podcast called Trade Talks. And I remember during Trump, one, calling him. And he was just like, this used to be the sleepiest job.
Starting point is 00:31:09 And everyone would be like, what is there to even? talk about like do you ever get tired of talking about NAFTA and now his like phone is ringing off the hook because there are so many changes I mean I think the change is one of the big stories honestly all the back and forth all the uncertainty I think that there's a lot of speculation as to why Trump is doing that part of it's just that he likes making deals and he changes his mind and it's the threat that he can use to me what it shows us I mean the American community. consumer has been the powerhouse of the global economy for like decades now. I mean, American consumer spending is like two thirds of the U.S. economy, but it's also like
Starting point is 00:31:53 almost 20 percent of the global economy. And so that is a lot of muscle to flex. And I think Trump likes having that muscle to flex, but also the entire world's economy has kind of accommodated itself around us buying tons of stuff. And if that actually changes or even changes a little, like I think the ripples from that are going to be immense. And if these tariffs do go through at the scale that I think Liberation Day introduced, then I think we're in for a real problem. Like, I mean, Argentina, like I always think about Argentina because I've done some reporting on Argentina. that they put a whole bunch of protectionist tariffs in place in 2010, it completely destroyed their
Starting point is 00:32:43 economy, completely destroyed their economy. And that is what keeps me up in night, I guess. And this is subject to change, but consumers are probably going to spend if prices don't rise dramatically. And right now, the economy is pretty much in the soft landing that the Fed wanted a while ago throughout this tariff spat. You had maximum employment mentioned by Fed Chair Powell. And you're also pretty close to that 2% inflation rate. I know. 2.1% will round it. I would have thought that through Liberation Day, through these tariff policies, you would
Starting point is 00:33:19 see prices rise immediately. And I know you've done reporting on small businesses that are trying to figure out how to adjust prices. But what do you make of, you know, inflation staying pretty cool even throughout these economic tariff spat, economic dispute, trade war, whatever you want to call it? I mean, this was a big shock to me, too. I mean, this was like another layer of vibe session because I was just like, you know, when the inflation report was coming out, the consumer price index, the CPI, this last one, I was like,
Starting point is 00:33:50 okay, here we go. Because the tariffs have now been in place for a few months. And even though there's been a lot of back and forth, businesses have been patting their prices. Businesses have had to try to find a way to cope with all the change too. So a lot of them, like I talked to one florist who was putting a flat, fee onto all of his bouquets because the tariffs on each of his flowers, which all came from different countries, was changing all the time. I still can't wrap my head around the fact inflation came down. And everyone's like, oh, well, it's just a month of reprieve because
Starting point is 00:34:18 businesses were able to stockpile stuff. You know, like Apple, Tim Cook airlifted like 600 tons of iPhones out of China, like airlifted it. So, I mean, there is potentially some lag there. And I mean, I just don't know anymore. I feel like curious or it's like the through the looking glass economy. It is like the Lewis Carroll economy. I don't like nothing seems to match up with what I think. And every time a report comes out and I'm like, okay, here we go. Now we're going to see the stuff that I know we will see. We don't see it. And it could be that there is a lag in the case of the CPI and inflation numbers. I don't know. Yeah. I need to steal my own or get my own phrase like Kyla Scanlan got with vibe session. I need the opposite because you got actually. You got
Starting point is 00:35:04 economic growth slowing down, and yet the job market still appears to be strong on the surface. And also, the market is pretty close to all-time highs. I mean, as if we record this week, the S&P is pretty much made up from all of the losses that it initially withstood from Liberation Day. And its traders have completely brushed it off. But I think we are in a more volatile market. Stacey, as we wrap up, any other economic storylines you're watching that you're curious about right now? Well, the thing that I'm watching, and maybe I'm watching it because it's the thing that kind of lines up with the reality I've been observing, but it is the bond market. The bond market does seem to be flashing red, especially with the big, beautiful bill, the tax cut extension going through Congress, which could potentially add $4 trillion to the deficit. The bond market does seem to be flashing red. Like you said, nothing else is. So, yes, we've got to come up with our anti-viby session word. Ricky, but I will be watching the bond market along with the markets and the jobs, numbers,
Starting point is 00:36:10 and inflation. Stacey Vanek-Smith, she's got a show. Everybody's business. You can find it on podcasts. Appreciate your time and your insight. Thanks for joining us on Motleyful money. Thanks, Ricky. Great to be here.
Starting point is 00:36:25 As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about in the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for against and don't buy yourself stocks based only on what you hear. All personal finance content follows Motleyful editorial standard. and are not approved by advertisers, advertisers, advertisements, or sponsor content. You're finding for informational purposes only to see our full advertising disclosure. Please check out our show notes. Up next, radar stocks.
Starting point is 00:36:42 Stay right here. You're listening to Molly Full Money. I'm Ricky Mulvey, joined again by Jason Moser and David Meyer. Before we get to radar stocks, I just want to point out, this is Rick Angdahl's final radio show. Rick is in the studio with us, the online studio, a longtime fool, multimedia extraordinary behind Rule Breaker investing, Motley Full Money and Motley Full Answers. He is a folk artist who somehow ended up at The Fool and an artist who's fixed problems that you, the listener, will never know existed.
Starting point is 00:37:28 Rick, you are a total joy to work with. I will miss having you in recordings. And I look forward to seeing you in Colorado, man. I'm going to miss you. You're here. Here, here. Thank you very much. And I will miss you all to you.
Starting point is 00:37:39 All right. enough with the sentimentality. Let's get to stocks on our radar. That's promised every show. We got to do it. Our man behind the glass for the final time. Rick Engdall is going to hit you with a question. Jason, you're up first. What are you looking at this week? Sure, a little company called Amazon. You may have heard of it. The ticker is A.M. ZN. And coming off a pretty good core, but in news that is both fascinating and a little scary at the same time, Amazon's reportedly close to beginning testing human-like autonomous delivery. methods or in simpler terms, robots that deliver packages to your door. I mean, this is certainly
Starting point is 00:38:18 quite futuristic and likely a ways away from becoming reality, but they're starting to test this stuff out. And given that it's working on humanoid robots for its warehouses, it's not that big of a leap to see how the technology could proliferate in time. So, you know, of course, agentic AI is behind it all in allowing these robots to actually understand and act on natural human language. It seems the future is now. Rick, you got a quick question about Amazon or humanoid robots. Well, as you know, I tend to ask a little bit offbeat and witty questions. And since I have to hand this off, I'm going to have Chat GPT ask these questions for me. So I asked for some witty questions. Here you go. Is Amazon still a buy now or just a warehouse
Starting point is 00:39:00 full of investor hopes? I think given the number of ways this company makes its money, I got to consider this thing a buy still even today. All right, real quick, David. Was that witty enough for you? Because it's your last show, I'll give you a seven out of ten. David, quickly, what's on your radar this week? So mine is Workflow Management Software Company, Asana, tickers, ASAN. This was a high flyer pre-pandemic that has come back down to Earth.
Starting point is 00:39:26 And it's a more mature company today. It's still growing, but now it's generating cash, and it has a very bright future with its AI-related software that it's selling. And multiples are, I think, attracted today. So this is one that I am going to be looking at after letting go of the company in 2022. Rick. This one's even better. Let's say, is Asana the future of work or just working on its future?
Starting point is 00:39:51 Wow. It's a little of both because customers are using the software more and more. And that's a good thing for both the user and Asana. I appreciate you guys actually answering my questions there because they were really bad. I'm sure that AI will improve over time. What are you putting on your watch list? Oh, I should wait. Hold on such to type in.
Starting point is 00:40:12 Apparently, I'm going with Amazon. Okay, we'll leave it there. Rick Engdahl, Jason Moser, David Meyer. Thank you for being here. Thank you for listening to this week's Motley for Money.

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